UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · Apr 12, 2025 · Middleweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes Next Fight
Age 30
Height 6' 2"
Reach 79.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 31
Height 6' 0"
Reach 74"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Sedriques Dumas
2.0 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
2.41 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
1.34 TD Avg
31.0% TD Acc.
33.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Michał Oleksiejczuk
5.85 SLpM
53.0% Str. Acc.
4.5 SApM
59.0% Str. Def.
1.02 TD Avg
42.0% TD Acc.
52.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Sedriques Dumas - Fight History
LOSS vs Jackson McVey
Submission R1 2:14 · UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · Apr 25, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sedriques Dumas 1 21 of 29 72% 38 of 50 0 of 0 --- 1 0 2:03
Jackson McVey 0 3 of 4 75% 9 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sedriques Dumas 1 21 of 29 72% 38 of 50 0 of 0 --- 1 0 2:03
Jackson McVey 0 3 of 4 75% 9 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sedriques Dumas 21 of 29 72% 16 of 22 5 of 7 0 of 0 2 of 4 5 of 7 14 of 18
Jackson McVey 3 of 4 75% 0 of 0 2 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sedriques Dumas 21 of 29 72% 16 of 22 5 of 7 0 of 0 2 of 4 5 of 7 14 of 18
Jackson McVey 3 of 4 75% 0 of 0 2 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 3 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: McVey (-190); Dumas (+160)

Round 1
A potential pink-slip derby comes as the prelims carry on, with struggling middleweights Dumas (10-4, 1 NC; 3-4, 1 NC UFC) and McVey (6-2, 0-2 UFC) coming to blows with one hoping of righting the ship to a degree. At 30 and 27, respectively, a prospective roster cut would not necessarily be the end of their career, with top contenders in the division hanging around 10 years their elder. For now, referee Chris Tognoni stands guard ready to intervene at a moment’s notice. There is a touch of gloves.
McVey practically sprints at his opponent, bull-rushing “The Reaper” and forcing him on his back foot immediately. McVey looks for a level change, and when he cannot readjust them to a different position, he sticks around in the clinch flustering Dumas with knees and short punches. Dumas brings up a knee that bangs into the cup, and when Tognoni calls time, both fighters look confusedly at him and say they’re fine and continue fighting. They manage to separate, and McVey marches his foe down with a purpose. As he closes in, he jacks Dumas up with an uppercut, and Dumas crashes to the floor. McVey looks to finish the job with a bombardment of punches, but Dumas is intelligently defending himself. McVey decides to stop striking and hook his arm around the neck, locking up a brabo choke in a hurry.
The submission is tight with its application cinched at McVey’s armpit, and he turns to the side to complete it. Dumas has nothing left to offer at this point of the match, and he surrenders.
We have our first finish of the night, while Dumas clutches the left side of his face that absorbed the crushing uppercut.

The Official Result
Jackson McVey def. Sedriques Dumas R1 2:14 via Submission (Brabo Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jackson McVey

Angelo confidently picks Jackson McVey, criticizing Sedriques Dumas for being a poor fighter with more court cases than wins. He notes that Dumas's wrestling is horrific and he doesn't have big one-punch knockout power, and has seen Dumas look like he's quitting. Angelo expects McVey to move forward, throw a bunch of hands, and win the fight. He says he'll be rooting for McVey big time.

"Jackson McVey is just going to move forward, throw a bunch of hands, SD is going to react awkwardly, and Jackson McVeyy's going to win this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 21, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Sedriques Dumas

Big Brady picks Sedriques Dumas (referred to as Jack Marshman) over Jackson McVey (referred to as Sedriques Dumas). He criticizes Dumas's tendency to quit under adversity and tap to submissions easily. He believes Marshman's clinch work and opportunistic submission game will lead to a first-round submission.

Marshman wins by first round submission
"Give me Jack Marshman by first round submission."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jackson McVey

Connor agrees with Zane, picking McVey due to Dumas's lack of skill and recent poor performances. He notes that Dumas has zero footwork, bad form, and corners himself, while McVey has aggression and a clear game plan. Connor also mentions that Dumas's personal issues likely haven't helped his training.

McVey opened at -150, now -190; Dumas opened at +130, now +165.
"yeah i mean my collapse in you know the way he did against zach reese he's not a good athlete so putting out that kind of aggression and offense does have an immediate deleterious effect on him yeah but he …"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2026 (fight day)
Sedriques Dumas

The host thinks Dumas is a tempting bet because McVey has terrible takedown defense and is weak off his back. Dumas' grappling, while not elite, should be enough to exploit McVey's weaknesses. He believes the odds are wrong and Dumas should be favored. However, he warns about Dumas' bad fight IQ and face tattoos, making it a risky bet.

Fight likely ends inside distance; not interested in fight spread or over/under
"I think there's a good amount of value on Dumas this weekend, even though it is a risky bet."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Apr 19, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jackson McVey

James picks McVey, citing Dumas' mental instability and poor fight IQ. He expects McVey's pressure and clinch work to lead to a submission finish, possibly a guillotine in round one.

submission in round one
"I think it's going to be a submission here. I think it's going to be a submission in round one for Jackson McVey."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Apr 21, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jackson McVey

McVey has a strong submission game and a lanky frame, but he has struggled in the UFC with two losses. Dumas has been inconsistent and has had legal issues, but he has grappling ability. McVey should overwhelm Dumas with aggression and find a submission, but the fight is low-level and hard to have confidence in.

McVey by submission
"I'm expecting Jackson McVey to go out there, overwhelm Dumas, utilizing a lot of aggression, utilizing possibly a better gas tank as well, and then finding a submission of his own."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jackson McVey

Zane picks McVey because Dumas is aimless, has zero footwork, bad striking form, and poor positioning. He notes that McVey has directionality and aggression, and if he comes out like he did against Zach Reese, Dumas will fold. However, Zane acknowledges that McVey is a poor athlete and the fight is terrible overall.

McVey opened at -150, now -190; Dumas opened at +130, now +165.
"i'm picking mcveigh yeah he's the worst athlete so do mas really might win this but do mas is so aimless and i can't imagine that anything that is going on in his life has made him better prepared lately …"
LOSS vs Donte Johnson
Submission R2 1:25 · UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · Nov 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Donte Johnson 0 10 of 18 55% 18 of 27 3 of 3 100% 1 0 3:04
Sedriques Dumas 0 5 of 16 31% 12 of 23 1 of 5 20% 0 0 2:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Donte Johnson 0 9 of 17 52% 11 of 19 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:53
Sedriques Dumas 0 3 of 10 30% 10 of 17 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:03
2 Donte Johnson 0 1 of 1 100% 7 of 8 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:11
Sedriques Dumas 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Donte Johnson 10 of 18 55% 9 of 17 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 10 6 of 7 1 of 1
Sedriques Dumas 5 of 16 31% 0 of 10 4 of 5 1 of 1 3 of 12 2 of 2 0 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Donte Johnson 9 of 17 52% 8 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 9 6 of 7 1 of 1
Sedriques Dumas 3 of 10 30% 0 of 6 2 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 8 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Donte Johnson 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sedriques Dumas 2 of 6 33% 0 of 4 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Dashon Johnson

Angelo is very confident in Dashon Johnson, calling him a big wrestler with power who will finish Sedriques Dumas. He criticizes Dumas heavily, citing his criminal record, poor performances, and lack of quality wins. He expects Johnson to run through Dumas and finish him early, and recommends putting Johnson in lineups.

"Put Dante Johnson in your lineups. He will finish that absolute bum, crook, dog cage hiding criminal that is SD Dumas."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Dashon Johnson

Big Brady picks Dashon Johnson by first-round knockout, citing Johnson's fast hands and heavyweight power. He notes Dumas doesn't like getting hit and has been hurt in multiple fights. He mentions Johnson is coming down from heavyweight but looks in good shape. He warns that if the fight extends, Dumas's grappling could be a factor, but he expects an early finish.

first round knockout, minus 350 favorite
"I kind of think it's just a Dante Johnson KO1 here. ... I think it's Johnson and Johnson to win in the first round by knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Sedriques Dumas

Connor picks Dumas because he is a big middleweight who can lay on Johnson and use wrestling to control him. He notes that Johnson is a short, awkward fighter who throws wild hooks, and Dumas can take him down and ride him to a decision.

Johnson opened at -300, now -350; Dumas opened at +250, now +285. Connor thinks the odds are too wide.
"I think he's just gonna be duma's is just gonna lay on him. Take him down, get to his back, ride him, have a really ugly wrestling match."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Dashon Johnson

Lucrative James picks Dashon Johnson confidently, citing his power, speed, and striking IQ. He notes Johnson's success at higher weight classes and expects him to be too strong and patient for Sedriques Dumas, who has mental and legal issues. James predicts a first-round knockout, similar to Dumas' previous loss to Michel Alex.

Dashon Johnson wins by KO in round 1
"I'm taking Dante Johnson all day."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Sedriques Dumas

Johnson is 6-0 with all first-round finishes but hasn't faced much adversity. Dumas has more UFC experience and has beaten mediocre competition. Dumas will wear down Johnson and find a submission in the second or third round.

submission in round 2 or 3
"Johnson is six and0 with all first round finishes and never has really faced much adversity. Whereas Dumas has over six, seven fights in the UFC and has beaten some mediocre competition. Johnson still has an unknown ceiling at this …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Dashon Johnson

The MMA Guru picks Dashon Johnson (Don'Tale Mayes Johnson) over Sedriques Dumas. He is impressed by Johnson's Contender Series win over a heavyweight, showing power and grappling. He notes Dumas's inconsistent performances and foul issues. He predicts a first or second round finish, citing Johnson's physicality and -400 odds.

first or second round finish
"I'm going to go with Dante Johnson. I think he's too physical and if he's bullying around a heavyweight... I think he'll go straight through Cedric Dumas early in the fight."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Donte Johnson

Zane picks Johnson because Dumas is a bully who doesn't like being attacked, and Johnson is aggressive and awkward. He notes that Johnson is not good, but Dumas is also bad and likely to fold under pressure. He acknowledges Dumas could win by wrestling but thinks Johnson's aggression will cause problems.

Johnson opened at -300, now -350; Dumas opened at +250, now +285. Zane says the odds are far too wide.
"I think i'll pick donte johnson. He's not good. But neither is dukas duma's and I think johnson will go in there with something to prove."
NC R1 0:51 · UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · Sep 13, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zachary Reese 0 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sedriques Dumas 0 3 of 10 30% 3 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zachary Reese 0 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sedriques Dumas 0 3 of 10 30% 3 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zachary Reese 2 of 7 28% 0 of 3 1 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sedriques Dumas 3 of 10 30% 1 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zachary Reese 2 of 7 28% 0 of 3 1 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sedriques Dumas 3 of 10 30% 1 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Sedriques Dumas vs. Zachary Reese
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Reese (-240); Dumas (+200)

Round 1
Mike Beltran is the referee. Dumas comes out aggressively, with a double jab-straight combination. Fighting from opposing stances, the middleweights trade low kicks. A hard inside low kick lands for Dumas, but moments later, “The Reaper” absorbs an audible kick to the groin from Reese. Dumas immediately collapses to the canvas in agony and the crowd groans upon viewing the replay. Now a doctor has come in to talk to Dumas, who remains on his knees. He informs the doctor that, “I cannot feel my right ball.” Beltran tries to encourage Dumas to stand up, but he says he can’t get up. After that revelation, Beltran waves off the fight. Reese yells in frustration before walking over to apologize to Dumas. This one will be a no contest due to the accidental foul.

The Official Result
Zachary Reese vs. Sedriques Dumas is Ruled a No Contest (Accidental Foul) R1 0:51
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Angelo picks Reese confidently, calling Dumas a disaster and not very good. He notes Reese is a massive middleweight with size and strength, well-rounded, though his wrestling is inconsistent. He says Dumas is scrappy but not skilled or dangerous, and if Reese lands a takedown or big bomb, he finds a finish. He mentions Reese is almost a 3-to-1 favorite and should be.

"Zach Reese the pick. Pretty confident there."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Big Brady picks Reese because Dumas has shown no durability, heart, or volume in the UFC. He criticizes Dumas's training environment and legal issues. He predicts Reese finishes Dumas in the first round by submission, though he notes Reese himself has questionable durability and cardio.

First round submission
"I think Zach Reese probably finishes Dumas and finishes him in the very first round."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Reese is expected to return to his early finishing ways after defending Dumas's takedowns. The host believes Reese will dictate the pace, land big shots, and produce a round one knockout, showing strong confidence in his power and timing.

round one knockout
"Ree should really start to dictate the pace, land his big shots, and produce another round one knockout."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

The MMA Guru picks Zachary Reese, citing his athleticism, kicks at range, and ability to finish. He expects Reese to hurt Dumas with body kicks and predicts a finish late in the first or second round. He also questions Dumas's discipline and commitment due to legal issues, making him untrustworthy.

Finish in round 1 or 2
"Zachary Reese's really good kicks at range. I can see body kicks hurting Sadri Dumas here. ... I'm going to go against Dumas."
CANCEL vs Jackson McVey
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 22, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Jackson McVey

Angelo picks Jackson McVey because he is a young undefeated prospect making his short-notice UFC debut, and he believes McVey's length, footwork, and takedown ability will be too much for Sedriques Dumas, who has a questionable chin and off-the-cage distractions. He notes that Dumas is green and hasn't improved as expected, and that McVey's motivation may be higher given Dumas's legal issues. However, he admits it's hard to know what to expect from an untested prospect.

Angelo says he might throw a couple of bucks on McVey if the odds continue to widen.
"I'm going to pick Jackson and I'm going to keep an eye on those odds and if they continue to widen, I might throw a couple of bucks on them."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Jackson McVey

Big Brady is very critical of Sedriques Dumas, citing his lackluster performances, legal issues, and time in prison without training. He notes that Dumas has been unimpressive even in wins and that McVey, though with limited fight footage, appears aggressive and dangerous with finishes. Brady believes McVey has a pulse and is more motivated, so he picks McVey to win by first-round knockout.

McVey first round knockout
"I'm going to go McVy here. I honestly would probably pick anybody with the pulse at this point against Enriquez."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jackson McVey

The host leans towards Jackson McVey due to his more well-rounded skills and experience, noting that Christopher U (Sedriques Dumas) is taking the fight on very short notice and has a flabby build that limits his potential. He expects McVey to win by submission, as he has shown finishing ability and better grappling.

submission
"I'm going to lean towards Jackson McVey here. and I'm going to say that he can get this one done by submission."
KO R1 2:49 · UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · Apr 12, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sedriques Dumas 0 3 of 26 11% 3 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 1 34 of 57 59% 34 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sedriques Dumas 0 3 of 26 11% 3 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 1 34 of 57 59% 34 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sedriques Dumas 3 of 26 11% 0 of 18 2 of 5 1 of 3 3 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 34 of 57 59% 27 of 49 7 of 8 0 of 0 13 of 27 0 of 0 21 of 30
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sedriques Dumas 3 of 26 11% 0 of 18 2 of 5 1 of 3 3 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 34 of 57 59% 27 of 49 7 of 8 0 of 0 13 of 27 0 of 0 21 of 30
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2025 (fight day)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Daniel Levi was happy to see Michał Oleksiejczuk get a first-round stoppage over Sedriques Dumas. He praises Oleksiejczuk for changing his training environment to the Fighting Nerds and showing maturity and measured striking, outstriking Dumas 34 to 3 in under three minutes.

"What I was really happy about was seeing Mllicha go out there and get that first round stoppage over Cedric's Dumas."
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sedriques Dumas 0 49 of 88 55% 95 of 140 3 of 10 30% 0 0 6:00
Denis Tiuliulin 0 26 of 70 37% 183 of 246 3 of 5 60% 0 0 2:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sedriques Dumas 0 6 of 10 60% 35 of 41 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:22
Denis Tiuliulin 0 3 of 7 42% 44 of 53 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:28
2 Sedriques Dumas 0 26 of 40 65% 39 of 57 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:38
Denis Tiuliulin 0 10 of 24 41% 116 of 136 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Sedriques Dumas 0 17 of 38 44% 21 of 42 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Denis Tiuliulin 0 13 of 39 33% 23 of 57 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:59
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sedriques Dumas 49 of 88 55% 28 of 66 9 of 10 12 of 12 40 of 79 1 of 1 8 of 8
Denis Tiuliulin 26 of 70 37% 10 of 49 13 of 18 3 of 3 24 of 67 2 of 2 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sedriques Dumas 6 of 10 60% 3 of 7 1 of 1 2 of 2 5 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0
Denis Tiuliulin 3 of 7 42% 1 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Sedriques Dumas 26 of 40 65% 13 of 27 4 of 4 9 of 9 18 of 32 0 of 0 8 of 8
Denis Tiuliulin 10 of 24 41% 3 of 13 6 of 10 1 of 1 9 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Sedriques Dumas 17 of 38 44% 12 of 32 4 of 5 1 of 1 17 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Denis Tiuliulin 13 of 39 33% 6 of 31 5 of 6 2 of 2 13 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Sedriques Dumas vs. Denis Tiuliulin
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dumas (-218), Tiuliulin (+180)

Round 1
Fight fans on the West Coast of the U.S. will be having combat with coffee this morning, as the UFC takes to Abu Dhabi with a show featuring a number of fighters that struggle to get into the U.S. Plenty of international talent litters this event, with over a dozen countries repped at one point tonight. The fist pairing of the evening is more regular rivalry between America and Russia, as the
much-maligned
Dumas (9-2, 2-2 UFC) battles the struggling Tiuliulin (10-9, 1 NC; 1-4 UFC) in a match that might lead to at least one roster cut. Both men prefer the knockout, with the Evolve Gym fighter more inclined to headhunt. The middleweights choose not to bump fists to start the day’s festivities, and referee Keith Peterson is ready to cut all nonsense out of the equation. They lash out with dueling low kicks, and Dumas whiffs on a head kick. When Dumas fires off a low kick, he is countered by a knee that busts him in the chops. Tiuliulin gets his foe’s attention with a few additional punches, but Dumas surges forward and takes him off his feet with a sudden tackling takedown. Tiuliulin works his way towards the wall to get back up, and Dumas holds him down and knees him in the thigh repeatedly. Peterson asks for more activity, with Dumas in a holding pattern while the Russian is stuck on a knee. Dumas drags Tiuliulin down to his seat for a second, peppering the same spot with knee after short knee. Tiuliulin muscles his way upright, turning the corner and falling on top of his opponent in a surprise reversal. Dumas is on his backside and bursts his way up, and he eats a knee while standing but is no worse for wear as he looks to chuck Tiuliulin to the mat. The American presses his foe to the wire, and Dumas’ knees work the body and thigh until one bangs into the cup. There is a quick apology from Dumas, and Tiuliulin knows it was a total accident and takes a little under 30 seconds to get his wind back. When they resume, Dumas lunges forward with a right hand, and he belts Tiuliulin in the face with a lead-leg high kick. Dumas shoots in on a takedown and gets rebuffed, with Tiuliulin shoving him away and resetting. They fire off alternating jabs when upright, and Tiuliulin reaches with a one-two that leaves him vulnerable for a takedown effort from Dumas that drags Tiuliulin back to a single knee again. Dumas peppers the leg with irritating knees on the welted area until the horn awkwardly blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumas
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Dumas
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dumas
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Round 2
Tiuliulin is the immediate aggressor to begin the second stanza, firing off frantic offense including a knee that catches the chin. Dumas swings back, calming himself down and sticking out jabs, but Tiuliulin stings him with a few more wild strikes before slowing. Dumas flicks out a few more jabs and shoots for a reactive double, and Tiuliulin shuts it down and is pushed away. Dumas blasts the thigh with another kick—the first developed a huge welt in the previous round—and fights behind his sharp jab. Dumas whips a kick up around the guard, and ducks a punch in pursuit of a double. Tiuliulin counters with a step-in knee, and Dumas pushes through it and presses the Russian to the wire. Dumas successfully drags Tiuliulin to his backside, and Tiuliulin is quick to return to a knee and grabs the fence to try to improve position but is warned. Tiuliulin bops his man with a number of meaningless right hands, ones that are technically scoring but have absolutely no effect while Dumas hangs on and knees him. After a lengthy stalemate, Tiuliulin finally works his way upright with the fence behind him and a minute remaining on the clock. Dumas stays pinned to him like a cheap suit, and Peterson splits them apart. Dumas restarts with a big one-two, and Tiuliulin walks him down a shrugs off a right hook. Dumas intercepts the advancing Russian with an uppercut, and his range is giving Tiuliulin fits with jabs and long punches. Dumas lets a knee fly past him, and a body kick grazes him. Dumas ends the round with a reverse crescent kick that ricochets off the raised guard.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumas
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Dumas
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dumas

Round 3
Dumas reintroduces himself with piston-like jabs, and Tiuliulin senses he might be down on the scorecards and approaches the last frame as such. Tiuliulin walks Dumas down, loading up on strikes, but it is his partial jump knee that catches Dumas on the jaw. Dumas staggers briefly and gets his bearings, strafing to the side and winging a right hand over the guard. Dumas ducks into a looping uppercut that comes up short, and Tiuliulin walks forward with his own uppercut that also misses the mark. Tiuliulin digs a left to the body and gets out of range of the kicks that fly at him, and Dumas spams body kicks and avoids a huge pair of hooks. Dumas jabs into a takedown, and Tiuliulin flips him all the way over and winds up on top at the three-minute mark. Tiuliulin smothers his man from above, dropping down some sporadic ground-and-pound while staying just busy enough to remain in the position. Dumas hand-fights in hopes of getting a standup, but when that does not come, he kicks off his opponent and explodes to his feet. With 60 seconds left on the clock, Tiuliulin is loaded for bear, but he finds that he has to dodge a quick spinning back fist and stifle a takedown. Tiuliulin is about to unleash a big right hand, but Dumas shoots again on the hips. Tiuliulin gets away from it and leaps with a knee that is way off the target. Tiuliulin cracks Dumas with a right hand, and Dumas appears rocked and totally spent. This does not stop Dumas from pitching kicks and looping strikes back at him. Tiuliulin ends the fight with a final takedown, with Dumas considering a guillotine but not nearly enough gas in the tank to get it.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tiuliulin (29-28 Dumas)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Tiuliulin (29-28 Dumas)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Tiuliulin (29-28 Dumas)

The Official Result
Sedriques Dumas def. Denis Tiuliulin via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Sedriques Dumas

Angelo thinks both fighters are not very good, but he gives a slight edge to Dumas because he is tough, can eat shots, and has shown some takedown ability. He notes Tiuliulin has zero grappling and poor technique, but has power. He advises saving money and not betting unless Dumas becomes an underdog.

"I do think that SD Dumas wins this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Denis Tiuliulin

Big Brady is shocked that Dumas is a -220 favorite given his poor UFC performances. He notes Dumas has been tentative and unimpressive, while Tiuliulin is more active and lands bigger shots on the feet. However, he has little confidence in Tiuliulin due to his poor grappling defense. He predicts Tiuliulin wins by second-round knockout.

"I'm going to pick Dennis to aloin with little confidence here because you can't have confidence in this guy"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Denis Tiuliulin

Cody picks Denis Tiuliulin, citing Dumas's low volume and poor wrestling. He notes that Dumas has been out struck by lesser opponents and has no power. Cody thinks Tiuliulin has better volume and power, and that Dumas's takedown game is not good enough to neutralize him. He also mentions that Tiuliulin is training under Renat Fakhretdinov and improving his takedown defense.

"I got to go with the rush and Dennis tuning to get the job done."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jul 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sedriques Dumas

Daniel leans towards Dumas, citing his youth, reach, and wrestling ability against Tiuliulin's subpar grappling. He notes Tiuliulin's durability is waning and that Dumas can grind out a win. However, he warns against laying -235 on Dumas due to his low fight IQ and past struggles, calling it a lean but not a confident bet.

"I'll still pick him to Edge it out but I think it looks like a I don't know about minus EV but I could see it being kind of boring actually"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Denis Tiuliulin

Tiuliulin is the superior striker if he can show takedown defense. He should be able to touch up Dumas and find a knockout.

"I do think that this is a fight where tulan if he can show off his takedown defense he should be able to be the superior Striker here and I think he can really touch up Dumas and end up …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Denis Tiuliulin

Paul picks Denis Tiuliulin, noting that Dumas has low volume and has not shown knockout power. He thinks Tiuliulin's striking volume and power are superior. Paul also mentions that Dumas's wrestling is not elite and that Tiuliulin can defend takedowns. He believes the line is mispriced and that Tiuliulin has a good chance to win.

"I will be adding tulan to my ticket."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sedriques Dumas

The MMA Guru picks Sedriques Dumas over Denis Tiuliulin, citing Dumas's youth (28 vs 36), longer reach, and wrestling advantage. He notes Tiuliulin's known weakness in wrestling and expects Dumas to mix in takedowns for control time, leading to a 29-28 decision. He mentions Dumas's recent loss was due to eye pokes, not a true defeat.

"I'm gonna go with sedric Dumas over Dennis Tulin because at this point I just don't trust that Dennis Tulin is making moves in his career that are going to improve his game in any way"
TKO (punches) R1 3:18 · UFC on ESPN: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Mar 30, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nursulton Ruziboev 1 12 of 32 37% 12 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Sedriques Dumas 0 1 of 16 6% 1 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nursulton Ruziboev 1 12 of 32 37% 12 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Sedriques Dumas 0 1 of 16 6% 1 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nursulton Ruziboev 12 of 32 37% 11 of 30 1 of 2 0 of 0 11 of 25 0 of 0 1 of 7
Sedriques Dumas 1 of 16 6% 1 of 13 0 of 2 0 of 1 1 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nursulton Ruziboev 12 of 32 37% 11 of 30 1 of 2 0 of 0 11 of 25 0 of 0 1 of 7
Sedriques Dumas 1 of 16 6% 1 of 13 0 of 2 0 of 1 1 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Sedriques Dumas vs. Nursulton Ruziboev
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ruziboev (-265), Dumas (+215)

Round 1
Ruziboev and Dumas go to work under the supervision of referee “Shaolin” Ribeiro. Both middleweights are in orthodox stance, and Dumas comes forward with kick feints and a long jab. Ruziboev isn’t throwing anything back, but once he has the read, he nails Dumas with a righty counter over the jab. Dumas backs off, and when they come together again, Ruziboev meets him with an uppercut up the middle. Ruziboev tries a lead left hook that glances, and backs away from a Dumas front kick. Dumas continues to match forward, but he backs away from the ensuing collision pawing at his right eye. He looks at the referee, but Ribeiro either didn’t see a foul, or saw a legal strike.
Ruziboev gives no quarter, coming forward and laying into Dumas with a string of punches. Dumas wilts under the barrage, covering up as Ruziboev pours on the punishment. Ribeiro interposes himself for the stoppage, but this is going to be one heavily viewed replay.
The replay, when it comes, shows Ruziboev appearing to drag his open fingers across Dumas’ face during one of the final exchanges. We will see if that leads to any sort of appeal in the coming days.

The Official Result
Nursolton Ruziboev def. Sedriques Dumas R1 3:18 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Angelo is very confident in Nursulton Ruziboev, calling him a 'grappling beast' who will ragdoll Sedriques Dumas. He criticizes Dumas as 'kind of terrible' and notes that even Cody Brundage took him down. He believes Ruziboev should be the biggest favorite on the card and recommends betting now before the line moves.

"nelton rabv is a Savage Beast who is going to win this fight I'm very very confident in him"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Big Brady picks Nursulton Ruziboev to win by first-round submission. He highlights Ruziboev's size (6'5" at middleweight), power, and dangerous submission game, noting he has many rear-naked choke wins. He criticizes Dumas for poor performances, getting hurt by lesser opponents, and questionable cardio. Brady believes Ruziboev is a level above everywhere and will submit Dumas when the fight hits the mat.

"give me ntan rizab to win this fight I think he wins it by first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Cody acknowledges Ruziboev's first-round finishing ability but worries about his cardio if the fight goes past the first. He notes Dumas's poor life choices and questionable cardio but thinks Ruziboev's durability and skill advantage should carry him, though the price (-260) is unappealing.

"rusol is the play"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Daniel Vreeland picks Nursulton Ruziboev, citing his massive experience (over 40 fights) and finishing ability. He notes Dumas is still green, has been submitted before (by Josh Fremd), and may have distractions outside the cage. He thinks Ruziboev will expose Dumas on the ground, though he doesn't advocate betting at -250.

"I have a feeling that nuron is gonna expose him on the ground here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 26, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Ruziboev has a height advantage and aggressive striking, but Dumas has a 3-inch reach advantage. Ruziboev's experience (42 fights) and recent camp at Marquez MMA in Philly are positives. Dumas is still unproven; his wins came against Cody Brundage (who jumped guillotine) and Abdul Razak Alhassan (coming off long layoff). Ruziboev's aggressiveness should be the difference, but he must avoid leaving his neck open for a choke. Prediction: Ruziboev inside the distance.

Ruziboev inside the distance; Dumas by decision as a sprinkle
"I'm going to lean with ruzi B Dumas absolutely alive Underdog"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Paul is high on Ruziboev, calling him a 'monster' and noting his size, power, and training in Philly. He contrasts Ruziboev's focused Instagram with Dumas's partying and legal issues, believing Ruziboev will starch him early.

"I'm picking rabo of to win the fight here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

The host picks Nursulton Ruziboev, criticizing Sedriques Dumas' wins as coming against opponents with low fight IQ. He believes Ruziboev is more experienced and has a higher fight IQ. He predicts Ruziboev will win, possibly by using his grappling and striking advantage.

"I'm going to go nult Rusev via probably having above a 50 IQ I think it's all it's going to take here"
WIN vs Abu Azaitar
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · Oct 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sedriques Dumas 0 41 of 106 38% 87 of 153 2 of 4 50% 0 0 0:32
Abu Azaitar 0 34 of 79 43% 72 of 117 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sedriques Dumas 0 5 of 9 55% 50 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:09
Abu Azaitar 0 5 of 7 71% 43 of 45 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:10
2 Sedriques Dumas 0 20 of 50 40% 21 of 51 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:23
Abu Azaitar 0 14 of 29 48% 14 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Sedriques Dumas 0 16 of 47 34% 16 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Abu Azaitar 0 15 of 43 34% 15 of 43 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sedriques Dumas 41 of 106 38% 21 of 78 13 of 18 7 of 10 31 of 90 3 of 6 7 of 10
Abu Azaitar 34 of 79 43% 11 of 45 5 of 11 18 of 23 31 of 76 0 of 0 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sedriques Dumas 5 of 9 55% 4 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 3 0 of 2 3 of 4
Abu Azaitar 5 of 7 71% 2 of 4 1 of 1 2 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 3
2 Sedriques Dumas 20 of 50 40% 13 of 39 4 of 7 3 of 4 14 of 42 2 of 2 4 of 6
Abu Azaitar 14 of 29 48% 3 of 16 2 of 2 9 of 11 14 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Sedriques Dumas 16 of 47 34% 4 of 31 9 of 11 3 of 5 15 of 45 1 of 2 0 of 0
Abu Azaitar 15 of 43 34% 6 of 25 2 of 8 7 of 10 15 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Abu Azaitar vs. Sedriques Dumas
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dumas (-205), Azaitar (+170)

Round 1
Despite both middleweight hailed as knockout artists, Azaitar (14-3-1, 1-1 UFC) and Dumas (8-1, 1-1 UFC) both sport knockout rates of exactly 50%. It will be well over two years since the Moroccan Azaitar has competed in the cage, while Dumas has fought eight times in the meantime. The referee assignment of the matchup goes to Jason Herzog, who clocks the fighters in as they decide against tapping their hands together. Dumas advances as chants for “Abu” rain down from the crowd, and the first strike is a low kick from the Floridian. When Dumas attempts another kick, Azaitar is able to time a right hand and send Dumas flying. Dumas recovers, largely pushed over for momentum and not due to the damage of the strike. When Dumas stands, he surprises Azaitar by locking his hands together and taking Azaitar for a ride. Dumas lands on top position in half guard, and he opens up with short strikes to the body and grinding elbows on the chin. Staying close to not let Azaitar get any space to push off, Dumas makes his foe’s life miserable with his smothering top control. Dumas winds up with a knee to the body, and he postures up to bust Azaitar in the face. Azaitar tugs on Dumas’ hair to sit him up and punch him, and he strikes Dumas in the back of the head repeatedly despite Herzog’s warnings to knock it off. Dumas isolates an arm but does not appear to have the chops to go for a straight armbar or an armlock like a kimura or keylock. “The Reaper” hangs on in this risk-averse position until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumas
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Dumas
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Dumas

Round 2
The middleweights kick off Round 2 with kicks, as Dumas goes high with a front kick while Azaitar goes low with his own shin. Dumas attacks the lead leg of his foe as well, and Azaitar replies with the same kick. Azaitar bull-rushes forward to stun Dumas with a combination, and Dumas hops back and shakes out any cobwebs. Azaitar swings leather, and Dumas ducks, circles away and kicks his calf hard. When chants for “Abu” drown out any other sound in the arena, Azaitar does not acknowledge them, instead waiting for Dumas to come his way. Dumas looks for a takedown from range, and he abandons it when noticing that Azaitar is winding up with nasty counters. Azaitar has a kick checked that produces a noise like a tree limb snapping, and he takes a jab in the nose for good measure. Dumas uses his longer range to snipe from afar, and Azaitar grabs one of Dumas’ outstretched legs and dings him with two punches. The Floridian goes to the body, and he feints and fakes to draw reactions out of “Captain Morocco.” Azaitar gets off a clean body kick, and the two trade punches in a rapid exchange. Dumas sneaks in a leg kick, and Azaitar replies with an overhand right on the cheek. When Dumas kicks the side, Azaitar takes him off his feet and lays into him with right hands behind the ear and on the back of the head. Dumas scrambles back to his feet, and Azaitar meets him with a knee to the body and a low kick. The horn briefly honks, and then squeaks.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Azaitar
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Azaitar
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Azaitar

Round 3
The two men meet in the middle of the cage, and Dumas sees a head kick coming from a mile away and smoothly dodges it. Dumas settles down with a chopping leg kick, and he tries to double up on it only to come up short. Neither fighter commits to much, as they are largely relegated to single strikes like a front kick from Azaitar or a jab from Dumas. The Florida native kicks low and then turns his hips to put a side kick on the body of his foe. Spinning with a back kick, Dumas mixes things up, but it is again one-and-done. Azaitar kicks the lead leg, and then after a few seconds, decides to do that again. This spurs Dumas into a punch to the thigh. As they clash together, Dumas skirts away, and Azaitar pulls his hair and yanks the tie out of Dumas’ hair. Hair pulling is a serious foul, one that commentator Daniel Cormier "jokes" about not knowing, but Azaitar is only warned for it. Dumas, when he puts it back, proceeds to walk Azaitar down and stings him with a jab. Azaitar wobbles and he recovers, walking right into another jab from Dumas. The best strikes from Dumas are his jab, although his volume is paltry. Azaitar is not much better, with his kicks likely accounting for most of his strikes in the frame. Dumas tries to add to his tally with two front kicks, but they slide off the block. Azaitar digs a right to the body, and Dumas responds with a right over the top and a body kick that is caught. Both middleweights paw at one another without landing anything, although Azaitar gets off two that glance at the end of his glove. Dumas chips away with a kick, and Azaitar charges at him with a takedown that fails. Dumas punts him in the nose with a head kick, breaking it and splitting open a cut on the bridge of it, and the lackluster match comes to a conclusion.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumas (29-28 Dumas)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Dumas (29-28 Dumas)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Dumas (29-28 Dumas)

The Official Result
Sedriques Dumas def. Abu Azaitar via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Abu Azaitar

Angelo picks Abu Azaitar despite the age and layoff, citing his grit, pressure, and power. He notes that Sedriques Dumas gets taken down easily and was nearly finished by Cody Brundage before Brundage made mistakes. He expects Abu's wrestling and pressure to be too much. He is monitoring the line movement to get better odds.

monitoring line movement for better odds
"I am going to pick a buha win here you can probably expect a bet from me at some point on him"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Sedriques Dumas

Big Brady picks Sedriques Dumas to win by third round knockout, but hesitantly. He notes that Dumas is a favorite despite being unproven, while Abu Azaitar has had only two fights in seven years, shows poor cardio and wrestling, and throws one shot at a time. Brady cannot pick Azaitar due to inactivity and lack of skills, so he goes with Dumas despite his reservations.

third round knockout
"give me deas to win this fight I'll say deas wins this fight by third round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Sedriques Dumas

Cody picks Dumas but is hesitant, noting that Dumas is improving but still has many holes. He believes Dumas's youth and athleticism will overcome Azaitar's inactivity and poor cardio. Cody expects Dumas to take over in later rounds.

"Dumas not that good shouldn't be a minus 220 but if he's made even a little bit of improvement from his last two fights I think he can pull it off"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Sedriques Dumas

Daniel picks Sedriques Dumas to win, citing his youth, athleticism, and hunger compared to Abu Azaitar, who he believes is not fully committed to fighting. He notes that Dumas is a heavy pot smoker and may struggle with withdrawal in Abu Dhabi, which could affect his performance. He also mentions Dumas's lack of travel experience. Despite these concerns, he thinks Dumas's trajectory is upward while Azaitar's is flat, so he picks Dumas but passes on betting.

Dumas minus 250, Azaitar plus 210; mentions Dumas's weed withdrawal and travel issues as factors
"My pick is Dumas because I think that he's the hungrier guy at this point... but that's a big factor for me and enough for me not to uh not to bet this fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Sedriques Dumas

Dumas has a good enough chin to deal with Azaitar's striking and can use his kicking game to stay at distance. He should drag the fight to the ground and do damage from top position, potentially finding a finish in the latter half. However, there are big question marks about both fighters, so he prefers to pass on betting.

inside the distance
"I lean Dumas in this fight but it's hard to take him at shock especially considering the big question marks we still have about his game"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Abu Azaitar

Paul picks Azaitar as a dog, citing the suspicious line movement and Azaitar's wealthy connections in Abu Dhabi. He notes that Dumas is still raw and has poor fight IQ, while Azaitar is strong and has good judo. However, Paul is not confident due to Azaitar's three-year layoff and age.

"I could see Abu pulling off the upset here and particularly at this price I think it's pretty pretty clearly a dogger pass"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Sedriques Dumas

The MMA Guru picks Sedriques Dumas by second-round TKO. He questions Abu Azaitar's commitment to the sport, noting his long layoff and age (37). He believes Dumas is in a do-or-die situation and has more talent. He also thinks Azaitar will try to strike with Dumas, which plays into Dumas's strengths. He mentions that Dumas has a long-range advantage and will catch Azaitar with his shots.

Dumas wins in round 2 by TKO; mentions 'I don't mind Abu aitar as an underdog'
"I'm going to go with Cedric Dumas reason being although Abu aitar is a little bit more experienced I don't think these aitar brothers commit to the game"
Michał Oleksiejczuk - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · Feb 07, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 140 of 221 63% 143 of 225 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:30
Marc-André Barriault 0 77 of 201 38% 79 of 204 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 47 of 73 64% 47 of 73 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:08
Marc-André Barriault 0 19 of 54 35% 19 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 41 of 68 60% 42 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marc-André Barriault 0 33 of 80 41% 34 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 52 of 80 65% 54 of 83 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:22
Marc-André Barriault 0 25 of 67 37% 26 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michał Oleksiejczuk 140 of 221 63% 91 of 161 39 of 49 10 of 11 138 of 218 1 of 1 1 of 2
Marc-André Barriault 77 of 201 38% 57 of 178 16 of 19 4 of 4 59 of 173 18 of 28 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michał Oleksiejczuk 47 of 73 64% 32 of 56 8 of 9 7 of 8 46 of 71 0 of 0 1 of 2
Marc-André Barriault 19 of 54 35% 9 of 44 6 of 6 4 of 4 19 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Michał Oleksiejczuk 41 of 68 60% 27 of 49 11 of 16 3 of 3 40 of 67 1 of 1 0 of 0
Marc-André Barriault 33 of 80 41% 28 of 74 5 of 6 0 of 0 21 of 60 12 of 20 0 of 0
3 Michał Oleksiejczuk 52 of 80 65% 32 of 56 20 of 24 0 of 0 52 of 80 0 of 0 0 of 0
Marc-André Barriault 25 of 67 37% 20 of 60 5 of 7 0 of 0 19 of 59 6 of 8 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Angelo picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing his fast hands and power, with 8 knockouts in 9 UFC wins. He notes that Barriault's chin seems to be fading and that Oleksiejczuk hits incredibly hard. He acknowledges Barriault's wrestling could be a problem but thinks Oleksiejczuk's speed and power will prevail. He suggests under 2.5 rounds might be solid.

Under 2.5 rounds might be solid
"I'm going to pick McCall here because I think the chin's kind of fading a little bit on Mark Andre. McCall hits hard as hell."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Big Brady picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing that Marc-André Barriault's chin has been cracked recently, with three knockout losses in his last four fights. He believes Oleksiejczuk's pressure and power will be too much for Barriault, who has taken a lot of damage. He predicts a first-round finish.

by first round finish
"Mikuel Jose by first round finish."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Cody agrees, highlighting Oleksiejczuk's 8 first-round KOs in 9 UFC wins. He notes Barriault's history of being knocked out in the first round and his inability to change his game. Cody expects Oleksiejczuk to win by KO or decision, but is confident in the victory.

"He's either going to knock out Mark Andre Barry in the first round or he's going to win a split decision. But I think he wins in either case."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Oleksiejczuk is a good athlete who is not shot, while Barriault is past his prime and gets hurt easily. He thinks Oleksiejczuk will put it all on Barriault and likely hurt him early. He mentions that Barriault's only chance is if Oleksiejczuk's cardio fades.

Same odds discussion.
"I'll take a look at Sajak too."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Lucrative James picks Michał Oleksiejczuk to win by KO in round one. He believes Barriault's chin is compromised and that Oleksiejczuk's power and early-round danger will be too much. James notes that Barriault's style of walking forward plays into Oleksiejczuk's hands, and he expects a quick finish.

KO in round 1
"My official prediction on this fight is Michelle Alex to KO Mar Andre Bariel in round one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The host picks Oleksiejczuk by knockout, but notes the line is too wide at -350. He believes Oleksiejczuk's power will eventually find Barriault's chin, but warns that Barriault could make it tough if his chin holds up, using clinch work and cardio to wear Oleksiejczuk down. He suggests a live bet on Barriault in later rounds.

plus 285 on Barriault is worth a sprinkle; live betting Barriault in rounds 2-3
"So the prediction is going to be Ole Shuk by knock. I think he eventually lands that big shot and puts Bario away. But in terms of odds, minus 350 is just far too wide to be confident enough on …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Paul picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, expecting a first-round knockout. He notes Barriault's recent durability issues and Oleksiejczuk's power, especially since joining Fighting Nerds. Paul believes Oleksiejczuk's improved patience and game planning will lead to an early finish.

"Mikey O knockout round one for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The host picks Michał Oleksiejczuk over Marc-André Barriault. He notes Oleksiejczuk has real power at middleweight and a resurgence since joining Fighting Nerds. He thinks Barriault has been on the receiving end of too many TKO losses. He predicts a first-round TKO.

first round TKO
"I think Michał Oleksiejczuk's dusting him up in round one by TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Zane picks Oleksiejczuk because he is not physically washed and has a good multi-level striking attack. He notes that Barriault gets hurt too easily and is vulnerable, as seen in his fight against Shara Bullet. He thinks Oleksiejczuk will hurt Barriault quickly, though if it doesn't work out, it could become a hairy fight.

Oleksiejczuk opened at -225, currently -550; Barriault at +400.
"I think I have to take Michael Oksajuk."
KO R1 3:03 · UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev · Aug 16, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gerald Meerschaert 0 3 of 16 18% 3 of 16 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 1 23 of 51 45% 23 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gerald Meerschaert 0 3 of 16 18% 3 of 16 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 1 23 of 51 45% 23 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gerald Meerschaert 3 of 16 18% 2 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 23 of 51 45% 18 of 46 5 of 5 0 of 0 11 of 31 0 of 0 12 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gerald Meerschaert 3 of 16 18% 2 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 23 of 51 45% 18 of 46 5 of 5 0 of 0 11 of 31 0 of 0 12 of 20
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 10, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Angelo notes Oleksiejczuk is a pure striker with power and fast hands, while Meerschaert is a grappler with questionable chin and takedown accuracy. He thinks it's easier for Oleksiejczuk to stay on the feet and land strikes than for Meerschaert to get the fight to the ground. He leans Oleksiejczuk but says he should not be a -225 favorite in such a tricky matchup.

Under no circumstances should he be a minus 225 in a very tricky matchup
"I'm going to lean McCall because I think it's easier for him to stay away from the takedowns while letting his hands fly against a somewhat chinny Gerro Mirard."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Big Brady picks Michał Oleksiejczuk to win by first-round knockout. He notes Oleksiejczuk is a phenomenal striker with bodywork, volume, and power, while Meerschaert is at a massive striking disadvantage. However, he acknowledges the grappling danger: Meerschaert has 30 submission wins and Oleksiejczuk has been submitted six times. He thinks Oleksiejczuk can keep the fight standing and knock out Meerschaert, especially if he has improved his takedown defense. He mentions Oleksiejczuk's ability to get back up when taken down.

Oleksiejczuk by KO, round 1
"I think Oluk knocks out Mirart, and I think he does it in round number one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The host believes Oleksiejczuk's improvements from training with the fighting nerds will carry over, though it may result in a more measured approach. He expects Oleksiejczuk to wear Meerschaert down with striking and secure a finish in the third round.

finish in the third round
"I think he'll eventually be able to muster up a finish in the third round of this fight as he wears Mirard down with his striking approach"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The Guru picks Michał Oleksiejczuk to win by TKO in the first or second round. He believes Oleksiejczuk has improved since joining the Fighting Nerds and has nasty ground and pound and power. The Guru notes that Meerschaert is on borrowed time and doesn't move his head well, making him vulnerable. He also mentions that Oleksiejczuk has good grappling defense and reversals, so he won't be a fish out of water on the ground.

TKO first or second round; Oleksiejczuk finishes Meerschaert
"I'm going with Macaux. ... TKO first or second round."
KO R1 2:49 · UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · Apr 12, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sedriques Dumas 0 3 of 26 11% 3 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 1 34 of 57 59% 34 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sedriques Dumas 0 3 of 26 11% 3 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 1 34 of 57 59% 34 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sedriques Dumas 3 of 26 11% 0 of 18 2 of 5 1 of 3 3 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 34 of 57 59% 27 of 49 7 of 8 0 of 0 13 of 27 0 of 0 21 of 30
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sedriques Dumas 3 of 26 11% 0 of 18 2 of 5 1 of 3 3 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 34 of 57 59% 27 of 49 7 of 8 0 of 0 13 of 27 0 of 0 21 of 30
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2025 (fight day)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Daniel Levi was happy to see Michał Oleksiejczuk get a first-round stoppage over Sedriques Dumas. He praises Oleksiejczuk for changing his training environment to the Fighting Nerds and showing maturity and measured striking, outstriking Dumas 34 to 3 in under three minutes.

"What I was really happy about was seeing Mllicha go out there and get that first round stoppage over Cedric's Dumas."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 97 of 178 54% 123 of 209 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 77 of 146 52% 94 of 172 3 of 7 42% 0 0 2:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 40 of 74 54% 42 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 35 of 53 66% 36 of 54 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:08
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 35 of 64 54% 37 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 24 of 52 46% 28 of 58 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:44
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 22 of 40 55% 44 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 18 of 41 43% 30 of 60 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:47
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sharabutdin Magomedov 97 of 178 54% 52 of 112 33 of 52 12 of 14 89 of 163 8 of 15 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 77 of 146 52% 45 of 103 18 of 27 14 of 16 72 of 138 4 of 6 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 40 of 74 54% 16 of 39 17 of 26 7 of 9 38 of 69 2 of 5 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 35 of 53 66% 23 of 38 9 of 11 3 of 4 34 of 50 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 35 of 64 54% 24 of 48 7 of 12 4 of 4 33 of 60 2 of 4 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 24 of 52 46% 12 of 35 5 of 9 7 of 8 22 of 50 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 22 of 40 55% 12 of 25 9 of 14 1 of 1 18 of 34 4 of 6 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 18 of 41 43% 10 of 30 4 of 7 4 of 4 16 of 38 1 of 1 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Angelo picks Magomedov despite concerns about his recent activity and lack of killer instinct. He thinks Magomedov is still very powerful and should be good enough to win, especially as Oleksiejczuk fades late. He notes Magomedov's busy schedule and possible lack of camp, but still expects a win.

Over 1.5 rounds if line available
"Char marov is going to be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Big Brady is confident in Sharabutdin due to Oleksiejczuk's concerning situation: he is not with a team, training in his garage, talking about retirement, and has been finished quickly in recent fights. He thinks Oleksiejczuk's heart is not in it and he will fold after the first few minutes, predicting a first-round knockout for Sharabutdin.

"I got to go sh here I I'm not sure what's going on with meluk but whatever is going on it's it's super weird"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Cody picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, noting that Michał Oleksiejczuk has one foot out the door, training in his garage and talking about retirement. He believes Shara is still improving and has more upside, while Oleksiejczuk has stagnated. Cody thinks Shara's cardio and grappling will improve fight to fight, and that Oleksiejczuk's only path is an early knockout. He also mentions Shara is being fed winnable opponents.

"Char is the pick."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Daniel believes Shara has a superior striking arsenal and will capitalize on Oleksiejczuk's overly aggressive style. He notes that Oleksiejczuk makes bonehead mistakes on the mat and likes to brawl, which plays into Shara's hands. He thinks Shara will blast the body and take advantage of openings, and that the time to fade Shara is not now but against a real grappler.

"give me Shara there to come out here and get the dub"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Oleksiejczuk will crowd Magomedov, causing issues for his kicking game. If he reins in his durability, he should land big power and possibly knock out Magomedov in the first two rounds.

knockout in first two rounds
"ol shj has a little bit of a durability issue but if he can Reign it in for this matchup and really keep Mago medov on the back foot he should be able to land that big Power and I …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Paul picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, citing Oleksiejczuk's poor cardio and submission losses. He notes that Oleksiejczuk has been submitted multiple times and that Shara's striking is good enough to outvolume him. Paul expects Shara to finish late or win a decision, and mentions a potential Shara late finish prop. He also points out that Oleksiejczuk has no cardio and poor grappling.

Shara late finish prop
"I'd be interested in like um Mega mov late prop maybe this squeez into the third round."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

The MMA Guru picks Sharabutdin Magomedov over Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing Magomedov's superior striking and low kicks. He notes Oleksiejczuk's poor mindset, having commented that he will probably lose. He thinks Magomedov's technical outside work will be enough, despite his weak ground game. He mentions Oleksiejczuk's vulnerability to low kicks while moving backwards.

"I'm going to pick Shara magedov to win this fight I think he's better than maau Alex Atri on the feet"
LOSS vs Kevin Holland
Technical Submission (armbar) R1 1:34 · UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · Jun 01, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kevin Holland 0 8 of 17 47% 8 of 17 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:16
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 8 of 18 44% 9 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kevin Holland 0 8 of 17 47% 8 of 17 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:16
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 8 of 18 44% 9 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kevin Holland 8 of 17 47% 5 of 13 3 of 4 0 of 0 8 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 8 of 18 44% 5 of 15 3 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kevin Holland 8 of 17 47% 5 of 13 3 of 4 0 of 0 8 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 8 of 18 44% 5 of 15 3 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 26, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

Angelo picks Kevin Holland despite the short notice, believing his range, accuracy, and experience will overcome Michał Oleksiejczuk's early power. He notes that Holland is the bigger fighter and has a massive advantage on the ground. He is a little worried about Oleksiejczuk's fast hands but is confident Holland will win.

"Kevin Holland is going to be the pick I'm pretty confident in him to get it done"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 31, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Kevin Holland

Big Brady likes Kevin Holland a lot, stating he should not only win but win dominantly by finish (KO or submission). He believes Holland has advantages everywhere and that Oleksiejczuk is a round-one knockout bust if the fight goes to the second. He acknowledges Holland's poor fight IQ but thinks this is a big step down in competition. He expects a finish, possibly in the first round.

Kevin Holland wins inside the distance, finish in first round possible
"I like Holland here and he's not too expensive he's only 9k I think he's live for a finish it could be early as well"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 29, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

Cody picks Holland, calling Oleksiejczuk a 'glass cannon' who fades after the first round. He notes Oleksiejczuk's six first-round KOs but argues his wins are over low-level opposition. Cody believes Holland's durability, volume, and pace will be too much, and that Holland's frame at 185 lbs is fine. He suggests Holland is a better value at -280 than Makhachev at -700.

"Oleksiejczuk is a front runner... his game just totally falls apart when the fight extends beyond the first round... Kevin Holland is the pick."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked May 30, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

Daniel Vreeland picks Kevin Holland despite being unhappy about it. He argues that Holland doesn't walk into shots on the feet and has survived fights with excellent strikers like Jack Della Maddalena and Michael Venom Page without being knocked out. Vreeland doesn't see Oleksiejczuk as the guy to finally tag Holland, nor does he think Oleksiejczuk can win a decision. He acknowledges Holland fights stupidly but sees no path for Oleksiejczuk.

"I don't see a way that Ola shck gets his hands on him"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 28, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Daniel fades Holland due to his tendency to fool around and rely on physical gifts. He believes Oleksiejczuk's pressure and durability will break Holland, citing his fights with Krylov and Jacoby. He worries about Holland's neck attacks but sees value in the underdog.

"I'm gonna go on a limb here and actually take the underdog"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked May 30, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Jeff Fox picks Oleksiejczuk because he has no faith in Kevin Holland fighting smart. He notes Holland has lost two straight and tends to eat shots. Fox points to Oleksiejczuk's knockout of Sam Alvey and his power, believing he can catch Holland. He dismisses Holland's durability against top strikers, saying Oleksiejczuk is the type to land a big shot.

"I don't have any faith in Kevin Holland I'm taking here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 27, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

The host expects Holland to use his length and footwork to keep Oleksiejczuk at range and eventually find a finish. Oleksiejczuk's pressure style may be nullified by Holland's striking and sneaky submission game. However, the host notes that Holland is tough to trust at -260, but if he fights smart, he should win inside the distance.

inside the distance
"I'm going to go Holland and Holland inside the distance."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 29, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

Paul picks Holland, noting his incredible chin and durability. He expects Oleksiejczuk to have early success but fade, and Holland to find his groove and finish via submission (club and sub). He mentions Holland's submission skills and Oleksiejczuk's poor cardio. Paul likes Holland by submission at +275.

Holland by submission (+275)
"Holland for all his flaws his chin is incredible... I feel like Oleksiejczuk will have some big time success early and then Holland will find his groove... I kind of see this ending in a club and sub type of …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked May 27, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The MMA Guru picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, though he is hesitant. He believes Kevin Holland has lost his snap and grit, and that Oleksiejczuk will have a weight advantage at 185. He notes Oleksiejczuk's underrated grappling and ability to outgrapple Holland. He worries about Holland's motivation and thinks Oleksiejczuk has more drive.

"I'm going to go with maau atrick though I think he's got more drive"
LOSS vs Michel Pereira
Technical Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 1:01 · UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · Mar 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michel Pereira 0 11 of 15 73% 11 of 15 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:18
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michel Pereira 0 11 of 15 73% 11 of 15 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:18
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michel Pereira 11 of 15 73% 5 of 9 6 of 6 0 of 0 9 of 13 2 of 2 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 1 of 4 25% 0 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michel Pereira 11 of 15 73% 5 of 9 6 of 6 0 of 0 9 of 13 2 of 2 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 1 of 4 25% 0 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Angelo picks Michel Pereira, citing his better cardio, power, and grappling. He notes Oleksiejczuk has a great chin but can fade. He has a half-unit bet on Pereira at -130, but keeps it small because Oleksiejczuk could survive early and outpoint him.

Half unit bet on Pereira at -130.
"I still think P wins this fight and I do like the odds at minus 130 I've got a little bit of a bet on that as well half a unit on P here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Big Brady picks Michał Oleksiejczuk to win by decision. He notes that while Pereira has a BJJ black belt, he doesn't wrestle often and lacks the cardio to grapple for 15 minutes. He expects the fight to stay on the feet, where Oleksiejczuk's forward pressure, body work, and volume will wear down Pereira and win the later rounds.

win by decision
"I'm going to go Mel o to win this fight Win It by decision I think the bodyw work's going to come into play the cardio the volume is all going to come into play"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Cody notes that Pereira has matured and now fights more conservatively, using his accuracy and wrestling. He thinks Oleksiejczuk is a reckless brawler with poor takedown defense, and Pereira will counter him and mix in takedowns to win a decision.

"I will go with Pereira"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 4, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Oleksiejczuk has great durability and forward pressure, marching forward and breaking opponents with his boxing. He has eaten clean shots and continued to push. Pereira is dangerous early with his unorthodox power, but Oleksiejczuk's durability should allow him to weather the early storm. As the fight goes on, Oleksiejczuk will start to catch Pereira, coral him against the cage, and land combinations. I expect Oleksiejczuk to get a finish in the second or third round, possibly by knockout.

Oleksiejczuk by knockout, live betting Oleksiejczuk after first round
"I have to lean with the O shuk side here as I believe that his durability will allow him to kind of just way through the early threat that Pera normally uh implements in his fights and from there I …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Paul agrees, highlighting Pereira's improved fight IQ and the fact that he looked great at 185. He thinks Oleksiejczuk's wrestling is exploitable and that Pereira has multiple ways to win.

"Pereira is the pick for me as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The MMA Guru picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing concerns about Michel Pereira's finishing ability and cardio. He notes Pereira failed to finish chinny fighters like Andre Fialho and Nico Price, and that Oleksiejczuk is extremely tough and has power. He predicts Oleksiejczuk will pressure Pereira, take him down, and finish with a body shot TKO in round two.

round two body shot TKO
"I'm GNA say round two body shot TKO from maau Alex huk"
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2025 (fight day)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Daniel Levi was happy to see Michał Oleksiejczuk get a first-round stoppage over Sedriques Dumas. He praises Oleksiejczuk for changing his training environment to the Fighting Nerds and showing maturity and measured striking, outstriking Dumas 34 to 3 in under three minutes.

"What I was really happy about was seeing Mllicha go out there and get that first round stoppage over Cedric's Dumas."
Comments (1)
BR
brian 10 months, 3 weeks ago

Michal is a fighting nerds winner. Dumas looked out of place the whole fight