Career Averages - Jean Silva
Career Averages - Melsik Baghdasaryan
Jean Silva
Melsik Baghdasaryan
Jean Silva - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnold Allen | 0 | 56 of 116 | 48% | 60 of 121 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
| Jean Silva | 0 | 74 of 136 | 54% | 78 of 141 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arnold Allen | 0 | 22 of 45 | 48% | 22 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jean Silva | 0 | 16 of 31 | 51% | 16 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Arnold Allen | 0 | 18 of 43 | 41% | 18 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Jean Silva | 0 | 32 of 60 | 53% | 35 of 64 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 3 | Arnold Allen | 0 | 16 of 28 | 57% | 20 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Jean Silva | 0 | 26 of 45 | 57% | 27 of 46 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnold Allen | 56 of 116 | 48% | 37 of 86 | 11 of 22 | 8 of 8 | 53 of 113 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jean Silva | 74 of 136 | 54% | 43 of 103 | 22 of 23 | 9 of 10 | 68 of 127 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arnold Allen | 22 of 45 | 48% | 12 of 33 | 4 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 22 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jean Silva | 16 of 31 | 51% | 9 of 23 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Arnold Allen | 18 of 43 | 41% | 15 of 36 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jean Silva | 32 of 60 | 53% | 19 of 46 | 6 of 6 | 7 of 8 | 27 of 53 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Arnold Allen | 16 of 28 | 57% | 10 of 17 | 4 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jean Silva | 26 of 45 | 57% | 15 of 34 | 9 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 25 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-278), Allen (+225)
Round 1
Due to the cancelation of the second title tilt scheduled for this billing—Kayla Harrison against Amanda Nunes—featherweights will now open up the main card that is still a pay-per-view in some locales. This dramatic clash of styles between a calm sniper in Allen (20-3, 11-2 UFC) and an emotional marauder Silva (16-3, 5-1 UFC) has had people circle their calendars for this potentially spectacular showcase. Before they begin, referee Chris Tognoni takes charge of the cage, and the competitors elect to touch ‘em up.
Allen introduces himself with a chopping kick to the lead leg, with Silva heavy on his front foot. Allen chips away at the body while Silva stares him down. Silva spurs into action with a body shot, only for Allen to nail his front leg on the way out. Silva hand-fights to work his way in, using his lead hand to try to pull down Allen’s guard to set something up. Allen is not having it, as he stays on the outside with pitter-patter strikes that are scoring. Silva misses on a right to the sternum, and Allen is paying close attention to how Silva cocks back his right hand. The Brazilian fakes a kick and draws out a reaction, and he sends Allen staggering back with a jab. Allen fires back with his own jab, sticking and moving to plant a left hand on the nose. Allen counterstrikes his man with a right hand when Silva advances, and he misses the mark by a hair when kicking high. Silva tries to kick him high as well, but he too whiffs.
Allen quickly wraps a kick up around the guard to draw some swelling on the temple, and he flashes several jabs as Silva loads up. Allen gets a one-two through the guard, and the audience starts barking to urge Silva to fight. Allen pushes off with his fingers outstretched and pokes Silva in the eye, and he apologizes profusely as Tognoni briefly calls time. Silva is not concerned and wants to get right back to it, where he starts chasing Allen around the cage. Allen works his front leg to set up good work upstairs, and he is freezing Silva when he commits. Silva keeps loading up, and Allen beats him to the punch and puts his guard up to block the head kick he sees coming. Silva puts on even heavier pressure, going with a right to the head and left to the body. Silva winds up his power strikes but largely brush them off the guard, and Silva suddenly nails his man with a high kick and an elbow. Allen backpedals fast, stung by the blow, and Silva lets him have it with a barrage of offense until the horn sounds. Allen winks at him, and when they do not separate, he shoves the Brazilian away.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Round 2
Kicks fly from both sides to start off the round, and Allen bides his time before splitting the guard cleanly with a one-two. Silva wags his finger at him, allowing Allen to fire off a pair of head kicks at him. Silva kicks the lead calf, and he rushes forward with a right hand and bowls Allen over. Allen stands, and he keeps his guard up to block a kick but gets popped with a right hand. Allen gathers himself and leaps at his foe with a jump knee, and lands to connect several powerful punches that make Silva wag his finger at him again. Silva goes to the body and tries for a right hand upstairs, but Allen skips past it and scores his own left. Silva waves him on, the jab of the Brit starting to do damage as Silva’s right cheek swells. Allen targets it with two punches, a head kick and a flying knee in rapid succession, and Silva tanks it all and slugs back with a dangerous one-two.
Silva tries to tie his man up, and this time, Allen drills him in the nose with a knee. Silva spins with an elbow that bangs into the top of the head, and he spins with another after delaying himself to open up. The Tristar Gym fighter keeps light on his feet and fights behind his jab, not falling into a brawl. Silva hammers both legs with kicks, and he connects with two hooks as Allen’s nose is busted up. Allen just misses with an axe kick and a spin kick, and Silva lets out a woo and tries to high-five him. Allen does not want to play that game, so Silva punches and kicks him in the face. Allen intercepts his opponent with a right hand, and Silva staggers him momentarily with a spinning back elbow. Allen jabs and kicks high with the opposite leg, and Silva smiles and dodges a subsequent kick. Silva tries for a takedown with seconds to spare, and instead tosses out a knee and gets thrown down before the bell rings.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Round 3
The featherweights bump fists to get going, and Silva immediately lashes out with punches and a high kick. Allen takes it well but his nose is already leaking again, and Silva strikes out at it some more. A high kick from the Brazilian is barely blocked, and he stands in place too long and takes a left hand on the schnoz. Shins are clashed when Silva fires off his kick, and he goes to the body with a right hand and sweeps the leg unsuccessfully that opens up a left up top. Allen’s head kick is telegraphed, allowing Silva to get in on him and lands hammers. Allen waves him on, and then pitches a front kick to the face only to duck under in pursuit of a level change. Silva is warned for grabbing the gloves to defend the takedown, and Allen knees him in the side while holding on from behind, with Silva leaning his head on the wall. Allen spams with knees until Silva senses an opening and turns out, breaking free after landing a right.
Allen flicks out his jab, and he is answered by a hacking elbow from the Brazilian. Allen comes up short with a kick and shuts down a single, but Silva is able to latch onto him and nearly take him for a ride. Allen protests that Silva is grabbing something, and Silva keeps on going and trips the Brit to a knee. Silva elevates his foe and slams him down, so Allen springs back up and nails Silva with a front kick. Silva punches his way into a clinch, but it is a fake as he intends on slipping up a head kick that Allen sees coming in time. Allen lets a spinning elbow buzz past him, and he walks into a standing elbow. Silva points to the ground to signal it’s time to brawl, and Allen does not ball for it and instead jabs. Silva keeps looking for the slugfest, and he roars and lets go with bombs. Silva jumps but does not throw anything, landing instead to pitch two high kicks. Silva hurls Allen to the mat with emphasis, and while Allen is on his knees, Silva steps on his back and jumps off of it like a child wrestling with his father—this has been considered unsportsmanlike conduct in the past, ask Drew Chatman. Silva then offers a glove touch or something to signal that he pulled off something quite unusual, and Allen pushes his hand away and wants to strike to the bitter end. The two go the distance, and any tension dissolves when time expires as a tearful Silva actually apologizes to the man in Allen he calls a "legend."
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva (29-28 Silva)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Silva (30-27 Silva)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Silva (30-27 Silva)
The Official Result
Jean Silva def. Arnold Allen via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Jean Silva but with low confidence, citing uncertainty about Arnold Allen's health after a long layoff and injuries. He thinks Silva's creativity and aggression will overwhelm Allen, but he worries about Silva coming off a knockout loss. He says he is staying away from betting on this fight.
Big Brady is surprised by the wide odds but picks Silva due to his power, durability, and volume. He thinks Silva hits harder and is more active, and expects a war with Silva landing bigger shots. He predicts Silva by decision, though a knockout wouldn't shock him.
Cody leans toward Arnold Allen, citing Jean Silva's recklessness and poor fight IQ. He notes Silva often gets outworked early and makes mistakes, while Allen is defensively sound and can outpoint him. Cody is wary of Silva's power but believes Allen can win a decision or catch Silva with a counter.
Connor also picks Jean Silva, emphasizing that Silva is the most difficult fighter to game plan for due to his unpredictable, instinctive style. He notes that Arnold Allen's patient, professional approach may not account for Silva's ability to change intensity and land unexpected strikes. Connor points out that Silva has never faced a top-level professional like Allen, but believes Silva's unique talents will cause Allen to get surprised. He also mentions the layoff as a concern for Allen.
Daniel Vreeland picks Jean Silva but with low confidence due to Silva's discipline issues. He notes that Silva has power and shot selection, but his tendency to get cocky and taunt could cost him against a technical fighter like Allen. Vreeland says it's a pass for betting but as a pure pick, he goes with Silva, contingent on him staying disciplined.
James picks Silva, calling him a standout striker with crazy power, reminiscent of Conor McGregor. He believes Allen lacks a standout skill and will be outclassed on the feet. James predicts a KO or decision win for Silva, leaning KO, and notes Silva's hunger for redemption.
The host picks Jean Silva by knockout, citing his activity, power, and ability to walk down opponents. He notes Arnold Allen's low output and inactivity, which could be a problem against Silva's pressure. He also mentions the under 2.5 rounds as a strong prop, given both fighters' power and finishing ability. He is not willing to bet Silva at -255 but likes the under.
Paul picks Jean Silva by KO, taking a small shot on the prop. He acknowledges Silva's flaws but believes his power and pressure can overwhelm Allen, who has never been knocked out. Paul notes Silva's durability and ability to land big shots, but is not confident enough to bet the money line.
The MMA Guru picks Jean Silva, citing Arnold Allen's brittle hands and susceptibility to being dropped. He notes Silva's nasty lead hook and believes Allen's tendency to leave fights to decision will be exploited. He predicts a late first or second round TKO.
Zane picks Jean Silva, citing his incredible timing, sense of distance, and ability to land fight-changing shots. He notes that Arnold Allen, while well-rounded and professional, lacks dynamic finishing ability and often lets opponents stay competitive. Zane argues that Silva's chaotic, vibey style will create opportunities that Allen cannot capitalize on, and that Allen's long layoff and mental health struggles are additional concerns. He acknowledges that Silva can be gameplanless but believes his intangibles will prevail.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Lopes | 1 | 74 of 135 | 54% | 86 of 154 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 2:40 |
| Jean Silva | 0 | 43 of 91 | 47% | 43 of 91 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diego Lopes | 0 | 43 of 77 | 55% | 50 of 86 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:58 |
| Jean Silva | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Diego Lopes | 1 | 31 of 58 | 53% | 36 of 68 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Jean Silva | 0 | 33 of 71 | 46% | 33 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Lopes | 74 of 135 | 54% | 63 of 118 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 16 | 31 of 65 | 1 of 2 | 42 of 68 |
| Jean Silva | 43 of 91 | 47% | 26 of 67 | 10 of 17 | 7 of 7 | 42 of 90 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diego Lopes | 43 of 77 | 55% | 36 of 67 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 10 | 14 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 29 of 53 |
| Jean Silva | 10 of 20 | 50% | 5 of 11 | 2 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Diego Lopes | 31 of 58 | 53% | 27 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 | 17 of 41 | 1 of 2 | 13 of 15 |
| Jean Silva | 33 of 71 | 46% | 21 of 56 | 8 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 32 of 70 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-270); Lopes (+220)
Round 1
Mike Beltran is the referee. Lopes alnds an outside leg kick. Silva with a front kick close to Lopes’ chin. Lopes is attacking with low kicks. Another front kick up high for Silva, just missing the mark. Lopes with another low kick. Silva working the front kick. Silva throws a couple leg kicks of his own. Lopes gets a takedown to counters a Silva spinning back kick. Lopes wants to take the back. Silva gives up full mount instead. Silva wants to buck him off. Lopes cuts his foe with a downward elbow. He smiles and drops more elbows. Lopes alternates between elbows and punches and Silva gives up his back. Silva is in defensive mode. More elbows and punches for Lopes, who isn’t giving up mount. Lopes drops elbows on the smiling mug of Silva. He switches to punches and Silva rolls. Lopes continues the beating, but finally Silva breaks free. He is bloodied but ready to get to work. Silva jabs and rocks Lopes with a snap kick to the chin. Lopes goes bck to the leg kick and Silva lands a jab. Lopes avoids the snap kick this time. Lopes pumps his jab and Silva lands a left hook to the body. Silva with a right. Silva wipes the blood off his head and smiles as the round concludes.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Lopes
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Lopes
Mike Pendleton scores the round: 10-8 Lopes
Round 2
Silva comes out with a couple leg kicks. Silva with a right to the body. Silva steps in with a solid one-two. Lopes counters with a right during an exchange. Silva with a right hook and he smiles. Silva goes body-head, and he does it again. Lopes is eating heavy shots. That propels Lopes to fire back. Silva steps in with an elbow and he just misses a spinning back elbow. Lopes lands a calf kick and he advances. Silva rocks his foe with a counter right. Silva touches the chin of Lopes again, and now he’s opening up, landing punches in bunches. Silva is mixing in some elbows to his offense. They trade low kicks. Silva digs to the body, but Lopes counters with a right. A big right lands for Silva. Lopes is still in Silva’s face. Silva over extends and Lopes gets a takedown. He lands a series of rights from Silva’s back as he laces the right leg. Lopes slams Silva, but “Lord” rolls. Lopes is able to transition to side control during a scramble. Silva uses a single-leg to stand and he’s unloading now. They’re both trading heavy punches and a finish seems like it could be imminent. Silva kicks the body and is in pursuit of his opponent. A spinning elbow from Lopes — virutally the same one “Lord” has been using repeatedly — drops Silva near the fence.
The Fighting Nerds product is stunned, and Lopes tees off with ground-and-pound. Silva isn’t recovering, and the assault continues. Beltran has finally seen enough, and he waves off the fight to save a badly bloodied Silva.
In the aftermath of the stoppage, an upset Silva attempts to go after Lopes, but he’s held back by security. The slump for the Fighting Nerds continues, but there’s no shame in this defeat: This is a “Fight of the Year” candidate.
The Official Result
Diego Lopes def. Jean Silva via TKO (Spinning Back Elbow and Punches) R2 4:48
Angelo picks Jean Silva, calling him the fighting nerds' last hope. He says Silva is a powerful striker, loose, creative, and composed. He notes Diego Lopez has dangerous BJJ and power, but his technique goes out the window as the fight goes on, and he is too busy coaching others. He thinks Silva will beat the hell out of Lopez, and the odds reflect that accurately.
Big Brady picks Silva because of his exceptional power and Lopes's poor striking defense. He notes Lopes has only two takedowns in the UFC and Silva has good takedown defense, so the fight stays standing. He predicts Silva knocks out Lopes, who has been knocked out twice before, in the third round.
Connor picks Jean Silva, emphasizing Silva's superior positioning and distance management, which he compares to Anderson Silva. He notes that Silva's natural feel for the fight and ability to remain unanxious will allow him to handle Lopes's pressure. Connor acknowledges Lopes's power and durability but believes Silva's style is better suited for an unstructured fight, where his innate skills shine.
The host believes people are realizing Lopes is not as good as he seemed. He expects Silva to dictate the pace, take the center, land big shots, break Lopes down, fend off takedowns, and eventually find a knockout, cementing himself as a top contender.
The MMA Guru picks Diego Lopes, arguing that Jean Silva is being overhyped and that the 'Fighting Nerds' mystique has faded. He notes Lopes has championship experience, having gone five rounds with Volkanovski, and crashes well, which will trouble Silva. He believes Silva's loose, goofy style will be shut down when Lopes lands power. He predicts a second-round finish.
Zane picks Jean Silva, citing Silva's natural positioning and ability to evolve over rounds, which allows him to time opponents better as the fight progresses. He notes that Silva's lack of anxiety and tendency to stay composed under pressure will be key against Lopes's aggressive but unstructured style. Zane acknowledges Lopes's finishing ability and toughness but believes Silva's natural gifts and adaptability will prevail in an unstructured fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Mitchell | 0 | 36 of 64 | 56% | 37 of 66 | 1 of 14 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
| Jean Silva | 1 | 27 of 63 | 42% | 29 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 | 0 | 0:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryce Mitchell | 0 | 22 of 34 | 64% | 23 of 35 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Jean Silva | 0 | 9 of 29 | 31% | 10 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 2 | Bryce Mitchell | 0 | 14 of 30 | 46% | 14 of 31 | 0 of 11 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:50 |
| Jean Silva | 1 | 18 of 34 | 52% | 19 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Mitchell | 36 of 64 | 56% | 7 of 25 | 8 of 18 | 21 of 21 | 35 of 61 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jean Silva | 27 of 63 | 42% | 11 of 44 | 13 of 15 | 3 of 4 | 23 of 56 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryce Mitchell | 22 of 34 | 64% | 5 of 11 | 3 of 9 | 14 of 14 | 22 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jean Silva | 9 of 29 | 31% | 2 of 20 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Bryce Mitchell | 14 of 30 | 46% | 2 of 14 | 5 of 9 | 7 of 7 | 13 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jean Silva | 18 of 34 | 52% | 9 of 24 | 7 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 28 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-278), Mitchell (+225)
Round 1
What started as an interesting stylistic matchup turned into something far deeper and darker thanks to the idiocy of
Hitler-praising, Holocaust-denying
Mitchell (17-2, 8-2 UFC). We won’t sugarcoat this one, as it does not deserve a “both sides” treatment. The Fighting Nerds talent Silva (15-2, 4-0 UFC) wants to crush Mitchell for his absurd comments that range from
embracing the flat earth conspiracy theory
to
suggesting that he would change his nickname to “White Power” if he could
. The sides have been chosen and the lines have been drawn, so it is just a matter of time until referee Mike Beltran clocks the featherweights in. Unsurprisingly, there is no touch of gloves, even though Silva offered. Mitchell walks Silva down, and Silva motions that he attack him. Mitchell does not bite on the opportunity, instead backing off to toss out kicks to the lead leg and side. Combating chants ring through the building, with Silva’s louder as he buzzes the hair with a spinning wheel kick. Mitchell chops at the front leg with a kick, and Silva stands and stares at him. Silva looks to catch a kick, and he pump-fakes level changes. Mitchell reaches the target with a front kick and a low kick, and Silva’s body kick response is louder. Mitchell puts a side kick through the guard, and he hand-fights to back off and not take a strike coming back his direction. Mitchell uses his push kick on the chest to keep Silva from him, and Silva grabs his foot and tosses it aside. Silva fails on a jumping switch kick, and he comes up short on a pair of punches. Mitchell scores a low kick and absorbs a right hand, and he continues to batter the front leg of the Brazilian. A right hand from Silva zips past the ear, and he smiles at his opponent when Mitchell flings a spinning back fist at him. Silva comfortably sprawls when Mitchell shoots on him, and he pushes off the back of the head to stand. Mitchell follows suit, circling away while Silva comes towards him. Two left hands fly out from “Thug Nasty,” followed by a leg kick and a solid right hand. Silva smiles and points at him, jumping to kick him in the side. Silva looks away and darts forward, and he wings a wheel kick that catches Mitchell on the side of the head. Mitchell shoots for a takedown, and Silva snatches up a guillotine choke and grips it with all his might. Mitchel sits up, but Silva adjusts the grip to keep the choke tight. Mitchell wriggles to take some pressure off of his neck, and he works out of the submission to stand back up. Silva answers with a quick ninja choke when Mitchell leans over for a takedown, and Silva chases him around until the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Round 2
Silva asks Mitchell to touch gloves with him, and once more, the Arkansas native refuses. Silva walks him down, talking to him, and he checks a low kick. Silva connects with a left and then a right, flooring “Thug Nasty” and backing off to force the grappler to stand. Silva points at him and blasts him in the ribs with a kick, and he fakes a spin kick to draw out a reaction. Mitchell shoots in for a double, and Silva defends by bouncing off the cage and using a guillotine grip on the side. Mitchell pulls guard to take the fight to the floor by any means, and Silva is having none of it and stands back up. Silva frees himself from the grip and no-sells a low kick, continuing to pressure “Thug Nasty” and showboat. Silva looks away and punches, ducking out of the way of a knee and spinning with an elbow that skims the temple. “Lord” nails Mitchell with a step-in elbow, and he steps back to absorb a few body shots. Mitchell shoots, and Silva turns him about and pushes off. Mitchell ducks and dips to set up a takedown, and Silva tosses it aside and misses an uppercut by a whisker. Silva plants the ball of his foot on Mitchell’s chin, and he is met with a low kick. Silva scores a left hand, a jumping kick to the body and another left up top. Silva goes to the body and head, and he shakes off a takedown attempt and wraps up a ninja choke in the blink of an eye. Mitchell goes for a single to fight it off, and he rolls over to his side but is in big trouble. Silva’s vice-like squeeze is so daunting that Mitchell frantically taps out, and before Silva lets the grip go, Mitchell goes to sleep. Silva releases the sub and leaps to the top of the cage to motion to the President, who is less-than-enthused clapping for the Brazilian over the MAGA American. He then climbs off the top and interlocks his limbs on the fence, barking loudly as if he was about to be let off the leash. The Fighting Nerds quickly sport their trademark black-rimmed glasses, handing commentator Joe Rogan a pair for the interview. A rare occurrence, Rogan lets Silva have the microphone for a second, who thanks Miami and barks again. He then suggests that Mitchell seek professional help because he is “not right in the head.” The barking continues, with Silva on top of the world after his thrilling victory over a bitter, reviled rival. Meanwhile, the de facto technical submission could not have happened to a nicer guy.
The Official Result
Jean Silva def. Bryce Mitchell R2 3:52 via Submission (Ninja Choke)
Connor picks Silva, agreeing with Zane that Silva's patient, counter-striking style and knockout power will exploit Mitchell's tendency to make mistakes early. He notes that Mitchell is a crafty grappler who learns in fights, but Silva is adept at waiting for one opening and capitalizing. Connor acknowledges Mitchell could win if he gets takedowns and controls the ground, but Silva's ability to pick out weaknesses without giving much information makes him the favorite.
Daniel Levi praises Jean Silva for destroying Bryce Mitchell, highlighting Silva's physicality, creativity, and willingness to try different techniques. He loved the ninja choke submission and believes Silva can go all the way to the top, citing his striking creativity, athleticism, and submission game.
Lucrative James picks Jean Silva to win, citing his superior striking, angles, and timing. He believes Silva's athleticism and cardio will allow him to get back to his feet if taken down. He thinks Silva will find his reads and land a fight-ending shot, possibly an uppercut or knee, as the fight progresses. He acknowledges Mitchell's grappling threat but doubts he can submit Silva. He expects Silva to win inside the distance, possibly by cutting Mitchell open.
Zane picks Silva, believing Silva's patient, counter-striking style and knockout power will exploit Mitchell's tendency to make mistakes early. He notes that Mitchell is a crafty grappler who learns in fights, but Silva is adept at waiting for one opening and capitalizing. Zane acknowledges Mitchell could win if he gets takedowns and controls the ground, but Silva's ability to pick out weaknesses without giving much information makes him the favorite.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Silva | 1 | 18 of 27 | 66% | 18 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 7 of 25 | 28% | 7 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Silva | 1 | 18 of 27 | 66% | 18 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 7 of 25 | 28% | 7 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Silva | 18 of 27 | 66% | 11 of 19 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 7 of 25 | 28% | 5 of 20 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Silva | 18 of 27 | 66% | 11 of 19 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 7 of 25 | 28% | 5 of 20 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
The action continues with a potential featherweight banger as Silva (14-2, 3-0 UFC) looks to push his win streak to 12 at the expense of Baghdasaryan (8-2, 3-1 UFC). Both men are capable and willing to author a dramatic knockout, and referee Kevin MacDonald needs to mind his P’s and Q’s for as long as it lasts. There is a calm glove touch to get started, and Baghdasaryan bounces back and forth to engage. Silva lets rip a body kick, and he sways back to avoid one aimed at his upper chest. The two present in alternate stances, out of range of one another. Baghdasaryan whiffs on a big kick, and Silva offers him a glove touch with a big grin. Silva fires off a booming kick that is blocked in the nick of time, and he is all smiles thus far. Silva goes high again with a kick, and he wraps one around the waist only to get popped with a right hook. A one-two from Baghdasaryan misses the mark, and Silva throws one back and follows it with a body kick. Silva crashes forward, and nothing results from the clash. Silva intercepts his opponent with a left hook and spins with a back kick to the body, prompting Baghdasaryan to fire a few big punches and a head kick at him. Silva lets the shin skim his forehead so he can ducks down and jab to the body, and he steps in with an elbow. Silva walks into a right hand, and he slaps Baghdasaryan in the face. They high-five and motion for the crowd to get interested, and
Silva opens up with a huge one-two. The Brazilian knocks Baghdasaryan clean off his feet, and he lords over his opponent looking to MacDonald to intervene. When MacDonald does not step in, a confused Baghdasaryan looks around on his back and shells up. One final assault from Silva is all that is required—who did not even want to cause any further harm—as he lays into the doomed Baghdasaryan with punches and 12-6 elbows to the body.
This is enough for MacDonald to step in, and the smile from “Lord” stretches from ear to ear on not only him but his whole Fighting Nerds team. That makes it 12 in a row for the Brazilian, including four wins in the UFC all by stoppage.
The Official Result
Jean Silva def. Melsik Baghdasaryan R1 4:15 via TKO (Punches and Elbows)
Angelo picks Jean Silva confidently but notes the line may be inflated due to Silva's recent success and Baghdasaryan's layoff. He acknowledges Baghdasaryan is a real striker with a long kickboxing background, not a sloppy brawler like Drew Dober. He thinks the fight likely goes to decision and considers the over 2.5 rounds prop.
Big Brady picks Jean Silva despite the wide line (-560), noting that Melsik Baghdasaryan has major cardio and ground game liabilities. He thinks Baghdasaryan is a high-level kickboxer for the first seven minutes but fades, and his submission defense is poor. He expects Silva to pressure, potentially take him down, and finish him in the second round, either by knockout or submission. He notes that Baghdasaryan is coming off a torn labrum and a year and a half off.
Connor picks Silva, agreeing that Baghdasaryan is a bad style matchup for Silva. He notes that Baghdasaryan has a lot of blank space and discomfort in the pocket, which Silva can exploit. Connor compares Silva's ability to Yoel Romero, where he can just decide to end the fight with one punch.
The host thinks the line is too wide but still picks Silva. He expects Silva's activity and power to overcome Baghdasaryan, who may be slow and rusty after a 1.5-year layoff and torn labrum. He predicts Silva wins on the scorecards and suggests the over 1.5 rounds is interesting.
The Guru picks Silva by TKO, but warns that Baghdasaryan is tricky and may be winning before the finish. He predicts Baghdasaryan edges the first round, then Silva catches him in the second with his bruiser style, using elbows and knees in the pocket. He acknowledges Baghdasaryan's technical skill but gives Silva the X-factor.
Zane picks Silva because he believes Silva's timing and accuracy are exceptional, comparing him to prime Anderson Silva. He notes that Baghdasaryan is uncomfortable in the pocket and relies on range striking, which Silva can exploit by luring him into mistakes. Zane expects Silva to land a devastating knockout, similar to his win over Drew Dober.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Silva | 0 | 59 of 147 | 40% | 59 of 148 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
| Drew Dober | 0 | 53 of 109 | 48% | 53 of 109 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Silva | 0 | 20 of 58 | 34% | 20 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Drew Dober | 0 | 16 of 42 | 38% | 16 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jean Silva | 0 | 30 of 70 | 42% | 30 of 71 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Drew Dober | 0 | 31 of 55 | 56% | 31 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jean Silva | 0 | 9 of 19 | 47% | 9 of 19 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Drew Dober | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Silva | 59 of 147 | 40% | 29 of 109 | 21 of 28 | 9 of 10 | 55 of 138 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Drew Dober | 53 of 109 | 48% | 37 of 89 | 15 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 48 of 101 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Silva | 20 of 58 | 34% | 7 of 41 | 8 of 12 | 5 of 5 | 20 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Drew Dober | 16 of 42 | 38% | 10 of 34 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jean Silva | 30 of 70 | 42% | 17 of 53 | 10 of 13 | 3 of 4 | 26 of 61 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Drew Dober | 31 of 55 | 56% | 23 of 45 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 29 of 51 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Jean Silva | 9 of 19 | 47% | 5 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Drew Dober | 6 of 12 | 50% | 4 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jean Silva, having bet on him at +105. He believes Silva is the better striker and would win with a full camp, but cautions about the quick turnaround (fighting two weeks after UFC 303) and moving up in weight. He notes that Silva opened as an underdog but has become the favorite, and advises that betting at plus money was good but at current minus odds may not be worth it. He acknowledges Drew Dober's durability and chin.
Cody picks Jean Silva, impressed by his power and durability shown against Charles Jourdain. He believes Dober's chin is declining and that Silva's pressure and power will be too much. He notes Silva's camp at Fighting Nerds and his ability to generate power from any position.
Daniel Vreeland picks Drew Dober over Jean Silva. He cites Dober's experience, power, and size advantage as a true lightweight, while Silva is moving up from featherweight. He notes Dober's status as a lightweight KO king and that he lives in Colorado, giving him an altitude advantage. He acknowledges Silva's impressive performances but thinks the quick turnaround and elevation may affect him. He leans with the veteran Dober.
Drew Dober is the more technical striker. If he can stay competitive early, Jean Silva will slow down due to altitude and whiffing. Dober's solid striking defense will allow him to turn up the pace and potentially put Silva away in the second or third round.
Paul picks Jean Silva, citing his power and the fact that Dober's chin may be fading. He notes Silva's performance against Jourdain and believes Silva's pressure will overwhelm Dober. He expects an entertaining fight with a finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Silva | 0 | 23 of 46 | 50% | 24 of 48 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 |
| Charles Jourdain | 2 | 34 of 55 | 61% | 35 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Silva | 0 | 20 of 40 | 50% | 20 of 41 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Charles Jourdain | 1 | 25 of 45 | 55% | 26 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 2 | Jean Silva | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 4 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
| Charles Jourdain | 1 | 9 of 10 | 90% | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Silva | 23 of 46 | 50% | 6 of 26 | 11 of 14 | 6 of 6 | 17 of 39 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 2 |
| Charles Jourdain | 34 of 55 | 61% | 26 of 47 | 7 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 31 | 16 of 19 | 4 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Silva | 20 of 40 | 50% | 4 of 22 | 10 of 12 | 6 of 6 | 16 of 35 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 2 |
| Charles Jourdain | 25 of 45 | 55% | 21 of 41 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 27 | 11 of 14 | 3 of 4 | |
| 2 | Jean Silva | 3 of 6 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Charles Jourdain | 9 of 10 | 90% | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jourdain (-120), Silva (+100)
Round 1
An all-action battle originally scheduled at 145 pounds takes center stage next, as ultra-aggressive Canadian striker Jourdain (15-7-1, 6-6-1 UFC) runs into the 92% finish rate of “Lord” Silva (12-2, 1-0 UFC). The latter came in heavy by 2.5 pounds, and he has surrendered 20% of his purse to Jourdain. With three decision wins across their 27 victories, referee Marc Goddard better bring his A-game to this catchweight match. Silva offers an apologetic glove touch to get things started, and Jourdain accepts. Jourdain says hello with a loud body kick, and Silva responds with a Mortal Kombat-esque extremely low leg sweep. Silva bounces out of the way from a left hand, and he leans back as a head kick buzzes past him. Two more head kicks from the Canadian miss, and Silva offers him a high-five after an exchange. Jourdain connects with a heavy low kick, and a front kick lands as well. Silva again whiffs on the head kick, and Silva once more high-fives him. Jourdain pounds on the front leg, and Silva is walking forward but not throwing anything of note. Jourdain jumps forward with a high body kick, and Silva pounces with two punches but lets up. “Air” lands another big kick, and Silva eats a left hand and tells his opponent to keep throwing. Jourdain changes things up with a sudden double-leg takedown, and he shucks off a guillotine choke but cannot keep his foe down. Jourdain gets to his feet first, and he fires off a head kick that misses the mark by a matter of inches. Silva leaps forward with a hacking elbow, and Jourdain bounces off the fence to find another angle. Silva misses with a jumping front kick, and his looping left hook is just slightly inaccurate. As Jourdain crashes the pocket, Silva blasts him in the face with a left hand. Jourdain hits the ground like a sack of potatoes, and Silva drops to his knees to land strikes before standing up and motioning for Jourdain to follow him up and trade hands. Silva moves awkwardly to mess with Jourdain, who is still struggling on his feet, and he connects with a number of heavy strikes including a huge left. Jourdain tries for another takedown, and Silva blocks it and elbows him several times in the side of the head until Jourdain abandons it. Silva pursues his man recklessly, unafraid of the Canadian’s power so he can throw bombs. Jourdain catches a kick and puts Silva on his back, but he cannot do anything with it before the wild round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Round 2
Silva claps hands and hugs Jourdain to start off the round, and he wants to say something but Jourdain is more interested in fighting. Silva gets off first, landing power strikes and otherwise making Jourdain react from mere feints. Jourdain shoots in for a single, and he drags Silva to a knee but Silva bounces back up to his feet with his back to the wall. Silva hacks at his man with an elbow in the side, and he allows Jourdain to abandon the takedown and lift his head up.
At the perfect moment, “Lord” unloads an uppercut that completely knocks Jourdain off his feet, and it is a done deal. Goddard steps in to wave off the one-sided beatdown, with Jourdain clutching the back of his head after it rattled off the floor.
Silva, who will unfortunately sacrifice a post-fight bonus for missing weight, is the first fighter to knock out the durable Canadian. When Jourdain comes to his senses, the two fighters embrace, and Silva proudly dons his team’s black-rimmed glasses of the Fighting Nerds. He even draws a smile from the stoic Goddard.
The Official Result
Jean Silva def. Charles Jourdain R2 1:22 via KO (Punch)
Cody picks Silva, citing his speed, power, and game planning. He notes that Jourdain is inconsistent and has poor takedown defense, while Silva comes from a strong camp (Fighting Nerds) and has a clear game plan. Cody believes Silva's physicality and striking will overwhelm Jourdain, and that he can win by knockout or decision. He also mentions that Jourdain often chases bonuses instead of fighting smart.
Daniel believes in 'paying your dues' and thinks Jourdain's experience and veteran tactics will be the separator. He notes that Jourdain's loss to Woodson was a bad stylistic matchup and that this fight is different. He expects a back-and-forth banger where Jourdain edges out a decision, though Silva may have moments and raise his stock.
The host does not discuss this fight at all in the transcript. The entire podcast is focused on the Conor McGregor vs Michael Chandler fight, which is not on the provided fight card. Therefore, no pick is made for this fight.
The host leans Silva as a slight underdog, citing his speed and power advantage. He expects both fighters to engage in a wild striking battle, and believes Silva's physical attributes will allow him to land first and potentially get a knockout. He notes Jourdain has never been knocked out but thinks this could be the first time.
Paul leans toward Silva, noting that the line has moved from Jourdain being a favorite to a pick 'em. He believes Silva will land the more impactful strikes and that Jourdain's recent performances have been disappointing. Paul acknowledges that Jourdain has experience but thinks Silva's youth and power give him the edge.
The Guru picks Charles Jourdain over Jean Silva. He believes Jourdain is more technical and better under pressure. He notes Jourdain's submission skills and ability to finish. He thinks Jourdain's best work comes against shorter, wild opponents. He predicts a second or third round TKO for Jourdain.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Silva | 0 | 11 of 36 | 30% | 11 of 36 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Westin Wilson | 1 | 25 of 36 | 69% | 25 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Silva | 0 | 11 of 36 | 30% | 11 of 36 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Westin Wilson | 1 | 25 of 36 | 69% | 25 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Silva | 11 of 36 | 30% | 8 of 28 | 0 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Westin Wilson | 25 of 36 | 69% | 24 of 32 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 23 of 34 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Silva | 11 of 36 | 30% | 8 of 28 | 0 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Westin Wilson | 25 of 36 | 69% | 24 of 32 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 23 of 34 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jean Silva, acknowledging his savage striking and creativity, but notes that the -800 odds are inflated due to low respect for Westin Wilson. He sees a small chance of Wilson winning via submission if he gets Silva to the ground, but considers it unlikely. He will not bet or parlay Silva at these odds for a UFC debutant.
Big Brady is very high on Jean Silva, citing his impressive performance on the Contender Series and his power. He criticizes Westin Wilson's lack of process and poor striking defense, predicting Silva will knock him out early. However, he warns that if the fight goes to the ground, Wilson is dangerous with submissions, but believes the knockout comes first.
Cody picks Silva, stating that Wilson doesn't belong in the UFC and has durability issues. He notes Silva's power and ability to finish, and that Wilson's long frame makes him prone to getting hit. He expects a first-round knockout, but acknowledges the price is too high to bet.
Daniel Vreeland picks Jean Silva to win in devastating fashion. He highlights Silva's highlight-reel finishes and toughness, contrasting with Wilson's non-committal style and weak chin. Vreeland expects Silva to get a knockout and become a fighter to watch.
James does not discuss this fight in the transcript.
Jean Silva is a 27-year-old debutant on a winning streak, training at MMA Fight Nerds under Kyle Bajayo. He uses unorthodox and flashy strikes to hurt opponents and has solid Jiu-Jitsu. Westin Wilson is a 34-year-old who is clearly not UFC-level, with losses to former UFC fighters and a short-notice debut loss. Wilson's karate style and blitz attacks are ineffective against higher competition. Silva should make quick work of Wilson, likely finishing him early. The under 1.5 rounds is chalky but likely to cash.
Paul picks Silva, agreeing that Wilson is not UFC caliber. He notes Silva's proven cardio from the Contender Series fight and believes he can go 15 minutes if needed. He thinks Silva will win, possibly by mixing in grappling, but the price is too high to bet.
The MMA Guru picks Jean Silva, dismissing Westin Wilson as not UFC level. He criticizes Wilson's padded record and losses to low-level opponents, including a loss to Teruto Ishihara. He believes Silva has a legitimate career and will win easily.
Melsik Baghdasaryan - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Silva | 1 | 18 of 27 | 66% | 18 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 7 of 25 | 28% | 7 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Silva | 1 | 18 of 27 | 66% | 18 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 7 of 25 | 28% | 7 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Silva | 18 of 27 | 66% | 11 of 19 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 7 of 25 | 28% | 5 of 20 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Silva | 18 of 27 | 66% | 11 of 19 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 7 of 25 | 28% | 5 of 20 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
The action continues with a potential featherweight banger as Silva (14-2, 3-0 UFC) looks to push his win streak to 12 at the expense of Baghdasaryan (8-2, 3-1 UFC). Both men are capable and willing to author a dramatic knockout, and referee Kevin MacDonald needs to mind his P’s and Q’s for as long as it lasts. There is a calm glove touch to get started, and Baghdasaryan bounces back and forth to engage. Silva lets rip a body kick, and he sways back to avoid one aimed at his upper chest. The two present in alternate stances, out of range of one another. Baghdasaryan whiffs on a big kick, and Silva offers him a glove touch with a big grin. Silva fires off a booming kick that is blocked in the nick of time, and he is all smiles thus far. Silva goes high again with a kick, and he wraps one around the waist only to get popped with a right hook. A one-two from Baghdasaryan misses the mark, and Silva throws one back and follows it with a body kick. Silva crashes forward, and nothing results from the clash. Silva intercepts his opponent with a left hook and spins with a back kick to the body, prompting Baghdasaryan to fire a few big punches and a head kick at him. Silva lets the shin skim his forehead so he can ducks down and jab to the body, and he steps in with an elbow. Silva walks into a right hand, and he slaps Baghdasaryan in the face. They high-five and motion for the crowd to get interested, and
Silva opens up with a huge one-two. The Brazilian knocks Baghdasaryan clean off his feet, and he lords over his opponent looking to MacDonald to intervene. When MacDonald does not step in, a confused Baghdasaryan looks around on his back and shells up. One final assault from Silva is all that is required—who did not even want to cause any further harm—as he lays into the doomed Baghdasaryan with punches and 12-6 elbows to the body.
This is enough for MacDonald to step in, and the smile from “Lord” stretches from ear to ear on not only him but his whole Fighting Nerds team. That makes it 12 in a row for the Brazilian, including four wins in the UFC all by stoppage.
The Official Result
Jean Silva def. Melsik Baghdasaryan R1 4:15 via TKO (Punches and Elbows)
Angelo picks Jean Silva confidently but notes the line may be inflated due to Silva's recent success and Baghdasaryan's layoff. He acknowledges Baghdasaryan is a real striker with a long kickboxing background, not a sloppy brawler like Drew Dober. He thinks the fight likely goes to decision and considers the over 2.5 rounds prop.
Big Brady picks Jean Silva despite the wide line (-560), noting that Melsik Baghdasaryan has major cardio and ground game liabilities. He thinks Baghdasaryan is a high-level kickboxer for the first seven minutes but fades, and his submission defense is poor. He expects Silva to pressure, potentially take him down, and finish him in the second round, either by knockout or submission. He notes that Baghdasaryan is coming off a torn labrum and a year and a half off.
Connor picks Silva, agreeing that Baghdasaryan is a bad style matchup for Silva. He notes that Baghdasaryan has a lot of blank space and discomfort in the pocket, which Silva can exploit. Connor compares Silva's ability to Yoel Romero, where he can just decide to end the fight with one punch.
The host thinks the line is too wide but still picks Silva. He expects Silva's activity and power to overcome Baghdasaryan, who may be slow and rusty after a 1.5-year layoff and torn labrum. He predicts Silva wins on the scorecards and suggests the over 1.5 rounds is interesting.
The Guru picks Silva by TKO, but warns that Baghdasaryan is tricky and may be winning before the finish. He predicts Baghdasaryan edges the first round, then Silva catches him in the second with his bruiser style, using elbows and knees in the pocket. He acknowledges Baghdasaryan's technical skill but gives Silva the X-factor.
Zane picks Silva because he believes Silva's timing and accuracy are exceptional, comparing him to prime Anderson Silva. He notes that Baghdasaryan is uncomfortable in the pocket and relies on range striking, which Silva can exploit by luring him into mistakes. Zane expects Silva to land a devastating knockout, similar to his win over Drew Dober.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 36 of 109 | 33% | 41 of 115 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 6:19 |
| Tucker Lutz | 0 | 64 of 108 | 59% | 74 of 122 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 12 of 27 | 44% | 13 of 28 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 2:56 |
| Tucker Lutz | 0 | 11 of 19 | 57% | 14 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 21 of 64 | 32% | 22 of 65 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
| Tucker Lutz | 0 | 28 of 49 | 57% | 28 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 3 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 3 of 18 | 16% | 6 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:48 |
| Tucker Lutz | 0 | 25 of 40 | 62% | 32 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 36 of 109 | 33% | 14 of 71 | 16 of 28 | 6 of 10 | 34 of 105 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Tucker Lutz | 64 of 108 | 59% | 32 of 66 | 30 of 40 | 2 of 2 | 50 of 88 | 11 of 16 | 3 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 12 of 27 | 44% | 4 of 18 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Tucker Lutz | 11 of 19 | 57% | 4 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 21 of 64 | 32% | 10 of 40 | 8 of 19 | 3 of 5 | 20 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Tucker Lutz | 28 of 49 | 57% | 16 of 34 | 11 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 26 of 46 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 3 of 18 | 16% | 0 of 13 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 15 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Tucker Lutz | 25 of 40 | 62% | 12 of 23 | 13 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 25 | 10 of 14 | 1 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Baghdasaryan (-165), Lutz (+140)
Round 1
The prelims come to a close with the first combatant of the night sporting a winning record inside the Octagon. Baghdasaryan (7-2, 2-1 UFC) did get choked out back in February, so he hopes to get back in the win column at the expense of the skidding Lutz (12-3, 1-2 UFC). In this featherweight contest of “The Gun” vs. “Top Gun,” respectively, expect a potential firefight. Referee Jacob Montalvo dons his bulletproof armor, and the fighters touch ‘em up before pulling the trigger. Baghdasaryan reaches out with a body kick to introduce himself, and he kicks the lead leg to follow. Lutz responds with two leg kicks, and he swats away a reverse crescent kick and has his guard up to block a subsequent high kick. Baghdasaryan’s shin bounces right off Lutz’ chin, and Lutz tanks it and kicks Baghdasaryan in the ribs twice. They both paw at one another with straight right hands, and Lutz is ripping kicks to the body while Baghdasaryan is aiming them high. Lutz strings three punches together that clatter off the forehead, and he chambers and looses another kick to the side. Baghdasaryan pays him back with one, leading Lutz to offer up a takedown attempt. “Top Gun” is able to complete the takedown he seeks, sucking Baghdasaryan’s legs out beneath him and hooking his own legs around Baghdasaryan’s. This keeps Baghdasaryan on his seat without a way to get up, and try as he might, Baghdasaryan cannot stand. Lutz is primarily focused on position over any other offense, as Baghdasaryan is leaned with his back to the cage. Baghdasaryan slowly scoots his leg free from the triangle that kept him stuck, and he stands up. Lutz is quick to drag him right back down, and he ignores an elbow that bounces off the side of the head. Baghdasaryan explodes to his knees, but Lutz yanks him back out again. Baghdasaryan returns to his feet while Lutz is clinging to him, and Lutz looks to trip him out from behind. Lutz lifts Baghdasaryan up, and Baghdasaryan grabs the fence a few times to prevent him from getting grounded. The round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Lutz
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Lutz
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Lutz
Round 2
The fighters either touch gloves or stick out alternating jabs at the same time to start off the round, and they get going with kicks one after the other. Lutz slaps a kick to the upper thigh, and he springs out of the way from a jab to the body from his opponent. Baghdasaryan splits the lowered guard with a front kick on the belly, and he drills Lutz in the face with a reverse crescent kick. In an exchange, Baghdasaryan connects with a few punches including a stiff uppercut, hurting Lutz and sending him backpedaling. This puts the Baghdasaryan in the driver’s seat, who leaps in the air and kicks at Lutz like Josh Thomson against Nate Diaz. Lutz defends from the blow and the subsequent strikes enough to gather his wits, and he starts to fire back with bad intentions. Lutz slams his shin to the belly a few times, and he eats two jabs that snap his head back. Baghdasaryan wings a left hand that bounces off the cup, and it pounds square into Lutz’ cup. Lutz doubles over and clutches his groin, and Baghdasaryan does not pause as he kicks Lutz upside the head before Montalvo can reach him. Lutz takes the time he needs to recover, and he is ready to re-engage in a brawl. Catching Baghdasaryan with a right hand and a knee, Lutz gets backed away with a front kick. Lutz spams leg kicks, and he is driven back with a solid one-two. Lutz throws a naked body kick, and Baghdasaryan counters him and shuts down a takedown attempt from the surging Lutz. Baghdasaryan lands one body kick, and Lutz reaches him with two. Both men trade hands, and the Glendale Fighting Club fighter’s head movement is minimal as he gets tagged by Lutz. Baghdasaryan has the power to surprise Lutz, which defends him from Lutz surges. Baghdasaryan rifles off a piston-like jab that Lutz takes right on the nose to knock his head back, forcing Lutz into takedown mode. Lutz grabs hold of his foe and deposits Baghdasaryan to the floor with 30 seconds left in the round. Lutz hangs on tight, riding out the remainder of the round in this position without doing anything else with it but catching his breath.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Round 3
The featherweights touch ‘em up to start off the last round, and Lutz races forward throwing leather. Baghdasaryan shoves him back, and two of his fingers jab deep into Lutz’ eye socket. Lutz yelps in pain as he backs away, and Montalvo calls time. Lutz states the he is good to go within a minute, answering the doctor that he can see just fine. Montalvo warns Baghdasaryan sternly for fouls, and the two restart after 75 seconds away. Lutz springs right into action, and Baghdasaryan does just the same, knocking Lutz back with a few punches. Lutz responds with a loud body kick, and he tags Baghdasaryan with a left hand. Baghdasaryan responds with an axe kick that misses the mark by a foot, and Lutz steps in with a right hand that lands on the chin. Baghdasaryan strings three punches together to rock Lutz, and Lutz drops to his knees to hunt for a takedown. Lutz clasps his hands and lowers Baghdasaryan to his knee, and Baghdasaryan stays busy with elbows to the side. Lutz sells out for a single, and he trips Baghdasaryan down and takes his back even as Baghdasaryan grabs the fence repeatedly. Montalvo even slaps Baghdasaryan’s hands out of the fence, and Lutz snakes his right arm around the chest as he gets one hook in. Baghdasaryan wriggles and through sheer force of will, he works out of the position and stands up. In a close clinch, Baghdasaryan slams his knees on the midsection, and Lutz winces in pain – possibly because one glanced off his cup during the exchange. Baghdasaryan keeps spamming knees even when he is turned around against the wire, and Lutz searches for a single-leg takedown. Baghdasaryan elbows Lutz on the side of the head and stifles Lutz from getting it, and he delivers a few more knees to the body for good measure. With 25 seconds to spare, Baghdasaryan pushes off and spins with a back kick to the body. Baghdasaryan races after his opponent, belting Lutz in the face with a left hand. The two tie back up, with Baghdasaryan initiating the clinch so that he can open up with knees and elbows up close. Lutz breaks off and evades a spin kick to his midsection, and Baghdasaryan steps in with a knee. Lutz lands a right hand over the top, and the horn sounds to end this 15-minute engagement.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan (29-28 Baghdasaryan)
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan (29-28 Baghdasaryan)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan (29-28 Baghdasaryan)
The Official Result
Melsik Baghdasaryan def. Tucker Lutz via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Tucker Lutz as the underdog, citing a wider wrestling and grappling skill gap than the striking gap. He believes Tucker can keep a tight guard, come forward, and look to wrestle, needing a perfect 15-minute fight to avoid getting knocked out. He notes that Melsik is dangerous late, having gotten a third-round KO after giving up takedowns, so Tucker must be cautious. Angelo is surprised Melsik is a 2-to-1 favorite and thinks the fight could be a boring wrestling match.
Big Brady picks Tucker Lutz as a slight underdog, acknowledging it's a close fight. He notes Baghdasaryan is the better striker with power, but Lutz has solid wrestling and cardio. He expects Lutz to get takedowns and control time, while Baghdasaryan may have bigger moments on the feet. He thinks it goes to a close decision and sides with the dog, though he missed the better plus money earlier.
Cody reluctantly picks Lutz as an underdog, citing his wrestling advantage if he uses it. He notes Baghdasaryan is a dangerous striker but has poor takedown defense, as seen in the Culibao fight. He acknowledges Lutz has looked bad recently, getting chin-checked by Pineda, but thinks the plus money is worth a shot. He has zero confidence but sees an angle.
James is leaning towards Tucker Lutz as an underdog. He notes that Melsik Baghdasaryan has grappling deficiencies and was submitted quickly in his last fight. He questions whether Lutz has the offensive wrestling and cardio to exploit those weaknesses, but thinks the line may offer value on the dog side. He plans to watch tape to confirm.
The host expects a pissed-off Baghdasaryan to take out his aggression on Lutz, using his combinations and power to stifle Lutz. He notes Lutz has broken before and thinks Baghdasaryan can win by decision, though he's not certain about a finish.
Paul leans toward Baghdasaryan, citing his striking advantage and Lutz's poor striking defense. He notes the market moved from -200 to -160, making it less valuable. He thinks Baghdasaryan can exploit Lutz's defensive flaws and land big shots. He is not convinced in Lutz's wrestling ability and sees this as a stay-away fight at current odds.
The MMA Guru picks Melsik Baghdasaryan over Tucker Lutz, citing Baghdasaryan's superior striking skill and fluidity compared to Lutz's awkward, rigid style. He notes Lutz has lost two in a row and questions his ability to outgrapple Baghdasaryan, who hasn't been exposed on the ground aside from a submission loss to Joshua Culibao after winning the fight. He trusts Baghdasaryan's prior performances, including a 3-0 streak and a Contender Series win, and predicts a decision victory.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Culibao | 0 | 16 of 45 | 35% | 16 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 26 of 44 | 59% | 26 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Culibao | 0 | 11 of 31 | 35% | 11 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 18 of 30 | 60% | 18 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Josh Culibao | 0 | 5 of 14 | 35% | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 8 of 14 | 57% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Culibao | 16 of 45 | 35% | 3 of 24 | 3 of 8 | 10 of 13 | 15 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 26 of 44 | 59% | 6 of 19 | 8 of 10 | 12 of 15 | 24 of 41 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Culibao | 11 of 31 | 35% | 1 of 15 | 1 of 5 | 9 of 11 | 11 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 18 of 30 | 60% | 3 of 12 | 5 of 7 | 10 of 11 | 18 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Josh Culibao | 5 of 14 | 35% | 2 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 8 of 14 | 57% | 3 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Culibao (-120), Baghdasaryan (+100)
Round 1
Featherweights take center stage next in a matchup where neither man has ever landed a submission, so fists and feet are sure to fly. Repping his home country, Culibao (10-1-1, 2-1-1 UFC) collides with one of Glendale Fighting Club’s few remaining members in a major organization, Baghdasaryan (7-1, 2-0 UFC). Chins are sure to be tested early and often, so referee Peter Hickmott has strapped on his hard hat and is ready for the action. Despite the bad blood that developed on fight week, fists are bumped before they are swung. Baghdasaryan leads off with a leg kick, and he fires off a second in rapid succession. Culibao loops a head kick back in response, and he comes up short. Baghdasaryan pokes at the calf with his shin again, and Culibao winds up to make him pay with two of his own. The two trade low kicks one after the other, and Culibao changes stances after taking a particularly solid one. Culibao goes up high with a kick that is blocked, and he gets spun around from a chopping kick from “The Gun.” Culibao tries to close in and swipe out with a left hook, but Baghdasaryan is out of the way before it reaches him. Baghdasaryan digs a kick right to the liver, and Culibao winds up with one up high to respond but is just short. Baghdasaryan kicks the body again, and he settles down with a right hand when recoiling. Baghdasaryan gest off a low kick before Culibao can catch him back, and Culibao peppers him with three more as Baghdasaryan nods and smiles at him. The two get fired up and launch big left hooks, and Culibao begins to start checking the kick. Baghdasaryan goes up top with a kick and pulls back before Culibao can reach him in a reply. The two are trapped in a form of a mirror match, where one lands and the other tries to give the same blow back almost immediately. Baghdasaryan connects with a clean right hand to draw a stream of blood out of the nose, and he checks an oncoming low kick to follow. Baghdasaryan times a low kick to launch a left hand over the top, and Culibao just barely rolls it. Baghdasaryan spins with a back kick, and the heel smashes square into the cup and Culibao hits the mat in excruciating pain. Hickmott splits them up and informs Culibao he has five minutes to recover. Baghdasaryan tries to signal that it was not a groin shot, but on replay, he is informed of the foul. Baghdasaryan goes to apologize, and Culibao, still in agony, recognizes it was not at all intentional and holds no ill will. Culibao signals that after about two minutes, he is good to go, and the doctor is ushered out of the cage. Upon restart, Culibao lets fly a head kick, Baghdasaryan does the same, and the latter uses the momentum to fire off a tornado kick right before the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Round 2
Baghdasaryan offers a fist bump, and Culibao accepts it. Baghdasaryan comes up short by a matter of inches with an axe kick, and they crash together in an exchange and clash heads. Culibao protests, and Hickmott to tells them to fight on as Culibao reels. Baghdasaryan does not give chase, and instead appears to take a little time to clear his own head. Baghdasaryan reaches out with his right hand outstretched to hand-fight, and Culibao winds up with two kicks that make Baghdasaryan nod at him. They trade low kicks, and Baghdasaryan targets the body with his shin. Baghdasaryan kicks low, and
Culibao stabs out a jab and tackles him over to the floor to grab hold of his man in an instant. Baghdasaryan turns to his knees to stand back up, but this is the worst decision he can make, as Culibao takes his back and latches on to a rear-naked choke. The forearm begins to crush Baghdasaryan’s bottom jaw with the Californian’s mouth open, and Culibao sneakily slides it under the chin to cinch it up completely. Baghdasaryan does not need more than a second or two before he surrenders,
and Culibao has now landed the first submission of his career. The crowd goes wild, and Culibao leaps atop the cage and motions to the crowd to give him a beer. “Kuya” does not end up getting one in time, but he will likely be treated to many on the way out and more celebrating tonight.
The Official Result
Joshua Culibao def. Melsik Baghdasaryan R2 2:02 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angelo leans towards Josh Culibao, citing his impressive striking defense in his last fight and speed advantage. He notes that Melsik Baghdasaryan has raw power but struggled against a short-notice opponent. He expects a close fight and suggests betting on the plus 3.5 points line for the underdog, as it's likely a 29-28 decision.
Big Brady thinks this is a close fight and has no strong lean. He picks Baghdasaryan as the better striker with more tools on the feet, but notes Baghdasaryan's cardio issues. He expects a close decision, possibly split, and acknowledges Culibao's underrated skills.
Cody picks Culibao, noting he is young (28) and has shown power and wrestling. He thinks Culibao can mix in takedowns and pressure, and has the crowd on his side. He is not confident because Culibao is even money and he doesn't like betting him at that price. He sees Baghdasaryan as one-dimensional and injury-prone.
Connor picks Culibao, emphasizing that Baghdasaryan's kicks are not a great way to maintain distance and that Culibao can pressure him, put a pace on him, and work his boxing. He notes that Baghdasaryan resets after every strike, giving Culibao opportunities to counter. Connor also points out that Culibao has remarkable poise and determination, and that Baghdasaryan's fights often look closer than they should because he doesn't finish people.
Baghdasaryan has heavy hands and good power. Culibao's pressure style could walk into a knockout. Baghdasaryan has shown discipline and patience, finishing Colin England in round two. Culibao is durable but has been hurt before. Baghdasaryan's power should be the difference early. If it goes longer, Culibao's pressure could cause issues, but Baghdasaryan likely lands a big shot in the first round.
Paul slightly leans Baghdasaryan if the fight becomes a 15-minute standup battle, citing his more complex striking and higher volume. He notes Culibao's low output in recent fights. However, he is not betting the fight and rates neither fighter's wrestling highly.
The MMA Guru picks Melsik Baghdasaryan over Josh Culibao, noting that Culibao's success comes from opponents getting wild, while Baghdasaryan is composed and fundamental. He expects a tactical fight with Baghdasaryan winning by decision 29-28, landing more strikes without getting into scrambles.
Zane picks Culibao because he is a prepared and disciplined fighter who sticks to his game plan. He notes that Culibao has a knack for creating gritty wins and that Baghdasaryan's kicking-heavy style is vulnerable to pressure and clinch work. Zane believes Culibao can crash through Baghdasaryan's range, take him down, or grind him against the fence, and that Baghdasaryan's finishing ability has dried up at the UFC level.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 75 of 124 | 60% | 77 of 126 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Bruno Souza | 0 | 46 of 103 | 44% | 47 of 104 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 21 of 36 | 58% | 23 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Bruno Souza | 0 | 11 of 24 | 45% | 12 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 | |
| 2 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 31 of 43 | 72% | 31 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Bruno Souza | 0 | 16 of 37 | 43% | 16 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 23 of 45 | 51% | 23 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Bruno Souza | 0 | 19 of 42 | 45% | 19 of 42 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 75 of 124 | 60% | 26 of 63 | 25 of 32 | 24 of 29 | 68 of 117 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruno Souza | 46 of 103 | 44% | 27 of 70 | 13 of 24 | 6 of 9 | 41 of 96 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 21 of 36 | 58% | 4 of 14 | 8 of 10 | 9 of 12 | 18 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruno Souza | 11 of 24 | 45% | 5 of 14 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 31 of 43 | 72% | 13 of 21 | 8 of 11 | 10 of 11 | 29 of 41 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruno Souza | 16 of 37 | 43% | 12 of 27 | 2 of 6 | 2 of 4 | 14 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 23 of 45 | 51% | 9 of 28 | 9 of 11 | 5 of 6 | 21 of 43 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruno Souza | 19 of 42 | 45% | 10 of 29 | 6 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 38 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Just like the last fight, a newcomer trying to introduce themselves to the promotion misses weight, as Souza (10-1, 0-0 UFC) clocked in at 148.4 pounds for his featherweight tilt against Baghdasaryan (6-1, 1-0 UFC). The young man out of Glendale Fighting Club will undoubtedly try to make the Brazilian pay for coming in heavy, but there is still a slight sign of respect when they touch gloves. Referee Todd Anderson takes charge of the cage, and Baghdasaryan starts off with a sweeping leg kick. The two strikers get back to kicking range, with Baghdasaryan swiping out low with leg kicks. Souza leads off with a right hand and ducks away before getting countered. The Brazilian lets loose with a body kick, and he loudly kiais after throwing it. Baghdasaryan targets the calf of his opponent with a thudding kick, and he ducks when Souza swings a right hand at him. Baghdasaryan calmly walks towards his opponent, making the newcomer circle around the cage as the crowd is not enjoying the lack of action. Out of nowhere, Souza leaps in the air with a flying knee, and it gets blocked and he returns to circling away. As Souza throws a body kick, Baghdasaryan counters him with a clean left hand. Baghdasaryan’s advancement has led to him dropping his hands, not afraid of what Souza throws at him. Baghdasaryan gets off a single punch to the body, and he just misses with a high kick. Souza fires a pair of kick at his opponent to back him away, but Baghdasaryan continues stalking him and slings a spinning back kick. “The Gun” shoots off a leg kick, and Souza’s lead leg is showing some serious damage. A big leg kick from Baghdasaryan makes Souza shoot in for a single, and he picks Baghdasaryan’s leg up in the air while Baghdasaryan tries to defend with a choke attempt. Souza ties his foe’s leg up but he cannot hit the trip he is seeking, and instead eats a few knees for his effort. Baghdasaryan gets away with a fence grab, and Anderson slaps his hand away from it to let go. This forces them to break apart, and Souza scores a stabbing body kick and a right hand on his way outside. Souza spins with a wheel kick, and although it gets blocked, the impact of the strike knocks Souza into the wall as he stumbles back. Souza gets back up and lands a body kick, and he fires a right hand that misses. Baghdasaryan slaps him in the face – open-handed strikes are so hot right now – and the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Round 2
They think to touch gloves, but instead, Baghdasaryan is ready to throw a kick at him. This allows Souza to preemptively tag him in the face with a right hand and wobble his legs. Souza pushes through a kick to knock Baghdasaryan on his back, but he lets him up instead of pursuing any ground strikes of merit. A kick from Baghdasaryan makes Souza take several steps back, as if he is hurt, but the Brazilian is quick to get back to his active movement and circling. The strategic nature of Souza’s style has grown ire from the crowd, as the lack of engagement is boring to their eyes. The chess match continues as Souza keeps circling and taking potshots, while Baghdasaryan swings and misses. A low kick grazes into Souza’s cup, but he does not want to slow down. Instead, he swarms Baghdasaryan with punches, and Baghdasaryan greets him with a right hand counter to stop that salvo in its tracks. They come together, and Baghdasaryan just misses with a knee. Baghdasaryan continues to sporadically target the lead leg with kicks, and Souza’s leg appears badly damaged. One kick from “The Gun” makes Souza’s knee buckle, and he falls forward to try to take the fight down. When it is not there, he hops back and is limping. Baghdasaryan crashes the pocket, and he gets stopped when Souza defends with a standing guillotine choke. They resume distance kickboxing range, and Baghdasaryan clips his opponent with a left hand after Souza misses with strikes. Souza boots the body with his shin, and he sticks out a sharp jab to intercept a kicking Baghdasaryan. They both kick at the same time, and Souza lands and gets off a straight right hand. Baghdasaryan has his fingers outstretched, and Anderson has gotten tired warning him for it. This lights a fire under Souza, who starts throwing caution to the wind and tagging Baghdasaryan. The Californian by way of Armenia returns fire and staggers Souza with a right hand, but he does not follow it up and lets Souza get himself back in the fight. The round ends as Baghdasaryan retreats.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Round 3
Anderson gives Baghdasaryan one final warning for outstretched fingers before the start of the round, and they get after it. Souza throws kicks with body legs, and he eats a left hand and starts grinning. Two heavy punches slam into Baghdasaryan’s chin from a one-two, and Souza backs away before counters can reach him. Baghdasaryan goes over the top with a kick, and he misses by an inch. Souza chips away with leg kicks and stays elusive, as fans and Baghdasaryan are similarly frustrated by his approach. Souza darts in, lands a punch, and backs off. Suddenly, he sneaks in with a takedown try, but Baghdasaryan stops it standing and pushes him away. A big leg kick from Baghdasaryan draws a visible reaction out of his opponent, and Souza chomps on his gumshield to sling a pair of wide hooks. Baghdasaryan targets the lead leg again, and Souza takes it back before returning to southpaw for more punishment. The Brazilian steps in with a knee, and they exchange hands, with Baghdasaryan answering with a knee after they trade. Souza blitzes forward with punches, and they hit nothing but air. Baghdasaryan swings a kick to the body, and when it misses, Souza returns fire with one that connects. Souza is able to block a head kick, and he counters a subsequent kick try with a left hand over the top. Souza stays on his bike away from the more dangerous strikes that come at him, ducking and dodging strikes before ducking into a single. Souza lifts his foe’s leg up, but he cannot ground him, with Baghdasaryan hopping out of harm’s way and returning to the middle of the Octagon. Souza swings wildly, and Baghdasaryan sees the blows coming and avoids them. The number of inaccurate strikes by both men has drawn unease from the crowd, as they are giving it to them during inactive stretches. Souza swings a high kick and tags Baghdasaryan with a right hand, only to get nailed with one of his own on the way out. Souza eats a punch and returns with one of his own, and when the final horn bells and they hug it out, the crowd rains down boos.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Souza (29-28 Baghdasaryan)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Souza (29-28 Baghdasaryan)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Souza (29-28 Baghdasaryan)
The Official Result
Melsik Baghdasaryan def. Bruno Souza via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Bruno Souza, the counter-striker with a karate style, to weather Baghdasaryan's early storm and win a decision. He notes Souza's timing, takedowns, submissions, and champion experience. However, he admits he is not confident enough to place a moneyline bet, as Baghdasaryan's power and forward pressure are real threats. He sees this as a clash of styles where Souza's matador approach could work.
Big Brady is high on Melsik Baghdasaryan, praising his striking and power. He notes Baghdasaryan's takedown defense and get-up game are solid, and he doesn't think Bruno Souza will pose a threat on the feet. Brady watched four of Souza's fights and was unimpressed, calling him a low-volume, kick-heavy fighter who doesn't go for takedowns. He predicts Baghdasaryan will knock Souza out, as the line could be even wider.
Cody picks Baghdasaryan, citing his power and finishing ability. He notes Souza's hittable karate style and lack of power. He expects Baghdasaryan to catch Souza and KO him inside the distance.
Daniel Levi picks Melsik Baghdasaryan, favoring his Muay Thai over Bruno Souza's karate style. He notes that Baghdasaryan is a K-1 striker with over 100 kickboxing matches, and that his left kick and straight left are powerful. Levi acknowledges that Souza is a Machida protege with good experience, but believes Baghdasaryan has a higher ceiling and can handle grappling. He expects a late knockout or decision win.
Jacob strongly disagrees with Angelo, picking Melsik Baghdasaryan. He calls Souza a 'weirdo' with a slow, awkward karate style, noting that three of his wins are split decisions and one is a DQ. He believes Baghdasaryan's aggression, power, and finishing ability will overwhelm Souza, especially if he pressures him against the fence where the karate stance becomes ineffective. Jacob expects an early finish.
The host likes Baghdasaryan's power and aggression but worries about his gas tank. He thinks Baghdasaryan will likely win by knockout early, but if it goes past the first round, Souza's elusiveness could cause problems. He prefers the KO prop at +150 or round 1 prop at +300 rather than the moneyline. He also considers a small sprinkle on Souza round 3 at +2000.
Paul picks Baghdasaryan, expecting a KO. He notes Souza's hittable style and Baghdasaryan's power. He bets under 2.5 rounds, fight doesn't go to decision, and Baghdasaryan by KO.
The Guru trusts Melsik Baghdasaryan, noting his kickboxing and boxing background, and his impressive Contender Series wins. He believes Baghdasaryan is superior on the feet and has adequate ground game to work back up. He also factors in Souza taking the fight on short notice, which may affect his cardio. The Guru predicts a TKO finish for Baghdasaryan.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 25 of 51 | 49% | 28 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Collin Anglin | 1 | 44 of 75 | 58% | 51 of 82 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 20 of 40 | 50% | 23 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Collin Anglin | 0 | 34 of 53 | 64% | 41 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:09 | |
| 2 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 0 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Collin Anglin | 1 | 10 of 22 | 45% | 10 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melsik Baghdasaryan | 25 of 51 | 49% | 14 of 34 | 9 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 43 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Collin Anglin | 44 of 75 | 58% | 28 of 52 | 12 of 15 | 4 of 8 | 32 of 62 | 10 of 10 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 20 of 40 | 50% | 13 of 28 | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 33 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Collin Anglin | 34 of 53 | 64% | 21 of 36 | 10 of 13 | 3 of 4 | 23 of 42 | 10 of 10 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Melsik Baghdasaryan | 5 of 11 | 45% | 1 of 6 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Collin Anglin | 10 of 22 | 45% | 7 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 4 | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
A pair of once-beaten newcomers coming off of decision wins on Dana White’s Contender Series in September 2020 are about to dance, when Anglin (8-1, 0-0 UFC) and Baghdasaryan (5-1, 0-0 UFC) square off at featherweight. Both hold impressive knockout rates above 50 percent without a submission between them, and the strikes will almost certainly fly before referee Mark Smith. The UFC neophytes opt not to touch gloves before looking to knock the other’s head off, and Baghdasaryan starts off with kicks. He looses a head kick and several leg kicks, but Anglin is there to meet him with heavy punches. Both men land hard on each other, and Anglin walks forward with his right hand ready to unload on the chin. Anglin ties his foe up, but Baghdasaryan pushes off to free himself. Anglin holds tight, knees Baghdasaryan on the jaw twice, and Baghdasaryan yanks himself out. This clinch-to-knee exchange happens again, with Anglin scoring effectively with another knee. When Baghdasaryan gains some space, he gets off a one-two and a left hand down the pipe. Baghdasaryan reaches with a head kick, and he misses with a punch but follows it with a crisp left hand. Baghdasaryan knocks Anglin into the fence with another, but Anglin is ready to turn him about and set up a knee. Baghdasaryan rips the body with a knee, and he chains a knee into his combination to the same spot. Baghdasaryan clinches up, and Anglin welcomes it as he knees his foe in the face. Baghdasaryan slings a body kick as Anglin hobbles back, until he crashes forward and hits a takedown to put the Glendale Fighting Club on his back. Baghdasaryan scrambles and gets to a knees before standing up, and he tries to land strikes in the clinch but hands on to the cage and gets warned. Anglin plants his foot on the stomach a few times until Baghdasaryan has had enough and lays into him with a big left hand. He drills Anglin with another as the two get pressed into the wire again, leading to Anglin kneeing him a few times. The break comes courtesy of an Anglin elbow, and he mixes up his strikes with kicks and long punches to make Baghdasaryan reset. Baghdasaryan fires off a front kick and a left hand, and he wings a few standing hammerfists that land on the back of Anglin’s head as Anglin is rocked badly. Anglin hangs on tight to tie him up, and he just barely avoids a spinning back elbow on the break. Anglin pops him with a left hand, and he drops his hands and celebrates his handiwork as the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Round 2
Both featherweights are fired up to pick up where they left off, and Smith has to hold them back until he clocks them in. Baghdasaryan takes the center of the cage as his foe circles around him, and the two trade calf kicks. They turn those low kicks into front kicks to the body, with one landing and the other answer. Anglin snipes him with a cracking body kick, and his foe paws out his fingers and may have poked the eye. There is no break, and Baghdasaryan instead lands his own body kick. Anglin steps in with a knee, and Baghdasaryan blasts him with a counter left hand that may have been a slap and not a punch. He throws this same strike again, a loud slap, as if his hand may be damaged from throwing it so hard, so often in the first round.
His feet are fine, and he proves this by launching a head kick that cracks Anglin behind the ear and sends him down to the ground in a heap. Anglin absorbs one flush hammerfist before Smith can reach him to stop the fight, as the kick was enough to knock the screws loose
. This knockout for Baghdasaryan ends a long stretch of decisions with a bang, while he became the first man to beat Anglin inside the distance.
The Official Result
Melsik Baghdasaryan def. Collin Anglin R2 1:50 via KO (Head Kick)
Big Brady picks Melsik Baghdasaryan, impressed by his kickboxing background and knockout power. He believes Baghdasaryan will catch Anglin early, as Anglin may try to strike before grappling. Brady notes Baghdasaryan's takedown defense looked solid on the Contender Series and that he has cardio from his kickboxing career. He predicts a first-round knockout.
Cody leans towards Melsik Baghdasaryan, praising his striking credentials including kickboxing and boxing experience. He notes that Baghdasaryan showed he can go three rounds in his Contender Series fight, adjusting his pace. Cody believes Baghdasaryan's striking will be too much for Anglin, who has a wrestling advantage but may not be able to get takedowns. He is not completely writing off Anglin but favors Baghdasaryan.
Levi views this as a coin-flip fight. He acknowledges Baghdasaryan's power and impressive finishes on the regional scene but questions his level of competition and how he will handle extended fights or takedowns. Anglin is the more well-rounded fighter with proven wrestling and the ability to push a hard pace. Levi is concerned about Anglin being hittable but goes with Anglin due to his versatility and experience.
Baghdasaryan has devastating power and technical striking from his kickboxing background. He throws heavy leg kicks, body kicks, and punches down the middle. Even when he gasses, he still throws with power. Anglin has decent experience but hasn't faced someone with this level of striking. Baghdasaryan's speed and precision should find Anglin's chin early.
Paul does not make a clear pick on the moneyline but instead bets on the fight not going the distance. He notes that both fighters have high finish rates and that Baghdasaryan comes out aggressively while Anglin has shown finishing ability. He placed a small bet on under 2.5 rounds and fight doesn't go the distance, seeing it as a 50/50 proposition.
The MMA Guru picks Collin Anglin over Melsik Baghdasaryan, stating that Anglin has fought better opponents and has an amateur MMA background, making him more well-rounded. He notes that Baghdasaryan is a crossover from boxing/kickboxing and hasn't faced credible competition. He expects Anglin to mix in grappling and win via his well-rounded skills.
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo picks Jean Silva confidently but notes the line may be inflated due to Silva's recent success and Baghdasaryan's layoff. He acknowledges Baghdasaryan is a real striker with a long kickboxing background, not a sloppy brawler like Drew Dober. He thinks the fight likely goes to decision and considers the over 2.5 rounds prop.
Big Brady picks Jean Silva despite the wide line (-560), noting that Melsik Baghdasaryan has major cardio and ground game liabilities. He thinks Baghdasaryan is a high-level kickboxer for the first seven minutes but fades, and his submission defense is poor. He expects Silva to pressure, potentially take him down, and finish him in the second round, either by knockout or submission. He notes that Baghdasaryan is coming off a torn labrum and a year and a half off.
Connor picks Silva, agreeing that Baghdasaryan is a bad style matchup for Silva. He notes that Baghdasaryan has a lot of blank space and discomfort in the pocket, which Silva can exploit. Connor compares Silva's ability to Yoel Romero, where he can just decide to end the fight with one punch.
The host thinks the line is too wide but still picks Silva. He expects Silva's activity and power to overcome Baghdasaryan, who may be slow and rusty after a 1.5-year layoff and torn labrum. He predicts Silva wins on the scorecards and suggests the over 1.5 rounds is interesting.
The Guru picks Silva by TKO, but warns that Baghdasaryan is tricky and may be winning before the finish. He predicts Baghdasaryan edges the first round, then Silva catches him in the second with his bruiser style, using elbows and knees in the pocket. He acknowledges Baghdasaryan's technical skill but gives Silva the X-factor.
Zane picks Silva because he believes Silva's timing and accuracy are exceptional, comparing him to prime Anderson Silva. He notes that Baghdasaryan is uncomfortable in the pocket and relies on range striking, which Silva can exploit by luring him into mistakes. Zane expects Silva to land a devastating knockout, similar to his win over Drew Dober.
Comments (2)
No sub attempts registered for Silva in his previous fights. Silva is from Fighting Nerds. Can you bet on a fight being cancelled. Melsik doesn't want this heat.
Jean KO'd him to no surprise. Melsik body was jacked.
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