Career Averages - Rose Namajunas
Career Averages - Miranda Maverick
Rose Namajunas
Miranda Maverick
Rose Namajunas - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natália Silva | 0 | 51 of 133 | 38% | 63 of 147 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 |
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 26 of 94 | 27% | 46 of 119 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 2:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Natália Silva | 0 | 15 of 44 | 34% | 15 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 13 of 39 | 33% | 13 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Natália Silva | 0 | 8 of 27 | 29% | 15 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 5 of 18 | 27% | 25 of 43 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:09 | |
| 3 | Natália Silva | 0 | 28 of 62 | 45% | 33 of 69 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 8 of 37 | 21% | 8 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natália Silva | 51 of 133 | 38% | 25 of 95 | 8 of 14 | 18 of 24 | 50 of 132 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Rose Namajunas | 26 of 94 | 27% | 11 of 64 | 3 of 13 | 12 of 17 | 26 of 92 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Natália Silva | 15 of 44 | 34% | 10 of 32 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 9 | 15 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Rose Namajunas | 13 of 39 | 33% | 4 of 22 | 1 of 6 | 8 of 11 | 13 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Natália Silva | 8 of 27 | 29% | 4 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Rose Namajunas | 5 of 18 | 27% | 3 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Natália Silva | 28 of 62 | 45% | 11 of 41 | 7 of 10 | 10 of 11 | 27 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Rose Namajunas | 8 of 37 | 21% | 4 of 26 | 1 of 6 | 3 of 5 | 8 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Natália Silva, calling her faster, cleaner, and a better athlete. He praises her footwork and timing. He acknowledges Rose Namajunas's experience and fight IQ but believes Silva's youth and speed will prevail. He suggests over 2.5 rounds as a likely lock.
Big Brady believes Silva is one of the best flyweights, with elite takedown defense (92%) and great striking volume and power. He thinks Rose will struggle similar to her fight with Fiorot, and Silva will piece her up over 15 minutes for a dominant decision win.
Cody confidently picks Natália Silva, citing her 92% takedown defense and striking volume. He believes Rose Namajunas struggles at 125 pounds and won't be able to secure takedowns. Cody expects Silva to win a unanimous decision, outworking Rose on the feet.
Connor also picks Silva, agreeing that Rose Namajunas has not adapted well to flyweight. He notes that Rose's power and speed have diminished, and that she now has to outwork opponents—a style she never excelled at. Connor points out that Silva is faster, hits harder, and throws more, and that Rose's best chance (wrestling) is untested against Silva. He believes Silva's dynamism will be too much for Rose to handle.
Daniel Vreeland picks Natália Silva to win by decision. He praises Silva's confidence, well-rounded game, and impressive wins over former champions. He notes that Silva is younger, hungrier, and has speed that matches Namajunas. Vreeland believes Silva will beat Namajunas decisively and earn a title shot against Valentina Shevchenko.
James is confident in Silva, noting her superior footwork neutralizes Namajunas's best asset. He expects Silva to win via decision, possibly hurting Namajunas with kicks but not finishing her. He mentions Silva's taekwondo background and that she has cashed for him multiple times.
The host leans towards Silva by decision, praising her distance management and blitzing style. However, he finds the -410 line too wide and believes Rose Namajunas is live as a plus-310 underdog. He notes Namajunas's experience, improved grappling, and ability to counter mobile strikers. He suggests the over 2.5 rounds is a no-brainer and recommends betting on Namajunas for value.
Paul agrees with Cody, emphasizing Silva's speed and combination punching. He doubts Rose can get the wrestling going and believes Silva's quickness will overwhelm her. Paul sees a decision win for Silva, noting that a knockout prop is not worth the price.
The MMA Guru picks Natália Silva, praising her kicking game and ability to fight off the back foot. He notes that Rose Namajunas often leaves fights close and lacks offensive grappling at flyweight. He predicts a decision win, possibly 30-27.
Zane picks Natália Silva confidently, highlighting her incredible speed and high output. He notes that Silva's bad defensive habits (chin in the air) are mitigated by her speed and ability to counter, and that she has hurt every opponent she's faced. Zane argues that Rose Namajunas has lost power and speed at flyweight, and that she can no longer rely on fight-changing shots. He believes Silva's volume and pace will overwhelm Rose over three rounds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Namajunas | 1 | 25 of 86 | 29% | 46 of 118 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 6:33 |
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 25 of 74 | 33% | 52 of 108 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1:48 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 17 of 59 | 28% | 18 of 60 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 20 of 58 | 34% | 20 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 5 of 17 | 29% | 9 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:05 |
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 5 of 14 | 35% | 22 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:45 | |
| 3 | Rose Namajunas | 1 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 19 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:13 |
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 10 of 17 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Namajunas | 25 of 86 | 29% | 22 of 75 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 23 of 83 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Miranda Maverick | 25 of 74 | 33% | 14 of 61 | 5 of 6 | 6 of 7 | 25 of 73 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rose Namajunas | 17 of 59 | 28% | 15 of 50 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 16 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Miranda Maverick | 20 of 58 | 34% | 11 of 47 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 20 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Rose Namajunas | 5 of 17 | 29% | 5 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Miranda Maverick | 5 of 14 | 35% | 3 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Rose Namajunas | 3 of 10 | 30% | 2 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Miranda Maverick | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Rose because she is the better striker with superior footwork and technique. He acknowledges Miranda's wrestling threat but believes Rose can defend takedowns and out-strike her. He expresses concern about Rose's training situation but hopes she strings it together like she did against Tracy Cortez.
Big Brady picks Rose Namajunas by decision. He believes Rose is the better fighter overall, with superior striking and the ability to get takedowns against Maverick's sub-50% takedown defense. He worries slightly about Maverick's strength but notes Rose has done well at flyweight. He thinks Rose should win at least two rounds in a three-round fight.
Connor picks Namajunas, agreeing that Maverick is a 'Jake Matthews of women's flyweight'—athletic but aimless, with no clear idea how to win. He notes that Namajunas is much better in the clinch than she used to be and that Maverick's wrestling entries are poor. Connor believes Namajunas's speed, accuracy, and combination punching will allow her to outwork Maverick, and that Maverick's tendency to float and try things without a plan will be her undoing.
This is a closer fight than the odds suggest, but Namajunas's striking will reign supreme. She may have issues with Maverick's strength and clinch work, but she will get into open space, land more damage, and win a clear decision.
The Guru picks Rose Namajunas, calling her a much better technical martial artist. He notes her grappling defense and standup are superior, and she has size at flyweight. He expects a unanimous decision win, 30-27, as Rose outclasses Maverick everywhere.
Zane picks Namajunas, citing her superior craft, movement, and jab-heavy striking as a clear advantage over Maverick's aimless, unprincipled game. He notes that Maverick lacks a clear process and often gets caught up striking when she should wrestle, while Namajunas is accurate, fast, and effective at kicking range. Zane believes Namajunas can outpoint Maverick over three rounds, as Maverick has consistently lost to fighters with a strong game plan.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Blanchfield | 0 | 110 of 281 | 39% | 193 of 387 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 8:54 |
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 94 of 245 | 38% | 101 of 254 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erin Blanchfield | 0 | 19 of 68 | 27% | 19 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 30 of 61 | 49% | 30 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Erin Blanchfield | 0 | 25 of 67 | 37% | 28 of 70 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 23 of 65 | 35% | 26 of 69 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 3 | Erin Blanchfield | 0 | 11 of 28 | 39% | 48 of 82 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:38 |
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 10 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Erin Blanchfield | 0 | 40 of 93 | 43% | 43 of 97 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 25 of 79 | 31% | 25 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 5 | Erin Blanchfield | 0 | 15 of 25 | 60% | 55 of 70 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 4:08 |
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 7 of 19 | 36% | 10 of 22 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Blanchfield | 110 of 281 | 39% | 81 of 248 | 15 of 16 | 14 of 17 | 103 of 269 | 2 of 6 | 5 of 6 |
| Rose Namajunas | 94 of 245 | 38% | 68 of 212 | 18 of 24 | 8 of 9 | 91 of 241 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erin Blanchfield | 19 of 68 | 27% | 11 of 58 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 6 | 19 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Rose Namajunas | 30 of 61 | 49% | 22 of 52 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 6 | 30 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Erin Blanchfield | 25 of 67 | 37% | 21 of 61 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 25 of 65 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Rose Namajunas | 23 of 65 | 35% | 17 of 58 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 22 of 64 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Erin Blanchfield | 11 of 28 | 39% | 7 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 24 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 |
| Rose Namajunas | 9 of 21 | 42% | 7 of 18 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Erin Blanchfield | 40 of 93 | 43% | 29 of 82 | 6 of 6 | 5 of 5 | 40 of 93 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Rose Namajunas | 25 of 79 | 31% | 16 of 67 | 8 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 25 of 78 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Erin Blanchfield | 15 of 25 | 60% | 13 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 |
| Rose Namajunas | 7 of 19 | 36% | 6 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Rose Namajunas confidently, calling her an all-time great and a better striker than Erin Blanchfield. He notes Blanchfield's inability to get takedowns was exposed against Manon Fiorot, and without that, she is stuck in a striking match with a superior striker. He thinks five rounds help Rose, as she can afford to lose a round if taken down. He placed a half unit bet on Rose at plus 100 (even money).
Big Brady picks Rose Namajunas to win by decision. He questions Erin Blanchfield's wrestling, noting her low takedown accuracy (33%) and failure to take down opponents like Fiorot and Santos. He believes on the feet, Rose is clearly superior, and even if taken down, Rose's scrambling is good. Brady likes the plus money and thinks the big cage favors Rose.
Cody picks Rose Namajunas as an underdog, arguing that Blanchfield's takedown struggles against Manon Fiorot (0 for 3) and Taila Santos (0 for 14) show she can't reliably take down elite grapplers. He believes Rose's striking, footwork, and takedown defense will keep the fight standing, where she has the advantage. He also notes Rose's experience in five-round fights and her ability to mix in takedowns herself.
Daniel Vreeland picks Erin Blanchfield to win, arguing that the line is influenced by recency bias from Blanchfield's loss to Manon Fiorot. He points out that Rose Namajunas has poor takedown defense (under 60%) compared to Fiorot's 93%, and that Blanchfield's grappling is a different level—she can take the back and submit opponents. Vreeland expects Blanchfield to pressure Namajunas, get takedowns, and potentially finish via ground-and-pound or submission.
Lucrative James picks Erin Blanchfield to win inside the distance, emphasizing her grappling advantage. He notes Rose has been taken down in recent fights and that Blanchfield's wrestling will be decisive. He believes Rose has lost some athleticism and that Blanchfield can finish via submission, likely a rear-naked choke.
Namajunas has shown tremendous defensive grappling improvements, and that will get her a victory over Blanchfield. She will win at least three of the five rounds by out-pointing and out-damaging Blanchfield, winning on the scorecards and positioning herself for a title shot.
Paul sides with Rose but is less confident, expecting a close split decision. He notes that Blanchfield's path to victory is through takedowns, but Rose has shown improved takedown defense and can win on the feet. He mentions the common opponent Jessica Andrade, where Rose won by decision and Blanchfield by submission, but sees the fight as competitive. He plans to bet the split decision prop rather than the moneyline.
The Guru picks Rose Namajunas over Erin Blanchfield, calling Blanchfield overrated. He praises Namajunas's technical skills, scrambles, and wrestling reactions. He notes Blanchfield's poor performance against Manon Fiorot and believes Namajunas will win as an underdog.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Namajunas | 1 | 96 of 180 | 53% | 119 of 215 | 5 of 5 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 6:36 |
| Tracy Cortez | 0 | 58 of 198 | 29% | 85 of 233 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rose Namajunas | 1 | 26 of 50 | 52% | 30 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Tracy Cortez | 0 | 12 of 43 | 27% | 14 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 26 of 46 | 56% | 27 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Tracy Cortez | 0 | 11 of 41 | 26% | 12 of 42 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 3 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 5 of 12 | 41% | 15 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:47 |
| Tracy Cortez | 0 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 8 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 4 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 11 of 28 | 39% | 17 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:06 |
| Tracy Cortez | 0 | 12 of 44 | 27% | 15 of 49 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 | |
| 5 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 28 of 44 | 63% | 30 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:52 |
| Tracy Cortez | 0 | 21 of 61 | 34% | 36 of 81 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Namajunas | 96 of 180 | 53% | 66 of 146 | 17 of 20 | 13 of 14 | 93 of 175 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Tracy Cortez | 58 of 198 | 29% | 31 of 162 | 14 of 17 | 13 of 19 | 52 of 189 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rose Namajunas | 26 of 50 | 52% | 16 of 39 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 6 | 26 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Tracy Cortez | 12 of 43 | 27% | 4 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 10 | 12 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Rose Namajunas | 26 of 46 | 56% | 16 of 33 | 5 of 7 | 5 of 6 | 25 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Tracy Cortez | 11 of 41 | 26% | 7 of 36 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Rose Namajunas | 5 of 12 | 41% | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Tracy Cortez | 2 of 9 | 22% | 1 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Rose Namajunas | 11 of 28 | 39% | 8 of 25 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Tracy Cortez | 12 of 44 | 27% | 7 of 37 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 40 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Rose Namajunas | 28 of 44 | 63% | 21 of 37 | 6 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 28 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Tracy Cortez | 21 of 61 | 34% | 12 of 50 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 19 of 58 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Rose Namajunas, citing her superior striking and overall skill. He believes Tracy Cortez's path to victory is through wrestling, but doubts she can take Rose down for 25 minutes, especially since Cortez was training for a three-round fight and now faces five rounds at elevation. He notes that Rose was taken down four times by Amanda Ribas, but Ribas used clinch tosses rather than traditional shots, which are easier to defend. Angelo plans to have multiple bets on Rose.
Cody picks Rose Namajunas, citing her experience at altitude, full camp, and superior striking. He notes Tracy Cortez's inactivity and short notice, and believes Rose's wrestling defense and offensive takedowns will be key. He expects a decision win for Rose.
Daniel Vreeland picks Tracy Cortez to upset Rose Namajunas. He argues that Cortez has a legitimate wrestling background, which historically gives Rose trouble, and that Rose is a 'hot and cold' fighter who struggles when faced with adversity. He notes Cortez's 11-fight win streak and that she was already preparing for a fight next week, so short notice isn't a major issue. He also mentions Rose's age and mileage, suggesting she may be slowing down. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation and prefers the plus 185 underdog.
Rose Namajunas has the striking advantage and the cardio edge, especially at altitude. Cortez will land some takedowns, but over 25 minutes, Namajunas will land better strikes and even some takedowns of her own late, cruising to a decision. The line is a bit wide, but the former champion reigns supreme.
Paul agrees with Cody, emphasizing Rose's full camp, altitude advantage, and five-round experience. He points out that Cortez's wrestling has been neutralized by upper-echelon opponents and that Rose's scrambling ability will nullify takedowns. He sees Rose winning by decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 83 of 270 | 30% | 137 of 342 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:38 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 93 of 188 | 49% | 169 of 281 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 1 | 6:59 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 16 of 47 | 34% | 30 of 63 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 23 of 34 | 67% | 35 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:55 | |
| 2 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 15 of 49 | 30% | 22 of 57 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 19 of 39 | 48% | 43 of 65 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:00 | |
| 3 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 18 of 50 | 36% | 31 of 70 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 19 of 36 | 52% | 20 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:24 | |
| 4 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 10 of 39 | 25% | 29 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 7 of 25 | 28% | 45 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:40 | |
| 5 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 24 of 85 | 28% | 25 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 25 of 54 | 46% | 26 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Namajunas | 83 of 270 | 30% | 39 of 195 | 19 of 42 | 25 of 33 | 76 of 259 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 5 |
| Amanda Ribas | 93 of 188 | 49% | 45 of 124 | 44 of 60 | 4 of 4 | 81 of 176 | 12 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rose Namajunas | 16 of 47 | 34% | 8 of 33 | 2 of 6 | 6 of 8 | 14 of 45 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 23 of 34 | 67% | 6 of 16 | 16 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 16 of 27 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Rose Namajunas | 15 of 49 | 30% | 7 of 34 | 3 of 8 | 5 of 7 | 14 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 19 of 39 | 48% | 12 of 27 | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Rose Namajunas | 18 of 50 | 36% | 10 of 39 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 15 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 5 |
| Amanda Ribas | 19 of 36 | 52% | 11 of 26 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 34 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Rose Namajunas | 10 of 39 | 25% | 3 of 28 | 2 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 10 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 7 of 25 | 28% | 4 of 19 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Rose Namajunas | 24 of 85 | 28% | 11 of 61 | 9 of 18 | 4 of 6 | 23 of 83 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 25 of 54 | 46% | 12 of 36 | 12 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 52 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Rose Namajunas despite rooting for Amanda Ribas. He acknowledges Rose's superior skills and accomplishments but is concerned about her mental state and training camp. He notes that Rose has not looked bad in recent losses, being outstruck by a larger striker in Manon Fiorot and having a boring fight with Carla Esparza. He hopes Ribas wins but cannot pick against Rose's talent.
Big Brady picks Rose Namajunas, stating she is the much better fighter with a better resume. He notes Rose is the better striker, has good grappling, and has gone five rounds before. He points out Ribas is less durable (knocked out three times) and this is her first five-round fight. He predicts a decision win for Rose.
Cody acknowledges Rose's technical skills and well-rounded game, but highlights her mental inconsistency and tendency to have flat performances like the Carla Esparza fight. He notes that Rose is capable of looking like a -500 favorite or just handing rounds away. He ultimately picks Rose but with hesitancy due to these red flags.
Daniel Vreeland leans toward Amanda Ribas if the fight goes past the first two rounds, citing Rose's tendency to fade or lose focus when extended. He notes Ribas has better output, wrestling, and durability in later rounds, while Rose's path is an early knockout. He acknowledges Rose's danger but prefers the dog at plus money.
Namajunas has superior technical striking and should be able to set traps and land clean shots. Ribas is durable but leaves openings and has been finished by technical strikers before. Namajunas should stop takedowns and control the striking, likely finishing by TKO in the third round. The under on 4.5 rounds is favored, indicating a finish is expected.
Paul points out that Amanda Ribas has been bouncing between weight classes and hasn't filled out her frame at 125. He credits Rose's performance against Manon Fiorot, where she fought through a broken hand, and believes Rose will learn from her flat performance against Carla Esparza. He picks Rose but acknowledges the possibility of another lackluster showing.
The MMA Guru picks Rose Namajunas over Amanda Ribas, citing Rose's shot placement and five-round experience. He thinks Ribas' chin is suspect and that Rose will hurt her on the feet. He predicts a second-round rear-naked choke after dropping Ribas with a punch.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manon Fiorot | 0 | 58 of 225 | 25% | 62 of 232 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 60 of 150 | 40% | 60 of 152 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manon Fiorot | 0 | 18 of 88 | 20% | 18 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 23 of 56 | 41% | 23 of 57 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Manon Fiorot | 0 | 19 of 69 | 27% | 23 of 75 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 15 of 40 | 37% | 15 of 41 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 | |
| 3 | Manon Fiorot | 0 | 21 of 68 | 30% | 21 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 22 of 54 | 40% | 22 of 54 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manon Fiorot | 58 of 225 | 25% | 39 of 197 | 15 of 22 | 4 of 6 | 53 of 214 | 4 of 10 | 1 of 1 |
| Rose Namajunas | 60 of 150 | 40% | 32 of 107 | 15 of 26 | 13 of 17 | 59 of 148 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manon Fiorot | 18 of 88 | 20% | 14 of 82 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 88 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Rose Namajunas | 23 of 56 | 41% | 11 of 37 | 4 of 8 | 8 of 11 | 23 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Manon Fiorot | 19 of 69 | 27% | 11 of 55 | 7 of 11 | 1 of 3 | 17 of 62 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Rose Namajunas | 15 of 40 | 37% | 10 of 31 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 38 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Manon Fiorot | 21 of 68 | 30% | 14 of 60 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 64 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Rose Namajunas | 22 of 54 | 40% | 11 of 39 | 7 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 22 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fiorot (-185), Namajunas (+154)
Round 1
The bout that likely holds the greatest immediate title implications today comes in the co-main event, between two flyweights. Competing in MMA on French soil for the first time, Nice-born Fiorot (10-1, 5-0 UFC) hopes that a win over former champ Namajunas (11-5, 9-4 UFC) will propel her to the top of the weight class. On the other side of the equation, “Thug Rose” will be making her first jaunt to 125 pounds after multiple championship reigns down at strawweight. The size difference is not as significant as some might expect, and the women will have upwards of 15 minutes to state their case as elite members of the division. As referee Rich Mitchell stands by, the two ladies decide against bumping fists. Namajunas snaps out a quick right hand, and Fiorot responds with a left. Namajunas lands a low kick, and she pushes off with a side kick as Fiorot crowds her. Namajunas misses with a back fist, and Fiorot lands with a stern right hook. Fiorot stands fearlessly in front of her opponent, and she misses with a one-two and tries to catch her with a second. Namajunas slides to the side and sneak out a left hook. Fiorot catches Namajunas before the former champ can get off a combination, and she connects with a body shot when Namajunas closes the distance. Namajunas kicks low and shoots for a single, and the Frenchwoman tosses her aside with little effort. Fiorot keeps her range with a low kick and lunging jab, and her kicks are successfully keeping Namajunas at bay. Fiorot gets off a jab and a one-two, and Namajunas parries the latter. Namajunas beats Fiorot to the punch with a left hand, and she lands this same punch two more times. Namajunas kicks the lead leg, and Fiorot backs her off with short combinations of punches. Namajunas lands one kick and takes three punches off the top before she can reset. Namajunas manages to get in a single left, and Fiorot ignores it. Fiorot misses with a strike, and Namajunas slips her and connects cleanly with a left hand. As the former champ blocks a kick, she meanders forward and evades the other strikes with decent head movement. Namajunas drops down to her knees to snatch up a single, and Fiorot shuts it down and gets away. Fiorot lands cleanly with a left hand on the nose, and she bats Namajunas away with a side kick. The round ends with Fiorot jabbing.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Round 2
Between rounds, Namajunas informs her corner that she broke her right pink finger, and partner Pat Barry says “that’s alright, you don’t need her finger.” Namajunas is not discouraged despite the potential injury, and she is ready to resume action. Namajunas gets in Fiorot’s face early with a flurry of punches, and Fiorot stays composed and does not take many strikes cleanly. Fiorot boxes Namajunas up with a few shots ending with a short right hook, and two punches send Namajunas off-balance. Namajunas topples over, and she climbs to her knees and up as Fiorot rushes at her. Namajunas fights her way out of the clinch, only to absorb a flush knee to the body. Namajunas swipes out with a left, and her strikes do not have near the impact compared to her opponent’s – and the size difference does appear to be widening the competitive gap between the two. Fiorot takes a hook kick on the nose, and she leans back to dodge a subsequent spinning wheel kick in the nick of time. Fiorot spams punches, and Namajunas evades every single one and comes back with a right hand over the top. Fiorot times a head kick as Namajunas comes in on her, and Namajunas is able to respond with a huge right hand that shakes Fiorot up at the same time Fiorot tosses a side kick. Namajunas uses the moment to pursue a takedown, but Fiorot outmuscles her and keeps herself upright before breaking free. Namajunas lands a right hand on the break, and she holds her guard high to defend against a kick. Both women swing at the same time and duck down, and their heads clack together as a sizeable cut opens on Fiorot’s right temple. Fiorot pays it no mind and tells Mitchell she is fine, and the blood flow is not presenting any issues. Namajunas times a left hand on that target, and she gets pushed back from a side kick. Fiorot sweeps the leg, and she absorbs a good right hand on the way out. Namajunas scores a short left, but Fiorot lands two back at her. Namajunas swings hard, and she does land a left hook, only for Fiorot to completely ignore it as the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Round 3
There is no plan on a glove touch to start the last round, and instead Namajunas is ready to go to battle and try to pull off a comeback. Namajunas lets go with a head kick and shoots for a single, and Fiorot blocks the former and stuffs the latter. Namajunas resets and chops at the lead leg, and she darts forward with a pair of punches that whiz past the Frenchwoman. Namajunas whips a left hand over the top, and she lands another before changing levels. Fiorot will not allow herself to be taken down, and she bucks out of the posture and gets back to kickboxing range. Fiorot gets off a stomp kick to the knee, and Namajunas rushes at her opponent only to miss wide. Namajunas sticks Fiorot during an exchange, and Fiorot retaliates with a trio of punches. Fiorot comes up just short when trying to counter a leg kick, and she absorbs a flush right hand but keeps on moving. The former champ scores a right hand, but it is one-and-done as Fiorot is well away from any strikes that could possibly follow. Fiorot snipes with her jab and swiping right hook, using it to stop Namajunas from getting on the inside. Namajunas chases after Fiorot, and they trade head kicks – Fiorot’s lands much harder. Namajunas tries to cut off the cage, but Fiorot is elusive and her timing is erratic enough to not let Namajunas track her down. Namajunas dings her foe with three left hooks, and Fiorot slips but gathers herself and leans back against the wall instead of falling down. Namajunas looks for a few strikes, and Fiorot breaks off and escapes. Namajunas continues her pursuit, and Fiorot gets out of danger and watches a spin kick soar past her as time elapses.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot (30-27 Fiorot)
The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Rose Namajunas via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo is confident Manon Fiorot dominates, citing her size, power, and volume. He notes Rose Namajunas is moving up in weight and lacks volume compared to Manon. He points out Manon has landed more strikes in each of her last five wins than Rose did in five-round fights. He has parlayed Manon with Ange Loosa.
Big Brady picks Fiorot, citing her size, strength, power, and volume advantage over the smaller Namajunas moving up from strawweight. He doubts Rose can outgrapple, outvolume, or knock out Fiorot. He expects Fiorot to win a decision, though he acknowledges Rose's striking talent and calls it an interesting test.
Cody picks Fiorot due to size and strength advantages at flyweight, and questions Rose's motivation after a lackluster performance against Esparza. He notes Rose's striking advantages were not used in that fight and she has been off for a year. Fiorot's kicking game and French crowd support are key factors. Cody sees Rose's offensive wrestling as a potential path but doubts she can take down or hold down a strong flyweight.
Daniel Levi picks Manon Fiorot, arguing that Fiorot's elusive, outside-fighting style will frustrate Rose Namajunas, who thrives in pocket boxing exchanges. He believes Fiorot will use sidekicks and movement to keep Rose at range, preventing her from letting her hands go. Levi dismisses the size narrative, stating that Fiorot is not a pressure grappler so the weight class difference is irrelevant. He expects a clear 30-27 decision, noting that Fiorot has a history of outpointing tough opponents like Mayra Bueno Silva.
Lucrative James is on Fiorot, having bet on her almost every fight. He thinks Fiorot is legit, top-five material, and that Rose is meeting her at the wrong time. He notes Rose's mental issues, long layoff, career-worst performance, and step up in weight. He believes Fiorot is bigger and stronger, and that Rose hasn't been finished except by Carla Esparza long ago. He likes Fiorot by points at +140, as he doesn't see a finish.
I'm leaning with Fiorot here. She has great takedown defense and a dynamic striking style with power and volume. Rose is a wild card mentally and may struggle with the weight cut to flyweight. Fiorot's footwork and ability to stay at distance should allow her to land significant strikes. However, I don't have a boatload of confidence because Rose has the experience advantage and could potentially get takedowns if she closes the distance. I think Fiorot wins by decision.
Paul also picks Fiorot, emphasizing her size and strength advantage. He doubts Rose's motivation and notes her inability to engage against Esparza. Paul thinks Rose's offensive wrestling could be a factor but that Fiorot's takedown defense and submission defense are solid. He expects a striking affair where Fiorot's speed and kicking game prevail, likely by decision (29-28 or 30-27).
The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot by TKO, citing her physicality and dangerous stand-up, while Rose Namajunas appears mentally checked out. He notes Rose's lack of activity, her poor performance against Carla Esparza, and her loss in a grappling match. He believes Fiorot will overwhelm Rose with a flurry of punches in round one.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carla Esparza | 0 | 37 of 136 | 27% | 38 of 137 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 30 of 133 | 22% | 30 of 133 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carla Esparza | 0 | 4 of 19 | 21% | 4 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 4 of 19 | 21% | 4 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Carla Esparza | 0 | 3 of 14 | 21% | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 4 of 22 | 18% | 4 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Carla Esparza | 0 | 11 of 36 | 30% | 11 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 9 of 32 | 28% | 9 of 32 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 4 | Carla Esparza | 0 | 6 of 28 | 21% | 7 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 8 of 29 | 27% | 8 of 29 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 | |
| 5 | Carla Esparza | 0 | 13 of 39 | 33% | 13 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 5 of 31 | 16% | 5 of 31 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carla Esparza | 37 of 136 | 27% | 30 of 122 | 6 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 36 of 135 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Rose Namajunas | 30 of 133 | 22% | 15 of 108 | 4 of 11 | 11 of 14 | 27 of 128 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carla Esparza | 4 of 19 | 21% | 4 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Rose Namajunas | 4 of 19 | 21% | 2 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Carla Esparza | 3 of 14 | 21% | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Rose Namajunas | 4 of 22 | 18% | 1 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Carla Esparza | 11 of 36 | 30% | 10 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 11 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Rose Namajunas | 9 of 32 | 28% | 7 of 28 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Carla Esparza | 6 of 28 | 21% | 6 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Rose Namajunas | 8 of 29 | 27% | 3 of 22 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 25 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Carla Esparza | 13 of 39 | 33% | 7 of 30 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Rose Namajunas | 5 of 31 | 16% | 2 of 24 | 0 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Rose Namajunas despite acknowledging Carla's wrestling. He argues that Weili Zhang took Rose down five times but still lost, and that Carla's top pressure isn't as good as it should be. He believes Rose only has to worry about the wrestling, whereas Weili was a threat on the feet too.
Big Brady picks Rose Namajunas to win by decision, but he is hesitant. He acknowledges that Esparza will likely take Rose down multiple times, as Rose's takedown defense is only 51% and she hasn't faced many wrestlers. However, he believes Rose's get-up game and activity off her back will prevent Esparza from holding her down for long. On the feet, Rose has a clear advantage. He notes that if this were a three-round fight, he might pick Esparza, but over five rounds, Esparza's wrestling-heavy style is harder to sustain. He is not in love with the price tag.
Cody agrees with Paul, picking Rose Namajunas. He notes that Esparza's wrestling was effective a lifetime ago but Rose has improved her grappling significantly. Cody cites Tatiana Suarez's take that Esparza isn't physically strong and may not outmuscle Rose. He points out that Esparza has never fought into a fourth round, while Rose has championship-round experience. Cody believes Rose can nullify takedowns, get back up, and eventually win by late stoppage or decision.
Daniel Levi picks Rose Namajunas but is not confident, calling it a 'dog or pass' fight. He acknowledges Carla Esparza will land takedowns and has a path to victory, but believes Rose has more ways to win, especially on the feet. He says he would take Rose if the odds were closer to pick'em, but at -220 he is not betting. He respects the value on Esparza at plus 180 and thinks the true odds are around Rose -145 to -150.
The host picks Rose Namajunas, believing her striking and range management have improved significantly since their first fight. He expects Rose to focus on defending takedowns and getting back to her feet. He notes Carla's takedowns can be sloppy and she doesn't do much damage on top. He thinks Rose's ability to create space and her deceptive power will be key. He is not betting Rose at -205, but likes under 4.5 rounds at +135.
Paul picks Rose Namajunas, calling it a straightforward striker vs grappler matchup. He believes Rose's camp has focused on sprawl training and that if the fight stays on the feet, Esparza cannot compete. Paul suggests live betting Esparza if she gets an early takedown, but overall expects Rose to retain her title. He notes the -210 line might be a bit wide but still favors Rose.
The MMA Guru picks Rose Namajunas, citing her improved stand-up and grappling. He notes that Esparza's recent wins have been close and that she doesn't dominate on the ground anymore. He believes Namajunas will stuff takedowns, chew up Esparza's legs, and eventually submit her in the fourth round via rear-naked choke. He mentions the odds are close because Esparza has a previous win, but thinks Namajunas is the better fighter.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 86 of 168 | 51% | 130 of 219 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 7:00 |
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 83 of 173 | 47% | 162 of 272 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 3:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 20 of 36 | 55% | 22 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 22 of 38 | 57% | 36 of 56 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:08 | |
| 2 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 20 of 45 | 44% | 22 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 16 of 39 | 41% | 21 of 44 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 | |
| 3 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 14 of 38 | 36% | 16 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 25 of 51 | 49% | 29 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:57 | |
| 4 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 14 of 23 | 60% | 39 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 2:32 |
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 12 of 27 | 44% | 32 of 50 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 | |
| 5 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 18 of 26 | 69% | 31 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:55 |
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 44 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Namajunas | 86 of 168 | 51% | 57 of 131 | 12 of 17 | 17 of 20 | 60 of 136 | 6 of 6 | 20 of 26 |
| Zhang Weili | 83 of 173 | 47% | 36 of 112 | 14 of 16 | 33 of 45 | 64 of 138 | 5 of 8 | 14 of 27 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rose Namajunas | 20 of 36 | 55% | 11 of 25 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 6 | 17 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Zhang Weili | 22 of 38 | 57% | 6 of 19 | 5 of 5 | 11 of 14 | 19 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Rose Namajunas | 20 of 45 | 44% | 12 of 36 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 4 |
| Zhang Weili | 16 of 39 | 41% | 6 of 28 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 6 | 13 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Rose Namajunas | 14 of 38 | 36% | 11 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 13 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Zhang Weili | 25 of 51 | 49% | 13 of 33 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 14 | 19 of 43 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | |
| 4 | Rose Namajunas | 14 of 23 | 60% | 9 of 16 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
| Zhang Weili | 12 of 27 | 44% | 6 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 6 | 9 of 16 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 9 | |
| 5 | Rose Namajunas | 18 of 26 | 69% | 14 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 17 |
| Zhang Weili | 8 of 18 | 44% | 5 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 |
Angelo picks Zhang Weili, believing she will make adjustments after the first fight. He thinks Weili will protect her chin, push the pace, and use her boxing to outwork Rose. He notes that Rose's win came from a single head kick and that there wasn't much to analyze from the short fight. He sees Weili's power and determination as key factors.
Big Brady picks Zhang Weili to win by decision. He notes Zhang's power, volume, and cardio advantage, while Rose may slow down as the fight goes on. Brady thinks the first few rounds will be competitive, but Zhang's pressure and durability will wear on Rose. He also mentions Zhang's move to Fight Ready and her takedown potential, though Rose is dangerous on the ground. He expects Zhang to win down the stretch, possibly with a late finish.
Cody agrees with Paul, citing Rose's precision striking and ability to find openings. He notes Zhang's durability but believes Rose's technique and submission game give her the edge. He compares it to Rose's first win over Joanna and sees value in the champion as an underdog.
Daniel Levi picks Rose Namajunas to defend her belt, expressing that the line is disrespectful to Rose at plus 105. He believes Rose is the better striker with more power and setups, and that Zhang Weili may be in denial about the first fight. Levi expects adjustments from Zhang, such as calf kicks, but thinks Rose's toughness and experience in rematches (3-0) will carry her. He notes that Rose is undefeated at Madison Square Garden and that Zhang's cardio advantage may be overstated.
Jacob picks Rose Namajunas, saying he will never bet against her again. He believes Weili's new focus on wrestling with Henry Cejudo could backfire, as Rose has excellent jiu-jitsu. He has a moneyline bet and a submission prop on Rose. He thinks Rose has the 'it factor' and thrives in big moments.
The host leans Zhang by decision, expecting her to use takedowns to sway judges in close rounds. He thinks the fight goes 25 minutes and likes the over 4.5 rounds at -125. He notes Zhang's new camp but limited time to adjust.
Paul picks Rose as a live underdog, noting she knocked Zhang out in the first fight and is being undervalued. He questions Zhang's wrestling improvements with Cejudo and believes Rose's precision striking and submission threat are key. He sees the line as too easy to pass up.
The Guru picks Rose Namajunas, citing her youth, reach advantage, and grappling edge. He believes Zhang's mindset will be affected by her first KO loss and the crowd booing her. The Guru predicts a third-round rear-naked choke submission, noting Namajunas' ability to bounce back and her training with Trevor Wittman.
Miranda Maverick - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Namajunas | 1 | 25 of 86 | 29% | 46 of 118 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 6:33 |
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 25 of 74 | 33% | 52 of 108 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1:48 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 17 of 59 | 28% | 18 of 60 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 20 of 58 | 34% | 20 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 5 of 17 | 29% | 9 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:05 |
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 5 of 14 | 35% | 22 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:45 | |
| 3 | Rose Namajunas | 1 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 19 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:13 |
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 10 of 17 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Namajunas | 25 of 86 | 29% | 22 of 75 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 23 of 83 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Miranda Maverick | 25 of 74 | 33% | 14 of 61 | 5 of 6 | 6 of 7 | 25 of 73 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rose Namajunas | 17 of 59 | 28% | 15 of 50 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 16 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Miranda Maverick | 20 of 58 | 34% | 11 of 47 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 20 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Rose Namajunas | 5 of 17 | 29% | 5 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Miranda Maverick | 5 of 14 | 35% | 3 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Rose Namajunas | 3 of 10 | 30% | 2 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Miranda Maverick | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Rose because she is the better striker with superior footwork and technique. He acknowledges Miranda's wrestling threat but believes Rose can defend takedowns and out-strike her. He expresses concern about Rose's training situation but hopes she strings it together like she did against Tracy Cortez.
Big Brady picks Rose Namajunas by decision. He believes Rose is the better fighter overall, with superior striking and the ability to get takedowns against Maverick's sub-50% takedown defense. He worries slightly about Maverick's strength but notes Rose has done well at flyweight. He thinks Rose should win at least two rounds in a three-round fight.
Connor picks Namajunas, agreeing that Maverick is a 'Jake Matthews of women's flyweight'—athletic but aimless, with no clear idea how to win. He notes that Namajunas is much better in the clinch than she used to be and that Maverick's wrestling entries are poor. Connor believes Namajunas's speed, accuracy, and combination punching will allow her to outwork Maverick, and that Maverick's tendency to float and try things without a plan will be her undoing.
This is a closer fight than the odds suggest, but Namajunas's striking will reign supreme. She may have issues with Maverick's strength and clinch work, but she will get into open space, land more damage, and win a clear decision.
The Guru picks Rose Namajunas, calling her a much better technical martial artist. He notes her grappling defense and standup are superior, and she has size at flyweight. He expects a unanimous decision win, 30-27, as Rose outclasses Maverick everywhere.
Zane picks Namajunas, citing her superior craft, movement, and jab-heavy striking as a clear advantage over Maverick's aimless, unprincipled game. He notes that Maverick lacks a clear process and often gets caught up striking when she should wrestle, while Namajunas is accurate, fast, and effective at kicking range. Zane believes Namajunas can outpoint Maverick over three rounds, as Maverick has consistently lost to fighters with a strong game plan.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 24 of 68 | 35% | 61 of 117 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 6:50 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 15 of 55 | 27% | 63 of 111 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 1 | 3:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 8 of 24 | 33% | 20 of 37 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:49 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 4 of 19 | 21% | 21 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 15 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:37 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 22 of 27 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 1 | 2:54 | |
| 3 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 13 of 40 | 32% | 26 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:24 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 9 of 32 | 28% | 20 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 24 of 68 | 35% | 12 of 50 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 12 | 23 of 65 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 15 of 55 | 27% | 11 of 45 | 3 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 14 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 8 of 24 | 33% | 3 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 7 | 8 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 4 of 19 | 21% | 2 of 15 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Miranda Maverick | 13 of 40 | 32% | 9 of 34 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 13 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 9 of 32 | 28% | 8 of 27 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Maverick (-470), Horth (+360)
Round 1
Andrew Glenn will referee the final women's MMA fight inside the UFC this year. Horth takes the middle of the cage. Maverick is circling well and entering with combinations, although they've all come up short so far. A series of left hooks lands for Maverick. Horth defends a takedown attempt against the cage. Maverick landing short knees to the leg. Maverick stays with it, locking her hands around the left knee of Horth. Maverick starts eating elbows from Horth. Slow opening round as Maverick has been obsessed with getting a takedown that she couldn't get. Just 30 seconds left. Horth eats some knees but stays upright as the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Round 2
Maverick complained of shots to the back of the head between rounds. Maverick goes for another takedown, and Horth is up against the cage, defending well. The crowd is booing. Maverick landing some nice knees. Horth tries to jump the back for a second and is now looking for a takedown of her own as she gets back control standing. Maverick gives up her back and is now on the ground. Horth is looking for a rear-naked choke. The decision to grapple and go for nonstop takedown attempts has backfired for Maverick. Horth is cranking the neck currently. Maverick gets back to her feet with two minutes left and finally gets a takedown of her own. Horth gives up her back in a scramble. Maverick gets complacent for a second and is reversed. Horth is in full guard with a minute left. Horth lands a few punches on top before Maverick gets back to her feet.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Round 3
Horth eats an overhand left from Maverick to start the round. Maverick has shown a clear advantage on the feet, so her insistence on takedowns has been strange. Maverick keeping her distance and is starting to use her kicks. Horth has a longer reach but isn't using her jab. Horth swings wildly and gets taken down as a result. Maverick is in half-guard and is landing some short punches from top position. Horth needs to show some urgency to get up but isn't doing so. Maverick postures up and tries to pass but can't get side control. Horth scrambles for a leg, but they're mostly just tangled up. One minute left. Maverick is cruising to a decision win by staying on top. Horth finally gets up with 30 seconds left. Maverick lands a nice left straight and is outstriking Horth easily. The fight ends with Maverick clinching her opponent against the cage.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (29-28 Maverick)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (29-28 Maverick)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (29-28 Maverick)
The Official Result
Miranda Maverick def. Jamey-Lyn Horth via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28); R3, 5:00.
Angelo picks Maverick because she can dictate the grappling and get the fight to the ground, exploiting Horth's poor takedown defense. He notes Maverick's pressure, strength, and takedowns, but acknowledges she is not a finisher. He expects the fight to go to decision and suggests the over 2.5 rounds might be a better bet if the odds are close to the moneyline.
Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win by decision. He is confident Maverick is a much better fighter than Horth, noting Horth's close fights with lower-level opponents. He thinks Maverick's losses are to elite fighters and that she was robbed against Barber. He does not see a finish likely, so picks decision.
Cody picks Miranda Maverick, citing her wrestling advantage and Horth's inability to stop takedowns. He notes that Horth is slow and flat-footed, and Maverick's physicality should secure takedowns and control. Cody warns that the line is high but sees Maverick as a safe play.
Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Maverick is a much better athlete and has been improving her game. He points out that Horth is a slow, uncoordinated fighter who lacks the size and seasoning of Jasmine Jasudavicius, who beat Maverick. As long as Maverick uses her wrestling and doesn't get into unnecessary striking exchanges, she should win easily.
Daniel Vreeland picks Miranda Maverick, noting she has more tools, experience, and better competition. However, he is cautious due to the -600 price and the state of women's MMA judging. He expects Maverick to win but advises proceeding with caution.
Maverick's physicality and grinding approach will keep Horth in defensive positions, allowing Maverick to win by decision. The chalky odds are expected to come through.
Paul picks Miranda Maverick but avoids the money line due to the high price. He notes that Horth struggles with wrestlers and Maverick is the best wrestler she's faced. Paul expects Maverick to secure takedowns and control, but is not confident enough to bet heavily.
The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick without much elaboration, stating she is well-trained with talent in grappling and striking. He dismisses Jamey-Lyn Horth's recent split decision win over Iana Petrovic, calling Petrovic 'absolute garbage', and notes that Horth's close fight with Veronica Hardy doesn't impress him. He concludes that Maverick is simply a more talented fighter.
Zane picks Maverick confidently, noting that she is a much better athlete than Horth, faster and stronger. He points out that Maverick has been learning to connect her striking to her wrestling and showed better control in recent fights. Horth is slow, uncoordinated, and barely beat Petrovich, getting taken down at will. As long as Maverick doesn't trip over her own feet, she should win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 30 of 88 | 34% | 102 of 188 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 8:07 |
| Dione Barbosa | 0 | 21 of 52 | 40% | 47 of 85 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 16 of 45 | 35% | 31 of 67 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:02 |
| Dione Barbosa | 0 | 7 of 21 | 33% | 14 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 7 of 28 | 25% | 30 of 60 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:26 |
| Dione Barbosa | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 11 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:43 | |
| 3 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 41 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:39 |
| Dione Barbosa | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 22 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 30 of 88 | 34% | 9 of 55 | 7 of 15 | 14 of 18 | 23 of 77 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 9 |
| Dione Barbosa | 21 of 52 | 40% | 19 of 47 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 50 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 16 of 45 | 35% | 3 of 27 | 4 of 7 | 9 of 11 | 14 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Dione Barbosa | 7 of 21 | 33% | 6 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 7 of 28 | 25% | 1 of 16 | 3 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
| Dione Barbosa | 7 of 16 | 43% | 6 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Miranda Maverick | 7 of 15 | 46% | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 |
| Dione Barbosa | 7 of 15 | 46% | 7 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Maverick (-218), Barbosa (+180)
Round 1
Shifting gears back to the flyweight category, the U.S. battles Brazil as Maverick (13-5, 6-3 UFC) looks to bewitch “The Witch” Barbosa (7-2, 1-0 UFC) across their three-round endeavor. With exactly twice as much experience as her opponent, and as many fights in the UFC as Barbosa holds as a pro, Maverick will come into the match five years the younger. Referee Chris Tognoni takes charge of this pairing, and he claps the two in as they clap hands. Both women flirt with the middle of the cage, tossing a single strike at one another to test the waters. Maverick kicks the lead leg, and Barbosa replies with a front kick up the middle. Barbosa chops at the front leg, and Maverick replies. The two trade leg kicks, and Maverick grins after an exchange. Both women reach at one another with rangy punches and miss the mark, and then try head kicks that rebound off one another’s guards. They go tit-for-tat after one another, seemingly mirroring one another with attempted strikes. Barbosa picks up her leg after eating a particularly effective low kick, and Maverick targets it once more and ducks away from a sudden wheel kick. Maverick chops at the thigh with a kick, and when the Brazilian closes the distance, she plants two punches on the jaw and slips away. Maverick strikes the lead leg, turning it red less than halfway through Round 1, and she rushes out with jabs outstretched. They both swing and miss on distance strikes, their corners celebrating whether they land or not. Maverick continues to work the calf at the end of combinations, and Barbosa preemptively lifts her leg until crashing forward to take the fight down. Maverick reverses her and tosses the Brazilian to her back, and she fights through a leglock to lower herself down in half guard. Barbosa keeps a high guard to threaten from her back, but Maverick pushes through it to stay out of danger. Barbosa closes the high guard briefly, trying to control Maverick while Maverick controls her. Maverick’s offense dwindles to a few strikes and a knee to the posterior as seconds peel off the clock with little to show for them. Maverick raps her left hand over the top a few times to stay busy, working the head and body before hammering Barbosa with a few elbows. Barbosa looks for a submission setup, and Maverick shrugs it off to continue her ground-and-pound until the bell intervenes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Round 2
The women try to clap hands to begin the second round and miss, and say heck with it and start swinging at one another. Maverick picks and pokes with low kicks before mixing it up with a head kick, and when that nearly gets through, she tries another seconds later. Barbosa defends a low single and tosses Maverick aside to kick her in the cheek, and she rushes forward to press the Missouri native against the fencing. Barbosa succeeds in hitting a throw to chuck Maverick to the floor, and Maverick is quick to climb back to her feet despite the head lock toss. Maverick breaks away from the clinch and eats a sudden spinning elbow, and she reaches out with a kick and is countered with one from the Brazilian. Maverick jabs to the head and body, keeping her hands up to block a head kick and crashing forward at the same time as her opponent to hit a takedown. Barbosa defends with a takedown, and Maverick pushes her against the wall, unconcerned by the choke, to trip “The Witch” to the canvas. Barbosa is stuck on her back absorbing sporadic punches, and Maverick stays tightly pressed to not let Barbosa sneak anything up on her. Barbosa turns to set up an armbar, and Maverick tosses Barbosa to the side and gets back on top. Barbosa uses the butterfly hooks from allowing Maverick to get her flat, but Maverick keeps to this position while kneeing Barbosa in the backside once. Maverick drops down short right hands as she assumes half guard, and she elbows Barbosa and smacks her with her shoulder before the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Round 3
They do touch gloves to open up the last stanza, and fists are soon to fly. Maverick sits down on three punches, and she leans back as a head kick buzzes her hair. Barbosa works her way forward and reaches out with a right hand after taking a low kick, and she connects with two more before Maverick’s back hits the wall. Barbosa tries to change levels, but Maverick’s takedown defends keeps her upright. As Maverick breaks off, she lands another calf kick and a right hand behind it, and Barbosa walks her down ready to throw leather. Maverick shoots in for a single, and Barbosa scrambles effectively to flip Maverick over and even set up a kneebar. Maverick fights through it and winds up on top, moving into the butterfly guard of her opponent. Maverick keeps tight and composed from above to put Barbosa flat on her back, and she grinds with an elbow to irritate the Brazilian. Maverick gets bucked off briefly, and she remains on top while getting in elbows until Barbosa turns for an armbar. Maverick no-sells it and pulls out of it, and she relocates herself in Barbosa’s guard. Maverick lands a shoulder strike, and it appears she may have headbutted Barbosa in the chest as well, but nothing comes of it. Maverick’s 125-pound-plus frame feels like 500 pounds as Barbosa cannot get enough space, try as she might. Maverick retains control and fully embraces the grind, sliding over to half guard and using her elbow to frame up and land shots. Maverick remains active from this position, doing so until time expires.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (30-27 Maverick)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (30-27 Maverick)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick (30-27 Maverick)
The Official Result
Miranda Maverick def. Dione Barbosa via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
Angelo picks Miranda Maverick because she is a pressure fighter with solid takedowns and strength, and Dione Barbosa has poor takedown defense. He notes that Barbosa is a judoka who wants to clinch, but Maverick will shoot takedowns instead of tying up. He is waiting for prop bets to place a wager, as he doesn't love the moneyline.
Cody picks Maverick, emphasizing her youth (27), cardio, and full camp. He notes Barbosa is on short notice and gassed in her last fight. He expects Maverick to lose the first round but take over in the second and third with takedowns and volume. He suggests live betting Maverick after round one.
Daniel Vreeland picks Dione Barbosa as an upset, citing her superior Jiu-Jitsu and improving striking. He notes that Maverick struggles when she cannot be the bully, and Barbosa's size and grappling advantage will be key. Vreeland believes Barbosa can submit Maverick or win a decision, and considers the odds off.
Maverick is a heavy favorite at -220. She has improved striking and strong grappling, and her physicality should be too much for Barbosa. Barbosa relies on takedowns and BJJ, but Maverick has good submission defense and has never been finished. Maverick will make Barbosa work early and then pull away with her striking and top control. Even at -220, Maverick is worth a shot.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting Maverick's submission win over Priscila Cachoeira and her ability to go three rounds. He thinks Barbosa's cardio is a major issue and that Maverick will cruise to a decision or late stoppage. He also mentions the altitude training with Rose Namajunas as a plus.
The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick, citing her longer training and recent win over Andrea Lee. He notes Dione Barbosa's win over Nesta Carter is not impressive, and believes Maverick's grappling defense will give her an advantage on the feet. He also mentions Maverick's close fight with Maycee Barber, which he thought she won, as a positive sign.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 36 of 102 | 35% | 59 of 126 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 66 of 136 | 48% | 106 of 180 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 3:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 12 of 31 | 38% | 14 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 24 of 43 | 55% | 31 of 51 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 9 of 34 | 26% | 14 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 23 of 48 | 47% | 47 of 74 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:32 | |
| 3 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 15 of 37 | 40% | 31 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 19 of 45 | 42% | 28 of 55 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 36 of 102 | 35% | 14 of 72 | 13 of 19 | 9 of 11 | 32 of 96 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 3 |
| Andrea Lee | 66 of 136 | 48% | 28 of 89 | 16 of 25 | 22 of 22 | 60 of 128 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 12 of 31 | 38% | 4 of 20 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 5 | 9 of 28 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 24 of 43 | 55% | 9 of 25 | 5 of 8 | 10 of 10 | 23 of 41 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 9 of 34 | 26% | 4 of 26 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 23 of 48 | 47% | 11 of 34 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 8 | 21 of 46 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Miranda Maverick | 15 of 37 | 40% | 6 of 26 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 14 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Andrea Lee | 19 of 45 | 42% | 8 of 30 | 7 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 41 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Miranda Maverick, citing her pressure, takedowns, and toughness. He notes that Andrea Lee has fought tougher competition but is on a three-fight skid. He cautions that the moneyline is juiced and recommends the over 2.5 rounds as a lock.
Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win, citing her youth (26 vs 35) and physical strength as key advantages. He notes Andrea Lee's poor takedown defense (54%) and history of being taken down by lesser wrestlers, expecting Maverick to get the fight to the mat and grind out a decision. He acknowledges Lee's underrated striking but believes Maverick's wrestling and control will be too much. He mentions the line is moving but says he's probably not betting this one.
Cody picks Lee, noting her high volume striking (100+ significant strikes) compared to Maverick's lower output. He questions Maverick's takedown effectiveness and believes Lee can win on the feet. He sees plus 170 as good value and picks Lee.
Daniel picks Miranda Maverick but expresses hesitation about the betting line. He notes that Andrea Lee is physically strong and that Maverick's striking is her weakest area. He worries that Lee's strength could cause problems, but ultimately believes Maverick's grappling advantage will prevail. He says he is staying away from the line.
Daniel Vreeland passes on this fight, noting Andrea Lee's decline and Miranda Maverick's inconsistency. He considered taking the dog on Lee but decided against it given her recent performances.
Jeff picks Miranda Maverick, noting that Andrea Lee is on a three-fight skid and hasn't won since 2021. He believes Maverick is a younger, stronger fighter who can impose her will. He acknowledges Lee's physical strength but thinks Maverick's grappling and overall game will be too much. He is not betting the line, however, as he finds it unappealing.
Maverick is younger, stronger, and will dominate in the clinch and on the ground. Lee may be the better technical striker but has a history of breaking under pressure. Maverick grinds out a decision win.
Paul picks Lee, arguing that the line is inflated by Maverick's recent win over low-level competition. He notes Lee has fought tougher opponents and has better volume striking. He believes Maverick's wrestling is not as effective against higher-level grapplers, and Lee can outwork her on the feet. He sees Lee as a clear underdog value.
The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick, citing her youth, improvement at Team Elevation, and full focus on MMA now that she's done with education. He notes Andrea Lee's frustration when taken down and lack of calmness on bottom. He believes Maverick's grappling will be key, though he acknowledges Lee's stronger strength of schedule and mentions he might advise betting on Lee if her odds become bigger underdog.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 36 of 51 | 70% | 105 of 132 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 8:54 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 13 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 16 of 25 | 64% | 46 of 59 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:29 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 43 of 56 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 3:48 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 9 of 10 | 90% | 16 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:37 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 0 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 36 of 51 | 70% | 23 of 37 | 8 of 8 | 5 of 6 | 16 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 20 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 11 of 23 | 47% | 7 of 18 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 16 of 25 | 64% | 9 of 18 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 11 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 4 of 9 | 44% | 1 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 11 of 16 | 68% | 7 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Miranda Maverick | 9 of 10 | 90% | 7 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | 4 of 5 | 80% | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Maverick (-305), Cachoeira (+240)
Round 1
Every now and then, a fight card comes around that makes the community pause for a second to admire its impressive stature. The excitement around the MMA sphere is refreshingly genuine, especially for an otherwise costly event that has no actual, real belts on the line. When the lights go down in the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, the anticipation will build throughout the night to a crescendo. Even if the product does not deliver respective to how it looks on paper, the main attraction is one that will entice even the most jaded of fight fans. Before we get to that mega rematch, we start on the early preliminary card with six prelims as appetizers ahead of the hearty $80 meal. The first fight on the billing also happens to be the lone women’s match of the evening, and it comes between late replacement Maverick (11-5, 4-3 UFC) and the much-maligned Cachoeira (12-4, 4-4 UFC). This contest of wrestler vs. striker will be officiated by referee Dave Seljestad. The flyweights start the show without a touch of gloves, and here we go. Maverick bobs and shifts forward, and she reaches out with a left hook and a pair of punches soon to follow. Cachoeira swats back at her and comes up short, and Maverick gets to a safe range and lands a low kick. Maverick shoots in for a takedown from afar, and before she can get close, Cachoeira pushes her back and catches her with an overhand right. Maverick fakes a level change, and she goes up high with a kick that surprises the Brazilian. Cachoeira chops down at the inside leg, and Maverick responds and gets countered with a right hand. Maverick leaps forward with a Superwoman punch, and she wraps her foot on the side of the head. When Cachoeira tries to take advantage of an off-balance Maverick, she closes the distance, and Maverick uses the momentum to spin Cachoeira and drag her to her seat. Cachoeira leans against the fence in hopes of wall-walking, and Maverick isolates her foe’s right leg to keep Cachoeira grounded. Cachoeira posts off on her right arm while using her other to push Maverick’s head down, and this stops Maverick from advancing to a top position. “Zombie Girl” musters her way to her knee and is briefly upright, but Maverick pulls her down and smacks her a few times with her left fist. Maverick imposes her weight on Cachoeira to keep her trapped in this awkward position, and Cachoeira still muscles her way back up. The second she does, Maverick strips her legs back out and dumps her to her back. This allows Maverick to move to side control, and she drives a knee to the midsection before lowering herself down. Maverick scores short punches to fluster the Brazilian, sitting comfortably in half guard, and Cachoeira is not making any overt effort to stand back up. Maverick traps Cachoeira’s right arm beneath her legs for a partial crucifix, and she hammers Cachoeira with thudding elbows. Cachoeira tugs her toes on the fence to try to escape, and Seljestad slaps them a few times to prevent the fence grabbing. Maverick rides out the remainder of the round, dropping down a few elbows and hammerfists.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Round 2
The second round kicks off with an aggressive Maverick, who swarms with a big left hook and a few follow-up punches. When Cachoeira misses on the counter, Maverick reaches out and pops her with a left hook. Maverick drops down for a single-leg takedown, and Cachoeira shuts it down and misses with a short counter by a matter of inches. Cachoeira thwarts another takedown, although an uppercut from Maverick after it gets stifled busted her nose up. Maverick thwacks the inside leg of her opponent, and Cachoeira draws it back briefly. Cachoeira commits to defending the oncoming takedown, and she grips her left arm under the chin to potentially threaten with a guillotine choke. Cachoeira grabs the fence with her other hand instead of securing the submission, and Maverick doubles down on the attempt. Maverick slides her neck out of the dangerous position and slowly drags Cachoeira to the ground. Cachoeira has her hands slapped by Seljestad for grabbing the inside of Maverick’s gloves and then the cage, warned sternly for her fouls. Maverick secures the takedown and sits down in half guard, smothering Cachoeira and frustrating her with little left hands and elbows. Maverick smartly traps Cachoeira between the corner of the fence and the floor to disallow Cachoeira from going anywhere, and she tries to jump to the side and winds up falling into full mount. Maverick opens up with ground-and-pound, and Cachoeira bucks with all her might to get out of the precarious position. Cachoeira pulls on the fence with her fingers and toes, and the fouls allow her to turn all the way through and nearly get back up. Maverick, concerned only on her gameplan and not what the Brazilian is doing, wrenches Cachoeira to her back again. Maverick hacks down with a crisp elbow, and her grinding attack allows her to conclude this frame in this position.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Round 3
Knowing Cachoeira is likely to come out guns blazing, Maverick keeps her distance early in the last round with multiple front kicks. Cachoeira swings for the bleachers with right hooks, and Maverick times this inaccurate strike to shoot in for a takedown. When this fails, Maverick redoubles her effort, scoring a clean right hand to set it up and perfectly deposit Cachoeira to the canvas courtesy of a double-leg takedown. When they hit the ground, Cachoeira’s arm inadvertently slides beneath one of Maverick’s shoulder straps, and it forces a brief wardrobe malfunction that Seljestad resets. Maverick, glad to be on top in side control, drops down a few strikes before shifting gears to north-south. When there is no submission to come from it, Maverick keeps moving and jumps into full mount. As Cachoeira defends from any oncoming fire, she leaves her right arm out just a little too long.
Maverick snatches it up and rolls to the side, setting the hook and wrenching down. Cachoeira taps out, and then taps a second time. Seljestad, watching very closely, does not intervene. Instead, Cachoeira taps out several more times, and he finally steps in.
Maverick could have cranked the elbow much harder, but out of sportsmanship decided not to destroy the arm of “Zombie Girl.” This one-side victory is an important one for Maverick, who reminds the rest of the flyweight division she is still a threat.
The Official Result
Miranda Maverick def. Priscila Cachoeira R3 2:11 via Submission (Armbar)
Angelo picks Miranda Maverick but with very low confidence. He notes that Miranda is the better fighter overall and should be able to get takedowns and grind out a win, but he is concerned about her coming off a bad loss and the short notice. He thinks the odds are too high at -315 and is not betting on her, advising others to avoid it as well.
Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win by submission in the second round. He notes that Maverick has a clear path to victory by taking the fight to the mat, where Cachoeira is a fish out of water with poor takedown defense and submission grappling. He warns that if Maverick strikes, she risks getting caught by Cachoeira's power, but expects her to fight smart and capitalize on the matchup taken on short notice.
Cody picks Cachoeira at plus money, citing her power, reach advantage, and grit. He questions Maverick's wrestling after her loss to Jasmine Jasudavicius, where she was controlled. He notes Cachoeira's durability and ability to land big shots. He already bet her at +270.
James sees this as a setup spot for Maverick, who has strong takedown ability and jiu-jitsu to exploit Cachoeira's grappling deficiency. He notes Cachoeira's recent wins are against lower-level competition and that her only correlated loss was a submission to Gillian Robertson. He expects Maverick to take her down and submit her, likely via rear-naked choke, though he acknowledges Cachoeira is tough and may survive to a decision.
Maverick is a strong grappler who will get takedowns and work from top position. Cachoeira has knockout power but isn't ready for Maverick's overall game. Maverick will eventually open up a finishing opportunity. I'm taking Maverick to win inside the distance, under 2.5 rounds is not a bad spot.
Paul leans Cachoeira, noting Maverick's poor striking and recent grappling struggles. He believes Cachoeira's power and volume on the feet can win rounds, especially if Maverick can't get takedowns. He acknowledges the risk but sees value at plus money.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 63 of 127 | 49% | 68 of 132 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 67 of 158 | 42% | 115 of 235 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 7:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 20 of 27 | 74% | 25 of 32 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 10 of 23 | 43% | 18 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:48 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 15 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 12 of 33 | 36% | 47 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:21 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 28 of 70 | 40% | 28 of 70 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 45 of 102 | 44% | 50 of 112 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 63 of 127 | 49% | 33 of 94 | 17 of 18 | 13 of 15 | 56 of 120 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Miranda Maverick | 67 of 158 | 42% | 52 of 140 | 15 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 53 of 138 | 13 of 18 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 20 of 27 | 74% | 5 of 12 | 9 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 13 of 20 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Miranda Maverick | 10 of 23 | 43% | 6 of 19 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 19 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 15 of 30 | 50% | 9 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 15 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Miranda Maverick | 12 of 33 | 36% | 7 of 28 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 28 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 28 of 70 | 40% | 19 of 59 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 28 of 70 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Miranda Maverick | 45 of 102 | 44% | 39 of 93 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 40 of 91 | 4 of 9 | 1 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Maverick (-295), Jasudavicius (+245)
Round 1
A place among the top 15 at flyweight looms for these next two women. Bolstered by her entrance to the “Top Gun” theme, Maverick (11-4, 4-2 UFC) is ready to disappoint the Canadian audience by handing Ontario’s Jasudavicius (8-2, 2-1 UFC) a defeat. This pairing will be joined by referee Jerin Valel, and they want to get right to it and blow past touching gloves. Maverick hops forward with a leg kick and hops away before she gets reached. The Canadian checks a leg kick and sticks out a jab, and Maverick moves around and scores one on either side of the inside calf. Jasudavicius flicks out a few punches, and Maverick retaliates with a solid body kick that leads to a clinch. Maverick aims punches and knees to the body when they are tied up in the middle of the cage, and Jasudavicius responds with some clinch strikes. Maverick frames off with an elbow and a right hand to break off, and she reaches a left to the body when she circles. Jasudavicius reaches her foe with a rangy right hand, and Maverick is on her bike chipping with kicks. Jasudavicius blocks a head kick, and she nearly hits a split to stuff a takedown from the Missouri native. Jasudavicius turns her around and throws her to her back, and Maverick is quick to set up a high guard with one leg on top of her foe’s shoulder. Maverick transitions to an armbar, and she sneaks her legs around to isolate Jasudavicius’s right arm and places the Canadian in the Danger Zone. Jasudavicius stacks Maverick up and presses her knee on Maverick’s neck to counter her uncomfortably. With Jasudavicius keeping her opponent squeezed awkwardly against the fencing, the leverage from Maverick is not right to secure the submission. Maverick holds on in this position until the horn stops the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Maverick
Round 2
The ladies meet in the middle of the Octagon, and Jasudavicius leads off with a head kick. Maverick keeps her left arm high to block it, and she gets knocked back by a pair of punches from the Canadian. Maverick goes back to chipping at the lead wheel of her foe, working it from both sides and staying out of the way of the longer reaching Jasudavicius. The Canadian does get off a left hand and she aims a front kick, and Maverick stands in front of her and pops her with two crisp punches. Maverick gets off a few punches, and Jasudavicius from up close manages to smack Maverick in the face with a head kick. Maverick is shaken up, and this allows Jasudavicius to press her to the fence and knee her a few times. Maverick breaks away with an uppercut, and she just manages to dodge a head kick. When she resets and advances, Jasudavicius meets her coming in with a one-two. Maverick shoots from afar for a single, and Jasudavicius sweeps Maverick and dumps her to her back. Jasudavicius transitions to the side, only to get dragged back to the guard of the American. Jasudavicius keeps moving, and she takes mount and is tossed to half guard in a quick series of shifts. Maverick turns to her side and she eats several short punches, and elects to lay on her back. Jasudavicius steps over to secure mount, and she lets Maverick turn over to take Maverick’s back and get a hook in. Jasudavicius rolls along with Maverick and locks down the body triangle, and she starts smacking Maverick with left hands. Maverick gets her arm trapped, and Jasudavicius slithers her arm around the chin in pursuit of a rear-naked choke. Maverick barrel rolls, but Jasudavicius follows her every step of the way and gets the body triangle locked up again. Maverick spins to reverse the position, and Jasudavicius is slick and keeps her dominant position. Jasudavicius gets off several left hands when she takes mount back with seconds to spare, and this is where she ends the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Round 3
The last round begins with a Superwoman punch from Maverick, and Jasudavicius defends against it and flicks out a few jabs. Maverick spins with an elbow that is blocked, and she keeps her momentum going to kick the ribs. Jasudavicius grimaces and swipes out with a left hand, and Maverick targets the liver again. Jasudavicius walks Maverick down, and Maverick leans over to punch the same spot. Jasudavicius backs her up with long, straight punches, and she snaps the head back with a left. Jasudavicius attempts a head kick, and Maverick closes the distance to not let it catch her up to. Maverick times an advancing Jasudavicius with an uppercut, and this fires Jasudavicius up. Jasudavicius unleashes a fire and fury in the form of a long string of punches, and Maverick ricochets off the fence and retreats from that salvo of blows. Maverick reaches a left hand over the guard, and Jasudavicius tags her with a combination. Jasudavicius walks Maverick down and chains a knee to a few punches to an elbow. Jasudavicius grows some swelling around the eye of the American quickly from her heavy shots, and Maverick stops her in her tracks for a second with a step-in elbow. Maverick dodges a front kick to the face, responds with a high kick that slaps in the armpit, and she gets knocked back with a right hand. Maverick shoots for an ill-advised takedown, and like the previous rounds, Jasudavicius is the one to come up with the better position. Maverick turns to her knees and looks to wall-walk when Jasudavicius has her hands clasped from behind. Maverick stands, and Jasudavicius has her from behind and lets Maverick turn to the wall. With seconds to spare, Jasudavicius lays into Maverick with a series of punches, and she ignores one coming back from Maverick when Maverick escapes with seconds to spare. Jasudavicius pops Maverick once more before the final bell rings, and Canada may have another winner tonight.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Jasudavicius)
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Jasudavicius)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Jasudavicius)
The Official Result
Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Miranda Maverick via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Jasmine Jasudavicius as a significant underdog. He highlights her high-level wrestling credentials as a Canadian national champion, and believes she can outwrestle Miranda Maverick. He notes that Miranda's game plan will be to outwrestle a national champion, which he doubts will work. He placed a quarter unit bet on Jasmine at +250.
Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick but is hesitant due to the high price. He notes that Jasudavicius has a path to victory via takedowns and top control, which is concerning. However, Maverick is younger, a better striker, and a black belt in BJJ. He expects Maverick to keep the fight standing or scramble back up if taken down, winning a decision. He cautions against betting at -290.
Cody picks Miranda Maverick, citing advantages in speed, distance management, and wrestling. He notes that Jasudavicius likes to stand and brawl, but Maverick is fleet-footed and can stay in and out of the pocket. He believes Maverick can win standing or on the ground, and expects a decision. He also likes the over on Maverick's significant strikes.
Connor also picks Miranda Maverick, emphasizing her physical edge: she is harder hitting, stronger, and more mobile. He notes that Maverick has a straightforward game plan to win easily and can afford to make more mistakes than Jasudavicius. However, he warns that if Jasudavicius gets underhooks first and takes Maverick down, she will do a lot of damage and narrow the room for error. Connor believes Maverick's athleticism and improved instruction will carry her.
Daniel Levi picks Jasmine Jasudavicius for value, noting that she moves better than Maverick and has a longer reach. He thinks if she can stuff takedowns, she can win with volume. He is concerned about her cardio in round three, but sees Maverick's striking as awkward and slow. He believes the line is too wide and that Jasudavicius has a real path to victory, possibly by decision.
James picks Jasmine Jasudavicius as a live underdog at +250. He thinks the line is inflated; he would line Maverick at -165. He acknowledges Maverick is better or equal in most areas but by slim margins. Jasudavicius has higher pace and aggression, and James believes she can win rounds and possibly land takedowns. He expects a close back-and-forth fight that could go to a split decision. He also mentions the plus-3.5 spread as a potential bet.
Jasudavicius has a size and wrestling advantage, and she showed improved striking setups in her last fight. Maverick struggles against grapplers who can take her down, as seen in the Blanchfield loss. However, Maverick's jiu-jitsu off her back is dangerous, and Jasudavicius must maintain top pressure without gassing. The odds are closer than implied, making Jasudavicius a live underdog.
Paul picks Miranda Maverick, noting that Jasudavicius' typical clinch and wrestling advantages won't work against Maverick's strength and leverage. He believes Maverick's speed and footwork will allow her to outpoint Jasudavicius on the feet, and she can also score takedowns. He expects a decision win for Maverick.
The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick, citing her solid grappling and competitive losses to top fighters like Erin Blanchfield and Macy Barber (where he believes she was robbed). He thinks Jasudavicius is primarily a striker and cannot out-grapple Maverick. He expects Maverick to mix in grappling and win a decision.
Zane picks Miranda Maverick, citing her physical advantages: she is faster, stronger, and more mobile than Jasudavicius. He notes that Maverick has a lot of room for error due to her athleticism, and that she has shown good signs of taking her career seriously at Team Elevation. However, he worries that Jasudavicius has figured out her game faster—using pressure and body lock takedowns—and that if she gets top position, she can do a lot of damage. Zane thinks Maverick can win by staying at range and not letting Jasudavicius tie up.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 63 of 108 | 58% | 172 of 240 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 1 | 0 | 9:14 |
| Shanna Young | 0 | 29 of 82 | 35% | 29 of 82 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 22 of 52 | 42% | 41 of 74 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
| Shanna Young | 0 | 18 of 48 | 37% | 18 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 22 of 30 | 73% | 52 of 67 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:39 |
| Shanna Young | 0 | 6 of 19 | 31% | 6 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 19 of 26 | 73% | 79 of 99 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 4:08 |
| Shanna Young | 0 | 5 of 15 | 33% | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 63 of 108 | 58% | 43 of 85 | 14 of 16 | 6 of 7 | 38 of 80 | 3 of 3 | 22 of 25 |
| Shanna Young | 29 of 82 | 35% | 20 of 73 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 29 of 82 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 22 of 52 | 42% | 13 of 40 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 7 | 20 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Shanna Young | 18 of 48 | 37% | 13 of 43 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 18 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 22 of 30 | 73% | 13 of 21 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 12 |
| Shanna Young | 6 of 19 | 31% | 4 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Miranda Maverick | 19 of 26 | 73% | 17 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 11 |
| Shanna Young | 5 of 15 | 33% | 3 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Maverick, expecting her to come forward, get takedowns, and bully her way to a win similar to her last fight. He notes Young is a solid boxer but lacks takedowns in the UFC and has BJJ gaps. He calls Maverick a parlay piece and says the odds will be stupid wide, advising to bet early.
Big Brady recalls their previous fight where Maverick submitted Young in the first round in Invicta. He believes Maverick is the better striker and grappler, and Young's takedown defense is not enough to stop Maverick. He expects a repeat performance with a first-round submission.
Cody picks Miranda Maverick, noting that she already finished Young in the first round in Invicta. He acknowledges that Young has improved since moving to Las Vegas and getting a win over Gina Mazany, but he doesn't see where Young wins. Maverick is more physical, has superior ground game, and is training with top competition. He predicts Maverick will submit Young, likely in the second or early third round. He is not excited about the -650 moneyline but likes Maverick by submission.
Connor agrees with Zane, adding that Maverick is comfortable pressuring and converting clinch into takedowns. He notes that Shanna Young is a poor matchup for Maverick because she lacks the defensive wrestling to stop takedowns, and Maverick's recent improvements make this a gimme.
Daniel Levi picks Miranda Maverick, stating she is simply outmatched and the odds reflect that. He notes Maverick's country girl strength, improved striking-to-takedown flow, and intelligence, while Shanna Young may be hungry but is outclassed.
The host is very high on Maverick, citing her improving skills, new gym (Elevation Fight Team), and superior ground game. He expects her to dominate Young, who is a decent striker but weak on the ground. He predicts a finish inside the distance and may bet the under 2.5 rounds if plus money.
Paul agrees with Cody and is loading up on the 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop at -110. He notes that Maverick already finished Young in the first round, so he likes the prop over the moneyline. He thinks Maverick will get the job done inside the distance again.
The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick, calling her underrated and noting she clearly beat Maycee Barber. He highlights her training at Elevation Fight Team, age 25, and wrestling skills. He dismisses Shanna Young's win over Gina Mazany and believes Maverick will win a 30-27 unanimous decision, outclassing Young.
Zane is confident Maverick will dominate, citing her pressure, clinch work, and takedowns. He notes that Shanna Young was easily controlled by Gina Mazany, and Maverick is a better athlete and grappler. Maverick's recent move to a new camp had a rough transition but looked better against Mazo, and Young will give her free rein to work her clinch and takedowns.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 0 | 15 of 48 | 31% | 24 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 19 of 50 | 38% | 45 of 85 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 1 | 0 | 4:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 5 of 17 | 29% | 14 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 35 of 56 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 3:46 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 0 | 10 of 31 | 32% | 10 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sabina Mazo | 0 | 10 of 29 | 34% | 10 of 29 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 0:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Maverick | 15 of 48 | 31% | 8 of 37 | 1 of 4 | 6 of 7 | 15 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
| Sabina Mazo | 19 of 50 | 38% | 10 of 36 | 2 of 6 | 7 of 8 | 16 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miranda Maverick | 5 of 17 | 29% | 2 of 11 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
| Sabina Mazo | 9 of 21 | 42% | 5 of 14 | 0 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 6 | |
| 2 | Miranda Maverick | 10 of 31 | 32% | 6 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sabina Mazo | 10 of 29 | 34% | 5 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Miranda Maverick because she is too strong and has too much forward pressure for Sabina Mazo. He notes that Mazo is a kickboxer with powerful kicks but lacks power in her hands, while Maverick is a technical striker with solid forward pressure and takedowns. He compares the matchup to Alexis Davis's win over Mazo, where Davis pressured and grappled her. Angelo is confident in Maverick's ability to replicate that game plan.
Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win by decision. He notes Maverick's striking has improved significantly, but her clear path is takedowns and ground control. He criticizes Mazo's poor takedown defense and get-up game, citing the Alexis Davis fight. He thinks Maverick will grind out a decision, but won't bet at the current price (-310).
Cody is confident in Maverick, citing her wrestling and physicality. He notes Mazo's lack of power and takedown defense. He expects Maverick to dominate on the ground.
Daniel Levi picks Miranda Maverick, stating that she is more physical and has more paths to victory. He notes that Sabina Mazo has looked timid and uncomfortable, while Maverick will dictate where the fight goes. Levi acknowledges that Maverick has slowed down in past fights and that the price is high, but he still thinks she gets it done. He is not interested in laying that price himself.
Maverick is a well-rounded fighter with good wrestling and striking. She moves well and blends her attacks. Mazo is on a losing streak and struggles with pressure. Maverick is expected to close distance, land takedowns, and win via TKO in the third round. She is a strong parlay piece.
Paul is confident in Maverick, citing her wrestling and physicality. He notes Mazo's lack of power and takedown defense. He expects Maverick to dominate on the ground.
The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick over Sabina Mazo, citing a clear grappling advantage. He notes that Mazo was held down easily by Alexis Davis and struggles to get back to her feet. He believes Maverick will mix in takedowns and dominate on the ground, predicting a 30-27 decision or a rear-naked choke. He acknowledges Mazo's length and range on the feet but thinks Maverick's wrestling will be the difference-maker.
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo picks Rose because she is the better striker with superior footwork and technique. He acknowledges Miranda's wrestling threat but believes Rose can defend takedowns and out-strike her. He expresses concern about Rose's training situation but hopes she strings it together like she did against Tracy Cortez.
Big Brady picks Rose Namajunas by decision. He believes Rose is the better fighter overall, with superior striking and the ability to get takedowns against Maverick's sub-50% takedown defense. He worries slightly about Maverick's strength but notes Rose has done well at flyweight. He thinks Rose should win at least two rounds in a three-round fight.
Connor picks Namajunas, agreeing that Maverick is a 'Jake Matthews of women's flyweight'—athletic but aimless, with no clear idea how to win. He notes that Namajunas is much better in the clinch than she used to be and that Maverick's wrestling entries are poor. Connor believes Namajunas's speed, accuracy, and combination punching will allow her to outwork Maverick, and that Maverick's tendency to float and try things without a plan will be her undoing.
This is a closer fight than the odds suggest, but Namajunas's striking will reign supreme. She may have issues with Maverick's strength and clinch work, but she will get into open space, land more damage, and win a clear decision.
The Guru picks Rose Namajunas, calling her a much better technical martial artist. He notes her grappling defense and standup are superior, and she has size at flyweight. He expects a unanimous decision win, 30-27, as Rose outclasses Maverick everywhere.
Zane picks Namajunas, citing her superior craft, movement, and jab-heavy striking as a clear advantage over Maverick's aimless, unprincipled game. He notes that Maverick lacks a clear process and often gets caught up striking when she should wrestle, while Namajunas is accurate, fast, and effective at kicking range. Zane believes Namajunas can outpoint Maverick over three rounds, as Maverick has consistently lost to fighters with a strong game plan.
Comments (1)
Miranda quite strong, Rose slick as usual.
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