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Age 29
Height 5' 7"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 29
Height 5' 10"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Switch
Career Averages - Ilia Topuria
4.81 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
3.83 SApM
64.0% Str. Def.
1.96 TD Avg
61.0% TD Acc.
93.0% TD Def.
1.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Youssef Zalal
3.03 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
1.78 SApM
66.0% Str. Def.
2.17 TD Avg
31.0% TD Acc.
59.0% TD Def.
1.4 Sub. Avg
Ilia Topuria - Fight History
SCHED vs Justin Gaethje
UFC Freedom 250 · Jun 14, 2026
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2026 (11 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

AJ believes Topuria's hands are too precise and his boxing is too elite for Gaethje. He mentions that Gaethje's calf kicks and forward pressure give him a chance, but ultimately Topuria's striking is different and he expects Topuria to get the win.

"I think Tapori is a problem... I think Tapora's striking is different."
KO R1 2:27 · UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · Jun 28, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ilia Topuria 1 21 of 29 72% 24 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:01
Charles Oliveira 0 9 of 16 56% 10 of 18 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ilia Topuria 1 21 of 29 72% 24 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:01
Charles Oliveira 0 9 of 16 56% 10 of 18 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ilia Topuria 21 of 29 72% 17 of 23 3 of 3 1 of 3 18 of 24 0 of 0 3 of 5
Charles Oliveira 9 of 16 56% 3 of 8 2 of 4 4 of 4 8 of 14 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ilia Topuria 21 of 29 72% 17 of 23 3 of 3 1 of 3 18 of 24 0 of 0 3 of 5
Charles Oliveira 9 of 16 56% 3 of 8 2 of 4 4 of 4 8 of 14 1 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
UFC Lightweight Title Fight: Ilia Topuria vs. Charles Oliveira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Topuria (-440), Oliveira (+340)

Round 1
One way or another, lightweight history will be made tonight. Either Topuria (16-0, 8-0 UFC) will become the first undefeated two-division champ in UFC history, or Oliveira (35-10, 1 NC; 23-10, 1 NC UFC) will serve as the first two-time 155-pound king. The finish rates of the two are high, excitement is higher and the
fighter
that was
electrocuted in Thailand
on Sunday at a Weed Boxing show may be the highest. Locked and loaded, referee Marc Goddard has got this. Before the mayhem begins, the 155ers vying for the vacant throne share a respectful fist bump. It’s on with the show.
Oliveira is quick to deliver a hard leg kick, and they get right to swinging. Both men tag one another immediately, with the former lightweight champ hitting harder but suffering a cut on the eye. Oliveira rushes forward to grab hold of Topuria, searching for a body lock takedown. Oliveira tries to throw Topuria to the mat, but he ends up falling to his back. Blood flows from the eyebrow of “Do Bronxs,” who latches onto a leglock that drags Topuria to the floor. Topuria scrambles wildly to get his leg out, turning towards the Brazilian and exploding his way up. He slaps Oliveira with a few low kicks to either side, until Goddard tells Oliveira to stand. Topuria lets loose with swinging fists, and Oliveira clinches and throws him to the wall. Oliveira dips and delivers an uppercut on the chin, and Topuria goes to the body. Topuria’s power is maximum, as he unleashes a thunderous right hook and a lightning bolt left that sends Oliveira collapsing to the floor, completely unconscious. Before Goddard can get between them, Topuria hammers the nail with a couple brutal, unnecessary hammerfists. The snoozing Oliveira’s eyes stare into the void, and the void stares back into him until he regains consciousness.
While Oliveira has been stopped with strikes before, including taking a one-hitter quitter from Cub Swanson in 2012, no one has done that to the Brazilian at 155 pounds. The vacancy of the lightweight belt is now filled, and it is in the arms of “El Matador.” Topuria called his shot perfectly, claiming before the match that he would knock out Oliveira in the first round. He did just that, and the next question is who will be next for him. Three awaiting contenders are shown in the crowd: Justin Gaethje, Paddy Pimblett and Arman Tsarukyan. Topuria calls out Pimblett specifically, and declares, “If you think you are ready, come on you blonde b--ch.” Pimblett jumps out of the crowd to hurry into the cage, and politely gives Topuria credit for the hellacious knockout while patting him on the shoulder. “Paddy the Baddy” then announces that he will finish Topuria, and that “El Matador” could not knock him out. Topuria shoves Pimblett as dollar signs flash in the eyes of UFC executives, with the company apparently matching the fight right now. If that fight does materialize, it will be a big one, and we will be here for it. We hope you are too.

The Official Result
Ilia Topuria def. Charles Oliveira R1 2:27 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Angelo picks Ilia Topuria because he believes Topuria's boxing, footwork, and wrestling are superior to Charles Oliveira's. He notes that Oliveira has been rocked in almost every fight, while Topuria has only been dropped once and recovered to win. He acknowledges that Oliveira is a great grappler but thinks Topuria's wrestling is better and his hands are cleaner. He is slightly concerned about Topuria's size at lightweight but thinks he will get the job done.

"The pick is going to be Ilia. I think he's just better."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Big Brady believes this is a bad matchup for Oliveira, citing Topuria's excellent takedown defense and power. He notes Oliveira has been dropped in recent fights and Topuria hits harder than anyone Oliveira has faced. Brady thinks the fight will stay standing, where Topuria will land big shots and potentially finish early. He also mentions that referee Mark Goddard is quick to stop fights, which favors Topuria. He predicts a first-round knockout.

Topuria wins by first round knockout
"I'm going to say Tap to wins this fight. I think it's first round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Connor sees this as a bad stylistic matchup for Oliveira. He notes that Oliveira's losses come against fighters who aren't afraid to grapple with him and who pressure him, both of which describe Topuria. He also highlights Topuria's body punching and pressure fighting as key advantages, and believes Topuria's wrestling defense is sufficient to neutralize Oliveira's grappling. He expects Topuria to finish Oliveira relatively quickly, either by knockout or by dominating on the ground.

"I am forced to conclude whatever angle I look at this from that it feels like a bad matchup for Charles Oliveira, kind of fundamentally."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

The host believes Topuria can walk Oliveira down and land big power shots, setting up a knockout. He also notes Topuria might look to take the fight to the ground to submit the UFC submission leader, but ultimately expects a knockout victory.

knockout, possible submission attempt
"I think he can really walk Charles Olivera down, land his big power shots and I think it ultimately sets up that knockout."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

The host picks Ilia Topuria by TKO, citing his crisp boxing, power, and ability to hurt Oliveira. He notes that Oliveira gets hurt by everyone and that Topuria's compact style will be difficult for Oliveira to grapple with. He predicts multiple knockdowns leading to a finish late in the first round.

TKO
"Ilia Puria is who I'm going to take to win this fight. I am terrified that he will look like an absolute dwarf out there..."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Zane agrees that Topuria is a bad matchup for Oliveira. He points out that Oliveira's game relies on fear and aggression, and if an opponent doesn't respect his grappling, Oliveira can be beaten. He notes that Topuria is a pressure fighter who is comfortable in the pocket and has good takedown defense. Zane also mentions that Oliveira looked slower and more cautious in his last fight against Chandler, which is a worrying sign. He expects Topuria to win, possibly by knockout or by outgrappling Oliveira.

"I think so too. Um, and you know, maybe there is some surprise in there. Like Olivera at this point is a, is a very big lightweight. Sure. And Ilia Toporia, as you noted, is not even a particularly big …"
WIN vs Max Holloway
KO (punches) R3 1:34 · UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · Oct 26, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ilia Topuria 1 75 of 144 52% 78 of 147 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:45
Max Holloway 0 79 of 204 38% 84 of 209 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ilia Topuria 0 22 of 47 46% 24 of 49 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:41
Max Holloway 0 30 of 75 40% 35 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ilia Topuria 0 32 of 62 51% 32 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Max Holloway 0 35 of 102 34% 35 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ilia Topuria 1 21 of 35 60% 22 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Max Holloway 0 14 of 27 51% 14 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ilia Topuria 75 of 144 52% 49 of 114 11 of 14 15 of 16 71 of 140 0 of 0 4 of 4
Max Holloway 79 of 204 38% 47 of 151 13 of 30 19 of 23 79 of 204 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ilia Topuria 22 of 47 46% 13 of 38 3 of 3 6 of 6 22 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
Max Holloway 30 of 75 40% 17 of 56 7 of 12 6 of 7 30 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ilia Topuria 32 of 62 51% 20 of 47 5 of 7 7 of 8 32 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
Max Holloway 35 of 102 34% 23 of 79 3 of 13 9 of 10 35 of 102 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ilia Topuria 21 of 35 60% 16 of 29 3 of 4 2 of 2 17 of 31 0 of 0 4 of 4
Max Holloway 14 of 27 51% 7 of 16 3 of 5 4 of 6 14 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
UFC Featherweight Title Fight: Ilia Topuria vs. Max Holloway
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Topuria (-230), Holloway (+190)

Round 1
One of the best fights the UFC could possibly make serves as the main attraction, and it is one for all the marbles. Topuria (15-0, 7-0 UFC) puts his featherweight strap and undefeated record on the line against former champ Holloway (26-7, 22-7 UFC), and excitement is at a fever pitch. No more introductions are needed. Referee Marc Goddard brings the gladiators to the center of the Octagon to touch gloves, and they do just that. It’s on with the show. Topuria stands in the middle of the cage and points to the ground, and Holloway motions a matador gesture to counter him. They do not brawl it out immediately. Topuria advances calmly instead, measuring the former champ and blocking a head kick and a few jabs. Topuria goes over the top with a right hand that misses the mark, and a second nearly lands as well. Holloway keeps active with jabs and body kicks, and he swipes out with a right hook that misses the mark. Topuria puts everything he has into a huge right hand, and Holloway is wise to it and pecks at him with sharp jabs. Topuria shoots in and lifts “Blessed” off his feet, driving him to the canvas with a solid double. Holloway wall-walks, and Topuria forced a mat return. Holloway stands once more and breaks away, and he checks a low kick and advances with a right hand. Topuria gives him a right to think about, but Holloway does not let him off the hook and pegs him with a pair of punches. Topuria chops at the front leg a few times, and he tags Holloway with a right hand. Holloway skirts out of the way before absorbing more than a few, and Topuria works his front leg with another hard kick. Holloway snaps out a jab, marking up Topuria’s face and coming up short with a front kick. Topuria reaches his target with a jab, and Holloway prods out with low kicks. Topuria tries to swing it out, and Holloway is composed enough to evade the blows and get off a long right hand on the way out. Holloway splits the guard with a front kick and has his guard high to defend the counters, and his head kick bounces off the guard. Holloway peppers his opponent with a low kick and jabs, and he follows a jab with a two. Topuria shakes it off and walks into a jab that makes him reset, and he dodges a spinning back kick in time. Topuria throws hammers, and he knocks an off-balance Holloway down to the mat in what was more of a slip or a trip than a clean strike, and the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Holloway
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Holloway
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Holloway

Round 2
The featherweights clap hands to get started again, and Holloway fights immediately behind his jab. Topuria comes up short with a low kick and a right hand, and he gets caught on the way in with a jab. Holloway tags the champ with a clean right, and he trades low kicks with his opponent. Holloway goes to the head and body with jabs, and he takes one on the nose to back him away. Topuria wings power punches that hit air, but his calf kick finds its mark. Topuria clubs Holloway on the side of the head with winging punches, and he chains a calf kick after it. Topuria gets in a right hand and has a leg kick checked, and Holloway snaps his head back with a jab. Holloway steps in with a knee behind a few jabs, and he stomps at the front knee of his adversary. Topuria drills Holloway in the chin with a left hand, and he goes after the front leg with a kick again. Topuria’s punches connect cleanly on the jaw of the Hawaiian, who shows him what time it is with a left hook and a head kick on the other side. Topuria loads up on power strikes, and Holloway’s jabs are disrupting him just enough so that he does not get them full blast. Holloway dips a huge hook and jabs away, and he reaches out with a body shot. Topuria answers in kind, and he rolls with a right hook. Holloway kicks the side as he fires off jabs, and he checks a kick and kicks his man back. Holloway knees the side as Topuria barrels down on him, and he nails the champ with a short left and a power right. Topuria responds with a right hand, and he is met with multiple low kicks in response. Chants for both fighters are deafening in the building, and Holloway chains a number of punches together to decent effect. Topuria kicks the front leg and gets met with a body kick, and he eats a right hand when throwing one. Holloway scores a spinning back kick to the body, and Topuria shrugs at him before the round comes to a close.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Holloway
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Topuria
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Topuria

Round 3
It’s back to more face-punching as they resume again, and Holloway uses his punches to set up two low kicks and a third up high. Topuria walks through a leg kick to land a right on the chin, and Holloway scores a left hand as Topuria points at him. Topuria deploys a powerful leg kick, and a second one is met with long punches from the former champ. Holloway stomps at his foe’s front leg a few times, and Topuria does not lie it. Topuria winds up with a huge right hand, knocking the former champ back and stunning him. Holloway shells up and defends himself from an onslaught, and he is still rocked even as he counters and circles away. Topuria is on top of him ready to finish the job, further backing Holloway up to the wall and letting loose with a bombardment of punches. A ferocious left hand in the midst of a fierce flurry knocks Holloway down to the ground, and Topuria has achieved something no featherweight has ever accomplished. Topuria lowers himself down to blast Holloway with a number of hammerfists, and Holloway’s lights go out and get switched back on from the stream of blows. Goddard sees that Holloway has had enough and waves the fight off, and Topuria wanders away and motions sipping at tea. Incredible! Topuria has done the impossible, knocking out a fighter who had never before been stopped with strikes. Topuria is still undefeated, having notched back-to-back finishes that will stack up among the greatest ever performed in the division. Topuria leaps out of the cage to embrace anyone he can find, including UFC chief exec Hunter Campbell and television host Steve Harvey. As he returns to the cage, he receives a rose for his effort. Topuria welcomes all challengers, including former champion Alexander Volkanovski, who takes the cage to greet him. Topuria says he does not want to fight anyone right now, and instead wants to hug Volkanovski. He does just that. Full of love, Topuria wants to celebrate this victory with his family and team. It remains to be seen who is next for the champion, who cements himself as a star and one of the greats in his weight class because of this spectacular triumph. No matter who is next for "El Matador," we will be here for it. We hope you are too.

The Official Result
Ilia Topuria def. Max Holloway R3 1:34 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Angelo picks Ilia Topuria as the final leg of his villain parlay with a full unit bet, but admits he would be happy to lose the bet if Max wins. He praises Topuria's speed, power, and wrestling entries, and believes he is the next generation of fighter. He thinks Topuria will be too fast and diverse for Max, but acknowledges Max's legendary striking and durability.

Final leg of villain parlay with a full unit bet; hopes it loses.
"Ilia has to be the pick here I think he's just going to be too fast too diverse for Max but Max wins this and I lose that parlay I you the biggest smile on my face for a losing …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Max Holloway

Big Brady thinks this is a very close fight. He believes Topuria will have early success but that Holloway's durability, cardio, and pace will take over in the later rounds. He notes that Holloway has never been knocked out and has absorbed the most significant strikes in UFC history, so he cannot pick anyone to knock him out. He predicts a split decision win for Holloway.

"I'm going to take Max here I'm going to take Max to win this fight by a very close Split Decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Max Holloway

Cody picks Max Holloway as a plus 200 underdog, citing Holloway's unparalleled volume and pace, which he believes will overwhelm Topuria in the later rounds. He notes that Topuria has been outlanded in most of his fights before landing a knockout, and that Holloway has never been knocked out. Cody also mentions that Topuria's cardio slowed in the fifth round against Josh Emmett, and that Holloway's takedown defense is elite. He sprinkles on Holloway by KO in rounds 4 and 5 at long odds.

Holloway by KO round 4 (+3300), Holloway by KO round 5 (+3900)
"I did sprinkle on the Max Holloway round 5 KO plus 3900 and Max Round 4 KO plus 3,300"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Connor picks Topuria, citing his relentless pressure and power advantage. He notes that Max Holloway, while still capable of greatness, has shown signs of age and accumulated damage, and his recent win over Gaethje was more a reflection of Gaethje's poor performance. Connor believes Topuria's pressure and power will be too much for Holloway, especially if Holloway tries to fight on the back foot.

Topuria opened at -235, currently -258; Holloway +202 to +221
"We are both picking Ilya Toporia."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Daniel Vreeland picks Ilia Topuria to win, citing Topuria's power edge, durability, and grappling upside. He notes that Max Holloway has taken a lot of damage over his career and that Topuria's upward trajectory and maturity in the octagon give him the advantage. Vreeland also mentions that Topuria's boxing defense is superior and that he has the ability to finish Holloway, possibly becoming the first to knock him out. He is not concerned about Holloway's late-round cardio narrative, pointing to Topuria's performance against Josh Emmett in round five.

"I'm picking toor to win"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Lucrative James picks Ilia Topuria to win, citing Topuria's massive power advantage and grappling upside. He notes that Topuria can close distance, pressure Holloway against the cage, and land heavy shots, and also has submission threats. He acknowledges Holloway's elite chin and takedown defense but believes Topuria's speed and clinical punching will be too much. He predicts a KO or decision win for Topuria.

"I have to pick Ilia Toria to get the job done this weekend... I'm picking a toore KO or decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Max Holloway

Holloway can take Topuria's best shot and then come back with a volume-heavy approach that Topuria cannot keep up with. Topuria had great cardio against Josh Emmett but will not have that luxury against Holloway, who gets stronger in deep waters. Holloway will turn up the pressure in championship rounds and get a TKO finish in the fourth or fifth round.

Holloway wins by TKO in rounds 4-5
"look for a hallay to continue to turn up the volume and pressure in the championship rounds which could lead to a brage of strikes to get a TKO finish in the fourth or fifth round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Max Holloway

Paul also picks Max Holloway, emphasizing that the fight is closer to 50-50 than the odds suggest. He argues that Topuria's power is real but he gets outlanded in most fights before landing a kill shot, and that Holloway's durability and volume will be key. Paul points out that Topuria's wins over Volk and Emmett came against opponents with durability issues, and that Holloway's experience and pace will expose Topuria. He also mentions that Topuria's reluctance to fight Holloway initially suggests doubt.

"I think it's probably in my mind closer to a 50-50 type fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

The Guru picks Ilia Topuria to win by decision, citing Topuria's superior boxing and power as the prototype to beat Max Holloway. He notes that Holloway struggles against shorter opponents, as seen in the Volk trilogy, and that Topuria's low kicks and ability to cut Holloway will be key. He also mentions Holloway's recent weight cut from lightweight and scar tissue as disadvantages. The Guru predicts Topuria will hurt Holloway early, open a cut, and survive a late rally to win a damage-based decision.

"I'm going with Ilia Topuria to win this fight by decision and I think Holloway is going to have moments later on and people are going to complain."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Zane picks Topuria, agreeing with Connor that Topuria's pressure and power are key. He notes that Holloway's recent performances have been less assertive and that Topuria's ability to counter the jab and walk opponents down will be problematic for Holloway. Zane also mentions that Holloway's best chance is to pressure Topuria, but he's not sure Holloway will do that.

Topuria opened at -235, currently -258; Holloway +202 to +221
"We are both picking Ilya Toporia."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2024 (fight day)
Ilia Topuria

Zane picked Topuria going into the fight, citing his power and ability to press and stay on the front foot, while Holloway's willingness to work the back foot and counter would be too big a hill to climb. He noted that Holloway's height, length, and diversity of skills gave Topuria trouble early, but Topuria's huge power and deadly pocket countering were the equalizer. Zane emphasized that Holloway has never been a big power puncher and could not match Topuria's power, and that Holloway's style of taking one to give three eventually caught up to him.

"I picked Ilya Toporia going in figured his power and his ability to press and stay on the front foot and Holloway's willingness to work the back foot and counter would just be too big a hill for Holloway to …"
KO (punch) R2 3:32 · UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · Feb 17, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ilia Topuria 0 47 of 107 43% 47 of 107 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alexander Volkanovski 1 35 of 77 45% 36 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ilia Topuria 0 26 of 52 50% 26 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alexander Volkanovski 0 15 of 38 39% 16 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ilia Topuria 0 21 of 55 38% 21 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alexander Volkanovski 1 20 of 39 51% 20 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ilia Topuria 47 of 107 43% 21 of 68 11 of 22 15 of 17 44 of 102 3 of 5 0 of 0
Alexander Volkanovski 35 of 77 45% 17 of 53 12 of 16 6 of 8 28 of 70 4 of 4 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ilia Topuria 26 of 52 50% 8 of 29 7 of 12 11 of 11 24 of 49 2 of 3 0 of 0
Alexander Volkanovski 15 of 38 39% 4 of 25 7 of 8 4 of 5 13 of 36 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Ilia Topuria 21 of 55 38% 13 of 39 4 of 10 4 of 6 20 of 53 1 of 2 0 of 0
Alexander Volkanovski 20 of 39 51% 13 of 28 5 of 8 2 of 3 15 of 34 2 of 2 3 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
UFC Featherweight Title Fight: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Ilia Topuria
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Volkanovski (-118), Topuria (-102)

Round 1
We have reached the marquee matchup of the evening, and it is one that fight fans have been waiting patiently to watch for several months. Unable to secure a second title, Volkanovski (26-3, 13-2 UFC) will have to make do with attempting the sixth defense of his featherweight throne. Much has been said about his age, having recently turned 35, and he steered into it on fight week by donning an “Old Man Volk” persona. Eight years the junior of the champ, full of vinegar and that other thing, fired up unbeaten Topuria (14-0, 6-0 UFC) wants that gold belt, and to claim it he will have to become the first fighter to defeat Volkanovski at 145 pounds. No matter how this fight plays out, referee Jason Herzog will take care of the proceedings. When he brings the fighters together, they opt to touch gloves first. Topuria moves towards the center of the cage, and he blocks a quick head kick. As Topuria advances, Volkanovski snipes him with kicks high and low. Volkanovski paws out with a left and a body kick, and Topuria walks through them and retaliates with a sharp right hand over the top. Volkanovski times a kick to the body and continues throwing them to the lead leg and midsection, even flicking one up high as he keeps Topuria from reaching him. Volkanovski rips the body with another kick, and he pokes out a jab. Topuria winds up with a hard leg kick, spinning the champ all the way around, and Volkanovski recovers with a spinning back fist just in case Topuria was advancing. Topuria kicks the calf low with bad intentions, and he backs the champ off with an overhand right that glances off his guard. Topuria gets off another low kick, and he forces Volkanovski to change stances just a few in. Volkanovski dances out of the way of a short combo of fists, and he whips a kick up high to keep Topuria honest. Volkanovski delivers a calf kick back, and he follows suit with a body kick. Volkanovski paws out a left as Topuria charges, but Topuria manages to break through and sting Volkanovski with a right hand. Volkanovski bounces off the fence and shakes it off, where he peppers kicks to stave off the offense from the challenger. Volkanovski connects with a body kick and slips a huge punch, and he drives two heavy low kicks home to stumble Topuria. Volkanovski tags Topuria on the way in with a short left hand, and Topuria motions to him that his punches do not faze him. Volkanovski signals that he did land cleanly, and he shoots for a takedown only to break and knee the Georgian three times in rapid succession. The close round ends with a trickle of blood leaking from the bridge of Topuria’s nose.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Topuria
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Topuria
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Topuria

Round 2
The featherweights touch ‘em up in the middle of the cage, and Volkanovski is fleet of foot, darting in and out with jabs and kicks to any target he can find. Topuria crashes the pocket with two hooks, and Volkanovski rolls with them and shifts to the side. Topuria chases with an overhand right, and Volkanovski measures with jabs. Topuria lands cleanly with a right and then a left, and Volkanovski nods at him and clinches up only to knee the challenger on the break. Volkanovski connects with a right hand and a low kick as Topuria resets, and Volkanovski reaches him on the way back with a body kick. Topuria lunges to land a single punch, and the jabs from Volkanovski have opened the slight cut on Topuria’s nose again. Topuria knocks Volkanovski back with a right hand, and he digs a kick to the calf as Volkanovski changes stances. They snap out jabs at the same time, with the champion reaching more cleanly and frequently when they trade them. Volkanovski peppers the lead leg with kicks, and he drives a right hand into Topuria’s forehead to give him a moment of pause. Topuria lands a low kick, and Volkanovski gives him back one to the calf and one to the body. Volkanovski springs forward with jabs that have marked the face up of the challenger, and he does not slow in his approach of kicking to any target he can find. Frustrated with taking potshots from afar, “El Matador” charges like a bull. Volkanovski slips the oncoming fire, rebounding off the cage wall, but Topuria does not slow. Topuria unleashes a lightning bolt of a right hand that completely short circuits the champion. All the way out, Volkanovski collapses with his back to the fence, and Topuria dings him on the way down with a speedy left to follow. Herzog sprints between them to save Volkanovski from any further punishment, as the champion is no longer conscious—and no longer the champion. Topuria hammers any final nail with a few right hands until Herzog reaches him to pull him off of the downed Aussie. Incredible! Spain and Georgia now have a UFC champion, and his name is Ilia Topuria. The new champ is now an undefeated 15-0 with 13 finishes, with none bigger than this stunning moment. Topuria springs the only betting upset of the evening, starching one of the greatest to ever do it with one monumental punch. Welcome to the Topuria era.

The Official Result
Ilia Topuria def. Alexander Volkanovski R2 3:32 via KO (Punch)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 11, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Alexander Volkanovski

Angelo picks Alexander Volkanovski, citing his dominance at featherweight and well-rounded skills. He acknowledges Topuria's power and wrestling but notes Topuria hasn't faced anyone as skilled as Volkanovski. He is concerned about Volkanovski's recent knockout loss but believes he has defied age-related stats before. He will not bet on this fight.

"I got to go vul here he hasn't shown me anything at this weight class to make me think he won't win this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Alexander Volkanovski

Big Brady picks Alexander Volkanovski to win by decision. He argues that Topuria hasn't proven himself against top competition, with his best wins being Bryce Mitchell and an aging Josh Emmett. He believes Volkanovski is on another level, having beaten Max Holloway three times and Jose Aldo. He acknowledges the narratives about Volkanovski's age and drinking but thinks the line is too close, calling a Topuria win a major upset.

"give me Alexander volkanovski to win this fight and Win It by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Alexander Volkanovski

Cody agrees with Paul, emphasizing Volkanovski's status as the featherweight GOAT and his near-win over Islam Makhachev. He questions Topuria's competition level (Jay Herbert, Bryce Mitchell, Josh Emmett) compared to Volkanovski's resume. He notes Topuria's potential cardio issues in the fifth round, as he took off the fifth against Emmett. He favors the champ's pressure and volume at even money.

"I got to go with the devil I know then the devil I don't and toor's got some things he needs to prove still to this point whereas volkanovski I'm comfortable with where he's at and when he brings to …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Daniel Vreeland picks Ilia Topuria to win, citing a changing of the guard. He emphasizes Topuria's youth, less damage taken, and well-rounded skills including submission grappling and striking. He notes Volkanovski's recent knockout loss, weight cut issues, and age as concerns, but says his pick was made before those factors. He believes Topuria can match Volkanovski's output and has the heart to survive adversity, as shown in his comeback from head kick knockdowns.

"I've bet on Toria in every single one of his UFC fights... it should be no surprise that I'm picking him here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Alexander Volkanovski

Volkanovski is the most complete featherweight possibly ever. He will execute a master game plan, stifle Topuria's power punching, and grind on the mat. Topuria is a high-level prospect but this is a huge step up. Expects Volkanovski to hand out a veteran lesson and win by decision.

"I think volkanovski is going to show him a thing or two handing out a veteran lesson and defending the title by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Alexander Volkanovski

Paul believes the line is skewed by Volkanovski's short-notice loss to Makhachev. He thinks Volkanovski can secure takedowns and hang out in guard, avoiding Topuria's power. He cites Volkanovski's volume, pace, and experience against top competition like Brian Ortega. He feels the line should be closer to -175, so even money is a trap in his favor.

"I'm going with VA volkanovski in the main event here because I feel like this line is getting skewed by what happened with volkanovski taking the rematch against makev over in the Middle East on like 10 days notice..."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

The MMA Guru picks Ilia Topuria, citing his power, grappling, and momentum. He notes Volkanovski's recent KO loss to Makhachev, his drinking, and the weight cut. He believes Topuria's boxing and power will be key, and that Volkanovski's chin may be suspect. He predicts a KO in round two, with Volkanovski complaining about an early stoppage.

"I'm going with Ilia Topuria... KO round two, Vault complains about an early stoppage."
WIN vs Josh Emmett
Decision (unanimous) (50–44, 50–42, 49–45) R5 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Emmett vs. Topuria · Jun 24, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ilia Topuria 0 87 of 305 28% 89 of 309 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Josh Emmett 1 152 of 344 44% 171 of 365 3 of 3 100% 0 0 3:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ilia Topuria 0 14 of 68 20% 14 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Josh Emmett 0 21 of 56 37% 21 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ilia Topuria 0 19 of 68 27% 19 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Josh Emmett 0 30 of 75 40% 30 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
3 Ilia Topuria 0 31 of 81 38% 31 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Josh Emmett 0 37 of 91 40% 37 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Ilia Topuria 0 13 of 52 25% 15 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Josh Emmett 1 56 of 100 56% 62 of 107 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
5 Ilia Topuria 0 10 of 36 27% 10 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Josh Emmett 0 8 of 22 36% 21 of 36 3 of 3 100% 0 0 2:33
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ilia Topuria 87 of 305 28% 43 of 232 26 of 53 18 of 20 87 of 305 0 of 0 0 of 0
Josh Emmett 152 of 344 44% 124 of 302 9 of 16 19 of 26 114 of 289 2 of 2 36 of 53
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ilia Topuria 14 of 68 20% 8 of 58 4 of 8 2 of 2 14 of 68 0 of 0 0 of 0
Josh Emmett 21 of 56 37% 14 of 47 4 of 5 3 of 4 21 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ilia Topuria 19 of 68 27% 8 of 47 6 of 15 5 of 6 19 of 68 0 of 0 0 of 0
Josh Emmett 30 of 75 40% 25 of 66 0 of 0 5 of 9 25 of 68 0 of 0 5 of 7
3 Ilia Topuria 31 of 81 38% 16 of 60 7 of 12 8 of 9 31 of 81 0 of 0 0 of 0
Josh Emmett 37 of 91 40% 30 of 80 3 of 5 4 of 6 37 of 91 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Ilia Topuria 13 of 52 25% 6 of 39 6 of 12 1 of 1 13 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
Josh Emmett 56 of 100 56% 50 of 90 2 of 6 4 of 4 26 of 55 2 of 2 28 of 43
5 Ilia Topuria 10 of 36 27% 5 of 28 3 of 6 2 of 2 10 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Josh Emmett 8 of 22 36% 5 of 19 0 of 0 3 of 3 5 of 19 0 of 0 3 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Josh Emmett vs. Ilia Topuria
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Topuria (-320), Emmett (+265)

Round 1
We have reached the main event after a fairly lengthy midday event. It should be a treat that presents a great deal of excitement, giving the Jacksonville fans one last brawl. Coming off an unsuccessful shot at the interim strap, Emmett (18-3, 9-3 UFC) wants to show at 38 he is not done yet. On the other side of the equation, 12 years Emmett’s junior, Topuria (13-0, 5-0 UFC) is undefeated and fast on the rise with violence in spades. Chins will almost certainly be tested before it is all said and done, and referee Marc Goddard receives the honor of officiating this hopefully thrilling headliner. There is nothing but respect between the two, as they tap their gloves together before the hostilities commence. Emmett blitzes forward right out of the gate, making the Georgian retreat early as Emmett bears down on him. Topuria is no worse for wear, and Emmett targets the body and head with surges of punches. Emmett circles around his relatively stationary adversary, and he stumbles as he drops low. Emmett gets up and goes back to potshotting Topuria with power range punches. Topuria sits down on a right hand counter, giving Emmett a little pause to advance recklessly. The two start trading furiously from up close, and Topuria backs off and targets the body. Emmett takes a solid right hand on the jaw, and he keeps moving and swaying. Topuria reaches him with an uppercut to the midsection, and he leans back from a swatting combo coming back at him. They trade left hooks, and Topuria flicks out several jabs to mark up Emmett’s face. Emmett throws so hard he nearly falls over, putting everything he has into his punches. Topuria’s guard is able to protect him from the worst of the blows, and he sees the wide looping right hands from afar. Topuria lands a low kick and keeps active with a jab, and he absorbs a flush right hand on the cheek. Topuria drills a kick that makes Emmett turn around, and he intercepts an advancing Emmett with another calf kick and a jab. A cut on the corner of Emmett’s eye opens up, and Emmett ignores it and throws caution to the wins with a chopping kick and an overhand right. Topuria jabs his way into an exchange, and Emmett is right there to stand and bang. Emmett reaches out with a right hand, and he clips Topuria with a check left hook while Topuria is backing away. Topuria closes in and wings two punches, and the tense round comes to a close.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Topuria
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Topuria
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Topuria

Round 2
The second round opens with a glove touch, and the swelling around Emmett’s left eye has grown. Emmett strikes first with a leg kick, and he comes up just short with two looping hooks. Topuria jabs effectively to stifle Emmett’s best offense, and Emmett responds with multiple body shots. Topuria chops at the lead wheel and pokes out with a jab, which reminds Emmett that he can also jab as well. Emmett lunges with a few punches, and the low kick at the end of his strikes connects. Topuria pulls back on a few big strikes, and Emmett closes in and pops him with a left hook. Topuria does not let him off the hook, landing with his own blow. Emmett lumps up the calf with a kick, and he charges in with four punches. Topuria counters him cleanly with a single right hand to make Emmett think twice, and he settles down with a hard low kick. Topuria beats Emmett to the punch with a right hook, and his speed is giving Emmett fits thus far. Emmett checks a low kick and wings a right hand that glances off the side. Topuria is frequently moving when Emmett loads up on his big right hook, and this lets very few of them land flush. The jabs from Topuria have bloodied up Emmett’s nose as well, and it snaps out and is met with a left hook on the way in. Topuria chains a few punches together and backs off when Emmett bullrushes him. Emmett slips on the way in, and Topuria takes advantage of this by smashing him in the face with a right hand. Emmett gets his back against the ropes, and he swings with bad intentions and drops Topuria. The Spanish/Georgian fighter scampers back to his feet and is not overly concerned, and he returns to his tactic of jabs and low kicks. Emmett brushes his right hand over the hair, and he checks a kick on the way back. Topuria slides out of the way of a big shot from Emmett, and he cracks the Californian with a right hand. Emmett drops to his hands, and Topuria rushes down and starts smacking him upside the head. Topuria lets go when Emmett rears back with a right hand, and the second frame wraps.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Topuria
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Topuria
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Topuria

Round 3
The two reach the third round and begin trading, and Topuria slides back and kicks the lead calf of Emmett. Emmett staggers from the damage, and he gathers his thoughts and wings an overhand right. Topuria comes at him throwing two big shots, and Emmett goes high with a kick. Emmett slams his shin on the calf twice, and he jabs Topuria when Topuria closes the distance. Emmett chips with another kick and misses with an overhand right, and Topuria just comes up short with his own counter. As Emmett ducks down to throw him off, Topuria follows him. Emmett catches Topuria with a left hook, and Topuria snipes him with a left hook back and connects with a leg kick. The featherweights crash together with fierce fists, and Emmett tags Topuria with a few huge punches. Topuria gives it right back, and he slashes open a cut on the cheek while also advancing Emmett’s swelling. Emmett stings Topuria with a right hand on the temple, and they clack their shins together with simultaneous kicks. Emmett digs a left to the body, and he is intercepted with a short right hand. Topuria knocks his man back with a jab, and he eats a clean right hand without batting an eye. Topuria measures Emmett with accurate jabs and follow-up punches, while Emmett meets him in the middle and bangs. Emmett walks through a leg kick, and they proceed to swing for the fences. Topuria snaps his jab out brilliantly, and Emmett’s left eye is almost closed. Emmett uses his own jab to decent effect, but its volume is nowhere near the unbeaten fighter’s. Topuria strings a few punches together to bust Emmett’s face up badly, and the side of it is covered in red. Emmett ducks a few punches to counter, and he pops Topuria in the chops with a left hook. Emmett beats Topuria to the punch with a right hand, and he waves Topuria on to brawl with him. Emmett overswings with his punches, and he targets the body and lead calf as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Emmett
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Topuria
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Emmett

Round 4
We have ourselves a fight as the two reach the championship rounds, and they clap hands to get started. Emmett wades into the fray, landing at the end of a few punches as Topuria’s movement has slowed to a small degree. Emmett blitzes, and Topuria hops out of the way to evade most of the strikes. Topuria sticks out a jab, and he pins a one-two on the chin when Emmett chops at his calf. Topuria flicks out a few more jabs, and Emmett goes over the top with a big right. Topuria continues to work his jab, and Emmett aims a punch to the chest and one to the ribs. Topuria nails his foe with a leg kick, and Emmett has to hop back for a second to get his bearings. Emmett reaches out with a right hook, but Topuria is able to lean back and zip out a few jabs and a one-two. Emmett looks for a left to the body, and he gets his calf kicked and he squats down after it lands hard. Emmett rushes with looping shots that Topuria is able to avoid without problems, and when that one fails, he blitzes a second time. The body shot from Emmett does score, and Topuria’s jab snaps Emmet’s head back. Topuria times a big right hand to counter with one of his own, and he spins away before Emmett can reach him. Two punches from Topuria knock Emmett off-balance, and he learns that he is in trouble before his body does. Emmett falls to the ground, and Topuria beats on him in an effort to stop the fight. Emmett’s toughness is off the charts, as he survives the barrage of unanswered punches and gets back to his feet. Emmett climbs up with the fence behind him and wings power punches, but Topuria is faster and more accurate. A vicious leg kick and second flurry from “El Matador” knocks Emmett of his feet again, and he jumps straight into mount and tries to finish the job with his fists. Topuria drops down punches and hammerfists, and Emmett turns to his stomach and manages to survive to the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Topuria
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Topuria
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Topuria

Round 5
Between rounds, Goddard calls in the doctor to check on the swelling and damage of Emmett’s face. Emmett is able to pass the vision tests, and he informs Goddard he is more than willing to keep fighting despite his disfigurement. The two featherweights touch ‘em up one final time to begin the last round, and Emmett is a man possessed. Emmett charges with everything he has, and he rocks Topuria with a huge right hand. Topuria bounces off the fencing several times, in a surprisingly bad way, and Emmett gives chase swinging bombs. Emmett checks a kick, and Topuria gets back to his rhythm of jabs and calf kicks. Emmett hops around to get some feeling back in his leg, and he kicks with his other one. Emmett walks through a jab to lob a left hook, and he is throwing haymakers that Topuria is barely dodging. Emmett whiffs on a huge left hand, and he kicks the calf while Topuria is jabbing him. Emmett strikes the body and fires off massive hooks, and Topuria sees them coming and blocks them. Emmett reaches Topuria with a shovel left hook, and Topuria keeps moving so that he does not present as a stationary target. Emmett goes to the body with a left and bring a right over the top, and he swings with a subsequent left that opens him up to a takedown attempt. Topuria lands in half guard from his successful double, and Emmett turns to his side and works to a knee. Emmett wipes at his badly swollen eye as Topuria holds on from behind, although he cannot explode back up to his feet. Topuria clings to Emmett as precious seconds tick off the clock, and he manages to hit a mat return. Emmett scrambles, and the two roll around until Topuria follows to get the back again. Emmett works his way up, thanks in part to a fence grab, and Topuria wrenches him right back down. Topuria takes the back and flattens Emmett out for a moment, but Emmett turns to his side once more as he uses all of his last remaining energy to get up. Topuria punches Emmett on the side of the head a few more times for good measure, and Emmett muscles his way to his feet right at the sound of the final bell. These two featherweights have gone the distance after five violent rounds, and the stock of the younger Topuria is going to climb significantly after this excellent showing. Topuria will advance himself to a clean 14-0 as a pro, with two decision wins on his ledger now. In victory, “El Matador” declares himself as “the next guy” for the featherweight belt, and he wants to take on Alexander Volkanovski to become the first one to beat him at this weight class. There is little time to savor this, as the UFC train will keep on rolling. The next show will be in the UFC Apex in a week, and we will be here for it. We hope you are too.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Topuria (49-45 Topuria)
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Topuria (50-45 Topuria)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Topuria (49-46 Topuria)

The Official Result
Ilia Topuria def. Josh Emmett via Unanimous Decision (50-44, 50-42, 49-45)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Angelo picks Ilia Topuria, citing his phenomenal wrestling, speed, power, and ability to adjust on the fly. He notes Topuria is the better wrestler, faster, and hits just as hard as Emmett. He acknowledges Emmett has insane power and Topuria has been rocked before, but outside of a lucky punch, Emmett won't have much to offer. He says the 3-to-1 odds seem correct.

"Ilya should absolutely work Josh Eman here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Big Brady picks Ilia Topuria, believing he should win but notes the line is wide. He emphasizes Topuria's elite grappling and BJJ black belt, which he should use to take Emmett down. He has concerns about Topuria's cardio if the fight goes deep and his tendency to get hit, as seen against Jai Herbert. He predicts a first-round submission, but acknowledges a knockout is possible. He notes Emmett's power and age (38) as factors.

first round sub
"I'm gonna take the 40 to win this fight by first round sub"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Cody picks Topuria but with hesitation, citing concerns about Topuria's cardio in a five-round fight and the step up in competition. He notes Emmett's power and experience, and suggests this fight is better for live betting. He ultimately sides with Topuria due to youth and skills but is wary of the hype.

Live betting recommended; considers taking Emmett if Topuria drops early.
"I actually kind of think I like this one better from a live betting standpoint."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Connor picks Topuria, focusing on the question of whether Topuria can fight outside the pocket and if Emmett can keep him out. He argues that Emmett is a potshotter who struggles when opponents force prolonged exchanges, as seen against Yair Rodriguez. Connor believes Topuria's boxing defense and counter-punching are reliable against Emmett's headhunting, but notes the massive caveat that Emmett's power is a constant threat, especially given Topuria's history of being hurt.

Odds too wide; Topuria -321 is too high given Emmett's power. Emmett could be the 'hot stove' that hurts Topuria.
"I do favor Toporia, but it cannot be ignored that like the fight I see Toporia winning is... 60 40, a suicide mission."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Daniel Levi picks Ilia Topuria to win, citing Topuria's youth (12 years younger), superior boxing, and better jiu-jitsu. He believes Topuria will outbox and finish Emmett in the mid to late rounds. He acknowledges Emmett's power and wrestling but thinks Topuria's cardio concerns are overblown, noting Topuria's short-notice fight against Yusuff. He also mentions Topuria's ability to mix in takedowns and his overall versatility. He is not betting at -310 but is confident in the pick.

No bet at -310; thinks line is about right.
"I think tapiro is the crisper boxer I think he's better Jiu Jitsu... I tend to think the period is gonna outbox and finish them in the mid late rounds but yeah he's my pick but I have no bet …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

The host picks Ilia Topuria to win but is hesitant due to the line being too wide at around -300. He notes that Josh Emmett has tremendous experience against high-level competition and that Topuria hasn't proven himself against a fighter of Emmett's caliber. He suggests value on Emmett's side and expects violence, possibly a finish from either fighter. He ultimately goes with Topuria but advises against betting the moneyline at current odds.

violence (fight doesn't go to decision)
"I'm gonna go with the young girl fighter here in toporia but I think the line is a little bit too wide if anybody's looking to chase value on Josh Ahmed I think the value at least from my perspective …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Paul picks Topuria, acknowledging his elite boxing and jiu-jitsu, but notes the only question mark is his chin after being dropped by Jai Herbert. He thinks the line is accurate and that Topuria outclasses Emmett in many departments, but he won't tie himself financially to this fight.

"I think the line is relatively pretty accurate here at minus 325 like if they fought 10 times he probably wins seven to eight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

The Guru picks Ilia Topuria to win, citing Topuria's youth (26 vs 38), longer layoff without damage, and superior combination punching. He notes Emmett's tendency to throw only 1-2 shots before resetting, while Topuria strings together multi-punch combinations with pauses that can catch Emmett coming out of his own exchanges. He also mentions Emmett's quick turnaround after a war with Yair Rodriguez and brutal weight cuts as potential factors. However, he acknowledges both have one-punch KO power and calls it a dangerous fight, closer to 60-40 than the lopsided public polling suggests.

Mentions that both can knock each other out in the first round; notes Emmett got gifted decisions against Kattar and Ige, implying he's overranked.
"I'm picking Ilya to Puria to win in no way at whatsoever should the poll on topology be 92 Superior eight percent Josh Emmett... this is arguably like a 60 40 type of fight to Ilya to Puria"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Zane picks Topuria, emphasizing that Emmett's style is vulnerable to aggressive pressure fighters who don't respect his power, as seen in losses to Yair Rodriguez and Jeremy Stephens. He notes Topuria's superior boxing technique and body punching, but acknowledges the risk of Topuria's recklessness and Emmett's one-shot power. Zane sees Topuria as the more skilled pocket fighter but warns that Emmett could land a fight-ending shot at any moment.

Odds too wide; Topuria opened -299 now -321, Emmett +253 to +270. Topuria's best win is Bryce Mitchell, not a comparable physical test.
"I got to pick Toporia to the assertiveness and the persistence in the form... I have to pick Toporia here."
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 3:10 · UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · Dec 10, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ilia Topuria 0 36 of 82 43% 46 of 94 1 of 9 11% 0 0 1:29
Bryce Mitchell 1 40 of 77 51% 53 of 93 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ilia Topuria 0 21 of 52 40% 31 of 64 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:29
Bryce Mitchell 0 17 of 38 44% 27 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ilia Topuria 0 15 of 30 50% 15 of 30 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Bryce Mitchell 1 23 of 39 58% 26 of 43 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ilia Topuria 36 of 82 43% 22 of 57 11 of 22 3 of 3 34 of 79 1 of 1 1 of 2
Bryce Mitchell 40 of 77 51% 34 of 63 5 of 13 1 of 1 29 of 64 3 of 4 8 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ilia Topuria 21 of 52 40% 13 of 38 6 of 12 2 of 2 20 of 50 0 of 0 1 of 2
Bryce Mitchell 17 of 38 44% 12 of 27 4 of 10 1 of 1 16 of 37 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Ilia Topuria 15 of 30 50% 9 of 19 5 of 10 1 of 1 14 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 0
Bryce Mitchell 23 of 39 58% 22 of 36 1 of 3 0 of 0 13 of 27 2 of 3 8 of 9
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bryce Mitchell vs. Ilia Topuria
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Topuria (-135), Mitchell (+115)

Round 1
In this main card opener, only one undefeated fighter will remain shortly. Entering into his seventh outing as a UFC fighter, “Thug Nasty” Mitchell (15-0, 6-0 UFC) would very much like to spoil the fellow perfect record of Topuria (12-0, 4-0 UFC), all while sporting special camouflage fight shorts. Topuria does not receive special apparel, but he does celebrate a 92% finish rate that could play a factor very soon. 2022 Referee of the Year award winner Marc Goddard is on the call for this important featherweight pairing, and the fighters he oversees do not bother touching gloves first. Topuria stays low, and he wades forward into action. After Mitchell leads off with a kick to the knee and a side kick, Topuria blasts the Arkansas native in the face with four powerful punches. Topuria digs into the lead calf with a kick to force an immediate stance switch, and Mitchell shoots in for a takedown that fails. Topuria meet him in the middle and catches Michell cleanly with a right hand, and Mitchell responds with a few solid jabs and a low kick. Topuria connects with a right hand down Broadway, and Mitchell replies with a left. The single hooks from Topuria get around the guard and get Mitchell’s attention, with his right finding the target again and again. Mitchell tosses out a front kick that aims at the face, and he shoots for a failed takedown that Topuria easily avoids. As they clash together, a cut opens on the inner left eyebrow of the American. Mitchell lines up two punches and changes levels for a low single, but Topuria springs away to push his back to the wall. Topuria nearly turns things around, forcing Mitchell to drop to a knee, and ultimately stopping the entry. Mitchell releases the clinch and gets off a body shot, but Topuria rings his bell with an overhand right. “El Matador” throws two punches so hard he stumbles, but Mitchell does not capitalize on this and instead allows Topuria to return to striking stance. Topuria dodges a kick and uses head movement to work his way in, and Mitchell crashes forward and practically tackles Topuria to put him on his back. “Thug Nasty” lands in half guard, but Topuria pulls him back to the guard and boxes the ear from off his back. Mitchell scores a few punches, but Topuria stings him with a left hand off his back. Mitchell rides out the top position until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Topuria
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Topuria
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Topuria

Round 2
Mitchell starts the second round rushing forward, but ultimately he walks into two lightning-quick punches. Mitchell attempts to respond with a side kick, but Topuria pushes it aside and stuffs a takedown try. When Mitchell stands up, Topuria nails his man in the face with a pair of strikes. Mitchell recovers and gets backed off by the swinging offense of his opponent, and they clash together again and may bump heads, but Mitchell cannot ground him with another effort. Mitchell looks to time the overhand right with takedown tries, but time and time again, he falls short. Topuria overthrows a punch, and Mitchell gets his attention with a short combo that fires up the crowd. Topuria sets up an uppercut with two punches to follow it, and he knocks the Arkansan off his feet and down to the mat. Topuria leaps down to possibly pull off a neck-based choke, but a bloodied Mitchell welcomes this so that he can set up a scramble or go for a submission. Topuria does not let him off the hook, bludgeoning him repeatedly with thunderous blows until Mitchell works his way up. Mitchell attempts to get a takedown when Topuria is laying into him, but Topuria throws him over to the mat like a kid wrestling with his dad. A deflated Mitchell tries with all his might to turn or twist, and he manages to sit up. This is not the best position for him, as Topuria snatches on to a seated arm-triangle choke and hurls Mitchell back down, with the submission exceptionally tight. The submission specialist Mitchell, who had won 15 fights as a pro – the loss the UFC claimed took place on “The Ultimate Fighter” and was an exhibition match – surrenders for the first time in his career. This is a massive victory for Topuria, who stamps himself as a featherweight contender and calls for a UFC card in Spain.

The Official Result
Ilia Topuria def. Bryce Mitchell R2 3:10 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Angelo is extremely confident Topuria wins, calling him a world-class wrestler from Georgia who can outstrike and outwrestle Mitchell. He compares it to Roman Dolidze vs Jack Hermansson, where the world-class wrestler dominated. He has a moneyline bet on Topuria placed earlier and is shocked Topuria isn't a 9-1 favorite. He believes Mitchell's Arkansas wrestling is no match for Topuria's lifelong Georgian wrestling.

Moneyline bet placed earlier; interested in takedown prop bets (who gets more takedowns).
"Ilia taporia is going to smoke Vice Mitchell he can outstrike him he can out wrestle him he's gonna do whatever the hell he wants"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Dec 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bryce Mitchell

Big Brady slightly leans toward Bryce Mitchell as a dog, citing Mitchell's superior cardio and wrestling. He notes Topuria has shown cardio issues in his only decision win, while Mitchell has improved striking and can push a pace. He expects a back-and-forth war with Mitchell edging out a split decision, but has low confidence.

Mitchell wins by decision; fight goes to decision
"I think I'm gonna slightly lean with the dog in in Bryce Mitchell... give me Bryce Mitchell for the decision win but no confidence in it"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bryce Mitchell

Cody picks Bryce Mitchell, citing his development, wrestling, durability, and cardio. He thinks Mitchell's pressure and takedowns will be key, and that Topuria's wrestling may not be enough to stop him. He notes Topuria's close fight with Herbert Burns and that Mitchell has better cardio and can take over late. He predicts Mitchell by decision.

Mitchell by decision
"I think it's a Bryce Mitchell decision I think he just he gets the takedowns he backs him up he puts the pressure gives a punch to take a punch sure but just you know is the guy that's continuously …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 8, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Bryce Mitchell

Connor picks Mitchell, citing his versatility, wrestling, and ability to take advantage of opportunities. He notes Topuria has a narrow approach and Mitchell has proven he can adapt and take fights where he wants. Connor believes Mitchell's takedowns and top control will be decisive, as Topuria hasn't faced a grappler of Mitchell's caliber.

Odds: Mitchell opened +130, now +119; Topuria opened -150, now -143.
"I'm going to pick him here because I think Taporia's just got a slightly narrower approach. Mitchell has already proven in multiple fights that he can take whatever opportunities his opponent gives him."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Daniel Levi picks Ilia Topuria to hand Bryce Mitchell his first loss. He is impressed by Topuria's fast-twitch athleticism, nasty hands, body work, and Greco-Roman wrestling background. Levi notes Topuria's ability to stuff takedowns and his proven heart (coming back from a head kick knockdown). He believes Topuria's athleticism and well-rounded game will be too much for Mitchell, who relies on relentless takedown attempts. Levi acknowledges Mitchell's toughness and top control but thinks Topuria can sprawl and brawl, making Mitchell pay for his shots.

"I'm gonna go with Ilya taporia to hand Bryce Mitchell his first official defeat"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 9, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Lock likes Topuria on the moneyline and on PredictionStrike, noting that at -130 and $1.75 on PredictionStrike, there is good value. He acknowledges question marks about Topuria's third round against Yousuff and getting rocked by Jai Herbert, but credits him for battling back from adversity. He believes Topuria has tremendous potential and that the hype is justified, though he needs to prove it. He recommends taking Topuria on PredictionStrike and moneyline, while for Mitchell, he suggests just the moneyline as a dog.

"here minus 130 and on prediction strike as the quote unquote Underdog in this matchup on prediction strike I think you can get a damn good return on your advice investment should you bet him on the money line and …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bryce Mitchell

Paul picks Mitchell, noting his intelligence in the fight and ability to pick his spots. He thinks Mitchell's wrestling and submission threat will be a factor, and that Topuria's power and speed are dangerous early. He suggests a Mitchell round 3 prop or live betting, as Mitchell may take over later. He is not fully confident but leans Mitchell.

Mitchell round 3 prop (suggested)
"I'm gonna pick Mitchell but I think this is more like a maybe maybe we jump on to like a Mitchell round three prop"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

The MMA Guru picks Ilia Topuria over Bryce Mitchell by first-round TKO via body shots. He respects Mitchell's skills but believes Topuria's boxing is too clean and he will push Mitchell backwards, ripping body shots. He notes Topuria's scrambling ability and submission threats, and thinks Mitchell will struggle to get takedowns. He predicts Topuria finishes him early.

"I'm gonna go with Ilya to Puria over Bryce Mitchell"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 8, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Zane picks Topuria, citing his confidence on the ground from the Ryan Hall fight and his superior athleticism. He believes Topuria's grappling will get him back to his feet repeatedly, and his striking pressure will force Mitchell to process the fight too often. Zane notes Mitchell's striking gaps when he's indecisive, and Topuria's body punching will be key.

Odds: Mitchell opened +130, now +119; Topuria opened -150, now -143.
"I'm going to stick with Taporia here because I do think that Taporia's confidence on the ground, as shown in the Ryan Hall fight, is well earned out of very, very smart and well-trained positional control."
WIN vs Jai Herbert
KO (punches) R2 1:07 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · Mar 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ilia Topuria 1 22 of 63 34% 50 of 94 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Jai Herbert 1 20 of 41 48% 31 of 55 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ilia Topuria 1 19 of 47 40% 47 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Jai Herbert 0 12 of 27 44% 23 of 41 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:38
2 Ilia Topuria 0 3 of 16 18% 3 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jai Herbert 1 8 of 14 57% 8 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ilia Topuria 22 of 63 34% 20 of 60 1 of 2 1 of 1 19 of 59 1 of 1 2 of 3
Jai Herbert 20 of 41 48% 17 of 37 3 of 4 0 of 0 14 of 35 2 of 2 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ilia Topuria 19 of 47 40% 18 of 45 0 of 1 1 of 1 16 of 43 1 of 1 2 of 3
Jai Herbert 12 of 27 44% 11 of 25 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 21 2 of 2 4 of 4
2 Ilia Topuria 3 of 16 18% 2 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jai Herbert 8 of 14 57% 6 of 12 2 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jai Herbert vs. Ilia Topuria

Round 1
Kicking off the main card is a classic stylistic battle when the appropriately titled “Black Country Banger” Herbert (11-3, 1-2 UFC) faces off against Spanish submission threat Topuria (11-0, 3-0 UFC) in the lightweight division. Trying to keep a lid on what is sure to be a fast-paced tilt will be referee Marc Goddard, although he does not need to worry about disrespect as the two touch gloves first. Herbert bounces up and down before snapping out a jab, and he steps in with a knee when Topuria advances towards him. Herbert keeps his opponent at bay with long, rangy strikes, getting the smaller Topuria’s attention quickly. Herbert lets his hands go and follows it with a head kick, dropping Topuria in the opening minute, and the audience bursts into cheers for their local man. “El Matador” springs back to his feet and crashes forward to go after a takedown, pushing Herbert all the way back to the cage but not getting him down. After multiple fence grabs from Herbert, Topuria is finally able to lift him up off the ground and slam him to the mat with emphasis. Topuria lands in side control, where he starts to isolate Herbert’s right arm and set up a crucifix. The scrambling Brit is able to recover his position, and he drags Topuria all the way back to his guard. Topuria madly dashes to try to pass guard, smashing Herbert in the face a few times, and he gets kicked off briefly but dives back on top. Herbert ties Topuria up, defending himself from much offense and keeping Topuria in his guard, but Topuria slowly works his way to open up on punches. Herbert scrambles, and he forces his way back to his feet and blasts Topuria with a back-elbow. Topuria is wobbled, and Herbert drills him with a long combination that knocks Topuria back. Goddard stops the fight for a second to replace Topuria’s mouthpiece, as it had been knocked out from the heavy punches from the Brit. Topuria gathers himself, as Herbert lets him off the hook and allows the Georgian to attack with winging punches. Herbert intercepts his man with a knee as Topuria comes in, and the mouthpiece goes flying again in a cinematic fashion. Topuria’s chin holds up, and the two lightweights furiously slug it out to the bell. What a round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Herbert

Round 2
The second round begins with Topuria aggressive, stalking Herbert down and trying to take the Brit’s reach advantage away from him. Topuria wings a right hand that just misses as Herbert kicks the body, and Herbert ducks back by an inch to avoid the massive blow. Herbert aims an uppercut that comes up short, and he strafes back and forth while Topuria comes after him.
With bad intentions in his eyes, Topuria stalks Herbert down and wings a few punches at him. Herbert reaches out with a jab, and “El Matador” unleashes a right behind the ear, a thudding left to the body and an earthshattering right hand flush on the chin that sends Herbert collapsing to the ground in a crumpled heap.
As the crowd goes completely silent, Topuria walks away without bothering to deliver a follow-up blow, with Herbert out cold beneath him. Making the most of his post-fight interview moment, Topuria does not call for bonus money – his work should speak for itself – but instead sets his sights on “that blonde b---ch” Paddy Pimblett. Should Pimblett win later tonight, matchmakers can take the day off as that came together without them having to budge.

The Official Result
Ilia Topuria def. Jai Herbert R2 1:07 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Angelo picks Ilia Topuria to win by stoppage, citing his well-rounded game and ability to win on the feet or via wrestling. He notes that Jai Herbert has been taken down multiple times by opponents like Moicano and Trinaldo, and expects Topuria to do the same. He plans to bet on an Ilia Topuria wins inside the distance prop.

wins inside the distance prop bet
"i'm probably going to be looking for an iliad supporia wins inside the distance prop bet here when those lines drop"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Big Brady picks Ilia Topuria to win by first-round submission. He notes Topuria is moving up a weight class on short notice and faces a massive size disadvantage, but he believes Topuria's grappling is elite and Jai Herbert has shown horrendous takedown defense and a weak chin. Brady expects Topuria to take the fight to the mat and submit Herbert quickly, as Herbert has little ground game and poor durability.

first round submission
"give me deforia first round submission i think there are levels to this"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lock picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Cody picks Topuria as a lock, citing his superior grappling and Herbert's weak chin. He thinks Topuria can win by submission or KO, and notes that Herbert has been knocked out by lesser fighters. He calls Topuria the top ticket.

"topuria is your top ticket and i can't really argue against that in any way shape or form"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Daniel Levi picks Ilia Topuria, but with reservations. He notes that Topuria has finished all his UFC fights in the first round except against a short-notice opponent, where he gassed. Levi believes Topuria's ground game is a huge advantage, as Herbert has poor wrestling and chin issues. However, he warns against overhyping Topuria, as Herbert has a puncher's chance with his reach and power. Levi expects a finish inside the distance.

Herbert by KO/TKO +700; Topuria by submission +100
"give me toporia to win this fight but i think we need to kind of pump the brakes on this future top five talk"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Topuria should replicate what Moicano did to Herbert: get the fight to the ground and use superior jiu-jitsu for a finish. Herbert is a good striker but struggles against grapplers with heavy top pressure. 23 of 25 fights for these two haven't gone to decision, and that trend should continue. The fight doesn't go to decision at -350 is a better bet than Topuria straight. I'm picking Topuria via first-round submission.

Fight doesn't go to decision (-350); Topuria via submission round 1
"I like Topuria quite a bit here I think he goes out there runs through Jai Herbert and gets that first round finish."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lock picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Paul picks Topuria as a lock, emphasizing Herbert's defensive liabilities and Topuria's all-around game. He notes that Herbert has been knocked out by lesser punchers and that Topuria's grappling is a major threat. He agrees Topuria is the top ticket.

"he's a top ticket guy he's our play this week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

The Guru picks Ilia Topuria but thinks the odds are too wide; he should be around -200. He notes Jai Herbert's weak chin and lack of physical strength, calling him a 'malnourished lightweight.' He believes Topuria's grappling and power will be too much, predicting a first-round TKO. He acknowledges an upset is possible but favors Topuria's skill set.

first round TKO, odds should be -200
"i'm going to go with ilya superior... the odds should not be what they are... i'll say first round tko"
WIN vs Ryan Hall
KO (punches) R1 4:47 · UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · Jul 10, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ilia Topuria 0 10 of 17 58% 13 of 21 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Ryan Hall 0 18 of 32 56% 18 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ilia Topuria 0 10 of 17 58% 13 of 21 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Ryan Hall 0 18 of 32 56% 18 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ilia Topuria 10 of 17 58% 2 of 7 4 of 5 4 of 5 9 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1
Ryan Hall 18 of 32 56% 11 of 24 2 of 2 5 of 6 3 of 8 0 of 0 15 of 24
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ilia Topuria 10 of 17 58% 2 of 7 4 of 5 4 of 5 9 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1
Ryan Hall 18 of 32 56% 11 of 24 2 of 2 5 of 6 3 of 8 0 of 0 15 of 24
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ryan Hall vs. Ilia Topuria

Round 1
The next matchup is a highly anticipated featherweight tilt between the returning grappling wizard Hall (8-1, 4-0 UFC) against the unbeaten Spaniard Topuria (10-0, 2-0 UFC). Something’s gotta give between these two, with Hall’s last loss coming in 2006 while Topuria has yet to taste defeat. Referee Jason Herzog will be taking charge to make sure everything is above board, and a half-hearted glove touch is what we get to start the fight. Hall meets him in the center of the cage and backs away, circling around the cage while Topuria stalks him down. Hall lands the first strike, a kick to the body, and Topuria just looks at him. Hall pump-fakes a possible takedown to get a reaction out of the Spaniard, and he hits him with a spinning hook kick. Hall rolls for an Imanari roll to pursue a leg, and Topuria does not bite, kicks his outstretched leg a few times and lets him stand back up. Hall whiffs on a left hand, and another as he rolls for some sort of a tackle to grab Topuria’s leg. Once more, Topuria shrugs it off and lets Hall somersault around to miss. Hall’s fourth roll manages to snare Topuria, and he grabs Topuria’s glove to hold on to him but cannot keep him grounded. Hall rolls through and elbows Topuria in the side of the head, and Topuria takes his back and lands a few punches before breaking free. Hall walks into a few punches, and Topuria gets confident as he cracks Hall with a right hand. Hall flops to roll and take him down, and he lets Topuria wade into his guard but Topuria springs out of the way. Hall ducks a punch with his hands down, and he boots Topuria in the body twice. “The Wizard” rolls through a few more times, and Topuria never bites so the crowd begins to turn on him. The Spaniard stings him with a right hand, and Hall ducks down to roll and grab a heel but cannot get it. Hall continues to roll around and pop back up as if he were in a gymnastics class, and Topuria walks into a right hand but darts out of the way from yet another Hall roll. Hall connects with a spinning heel kick, and he dodges and weaves from any Topuria aggression. When Hall attempts another heel kick, Topuria closes the distance to bully Hall to the ground.
“El Matador” dives after him and stuns him with hammerfists, and his right hand starts to do damage as he continues to club Hall on the chin again and again. As Hall turns to his side, he has no where else to go and is trapped, and Topuria keeps smashing him in the face. The damage mounts until Hall is relieved of his consciousness, and Herzog steps in to stop the fight.
This is a huge win for the undefeated Topuria, who may have just earned a spot on the rankings with a smart performance.

The Official Result
Ilia Topuria def. Ryan Hall R1 4:47 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 2, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Angelo picks Topuria, believing the sport has passed Hall by. He notes Topuria has superior wrestling, traditional jiu-jitsu, and striking. He doesn't see Hall catching Topuria in a submission. He agrees with the DraftKings price and odds.

"i think the sport has sort of passed him by i think japora's uh legitimate wrestling background combined with his jiu-jitsu i think he can get it to the ground"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 4, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Big Brady picks Ilia Topuria to win by decision. He notes Topuria is good everywhere, a great striker with power, a solid wrestler, and a black belt in BJJ. He thinks Topuria can close the distance and keep the fight on the feet, avoiding Hall's guard. He acknowledges Hall's tricky style and underrated striking, but believes Topuria's youth, activity, and game plan will prevail. He mentions a possible knockout but leans decision.

"i do think he's going to win a decision against ryan hall"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Cody picks Topuria, citing his body work, power, and takedown defense. He notes Hall's dangerous jiu-jitsu but thinks Topuria's striking and physicality will be too much. He expects Topuria to win by decision or TKO.

"ilia torpurio wins 70 to 75 percent of the time in this matchup and i think it's a lot of like he just like melts his body and just roasts his liver"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Daniel Levi picks Ilia Topuria to win. He respects Ryan Hall's unique leglock game and spin kicks, but believes Topuria's confidence, youth, and well-rounded skills will neutralize Hall. He notes that Topuria has knockout power, good grappling, and heart, as shown when he got dropped and came back to win. He worries that Topuria's overconfidence could lead him to engage on the mat, but thinks he has the goods to win. He finds the plus 200 on Hall tempting but sticks with Topuria.

"i'm going to take to porya"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lock picked Jul 2, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Ryan Hall

Jacob is extremely confident in Hall, calling it his most confident lock of the week ever. He believes Hall's unorthodox jiu-jitsu and kicks will lead to a submission. He notes Hall's ability to incorporate kicks to set up takedowns and that nobody wants to fight him. He plans to bet on Hall at plus odds.

Ryan Hall by submission at plus odds
"the most confident lock of the week i've ever had in my life ryan hall will find a way to submit this guy"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

I'm going with Topuria by KO. He is a young, hot prospect with great grappling and striking. Hall is wild and unorthodox, but Topuria's striking is much better. Topuria can also grapple with Hall if needed. I think Topuria will land a knockout after accumulating damage, probably in the second or third round. I like Topuria inside the distance and by KO.

Topuria inside the distance (+120), Topuria by KO (+195)
"i'm going with tuporia by finish... i think that tupora definitely can um find the knockout shot here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Paul picks Topuria, noting his well-rounded skills, youth, and improvement. He thinks Topuria's takedown defense and striking will neutralize Hall's jiu-jitsu. He expects Topuria to dictate where the fight takes place and win by decision.

"i'm going to take to pouria i'm leaning towards that deporya by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2021 (fight day)
Ilia Topuria

The Guru predicts Topuria will win by first-round KO. He expects Hall to dive for leg locks and use imanari rolls, but Topuria will escape and kick Hall's leg while Hall is on his back. Hall will get back up and throw wheel kicks, but each time Topuria will close the distance and smother him. Topuria will work the body throughout, causing Hall to hunch over. Then Topuria will land a lead left hook to the body followed by a right hand over the top to knock Hall out.

Topuria wins by KO in round 1
"ilya tapiria gets this one done by first round ko body shot right hand over the top lands on ryan hall who's expecting body shots"
Youssef Zalal - Fight History
Decision R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · Apr 25, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aljamain Sterling 0 46 of 89 51% 220 of 293 6 of 11 54% 1 0 13:49
Youssef Zalal 0 35 of 65 53% 61 of 97 0 of 0 --- 1 0 3:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aljamain Sterling 0 8 of 24 33% 15 of 31 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:19
Youssef Zalal 0 4 of 16 25% 17 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Aljamain Sterling 0 15 of 29 51% 67 of 88 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:25
Youssef Zalal 0 15 of 23 65% 16 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Aljamain Sterling 0 2 of 3 66% 11 of 14 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:47
Youssef Zalal 0 3 of 4 75% 4 of 6 0 of 0 --- 1 0 3:48
4 Aljamain Sterling 0 16 of 22 72% 81 of 101 1 of 2 50% 1 0 4:16
Youssef Zalal 0 3 of 4 75% 3 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
5 Aljamain Sterling 0 5 of 11 45% 46 of 59 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:02
Youssef Zalal 0 10 of 18 55% 21 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aljamain Sterling 46 of 89 51% 25 of 56 12 of 16 9 of 17 25 of 59 15 of 22 6 of 8
Youssef Zalal 35 of 65 53% 25 of 51 6 of 7 4 of 7 32 of 62 3 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aljamain Sterling 8 of 24 33% 5 of 14 2 of 3 1 of 7 5 of 19 0 of 1 3 of 4
Youssef Zalal 4 of 16 25% 3 of 11 0 of 1 1 of 4 4 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Aljamain Sterling 15 of 29 51% 6 of 17 5 of 6 4 of 6 10 of 23 5 of 6 0 of 0
Youssef Zalal 15 of 23 65% 11 of 19 2 of 2 2 of 2 15 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Aljamain Sterling 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0
Youssef Zalal 3 of 4 75% 2 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Aljamain Sterling 16 of 22 72% 9 of 13 4 of 6 3 of 3 6 of 9 8 of 11 2 of 2
Youssef Zalal 3 of 4 75% 1 of 2 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 2 0 of 0
5 Aljamain Sterling 5 of 11 45% 4 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 7 1 of 2 1 of 2
Youssef Zalal 10 of 18 55% 8 of 16 2 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Zalal (-160); Sterling (+135)

Round 1
Say what we will about UFC card structure and matchmaking as of late, Sterling (25-5, 17-5 UFC) vs. Zalal (18-5-1, 8-3-1 UFC) is a dope matchup. We’ll let them do the talking from here, as referee Herb Dean handles the particulars and draws out a glove touch. It’s time for a featherweight main event.
The two bounce towards and measure one another, with Sterling the one advancing and throwing the majority of the offense early on. Zalal counters with a sharp left hand, and he keeps his jab outstretched. Sterling offers up a number of kicks, missing on several of them. He catches up to “The Moroccan Devil” with a reaching right hand, but it is one-and-done. Sterling circles from side to side while Zalal aims jabs at him, and he shoots in for a single and lifts one of his foe’s legs in the air.
Sterling transitions to a body lock, and when he does not get as Zalal circles out, Sterling trips him up on the way out. Zalal gathers himself easily enough and is about to leap at Sterling with a knee, but Sterling kicks his plant leg out from beneath him to race on top and establish top control. Sterling advances to half guard fairly comfortably while Zalal bops him in either side of the head with his free left fist, and he offers a few elbows off his back as well. Zalal keeps attacking until he can suddenly throw his legs up for a potential armbar. Sterling sits up and takes a breath to calm himself, not twisting or wriggling to put himself further in danger. The former champ works out of it and repositions himself back into half guard. Zalal goes for the triangle again, shoving Sterling back a smidge with an upkick to the chest. Before Zalal can stand, Sterling leaps on top of him and drives knees and elbows to the side until five minutes are up.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sterling
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Sterling
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sterling

Round 2
There is a quick glove touch to get started, and Sterling winds up behind two powerful low kicks. Zalal quickly rushes back to circle away from the impact of those kicks, putting his back to the wall and exposing himself for the takedown that comes naturally from the former champ. Sterling considers a single but threatens with a body lock and lets go to scores a few punches. Zalal tries to time him on the way out but is out of range. He does chase Sterling down behind his fists, and he knees Sterling square in the beard. Sterling no-sells it like The Great Antonio against Antonio Inoki and puts the pressure on his foe. Zalal circles and drives home a right hand on the side of the dome. Both men take downs advancing, finding their way to attack and disengaging when it does not fully work. Sterling drops down for a single when pushing Zalal to the fencing, and he stands Zalal up with a couple of big punches on the break.
Zalal tries for another knee, and he wades back as Sterling lunges at him with long, winding hooks. Zalal’s jab is much straighter and quicker, ringing up Sterling a few times and forcing the former champ to try more unorthodox approaches like off-balance punches and oddly timed shots. Zalal spins to complete a back fist, and Sterling ducks it and tackles Zalal to the floor. Sterling hooks his legs around the waist to lock down a body triangle, where he postures up to hammer Zalal with punches to both sides of the head. Zalal turns all the way to give up his back, briefly breaking the body lock but unable to escape from the punches and hammerfists consistently raining down on him. Sterling bludgeons Zalal with well over a dozen unanswered strikes until Zalal turns away and tries to protect his neck. Sterling reasserts his dominant position when they both sit up, with his rapping his left hand around the guard again and again until the round is over.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sterling
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Sterling
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sterling

Round 3
Zalal lands a low kick and immediately has to back off, with Sterling quick to corner him aiming body shots and pump-faking his hips. Sterling catches a knee on the chin and drives through to get hold of a single, bringing Zalal to a knee with his foe’s side against the fencing. When Zalal stands back up, he wraps up a guillotine choke, only for Sterling to scoop him up and deposit him gingerly down like a parent putting their young child on a diaper changing table in a public restroom. Zalal’s choke suddenly grows much tighter as Sterling finds himself in submission danger, but like before, the calm, cool cucumber that is the former champion moves just enough to relieve the tension on his throat and free himself. Zalal does establish himself on top after letting the choke go, but Sterling’s scrambles defend him from much of the ground-and-pound.
Sterling looks to push off the hips with butterfly hooks, switching suddenly to wrap up a partial triangle choke. When Zalal stands up to free his neck from the choke setup, Sterling belts him in the face with a crisp upkick. Zalal nods in approval and lowers himself back into the guard uncontested, where he maneuvers himself into side control and takes the back when Sterling scrambles. Zalal ties up a body triangle when he assumes back control, and Sterling sits up and defends his neck from any chokes coming his way. Zalal clings to his adversary but cannot isolate the neck, although his control ability and time sends a clear message. When Sterling gets to one knee, the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Zalal

Round 4
Sterling walks down Zalal as soon as the round begins, slugging him with several right hands and slinging numerous leg kicks. Zalal’s reaction changes and his body language gets worse as Sterling keeps battering his leg with powerful kicks. Sterling closes in and grabs Zalal from behind, rolling him to the mat and completing the body triangle less than a minute into the round. Sterling softens Zalal up with a steady stream of strong left hands, trapping Zalal with his arm on the other side. Sterling holds his choke arm very closely to under the chin, and Zalal motions that he is thinking about tapping but does not give up. Sterling cinches the forearm under the chin, and he has Zalal’s left arm trapped in the submission so he cannot quite finish it. Zalal grimaces and toughs it out as best he can, rolling over to his stomach to reduce the pressure.
Sterling yanks him back over and has the body triangle just as frustratingly tight as ever. Zalal turns to try to break up the body lock, and he is constantly absorbing strike after unanswered strike. Zalal rolls to his back, with Sterling fully in mount, and it is Sterling who holds on with an arm-triangle choke. The former champ decides not to lock it down so he can bash Zalal in the face again and again. Zalal somehow fights out of the body lock and wills himself back to his feet, but he is under fire immediately as Sterling tears into him with body shots, knees and a few elbows. As he beats down Zalal against the wall, the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Sterling
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Sterling
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-8 Sterling

Round 5
Although Zalal initially comes out aggressively in the final frame, Sterling shuts him down before long with pressure and the threat of a looming takedown. Zalal ignores his concerns and lets his hands go, connecting squarely with a few punches to drive Sterling back. Sterling knows that his best path to victory is through his grappling, and he engages it. Pressing Zalal to the fencing, Sterling hunts for a single and transitions to a body lock with an outside trip. Zalal remains upright but is being controlled as precious seconds tick off the clock. Zalal pushes off at the midpoint of the round, and he throws once before Sterling is on him like a cheap suit.
Sterling swings like a Tasmanian devil, a veritable cloud of feet and fists surrounding him as he smashes directly into Zalal. Sterling’s strikes open up the takedown, which he completes and takes the wind out of the younger man’s sails. When Zalal turns, he exposes himself to the back take magician. Unsurprisingly, Sterling gladly secures back control with his body triangle locked down, and he starts railing Zalal with his left hand en masse. Zalal turns to take the sting out of it, and Sterling follows him and sticks his tongue out while grinning and nodding. Zalal turns to try to brawl while on the mat, and when he sits up, Sterling bludgeons, batters and bruises him with double axe handle smashes and Sakuraba-esque double punches. The moment the final horn blares, Sterling disengages, and he pumps his arms in the air certain that the victory is likely moments away.
The former training partners share plenty of laughs and good spirits after 25 minutes of combat. The victorious Sterling praises Zalal, suggesting that Zalal could fight for a title in the future. Until that happens, Sterling believes it is his time at 145 pounds. He asks for another fight against Movsar Evloev, while saying that he is also coming for champion Alexander Volkanovski. If that latter fight comes together, we will be here for it. We hope you are too.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sterling (49-45 Sterling)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Sterling (49-45 Sterling)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Sterling (49-45 Sterling)

The Official Result
Aljamain Sterling def. Youssef Zalal via Unanimous Decision (49-45, 49-45, 49-45)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Apr 19, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Aljamain Sterling

Angelo leans on Aljamain Sterling, citing his five-round experience and wrestling edge. He acknowledges that Youssef Zalal is the better striker but believes Sterling's wrestling will be superior, referencing Sterling's performance against Movsar Evloev. He notes that Sterling opened as a favorite but is now an underdog, and he encourages rewatching the Evloev fight to see Sterling's scrambling ability.

"I'm going to lean Aljo. I think the five round experience, I think the wrestling edge, I think all of that works for Aljo here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 21, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Big Brady picks Youssef Zalal over Aljamain Sterling. He notes Zalal's recent improvements and finishing ability, and believes Zalal's cardio and pace will be advantages in a five-round fight. He thinks Sterling may slow down as the fight progresses, and predicts Zalal wins by decision.

Zalal wins by decision
"Give me Youssef Zalal to win. Youssef Zalal to win by decision."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Lean picked Apr 25, 2026 (fight day)
Youssef Zalal

The host leans Zalal due to his output, aggression, pace, and volume, plus Sterling's decline and lack of power. However, he admits it's impossible to form a strong opinion because Zalal hasn't faced a wrestler like Sterling in years. He calls the odds fair coin-flip territory and passes on betting.

Easy pass; no prop bets mentioned
"Gun to my head, I would lean Zalal because you know, I really like his output, his aggression, you know, his pace, his volume."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

James picks Youssef Zalal based on stylistic matchup, believing Zalal's footwork and striking will cause problems for Sterling. He notes Zalal's recent improvements and age advantage, and predicts a finish inside the distance as Sterling gets desperate with takedowns.

inside the distance (KO or submission)
"I am picking Ysef Salah. ... I'm confident in Ysef Salah."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 21, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Zalal is on an eight-fight winning streak with improved wrestling and submission defense. Sterling is a former champion but is 36 and has a questionable gas tank. Zalal should be able to defend Sterling's grappling, use his striking edge, and win a decision. He is the younger, more confident fighter with momentum.

"I think Zal has good enough submission defense to not get finished. And then I think as we get into deeper water, Zal will stay squirmy enough to keep Sterling away from getting those uh large amounts of times of …"
WIN vs Josh Emmett
Submission R1 1:38 · UFC 320 · Oct 04, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Josh Emmett 0 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Youssef Zalal 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Josh Emmett 0 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Youssef Zalal 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:48
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Josh Emmett 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
Youssef Zalal 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Josh Emmett 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
Youssef Zalal 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Josh Emmett vs. Youssef Zalal
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Zalal (-440), Emmett (+340)

Round 1
The UFC knew exactly what it was doing when it paired brick-fisted Emmett (19-5, 10-5 UFC) with whirling dervish Zalal (17-5-1, 7-3-1 UFC), and a passing of the torch moment may come when the dust settles. While Emmett may have passed the 40-year-old threshold, the last thing to go is the power. Referee Jason Herzog dons his proverbial hard hat as the two featherweight contenders touch ‘em up.
Zalal approaches with his hands wide by his sides, and his leg ready to fly. Zalal lands a quick kick and darts out of the way when Emmett bears down on him. Zalal whiffs on a front kick, and he shoots for a double when Emmett is about to strike. Zalal succeeds in grounding the Team Alpha Male-trained athlete with ease, and he advances to three-quarter mount while clinging to an arm-triangle setup. Emmett muscles his man over, and Zalal isolates his foe’s arm in pursuit of an armbar. Emmett keeps his weight pressed down on top, and he starts stepping over to try to get out of the sub. With Emmett’s arms both trapped, he is stunned and has to call out “tap tap tap” in order to signal that he is done and does not want to get his limb snapped. The crowd is silenced as Herzog steps in, not entirely knowing what has just happened. Fans start booing until they realize that Emmett verbally surrendered, and then they chill out because Zalal just notched an extremely impressive victory over a perennial contender in under two minutes. In victory, Zalal declares that he will be champion one day.

The Official Result
Youssef Zalal def. Josh Emmett R1 1:38 via Submission (Armbar)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Angelo picks Youssef Zalal, citing his ability to be an outside distance striker or a full-blown grappler. He notes Zalal's high fight IQ and low strikes absorbed per minute. He acknowledges Josh Emmett's power and experience but thinks Zalal's versatility and youth will be key. He is surprised Zalal is almost a 4-to-1 favorite and would set the line at -170.

"I'm going to pick Ysef Zal here. Ysef's ability to be an outside distance striker or a full-blown grappler is going to suit him well here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Big Brady sees this as an easy win for Zalal, who is in his prime at 29, while Emmett is 40 and fighting at featherweight. He believes Zalal can use his speed and footwork to avoid Emmett's power and mix in takedowns. He predicts Zalal by decision.

"Give me Zo use allow by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Connor picks Zalal, agreeing that Zalal's movement and ability to fight at range will give Emmett problems. He notes that Emmett's only major improvement was learning to throw punches at two speeds, but he still lacks dexterity and cage-cutting skills. Connor also mentions that Zalal's performance against Calvin Katter showed he can neutralize opponents, though he cautions that Emmett's power is a constant threat.

"Yeah, I agree. Yeah, I'm picking Zolol as well."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2025 (fight day)
Youssef Zalal

Zalal's style is expected to be too difficult for Emmett to track. Emmett may land some big shots, but Zalal should flow with them and get off his own offense, winning a boring decision.

"I believe Zalal's style will be a little bit too difficult for Emmett to get a track on him... I think that will lead to Zalal winning a pretty boring decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

The MMA Guru picks Youssef Zalal, believing his counter-striking and movement will frustrate Josh Emmett. He notes Emmett's predictable overhands and lack of grappling. He predicts a late TKO via knee up the middle.

TKO win
"I'm going to go with Youssef Zalal to get this one done. And I'm going to say late rounds TKO, knee up the middle."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Zane picks Zalal because he believes Zalal can frustrate Emmett with movement and range control, similar to how Laron Murphy and Yair Rodriguez did. He notes that Emmett lacks a range game and struggles when opponents refuse to engage in the pocket. Zane also points out that Zalal is a dangerous striker with good combinations and that Emmett's limited offensive toolkit makes him vulnerable to a neutralizing game plan.

"I just think uses the law can go out there and have that cater fight. And yeah, he might be in more danger than he was against cater in those bad positions, but he might be just as able to …"
WIN vs Calvin Kattar
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · Feb 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Calvin Kattar 0 38 of 134 28% 38 of 134 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Youssef Zalal 0 74 of 133 55% 75 of 134 0 of 8 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Calvin Kattar 0 8 of 23 34% 8 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Youssef Zalal 0 26 of 46 56% 26 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Calvin Kattar 0 10 of 37 27% 10 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Youssef Zalal 0 27 of 46 58% 28 of 47 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Calvin Kattar 0 20 of 74 27% 20 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Youssef Zalal 0 21 of 41 51% 21 of 41 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Calvin Kattar 38 of 134 28% 27 of 110 5 of 11 6 of 13 35 of 128 3 of 6 0 of 0
Youssef Zalal 74 of 133 55% 53 of 104 5 of 9 16 of 20 74 of 133 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Calvin Kattar 8 of 23 34% 7 of 20 1 of 2 0 of 1 8 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Youssef Zalal 26 of 46 56% 16 of 33 2 of 2 8 of 11 26 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Calvin Kattar 10 of 37 27% 5 of 27 2 of 3 3 of 7 10 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Youssef Zalal 27 of 46 58% 20 of 35 2 of 5 5 of 6 27 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Calvin Kattar 20 of 74 27% 15 of 63 2 of 6 3 of 5 17 of 68 3 of 6 0 of 0
Youssef Zalal 21 of 41 51% 17 of 36 1 of 2 3 of 3 21 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Calvin Kattar vs. Youssef Zalal
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Zalal (-395), Kattar (+310)

Round 1
Records are meant to be broken, and torches are meant to be passed. It is not a guarantee of either, but rather that with enough time, everything moves forward. Itching to see if the featherweight division has passed him by entirely, 36-year-old striker Kattar (23-8, 7-6 UFC) had had a tough go of it since his fateful encounter with Max Holloway in 2021. On the other side of that metric is Zalal (16-5-1, 6-3-1 UFC), who bounced out and back into the UFC only to find himself on a solid run of three straight submissions. Whether Kattar can impose adequate resistance or be the fourth in that line, referee Dan Miragliotta will oversee it all from start to finish. Gloves are touched, and both men want to start fairly measured. Picking their shots with jabs and low kicks—a pace that has been consistent for many of the fights on this card—Zalal aims a few more times at the front leg before going up high. Zalal jabs and moves, with Kattar giving chase but not cutting him off or cornering him. Zalal is able to strafe to either side, poking with his strikes and not taking much back. They both flash jabs at the same time, and it is Zalal who follows up with a one-two. The Moroccan is comfortable at his own distance, outshooting the boxer and marking his face up with power punches. Zalal picks a jab to open up a step-in knee, and Kattar walks him down but is stuck in first gear. Zalal reaches his man with a long right hand, and they try to trip one another at the same time. Kattar buzzes the hair with a huge overhand right, and Zalal pecks at him with a left hook before zipping away. Zalal measures another knee up the middle, and Kattar’s chin has no trouble holding up. Kattar puts a little more mustard behind some punches, and Zalal is forced to book it to the side so he does not get hurt. Zalal keeps moving, Kattar keeps chasing and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Zalal

Round 2
Fists are tapped together before they are traded in Round 2, and they let their jabs fly early. Zalal shoots in for a double, and Kattar easily stuffs it and turns to the side to break away. Zalal jabs the body and then the head, and his head movement keeps him from taking unnecessary shots. Zalal shifts to one direction, then pivots the other way, and he throws out a takedown to keep Kattar guessing. Zalal jabs Kattar up, and his leg kicks mixed in are repeatedly effective. Zalal steps in with a high knee that bounces off the eyebrow, and he checks a kick that flies his way. Zalal splits the guard with a jab and rips a kick to the ribs, and he does not slow “The Boston Finisher.” Kattar follows Zalal around the Octagon, with Zalal doing full rotations and then some while Kattar tries and fails to track him down. Kattar drops low to shoot a faked takedown, and Zalal just misses with an uppercut. “The Moroccan Devil” rifles off a kick to the side, and he chains a few jabs behind it. Kattar reaches him with his own body kick, but it is one-and-done as he is primarily headhunting with jabs. Kattar checks a kick and maintains Zalal’s respect with a scooping right hand over the shoulder, and he appears irritated that he cannot track and lock Zalal down. The horn sounds with Kattar lunging at air.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Zalal

Round 3
There is a presumptive final glove touch leading into the last round, and Kattar has listened to his corner and is pressing the action even harder than before. Kattar’s chases have turned into borderline jogging sessions, with Zalal rapidly springing from side to side to evade attack. Kattar tries to time an uppercut, and he gets his hands on Zalal at least once in a flurry before Zalal rushes away. Kattar scores a low kick, checks one back and drops to his knees to defend and crawl away from a takedown. Kattar gets up and sprints towards Zalal with looping left hands, and Zalal pecks back with jabs. Kattar sells out and marches through a few strikes to bash Zalal in the cheek with an elbow, and Zalal’s expression changes from light-hearted to one a bit more serious. Zalal keeps hurrying away to one side, and Kattar is tracking him and winding up with big power. Zalal senses danger and slides away, marking up Kattar’s face and swelling up his right eye. Kattar reaches and connects cleanly on Zalal, who stumbles to the side and is no worse for wear. Kattar is buzzing missiles past his intended target, with Zalal doing nothing but running away while Kattar is hellbent for leather. Zalal occasionally sticks out a jab, but over the last few minutes he has been backpedaling even more than usual—drawing boos and questions of what the rule of timidity is for, if a fighter can back away from engagements for minutes at a time without being called on it. Kattar cannot get the home run strike he is looking for, and when the fight wraps, he is understandably disappointed that he got outhustled.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kattar (29-28 Zalal)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kattar (29-28 Zalal)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Kattar (29-28 Zalal)

The Official Result
Youssef Zalal def. Calvin Kattar via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Feb 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Angelo is extremely confident in Youssef Zalal, calling him his 'most confident pick on this card.' He highlights Zalal's momentum, improved wrestling and submissions, and Calvin Kattar's inability to defend takedowns. He also notes that Kattar's team (New England Cartel) has not proven they can stop takedowns, so he fades them against any wrestler.

"yousef's going to be the pick I'm very he's my most confident pick on this card"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Big Brady picks Zalal by second-round submission, citing Zalal's recent finishing streak and improved aggression. Kattar is 36, on a losing streak, and had a terrible performance against Aljamain Sterling. Zalal has a grappling path and can also win on the feet with movement. He expects Zalal to take down Kattar and submit him.

submission in round 2
"give me AOW give me AOW by sub I'll say in the second round"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Connor picks Youssef Zalal, emphasizing Zalal's newfound confidence and flexibility. He notes that Zalal has turned a corner, becoming a more dynamic fighter who can create and take advantage of openings. Connor compares Zalal's development to a sumo wrestler who has found his center, and believes Zalal's adaptability marks him as a potential elite fighter. He acknowledges Kattar's durability and slow-start style but thinks Zalal's improved wrestling and ability to recover from difficulty will be key.

Connor comments that the odds are too wide: Kattar opened at +296 and is now +366, Zalal opened at -438 and is now -427. He says he agrees the odds are too strongly in Zalal's favor, given Kattar's cold streak should be contextualized by the level of his opponents.
"I think he has basically come out the other side of the young veteran tunnel and realized that he has spent all this time developing this fantastically well-rounded game and at the only thing that was standing between him and …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Lucrative James is confident Youssef Zalal will win and cover the -400 price tag. He believes Zalal is the better striker, kickboxer, grappler, and wrestler everywhere except pure boxing, where Kattar has an edge. He highlights Zalal's elite footwork and defensive skills, noting that even Ilia Topuria struggled to land clean on him. He expects Zalal to outclass Kattar on the outside with jabs and leg kicks, and predicts a 30-27 decision. He dismisses the idea of betting Kattar as a value underdog, stating the narrative that Kattar is washed is correct.

"I believe that this week's narrative is correct and that yusf Sala is going to cover his minus 400 price tag"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2025 (fight day)
Youssef Zalal

Zalal is the better fighter with momentum. He will remain competitive on the feet and then get the fight to the ground, showcasing his aggressive submission approach. He is more aggressive than Sterling, who couldn't finish Kattar, and will find a submission.

Zalal by submission
"I think Zalal is the better fighter and obviously the momentum is in his corner... I see a lot of people leaning on the Sterling fight... but I believe Zalal is a little bit more aggressive than Sterling... the official …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

The MMA Guru picks Youssef Zalal over Calvin Kattar, citing Zalal's ability to mix it up with wrestling, low kicks, and boxing. He notes Kattar's recent losses, injuries, and susceptibility to leg kicks. He believes Zalal will chew up Kattar's legs, grapple, and win a decision, possibly with a 10-8 round.

decision
"I'm gonna go of Yousef zal over Calvin ker"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Zane picks Youssef Zalal confidently, citing Zalal's transformation into a more confident, aggressive, and well-rounded fighter. He notes that Zalal has developed killer instinct, recovers well from difficulty, and has incorporated wrestling effectively into his flow. Zane contrasts this with Calvin Kattar's slow starts and recent losses to elite fighters, suggesting Kattar may have hit a wall stylistically. He believes Zalal is primed for a run and that this fight is a great opportunity for him to prove he's a top-10 fighter.

Zane comments that the odds are too wide: Kattar opened at +296 and is now +366, Zalal opened at -438 and is now -427. He says he agrees the odds are too strongly in Zalal's favor, given Kattar's cold streak should be contextualized by the level of his opponents.
"I'm willing to love it more for Zalalal than I don't like it for Cater because I want to see fighters in Zalalal."
WIN vs Jack Shore
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 0:59 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Nov 02, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Youssef Zalal 0 8 of 18 44% 10 of 21 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:49
Jack Shore 1 13 of 27 48% 21 of 37 1 of 2 50% 1 0 2:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Youssef Zalal 0 7 of 15 46% 9 of 18 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:49
Jack Shore 0 7 of 17 41% 13 of 23 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:39
2 Youssef Zalal 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jack Shore 1 6 of 10 60% 8 of 14 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:28
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Youssef Zalal 8 of 18 44% 8 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 2 7 of 17 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jack Shore 13 of 27 48% 9 of 22 1 of 2 3 of 3 11 of 23 0 of 2 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Youssef Zalal 7 of 15 46% 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 2 6 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jack Shore 7 of 17 41% 3 of 12 1 of 2 3 of 3 7 of 15 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Youssef Zalal 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jack Shore 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jack Shore vs. Youssef Zalal
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Zalal (-258), Shore (+210)

Round 1
What was once an extremely promising resume listed at 16-0 has transformed into 17-2 in the span of two years for Welshman Shore (17-2, 6-2 UFC). A pair of stoppages have turned him away from elite opposition, and he now draws a resurgent Zalal (15-5-1, 5-3 UFC) in what should be a fast-paced and exciting featherweight affair. The third man in the Octagon will be referee Luke Boutin, clocking the fighters in as they share a swift tap of gloves. Zalal immediately sticks out a jab, and Shore’s eye is red instantly. Zalal pushes out a front kick and dodges a jab, and he puts a few leg kicks on his opponent’s front wheel. Shore tries to check one and comes out swinging with an overhand right, and the Zalal jabs have further transformed his face to a redder color. Shore crashes the pocket and shoots for a single, and Zalal leans against the fence to defend it. Zalal watches the video screen to see the other side of his opponent, and Shore wrenches him down to his hands. Shore legally knees Zalal in the face while Zalal’s hands are down, and Zalal drops down to a single knee before blasting to his feet. Shore elevates his man down once more, and Zalal lowers himself to a knee to not get kneed in the face. Zalal works his way up and pushes Shore to the wall, and Shore explodes out of it and whips a kick at “The Moroccan Devil.” Zalal loads up on power strikes, opening him up to a three-punch counter. As the fighters trade hands, the fans again decide it is the right time to voice a political opinion about their current leader. Shore takes a few punches on the chin to push Zalal to the wall, and Zalal uses a kimura to turn Shore around. Zalal uses a body lock to lower Shore to the mat, and he hits the ground in half guard. Zalal wraps his arm around Shore’s head to keep him pinned down to the ground, but Shore still fights out of the choke and nearly gives up his back. Zalal positions himself to where he can get both hooks in, and he turns Shore around and starts hunting for a cranking submission. The neck crank does not get a tap, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Zalal

Round 2
The two touch gloves, and Zalal opens up with a few jabs. Shore walks into a jab and a right hand, and Zalal’s counters are quicker and he is evasive enough to block the strikes from coming. As Shore ducks down, “The Moroccan Devil” fires off a devilishly powerful knee up the middle that knocks Shore to his seat. Zalal leaps on top into half guard, and he establishes an arm-triangle choke.
Zalal locks down the arm-triangle and does not even need to move to the side, instead pressing his full body weight down while in mount to complete it. Shore hangs on tight, but he has to tap out before getting rendered unconscious.
Boutin gets between them, and Zalal has just notched arguably the largest win in his career while breaking a tough stretch of decisions tonight. That marks three wins in 2024 for the Factory X fighter, all by submission.

The Official Result
Youssef Zalal def. Jack Shore R2 0:59 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Angelo sees Youssef Zalal as the better wrestler, grappler, and more technical striker in this matchup. He notes Zalal's 2.0 version since returning to the UFC has been a buzzsaw, with improved wrestling and ground control. He mentions Zalal's low striking absorption rate (1.73 per minute) and high fight IQ. He also highlights Zalal's recent submission win over Jarno Errens. Angelo is confident Zalal will win and considers the -225 price affordable.

likely to do some work with the -225 line
"I love Yousef in this matchup I think he's going to be the better wrestler the better Grappler the more technical Striker and right now this minute he's an affordable minus 225 and I'm likely going to do some work …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Big Brady picks Youssef Zalal to win by decision. He notes that Zalal has looked much more aggressive in his second UFC stint, finishing opponents, while Jack Shore is moving up to featherweight and will be undersized. Brady believes Zalal is the better striker and can compete in grappling, stuffing takedowns and possibly getting his own. He expects a close fight but thinks Zalal does enough over 15 minutes.

"I'm going zow I'm going as allowed to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Cody picks Youssef Zalal, citing his improved grappling and striking since his return to the UFC. He notes that Zalal is younger, faster, and more well-rounded than Shore, who he sees as undersized and struggling against physical opponents. He believes Zalal's movement and takedown ability will be too much for Shore, and expects a dominant performance.

"The Moroccan devil to keep the winning ways going and you're going to see this kid entering the rankings pretty soon."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Daniel Vreeland picks Youssef Zalal, citing his resurgence and improved skills since returning to the UFC. He believes Zalal's movement, footwork, and ability to mix in takedowns will be too much for Jack Shore, who is stuck between weight classes. Vreeland notes that Zalal has looked impressive against solid competition and is on a trajectory to face ranked opponents, while Shore is underwhelming and in the wrong division.

"give me youus of zow there"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jack Shore

Shore is dealing with recency bias as a big underdog, but his relentless wrestling style can still prove fruitful, especially since Zalal doesn't present the athletic and physical dangers that Shore's recent opponents have, allowing Shore to grind out a win and spoil Zalal's winning streak.

"I believe his Relentless wrestling style can still prove fruitful especially with him starting his career off with a 16-0 perfect record I don't think Zalal presents the athletic and physical dangers that Shore's opponents recently have presented him allowing …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Paul agrees, noting that Zalal has looked impressive in his second UFC stint and has a well-rounded skill set. He points out that Shore struggles against physically stronger opponents and that Zalal's speed and technique will give him problems. He believes Zalal is the rightful favorite and should win comfortably.

"I like The Rebirth of zal... seems like he's ready to roll at this point."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

The Guru picks Youssef Zalal over Jack Shore, citing that Shore is not a true featherweight and lacks physicality. He notes Zalal's momentum, improvements in grappling, and recent performances, including a win over Billy Quarantillo as an underdog. He believes Zalal's technical skills and confidence will be key, while Shore's move up in weight is a disadvantage.

"I'm going to have to go with Yousef salao and it pains me to have to go against Jack Shaw because I'm a big fan of Jack sha but a dude is not a featherweight"
WIN vs Jarno Errens
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 3:52 · UFC on ESPN: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · Aug 10, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Youssef Zalal 0 10 of 12 83% 10 of 12 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:08
Jarno Errens 0 6 of 26 23% 7 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Youssef Zalal 0 10 of 12 83% 10 of 12 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:08
Jarno Errens 0 6 of 26 23% 7 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Youssef Zalal 10 of 12 83% 2 of 2 1 of 1 7 of 9 10 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jarno Errens 6 of 26 23% 3 of 22 3 of 3 0 of 1 6 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Youssef Zalal 10 of 12 83% 2 of 2 1 of 1 7 of 9 10 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jarno Errens 6 of 26 23% 3 of 22 3 of 3 0 of 1 6 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jarno Errens vs. Youssef Zalal
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Zalal (-395), Errens (+310)

Round 1
Attention shifts to the featherweight division, where Errens (14-5-1, 1-2 UFC) awaits Zalal (14-5-1, 4-3-1 UFC) at 145 pounds. Mike Beltran serves as the third man in the cage. Errens pumps out his jab, looking to get a read on range. Zalal greets him with a leg kick, then another and another. Errens light on his feet in the center of the cage. He shoots a leg kick of his own, then and overhand right. Leg kick from Zalal. Errens answers with a jab. Another leg kick from Zalal. Errens whiffs on a spinning wheel kick, then charges forward. Zalal scores with a left hook to the body. Eye poke from Errens results in pause to the action and warning from Beltran. Errens looks to up the aggression midway through the round. Zalal shoots on the hips and powers the Dutchman into the cage. Errens avoids the initial takedown attempt but not the second. Zalal establishes top position, then moves to the back with a body triangle. Errens stands.
Zalal goes to work on a rear-naked choke, forces his arms into place, tightens his squeeze and prompts the tapout
.

The Official Result
Youssef Zalal def. Jarno Errens—Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) 3:52 R1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Angelo is very confident in Zalal because of his high fight IQ, incredible defense (only 1.73 significant strikes absorbed per minute), and well-rounded skills. He notes that Errens overcommits and extends while chasing power, which sets him up to be taken down. Zalal is one of Angelo's most confident picks on the card.

"Yousef is the pick one of my most confident picks on this entire card"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Cody is high on Zalal, citing his improved grappling, slick Jiu-Jitsu, and dominant win over Billy Quarantillo. He notes Errens has poor takedown defense (26%) and is one-dimensional. Cody expects Zalal to submit Errens and took Zalal by submission at plus 310.

Zalal by submission at plus 310
"I think that zal just Leaps and Bounds better of a Grappler either it's going to be a quick submission or it's going to be one of these fights where you can just absolutely neutralize him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Zalal has a solid all-around game with good striking, leg kicks, and aggressive grappling, plus high-level cardio training at elevation. Errens has shown flaws in takedown defense and has been out-grinded by strikers. Zalal should mix in takedowns to separate himself and win on the scorecards, though Errens is tough to finish.

"I think zal will look to utilize his full bag of tools here striking and probably even being the better Striker here with aand but also mixing in the takedowns here to really separate himself on the judge's scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Paul agrees, calling Zalal a potential top-five guy. He notes Errens' takedown defense is a massive flaw and Zalal should dominate. Paul took Zalal by submission as well, believing Zalal will take the smart route and not risk striking.

Zalal by submission
"I think the play is uh that's what I was taking while you were talking is zal by sub he seems to be smart he knows the value of you know he's already been here lost his job had to …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

The MMA Guru picks Youssef Zalal, citing his experience and underrated skills. He notes Zalal's ability to float on the outside and play the point-fighting game, which he believes will be effective against Jarno Errens. He mentions Zalal's close fight with Ilia Topuria and his win over Billy Quarantillo as evidence of his quality. He dismisses Errens' recent win over Steven Nguyen, stating Zalal is a step up in competition.

"I'm gonna go with Yousef zelal to win this fight I picked him to beat Billy quarantillo in his return fight to the UFC because he's good at floating around on the outside"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 1:50 · UFC on ESPN: Ribas vs. Namajunas · Mar 23, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Youssef Zalal 0 10 of 50 20% 26 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Billy Quarantillo 0 33 of 56 58% 37 of 62 2 of 2 100% 2 0 2:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Youssef Zalal 0 8 of 40 20% 15 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Billy Quarantillo 0 31 of 49 63% 33 of 52 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:33
2 Youssef Zalal 0 2 of 10 20% 11 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Billy Quarantillo 0 2 of 7 28% 4 of 10 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Youssef Zalal 10 of 50 20% 8 of 36 0 of 8 2 of 6 10 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Billy Quarantillo 33 of 56 58% 18 of 36 5 of 9 10 of 11 28 of 49 0 of 1 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Youssef Zalal 8 of 40 20% 6 of 28 0 of 6 2 of 6 8 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
Billy Quarantillo 31 of 49 63% 17 of 31 5 of 8 9 of 10 26 of 42 0 of 1 5 of 6
2 Youssef Zalal 2 of 10 20% 2 of 8 0 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Billy Quarantillo 2 of 7 28% 1 of 5 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Billy Quarantillo vs. Youssef Zalal
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Quarantillo (-148), Zalal (+124)

Round 1
Keeping the main card pushing, the hyper-aggressive Quarantillo (18-5, 6-3 UFC) will welcome kickboxer-turned-wrestler Zalal (13-5-1, 3-3-1 UFC) back to the Octagon after a year and half away. While Quarantillo has battled three top-25 names in that span, Zalal has crushed three adversaries in the Sparta Combat League promotion—the last coming at the end of a night where he won a boxing match, then a kickboxing match, and tapped a kickboxer in the MMA finals. Speed will be the name of the game in this featherweight encounter, and referee Herb Dean will try to keep up. Gloves are tapped, and Zalal moves right to the middle of the cage to plant a kick on the lead leg of the Floridian. When Quarantillo comes forward to throw hands, Zalal skirts on the outside and lands another slapping calf kick. Zalal pokes out a jab and has a third leg kick find its home, and he is able to dance away from “Billy Q.” Zalal gets off kicks on the inside and out of his foe’s leg, and he snaps a jab out to follow. Quarantillo again telegraphs his blitz, and Zalal dodges everything but a leg kick and a power right hand. Zalal rolls with it and strafes from side to side, not letting Quarantillo find his pattern yet. Quarantillo steps in with a knee that brushes his past his target, and he reaches out with a right hand. Zalal keeps moving and lands a knee to the chest, and Quarantillo chases him and walks into a punch to the ribs and a low kick. Quarantillo lumbers in with a right that whiffs, and Zalal rings his bell with a right hand as he delivers kicks to several targets. Zalal hops in and out, landing another one-two as Quarantillo shakes his head. Quarantillo crashes forward and results in a clinch, and Zalal scrambles away and points at the ground as he would prefer to strike. Zalal takes a right hand on the temple and drops to a knee, and he fires back and gets Quarantillo’s attention with a flurry of punches. The right hand from Zalal tags Quarantillo another time, nails him with a knee and he hits a trip that takes “Billy Q” off his feet. Zalal moves into the guard, and he hacks down with elbows and prevents Quarantillo from getting his butterfly hooks in. Quarantillo rolls for an armbar, and Zalal sees it coming and turns to the right side and batters him with punches and elbows. Zalal steps over to take the back, and he hooks up a body triangle and hunts for a standing rear-naked choke when Quarantillo stands. Quarantillo falls to the ground, with the grip on his chin and not under it, and he toughs it out and winces in pain. Zalal crushes with the squeeze until Quarantillo punches his way out of it, and he smacks Quarantillo on the side of the head until the one-sided round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Zalal

Round 2
Quarantillo starts the round aggressively, winging overhand rights, and tries to counter kicks with this big right hand. Zalal slides from side to side, landing a front kick and a few punches until he closes in to hit a trip and toss Quarantillo to his back. Zalal ignores a rubber guard moment from his opponent so he can punish Quarantillo with punches and hammerfists, and he stacks Quarantillo up and thwarts an armbar as Quarantillo turns to his knees. Zalal hangs on from behind again, and he drags a standing Quarantillo back down and locks down a body triangle.
Zalal hunts for a rear-naked choke, and he wriggles his forearm beneath the chin. When the choke locks down, Quarantillo quickly knows that this is it for him, and he surrenders with taps on the arm.
This is a stellar performance for the returning Zalal, who ended a seven-fight streak in the Octagon of going the distance by running roughshod over a solid featherweight in Quarantillo.

The Official Result
Youssef Zalal def. Billy Quarantillo R2 1:50 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Billy Quarantillo

Angelo is very confident in Billy Quarantillo, placing a full unit bet on him at -146. He believes Quarantillo's constant forward pressure and high output will overwhelm Zalal, who prefers to point fight from the outside. He expects the line to rebound to -300 and advises jumping on the current value.

full unit bet at -146
"I love Billy Q in this spot I've got a full unit I bet a full unit on him"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Billy Quarantillo

Big Brady picks Billy Quarantillo, citing his high volume (almost 8 strikes per minute) compared to Zalal's low volume (2.75). He notes Zalal is durable and has good cardio but will be outworked. He thinks Quarantillo will drown Zalal with activity and win a decision.

"I think Billy Q is going to outwork him he outworks pretty much everybody I don't think Z has the stopping power to to to make him pay for how hitable he is as well so yeah should just be …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Billy Quarantillo

Cody picks Quarantillo, citing his volume, durability, and ability to push a pace. He thinks Zalal's wrestling could be neutralized by Quarantillo's scrambling and constant forward pressure. Cody notes that Zalal is returning after a layoff and may not be ready for Quarantillo's relentless style.

"I gotta go with Billy Q."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Mar 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Daniel Vreeland leans toward Youssef Zalal, believing he can pick Quarantillo apart with his striking and avoid getting drawn into a brawl. He notes Zalal has never had cardio issues and has won rounds against top competition. He thinks Zalal's maturity and composure will be key, but he would have liked better odds.

"I do kind of think that zah can can pick him apart and not get you know kind of uh goated into that that brawl that dog fight that Billy Q likes"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 19, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Zalal is the better striker with good combinations and cardio. He should be able to outwork Quarantillo on the feet and avoid takedowns. Quarantillo is a slow starter who relies on pressure and grappling, but his takedown success rate is low. Zalal's improved aggression could be key, but there is concern about Quarantillo's clinch and submission threats. Zalal by decision is the pick.

"I'm going to go with zal here I think zal grinds this one out with his striking stays safe enough in the clinch situations... getting the win on the scorecards and pulling off the upset."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Billy Quarantillo

Paul agrees with Cody, emphasizing Quarantillo's volume and the value at minus 140. He believes Zalal's path to victory via takedowns is difficult because Quarantillo fights to get back up and throws volume. Paul sees Quarantillo as the clear play.

"Billy Q minus 140 seems more than fair as far as I'm concerned so it's Billy Q for me as well."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

The MMA Guru picks Youssef Zalal as an underdog over Billy Quarantillo, believing Zalal is a better striker with good cardio and reach. He criticizes Quarantillo's slow movement and poor standup. He thinks Zalal will finish Quarantillo by TKO, catching him coming in with straight punches.

TKO win
"I'm taking Yousef zow over Billy quarantillo... he finishes Billy quarantillo by TKO"
Draw (majority) (29–28, 28–28, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Cruz · Aug 13, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Da'Mon Blackshear 0 63 of 150 42% 82 of 179 1 of 1 100% 1 1 4:52
Youssef Zalal 0 27 of 69 39% 40 of 91 1 of 5 20% 1 2 3:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Da'Mon Blackshear 0 1 of 8 12% 9 of 17 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:22
Youssef Zalal 0 6 of 13 46% 12 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:43
2 Da'Mon Blackshear 0 3 of 6 50% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 1 1:35
Youssef Zalal 0 2 of 3 66% 9 of 14 1 of 2 50% 1 1 3:08
3 Da'Mon Blackshear 0 59 of 136 43% 67 of 152 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:55
Youssef Zalal 0 19 of 53 35% 19 of 53 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Da'Mon Blackshear 63 of 150 42% 43 of 126 13 of 14 7 of 10 42 of 114 5 of 7 16 of 29
Youssef Zalal 27 of 69 39% 10 of 42 6 of 11 11 of 16 27 of 69 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Da'Mon Blackshear 1 of 8 12% 0 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Youssef Zalal 6 of 13 46% 0 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 9 6 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Da'Mon Blackshear 3 of 6 50% 1 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0
Youssef Zalal 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Da'Mon Blackshear 59 of 136 43% 42 of 116 12 of 13 5 of 7 39 of 101 4 of 6 16 of 29
Youssef Zalal 19 of 53 35% 9 of 36 5 of 10 5 of 7 19 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Youssef Zalal vs. Da'Mon Blackshear
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Zalal (-120), Blackshear (+100)

Round 1
The Factory X-trained Zalal, who is in the midst of a three-bout skid, will welcome former Cage Fury Fighting Championship title holder Blackshear to the Octagon in this bantamweight scrap. Herb Dean will get the first referee assignment of the card. They touch gloves before trading low kicks. Blackshear is feinting with jumping front kicks while continuing to work the outside leg of his opponent. Blackshear continues to chip away at the legs before Zalal changes levels for a takedown. Blackshear attempts to post before Zalal forces his back down to the mat. Blackshear with a couple elbows to the head as Zalal attempts to navigate his guard. Blackshear walks his legs up and threatens with an armbar, but Zalal isn’t in trouble yet. Zalal stacks Blackshear near the cage and drops a short right hand. Zalal lands a few more short punches before Blackshear transitions to a leg lock. Blackshear clings to the leg and Zalal grabs a leg of his own. Shortly thereafter, Blackshear scrambles his way into a back take and he has both hooks in with 30 seconds remaining. Blackshear lands a couple right hands to the head and controls positioning until the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Blackshear
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Blackshear
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Blackshear

Round 2
Blackshear with a jumping front kick and Zalal answers with a left jab. blackshear connects with a sharp right hand. The CFFC veteran shoots for a takedown against the fence and Zalal defends. Blackshear locks his hands, lifts and dumps his opponent on his seat. Zalal gets to a knee, which allows Blackshear to take the back. He’s too high, though, and Zalal slips off and assumes control, eventually working his way to his oppponent’s back. Zalal hunts for a rear-naked choke with a body traingle secured. Blackshear turns his head and fights the hands. Blackshear moves to his knees and then powers out of the predicament, dropping ground-and-pound from above in the process. Blackshear tries for a choke without back control and Zalal returns to his feet and shoots for a takedown against the fence. He gives up on the takedown and maintains a body lock. Blackshear reverses and turns his man to the fence as the grappling heavy affair continues. Blackshear drops low for a single leg. Zalal defends, but Blackshear spins around and jumps on his back. Zalal is carrying Blackshear like a backpack, leaning into the fence ot help carry the weight. Blackshear is attempting to slide his left arm under the chin in the waning moments of the round. It gets a little deeper but Zalal does a good job of keeping his chin down until the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Blackshear
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Blackshear
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Blackshear

Round 3
Zalal walks forward and flicks out a jab, and Blackshear answers with a right hand. Blackshear whiffs on a superman punch, and Zalal lands a straight right. Zalal denies a level change as the bantamweights nearly clash heads. Zalal follows a jab with a step-in knee that just misses. Another jab for Zalal gets through. A glancing high kick lands for Zalal, who is looking to strike this round. They trade low kicks and Zalal lands a straight right ot the body. Blackshear is slowing down and Zalal flurries with a combination near the fence. Blackshear circles away and Zalal keeps the pressure on. Blackshear dives low for a takedown and grabs hold of a leg. Zalal hops on one leg before freeing himself. Zalal pressures against the fence with a punching combination. Zalal keeps the heat on and throws a pair of elbows. They tie up and Blackshear eats an elbow. Zalal stalks his man and lands more punches. A counter left hook lands for Blackshear, but Zalal does damage with a kick and punch to the body. Zalal walks his man into the fence and drops Blackshear to a knee with another clean body shot. Zalal follows his man to the mat and drops elbows from above. He transitions to side control and is teeing off with punches and hammerfists. Dean is taking a close look as Zalal achieves full mount. Zalal tees off all the way until the horn, but Blackshear survives.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Zalal (28-28)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-8 Zalal (28-28)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-8 Zalal (28-28)

The Official Result
Da’Mon Blackshear vs. Youssef Zalal is declared a majority draw (29-28, 28-28, 28-28) R3 5:00
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Aug 7, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Da'Mon Blackshear

Angelo picks Da'Mon Blackshear despite it being short notice, citing his athleticism, speed, and power. He notes that Zalal is tough to finish and has great defense, but believes Blackshear can win if his conditioning holds up and he can defend takedowns. However, Angelo is not betting on this fight due to the short notice uncertainty.

"i still am going to put my neck out there and and pick damon to win here but i'm going to keep my money i am not going to bet on this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Aug 9, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Big Brady leans toward Youssef Zalal to win by decision. He notes that Zalal has had a year off and is dropping to bantamweight, which could be beneficial. Zalal impressed in his last fight against Sean Woodson, showing good striking and wrestling. Blackshear is tough with good grappling, but Brady thinks Zalal is a little better overall and should win a decision.

"i do lean on the zalau side here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Da'Mon Blackshear

Cody picks Blackshear as an underdog, citing Zalal's low output and reliance on wrestling. He notes Blackshear is physically strong, has excellent cardio, and has submitted several prospects. Cody thinks Blackshear will stuff takedowns and break Zalal down.

"i'll take the underdog"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Daniel Levi leans Youssef Zalal, citing his experience inside the UFC and his back being against the wall. He notes that Zalal has paid his dues and has a solid grappling game. However, he acknowledges Blackshear's athleticism and unorthodox style, and that Blackshear could make big leaps. Levi predicts a split decision for Zalal.

"I'm gonna go Youssef Zalal by split decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2022 (fight day)
Da'Mon Blackshear

The host includes Blackshear in his totals parlay, betting over 2.5 rounds. He notes that Blackshear has never been finished in his professional MMA career, so he expects the fight to go the distance or at least past 2.5 rounds.

Over 2.5 rounds (in parlay).
"black shears will all over two and f not the guy being finished in the professional mma career definitely is good enough weight for that"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Paul leans toward Zalal, noting his youth and experience. He is interested in live betting to see if Zalal can get takedowns early. Paul is hesitant because Zalal has struggled against stronger grapplers, but he thinks Zalal's game plan could be to win rounds.

Live betting
"i'm going to lean towards the lull uh to your black sheer in this spot"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

The host picks Youssef Zalal, acknowledging Blackshear is a decent underdog but trusting Zalal's youth (25) and improvements after time off. He notes Zalal's close fights with tough opponents and believes he can avoid being finished. The host cites Blackshear's losses to composed fighters like Pat Sabatini and Chris Moutinho as a pattern.

"i'm going to be going with yusuf zalal getting this one done"
LOSS vs Sean Woodson
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · Jun 05, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sean Woodson 0 40 of 116 34% 104 of 204 0 of 0 --- 2 0 1:03
Youssef Zalal 0 42 of 89 47% 55 of 112 2 of 17 11% 0 0 6:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sean Woodson 0 11 of 38 28% 28 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Youssef Zalal 0 17 of 31 54% 20 of 37 1 of 6 16% 0 0 1:46
2 Sean Woodson 0 15 of 46 32% 24 of 61 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:10
Youssef Zalal 0 15 of 34 44% 19 of 42 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:46
3 Sean Woodson 0 14 of 32 43% 52 of 81 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:39
Youssef Zalal 0 10 of 24 41% 16 of 33 0 of 8 0% 0 0 2:49
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sean Woodson 40 of 116 34% 23 of 88 6 of 12 11 of 16 33 of 107 7 of 9 0 of 0
Youssef Zalal 42 of 89 47% 18 of 62 9 of 11 15 of 16 40 of 85 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sean Woodson 11 of 38 28% 4 of 26 2 of 6 5 of 6 11 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Youssef Zalal 17 of 31 54% 6 of 19 3 of 4 8 of 8 17 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Sean Woodson 15 of 46 32% 7 of 35 3 of 4 5 of 7 14 of 44 1 of 2 0 of 0
Youssef Zalal 15 of 34 44% 8 of 26 3 of 4 4 of 4 14 of 32 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Sean Woodson 14 of 32 43% 12 of 27 1 of 2 1 of 3 8 of 25 6 of 7 0 of 0
Youssef Zalal 10 of 24 41% 4 of 17 3 of 3 3 of 4 9 of 22 1 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Sean Woodson vs. Youssef Zalal

Round 1
We move along to the featherweight division with a match between sharp strikers as “The Sniper” Woodson (7-1, 1-1 UFC) takes on “The Moroccan Devil” Zalal (10-4, 3-2 UFC). Keeping his head on a swivel is referee Keith Peterson, who destroys all the nonsense in the building. A touch of gloves to start things off, and Woodson reaches out with several long strikes and takes advantage of his sharp jab early. Zalal returns fire with a calf kick, and Woodson changes stances and walks face-first into a punch. “The Sniper” snipes at Zalal’s legs with his own calf kicks, and the preeminent strike thus far is a kick down low. Zalal advances and looks to close the distance, crowding Woodson and getting past his reaching jabs. Zalal gets off a few punches on the outside, and “The Sniper” chases after him but is reaching and lunging recklessly. Zalal corners his foe into the cage, and he starts to rip into Woodson, only to eat a stiff counter. Zalal backs off, rushes back in and ducks low for a double. The Glory MMA & Fitness representative stuffs the takedown, and he gets a break to fire off a few distance kicks. Woodson clocks Zalal with a one-two, and he just whiffs with a high kick. Zalal takes a kick to the body as he stays loose and on his bike, trying to find his way back in. Both men fire off spinning kicks, but it is Zalal that connects with one to the body. “The Sniper” snipes with a left hand, only to be greeted with a takedown attempt. Like before, Woodson defends it well, and hacks at Zalal’s head with a couple elbows. Woodson punches the thigh and body as he is pinned to the wire, and he makes Zalal pay for the attempt with a few strikes on the inside before breaking. Zalal backs off, and he attacks one final takedown right before the 10-second clapper. When he lands it, Woodson stands up, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Zalal

Round 2
Woodson marches out of his corner to engage, and Zalal is right there to meet him. A few reaching punches from Woodson score, and Zalal fires back with some calf kicks and a clubbing right hand. Woodson does not let him of the hook, as he pressures Zalal towards the cage, landing a few punches to varying targets. Zalal looks to brawl, and Woodson eats a right hand while trying to jab his way out of danger. “The Moroccan Devil” throws hands until ducking down for a takedown attempt, and Woodson keeps his wits and balance about him as he pushes away and shakes his head. Zalal answers this with another double, forcing the striker to defend with his back on the cage wall. Zalal turns it into a single, and he elevates Woodson in a moment only to set him back down where there is nothing to it. Woodson fires off an elbow to get Zalal to back off, and he tattoos Zalal’s body with a kick on the way out. Woodson goes up high with a kick, and Zalal ducks and weaves with a counter right hand. Zalal dodges another looping high kick, and Woodson grabs hold of him to clinch up on his own terms. Woodson lands an elbow and loads up on a few shots, but Zalal dances out of the way as he escapes. Zalal swipes with a left hand on the way in, and Woodson responds with three punches up top. Both men trade hacking calf kicks, and Woodson catches Zalal coming in with a stiff knee. Zalal eats it like a traditional Moroccan dish and gathers himself, only to take a few jabs on the chin. The momentum shifts keep occurring as one lands in volume, and the other answers with their own salvo. Zalal pushes in to grab hold of Woodson’s right leg, and Woodson snatches up a guillotine choke and pulls guard to fall to his back and secure it. Time expires before he can get a tap.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Woodson

Round 3
There is a glove touch to begin the last round, and there is immediate action as Zalal goes low with a kick. Woodson tags him with a left hand, and he follows it with a solid one-two. Zalal lands a few of his own, only to duck down to pursue a single leg takedown. Woodson keeps his back on the fencing and splits his legs to stuff the attempt, where he stands Zalal back up and turns him about. Woodson tries to get off a few knees, and Zalal does not like these so he bails and backs off. Woodson rushes after him to push the pace, and Zalal drops down for a double. “The Sniper” is forced to stave off the try instead of getting strikes off, and he keeps his hand pressed on the back of Zalal’s neck to stop the takedown from succeeding. Woodson pushes off and lands a knee to the liver, and he flicks out a front kick to follow suit. Zalal scores a leg kick, and he whiffs on a huge left hook. Zalal’s hands are by his waist as he escapes, and Woodson is chasing him down with strikes. Zalal breaks up this advancement with a double that turns into a single, and Woodson stands tall and keeps it from succeeding. With Woodson stuck against the fence, he signals to Peterson that he is being held and not doing anything with it. Zalal answers with a single, and Woodson latches on to a guillotine choke to defend the position. “The Moroccan Devil” notices this, and he lets go, where Woodson thanks him with a body kick. When Zalal shoots in for a takedown, Woodson meets him in the middle and snags on to a guillotine choke. Zalal squirms his neck out, escapes a potential triangle setup, and rolls through. Woodson follows him, but the two stand up to bang it out to the final bell. Both men flail wildly and recklessly, and they laugh as they largely do not connect. The round ends, and the featherweights embrace after an exhausting battle.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Woodson (29-28 Woodson)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Woodson (29-28 Woodson)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Woodson (29-28 Woodson)

The Official Result
Sean Woodson def. Youssef Zalal via Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Big Brady thinks the line is off and the fight should be a pick'em. He notes Woodson has a big reach advantage but Zalal has a strong ground game, averaging 2.5 takedowns per 15 minutes. He points out Woodson's takedown defense is inflated by facing poor wrestlers, and that Terence McKinney had success controlling Woodson on the mat. He believes if Zalal mixes in takedowns he can win a decision, as Zalal is not a finisher.

"i'm going to take zlata to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sean Woodson

Cody picks Woodson, noting his size and reach. He thinks Zalal's takedowns won't be effective and that Woodson will outpoint him. Cody likes Woodson by decision as a prop.

Woodson by decision +150
"woodson by decision plus 150 is cody's play on that"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Sean Woodson

Daniel picks Woodson, believing he has cleaner hands and more output. He notes that Woodson's length (6'2", 79" reach) will be a problem for Zalal, and that Zalal is a jack-of-all-trades without a standout skill. Daniel acknowledges Zalal's smarts and calf kicks, but thinks Woodson will pick him apart on the feet and avoid takedowns. He expects Woodson to win a decision, possibly a split, but is confident in his striking advantage.

"i'ma go with woods and i think he makes a lot of improvements and i think he picks apart the law as long as he can keep it standing"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Sean Woodson

Woodson has superior boxing and range, and he gets up quickly if taken down. Zalal's takedowns won't keep him down, and Woodson will out-strike him for a decision win.

Woodson by decision +130, fight goes distance -205
"I'm going to be on the woodson side here plus 130 on the decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sean Woodson

Paul picks Woodson, citing his reach and boxing advantage. He notes Zalal's low output and reliance on takedowns, which Woodson can defend. Paul thinks Woodson will win a decision. He likes Woodson by decision as a prop.

Woodson by decision +150
"woodson's taken this fight i don't love -185 believe me i'm going to chase woodson by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 30, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Sean Woodson

The Guru picks Sean Woodson, emphasizing his significant reach advantage (6'2" with 78-inch reach at featherweight). He believes Woodson will keep Zalal at range and pick him apart for three rounds, similar to how Sung Woo Choi did. He notes Zalal's tendency to take fights too frequently without enough time to improve, and thinks Zalal's two-fight losing streak may lead to a cut. He predicts a unanimous decision with Woodson outlanding Zalal every round.

unanimous decision, 30-27
"i think sean woodson is just going to be way too rangy for yusuf salahu"
Expert Picks (4)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Big Brady picks the underdog Topuria, citing his dangerous finishing ability (88% by knockout, 12% by submission) and takedown threat. He worries about Topuria's cardio but believes he can finish early. He notes Zalal has never been finished but thinks there's a first time. He admits he's a Zalal fan but goes against him here.

Topuria inside the distance; first round submission
"i'm just going to go with the poor here i'm going to take a shot on the underdog"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 9, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Daniel picks Ilia Topuria as an underdog, believing he has value. He notes that Zalal has not faced a real takedown threat since his regional losses, while Topuria is a strong wrestler with finishing ability. Daniel acknowledges Zalal's good footwork and calf kicks but thinks Topuria's grappling and power will be the difference. He also mentions that Topuria has overcome adversity, getting dropped and coming back to win.

Daniel predicts Topuria wins by decision, using takedowns. He also notes that this might be the last time Topuria is an underdog.
"I'll go with the dog i feel like it's some value i'll go with ilya i think he can get enough takedowns and i do think he can win a decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Topuria's high-level grappling and black belt jiu-jitsu will be the difference; Zalal has shown poor takedown defense and has been controlled on the ground. Topuria's cardio is a question, but he should secure a submission in the first or second round. Zalal's striking advantage is nullified by Topuria's relentless pressure.

Topuria wins by submission at +160
"i will still be making the play on him at plus 160"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Oct 4, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

The Guru picks Zalal but is hesitant, acknowledging Topuria's skills and short-notice factor. He notes Zalal's activity, speed, and unorthodox style, and believes Topuria may be reckless early. He advises waiting to bet on Zalal as odds may shift. He says if Topuria had a full camp, he might pick him.

betting advice: wait to bet on Zalal; odds comment: 'i think those odds are going to start to close up'
"i think yusuf zalal's gonna win but ilya tapira is beating good guys"