vs
+154 -130
UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley · Jun 14, 2025 · Welterweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley Next Fight
Age 35
Height 6' 3"
Reach 80"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 33
Height 5' 10"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Philip Rowe
3.51 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
4.15 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
0.46 TD Avg
36.0% TD Acc.
53.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Ange Loosa
5.46 SLpM
46.0% Str. Acc.
6.59 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
2.53 TD Avg
39.0% TD Acc.
83.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Philip Rowe
Moneyline
DraftKings +154
KO/TKO
BetMGM +600
Submission
BetMGM +750
Decision
Caesars +500
Ange Loosa
Moneyline
BetMGM -130
KO/TKO
DraftKings +650
Submission
Caesars +1700
Decision
BetMGM +110
Philip Rowe - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · Feb 21, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Philip Rowe 0 54 of 111 48% 59 of 117 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 0 66 of 111 59% 84 of 136 3 of 9 33% 2 0 5:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Philip Rowe 0 14 of 26 53% 15 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 0 32 of 38 84% 43 of 53 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:46
2 Philip Rowe 0 16 of 31 51% 20 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 0 19 of 32 59% 26 of 42 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:49
3 Philip Rowe 0 24 of 54 44% 24 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 0 15 of 41 36% 15 of 41 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Philip Rowe 54 of 111 48% 42 of 94 3 of 6 9 of 11 50 of 107 4 of 4 0 of 0
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 66 of 111 59% 40 of 77 10 of 17 16 of 17 47 of 87 6 of 10 13 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Philip Rowe 14 of 26 53% 10 of 21 0 of 0 4 of 5 13 of 25 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 32 of 38 84% 22 of 27 4 of 5 6 of 6 18 of 23 2 of 3 12 of 12
2 Philip Rowe 16 of 31 51% 10 of 22 2 of 4 4 of 5 13 of 28 3 of 3 0 of 0
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 19 of 32 59% 10 of 19 4 of 8 5 of 5 15 of 26 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 Philip Rowe 24 of 54 44% 22 of 51 1 of 2 1 of 1 24 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 15 of 41 36% 8 of 31 2 of 4 5 of 6 14 of 38 0 of 1 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

Angelo picks Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani, arguing that despite Phil Rowe's technical striking and experience, Rowe is hesitant and has poor takedown defense. He believes Jean-Paul's forward pressure, wrestling, and ability to get the fight to the ground will secure the win.

"Jean Paul Lespagnol Yianni is going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

Big Brady picks Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani to defeat Philip Rowe, citing Rowe's poor minute-winning and takedown defense. He notes Rowe loses the first round and a half of every fight and has never won a decision. He believes Lebosnoyani is a well-rounded prospect who won't slow down, and predicts a decision win. He acknowledges Lebosnoyani has been knocked out twice but thinks his skill advantage is clear.

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani by decision
"I'm going to take the newcomer here, LeBosneani, to go out there. And I actually think it's going to be a decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Cody thinks Rowe's reach and experience will be key. He notes Lebosnoyani's durability issues and poor cardio. He expects Rowe to win by KO in the later rounds, possibly as a live bet.

"I'm actually gonna take him for some short dog money here."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Connor picks Rowe, noting that Lebosnoyani's aggressive guard and submission threats are a throwback and not part of a modern MMA game. Rowe is rangier and will win at range. Connor also points out that Lebosnoyani's losses include Spike Carlisle, indicating he's not ready for this level.

"I don't think it's gonna beat phil roe... being a small welterweight who likes to roll for leg locks... phil is just gonna be rangier out at range"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Lean pick date unknown
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

The host heavily leans towards Lebosnoyani, citing his legitimate knockout power and dynamic striking against Rowe, who is slow, easy to hit, and has poor takedown defense. He believes Lebosnoyani will likely land the harder shots and knock Rowe out. However, he cannot bet Lebosnoyani at -205 because he is making his UFC debut on short notice, which adds uncertainty.

Lebosnoyani's short-notice debut; Rowe's poor takedown defense and slow striking
"I do heavily lean towards Gene Paul here, but there's no way I'm betting a guy at an implied probability of 67% who's coming in on short notice to make their debut."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean pick date unknown
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

James leans toward Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani via decision, citing his grappling upside and movement. He notes that Philip Rowe is on a downward trajectory and that Lebosnoyani's in-and-out striking could pose problems. However, James admits he hasn't done full tape study and may change his pick.

"At the moment, I'm gonna take Jean Paul. I'll pick Jean Paul via decision here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

Lebosnoyani is a black belt in BJJ with improving striking, and he should be able to crowd Rowe's range and take him down. Rowe struggles with grappling and has poor takedown defense, as seen in recent losses. Lebosnoyani's superior BJJ and cardio should allow him to control the fight and eventually find a submission. The chalk is justified here.

"I ultimately think JPL gets a dub in his UFC debut. And I think it comes by submission."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Paul agrees, citing Rowe's BJJ black belt and power. He thinks Lebosnoyani's grappling isn't enough to take Rowe down and that Rowe's reach will be a problem. He expects Rowe to win by decision or late KO.

"Phil Row at plus 175 is a fine wager."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

The MMA Guru picks Philip Rowe as a slight underdog, feeling that the matchup favors Rowe's patience and composure. He notes that Lebosnoyani is a first round TKO merchant who hasn't faced great opponents, and if he doesn't finish Rowe early, he may crumble. Rowe has shown durability and the ability to come back in later rounds.

underdog, slight underdog, not quite two to one
"I'm going with Philip Rowe getting this one done as the slight underdog that he is."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Zane picks Rowe, citing that Lebosnoyani is small, inexperienced, and defensively vulnerable. Rowe's range and size will be a problem for Lebosnoyani, who isn't committed to pressuring and goes in bursts. Zane thinks Rowe is dangerous at long range and this is a step up in competition for Lebosnoyani.

"I'll go with you. I'll take roe. I I mean, I do think the range is going to be a problem... roe is actually really dangerous at long range"
LOSS vs Ko Seok-hyun
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · Nov 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Philip Rowe 0 4 of 7 57% 11 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:07
Ko Seok-hyun 0 36 of 42 85% 124 of 157 4 of 4 100% 0 0 13:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Philip Rowe 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ko Seok-hyun 0 13 of 15 86% 36 of 45 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:30
2 Philip Rowe 0 0 of 2 0% 4 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ko Seok-hyun 0 11 of 14 78% 47 of 60 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:32
3 Philip Rowe 0 3 of 4 75% 6 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:07
Ko Seok-hyun 0 12 of 13 92% 41 of 52 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Philip Rowe 4 of 7 57% 2 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ko Seok-hyun 36 of 42 85% 27 of 33 0 of 0 9 of 9 12 of 16 0 of 0 24 of 26
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Philip Rowe 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ko Seok-hyun 13 of 15 86% 11 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 3 0 of 0 10 of 12
2 Philip Rowe 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ko Seok-hyun 11 of 14 78% 10 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 9
3 Philip Rowe 3 of 4 75% 2 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ko Seok-hyun 12 of 13 92% 6 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 6 7 of 8 0 of 0 5 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ko Seok-hyun

Angelo picks Ko Seok-hyun, citing his heavy hands, forward pressure, and ability to mix in takedowns. He notes Phil Rowe is a good striker with length but can be low volume and gets hit a lot. He thinks Ko's weird stance and aggression will cause problems, and if Ko gets takedowns like he did against Oban Elliott, he is worth the money.

"Ko is going to be the pick, and honestly, he probably is worth the money if he gets those six takedowns that he got in his last fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Big Brady picks Philip Rowe as an upset, citing a market overreaction after Ko Seok-hyun's win over Oban Elliott. He notes Rowe has a 9-inch reach advantage and is the much bigger fighter with power. However, he acknowledges Ko's new wrestling wrinkle and that Rowe often loses the first round. He predicts Rowe will stuff takedowns and get a third-round knockout.

third round knockout, plus 160 underdog
"I'm going to go Row here. I'm going to go row here for the upset. I think it's a little bit too much of a market overreaction here."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ko Seok-hyun

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Ko's aggressive clinch game and pressure will be a problem for Rowe. He thinks once Ko gets a strong start, he will be more aggressive and controlling as the fight goes on. He acknowledges Rowe could win if he sits outside and throws straight shots, but Ko's style is difficult to handle.

Rowe opened at +170, now +165; Ko opened at -200, now -190. Connor thinks the odds are reasonable.
"I think there's a very big chance he gives phil row problems with that."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ko Seok-hyun

Lucrative James picks Ko Seok-hyun to win, highlighting his well-rounded skills including southpaw striking reminiscent of Conor McGregor, judo throws, and strong grappling. He notes that Philip Rowe has issues with being taken down and playing guard, which plays into Ko's strengths. James expects Ko to win a clean decision, possibly 30-27, by controlling the fight with his grappling and striking.

Ko Seok-hyun wins by decision
"I'm picking co again in this fight. I'm picking co via clean decision probably 3027."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ko Seok-hyun

Ko can disrupt the space of Rowe, who needs comfort to get off his offense. Ko will keep Rowe moving backwards, land a few takedowns, and win on the scorecards.

"I think Cole can really disrupt the space of Ro who often needs to be comfortable at space to try to get off on his own offense. But I think Cole will keep him moving backwards, land a few takedowns, …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ko Seok-hyun

The MMA Guru picks Song Yadong KO (Ko Seok-hyun) over Philip Rowe. He notes Rowe's size and reach but believes Ko's aggression, grappling, and KO power will be decisive. He criticizes Rowe's slow starts and lack of quality wins, while Ko's win over Oban Elliott impressed him. He predicts an early KO in round one.

early finish, KO in round one
"I'm going to say that Song Yadong KO is going to get this one done. I reckon he's going to crack Philip Rowe on the chin and put him down."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ko Seok-hyun

Zane picks Ko because of his excellent upper-body clinch wrestling and aggressive style, which should give Rowe problems. He notes that Rowe often starts bewildered and walks into clinches, and Ko's ability to crash into the clinch and control there will be decisive. He acknowledges Ko's striking is technically bad and he has a questionable chin, but thinks his pressure will overwhelm Rowe.

Rowe opened at +170, now +165; Ko opened at -200, now -190. Zane thinks the odds are reasonable.
"I'm gonna pick uh co to do that here as well. I want to see it more than anything."
WIN vs Ange Loosa
KO R3 4:03 · UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley · Jun 14, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Philip Rowe 1 85 of 166 51% 103 of 187 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Ange Loosa 1 65 of 106 61% 130 of 180 3 of 7 42% 0 0 6:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Philip Rowe 0 2 of 3 66% 8 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ange Loosa 0 15 of 23 65% 58 of 73 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:58
2 Philip Rowe 0 34 of 85 40% 46 of 99 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ange Loosa 1 43 of 70 61% 65 of 94 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:15
3 Philip Rowe 1 49 of 78 62% 49 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Ange Loosa 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Philip Rowe 85 of 166 51% 73 of 149 9 of 12 3 of 5 71 of 146 14 of 19 0 of 1
Ange Loosa 65 of 106 61% 32 of 69 13 of 16 20 of 21 47 of 84 10 of 12 8 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Philip Rowe 2 of 3 66% 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ange Loosa 15 of 23 65% 9 of 15 1 of 3 5 of 5 8 of 15 0 of 0 7 of 8
2 Philip Rowe 34 of 85 40% 29 of 77 4 of 6 1 of 2 31 of 81 3 of 4 0 of 0
Ange Loosa 43 of 70 61% 20 of 47 11 of 11 12 of 12 32 of 56 10 of 12 1 of 2
3 Philip Rowe 49 of 78 62% 43 of 71 5 of 6 1 of 1 38 of 62 11 of 15 0 of 1
Ange Loosa 7 of 13 53% 3 of 7 1 of 2 3 of 4 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean pick date unknown
Ange Loosa

Angelo leans Ange Loosa because he expects him to be busier and out-volume Rowe. He notes that Rowe can be hesitant and flat, as seen in his last fight. He thinks Loosa can sneak out a close decision.

If we get the odds and an is an underdog, I might make little look something happen here
"I expect An to be busier and I think he's going to sneak out a close decision."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ange Loosa

Big Brady picks Ange Loosa, noting that Philip Rowe tends to start slow and come back late, but Loosa is durable and has never been knocked out. He believes Loosa's toughness and cardio will allow him to win a decision, as Rowe's best wins have aged poorly. He also mentions Loosa can mix in takedowns.

"I'm gonna take And Luca to win this fight and win this fight by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Connor leans toward Rowe, noting that Rowe's simpler, cleaner striking could find Loosa's chin. He acknowledges that Loosa is tough and persistent, but thinks Loosa's disorderly style will leave him open to hard punches. Connor expects a close decision, possibly 29-28, with Rowe landing the harder shots.

"I think Loser is probably going to, I think they're probably each going to have one really good round and then row will probably have a kind of inactive round where he lands the harder shots."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ange Loosa

Loosa's power punching, strength, and physicality will keep Rowe against the cage or drag him to the ground, neutralizing Rowe's distance striking. Loosa will grind out a decision win.

"I'm really liking Losa in this spot as I think he can mix his power punching style with his strength and physicality..."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

The Guru picks Philip Rowe to finish Ange Loosa, citing Loosa's tendency to be 'manipulatable' and cover up with his back against the cage. He notes Rowe's ability to work opponents up against the cage, as seen against Niko Price. He expects a finish, possibly by D'Arce choke, and mentions a prop bet on Loosa landing under 69.5 significant strikes.

Ange Loosa under 69.5 significant strikes
"I'm going to go with Philip Bro getting a finish over Luca. Um Lucer, here's the problem I have with him. I think he's a very well-trained fighter and um he's got everything, but it's just the guy just seems …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Zane also leans toward Rowe, but is uncertain. He notes that Loosa's chaotic style could lead to him walking onto clean shots. However, he points out that Rowe often has one good idea per fight and can be inactive. Zane thinks it's a close fight that could go either way, but gives a slight edge to Rowe's cleaner striking.

"I don't really see any reason that either guy should be getting any kind of favoritism."
LOSS vs Jake Matthews
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · Jun 01, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jake Matthews 0 34 of 104 32% 40 of 111 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:50
Philip Rowe 0 66 of 164 40% 89 of 188 1 of 1 100% 0 1 3:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jake Matthews 0 18 of 46 39% 18 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Philip Rowe 0 30 of 73 41% 35 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
2 Jake Matthews 0 14 of 52 26% 14 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Philip Rowe 0 34 of 84 40% 34 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jake Matthews 0 2 of 6 33% 8 of 13 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:50
Philip Rowe 0 2 of 7 28% 20 of 26 1 of 1 100% 0 1 2:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jake Matthews 34 of 104 32% 27 of 92 1 of 3 6 of 9 32 of 102 2 of 2 0 of 0
Philip Rowe 66 of 164 40% 36 of 125 18 of 27 12 of 12 60 of 155 3 of 6 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jake Matthews 18 of 46 39% 14 of 39 1 of 1 3 of 6 16 of 44 2 of 2 0 of 0
Philip Rowe 30 of 73 41% 17 of 56 6 of 10 7 of 7 26 of 68 2 of 3 2 of 2
2 Jake Matthews 14 of 52 26% 11 of 47 0 of 2 3 of 3 14 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
Philip Rowe 34 of 84 40% 18 of 64 11 of 15 5 of 5 33 of 81 1 of 3 0 of 0
3 Jake Matthews 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Philip Rowe 2 of 7 28% 1 of 5 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jake Matthews vs. Philip Rowe
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Matthews (-162), Rowe (+136)

Round 1
Keeping on with welterweight action, hyper-aggressive New Yorker Rowe (10-4, 3-2 UFC) will try to win one for local fans as he takes on Australia’s Matthews (19-7, 12-7 UFC). In all 10 of Rowe’s pro victories, he has prevailed by stoppage. His foe Matthews is no stranger to finishes, with all of his wins dating back to 2022 coming inside the distance. The fighters will collide under the supervision of referee Vitor “Shaolin” Ribeiro, and they do not touch gloves when he says it’s time to fight. Rowe shifts immediately to the middle of the Octagon, and he measures out his range with a low kick to either side of Matthews’ lead leg. Matthews jabs out, aiming one to the body as he finds his distance, and he evades a sweeping kick so he can give one back. Rowe sets up a high kick as Matthews, and commentator Daniel Cormier gushes on Rowe’s basketball prowess. As Cormier is talking about a pickup basketball game, Rowe absorbs a few low kicks, and Matthews then punches his way inside and even threatens with a trip. Matthews keeps jabbing the body, and Rowe stands firm and plants two heavy right hands on the temple. Matthews backs him off with body shots, and Rowe poses and flexes like Super Macho Man. Matthews takes a punch combo and digs a left to the body and right up top, and Rowe acknowledges the land with a nod. Rowe connects with a crisp right hand, smashing up Matthews’ nose, but Matthews is ready to bang and he throws back recklessly. Rowe wades in, and the two welterweights swing for the bleachers. A thudding right hand from Matthews finds its home on Rowe’s cheek, and swelling immediately develops. Rowe has a front kick split the guard, and he parries an overhand right. Matthews tries to come out firing with three punches, and when Rowe blocks it, the New Yorker dances. Rowe intensely strides forward, sticking out a sharp jab and keeping his guard tight. Rowe jumps forward with a knee, and Matthews lowers his left hand down and smacks the top of Rowe’s cup in an awkward situation. Rowe drops to his knees, and Ribeiro calls time. “The Fresh Prince” freshens himself up after a minute to recover, and they get going with a vengeance. Matthews races at him throwing hands, and Rowe retaliates and drives several knees to the dome. Rowe wings a head kick and falls to his back, and Matthews leaps after him and holds him down until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rowe
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Rowe
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Matthews

Round 2
Despite taking some facial damage in the last round, Matthews appears the more confident of the two, and he surges forward to attack. Matthews swings a left and a right, and he jumps forward to plant an uppercut on the chin. Rowe keeps his guard up to defend the follow-up blows, only for Matthews to wrap three punches around his shell to ring his bell. Rowe wobbles back, knees weak, arms heavy, but there is nothing on his sweater already. Rowe chambers and fires a right hand, getting Matthews’ attention, but Matthews quickly gathers himself and stings him with a short right from up close. Rowe pushes out a jab to calm things down and reassume his range, and Matthews pushes through it to aim two punches to the body and a right over the top that does not get through. Rowe gets off a leg kick, and he blocks a check left hook. When Rowe crashes the pocket, his guard is able to protect him from the swarming punches aimed at his head. Rowe lands another solid low kick, and he slides back to let an overhand right glance off his shoulder. Rowe intercepts a punch combination with a knee up the middle, and Matthews jabs the body in response. Matthews tries and fails to let loose with three hooks, only for Rowe to guard each one. Rowe checks a kick, and he gets driven back by a double jab. Matthews throws out another double jab to follow a right up top, and he does a similar combination that is met with a mighty Rowe right hook. Rowe connects with a clean right hand, and Matthews slings a right hook back that bounces off the dome. One last left from Matthews ends the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Matthews
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Matthews
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Matthews

Round 3
The fighters bump fists before engaging, and engage they do immediately. Rowe springs into action, throwing power shots, and Matthews replies in kind. Rowe tries to push forward and take the Aussie down, and Matthews reverses him and plants him on his back. Rowe does not quit moving, sweeping “The Celtic Kid” and put himself in half guard. Rowe clings from on top, preferring to maintain position rather than open himself up with strikes. Matthews sits up and pulls Rowe back into his full guard, and he turns his back and gives it up to escape. Rowe slides off the back, and Matthews shifts on top with Rowe on his side. Matthews tries to break up the leglock around his own leg so he can pass, and the scramble results in an odd pretzel situation as Rowe uses his arm to turn Matthews over. Matthews reasserts his position while Rowe stays turned on his side, and he slithers his leg out so he can shift to three-quarter mount. Matthews pursues an arm-triangle choke, and Rowe turns the proper direction to break it up but remains stuck on his back. Matthews lines up a one-arm guillotine choke, using the grip perhaps for position rather than submission. Rowe explodes in an effort to get up, but Matthews thwarts him one last time before the fight concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Matthews (29-28 Matthews)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Matthews (29-28 Matthews)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Matthews (29-28 Matthews)

The Official Result
Jake Matthews def. Philip Rowe via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Angelo picks Philip Rowe despite his poor fight IQ in the last fight where he grappled Neil Magny unnecessarily. He believes Rowe is the better striker and should win if he sticks to striking and uses his range. He trusts that the loss was a wake-up call, but is not highly confident due to Rowe's decision-making.

"I'm going to go Phil here I hate that I'm going to go Phil here I don't necessarily trust him but I am going to go with Phil"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Big Brady is not a huge fan of Philip Rowe but acknowledges he is a popular dog with a 100% finish rate. He notes Jake Matthews is inconsistent and has dropped the ball as a favorite. He thinks Rowe is live to win and keep his finish rate intact, being much bigger.

Philip Rowe wins by finish (KO/submission)
"Phil row 7,900 I'm not the biggest fan of Phil row um he seems to be a very popular dog this week"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Cody picks Rowe, echoing Paul's sentiment. He details Matthews' flaws: poor striking, questionable chin, and tendency to lose as a favorite. Cody notes Rowe's 80-inch reach, volume, and durability. He believes Matthews will struggle to take Rowe down and will get outpointed on the feet. Cody mentions Rowe's wins over Orion Cosce and Jason Witt, and his KO of Nico Price.

"Matthews has lost five of his seven UFC losses as the betting favorite... Rowe has an 80-inch reach... I would dig Phil Rowe."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Daniel calls Matthews 'Flake Matthews' due to mental lapses. He likes Rowe's physical tools, reach, and power, and expects him to establish his jab and land a big right hand. He sees a submission or KO possibility and plans to bet two units.

"I'm gonna go Phil row here to come out here and set back Jake Matthews"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

The host leans on Rowe's striking advantage, citing his height, reach, and improved range management. Matthews has not been using his wrestling lately, which is his path to victory. If Matthews stays on the feet, Rowe should pick him apart and possibly get a knockout. The host calls this the toughest fight to call but sides with Rowe's technical striking.

"I'm ultimately going to lean with the Phil Rowe side and lean on his striking heavy approach."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Paul picks Rowe, citing Matthews' history of losing as a favorite. He notes Matthews has lost five of his seven UFC losses as the betting favorite. Paul likes Rowe's reach advantage (80-inch reach), jab, and durability. He believes Matthews' grappling won't be as effective against Rowe's length, and Rowe can win by decision or late KO. He mentions Rowe's close fight with Neil Magny.

"Jake Matthews as a favorite in this type of spot... Phil Rowe on top of that... being able to make the fight ugly and close against Neil Magny... I'll take that plus 140."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

The MMA Guru picks Philip Rowe as his underdog of the card. He believes Jake Matthews struggles against taller, rangier opponents and that Matthews' best work is at close range. Rowe is a good grappler and has better range striking. He notes that Matthews' wins are not impressive and that Rowe has shown more. He predicts Rowe may win by clinch knees and body shots.

"I'm actually going to go with Philip bro um I think he's underrated"
LOSS vs Neil Magny
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Emmett vs. Topuria · Jun 24, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Neil Magny 0 29 of 65 44% 109 of 159 0 of 3 0% 0 0 4:31
Philip Rowe 0 34 of 64 53% 51 of 86 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Neil Magny 0 5 of 15 33% 37 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:59
Philip Rowe 0 11 of 19 57% 16 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:41
2 Neil Magny 0 7 of 16 43% 29 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:56
Philip Rowe 0 6 of 12 50% 10 of 17 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:03
3 Neil Magny 0 17 of 34 50% 43 of 65 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:36
Philip Rowe 0 17 of 33 51% 25 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Neil Magny 29 of 65 44% 23 of 57 5 of 7 1 of 1 17 of 46 12 of 19 0 of 0
Philip Rowe 34 of 64 53% 17 of 43 3 of 6 14 of 15 32 of 58 2 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Neil Magny 5 of 15 33% 5 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 12 2 of 3 0 of 0
Philip Rowe 11 of 19 57% 6 of 13 1 of 2 4 of 4 10 of 16 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Neil Magny 7 of 16 43% 4 of 12 3 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 10 4 of 6 0 of 0
Philip Rowe 6 of 12 50% 3 of 8 1 of 2 2 of 2 6 of 11 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Neil Magny 17 of 34 50% 14 of 31 2 of 2 1 of 1 11 of 24 6 of 10 0 of 0
Philip Rowe 17 of 33 51% 8 of 22 1 of 2 8 of 9 16 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Angelo picks Philip Rowe as the underdog, citing his speed, accuracy, and power. He notes Neil Magny is more well-rounded but lacks power and has been losing striking exchanges. He says the fight comes down to Rowe's takedown defense, which is not great, but he expects Rowe to weather early wrestling storms. He adds no bet yet, as Magny has a knack for squeaking out close decisions.

"I'm actually going to pick Ro here as the underdog because he's far more dangerous"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Neil Magny

Big Brady picks Neil Magny, acknowledging his superior competition and well-rounded skills. He notes Rowe's takedown defense is a clear hole, and Magny should exploit it by wrestling. He has concerns about Magny's durability at 35 and history of being knocked out, but believes Magny can win a decision by controlling the fight on the ground.

"I'm gonna take Neil magni here and I'm gonna take him to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Neil Magny

Cody picks Magny, emphasizing his wrestling and technical kickboxing. He notes Rowe's tendency to gas and Magny's ability to exploit takedowns. He expects Magny by decision.

Magny by decision mentioned.
"I think he can use his technical at range kickboxing pick his shots here and there then get those takedowns."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Neil Magny

Connor sees Magny as a calm, relaxed fighter who doesn't rely on out-ranging opponents; his style is built around making opponents uncomfortable at distance and then dragging them into clinch and ground game. He notes that Philip Rowe is a classic sniper who lands one beautiful shot but can't follow up, often falling into the pocket and ending up on his back early. Connor believes Magny eats that kind of fighter for lunch, as Rowe's best round is the second but Magny builds into fights and dominates rounds two and three. He also points out that the odds are getting longer on Magny, which he sees as disrespectful given Magny's consistent level.

Odds opened at -149, now -161; Rowe opened +117, now +144. Connor notes the odds are getting longer and that Magny gets no respect.
"I can't not pick Neil here."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Daniel Levi leans towards Philip Rowe, citing Rowe's physical advantages (longer reach, power) and Magny's history of being knocked out. He notes Rowe's slow starts but thinks he can hurt Magny once he finds his range. He also mentions Rowe's training with high-level grapplers and his upward trajectory. However, he acknowledges Magny's experience and is not fully confident.

Might take a shot on Rowe; no bet yet.
"I might be interested in taking the shot here I might be interested I think he might have something for him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Neil Magny

The host picks Neil Magny to win by decision. He believes Magny's veteran experience, forward pressure, and clinch game will be too much for Rowe. He thinks Rowe will start confident but fade as Magny grinds him down. He notes Magny's cardio and ability to wear opponents, and expects a classic Magny performance, possibly a finish in the third round.

"I fully expect the veteransi of uh neo-magni to come through here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Neil Magny

Paul picks Magny, noting his wrestling advantage and veteran savvy. He expects Magny to use takedowns and control to win a decision. He mentions he already bet Magny at -143.

Magny by decision at plus 110 mentioned.
"First bet I made this week was magni at -143."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Neil Magny

The Guru picks Neil Magny, citing his experience and craftiness. He notes that Philip Rowe has lost all his grappling competitions since 2021 and that Nico Price outlanded Rowe but lost due to being rocked. He believes Magny won't have chin issues and can outpoint Rowe at range, predicting a boring close decision 29-28.

Predicts decision win.
"I'm going to go with Neil Magna in a boring close decision 29-28"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Neil Magny

Zane agrees with Connor that Magny is the clear pick. He emphasizes that Magny's fighting style is not reliant on out-ranging people; it's about making opponents uncomfortable and then dragging them into clinch and ground. Zane notes that Rowe is a sniper who lands one shot and can't follow up, often falling into the pocket and ending up on his back. He also points out that Rowe's best round is the second, but Magny builds into fights and dominates later rounds. Zane concludes that you either finish Magny early or he takes over, and Rowe is not the kind of fighter to do that.

Odds opened at -149, now -161; Rowe opened +117, now +144. Zane notes the odds are getting longer and that Magny gets no respect.
"Yeah, pretty simple pick for Magni."
WIN vs Niko Price
TKO (punches) R3 3:26 · UFC on ESPN: Thompson vs. Holland · Dec 03, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Philip Rowe 0 110 of 247 44% 150 of 293 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:29
Niko Price 0 63 of 139 45% 64 of 140 1 of 2 50% 2 0 1:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Philip Rowe 0 34 of 87 39% 36 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Niko Price 0 20 of 53 37% 20 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Philip Rowe 0 34 of 85 40% 46 of 101 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:22
Niko Price 0 17 of 40 42% 18 of 41 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:28
3 Philip Rowe 0 42 of 75 56% 68 of 103 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
Niko Price 0 26 of 46 56% 26 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Philip Rowe 110 of 247 44% 66 of 197 16 of 22 28 of 28 88 of 218 14 of 21 8 of 8
Niko Price 63 of 139 45% 49 of 123 7 of 8 7 of 8 57 of 129 6 of 7 0 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Philip Rowe 34 of 87 39% 12 of 63 5 of 7 17 of 17 30 of 80 4 of 7 0 of 0
Niko Price 20 of 53 37% 12 of 44 3 of 3 5 of 6 19 of 52 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Philip Rowe 34 of 85 40% 20 of 68 9 of 12 5 of 5 29 of 77 5 of 8 0 of 0
Niko Price 17 of 40 42% 13 of 35 3 of 4 1 of 1 15 of 38 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Philip Rowe 42 of 75 56% 34 of 66 2 of 3 6 of 6 29 of 61 5 of 6 8 of 8
Niko Price 26 of 46 56% 24 of 44 1 of 1 1 of 1 23 of 39 3 of 4 0 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Angelo picks Philip Rowe, citing his length, volume, and striking. He notes Rowe's takedown defense isn't great but Niko Price's takedown offense isn't great either. He expresses concern about Price's year off and potential hurricane impact on his training camp. He says he probably won't bet this fight because Price is dangerous and can look amazing or get caught.

Probably won't bet; mentions Price's year off and hurricane impact
"Philip Rowe is going to be the pick I'm probably not going to bet on this fight because somebody like Nico is fun is dangerous and can just come out there and just look amazing"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Big Brady picks Rowe to win by knockout in the second round, citing his reach (80.5 inches), size, and power. He notes Price is hittable (47% striking defense) and unlikely to wrestle. He expects a striking battle where Rowe's length and power prevail, though he acknowledges Price is live for a knockout.

Rowe wins by KO, round 2
"I like row to win pull off the upset and knock out Nico price in the second round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Cody leans towards Rowe as a live underdog, noting his reach and combinations. He thinks Price takes damage and may slow down. He prefers to bet Rowe live after likely losing the first round.

live betting on Rowe after round 1
"I'm more looking towards a live betting option for row and I wouldn't out rule I wouldn't rule out sorry uh switching the pick to Nico price seeing him at weigh-ins hearing some good interviews I could be talked into …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Niko Price

Connor also picks Niko Price, citing Price's experience and well-roundedness. He notes that Rowe has potential but hasn't shown the ability to defend takedowns while striking, and Price has consistent aspects to his game that allow him to stick to his game plan for multiple rounds.

"I'll have to pick Nico price as well. Row is the favorite here."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Daniel Levi picks Philip Rowe to knock out Niko Price. He likes Rowe's reach, straight right, and Jiu-Jitsu, and believes Price is slowing down after ACL surgery. He notes Rowe's slow starts but thinks he will find his range and finish. He is willing to bet the underdog.

Rowe by KO
"I'm gonna go with Phil row to come out here and actually knock out the guy we love... cash this Plus 120"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Niko Price

The host picks Niko Price to win inside the distance, citing Price's experience and ability to drag opponents into a war. He thinks Price will use a grapple-heavy approach to get dominant position and finish Rowe. He notes that Rowe is still green and may not be comfortable in a chaotic fight. He likes the -140 price tag on the veteran.

Niko Price inside the distance
"I like the -140 price tag on the experienced veteran and that's probably the way that I'll be going for this matchup Nico price inside the distance"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Niko Price

Paul is torn but picks Price for the show. He notes Price's durability and volume, but acknowledges Rowe's reach and combinations. He doesn't have a strong edge and won't bet it.

"for the purpose of the program I'm picking Nico price but yeah I mean I've already got like a list of things that I'm considering betting this ain't one of them"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

The MMA Guru picks Philip Rowe, citing Niko Price's poor performance against Alex Oliveira and his long layoff. He thinks Rowe's technical striking and grappling will be enough to win by TKO. He expresses frustration that Price is being fed to Rowe instead of getting a fun matchup.

Rowe by TKO
"I'm going with Philip bro"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Niko Price

Zane picks Niko Price based on experience and resilience, noting that Price has been in more brawls against better fighters and has the option to wrestle if needed. He is hesitant because Price loses often and Rowe could win if he becomes comfortable defending takedowns while striking, but Zane hasn't seen that yet.

"I really have no choice here, but to pick Nico price because things are going to go haywire and I Nico price isn't even the most durable guy in the world, but he's very resilient."
WIN vs Jason Witt
TKO (punches) R2 2:15 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · Feb 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Philip Rowe 0 8 of 22 36% 25 of 43 4 of 7 57% 0 0 5:11
Jason Witt 1 8 of 17 47% 8 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Philip Rowe 0 3 of 11 27% 19 of 31 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:46
Jason Witt 0 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Philip Rowe 0 5 of 11 45% 6 of 12 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:25
Jason Witt 1 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Philip Rowe 8 of 22 36% 5 of 15 2 of 6 1 of 1 7 of 20 0 of 1 1 of 1
Jason Witt 8 of 17 47% 8 of 16 0 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 14 1 of 1 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Philip Rowe 3 of 11 27% 2 of 8 0 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jason Witt 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Philip Rowe 5 of 11 45% 3 of 7 2 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 9 0 of 1 1 of 1
Jason Witt 6 of 10 60% 6 of 9 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 7 1 of 1 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jason Witt

Angelo picks Jason Witt despite Rowe being the favorite. He notes Rowe's size and striking advantages but believes Witt's wrestling and ground control will be decisive. Witt will relentlessly pursue takedowns and maintain top pressure, likely winning a decision. Angelo acknowledges Rowe's better jiu-jitsu but thinks Witt's grinding style prevails.

"i'm going with jason witt here row is the favorite i totally get why he's the favorite he's the better striker and he's got better jiu jitsu but i think the takedowns and the elbow in ground control will be …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Cody agrees with Paul, noting that Witt has a history of getting knocked out and that Rowe has good BJJ to neutralize takedowns. He thinks Rowe will win by knockout in the later rounds after Witt tires. He suggests live betting Rowe after the first round.

Rowe by knockout (live bet after round 1)
"i think you're going to get a much better price here if you just take row after that first round"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Daniel Levi picks Philip Rowe, citing his massive reach advantage (10 inches) and knockout power. He notes Witt has been knocked out multiple times and is slow and hittable. Levi believes Rowe will find his range and land a big right hand, potentially a knockout. He also mentions Rowe's grappling improvements and training with Rodolfo Vieira. He considers betting on Rowe at the pick 'em line.

i'm considering a bet on row here i think he comes out here and i think he starches jason witt at some point in this fight
"i think phil rose going to come out here and knock out jason witt"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Lock of the Night picks Rowe, expecting him to find a knockout after surviving early takedowns. He notes Witt's poor chin and reaction to getting hit. He likes Rowe by KO at +165.

Rowe by KO +165, Rowe inside the distance +110
"philip rowe philippro ko is kind of what i've been leaning on as my prop for this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Paul thinks Rowe will eventually catch Witt on the feet due to his reach advantage and Witt's suspect chin. He notes that Witt has been knocked out multiple times and that Rowe's takedown defense is suspect but his BJJ is good. He is confident Rowe wins by knockout.

Rowe by knockout (round 2 or 3)
"i think eventually phil roe catches him on the feet"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

The MMA Guru picks Philip Rowe, citing his 10.5-inch reach advantage and improved grappling from training with Gordon Ryan. He notes Jason Witt has been knocked out cold before and expects Rowe to keep the fight standing and win by first-round TKO with knees. He acknowledges Witt's grappling but believes Rowe's development will neutralize it.

TKO, round 1, knees
"i'm going to trust philip bro... i think he's more explosive on the feet i believe he has something like a 10 inch reach advantage"
WIN vs Orion Cosce
TKO (punches) R2 4:21 · UFC on ESPN: Hall vs. Strickland · Jul 31, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Philip Rowe 1 46 of 93 49% 53 of 101 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Orion Cosce 0 22 of 52 42% 51 of 82 2 of 6 33% 0 0 6:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Philip Rowe 0 3 of 6 50% 8 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Orion Cosce 0 7 of 11 63% 22 of 27 2 of 4 50% 0 0 4:35
2 Philip Rowe 1 43 of 87 49% 45 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Orion Cosce 0 15 of 41 36% 29 of 55 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:59
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Philip Rowe 46 of 93 49% 32 of 76 13 of 16 1 of 1 33 of 78 13 of 15 0 of 0
Orion Cosce 22 of 52 42% 17 of 45 3 of 4 2 of 3 16 of 44 3 of 5 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Philip Rowe 3 of 6 50% 1 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0
Orion Cosce 7 of 11 63% 6 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 6 2 of 2 3 of 3
2 Philip Rowe 43 of 87 49% 31 of 72 12 of 15 0 of 0 31 of 73 12 of 14 0 of 0
Orion Cosce 15 of 41 36% 11 of 35 3 of 4 1 of 2 14 of 38 1 of 3 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Big Brady picks Philip Rowe over Orion Cosce. He highlights Rowe's significant 9.5-inch reach advantage and superior cardio, noting that Rowe is a better grappler with a brown belt in BJJ and slick submissions off his back. He expects Cosce to have early wrestling success but fade, allowing Rowe to secure a late finish. Brady predicts a third-round knockout for Rowe.

third round knockout
"give me a philip rowe for a uh give me a third round knockout for philip rowe here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Cody picks Philip Rowe as a live underdog, citing his massive reach advantage (9 inches) and tricky striking. He notes that Cosce has cardio issues and that Rowe can stay on the outside and pick him apart. Cody believes that if Rowe survives the first round, he can take over as Cosce tires. He already placed a bet on Rowe at +150.

Cody bet on Philip Rowe at +150.
"i already i that was my first bet that i made on the card i took a plus 150 on philip rowe"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Daniel Levi is surprised that Cosce is a -160 favorite, as he sees this as a more even fight. He believes Rowe has significant physical advantages with his 81-inch reach and 6'4" frame, and that his jiu-jitsu training under Julian Williams and Adolfo Vieira gives him a submission threat. Levi acknowledges Rowe's vulnerability to leg kicks due to his build but hasn't seen Cosce employ that strategy. He leans on Rowe to use his physical tools and possibly find a submission or grind out a decision.

Surprised by the line; thinks Cosce should not be such a heavy favorite.
"I'm not really sure you know why why the confidence so I'm gonna go with phil roe here man"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Rowe has a huge reach and height advantage, slicker boxing, good movement, and enough jiu-jitsu to avoid trouble. Cosce's regional tape shows gassing and sketchy competition. Rowe's distance striking should wear Cosce down as the fight progresses. The only concern is leg kicks, but Cosce doesn't rely on them heavily. Rowe by decision is the most likely outcome.

Rowe by decision +360 (sprinkle)
"I do like Phil Roe in this spot I think he's a solid underdog... I'm gonna take him to win by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Orion Cosce

Paul leans towards Orion Cosce, noting his power and wrestling advantage. He believes Cosce can take Rowe down and use his strength to control the fight. However, he is concerned about Cosce's cardio and the reach disadvantage. Paul sees this as a close fight and is not confident enough to bet, calling it a 'dog or pass' spot.

"i think it's dogger pass i've already got some action in on this"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Orion Cosce

The MMA Guru picks Orion Cosce over Philip Rowe, stating that Cosce is better and pressures opponents. He notes that Rowe struggled against Gabriel Green, who pressured him, and that Cosce is a better pressure fighter. He expects Cosce to break Rowe as the rounds go on and predicts a finish in the third round by TKO.

Cosce by TKO in round 3
"i'm gonna go over ryan koski here over philip bro... i think he'll get a finish in the third round by tko"
Ange Loosa - Fight History
LOSS vs Philip Rowe
KO R3 4:03 · UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley · Jun 14, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Philip Rowe 1 85 of 166 51% 103 of 187 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Ange Loosa 1 65 of 106 61% 130 of 180 3 of 7 42% 0 0 6:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Philip Rowe 0 2 of 3 66% 8 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ange Loosa 0 15 of 23 65% 58 of 73 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:58
2 Philip Rowe 0 34 of 85 40% 46 of 99 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ange Loosa 1 43 of 70 61% 65 of 94 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:15
3 Philip Rowe 1 49 of 78 62% 49 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Ange Loosa 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Philip Rowe 85 of 166 51% 73 of 149 9 of 12 3 of 5 71 of 146 14 of 19 0 of 1
Ange Loosa 65 of 106 61% 32 of 69 13 of 16 20 of 21 47 of 84 10 of 12 8 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Philip Rowe 2 of 3 66% 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ange Loosa 15 of 23 65% 9 of 15 1 of 3 5 of 5 8 of 15 0 of 0 7 of 8
2 Philip Rowe 34 of 85 40% 29 of 77 4 of 6 1 of 2 31 of 81 3 of 4 0 of 0
Ange Loosa 43 of 70 61% 20 of 47 11 of 11 12 of 12 32 of 56 10 of 12 1 of 2
3 Philip Rowe 49 of 78 62% 43 of 71 5 of 6 1 of 1 38 of 62 11 of 15 0 of 1
Ange Loosa 7 of 13 53% 3 of 7 1 of 2 3 of 4 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean pick date unknown
Ange Loosa

Angelo leans Ange Loosa because he expects him to be busier and out-volume Rowe. He notes that Rowe can be hesitant and flat, as seen in his last fight. He thinks Loosa can sneak out a close decision.

If we get the odds and an is an underdog, I might make little look something happen here
"I expect An to be busier and I think he's going to sneak out a close decision."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ange Loosa

Big Brady picks Ange Loosa, noting that Philip Rowe tends to start slow and come back late, but Loosa is durable and has never been knocked out. He believes Loosa's toughness and cardio will allow him to win a decision, as Rowe's best wins have aged poorly. He also mentions Loosa can mix in takedowns.

"I'm gonna take And Luca to win this fight and win this fight by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Connor leans toward Rowe, noting that Rowe's simpler, cleaner striking could find Loosa's chin. He acknowledges that Loosa is tough and persistent, but thinks Loosa's disorderly style will leave him open to hard punches. Connor expects a close decision, possibly 29-28, with Rowe landing the harder shots.

"I think Loser is probably going to, I think they're probably each going to have one really good round and then row will probably have a kind of inactive round where he lands the harder shots."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ange Loosa

Loosa's power punching, strength, and physicality will keep Rowe against the cage or drag him to the ground, neutralizing Rowe's distance striking. Loosa will grind out a decision win.

"I'm really liking Losa in this spot as I think he can mix his power punching style with his strength and physicality..."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

The Guru picks Philip Rowe to finish Ange Loosa, citing Loosa's tendency to be 'manipulatable' and cover up with his back against the cage. He notes Rowe's ability to work opponents up against the cage, as seen against Niko Price. He expects a finish, possibly by D'Arce choke, and mentions a prop bet on Loosa landing under 69.5 significant strikes.

Ange Loosa under 69.5 significant strikes
"I'm going to go with Philip Bro getting a finish over Luca. Um Lucer, here's the problem I have with him. I think he's a very well-trained fighter and um he's got everything, but it's just the guy just seems …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Zane also leans toward Rowe, but is uncertain. He notes that Loosa's chaotic style could lead to him walking onto clean shots. However, he points out that Rowe often has one good idea per fight and can be inactive. Zane thinks it's a close fight that could go either way, but gives a slight edge to Rowe's cleaner striking.

"I don't really see any reason that either guy should be getting any kind of favoritism."
LOSS vs Gabriel Bonfim
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez · Jul 13, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabriel Bonfim 0 101 of 225 44% 106 of 232 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:10
Ange Loosa 0 52 of 153 33% 60 of 166 4 of 13 30% 0 0 2:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabriel Bonfim 0 23 of 50 46% 27 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Ange Loosa 0 15 of 33 45% 23 of 45 3 of 9 33% 0 0 2:07
2 Gabriel Bonfim 0 35 of 87 40% 36 of 88 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:05
Ange Loosa 0 21 of 73 28% 21 of 74 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:12
3 Gabriel Bonfim 0 43 of 88 48% 43 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ange Loosa 0 16 of 47 34% 16 of 47 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabriel Bonfim 101 of 225 44% 64 of 182 32 of 38 5 of 5 85 of 204 16 of 20 0 of 1
Ange Loosa 52 of 153 33% 37 of 125 7 of 19 8 of 9 45 of 144 2 of 2 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabriel Bonfim 23 of 50 46% 11 of 37 11 of 12 1 of 1 13 of 38 10 of 11 0 of 1
Ange Loosa 15 of 33 45% 10 of 25 3 of 6 2 of 2 9 of 25 1 of 1 5 of 7
2 Gabriel Bonfim 35 of 87 40% 20 of 68 13 of 17 2 of 2 31 of 80 4 of 7 0 of 0
Ange Loosa 21 of 73 28% 18 of 64 0 of 6 3 of 3 20 of 72 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Gabriel Bonfim 43 of 88 48% 33 of 77 8 of 9 2 of 2 41 of 86 2 of 2 0 of 0
Ange Loosa 16 of 47 34% 9 of 36 4 of 7 3 of 4 16 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gabriel Bonfim vs. Ange Loosa
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bonfim (-340), Loosa (+270)

Round 1
In November 2023, hyper-aggressive Brazilian welterweight Bonfim (15-1, 2-1 UFC) suffered his first career defeat, after starting things off with 15 straight stoppages. To bounce back from that loss, he will be matched against “The Last Ninja” Loosa (10-3, 1 NC; 2-1, 1 NC UFC), whose most recent appearance concluded due to an eye poke. Both men want to wash the bad taste out of their mouths, and only one will do so as referee Dan Miragliotta watches on. Hands are swiftly clapped, and they begin to trade leg kicks immediately. Loosa wings a right hand and drops down in pursuit of a single, where he pushes the Brazilian against the wall. Loosa lifts Bonfim off his feet and drops him down to a knee, and Bonfim easily stands back up. Loosa presses tightly against his foe before tossing him to the floor, and once more Bonfim is back on his feet in a second. Loosa keeps the clinch tight, and Bonfim turns him around and tries to separate. Bonfim drives three knees to the body, and Loosa backs away and is surprised by the damaging blows. Bonfim stumbles him with a clean right hand, and Loosa hits the floor and jumps up to grab hold of Bonfim and elevate him before depositing him gingerly to the canvas. Bonfim crawls to his knees towards the cage, and he wall-walks and tugs on the chain links to stand. Loosa wrenches him back down and knees him in the thigh a few times, and Bonfim answers with a back elbow or two before getting dumped down again. Loosa bops his man with several right hands until Bonfim powers back upright, and they split up to return to kickboxing range. They jab at one another, with Loosa finding his home with a few. Bonfim stops a takedown and knees his foe in the body, and he parries a jab and a right hand. They both flick jabs at one another, and Bonfim splits the guard with a one-two. Bonfim loops a left around the gloves, and he stuffs another takedown and knees Loosa in the face to break out of the tie-up. They flail at one another with awkward punches, and Loosa kicks him in the lead leg. Bonfim jabs, stops a takedown and jumps guard for a guillotine. Loosa stands up straight to not let the choke even come close, and Bonfim walks him down and busts him in the chops with a series of punches. Loosa jabs him back as the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim

Round 2
Loosa races out of his corner to throw down, and he backs away when Bonfim is loaded for bear. Bonfim prods out several teep kicks to the body, using the leg strikes to keep Loosa away until Loosa sprints and hits an easy takedown. Bonfim climbs back up and knees Loosa as if to say thanks, and they both target the body with punches before breaking apart. Bonfim swipes a left hook at the liver, and Loosa loops a left over the top in response. Their jabs reach one another, and Bonfim splits the guard with an uppercut. Loosa takes note of this and does the same, leading Bonfim to get hold of a brief Thai plum to knee Loosa in the face once before splitting. Bonfim lands a body kick after dealing with jabs, investing in several body shots including another knee. Bonfim sneaks up an uppercut and a knee up the middle, and he clubs the fighter from DRC with a left and a hard right. Loosa stumbles to the side and eats another right hand, and he clips Bonfim with a counter left. Bonfim blasts the body with a kick, and he measures an uppercut to land in the same place. Loosa ducks down into an uppercut and shrugs it off, and he trades jabs with his opponent. Bonfim goes for another uppercut to the midsection and follows it with a knee, and Bonfim’s knees consistently find their target either to the body or chin. Bonfim lands another uppercut and gets his head snapped back with a jab, and the two men continue jabbing towards one another. Bonfim scores a left hook and lets Loosa duck down so he can time a second when Loosa lifts his head back up. Bonfim peppers his man with rangy shots while staying out of range of most of the responses, ripping a right hand over the top and shoots in for a double with seconds to spare. Loosa hits his seat, and the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim

Round 3
The fighters double touch gloves to commence the final round, and strikes are not far behind. Loosa picks and pokes with punches, while Bonfim puts more behind his own. Loosa kicks the lead leg and eats a one-two down the pipe. Bonfim disrupts the offense of his foe with a few jabs, and another one-two from the Brazilian lands flush. Loosa steels himself and nails Bonfim in the jaw with a right hand, and “Marretinha” absorbs it without flinching. The fighters continue working their jabs, and Bonfim gets into a rhythm of jabs and twos, getting off several in rapid succession while Loosa tries to find answers. Bonfim scores a solid uppercut and two knees to follow, and Loosa’s chin is iron while his body is as well. Bonfim stays active throwing punches, and Loosa’s offense dwindles. Bonfim jabs twice, pushes off the forehead and lands a hard cross. The fighter from the Democratic Republic of Congo shoots for a desperate takedown, driving Bonfim back to the cage but ultimately not completing it. Bonfim stays on his feet and pushes Loosa away to dings him with several right hands. Bonfim kicks Loosa upside the head, and Loosa stays cool and even takes a knee on the chin to follow without budging. Bonfim tees off on his opponent that is hardly offering much offense back, allowing him to string multiple strikes together rapidly without fear of reprisal. Loosa closes the distance and bullies Bonfim to the wall, and Bonfim wants nothing to do with the clinch and pops Loosa with numerous jabs. Bonfim smacks Loosa with several more right hands, stuffs a takedown and jumps guard for a final guillotine choke. Loosa lets the Brazilian slide off him like water off a duck’s back, and time elapses to send Bonfim to the scorecards for the first time in his career.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim (30-27 Bonfim)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim (30-27 Bonfim)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim (30-27 Bonfim)

The Official Result
Gabriel Bonfim def. Ange Loosa via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Gabriel Bonfim

Angelo picks Gabriel Bonfim but expresses strong reservations. He notes that Bonfim is the biggest favorite on the card despite gassing out in his last fight at elevation against a durable opponent. He acknowledges Bonfim's superior skills but questions his cardio and the elevation factor. Angelo suggests that the loss to Nicholas Dalby might have prompted adjustments, but he is not confident enough to include Bonfim in a parlay.

Gabriel Bonfim is not in the safety parlay; advises caution due to cardio concerns.
"I think Gabriel Bon wins I'm going to pick him to win because he's the better fighter he's the more dangerous fighter"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Gabriel Bonfim

Cody picks Bonfim despite his cardio issues, believing Bonfim's power and submission threat will finish Loosa early. He notes Loosa quit in his last fight and that Bonfim has a striking and grappling advantage. He suggests live betting Loosa if Bonfim gasses.

Bonfim by submission (implied)
"I'm the idiot that's still going to pick it so that is my pick."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gabriel Bonfim

Daniel Vreeland picks Gabriel Bonfim to submit Ange Loosa. He believes Bonfim's front chokes are elite and that Loosa's cardio is also questionable. He notes that Bonfim's loss to Dober was due to Dober's veteran grit and that Bonfim has had time to learn from it. He expects Bonfim to get back to his finishing ways.

submission
"I think Gabrielle Bonine comes out here and submits this guy so I'm gonna go Gabrielle Bon to uh to win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Gabriel Bonfim

Gabriel Bonfim is more aggressive and should deal with Loosa's power, then take the fight to the grappling realm where his submission game is high level. Both have cardio issues, but Bonfim will hurt Loosa and find a submission in the first or second round.

"I do think we see bom fan eventually hurt Luca and eventually find that submission getting the tap in the first or second round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Ange Loosa

Paul picks Loosa as a live dog, citing Bonfim's poor cardio and altitude. He thinks Loosa can survive the first round and take over as Bonfim fades. He notes Loosa's training at Kill Cliff FC and his Swiss striking background, but acknowledges Loosa quit in his last fight.

Loosa round 3 (implied)
"I think Luca is going to be the pick but yeah this is like a fight to keep your eye on in the live markets."
NC vs Bryan Battle
NC R2 1:00 · UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Mar 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bryan Battle 0 27 of 75 36% 28 of 78 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:33
Ange Loosa 0 23 of 54 42% 26 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bryan Battle 0 23 of 63 36% 24 of 66 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:33
Ange Loosa 0 17 of 44 38% 20 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Bryan Battle 0 4 of 12 33% 4 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ange Loosa 0 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bryan Battle 27 of 75 36% 16 of 56 10 of 18 1 of 1 24 of 69 3 of 5 0 of 1
Ange Loosa 23 of 54 42% 6 of 34 8 of 9 9 of 11 22 of 53 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bryan Battle 23 of 63 36% 12 of 45 10 of 17 1 of 1 20 of 57 3 of 5 0 of 1
Ange Loosa 17 of 44 38% 4 of 29 6 of 6 7 of 9 16 of 43 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Bryan Battle 4 of 12 33% 4 of 11 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ange Loosa 6 of 10 60% 2 of 5 2 of 3 2 of 2 6 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Bryan Battle

Angelo is a big fan of Battle, noting his incredible improvement every fight. He worries that Battle needs to be the better wrestler and may not be able to take Loosa down, and he doesn't see Battle winning a striking match. However, he has blind faith in Battle's rapid improvement and thinks the latest version of Battle, with added improvements, will win. He is monitoring the line before betting.

monitoring line movement
"I think the last version of Brian battle with the Improvement since then wins this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean pick date unknown
Ange Loosa

Big Brady picks Ange Loosa to win by decision as an upset. He thinks Loosa's wrestling and takedown defense will be key, as Battle has poor takedown defense. He expects a close, competitive fight but favors Loosa's ability to mix in takedowns.

by decision
"I'm going to go with aneli here to pull off the upset... by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean pick date unknown
Ange Loosa

Cody sides with the underdog Ange Loosa, citing Bryan Battle's suspect takedown defense (45% overall) and Loosa's improved wrestling. He notes Battle is a good counter puncher but lacks physical strength and has been taken down by lesser wrestlers. Loosa has shown volume striking and takedowns in recent fights, which should sway rounds. He sees this as close to 50/50 and likes the plus money.

"I got to side with the ever so slight underdog on Loosa... it's the takedowns mixed in should secure them."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident pick date unknown
Bryan Battle

Lucrative James believes Bryan Battle is the much better fighter overall. He notes that Ange Loosa is durable but lacks technique and grappling strength, and that Battle can scramble if taken down. He sees Battle winning via finish, possibly by submission or head kick, and mentions that Loosa's path to victory is limited to a knockout or three rounds of grappling, which he doubts Loosa has the gas tank for.

Battle by submission in round 2
"I think battle's a good fighter... I actually like battle in this spot."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Ange Loosa

The host admits this is the fight he is least confident in picking. He sides with Loosa's explosive power striking and notes that Battle hasn't utilized the style that made him successful at 185 lbs, possibly due to the weight cut to 170. He expects Loosa to be on the front foot, using power punches to keep Battle defensive, and even try grappling where he can hold Battle down. He acknowledges Battle's submission threats but believes Loosa wins on the scorecards.

"I have to side with the explosive power striking style of Anala"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Ange Loosa

Paul agrees with Cody, noting Battle's low volume and poor takedown defense. He points out that Loosa has durability and the plus 155 line offers value, as he sees the fight closer to 50/50. He mentions Loosa by decision at +275 as an interesting prop.

Loosa by decision (+275)
"I'll join you in Loosa... you're giving me plus 155 I think there's probably a close to 10% edge on taking that."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Bryan Battle

The Guru picks Bryan Battle, noting his size, power, and grappling. He criticizes Loosa for getting hurt easily and nearly finished in fights. He believes Battle is a level above and will either TKO or outpoint Loosa. He mentions Battle's recent grappling performances against AJ Fletcher.

"I think Brian barbarena is just that next level above younger way taller got the reach Advantage big strong dude for welterweight I think he mugs onoa and I think he catches him on the chin."
WIN vs Rhys McKee
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · Sep 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ange Loosa 0 98 of 182 53% 124 of 220 6 of 10 60% 0 0 6:07
Rhys McKee 0 77 of 183 42% 90 of 198 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ange Loosa 0 32 of 71 45% 34 of 74 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:56
Rhys McKee 0 29 of 78 37% 30 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
2 Ange Loosa 0 54 of 82 65% 66 of 102 3 of 3 100% 0 0 2:44
Rhys McKee 0 16 of 38 42% 17 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ange Loosa 0 12 of 29 41% 24 of 44 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:27
Rhys McKee 0 32 of 67 47% 43 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ange Loosa 98 of 182 53% 71 of 144 19 of 29 8 of 9 45 of 103 32 of 51 21 of 28
Rhys McKee 77 of 183 42% 48 of 145 19 of 25 10 of 13 70 of 172 5 of 8 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ange Loosa 32 of 71 45% 15 of 46 12 of 20 5 of 5 23 of 55 7 of 13 2 of 3
Rhys McKee 29 of 78 37% 14 of 58 9 of 11 6 of 9 29 of 78 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ange Loosa 54 of 82 65% 46 of 71 6 of 8 2 of 3 13 of 26 25 of 36 16 of 20
Rhys McKee 16 of 38 42% 9 of 30 4 of 5 3 of 3 16 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ange Loosa 12 of 29 41% 10 of 27 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 22 0 of 2 3 of 5
Rhys McKee 32 of 67 47% 25 of 57 6 of 9 1 of 1 25 of 56 5 of 8 2 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ange Loosa

Angelo picks Ange Loosa confidently, citing his durability, speed, power, and wrestling. He notes Rhys McKee has technical striking but poor wrestling defense, and after seeing Loosa out-wrestle AJ Fletcher, he's confident Loosa can do the same here. He mentions a parlay with Loosa at +135.

parlay with Ange Loosa at +135
"this has to be an andalusa pick... I'm confident that he can do the same here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean pick date unknown
Ange Loosa

Big Brady leans toward Loosa, citing his durability (never finished) and ability to dictate where the fight goes. He notes McKee's poor takedown defense and hittability, but acknowledges McKee's toughness and power. He expects a close fight with Loosa winning a decision, possibly using takedowns.

"I slightly lean onjalusa here for a couple reasons... I'm going to take angelusa to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ange Loosa

Cody picks Loosa, citing his well-rounded game, training at Kill Cliff FC, and ability to mix takedowns. He notes McKee's takedown defense is exploitable, as shown by Alex Morono taking him down three times. Loosa has nasty leg kicks and good durability. Cody expects Loosa to win by decision, using leg kicks and takedowns to control the fight.

Loosa over 1.5 takedowns (prize picks)
"Angelus onto Loose by by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean pick date unknown
Ange Loosa

Daniel Levi picks Ange Loosa, noting that Loosa showed improved volume in his last fight against AJ Fletcher and has power in his hands. He acknowledges that Loosa can slow down and that McKee is durable and could take over late. Levi is concerned about Loosa's cardio but believes he has more paths to victory, including mixing in takedowns. He calls it a well-matched fight and leans Loosa but is not confident enough to bet heavily.

Loosa by knockout or decision
"my pick is loosa but I'm I'm starting to think it might be a dog or pass situation"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rhys McKee

I like McKee at plus money. Loosa is explosive early but fades in the second and third rounds. McKee is a volume striker who gets stronger as fights go on. If McKee can survive the early onslaught, he should pull away late. I also like McKee round three as a prop. Loosa has struggled against technically better strikers, and McKee fits that description.

McKee round three
"plus 145 plus 150 on a guy like Mickey I think it's a damn good spot especially against the guy who so I'm still not completely sold on so give me the key uh round three as well"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ange Loosa

Paul agrees with Loosa, noting McKee's wrestling is exploitable. He mentions Loosa's win over AJ Fletcher showed his wrestling advantage. Paul trusts Loosa to get the job done, though he notes McKee has a reach advantage. He adds Loosa over 1.5 takedowns to his prize picks card.

Loosa over 1.5 takedowns (prize picks)
"I trust angelusa to get the job done here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Rhys McKee

The MMA Guru picks Rhys McKee, comparing him stylistically to Munir Lazes, who outworked Ange Loosa at range. He notes Loosa's lack of power and short reach, while McKee is taller with a longer reach and better straight punches. He expects McKee to outpoint Loosa in a close 29-28 decision, possibly with a sting advantage.

"I'm going to go over Rhys McKee 29-28 close decision outlands angelusa and maybe has a bit of a sting advantage in his shots as well"
WIN vs AJ Fletcher
DEC R3 5:00 · UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards 2 · Aug 20, 2022
LOSS vs Mounir Lazzez
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. Muhammad 2 · Apr 16, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mounir Lazzez 0 141 of 260 54% 141 of 260 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:02
Ange Loosa 0 88 of 213 41% 91 of 216 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mounir Lazzez 0 29 of 53 54% 29 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:39
Ange Loosa 0 14 of 40 35% 16 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
2 Mounir Lazzez 0 44 of 87 50% 44 of 87 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
Ange Loosa 0 26 of 74 35% 27 of 75 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Mounir Lazzez 0 68 of 120 56% 68 of 120 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ange Loosa 0 48 of 99 48% 48 of 99 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mounir Lazzez 141 of 260 54% 98 of 208 23 of 31 20 of 21 138 of 255 3 of 5 0 of 0
Ange Loosa 88 of 213 41% 34 of 141 14 of 24 40 of 48 88 of 213 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mounir Lazzez 29 of 53 54% 14 of 36 8 of 10 7 of 7 29 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ange Loosa 14 of 40 35% 1 of 22 2 of 4 11 of 14 14 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Mounir Lazzez 44 of 87 50% 33 of 72 5 of 8 6 of 7 41 of 82 3 of 5 0 of 0
Ange Loosa 26 of 74 35% 12 of 56 2 of 4 12 of 14 26 of 74 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Mounir Lazzez 68 of 120 56% 51 of 100 10 of 13 7 of 7 68 of 120 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ange Loosa 48 of 99 48% 21 of 63 10 of 16 17 of 20 48 of 99 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mounir Lazzez

Angelo picks Mounir Lazzez (referred to as Zaleski), citing his experience, cardio, power, and unorthodox striking. He notes that Lazzez has a capoeira background with spinning techniques and real power. He acknowledges that Ange Loosa is a very good striker with takedowns and is a live underdog, but believes Lazzez's experience gives him the edge.

"i think that experience coupled with his cardio power and unorthodox striking give him the edge here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean pick date unknown
Ange Loosa

Cody leans towards Loosa, citing his recent fight and durability. He thinks Loosa's striking and wrestling are serviceable, and that Lazzez may have ring rust. He sets a hypothetical line of Loosa -135.

"if i had to set the line i would say angelusa minus 135"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean pick date unknown
Mounir Lazzez

Daniel Levi leans Mounir Lazzez, believing he is the more talented fighter with higher upside, but questions his mental state after a crushing loss to Warlley Alves where he cracked under pressure. He notes Lazzez's impressive debut against Razak Alhassan (194 strikes attempted, 4/4 takedowns) but worries if he has recovered mentally. Loosa is a physical wrestler who could grind out a decision if Lazzez is broken. Levi is encouraged that Lazzez moved to Vegas and trains with Sean Strickland and other tough guys, suggesting he is still committed.

Mentions Lazzez's takedown defense and Loosa's grinding style
"I'm gonna go with munir lazez to get this one down."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert pick date unknown

Paul does not make a clear pick, noting the fight was just announced and he hasn't done tape on Loosa. He leans towards Loosa but is uncertain.

"i'm leaning towards angelusa i think i'll just lose so we'll be a little bit cleaner with the striking technique"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ange Loosa

The MMA Guru picks Ange Loosa (referred to as Zaleski dos Santos), citing his experience and technical striking. He notes Loosa's win over Muslim Salikhov and competitive fight with Benoît Saint-Denis. He expects a 29-28 or 30-27 decision win.

unanimous decision 29-28 or 30-27
"alessio zaleski dos santos gets the decision win no upset there in my opinion"
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean pick date unknown
Ange Loosa

Angelo leans Ange Loosa because he expects him to be busier and out-volume Rowe. He notes that Rowe can be hesitant and flat, as seen in his last fight. He thinks Loosa can sneak out a close decision.

If we get the odds and an is an underdog, I might make little look something happen here
"I expect An to be busier and I think he's going to sneak out a close decision."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ange Loosa

Big Brady picks Ange Loosa, noting that Philip Rowe tends to start slow and come back late, but Loosa is durable and has never been knocked out. He believes Loosa's toughness and cardio will allow him to win a decision, as Rowe's best wins have aged poorly. He also mentions Loosa can mix in takedowns.

"I'm gonna take And Luca to win this fight and win this fight by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Connor leans toward Rowe, noting that Rowe's simpler, cleaner striking could find Loosa's chin. He acknowledges that Loosa is tough and persistent, but thinks Loosa's disorderly style will leave him open to hard punches. Connor expects a close decision, possibly 29-28, with Rowe landing the harder shots.

"I think Loser is probably going to, I think they're probably each going to have one really good round and then row will probably have a kind of inactive round where he lands the harder shots."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ange Loosa

Loosa's power punching, strength, and physicality will keep Rowe against the cage or drag him to the ground, neutralizing Rowe's distance striking. Loosa will grind out a decision win.

"I'm really liking Losa in this spot as I think he can mix his power punching style with his strength and physicality..."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

The Guru picks Philip Rowe to finish Ange Loosa, citing Loosa's tendency to be 'manipulatable' and cover up with his back against the cage. He notes Rowe's ability to work opponents up against the cage, as seen against Niko Price. He expects a finish, possibly by D'Arce choke, and mentions a prop bet on Loosa landing under 69.5 significant strikes.

Ange Loosa under 69.5 significant strikes
"I'm going to go with Philip Bro getting a finish over Luca. Um Lucer, here's the problem I have with him. I think he's a very well-trained fighter and um he's got everything, but it's just the guy just seems manipulatable."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean pick date unknown
Philip Rowe

Zane also leans toward Rowe, but is uncertain. He notes that Loosa's chaotic style could lead to him walking onto clean shots. However, he points out that Rowe often has one good idea per fight and can be inactive. Zane thinks it's a close fight that could go either way, but gives a slight edge to Rowe's cleaner striking.

"I don't really see any reason that either guy should be getting any kind of favoritism."