vs
+122 -138
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · Jun 12, 2021 · Women's Flyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 Next Fight
Age 42
Height 5' 5"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 40
Height 5' 6"
Reach 65.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Lauren Murphy
3.94 SLpM
38.0% Str. Acc.
5.19 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
1.09 TD Avg
24.0% TD Acc.
67.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Joanne Wood
7.1 SLpM
51.0% Str. Acc.
4.89 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
1.52 TD Avg
55.0% TD Acc.
58.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Lauren Murphy
Moneyline
FanDuel +122
KO/TKO
BetWay +900
Submission
BetWay +900
Decision
BetWay +200
Joanne Wood
Moneyline
BetWay -138
KO/TKO
BetWay +800
Submission
BetWay +900
Decision
BetWay +110
Lauren Murphy - Fight History
LOSS vs Eduarda Moura
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Teixeira · Jul 12, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lauren Murphy 0 38 of 145 26% 67 of 179 2 of 9 22% 2 0 1:03
Eduarda Moura 0 64 of 235 27% 74 of 248 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lauren Murphy 0 6 of 33 18% 13 of 41 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:03
Eduarda Moura 0 19 of 58 32% 26 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:32
2 Lauren Murphy 0 11 of 51 21% 27 of 70 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:01
Eduarda Moura 0 20 of 77 25% 22 of 79 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:23
3 Lauren Murphy 0 21 of 61 34% 27 of 68 1 of 5 20% 2 0 0:59
Eduarda Moura 0 25 of 100 25% 26 of 101 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lauren Murphy 38 of 145 26% 38 of 144 0 of 0 0 of 1 34 of 140 4 of 5 0 of 0
Eduarda Moura 64 of 235 27% 52 of 221 1 of 2 11 of 12 64 of 234 0 of 0 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lauren Murphy 6 of 33 18% 6 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 1 6 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eduarda Moura 19 of 58 32% 14 of 51 0 of 1 5 of 6 19 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 1
2 Lauren Murphy 11 of 51 21% 11 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0 8 of 47 3 of 4 0 of 0
Eduarda Moura 20 of 77 25% 17 of 74 0 of 0 3 of 3 20 of 77 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Lauren Murphy 21 of 61 34% 21 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0 20 of 60 1 of 1 0 of 0
Eduarda Moura 25 of 100 25% 21 of 96 1 of 1 3 of 3 25 of 100 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Angelo believes Eduarda Moura is younger, faster, and a better grappler than the 41-year-old Lauren Murphy, who hasn't fought in two years. He thinks Murphy's toughness won't be enough against Moura's aggressive grappling and solid takedowns. He hates the -600 odds but thinks Moura wins 95% of the time and is okay to parlay.

Hates -600 odds but thinks Moura wins 95% of the time and is okay to parlay.
"Eduarda Mora is going to be the pick. I hate that she's minus 600."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 8, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Big Brady is disgusted by the -600 line on Eduarda Moura. He notes Moura's poor cardio and low volume, and Lauren Murphy's 70% takedown defense. However, he picks Moura by decision because Murphy is 41, hasn't fought in 2.5 years, and this is her retirement fight. He is not confident in the line.

decision
"I'm going to pick more here to win by decision, but I just don't see in what world she looks anywhere minus 600."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jul 9, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

The host is hesitant about this pick, noting that he doesn't understand why Moura is such a heavy favorite. He acknowledges Moura's grappling strength but also points out that Murphy has a physicality and striking advantage and could make the fight close. Ultimately, he expects Moura to win bits and pieces of the fight and get her hand raised on the scorecards.

"Mora again, prohibitive favorite. I don't really understand why. Uh she might be strong enough in the grappling realm to really put it on the 42-year-old uh Lauren Murphy, who's also been out of the cage for 2 and 1/2 …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

The MMA Guru picks Eduarda Moura, citing her better grappling entries and fight IQ in knowing when to shoot for takedowns. He heavily criticizes Lauren Murphy's last performance against Jessica Andrade, where she took a record amount of damage and had no answer. He notes Murphy's long layoff and age, and expects Moura to outwrestle and outstrike her for a 30-27 decision.

decision win 30-27
"I'm going to go with Eduardo Mora over Lauren Murphy. Eduardo Mora... I think she's got better grappling entries and I think that's going to be the difference here."
Decision (unanimous) (30–25, 30–25, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · Jan 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jéssica Andrade 0 100 of 293 34% 103 of 296 0 of 15 0% 0 0 0:09
Lauren Murphy 0 231 of 369 62% 237 of 375 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jéssica Andrade 0 22 of 91 24% 24 of 93 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:08
Lauren Murphy 0 61 of 107 57% 62 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jéssica Andrade 0 29 of 95 30% 29 of 95 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:01
Lauren Murphy 0 75 of 121 61% 78 of 124 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
3 Jéssica Andrade 0 49 of 107 45% 50 of 108 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Lauren Murphy 0 95 of 141 67% 97 of 143 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:50
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jéssica Andrade 100 of 293 34% 81 of 268 14 of 19 5 of 6 90 of 276 10 of 17 0 of 0
Lauren Murphy 231 of 369 62% 161 of 292 23 of 27 47 of 50 208 of 338 22 of 30 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jéssica Andrade 22 of 91 24% 17 of 85 5 of 5 0 of 1 22 of 90 0 of 1 0 of 0
Lauren Murphy 61 of 107 57% 31 of 75 3 of 3 27 of 29 58 of 101 3 of 6 0 of 0
2 Jéssica Andrade 29 of 95 30% 21 of 83 6 of 10 2 of 2 23 of 86 6 of 9 0 of 0
Lauren Murphy 75 of 121 61% 52 of 96 12 of 13 11 of 12 62 of 103 12 of 17 1 of 1
3 Jéssica Andrade 49 of 107 45% 43 of 100 3 of 4 3 of 3 45 of 100 4 of 7 0 of 0
Lauren Murphy 95 of 141 67% 78 of 121 8 of 11 9 of 9 88 of 134 7 of 7 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jéssica Andrade

Big Brady picks Andrade with good confidence, noting she has only lost to the best (Valentina, Rose, Zhang, Weili). He is not high on Murphy, calling her lucky and noting she has lost fights that went her way. Andrade is younger, more powerful, has takedown upside, and will pressure with volume. He respects Murphy's toughness and durability, predicting a decision win for Andrade, but won't lay -450.

decision
"I will pick andraj with some pretty pretty good confidence and I'll say she does win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jéssica Andrade

Cody picks Jéssica Andrade confidently, expecting her to smash Lauren Murphy. He notes Andrade's power, aggression, strength, and well-rounded skills. He says Murphy is scrappy but not on Andrade's level, and that Andrade will either finish via guillotine or win a brawl. He warns about women's MMA and big favorites, but thinks Andrade's skill advantage is clear. He also mentions Andrade's cardio is not half bad.

considering Andrade inside the distance at +200; mentions Andrade's guillotine choke
"I think Jessica Andrade should absolutely smash I'm surprised it's jazera fair and still in the organization"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jéssica Andrade

Connor picks Andrade, noting that Murphy is glacially slow and Andrade is much faster and harder hitting. He thinks Andrade's physicality will be too much, even if she can't overpower Murphy in the clinch. Connor also points out that good athletes can take Murphy down, and Andrade is a good athlete.

Connor mentions the odds but does not place a bet.
"Andrade is way faster and way harder hitting. I'm still going to pick Andrade."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jéssica Andrade

Paul picks Jéssica Andrade but with some hesitation. He notes Andrade's power, aggression, and strength, and says Murphy's best version still struggles with Andrade's worst. He mentions Murphy's durability and cardio but thinks Andrade's skill set is superior. He warns about women's MMA and big favorites, and says there is a world where Andrade gets tired. He thinks Andrade wins but wouldn't put a huge bet on her.

mentions Andrade's guillotine choke; says Murphy's durability is a concern
"Jessica and Josh has just got Lauren Murphy Pete everywhere if the fight stays standing Murphy's got that Scrappy striking style which will she'll stand in the pocket and exchange with you it's like Jessica's gonna drive to someone you …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jéssica Andrade

The Guru confidently picks Andrade, saying she 'throws punches like a man' and has finished top competition like Chookagian, Calvillo, and Lemos in the first round. He criticizes Murphy's fighting ability, calling her 'fighting blind.' Despite Murphy doing better against Shevchenko on paper, the Guru sees a clear difference in performance and predicts Andrade will KO Murphy.

KO
"I'm going with Jessica and Raj getting the KO win over Lauren Murphy I don't see Murphy winning this one at all"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jéssica Andrade

Zane picks Andrade but with hesitation. He notes Andrade has made wrong moves lately, regressing to a cautious style, but her physicality, speed, and power should be enough against the slower Murphy. Zane worries about Andrade's approach and Murphy's strength and durability, but believes Andrade is more likely to finish.

Andrade opened at -500, now -491; Murphy opened at +385, now +367. Zane advises staying away from betting on this fight.
"I'm still going to pick Andrade because if one of them's going to finish this fight it's going to be her."
WIN vs Miesha Tate
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · Jul 16, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lauren Murphy 0 102 of 184 55% 128 of 211 2 of 6 33% 0 0 1:18
Miesha Tate 0 85 of 164 51% 121 of 201 0 of 7 0% 0 0 2:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lauren Murphy 0 26 of 48 54% 35 of 57 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:32
Miesha Tate 0 25 of 47 53% 38 of 60 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:04
2 Lauren Murphy 0 38 of 66 57% 53 of 82 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:41
Miesha Tate 0 32 of 55 58% 46 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:00
3 Lauren Murphy 0 38 of 70 54% 40 of 72 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:05
Miesha Tate 0 28 of 62 45% 37 of 72 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lauren Murphy 102 of 184 55% 77 of 154 24 of 29 1 of 1 68 of 142 31 of 39 3 of 3
Miesha Tate 85 of 164 51% 61 of 122 18 of 34 6 of 8 67 of 138 18 of 26 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lauren Murphy 26 of 48 54% 17 of 37 9 of 11 0 of 0 15 of 33 11 of 15 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 25 of 47 53% 12 of 26 10 of 18 3 of 3 16 of 34 9 of 13 0 of 0
2 Lauren Murphy 38 of 66 57% 31 of 57 6 of 8 1 of 1 26 of 52 9 of 11 3 of 3
Miesha Tate 32 of 55 58% 27 of 44 4 of 9 1 of 2 25 of 46 7 of 9 0 of 0
3 Lauren Murphy 38 of 70 54% 29 of 60 9 of 10 0 of 0 27 of 57 11 of 13 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 28 of 62 45% 22 of 52 4 of 7 2 of 3 26 of 58 2 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 10, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Miesha Tate

Angelo picks Miesha Tate but is hesitant due to her flyweight debut. He believes Tate's wrestling and grappling will be key, and that she can avoid being bullied by Murphy. He notes Murphy's losses came via grappling dominance, and assumes Tate will be strong at 125. He is unsure about betting.

unsure about betting
"so i'm gonna go with misha tate here anybody complaining that she's a little old she's 35 she's a younger fighter in this matchup so misha tate one big brother and i think she's gonna win this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Miesha Tate

Big Brady picks Miesha Tate to win by decision. He notes that Tate is the more skilled fighter overall and can get takedowns to control the fight on the mat. He is not impressed by Murphy's wins and thinks the striking will be competitive. He says he would not bet Tate at -220 odds but picks her to win.

decision win; odds comment: minus 220 too high
"i'll take misha tate but minus 220. there's no way i would touch that but gimishita misha tate bye decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Miesha Tate

Cody picks Tate, citing her wrestling advantage, strength, and experience. He notes that Tate has been preparing for this fight for a long time and has been in great shape. He believes Tate's clinch work and takedowns will be too much for Murphy, and that Murphy's only path is to bully Tate, which he doubts she can do.

"i gotta go with cupcake tate i know that you haven't eight minus one five"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Miesha Tate

Daniel Levi leans Miesha Tate but expresses disinterest in the fight. He notes Tate is past her prime and coming off a loss, while Murphy is coming off a title fight loss and has health issues. He considers it a dog-or-pass situation and won't lay the -220 price on Tate.

dog-or-pass; not laying the chalk
"i'll say it's dog or pass at the betting window you know with a price like that i'll lean misha tate"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 13, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Lauren Murphy

Paul leans towards Murphy as an underdog, citing the uncertainty of Tate's weight cut to 125 and the fact that Murphy is a natural 125er. He notes that Murphy has decent striking and could potentially outwork Tate. However, he admits he is not confident and will wait until weigh-ins before betting.

"i think it's a very very clear dogger pass lauren murphy for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Miesha Tate

The MMA Guru picks Miesha Tate over Lauren Murphy, criticizing Murphy's lack of skill and Tate's experience. He believes Tate will win grappling exchanges and has slightly better striking. He predicts a unanimous decision win for Tate, with Tate winning the first two rounds clearly before slowing down due to weight cut.

"i'm gonna go with misha tate here lauren murphy has no idea what she's doing she's terrible at fighting"
TKO (elbows and punches) R4 4:00 · UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · Sep 25, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Valentina Shevchenko 0 98 of 170 57% 132 of 204 3 of 4 75% 0 0 4:04
Lauren Murphy 0 11 of 91 12% 19 of 100 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Valentina Shevchenko 0 20 of 39 51% 24 of 43 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:22
Lauren Murphy 0 3 of 24 12% 3 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Valentina Shevchenko 0 10 of 17 58% 30 of 37 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:13
Lauren Murphy 0 1 of 18 5% 8 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:41
3 Valentina Shevchenko 0 21 of 48 43% 25 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Lauren Murphy 0 5 of 30 16% 6 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Valentina Shevchenko 0 47 of 66 71% 53 of 72 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:12
Lauren Murphy 0 2 of 19 10% 2 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Valentina Shevchenko 98 of 170 57% 62 of 126 19 of 24 17 of 20 72 of 137 6 of 8 20 of 25
Lauren Murphy 11 of 91 12% 4 of 73 3 of 13 4 of 5 11 of 91 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Valentina Shevchenko 20 of 39 51% 9 of 24 5 of 7 6 of 8 19 of 38 1 of 1 0 of 0
Lauren Murphy 3 of 24 12% 2 of 21 0 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Valentina Shevchenko 10 of 17 58% 6 of 13 3 of 3 1 of 1 8 of 14 0 of 0 2 of 3
Lauren Murphy 1 of 18 5% 1 of 15 0 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Valentina Shevchenko 21 of 48 43% 9 of 33 6 of 8 6 of 7 20 of 47 1 of 1 0 of 0
Lauren Murphy 5 of 30 16% 0 of 23 2 of 4 3 of 3 5 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Valentina Shevchenko 47 of 66 71% 38 of 56 5 of 6 4 of 4 25 of 38 4 of 6 18 of 22
Lauren Murphy 2 of 19 10% 1 of 14 1 of 4 0 of 1 2 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Angelo picks Shevchenko, calling her one of the best fighters ever. He highlights her technical striking, grappling, and championship composure. He notes that Murphy's path to victory is narrow and that Shevchenko can win anywhere. Angelo expects a dominant performance.

Angelo suggests less less on Monkey Knife Fight, expecting a finish in round three. He also mentions betting on Shevchenko by stoppage in each round to guarantee profit.
"Valentina will go down as one of the best to ever do it"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Big Brady picks Valentina Shevchenko to win by fourth-round TKO. He believes Shevchenko has every advantage: striking, wrestling, and grappling. He notes Murphy is tough and has never been finished, but she has never faced anyone near Shevchenko's caliber. He expects Shevchenko to find a finish late in the fight.

fourth round tko
"i'm going to take valenciano to finish lauren murphy"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Cody is confident Shevchenko wins anywhere the fight goes, citing her superior kickboxing, speed, footwork, and grappling. He notes Murphy's durability and never being knocked out, but believes Shevchenko's patience and skill will lead to a late stoppage, possibly becoming the first to finish Murphy. He leans over 2.5 rounds due to Murphy's toughness.

over 2.5 rounds (-120), Shevchenko inside the distance
"i think we're all on the same page that she's going to win the fight she can win this fight anywhere she chooses to"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Daniel Levi confidently picks Valentina Shevchenko, stating that Lauren Murphy's toughness and durability are not enough to overcome the massive skill gap. He notes that Murphy has never been finished, but Shevchenko's technique is superior. Levi believes it would take a fluke for Murphy to win, and he expects Shevchenko to win, though he is unsure whether it will be by decision or finish.

"give me valentina i guess the big question is inside the distance or by decision"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Jacob picks Shevchenko, noting she's running out of opponents and should fight Nunes again. He praises her judo and grappling. Jacob is confident Shevchenko wins easily.

Jacob agrees with less less on Monkey Knife Fight. He mentions knockout Kings and might include Shevchenko.
"Chevy's gonna win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2021 (fight day)
Valentina Shevchenko

The host picks Valentina Shevchenko by fourth-round TKO. He believes Shevchenko will eventually set up the crucifix position and finish Murphy. He notes that Murphy is durable and may survive early, but Shevchenko's pressure will increase. He likes the over 2.5 rounds at even money. He thinks Murphy's takedown success will be temporary and Shevchenko will adapt.

Over 2.5 rounds at +100; round 4 prop for Shevchenko
"i'm gonna go with chevchenko and i'm gonna call it fourth round tko"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Paul picks Shevchenko confidently, noting her dominance and the large talent gap. He mentions she could finish inside the distance but also acknowledges she can be patient. He is unsure about betting the moneyline due to the price and considers the over 2.5 rounds, but has no bet yet.

over 2.5 rounds (considering)
"breaking news shevchenko is my pick um i think she wins inside the distance"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

The MMA Guru picks Valentina Shevchenko over Lauren Murphy, citing Shevchenko's vast superiority in all areas. He notes that Murphy is on a five-fight winning streak but lost her last two fights (split decisions) and is 38 years old. He expects Shevchenko to win by second-round crucifix TKO, similar to her fight against Andrade, as Murphy will likely shoot for a takedown and get reversed. He dismisses Murphy's chances entirely.

second round crucifix tko
"second round crucifix tko just like the andraj fight"
WIN vs Joanne Wood
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · Jun 12, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lauren Murphy 0 80 of 148 54% 121 of 195 1 of 6 16% 0 0 4:54
Joanne Wood 0 123 of 228 53% 153 of 259 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lauren Murphy 0 29 of 57 50% 40 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:39
Joanne Wood 0 55 of 97 56% 64 of 106 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Lauren Murphy 0 16 of 22 72% 43 of 54 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:15
Joanne Wood 0 9 of 17 52% 26 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Lauren Murphy 0 35 of 69 50% 38 of 72 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Joanne Wood 0 59 of 114 51% 63 of 118 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lauren Murphy 80 of 148 54% 66 of 131 14 of 17 0 of 0 55 of 119 10 of 13 15 of 16
Joanne Wood 123 of 228 53% 62 of 137 30 of 41 31 of 50 99 of 201 23 of 25 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lauren Murphy 29 of 57 50% 25 of 51 4 of 6 0 of 0 26 of 52 3 of 5 0 of 0
Joanne Wood 55 of 97 56% 22 of 50 16 of 22 17 of 25 43 of 85 12 of 12 0 of 0
2 Lauren Murphy 16 of 22 72% 14 of 20 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 15 of 16
Joanne Wood 9 of 17 52% 4 of 9 1 of 3 4 of 5 8 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 2
3 Lauren Murphy 35 of 69 50% 27 of 60 8 of 9 0 of 0 28 of 61 7 of 8 0 of 0
Joanne Wood 59 of 114 51% 36 of 78 13 of 16 10 of 20 48 of 101 11 of 13 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 8, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Big Brady picks Joanne Wood, citing her significant striking volume and accuracy advantage. He is concerned about Wood's takedown defense (58%) and the possibility of Murphy grinding out rounds with control time. He expects a competitive fight but ultimately sees Wood out-striking Murphy to a decision win.

Wood by decision
"i will ultimately take jojo calderwood to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Lauren Murphy

Cody leans towards Murphy as an underdog, citing her strength, grit, and takedown ability. He thinks she can grind out a decision if she mixes in takedowns. He notes Calderwood's tendency to fall apart in big spots and her poor takedown defense.

"lauren murphy plus 130 is where i would attack this"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jun 10, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Lauren Murphy

Daniel Levi picks Lauren Murphy for the upset, citing her toughness and will to win. He acknowledges Joanne Wood is more talented but inconsistent. He notes Murphy's takedowns have improved and that Wood has a history of poor performances. He expects a close fight and thinks Murphy's durability and pressure will edge out a split decision.

split decision
"i'll go with lauren murphy for the upset"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2021 (fight day)
Joanne Wood

Wood is faster and a better striker, with superior Muay Thai and combinations. Murphy is stronger and may try to clinch, but Wood should outstrike her at range. Murphy doesn't take damage well, and Wood's speed should allow her to land cleanly. Wood likely wins a decision, though Murphy's strength is a slight concern.

Wood by decision
"I do like Joanne Wood again I think she's a little bit better all around... I do have some solid confidence in Joanne Wood to go out there and outstrike Lauren Murphy for the majority of 15 minutes and take …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Paul picks Calderwood but is not betting it. He thinks Calderwood's striking and reach advantage will be key, and that she can keep the fight standing and outpoint Murphy. He acknowledges Murphy's toughness but believes Calderwood's technical skills will prevail.

"the official pick is going to be joanne calderwood but from a betting perspective i think i'm just looking to pass"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood, stating she looks technically sound with good knees in the clinch, while Murphy does not look good technically. He notes Wood's recent performance against Jessica Eye and believes Wood's technical edge will be decisive. He dismisses Murphy's wins as unimpressive.

"i'm going with joanne calderwood i've watched the pair of them fight"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 3:31 · UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · Oct 24, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lauren Murphy 0 22 of 85 25% 32 of 96 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:10
Liliya Shakirova 0 23 of 75 30% 27 of 80 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lauren Murphy 0 12 of 48 25% 18 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Liliya Shakirova 0 15 of 47 31% 16 of 48 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:29
2 Lauren Murphy 0 10 of 37 27% 14 of 42 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:05
Liliya Shakirova 0 8 of 28 28% 11 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lauren Murphy 22 of 85 25% 16 of 78 6 of 7 0 of 0 12 of 72 8 of 11 2 of 2
Liliya Shakirova 23 of 75 30% 7 of 45 7 of 17 9 of 13 23 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lauren Murphy 12 of 48 25% 10 of 46 2 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 41 5 of 7 0 of 0
Liliya Shakirova 15 of 47 31% 4 of 27 6 of 12 5 of 8 15 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Lauren Murphy 10 of 37 27% 6 of 32 4 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 31 3 of 4 2 of 2
Liliya Shakirova 8 of 28 28% 3 of 18 1 of 5 4 of 5 8 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 20, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Lauren Murphy

Big Brady picks Lauren Murphy but is hesitant due to the unpredictability of women's MMA. He notes Murphy's experience against better competition and good takedown defense, but acknowledges Shakirova looks decent on tape. He predicts a decision win.

decision
"give me laura murphy by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Lauren Murphy

Daniel Levi picks Lauren Murphy confidently, noting her transformation under a new doctor and her recent knockout wins. He believes Shakirova is a talented newcomer but is outclassed and outsized, and that Murphy's pressure and clinch work will be too much. He expects a unanimous decision or a TKO stoppage.

Most likely unanimous decision but a TKO stoppage wouldn't surprise
"i'm gonna go with lord murphy most likely unanimous decision but a tko stoppage somewhere along the way won't surprise me either"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Oct 19, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Lauren Murphy

The host picks Lauren Murphy but is not confident, citing her experience, volume, and physicality. He notes that Shakirova is making her UFC debut on short notice and may struggle with the step up in competition. He sees value on Shakirova if she is a big dog.

Murphy by decision
"i'm going murphy here uh not the most confident in it either"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Lauren Murphy

The MMA Guru picks Lauren Murphy to win, noting that Shakirova is taking the fight on short notice and has lost to a fighter with a 4-4 record. He respects Murphy's technical fighting style and believes she will get the job done.

"i'm gonna go with lauren murphy getting it done mostly because lilia shakira... is taking it on short notice"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Volkov · Jun 20, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lauren Murphy 0 44 of 174 25% 71 of 206 0 of 1 0% 0 1 4:08
Roxanne Modafferi 0 72 of 158 45% 92 of 178 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:53
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lauren Murphy 0 12 of 54 22% 18 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:14
Roxanne Modafferi 0 19 of 48 39% 22 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Lauren Murphy 0 10 of 45 22% 20 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:44
Roxanne Modafferi 0 23 of 48 47% 36 of 61 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:35
3 Lauren Murphy 0 22 of 75 29% 33 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:10
Roxanne Modafferi 0 30 of 62 48% 34 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lauren Murphy 44 of 174 25% 34 of 152 5 of 15 5 of 7 39 of 163 5 of 11 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 72 of 158 45% 46 of 127 8 of 12 18 of 19 65 of 150 3 of 3 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lauren Murphy 12 of 54 22% 9 of 46 1 of 5 2 of 3 11 of 51 1 of 3 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 19 of 48 39% 11 of 36 0 of 4 8 of 8 19 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Lauren Murphy 10 of 45 22% 8 of 37 2 of 7 0 of 1 9 of 41 1 of 4 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 23 of 48 47% 13 of 37 5 of 5 5 of 6 18 of 42 3 of 3 2 of 3
3 Lauren Murphy 22 of 75 29% 17 of 69 2 of 3 3 of 3 19 of 71 3 of 4 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 30 of 62 48% 22 of 54 3 of 3 5 of 5 28 of 60 0 of 0 2 of 2
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 17, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Lauren Murphy

Big Brady favors Lauren Murphy to win by decision, believing she can stuff Roxanne Modafferi's takedowns and out-strike her on the feet. He notes Murphy's strong takedown defense and ability to get back up if taken down. He acknowledges Modafferi's recent wins as an underdog but thinks Murphy is the better striker and will land more shots.

odds: Modafferi minus 120, Murphy plus 100; pick by decision
"I do favor Murphy to win here I think she's going to be able to stuff the takedowns of Roxanne"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Lauren Murphy

Daniel Levi picks Lauren Murphy, arguing that Modafferi is one-dimensional and relies on takedowns. He believes Murphy's improved aggression and takedown defense will be key. Levi notes that Murphy looked great against Andrea Lee and should be a slight favorite, not an underdog. He expects a close decision win for Murphy.

"My pick will be Lauren Murphy in this spot as well."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Roxanne Modafferi

Modafferi has better grappling and a reach advantage. She was winning against Barber before the injury. Murphy hasn't shown much. Modafferi will win by decision.

"I'm gonna go over rocks and mowed a ferry here the odds are really close and I don't understand why... motor ferry gets it done by decision"
WIN vs Andrea Lee
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · Feb 08, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lauren Murphy 0 80 of 197 40% 107 of 228 2 of 4 50% 0 1 2:31
Andrea Lee 0 104 of 267 38% 107 of 271 0 of 3 0% 1 0 0:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lauren Murphy 0 32 of 80 40% 33 of 82 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:29
Andrea Lee 0 43 of 104 41% 44 of 106 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
2 Lauren Murphy 0 33 of 73 45% 41 of 84 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:22
Andrea Lee 0 38 of 103 36% 39 of 104 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Lauren Murphy 0 15 of 44 34% 33 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:40
Andrea Lee 0 23 of 60 38% 24 of 61 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lauren Murphy 80 of 197 40% 70 of 181 9 of 15 1 of 1 75 of 190 5 of 7 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 104 of 267 38% 51 of 194 34 of 51 19 of 22 99 of 261 4 of 5 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lauren Murphy 32 of 80 40% 28 of 74 4 of 6 0 of 0 31 of 77 1 of 3 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 43 of 104 41% 18 of 74 16 of 20 9 of 10 41 of 101 1 of 2 1 of 1
2 Lauren Murphy 33 of 73 45% 30 of 68 2 of 4 1 of 1 31 of 71 2 of 2 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 38 of 103 36% 21 of 77 11 of 20 6 of 6 38 of 103 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Lauren Murphy 15 of 44 34% 12 of 39 3 of 5 0 of 0 13 of 42 2 of 2 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 23 of 60 38% 12 of 43 7 of 11 4 of 6 20 of 57 3 of 3 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Andrea Lee

Daniel Levi picks Andrea Lee by decision, stating she is the better striker with more volume. He notes that Lauren Murphy has improved but still has a basic fighting style. He warns against betting at -365, but expects Lee to win a decision, possibly with close rounds.

I ain't laying -365 to find out
"I'm gonna go with Andrea Lee by decision but I would be very careful at the betting window"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

The host picks Andrea Lee by decision, citing her speed, striking, and improved grappling. He believes she is the quicker fighter and can outpoint Lauren Murphy, though he is not willing to bet her straight at -340. He considers her as a parlay piece with Jon Jones.

Lee by decision, considered as parlay piece with Jones
"I like and really here I think that she you know how to strike Lauren Murphy take it to the ground if she needs to I think if she does get caught up against the fence she'll have a decent …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

The MMA Guru picks Andrea Lee because she is younger, more technical, and will light up Lauren Murphy with combinations on the feet. He notes Murphy's questionable losses and expects Lee to win a unanimous decision.

unanimous decision win
"I'm gonna go with and really both girls similar-sized Laura Murphy a bit chunkier I feel like this fight is gonna take place on the feet and really younger in the game a little bit more technical I think she's …"
Joanne Wood - Fight History
WIN vs Maryna Moroz
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · Mar 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanne Wood 0 136 of 249 54% 173 of 290 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:12
Maryna Moroz 0 102 of 195 52% 156 of 255 1 of 2 50% 0 0 6:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanne Wood 0 4 of 9 44% 21 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maryna Moroz 0 5 of 7 71% 50 of 58 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:35
2 Joanne Wood 0 58 of 109 53% 75 of 129 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Maryna Moroz 0 45 of 81 55% 52 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:29
3 Joanne Wood 0 74 of 131 56% 77 of 134 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:08
Maryna Moroz 0 52 of 107 48% 54 of 109 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanne Wood 136 of 249 54% 74 of 175 39 of 45 23 of 29 112 of 216 23 of 31 1 of 2
Maryna Moroz 102 of 195 52% 79 of 160 23 of 33 0 of 2 79 of 169 19 of 22 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanne Wood 4 of 9 44% 2 of 4 1 of 2 1 of 3 3 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
Maryna Moroz 5 of 7 71% 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 4
2 Joanne Wood 58 of 109 53% 30 of 76 21 of 24 7 of 9 45 of 90 13 of 19 0 of 0
Maryna Moroz 45 of 81 55% 34 of 67 11 of 14 0 of 0 34 of 67 11 of 14 0 of 0
3 Joanne Wood 74 of 131 56% 42 of 95 17 of 19 15 of 17 64 of 118 10 of 12 0 of 1
Maryna Moroz 52 of 107 48% 41 of 87 11 of 18 0 of 2 44 of 99 8 of 8 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Angelo leans toward Joanne Wood as a dog, noting she is a technical striker with solid fight IQ and has only lost to ranked fighters. He thinks she can grind out a decision by getting the fight to the cage. He is wary of her age (38) and slowing down, but believes the odds on Moroz are too wide given Wood's experience.

If line moves further, might throw a couple dollars on Wood as a dog.
"I'm going to lean the vet here I'm going to lean Joanne wood I'm going to pick her as a dog obviously she's 38 she's slowing down she is past her prime past her Peak but I think she can …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Big Brady picks Maryna Moroz to win by second-round submission. He notes that Moroz has improved her wrestling and striking since her debut, and that Joanne Wood has been submitted five times in her career, including by Moroz in their first fight. He believes Moroz can get the fight to the mat and tap Wood out, though he acknowledges that Moroz doesn't wrestle often.

win by second round submission
"give me a marina marose I'll take her to win by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Cody thinks Wood is being undervalued as a +190 underdog. He notes that Moroz has poor striking volume and has been taken down in recent fights, while Wood has good volume, clinch work, and takedowns. He expects Wood to win a close decision.

Wood by decision (+325), fight goes to split decision
"I think she comes out and she wins"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Daniel picks Moroz but has no confidence. He notes Moroz has good takedowns and if she uses them, she will win. However, she has not attempted takedowns in her last two fights. If it becomes a standup fight, it could go to a split decision. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.

"I'll pick marose but you know pick and bet are two different things"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 4, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Moroz is a solid striker but does her best work when she implements a grapple-heavy approach, controlling from top position and doing damage. She was successful in their first meeting via armbar submission. However, Moroz has been inconsistent and the -225 line is a bit wide for me to trust completely. If she is dialed in and uses her grappling, she should overwhelm the aging Joanne Wood. I expect Moroz to push the pace, drag the fight to the ground, and win by decision.

Moroz by decision
"minus 225 is a little bit wide for me as it's been difficult to completely trust marose to go out there and Implement her effective style uh but if she does she should look the minus 225 so give me …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

Paul initially leans toward Moroz by submission, noting she submitted Wood in their first fight. However, he acknowledges that Wood has improved her wrestling and that Moroz's recent form is poor. He ultimately passes on betting but notes the submission prop has moved from +400 to +220.

Moroz by submission (+220)
"marose by sub is what has my eyeballs"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Mar 5, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Maryna Moroz

The MMA Guru acknowledges this is a tricky fight, noting that Joanne Calderwood has a skill advantage on the feet but is 38 years old. He believes Maryna Moroz's grappling and takedown ability will be the deciding factor, as she is younger and can implement takedowns to sway close rounds. He expresses hesitation but ultimately sides with Moroz due to her grappling edge.

"I'm actually going to take Marina Rodriguez to implement takedowns here and I think that just being able to get takedowns in women's MMA is really going to drastically affect scoring"
Decision (split) (28–29, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanne Wood 0 131 of 228 57% 177 of 278 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:50
Luana Carolina 0 100 of 199 50% 123 of 222 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanne Wood 0 38 of 62 61% 55 of 79 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:32
Luana Carolina 0 38 of 65 58% 42 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
2 Joanne Wood 0 33 of 60 55% 56 of 87 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:07
Luana Carolina 0 24 of 53 45% 33 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
3 Joanne Wood 0 60 of 106 56% 66 of 112 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:11
Luana Carolina 0 38 of 81 46% 48 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanne Wood 131 of 228 57% 61 of 142 46 of 53 24 of 33 84 of 177 46 of 50 1 of 1
Luana Carolina 100 of 199 50% 55 of 144 34 of 40 11 of 15 75 of 165 25 of 34 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanne Wood 38 of 62 61% 13 of 32 17 of 20 8 of 10 20 of 42 18 of 20 0 of 0
Luana Carolina 38 of 65 58% 15 of 38 16 of 19 7 of 8 25 of 50 13 of 15 0 of 0
2 Joanne Wood 33 of 60 55% 16 of 39 8 of 10 9 of 11 21 of 48 11 of 11 1 of 1
Luana Carolina 24 of 53 45% 14 of 40 9 of 11 1 of 2 18 of 44 6 of 9 0 of 0
3 Joanne Wood 60 of 106 56% 32 of 71 21 of 23 7 of 12 43 of 87 17 of 19 0 of 0
Luana Carolina 38 of 81 46% 26 of 66 9 of 10 3 of 5 32 of 71 6 of 10 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Angelo thinks Joanne Wood should win because she is better everywhere and has faced elite competition. He notes her losses are to champions and title contenders. He placed a half-unit bet on her at -150 three weeks ago and got good closing value. He is concerned about Wood's motivation and age but still expects her to win.

bet placed at -150, now -190
"I do think Joanne wood wins this fight three weeks ago I threw a half a unit on her at minus 150."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Big Brady picks Joanne Wood but with low confidence, noting she has looked like she doesn't want to be there recently. He acknowledges Wood's losses are to elite competition, and she should win this fight due to volume striking and Carolina's lack of takedowns. However, he is scared by Wood's recent performances and will not bet this fight.

will not bet this fight
"do I have confidence in Wood no ... but she better win this fight man"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Cody picks Wood reluctantly, noting her experience and technical Muay Thai. He thinks Carolina's takedown defense is poor and Wood can take her down if needed. He acknowledges Wood's durability and motivation are questions at 37, but believes Carolina is there to be beaten. He says he's likely screwed betting women's MMA but picks Wood.

"I will have to take Joanne wood reluctantly not reluctantly because I don't want to reluctantly because I know as soon as I bet an MMA women's MMA spot I'm likely screwed"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Connor picks Wood but is very hesitant, acknowledging her recent mental and physical decline. He believes she should win against a fighter as limited as Carolina, but he doubts Wood's current mindset. He notes that Wood has never been knocked out and has the tools to win if she fights on the front foot.

"I'm gonna stick with a desperation pick for Wood of like you should not lose to a fighter this bad."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Jacob sees this as a very close fight and is staying away. He thinks both fighters have similar styles and it will likely go to a split decision. He notes Luana Carolina could come on strong late and that Joanne Wood's motivation is questionable. He might bet on a split decision prop but is not picking a winner.

split decision prop considered
"I wouldn't pick either side on this I think it's sloppy I think it's back and forth I think it's close comes down to the judges."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Wood is on a three-fight losing streak but those losses came against top competition (Santos, Grasso). She is a solid striker with good footwork, output, and elbows. Carolina is a decent striker but her wins are questionable and she was knocked out by Molly McCann. Wood should be the better technical striker and outwork Carolina over three rounds, possibly mixing in elbows. Carolina's takedowns are not expected to be a threat.

"I think wood will shuck off the inevitable takedowns that are coming our way and she will get back to that game that just has made her so successful in the UFC which is cardio footwork output and throwing in …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Paul picks Wood, but his favorite prop is over 63.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks. He thinks the fight goes 15 minutes and Wood lands well over that number. He says Wood by decision is likely but the moneyline is better than the decision prop. He notes Wood's recent losses were to elite competition and she should handle Carolina.

Joanne Wood over 63.5 significant strikes (PrizePicks)
"on prize picks they've got a promo code dop they got 65 or 63.5 significant strikes love that prop that's like my my favorite prop this week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood over Luana Carolina, calling it a 'no-brainer' despite the unpredictability of women's MMA. He notes Wood has lost only to top competition like Grasso, Santos, and Murphy, while Carolina lost to Molly McCann who is not elite. He acknowledges Wood's jiu-jitsu vulnerabilities but believes her striking and experience will carry her to a decision win.

"I'll go with Joanne Calderwood I guess because Luana Carolina lost a Molly McCann"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Zane picks Carolina as a gut pick, citing Wood's psychological fragility. He notes that Wood has looked increasingly flinchy and prone to giving up, while Carolina is scrappy and has shown resilience. Zane believes Carolina's pressure and clinch work could break Wood's will, even though Carolina is technically inferior.

"I'm kind of making a gut pick."
LOSS vs Alexa Grasso
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 3:57 · UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · Mar 26, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexa Grasso 0 34 of 49 69% 61 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joanne Wood 0 16 of 28 57% 50 of 65 2 of 2 100% 1 0 2:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexa Grasso 0 34 of 49 69% 61 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joanne Wood 0 16 of 28 57% 50 of 65 2 of 2 100% 1 0 2:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexa Grasso 34 of 49 69% 22 of 33 4 of 6 8 of 10 32 of 44 0 of 3 2 of 2
Joanne Wood 16 of 28 57% 13 of 25 0 of 0 3 of 3 13 of 24 2 of 3 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexa Grasso 34 of 49 69% 22 of 33 4 of 6 8 of 10 32 of 44 0 of 3 2 of 2
Joanne Wood 16 of 28 57% 13 of 25 0 of 0 3 of 3 13 of 24 2 of 3 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Angelo picks Joanne Wood as a pretty big underdog. He thinks the books are not giving her enough credit. He notes that while Alexa Grasso is undefeated at 125, Wood has only fought top competition and is incredibly well-rounded. He believes Grasso cannot bully or knock out Wood like her previous opponents did.

"i like joanne in this fight she is a pretty big underdog i'm probably gonna shoot my shot"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Big Brady picks Joanne Wood as an underdog, believing the line is too wide. He argues that Wood has excellent volume (6.71 significant strikes per minute) and can mix in takedowns, while Grasso has poor takedown defense (60%) and has been taken down by wrestlers like Suarez and Esparza. He notes that Wood's last loss was to Talia Santos, who is a beast, and that Wood looked good before that, including a win over Jessica Eye. He admits Wood might be washed but thinks the line is off.

"I'm actually going to take the dog here... I think this line's like wide wide wide so I'm going to take uh the dog here in joanne wood."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Alexa Grasso

Cody leans Grasso but acknowledges Wood's volume striking and durability. He notes Wood's technical boxing is poor and she gets hit clean, while Grasso lands sharper shots. He mentions Wood's recent losses and age, but thinks the fight could be close. He expects Grasso to win but not confidently.

"i would think grosso probably a little stronger in the clinch up against the cage"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Alexa Grasso

Daniel Levi picks Alexa Grasso, emphasizing her improvement since moving up to flyweight, faster hands, and growing confidence. He notes Joanne Wood is hot-and-cold and may have mentally checked out after losing her title shot. He expects Grasso to win but cautions that the line at -235 is steep, and the fight could be a close decision due to poor judging. He suggests betting Grasso only if under -200.

Grasso by decision, under -200 is a play
"I got to have not just the faster hands of grasshopper but the confidence... you got to favor grasso"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Alexa Grasso

The host picks Grasso but is not confident, citing her lack of finishing ability and the possibility of a close decision. He notes Wood's volume could sway judges if Grasso doesn't land significant strikes. He prefers the 'fight goes to decision' prop over the moneyline.

fight goes to decision at -250; Grasso by decision at -115
"i'm still picking rosso to win she should win this fight but i think the odds are just a little bit too wide on this spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Alexa Grasso

Paul picks Grasso but doesn't love the price. He thinks Wood's volume striking and front kicks could cause problems, but Grasso has improved her grappling and is younger. He sees the fight as close and competitive, possibly a split decision. He wouldn't fault someone for taking Wood as an underdog.

"i'm gonna pick grasso in this spot but i don't love it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Alexa Grasso

The MMA Guru picks Alexa Grasso over Joanne Wood, calling Grasso a much better boxer with superior hands, defense, footwork, and chin at this stage. He notes Wood's recent KO loss and quick turnaround, and believes Grasso will get a submission win, possibly a d'arce choke, after hurting Wood on the feet. The Guru acknowledges Wood's volume could be a factor but trusts Grasso's technical edge.

submission win
"i'm gonna go with alexa grazo here"
LOSS vs Taila Santos
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 4:49 · UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · Nov 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Taila Santos 0 27 of 68 39% 30 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joanne Wood 2 30 of 60 50% 36 of 67 0 of 0 --- 2 0 1:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Taila Santos 0 27 of 68 39% 30 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joanne Wood 2 30 of 60 50% 36 of 67 0 of 0 --- 2 0 1:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Taila Santos 27 of 68 39% 8 of 36 3 of 7 16 of 25 26 of 67 1 of 1 0 of 0
Joanne Wood 30 of 60 50% 21 of 46 3 of 7 6 of 7 19 of 42 0 of 0 11 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Taila Santos 27 of 68 39% 8 of 36 3 of 7 16 of 25 26 of 67 1 of 1 0 of 0
Joanne Wood 30 of 60 50% 21 of 46 3 of 7 6 of 7 19 of 42 0 of 0 11 of 18
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Taila Santos

Angelo picks Taila Santos, saying she is better than Joanne Wood everywhere. He notes Taila's power, athleticism, and willingness to mix in takedowns, while Wood is technical but less powerful. He expects Taila to cruise to a decision win, though Wood is tough and could make it competitive. He does not bet due to high DraftKings price (9200) and expects a decision.

DraftKings prices: Santos 9200, Wood 7000; monkey knife fight more/more
"tyler's definitely the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Taila Santos

Big Brady picks Taila Santos confidently, stating the line is accurate and could be wider. He highlights Santos' phenomenal wrestling and grappling, noting she controlled top grapplers like Jillian Robertson and Roxy Modafferi for long periods. He points out Joanne Wood's 63% takedown defense and age (35), and believes Santos will dominate with takedowns and control. He predicts a one-sided decision.

win by decision
"give me santos to win by a very dominated one-sided decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Nov 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Taila Santos

Cody picks Taila Santos but strongly dislikes the -380 price. He acknowledges Santos's wrestling and grinding style should neutralize Wood's Muay Thai, but he questions the level of competition Santos has faced. He notes that Wood has fought the division's best and has better striking volume. Cody believes Santos wins via grinding against the cage and takedowns, but he would not bet her straight up at that price; he might include her in parlays lower down.

Cody mentions that if he were betting straight up, he might put a little on Wood, but for parlays he will use Santos. He says the line is out of proportion and he doesn't fully buy into it.
"i just don't agree with the price tag i mean if i was betting straight up fights i might be inclined to maybe put a you know what do they call it a little bit of chedda a little bit …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Taila Santos

Daniel Levi picks Taila Santos confidently, citing her recent improvements and physicality. He notes that Santos has been looking better each fight, with strong muay Thai and takedown ability. He questions Joanne Wood's mental state, suggesting she may not be fully committed after getting married. Levi believes Santos will be stronger, more physical, and hungrier, and that Wood has a history of being broken mentally.

"i think we're seeing the best tyler santos... i'm not sure mentally that she's still in it like she once was"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Taila Santos

Lock is high on Santos, noting she looked much better in her second UFC fight. He thinks Santos has a grappling advantage and will land takedowns consistently. He also mentions Wood's distractions (recent marriage, talk of retirement) and that she struggles off her back. Lock expects Santos to win by decision at -135.

Taila Santos by decision -135, Joanne Wood by decision +400 (hedge)
"I think tyler santos is the [__] man a lot of people are just dragging her through the mud because of that loss in her ufc debut."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Taila Santos

Paul argues that if you think Santos will win, the price shouldn't scare you off. He believes Santos's wrestling and strength advantage will allow her to grind Wood against the cage and render her Muay Thai useless. He thinks Santos wins at least 6-7 out of 10 times, which justifies the -380 line. He criticizes the mentality of flipping a pick based on odds and sticks with Santos as the winner.

"if someone came up to me with just a bout sheet there's no odds right it's just about cheap 12 fights and said who do you think is going to win well i would circle taylor santos"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood as an underdog over Taila Santos. He argues that Santos's stand-up is not great and she hasn't dominated on the ground against top competition. He highlights Wood's experience against top flyweights, including wins over Lauren Murphy and Andrea Lee, and argues she was robbed in some losses. He expects Wood to outland Santos on the feet and win by unanimous decision (30-27).

"i'm going to go with joanne caudle as a cowderwood as an underdog here"
LOSS vs Lauren Murphy
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · Jun 12, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lauren Murphy 0 80 of 148 54% 121 of 195 1 of 6 16% 0 0 4:54
Joanne Wood 0 123 of 228 53% 153 of 259 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lauren Murphy 0 29 of 57 50% 40 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:39
Joanne Wood 0 55 of 97 56% 64 of 106 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Lauren Murphy 0 16 of 22 72% 43 of 54 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:15
Joanne Wood 0 9 of 17 52% 26 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Lauren Murphy 0 35 of 69 50% 38 of 72 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Joanne Wood 0 59 of 114 51% 63 of 118 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lauren Murphy 80 of 148 54% 66 of 131 14 of 17 0 of 0 55 of 119 10 of 13 15 of 16
Joanne Wood 123 of 228 53% 62 of 137 30 of 41 31 of 50 99 of 201 23 of 25 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lauren Murphy 29 of 57 50% 25 of 51 4 of 6 0 of 0 26 of 52 3 of 5 0 of 0
Joanne Wood 55 of 97 56% 22 of 50 16 of 22 17 of 25 43 of 85 12 of 12 0 of 0
2 Lauren Murphy 16 of 22 72% 14 of 20 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 15 of 16
Joanne Wood 9 of 17 52% 4 of 9 1 of 3 4 of 5 8 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 2
3 Lauren Murphy 35 of 69 50% 27 of 60 8 of 9 0 of 0 28 of 61 7 of 8 0 of 0
Joanne Wood 59 of 114 51% 36 of 78 13 of 16 10 of 20 48 of 101 11 of 13 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 8, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Big Brady picks Joanne Wood, citing her significant striking volume and accuracy advantage. He is concerned about Wood's takedown defense (58%) and the possibility of Murphy grinding out rounds with control time. He expects a competitive fight but ultimately sees Wood out-striking Murphy to a decision win.

Wood by decision
"i will ultimately take jojo calderwood to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Lauren Murphy

Cody leans towards Murphy as an underdog, citing her strength, grit, and takedown ability. He thinks she can grind out a decision if she mixes in takedowns. He notes Calderwood's tendency to fall apart in big spots and her poor takedown defense.

"lauren murphy plus 130 is where i would attack this"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jun 10, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Lauren Murphy

Daniel Levi picks Lauren Murphy for the upset, citing her toughness and will to win. He acknowledges Joanne Wood is more talented but inconsistent. He notes Murphy's takedowns have improved and that Wood has a history of poor performances. He expects a close fight and thinks Murphy's durability and pressure will edge out a split decision.

split decision
"i'll go with lauren murphy for the upset"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2021 (fight day)
Joanne Wood

Wood is faster and a better striker, with superior Muay Thai and combinations. Murphy is stronger and may try to clinch, but Wood should outstrike her at range. Murphy doesn't take damage well, and Wood's speed should allow her to land cleanly. Wood likely wins a decision, though Murphy's strength is a slight concern.

Wood by decision
"I do like Joanne Wood again I think she's a little bit better all around... I do have some solid confidence in Joanne Wood to go out there and outstrike Lauren Murphy for the majority of 15 minutes and take …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Paul picks Calderwood but is not betting it. He thinks Calderwood's striking and reach advantage will be key, and that she can keep the fight standing and outpoint Murphy. He acknowledges Murphy's toughness but believes Calderwood's technical skills will prevail.

"the official pick is going to be joanne calderwood but from a betting perspective i think i'm just looking to pass"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood, stating she looks technically sound with good knees in the clinch, while Murphy does not look good technically. He notes Wood's recent performance against Jessica Eye and believes Wood's technical edge will be decisive. He dismisses Murphy's wins as unimpressive.

"i'm going with joanne calderwood i've watched the pair of them fight"
WIN vs Jessica Eye
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor 2 · Jan 24, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanne Wood 0 77 of 173 44% 104 of 218 1 of 4 25% 0 0 5:03
Jessica Eye 0 148 of 240 61% 214 of 319 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanne Wood 0 30 of 56 53% 41 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:01
Jessica Eye 0 48 of 81 59% 69 of 104 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Joanne Wood 0 37 of 87 42% 44 of 95 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:34
Jessica Eye 0 65 of 113 57% 81 of 137 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:01
3 Joanne Wood 0 10 of 30 33% 19 of 51 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:28
Jessica Eye 0 35 of 46 76% 64 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanne Wood 77 of 173 44% 39 of 127 35 of 41 3 of 5 44 of 132 32 of 40 1 of 1
Jessica Eye 148 of 240 61% 52 of 122 53 of 62 43 of 56 113 of 198 35 of 42 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanne Wood 30 of 56 53% 16 of 41 14 of 14 0 of 1 13 of 37 17 of 19 0 of 0
Jessica Eye 48 of 81 59% 18 of 43 16 of 20 14 of 18 37 of 65 11 of 16 0 of 0
2 Joanne Wood 37 of 87 42% 21 of 67 13 of 16 3 of 4 28 of 73 8 of 13 1 of 1
Jessica Eye 65 of 113 57% 22 of 59 24 of 28 19 of 26 53 of 99 12 of 14 0 of 0
3 Joanne Wood 10 of 30 33% 2 of 19 8 of 11 0 of 0 3 of 22 7 of 8 0 of 0
Jessica Eye 35 of 46 76% 12 of 20 13 of 14 10 of 12 23 of 34 12 of 12 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jan 21, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Big Brady picks Joanne Wood (Calderwood) by decision, citing her high output (6.17 significant strikes per minute) and takedown ability. He is hesitant because Wood lost her last fight via submission, and he is not betting on her. He expects a close decision and thinks the fight likely goes to decision.

goes to decision
"i'm going to say calderwood gets it done by decision um i mean i can almost guarantee this goes to decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jessica Eye

Daniel Levi picks Jessica Eye, citing her superior resume with wins over top competition like Katlyn Chookagian and Viviane Araujo. He criticizes Joanne Wood for folding in big fights and being mentally fragile. Levi believes Eye's athleticism and health improvements will lead to a win, possibly by decision.

"i'm going jessica i hear your decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jessica Eye

This is a close fight between two mid-tier flyweights. Eye has good boxing and combinations, and she is not afraid to trade. Wood has volume but lacks power. Eye's durability and willingness to exchange should give her an edge. I think Eye lands the more significant strikes and wins a close decision. At plus money, there is value.

"I'm going with Jessica Eye to win this fight via decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Jan 17, 2021 (7 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood (Calderwood) to win a close decision, expecting a stand-up fight. He believes Wood's kicking game will be the difference against Jessica Eye's boxing-oriented style. He notes that both fighters are past their prime but gives Wood the edge due to her variety of kicks (leg kicks, knees, head kicks). He does not see either fighter going to the ground and predicts Wood edges every round.

"joanne caldwell is pretty good on the feet she mixes in a lot of kicks i think that's going to be the difference here against a more boxing orientated style"
LOSS vs Jennifer Maia
Submission (armbar) R1 4:29 · UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · Aug 01, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jennifer Maia 0 26 of 49 53% 33 of 57 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:11
Joanne Wood 0 20 of 37 54% 31 of 49 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jennifer Maia 0 26 of 49 53% 33 of 57 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:11
Joanne Wood 0 20 of 37 54% 31 of 49 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jennifer Maia 26 of 49 53% 6 of 25 9 of 9 11 of 15 24 of 45 0 of 1 2 of 3
Joanne Wood 20 of 37 54% 16 of 32 3 of 4 1 of 1 18 of 35 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jennifer Maia 26 of 49 53% 6 of 25 9 of 9 11 of 15 24 of 45 0 of 1 2 of 3
Joanne Wood 20 of 37 54% 16 of 32 3 of 4 1 of 1 18 of 35 2 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 28, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Big Brady picks Joanne Calderwood (Joanne Wood) to win by decision. He thinks she is the better overall fighter with higher volume striking and improved ground game. He notes that her striking should be sharp because she was preparing to fight Valentina Shevchenko. However, he expresses caution due to recent poor luck betting on women's MMA fights.

"i do like calderwood in this fight quite a bit i think she's a better fighter overall"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Joanne Wood

Daniel picks Joanne Wood, citing her higher output and well-roundedness. He notes that she doesn't have to worry about takedown threats from Maia and should outland her with kicks and volume. He expects a decision win.

decision
"i think joanne's probably gonna win as long as she shows up i feel like she's got so much more output than jennifer maya"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 29, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

The host picks Joanne Wood, citing her evolution in mixing wrestling with striking, and notes that Jennifer Maia has poor get-up game when taken down, as seen in the Alexis Davis fight. He believes Wood will take Maia down and grind out a decision, despite Maia having a slight edge in pure Muay Thai. He also mentions Wood's training at Syndicate MMA and her motivation for a title shot.

"i am gonna go with jojo to win here um -160 again not a bad price tag"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jul 26, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

The host picks Joanne Calderwood (Joanne Wood) but expresses hesitation, noting that neither fighter has beaten elite competition. He believes Calderwood is bigger, stronger, and rangier for the division, and can keep the fight standing where she has a range advantage. He acknowledges the lack of clear evidence but goes with Calderwood due to her physical advantages.

"i'll go with uh joanne caldwood i guess there's really nothing to predict this on i just feel as though joanne calderwood's bigger stronger for the division rangier for the division"
WIN vs Andrea Lee
Decision (split) (28–29, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · Sep 07, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanne Wood 0 101 of 230 43% 158 of 293 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:13
Andrea Lee 0 61 of 137 44% 104 of 185 3 of 5 60% 0 0 4:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanne Wood 0 41 of 92 44% 44 of 95 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:12
Andrea Lee 0 32 of 71 45% 38 of 79 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:25
2 Joanne Wood 0 24 of 58 41% 54 of 92 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:52
Andrea Lee 0 17 of 33 51% 36 of 54 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:03
3 Joanne Wood 0 36 of 80 45% 60 of 106 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:09
Andrea Lee 0 12 of 33 36% 30 of 52 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:51
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanne Wood 101 of 230 43% 40 of 138 16 of 38 45 of 54 94 of 222 7 of 8 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 61 of 137 44% 13 of 73 26 of 39 22 of 25 57 of 132 2 of 3 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanne Wood 41 of 92 44% 13 of 51 8 of 18 20 of 23 40 of 91 1 of 1 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 32 of 71 45% 6 of 36 15 of 22 11 of 13 29 of 68 1 of 1 2 of 2
2 Joanne Wood 24 of 58 41% 13 of 40 1 of 7 10 of 11 20 of 53 4 of 5 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 17 of 33 51% 4 of 18 7 of 8 6 of 7 16 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Joanne Wood 36 of 80 45% 14 of 47 7 of 13 15 of 20 34 of 78 2 of 2 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 12 of 33 36% 3 of 19 4 of 9 5 of 5 12 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (6)
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 8, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Big Brady picks Joanne Wood, citing her significant striking volume and accuracy advantage. He is concerned about Wood's takedown defense (58%) and the possibility of Murphy grinding out rounds with control time. He expects a competitive fight but ultimately sees Wood out-striking Murphy to a decision win.

Wood by decision
"i will ultimately take jojo calderwood to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Lauren Murphy

Cody leans towards Murphy as an underdog, citing her strength, grit, and takedown ability. He thinks she can grind out a decision if she mixes in takedowns. He notes Calderwood's tendency to fall apart in big spots and her poor takedown defense.

"lauren murphy plus 130 is where i would attack this"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jun 10, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Lauren Murphy

Daniel Levi picks Lauren Murphy for the upset, citing her toughness and will to win. He acknowledges Joanne Wood is more talented but inconsistent. He notes Murphy's takedowns have improved and that Wood has a history of poor performances. He expects a close fight and thinks Murphy's durability and pressure will edge out a split decision.

split decision
"i'll go with lauren murphy for the upset"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2021 (fight day)
Joanne Wood

Wood is faster and a better striker, with superior Muay Thai and combinations. Murphy is stronger and may try to clinch, but Wood should outstrike her at range. Murphy doesn't take damage well, and Wood's speed should allow her to land cleanly. Wood likely wins a decision, though Murphy's strength is a slight concern.

Wood by decision
"I do like Joanne Wood again I think she's a little bit better all around... I do have some solid confidence in Joanne Wood to go out there and outstrike Lauren Murphy for the majority of 15 minutes and take home a victory via decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Paul picks Calderwood but is not betting it. He thinks Calderwood's striking and reach advantage will be key, and that she can keep the fight standing and outpoint Murphy. He acknowledges Murphy's toughness but believes Calderwood's technical skills will prevail.

"the official pick is going to be joanne calderwood but from a betting perspective i think i'm just looking to pass"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood, stating she looks technically sound with good knees in the clinch, while Murphy does not look good technically. He notes Wood's recent performance against Jessica Eye and believes Wood's technical edge will be decisive. He dismisses Murphy's wins as unimpressive.

"i'm going with joanne calderwood i've watched the pair of them fight"