UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Chikadze · Jan 15, 2022 · Featherweight · Completed
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Age 36
Height 6' 0"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Switch
Age 31
Height 5' 8"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Bill Algeo
5.88 SLpM
51.0% Str. Acc.
4.38 SApM
47.0% Str. Def.
1.03 TD Avg
50.0% TD Acc.
55.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Joanderson Brito
2.43 SLpM
51.0% Str. Acc.
2.32 SApM
44.0% Str. Def.
3.38 TD Avg
67.0% TD Acc.
47.0% TD Def.
1.1 Sub. Avg
Bill Algeo - Fight History
LOSS vs Dooho Choi
TKO (submission to punch) R2 3:38 · UFC on ESPN: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · Jul 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dooho Choi 0 21 of 35 60% 32 of 47 2 of 3 66% 3 0 1:33
Bill Algeo 0 17 of 49 34% 38 of 74 2 of 3 66% 0 1 3:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dooho Choi 0 5 of 8 62% 13 of 17 1 of 1 100% 3 0 1:02
Bill Algeo 0 6 of 12 50% 23 of 33 2 of 3 66% 0 1 3:02
2 Dooho Choi 0 16 of 27 59% 19 of 30 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:31
Bill Algeo 0 11 of 37 29% 15 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dooho Choi 21 of 35 60% 15 of 28 3 of 3 3 of 4 17 of 30 3 of 4 1 of 1
Bill Algeo 17 of 49 34% 11 of 36 3 of 5 3 of 8 14 of 45 2 of 2 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dooho Choi 5 of 8 62% 5 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 1 2 of 5 3 of 3 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 6 of 12 50% 5 of 9 1 of 2 0 of 1 4 of 9 1 of 1 1 of 2
2 Dooho Choi 16 of 27 59% 10 of 21 3 of 3 3 of 3 15 of 25 0 of 1 1 of 1
Bill Algeo 11 of 37 29% 6 of 27 2 of 3 3 of 7 10 of 36 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bill Algeo vs. Doo Ho Choi
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Algeo (-166), Choi (+140)

Round 1
Action is on the menu for this potential featherweight brawl—good luck living up to the match that preceded this one—with Choi (14-4-1, 3-3-1 UFC) aiming for his first win since 2016 while Algeo (18-8, 5-4 UFC) tries to keep himself above .500 in the Octagon. Both men do not shy away from a slugfest, and referee Herb Dean will hope to keep a lid on things and not get hit with any errant blows. The two touch gloves before swinging for the bleachers, and Choi positions himself in the center of the cage ready to advance. Algeo pushes forward and lets fly a body kick, and he jumps forward and swings his way into a single-leg takedown entry. Choi jumps guard with a guillotine choke to defend it, and Algeo fights it by pushing off Choi’s face. As Algeo bucks, he manages to get out of the choke, and his red face turns back to its standard shade. The two find themselves in the clinch, with Choi landing soft knees to the inner thigh. Choi hits a hip toss and lands in side control, keeping his arm draped around the chest like a seatbelt as Algeo tries to get up. Choi latches on with a rear-naked choke, and when Algeo stands up, he wags his finger to signal that the choke is not at the right angle and will not catch him. “Senor Perfecto” bucks Choi off of him and dumps him to the ground, where he establishes top position. The South Korean does not stay grounded for long, working his way up to his feet thanks to the fence behind him. Choi looks to trip Algeo out, and Algeo tosses him aside. They touch gloves when separating, and Algeo is fired up and ready to trade. Algeo cracks “The Korean Superboy” with a huge right hand and spins with an elbow that smashes Choi right in the face, but his balance does not falter. Algeo changes levels and sets Choi on his seat, keeping Choi down for a few seconds before Choi fights back to his feet and gets upright. Choi drives two knees to the forehead before Algeo drops to one knee, and Choi lands an illegal knee that is not called. Choi jumps guard for another guillotine, and Algeo pops his head out with 10 seconds to spare in the wild round. Algeo concludes the first frame on top.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Choi
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Algeo
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Choi

Round 2
The fighters touch gloves before resuming the madness, and Algeo quickly darts forward twice and pulls back as many times. Choi reaches his man with a right hand, and Algeo comes over the top with an overhand right. Choi counters with a big right, and Algeo cocks his head to the side to acknowledge the blow. They trade leg kicks, and Choi walks face-first into a check left hook. Choi blinks it out several times and wipes his eye, and he dips back to dodge a head kick. Algeo pushes off with a side kick, and they hand-fight until Algeo crashes the pocket throwing hands. Choi escapes the worst of the blows and snaps off a quick jab. Leg kicks are once more traded, and Choi digs a right hand to the midsection. Algeo scores a side kick and has a sudden spinning hook kick bounce off the raised guard. Choi catches his man with a right hand, and Algeo shakes it off and tosses back two head kicks. Algeo looks to counter a jab with two looping hooks, and he spins with a back fist that grazes the cheek and results in a clinch. Choi turns him around and chucks Algeo to the mat like a side of beef, and Algeo stands right back up and drops to a knee to prevent knees from catching him on the chin. Choi holds on from above, and the two scramble until Algeo tags him with an elbow. Choi makes him pay with two crisp punches, and Algeo returns fire. Choi splits Algeo open with a one-two, and it appears to have damaged Algeo’s eye socket or otherwise compromised “Senor Perfecto.”
Choi races towards his opponent, and he is met with a spinning back elbow that bounces off the shoulder. Choi slugs the Pennsylvanian in the face with a brutal left hand, and Algeo turns and the pain suddenly overtakes him. Algeo turns, wags his finger as if to say enough is enough, and drops to a knee.
Dean sees that Algeo’s goose is cooked, and he rushes in between the fighters to call a halt to the hard-swinging contest. Choi sprints away to celebrate with his corner, including the beloved “Korean Zombie,” having picked up his first win since 2016.

The Official Result
Doo Ho Choi def. Bill Algeo R2 3:38 via TKO (Submission to Punch)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Angelo picks Bill Algeo because he is far more active than Dooho Choi, who hasn't won in eight years. He acknowledges that Algo has burned bettors before and advises staying away from betting. He is not confident but chooses Algeo due to activity and experience.

advises not betting
"I can't bet on Doo Choy here he's talented he's fun he's still young he's only 33 he's the younger fighter in this matchup but I can't go with him I got to go with the far more active Bill …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Cody also picks Algeo, emphasizing Choi's one-round style and the fact that he gave up five takedowns to Kyle Nelson. He thinks Algeo can take Choi down and control him, and that Choi's chin is compromised after multiple knockouts. He suggests live betting Algeo after the first round if Choi doesn't finish.

"I think you bet Alo after the first round."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Daniel Vreeland picks Bill Algeo, stating that Dooho Choi has never been the same since the Cub Swanson fight in 2016. He notes Choi's inactivity and lack of confidence, while Algeo is more active and skilled. Vreeland acknowledges Choi's power but believes Algeo can outwork him over three rounds.

"until I see any resemblance of the real super boy which we haven't seen in nearly a decade I'm gonna go bill alio here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Algeo is a -160 favorite. He has an unorthodox striking style and excellent cardio, which should cause problems for Choi, who is inactive and has a questionable chin. Algeo can land big shots and potentially finish Choi within the first two rounds. Choi hasn't won since 2016 and inactivity works against him.

under is at plus money, I might look at that
"I'm going to lean alio here I think we see alio heard uh Troy within the first two rounds and put him away"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Paul picks Algeo, citing Choi's decline since the Cub Swanson fight, his inability to win outside the first round, and his poor takedown defense. He notes Algeo has a wrestling background, a BJJ black belt, and can mix in takedowns. He expects Algeo to outwork Choi as the fight goes on.

"I think Bill alj is the rightful favorite here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

The MMA Guru picks Bill Algeo over Dooho Choi. He describes Algeo as tricky and unorthodox, and believes Choi's style works best against aggressive opponents. He notes Choi's long layoff and recent draw with Kyle Nelson, while Algeo has a win over Joe Anderson Brito. He predicts Algeo will survive Choi's early power and take over in rounds two and three with volume and cage work.

"I'm going to go with bill alio over do choy"
LOSS vs Kyle Nelson
TKO (punches) R1 4:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Mar 30, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kyle Nelson 0 30 of 58 51% 44 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bill Algeo 0 32 of 59 54% 40 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kyle Nelson 0 30 of 58 51% 44 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bill Algeo 0 32 of 59 54% 40 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kyle Nelson 30 of 58 51% 11 of 34 11 of 11 8 of 13 30 of 55 0 of 3 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 32 of 59 54% 20 of 45 6 of 8 6 of 6 28 of 52 4 of 6 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kyle Nelson 30 of 58 51% 11 of 34 11 of 11 8 of 13 30 of 55 0 of 3 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 32 of 59 54% 20 of 45 6 of 8 6 of 6 28 of 52 4 of 6 0 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Angelo leans Bill Algeo but is not very confident. He highlights Algeo's karate-style striking, high volume, and BJJ black belt, but notes he gets hit a lot. He thinks Kyle Nelson's forward pressure could be tricky. He suggests the over 2.5 rounds as a safer bet, expecting a decision.

over 2.5 rounds
"the pick if I have to make one is going to be Jill Bill Alo but I do like over two and a half as far as bets are concerned"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Big Brady picks Bill Algeo to win by third-round finish. He notes Algeo is a fast-paced striker who lands over six significant strikes per minute, and expects him to push a pace that Kyle Nelson cannot keep up with. Brady believes Nelson's recent fights have been slow and boring, but Algeo will force him to work and break him late.

"I'm going to take alio here I'm hoping alio comes in here with a great game plan and if he does I think he finishes Kyle Nelson in that third round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Cody likes Algeo's volume, cardio, and durability, believing he can outwork Nelson. He notes Nelson's improved cardio but thinks Algeo's pace and output will be too much, likely winning by decision or late finish.

"I got Bill"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Daniel Vreeland picks Bill Algeo, citing his high volume and pace. He thinks Algeo's pressure and output will overwhelm Nelson, who has a history of gassing. He notes Nelson's recent style change but believes Algeo won't give him space to rest. He predicts Algeo by decision or late finish.

"I still got to go with Bill because at least with Bill you know what you're getting"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Algeo is on a 4-1 run with unorthodox movement and effective leg kicks. He picks opponents apart from distance and has solid BJJ. Nelson has improved but still relies on crashing the pocket; Algeo's lateral movement and counters should cause Nelson to chase and slow down. Algeo by decision is likely, with potential for a late finish.

"I think Bill alio gets his HRA here and I'm going to ultimately Say by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Paul compares this fight to Algeo's win over Corano, expecting Algeo to overwhelm Nelson with volume. He mentions a potential round 3 prop for Algeo but sees decision as most likely.

"a bill aljo round three prop could be in play"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

The host picks Bill Algeo, calling him underrated and tricky. He likes Algeo's win over Joe Anderson Brito and his performance against Andre Fili. He thinks Algeo has more options and will 'weird' Nelson with unorthodox techniques. He predicts a decision win for Algeo.

decision win
"I'm going Bill alio dude I'm going bill alio I like this guy's game I think he's an underrated fighter"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · Oct 07, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bill Algeo 0 75 of 156 48% 76 of 157 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:35
Alexander Hernandez 1 110 of 244 45% 119 of 257 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bill Algeo 0 16 of 39 41% 16 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alexander Hernandez 0 27 of 61 44% 27 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Bill Algeo 0 28 of 59 47% 28 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Alexander Hernandez 1 44 of 89 49% 52 of 100 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
3 Bill Algeo 0 31 of 58 53% 32 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Alexander Hernandez 0 39 of 94 41% 40 of 96 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bill Algeo 75 of 156 48% 25 of 80 45 of 66 5 of 10 75 of 154 0 of 2 0 of 0
Alexander Hernandez 110 of 244 45% 46 of 156 33 of 50 31 of 38 108 of 241 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bill Algeo 16 of 39 41% 1 of 12 11 of 19 4 of 8 16 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alexander Hernandez 27 of 61 44% 6 of 28 7 of 15 14 of 18 27 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Bill Algeo 28 of 59 47% 12 of 35 15 of 22 1 of 2 28 of 58 0 of 1 0 of 0
Alexander Hernandez 44 of 89 49% 21 of 62 13 of 16 10 of 11 43 of 88 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Bill Algeo 31 of 58 53% 12 of 33 19 of 25 0 of 0 31 of 57 0 of 1 0 of 0
Alexander Hernandez 39 of 94 41% 19 of 66 13 of 19 7 of 9 38 of 92 1 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bill Algeo vs. Alexander Hernandez
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Algeo (-135), Hernandez (+114)

Round 1
Switching over to the main card, but still broadcasting on ESPN+ stateside, two featherweights right on the borderline of .500 UFC records will collide with intentions of stay on the right side of that line. Former lightweight Hernandez (14-6, 6-5 UFC) will try again in the lower weight division of 145 pounds, and Algeo (17-7, 4-3 UFC) will welcome him back down with bad intentions. With oversight and not a lick of nonsense from referee Keith Peterson, the two men tap their gloves together. Algeo switches stances when he starts the fight, reaching out with kicks from both legs. Hernandez swings a head kick at him that buzzes past his hair, and Algeo avoids it and salutes the strike. Both men trade low kicks, and Hernandez goes after one to the body. Algeo checks a kick and kicks the calf back, and he leans back from a power right hand that misses him by a small margin. Hernandez kicks his foe in the chest, and Algeo springs into action with two hooks and a high kick. Hernandez ricochets off the fencing to reset, and he leans low to block a head kick before the full power is on it. Hernandez aims punches to the midsection, and he opens up the head with these strikes. “The Great Ape” connects with a solid leg kick, and he ducks a head kick. Algeo kicks him in the gut with a side kick and sends him flying, and Hernandez springs back to his feet and is ready to block a spinning kick fired his way. Hernandez goes up high with his shin, and Algeo is able to defend against it and chip at the lead wheel with another kick. Algeo targets the body with a kick, and he snaps out a jab, and turns a full rotation to spin with a kick to the body. Algeo looks for an intercepting knee when Hernandez ducks to punch the body, and Hernandez aims his heavy strikes that are coming up just short. Hernandez digs punches to the midsection, and he keeps his guard up high in time to defend against a hook kick. Hernandez fires back with a kick that glances off the shoulder of his foe, and Algeo replies with a number of pawing jabs. Hernandez sweeps out with a body kick, and Algeo is right there to give him a low kick back when he sets his leg down. Hernandez looks for a leaping combination, only for Algeo to shoulder roll every blow and circle on the outside. Algeo threatens with a kick and a spin kick, but Hernandez does not bite on them and lets him turn back around. One body kick from Algeo concludes the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Algeo
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Algeo
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Algeo

Round 2
Round 2 begins with a half-hearted glove touch, and Hernandez follows it quickly with a kick to the ribs. Hernandez loads up on a right hand, and Algeo shakes it off and jabs the body. Hernandez puts power behind his strikes, and Algeo stays elusive and meets him with a knee up the middle. Algeo ducks a haymaker, and a second strike from “The Great Ape” bounces off the chest. Algeo jabs the nose and body, and Hernandez starts to crowd him and force exchanges in the pocket. The Texan parries a few punches and comes back with a big right hand, and Algeo turns to the side and lets it glide past him. Algeo fires off a right hand to the eye socket, and Hernandez complains that it was an eye poke. Peterson calls time and allows Hernandez to recover, and replays show it was the knuckle of Algeo’s thumb that jammed into the eye – which could be considered a legal blow. However, if Algeo’s thumb was not locked into the fist, it would be the legitimate foul, and Hernandez continues to take the time he needs as Peterson brings in the doctor to check his condition. After two minutes and 15 seconds, Hernandez informs the medical staff and Peterson that he is good to go, and the fighters touch gloves and have no ill will about the perceived foul. The action begins immediately, and Hernandez is headhunting with power strikes and stalking Algeo down. Algeo skirts on the outside and lands a few kicks to varying targets, with his intention of keeping Hernandez missing while he fights at his preferred range. Hernandez loads up on everything, and a few right hands get Algeo’s attention. When one solid right hook slams into Algeo’s chin, Algeo is energized and starts putting some power into his own strikes as well. Algeo turns his hips into a low kick, and a straight left hand that follows sits Hernandez down. Hernandez pops back up and ties Algeo up, trying to get his bearings back after getting his bell rung. The two separate, and Hernandez comes back with a vengeance. Algeo slips to the side and jumps at his man with a knee that pops into the nose, bloodying it up instantly. Algeo spins with an elbow that clacks into Hernandez’ cheek, and Hernandez tanks it and is loaded for bear. Hernandez plods forward and digs a punch to the body, and he chains a head kick into it that makes Algeo shake his head. Hernandez targets the body and goes up high, and Algeo leans back to take the worst out of it. The round ends with both fighters trading.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Algeo
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Algeo
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Algeo

Round 3
The featherweights are amped up and ready to finish the fight off with style, as the limited crowd gives it up for the two fighters. Hernandez races out of his corner with bad intentions, throwing hammers until he bullies Algeo to the wall and goes after a takedown. Algeo shuts it down and pushes Hernandez back, and he busts Hernandez in the chops with a straight right hand. Algeo stays loose while Hernandez is a coiled string, and Hernandez just misses a counter left that is a bit too low to find the chin. Algeo uses his traditional martial arts stance to put two side kicks on the chest in rapid succession, as range-keeping weapons that disrupt the bombs Hernandez looks to throw. Algeo suddenly whips a kick up high to hurt Hernandez, and he strings several punches into a body kick to conclude it with an exclamation point. Hernandez is tough as nails, as he swings back with all his might, with looping right hooks and heavy kicks to the body. Algeo reaches his man with a sweeping right hook and a left to the body, and Hernandez gives him a hard right hand back on the chin. Hernandez follows it with a second, and Algeo cannot quite shoulder roll that one. Algeo dings his man with a left hand with his thumb outstretched, and Hernandez tells Peterson he was poked in the eye again. Peterson asks Hernandez to keep fighting, and he does just that. Both men keep trading, with Hernandez kicking the body and aiming a few to the head as well. Hernandez steps in with a right hand on the jaw, and he slams his shin on the waist to follow. Algeo meanders back, and Hernandez blasts him with a huge right hook. Algeo takes it and does not bat an eye, instead going right back at his foe and making sure to not allow Hernandez to land strikes for free. Hernandez continues to stalk Algeo down, unloading anything he can throw, and they both land massive shots at the same time. Algeo tags Hernandez with a knee, Hernandez cracks him with a right, and Algeo trips him up and throws him to the mat. Hernandez climbs back up, and the scrap comes to a conclusion.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Algeo (30-27 Algeo)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Algeo (30-27 Algeo)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Algeo (30-27 Algeo)

The Official Result
Bill Algeo def. Alexander Hernandez via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Big Brady picks Bill Algeo, citing Alexander Hernandez's poor cardio, durability, and heart. He notes that Hernandez has been finished in the second round in most of his losses and that Algeo is tough, has never been knocked out, and can maintain a high pace. He expects Hernandez to win the first round but fade, allowing Algeo to secure a second-round finish, either by knockout or submission.

second round finish for Bill Algeo
"I'm going to take Bill algae to win this fight I'll take Bill algae to win this fight by second round knockout could be a submission as well"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Alexander Hernandez

Cody picks Hernandez, noting his athleticism, power, and improved cardio. He believes Hernandez is still in his prime and that Algeo's lack of physicality and takedown defense will be exploited. He suggests live betting Algeo after the first round if Hernandez fades, but expects Hernandez to win.

Hernandez by decision
"I'm gonna go ahead and agree again... gotta take another dog somewhere and I think Alexander Hernandez has a very good chance"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Alexander Hernandez

Daniel Levi picks Alexander Hernandez hesitantly, acknowledging his history as a 'talented flake' but seeing improvement in his last fight against Jim Miller. He believes Hernandez is the better athlete, faster, and more explosive, but questions his mental consistency. He notes that Bill Algeo has lost to similar talented flakes like Ricardo Ramos and Andre Fili. Levi thinks if Hernandez keeps his composure, he can win, but it's a tough call.

"I think on his best day he can beat Bill algo so hopefully it's his best day I'll pick him to win this fight"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2023 (fight day)
Alexander Hernandez

Lucrative James bet Hernandez as an underdog and sees him winning round one at a high clip, possibly by knockout. He believes Hernandez's wrestling is underrated and he can get takedowns at will. He thinks Algeo does not have the pressure or pace of Billy Quarantillo or Drew Dober, so Hernandez won't gas as badly. He calculates Hernandez should be around -150 based on round-by-round analysis.

bet as underdog, line moved to favorite
"I like Alexander Hernandez side here I bet him as an underdog"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Bill Algeo

Algeo has a better gas tank and an unorthodox style that will trouble Hernandez. Hernandez has a history of slowing down in later rounds, and Algeo's awkward movement and pressure should wear on him. Algeo may even get a late submission. The line movement toward Hernandez makes Algeo even more valuable. Expect Algeo to pull away in the second and third rounds.

late submission
"I think alio starts to pull away with this in deep water maybe even gets a late finish in this matchup"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Alexander Hernandez

Paul picks Hernandez, citing his superior athleticism and power. He notes that Algeo is not physically strong and has been taken down in every UFC fight. Hernandez's wrestling and striking should be enough to win, and Paul likes the plus money value.

"Alexander Hernandez for me... at plus 125 that would be my pick"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

The MMA Guru picks Bill Algeo over Alexander Hernandez. He believes Algeo is very tricky to finish and underrated, with wins over Joe Anderson Brito and Herbert Burns. He criticizes Hernandez's cardio at featherweight, noting he gassed after round one against Quarantillo. He predicts Algeo will capitalize on Hernandez's mistakes and get a third-round finish, possibly by submission or TKO. He also mentions Algeo's potential for a post-fight mic moment.

third round finish, submission or TKO
"I'm going bilalgia I think he's very tricky to finish and I don't like Hernandez at featherway"
WIN vs T.J. Brown
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 1:40 · UFC on ESPN: Holloway vs. Allen · Apr 15, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bill Algeo 1 64 of 110 58% 77 of 123 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:42
T.J. Brown 0 46 of 91 50% 49 of 94 1 of 2 50% 0 1 0:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bill Algeo 0 45 of 85 52% 48 of 88 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:03
T.J. Brown 0 39 of 77 50% 42 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:19
2 Bill Algeo 1 19 of 25 76% 29 of 35 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:39
T.J. Brown 0 7 of 14 50% 7 of 14 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bill Algeo 64 of 110 58% 44 of 81 6 of 13 14 of 16 48 of 94 5 of 5 11 of 11
T.J. Brown 46 of 91 50% 34 of 78 8 of 9 4 of 4 33 of 76 13 of 15 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bill Algeo 45 of 85 52% 26 of 59 6 of 12 13 of 14 43 of 83 2 of 2 0 of 0
T.J. Brown 39 of 77 50% 28 of 65 8 of 9 3 of 3 27 of 64 12 of 13 0 of 0
2 Bill Algeo 19 of 25 76% 18 of 22 0 of 1 1 of 2 5 of 11 3 of 3 11 of 11
T.J. Brown 7 of 14 50% 6 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 1 6 of 12 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
T.J. Brown

Angelo picks T.J. Brown as an underdog, citing his high pace, solid striking, and good grappling with almost 4 takedowns per fight. He notes Algeo's takedown defense is poor (38%) and that Algeo doesn't use his wrestling offensively. He expects Brown to get takedowns, set the pace, and win a decision. He has a quarter-unit bet on Brown at +140.

quarter unit moneyline bet at +140
"I see TJ getting the takedown set in the pace riding it out on top and getting the win"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Big Brady picks Bill Algeo to win by submission in the second or third round. He notes Algeo's poor takedown defense but excellent get-up game and scrambling. He expects Brown to have early success with takedowns but tire, allowing Algeo to take over and potentially submit him, as Brown has been submitted before.

submission
"give me algo give me algo by sub I think he finishes Brown later in this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Cody notes Algeo's takedown defense is poor (55%) but his cardio and BJJ are excellent. He expects Brown to get early takedowns but fade, allowing Algeo to take over with volume. He sees Algeo winning by decision or late stoppage.

Live bet after first round if Brown takes Algeo down
"bill ljo again and we've mentioned this about a lot of other fights on this card excellent live betting opportunity"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Algeo's strong start doesn't walk him into danger and that Algeo's pressure and range control will allow him to rack up damage early. He also mentions Algeo's height advantage and active kicking game.

"Yeah, I agree. It feels like the kind of fight where Algeo starting strong doesn't walk him into anything dangerous enough."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Algeo's unorthodox striking and scrambling ability will be too much for Brown. Brown's path to victory is grappling, but Algeo is hard to hold down and creates scrambles. Algeo's cardio and striking volume should win rounds. Expect a decision, as both are durable and finishes are unlikely.

Over 2.5 rounds
"I think algo wins this fight I think the best way to approach it though could possibly be the over two and a half."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Paul agrees with Cody, emphasizing Algeo's cardio and Jiu-Jitsu. He thinks Brown's wrestling will be effective early but he'll tire, and Algeo will take over in later rounds.

"yeah that all makes sense to me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

The MMA Guru picks Bill Algeo, citing his unorthodox striking, length, and takedown defense (55%). He believes Algeo will keep the fight standing and outpoint Brown, who relies on wrestling. He notes Brown's recent win over Eric Silva but thinks Algeo's tricky style and output will edge a close fight.

"give me senor Perfecto Bill algio to get the job done"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Zane picks Algeo because he starts strong and puts too much information into TJ Brown's computer for him to adjust in time. He notes Algeo's hyper-aggressive style, good kicking game, and height advantage, and believes Brown's slow starts will cost him.

"I am going to pick Algeo here. I just think he is going to start too strong and put too much information in the TJ Brown computer for him to make the necessary adjustments in time."
LOSS vs Andre Fili
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · Sep 17, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andre Fili 0 59 of 142 41% 67 of 151 1 of 3 33% 2 0 4:18
Bill Algeo 0 81 of 170 47% 151 of 246 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andre Fili 0 19 of 56 33% 19 of 56 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:18
Bill Algeo 0 30 of 61 49% 31 of 63 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Andre Fili 0 32 of 68 47% 32 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Bill Algeo 0 41 of 86 47% 46 of 91 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:07
3 Andre Fili 0 8 of 18 44% 16 of 27 1 of 1 100% 2 0 3:49
Bill Algeo 0 10 of 23 43% 74 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andre Fili 59 of 142 41% 48 of 125 6 of 10 5 of 7 59 of 141 0 of 1 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 81 of 170 47% 38 of 113 17 of 27 26 of 30 80 of 168 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andre Fili 19 of 56 33% 16 of 51 2 of 4 1 of 1 19 of 55 0 of 1 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 30 of 61 49% 9 of 37 9 of 10 12 of 14 30 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Andre Fili 32 of 68 47% 25 of 61 4 of 4 3 of 3 32 of 68 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 41 of 86 47% 21 of 59 7 of 13 13 of 14 40 of 84 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Andre Fili 8 of 18 44% 7 of 13 0 of 2 1 of 3 8 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 10 of 23 43% 8 of 17 1 of 4 1 of 2 10 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Angelo picks Algeo as an underdog, citing his pressure, pace, and durability. He notes that Fili is talented but coming off a bad knockout and may be gun-shy. Angelo believes Algeo will push the pace and win a decision. He placed a moneyline bet at +115.

Moneyline bet at +115.
"i'm going the underdog with bill algio i got a money line bet on him at plus 115"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Big Brady picks Bill Algeo to win by decision, taking the dog. He acknowledges that Andre Fili is the better striker and has fought tougher competition, but Brady favors Algeo's high volume and cardio. He notes that Algeo has poor takedown defense but an excellent get-up game, so Fili likely won't hold him down. Brady expects Algeo to overwhelm Fili with output and win a close decision. He also mentions that Fili's output is low (3.82 significant strikes per minute) and his accuracy is 36%.

decision
"i'm gonna take bill algae to win by decision but it's going to be super close"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Andre Fili

Cody agrees, noting Fili's wrestling and clinch work will exploit Algeo's takedown defense. He thinks Fili is smoother on the feet and will win a decision. He also mentions the prize picks line for Fili's significant strikes is 50.5, but he might avoid that due to potential wrestling-heavy game plan.

"i'm not gonna buy into getting flash ko'd against joe anderson burrito i'm gonna keep with andre feely here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Daniel Levi picks Bill Algeo at plus 115 odds, placing one unit. He sees this as a coin flip fight and prefers the dog odds. He highlights Algeo's durability, volume, and ability to scramble back to his feet after takedowns. He notes Fili's long UFC career and tendency to have close fights, and thinks Algeo can pull away late with volume. He expects a competitive fight that could go either way.

Bet one unit on Bill Algeo moneyline at +115
"I actually took algiero one unit at plus 115 simply because i i expect this to be a super competitive close fight and in a coin flip fight give me dog odds all day"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Andre Fili

Jacob picks Fili, believing he is the more talented and well-rounded fighter. He notes that Algeo is tough but lacks knockout power, so Fili can implement his game plan of bouncing in and out and mixing in takedowns. Jacob acknowledges that Fili has lost fights he should win but thinks this is a perfect matchup for him.

"i think he's a better fighter and i think this is a perfect matchup for him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 16, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Andre Fili

This is a 50-50 fight but Fili has more tools, mixing striking with takedowns. Algeo has good BJJ defensively but his takedown defense is a weakness. Fili is fighting with his back against the wall and should put together a full MMA game. Algeo's flashy striking can be dangerous but Fili's veteran experience and wrestling should edge him a decision.

"I think filio showcased a much better overall game and I think he wins this fight without too much issues"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Andre Fili

Paul thinks Fili's wrestling advantage will be key, as Algeo has poor takedown defense. He notes Fili looked great against Pineda before the no-contest and that the flash KO loss to Brito is overblown. Paul expects Fili to mix in takedowns and win a decision.

"andre feely is going to be able to mix in his wrestling get on top he's a little bit stronger in the clinch and i think that's going to help him rack up some points"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Andre Fili

The MMA Guru picks Andre Fili by decision. He notes Bill Algeo is on short notice and has a child due soon, which may affect his cardio. He thinks Algeo struggles against well-rounded, durable fighters who can go the distance, like Ricardo Ramos and Ricardo Lamas. He believes Fili has great cardio and won't have to worry about power since Algeo has no power. He expects Fili to win a decision, and advises betting on Fili if he becomes an underdog.

if you're betting i'd say al joe might end up the favorite... wait until the fight day put some money on philly if he goes into an underdog
"i think i'm going to go with andre feeling decision win"
WIN vs Herbert Burns
TKO (retirement) R2 1:50 · UFC on ABC: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · Jul 16, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bill Algeo 0 28 of 36 77% 81 of 104 1 of 1 100% 0 0 5:26
Herbert Burns 0 10 of 12 83% 18 of 25 1 of 2 50% 2 0 0:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bill Algeo 0 24 of 30 80% 65 of 84 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:01
Herbert Burns 0 10 of 12 83% 18 of 25 1 of 1 100% 2 0 0:32
2 Bill Algeo 0 4 of 6 66% 16 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:25
Herbert Burns 0 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bill Algeo 28 of 36 77% 21 of 28 6 of 7 1 of 1 2 of 4 2 of 2 24 of 30
Herbert Burns 10 of 12 83% 6 of 8 4 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 3 6 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bill Algeo 24 of 30 80% 19 of 25 4 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 2 21 of 26
Herbert Burns 10 of 12 83% 6 of 8 4 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 3 6 of 8
2 Bill Algeo 4 of 6 66% 2 of 3 2 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 4
Herbert Burns 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Angelo picks Bill Algeo confidently, citing Algeo's pressure, wrestling defense, and BJJ black belt to neutralize Burns' grappling. He notes Burns' two-year layoff and Algeo's impressive win over Joe Anderson Brito. He has a moneyline bet on Algeo at -160.

moneyline bet at -160
"algio's the pick i'm glad the ufc was able to keep these guys on the card and i do have a money line bet on bill algio and i got that at minus 160."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Big Brady picks Bill Algeo to win by decision. He notes that Algeo has poor takedown defense but an elite get-up game and a black belt in BJJ, making him hard to hold down. He thinks Burns's cardio will fade after the first round, allowing Algeo to take over on the feet. He mentions a late finish is possible if Burns gasses.

"i'm going to go with bill algier to win by decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 13, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Cody picks Algeo but dislikes the -205 price. He argues that Burns has a terrible gas tank and will fade after the first round, while Algeo has high output and good submission defense. He expects Algeo to survive early takedowns and then overwhelm Burns in later rounds.

Herbert Burns over 1.5 takedowns
"bill jo's a minus 205 price tag we're going to pick them but we don't like it"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert picked Jul 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)

Daniel Levi does not make a clear pick, viewing it as a dog-or-pass situation. He notes Algeo's takedown defense issues and Burns's submission threat, but also Burns's cardio and weight cut concerns. He sees Algeo winning the later rounds if he survives, but the -200 price on Algeo is too high for his liking.

dog-or-pass; not laying the chalk
"i definitely think algio wins the third round i definitely think herbert wins the first round possibly gets a finish who's going to win that second round so i see this as a dogger pass situation"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 13, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Paul also picks Algeo but is not confident, noting that Algeo's takedown defense is poor and Burns is physically strong. He believes Burns will take Algeo down early, but Algeo's BJJ black belt and cardio should allow him to survive and win later rounds. He suggests live betting Algeo after the first round.

Herbert Burns over 1.5 takedowns
"i'll lean towards bill ljo but yeah i'm not touching the minus 205"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

The MMA Guru picks Bill Algeo over Herbert Burns, noting Burns' tendency to fade after the second round and Algeo's durability. He mentions Algeo's solid chin and ability to take big shots, as seen in fights against Joe Anderson Brito and Spike Carlyle. He predicts Algeo will survive early rounds and dominate later, winning by decision (29-28 or 29-27).

predicts decision win
"i'm going to call her bill aljo decision win 29-28 winning the end of the second round hard and winning the round because of it and then dominating the third round"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Chikadze · Jan 15, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bill Algeo 0 59 of 118 50% 112 of 176 2 of 2 100% 0 1 5:02
Joanderson Brito 0 40 of 104 38% 46 of 110 2 of 4 50% 0 0 4:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bill Algeo 0 11 of 17 64% 28 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:12
Joanderson Brito 0 2 of 14 14% 5 of 17 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:59
2 Bill Algeo 0 19 of 34 55% 38 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:20
Joanderson Brito 0 16 of 38 42% 17 of 39 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:25
3 Bill Algeo 0 29 of 67 43% 46 of 84 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:30
Joanderson Brito 0 22 of 52 42% 24 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bill Algeo 59 of 118 50% 44 of 90 10 of 22 5 of 6 32 of 85 17 of 23 10 of 10
Joanderson Brito 40 of 104 38% 24 of 83 5 of 9 11 of 12 39 of 97 1 of 6 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bill Algeo 11 of 17 64% 6 of 10 3 of 4 2 of 3 8 of 13 2 of 3 1 of 1
Joanderson Brito 2 of 14 14% 0 of 10 1 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 11 0 of 2 0 of 1
2 Bill Algeo 19 of 34 55% 13 of 23 3 of 8 3 of 3 7 of 19 11 of 14 1 of 1
Joanderson Brito 16 of 38 42% 12 of 33 1 of 2 3 of 3 16 of 36 0 of 2 0 of 0
3 Bill Algeo 29 of 67 43% 25 of 57 4 of 10 0 of 0 17 of 53 4 of 6 8 of 8
Joanderson Brito 22 of 52 42% 12 of 40 3 of 4 7 of 8 21 of 50 1 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bill Algeo vs. Joanderson Brito

Round 1
Our ESPN main card will kick off with a featherweight scrap pitting Algeo (14-6, 1-2 UFC) against a newcomer nicknamed “Shark” in Portuguese – “Tubarao “ – in Brito (12-2-1, 0-0 UFC). “Senor Perfecto” will aim to lift his UFC record to .500, all while attempting to make Brito’s debut end poorly. The third man in the cage will be referee
Keith Peterson
, who just buried all of the nonsense alive out back. The fighters touch gloves before handling their business, and Brito is fired up as he rushes after Algeo immediately. Algeo fires first, with a big body kick that makes Brito practically run at him to clinch up. The featherweights trade short knees while tied up, and Brito aims for a double-leg takedown. Algeo defends the takedown by hopping up off the ground, but this strips his base away from him and allows Brito to lean forward and plop him down on the mat. The American scrambles back to his feet, and he fights off a mat return while Brito has his hands locked around Algeo’s waist. Like he was setting down a heaping helping of Country Breakfast, the newcomer Brito channels his
Matt Hughes
and picks Algeo all the way in the air and walks him across the cage to slam him down. Algeo hits the ground hard, and Brito quickly circles around to take his back after the emphatic takedown. The Brazilian gets his hooks in and starts hunting for a rear-naked choke, switching from one hand to the other until Algeo explodes and turns around to put Brito’s back to the mat. Brito keeps an open guard as Algeo starts to unload with ground-and-pound, with short elbows and heavy chest pressure to disallow “Tubarao” to thrash and get afloat again. Brito throws his legs up when Algeo stands to find a better angle, and this lets him stand up and try to turn the tables on Algeo. “Senor Perfecto” perfectly sprawls to stifle Brito’s attempt, and when they stand, Brito swings for the fences and misses. Brito is throwing everything into his strikes, and Algeo remains calm and is more content to touch his opponent. Brito loads up and then pushes forward for a takedown entry, and Algeo stands tall, knees his man in the thigh and circles out. Algeo gets off a jab and a few front kicks until the round comes to a close.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brito

Round 2
The second round opens with a clap of hands, and Brito practically sprints towards Algeo to lay into him. Brito tags him with overhand rights and lefts, but Algeo stands firm and smashes Brito in the face. The Brazilian is hurt, but instead of taking a step back, he races forward to pursue a takedown. Algeo defends the first effort, and he sprawls when Brito goes after a power double. Algeo fakes throwing knees as he has Brito leaned over, so Brito plays the game and keeps one hand on the mat to protect himself from knees. Brito leans back a slight bit, and Algeo drills him with a knee, leading Brito to lean back over again. They stand back up, and Algeo clocks his foe with a left hand and a body kick. Not to be outdone, Brito targets Algeo’s lead leg with four vicious leg kicks that draw reactions each time they land. They both start loading up on bombs, nailing each other with power punches, and Algeo moves and gets rocked with winging hooks from the Brazilian. When he hurts Algeo, Brito strangely decides to go after a double, which allows Algeo to get his wits about him again as he defends the takedown. With Brito’s cardio starting to abandon him, Algeo pushes Brito over and lands in side control, where he begins to drop down elbows and punches. Brito rolls to his knees in an effort to stand, and he does so and leans over to play the game again of putting his hand down to prevent himself from getting kneed in the face. Algeo brilliantly starts stomping on Brito’s hand on the mat, in a maneuver not seen often. This forces Brito to stand, and Algeo follows him with a few knees. Brito gains a full head of steam and clubs Algeo with a few punches, and he bullies his foe into the fence. They continue to turn each other around, until Brito holds tight and Algeo protests. The round ends with Algeo frustrated that Brito was just hanging on to him.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Algeo
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Algeo
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Algeo

Round 3
Brito accepts a glove touch as he is aggressively coming towards Algeo, and he lets loose with a long combination of looping punches that are largely inaccurate. Algeo ducks and dodges most of them, and when Brito clinches up with him at the end of the salvo, he lets Brito have it with a pair of shots. Brito gains some space and stuns Algeo with his power strikes, but Algeo keeps moving and does not let Brito to pin him down. Algeo fires back, and he threatens a spin but Brito interrupts him with an attack. Brito hacks at his lead leg as Algeo wobbles back, so he kicks the same spot again. Algeo pats his chest as if to say “bring it on,” and Brito comes at him right as Algeo ducks down for a takedown of his own. “Tubarao” does not succumb to the try, but he does get shoved up against the wall while Algeo works on him with short strikes including a solid shoulder to the jaw. Algeo backs off and just comes up short with an intercepting knee, but he sticks out several punches to break up a Brito barrage. Brito throws wild, power strikes, and he spins with an elbow that Algeo sees coming. When Algeo ducks out of the way, he plays coy and pulls a
Max Holloway
by looking around mockingly. Algeo is in his flow state, slipping the telegraphed punches of the Brazilian and stinging him with straight punches. Brito does not let him off the hook, and he connects ever so often with his bombs, but Algeo is scoring two to every one, at least. As Brito aims to ground the American, Algeo hits a slick throw and puts Brito on the ground hard. Algeo takes Brito’s back in the ensuing scramble, and he starts fishing for a choke before electing to elbow Brito in the side of the head. Algeo maintains a tight body triangle while he elbows his foe on the dome, and he puts his hand up to motion that he’s number one right before time elapses.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Algeo (29-28 Algeo)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Algeo (29-28 Algeo)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Algeo (29-28 Algeo)

The Official Result
Bill Algeo
def.
Joanderson Brito
via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Angelo picks Brito, citing Algeo's poor takedown defense (20 takedowns allowed in last 4 fights). He believes Brito's grappling pressure will be too much and that Algeo will struggle to get back up. He also placed a prop bet on Brito by decision at +185 and a small moneyline bet at -130.

Brito wins by decision prop at +185; small Brito moneyline at -130.
"i do think burrito takes him down rides him out and wins from there"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Big Brady notes Brito has power and can take down Algeo, but Algeo has an elite get-up game and high volume. He worries about Brito's cardio if he expends energy on takedowns. He picks Brito to win a decision, citing Brito's bigger moments on the feet and ability to mix in takedowns, though he admits it could get sketchy late.

"i'm gonna pick burrito to win i'm gonna say he does have those big moments on the feet"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Cody picks Brito, despite Algeo being his 'boy'. He notes Algeo's takedown defense is poor and Brito's power and strength will be too much. He expects Brito to win via takedowns and top control, possibly a decision. He suggests betting Algeo live if he drops early rounds.

Consider live betting Algeo after round 1 or 2
"i would have to say joannis and burrito hate turning my back on bill ljo"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Daniel Levi picks Joanderson Brito, calling him a bright prospect with explosive power and physicality. He notes Brito's top control, ground and pound, and one-punch knockout power. Levi acknowledges Algeo's toughness, length, and cardio, but believes Brito's physicality will be too much and that he can neutralize Algeo's takedown defense. He placed 2.5 units on Brito at -125.

2.5 units at -125
"i put 2.5 units on joe anderson burrito at minus 125 to win uh two units and that's my first bet of the night"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

The host leans toward Brito, believing his aggressive forward pressure and heavy strikes will outwork Algeo's passive, outside striking. He notes Algeo's BJJ could be a factor if he takes Brito down, but expects Brito to win a kickboxing match. The host is concerned about Brito's takedown defense but thinks his cardio and output will secure a decision. He compares Brito favorably to Spike Carlyle, who gave Algeo trouble.

"i'm going to go burrito um it's going to be hard to put out algeo so i'm not sure if you'll be able to get the finish here um so i'll take burrito by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Paul picks Brito, citing his power, strength, and takedown ability. He notes Algeo's takedown defense was exposed by Ricardo Ramos, and expects Brito to replicate that game plan. He mentions Algeo's cardio and scrambling but doubts he can overcome Brito's physicality. He suggests betting Algeo live if he survives early rounds.

Consider live betting Algeo after round 1 or 2
"i'm gonna go with burrito as well just obviously the takedowns"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

The MMA Guru picks Joanderson Brito to win by decision. He notes that Brito is younger, more active, and has good wins on the regional scene, including over Diego Lopez. He has good stand-up, grappling, and cardio, having gone five rounds before. Algeo is 32, hasn't fought in 6-7 months, and hasn't shown great cardio. He believes Brito's momentum and well-roundedness will carry him to a dominant 30-27 decision, and that Algeo's only path to victory is if Brito gasses, which he doesn't see happening.

"i'm gonna go with joanna sombrito because he's looked great on the regional scene"
LOSS vs Ricardo Ramos
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · May 22, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricardo Ramos 0 53 of 102 51% 57 of 106 8 of 13 61% 1 0 3:26
Bill Algeo 0 76 of 170 44% 90 of 187 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricardo Ramos 0 17 of 27 62% 19 of 29 4 of 4 100% 0 0 1:23
Bill Algeo 0 17 of 41 41% 21 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:21
2 Ricardo Ramos 0 18 of 32 56% 20 of 34 2 of 4 50% 1 0 1:03
Bill Algeo 0 30 of 63 47% 37 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
3 Ricardo Ramos 0 18 of 43 41% 18 of 43 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:00
Bill Algeo 0 29 of 66 43% 32 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricardo Ramos 53 of 102 51% 30 of 72 16 of 20 7 of 10 45 of 93 8 of 9 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 76 of 170 44% 35 of 111 25 of 40 16 of 19 71 of 161 4 of 7 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricardo Ramos 17 of 27 62% 9 of 17 5 of 5 3 of 5 14 of 24 3 of 3 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 17 of 41 41% 7 of 23 7 of 12 3 of 6 15 of 35 1 of 4 1 of 2
2 Ricardo Ramos 18 of 32 56% 11 of 24 5 of 6 2 of 2 15 of 29 3 of 3 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 30 of 63 47% 14 of 42 8 of 13 8 of 8 29 of 62 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ricardo Ramos 18 of 43 41% 10 of 31 6 of 9 2 of 3 16 of 40 2 of 3 0 of 0
Bill Algeo 29 of 66 43% 14 of 46 10 of 15 5 of 5 27 of 64 2 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 18, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Big Brady slightly leans Ramos, citing his superior grappling and ability to mix in takedowns for control time. He notes Algeo's high output but also his vulnerability to takedowns (taken down multiple times in recent fights). He expects a close decision, with Ramos edging it via wrestling.

"i'm going to slightly lean with ramos i think it's going to be very very close"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Cody Saftic is confident in Bill Algeo, citing his volume striking, cardio, and ability to stuff takedowns. He notes that Algeo has a black belt in BJJ and good wrestling, while Ramos has low output and relies on finishes. Saftic believes Algeo will outwork Ramos on the feet and win a decision, or possibly get a late finish. He calls Algeo a 'cash cow' and recommends the moneyline.

Bill Algeo by decision
"i gotta go with billy l jail again i mean again for if they're going to give these guys middling medium level fights he's going to be a cash cow for me"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 20, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Daniel Levi leans toward Bill Algeo, citing Algeo's volume, output, and toughness. He acknowledges that Algeo gives up positions and gets hit, but believes his pressure and durability will be key. He notes that Ramos has mental lapses and has folded in late rounds, while Algeo keeps coming forward. He says it's a close fight and doesn't see value on either side betting-wise.

"i'm gonna lean algo because of the volume and the output but i agree with you that you know we shouldn't be riding off a guy like ramos"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Matt picks Ricardo Ramos, though he is passing on betting this fight. He believes Ramos has the better Muay Thai and overall striking game, and that Algeo's unorthodox style won't work as well here. He notes Ramos is only 25 and still a prospect, while Algeo's win over Spike Carlyle is less impressive given Carlyle's cardio issues. However, he acknowledges both fighters are hittable and Ramos has durability questions. He likes Ramos by decision but is not confident enough to bet.

"i do like hamosh i do like how much my decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Bill Algeo

Paul Shaughnessy agrees with Saftic, picking Algeo based on volume. He notes that Ramos has low strike output (most significant strikes in a fight is around 50) and relies on finishes, while Algeo will land more and win a decision. He mentions that Algeo's performance against Ricardo Lamas was competitive, and that he has good takedown defense and cardio.

"i like i think gal joe just wins based on volume he just lands more like ramos you go through all of his stats and stuff i think the most he's ever landed strikes wise it's like 50"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 22, 2021 (fight day)
Bill Algeo

The MMA Guru predicts Bill Algeo will win by 29-28 decision. He expects Ramos to have a good first round with spinning techniques and back takes, but will slow down. Algeo will then take over in rounds two and three with body kicks and combinations, walking down Ramos and landing big shots.

"i'm going to go decision i'm going to go 29-28 decision"
Joanderson Brito - Fight History
SCHED vs Jordan Leavitt
13
138 MMA Expert Confident picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Jordan Leavitt

The host picks Jordan Leavitt, believing that Leavitt's grappling will be the key. He notes that on the feet, Brito wins 99 out of 100 times, but Leavitt can get takedowns and once on top, Brito will have a hard time getting back to his feet. He expects Leavitt to win, though he's not sure if it will be by finish or decision.

"I'm going to take Jordan Leavitt to get the takedowns."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

AJ picks Brito to win by submission, citing Brito's superior striking power, Muay Thai, and dangerous jiu-jitsu (ninja choke). He believes Leavitt's wrestling will be neutralized and that Brito will catch a neck as Leavitt leaves it exposed. AJ expects Brito to finish inside the distance, possibly in the later rounds.

Brito by submission; under 2.5 rounds plus 125; Brito inside distance
"I think Breto eventually gets him out of there. I'm going to say Breto sub eventually gets the neck of Jordan Levit."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Lean picked Jun 3, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

AJ mentions Joanderson Brito as an honorable mention, believing he is too physical for Jordan Leavitt and could potentially stop him, maybe by submission in later stages. He notes Brito's slick jiu-jitsu and sees a potential round three submission.

Joanderson Brito by submission +425 (explicitly mentioned), round 3 submission +1800 (mentioned), round 2 submission +1300 (mentioned)
"I do think Joe Anderson Breto is too physical for Jordan Levit and potentially stops him, maybe even a later stage sub."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 31, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Angelo picks Joanderson Brito, calling himself a Jordan Leavitt hater. He argues that Brito is dangerous both on the feet and on the ground, while Leavitt's striking is subpar and his wrestling isn't good enough to get the fight to the ground consistently. He dismisses Leavitt's recent win over Yadier Delval as beating a 'scam artist'.

"Joe Anderson Breitu is one of the most dangerous guys in this weight class both on the feet and on the ground."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Big Brady picks Joanderson Brito to win by submission in the second round. He acknowledges Leavitt's path with wrestling but notes Brito's dangerous front chokes and power on the feet. He thinks Brito's cardio is good and that Leavitt's cardio is suspect, leading to Brito catching Leavitt with a submission or big shot.

by submission, second round
"I'm leing Breuto. I'm going to take Breedto here by submission. And I'll say it comes in the second round."
BU
Bum MMA Expert Confident picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Jordan Leavitt

Jordan Leavitt is the underdog but has a smart game plan: take Joanderson Brito down and do pitter-patter shots. Brito's grind game has been exposed, and Leavitt can win by decision if he avoids boxing in the pocket. Leavitt's recent win over Jair Delval was dominant.

decision win; underdog pick
"I'm gonna choose Levit probably as the underdog and I'm gonna choose him by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Cody picks Brito, citing his power and aggression. He notes Leavitt's wrestling is not as effective as it appears, and Brito's physicality and scrambling should prevail. He expects Brito to land bigger shots and win.

"I'm going with Joann Burrito. Just I came to fight and you came to gain the scorecards."
FI
Fight Night Picks Expert Confident picked May 31, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jordan Leavitt

Jordan Leavitt is picked as an underdog because his pressure grappling and strength should overwhelm Joanderson Brito, who has struggled with wrestling in recent fights. Brito's gas tank is questionable, and Leavitt's relentless takedowns and top control are a recipe for success. The host already has action on Leavitt at better odds and expects a dominant decision or submission.

Jordan Leavitt wins by dominant decision or submission; already bet at better odds; recommends playing if over +150
"I am picking Jordan Levit to win this fight. ... I definitely would support, you know, if you could get Levit over plus 150 or around plus 150, I would definitely support uh playing him there."
GR
Greedo Plays MMA Expert Confident picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Brito has power and should be able to defend takedowns from Leavitt. Leavitt struggles when taken down or controlled. Brito should eventually break Leavitt and get a late second-round TKO.

second round TKO
"I'm gonna go late second round TKO for Joe Anderson Brethrough."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Lucrative James picks Joanderson Brito, believing Jordan Leavitt's win over Yaddel Val was more due to Val underperforming than Leavitt's elite skill. He notes Brito's athleticism, cardio, and danger on the feet, and expects Brito to avoid being dominated on the ground. He predicts a knockout win for Brito.

Joanderson Brito via knockout
"I have to pick Breurto in this one. ... My official prediction will be Joanna Srio via knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 1, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Jordan Leavitt

Leavitt's persistent grappling and body-lock game should be difficult for Brito, who has poor takedown defense and tends to slow down. Leavitt's strength at featherweight and ability to hold on to takedowns should edge out a decision. This is an odds-based pick, as Brito's finishing ability diminishes in deeper water.

Leavitt by decision
"I'll lean with Levit's annoying but persistent grappling game to edge out a decision here against Joe Anderson Breitu."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jun 3, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jordan Leavitt

Paul picks Leavitt by decision, noting Leavitt's grappling could neutralize Brito. He is not confident and does not plan to bet it, but sees Leavitt's path to a grinding decision win.

Leavitt by decision at +379
"Jordan Levit by decision... is like best price I see is plus 379."
WIN vs Isaac Thomson
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Royval vs. Kape · Dec 13, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanderson Brito 0 33 of 57 57% 66 of 93 8 of 12 66% 2 1 7:59
Isaac Thomson 0 21 of 47 44% 127 of 164 4 of 5 80% 0 1 3:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanderson Brito 0 4 of 7 57% 16 of 19 3 of 3 100% 0 0 1:29
Isaac Thomson 0 6 of 10 60% 26 of 34 2 of 2 100% 0 1 2:23
2 Joanderson Brito 0 13 of 21 61% 32 of 43 1 of 2 50% 2 1 2:59
Isaac Thomson 0 7 of 16 43% 27 of 39 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:34
3 Joanderson Brito 0 16 of 29 55% 18 of 31 4 of 7 57% 0 0 3:31
Isaac Thomson 0 8 of 21 38% 74 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanderson Brito 33 of 57 57% 16 of 36 7 of 10 10 of 11 19 of 36 7 of 10 7 of 11
Isaac Thomson 21 of 47 44% 14 of 33 6 of 10 1 of 4 14 of 37 6 of 8 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanderson Brito 4 of 7 57% 1 of 4 2 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 4
Isaac Thomson 6 of 10 60% 6 of 7 0 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 3 5 of 5 1 of 2
2 Joanderson Brito 13 of 21 61% 9 of 16 0 of 0 4 of 5 5 of 9 3 of 5 5 of 7
Isaac Thomson 7 of 16 43% 3 of 11 3 of 4 1 of 1 6 of 13 1 of 3 0 of 0
3 Joanderson Brito 16 of 29 55% 6 of 16 5 of 8 5 of 5 13 of 26 3 of 3 0 of 0
Isaac Thomson 8 of 21 38% 5 of 15 3 of 4 0 of 2 8 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joanderson Brito vs. Isaac Thomson
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brito (-230); Thomson (+205)

Round 1
Initially planning on battling Melsik Baghdasaryan tonight, Brito (17-5-1, 5-3 UFC) shifts his focus to Octagon newcomer Thomson (9-2, 0-0 UFC), who is coming in on short notice. With his last eight victories coming before the final bell, Brito will be aiming to hand the Team Alpha Male product his second career stoppage loss. Referee Eric McMahon will follow along for as long as this match lasts, and it starts with an awkward clap of hands.
Thomson backs off and jabs the body, aiming a kick to the same spot in rapid succession. Brito pitches out a body kick of his own, and Thomson grabs it and immediately counters over the top to knock the Brazilian to his back. Thomson climbs into top position, but Brito scoots to the fence in hopes of wall-walking. Brito turns his back while standing up, allowing Thomson to climb on his back so he can knee him in the face. Thomson loops one of his legs between Brito’s to trip him up, leaning on him against the wall in hopes of dragging the hard-swinging Brazilian down. Brito leans his shoulder on the wire, biding his time and ignoring short shots around the back of his head. Thomson jumps onto the back, and he drags Brito down while still maintaining partial back control.
Brito scrambles wildly to get out of the grip, and Thomson elbows him on both sides behind his back. Thomson grips a kimura in hopes of sweeping, so Brito lifts him up like a sack of potatoes and throws him down to the floor on his head. Thomson practically springboards off and back upright, and he charges at Brito and hits a clean double to put him on his back. Brito slowly works his way up without absorbing anything of note, and he grips hold of Thomson and hurls him to the floor. Brito looks to take his back, but Thomson slides out and puts Brito on his seat while attacking a one-armed guillotine choke. Brito breaks out of it without concern and pursues his own takedown, slowly dragging the Aussie to his knee and then seat. Thomson muscles his way upright, and Brito knees him in the thigh a few times until Thomson rolls. Brito follows him and knees him in the chest right before the bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Brito

Round 2
Brito walks out of his corner ready to go, and Thomson is the first to land in the round when he rips a kick to the ribs. Brito blasts his inner thigh with a heavy kick that makes Thomson take a funny step, and he spins for a back fist that puts him in jeopardy. Thomson ducks it and shoots for a takedown, only for Brito to flip him over and establish top position. Thomson climbs back up with the wall at his back, and Brito disengages. Thomson sticks out a few jabs and nails Brito with a front kick, and he follows it with a body kick. Brito retaliates with a crisp right hand, and Thomson chomps his teeth at him like Iceman from “Top Gun.” Thomson fails on a shot, and Brito pushes him to his knees and sets up a brabo choke. Brito jumps guard to complete the submission, rolling him over and wrapping it up. Thomson turns his torso the proper direction to escape the sub, and he scrambles faster than his opponent and gets hold of Brito’s back.
Thomson jumps on the Brazilian’s back, who starts shimming and wriggling to get Thomson off of him. Brito finds himself taking Thomson’s back, and he knees him hard on the back of the thigh and stomps the calf viciously. Thomson’s no-look elbows keep landing too, and Brito tries for another high-amplitude slam but does not have the juice to do it. Brito settles for something smoother, tripping Thomson’s leg out from beneath him and dropping the Aussie on his face. From there, Brito clubs his foe with short, powerful left hands as he gets his hooks in to take Thomson’s back. Brito’s punches have an impact when they land, and Thomson rolls over only for Brito to cinch up the body triangle. Brito isolates Thomson’s shoulder, abandoning it to grip hold of a rear-naked choke that is over Thomson’s face. The face crank is broken up by the hand-fighting of the Team Alpha Male fighter, who rides out the round with “Tubarao” on his back.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Brito

Round 3
Jogging out of his corner, Brito knows that Thomson is about to kick him when he gets in close proximity, so he dodges it before it gets to him. When Thomson loops a head kick at him, Brito clubs him with a pair of huge right hands that Thomson eats like lamingtons. Brito appears unafraid of what comes back his direction, walking the Aussie down with impunity while swinging for the fences. Thomson is reeling, and a left hand damages his eye as he paws at it. Thomson motions to McMahon that he may have been poked, but McMahon does not see it so he has to shield up to avoid a couple heavy blows. Brito shoots in for a double, transitioning to a single as he puts Thomson’s back to the wall. Thomson responds with elbows to the side of the head, and Brito trips him up and puts him on his knees. While Brito looks to complete his takedown, Thomson continues to spam the short, effective elbows to the dome.
Thomson uses a kimura setup to work back to his feet, and he starts elbowing Brito’s forearm in hopes of breaking the grip around his waist. Brito holds him from behind, tripping him up and otherwise flustering him with an aggressive controlling position that results him Brito briefly getting him down. Thomson climbs back up and elbows any target he can find, but Brito completely ignores them while in pursuit of a dominant position. This results in a stalemate until Brito uses his remaining energy reserves to dump Thomson to the ground. Thomson bounces back up to his feet, but it is a hollow victory as Brito promptly drags him back down. The horn sounds, and Thomson helps Brito back to his feet as they embrace.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brito (30-27 Brito)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Brito (30-27 Brito)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Brito (30-27 Brito)

The Official Result
Joanderson Brito def. Isaac Thomson via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Brito. He emphasizes that Brito is impossibly durable, never submitted, and fights like a 'honey badger.' He notes that Thompson would need a perfect performance to win, and that Brito's chaotic style makes him difficult to beat without a lockdown game plan.

"It's a rough one. Brito is the favorite over to minus 700 is currently minus 300. Those odds adjusted tight or tighter really quick."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Dec 7, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Lucrative James picks Joanderson Brito confidently, citing his elite durability and relentless grappling. He notes that Melik Baghdasaryan (the opponent) is a kickboxer with poor takedown defense and cardio issues, and believes Brito will dominate on the mat. He projects Brito as a -250 favorite.

"My prediction for this fight is going to be Yandis Brio to go out there and smash Melik Magdarion on the mat with his grappling."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Zane picks Brito confidently, noting that Thompson is a young, reckless fighter who lacks control and leaves himself in awkward positions. He believes Brito's durability and relentless pressure will be too much for Thompson, who has not shown he can handle this level of athlete. He also notes that Brito is not the kind of fighter who benefits from a short-notice opponent change.

Odds: Brito opened -700, now -300; Thompson opened +525, now +250. Zane says the odds should stay wide.
"I gotta take Brito here. No favor a no favors short notice matchup for time, especially do because Brito's not the kind of fighter where it's like 'Oh, I had an opponent change.'"
LOSS vs Pat Sabatini
Decision (unanimous) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Emmett vs. Murphy · Apr 05, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Pat Sabatini 0 24 of 31 77% 135 of 158 4 of 5 80% 1 0 13:47
Joanderson Brito 0 3 of 9 33% 27 of 46 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Pat Sabatini 0 12 of 14 85% 22 of 28 2 of 2 100% 1 0 4:43
Joanderson Brito 0 1 of 1 100% 10 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Pat Sabatini 0 6 of 8 75% 52 of 59 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:34
Joanderson Brito 0 2 of 4 50% 13 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Pat Sabatini 0 6 of 9 66% 61 of 71 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:30
Joanderson Brito 0 0 of 4 0% 4 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Pat Sabatini 24 of 31 77% 22 of 28 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 7 1 of 1 21 of 23
Joanderson Brito 3 of 9 33% 2 of 6 1 of 2 0 of 1 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Pat Sabatini 12 of 14 85% 12 of 13 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 11 of 12
Joanderson Brito 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Pat Sabatini 6 of 8 75% 4 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 5
Joanderson Brito 2 of 4 50% 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Pat Sabatini 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 6
Joanderson Brito 0 of 4 0% 0 of 3 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joanderson Brito vs. Pat Sabatini
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brito (-205), Sabatini (+170)

Round 1
It is a grappler against a wild man in the co-main event, one where the winner might potentially have a number next to their name on Monday. Philly-based grappler Sabatini (19-5, 6-2 UFC) will present danger for as long as the bout is on the mat, but every fight starts on the feet. Brito (17-4-1, 5-2 UFC) is no slouch when grappling, so fun exchanges could come early and often. Referee Keith Peterson will have his hands full with these featherweights, although he is able to take a breath as the fighters look to collide with no nonsense in the building. Fists are bumped before they are traded, and Brito gest right to walking the American down. Sabatini springs from side to side, tossing out one kick and having Brito respond with a kick. Sabatini follows the Brazilian’s kick with a single, which he uses to deposit Brito on the canvas easily. Brito defends with the guillotine off his back, opening himself up to Von Preux choke danger as Sabatini traps him with an arm-triangle at the same time. Brito scoots his way to the wall to take a bit of pressure off of him, and he follows the moving legs of his opponent to maintain half guard or guard. Sabatini tries again for the Von Flue, and he pulls his own head out of Brito’s sub. Sabatini stays flat on his man, squeezing down with an arm-triangle setup while Brito smacks him with short but frustrating strikes off his back. Sabatini gets off the heavier of the blows while above, but Brito still manages to put his back on the wire. Sabatini pulls him away from the fence, and Brito sits to stand while Sabatini threatening with a guillotine choke. Sabatini lands a single knee before letting go of the choke, and he lifts Brito in the air and slams him down to the floor. With Brito hanging on with the guillotine, the Von Preux counter is troubling him as Sabatini clings to his neck with his left arm. Sabatini uses his weight to push Brito against the wall and hope for the leverage to be right for a submission. Brito stays calm and wriggles his neck out of danger, and Sabatini climbs into half guard and assaults him with punches and elbows. Brito attacks off his back, and again Sabatini’s are far more effective. The one-sided round ends with both men flailing at one another.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Sabatini
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini

Round 2
Sabatini motions awkwardly to his opponent, offering the glove touch while also wanting to stay far away from the grappler. Brito kicks, and Sabatini sells out for a takedown. Brito hits his seat searching for a front choke, and Sabatini laughs it off and pushes Brito to his back. Sabatini establishes himself on top in half guard, smothering Brito and preventing the expected explosions thanks in part to heavy chest pressure. Sabatini looks to hook up a crucifix with his knee, and he opens things up to try to pass guard, only for Brito to drag him back. Sabatini strikes when he finds openings, irritating the dangerous “Tubarao” while energy is drained from his tank. Brito uses butterfly hooks to push off, and Sabatini is so singularly focused on the top control that he is not budging. Sabatini scores several left hands on the chin, and he times Brito sitting up to flatten him back out in an instant. The Brazilian is out of ideas, with Sabatini two steps ahead of him at every turn. Sabatini renders his foe fairly powerless until the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Sabatini

Round 3
Brito jogs out of his corner to touch gloves, and he dodges a spin strike to come up top with a huge right hand. Sabatini rolls with the punch and switches stances to work his way forward. Brito absorbs a spinning back fist to swing back a right hand, and he jumps guard with a guillotine choke when Sabatini shoots in for a single. Sabatini issues the thumbs-up a few times as the submission is not under his chin, and he threatens with another Von Preux until Brito releases the grip. Sabatini resides in the half guard, where he has spent most of this fight, and he bludgeons Brito every so often. When Brito goes for broke swinging with his back stuck on the floor, Sabatini postures up to drill him with some ground-and-pound. The smothering continues for the Renzo Gracie Philly fighter, displaying that there are levels to this grappling thing. Brito, a savvy submission artist in his own right, has been blanked tonight, with a ceiling that is very clear above him. Sabatini circles around to take Brito’s back, getting his hooks in, and he starts hunting for a kneebar. When Brito turns over, he gives up mount, and Sabatini starts whaling on him. Brito gets to a knee despite taking strikes on the sides of the head, and Sabatini takes any remaining hope and deposits it in the local trash can with dominant control and grappling wizardry. It might not have been the most scintillating to watch, but Sabatini sends a message that the fearsome marauder Brito has met his match.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Sabatini (30-25 Sabatini)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Sabatini (30-26 Sabatini)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Sabatini (30-26 Sabatini)

The Official Result
Pat Sabatini def. Joanderson Brito via Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 30, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Angelo acknowledges this fight has trap written all over it. He notes Joanderson Brito has power and Pat Sabatini is chinny, but also that Brito's BJJ off his back is poor while Sabatini is phenomenal on top. He predicts the fight won't go the distance, with Brito likely knocking out Sabatini or Sabatini submitting Brito. He picks Brito due to cardio improvements and power, but warns Sabatini could sneak a win as a dog.

does not go the distance
"I'm going to pick breu and maybe he's going to land clean and that'll be the end of it or maybe he plants his feet overcommits gets taken down and put in a lot of trouble early either way does …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 1, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Big Brady picks Joanderson Brito, citing Pat Sabatini's questionable chin and Brito's power. He believes Sabatini needs a perfect 15-minute grappling performance to win, but Brito will eventually land a big shot and knock him out, likely in the first round.

first round knockout
"give me Joe Anderson bre2 to win this fight I'll say it's first round knockout"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Brito. He highlights Brito's dangerous athleticism and Sabatini's stiffness on the feet. Connor notes that Brito's chaotic style often leads to finishes, and while Sabatini could win by grinding him down, Brito's ability to create scrambles and his durability make him the pick. He also mentions Brito's tendency to put himself in bad positions but believes Sabatini is too breakable.

"Sounds right to me."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Sabatini could have success with his chain wrestling and BJJ, but Brito's striking and power are favored. Brito is expected to land big power shots that Sabatini cannot handle, leading to a knockout in the first or second round.

knockout in round 1 or 2
"I have to lean with the Striking and power of Bru sabatini could have some success with his chain wrestling and his BJJ but look for britu to land big Power shots that sabatini is unable to handle leading to …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

The Guru picks Joanderson Brito, calling him too powerful, fast, and dangerous on the feet. He notes Brito's win over Diego Lopez and believes he will stuff Sabatini's takedowns and land strikes for a TKO. He expects a first-round finish, possibly within two minutes, and considers the matchup a mismatch.

Joanderson Brito wins by TKO in round 1
"I'm going to go with Joe Anderson Britto. Powerful start. probably draw out a bad panicked shot from Pat Sabatini pretty early on and then just start cruising and bruising for a TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Zane picks Brito, emphasizing Sabatini's stiff striking and vulnerability to being overwhelmed. He notes Brito's athleticism and tendency to finish fights, but also his recklessness. Zane believes Sabatini's anxious, structured style will struggle with Brito's chaotic, high-pressure approach, and that Brito's athleticism will create a moment where Sabatini can't secure a takedown and gets caught.

Brito opened -206, now -236; Sabatini opened +169, now +213. Zane notes the line shouldn't get wider.
"I'm gonna take britu I'm gonna take britu as well. I think there's just gonna be a moment in this fight where Sabatini can't keep that takedown or can't force that takedown."
LOSS vs William Gomis
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · Sep 28, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
William Gomis 0 43 of 71 60% 69 of 101 0 of 3 0% 0 1 3:52
Joanderson Brito 0 29 of 67 43% 57 of 105 3 of 6 50% 2 0 6:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 William Gomis 0 9 of 17 52% 22 of 33 0 of 2 0% 0 1 3:07
Joanderson Brito 0 9 of 19 47% 20 of 30 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:08
2 William Gomis 0 11 of 20 55% 22 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joanderson Brito 0 8 of 21 38% 16 of 37 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:34
3 William Gomis 0 23 of 34 67% 25 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:45
Joanderson Brito 0 12 of 27 44% 21 of 38 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
William Gomis 43 of 71 60% 16 of 35 18 of 27 9 of 9 30 of 57 13 of 14 0 of 0
Joanderson Brito 29 of 67 43% 9 of 39 5 of 8 15 of 20 23 of 60 2 of 3 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 William Gomis 9 of 17 52% 3 of 8 4 of 7 2 of 2 6 of 13 3 of 4 0 of 0
Joanderson Brito 9 of 19 47% 3 of 11 2 of 3 4 of 5 7 of 16 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 William Gomis 11 of 20 55% 4 of 9 4 of 8 3 of 3 9 of 18 2 of 2 0 of 0
Joanderson Brito 8 of 21 38% 4 of 15 1 of 2 3 of 4 7 of 20 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 William Gomis 23 of 34 67% 9 of 18 10 of 12 4 of 4 15 of 26 8 of 8 0 of 0
Joanderson Brito 12 of 27 44% 2 of 13 2 of 3 8 of 11 9 of 24 0 of 0 3 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joanderson Brito vs. William Gomis

Round 1
Paris native and MMA Factory staple Gomis (13-2, 3-0 UFC) is firmly in the hearts and minds of the majority of the fans in the building in this “featured fight of the night” slot. However, he stands across from Brito (17-3-1, 5-1 UFC), a veritable featherweight wrecking machine who has crushed his last five foes. Keeping his head on a swivel for this one will be referee Rich Mitchell, although the fighters touch gloves before the ferocity begins. Brito advances rapidly, parrying a few front kicks so he can crowd the local. Gomis sticks out a jab and slides away from a winging right hand, and he boots the Brazilian in the side. Brito swings his way into a clinch, with Gomis glad to turn him about so he can lean on him and take some of the sting out of his offense. Brito decides he does not want to deal with this and he scoops Gomis up and flips him over. Brito attempts to take back control while they are shifting, but he falls the wrong direction and lands on his back. Gomis resides in the guard of his foe, smothering and looking for positional improvements over inflicting damage thus far. Brito sits up, but he is unable to get upright. Gomis drags him back down flat, and Brito hooks his toes in the cage to turn himself over. Brito pursues an armbar off his back, and Gomis fights out of it and flattens his chest down on top of Brito’s. When Gomis advances, Brito scrambles at that exact moment to fight to his feet. Brito looks for a single of his own, and he bails on it to go for a sneaky right hand up top. Gomis ducks it, and Brito ties him up again. The two jockey for position, and Brito is smiling and laughing while watching video of himself on the big screen. Gomis tries and fails to toss Brito down, and Brito knees him flush in the belly before being warned for grabbing his opponent’s shorts. Gomis turns him around and knees him repeatedly, and Mitchell asks for more activity from the Frenchman. Gomis elevates Brito but cannot deposit him to the mat, with Brito’s balance keeping him upright. When they separate, Brito is frantic, lashing out with big punches and kicks. A massive right hand from “Tubarao” hurts Gomis, and he hunts him down and jumps guard for a guillotine choke. Before he can complete it, the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brito

Round 2
Unsurprisingly, the two fighters go right after it as soon as Mitchell says “fight.” Brito swarms Gomis, throwing with everything and the kitchen sink until he gets so close to Gomis that he elects to pursue a takedown. The Brazilian wrestles the underdog to the mat, where he lands in side control raining down right hands. Brito keeps swinging until Gomis turns to the side, and Brito latches on with an arm-triangle choke from an odd angle. Brito lowers himself down to try to complete the submission, and Gomis signals a thumbs-up to indicate he is fine. Brito changes angles, and he moves himself to half guard while squeezing with all his might. Once more, Gomis shows Mitchell a thumbs-up, and Brito looks surprised that he cannot choke his foe out. Gomis is still fine, so Brito bails on it. Brito pounds on Gomis with free left hands, and Gomis sits up and gets to his knees. Brito belts him in the chops with a left hand, and Gomis explodes upright. Brito leans heavily until Gomis bursts out of the position, and Brito walks him down. Brito connects with a few hard calf kicks, and he winds up his right hand to get the French fighter’s attention. Gomis takes it on the chin and retains his composure, and Brito tightly presses himself against his opponent instead of getting completely reckless. Mitchell tells Brito he needs to do more than hold, and it is Gomis who completes the break with a knee on the chin. Gomis backs off and boots Brito in the face with his foot, and he targets the body with a kick and nearly takes Brito’s head off with his shin. Brito responds with his own kicks, and the two trade vicious leg strikes until the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brito

Round 3
The featherweights clap hands after 10 minutes of action, and then resume kicking one another mercilessly. Gomis catches Brito on the way in with a right hand, and he backs away and raises his guard when Brito whips a kick at him. Brito plods forward and hammers the front calf with a kick, and he sprints his way in to land another. Gomis counters him with a left hand, and Brito has to shake it off. The Frenchman lets go with is hands and a kick, and he sneaks in another power punch to intercept his marauding opponent. Brito walks through it and loads up with even bigger, more telegraphed power, and Gomis is sniping him and keeping him from hurting him. A Brito leg kick gets his adversary’s attention, and Gomis pushes him to the fence. Brito smiles to Mitchell as he takes a breath with his back on the cage, and he wriggles out of the grasp and into a front kick. Brito scores a low kick and eats a left, and he walks square into a thudding body kick. Brito keeps chasing and missing, with few strikes but his leg kicks landing cleanly. Brito stops an ankle pick from getting anywhere, jamming Gomis against the wire and going after a single. Brito wrangles Gomis down to his seat, and Gomis tugs on the fence to prevent himself from going to his back. With Brito at the right angle, he slugs Gomis in the side of the head and moves around to the back to load up with high-amplitude knees to the thigh. Brito has his hands clasped around the waist, not giving Gomis a modicum of space, all while working on him with any offense he can muster. Gomis gets in a knee before Brito dives after a single, and Gomis defends with a guillotine that he uses to drag Brito to the floor. Brito climbs up with 10 seconds to spare, and Gomis kicks him square in the head. One more high kick from the French fighter punctuates a tense and exciting battle.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gomis (29-28 Brito)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gomis (29-28 Brito)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gomis (29-28 Brito)

The Official Result
William Gomis def. Joanderson Brito via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 22, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Angelo picks Joanderson Brito, calling him the most dangerous guy at this weight class. He notes Brito's ability to finish by KO, submission, or leg kicks. He worries about Brito's cardio since he hasn't been to a decision in a long time, but believes his insane pressure will overwhelm Gomis, who is low volume and may not handle the pace.

"I am picking Joanderson Brito here... he's an absolute savage and I think he wins this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Big Brady picks Joanderson Brito by first-round submission, calling him a killer with dangerous striking and a huge grappling advantage. He criticizes Gomis for doing nothing in fights and having poor submission defense. He expects Brito to take Gomis down and submit him quickly.

Brito by first round submission
"I'm going breu to win this fight by first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Cody picks Brito due to his physicality, power, and grappling advantage. He notes that Brito is always aggressive and finishes fights early. However, he expresses concern about Brito's cardio and the possibility of Gomis evading him with footwork. Despite the trap potential, Cody believes Brito's strength and pressure will overwhelm Gomis.

"I think Breo smokes him too but feels like a trap to me... he is the play"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Connor picks Brito because he believes Brito's overwhelming physicality and pressure will be too much for Gomis, who relies on a range striking game without a jab. He notes that Gomis has struggled against fighters who simply storm forward, as seen in his close fights with Yannis Ghemmouri and Frank Marshall. Connor points out that Brito is a game-breaking athlete who has crushed technically superior fighters like Jack Shore. He sees no clear path to victory for Gomis.

Odds: Brito -288, Gomis +242. Connor suggests Brito should be a much bigger favorite, possibly -500.
"He is going to crush William Gomi. He should. He absolutely should."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
William Gomis

Daniel Vreeland picks William Gomis for the upset. He believes Gomis is better than he has shown, with good footwork, speed, and takedown defense. He thinks the big cage and home crowd will help Gomis frustrate Brito at distance. He notes Brito's cardio issues and that Gomis has a path to victory if he avoids getting bullied.

"I'm gonna pick GES for the offset"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

JP picks Joanderson Brito because he thinks Brito has more paths to victory, including power and submissions. He notes Gomis is a one-trick pony kickboxer and Brito has impressive wins over Diego Lopes and Chape. He thinks Brito's pressure and grappling will be too much.

"I'm going to go burrito Maybe by sub might bet by sub but I mean money line this is another one money Line's way too [ __ ] wide"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Paul picks Brito, citing his physicality and power. He notes that Gomis is a low-volume point striker who may struggle with Brito's pressure. However, Paul acknowledges the risk of Gomis using movement to frustrate Brito, especially in a big cage in Paris. He still expects Brito to find a takedown or land a big shot.

"physicality man... burrito will be up in his face... I think Breo absolutely smokes this guy"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

The MMA Guru picks Joanderson Brito over William Gomis, praising Brito's power and explosiveness. He notes Brito's wins over Diego Lopez and Shep Mariscal. He believes Gomis' rangey, low-threat style will not work against Brito's pressure. He predicts a TKO win for Brito.

TKO
"I'm going to go Jo Anderson Britto smoking him um I really believe in Jo Anderson Britto"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Zane picks Brito because he sees Gomis as a limited range striker who lacks a jab and has poor defensive wrestling. He notes that Brito is a powerful, athletic fighter who has dominated better opponents. Zane points out that Gomis's wins have been close decisions against lower-level competition, while Brito has crushed fighters like Jack Shore. He believes Brito's crude but effective pressure will overwhelm Gomis.

Odds: Brito -288, Gomis +242. Zane agrees Brito should be a much bigger favorite.
"Brito is a sizable favorite, probably could be a bit bigger... I will put Brito in like minus 500 territory."
WIN vs Jack Shore
TKO (doctor stoppage) R2 3:35 · UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · May 04, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanderson Brito 0 24 of 40 60% 31 of 47 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:48
Jack Shore 0 30 of 56 53% 57 of 86 1 of 1 100% 0 0 5:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanderson Brito 0 9 of 17 52% 13 of 21 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:48
Jack Shore 0 15 of 31 48% 29 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:31
2 Joanderson Brito 0 15 of 23 65% 18 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jack Shore 0 15 of 25 60% 28 of 41 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanderson Brito 24 of 40 60% 16 of 32 7 of 7 1 of 1 10 of 25 14 of 15 0 of 0
Jack Shore 30 of 56 53% 4 of 29 4 of 4 22 of 23 20 of 46 10 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanderson Brito 9 of 17 52% 5 of 13 3 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 13 4 of 4 0 of 0
Jack Shore 15 of 31 48% 1 of 16 2 of 2 12 of 13 11 of 27 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Joanderson Brito 15 of 23 65% 11 of 19 4 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 12 10 of 11 0 of 0
Jack Shore 15 of 25 60% 3 of 13 2 of 2 10 of 10 9 of 19 6 of 6 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joanderson Brito vs. Jack Shore
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brito (-148), Shore (+124)

Round 1
A place in the top 15 at the talent-rich featherweight division may loom for the victor between Welshman Shore (17-1, 6-1 UFC) and the ultraviolent Chute Boxe fighter Brito (16-3-1, 4-1 UFC). Finish rates of 76% for the former and 87% for the latter mean that the judges might be able to take off this preliminary headliner, while referee Joao Claudio Soares should be ready to step in at a moment’s notice. Before they try to lop the other’s head off at the neck, the heavy hitters bump fists. Brito is the initial aggressor, landing long strikes and finding his range early. Shore throws back to back him away, and he checks a low kick. Brito jabs his way in, and he has another calf kick checked hard. Brito swings for the bleachers, and Shore barely dodges it. The low kick that follows separates Shore from his balance, and he drops to a knee and pops back up. Shore gathers himself and ties the Brazilian up to slow him down, and Brito is quick to turn him around and pepper him with knees. Brito breaks off to throw big hands, and Shore slides away but cannot get away from a heavy leg kick. Brito shreds the front leg again and loads up on power punches, and Shore clinches him up as Brito smiles and sticks his tongue out. Brito pursues a single when turning his man around, kneeing the inner thighs when the takedown is not there. Shore chucks him to the side and looks for a takedown, but Brito hip-checks him and pushes him back to the wire. Shore attempts another level change and hangs on tight to slow Brito down, and they both lower themselves to the ground in a minute when locked up. Brito gets up first and pursues a double, and Shore elbows him in the side of the head to have him knock it off. Brito shoulder strikes his foe while up close and personal in the clinch, and he takes a knee to the belly as the grinding round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Christian Stein scores the round: 10-9 Brito
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brito

Round 2
Brito offers a glove touch that is accepted, and he gets right back to his forward momentum. Brito lands a couple leg kicks, completely no-sells getting kicked in the head by the Welshman, and clinches him up. Brito hammers knees on the legs of his opponent and slings him to the mat, and Shore climbs back up without issue. Brito remains stuck to him like he was made of Saran wrap, and Shore pushes him away with a knee up the middle. Brito scores a couple calf kicks, and he ducks when punches are aimed at his face. Shore tries to check a kick and the skin tears open from the impact, as the swelling and welting makes that left leg a horror show less than halfway through the match. Brito sells out for a takedown, and Shore defends it with elbows on the sides of the head. Brito lands a few more short knees as blood leaks out of Shore’s shin. Brito doggedly presses ahead, and he punches the shin several times to further rip open the cut. The apparent damage is so significant that Soares calls in the doctor, who examines the roughly inch-long wound that is at this point gaping. The physician wipes the blood away and feels the bone beneath it, and determines that the bout should not continue. Soares waves the fight off. It is unclear if there is a broken bone, or what the specific reason for the stoppage is, but it will go down as a technical knockout victory for the Brazilian—who hands Shore his first loss by knockout, however unusual.

The Official Result
Joanderson Brito def. Jack Shore R2 3:35 via TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Apr 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Angelo picks Brito due to his danger on the feet, but feels the fight is closer to 50/50 than the 2-1 odds suggest. He notes Brito's 50% takedown defense and that Shore could win if he avoids power and gets takedowns. He does not bet on this fight.

"I am going to pick Jo Anderson breu because of the danger because of how scary he is on his feet but I'm not going to bet on Joe Anderson bre2"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Big Brady calls Brito a 'moment winner' with power and finishing ability. He notes Shore's vulnerability to being hurt and questions his takedown success at featherweight. He predicts Brito will land a big shot and knock Shore out in the first round.

"I'm taking Joanderson Brito to win this fight by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Cody picks Brito, citing his physical strength, power, and Brazilian crowd advantage. He notes Shore struggled with physical wrestlers at bantamweight and hasn't looked great at featherweight. Cody expects Brito to land bigger shots and potentially submit Shore.

Brito by submission
"I think burrito is the rightful favorite here... I wouldn't even be shocked by burrito sub..."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Daniel Vreeland picks Brito, emphasizing his physicality, power, and multiple finishing threats. He notes that Shore's best wins are against lower-level competition and that Brito has fought tougher opponents. He believes Brito's grappling and striking are superior and that Shore may struggle at featherweight. He considers Brito underpriced and expects him to look like a -600 favorite after the fight.

"Britto is a guy I think is underpriced this week on a week when you got a lot of people that are overpriced"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 3, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Jack Shore

Shore is the underdog but will put the grind on Brito and win by decision. Brito is dangerous with knockout power and choking ability, but Shore won't make the same mistakes as Jonathan Pearce and will wear on Brito over 15 minutes.

"I ultimately think it's going to be the underdog Jack Shaw who's able to go out there and put the grind on Bru and come out Victorious by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Paul picks Brito, highlighting his power and physicality. He notes Shore's takedown defense and durability are questionable, and Brito's damaging blows will impress judges. Paul expects Brito to win the first two rounds and hold on.

"I got to agree as well with the favorite and go with Joanderson Brito."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

The MMA Guru picks Joanderson Brito, citing his physicality, fast-twitch athleticism, and momentum. He doubts Jack Shore's strength at featherweight and believes Brito will revel in the pay-per-view moment. He also notes Brito's win over Lucas Alexander has aged well, and that Shore was finished by Ricky Simon.

"I'm gonna go with Jo Anderson bro man I'm gonna go Jo Anderson bro"
Submission (ninja choke) R2 3:54 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · Nov 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanderson Brito 0 14 of 16 87% 81 of 96 1 of 4 25% 0 1 6:15
Jonathan Pearce 0 8 of 20 40% 33 of 47 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanderson Brito 0 12 of 14 85% 43 of 48 0 of 3 0% 0 1 2:28
Jonathan Pearce 0 8 of 19 42% 21 of 33 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:58
2 Joanderson Brito 0 2 of 2 100% 38 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:47
Jonathan Pearce 0 0 of 1 0% 12 of 14 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanderson Brito 14 of 16 87% 6 of 6 2 of 4 6 of 6 3 of 4 7 of 8 4 of 4
Jonathan Pearce 8 of 20 40% 4 of 15 3 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 12 2 of 3 2 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanderson Brito 12 of 14 85% 4 of 4 2 of 4 6 of 6 3 of 4 7 of 8 2 of 2
Jonathan Pearce 8 of 19 42% 4 of 14 3 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 12 2 of 3 2 of 4
2 Joanderson Brito 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 2
Jonathan Pearce 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joanderson Brito vs. Jonathan Pearce
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Pearce (-130), Brito (+110)

Round 1
A potentially violent featherweight encounter rounds out this long preliminary slate. Winner of five straight, “JSP” Pearce (14-4, 5-1 UFC) will be in for a fight against the hard-charging Brito (15-3-1, 3-1 UFC). Referee Herb Dean may have his hands full for this one, although there is a sporting glove touch before it begins. Pearce lets loose with a kick to start things off, and Brito slings a right hand in response. Pearce shoots for a takedown, and Brito defends the double with a guillotine choke. Brito turns his foe around and keeps tightly pressed against him, and he starts digging right hands to the body as Pearce shakes his head. Brito lifts Pearce clean off the ground and slams him down, and he instantly lands in side control and starts slugging Pearce in the face with left hands. A bit too excited, Brito jumps over and looks to take a scrambling Pearce’s back, but he falls off the back and lands on his own back. Pearce lines him up for a solid right hand, and he attempts to set up a guillotine choke when Brito fights his way up. Brito clubs Pearce in the temple on the break, and he chases after Pearce throwing haymakers. Pearce responds with a body kick and a double, and Brito stops it and backs himself against the wall. Pearce redoubles his effort to take the fight down, and he is stonewalled but pressing the Brazilian against the wall. Brito slugs Pearce in the belly a few times as they turn one another around while clinched. Pearce claims that Brito grabbed his cup, as Brito tried to defend from a takedown. Pearce falls to his back in search of an armbar, and Brito stacks Pearce up to break out of the submission setup. “JSP” hunts for a triangle, and Brito lifts him up and slams him down to stop that as well. Pearce jumps back to his feet and looks for a takedown, and he sneaks in two uppercuts and dodges a windmilling right hand before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pearce
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Pearce
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Pearce

Round 2
The fists are bumped, and Pearce dives forward to hit a single in the opening seconds. Pearce lands on half guard and starts slamming down elbows. Pearce steps over into mount for a moment, and Brito bucks and fights off an arm-triangle set up to drag Pearce back to guard. Brito twists and bucks, but Pearce gladly grinds on his opponent to wear him down. “JSP” continues holding Brito down, landing sporadic shots, and the two start talking to one another. Pearce tells him to get up and do something, and Brito tries to explode out but his power is not what it was in the previous round. Pearce rides and lands right hands, and Brito laughs at him for his feeble strikes while irritated he is being held down. Brito scoots his way to the wall on one knee, and he works his way up.
Out of nowhere, “Tubarao” snatches up a ninja choke with his back still against the wall, and it is shockingly tight. Pearce falls to his side to wriggle out, and Brito cranks down hard on it with his chest pressed tightly. Pearce starts tapping as Brito completes the submission
, and the stunning comeback has been completed by the powerhouse Brazilian.

The Official Result
Joanderson Brito def. Jonathan Pearce R2 3:54 via Submission (Ninja Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jonathan Pearce

Angelo picks Jonathan Pearce, citing his insane wrestling pressure and ability to take down Joanderson Brito. He notes Brito is a dangerous striker but expects Pearce to dive at legs immediately. He expresses some hesitation due to the Grant Dawson knockout, but still picks Pearce.

Odds comment: minus 150 favorite feels about right; mentions potential bet but may pass due to risk
"Jonathan's going to be the pick here because of that wrestling pressure but uh he might get Grant Dawson and just absolutely folded with a a lazy jab"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Big Brady calls this his favorite fight on the card. He thinks Brito is very live for a first-round knockout or submission because Pearce is very hitable and leaves himself in bad spots on the mat. He notes Pearce has great pressure and cardio but Brito has power and submission skills. He predicts Brito wins by first-round knockout, but acknowledges if it goes to the second round, Pearce takes over.

"I'll take Jo and toitu to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Cody picks Joanderson Brito as a slight underdog, calling it a 50/50 fight. He notes Brito's power and physicality, and believes he can catch Pearce with something. He acknowledges Pearce's wrestling and cardio but thinks Brito's power and submission threat early make him the value play.

"I will end up taking joanderson burrito but it's hard to say oh I got a dog pick"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Brito is a relentless pressure fighter who doesn't give opponents room to breathe. He has good takedown defense and gets back to his feet quickly. Pearce is a wrestler who may get takedowns early, but Brito's ability to scramble and return to striking will break Pearce. Brito will land big punches and eventually find a knockout in the third round.

win by knockout
"give me Jo Anderson Breo to find the Finish"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Paul also picks Brito, citing his power and the danger he poses early. He notes that Pearce has been hurt before and Brito hits hard. Paul thinks Brito's submission threat, especially a guillotine, is real early. He sees this as a dog or pass and takes the plus money.

"burrito for me as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

The MMA Guru picks Joanderson Brito to finish Jonathan Pearce in round one. He criticizes Pearce's competition and notes that Pearce struggled against Darren Elkins, Makwan Amirkhani, and Christian Rodriguez. He highlights Brito's finishing potential with first-round wins over Lucas Alexander, Andre Fili, and Weston Wilson, and believes Brito's run will continue.

finish in round one
"I'm going to go Jo Anderson Brito over Jonathan Pierce... I reckon he's on a run right now and he's going to continue that run and actually finish Jonathan Pierce in round one."
WIN vs Westin Wilson
KO (punches) R1 2:54 · UFC on ESPN: Strickland vs. Magomedov · Jul 01, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanderson Brito 0 22 of 30 73% 24 of 32 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:08
Westin Wilson 0 4 of 8 50% 14 of 18 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanderson Brito 0 22 of 30 73% 24 of 32 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:08
Westin Wilson 0 4 of 8 50% 14 of 18 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanderson Brito 22 of 30 73% 21 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 1 5 of 10 3 of 3 14 of 17
Westin Wilson 4 of 8 50% 0 of 3 3 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanderson Brito 22 of 30 73% 21 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 1 5 of 10 3 of 3 14 of 17
Westin Wilson 4 of 8 50% 0 of 3 3 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joanderson Brito vs. Westin Wilson
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brito (-1400), Wilson (+850)

Round 1
The biggest betting favorite on the card by a country mile, Brito (14-3-1, 2-1 UFC) at -1400 odds is widely expected to blaze through his short-notice replacement foe. Rather than fighting Khusein Askhabov, the well-traveled Wilson (16-7, 0-0 UFC) steps in for his UFC debut as around a +800 underdog. The sport is a wild one and even massive favorites can lose – just look at Kutateladze earlier tonight – and Wilson does celebrate a 100% finish rate across his 16 pro victories. Referee Chris Tognoni will need to be on his A-game for what should be a fast and furious affair for as long as it lasts. Before the two featherweights engage, they touch gloves to signal they are glad to be competing tonight. Brito is the one to push the pace early, and Wilson fades back and eats a right hand. Brito wings another overhand right, and Wilson is out of the way in time. The karate style and stance from Wilson works against him, as Brito busts him in the chops with a pair of furious hooks. Wilson wobbles back to the fence, and Brito is so aggressive that Wilson grabs him to slow him down. Brito wings a right hand over the top, and Wilson responds with a potential trip attempt. Brito presses Wilson tightly on the fence, and he takes a knee to the chest. Brito slings him to the mat, and Wilson pulls on the cage with his toes. Brito lands in side control, keeping his shoulder pressed tightly on the Utah native. Wilson is again warned for grabbing the fence, and Brito stands up and grabs it to fight off a sudden, unexpected leglock. Tognoni swats his fingers out of the fence, and Brito drops down and busts Wilson in the face with a right hand.
Wilson latches on to a sudden kneebar, and Brito pushes off and batters Wilson with thunderous right hands. As Wilson hangs on, rolled to his side with the submission no longer a serious option, Brito does not let him off the hook. “Tubarao” concludes his bombardment with fierce flurry of fists, and Tognoni jumps in to stop the fight as Wilson’s lights go out.
The enormous favorite made short work of the late replacement, having now performed three first-round finishes in a row. An energized Brito loudly and angrily calls out Dan Ige for a future fight, flipping off double birds and calling for a main event spot. If not Ige, he will also take Alex Caceres, as he is very interested in a ranked adversary.

The Official Result
Joanderson Brito def. Westin Wilson R1 2:54 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 25, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Angelo picks Joanderson Brito to win inside the distance. He describes Brito as an absolute savage with fast, athletic striking and solid top pressure. He believes Westin Wilson, despite high fight IQ, is outmatched by Brito's size, strength, and aggression. He plans to parlay Brito if under -400 or bet the finish prop.

parlay if under -400, otherwise by finish prop
"I think Joanna some Frito wins this fight I think he wins inside the distance"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lock picked Jun 26, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Big Brady picks Joanderson Brito to win by first-round knockout, calling it one of the most lopsided matchups he's ever seen. He notes Wilson has no takedown defense, poor striking defense, and has been knocked out several times. Brito is a black belt in BJJ with power and can finish anywhere. Brady expects a finish within the first 60 seconds.

first round knockout
"I think Rita wins this fight probably within the first 60 seconds one of the most lopsided matchups I've ever seen in my life"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Cody is very confident Brito wins, likely by submission. He notes Brito's significant advantages in striking, wrestling, and grappling. Wilson is a regional fighter making his UFC debut at 34, with losses to lower-level competition. Cody thinks Brito will take him down and submit him, possibly by rear-naked choke. He prefers the submission prop at +200.

Brito by submission at +200
"burrito by sub would be the play there"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 29, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Daniel confidently picks Brito to finish Wilson, predicting a first-round submission. He notes Brito's high ceiling, as praised by UFC matchmakers, and his dangerous grappling. He sees Wilson as a 'kill or be killed' fighter who will be outmatched physically and technically. He expects Brito to dominate wherever the fight goes, and calls it a mismatch.

first round submission
"Joe Anderson burrito is going to come out here and finish Weston Wilson"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Paul agrees Brito wins inside the distance, likely by KO. He notes the huge disparity in experience and skill, with Wilson being a career regional fighter. Paul thinks Brito will knock him out by backing him up and landing a big shot. He mentions Brito's cauliflower ears as a sign of his toughness.

Brito by KO at -125
"burrito by KO is minus 125"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

The Guru picks Joanderson Brito, noting his momentum with two wins in a row over decent competition, including a KO and a submission. He believes Brito's grappling will be too much for Westin Wilson, who trains at Upstate Karate with Stephen Thompson but has a tendency to give up his back. He predicts a rear-naked choke submission in the first round.

submission in the first round, rear-naked choke
"I'm gonna have to go with Johannes and Britto here... I reckon he'll get this one done by submission in the first round renaked choke"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 2:02 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · Oct 15, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanderson Brito 0 4 of 8 50% 7 of 11 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:25
Lucas Alexander 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanderson Brito 0 4 of 8 50% 7 of 11 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:25
Lucas Alexander 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanderson Brito 4 of 8 50% 2 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 4 4 of 4 0 of 0
Lucas Alexander 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanderson Brito 4 of 8 50% 2 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 4 4 of 4 0 of 0
Lucas Alexander 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Lucas Alexander vs. Joanderson Brito
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brito (-350), Alexander (+255)

Round 1
The action ticks up one notch as we move to the featherweight division. After a veritable revolving door of opponents, heavy-handed Brazilian finisher Brito (13-3-1, 1-1 UFC) now squares off against fellow countryman Alexander (7-2, 0-0 UFC) in the latter’s UFC debut. While both are the same age, Brito holds greater high-level experience, having fought up through the LFA to DWCS and then the UFC. Meanwhile, his opponent comes in on a five-fight win streak, with most of those victories coming in Florida-based leagues. The third man in the Octagon is referee Chris Tognoni, and there is a touch of gloves to get things started. Brito immediately starts racing forward, and he wings a low kick that comes up short. Alexander responds with one that lands, but he already finds himself backed up to the cage and ducking a haymaker. Brito bears down on him and loads up on right hands, and he ducks a head kick by a matter of millimeters and allows Alexander to fall to the mat. Brito lifts his man up and slams him down, and then does this a second time when Alexander gets to his knees. Brito knees the thigh a few times before scooping “The Lion” up and dropping him down once more. When Alexander moves back to his feet, Brito jumps on his back to serve as a malicious backpack, while setting up some form of a rear-naked choke.
Brito tightens his legs around the waist and switches his arms to sink his right forearm under the chin. The choke is instantly tight and Brito has plenty of energy to crush it like a vice, and he drags the newcomer from behind down to the ground to make the submission purely academic. Barely one second after they hit the mat, and Alexander taps out frantically from the maneuver, as he would likely go out if the grip remained tight for too much longer.
Tubular work for "Tubarao" Brito, who now posts an even number of knockouts and submissions on his ledger while lifting his finish rate above 85%.

The Official Result
Joanderson Brito def. Lucas Alexander R1 2:02 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Cody picks Brito confidently, noting he is a powerhouse and coming off a career-best win. He points out that Alexander has missed weight multiple times and is taking the fight on short notice, which could affect his performance. He expects Brito to press forward and score takedowns.

"burrito's got this one so sign me up for Joe Anderson."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Paul also picks Brito, noting he is a solid prospect and Alexander is a late replacement with questionable credentials. He thinks Brito's aggression and takedowns will be too much, and Alexander may struggle to make weight.

"I'd be surprised if you're picking the other side... Brito is an absolute Powerhouse."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

The MMA Guru picks Joanderson Brito by first-round KO, citing his full camp and the short-notice replacement Lucas Alexander. He believes Alexander will be overly aggressive early, which will be his downfall against Brito. He notes that Brito's win over Andre Fili has aged well, and he trusts Brito's power and timing.

prediction: first-round KO
"first round KO for Joe Anderson Brita I really do"
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Angelo picks Brito, citing Algeo's poor takedown defense (20 takedowns allowed in last 4 fights). He believes Brito's grappling pressure will be too much and that Algeo will struggle to get back up. He also placed a prop bet on Brito by decision at +185 and a small moneyline bet at -130.

Brito wins by decision prop at +185; small Brito moneyline at -130.
"i do think burrito takes him down rides him out and wins from there"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Big Brady notes Brito has power and can take down Algeo, but Algeo has an elite get-up game and high volume. He worries about Brito's cardio if he expends energy on takedowns. He picks Brito to win a decision, citing Brito's bigger moments on the feet and ability to mix in takedowns, though he admits it could get sketchy late.

"i'm gonna pick burrito to win i'm gonna say he does have those big moments on the feet"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Cody picks Brito, despite Algeo being his 'boy'. He notes Algeo's takedown defense is poor and Brito's power and strength will be too much. He expects Brito to win via takedowns and top control, possibly a decision. He suggests betting Algeo live if he drops early rounds.

Consider live betting Algeo after round 1 or 2
"i would have to say joannis and burrito hate turning my back on bill ljo"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Daniel Levi picks Joanderson Brito, calling him a bright prospect with explosive power and physicality. He notes Brito's top control, ground and pound, and one-punch knockout power. Levi acknowledges Algeo's toughness, length, and cardio, but believes Brito's physicality will be too much and that he can neutralize Algeo's takedown defense. He placed 2.5 units on Brito at -125.

2.5 units at -125
"i put 2.5 units on joe anderson burrito at minus 125 to win uh two units and that's my first bet of the night"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

The host leans toward Brito, believing his aggressive forward pressure and heavy strikes will outwork Algeo's passive, outside striking. He notes Algeo's BJJ could be a factor if he takes Brito down, but expects Brito to win a kickboxing match. The host is concerned about Brito's takedown defense but thinks his cardio and output will secure a decision. He compares Brito favorably to Spike Carlyle, who gave Algeo trouble.

"i'm going to go burrito um it's going to be hard to put out algeo so i'm not sure if you'll be able to get the finish here um so i'll take burrito by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

Paul picks Brito, citing his power, strength, and takedown ability. He notes Algeo's takedown defense was exposed by Ricardo Ramos, and expects Brito to replicate that game plan. He mentions Algeo's cardio and scrambling but doubts he can overcome Brito's physicality. He suggests betting Algeo live if he survives early rounds.

Consider live betting Algeo after round 1 or 2
"i'm gonna go with burrito as well just obviously the takedowns"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Joanderson Brito

The MMA Guru picks Joanderson Brito to win by decision. He notes that Brito is younger, more active, and has good wins on the regional scene, including over Diego Lopez. He has good stand-up, grappling, and cardio, having gone five rounds before. Algeo is 32, hasn't fought in 6-7 months, and hasn't shown great cardio. He believes Brito's momentum and well-roundedness will carry him to a dominant 30-27 decision, and that Algeo's only path to victory is if Brito gasses, which he doesn't see happening.

"i'm gonna go with joanna sombrito because he's looked great on the regional scene"