vs
-225 +198
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · Jun 12, 2021 · Women's Bantamweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 Next Fight
Age 34
Height 5' 7"
Reach 66.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 41
Height 5' 6"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Pannie Kianzad
4.88 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
4.09 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
0.41 TD Avg
33.0% TD Acc.
65.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Alexis Davis
4.63 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
4.45 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
0.95 TD Avg
44.0% TD Acc.
34.0% TD Def.
0.7 Sub. Avg
Pannie Kianzad
Moneyline
BetWay -225
KO/TKO
BetWay +1200
Submission
BetWay +1200
Decision
BetWay -138
Alexis Davis
Moneyline
FanDuel +198
KO/TKO
BetWay +700
Submission
BetWay +600
Decision
BetWay +300
Pannie Kianzad - Fight History
LOSS vs Karol Rosa
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · Aug 10, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Karol Rosa 0 117 of 194 60% 140 of 223 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:24
Pannie Kianzad 0 92 of 182 50% 138 of 229 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Karol Rosa 0 42 of 74 56% 42 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Pannie Kianzad 0 40 of 80 50% 40 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Karol Rosa 0 52 of 84 61% 56 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:24
Pannie Kianzad 0 43 of 78 55% 44 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Karol Rosa 0 23 of 36 63% 42 of 61 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:00
Pannie Kianzad 0 9 of 24 37% 54 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Karol Rosa 117 of 194 60% 70 of 132 8 of 9 39 of 53 100 of 170 16 of 23 1 of 1
Pannie Kianzad 92 of 182 50% 56 of 138 20 of 27 16 of 17 82 of 163 10 of 19 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Karol Rosa 42 of 74 56% 21 of 42 2 of 2 19 of 30 42 of 74 0 of 0 0 of 0
Pannie Kianzad 40 of 80 50% 18 of 52 13 of 18 9 of 10 39 of 79 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Karol Rosa 52 of 84 61% 33 of 62 1 of 2 18 of 20 49 of 80 3 of 4 0 of 0
Pannie Kianzad 43 of 78 55% 33 of 66 5 of 7 5 of 5 39 of 70 4 of 8 0 of 0
3 Karol Rosa 23 of 36 63% 16 of 28 5 of 5 2 of 3 9 of 16 13 of 19 1 of 1
Pannie Kianzad 9 of 24 37% 5 of 20 2 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 14 5 of 10 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Pannie Kianzad vs. Karol Rosa
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rosa (-205), Kianzad (+170)

Round 1
A women’s bantamweight tilt pitting Kianzad (16-8, 5-5 UFC) against Rosa (17-6, 6-3 UFC) closes out the preliminaries and should provide some clarity in terms of mid-card pecking order at 135 pounds. Kianzad enters the Octagon on the heels of back-to-back losses, having fallen back to the .500 mark within the promotion. Beltran administers the law and order. No glove touch. Kianzad jabs to the body. Rosa answers with a leg kick, then another. The impact spins around Kianzad. Another low kick from Rosa, whose game plan comes into view inside the first minute. One-two from Rosa. Inside leg kick from the Brazilian. Kianzad answers with an overhand left, but she eats yet another leg kick. Kianzad doubles up on the jab but misses the target. Rosa cuts loose with a two-punch volley and mixes in an inside leg kick. Jab from Rosa, then a low kick. Kianzad responds with a sharp right hand, followed by a left hook. The Swede now doing all she can to keep her leg out of harm’s way. No luck. Rosa finds the mark with another kick. They exchange in the center. Kianzad fires a three-punch volley, resets and lands a right hand. Leg kick from Rosa. Kianzad goes to throw a kick, loses her balance and hits the deck. Back on the feet, Rosa greets her with a flying knee.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosa

Round 2
This could get ugly if Kianzad does not address the kicks. She doubles up on the left hook. Rosa answers with multiple low kicks, then steps into an elbow. They trade in the center. Rosa continues to damage the legs, then opens a cut on the forehead with another elbow. Blood streams down between Kianzad’s eyes. Rosa backs her up with punches, shields herself from the return fire and gets her hands in gear again. Kianzad welcomes her into the clinch with a knee to the ribs. Rosa responds with short-range elbow. Kianzad’s lead leg has swelled to twice its normal size. Rosa lands a short left hook. Jab from Rosa, then a leg kick. Kianzad hops in visible distress. Less than a minute to go. Nice one-two from Kianzad. Rosa answers with a jab and follows it with a leg kick. Kianzad is going to have a hard time going to sleep. Rosa jabs at the end of the middle stanza and closes with a kick.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosa

Round 3
They clinch to start the third round. Rosa controls the position and mixes in a few elbows before they separate. Rosa with a one-two. A significant hematoma now developing outside of Kianzad’s right eye. Rosa executes a takedown, likely surprising the Swede. Kianzad scores with short punches and elbows from the bottom. Blood becoming more of an issue for the former Cage Warriors champion. Kianzad gets to a knee, builds a base and gets back to her feet. Halfway home in Round 3. Rosa presses her into the fence and creates enough space to rip some elbows upstairs. Punches follow. Somebody get Kianzad some ice. Rosa continues to crowd her along the cage, bleeding time off the clock. She alternates between clinching and punching. Stellar performance from the Brazilian. They trade knees as the fight ends.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (30-27 Rosa)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (30-27 Rosa)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (30-27 Rosa)

The Official Result
Karol Rosa def. Pannie Kianzad—Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Angelo picks Karol Rosa due to her insane volume (204 significant strikes in a three-round fight), pressure, and grit. He notes that Pannie is a more technical boxer but will struggle if she's on her back foot against Rosa's volume. He also mentions Rosa has solid takedown offense and defense.

Over 2.5 rounds should be safe but got burned on that last time with Pannie
"HOSA is the pick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Cody also picks Kianzad, calling Rosa's style frustrating and noting she doesn't use her BJJ or adjust game plans. He believes Kianzad lands better shots and has a plus number, making her the play. He mentions both have been knocked down by Lena Lansburg, which is a useless but funny stat.

"total doger pass total CF dot model peny kad's got A plus number next to her name that's my pick this week"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Rosa is the better overall fighter with a more well-rounded game, but her lack of urgency in past fights is a concern. She can win by mixing in grappling behind her striking, but the fight likely goes to a split decision. The line is a bit high; waiting for a better price around -130 to -140 is advised.

Rosa by split decision; maybe taking either woman to win by split decision
"I still am going to lean on the HOSA side here as I think she's the better overall fighter and I'm really hoping that she decides to go to a grappling here behind her striking so she can separate herself …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Paul picks Kianzad at plus 180, viewing the fight as a coin flip striking affair. He criticizes Rosa's lack of fight IQ, poor takedown defense, and inability to adjust. He notes Kianzad has better striking volume and can land the better shots.

"I took uh I found a plus 180 uh earlier this morning and uh took Penny keed that's uh that's where I'm at here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

The MMA Guru picks Karol Rosa, stating she is more committed to the game and younger than Pannie Kianzad. He does not provide extensive technical analysis but expresses confidence in her dedication and age advantage.

"I'm going to go with Carol Rosa winning that one... I just think she's more committed to the game way more committed to the game"
LOSS vs Macy Chiasson
Submission R1 3:54 · UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Mar 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Macy Chiasson 0 2 of 6 33% 29 of 35 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:52
Pannie Kianzad 0 4 of 10 40% 5 of 11 2 of 2 100% 1 1 2:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Macy Chiasson 0 2 of 6 33% 29 of 35 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:52
Pannie Kianzad 0 4 of 10 40% 5 of 11 2 of 2 100% 1 1 2:28
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Macy Chiasson 2 of 6 33% 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 1
Pannie Kianzad 4 of 10 40% 3 of 8 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Macy Chiasson 2 of 6 33% 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 1
Pannie Kianzad 4 of 10 40% 3 of 8 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Macy Chiasson

Angelo acknowledges Kianzad has a big striking advantage with her boxing, but she was unable to get up off the bottom in her last fight against Ketlen Vieira. Chiasson has added grappling to her game, taking down Norma Dumont six times and Irene Aldana three times. He thinks Chiasson will get takedowns and hold Kianzad down. He also suggests a plus 3.5 round bet on Kianzad as she might win a round on the feet.

Pannie Kianzad +3.5 rounds (buying points) if odds drop
"I got to go with Macy here here I think she'll squeak in a taked down hold her down maybe panny can steal a round so a plus three and a half might be a good bet there"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Macy Chiasson

Big Brady picks Macy Chiasson to win by decision. He expects Chiasson's size and physicality to be too much for Kianzad, allowing her to control the fight against the cage and on the mat. He references Kianzad's recent loss to Vieira as a blueprint.

by decision
"It's cheson for me cheson to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Macy Chiasson

Cody leans toward Macy Chiasson, citing her size, physicality, and grappling advantage. He notes she has choked Kianzad out before and is the better grappler. However, he is wary of the minus 240 line due to Chiasson's weight cut struggles and long layoff. He suggests waiting for weigh-ins before betting.

"Macy Chiasson... she's a bigger stronger more physical bruiser on the feet... she's already choked her out once."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Macy Chiasson

Lucrative James picks Macy Chiasson to win, likely by submission or ground-and-pound TKO. He notes that Chiasson is physically stronger, has better grappling, and finished Kianzad before on The Ultimate Fighter. He also questions whether Kianzad has lost a step and mentions Chiasson's recent performances against tough opponents. He expresses concern about Chiasson's weight cut but still expects her to win.

Chiasson by submission
"I'm gonna go with Chase on here to get a submission win again maybe she gets a ground and pound TKO."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Macy Chiasson

The host acknowledges Kianzad's striking advantage but believes she will be frustrated by Chiasson's grapple-heavy approach. He notes Chiasson's ability to bully opponents in the clinch and get fights to the ground easily, where she can rough up Kianzad from top position for the majority of the fight and win by decision.

"I think we'll see kiasan Drager to the mat rougher up from that top position and keep her there for the majority of 15 minutes eventually getting her hand raised by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Paul passes on betting this fight, noting Chiasson's weight cut issues and unimpressive recent performances. He mentions the bizarre liver kick loss to Aldana and questions her durability. He does not pick a winner and says it's a pass from a betting perspective.

"There's no way I bet minus 240 on Macy Chiasson it's going to be a pass from a betting perspective."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Macy Chiasson

The Guru picks Macy Chiasson, citing her physicality, power, and improved kicks. He notes she outmuscled Kianzad in their first fight and choked her out. He believes Chiasson has more options in the clinch and at range, and that Kianzad is purely a boxer with a reach disadvantage. He expects Chiasson to win by decision, possibly 30-27 or 29-28.

decision
"I'm going to go with chasson getting this one done by decision 3027 2928."
LOSS vs Ketlen Vieira
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Jul 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ketlen Vieira 0 15 of 33 45% 65 of 103 3 of 3 100% 3 0 10:49
Pannie Kianzad 0 22 of 51 43% 92 of 144 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ketlen Vieira 0 5 of 15 33% 23 of 40 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:53
Pannie Kianzad 0 4 of 16 25% 7 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ketlen Vieira 0 7 of 13 53% 25 of 34 1 of 1 100% 2 0 4:18
Pannie Kianzad 0 4 of 9 44% 15 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ketlen Vieira 0 3 of 5 60% 17 of 29 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:38
Pannie Kianzad 0 14 of 26 53% 70 of 104 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ketlen Vieira 15 of 33 45% 13 of 31 1 of 1 1 of 1 8 of 25 1 of 2 6 of 6
Pannie Kianzad 22 of 51 43% 17 of 45 3 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 30 0 of 0 12 of 21
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ketlen Vieira 5 of 15 33% 4 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 1
Pannie Kianzad 4 of 16 25% 2 of 13 1 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ketlen Vieira 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 3 of 3
Pannie Kianzad 4 of 9 44% 3 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ketlen Vieira 3 of 5 60% 2 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 2
Pannie Kianzad 14 of 26 53% 12 of 24 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 12 of 21
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Pannie Kianzad vs. Ketlen Vieira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Vieira (-150), Kianzad (+130)

Round 1
The fight with arguably the greatest title implications tonight is buried in the middle of the prelims, as the women’s bantamweight division is still championless and the perceived “uncrowned queen” of Holly Holm was knocked down a peg last week. Both women on the outside of the UFC’s top five looking in, Vieira (13-3, 7-3 UFC) and Kianzad (16-6, 5-3 UFC) will engage in a crucial contest at 135 pounds. With neither woman sporting a stoppage rate over 50%, referee Jason Herzog could be in it for the long haul here. Vieira offers a glove touch, but Kianzad wants nothing to do with it. Instead, Kianzad races forward pushing out straight punches down the middle. Vieira dodges back and reaches out with a heavy right hand, and Kianzad is out of the way in time. Vieira sticks out a jab, and Kianzad catches her with a left hand and a right over the top. Kianzad pokes out a jab, and she follows with a left hook that bounces off the guard. Vieira shoots in for a low single-leg takedown, and she lifts Kianzad’s leg up and throws her down to land right in side control. Kianzad recovers to half guard when Vieira sets up an arm-triangle choke, and the Brazilian still has her left arm hooked around the head of her opponent. Vieira looks to isolate Kianzad’s left arm for a potential armlock, and Kianzad turns to her side to stop it from coming together. Vieira powers her back over with shoulder pressure, smothering “Banzai” and returning her flat to her back. Kianzad gets back to a guard and she sets up butterfly hooks to push off, and this allows Vieira to punch her square in the face. Kianzad responds with a few strikes off her back, but the ones she absorbs from “Fenomeno” are far heavier. Kianzad looks to push off the midsection, but Vieira stays heavy as a ton of bricks and steps into the half guard. Vieira controls her adversary and presses her shoulder into Kianzad’s face and neck, and frustrating the Swede. Vieira grabs hold of the left arm and isolates it to grip for a kimura, and Kianzad protects herself by putting it under her back. As Vieira shifts to north-south position, the bell rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vieira

Round 2
The ladies meet in the middle of the cage, and Kianzad leads off with a looping left hook. Vieira blocks it and replies in kind, and the strike from the Brazilian glances off the raised guard. When Kianzad kicks low, Vieira gives her three punches over the top. Kianzad steps in to punch, and Vieira snatches up the lead leg and easily throws Kianzad to the canvas. Vieira goes right to half guard, and a desperate Kianzad is able to pull her into her guard and closes it up. Kianzad times a moment in transition to push her foot off Vieira’s body, but Vieira is able to casually shift back over the half guard. Vieira starts hunting for a kimura, and Kianzad defends it but starts taking heavy body shots. Vieira gloms onto her, and she hops into full mount and quickly locks down an arm-triangle choke. Vieira squeezes with her full body weight, and Kianzad defends it with her left arm between the grip of her opponent and her own neck. Kianzad turns the proper way to protect her neck, and Vieira abandons the submission. Kianzad explodes to her side, and she attempts to turn over and get to her knees so she can get back up. Vieira bowls her over and puts her on her back again. With 30 seconds remaining, Vieira tries to lock down an arm-triangle choke on the other side, but Kianzad is wise to it and is not in submission danger. The round ends with Vieira on top.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vieira

Round 3
A fire seemingly lit under her backside, Kianzad springs right into action, rushing at Vieira with punches in bunches. When Kianzad overextends on a left hook, Vieira smartly changes levels, coming up with a clean double-leg takedown to put Kianzad on her back 15 seconds into the final frame. Kianzad does everything she can to scoot her way to the wall, and this gives up her back in the process. Vieira leans with her back against the fencing, holding onto Kianzad from behind and sliding her hooks in. The leverage for any submission is not there, until she turns to lower herself to the floor. Vieira sets up a rear-naked choke, and Kianzad hand-fights to save herself from getting tapped. When Kianzad thwarts the choke, Vieira locks up a body triangle to further make Kianzad’s life miserable. Kianzad is able to defend from the choke setups, and she grits her teeth and spins around to secure top position with about two minutes left in the fight. Kianzad opens up with punches when she winds up on top, and Vieira clings to her to shut down the offense. Kianzad frees herself and stands up, and she jumps down to nail Vieira with a diving right hand. As Kianzad does damage from the guard, the commentary team starts discussing people walking their cats in strollers. All the while, Kianzad is doing anything she can to hunt for a finish, flailing with punches and hammerfists. Vieira pushes off with the ball of her foot, and she smacks Kianzad in the face with one illegally. Herzog checks on Kianzad, who says she is fine and wants to keep going. Kianzad rains down punches to any target, marking up Vieira’s right eye, and swinging frantically. Vieira throws her legs up high for a triangle choke, and she simultaneously grips an armbar, and the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira (30-27 Vieira)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vieira (30-27 Vieira)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vieira (30-27 Vieira)

The Official Result
Ketlen Vieira def. Pannie Kianzad via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Angelo favors Pannie Kianzad's footwork, speed, athleticism, and jab over Ketlen Vieira's size and strength. He notes Vieira's recent performances have been spotty and that her lack of speed could be exploited. He also likes the over 2.5 rounds and a plus 3.5 betting line on Kianzad.

over 2.5 rounds likely a lock; plus 3.5 on Pannie Kianzad (buying points)
"the pick is going to be Pawnee I like the footwork I like the speed I like the athleticism I like the jab"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Big Brady picks Pannie Kianzad by decision, but says he doesn't care about the fight and won't bet it. He likes Kianzad's volume striking and believes she can keep the fight standing with 80% takedown defense. He notes Vieira lands harder shots but Kianzad will outwork her. He is concerned if Vieira gets takedowns.

by decision
"give me Kanza to win this fight give me to Win It by decision but I will not be putting a dollar on this matchup"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

Cody picks Vieira, noting her superior competition and grappling advantage. He thinks she will use clinch and takedowns to control Kianzad. He acknowledges it could be a close decision but sees value at -140.

"minus 140 seems pretty fair for for Viera"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

Daniel slightly leans toward Ketlen Vieira, noting she has historically been on a higher level and is stronger in the clinch with better top control. However, he thinks she hasn't looked the same since her injury and surgery after the Zingano fight. He acknowledges Pannie Kianzad has better hands and durability, and expects a closely contested fight that could go either way. He is not surprised if Kianzad wins a split decision.

Daniel says 'I slightly lean with Catlin' but does not bet. He mentions the line: Vieira -140, Kianzad +120.
"I slightly lean with Catlin I've always viewed her kind of on a higher level"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

The host picks Ketlen Vieira, believing her damaging strikes will outweigh Kianzad's volume. He notes Vieira's power and ability to hurt opponents, while Kianzad struggles against higher competition and takes damage poorly. He expects Vieira to storm back and win by decision.

"I think Catelyn storms back here and picks up a victory gets back into the win column"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

Paul picks Vieira, citing her size, strength, and grappling. He notes Kianzad struggles in the clinch and has been knocked down. He thinks Vieira's boxing improvements will help, but expects a close decision.

"the pick would be ketling there for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

The MMA Guru leans towards Ketlen Vieira, calling it a coin flip but favoring her based on level of competition. He notes that Amanda Nunes' retirement may motivate contenders. He dismisses Pannie Kianzad's win over Lina Länsberg and criticizes her performance against Alexis Davis. The Guru believes Vieira's size, strength, and reach advantage will lead to a 29-28 split decision win.

"I am gonna lean towards Caitlin Vieira just based on level of competition that she's been fighting recently"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. Muhammad 2 · Apr 16, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Pannie Kianzad 1 39 of 88 44% 64 of 113 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:23
Lina Länsberg 0 78 of 160 48% 109 of 210 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Pannie Kianzad 0 3 of 6 50% 9 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:03
Lina Länsberg 0 5 of 12 41% 20 of 46 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:54
2 Pannie Kianzad 1 15 of 30 50% 33 of 48 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:20
Lina Länsberg 0 22 of 45 48% 38 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:24
3 Pannie Kianzad 0 21 of 52 40% 22 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Lina Länsberg 0 51 of 103 49% 51 of 103 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Pannie Kianzad 39 of 88 44% 30 of 75 8 of 11 1 of 2 31 of 78 8 of 10 0 of 0
Lina Länsberg 78 of 160 48% 59 of 140 16 of 17 3 of 3 59 of 137 19 of 23 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Pannie Kianzad 3 of 6 50% 2 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0
Lina Länsberg 5 of 12 41% 2 of 9 3 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 9 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Pannie Kianzad 15 of 30 50% 10 of 23 5 of 7 0 of 0 8 of 22 7 of 8 0 of 0
Lina Länsberg 22 of 45 48% 15 of 37 7 of 8 0 of 0 11 of 31 11 of 14 0 of 0
3 Pannie Kianzad 21 of 52 40% 18 of 47 2 of 3 1 of 2 21 of 51 0 of 1 0 of 0
Lina Länsberg 51 of 103 49% 42 of 94 6 of 6 3 of 3 46 of 97 5 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Angelo picks Pannie Kianzad, though he is surprised she is such a heavy favorite. He notes that Lina Länsberg is a world champion Muay Thai fighter with excellent clinch work, but Kianzad is a very good boxer with good footwork and high-volume striking. He believes Kianzad can stick and move for 15 minutes to avoid the clinch and win a decision.

"i do think penny wins i think she should be a favorite and i think she can do it because she just has to stick and move for 15 minutes"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Big Brady picks Pannie Kianzad to win by decision. He notes Kianzad is the better striker, younger (30 vs 40), and improving her takedown defense and ground game. He criticizes Länsberg's low volume and 44% striking defense, and notes she hasn't fought in almost two years. He expects Kianzad to stuff takedowns and outpoint Länsberg on the feet.

win by decision
"panning by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Cody picks Kianzad, emphasizing her striking volume and Länsberg's decline. He notes Kianzad's recent performances and thinks she will outwork Länsberg. He calls it a 'passing of the torch' spot.

"kansas is going to be in this one throughout and not enough of a grappling edge to say that she's going to rely on that to be panty so yeah"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Daniel Levi picks Pannie Kianzad confidently, noting she beat Länsberg 10 years ago when both were in different stages of their careers. Länsberg is now nearly 40 and coming off having a baby, while Kianzad is entering her prime. Levi expects Kianzad to out-tough Länsberg with volume and win a decision.

Picks Kianzad by decision
"Give me panty kianza to win this decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Paul picks Kianzad, citing her volume and improvement. He notes Länsberg's age (40) and layoff, and thinks Kianzad will dominate on the feet. He mentions he already bet her as part of a parlay.

"kianza for me was minus 300 425 we're starting to cut off all my perceived value"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

The MMA Guru picks Pannie Kianzad, citing her technical striking and youth (10 years younger). He notes Lina Länsberg lacks great wins and that Kianzad's close loss to Raquel Pennington is better than anything Länsberg has done. He expects a 29-28 or 30-27 decision.

unanimous decision 29-28 or 30-27
"gotta go with pani kianzad lena landsberg isn't too good whatsoever"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · Sep 18, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Raquel Pennington 0 50 of 98 51% 85 of 144 1 of 2 50% 0 0 5:34
Pannie Kianzad 0 48 of 79 60% 98 of 144 1 of 3 33% 0 0 6:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Raquel Pennington 0 12 of 19 63% 21 of 30 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:24
Pannie Kianzad 0 8 of 12 66% 25 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:20
2 Raquel Pennington 0 10 of 17 58% 21 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:55
Pannie Kianzad 0 12 of 18 66% 34 of 46 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:37
3 Raquel Pennington 0 28 of 62 45% 43 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:15
Pannie Kianzad 0 28 of 49 57% 39 of 62 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Raquel Pennington 50 of 98 51% 26 of 68 20 of 25 4 of 5 13 of 50 37 of 48 0 of 0
Pannie Kianzad 48 of 79 60% 26 of 56 17 of 18 5 of 5 23 of 49 23 of 28 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Raquel Pennington 12 of 19 63% 3 of 7 8 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 3 12 of 16 0 of 0
Pannie Kianzad 8 of 12 66% 3 of 7 5 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 5 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Raquel Pennington 10 of 17 58% 7 of 14 3 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 10 6 of 7 0 of 0
Pannie Kianzad 12 of 18 66% 7 of 13 4 of 4 1 of 1 7 of 11 3 of 5 2 of 2
3 Raquel Pennington 28 of 62 45% 16 of 47 9 of 11 3 of 4 9 of 37 19 of 25 0 of 0
Pannie Kianzad 28 of 49 57% 16 of 36 8 of 9 4 of 4 15 of 33 13 of 16 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Raquel Pennington

Angelo picks Raquel Pennington because she will march forward, hold Pannie against the cage, and neutralize her boxing. He notes that Pennington's losses are to current/former champions and that she is a boring but effective grappler. He likes the -132 odds and thinks they will move. He is confident Pennington stifles Pannie's combinations.

Less on Pannie Kianzad's strike line (115.5)
"raquel pennington is the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Raquel Pennington

Big Brady picks Raquel Pennington, citing her superior level of competition and ability to grind against the cage. He notes Kianzad was outstruck by Alexis Davis and has shown vulnerability to wrestling. He predicts a decision win for Pennington, though he wishes the price were better and likely won't bet it.

"i'm going to take pennington to win um don't love the price to be honest"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Cody picks Kianzad as a slight underdog, citing her better striking and improved takedown defense. He notes that Pennington is a grinder but has looked mentally off in recent fights. Cody believes Kianzad can keep the fight at range and outwork Pennington.

"i would classify this one as a dog or pass situation and again you do have chianzan as that plus 110 underdogs so gonna go ahead"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Raquel Pennington

Daniel Levi leans with Raquel Pennington. He calls Kianzad an overachiever and thinks Pennington's record is misleading because she has fought the best. He sees similar boxing-centric styles but gives the edge to Pennington, expecting a close decision. He notes he usually likes to dog close decisions but here he leans with Pennington.

"i'm gonna go with rocky pennington here maybe a close decision and oftentimes on close decisions i like to dog but on this one i'm leaning with rocky pennington to to win the decision here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Raquel Pennington

Preet picks Pennington because she is good at everything and has better cardio and forward pressure. He thinks Kianzad is a better technical striker but Pennington will nullify her with clinch work and takedowns. He expects a decision and likes the fight goes to decision at +125.

Fight goes to decision +125
"I like Pennington in this fight I'm kind of you know I'm kind of surprised how much I like her here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Paul agrees with taking Kianzad at plus money, noting that Pennington's style could lead to a close decision. He thinks Kianzad's volume and range striking give her an edge, but acknowledges the smaller cage may favor Pennington's grinding.

"if it's gonna be that close you take the plus money i guess in those spots so i'll i'll follow you along on that one panty cans at plus 110"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

The MMA Guru picks Pannie Kianzad over Raquel Pennington, praising Kianzad's fundamentals, dirty boxing, and recent form. He questions Pennington's motivation and activity, predicting a 30-27 unanimous decision for Kianzad.

"i'm going to go with pani kian's ad here"
WIN vs Alexis Davis
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · Jun 12, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Pannie Kianzad 0 124 of 249 49% 124 of 249 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Alexis Davis 0 132 of 251 52% 147 of 268 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Pannie Kianzad 0 49 of 82 59% 49 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Alexis Davis 0 42 of 84 50% 50 of 93 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Pannie Kianzad 0 37 of 83 44% 37 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alexis Davis 0 44 of 82 53% 50 of 89 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:04
3 Pannie Kianzad 0 38 of 84 45% 38 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alexis Davis 0 46 of 85 54% 47 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Pannie Kianzad 124 of 249 49% 99 of 210 24 of 38 1 of 1 122 of 246 2 of 3 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 132 of 251 52% 95 of 211 12 of 15 25 of 25 125 of 239 7 of 9 0 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Pannie Kianzad 49 of 82 59% 38 of 66 10 of 15 1 of 1 47 of 80 2 of 2 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 42 of 84 50% 30 of 71 2 of 3 10 of 10 41 of 83 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Pannie Kianzad 37 of 83 44% 29 of 69 8 of 14 0 of 0 37 of 82 0 of 1 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 44 of 82 53% 32 of 69 4 of 5 8 of 8 40 of 75 4 of 4 0 of 3
3 Pannie Kianzad 38 of 84 45% 32 of 75 6 of 9 0 of 0 38 of 84 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 46 of 85 54% 33 of 71 6 of 7 7 of 7 44 of 81 2 of 4 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 8, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Big Brady picks Alexis Davis as a slight underdog, believing her grappling and top control can be the difference. He notes Davis has faced tougher competition and has a black belt, but she needs to consistently go for takedowns. He is concerned about Kianzad's recent winning streak but sees value in Davis if she implements a wrestling-heavy game plan.

Davis by decision
"i'm gonna actually pick alexis davis here to kind of implement hopefully that same game plan against the bina mazzo get this fight down to the mat"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Cody slightly favors Kianzad, citing her jab and takedown defense. He thinks she can keep the fight standing and outbox Davis. He notes Davis's toughness and BJJ but believes Kianzad's striking will be the difference. He is not betting it.

"it's like an ever so slight pick for penny kianzad"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Daniel Levi picks Pannie Kianzad, noting her improved takedown defense and boxing volume. He respects Alexis Davis as a vet but thinks Kianzad's size and striking will be too much. He expects Kianzad to keep the fight standing and out-volume Davis, leading to a clear decision win.

"i'm gonna go with panicky keon's ad to keep it standing and just out volume alexis davis"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 12, 2021 (fight day)
Pannie Kianzad

Kianzad has superior striking and can use her jab to stay on the outside, while Davis is slower and relies on grappling. Kianzad showed she can survive takedowns and come back in later rounds, as seen in her last fight. However, Davis is durable and could grind out a win if she gets takedowns. Kianzad likely wins a decision if she fights disciplined.

Kianzad by decision
"I do end up leaning on the Pannie Kianzad side due to her having better striking... I'm going to take Kianzad to win this fight via decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Paul passes on this fight. He sees it as a close fight that likely goes the distance, but the line doesn't offer value. He notes Davis's grappling threat but is not confident enough to bet.

"it's more of a past situation"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

The MMA Guru picks Pannie Kianzad, citing her superior striking, underrated takedown defense (85% defense rate), and youth. He believes she can replicate Sabina Mazo's success on the feet against Alexis Davis and avoid takedowns. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision.

"i'm gonna go with pani kianzad here because i feel like she's definitely going to get the better of alexis davis on the feet"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · Dec 19, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Pannie Kianzad 0 49 of 104 47% 70 of 131 2 of 4 50% 0 0 6:33
Sijara Eubanks 0 92 of 143 64% 132 of 187 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Pannie Kianzad 0 7 of 12 58% 20 of 29 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:23
Sijara Eubanks 0 3 of 9 33% 9 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Pannie Kianzad 0 8 of 15 53% 14 of 23 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:05
Sijara Eubanks 0 28 of 40 70% 56 of 70 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:39
3 Pannie Kianzad 0 34 of 77 44% 36 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Sijara Eubanks 0 61 of 94 64% 67 of 100 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Pannie Kianzad 49 of 104 47% 43 of 94 5 of 9 1 of 1 38 of 90 4 of 7 7 of 7
Sijara Eubanks 92 of 143 64% 57 of 105 22 of 25 13 of 13 65 of 114 26 of 28 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Pannie Kianzad 7 of 12 58% 6 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 6 of 6
Sijara Eubanks 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Pannie Kianzad 8 of 15 53% 7 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 11 3 of 3 1 of 1
Sijara Eubanks 28 of 40 70% 16 of 26 11 of 13 1 of 1 8 of 18 20 of 22 0 of 0
3 Pannie Kianzad 34 of 77 44% 30 of 69 3 of 7 1 of 1 33 of 73 1 of 4 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 61 of 94 64% 38 of 70 11 of 12 12 of 12 55 of 88 6 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 18, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Angelo picks Pannie Kianzad as an underdog, noting that Eubanks has a 7-4 record and her recent fights have all gone to decision. He believes Kianzad can sneak out a win in a decision.

goes to decision
"that is going to be kianzad against eubanks eubanks is a seven and four fighter i think and if you look at her card if you look like at her recent fights they're all decisions her last night nine fighter …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Dec 16, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Big Brady picks Pannie Kianzad as a slight underdog, expecting her to stuff most takedowns and win rounds two and three with volume. He notes Eubanks' poor gas tank and Kianzad's 92% takedown defense in the UFC. However, he is not overly confident because if Kianzad gets taken down, she could be in trouble on the ground.

"i'm going to say kansai stuff's the majority of the takedowns keeps it on the feet for the majority of the time wins rounds two and rounds three and wins a very close decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Dec 16, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

The host picks Kianzad as a slight underdog, citing her striking advantage and ability to keep the fight on the feet. He is concerned about Eubanks' grappling but believes Kianzad's kicks and distance management will earn her a decision. He is not highly confident.

"i still will side with the dog here i think penny will go out there and outstrike sajara for about two rounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Dec 13, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

The Guru picks Sijara Eubanks but is hesitant, calling it a very close fight. He believes Eubanks is the bigger fighter with reach advantage and has faced better competition. He notes that both have similar wins and losses, but Eubanks' scrappiness and durability give her the edge. He predicts a split decision.

"i think i'm going to go with ciara eubanks being just a bit more lesbian than panikianzad... split decision ciara eubanks getting it done"
WIN vs Bethe Correia
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Till · Jul 26, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Pannie Kianzad 0 56 of 143 39% 83 of 178 1 of 5 20% 0 0 2:01
Bethe Correia 0 103 of 199 51% 106 of 205 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Pannie Kianzad 0 18 of 47 38% 19 of 48 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:08
Bethe Correia 0 30 of 68 44% 31 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
2 Pannie Kianzad 0 22 of 51 43% 43 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:21
Bethe Correia 0 25 of 48 52% 27 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Pannie Kianzad 0 16 of 45 35% 21 of 50 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:32
Bethe Correia 0 48 of 83 57% 48 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Pannie Kianzad 56 of 143 39% 40 of 117 14 of 20 2 of 6 46 of 126 9 of 15 1 of 2
Bethe Correia 103 of 199 51% 76 of 168 10 of 14 17 of 17 97 of 191 6 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Pannie Kianzad 18 of 47 38% 14 of 39 4 of 7 0 of 1 14 of 40 4 of 7 0 of 0
Bethe Correia 30 of 68 44% 22 of 56 4 of 8 4 of 4 27 of 63 3 of 5 0 of 0
2 Pannie Kianzad 22 of 51 43% 11 of 36 9 of 11 2 of 4 16 of 41 5 of 8 1 of 2
Bethe Correia 25 of 48 52% 17 of 40 4 of 4 4 of 4 22 of 45 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Pannie Kianzad 16 of 45 35% 15 of 42 1 of 2 0 of 1 16 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bethe Correia 48 of 83 57% 37 of 72 2 of 2 9 of 9 48 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 22, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Big Brady picks Kianzad because she is faster and has a striking advantage. He notes Correia has fought better competition but is stiff and slow. He expects a close split decision and says he probably won't bet it.

Kianzad by decision; split decision likely
"I think she's the far faster fighter like correa is just you know she's very stiff she's slow"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 23, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Bethe Correia

Daniel picks Correia, citing her experience, toughness, and power. He thinks Kianzad may start well but fade, and Correia can win the later rounds. He notes Correia has fought the best and been competitive, while Kianzad's level of competition is lower. He expects a close decision.

"i'm actually going to go with betch kojeya to win the second and third round and edge out this decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 23, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Kianzad is the longer, more polished striker and can mix in takedowns. Correia is flawed technically and has lost to higher-level competition. Kianzad should outpoint Correia over three rounds, though the line offers little value at -155.

"i still like kansai here i'm gonna take her to win this fight by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Jul 19, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

The MMA Guru picks Pannie Kianzad based on physical attributes like size and reach, and her recent clear win over Jessica-Rose Clark. He acknowledges both fighters have questionable losses but believes Kianzad's experience and physical advantages will lead to a unanimous decision victory. He is not highly confident, calling it a lean.

"I'm going to be going with Panikad to get the job done by decision."
Alexis Davis - Fight History
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · Feb 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexis Davis 0 85 of 120 70% 171 of 218 1 of 1 100% 0 0 9:09
Julija Stoliarenko 0 56 of 113 49% 93 of 154 0 of 0 --- 3 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexis Davis 0 22 of 26 84% 63 of 75 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:52
Julija Stoliarenko 0 3 of 3 100% 20 of 23 0 of 0 --- 3 0 0:00
2 Alexis Davis 0 38 of 60 63% 38 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 45 of 96 46% 45 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Alexis Davis 0 25 of 34 73% 70 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:17
Julija Stoliarenko 0 8 of 14 57% 28 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexis Davis 85 of 120 70% 55 of 86 9 of 12 21 of 22 41 of 64 1 of 1 43 of 55
Julija Stoliarenko 56 of 113 49% 40 of 94 14 of 17 2 of 2 51 of 108 1 of 1 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexis Davis 22 of 26 84% 22 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 22 of 26
Julija Stoliarenko 3 of 3 100% 2 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2
2 Alexis Davis 38 of 60 63% 14 of 33 5 of 7 19 of 20 37 of 59 1 of 1 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 45 of 96 46% 32 of 81 13 of 15 0 of 0 44 of 95 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Alexis Davis 25 of 34 73% 19 of 27 4 of 5 2 of 2 4 of 5 0 of 0 21 of 29
Julija Stoliarenko 8 of 14 57% 6 of 11 0 of 1 2 of 2 6 of 12 0 of 0 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Angelo picks Alexis Davis as the veteran with experience and fight IQ. He notes Davis is a busy striker with a one-to-one striking differential, but she loses only to top-ranked opponents. Stoliarenko has great jiu-jitsu but poor wrestling and striking. Angelo expects Davis to dominate with combinations and avoid submission threats.

"i gotta go with the vet here i'm going with alexis davis to use her experience and use her fight iq to grind out what i think will pre a pretty one-sided win for her"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Cody agrees with Paul, noting that Davis has better striking, pace, and ground game. He thinks Stoliarenko is not on Davis's level. He is confident Davis wins but acknowledges women's MMA can be unpredictable.

"gotta go with my girl uh the alley gator alexis davis"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Daniel Levi picks Alexis Davis but calls it a dog-or-pass situation. He notes Davis is a veteran with experience, but she has lost four of her last five and is 38. Stoliarenko is known for armbars off her back. Levi thinks Davis should win but the -240 price is too high, so he advises passing or taking the dog. He picks Davis but says it's not a betting opportunity.

"the pick is davis"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Lock of the Night picks Davis, citing her superior striking and experience. He notes Stoliarenko's only path is armbar, but Davis is a tenured black belt. He expects Davis to win via decision or possibly finish. He likes Davis by decision at even money.

Davis by decision +100
"i think davis absolutely wipes estolia right quick"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Paul thinks Davis has superior skills everywhere and should win easily. He notes that Stoliarenko's only threat is an armbar, but Davis is a veteran who should avoid that. He is confident Davis wins by decision and likes the Davis by decision prop.

Davis by decision (even money)
"davis by decision is even money i think that's a pretty solid bet"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

The MMA Guru picks Alexis Davis, calling her underrated despite her record. He notes she has had close fights with top fighters like Viviane Araujo and Jennifer Maia, but often loses due to being cut by bigger shots. He dismisses Julija Stoliarenko as 'hot trash' and predicts a 30-26 decision win for Davis, with a 10-8 third round.

decision, 30-26
"i'm going to go with alexis davis here... i think she's going to win the first two rounds outland uh julius dollarenko in those first two rounds dominate her get the takedown"
LOSS vs Pannie Kianzad
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · Jun 12, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Pannie Kianzad 0 124 of 249 49% 124 of 249 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Alexis Davis 0 132 of 251 52% 147 of 268 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Pannie Kianzad 0 49 of 82 59% 49 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Alexis Davis 0 42 of 84 50% 50 of 93 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Pannie Kianzad 0 37 of 83 44% 37 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alexis Davis 0 44 of 82 53% 50 of 89 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:04
3 Pannie Kianzad 0 38 of 84 45% 38 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alexis Davis 0 46 of 85 54% 47 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Pannie Kianzad 124 of 249 49% 99 of 210 24 of 38 1 of 1 122 of 246 2 of 3 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 132 of 251 52% 95 of 211 12 of 15 25 of 25 125 of 239 7 of 9 0 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Pannie Kianzad 49 of 82 59% 38 of 66 10 of 15 1 of 1 47 of 80 2 of 2 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 42 of 84 50% 30 of 71 2 of 3 10 of 10 41 of 83 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Pannie Kianzad 37 of 83 44% 29 of 69 8 of 14 0 of 0 37 of 82 0 of 1 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 44 of 82 53% 32 of 69 4 of 5 8 of 8 40 of 75 4 of 4 0 of 3
3 Pannie Kianzad 38 of 84 45% 32 of 75 6 of 9 0 of 0 38 of 84 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 46 of 85 54% 33 of 71 6 of 7 7 of 7 44 of 81 2 of 4 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 8, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Big Brady picks Alexis Davis as a slight underdog, believing her grappling and top control can be the difference. He notes Davis has faced tougher competition and has a black belt, but she needs to consistently go for takedowns. He is concerned about Kianzad's recent winning streak but sees value in Davis if she implements a wrestling-heavy game plan.

Davis by decision
"i'm gonna actually pick alexis davis here to kind of implement hopefully that same game plan against the bina mazzo get this fight down to the mat"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Cody slightly favors Kianzad, citing her jab and takedown defense. He thinks she can keep the fight standing and outbox Davis. He notes Davis's toughness and BJJ but believes Kianzad's striking will be the difference. He is not betting it.

"it's like an ever so slight pick for penny kianzad"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Daniel Levi picks Pannie Kianzad, noting her improved takedown defense and boxing volume. He respects Alexis Davis as a vet but thinks Kianzad's size and striking will be too much. He expects Kianzad to keep the fight standing and out-volume Davis, leading to a clear decision win.

"i'm gonna go with panicky keon's ad to keep it standing and just out volume alexis davis"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 12, 2021 (fight day)
Pannie Kianzad

Kianzad has superior striking and can use her jab to stay on the outside, while Davis is slower and relies on grappling. Kianzad showed she can survive takedowns and come back in later rounds, as seen in her last fight. However, Davis is durable and could grind out a win if she gets takedowns. Kianzad likely wins a decision if she fights disciplined.

Kianzad by decision
"I do end up leaning on the Pannie Kianzad side due to her having better striking... I'm going to take Kianzad to win this fight via decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Paul passes on this fight. He sees it as a close fight that likely goes the distance, but the line doesn't offer value. He notes Davis's grappling threat but is not confident enough to bet.

"it's more of a past situation"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

The MMA Guru picks Pannie Kianzad, citing her superior striking, underrated takedown defense (85% defense rate), and youth. He believes she can replicate Sabina Mazo's success on the feet against Alexis Davis and avoid takedowns. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision.

"i'm gonna go with pani kianzad here because i feel like she's definitely going to get the better of alexis davis on the feet"
WIN vs Sabina Mazo
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · Feb 27, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexis Davis 0 49 of 83 59% 128 of 196 3 of 3 100% 0 0 8:50
Sabina Mazo 0 64 of 165 38% 71 of 173 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexis Davis 0 6 of 16 37% 39 of 61 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:51
Sabina Mazo 0 13 of 38 34% 13 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alexis Davis 0 40 of 60 66% 50 of 72 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:24
Sabina Mazo 0 47 of 118 39% 48 of 119 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Alexis Davis 0 3 of 7 42% 39 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:35
Sabina Mazo 0 4 of 9 44% 10 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexis Davis 49 of 83 59% 8 of 37 4 of 5 37 of 41 46 of 78 0 of 0 3 of 5
Sabina Mazo 64 of 165 38% 50 of 149 5 of 7 9 of 9 64 of 165 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexis Davis 6 of 16 37% 1 of 9 0 of 1 5 of 6 5 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 2
Sabina Mazo 13 of 38 34% 12 of 36 0 of 1 1 of 1 13 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Alexis Davis 40 of 60 66% 5 of 23 4 of 4 31 of 33 39 of 59 0 of 0 1 of 1
Sabina Mazo 47 of 118 39% 36 of 106 3 of 4 8 of 8 47 of 118 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alexis Davis 3 of 7 42% 2 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 2
Sabina Mazo 4 of 9 44% 2 of 7 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Big Brady picks Sabina Mazo to win by decision. He highlights Mazo's striking advantage: she throws more output (7.14 significant strikes per minute) and has better accuracy and defense. He notes Davis is 36, on a three-fight skid, and has poor takedown defense (32%), but Davis rarely uses her grappling. He thinks if Davis doesn't get takedowns, she will get pieced up. He acknowledges it's women's MMA and could be close, but favors Mazo comfortably.

decision win for Mazo
"i'm going to take mazda here to win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Sabina Mazo

Daniel Levi picks Sabina Mazo, emphasizing the 13-year age gap and Mazo's youth and power. He notes Alexis Davis has not landed more than one takedown in a fight since 2014, and her striking defense is poor. Levi believes Mazo will outpoint Davis and eventually land a signature high kick for a knockout, as Davis takes too much damage and doesn't adjust.

"I just see sabine mazzo out pointing uh alexis davis but i think eventually at some point she will land that signature high kick and she will knock her out so i'm gonna go with uh sabine mazzo to get …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Davis has a huge experience advantage and a pressure-heavy style that should stifle Mazo. She catches kicks well and can take the fight to the ground, where she has good top control. Mazo has been controlled by wrestlers before, and Davis's durability should allow her to weather Mazo's striking. Expect a decision win for Davis.

"plus 200 on alexis davis does not really look that bad and then that's the side that i'm going to be leaning with"
LOSS vs Viviane Araújo
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · Jul 27, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Viviane Araújo 0 68 of 137 49% 134 of 213 0 of 4 0% 0 1 3:47
Alexis Davis 0 67 of 148 45% 79 of 162 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Viviane Araújo 0 26 of 58 44% 26 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Alexis Davis 0 35 of 65 53% 35 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:22
2 Viviane Araújo 0 19 of 36 52% 67 of 91 0 of 1 0% 0 1 2:50
Alexis Davis 0 15 of 33 45% 20 of 38 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:12
3 Viviane Araújo 0 23 of 43 53% 41 of 64 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:57
Alexis Davis 0 17 of 50 34% 24 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Viviane Araújo 68 of 137 49% 33 of 88 20 of 33 15 of 16 53 of 110 6 of 15 9 of 12
Alexis Davis 67 of 148 45% 52 of 128 12 of 17 3 of 3 64 of 145 2 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Viviane Araújo 26 of 58 44% 8 of 33 11 of 18 7 of 7 25 of 51 1 of 7 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 35 of 65 53% 24 of 52 8 of 10 3 of 3 34 of 64 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Viviane Araújo 19 of 36 52% 14 of 28 3 of 6 2 of 2 10 of 23 0 of 1 9 of 12
Alexis Davis 15 of 33 45% 14 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 0 13 of 31 1 of 1 1 of 1
3 Viviane Araújo 23 of 43 53% 11 of 27 6 of 9 6 of 7 18 of 36 5 of 7 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 17 of 50 34% 14 of 44 3 of 6 0 of 0 17 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Jennifer Maia
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · Mar 23, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jennifer Maia 0 72 of 122 59% 107 of 174 1 of 2 50% 0 0 5:14
Alexis Davis 0 60 of 128 46% 70 of 142 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jennifer Maia 0 21 of 35 60% 30 of 49 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:46
Alexis Davis 0 26 of 42 61% 33 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:18
2 Jennifer Maia 0 10 of 21 47% 34 of 57 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:20
Alexis Davis 0 8 of 28 28% 11 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jennifer Maia 0 41 of 66 62% 43 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Alexis Davis 0 26 of 58 44% 26 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jennifer Maia 72 of 122 59% 16 of 54 28 of 37 28 of 31 50 of 94 21 of 27 1 of 1
Alexis Davis 60 of 128 46% 44 of 112 12 of 12 4 of 4 49 of 113 11 of 15 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jennifer Maia 21 of 35 60% 3 of 13 9 of 12 9 of 10 3 of 12 18 of 23 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 26 of 42 61% 17 of 33 6 of 6 3 of 3 17 of 30 9 of 12 0 of 0
2 Jennifer Maia 10 of 21 47% 3 of 11 5 of 7 2 of 3 9 of 20 0 of 0 1 of 1
Alexis Davis 8 of 28 28% 4 of 24 3 of 3 1 of 1 8 of 27 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Jennifer Maia 41 of 66 62% 10 of 30 14 of 18 17 of 18 38 of 62 3 of 4 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 26 of 58 44% 23 of 55 3 of 3 0 of 0 24 of 56 2 of 2 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on Fox: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · Jul 28, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Katlyn Cerminara 0 70 of 201 34% 77 of 208 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:20
Alexis Davis 0 62 of 202 30% 62 of 202 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Katlyn Cerminara 0 24 of 73 32% 24 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alexis Davis 0 17 of 65 26% 17 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Katlyn Cerminara 0 27 of 67 40% 27 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alexis Davis 0 24 of 69 34% 24 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Katlyn Cerminara 0 19 of 61 31% 26 of 68 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:20
Alexis Davis 0 21 of 68 30% 21 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Katlyn Cerminara 70 of 201 34% 24 of 141 10 of 17 36 of 43 66 of 196 4 of 5 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 62 of 202 30% 50 of 188 9 of 11 3 of 3 61 of 201 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Katlyn Cerminara 24 of 73 32% 7 of 53 4 of 7 13 of 13 20 of 69 4 of 4 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 17 of 65 26% 14 of 62 2 of 2 1 of 1 17 of 65 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Katlyn Cerminara 27 of 67 40% 7 of 42 5 of 7 15 of 18 27 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 24 of 69 34% 17 of 61 5 of 6 2 of 2 24 of 69 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Katlyn Cerminara 19 of 61 31% 10 of 46 1 of 3 8 of 12 19 of 60 0 of 1 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 21 of 68 30% 19 of 65 2 of 3 0 of 0 20 of 67 1 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Liz Carmouche
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · Dec 09, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexis Davis 0 23 of 63 36% 132 of 182 1 of 3 33% 2 1 5:51
Liz Carmouche 0 49 of 71 69% 191 of 215 4 of 4 100% 0 0 6:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexis Davis 0 9 of 16 56% 26 of 33 0 of 2 0% 1 0 1:36
Liz Carmouche 0 16 of 21 76% 70 of 76 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:39
2 Alexis Davis 0 6 of 22 27% 72 of 94 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:01
Liz Carmouche 0 13 of 19 68% 65 of 71 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:01
3 Alexis Davis 0 8 of 25 32% 34 of 55 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:14
Liz Carmouche 0 20 of 31 64% 56 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:53
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexis Davis 23 of 63 36% 10 of 44 6 of 10 7 of 9 7 of 39 9 of 15 7 of 9
Liz Carmouche 49 of 71 69% 29 of 46 13 of 15 7 of 10 20 of 40 12 of 13 17 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexis Davis 9 of 16 56% 2 of 9 4 of 4 3 of 3 1 of 8 8 of 8 0 of 0
Liz Carmouche 16 of 21 76% 8 of 11 4 of 6 4 of 4 2 of 7 9 of 9 5 of 5
2 Alexis Davis 6 of 22 27% 3 of 15 1 of 5 2 of 2 3 of 13 1 of 6 2 of 3
Liz Carmouche 13 of 19 68% 11 of 14 2 of 2 0 of 3 8 of 14 1 of 1 4 of 4
3 Alexis Davis 8 of 25 32% 5 of 20 1 of 1 2 of 4 3 of 18 0 of 1 5 of 6
Liz Carmouche 20 of 31 64% 10 of 21 7 of 7 3 of 3 10 of 19 2 of 3 8 of 9
WIN vs Cindy Dandois
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · Apr 22, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexis Davis 0 51 of 123 41% 115 of 192 0 of 0 --- 2 1 2:44
Cindy Dandois 0 47 of 146 32% 100 of 212 5 of 9 55% 0 0 6:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexis Davis 0 7 of 12 58% 26 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:25
Cindy Dandois 0 7 of 13 53% 27 of 42 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:31
2 Alexis Davis 0 31 of 66 46% 55 of 90 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:19
Cindy Dandois 0 28 of 82 34% 35 of 89 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:55
3 Alexis Davis 0 13 of 45 28% 34 of 68 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Cindy Dandois 0 12 of 51 23% 38 of 81 3 of 3 100% 0 0 3:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexis Davis 51 of 123 41% 21 of 88 17 of 21 13 of 14 35 of 104 9 of 9 7 of 10
Cindy Dandois 47 of 146 32% 34 of 125 6 of 8 7 of 13 28 of 114 8 of 18 11 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexis Davis 7 of 12 58% 6 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 8
Cindy Dandois 7 of 13 53% 7 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 6 0 of 0 6 of 7
2 Alexis Davis 31 of 66 46% 13 of 44 9 of 13 9 of 9 24 of 59 6 of 6 1 of 1
Cindy Dandois 28 of 82 34% 17 of 66 5 of 7 6 of 9 20 of 66 6 of 12 2 of 4
3 Alexis Davis 13 of 45 28% 2 of 33 7 of 7 4 of 5 9 of 41 3 of 3 1 of 1
Cindy Dandois 12 of 51 23% 10 of 47 1 of 1 1 of 3 7 of 42 2 of 6 3 of 3
Expert Picks (6)
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 8, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Big Brady picks Alexis Davis as a slight underdog, believing her grappling and top control can be the difference. He notes Davis has faced tougher competition and has a black belt, but she needs to consistently go for takedowns. He is concerned about Kianzad's recent winning streak but sees value in Davis if she implements a wrestling-heavy game plan.

Davis by decision
"i'm gonna actually pick alexis davis here to kind of implement hopefully that same game plan against the bina mazzo get this fight down to the mat"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Cody slightly favors Kianzad, citing her jab and takedown defense. He thinks she can keep the fight standing and outbox Davis. He notes Davis's toughness and BJJ but believes Kianzad's striking will be the difference. He is not betting it.

"it's like an ever so slight pick for penny kianzad"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Daniel Levi picks Pannie Kianzad, noting her improved takedown defense and boxing volume. He respects Alexis Davis as a vet but thinks Kianzad's size and striking will be too much. He expects Kianzad to keep the fight standing and out-volume Davis, leading to a clear decision win.

"i'm gonna go with panicky keon's ad to keep it standing and just out volume alexis davis"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 12, 2021 (fight day)
Pannie Kianzad

Kianzad has superior striking and can use her jab to stay on the outside, while Davis is slower and relies on grappling. Kianzad showed she can survive takedowns and come back in later rounds, as seen in her last fight. However, Davis is durable and could grind out a win if she gets takedowns. Kianzad likely wins a decision if she fights disciplined.

Kianzad by decision
"I do end up leaning on the Pannie Kianzad side due to her having better striking... I'm going to take Kianzad to win this fight via decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)
No clear pick

Paul passes on this fight. He sees it as a close fight that likely goes the distance, but the line doesn't offer value. He notes Davis's grappling threat but is not confident enough to bet.

"it's more of a past situation"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

The MMA Guru picks Pannie Kianzad, citing her superior striking, underrated takedown defense (85% defense rate), and youth. He believes she can replicate Sabina Mazo's success on the feet against Alexis Davis and avoid takedowns. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision.

"i'm gonna go with pani kianzad here because i feel like she's definitely going to get the better of alexis davis on the feet"