UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley · Jun 14, 2025 · Bantamweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley Next Fight
Age 33
Height 5' 6"
Reach 69"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 28
Height 5' 9"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Ricky Simón
3.03 SLpM
42.0% Str. Acc.
3.9 SApM
61.0% Str. Def.
4.49 TD Avg
41.0% TD Acc.
76.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Cameron Smotherman
4.07 SLpM
37.0% Str. Acc.
3.52 SApM
58.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
62.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Ricky Simón
Moneyline
FanDuel -390
KO/TKO
FanDuel +310
Submission
BetRivers +330
Decision
BetWay +175
Cameron Smotherman
Moneyline
Caesars +360
KO/TKO
BetRivers +900
Submission
BetWay +2500
Decision
BetWay +900
Ricky Simón - Fight History
Draw vs Adrian Yañez
Draw R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · Mar 28, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricky Simón 0 44 of 139 31% 52 of 149 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:06
Adrian Yañez 1 71 of 169 42% 73 of 171 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricky Simón 0 12 of 55 21% 12 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Adrian Yañez 0 16 of 46 34% 16 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ricky Simón 0 15 of 35 42% 23 of 45 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:06
Adrian Yañez 0 15 of 29 51% 16 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ricky Simón 0 17 of 49 34% 17 of 49 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Adrian Yañez 1 40 of 94 42% 41 of 95 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricky Simón 44 of 139 31% 33 of 121 7 of 13 4 of 5 38 of 132 2 of 2 4 of 5
Adrian Yañez 71 of 169 42% 63 of 159 6 of 8 2 of 2 67 of 156 0 of 0 4 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricky Simón 12 of 55 21% 9 of 48 1 of 4 2 of 3 12 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
Adrian Yañez 16 of 46 34% 15 of 45 1 of 1 0 of 0 16 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ricky Simón 15 of 35 42% 13 of 31 1 of 3 1 of 1 9 of 28 2 of 2 4 of 5
Adrian Yañez 15 of 29 51% 13 of 26 2 of 3 0 of 0 15 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ricky Simón 17 of 49 34% 11 of 42 5 of 6 1 of 1 17 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Adrian Yañez 40 of 94 42% 35 of 88 3 of 4 2 of 2 36 of 81 0 of 0 4 of 13
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Ricky Simón

Angelo picks Ricky Simon because he believes Simon's relentless pressure and wrestling will negate Yanez's technical striking. He notes that Simon's takedown defense was exposed against Honey Balcelos, but Balcelos is a high-level wrestler, while Yanez has no offensive takedowns. Angelo also mentions the hometown advantage and the possibility of a close decision, but expects Simon's wrestling to be effective enough to secure the win.

"I think Ricky's pressure is going to negate the technical striking. I think he's going to open up the takedowns."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 23, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Ricky Simón

Big Brady picks Ricky Simón to win by decision, but he is hesitant. He notes that Simón has been on a three-fight losing streak and his cardio and wrestling have declined. However, he believes Simón's wrestling upside is key, as Adrian Yañez has not faced a wrestler in the UFC. Simón is the hometown fighter, and Brady thinks he can mix in takedowns, cage push, and win minutes in the clinch to secure a decision.

Simón by decision
"I think Ricky Simón can cage push here, win minutes in the clinch. I think he can mix in the takedowns, and I think he wins this fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Adrian Yañez

Cody picks Yanez, believing his striking and takedown defense will be enough to win rounds. He's concerned about Simon's hometown advantage but thinks Yanez lands the more significant shots.

"My official pick is actually Adrian Yanez."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Adrian Yañez

Connor picks Yañez, thinking that Simón doesn't want to win just by holding someone down and will engage in the pocket, where Yañez can catch him. He notes that Simón is square and takes his eyes off the target, and Yañez has power.

"I'm going to take Yanya's."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Adrian Yañez

Daniel believes Yanez's boxing and takedown defense will be too much for Simon, who he thinks is past his best. He cites sources saying Yanez is sharp again and likes the underdog value.

"I'm picking Adrian Yanez as an underdog pick here at UFC Seattle."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2026 (fight day)
Ricky Simón

The host picks Simón despite his poor fight IQ and tendency to strike instead of wrestle. He argues that Simón's wrestling is his path to victory, and Yanez's takedown defense is inflated because he has only faced strikers. Footage from Yanez's fight against Daniel Marcos shows he can be taken down and held down easily. However, the host warns that Simón may not commit to grappling, making this a risky bet.

Pass on fight spread and over/under; odds not favorable.
"If you came to me and you said, 'Hey Chris, I've got a crystal ball... I can promise you Ricky Simon will grapple his dick off for 15 minutes nonstop.' I'd be like, 'Great. Let's bet 100 units on Simon.'"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Adrian Yañez

The host sees Yañez as the better striker with good takedown defense and getups, allowing him to keep the fight standing. He believes Yañez's striking edge and reach advantage will allow him to piece up Simón, and he even suggests Yañez might score a knockout. He notes Simón's reliance on power and wrestling, but thinks Yañez can avoid the big shots and find a finish.

knockout
"I still think that Yanz will showcase his striking in edge here, which is why I like him as a plus uh 125 dog. I think so much so that he might even be able to uncor a big knockout …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ricky Simón

Paul leans Simon, citing his wrestling and hometown crowd. He thinks Simon's control time could sway judges, especially with the Seattle crowd.

"I think Simon wins this fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ricky Simón

The MMA Guru picks Ricky Simón, noting his improved demeanor and grappling ability. He believes Simón is well-rounded enough to grapple his way to a decision victory. He criticizes Adrian Yañez's recent performances, pointing out losses to Rob Font and Daniel Marcos, and suggests Yañez struggles against capable opponents. He expects Simón to mix in grappling and land good shots on the feet.

"I'm going to go with Ricky Simone. He looks mean for this one."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ricky Simón

Zane picks Simón for the wrestling, noting that Simón has shown more interest in keeping people down recently. He is hesitant because Yañez has good defensive wrestling and is a higher output fighter, but he thinks Simón's wrestling will be the difference in a close fight.

"I think I'm going to take Ricky Simone here for the wrestling."
LOSS vs Raoni Barcelos
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · Nov 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricky Simón 0 67 of 181 37% 77 of 191 0 of 6 0% 0 1 1:25
Raoni Barcelos 0 82 of 187 43% 86 of 194 1 of 8 12% 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricky Simón 0 24 of 52 46% 34 of 62 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:45
Raoni Barcelos 0 16 of 33 48% 19 of 39 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:09
2 Ricky Simón 0 16 of 47 34% 16 of 47 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:40
Raoni Barcelos 0 32 of 71 45% 33 of 72 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Ricky Simón 0 27 of 82 32% 27 of 82 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Raoni Barcelos 0 34 of 83 40% 34 of 83 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricky Simón 67 of 181 37% 57 of 165 9 of 15 1 of 1 58 of 170 3 of 4 6 of 7
Raoni Barcelos 82 of 187 43% 53 of 150 19 of 24 10 of 13 80 of 184 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricky Simón 24 of 52 46% 20 of 46 4 of 6 0 of 0 16 of 42 2 of 3 6 of 7
Raoni Barcelos 16 of 33 48% 9 of 26 3 of 3 4 of 4 15 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Ricky Simón 16 of 47 34% 13 of 44 2 of 2 1 of 1 15 of 46 1 of 1 0 of 0
Raoni Barcelos 32 of 71 45% 21 of 57 8 of 9 3 of 5 32 of 71 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ricky Simón 27 of 82 32% 24 of 75 3 of 7 0 of 0 27 of 82 0 of 0 0 of 0
Raoni Barcelos 34 of 83 40% 23 of 67 8 of 12 3 of 4 33 of 82 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Raoni Barcelos vs. Ricky Simon
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Simon (-160); Barcelos (+130)

Round 1
Sticking to the bantamweight division but flipping over to men, a pair of relative elder statesmen in the promotion come to blows with hopes of pushing their unlikely win streaks one step forward. Some six and a half years after getting wasted by Urijah Faber and totally written off, Simon (22-6, 10-5 UFC) has gone on a pair of respectable runs since then. The same can be said for 38-year-old Barcelos (20-5, 9-4 UFC), who once had a rough patch where he dropped four of five. Someone’s fortuitous stretch is about to crash into the proverbial wall, and referee Keith Peterson will follow the athletes every step of the nonsense-free way. Fists are bumped before they are traded.
Simon sprints to the center of the cage and looses a head kick that goes wide. He pushes out a front kick, and Barcelos whizzes past him with a fireball of a right hand. Barcelos jabs the body and allows Simon to leap at him, staying out of range so there is no strike to come from it. Simon sticks the Brazilian and moves, and Barcelos strides forward and is belted with an uppercut. Barcelos takes it well, and the two consider grappling but bail on it to brawl it out. Both men are putting everything into their swings, and Barcelos clips Simon and then shoots in for a double. Simon scrambles wildly and flips Barcelos over, where he starts smacking Barcelos around with high-arcing hammerfists.
Simon lashes out with elbows while Barcelos keeps him contained with butterfly hooks, and both men trade while in a horizontal position until Barcelos kicks off to stand up. Simon reaches him at the end of a right hand, and Barcelos wings on the overhand right counter. Simon dings the Brazilian with a one-two, and his jab is money. Barcelos smashes Simon in the face with a ruthless right hand, and somehow Simon not only sticks with it but returns fire with an uppercut that nearly lifts his man off the ground. Both men are no worse for wear from the mighty exchange, and Simon tries to sneak in a head kick that is blocked in time. Barcelos opens up upstairs with a pair of punches, and Simon backs him off with jabs. Barcelos tries to take the fight down, and he abandons it to slash out with an elbow up top. A final Simon takedown is blocked to end what was a close, tense round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Barcelos
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Simon
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Barcelos

Round 2
Barcelos starts off the round with a double jab and a right hand up top. Simon swings back with a huge overhand right, and Barcelos ducks it and plants a right on the jaw. Barcelos times a thumping calf kick and overswings on a right hand while chasing the man, and Simon knees him in the jaw. Barcelos digs a left to the body, and Simon’s quick kick and right hand greet him in rapid succession. Barcelos scrapes the side of his uppercut off the head, and he drops down for a low single and hurls Simon to a knee. Simon scrambles out of reach and gets back to his feet, only for Barcelos to ring his bell with a crisp uppercut and a power right hand. Barcelos crashes into his foe with a leaping uppercut, and Simon tries to time a double when he lands. Simon pushes Barcelos up against the wire, but the sprawl of Barcelos prevents the Washington native from going anywhere. Barcelos escapes with little more than a knee to the belly, and he allows Simon to circle all the way around him so he can find his angle in. Simon lands first with a right, but Barcelos connects last and the heavier of the two.
Barcelos goes to the body and then head, and he scoops Simon up and deposits him gingerly on the canvas. Simon jumps right back up, and Barcelos does not mind as he can trade hands with his foe. Simon scores an uppercut, and Barcelos reaches him with three punches over the guard. A naked leg kick from Simon is met with a two-punch salvo, and Barcelos rips a right to the body to punctuate the combo. Simon counters a low kick with a right hand, and Barcelos stands firm and jacks him in the jaw with a right hand and an uppercut. Simon dances and keeps Barcelos guessing with awkward movement, entries and exits that rely on speed and potshots with evasive movement. They both shoot at the same time and clash heads like bulls, and proceed to trade punches and kicks to end what is another tight round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Barcelos
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Barcelos
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Barcelos

Round 3
The final round opens with the Brazilian pushing the pace. He watches Simon attack and sways to dodge everything but an uppercut, and he storms back to nail Simon with a one-two that forces a takedown shot. Barcelos sits down on a right hand, Simon replies, and Barcelos comes over the top. Barcelos leaps in and lands a right after Simon’s strike connects on him, and Simon’s jab has bloodied the bridge of the Brazilian’s beak. Barcelos rubs his nose and busts Simon in the chops with a stiff right hand. Simon’s one-two also scores, but Barcelos still has the power edge and is putting more strikes together.
Both men go back and forth with their offensive offerings, with Simon just missing an uppercut when Barcelos ducked down. Barcelos jams a knee to the body, and he plants his shin on the side of Simon’s lead leg. Barcelos drops down for a snatch single, and he releases it and busts open Simon’s nose with power punches. Barcelos follows a punch with a high kick, and then goes back to a one-two. Simon’s stabbing jab is effective, as is his overhand right and uppercut to follow, but Barcelos stuns him when landing flush. Barcelos’ rights have Simon’s attention, and Simon tries to walk him down to attack the liver but finds himself in a slugfest. Barcelos goes after a double and bails on it to come back with an elbow, and knees fly from both men effectively after. Simon steps in with a sharp elbow, and both fighters unload their gas tanks and swing for the bleachers. Simon takes a kick in the face and screams for Barcelos to keep engaging, and they bang it out to the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Barcelos (30-27 Barcelos)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Barcelos (29-28 Barcelos)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Barcelos (30-27 Barcelos)

The Official Result
Raoni Barcelos def. Ricky Simon via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ricky Simón

Angelo picks Ricky Simon because of his non-stop wrestling pace and power in his hands. He believes even if Raoni Barcelos has early takedown defense, Simon's relentless pressure will eventually get takedowns. He notes that Barcelos is aging and that wrestlers are not spectacular off their backs.

"I'm still picking Ricky here. I feel pretty good about it. Ricky's wrestling is non-stop, so even if Haney has early takedown defense, I don't think it's going to remain throughout 15 full minutes."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 7, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Raoni Barcelos

Big Brady struggles with this pick, noting Simón has looked awful in recent fights and may be slowing down due to accumulated damage. He thinks Barcelos has better striking and both have questionable chins. He leans with the 38-year-old Barcelos to win by decision, but admits it's a sketchy pick.

decision
"I'm going to lean with the 38-year-old and Barcelos to win this fight by decision, but this is one that's definitely sketching me out a little bit."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Raoni Barcelos

Cody picks Barcelos, citing his takedown defense, BJJ black belt, and superior boxing volume. He thinks Simón's wrestling will be neutralized and Barcelos will outwork him over three rounds.

"Overall after 15 minutes, Ronnie Barcelos should have the bigger and greater body of work. So he should get the nod in my opinion and I'm gonna pick him."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ricky Simón

Lucrative James is confident in Ricky Simón, going against the market. He believes Simón's wrestling and cardio advantage will be key, as Barcelos ages and has shown a deteriorating chin and gas tank. He expects Simón to mix takedowns and land big overhands, possibly finishing Barcelos. He also notes Barcelos has been hurt in recent fights.

"I'm going to pick Ricky Simone. I think Ricky Simone can hurt and actually finish Barcelos on the feet with big overhands."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ricky Simón

The host acknowledges Barcelos is the better striker on paper, but believes Simón's wrestling, athleticism, speed, and power will be decisive. He expects Simón to find a big shot and knock Barcelos out.

Knockout
"I believe Barcelos is the better striker on paper, but Simone is the better wrestler and closer to his prime. And I think that should allow him to utilize his athleticism advantage, speed advantage, and power edge."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Raoni Barcelos

Paul sees it as a 50/50 fight but likes Barcelos at plus money. He thinks if Simón can't get takedowns, Barcelos's striking and experience will carry him.

"Rowdy at plus 140, plus 150 seems like a decent little shot."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ricky Simón

The Guru picks Ricky Simón to win by first-round TKO. He believes Simón's well-rounded game and explosiveness will overwhelm the aging Barcelos, who relies on exploiting specific weaknesses. He notes Simón has no glaring holes in his grappling or pressure defense, unlike Barcelos's previous opponents.

round 1 TKO
"I'm going to go Ricky Simone getting this one done by a TKO finish in the first round."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley · Jun 14, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricky Simón 0 34 of 74 45% 50 of 94 3 of 10 30% 0 0 9:13
Cameron Smotherman 0 29 of 99 29% 33 of 104 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricky Simón 0 7 of 13 53% 19 of 27 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:27
Cameron Smotherman 0 1 of 6 16% 3 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ricky Simón 0 16 of 31 51% 20 of 37 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:56
Cameron Smotherman 0 11 of 37 29% 12 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ricky Simón 0 11 of 30 36% 11 of 30 1 of 7 14% 0 0 1:50
Cameron Smotherman 0 17 of 56 30% 18 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricky Simón 34 of 74 45% 22 of 62 4 of 4 8 of 8 28 of 62 4 of 6 2 of 6
Cameron Smotherman 29 of 99 29% 23 of 89 5 of 9 1 of 1 25 of 94 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricky Simón 7 of 13 53% 5 of 11 0 of 0 2 of 2 4 of 7 3 of 3 0 of 3
Cameron Smotherman 1 of 6 16% 0 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ricky Simón 16 of 31 51% 8 of 23 3 of 3 5 of 5 14 of 28 0 of 0 2 of 3
Cameron Smotherman 11 of 37 29% 9 of 35 2 of 2 0 of 0 10 of 36 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ricky Simón 11 of 30 36% 9 of 28 1 of 1 1 of 1 10 of 27 1 of 3 0 of 0
Cameron Smotherman 17 of 56 30% 14 of 49 3 of 7 0 of 0 14 of 52 3 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ricky Simon vs. Cameron Smotherman
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Simon (-440), Smotherman (+340)

Round 1
On short notice, Simon (21-6, 9-5 UFC) now stands across the cage from high-flying Fury FC product Smotherman (12-5, 1-1 UFC). Simon was initially expected to battle Charles Jourdain, but it is what it is now. The bantamweights will be joined in the cage by referee Blake Grice, who claps them in as they choose to tap their gloves together. Smotherman jabs and low kicks, and Simon does the same. Simon turns his hips into one thudding kick, and he suddenly goes high with a kick that Smotherman barely blocks in time. Both swipe at the other with hooks, and Simon drops levels, stutter-steps and shoots for a single-leg takedown. Simon lifts Smotherman all the way in the air and chucks him to the mat, where Smotherman is quick to sit up against the wire. Simon hooks one leg in and starts peppering Smotherman with free left hands, and Smotherman is stuck unable to get back up. When Smotherman attempts to stand, Simon wrenches him back down again. Simon isolates Smotherman’s left arm in pursuit of a kimura, and Smotherman gives up position to defend against it. Simon takes advantage of this to step into full mount, and he allows Smotherman to turn over so he can start fishing for a rear-naked choke. Simon cannot get his hooks in, so Smotherman is able to fight back to his feet with about 30 seconds left in the round. Simon leans on him against the wire, kneeing him in the side of the head while trying to drag Smotherman back down. Simon rides out the round squeezing.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Simon
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Simon
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Simon

Round 2
Smotherman takes the center of the cage and marches forward to start off the second round, looking for a hook that he cannot find yet. Simon loops a right hand around the guard and plunks the front leg with a kick, and he dodges the counter to weave a right hand up top. Simon kicks the front leg and keeps his guard up to block the right hand aimed down the pipe, and he walks into a pair of punches but does not budge. Instead, Simon leaps in the air with a knee, and he lands and grabs hold of a double. Simon tackles Smotherman to his back, placing himself in half guard while exerting heavy shoulder pressure. Simon flattens his man out when Smotherman tries to buck and twist to get out, and he slashes down with a pair of elbows. Simon leans back a slight amount to wrap his arm around Smotherman’s neck, either for a guillotine setup or to push Smotherman down. Simon spins around to grab his foe from behind, and Smotherman stands back up in the process. Simon leans on Smotherman from the back while jamming Smotherman against the wall, and Smotherman starts chattering towards the grapple-heavy adversary. Simon ignores it and continues to embrace the grind, transitioning a single to a double and back to a single. Smotherman looks for a standing ninja choke, but Simon wriggles his neck out without concern. “The Baby-Faced Killer” drives a knee down the middle, and when it succeeds, he goes for another. Simon shrugs them off and loops a right hand up top and a left to the liver. Simon narrowly avoids a looping right hand as he scores a low kick, and Smotherman’s final strike of the round is a front kick to the chest. Grice has to get between the two when the horn sounds, ushering them back to their corners. Smotherman does not appear to be a happy man right now.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Simon
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Simon
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Simon

Round 3
Smotherman is fired up between rounds, and he starts throwing hands and grins when Simon obliges him. Simon takes a jab on the forehead and showboats while dodging the two follow-ups, looking away from the swinging Texan. Simon clips Smotherman with a right hand on the temple, and he grabs hold of Smotherman in a body lock and throws him to his knees. Smotherman powers back up to his feet, but Simon is a dog with a bone as he tries to go from a double to a single to a body lock. Simon pursues a double again when the other efforts fail, and Smotherman’s defense holds up even as he is stuck against the wire. Smotherman pushes off a knee, forcing Simon to wing two punches and shoot in for a double that finally succeeds. Smotherman is placed on his seat, and Simon holds him down and keeps his arms wrapped around a single to keep him in place. Smotherman still gets back to his feet, and he shakes Simon up with an elbow. Smotherman walks him down, firing a left to the body and a right to the head. When Simon counters, Smotherman hits him with a step-in knee. Simon eats a left hook to fire one back, and his right hand gets Smotherman’s attention and tells him it will not be as easy as walking through him with heavy fists. Simon shoots hard for a single, and Smotherman responds with a ninja choke and backs himself to the fencing. Simon is completely unfazed by the submission attempt, not budging and instead pressing on Smotherman until Smotherman bails on it. Smotherman breaks out of the takedown attempt and clinch to drive a pair of lefts to the liver and temple. Simon jabs to beat him to the punch a few times, and Smotherman is winding up with everything he has with his right hand. Simon is able to intercept him when he launches those missiles, slipping the most dangerous of the punches and hitting Smotherman back. Smotherman jabs to the body with the ball of his foot, winging a left to the same spot and a right up top. Simon shrugs at him, but he got stung with the power strikes. Smotherman unloads with pure power, tagging Simon a few times and eating some responsive blows until time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Simon (30-27 Simon)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Smotherman (29-28 Simon)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Smotherman (29-28 Simon)

The Official Result
Ricky Simon def. Cameron Smotherman via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ricky Simón

The Guru picks Ricky Simón, noting he is 'barely a favorite' and sees value. He highlights Simón's momentum from a KO win over Javid Basharat and his power in the pocket. He criticizes Smotherman's quick turnaround after a loss where he took damage, and trusts Simón's fundamentals and grappling options.

"I actually think this is really good odds for Ricky Simone. He's barely a favorite here. I know he's stepping up and you know Cameron Smotherman lost his last fight and he's stepping in and this is a bit of …"
CANCEL vs Charles Jourdain
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ricky Simón

Angelo picks Ricky Simón because of his relentless wrestling and cardio. He believes Charles does not have good enough takedown defense to stop multiple shots. He notes that Ricky's losses are to top competition and he is consistent.

"This should be Ricky all day long."
KO R1 3:58 · UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · Feb 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricky Simón 1 11 of 21 52% 18 of 29 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:16
Javid Basharat 0 20 of 36 55% 21 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricky Simón 1 11 of 21 52% 18 of 29 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:16
Javid Basharat 0 20 of 36 55% 21 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricky Simón 11 of 21 52% 9 of 19 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 18 1 of 2 1 of 1
Javid Basharat 20 of 36 55% 12 of 27 7 of 7 1 of 2 20 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricky Simón 11 of 21 52% 9 of 19 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 18 1 of 2 1 of 1
Javid Basharat 20 of 36 55% 12 of 27 7 of 7 1 of 2 20 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Feb 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Javid Basharat

Angelo picks Javid Basharat but is hesitant because of Javid's frustratingly passive performance in his last fight. He acknowledges Ricky Simón's relentless wrestling pressure and cardio could sway judges if Javid is too patient. He trusts Javid's takedown defense and superior striking, but admits it's hard to be confident given Javid's tendency to stare.

"Javid is going to be the pick... I'm going to chill though because if I had to trust one of these two to stick to something, it actually would be Ricky."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Javid Basharat

Big Brady picks Javid Basharat despite not loving the -300 price tag. He notes that Ricky Simón looks washed at only 32, with poor recent performances against Vinicius Oliveira, Mario Bautista, and Song Yadong. He believes Simón needs to wrestle for 15 minutes but doubts he can take down or hold down Basharat. He predicts Basharat wins by decision.

by decision
"I got to pick bosra and I got to pick him to win by decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Javid Basharat

The host notes Simón is on a three-fight losing streak and faces a tough opponent in Basharat, who has stellar takedown defense and superior striking. He expects Basharat to pick Simón apart from distance and win on the scorecards.

"look for bashat to utilize has Stellar takedown defense and in a superior striking game picking in part Ricky Simone from distance and winning this fight on the scorecards"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Javid Basharat

The Guru feels Ricky Simón has lost his mojo, citing recent losses where he was walked down. He believes Basharat is at a level similar to Victor Henry and will outpoint Simón in a striking fight. He doesn't see Simón overpowering Basharat in grappling or striking, predicting a decision win for Basharat.

"I'm gonna have to go with Javid basharat I can only imagine he's taking his foot off the pedal when it comes to training"
DEC R3 5:00 · UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · Jun 29, 2024
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Ricky Simon vs. Vinicius Oliveira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Simon (-218), Oliveira (+180)

Round 1
At long last, UFC 303 is upon us, but not how many would have hoped. In the weeks prior to the event, the final three bouts on the lineup transformed dramatically. Before we get to those, there will be 10 other matchups pleasing fight fans throughout the billing, with some fascinating stylistic clashes and others that promise immediate violence. We start off in the bantamweight division, where perennial contender Simon (20-5, 8-4 UFC) looks to get back in the win column after a rare skid. He faces high-flying Brazilian Oliveira (20-3, 1-0 UFC), who has seen 19 of his 23 pro outings end by knockout, win or lose. Referee Mark Smith is on call for the first fight of the night, geared up for what could be something wild. There is no fist bump to get things going, perhaps in part to the fiery weigh-ins the night before. The two feint and fake at one another in the opening 20 seconds, and Oliveira lunges for a few strikes but misses the mark. Oliveira prods out a front kick to the midsection and skirts away, his hands low as he aims a low calf kick. Simon reaches him with two punches up top, and Oliveira slips away from the rest. The Brazilian misses the mark with a jumping front kick, but his leg kick that follows does connect. Simon rushes him to get off a few punches before evading the counter. Oliveira uses his front kick as a jab, and he follows one with a rifling one-two down the middle. Oliveira switches stances regularly, keeping Simon guessing and flicking out a sharp left and a heavy right. Simon keeps his guard up to defend the worst of the blows, and he slams a low kick on the rear shin before crashing the pocket to sling “Lok Dog” to the canvas. Oliveira jumps right back up and stabs out a right hand that gets Simon’s attention, and Simon tags him with a counter that makes Oliveira drop his hands and march forward like a Terminator. Oliveira lets Simon have it with a number of unanswered leg kicks, and he whiffs on a head kick. Simon gets off a right hand, and Oliveira jabs him back. Oliveira walks through jabs, taking one on the nose and shrugging his shoulders before loosing a head kick that pounds into the guard. Oliveira gets off another head kick that nails the guard, and Simon dips down and lands a body shot that skips off the cup. Oliveira signals to Smith that he is fine, and he gets back to a stalking mode where his hands are low and he is swinging hard. Simon rushes at him to tie him up, but Oliveira wants nothing to do with it. Simon times a right hand as Oliveira ducks, and Oliveira shakes it off and tosses out two kicks. Simon snaps the head back as a gob of saliva launches from the mouth of “Lok Dog,” and they trade hands until the horn sounds.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Oliveira
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Oliveira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Oliveira

Round 2
Oliveira marches out of his corner, shouting something at Simon to get started. Oliveira’s hands low, he engages in a brief slugfest, and a left hand from Simon smashes into his ear and breaks open the cauliflower, resulting in a trickle of blood streaming down his neck. Oliveira laughs off anything Simon throws at him and lobs back hooks, and the two end up in the clinch until “Lok Dog” wants to push off and swing hands. Simon shoots through the hips with a solid double-leg takedown entry, and he lands on top comfortably. Oliveira keeps moving, and he scrambles back to his feet without issue. Simon ducks a punch and lifts Oliveira off the ground to slam him down to a knee, and when Oliveira tries to recover, Simon looks to take his back standing. Simon lets loose with a sharp elbow from a close proximity, and Oliveira pushes off and takes a deep breath. The punches from the Brazilian are labored less than two minutes into the second round, although his leg kicks do keep landing. Oliveira is frustrated about a warning to close his fingers, and he snaps out a jab that draws a frown from the Washington native. Simon looks for his own jab, all while trying to meander around the unorthodox looping punches from “Lok Dog.” Oliveira goes all power, and Simon blocks the strikes and drives him back with a few straight punches and a body shot. Simon attempts a takedown, and Oliveira stonewalls him and pursues a spinning wheel kick that Simon evades. Oliveira chains several strikes together including a few leg kicks, and he stumbles and returns to his feet to keep attacking. A few punches from Oliveira get through to shake up Simon, who escapes out the side and whips a head kick at the Brazilian’s melon. Oliveira takes it without issue and swings back with bad intentions, and he defends a takedown shot and uses rangy strikes to get to Simon. As Oliveira lazily tosses out calf kicks, Simon checks a few, and Oliveira staggers back, compromised from the defense. Simon rushes at him, letting his hands go. The two trade leather until the bell rings, and Simon barks at his opponent. Oliveira does not know what to do when hearing this, and he punches Simon in the face well after the round ended. Smith drags him to the corner while shouting at him, and cooler heads prevail to get to the third round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Oliveira
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Oliveira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Oliveira

Round 3
Physicians come in to assess the damage of Oliveira’s leg, and he is cleared to continue. Oliveira rushes out of his corner once more, but this time, Simon meets him in the middle to trade with him. Simon ducks the punch and lets go with a kick, and he engages in a back-and-forth session of strikes with him coming out slightly better. Simon pushes Oliveira back, and he checks a kick as Oliveira shakes his head uncomfortably. Simon leads off with punches, and Oliveira pushes off and a finger jabs into Simon’s eye. Oliveira shakes his finger as if to say it was from a punch, and Smith does not call anything. Simon fails on one takedown attempt, and his second is much deeper but he is spun around on the fence. Oliveira breaks free and jabs out with a front kick, circling to the left and switching stances regularly. Oliveira sticks out several jabs in an effort to launch a big right hand to follow, and he jabs the body and starts showboating and raising his hands to signal for Simon to fight him. Oliveira blocks a head kick and gives him one back, and he motions to Simon that his was much more effective. Oliveira walks Simon down, backing off only to block the offense his way, and he loops a left hand over the top. When Oliveira lets go with two punches, Simon shoots in for a double, and “Lok Dog” shuts it down and strings a number of punches and a kick together. Simon cannot reach his man, and Oliveira tags him back and raises his arms in the air to celebrate. Oliveira lands a few shots and looks over to his corner in a Max Holloway-esque display, and he decides to change things up and take Simon down. Oliveira backs off to stand back up, and he uses several unusual strikes including a kick behind his other leg to mess with Simon. Oliveira lands a head kick right at the bell, and the two stop fighting and hug it out to squash any beef that may have developed between them.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Oliveira (30-27 Oliveira)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Oliveira (30-27 Oliveira)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Oliveira (30-27 Oliveira)

The Official Result
Vinicius Oliveira def. Ricky Simon via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
LOSS vs Mario Bautista
DEC R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · Jan 13, 2024
LOSS vs Song Yadong
KO/TKO R5 1:10 · UFC on ESPN: Song vs. Simon · Apr 29, 2023
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Ricky Simon vs. Yadong Song
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Simon (-115), Song (-105)

Round 1
This bantamweight clash was supposed to be a co-main event one week ago before UFC Fight Night 223 lost its originally scheduled headliner. Now Song and Simon get two extra rounds with which to work. Herb Dean gets the final officiating assignment of the night. Simon tests the waters with a high kick and front kick. Song defends without issue. Simon lands a leg kick as both fighters remain patient. Song sidesteps a takedown and lands a leg kick. Song steps in with a knee and misses a right hand. Song blocks a body kick and then lands a hard one of his own. Song catches a kick and Simon spins out of it. A 1-2 connects for Simon and Song responds with a leg kick. Simon doubles up on his jab and follows with a right. They clinch against the fence and battle for position before Simon shakes his foe off. Simon lands a clubbing right. A leg kick connects for Simon and Song smiles. A left lands for Song and then Simon can’t finish a takedown. Song avoids a level change and fires off punches as Simon moves out of danger. Another three-punch combo lands for Simon and Song answers with a leg kick. Simon sticks a jab before the end of the round.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Simon
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Simon
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Simon

Round 2
Song opens with a front kick to the midsection. He follows up with a leg kick and Simon backs him up with a combination. Simon lands another jab. Another jab for Simon gets through. Song backs up Simon with a powerful combination and Simon briefly falls to the canvas after a clash of heads. He quickly transitions to a double leg takedown, giving him time to recover. Song is able to scramble up in a hurry. Simon sticks his jab and Song responds with a hard right to the body. Song with a push kick down the middle and Simon circles away. A clean left hook catches Simon. Another hard left lands for Song, who seems to have found his timing. Simon backs up his foe with multiple jabs. Song pressures and swings heavy leather. Simon continues to work his jab, but Song is undeterred. Song lands a leg kick. Simon evades some jabs but Song lands a left to the liver. Simon eats a right but gets a takedown in the waning moments of the round. He unloads with a flurry of hammerfists from above while Song attacks from his back in a frantic final exchange.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Song
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Song
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Song

Round 3
Song kicks the lead leg and avoids a hook. Simon shoots for a takedown but Song stuffs it and they’re back at distance. Song tries to land another body shot during an exchange but it lands below the belt, and time is called. Simon needs less than a minute to recover and the fight resumes. Simon just dodges a head kick but Song does connect with a leg kick. Song with two more leg kicks. Simon jabs and follows with a takedown but Song easily evades it. Song misses a pair of high kicks but he digs a left hook to the body moments later. A right lands clean for Song. A left from Song puts Simon on wobbly legs, and he circles away. A right to the body finds a home for Simon. Song pressures with punches and Simon circles away. A right uppercut lands to the body for Song. Song misses a high kick followed by a spinning back fist. The round concludes with Song being warned by Dean for leading with his head.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Song
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Song
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Song

Round 4
Simon fires off a combination but Song dodges it. Song lands a leg kick. Simon hits a low kick of his own. Simon attempts a flying knee but Song shoves him back. Song then puts together a nice combination, landing to the body and head. Song sticks a jab then sprawls on a takedown. Simon resets and tries again, but yet again Song denies it. Song moves in with a left hook to the head, and Simon circles away. Song backs up Simon with a combination and then digs a hook to the body. Simon fires off a right hand and then a pair of leg kicks. Another right for Song. Song again lands a combination, but Simon answers with a jab. Song has a low kick checked. Simon moves forward behind his jab and Song answers with a body kick. Simon thinks about a takedown but Song is wise to it. Song with a right hook. Simon moves in with a straight left. Another jab lands for Simon. Song doubles up on his jab and follows with a right hand. Son lands a leg kick and sits Simon down with a left hand right at the horn. Song dives into top position as the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Song
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Song
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Song

Round 5
Simon will likely need something big to get the win. Simon jabs forward. Song lands a left hook to the body. A nicely timed overhand right stops Simon in his tracks. Shortly thereafter,
Song drops Simon with a left hook during an exchange. Song pounces on his reeling foe, unloading with heavy punches. Simon tries to scramble out of danger, but the barrage continues and he falls back to the canvas, still absorbing damage.
Finally, Dean has seen enough and steps in to wave off the bout.

The Official Result
Yadong Song def. Ricky Simon via TKO (Punches) R5 1:10
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ricky Simón

Connor is impressed with Simón's rapid improvement, especially his boxing and wrestling integration since the Rob Font loss. He notes Simón's flexibility, ability to counter off the back foot, and scrambling prowess. However, he acknowledges Song's power and chin, and the risk of a knockout. He ultimately favors Simón due to Song's stagnation and Simón's adaptability.

Odds mentioned: Simón opened +104, dropped to -130, currently -115. Song opened -115, currently +122. Small cage noted as a factor helping Simón.
"I think Ricky Simone, there are a lot of opportunities on a one-note fighter like Song Yedong despite his physicality."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ricky Simón

Zane agrees with Connor, citing Simón's improvement and Song's plateau. He highlights Simón's wrestling threat and pace, and Song's tendency to throw everything hard and get tracked down. He notes Song's potential to knock Simón out but leans on Simón's recent performances and adaptability.

Same odds commentary as Connor.
"We're both picking Ricky Simone."
Cameron Smotherman - Fight History
SCHED vs Kai Asakura
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Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Asakura (-275); Smotherman (+225)

Round 1
Next up at UFC Macau are a pair of bantamweights who could really use a win, as Asakura (21-6; 0-2 UFC) and Smotherman (12-6; 1-2 UFC) have both underperformed thus far, compared to expectations. For former
Rizin Fighting Federation
star Asakura, it is a return to bantamweight, where his best pre-UFC wins took place anyway. Both men are in orthodox stance when Marc Goddard sends them into battle, and while Smotherman does look a tad larger, Asakura does not look at all like a blown-up flyweight. The early exchanges are cautious, mostly single strikes, with none of the exotic flying attacks that comprise so much of his highlight reel, but his speed advantage is obvious. He splits the guard of Smotherman with a couple of punches that land and hurt, then drops him to a knee with a beautiful switch right hook that wraps around the guard.
Smotherman manages to get back to his feet, but as he staggers back towards the fence, Asakura lands two left hooks. The second one puts Smotherman out completely, face down on the canvas where he remains for a long time.
Absolutely sensational knockout from Kai Asakura.

The Official Result
Kai Asakura def. Cameron Smotherman R1 1:50 via KO (Punches)
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked May 26, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Kai Asakura

AJ picks Asakura (referred to as Caio Borralho in transcript, but context indicates Kai Asakura) because of his snappy kickboxing, dangerous knees, and body kicks. He notes Smotherman is a decent boxer but has no offensive grappling (zero takedowns in UFC) and had a terrible weight cut. AJ thinks Asakura's speed advantage will show and predicts a knockout, possibly via knee.

Asakura KO
"I think Caio Borralho should absolutely have a speed advantage that shows in a big way. And I'm even willing to say Caio Borralho shuts Smotherman off, dude. ... I'm going Caio Borralho KO in this one."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked May 18, 2026 (12 days before fight)
Kai Asakura

AJ picks Asakura, believing he will be reinvigorated at bantamweight after struggling with the cut to flyweight. He notes Asakura's speed, kickboxing, and knockout power will be too much for Smotherman, who is a lower-tier opponent. AJ expects a KO win, possibly in highlight-reel fashion.

Kai Asakura wins by KO/TKO
"I'm picking Kai Asakura, first thing. Just remember something. Asakura's, you know, pre-UFC run when he was looking like this striking maestro, when he had all of this hype from Rizin, it took place at 135."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 24, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Kai Asakura

Angelo picks Kai Asakura because he is the superior striker and Smotherman has no takedown attempts in the UFC. He notes that Asakura's takedown defense is nonexistent, but since Smotherman doesn't wrestle, Asakura should win on the feet. He refuses to bet on Asakura at -300 due to the takedown vulnerability, but he believes Asakura will win.

"Ka Sakura has to be the pick. Has to be the pick. But am I going to bet on a guy at minus 300 who I'm 100% sure cannot defend a takedown? No."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Kai Asakura

Angelo picks Kai Asakura because he is the better striker in a striking matchup. He notes that Cameron Smotherman has zero recorded takedown attempts in the UFC and is coming off a bad weight cut. He thinks Kai's speed and footwork will be the difference, but he is not betting due to the odds.

"Kai Asakur is gonna be the pick. I think Kai Sakura gets his first win. I'm not betting on a winless dude at minus 253."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 29, 2026 (fight day)
Kai Asakura

Angelo picks Kai Asakura, believing his striking is superior to Smotherman's and that Smotherman won't attempt takedowns, negating Asakura's weakness. He notes Asakura is winless in the UFC but should win if he doesn't have to defend takedowns.

"Kai Asakur is the pick, but I don't know if I could throw a guy in my lineup that is just winless in the UFC and has such a glaring hole in his game."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 26, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Kai Asakura

Big Brady picks Asakura by first-round KO, viewing this as a massive step down in competition after Asakura's title fight debut. He notes Smotherman has a poor chin, has been knocked out multiple times, and recently fell face-first on the scale. He believes Asakura is a much better striker and grappler, and that Smotherman can't grapple, so the fight stays on the feet where Asakura has power and quick hands.

first round knockout
"Give me Asakura to win this fight by first round knockout. I think somebody's getting knocked out, so violence is probably the answer."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kai Asakura

Cody picks Asakura, citing his speed and striking advantage over Smotherman. He notes Smotherman's bad weight cuts, suspect durability (KO loss in 13 seconds), and poor wrestling. Cody believes Asakura can piece him up on the feet and potentially knock him out. He also mentions that Asakura's move up to 135 may help with weight cut and speed.

Asakura by knockout; fight doesn't go to decision
"Asakura is a better striker than he just is. And he's way faster. So that's the only advantage of him coming up."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kai Asakura

Levi picks Asakura, believing he has better boxing and can knock out Smotherman. He dismisses Smotherman's UFC credentials, noting his knockout loss to Harlampos Gregorio and weight-cutting issues. Levi thinks Asakura will finally showcase his hype.

Kai Asakura by KO/TKO; also mentioned submission possibility; odds: Asakura -250, Smotherman +210
"I think Kai Asakura is going to knock out Smotherman, but if he wants to test out his grappling, I think he can come out here and submit Smotherman."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Kai Asakura

Jacob picks Kai Asakura because he should have the speed advantage and be more dynamic. He notes that Cameron Smotherman tends to plant his feet and look for counters, which could lead to inactivity. He warns that Kai should not hang out in the pocket because Cameron has power.

"I'm gonna pick Kai as much as I hate it because he is gonna be a little bit more live with the footwork and stuff like that."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked May 23, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Kai Asakura

Lucrative James picks Kai Asakura but is not confident, calling it a 'very strange fight' and disliking the line. He notes Asakura's poor UFC performances, including submission losses, and questions his move up to bantamweight where he loses the size advantage. He sees Asakura's path via knockout due to power and speed, but worries if he doesn't get the finish, Smotherman's boxing could win rounds. He mentions Smotherman's fainting incident and chin issues but still leans Asakura as a pure pick, though he would look at props or even bet Smotherman if the line moves.

Kai Asakura via knockout, flying knee
"I'm going to take Kai Isakura as a pure pick here. I'm going to take him via knockout, like flying knee or something like that. But ultimately, it's not a confident prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 25, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Kai Asakura

The host picks Asakura, believing his power and speed will be too much for Smotherman. He notes Asakura is more dangerous in the knockout department and may have a speed advantage. He expects Asakura to land big shots and potentially put Smotherman away, despite Smotherman's technical edge.

"I believe Asakor will be uh the more effective and damaging striker. So much so that he ends up actually getting the knockout here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kai Asakura

The host believes this is the most favorable matchup for Kai Asakura in the UFC, expecting him to utilize his flashy striking. Despite Smotherman's technical striking, Asakura's speed and power will be the difference, leading to a knockout.

by knockout
"I think the speed and power of Asakuro will be the differencemaker here, leading to the Japanese fighter earning his first win in the UFC by knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kai Asakura

Paul is tempted by Asakura but hesitant due to his age (32) and move up in weight. He notes Asakura's losses in rematches and his UFC loss to Pantoja. However, he acknowledges Smotherman's poor weight cut and durability issues, and that Asakura is the better striker. Paul leans Asakura but is not fully confident.

"I'm tempted to use Asakura a little too heavy this week... but again money's coming in on him and at 275 for a striker versus striker I don't know there's enough that could go wrong."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 20, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Kai Asakura

The Guru picks Kai Asakura over Cameron Smotherman, citing Kai's speed and power advantage. He believes Kai's explosive striking will outclass Smotherman's volume-based boxing. He notes Smotherman's back-to-back losses and expects Kai to land the bigger shots.

"I'm taking Kai Asakura."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 26, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Kai Asakura

The Guru picks Asakura due to superior grappling and striking. He notes Asakura has good knees, combinations, and recovers quickly when hurt. Smotherman is a striker who hates grappling and has decent takedown defense but will be outmatched on the ground. Asakura should win comfortably.

"Kaioakur should win this fight. I'd be surprised if he doesn't."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 20, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Kai Asakura

The MMA Guru picks Kai Asakura to win by knockout. He notes that Asakura is a step up in competition for Smotherman, and Asakura's striking is more dynamic and powerful. He believes Asakura will keep the fight on the feet and land a knockout, as Smotherman is mostly a boxer and small for the weight class.

"I think he's going to be the much better, more powerful, more dynamic striker and he's going to win by knockout against Smotherman in this fight."
CANCEL vs Ricky Turcios
UFC 324 · Jan 24, 2026
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Cameron Smotherman

Angelo picks Cameron Smotherman, calling him the far better striker who will control the fight on the feet. He criticizes Ricky Turcios for getting worse in each fight, describing his style as running forward with windmill punches. He notes Smotherman's unreliability but believes he is more than a 2-to-1 favorite.

"Cameron's going to be the pick. I'm actually more confident in him than his odds. I am more than a two to one favorite confidence level in Cameron Smotherin."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 15, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Cameron Smotherman

Big Brady is not a fan of either fighter, but leans Smotherman due to his slick striking and hands. He criticizes Turcios for a poor performance against Aiemann Zahabi and his taunting. However, he notes Smotherman is chinny and has been knocked out before, so he's not confident. He predicts Smotherman by decision.

Smotherman by decision
"I'm leaning Smotherman here by decision, but if there's a fight on this car that I'm just not a fan of, it's it's it's this fight right here."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 21, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ricky Turcios

Cody leans toward Ricky Turcios as an underdog, citing his durability and cardio. He notes Turcios's wrestling and volume could overwhelm Smotherman, who has poor takedown defense. Cody believes Turcios can win a decision or even a submission, and likes the plus money value.

"I kind of think Ricky Tersios might be able to pull this thing off. First and foremost, like Paul said, the guy's got a cast iron chin."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Cameron Smotherman

Connor picks Smotherman because he is at least fast and powerful, while Turcios is a mess with low athleticism. He notes that Smotherman has technical skills but freezes up, while Turcios is a cyclone of activity without direction. Connor believes Smotherman has more potential to do damage if he chooses to.

"I will pick smotherman because i'm not picking tercios against any competition of any reasonable athlete."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jan 8, 2026 (16 days before fight)
Cameron Smotherman

Daniel Vreeland picks Cameron Smotherman simply because he dislikes Ricky Turcios as a fighter. He notes that neither fighter belongs in the UFC, but he refuses to pick Turcios. Vreeland acknowledges that Smotherman has decent hands but a suspect chin and poor ground game, making this a low-confidence pick.

"I'm gonna go with Cameron Smotherman for that reason, but like I mean this fight could go a variety of ways."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 14, 2026 (10 days before fight)
Cameron Smotherman

James picks Smotherman, calling him the much better boxer and noting Turcios's lack of activity and focus on side ventures. He expects Smotherman to outbox Turcios and possibly hurt him.

"I got smother for this fight. I think he's improving. I think he's kind of a promising fighter in general."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 20, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Cameron Smotherman

The host picks Smotherman by decision, citing his slick striking and footwork. He believes Smotherman can counter Turcios's pressure and avoid grappling, as Turcios is not as strong a wrestler as Ricky Simone. He notes Smotherman's takedown defense has improved and expects him to win on the scorecards.

Smotherman by decision
"I'm going to go Smotherman and Smotherman by decision. Uh, as long as he doesn't have a hiccup in the grappling realm, he should win this matchup."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 21, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Cameron Smotherman

Paul picks Cameron Smotherman but is hesitant due to his takedown defense issues. He notes Smotherman's superior boxing and volume, but worries about Turcios's wrestling and durability. Paul prefers the over 2.5 rounds prop and believes Smotherman can win a decision if he stuffs takedowns.

Over 2.5 rounds
"Smotherman is going to be the pick for me and that's kind of just hoping that like he's worked on that takedown defense."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Cameron Smotherman

The MMA Guru picks Cameron Smotherman, noting that Ricky Turcios has looked scared to fight and has not won recently. He likes Smotherman's body work and ability to snowball into fights, while Turcios lacks early aggression. He predicts a decision win.

decision
"I'm going to go with Cameron Smotherman here by decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Cameron Smotherman

Zane agrees with Connor, using the same logic: Smotherman is a solid athlete while Turcios has very little natural athleticism. He notes that Turcios has stamina and toughness but is a mess technically. Zane thinks Smotherman could do damage if he chooses to, but the fight is low level.

"Same same logic for me smotherman at least is fast and and powerful. He is clearly a solid athlete and tercios is clearly somebody who is doing as much as he can with very little natural athleticism."
LOSS vs Ricky Simón
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley · Jun 14, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricky Simón 0 34 of 74 45% 50 of 94 3 of 10 30% 0 0 9:13
Cameron Smotherman 0 29 of 99 29% 33 of 104 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricky Simón 0 7 of 13 53% 19 of 27 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:27
Cameron Smotherman 0 1 of 6 16% 3 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ricky Simón 0 16 of 31 51% 20 of 37 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:56
Cameron Smotherman 0 11 of 37 29% 12 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ricky Simón 0 11 of 30 36% 11 of 30 1 of 7 14% 0 0 1:50
Cameron Smotherman 0 17 of 56 30% 18 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricky Simón 34 of 74 45% 22 of 62 4 of 4 8 of 8 28 of 62 4 of 6 2 of 6
Cameron Smotherman 29 of 99 29% 23 of 89 5 of 9 1 of 1 25 of 94 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricky Simón 7 of 13 53% 5 of 11 0 of 0 2 of 2 4 of 7 3 of 3 0 of 3
Cameron Smotherman 1 of 6 16% 0 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ricky Simón 16 of 31 51% 8 of 23 3 of 3 5 of 5 14 of 28 0 of 0 2 of 3
Cameron Smotherman 11 of 37 29% 9 of 35 2 of 2 0 of 0 10 of 36 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ricky Simón 11 of 30 36% 9 of 28 1 of 1 1 of 1 10 of 27 1 of 3 0 of 0
Cameron Smotherman 17 of 56 30% 14 of 49 3 of 7 0 of 0 14 of 52 3 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ricky Simon vs. Cameron Smotherman
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Simon (-440), Smotherman (+340)

Round 1
On short notice, Simon (21-6, 9-5 UFC) now stands across the cage from high-flying Fury FC product Smotherman (12-5, 1-1 UFC). Simon was initially expected to battle Charles Jourdain, but it is what it is now. The bantamweights will be joined in the cage by referee Blake Grice, who claps them in as they choose to tap their gloves together. Smotherman jabs and low kicks, and Simon does the same. Simon turns his hips into one thudding kick, and he suddenly goes high with a kick that Smotherman barely blocks in time. Both swipe at the other with hooks, and Simon drops levels, stutter-steps and shoots for a single-leg takedown. Simon lifts Smotherman all the way in the air and chucks him to the mat, where Smotherman is quick to sit up against the wire. Simon hooks one leg in and starts peppering Smotherman with free left hands, and Smotherman is stuck unable to get back up. When Smotherman attempts to stand, Simon wrenches him back down again. Simon isolates Smotherman’s left arm in pursuit of a kimura, and Smotherman gives up position to defend against it. Simon takes advantage of this to step into full mount, and he allows Smotherman to turn over so he can start fishing for a rear-naked choke. Simon cannot get his hooks in, so Smotherman is able to fight back to his feet with about 30 seconds left in the round. Simon leans on him against the wire, kneeing him in the side of the head while trying to drag Smotherman back down. Simon rides out the round squeezing.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Simon
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Simon
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Simon

Round 2
Smotherman takes the center of the cage and marches forward to start off the second round, looking for a hook that he cannot find yet. Simon loops a right hand around the guard and plunks the front leg with a kick, and he dodges the counter to weave a right hand up top. Simon kicks the front leg and keeps his guard up to block the right hand aimed down the pipe, and he walks into a pair of punches but does not budge. Instead, Simon leaps in the air with a knee, and he lands and grabs hold of a double. Simon tackles Smotherman to his back, placing himself in half guard while exerting heavy shoulder pressure. Simon flattens his man out when Smotherman tries to buck and twist to get out, and he slashes down with a pair of elbows. Simon leans back a slight amount to wrap his arm around Smotherman’s neck, either for a guillotine setup or to push Smotherman down. Simon spins around to grab his foe from behind, and Smotherman stands back up in the process. Simon leans on Smotherman from the back while jamming Smotherman against the wall, and Smotherman starts chattering towards the grapple-heavy adversary. Simon ignores it and continues to embrace the grind, transitioning a single to a double and back to a single. Smotherman looks for a standing ninja choke, but Simon wriggles his neck out without concern. “The Baby-Faced Killer” drives a knee down the middle, and when it succeeds, he goes for another. Simon shrugs them off and loops a right hand up top and a left to the liver. Simon narrowly avoids a looping right hand as he scores a low kick, and Smotherman’s final strike of the round is a front kick to the chest. Grice has to get between the two when the horn sounds, ushering them back to their corners. Smotherman does not appear to be a happy man right now.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Simon
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Simon
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Simon

Round 3
Smotherman is fired up between rounds, and he starts throwing hands and grins when Simon obliges him. Simon takes a jab on the forehead and showboats while dodging the two follow-ups, looking away from the swinging Texan. Simon clips Smotherman with a right hand on the temple, and he grabs hold of Smotherman in a body lock and throws him to his knees. Smotherman powers back up to his feet, but Simon is a dog with a bone as he tries to go from a double to a single to a body lock. Simon pursues a double again when the other efforts fail, and Smotherman’s defense holds up even as he is stuck against the wire. Smotherman pushes off a knee, forcing Simon to wing two punches and shoot in for a double that finally succeeds. Smotherman is placed on his seat, and Simon holds him down and keeps his arms wrapped around a single to keep him in place. Smotherman still gets back to his feet, and he shakes Simon up with an elbow. Smotherman walks him down, firing a left to the body and a right to the head. When Simon counters, Smotherman hits him with a step-in knee. Simon eats a left hook to fire one back, and his right hand gets Smotherman’s attention and tells him it will not be as easy as walking through him with heavy fists. Simon shoots hard for a single, and Smotherman responds with a ninja choke and backs himself to the fencing. Simon is completely unfazed by the submission attempt, not budging and instead pressing on Smotherman until Smotherman bails on it. Smotherman breaks out of the takedown attempt and clinch to drive a pair of lefts to the liver and temple. Simon jabs to beat him to the punch a few times, and Smotherman is winding up with everything he has with his right hand. Simon is able to intercept him when he launches those missiles, slipping the most dangerous of the punches and hitting Smotherman back. Smotherman jabs to the body with the ball of his foot, winging a left to the same spot and a right up top. Simon shrugs at him, but he got stung with the power strikes. Smotherman unloads with pure power, tagging Simon a few times and eating some responsive blows until time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Simon (30-27 Simon)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Smotherman (29-28 Simon)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Smotherman (29-28 Simon)

The Official Result
Ricky Simon def. Cameron Smotherman via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ricky Simón

The Guru picks Ricky Simón, noting he is 'barely a favorite' and sees value. He highlights Simón's momentum from a KO win over Javid Basharat and his power in the pocket. He criticizes Smotherman's quick turnaround after a loss where he took damage, and trusts Simón's fundamentals and grappling options.

"I actually think this is really good odds for Ricky Simone. He's barely a favorite here. I know he's stepping up and you know Cameron Smotherman lost his last fight and he's stepping in and this is a bit of …"
LOSS vs Serhiy Sidey
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · May 03, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cameron Smotherman 0 58 of 134 43% 61 of 137 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Serhiy Sidey 0 55 of 132 41% 66 of 149 5 of 12 41% 1 0 4:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cameron Smotherman 0 22 of 43 51% 25 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Serhiy Sidey 0 27 of 50 54% 28 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:55
2 Cameron Smotherman 0 12 of 29 41% 12 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Serhiy Sidey 0 11 of 39 28% 21 of 55 4 of 7 57% 0 0 2:19
3 Cameron Smotherman 0 24 of 62 38% 24 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Serhiy Sidey 0 17 of 43 39% 17 of 43 1 of 4 25% 1 0 0:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cameron Smotherman 58 of 134 43% 43 of 114 15 of 20 0 of 0 53 of 124 5 of 10 0 of 0
Serhiy Sidey 55 of 132 41% 30 of 98 15 of 22 10 of 12 49 of 122 6 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cameron Smotherman 22 of 43 51% 16 of 34 6 of 9 0 of 0 22 of 40 0 of 3 0 of 0
Serhiy Sidey 27 of 50 54% 12 of 33 7 of 8 8 of 9 23 of 45 4 of 5 0 of 0
2 Cameron Smotherman 12 of 29 41% 6 of 22 6 of 7 0 of 0 10 of 27 2 of 2 0 of 0
Serhiy Sidey 11 of 39 28% 6 of 28 4 of 9 1 of 2 9 of 35 2 of 4 0 of 0
3 Cameron Smotherman 24 of 62 38% 21 of 58 3 of 4 0 of 0 21 of 57 3 of 5 0 of 0
Serhiy Sidey 17 of 43 39% 12 of 37 4 of 5 1 of 1 17 of 42 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Serhiy Sidey vs. Cameron Smotherman
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Sidey (-135), Smotherman (+114)

Round 1
Bantamweight wild men meet next, as Sidey and Smotherman face off under the supervision of referee Dan Miragliotta. Both are in orthodox stance and Smotherman creeps forward behind a high guard, as the visibly taller Sidey gives ground, sticks out a jab and lands an outside low kick. Sidey plants and throws a glancing one-two. Sidey lands a nice jab to the body. Smotherman continues to march forward at a deliberate pace, landing a nice body shot of his own. Sidey catches Smotherman with a hard leg kick. Sidey times Smotherman for a smooth as glass double-leg, but he can’t finish as he switches to a single and Smotherman hops backward on one leg all the way to the fence, where he extricates his limb and they reset in the middle of the Octagon. The bantamweights converge and throw simultaneously, both men landing in the exchange. Smotherman throws out a jab to the body, and Sidey collapses the pocket, changes levels and runs him to the fence again. Smotherman defends the takedown with ease, but as they come off the fence, Sidey lands another hard kick to Smotherman’s lead leg. With under a minute to go in the round, they have returned to the middle of the cage and Sidey is once again sliding laterally, sticking out his long jab. Sidey comes up short on a spinning back kick to the body right before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Sidey
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Sidey
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sidey

Round 2
Smotherman marches forward to open Round 2, and Sidey meets him with a feint, then a quick single-leg that he uses to haul Smotherman to the mat near the fence. Smotherman gets back to a knee, then to his feet, with the Canadian stuck to his back. Miragliotta cautions Smotherman for grabbing the fence. A few seconds later Smotherman spins toward Sidey, and Sidey disengages, giving him room to get off the cage. Smotherman takes the center of the Octagon and advances towards Sidey, whose movement continues to give the Texan problems. Smotherman catches an errant blow, but he waves off Miragliotta’s offer of a time-out. Sidey tries for another takedown, but Smotherman sprawls and gets his hips out of danger, tagging Sidey with a glancing right hand on the break. Sidey closes the distance and grabs Smotherman as they go careening into the fence. Sidey elevates and dumps Smotherman to all fours, but he pops right back up. Sidey stays on him as he gets to a knee, then back to his feet. Sidey throws a couple of punches from behind as Smotherman stands, then hauls him back down. Smotherman gets back up quickly, but the round ends with Sidey still glued to him against the cage.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Sidey
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Sidey
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sidey

Round 3
Round 3 starts with a touch of gloves, marking one of the few times so far in the fight that Smotherman has been able to get a glove on his opponent that easily. They go back to work in the center of the cage and Sidey tries for a quick takedown, which Smotherman defends. Sidey is on his horse, circling away from the pursuing Smotherman, and times him for a beautiful level change. He puts Smotherman on his behind with a double-leg, and as Smotherman stands, Sidey attempts an anaconda choke. A tense sequence ensues, as Smotherman carefully returns to his feet while keeping his air and blood supplies intact, but Sidey is eventually forced to let the choke go. They return to exchanging in space with under two minutes to go, and Sidey punctuates his stick-and-move with a little more stick, sitting down on his best single punch of the fight. Sidey tries for another takedown but Smotherman is all over it, and he returns fire with a good body shot as they come back up. Smotherman is pursuing Sidey at the 10-second clapper, coming up short on a flying knee attempt, and can’t land anything of consequence before the final horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Sidey (30-27 Sidey)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Sidey (30-27 Sidey)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sidey (30-27 Sidey)

The Official Result
Serhiy Sidey def. Cameron Smotherman via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Cameron Smotherman

Angelo picks the underdog Cameron Smotherman, believing he can get inside Serhiy Sidey's range and win. He criticizes Sidey's reliance on height and notes that Smotherman looked good on short notice against Jake Hadley. He is not sure if he will bet on it but is confident in the pick.

"Cameron Smotherman is the pick. Going with the underdog."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Serhiy Sidey

Big Brady picks Serhiy Sidey, citing his length, rangy striking, body shots, toughness, and sneaky grappling. He notes that Smotherman has terrible takedown defense and questionable durability, having been knocked down by a jab and starched by Charalampos Grigoriou. Brady expects a back-and-forth war but trusts Sidey's durability and ability to mix it up. He predicts Sidey will knock out Smotherman in the third round.

Round 3 KO
"Give me City here. And I think City knocks out Smotherman. I'll say Siri City wins this fight by third round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked May 1, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Serhiy Sidey

Connor picks Sidey, citing his dynamic striking and ability to build rhythm under pressure. He notes that Sidey's wildness and reach advantage could disrupt Smotherman's methodical pressure. Connor points out that Smotherman's win over Hadley may have been more about Hadley's poor performance than Smotherman's excellence. He believes Sidey's unpredictability and volume will be too much for Smotherman to handle.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I think I will pick Sidey... I think Smotherman might still be at the level where a genuine wild man will really knock him off his pace."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 1, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Serhiy Sidey

Sidey has a range and height advantage that will help him dictate the pace. He has been training at MMA Lab and should show improvements. I expect him to land more shots from distance and win a decision.

"I have to lean ever so slightly to the City side as I believe his range and height advantage will help him dictate the pace of this matchup."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Cameron Smotherman

The MMA Guru picks Cameron Smotherman, noting his body work and forward pressure. He believes Serhiy Sidey slows down and covers up when pressured, and that Smotherman can take over in the later rounds. He predicts a 29-28 decision win for Smotherman, with momentum shifting in the second round.

29-28 decision
"I'm going to go with Cameron Smotherman to win this as the fight goes on. 29-28 decision win based on the last two rounds."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked May 1, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Cameron Smotherman

Zane picks Smotherman, impressed by his improved combination punching and pressure against Jake Hadley. He believes Smotherman can replicate that performance by targeting Sidey's body and staying consistent. However, he worries that Sidey's wild, unpredictable style could throw Smotherman off his game. Zane acknowledges that Smotherman's previous wins came against opponents who offered little resistance, and Sidey is more dynamic.

Odds: Sidey -133, Smotherman +117. Zane thinks the odds are right and should be close.
"I am going to pick Smotherman. I want him to improve and I think he showed signs of it."
WIN vs Jake Hadley
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · Oct 19, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cameron Smotherman 0 60 of 165 36% 70 of 176 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:53
Jake Hadley 0 96 of 259 37% 97 of 260 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cameron Smotherman 0 24 of 58 41% 24 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jake Hadley 0 37 of 79 46% 37 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Cameron Smotherman 0 18 of 57 31% 27 of 67 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:07
Jake Hadley 0 25 of 75 33% 26 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Cameron Smotherman 0 18 of 50 36% 19 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:46
Jake Hadley 0 34 of 105 32% 34 of 105 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cameron Smotherman 60 of 165 36% 28 of 124 17 of 24 15 of 17 59 of 163 1 of 2 0 of 0
Jake Hadley 96 of 259 37% 43 of 181 48 of 72 5 of 6 96 of 259 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cameron Smotherman 24 of 58 41% 8 of 40 7 of 7 9 of 11 24 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jake Hadley 37 of 79 46% 13 of 48 23 of 30 1 of 1 37 of 79 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Cameron Smotherman 18 of 57 31% 6 of 40 7 of 12 5 of 5 17 of 56 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jake Hadley 25 of 75 33% 13 of 52 10 of 21 2 of 2 25 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Cameron Smotherman 18 of 50 36% 14 of 44 3 of 5 1 of 1 18 of 49 0 of 1 0 of 0
Jake Hadley 34 of 105 32% 17 of 81 15 of 21 2 of 3 34 of 105 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jake Hadley vs. Cameron Smotherman
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Smotherman (+350), Hadley (-450)

Round 1
On short notice, Hadley (11-3, 3-3 UFC) goes from taking on Brady Hiestand to welcoming Fury FC staple Smotherman (11-4, 0-0 UFC) to the Octagon. When the dust settles, one of these two bantamweights will celebrate a record in the UFC above .500. The other will fall below the even line. Referee Chris Tognoni will be the third man in the cage for this one, and he observes a glove touch as they get started. Hadley strikes first with a low kick, using it to disrupt the forward movement of his opponent. Hadley lands it again as Smotherman comes towards him, and he keeps chipping away at a safe range. Smotherman lands a jab to the body and reaches with a right hand over the top, forcing Hadley to bounce off the fencing. Smotherman connects with a right to the body and checks a kick to unload a right hand around the guard. Hadley stays composed working on the front leg of his foe, and Smotherman is measuring his right hand for it. Smotherman digs a right to the solar plexus, and he walks Hadley down throwing hands. Hadley tries to catch him first, but Smotherman’s right hand is loaded for bear. Hadley lands a kick to the ribs, and Smotherman gives him a right hand to the side to think about. Smotherman keeps attacking the body, stalking Hadley down but not getting reckless, and he just misses with a massive left hand. Smotherman opens up head shots with rights to the midsection, and Hadley keeps moving so as to not get cornered. Smotherman is devoted to body shots, and he slips a left hand over the top. Smotherman kicks his way into a punch combo, and Hadley chomps down on his gumshield and lets go with a big left. Smotherman slips a few punches, mostly targeting the body with his responses, and he scores a solid body kick while Hadley escapes. Smotherman clips Hadley with one big right hand before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Smotherman
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Smotherman
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Smotherman

Round 2
The round begins with Hadley leading with a few punches, and he kicks low and bangs his instep into the newcomer’s cup. Tognoni calls time as Smotherman grimaces, and Hadley apologizes profusely for the inadvertent groin kick. Smotherman asks to get going after a little under a minute, and they resume fighting by trading jabs. The two box one another, setting their big punches up in combination. Smotherman lands, Hadley hits him back and Smotherman gives him one more to think about. Smotherman knocks his man back with a short left, and Hadley steps in to drill the debutant with a sharp left hook. Smotherman blinks it out, jabs the body and comes in with a short flurry. Hadley is away before most of the strikes find their target, constantly circling to his left which is in the direction of Smotherman’s power right hand. Jabs fly out from both sides, and Smotherman is the one to successfully chain one into four more punches including a pair of body shots. Smotherman digs two more under the guard, and he puts a right hand straight on the sternum. Hadley swings back with a right hand off the temple, and Smotherman is in front of him ready to pay him back with a hooking left. They trade body shots at the same time, a rare occurrence, and when trading hands, Hadley jams his fingers into both eye sockets like Moe from “The Three Stooges.” Smotherman turns away, not thrilled by the foul one bit, and Tognoni calls in the doctor to check on him before long. Smotherman informs the physician that some Vaseline slid into his eye, causing him issues seeing. Tognoni tells Smotherman he needs to take all the time he should to recover, and not hurry back. Smotherman wipes his eye a few times with a piece of gauze, before asking for a towel to help clear his vision better. Smotherman keeps checking to see how much time he has, and he is still having a hard time seeing even after a few minutes. Smotherman informs both Tognoni and the doctor that he is still fighting, and that he is good to go after four minutes. Tognoni takes one point for the eye poke, and Hadley protests but his complaint falls in deaf ears. When they resume, Smotherman is amped up, swinging wildly until Hadley threatens with a takedown. While Hadley gets him down, Smotherman climbs back to his feet before long. Hadley presses his man against the wire, and Smotherman gets free at the sound of the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Smotherman
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 Smotherman
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Smotherman

Round 3
There is a double clap of hands to get started, and Smotherman is as aggressive as ever, swinging his way into close range. Hadley throws back but gets backed to the wall, and he is forced to shoot in for a double. Smotherman defends against it while being pinned to the fence, and Tognoni asks for more work as Hadley is largely stalling. Smotherman bursts out of the tie-up to walk Hadley down, eating a left hand so he can let his hands go. Hadley retreats and fails to counter effectively, with a leg kick his best weapon while Smotherman marches him down. Smotherman kicks him in the side, and he throws another kick to the same spot but absorbs a flush one-two in response. Smotherman digs a left to the liver and looks for a right to the head, and Hadley has a head kick waiting for him. Smotherman loads up a bit too much on his power strikes, and Hadley beats him to the punch when evading. Smotherman pounds on the ribs from both sides, landing cleanly and stepping in to knee “White Kong” in the guts. Smotherman goes body to head and then chains a knee after one, flowing with punches and knees while Hadley’s back is up against the fence. Hadley surprises the Texan with a left hand, and Smotherman’s legs wobble briefly as he gathers himself. Hadley measures out another big left, and Smotherman wears it well this time and lets off a front kick that bounces into Hadley’s cup. Tognoni is on top of it, giving Hadley time to recover as it is now Smotherman who has to apologize. Hadley is ready after about 40 seconds, and Smotherman walks him down as soon as they resume. Smotherman shoves an uppercut through the guard, and Hadley is warned for outstretched fingers as he tries to fence off. Smotherman strings several punches together, only for Hadley to blast him in the face with heavy blows and a head kick that further makes his knees quake. Hadley swings wildly, Smotherman defends from a body kick and gives his man one final overhand right to think about before the third round comes to a close.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hadley (29-27 Smotherman)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Hadley (29-27 Smotherman)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Smotherman (30-26 Smotherman)

The Official Result
Cameron Smotherman def. Jake Hadley via Unanimous Decision (30-26, 29-27, 29-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Cameron Smotherman

Angelo picks Cameron Smotherman (referred to as Brady Hiestand, but the fight is Smotherman vs Hadley; likely a transcript error) because he believes Smotherman's wrestling, size, and strength will be too much for Jake Hadley. He notes Hadley's win over Ken Laramie was more about Laramie's poor performance than Hadley's skill. He thinks Smotherman's grit and takedown ability will dominate, and he expects the odds to widen further.

"Brady's the pick and this is another situation where he's minus 147 right now I think those odds are going to widen"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jake Hadley

Big Brady picks Jake Hadley by second-round submission. He notes Smotherman has a questionable chin and non-existent takedown defense. Hadley can take him down easily and has a big BJJ advantage. He expects Hadley to make it look easy, possibly finishing by submission in the second round.

second round submission
"I like Hadley here I I think Hadley's probably going to make this look fairly easy I'll say second round submission for Jake Hadley"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jake Hadley

Connor also picks Hadley, emphasizing that Smotherman's lack of movement and poor defense make him a perfect opponent for Hadley's slick offensive boxing. He notes that Smotherman's only path to victory is if opponents let him pressure them, but Hadley will pour on volume and not be intimidated.

"I think this is a good fight for Hadley especially on no notice"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Feb 21, 2026 (fight day)

This fight was not discussed in the transcript.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jake Hadley

Hadley has a big grappling advantage and Smotherman is taking this fight on short notice, having to cut to 135 lbs and flying from Abu Dhabi. Hadley is the better grappler and should have no problems taking the fight to the ground where Smotherman has shown issues. Look for Hadley to get a submission.

submission
"I think Hadley has a big enough grappling Advantage here and all the things working against smin with him taking this fight on short notice having to cut all the way down to 135 lbs while having to fly all …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Oct 15, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Cameron Smotherman

The Guru picks Smotherman (referred to as Brady Hiestand) despite acknowledging that picking against Jake Hadley often backfires. He notes Smotherman is bigger and has more experience, and expects him to lead the dance with pressure and cardio, winning a 29-28 decision by taking over in the last two rounds. He doubts Hadley's offensive grappling and sees him looking for submissions from bottom.

decision 29-28
"I'm going to go with Brady he down getting this one done"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jake Hadley

Zane picks Hadley, noting that Smotherman is extremely flat-footed and stands still, making him an easy target for Hadley's offensive boxing. He compares Smotherman to a statue who gets clocked when facing speed. Hadley's last fight against a similar flat-footed opponent (Caolan Loughran) went well, and this matchup is even more forgiving.

Fight made on short notice; no odds available
"This is just gonna be really good fight for Hadley"
Expert Picks (1)
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ricky Simón

The Guru picks Ricky Simón, noting he is 'barely a favorite' and sees value. He highlights Simón's momentum from a KO win over Javid Basharat and his power in the pocket. He criticizes Smotherman's quick turnaround after a loss where he took damage, and trusts Simón's fundamentals and grappling options.

"I actually think this is really good odds for Ricky Simone. He's barely a favorite here. I know he's stepping up and you know Cameron Smotherman lost his last fight and he's stepping in and this is a bit of a uh oddly put together matchup but I think Ricky …"
Comments (1)
BR
brian 10 months, 3 weeks ago

Cameron has excellant cardio, dude recovers almost immediately between rounds. Grand performance from Simon