Career Averages - Billy Elekana
Career Averages - Junior Tafa
Billy Elekana - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Elekana | 1 | 38 of 70 | 54% | 38 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Junior Tafa | 0 | 24 of 51 | 47% | 27 of 54 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 | 0 | 1:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Billy Elekana | 1 | 26 of 46 | 56% | 26 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Junior Tafa | 0 | 9 of 24 | 37% | 10 of 25 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 | |
| 2 | Billy Elekana | 0 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 12 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Junior Tafa | 0 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 17 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Elekana | 38 of 70 | 54% | 21 of 49 | 14 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 37 of 66 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Junior Tafa | 24 of 51 | 47% | 20 of 45 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 22 of 49 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Billy Elekana | 26 of 46 | 56% | 13 of 32 | 10 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 25 of 42 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Junior Tafa | 9 of 24 | 37% | 6 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Billy Elekana | 12 of 24 | 50% | 8 of 17 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Junior Tafa | 15 of 27 | 55% | 14 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Elekana (-250), Tafa (+205)
Round 1
The prelims wrap up with a struggling former heavyweight at 205 pounds in hopes of a new lease on life. Tafa (6-4, 2-4 UFC) dropped his first effort at light heavyweight, but he will get another chance as he takes on California native Elekana (9-2, 2-1 UFC). Referee Herb Dean dons his proverbial hard hat in anticipation of a whole lot of big swings in a small span of time, breathing a slight sigh of relief when the bruisers clap their hands together first.
Elekana slowly, cautiously wades in to go after the ex-heavyweight, not overcommitting to strikes but slowly backing the Kiwi to the fence. Elekana blocks a high kick and walks face-first into a bomb of a right hand that sets him down like a sack of bricks. Somehow, Elekana snaps back online after what appears to be a flash knockdown, and he grabs hold of Tafa and forces a bit of grappling before working his way up. Tafa rushes him, and he pulls back before going for broke. Elekana thanks him with a glove touch, and Tafa further gets his attention with a subsequent left hand. Tafa shuts down a takedown effort that might have gotten him down a year or two ago, and he intercepts a swinging Elekana with a sharp left hand down the middle. Elekana clips Tafa in the midst of an exchange, and Tafa backs off clutching his eye.
Elekana does not throw, instead shooting in for a single, and Tafa winces and pushes off. They flash out jabs at the same time, and Tafa goes with one to the sternum as Elekana frowns and shakes his head. Tafa gets in a pair of punches, and they high-five again. Tafa jabs, ducks and backs Elekana off with a body shot. Tafa winds up with a fierce right hand that shakes Elekana up, and Elekana manages to tank it and circle away as if nothing happened. Tafa takes advantage of a momentary lapse in defense with a right hand upstairs and a left to the body, and then looses a big right high. Tafa digs a kick to the ribs and punches the same target, and he attempts his own jabs to multiple targets. Elekana pitches out a front kick and gets knocked back courtesy of a right hand, and when he gathers himself, Tafa rips a huge left to the liver. Tafa unloads on Elekana before the round ends, and Elekana tags him back as they reach Round 2.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tafa
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Tafa
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Tafa
Round 2
The 205ers nod to one another and share a glove touch to get going in the second stanza. Elekana probes out his front kick with toes extended to the body, and he slips a right hand over the top. Elekana looks to hand-fight and take away Tafa’s left hand, and he pokes out a few jabs and threatens a takedown. Tafa scoots out of the way and backs Elekana to the wall with a pair of punches, but he does not corner Elekana as Elekana walks away and moves to the center of the cage again. The crowd boos this, as if they are seeing that these fighters are pulling their punches. Elekana does not pull anything when tagging Tafa with a pair of punches, and his right hand on the temple catches Tafa unaware. Tafa stumbles but does not go down, gathering himself and knocking Elekana back before allowing him once more to return to the center of the cage. Elekana closes in and grabs hold of Tafa, dragging him to the mat from behind so that he can step over into full mount.
Tafa turns to his side while Elekana is in a dominant position, and Tafa rolls around all while Elekana wraps up the body triangle.
Elekana briefly flirts with a rear-naked choke, and switches arms to change to the other side and locks it up in a hurry. Tafa knows that the submission is tight as a drum and that there is no way out, and he quickly taps out to give “Son of Susie” the submission victory.
Just like the Micallef fight from before, it only took one takedown to completely change the nature of this fight and turn the tide to one man’s favor.
The Official Result
Billy Elekana def. Justin Tafa R2 3:18 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angelo picks Billy Elekana, stating he is the better overall MMA fighter with solid takedown defense and patient striking. He acknowledges Junior Tafa's kickboxing skills but notes his takedown defense is a huge hole. He warns that the odds are steep at -225 and that Tafa could have success if Elekana tries to strike, but Elekana can adjust.
Big Brady is confident in Billy Elekana, citing Junior Tafa's poor grappling (white belt) and Elekana's submission win over Kevin Christian. He believes Elekana will take Tafa down and submit him in the first round, as Tafa made Tuco Tokos look like Khabib.
Cody is confident in Elekana, citing Tafa's poor cardio and tendency to fade after the first round. He notes that Elekana has good grappling and submission skills, and expects him to take Tafa down and submit him in the second round. He acknowledges Elekana is not a world-beater but sees this as a favorable matchup.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Elekana. He emphasizes that Tafa's striking is not technical enough and he has no grappling, so Elekana should win if he doesn't freeze. Connor also comments on the odds, suggesting Elekana is overvalued.
Daniel Vreeland picks Elekana despite initially doubting him, citing Tafa's abysmal ground game. He believes Elekana can take Tafa down and finish quickly, though he warns that if Elekana bangs on the feet, he risks getting knocked out. Vreeland is surprised to be picking Elekana but sees a clear path to victory.
James picks Elekana to win by submission, citing his superior grappling and cardio. He believes Elekana will take Tafa down and finish what Sean Sherif started, likely with a rear-naked choke in round one.
Elekana is a solid BJJ specialist with good striking and timing. Tafa has poor takedown defense and is vulnerable on the ground, as seen in his submission losses. Elekana should evade Tafa's power shots, get takedowns, and find a submission within a round and a half. The host likes Elekana by submission at +210, noting that Tafa is a favorite fade.
Paul agrees, noting that Tafa has consistently gassed out and been finished in his UFC fights. He believes Elekana's grappling will be the difference and predicts a submission win in the second round.
The Guru picks Billy Elekana, calling it a no-brainer. He praises Elekana's technical level, grappling, and toughness, noting his performance against Bogdan Guskov. He expects Elekana to submit Junior Tafa in the first round, as Tafa is less technical and relies on brawling.
Zane picks Billy Elekana because he sees Elekana as a reasonable light heavyweight prospect with decent athleticism and durability, despite his loss to Bogdan Guskov. He believes Elekana's grappling advantage will be decisive, as Junior Tafa cannot wrestle or grapple and relies on one big blitz. Zane notes that if Elekana freezes, Tafa could win, but overall Elekana should win by taking the fight to the ground.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Elekana | 1 | 17 of 23 | 73% | 19 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Kevin Christian | 0 | 14 of 17 | 82% | 14 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Billy Elekana | 1 | 17 of 23 | 73% | 19 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Kevin Christian | 0 | 14 of 17 | 82% | 14 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Elekana | 17 of 23 | 73% | 11 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 11 |
| Kevin Christian | 14 of 17 | 82% | 0 of 3 | 6 of 6 | 8 of 8 | 14 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Billy Elekana | 17 of 23 | 73% | 11 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 11 |
| Kevin Christian | 14 of 17 | 82% | 0 of 3 | 6 of 6 | 8 of 8 | 14 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Elekana (-250); Christian (+210)
Round 1
Light heavyweights wrap up the preliminary portion of the card, as a pair of gunslinging 30-year-olds ply their trade against one another. Elekana (8-2, 1-1 UFC) put the stink of his first stoppage loss behind him by winning on the scorecards against Ibo Aslan in July. Meanwhile, Brazilian finisher Christian (9-2, 0-0 UFC) has never competed into the third round as a professional. Something might have to give here, and referee Chris Tognoni will be the sole arbiter of this bout. It is a bout that commences with a respectful touching of gloves.
It is a game of leg kicks right off the bat for the two strikers, with the longer Christian getting Elekana’s attention with his distant shots. Elekana chambers and fires a heavier one, and Tognoni tells them to close their fists as they are leading with outstretched fingers. Legs continue to get kicked on both sides, but punches are at a premium thus far. Christian chops down the lead leg with audible blows, and Elekana tosses his own back and tries to check others. Christian splits the guard with a front kick, and Tognoni calls time to force the fighters to close their hands. Christian apologizes, but he gets right back to leading with his fingers. The commentary team is chattering about how the fighters basically ignored his instructions, and that it is a timely complaint given the result of the recent heavyweight title tilt.
All the while, Christian is chipping away with his kicks that land cleanly, and he has struck so hard the top of Elekana’s right shin has swelled up massively. Elekana no-sells this and opens up with a massive right hand, sending Christian flying across the cage. The Brazilian hits his back and instinctively turns to his side and then to his knees to shell up. Elekana beans him on the sides and back of the head while Christian is moving, but what are rules anymore and how are they never enforced? With Christian on his knees in a daze, Elekana slides into back control, gets his hooks in and attacks the rear-naked choke.
The Brazilian frantically taps almost immediately, surrendering many times on the floor while Tognoni is on the wrong side and does not see them. Elekana does not feel the taps, and Tognoni still does not register them, so Christian goes out. Tognoni checks on the now-limp limb of the defeated Brazilian, and he waves the fight off.
Elekana dismounts his wrecked adversary who has blood streaming down his face, and he walks off as Christian’s face swells up like a balloon. The victorious Californian thanks Tognoni personally, saying that he feels he performs better under his care—this is a strange statement, because this is the first time Tognoni has handled any of Elekana’s pro fights from a referee standpoint.
The Official Result
Billy Elekana def. Kevin Christian R1 3:33 via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angelo picks Billy Elekana, citing his counter-striking, pace control, and range management. He notes Kevin Christian is tall but doesn't use his length effectively, swinging wild. Elekana has better hands and decent takedown defense. He expects a late finish or decision, but warns that Elekana scored only 44 points in a win, making him a risky DFS play at his price.
Big Brady picks Billy Elekana but is not confident, calling Kevin Christian one of the worst Contender Series signings. He criticizes Christian's low volume, lack of power, and poor takedown defense. However, he also notes Elekana is nothing special and expects a horrible, low-volume fight. He predicts a decision win for Elekana.
Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Elekana is a big favorite and that the matchup is a failure of matchmaking. He implies Elekana should not be such a heavy favorite, but still picks him.
Lucrative James picks Billy Elekana, criticizing Kevin Christian's skill level and calling him one of the worst fighters he's watched. He notes Christian's reliance on guard submissions and lack of striking technique, while Elekana is more well-rounded and should win easily. He acknowledges Christian's size and wildness could lead to a submission, but favors Elekana.
Kevin Christian is not UFC-level talent. Elekana will land more and more shots, Christian will break down, and Elekana will get a TKO finish.
The MMA Guru picks Billy Elekana, citing his athleticism and low kicks. He criticizes Kevin Christian's wide stance and poor striking defense. He believes Elekana will chop at Christian's legs and win by decision, possibly 30-27. He notes Christian's Contender Series win was unimpressive.
Zane picks Elekana because he at least resembles a good MMA fighter when not pressed, while Kevin Christian is a huge but awkward fighter who fights like a small guy and tends to grapple from his back. He notes that Elekana could still get submitted off his back, but Christian's style makes him vulnerable.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ibo Aslan | 0 | 28 of 78 | 35% | 29 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Billy Elekana | 0 | 35 of 68 | 51% | 35 of 68 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ibo Aslan | 0 | 8 of 19 | 42% | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Billy Elekana | 0 | 10 of 16 | 62% | 10 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Ibo Aslan | 0 | 8 of 23 | 34% | 9 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Billy Elekana | 0 | 10 of 21 | 47% | 10 of 21 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Ibo Aslan | 0 | 12 of 36 | 33% | 12 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Billy Elekana | 0 | 15 of 31 | 48% | 15 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ibo Aslan | 28 of 78 | 35% | 10 of 57 | 8 of 10 | 10 of 11 | 28 of 78 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Billy Elekana | 35 of 68 | 51% | 18 of 46 | 17 of 21 | 0 of 1 | 35 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ibo Aslan | 8 of 19 | 42% | 1 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Billy Elekana | 10 of 16 | 62% | 3 of 8 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ibo Aslan | 8 of 23 | 34% | 3 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Billy Elekana | 10 of 21 | 47% | 6 of 14 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 10 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ibo Aslan | 12 of 36 | 33% | 6 of 28 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Billy Elekana | 15 of 31 | 48% | 9 of 24 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aslan (-260); Elekana (+215)
Round 1
Sherdog’s Devin Tejada has expressed quite a few words about the state of the UFC’s light heavyweight division, namely that the combatants are still able to not just succeed but flourish despite being specialists in a field. In the era of the sport where well-rounded athletes tend to claim belts more often than single-skill experts, 205 pounds may be one of the exceptions. To wit, Aslan (14-2, 2-1 UFC) has earned 14 wins, all 14 by knockout. His losses are both by submission, and California’s Elekana (7-2, 0-1 UFC) would like nothing more than to add a third submission defeat to his ledger. Before the fists fly, referee Jim Perdios gets hold of the situation and starts the clock. The 205ers touch gloves.
Aslan takes the center of the cage and offers distance strikes early, but he remains out of range. They hand-fight while in alternate stances, with Aslan in orthodox to Elekana’s southpaw. Elekana lands first with a front kick to the stomach, and he misses a second that he uses to keep Aslan from reaching him with his hands. Aslan slaps his foe back in the lead thigh with a kick. He strikes the same leg on the inside, but it is one-and-done as he has to dodge a straight right hand from his foe. Elekana just misses a left hand down the pipe, and these two are approaching one another with an abundance of caution. They do not engage much, resulting in boos from the crowd. Elekana lands a front kick, Aslan gets him back with a left, and they take turns attacking one another.
The fighters bounce around without fighting much, offering the occasional single strike while the power is out of range on both sides. Elekana gets off a few front kicks to disallow Aslan from closing the distance, and he has his left hand coiled back ready to strike. Instead of throwing a left, he pitches a head kick from that side that is blocked in time. Elekana shoots for a single, and he cannot keep hold of the limb as he releases it. Both men share a laugh at the feeble takedown effort. Elekana stabs the midsection with his toes extended for another kick, and this and his feinted left hand has kept Aslan from throwing caution to the wind. Elekana lands a body kick and guards against a high kick as the slow round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Elekana
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Elekana
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Elekana
Round 2
After a fist bump, the two pick up right where they left off with shadowboxing and too many feints and fakes. The first actual strike connects 33 seconds in when Aslan scores a short low kick, and Elekana pays him back immediately with a front kick. They land single punches, and then reset and bob around for a while without fighting. Elekana probes out with a straight left hand, and it is a single attack that does not merit follow-up attention. Aslan surges forward behind fists, but Elekana dodges and counters with a right hook. An Aslan kick brushes the cup, and Elekana talks to him about it and gives him a front kick in the stomach to think about.
Elekana lands at the end of a one-two, but Aslan ignores it and lobs an overhand right at him that goes wide. Aslan tries to reach his foe with overhand rights, but Elekana sees them coming and slips to the side. There is the occasional potshot from either side, but nothing significant that gets the other’s attention. Elekana shoots for a single that fails almost as soon as he grabs hold of the Turkish fighter’s leg, and front kicks from the fighters brush the cup again. Aslan shakes his cup and they do not stop, although given their lack of activity through nearly 10 minutes, it is tough to say they ever started. Aslan plods forward, looping a head kick at his foe that is easily blocked, and Elekana goes for a single that does not get completed because the round ends. Scores may be all over the place in these two rounds given the sheer lack of offense to tabulate.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Elekana
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Elekana
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Elekana
Round 3
After two rounds of frantic, frenetic combat with maybe a dozen strikes landed from either fighter, they share an embrace. Aslan leads off with multiple low and body kicks, one of which jams into the groin cup. Elekana frowns, and after a few seconds of recovery time, he gets back to business, where Aslan kicks him nearly in the same spot. Elekana lands a body kick and wipes his feet, and he snaps out a jab as both fighters start chatting. Elekana kicks his foe, Aslan kicks him back, and the less-than-stellar action continues. Elekana winds up with wider arcs to his blows, but they only result in getting blocked sooner because they are seen coming. The same goes for Aslan, who goes for a haymaker that is feet off the mark. Elekana reaches him with a big left hook, and Aslan rolls with it to take the brunt out of it.
As Aslan moves in, Elekana tries to time a head kick, but Aslan leans back to sway away from it. When Aslan commits to a punch, Elekana counters him with a left on the eyebrow that splits it open. Elekana plants a one-two on the same spot, wobbling Aslan back, and he does not go for more. As Aslan is allowed time to get his head right, he smiles. “The Last Ottoman” hurls a right hand over the top, but Elekana dodges and gives him a left hand back to think about. As Aslan slowly walks forward, the fans shower the two with boos after almost 15 minutes of shadowboxing. In hopes of going home slightly early, Elekana wings a big left hand, but Aslan is out of the way. The two decided to slug it out with seconds to go, but time expires before it heats up. At least it is over.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Elekana (30-27 Elekana)
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Elekana (30-27 Elekana)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Elekana (30-27 Elekana)
The Official Result
Billy Elekana def. Ibo Aslan via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Angelo picks Billy Elekana as an underdog, despite being shaken by the +235 odds. He notes Ibo Aslan has immense power but cardio issues, while Billy is durable, can wrestle, and can survive early to take over. He suggests betting the over 1.5 rounds if available.
Big Brady picks Ibo Aslan, citing his power and takedown defense. He notes Aslan is one-dimensional but that dimension is knocking people out, and he believes Aslan's power will be too much for Elekana, who is hittable and has poor striking defense. He predicts a second-round knockout, though he cautions that Aslan is not someone you want to lay -250 on.
Despite public love for Aslan, who is capable of landing an early finishing shot, Elekana's BJJ improvements are expected to get the fight to the ground and find a submission under one and a half rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Billy Elekana, noting his dynamic grappling and ability to get positions like the back, as seen in his debut against Bogdan Guskov. He criticizes Ibo Aslan's technical flaws and susceptibility to mixing it up. He predicts a submission win, specifically a rear-naked choke in the second round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogdan Guskov | 0 | 47 of 71 | 66% | 59 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 1 | 1:24 |
| Billy Elekana | 0 | 20 of 28 | 71% | 28 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bogdan Guskov | 0 | 12 of 17 | 70% | 19 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:44 |
| Billy Elekana | 0 | 8 of 9 | 88% | 16 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:40 | |
| 2 | Bogdan Guskov | 0 | 35 of 54 | 64% | 40 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Billy Elekana | 0 | 12 of 19 | 63% | 12 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogdan Guskov | 47 of 71 | 66% | 39 of 63 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 19 of 34 | 11 of 11 | 17 of 26 |
| Billy Elekana | 20 of 28 | 71% | 18 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bogdan Guskov | 12 of 17 | 70% | 9 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 14 |
| Billy Elekana | 8 of 9 | 88% | 7 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 | |
| 2 | Bogdan Guskov | 35 of 54 | 64% | 30 of 49 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 31 | 11 of 11 | 8 of 12 |
| Billy Elekana | 12 of 19 | 63% | 11 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Talbott (-1200), Barcelos (+750)
Round 1
It is time for two light heavyweight sluggers to do just that in the cage until one falls down. Guskov (16-3, 2-1 UFC) will take his surprising momentum and attempt to move another step forward in the wide-open 205-pound category, and he meets ex-LFA talent and late replacement Elekana (7-1, 0-0 UFC) in that next test. Referee Mike Beltran and his glorious mustache will need to watch out for errant blows, and he clocks the heavy hitters in as they clap hands. Guskov starts the match with a pair of low kicks, and he gets away with a third as he stalks the newcomer around the cage. Elekana goes to the body and head with kicks, and he suddenly shoots for a takedown to surprise Guskov. In the ensuing scramble, Elekana gets hold of Guskov’s back, sliding both hooks in and threatening with a rear-naked choke. Guskov hand-fights to defend the initial choke, and Elekana uses his long arms to wrap around and smack Guskov in the face. The fighter known as “Son of Susie” wraps up the body triangle around the waist, and he has Guskov totally shocked as he searches for another choke that does not materialize. Fans voice their disapproval as little more comes from the control, until Elekana nails Guskov with a pair of 12-6 elbows on the side of the dome. Elekana remains on the back when Guskov sits up, and he cuts Guskov on the eyebrow with one of his glancing wraparound strikes. Guskov turns to the side and briefly breaks the leg grip, but Elekana recovers it and gets the hooks back in. Guskov gets to his knees in hopes of tossing Elekana off of him, and he rips a hook off his torso so he can spin around. Elekana is unable to hold Guskov in the dominant position, and Guskov turns around and makes Elekana pay for his actions in the previous four minutes. The powerful punches slide around the guard and hurt Elekana, opening up a rear-naked choke of his own. Guskov takes the back and wraps it up, but time expires before he can finish the job. There is a bit of an awkward moment as Guskov holds the choke after the bell, but nothing comes of it.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Elekana
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Guskov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Elekana
Round 2
On the replay, Elekana is shown as having tapped, but it took place after the bell so it did not count. The fans are not thrilled, thinking a stoppage was missed. The fighters get to it, back on the feet to start off the second round, and Guskov wants to get out of her soon. He walks Elekana down and slugs him in the face with power punches, only to get clipped with a right hook that sneaks around his guard. A right hand from Elekana further surprises Guskov, who marches forward after it only to get caught with a one-two. Elekana dodges to evade what comes his way, and Guskov feints and fakes to draw repeated reactions out of him. Elekana scores a single left hand, and Guskov lays into him with three heavy punches. Guskov backs his foe up to the fence with a right hand, and Elekana counters him over the top. Elekana grins, under fire from the man from Uzbekistan, as he prepares to let counters fly as soon as Guskov drops his hands. Guskov stays in front of his man, splitting the guard with powerful punches, but it is the body shots that hurt Elekana. Guskov senses his opening and strings together a ferocious combo of head and body shots that lead him to a knee in the face. Elekana drops to a knee to defend from getting kneed in the head again, and Guskov tries to wail away on him with standing-to-ground punches. Guskov backs off, and Elekana elects to sit in the same position instead of standing.
Guskov, seeing there is little resistance coming his direction, strides forward and wraps a power guillotine around Elekana’s throat. With Guskov’s full weight bearing down, it takes no more than a couple seconds for Elekana to surrender from the submission
, as he is spent and about to go out. We have our first finish of the night, with the knockout artist Guskov picking up a submission victory.
The Official Result
Bogdan Guskov def. Billy Elekana R2 3:33 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Angelo picks Bogdan Guskov, citing his power and ability to find the chin, especially against Johnny Walker who has a weak chin. He notes that if Guskov cannot knock out Walker, he should be sent on his way. He suggests betting Guskov inside the distance with a 'no action' refund if it goes to decision.
Cody does not have a clear pick. He expresses doubt about Guskov, noting that Guskov has been a betting underdog in all his UFC fights and has shown flaws: he was losing to Zach Pauga before a KO, and gassed against Ryan Spann. Cody also questions Guskov's chin and ground game. However, he is not confident in Elekana either, who is taking the fight on short notice and has not impressed at 205. Cody ultimately passes on betting this fight.
Daniel picks Guskov, noting his big power and experience against ranked opponents. He thinks Elekana is green and took the fight on short notice. Daniel believes Guskov can back Elekana up and land something big. He is not betting due to the price but expects Guskov to win.
The host describes Guskov as having power punching but defensive grappling issues. Elekana is a solid striker with BJJ chops. The host expects Elekana to counter Guskov effectively and either club and sub him or knock him out inside the distance.
Paul also has no clear pick. He agrees with Cody that Guskov is not trustworthy as a big favorite, and Elekana is unproven. Paul considers a live bet on Elekana if Guskov shows fatigue, but does not commit to a pre-fight pick. He notes that Elekana has never been knocked out, which could provide value if Guskov fades.
The MMA Guru picks Bogdan Guskov to win by KO. He notes Guskov has knockout power and is a dangerous fighter, while Elekana is taking the fight on short notice for his debut. He expects Guskov to win by KO.
Junior Tafa - Fight History
The host picks Baraniewski by armbar, noting that Baraniewski is a very good grappler with judo and powerful takedowns. He expects Baraniewski to exchange a few strikes, then toss Tafa and armbar him as soon as they hit the mat. He mentions that Tafa's takedown defense and submission defense are not there.
AJ picks Baraniewski to finish Tafa, likely by submission in round one, citing Baraniewski's judo background and Tafa's suspect grappling. He notes Baraniewski can also win on the feet but expects the smart strategy to be takedown and submission. AJ is confident Baraniewski will showcase his grappling and get a first-round finish.
Angelo picks Iwo Baraniewski but expresses concern about his lack of experience in later rounds, as he has never been past the first round. He notes that Baraniewski has power and can wrestle if needed, while Tafa's takedown defense is terrible. However, he worries that if Baraniewski doesn't finish early, he might gas.
Big Brady picks Iwo Baraniewski to win by first round submission. He notes that Junior Tafa has the worst grappling in the UFC and that Baraniewski should take him down and submit him easily. However, he worries about Baraniewski's fight IQ and whether he will choose to strike instead of grappling.
Iwo Baraniewski has five straight knockouts and is a brutal finisher. Junior Tafa has a weak chin and was knocked out by Billy Elekana. Baraniewski will knock him out in the first round, possibly with a submission but likely a KO.
Iwo Baraniewski should win because he has a grappling advantage over Junior Tafa, who is susceptible to low kicks and has questionable cardio. However, Baraniewski can be reckless and hittable, so he must grapple to avoid getting clipped. The host expects a finish, possibly by submission, but notes Baraniewski's inconsistency.
Baraniewski is fundamentally better and has power, but Tafa has a puncher's chance. Baraniewski should win by first-round knockout if he doesn't get reckless. Tafa is bigger but lacks technical striking and grappling.
Lucrative James picks Iwo Baraniewski, expecting him to use his grappling to neutralize Junior Tafa's striking. He notes Baraniewski's takedown instincts and ground game, predicting a KO via ground and pound in round 1. He acknowledges Tafa's power but believes Baraniewski's wrestling will be the difference.
Baraniewski is a powerful wrestler with finishing ability; Tafa has poor takedown defense and gets demoralized on the ground. Baraniewski should take him down easily and finish by submission or TKO. The round one submission prop at +1100 is a great value.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Tafa | 0 | 21 of 31 | 67% | 22 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Kevin Christian | 0 | 13 of 21 | 61% | 13 of 21 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Junior Tafa | 0 | 21 of 31 | 67% | 22 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Kevin Christian | 0 | 13 of 21 | 61% | 13 of 21 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Tafa | 21 of 31 | 67% | 20 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 10 |
| Kevin Christian | 13 of 21 | 61% | 2 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 11 | 13 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Junior Tafa | 21 of 31 | 67% | 20 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 10 |
| Kevin Christian | 13 of 21 | 61% | 2 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 11 | 13 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Towering light heavies Christian (9-3; 0-1 UFC) and Tafa (6-5; 2-5 UFC) go to work at the direction of referee Matt Wynne. Tafa is tall and long, but Christian is ridiculously huge, and they exchange hard shots immediately. Christian hacks away at Tafa’s front leg with nasty kicks from both sides, and Tafa is reacting right away. Tafa does not like the kicks one bit, but he’s countering with huge punches up top, several of which land. Christian is hurt and backing away, but manages to recover. The Brazilian goes right back to work on Tafa’s lead leg, which is visibly chewed up. Tafa is favoring the bad leg, but he plants on it anyway and floors Christian with a pair of flush hooks. Christian stumbles away.
Tafa gives chase, puts him down with a final right hand, then drops at least 10 jackhammer right elbows from top position before Wynne moves in to save the unconscious Brazilian.
Definitive finish to a blissfully defense-free scrap by “The Juggernaut.”
The Official Result
Junior Tafa def. Kevin Christian R1 2:42 via KO (Punches and Elbows)
Angelo leans Kevin Christian despite Junior Tafa being the better striker, because Tafa's takedown defense and ground game are terrible. He believes if Christian can get the fight to the ground, he will win. He expects a finish either way and mentions the under on rounds.
Big Brady picks Junior Tafa to win by first-round knockout. He calls Kevin Christian the worst fighter in UFC history, citing his lack of volume, chin, and wrestling. Brady notes Tafa has two UFC wins by knockout and believes Christian's only path is a triangle choke, which is unlikely. He trusts Tafa's power to finish early.
Cody picks Tafa but is hesitant, noting his poor cardio and submission vulnerability. He believes Tafa will likely win by knockout in the first round, but advises live betting Christian if it goes longer.
Connor picks Christian as a fun upset pick, noting that Tafa is a chaos fighter who either wins in the first round or loses. He points out that Tafa has no grappling and could get taken down or submitted by Christian's length. However, he admits Christian is bad and uncoordinated, making this a low-confidence pick.
Daniel Vreeland reluctantly picks Junior Tafa to win by knockout, but is wary of Tafa's poor ground game and history of losing as a favorite. He notes Kevin Christian's poor distance management but sees Tafa's power as the deciding factor.
Tafa is the favorite but his advantages are baked into the odds. He has bad cardio and ground game, while Christian is slow and hittable but could exploit Tafa's weaknesses if he grapples. The fight is likely to end inside the distance but odds are terrible. No bet recommended.
Lucrative James picks Junior Tafa to win via knockout. He considers Kevin Christian one of the worst fighters on the roster and believes Tafa is a much better striker. He expects Tafa's takedown defense to keep the fight standing where he has a clear advantage.
James is very confident in Junior Tafa because he believes Kevin Christian is a low-level UFC fighter with poor striking defense and cardio. He expects Tafa's superior boxing and kickboxing to lead to an early knockout, likely in the first round.
Despite normally fading Tafa, the host picks him here because Christian's grappling is not UFC level. He expects Tafa's initial grappling defense to keep the fight standing, and then Tafa will land a big knockout. The host notes Tafa's power and that Christian is hittable and lacks durability.
Paul picks Christian as an underdog, citing Tafa's history of gassing and getting submitted. He believes Christian's submission skills and durability could lead to an upset, especially if he survives the first round.
The MMA Guru picks Junior Tafa, despite his 6-5 record, believing he will catch Kevin Christian coming in. He notes Tafa looked improved in his last fight and dropped Billy Elekana. He also comments on Christian's background, suggesting it affects his pick.
Zane picks Tafa because he believes Kevin Christian is a bad athlete—flat-footed, slow, uncoordinated, and ungainly despite his height. He thinks Tafa, despite his own flaws, has enough power and aggression to finish Christian early. He notes that Christian is in Stefan Struve territory but without the toughness, and that Tafa should be able to beat him.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Elekana | 1 | 38 of 70 | 54% | 38 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Junior Tafa | 0 | 24 of 51 | 47% | 27 of 54 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 | 0 | 1:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Billy Elekana | 1 | 26 of 46 | 56% | 26 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Junior Tafa | 0 | 9 of 24 | 37% | 10 of 25 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 | |
| 2 | Billy Elekana | 0 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 12 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Junior Tafa | 0 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 17 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Elekana | 38 of 70 | 54% | 21 of 49 | 14 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 37 of 66 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Junior Tafa | 24 of 51 | 47% | 20 of 45 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 22 of 49 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Billy Elekana | 26 of 46 | 56% | 13 of 32 | 10 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 25 of 42 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Junior Tafa | 9 of 24 | 37% | 6 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Billy Elekana | 12 of 24 | 50% | 8 of 17 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Junior Tafa | 15 of 27 | 55% | 14 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Elekana (-250), Tafa (+205)
Round 1
The prelims wrap up with a struggling former heavyweight at 205 pounds in hopes of a new lease on life. Tafa (6-4, 2-4 UFC) dropped his first effort at light heavyweight, but he will get another chance as he takes on California native Elekana (9-2, 2-1 UFC). Referee Herb Dean dons his proverbial hard hat in anticipation of a whole lot of big swings in a small span of time, breathing a slight sigh of relief when the bruisers clap their hands together first.
Elekana slowly, cautiously wades in to go after the ex-heavyweight, not overcommitting to strikes but slowly backing the Kiwi to the fence. Elekana blocks a high kick and walks face-first into a bomb of a right hand that sets him down like a sack of bricks. Somehow, Elekana snaps back online after what appears to be a flash knockdown, and he grabs hold of Tafa and forces a bit of grappling before working his way up. Tafa rushes him, and he pulls back before going for broke. Elekana thanks him with a glove touch, and Tafa further gets his attention with a subsequent left hand. Tafa shuts down a takedown effort that might have gotten him down a year or two ago, and he intercepts a swinging Elekana with a sharp left hand down the middle. Elekana clips Tafa in the midst of an exchange, and Tafa backs off clutching his eye.
Elekana does not throw, instead shooting in for a single, and Tafa winces and pushes off. They flash out jabs at the same time, and Tafa goes with one to the sternum as Elekana frowns and shakes his head. Tafa gets in a pair of punches, and they high-five again. Tafa jabs, ducks and backs Elekana off with a body shot. Tafa winds up with a fierce right hand that shakes Elekana up, and Elekana manages to tank it and circle away as if nothing happened. Tafa takes advantage of a momentary lapse in defense with a right hand upstairs and a left to the body, and then looses a big right high. Tafa digs a kick to the ribs and punches the same target, and he attempts his own jabs to multiple targets. Elekana pitches out a front kick and gets knocked back courtesy of a right hand, and when he gathers himself, Tafa rips a huge left to the liver. Tafa unloads on Elekana before the round ends, and Elekana tags him back as they reach Round 2.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tafa
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Tafa
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Tafa
Round 2
The 205ers nod to one another and share a glove touch to get going in the second stanza. Elekana probes out his front kick with toes extended to the body, and he slips a right hand over the top. Elekana looks to hand-fight and take away Tafa’s left hand, and he pokes out a few jabs and threatens a takedown. Tafa scoots out of the way and backs Elekana to the wall with a pair of punches, but he does not corner Elekana as Elekana walks away and moves to the center of the cage again. The crowd boos this, as if they are seeing that these fighters are pulling their punches. Elekana does not pull anything when tagging Tafa with a pair of punches, and his right hand on the temple catches Tafa unaware. Tafa stumbles but does not go down, gathering himself and knocking Elekana back before allowing him once more to return to the center of the cage. Elekana closes in and grabs hold of Tafa, dragging him to the mat from behind so that he can step over into full mount.
Tafa turns to his side while Elekana is in a dominant position, and Tafa rolls around all while Elekana wraps up the body triangle.
Elekana briefly flirts with a rear-naked choke, and switches arms to change to the other side and locks it up in a hurry. Tafa knows that the submission is tight as a drum and that there is no way out, and he quickly taps out to give “Son of Susie” the submission victory.
Just like the Micallef fight from before, it only took one takedown to completely change the nature of this fight and turn the tide to one man’s favor.
The Official Result
Billy Elekana def. Justin Tafa R2 3:18 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angelo picks Billy Elekana, stating he is the better overall MMA fighter with solid takedown defense and patient striking. He acknowledges Junior Tafa's kickboxing skills but notes his takedown defense is a huge hole. He warns that the odds are steep at -225 and that Tafa could have success if Elekana tries to strike, but Elekana can adjust.
Big Brady is confident in Billy Elekana, citing Junior Tafa's poor grappling (white belt) and Elekana's submission win over Kevin Christian. He believes Elekana will take Tafa down and submit him in the first round, as Tafa made Tuco Tokos look like Khabib.
Cody is confident in Elekana, citing Tafa's poor cardio and tendency to fade after the first round. He notes that Elekana has good grappling and submission skills, and expects him to take Tafa down and submit him in the second round. He acknowledges Elekana is not a world-beater but sees this as a favorable matchup.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Elekana. He emphasizes that Tafa's striking is not technical enough and he has no grappling, so Elekana should win if he doesn't freeze. Connor also comments on the odds, suggesting Elekana is overvalued.
Daniel Vreeland picks Elekana despite initially doubting him, citing Tafa's abysmal ground game. He believes Elekana can take Tafa down and finish quickly, though he warns that if Elekana bangs on the feet, he risks getting knocked out. Vreeland is surprised to be picking Elekana but sees a clear path to victory.
James picks Elekana to win by submission, citing his superior grappling and cardio. He believes Elekana will take Tafa down and finish what Sean Sherif started, likely with a rear-naked choke in round one.
Elekana is a solid BJJ specialist with good striking and timing. Tafa has poor takedown defense and is vulnerable on the ground, as seen in his submission losses. Elekana should evade Tafa's power shots, get takedowns, and find a submission within a round and a half. The host likes Elekana by submission at +210, noting that Tafa is a favorite fade.
Paul agrees, noting that Tafa has consistently gassed out and been finished in his UFC fights. He believes Elekana's grappling will be the difference and predicts a submission win in the second round.
The Guru picks Billy Elekana, calling it a no-brainer. He praises Elekana's technical level, grappling, and toughness, noting his performance against Bogdan Guskov. He expects Elekana to submit Junior Tafa in the first round, as Tafa is less technical and relies on brawling.
Zane picks Billy Elekana because he sees Elekana as a reasonable light heavyweight prospect with decent athleticism and durability, despite his loss to Bogdan Guskov. He believes Elekana's grappling advantage will be decisive, as Junior Tafa cannot wrestle or grapple and relies on one big blitz. Zane notes that if Elekana freezes, Tafa could win, but overall Elekana should win by taking the fight to the ground.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Aslan. He emphasizes that Tafa's record is terrible and that he has never won a fight past two minutes. Connor notes that Aslan has never been knocked out and is capable of throwing power combos and low kicks. He thinks Aslan's pressure and durability will overwhelm Tafa, who is purely a reactive striker with no control.
Zane picks Aslan, reasoning that Aslan is a nuts-and-bolts slugger who will pressure Tafa and throw combinations. He notes that Tafa is a reactive striker who throws one big punch at a time and has poor durability. Zane believes Aslan's willingness to blitz with power combos and his ability to go past the first round give him the edge, as Tafa has never won a fight that went past two minutes.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Tafa | 0 | 24 of 38 | 63% | 25 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:27 |
| Tuco Tokkos | 0 | 11 of 22 | 50% | 31 of 57 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 1 | 0 | 7:51 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Junior Tafa | 0 | 16 of 23 | 69% | 17 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:12 |
| Tuco Tokkos | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 14 of 19 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 4:14 | |
| 2 | Junior Tafa | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Tuco Tokkos | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 17 of 38 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 3:37 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Tafa | 24 of 38 | 63% | 21 of 35 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 14 | 10 of 10 | 8 of 14 |
| Tuco Tokkos | 11 of 22 | 50% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 13 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Junior Tafa | 16 of 23 | 69% | 15 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 8 of 8 | 7 of 10 |
| Tuco Tokkos | 6 of 9 | 66% | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | |
| 2 | Junior Tafa | 8 of 15 | 53% | 6 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 4 |
| Tuco Tokkos | 5 of 13 | 38% | 4 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 8 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Tafa (-175); Tokkos (+140)
Round 1
Down about 35 pounds with some serious physical transformation on his behalf, Tafa (6-3, 2-3 UFC) is aiming for a new lease on life at light heavyweight. He will be able to trade with a willing dance partner in Tokkos (10-5, 0-2 UFC), where a knockout may not be guaranteed but it is greatly expected. Before the bludgeoning, referee Eric McMahon clocks the fighters in, and they bump fists.
Tokkos says hello with a chopping low kick, and Tafa checks a second one and attacks behind his jab. Tafa checks another kick, and he finds himself facing a single-leg entry from the Brit. Tafa elbows the side of the head a few times, and Tokkos still manages to wrangle him to the floor. Tokkos keeps hold of Tafa’s left leg to trap him on the mat, and he holds in there. Fans are not amused by the lack of activity of the two sluggers, and Tafa takes advantage of their momentum and stands up. The Kiwi hacks down the back of the head a few times, grabs the fence and is still dragged to his seat courtesy of the Tokkos single. Tafa wall-walks upright and is mat returned in a hurry. Tafa stands, and he wraps up a power guillotine choke only to release it to slash down with elbows.
Tokkos throws Tafa back down to the floor with emphasis, and Tafa repositions himself to sit on his seat. Tokkos smothers the former heavyweight with chest pressure, and McMahon tells them they need to do more than stall out. Tafa gets to a knee, and Tokkos takes his back and loops one hook around the legs. Tokkos dives after a short choke, and Tafa gives up his back and starts fighting hands. Tokkos resets himself to set up a rear-naked choke, and he releases it to shift to full mount, arm-triangle briefly in play. Tokkos postures up to drive down punches, getting warned for back of the head shots as well. He continues to impose his weight on Tafa, and is warned for grabbing inside the glove to keep Tafa on the mat. Tafa flips him over with seconds to go and lets Tokkos have it, cutting Tokkos on the top of the head as the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tokkos
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Tokkos
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Tokkos
Round 2
Tafa touches gloves with his foe and unleashes a hellacious overhand right. Tokkos shrugs at him, but he is beaned by another big right. Tafa clubs him with an uppercut, and Tokkos falls on his face. Tokkos rolls around on the mat to try to get Tafa in a grappling exchange, and Tafa stands up and makes him get up. Tokkos explodes forward, nailing Tafa with a shock right hand that he uses to set up a takedown after it. Tafa gets dragged to the mat, and Tokkos clings to him and holds on with a front choke. Along the way, he is warned for grabbing Tafa’s gloves. Tokkos steps over to half guard and easily climbs to three-quarter mount, only to pull himself back one step so he keeps Tafa flat on his back. Tokkos sits up and drives down punches and hammerfists, and Tafa turns to his side to survive. Tokkos quits punching for the most part to get a hook in around the side.
Tafa shifts to his back again, and Tokkos considers an arm-triangle choke and is admonished for eye gouging when he puts his fingers on Tafa’s face. Tokkos sits up again to land some bombs, and he uses the punches to set up a rear-naked choke. Tafa on his side is able to break up the submission, but Tokkos is still on him making him carry every additional pound.
This time, Tokkos advances to full mount, and he latches on with an arm-triangle choke and steps over to the side. Crushing down with all of his energy, Tokkos forces Tafa to submit to the choke.
McMahon breaks up the sub, and Tokkos strides away and drops to his knees to take in his first UFC victory.
The Official Result
George Tokkos def. Junior Tafa R2 4:25 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
Angelo picks Tuco Tokkos but admits he can't bet on him because Tokkos is winless in the UFC. He thinks Tokkos can get the fight to the ground and control Junior Tafa, who has poor takedown defense and looked out of shape in his last fight. However, he notes Tokkos is not reliable enough to bet on as a dog.
Big Brady hates this fight from a betting standpoint. He warns that Junior Tafa's ground game is terrible and if Tuco Tokkos gets him down, it could be bad. However, he cannot rely on Tokkos to wrestle or do anything. He picks Tafa by default, expecting a first-round knockout, but says he would never lay -160 on Tafa.
Connor picks Tokkos hesitantly, noting that Junior Tafa is a one-dimensional slugger who is very upright and easy to navigate. He acknowledges that Tokkos is hurtable and awkward, but believes his wrestling and toughness might be enough to outwork Tafa. Connor admits Tafa could knock Tokkos out, but he leans toward Tokkos due to Tafa's lack of versatility.
The host is not a fan of either fighter but believes Tokkos has the BJJ black belt to take Tafa to the ground and find a submission quickly. He criticizes Tafa's overall skill level, noting he has decent pop but is not a good fighter. Tokkos has underperformed in the UFC but has the grappling chops to win.
The MMA Guru picks Junior Tafa, noting he is in shape for his light heavyweight debut and has had some success in the UFC, unlike Tuco Tokkos who has lost three straight and shown no success. He expects Tafa to be 'lean and mean' and score a first-round TKO, as Tokkos has been finished in all his losses.
Zane also picks Tokkos, reasoning that Tafa's move down to light heavyweight won't fix his fundamental issues. He notes that Tokkos is a hard worker who tries to win, and that Tafa's one-note striking might not be enough to put him away. Zane is not confident, calling it a terrible fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Tafa | 0 | 71 of 128 | 55% | 71 of 128 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Sean Sharaf | 0 | 53 of 118 | 44% | 54 of 122 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Junior Tafa | 0 | 36 of 75 | 48% | 36 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sean Sharaf | 0 | 46 of 102 | 45% | 47 of 106 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 | |
| 2 | Junior Tafa | 0 | 35 of 53 | 66% | 35 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Sean Sharaf | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 7 of 16 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Tafa | 71 of 128 | 55% | 61 of 117 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 71 of 128 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sean Sharaf | 53 of 118 | 44% | 39 of 101 | 7 of 10 | 7 of 7 | 44 of 93 | 1 of 3 | 8 of 22 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Junior Tafa | 36 of 75 | 48% | 28 of 66 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 36 of 75 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sean Sharaf | 46 of 102 | 45% | 34 of 87 | 6 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 37 of 78 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 22 | |
| 2 | Junior Tafa | 35 of 53 | 66% | 33 of 51 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 35 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sean Sharaf | 7 of 16 | 43% | 5 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: ODDS: Tafa (-400), Sharaf (+250)
Round 1
The UFC nearly went two months without staging a heavyweight fight, with the last one between Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Tai Tuivasa in the middle of August. Tafa (5-3, 1-3 UFC), one of the other hefty participants that night, will try to get back in the win column at the expense of relative neophyte Sharaf (4-0, 0-0 UFC). Referee Mark Smith will be keeping his head on a swivel, as these two sluggers combine for nine knockouts across their nine wins. Gloves are briefly touched, and Sharaf does not waste time and winds up a low kick and look for a big right hand. Sharaf backs Tafa against the fence and swings for the bleachers, forcing Tafa to bounce off the wall. Tafa jabs to the body, and Sharaf comes up top with a one-two. Tafa splits the guard with long punches, and Sharaf thumps the front leg with a kick. Tafa winds up with a counter right hand to nail the newcomer on the side of the head, and Sharaf dives after him for a takedown. Tafa grabs the fence to keep himself on his feet, and Smith is not happy about that and calls time to warn him of his foul. When they resume, it does not take more than a few seconds for Sharaf to charge his foe and get the takedown he was seeking. Tafa does not stay on his back for long before getting back to his feet, and they stand in the center of the cage and trade single strikes. The ferocity between the two is not nearly as intense as before, but Tafa breaks this up by blasting Sharaf in the side of the head and shaking him up. Tafa showboats by pointing at Sharaf’s corner, and Sharaf surges into action with thunderous punches that back “The Juggernaut” to the wall again. Tafa strafes away in part due to a successful takedown defense, and he scores a few leg kicks and follows one with a left hook. Sharaf keeps a decent poker face but is stung from the blow, and Tafa winds up and nails him on the temple to further shake him up. Tafa marches him down, walking through wild counters while picking his shots that are landing cleaner and heavier. Tafa backs off to adjust his shorts, and he checks a calf kick and leans back as a left hook comes his way. Tafa slips two lefts around the guard and unloads haymakers, only for Sharaf to stand form and rock him with two hooks and drag him to the mat with a double. Tafa turns to his side as Sharaf claims full mount, and Sharaf beats on him with punches and elbows. Sharaf swarms his man with elbows until the horn saves an exhausted Tafa.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sharaf
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Sharaf
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sharaf
Round 2
The big men are sucking wind after five minutes of brawling, and they get back to it and tap their large hands together. Tafa fights behind his jab, tripling up on it and following with a right hand. Sharaf tries a labored shot, and he gets caught with a right hand. Sharaf steps out with a left hand, and Tafa intercepts him with an uppercut while stopping a shot. Sharaf digs a left to the body and a right to the head, and Tafa surges into action. Tafa winds up a massive right hand, and Sharaf don’t like it. His casbah is rocked. Tafa throws hammers until he runs out of steam, and he has no choice but to disengage as Sharaf is still in the fight albeit bloodied from his left eye. Tafa unloads a right hand around the guard of his opponent, and he marches forward and rifles off three uppercuts. Sharaf is barely on his feet, taking a deep breath and leaning back to avoid a haymaker. Tafa laughs off a possible shot and walks Sharaf from one side of the cage to the other.
The spent Kiwi summons all his energy into one final punch, in the form of a booming right hand that clips Sharaf on the temple. Sharaf stumbles away, hanging on tightly to consciousness, and Smith sees he is not intelligently defending himself and waves the fight off.
Taking the fight earlier this week, Sharaf showed off several solid moments and about five minutes of cardio, and Tafa had just a little more in the tank to get his hand raised. The victorious “Juggernaut” retains his 100% knockout rate, and he drops to his seat in exhaustion.
The Official Result
Junior Tafa def. Sean Sharaf R2 2:15 via TKO (Punches)
Angelo picks Junior Tafa, citing his kickboxing skills and the fact that Chris Barnett hasn't fought in two years. He notes that Barnett's athleticism declines with age and that Tafa should be able to piece him up on the feet. Angelo mentions that Tafa's takedown defense is a hole, but Barnett is unlikely to exploit it. He believes Tafa will win via striking and that the layoff will show rust on Barnett.
Big Brady picks Junior Tafa to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Tafa is a sizable favorite and has the striking advantage, but acknowledges that if Sharaf wrestles, Tafa has no takedown defense or ground game. However, since Sharaf hasn't shown wrestling, Brady expects Tafa to knock him out early. He mentions the under is juiced and thinks someone gets finished in the first round.
This fight was not discussed in the transcript. No picks were made.
Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Sharaf is a typical heavyweight signing with no tape, who will be aggressive but likely sucks if he doesn't knock Tafa out instantly. He points out that Tafa has at least shown some striking ability and is not as easily overwhelmed as Sharaf's previous opponents.
Daniel notes Tafa's significant size and age advantages over Barnett, who is 5'8", 38 years old, and obese. He believes Tafa's striking is excellent and that Barnett will stand and trade, leading to a knockout. The only concern is Tafa's poor grappling if taken down, but Daniel thinks Barnett won't attempt takedowns.
The host is not a fan of Junior Tafa, calling him overrated with only one UFC victory that he 'cheated' to get via a fence grab. Sharaf is a short-notice replacement but a longtime member of Extreme Couture, training with Francis Ngannou and others. Sharaf should engage in striking and possibly grappling, showcasing better MMA and pulling off the upset.
The MMA Guru picks Junior Tafa over Chris Barnett (note: transcript says Chris Barnett but fight card lists Sean Sharaf; likely a mistake in transcript). He trusts Tafa's boxing and power at heavyweight over Barnett's kicks and unorthodox striking. He notes Barnett's history of being knocked out and his poor boxing, while Tafa is young and hits hard with clean boxing.
Zane picks Tafa because he has more experience and can throw combinations, having done some kickboxing. He notes that Sharaf has almost no tape and is likely a one-dimensional knockout artist who will struggle if he doesn't finish early. Zane thinks Tafa's craftiness with punches gives him the edge.
This fight was not discussed in the transcript. No picks were made.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valter Walker | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Junior Tafa | 0 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 20 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 3:54 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valter Walker | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Junior Tafa | 0 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 20 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 3:54 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valter Walker | 5 of 8 | 62% | 4 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Junior Tafa | 4 of 4 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valter Walker | 5 of 8 | 62% | 4 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Junior Tafa | 4 of 4 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Tafa (-130), Walker (+110)
Round 1
The prelims close with a heavyweight smash-‘em-up derby where one of these two heavy hitters will likely wind up face down before it is all over. All but one of Tafa’s (5-2, 1-2 UFC) pro outings have ended by knockout, while Walker (11-1, 0-1 UFC) is no stranger to bludgeoning another man unconscious. Keeping his head on a swivel will be referee Steve Perceval, as feet and fists are sure to soar in moments. Before that happens, there is a sporting glove touch from the competitors. They are uncharacteristically tentative to begin the fight, with only one leg kick landing for the first 30 seconds. Tafa walks through the kick and busts Walker in the face, stumbling Walker against the cage. Tafa continues throwing hands, stinging Walker again, and Walker tries to slow things down and pursue a takedown. On his second effort, Walker manages to wrench “The Juggernaut” to the canvas. Tafa scoots to the fence and wall-walks to stand up, and Tafa grabs the fence to fight off a mat return. Walker scoops his legs out beneath him and dumps Tafa to the floor, and Tafa again grabs the cage in hopes of standing. Perceval is on top of it, warning Tafa again. Walker gets in a single left hand while trying to keep Tafa on the mat, hoping to settle in half guard. Walker grinds from on top with occasional short punches, and the crowd tries to energize Tafa with a local chant. Tafa remains pinned to the floor with a heavy man above him, and Perceval asks for more activity. Tafa clings to the neck to keep Walker stuck, or perhaps force a standup, and Walker breaks out of it and jams down an elbow. Commentators Daniel Cormier and Dominick Cruz heavily criticize Tafa’s complete inability and seeming lack of knowledge to get back to his feet, and
Walker changes things up by rolling for a sudden heel hook. Tafa flops to his back and screams, and as soon as he turns to his side, Perceval waves the fight off while shouting “Stop!”
Tafa is enraged, going to slap Walker in the face after the fight concludes, claiming that he did not tap out. His shout out was considered a verbal submission by Perceval—the right call, with screams specifically considered verbal tapouts in the Unified Rules—and officials pull the upset Tafa away and force him back to his corner. Tafa is not about to drop it, continuing to shout at the victorious Walker and flip him the middle finger during the official announcement. No amount of protest from Tafa will change the result, which will stand as a submission.
The Official Result
Valter Walker def. Junior Tafa R1 4:56 via Verbal Submission (Heel Hook)
Angelo picks Valter Walker to win via wrestling, believing he can get takedowns and control Junior Tafa, who has shown poor takedown defense. However, he talks himself out of betting on Walker because his last fight was an embarrassing cardio failure, and the odds are not plus money. He calls Walker 'absolutely horrible' but thinks he can win if he shows up prepared.
Big Brady picks Junior Tafa to win by second-round knockout. He is not high on either fighter but thinks Tafa has the advantage on the feet. He notes Valter Walker can wrestle and will likely get takedowns in the first round, but Walker gasses out early and looked terrible in his last fight. He expects Walker to tire in the second round, allowing Tafa to stuff takedowns and land a knockout. He says he would not bet this fight with a 10-foot pole, especially laying chalk on Tafa.
Cody believes Walker's wrestling will be the difference, as Tafa has poor takedown defense and no get-up game. He notes Walker looked improved physically and should learn from his debut loss. Cody expects Walker to take Tafa down and control him, possibly earning a submission or decision.
Daniel Vreeland picks Valter Walker to win a decision, expecting him to look better than his debut. He notes that Tafa has been taken down and lost in the past, and that Walker's grappling could be the difference. Vreeland acknowledges the volatility and that Tafa has finishing upside, but leans toward the underdog Walker at plus money.
The host loves Walker as a plus-115 underdog, citing Tafa's poor takedown defense and ground game. He expects Walker to take Tafa down and grind him out, possibly finishing by ground and pound or submission. He calls the line a gift and is mystified by it.
Paul agrees, noting that everyone who has tried to take Tafa down has succeeded, and that Walker's best skill is wrestling. He warns that if Walker stands and trades, he'll get knocked out, but expects him to stick to the game plan. Paul also mentions Walker's improved physique and the need to see weigh-ins.
The MMA Guru picks Junior Tafa over Valter Walker. He acknowledges Walker's grappling but calls him a dumb fighter who didn't shoot takedowns against Lucas Brzeski despite getting them every time. He believes Tafa's takedown defense, shown against Mohammed Usman, will hold up. He predicts Tafa will KO Walker, calling Walker a large middleweight rather than a true heavyweight. He rants about heavyweight fighters being brainless.
Expert Picks (10)
Angelo picks Billy Elekana, stating he is the better overall MMA fighter with solid takedown defense and patient striking. He acknowledges Junior Tafa's kickboxing skills but notes his takedown defense is a huge hole. He warns that the odds are steep at -225 and that Tafa could have success if Elekana tries to strike, but Elekana can adjust.
Big Brady is confident in Billy Elekana, citing Junior Tafa's poor grappling (white belt) and Elekana's submission win over Kevin Christian. He believes Elekana will take Tafa down and submit him in the first round, as Tafa made Tuco Tokos look like Khabib.
Cody is confident in Elekana, citing Tafa's poor cardio and tendency to fade after the first round. He notes that Elekana has good grappling and submission skills, and expects him to take Tafa down and submit him in the second round. He acknowledges Elekana is not a world-beater but sees this as a favorable matchup.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Elekana. He emphasizes that Tafa's striking is not technical enough and he has no grappling, so Elekana should win if he doesn't freeze. Connor also comments on the odds, suggesting Elekana is overvalued.
Daniel Vreeland picks Elekana despite initially doubting him, citing Tafa's abysmal ground game. He believes Elekana can take Tafa down and finish quickly, though he warns that if Elekana bangs on the feet, he risks getting knocked out. Vreeland is surprised to be picking Elekana but sees a clear path to victory.
James picks Elekana to win by submission, citing his superior grappling and cardio. He believes Elekana will take Tafa down and finish what Sean Sherif started, likely with a rear-naked choke in round one.
Elekana is a solid BJJ specialist with good striking and timing. Tafa has poor takedown defense and is vulnerable on the ground, as seen in his submission losses. Elekana should evade Tafa's power shots, get takedowns, and find a submission within a round and a half. The host likes Elekana by submission at +210, noting that Tafa is a favorite fade.
Paul agrees, noting that Tafa has consistently gassed out and been finished in his UFC fights. He believes Elekana's grappling will be the difference and predicts a submission win in the second round.
The Guru picks Billy Elekana, calling it a no-brainer. He praises Elekana's technical level, grappling, and toughness, noting his performance against Bogdan Guskov. He expects Elekana to submit Junior Tafa in the first round, as Tafa is less technical and relies on brawling.
Zane picks Billy Elekana because he sees Elekana as a reasonable light heavyweight prospect with decent athleticism and durability, despite his loss to Bogdan Guskov. He believes Elekana's grappling advantage will be decisive, as Junior Tafa cannot wrestle or grapple and relies on one big blitz. Zane notes that if Elekana freezes, Tafa could win, but overall Elekana should win by taking the fight to the ground.
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