UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · Sep 08, 2018 · Welterweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till Next Fight
Age 40
Height 5' 10"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 36
Height 6' 0"
Reach 76.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Abdul Razak Alhassan
3.64 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
4.01 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
0.84 TD Avg
33.0% TD Acc.
51.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Niko Price
5.11 SLpM
43.0% Str. Acc.
5.57 SApM
48.0% Str. Def.
1.06 TD Avg
30.0% TD Acc.
50.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Abdul Razak Alhassan - Fight History
LOSS vs César Almeida
KO (punch) R1 4:16 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
César Almeida 1 20 of 29 68% 21 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Abdul Razak Alhassan 1 17 of 33 51% 19 of 35 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 César Almeida 1 20 of 29 68% 21 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Abdul Razak Alhassan 1 17 of 33 51% 19 of 35 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
César Almeida 20 of 29 68% 3 of 9 9 of 11 8 of 9 16 of 25 4 of 4 0 of 0
Abdul Razak Alhassan 17 of 33 51% 13 of 29 4 of 4 0 of 0 9 of 21 4 of 5 4 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 César Almeida 20 of 29 68% 3 of 9 9 of 11 8 of 9 16 of 25 4 of 4 0 of 0
Abdul Razak Alhassan 17 of 33 51% 13 of 29 4 of 4 0 of 0 9 of 21 4 of 5 4 of 7
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 5, 2025 (6 days before fight)
César Almeida

Angelo picks César Almeida, reasoning that Abdul Razak Alhassan is essentially a striker despite his Judo background, and Almeida is the more accomplished kickboxer. He notes Alhassan's age (39) and that strikers decline faster. He believes Almeida's striking will be the difference, as Alhassan doesn't use his Judo. He has Almeida in a parlay with Uroš Medić.

Parlay with Uroš Medić
"Caesar Almeida is going to be the pick he is the one the other half of that parlay that I mentioned"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
César Almeida

Big Brady is baffled by the line and not high on Almeida. He notes Almeida's takedown defense is a serious concern, as he was taken down by Potieria and Kopylov. However, he thinks Alhassan's cardio and age (39) are issues, and Alhassan has never won a fight past 6 minutes. He predicts Almeida will win the last two rounds on the feet and win by decision, as Alhassan will slow down.

"I got to take Caesar Almeida I think that allisan can win the first round with some cage pushing um some takedowns here or there but I just think as the fight goes on Allan's going to do what he …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Abdul Razak Alhassan

Cody fades Almeida as a -250 favorite, citing his poor takedown defense exposed by Roman Kopylov and Ihor Potieria. He notes Alhassan's power, improved cardio training at altitude, and veteran experience. He believes Alhassan can win by knockout or by grinding out a decision if he mixes in takedowns.

"I think Al Hassan's a very dangerous guy that could get it done early"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
César Almeida

Connor picks Almeida because he is a more technical striker who does not get flustered, and he has shown ability to handle wrestling and grappling threats. Almeida is comfortable in the clinch and finds strikes on the break. Alhassan, despite his power, is structureless on the back foot and tends to fight off his back foot, which plays into Almeida's hands. Connor notes that Alhassan's only path is to land a big shot early, but Almeida's counter-striking and patience should prevail.

"So yeah, I'm going to take Al-Mata here, but it's a good, it's a good well booked fight for Al-Mata."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
César Almeida

Daniel acknowledges Alhassan's devastating first-round KO power and judo background, but worries about his cardio and age (close to 40). He thinks Almeida's technical kickboxing will pick Alhassan apart if the fight goes past the first round. He leans Almeida but calls it a dog-or-pass situation for betting.

dog-or-pass situation
"I'm going lean a little bit towards Cesar but from a betting perspective again I think this is a doger pass situation"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
César Almeida

Lucrative James picks César Almeida to win, citing his superior kickboxing and cardio. He acknowledges Alhassan's power and wrestling threat, but believes Alhassan will gas if the fight goes past round one. He notes Almeida's poor grappling but thinks Alhassan won't be able to wrestle for three rounds. He also mentions a prop bet on over 1.5 rounds at -170, as he expects Almeida to survive the early storm.

Over 1.5 rounds (-170)
"I got to go with Caesar arer in this one boys I think alhassan is live you know when you talk about live underdogs he's definitely live"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 10, 2025 (1 day before fight)
César Almeida

Almeida has technical combinations while Alhassan has power. Almeida can shut down Alhassan's judo attempts, keep the fight on the feet, pick him apart, and win on the scorecards.

"I do have to lean Almeida and I think he'll be able to shut down any type of Judo that alhassan looks to implement allowing him to keep this fight on the feet pick apart alhassan and win this fight …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Abdul Razak Alhassan

Paul also picks Alhassan, calling Almeida untrustworthy due to his grappling deficiencies. He notes that Alhassan has a judo base and has taken down good fighters. He placed a bet on under 1.5 rounds at +145, expecting a violent finish.

under 1.5 rounds at +145
"Alan's the pick for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
César Almeida

The Guru picks Almeida but is not fully confident. He was unimpressed by Almeida's performance against Ihor Potieria (despite the eye pokes) but notes Almeida is younger (36 vs 39), trains with Pereira, and has momentum. He acknowledges Alhassan's explosiveness and danger but points out his six losses and age. He predicts a TKO, thinking Almeida might chin Alhassan.

TKO
"I'll go Caesar Almeida younger promising training with Pereira got the momentum we'll go Cesar Al MAA getting this one done by you know what I'll say TKO I think he might chin abdor razak alassan"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
César Almeida

Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Almeida is a violent but limited kickboxer who has shown resilience and ability to adapt. He points out that Almeida's guillotine threat and comfort in the clinch make him dangerous. Alhassan is nearly 40 with only two wins since 2018, and his fight IQ is poor. Zane also mentions that Alhassan's tendency to fight off his back foot will allow Almeida to be first and land cleaner shots.

"I'm going to pick that over Abdul Razakal Hassan."
LOSS vs Cody Brundage
No Contest (illegal elbows) R1 0:37 · UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez · Jul 13, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Abdul Razak Alhassan 0 23 of 30 76% 24 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Cody Brundage 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Abdul Razak Alhassan 0 23 of 30 76% 24 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Cody Brundage 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Abdul Razak Alhassan 23 of 30 76% 23 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 4 19 of 26
Cody Brundage 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Abdul Razak Alhassan 23 of 30 76% 23 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 4 19 of 26
Cody Brundage 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Abdul Razak Alhassan vs. Cody Brundage
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Alhassan (-162), Brundage (+136)

Round 1
To kick off the main card, the UFC matched up two middleweight finishers that do not like to waste much time in the cage. All 12 victories for “Judo Thunder” Alhassan (12-6, 6-6 UFC) have come by knockout, while Brundage (10-6, 4-5 UFC) has seen eight of his 10 pro wins come inside the distance. Keeping control of the cage for this clash will be referee Dan Miragliotta, and the fighters touch gloves. Brundage whips a one-two at his foe and shoots for a takedown. Alhassan laughs in the face of the takedown and stops it in its tracks while elbowing Brundage in the side of the head, and he shoves Brundage over and busts him in the face with a number of ferocious punches. Brundage rolls around to survive the onslaught, and Alhassan keeps pounding on him. Brundage gets to his knees, and Alhassan hacks at him with elbows that drill the Factory X fighter in the side and back of the head. When two slam into his noggin illegally, Miragliotta emphatically calls time and breaks the fighters apart because of the fouls. Miragliotta informs Alhassan of the bad strikes and also tells him that the angle was close to 12-6 as well. Brundage remains on the ground, struggling to clear his vision as he is clearly compromised from the blows. Miragliotta has Brundage stand up to try to get his head straight, and he calls in the doctor to check on Brundage’s condition. Brundage is in a bad way, as he leans against the cage and is not having a good day. The bloodthirsty crowd hollers at Brundage, and he takes a seat against the cage and tells the doctor that his day is over. Brundage yells at Alhassan, who is upset that there will be a stoppage but not a win. Miragliotta consults with referee Herb Dean to confirm that the ruling will be a no contest due to accidentally illegal elbows, and the fight is waved off with Miragliotta making the normal arm motions that signal a fight’s conclusion. Meanwhile, Brundage’s coach tells him what happened, as Brundage appears to have no recollection of the fight. It is a disappointing result after the bonkers opening seconds, and one hopes the promotion puts this match back together in a month or two.

The Official Result
Abdul Razak Alhassan vs. Cody Brundage is Ruled a No Contest (Illegal Elbows) R1 0:37
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Cody Brundage

Angelo picks Cody Brundage as an underdog, citing his insane early pressure, wrestling ability, and power. He notes that Abdul Razak Alhassan rarely uses his high-level judo defensively, leading to a striking match where Brundage's well-roundedness gives him an edge. Angelo also jokes about Brundage's new hairline (Turkish Hair Replacement) boosting confidence. He cautions against betting the under 1.5 rounds as it didn't hit in Brundage's last fight.

Cautions against betting under 1.5 rounds.
"I'm going to pick the underdog I'm going Cody Brundage because the insane pressure early he does have wrestling"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Abdul Razak Alhassan

Cody picks Alhassan, citing his power and durability. He notes Brundage's tendency to quit and believes Alhassan's cardio, though poor, is better than Brundage's. He expects a first-round knockout or a grind where Alhassan's toughness prevails.

"Abdul razak alassan will be the pick for me."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Abdul Razak Alhassan

Daniel Vreeland picks Abdul Razak Alhassan to win. He dismisses the idea that Cody Brundage will wrestle for 15 minutes, calling Brundage a 'kill or be killed' fighter who folds under adversity. He notes that Brundage has poor cardio and has never won a decision against quality opposition. He expects Alhassan's power to overwhelm Brundage early.

"I'm going Abdul razak alhassen to uh to get this dub."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Cody Brundage

Cody Brundage will apply a grinding approach to wear on Alhassan's gas tank. If Brundage doesn't get squashed early, he should push through in deep waters and grind out a decision. The plus 450 decision prop is a good look.

Brundage by decision +450
"I think the plus 450 decision prop here on Brundage is not a bad look"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Abdul Razak Alhassan

Paul picks Alhassan, citing his power and durability. He notes Brundage's history of quitting and believes Alhassan's toughness will be the difference. He expects a finish, possibly by knockout, but acknowledges both fighters have cardio issues at altitude.

"Abdul Rak alhassan is going to figure out a way how to get the job done."
LOSS vs Joe Pyfer
Technical Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 2:05 · UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · Oct 07, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joe Pyfer 0 26 of 62 41% 26 of 63 3 of 4 75% 2 0 1:07
Abdul Razak Alhassan 0 11 of 28 39% 11 of 28 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joe Pyfer 0 20 of 46 43% 20 of 47 2 of 3 66% 1 0 0:32
Abdul Razak Alhassan 0 7 of 19 36% 7 of 19 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:08
2 Joe Pyfer 0 6 of 16 37% 6 of 16 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:35
Abdul Razak Alhassan 0 4 of 9 44% 4 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joe Pyfer 26 of 62 41% 15 of 47 9 of 12 2 of 3 24 of 60 2 of 2 0 of 0
Abdul Razak Alhassan 11 of 28 39% 4 of 15 2 of 3 5 of 10 11 of 27 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joe Pyfer 20 of 46 43% 12 of 34 6 of 9 2 of 3 19 of 45 1 of 1 0 of 0
Abdul Razak Alhassan 7 of 19 36% 3 of 11 2 of 3 2 of 5 7 of 18 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Joe Pyfer 6 of 16 37% 3 of 13 3 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0
Abdul Razak Alhassan 4 of 9 44% 1 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 5 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 29, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Joe Pyfer

Angelo picks Joe Pyfer with high confidence, citing his powerful striking, pressure, and composure. He notes that Abdul Razak Alhassan is a powerful striker but headhunts and abandons his high-level Judo. Pyfer may also wrestle offensively. The only concern is Pyfer's lack of experience in longer fights, but Angelo trusts his hands and pressure.

"I think Joe Pier is going to get this done I think he's going to land the cleaner shots"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Joe Pyfer

Big Brady picks Joe Pyfer, noting that Pyfer has more ways to win, especially if he uses his grappling. He highlights Abdul Razak Alhassan's non-existent takedown defense and that Pyfer is a black belt in BJJ. He warns that if Pyfer stands and bangs, he risks Alhassan's power, but believes Pyfer will take the fight to the ground and secure a second-round submission.

second round submission for Joe Pyfer
"I'm going to take Joe pyer to win this fight I'm going to take Joe Piper to win this fight by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joe Pyfer

Cody picks Joe Pyfer, highlighting his size, power, and well-rounded game. He notes that Alhassan is undersized at middleweight, has poor cardio, and relies on a puncher's chance. Pyfer's wrestling and durability give him multiple paths to victory, and Cody expects him to win, likely by knockout.

Pyfer inside the distance, Pyfer by knockout
"I think Piper wins... I'm just gonna play that money line... I'm thinking Piper inside the distance maybe more specifically knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joe Pyfer

Daniel Levi leans Joe Pyfer but calls it a dog-or-pass situation at -450. He notes that Abdul Razak Alhassan has 12 first-round KOs but fades past round one, while Pyfer is the bigger natural middleweight. However, he is not fully sold on Pyfer's competition level and acknowledges that either fighter could get knocked out. He advises against putting Pyfer in parlays at this price.

dog or pass situation; not putting Pyfer in parlays
"I think it's a dog or pass situation at these odds a lean pifer because I think he's a little bit bigger"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2023 (fight day)
Joe Pyfer

Lucrative James picks Pyfer to win by finish, likely a TKO via ground and pound. He thinks Pyfer will use his underrated grappling, setting up takedowns with his jab. He notes Pyfer trains with high-level grapplers and has competed in grappling. He sees value in Pyfer by submission at +700 but leans TKO. He believes the line is wide and Alhassan is live but not betting him.

Pyfer submission +700 (considering)
"I think Pier's gonna win the fight I think there's value on Alan I think P's line is wide"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Joe Pyfer

Pyfer has a reach and height advantage, and his power should be able to keep Alhassan at distance. Alhassan is dangerous but has durability issues and is 38. Pyfer should be able to counter Alhassan's overhand rights and get a knockout. However, the -450 line is too steep; I prefer the fight doesn't go to distance prop. Pyfer by finish is likely.

fight doesn't go to decision
"I'm going to go Piper maybe even inside the distance... violence is my kind of best spot in this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joe Pyfer

Paul agrees with Pyfer, noting his prospect status and Alhassan's cardio issues. He mentions that Alhassan is undersized and has struggled at middleweight. Paul considers a submission prop at +600 as a speculative play, but his main pick is Pyfer on the moneyline.

Pyfer by submission (speculative)
"pifer's the rifle favorite... the greediness inside of me is leaning me towards maybe one of those little submissions stab there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Joe Pyfer

The MMA Guru picks Joe Pyfer over Abdul Razak Alhassan, predicting a first-round TKO. He notes both are first-round finishers, but Pyfer is more consistent and has grappling skills, having outgrappled Eric Anders. He cites Pyfer's reach advantage (75 inches) and size, and believes Pyfer's intimidation factor will be greater. He also mentions Alhassan couldn't KO Buckley, implying Pyfer's power is superior.

first round TKO, might be worth putting some money on an underdog
"I'm gonna go Joe pifer I think when you've got two first round finishes this is ain't leaving the first round in my opinion someone's getting knocked out"
KO/TKO R2 0:28 · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · Jan 14, 2023
LOSS vs Joaquin Buckley
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · Feb 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joaquin Buckley 0 51 of 153 33% 57 of 159 5 of 8 62% 0 0 2:05
Abdul Razak Alhassan 0 46 of 94 48% 55 of 103 3 of 4 75% 0 0 3:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joaquin Buckley 0 16 of 54 29% 16 of 54 3 of 4 75% 0 0 0:48
Abdul Razak Alhassan 0 14 of 27 51% 14 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
2 Joaquin Buckley 0 26 of 68 38% 29 of 71 2 of 4 50% 0 0 0:55
Abdul Razak Alhassan 0 9 of 26 34% 10 of 27 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:12
3 Joaquin Buckley 0 9 of 31 29% 12 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Abdul Razak Alhassan 0 23 of 41 56% 31 of 49 3 of 3 100% 0 0 3:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joaquin Buckley 51 of 153 33% 32 of 128 18 of 24 1 of 1 45 of 144 5 of 8 1 of 1
Abdul Razak Alhassan 46 of 94 48% 40 of 82 3 of 6 3 of 6 22 of 56 5 of 7 19 of 31
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joaquin Buckley 16 of 54 29% 10 of 43 6 of 11 0 of 0 12 of 48 3 of 5 1 of 1
Abdul Razak Alhassan 14 of 27 51% 10 of 20 2 of 4 2 of 3 12 of 24 1 of 2 1 of 1
2 Joaquin Buckley 26 of 68 38% 17 of 58 8 of 9 1 of 1 24 of 65 2 of 3 0 of 0
Abdul Razak Alhassan 9 of 26 34% 7 of 21 1 of 2 1 of 3 5 of 21 4 of 5 0 of 0
3 Joaquin Buckley 9 of 31 29% 5 of 27 4 of 4 0 of 0 9 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Abdul Razak Alhassan 23 of 41 56% 23 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 11 0 of 0 18 of 30
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joaquin Buckley vs. Abdul Razak Alhassan

Round 1
The UFC has chosen violence with this main card opener, which practically guarantees something wild, when Buckley (13-4, 3-2 UFC) and Alhassan (11-4, 5-4 UFC) throw down at middleweight. Holding on to his hat will be referee Herb Dean, and for good reason, as these two combine for 21 knockouts across their 24 victories. Alhassan offers a friendly glove touch to his adversary that is not quite accepted, and the next outstretched fists will likely come much faster and substantially harder. Alhassan walks Buckley down, reaching out with a high kick in his first honest attempt to throw a strike. Buckley returns fire with a similar blow, and both come up short. Buckley slings another head kick that slaps off the guard, and Alhassan chops down the lead leg as Buckley ducks down to try to grab it. Buckley jabs out to the body as he remains light on his feet, and he spins with a back kick as Alhassan just swats it away in time. Alhassan goes for a big kick that comes up short, falling to the mat. Dean calls a pause to the fight for some reason, but the fighters shrug and get right back to it. Alhassan finds an overhand right above the guard, and the strike does enough to get Buckley to shoot in on him for a takedown. “New Mansa” scoops his man up and sets him down, but Alhassan is quick to pop back up. When the Fortis MMA fighter springs back to his feet, Buckley rapidly secures a mat return in the form of a trip. Alhassan once more powers back up, and he absorbs a clean elbow on the way up. Alhassan sits down on a two-punch combination when Buckley advances, and Alhassan walks through a side kick so that he can land the right hand again. From one side of the cage to the other, Buckley attacks a double-leg takedown that makes Alhassan bounce into the wall and down to the floor. Alhassan is quick to return standing again, and he absorbs a flush uppercut when recovering. They both crack one another in a fierce exchange, and Buckley staggers back after taking the worse of the blows. Alhassan throws so hard he nearly topples over, and Buckley gathers himself and pushes Alhassan over with a jab. Alhassan climbs back to his feet and they re-engage, with Buckley attacking with a pair of punches and a spinning back kick that goes wide. Buckley dives forward with a single to end the round, and Alhassan stuffs it and drills Buckley in the face with a right hand. Buckley stands, slugs it out for a moment, and the tense first round is over.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Buckley

Round 2
The second round begins like the first, with an exchange from both sides in the form of distant kicks. Alhassan overthrows another haymaker, and Buckley is able to move out of the way and escape. Alhassan kicks at the lead leg, and Buckley changes things up with a single-leg takedown try in the center of the cage. “New Mansa” cannot get it this time, but he redoubles his effort and gets a body lock to ground Alhassan. Alhassan leaps back upright, gets dragged down, and is able to find his footing when Buckley lets him go. Buckley lets loose with a long combination of punches that largely collide with the guard, and Alhassan bides his time and prepares a huge counter when Buckley lets up. Buckley sees this coming, and he manages to chip away at Alhassan with jabs and body shots. “Judo Thunder” leaps forward with a trio of punches, and Buckley smoothly dodges them. Alhassan’s power shots are inaccurate as Buckley keeps actively moving his head and slipping the punches just in time. Buckley is able to protect himself from harm, and then get Alhassan back with a few punches. Buckley backs Alhassan up against the cage, and Alhassan blocks them with a high guard until Buckley goes to the body. Alhassan looks to keep playing rope-a-dope against the cage wall, guarding from the shots and readying heavy responses. The Fortis MMA fighter succeeds in this strategy, taking punches to the body and tagging Buckley with an uppercut and a left hand in a salvo. A possibly wobbled Buckley shoots in from a distance, grounds Alhassan, and keeps him there until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Buckley

Round 3
Alhassan barely walks out of his corner, preferring to allow Buckley to come to him to start off the final round. Buckley appears far fresher, landing strikes from afar and not absorbing any counters. Buckley flicks out jabs and body shots, while sprinkling in high kicks and some to the body as Alhassan’s volume dwindles to very little. Buckley rushes in shoulder first to bully Alhassan into the wire, and he explodes with a loud shout when Alhassan turns him around momentarily. Alhassan sneakily trips Buckley’s legs out from beneath him, and he lands on top to start delivering vicious ground-and-pound strikes. One huge right hand from above shakes Buckley up, only for Buckley to gather himself when Alhassan swings so hard that he falls over the side. Buckley is slowing, but he still works the midsection a few times. Alhassan pushes forward, tripping Buckley’s legs out again, and landing on top to keep Buckley stuck on the mat. Alhassan holds on in a strange half guard until he postures up, and he batters Buckley with swinging punches from above. Buckley pushes him off with upkicks, turns to his side, and sits up to walk up the wall. “Judo Thunder” drags him back down to the mat, and Alhassan takes him from behind and looks to do damage with punches. Buckley manages to break the grip around his waist long enough to work himself upright, but Alhassan is a dog with a bone with these takedowns, grounding Buckley once more. Alhassan considers a keylock when he takes half guard, but bails on it to sit up and try to reintroduce his fists to Buckley’s face. Alhassan holds on tight when he claims side control, and he mashes Buckley with a few elbows. Alhassan takes mount with seconds to spare, and he hammers his foe with punches until the final bell. We have gone the distance, and both men are completely spent as they fall to their backs, sucking wind.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Alhassan (29-28 Buckley)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Alhassan (29-28 Buckley)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Alhassan (29-28 Buckley)

The Official Result
Joaquin Buckley def. Abdul Razak Alhassan via Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Angelo picks Joaquin Buckley but notes Alhassan's power and counter-striking. He thinks Buckley needs to pick up the pace and cut angles, which he doesn't normally do. He expects the fight to go longer than expected and plans to bet the over 1.5 rounds if available.

over 1.5 rounds
"i like buckley here he is the pick but i'm not sleeping on the power and the reaction times of al hassan"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Abdul Razak Alhassan

Big Brady picks Abdul Razak Alhassan as a dog, expecting a first round knockout. He notes Alhassan has a better chin and is one of the hardest hitters in the division, while Buckley has been knocked out three times and is hittable. He acknowledges Alhassan's only path to victory is a first round finish, but believes he will land early.

win by first round knockout
"I will take that one path to victory for alassane I'll take the dog here and I'll take him to knock out buckley in that very first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Abdul Razak Alhassan

Cody picks Alhassan as an underdog, despite his gut telling him Buckley should win. He is concerned about Buckley's tendency to start slow and be hesitant, as seen in fights against de Trigo and Arroyo. Cody notes that Alhassan has monstrous power and a better chin, and that Buckley's cardio is questionable. He believes Alhassan can clip Buckley if the fight stays standing, and since Buckley won't wrestle, it's a dangerous matchup for him.

by KO +225
"my gut still tells me buckley finds a way but but it's just dangerous it's d i want to love it gets announced love it price gets announced love it do the tape study on it got a feeling that …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Feb 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Abdul Razak Alhassan

Levi picks Razak as a dog, but is hesitant because Buckley has more paths to victory and has made positive changes (quit his job, trained at Xtreme Couture). However, he notes Razak's power and that Buckley has been knocked out before, especially by a right high kick which is Razak's specialty. Levi acknowledges the longer the fight goes, the worse for Razak, but still picks him to catch Buckley early.

if Razak has a good first round, consider betting Buckley live; Razak by KO in first round
"give me razaka dog money to come out here and knock out buckley but i'm not confident in that"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Despite the expectation of a knockout, this fight could become a 15-minute kickboxing match. Alhassan is durable and most of his losses are by decision. Buckley's forward pressure and volume could earn him a decision if he avoids getting knocked out. The fight goes to decision at +240 is a contrarian play, with Buckley by decision at +550 as a sprinkle.

fight goes to decision (+240), Buckley by decision (+550), Alhassan round 1 KO (+475)
"my tinfoil hat conspiracy of the week is gonna be this goes to a decision at plus 240 and i might even sprinkle buckley via decision plus one uh plus 550"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Abdul Razak Alhassan

Paul picks Alhassan, agreeing with Cody. He likes the under on 1.5 rounds at -115, expecting a finish. Paul notes that both fighters have power and poor cardio, but Alhassan has a better chin and more one-punch knockout power. He thinks Alhassan can get the job done early, and if it goes past the first round, Alhassan still has a chance due to Buckley's tendency to fade.

under 1.5 rounds -115
"i think i'm gonna just end up by chance just having money on the under here because if it's out of pick em right now i'm expecting that under to get juiced"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

The MMA Guru picks Joaquin Buckley to win, likely inside two rounds. He notes Buckley is much bigger, has a reach advantage, and better cardio than Alhassan. He believes Buckley's boxing combos and savagery will overwhelm Alhassan, who can be mentally broken. He acknowledges either could win by first-round KO but leans toward the younger, hungrier fighter.

under two rounds
"i'm going to go with joaquin buckley ... i think buckley's going to win this one and i think he's actually got better cardio really underrated cardio"
KO (head kick) R1 0:17 · UFC on ESPN: Barboza vs. Chikadze · Aug 28, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Abdul Razak Alhassan 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alessio Di Chirico 1 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Abdul Razak Alhassan 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alessio Di Chirico 1 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Abdul Razak Alhassan 1 of 2 50% 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alessio Di Chirico 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Abdul Razak Alhassan 1 of 2 50% 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alessio Di Chirico 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alessio Di Chirico

Angelo picks Di Chirico, citing his versatile kickboxing and forward pressure. He notes Alhassan has a clear path via judo but may get sucked into striking. He has Alhassan in his DraftKings lineup at 7300 hoping he uses judo, but his official pick is Di Chirico.

Angelo has Alhassan in his DraftKings lineup; he suggests a first-round stoppage prop for Alhassan.
"alessio's the pick but i do have al hassan in my draftkings lineup"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alessio Di Chirico

Cody picks Di Chirico, emphasizing his durability and ability to survive early power shots. He notes that Alhassan is one-dimensional and has poor cardio, while Di Chirico has a solid chin and fights well into later rounds. Cody thinks Di Chirico will weather the storm and take over as the fight goes on. He also suggests a live bet opportunity if Alhassan looks good early.

live betting opportunity
"i completely understand where you're coming from and i completely agree i think that's lucio di chirico's best quality so far has been his solid chin"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alessio Di Chirico

Jacob picks Di Chirico but is hesitant due to Alhassan's power. He notes Alhassan has never won outside the first round and compares him to Cody Garbrandt for headhunting. He thinks Di Chirico should win but it's a toss-up.

Jacob suggests a first-round TKO/KO bet for Alhassan.
"alessio probably should win this fight i think it's it's just such a toss"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 27, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Alessio Di Chirico

Lock picks Di Chirico by decision at +180, expecting him to grind out Alhassan after the first round. He notes Alhassan is dangerous early but gasses, while Di Chirico is durable and will take over in rounds 2 and 3. Lock likes the over 2.5 rounds at +100 as well. He acknowledges Alhassan could win by KO early but thinks Di Chirico's wrestling and low-volume style lead to a decision.

over 2.5 rounds +100, Di Chirico by decision +180
"i like the overs here you know this is a spot where i don't think that alhassan will find that knockout uh if he does and if you do think he wins you know taking him by ko plus 330 …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alessio Di Chirico

Paul picks Di Chirico, noting that Alhassan is a one-dimensional power puncher who fades, while Di Chirico has proven durability and has beaten similar fighters. He points out that Alhassan has lost as a big favorite before and that Di Chirico's ability to go the distance gives him the edge. Paul thinks Di Chirico will win by decision or late finish.

"it's going to be alicia di trico"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Alessio Di Chirico

The Guru picks Alessio Di Chirico, citing his size, reach, chin, and cardio advantages over Abdul Razak Alhassan, who has looked bloated and out of shape since his rape case. He notes Di Chirico's close fights with top competition and expects him to win all three rounds, possibly using grappling after seeing Alhassan get out-grappled by Jacob Malkoun.

Di Chirico by unanimous decision (30-27)
"i'm gonna go with alessio de chirico here i think he's got it in him to win this one he's got the reach advantage he's got a size advantage he's got a great chin he can go three rounds pretty …"
LOSS vs Jacob Malkoun
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · Apr 17, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jacob Malkoun 0 21 of 47 44% 32 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Abdul Razak Alhassan 0 27 of 55 49% 91 of 135 8 of 24 33% 2 0 11:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jacob Malkoun 0 10 of 21 47% 11 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Abdul Razak Alhassan 0 3 of 10 30% 15 of 30 4 of 11 36% 0 0 3:45
2 Jacob Malkoun 0 4 of 9 44% 6 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Abdul Razak Alhassan 0 13 of 24 54% 33 of 46 2 of 4 50% 2 0 3:59
3 Jacob Malkoun 0 7 of 17 41% 15 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Abdul Razak Alhassan 0 11 of 21 52% 43 of 59 2 of 9 22% 0 0 3:57
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jacob Malkoun 21 of 47 44% 11 of 33 9 of 12 1 of 2 14 of 38 5 of 6 2 of 3
Abdul Razak Alhassan 27 of 55 49% 24 of 51 2 of 3 1 of 1 18 of 37 3 of 9 6 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jacob Malkoun 10 of 21 47% 6 of 14 4 of 6 0 of 1 6 of 17 2 of 2 2 of 2
Abdul Razak Alhassan 3 of 10 30% 3 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 3 0 of 2
2 Jacob Malkoun 4 of 9 44% 1 of 6 2 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Abdul Razak Alhassan 13 of 24 54% 12 of 22 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 15 1 of 3 6 of 6
3 Jacob Malkoun 7 of 17 41% 4 of 13 3 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 12 3 of 4 0 of 1
Abdul Razak Alhassan 11 of 21 52% 9 of 19 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 17 2 of 3 0 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Abdul Razak Alhassan vs. Jacob Malkoun

Round 1
Up now, we try to snap the streak of four split decisions with what should be a middleweight banger, as Alhassan (10-3, 4-3 UFC) comes to blows with fellow slugger Malkoun (4-1, 0-1 UFC). Referee Chris Tognoni needs to keep his head on a swivel for this one, and there is a glove touch before fists start flying. Alhassan lets go with a head kick that gets dodged, and the Aussie quickly drops down low for a single leg takedown. He puts Alhassan on his back, and Alhassan kicks around to get to the fence and back to a knee. Malkoun considers a guillotine choke as he has Alhassan pressed against the cage, but Alhassan stands up anyway. “Judo Thunder” begins to unload with vicious elbows to the side of the head, and Malkoun is hurt but still able to pursue a takedown. Malkoun tries to take the fight back down when they separate, but this time, Alhassan stuffs it and starts to wing bombs. Malkoun keeps his composure and pursues a takedown, and he trips Alhassan’s leg out beneath him. The Texan climbs back up with assistance from a fence grab, and Malkoun trips him back down again. Once more, Alhassan angles to stand up, and there is a near-successful mat return for the Aussie. Malkoun is content to grind Alhassan up against the fence to fatigue the ferocious striker before tripping the leg out and putting Alhassan on his back. As Alhassan tries to climb up, Malkoun’s pressure is overwhelming and he plants Alhassan back down one more time. Alhassan gets his hips suck out from beneath him as soon as he is standing, and “Judo Thunder” looks irritated as he continues to get grounded. Alhassan finally gets back up and breaks the grip, where he lets loose a pair of slapping body kicks. The two trade jabs, and Tognoni warns them for outstretched fingers. Alhassan targets the body a few more times with his kick, and a head kick misses the mark before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun

Round 2
The middleweights march to the center of the cage, greet one another with jabs, and it is Malkoun that makes Alhassan take a step back when he shoots in for a low single. He hits the takedown with ease, but he does not hold Alhassan there. When the Texan pops back up, Malkoun slams him back down in half guard. Alhassan defends with a guillotine choke, and as he tries to tighten it with his other hand, Malkoun slips his neck out. With no way for Alhassan to walk up the fence as they are square in the middle of the Octagon, Malkoun drops down a few punches. Alhassan circles his way around and tries to pop back up, and Malkoun pulls guard for a choke. Alhassan falls to his back as he survives the choke, and Malkoun repositions himself to return up on top. Once more, Malkoun rolls through for a guillotine choke attempt, and Alhassan defends it like before. Alhassan scrambles to his knees, and he falls into a potential anaconda choke. Alhassan breaks the grip and winds up giving up side control, and Malkoun lands a few shots before Alhassan scrambles once more. Malkoun drops down with the guillotine attempt to put Alhassan back down, and Alhassan is able to avoid the choke danger by grabbing his foe’s shorts and standing up. Malkoun does not give him a moment to breathe, pursuing a single leg takedown and then just pressing Alhassan into the cage. When they separate, Alhassan’s legs are wobbly possibly from fatigue, but he still wings power punches and huge head kicks. Malkoun stands him up with a pair of crisp punches, and he has Alhassan stuck against the fence before shooting in for a takedown. The Aussie cannot get the takedown before the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Malkoun
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Malkoun
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-8 Malkoun

Round 3
The middleweights decide to touch gloves to begin the final round, and Malkoun slaps the leg with a kick. Alhassan takes a few punches on the chin, and one right hand snaps his head back. Alhassan overextends himself with a left hand, which puts him right in position to have to defend a takedown. Alhassan shucks it off, and Malkoun backs away to pursue a different angle. The Aussie crashes forward with his takedown, and this time, it puts Alhassan flat on his back. Malkoun sits comfortable in half guard, where he works on the spent Alhassan with right hands and elbows. Alhassan looks to sit up, and he rolls to a knee into the guillotine choke where Malkoun has tried before. Alhassan lifts Malkoun in the air to get out of the choke, and Malkoun lets go and chases him with big punches. “Mamba” squeezes Alhassan into the cage wall, but he cannot keep him trapped for long. Malkoun gives Alhassan a few seconds to reset before charging in for a takedown attempt, lather, rinse, repeat, but he cannot quite trip the leg. Malkoun circles around to take the back standing, and Alhassan keeps his balance. Malkoun tries to break the posture with foot stomps and knees up high, and Alhassan pushes him away and slips back into the fence. Malkoun follows him there, where he slings Alhassan to the canvas with a single. Malkoun decides to let go with ground-and-pound now that Alhassan closes his guard around him, and Alhassan decides it would be in his best interest to throw back instead of escape this position. Alhassan scoots into the corner of the fence and the floor, where he uses the angle to stand back up. Malkoun takes him from behind and looks to elevate him and slam him down, but he circles around to drop low for a single. When it fails, Malkoun drops down for one last takedown, and Alhassan pushes him away and tries to decapitate his foe with a diving right hand in the last seconds. Unlike Dan Henderson on Michael Bisping, the booming shot misses the mark, and the grind of a fight is mercifully over.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun (30-26 Malkoun)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun (30-26 Malkoun)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malkoun (30-26 Malkoun)

The Official Result
Jacob Malkoun def. Abdul Razak Alhassan via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Abdul Razak Alhassan

Big Brady picks Abdul Razak Alhassan to win by first-round knockout. He notes Alhassan has a 100% finish rate, all by knockout in the first round. He believes Malkoun is not ready for this level of competition, citing Malkoun's loss to Phil Hawes where he fell from the first punch. He suggests if Malkoun survives the first round, he could be a live betting opportunity, but he expects a brutal knockout within the first 60 seconds. He also mentions Alhassan's recent losses but considers this a favorable matchup.

First round KO prop suggested; if Malkoun survives first round, live bet Malkoun
"i'm gonna take all hassan to win in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Abdul Razak Alhassan

Cody thinks Alhassan has tremendous power and will likely finish Malkoun in the first round. He notes that Malkoun is not a natural middleweight and was knocked out quickly by Phil Hawes. He acknowledges Alhassan's cardio issues but believes Malkoun is not physical enough to exploit them. He suggests live betting Alhassan or taking him by knockout.

Alhassan by knockout, under 1.5 rounds
"i think all his sons only got five minutes but he'll need less than that once he connects on malcolm that should be it"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Abdul Razak Alhassan

Daniel Levi confidently picks Abdul Razak Alhassan, stating that this fight is about Razak, not Malkoun. He believes Malkoun does not belong in the UFC and is only there because he is Robert Whittaker's training partner. Levi notes that Razak has been through a lot mentally but expects him to knock Malkoun out in the first round. He also mentions that Razak is actually bigger than Malkoun in terms of height and reach.

first round knockout
"i got razaki a first round knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Abdul Razak Alhassan

Manpreet is confident Alhassan will win by first-round knockout, noting that all his UFC wins have come in round one and that Malkoun was knocked out quickly by Phil Hawes. He believes Alhassan's power and aggression will overwhelm Malkoun, who is a natural welterweight moving up and has questionable durability. He recommends the round one prop at plus money.

Alhassan in round 1 +140; Alhassan by KO -135
"i think that razak will just kind of crash forward close the distance really really quickly and uh get him out of here so i'm liking razak first round uh plus 140"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 14, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Abdul Razak Alhassan

Paul calls this fight 'prime apple pie shit' because Alhassan has failed as a favorite multiple times. He notes that Alhassan has no cardio and his takedown defense disappears when tired. However, he thinks Malkoun is not good enough to take advantage. He is reluctant but leans Alhassan, and mentions a 20-1 prop on Malkoun by submission as a longshot.

Malkoun by submission at 20-1
"he's definitely prime apple pie [ __ ] he's done it many times before this is another spot"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Apr 11, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Abdul Razak Alhassan

The MMA Guru picks Abdul Razak Alhassan to win by unanimous decision, though he calls it risky due to Alhassan's recent rough patch. He criticizes Jacob Malkoun's rushed career and poor performance against Phil Hawes. He doubts Malkoun's ability to finish or outpoint Alhassan, and believes Alhassan will be patient and grind out a 30-27 decision.

"i'm going to go with abdul azako hassan here by decision"
LOSS vs Khaos Williams
KO (punch) R1 0:30 · UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. dos Anjos · Nov 14, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khaos Williams 0 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Abdul Razak Alhassan 1 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khaos Williams 0 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Abdul Razak Alhassan 1 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khaos Williams 2 of 2 100% 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Abdul Razak Alhassan 5 of 10 50% 2 of 7 0 of 0 3 of 3 4 of 9 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khaos Williams 2 of 2 100% 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Abdul Razak Alhassan 5 of 10 50% 2 of 7 0 of 0 3 of 3 4 of 9 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Abdul Razak Alhassan (172.5: Missed Weight) vs. Kalinn Williams

Round 1
This catchweight fight that may not last very long pits Alhassan (10-2, 4-2 UFC) against “Khaos the Oxfighter” Williams (10-1, 1-0 UFC). Alhassan will be looking to keep his 100 percent knockout rate intact against a man who has never been stopped with strikes, and referee Mark Smith will make sure that this 173-pound fight – Alhassan missed weight – stays above board. Williams kicks the leg early, and steps in with a double jab. Williams lands a few more leg kicks, so Alhassan responds with a heavier one.
Williams sees a leg kick coming, and fakes a jab to sit down on a right hand that splits the guard and sends Alhassan crashing to the canvas. “Judo Thunder” is out cold before his head hits the mat, with his body looking like he was frozen in carbonite.
Smith dives in to stop the fight as Williams pounces with a single follow-up right hand that is completely academic, and what a spectacular knockout! This is the first time that Alhassan has ever been finished, and Williams did it in 30 seconds!

The Official Result
Kalinn Williams def. Abdul Razak Alhassan R1 0:30 via KO (Punch)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Abdul Razak Alhassan

Big Brady is high on Alhassan, noting all his wins are by knockout in the first round, and he throws decent volume for a power puncher. He criticizes Khaos Williams for leaving openings and lacking technique. He plans to bet on Alhassan if he looks good at weigh-ins, possibly in a parlay, and calls it one of his most confident picks.

under 1.5 rounds mentioned as a good look; Alhassan by knockout; potential parlay piece
"all hassan for me i want to say is either my first or second most confident pick on the slate"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Abdul Razak Alhassan

Daniel picks Razak Alhassan, believing he will capitalize on Khaos Williams' tendency to leave his chin up in the air during his blitzing style. He notes that Razak has been dedicated to training and is in better shape than his last fight. He thinks Razak's cleaner, more effective punches will lead to a first-round knockout, possibly a face plant. He acknowledges both are powerful but sees Razak as the more technical striker.

first round knockout
"i think it's going to be a devastating first round knockout i think he actually probably face plants uh williams"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Abdul Razak Alhassan

The MMA Guru picks Abdul Razak Alhassan, believing he will be in much better shape than his last fight against Mounir Lazzez. He notes that Alhassan has been training hard and looks in great condition on Instagram, while Khaos Williams has been inactive since his KO of Alex Morono and may have lost momentum. He expects Williams to come out swinging and Alhassan to crack him back, finishing by KO in the first two rounds.

First round KO; mentions Alhassan's improved conditioning; notes Williams' inactivity and decision wins over lesser competition
"I think we're going to see a great version of Abdul Razak Alhassan, he will get the job done against Chaos Williams in my opinion by first round KO."
Niko Price - Fight History
LOSS vs Michael Chiesa
Submission R1 1:03 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · Mar 28, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michael Chiesa 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:23
Niko Price 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michael Chiesa 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:23
Niko Price 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michael Chiesa 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Niko Price 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michael Chiesa 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Niko Price 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Michael Chiesa

Big Brady picks Michael Chiesa to win by first-round submission. He is very confident, noting Niko Price's recent brutal knockout losses and decline. He believes Price has taken too much damage and Chiesa's grappling will be overwhelming. He expects Chiesa to take Price down and submit him easily, comparing it to a hot knife through butter.

Chiesa by submission round 1
"I think Michael Chiesa goes out there. I think he takes down Niko Price, and I think he runs through him like a hot knife through butter."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Michael Chiesa

Cody believes Chiesa will win via submission, citing Price's poor grappling and Chiesa's rear-naked choke. He sees this as a perfect retirement fight for Chiesa in front of his home crowd.

"Michael Chiesa is going to get the takedowns. And when he takes him down, he's going to sub him."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michael Chiesa

Connor states that at any point in their careers, Michael Chiesa would have beaten Niko Price. He notes that Price is a booty call fighter who hasn't been training, has been brutally finished in his last two fights, and is slower than ever. Chiesa has a great chin, has never been knocked out, and can control the fight and take it to a realm where Price is not dangerous.

Odds: Chiesa opened -500, now -600; Price opened +375, now +425.
"I think Michael Kiesa would have beaten Nico Price at every single point."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Michael Chiesa

Daniel sees Chiesa as a level above Price historically, and expects him to use his physicality to secure a submission win in his retirement fight. He notes Price's decline and Chiesa's ability to drop opponents.

"I think that Chiesa's going to be able to use that physicality, backpack Niko Price, come out here and probably get a rear naked choke."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2026 (fight day)
Michael Chiesa

The host is extremely confident Chiesa will win, calling it a great stylistic matchup. Price has poor takedown defense and ground game, while Chiesa is a high-level grappler. Even with Chiesa's cardio issues, he should easily take Price down and submit him. However, the host does not bet the moneyline due to the steep price (-834) and instead prefers the under 2.5 rounds prop.

Bets under 2.5 rounds as a better alternative to moneyline.
"I think it's quite likely Chiesa will take Price down and submit him pretty quickly."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Michael Chiesa

The host sees this as a favorable matchup for Chiesa, who should be able to take Price down and submit him. He notes Price's recent durability issues and Chiesa's grappling prowess. He expects a submission win, likely by rear-naked choke, and doesn't mind parlaying Chiesa at the heavy odds.

submission, parlay piece
"I don't mind parlaying Kiesta at this number. Uh I know he's at the end of his career, this is his retirement fight, but Nico Price at this point in time is a layup fight for him to get a …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Michael Chiesa

Paul agrees, noting Chiesa's wrestling advantage and Price's recent knockout loss. He expects Chiesa to win easily, likely by submission.

"Chiesa wins this fight pretty... He's a parlay piece this week."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Michael Chiesa

The MMA Guru picks Michael Chiesa, citing his grappling and size advantage. He believes Chiesa's experience and strength will allow him to control the fight, though he notes Chiesa's chin is suspect. He thinks Nico Price's best days are behind him and that Price has been taking damage recently. He even suggests a possible Chiesa KO on the feet.

"I think Kasa wins this with his grappling, dude."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michael Chiesa

Zane agrees that Chiesa is a clear favorite, noting that Price is a booty call fighter who hasn't been training and has been brutally finished recently. He mentions that Chiesa's retirement helped him recollect himself, and he's been looking composed and collected. He also notes that Price's power is less present and his wild grappling won't serve him here.

Odds: Chiesa opened -500, now -600; Price opened +375, now +425.
"Not a close booking at this point price is looking slower than ever."
KO R1 1:42 · UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · Feb 07, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nikolay Veretennikov 0 19 of 30 63% 20 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Niko Price 0 9 of 23 39% 12 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nikolay Veretennikov 0 19 of 30 63% 20 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Niko Price 0 9 of 23 39% 12 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nikolay Veretennikov 19 of 30 63% 12 of 22 6 of 7 1 of 1 10 of 21 9 of 9 0 of 0
Niko Price 9 of 23 39% 7 of 19 1 of 1 1 of 3 9 of 22 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nikolay Veretennikov 19 of 30 63% 12 of 22 6 of 7 1 of 1 10 of 21 9 of 9 0 of 0
Niko Price 9 of 23 39% 7 of 19 1 of 1 1 of 3 9 of 22 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Nikolay Veretennikov vs. Niko Price
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Veretennikov (-225); Price (+185)

Round 1
A pink slip derby at 170 pounds comes next as Kazakhstan native Veretennikov (13-7, 1-3 UFC) looks to get back in the win column at the expense of the similarly skidding Price (16-9, 2 NC; 8-9, 2 NC UFC). Referee Chris Tognoni will know first who ends up prevailing, and he stands guard until needed. Late replacement Price offers a sporting tap of gloves, and it is accepted.
Price leads off with a sweeping low kick, and he leaps forward to engage, throwing hands. Veretennikov meets him in the pocket with his fists, and he ends a combo with a low kick that makes Price wince. Veretennikov lands on the Floridian cleanly upstairs, knocking him back and winding up in a clinch. Veretennikov’s lumps up the midsection with knees, setting them up when an opening presents itself to unleash them. He frames off with right hands, and Price beats him to the punch on the way to a reset. Price wades into the fray, and Veretennikov busts him in the chops with his counters. Veretennikov’s heavy hands back Price against the fence after blocking a front kick, and he smashes Price in the face with a right hand that shakes him up badly. Veretennikov appears surprised that Price’s hands dropped from the first blow, and he delivers a concussive knee to the jaw that puts Price on ice skates.
Veretennikov stands Price back up with an elbow that partially shut his lights off, and he knocks a semi-conscious Price’s head around with huge swings until an intervening Tognoni realizes that Price is completely out on his feet with one finger stuck in the cage the only thing keeping him from collapsing.
The mighty knockout is a huge feather in the cap of Veretennikov, whose roster spot might have been terminated with a defeat. Price comes to, and he does not know what happened, upset that the fight has been stopped but unsure why. He manages to come around, and he gives it up for the fighter named “Gladiator” who just deprived him of his consciousness.

The Official Result
Nikolay Veretennikov def. Niko Price R1 1:42 via KO (Elbow and Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Nikolay Veretennikov

Angelo picks Nikolay Veretennikov, reasoning that he is a powerful striker who hits hard, while his opponent Jose Henrique (Niko Price) is very hittable. He acknowledges that Veretennikov has trouble with takedowns but thinks if he doesn't worry about that and just moves forward, he can win or finish the fight. He calls it a low-level fight and uses simple math: good striker vs guy who gets hit.

"I'm going to pick Nikolai here. He is the slight underdog. Neither one of these guys are very good, but let's just simple math it."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Niko Price

Cody leans towards Niko Price as a dog, noting Veretennikov's unimpressive record and Price's toughness. He admits Price is a shell of his former self but sees a path via takedowns or durability. Cody is not confident and will wait for weigh-ins.

"I'm tempted to take a dog shot on Nico Price. I don't know if I'm going to have the balls to actually click that button."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Nikolay Veretennikov

Connor agrees with Zane, calling the fight terrible but picking Veretennikov. He notes that Price is a glass cannon who no longer has the speed or willingness to pull the trigger, and that Veretennikov should have this in the bag even if he doesn't press. Connor emphasizes that Price will walk onto shots.

Veretennikov opened at -325, currently -275; Price opened at +275, currently +235
"I'm picking Veretennikov, but God damn it."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Nikolay Veretennikov

Paul picks Nikolay Veretennikov, citing Price's decline in durability and cardio. He notes Veretennikov's power and body work, and Price's poor takedown defense. Paul expects Veretennikov to win by knockout or decision, though the price is high.

"I think Nikolai Rednikov gets him out of there."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Nikolay Veretennikov

The host picks Nikolay Veretennikov over Niko Price. He notes Veretennikov took Michael Morales to a split decision, though he looked iffy against Prado. He thinks Price has lost too many times, moves slow, and despite some power and athleticism, Veretennikov should win a competitive 29-28 decision.

29-28 competitive decision
"I'm going to go with Nikolay Veretennikov getting this one done by 29-28 competitive decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Nikolay Veretennikov

Zane picks Veretennikov despite calling the fight awful. He argues that Niko Price is washed up, slower, and more hittable, and that Veretennikov should win by using his reach and straight punches. Zane notes that Price can't do anything without running into a straight punch, and Veretennikov could also take him down.

Veretennikov opened at -325, currently -275; Price opened at +275, currently +235
"You gotta pick Veretennikov. You have to pick Veretennikov. Niko price can't do anything without running into a straight punch."
LOSS vs Jacobe Smith
Submission R2 4:03 · UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · Jun 28, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Niko Price 0 34 of 61 55% 46 of 76 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Jacobe Smith 0 46 of 74 62% 73 of 101 2 of 2 100% 1 0 5:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Niko Price 0 19 of 37 51% 23 of 42 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Jacobe Smith 0 33 of 53 62% 46 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:06
2 Niko Price 0 15 of 24 62% 23 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jacobe Smith 0 13 of 21 61% 27 of 35 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:35
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Niko Price 34 of 61 55% 19 of 43 4 of 7 11 of 11 27 of 49 3 of 4 4 of 8
Jacobe Smith 46 of 74 62% 39 of 66 4 of 5 3 of 3 22 of 41 2 of 2 22 of 31
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Niko Price 19 of 37 51% 10 of 26 3 of 5 6 of 6 17 of 34 1 of 1 1 of 2
Jacobe Smith 33 of 53 62% 27 of 46 3 of 4 3 of 3 17 of 31 1 of 1 15 of 21
2 Niko Price 15 of 24 62% 9 of 17 1 of 2 5 of 5 10 of 15 2 of 3 3 of 6
Jacobe Smith 13 of 21 61% 12 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 10 1 of 1 7 of 10
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

Angelo picks Jacobe Smith because he sees him as a strong prospect with wrestling and finishing ability, while Niko Price is older, has a weak chin, and is being fed to prospects. He notes that Price is fun but past his prime, and Smith's wrestling and pace will be too much. He warns against betting such heavy favorites, saying risking $1400 to make $100 is not worth it.

Angelo mentions that props like 'by finish' or 'first round finish' might offer value, but advises against parlaying minus 1400 favorites.
"Jacob is going to be the pick. The oddsmakers know it. We know it. You can't do anything with these odds."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

Big Brady is very confident in Jacobe Smith, describing it as a bad matchup for Niko Price. He notes Price is older, has taken a lot of damage, and is on a decline, while Smith has power and wrestling. Brady believes Smith can knock Price out on the feet or take him down and use vicious ground and pound. He predicts a first-round knockout, comparing it to the Wellmaker vs Moutinho fight.

Smith wins by first round knockout
"I got to go Smith here. I think it's going to be a first round knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

The host expects Jacobe Smith to flatline Niko Price within the first round and a half, citing Smith's youth and power. He notes the odds are steep at minus 2000, but still predicts an early knockout finish.

early knockout finish, first round and a half, minus 2000 odds mentioned
"I'm expecting Jacobe Smith to go out there and flatline Nico Price within the first round and a half."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lock picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

The host calls this a 'big lock of the card', confidently predicting Jacobe Smith to win by first-round TKO. He highlights Smith's impressive KO debut and believes he will repeat that performance against an aging Niko Price who looked geriatric in his last fight. The host notes that Smith's grappling and power will be too much for Price.

first round TKO
"I think Jacob Smith's going to get a very very very quick finish here over Nico Price. In fact, I'm calling a first few minute TKO for Jacob Smith."
LOSS vs Themba Gorimbo
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · Oct 12, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Themba Gorimbo 0 68 of 127 53% 141 of 223 7 of 9 77% 2 0 9:14
Niko Price 0 16 of 53 30% 58 of 100 0 of 3 0% 1 0 1:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Themba Gorimbo 0 32 of 67 47% 45 of 87 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:46
Niko Price 0 6 of 17 35% 13 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Themba Gorimbo 0 32 of 53 60% 52 of 76 4 of 5 80% 0 0 1:52
Niko Price 0 9 of 31 29% 19 of 41 0 of 2 0% 1 0 1:00
3 Themba Gorimbo 0 4 of 7 57% 44 of 60 2 of 3 66% 1 0 4:36
Niko Price 0 1 of 5 20% 26 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Themba Gorimbo 68 of 127 53% 44 of 97 9 of 15 15 of 15 43 of 85 6 of 13 19 of 29
Niko Price 16 of 53 30% 13 of 43 2 of 5 1 of 5 11 of 48 5 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Themba Gorimbo 32 of 67 47% 21 of 55 2 of 3 9 of 9 23 of 47 1 of 4 8 of 16
Niko Price 6 of 17 35% 5 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 2 4 of 15 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Themba Gorimbo 32 of 53 60% 21 of 37 6 of 11 5 of 5 16 of 33 5 of 9 11 of 11
Niko Price 9 of 31 29% 7 of 26 1 of 3 1 of 2 6 of 28 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Themba Gorimbo 4 of 7 57% 2 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 2
Niko Price 1 of 5 20% 1 of 3 0 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Themba Gorimbo vs. Niko Price
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gorimbo (-278), Price (+225)

Round 1
One of two entries tonight in the “welterweight action fight club” will play out next, as Gorimbo (13-4, 3-1 UFC) is entering that category while Price (16-7, 2 NC; 8-7, 2 NC UFC) has been a member practically since day one. Any matchup in that section of 170-pound fighters seems to have a greater likelihood—anecdotally, with those numbers not officially tracked right now—of receiving some sort of “of the night” bonus. Both fighters could use it, as Gorimbo is famous for having seven dollars in his bank account while Price has six kids to feed. Referee Herb Dean will serve as the Octagon ranger, and when he calls for them to fight, they touch gloves. Price walks directly into a front kick when he moves to the center of the cage, and he further gets his bell rung by flying punches from Gorimbo. The Zimbabwe native lets his hands fly, and Price has to reset as he gets clipped with a left hand. Gorimbo aims two thudding leg kicks to the front leg of his foe, and when Price tries to counter with a third, Gorimbo dodges and connects with it. Gorimbo further does damage with his calf kick, and he strings together a pair of straight punches with a step-in knee to the belly. Price takes another chopping kick as he slowly advances, and Gorimbo sticks him with a right hand. Price attempts a body kick, and he gets caught with a fastball of a right hand. Price still marches ever onward, through a low kick and a one-two without flinching. Price squares up, opening him up to three punches, a leg kick and a takedown shot. “The Answer” deposits Price on his back, where he starts working with elbows and punches. Price gets stacked up when attempting an armbar, as Gorimbo punches through it to stop it from materializing. Gorimbo steps over to half guard as Price defends with a kimura sweep, and Gorimbo breaks out of it to open Price up with punches and effective elbows. Price looks to sit up, and Gorimbo hops around to take his back and get both hooks in. Price stands up, and Gorimbo hangs on his foe’s back and grips hold of a neck crank. Price responds by slamming Gorimbo on his head, and Gorimbo rides it out to secure a body triangle. From an awkward angle, the two punch one another until the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo

Round 2
Price starts out the second round marching Gorimbo down, putting a jab and a front kick in his face early. Gorimbo chains punches together in response, with two up top and then a few to the body. Price retaliates with a body kick, and he catches Gorimbo coming in but still eats a few back. Gorimbo winds up with his power calf kick, and he plants the ball of his foot on Price’s sternum. Price punches his way into a clinch, and Gorimbo shakes him up with left hooks and uppercuts up close before tackling Price to the mat. Price turns to his stomach to survive and stand back up, all while eating clubbing left hands. Price gets to his knees and then back upright, and Gorimbo hurriedly mat returns him. Price once more stands, and Gorimbo is imposing his full weight on him, kneeing him in the breadbasket. They trade knees from close proximity, and Gorimbo tries for a trip on the inside but does not land it. Price turns him around as they dirty box with one another, and Price attacks a double that is easily stifled. Price goes after another double, transitioning to a single as Gorimbo’s hips are wide. Gorimbo turns the corner and knees Price in the chest, and they get back upright and split up. Price stalks a potentially tiring Gorimbo down and slugs him in the chops, getting his attention with power punches until they get clinched. Gorimbo responds with a knee on the break, and Price is out of range. Price marches forward to connect with a one-two, and Gorimbo slaps his front leg and then jabs him to the body with a front kick. Price meanders forward, left eye bloodied, and he walks into a takedown shot. Gorimbo pushes through his hips, tosses aside a leglock and starts smacking Price upside the head. Price stands up, and Gorimbo wrenches him down by imposing his body weight on him. As Price defends with a kimura, the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo

Round 3
The welterweights reach Round 3, tired and beat up but still ready for another five minutes. Gorimbo leads off with two chopping kicks, hits a third and then goes up top with his other leg. Price sees it coming in the nick of time and defends a subsequent shot with a guillotine choke. Gorimbo powers through the choke to slam Price on his back, opening up with ground-and-pound as Price tries to push off the fence with his foot. Gorimbo controls his man while slinging short right hands, keeping Price trapped between the corner of the floor and the wall. Price again tries to push off the fence, this time tugging on the links with his toes. Dean calls him on this, and Price stops. Price explodes to sit up, only for Gorimbo grind him back down while keeping Price’s right leg laced to stop him from escaping. Price kicks his foe off his chest, and Gorimbo stands and backs up. Price throws a hard kick to the calf from his back, and Gorimbo allows him to do this so he can dive in to reclaim top position. Gorimbo draws further blood with slow but methodical strikes, stepping over to half guard on the other side. Price times this guard pass to burst upright with 55 seconds left in the round. Gorimbo cinches his hands around the waist to dump Price to the floor. Price stands up again through sheer force of will, and Gorimbo hangs on from his back and slides off. Gorimbo looks for an unorthodox banana split, Suloev stretch or kneebar, and time expires before he can get anything.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo (30-27 Gorimbo)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo (30-27 Gorimbo)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo (30-27 Gorimbo)

The Official Result
Themba Gorimbo def. Niko Price via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Themba Gorimbo

Angelo picks Themba Gorimbo, acknowledging that picking against Niko Price is difficult due to his unpredictability. However, he believes Gorimbo is the overall better fighter with a good combination of technical striking, wrestling, and the ability to push forward. He notes that Price can win on any given day but that Gorimbo's skills should prevail.

"I think TBA is just the overall better fighter and I think he gets it done."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Themba Gorimbo

Big Brady picks Themba Gorimbo to win by first-round knockout. He notes Gorimbo is improving rapidly while Price is diminishing, having been knocked out by Robbie Lawler in 30 seconds and looking poor in recent fights. He questions whether Gorimbo will stand and bang or wrestle, but hopes for an exciting finish. He thinks the line is wild at -375 but still picks Gorimbo. He mentions Gorimbo could also control Price on the ground like he did against Brahimaj.

Gorimbo by first-round knockout
"I'll pick thema to win I guess the the question I have is is how is thema going to approach this fight"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)

This fight was not discussed in the transcript. No picks were made.

CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Themba Gorimbo

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Niko Price has looked bad for years and has no way to stop a takedown. He points out that Price's last funky knockout was in 2019 and he has since struggled. Connor believes Gorimbo's wrestling, though not great, is enough to control Price.

"Yeah, like how are you gonna stop somebody from just going out and taking you down? You've never stopped that before"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Oct 8, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Daniel is unimpressed with Gorimbo's skills, calling him slow and not a future top-15 guy, but he acknowledges that Price may be too washed to capitalize. He loves Price's ability off his back but is not confident enough to pick him. Daniel decides to pass on betting this fight, calling it a 'dog or pass' situation.

"This is dog or pass... I don't want to plant my flags on a washed up fighter like Nico Price."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Niko Price

The host is surprised the line is so wide, as Gorimbo is on a three-fight winning streak but not all that good. Price has veteran experience and durability; if he holds up early, Gorimbo will struggle to grind him out. Price has a better gas tank and should pull away late, finishing in the second or third round.

finish in second or third round
"I think that eventually leads to a second or third round finish for the big underdog here in Niko Price"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Themba Gorimbo

The MMA Guru picks Themba Gorimbo, citing his speed advantage on the feet and Price's suspect chin. He notes that Gorimbo is on a three-fight win streak and is being given 'layups' by the UFC. He expects Gorimbo to win by TKO on the feet, as Price is too slow and doesn't have the grappling to take Gorimbo down.

TKO
"I'm going to go with them gimbo here over ni price just way faster on the feet I'm actually going to say he gets it done by TKO on the feet"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Themba Gorimbo

Zane thinks Gorimbo can blanket Price with his wrestling, even though Gorimbo's control is poor and he often stalls in ugly positions. He notes that Price has looked washed for years, lacks preventative skills, and has no way to stop takedowns. Zane acknowledges it's not much but believes Gorimbo can tie Price up and slow him down.

"Garimbo I guess yeah, I think them but Garimbo could just go out and blanket him"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)

This fight was not discussed in the transcript. No picks were made.

WIN vs Alex Morono
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · Jun 01, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Niko Price 0 108 of 224 48% 138 of 259 5 of 5 100% 0 1 3:37
Alex Morono 0 96 of 210 45% 111 of 225 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:56
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Niko Price 0 16 of 51 31% 21 of 58 1 of 1 100% 0 1 1:10
Alex Morono 0 34 of 72 47% 40 of 78 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:29
2 Niko Price 0 34 of 65 52% 50 of 83 3 of 3 100% 0 0 2:04
Alex Morono 0 21 of 43 48% 30 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
3 Niko Price 0 58 of 108 53% 67 of 118 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:23
Alex Morono 0 41 of 95 43% 41 of 95 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Niko Price 108 of 224 48% 78 of 181 24 of 33 6 of 10 78 of 182 9 of 19 21 of 23
Alex Morono 96 of 210 45% 74 of 184 13 of 15 9 of 11 91 of 204 2 of 3 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Niko Price 16 of 51 31% 12 of 45 4 of 5 0 of 1 14 of 47 0 of 2 2 of 2
Alex Morono 34 of 72 47% 26 of 63 4 of 4 4 of 5 32 of 70 0 of 0 2 of 2
2 Niko Price 34 of 65 52% 22 of 48 8 of 12 4 of 5 16 of 44 3 of 5 15 of 16
Alex Morono 21 of 43 48% 19 of 40 1 of 2 1 of 1 20 of 42 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 Niko Price 58 of 108 53% 44 of 88 12 of 16 2 of 4 48 of 91 6 of 12 4 of 5
Alex Morono 41 of 95 43% 29 of 81 8 of 9 4 of 5 39 of 92 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 26, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Angelo picks Alex Morono, ignoring their first fight because it was a while ago and both have evolved. He believes Morono is the more technical striker and better grappler, and that his awkward striking will avoid Niko Price's power. He notes Price is always dangerous but thinks Morono's well-roundedness will prevail.

"I think morono is just the better fighter I think he's the more technical Striker he certainly is the better Grappler"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 31, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Alex Morono

Big Brady thinks this fight ends inside the distance with someone getting knocked out. He leans toward Alex Morono getting the knockout, citing Niko Price's shot durability and recent KO loss to Robbie Lawler. He compares it to Morono's KO of Donald Cerrone. However, he notes Price has power and a 90% finish rate, so he will play both sides. He considers Price a live dog at 7,300.

fight doesn't go to decision (-200), Alex Morono wins by knockout
"I think it's probably is marona going out there and getting The Knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 29, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Niko Price

Cody leans toward Price, noting his volume and power. He acknowledges Price's durability is questionable but believes Morono's low volume and lack of power make Price live. Cody mentions Price's previous KO of Morono in 2017 and thinks Price can do it again. He warns that Morono may wait for a perfect shot, but Price's pressure could overwhelm him.

"I'm gonna go with the Niko Price direction too... Price has got sickening volume... Morono is not that guy."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked May 28, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Niko Price

Daniel recalls Morono's struggle against Court McGee and notes Price's power. He thinks it's a dog or pass situation and picks Price to win again.

"I'm gonna go Nico price here to beat him a second time"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 27, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Alex Morono

The host expects a repeat of their first fight, where Morono dominated before getting caught. Price's chin is compromised after recent knockouts, and his confidence is low. Morono's stick-and-move style, power, and defensive jiu-jitsu should allow him to land big shots and finish Price, likely by knockout in the second round.

round 2 knockout
"I think we'll see morono capitalize on that... I think it's ultimately going to be a big shot on the chin that puts Nico price out here so give me Alex morono second round knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 29, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Niko Price

Paul leans toward Price, despite acknowledging Price's durability may be fading. He notes Price has sickening volume and power, and Morono's recent performance against Court McGee was poor. Paul thinks Price can outwork Morono and possibly land a KO. He mentions Price's power is the last thing to go and that Morono may be over the hill.

"Everything in my being I know Niko Price is kind of washed but it's like how does Alex Morono lose fights? He gets knocked out... I'm tempted."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 27, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Alex Morono

The MMA Guru picks Alex Morono, citing Niko Price's recent chin issues and inactivity. He notes that Price has lost his last two by TKO and looked scripted against Lawler. Morono has been more active and consistent, though he didn't look great in his last fight. He predicts Morono by decision, possibly TKO.

Morono by decision
"I'm going to go with Alex morono here um morono by decision TKO maybe but I'll say decision"
LOSS vs Robbie Lawler
KO (punches) R1 0:38 · UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · Jul 08, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Robbie Lawler 1 8 of 10 80% 8 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Niko Price 0 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Robbie Lawler 1 8 of 10 80% 8 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Niko Price 0 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Robbie Lawler 8 of 10 80% 8 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 6 4 of 4 0 of 0
Niko Price 2 of 7 28% 0 of 3 1 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Robbie Lawler 8 of 10 80% 8 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 6 4 of 4 0 of 0
Niko Price 2 of 7 28% 0 of 3 1 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 2, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Niko Price

Angelo picks Price but is hesitant, calling it a tricky betting spot. He notes Price is younger and less beat up, with similar wild style to Lawler. Lawler is declining and likely to retire. He expects a fun slugfest but is unsure about a finish, and fears the round line might be a trap. He does not place a bet.

No bet, unsure about finish
"Nico price is going to be the pick here he has had some of the biggest line movement on this card"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 1, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Robbie Lawler

Big Brady leans towards Robbie Lawler to win by second-round knockout. He notes that Niko Price has looked bad lately, taking damage and battling injuries, while Lawler still has power and showed life against Brian Barbarena. He believes both will stand and bang, and Lawler lands first. He is surprised by the line (Price -260) and thinks Lawler is very live. He mentions that Price blocks punches with his face and has been knocked out recently.

second round knockout
"I'm gonna take Robbie Lawler to get it done I'm gonna take him to win this fight by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Niko Price

Cody picks Price but doesn't like the -260 price. He thinks Lawler is past his prime and has been finished recently. He considers the under 2.5 rounds as a better bet, expecting a finish. He notes both fighters have trained together at ATT, which could affect the fight.

Under 2.5 rounds (-155 to -160), Price by KO/TKO
"Nico price should be the favorites minus 260 is is definitely not getting my my money but he will be my pick"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Niko Price

Connor picks Niko Price because Robbie Lawler's style is not built for an aging fighter; his reliance on being in the pocket and taking risks is no longer sustainable. Price is a chaotic puncher who can absorb damage and keep coming, and Lawler's decline in durability and cardio makes him vulnerable. Connor notes that Lawler could try to be more methodical but ultimately the other shoe has dropped.

Same odds commentary as Zane; Connor agrees with the betting line.
"I'm not going to pick him either. At this point, the problems are so compounding for Lawler."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Niko Price

Daniel Levi picks Price, citing his youth and improved volume in recent fights. He notes that Lawler, at 41, is a step slower and has shown a tendency to fade in fights. Levi acknowledges that either fighter could get finished, but believes Price's higher output will allow him to pull away down the stretch. He also mentions that Price has shown good grappling defense and attacks from bottom, which could be a factor if Lawler takes him down. Levi expresses a desire to see Lawler win in his retirement fight but is not counting on it.

"I kind of leaned towards Nico besides the youth is what I was talking about these last few fights he's been putting up more output."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2023 (fight day)
Niko Price

James picks Niko Price to win by knockout. He believes Lawler is washed, citing his performance against Nick Diaz where he was touched up. He trusts Price's durability and power more than Lawler's at this stage. He does not advocate betting Price at -260 moneyline, but likes the knockout prop. He notes Price has been finished before but thinks he will get the KO.

Niko Price wins by KO
"I air on the side that Nico price knocks out Robbie Lawler"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Niko Price

Price has youth, speed, and power advantages, and can outwork Lawler late. Lawler still has technical striking and power early, but his durability and pace are questionable. The fight likely ends in a knockout, with Price finishing Lawler in the later rounds. The fight doesn't go to decision is the favorite prop.

fight doesn't go to decision
"give me a fight doesn't go to the decision as my favorite prop for this fight favorite prediction for this fight but I'm gonna go with the younger fighter here and Nicole price to get his hand raised by TKO."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Niko Price

Paul picks Price, acknowledging Lawler's legendary career but noting he is 41 and not the same fighter. He thinks Price's volume will be too much. He mentions Lawler's recent losses and that he has been fighting for decades. He says he would feel happy if Lawler wins but his bank account prefers Price.

Under 2.5 rounds
"I gotta go with Nico price and if Robbie was a spring want to knock him out like inside my heart I'd feel happy the bank account not the match"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 3, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Niko Price

The MMA Guru picks Niko Price to win by KO in the third round. He believes Lawler has lost his pain tolerance and finishing ability, while Price storms forward in later rounds. He cites Price's performances against Michael Pereira and Luke Jumeau as evidence of his late-round pressure, and notes the age and reach advantage for Price.

wins by KO in the third round
"we're gonna see Nico price get a KO win in the third round"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Niko Price

Zane picks Niko Price because Robbie Lawler's style is built on narrow margins and he is declining in durability, cardio, and vision. Price is a messy but powerful puncher who can absorb punishment and land a wild shot as Lawler slows down. Zane notes that Lawler could look good early but will likely get caught, and he hopes Lawler wins but cannot pick him.

Lawler opened at +218, currently +221; Price opened at -252, currently -256. Zane says 'you just got to assume everybody should be betting on Niko Price here.'
"I'm going to pick Niko Price and I'm going to feel terrible about it."
LOSS vs Philip Rowe
TKO (punches) R3 3:26 · UFC on ESPN: Thompson vs. Holland · Dec 03, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Philip Rowe 0 110 of 247 44% 150 of 293 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:29
Niko Price 0 63 of 139 45% 64 of 140 1 of 2 50% 2 0 1:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Philip Rowe 0 34 of 87 39% 36 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Niko Price 0 20 of 53 37% 20 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Philip Rowe 0 34 of 85 40% 46 of 101 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:22
Niko Price 0 17 of 40 42% 18 of 41 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:28
3 Philip Rowe 0 42 of 75 56% 68 of 103 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
Niko Price 0 26 of 46 56% 26 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Philip Rowe 110 of 247 44% 66 of 197 16 of 22 28 of 28 88 of 218 14 of 21 8 of 8
Niko Price 63 of 139 45% 49 of 123 7 of 8 7 of 8 57 of 129 6 of 7 0 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Philip Rowe 34 of 87 39% 12 of 63 5 of 7 17 of 17 30 of 80 4 of 7 0 of 0
Niko Price 20 of 53 37% 12 of 44 3 of 3 5 of 6 19 of 52 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Philip Rowe 34 of 85 40% 20 of 68 9 of 12 5 of 5 29 of 77 5 of 8 0 of 0
Niko Price 17 of 40 42% 13 of 35 3 of 4 1 of 1 15 of 38 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Philip Rowe 42 of 75 56% 34 of 66 2 of 3 6 of 6 29 of 61 5 of 6 8 of 8
Niko Price 26 of 46 56% 24 of 44 1 of 1 1 of 1 23 of 39 3 of 4 0 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 27, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

Angelo picks Philip Rowe, citing his length, volume, and striking. He notes Rowe's takedown defense isn't great but Niko Price's takedown offense isn't great either. He expresses concern about Price's year off and potential hurricane impact on his training camp. He says he probably won't bet this fight because Price is dangerous and can look amazing or get caught.

Probably won't bet; mentions Price's year off and hurricane impact
"Philip Rowe is going to be the pick I'm probably not going to bet on this fight because somebody like Nico is fun is dangerous and can just come out there and just look amazing"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

Big Brady picks Rowe to win by knockout in the second round, citing his reach (80.5 inches), size, and power. He notes Price is hittable (47% striking defense) and unlikely to wrestle. He expects a striking battle where Rowe's length and power prevail, though he acknowledges Price is live for a knockout.

Rowe wins by KO, round 2
"I like row to win pull off the upset and knock out Nico price in the second round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

Cody leans towards Rowe as a live underdog, noting his reach and combinations. He thinks Price takes damage and may slow down. He prefers to bet Rowe live after likely losing the first round.

live betting on Rowe after round 1
"I'm more looking towards a live betting option for row and I wouldn't out rule I wouldn't rule out sorry uh switching the pick to Nico price seeing him at weigh-ins hearing some good interviews I could be talked into …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Niko Price

Connor also picks Niko Price, citing Price's experience and well-roundedness. He notes that Rowe has potential but hasn't shown the ability to defend takedowns while striking, and Price has consistent aspects to his game that allow him to stick to his game plan for multiple rounds.

"I'll have to pick Nico price as well. Row is the favorite here."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

Daniel Levi picks Philip Rowe to knock out Niko Price. He likes Rowe's reach, straight right, and Jiu-Jitsu, and believes Price is slowing down after ACL surgery. He notes Rowe's slow starts but thinks he will find his range and finish. He is willing to bet the underdog.

Rowe by KO
"I'm gonna go with Phil row to come out here and actually knock out the guy we love... cash this Plus 120"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Niko Price

The host picks Niko Price to win inside the distance, citing Price's experience and ability to drag opponents into a war. He thinks Price will use a grapple-heavy approach to get dominant position and finish Rowe. He notes that Rowe is still green and may not be comfortable in a chaotic fight. He likes the -140 price tag on the veteran.

Niko Price inside the distance
"I like the -140 price tag on the experienced veteran and that's probably the way that I'll be going for this matchup Nico price inside the distance"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Niko Price

Paul is torn but picks Price for the show. He notes Price's durability and volume, but acknowledges Rowe's reach and combinations. He doesn't have a strong edge and won't bet it.

"for the purpose of the program I'm picking Nico price but yeah I mean I've already got like a list of things that I'm considering betting this ain't one of them"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

The MMA Guru picks Philip Rowe, citing Niko Price's poor performance against Alex Oliveira and his long layoff. He thinks Rowe's technical striking and grappling will be enough to win by TKO. He expresses frustration that Price is being fed to Rowe instead of getting a fun matchup.

Rowe by TKO
"I'm going with Philip bro"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Niko Price

Zane picks Niko Price based on experience and resilience, noting that Price has been in more brawls against better fighters and has the option to wrestle if needed. He is hesitant because Price loses often and Rowe could win if he becomes comfortable defending takedowns while striking, but Zane hasn't seen that yet.

"I really have no choice here, but to pick Nico price because things are going to go haywire and I Nico price isn't even the most durable guy in the world, but he's very resilient."
WIN vs Alex Oliveira
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · Oct 02, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Niko Price 0 65 of 112 58% 83 of 131 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:14
Alex Oliveira 0 64 of 116 55% 108 of 167 1 of 3 33% 0 0 4:50
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Niko Price 0 7 of 17 41% 15 of 26 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Alex Oliveira 0 16 of 22 72% 34 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 3:48
2 Niko Price 0 19 of 35 54% 29 of 45 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:43
Alex Oliveira 0 14 of 26 53% 21 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Niko Price 0 39 of 60 65% 39 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
Alex Oliveira 0 34 of 68 50% 53 of 91 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Niko Price 65 of 112 58% 31 of 72 17 of 23 17 of 17 56 of 99 2 of 2 7 of 11
Alex Oliveira 64 of 116 55% 37 of 83 7 of 11 20 of 22 45 of 93 2 of 2 17 of 21
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Niko Price 7 of 17 41% 3 of 13 1 of 1 3 of 3 5 of 15 2 of 2 0 of 0
Alex Oliveira 16 of 22 72% 9 of 14 0 of 1 7 of 7 8 of 13 1 of 1 7 of 8
2 Niko Price 19 of 35 54% 9 of 25 4 of 4 6 of 6 12 of 24 0 of 0 7 of 11
Alex Oliveira 14 of 26 53% 6 of 16 1 of 2 7 of 8 11 of 22 0 of 0 3 of 4
3 Niko Price 39 of 60 65% 19 of 34 12 of 18 8 of 8 39 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alex Oliveira 34 of 68 50% 22 of 53 6 of 8 6 of 7 26 of 58 1 of 1 7 of 9
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alex Oliveira

Angelo picks Alex Oliveira, assuming veteran savvy will prevail over Niko Price's wildness. He notes that Oliveira is more technical, has more experience, and has more ways to win, but he often gets sucked into brawls. Angelo expects Oliveira to use leg kicks to slow Price down and fight a smart fight. He likes Oliveira in DraftKings at $7,800 and recommends using slates for monkey knife fight to bet on Oliveira's more. He acknowledges that Price could win with a crazy knockout.

more on Alex Oliveira in monkey knife fight slates
"i am gonna pick oliveira here i assume that is veteran savvy he'll fight a smart fight not succumb to his instincts not get sucked into god knows what sloppy war"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 30, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Niko Price

Big Brady picks Niko Price to win inside the distance, citing Oliveira's poor recent form (2-5 in last 7, looking like he doesn't want to be there). Price is the hungrier fighter, comes forward with volume, and doesn't slow down. Oliveira has been finished multiple times (5 submissions, 1 KO) and has slowed down in recent fights. Brady expects Price to finish Oliveira early, possibly by submission given Oliveira's submission losses, and thinks this could be Oliveira's last fight if he loses.

Price inside the distance (KO or submission)
"give me a price give me price to win inside the distance i think he does finish oliveira"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Niko Price

Cody picks Niko Price, noting that Oliveira has declined significantly and is a one-round fighter with poor cardio. Price is competitive in his losses and has shown he can push the pace and wear opponents down. He expects Price to stuff takedowns, keep the fight standing, and take over in the later rounds. He also mentions that Price has a baby on the way, which might motivate him.

"minus 165 i got to go with niko price"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Niko Price

Daniel Levi picks Niko Price but expresses concern about laying -190 on him, as he prefers Price as an underdog. He notes Price's improved volume and resilience, while Oliveira is a seasoned vet with clinch knees and power but has shown questionable durability and a tendency to tap quickly. Levi expects a three-round war and thinks Price will edge it out due to digging deeper. He acknowledges a finish is possible but leans decision.

fight of the night candidate
"nico's a guy i'd rather lay a dog price on unless it's guaranteed that this is a first round finish"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Niko Price

I think Price has improved his volume and grappling, while Oliveira has declined. Price is the more durable and active fighter. Oliveira is a wild card but has looked poor lately. I like Price by KO at +150 and the under 2.5 rounds. Price should overwhelm Oliveira.

Price by KO +150, under 2.5 rounds -145
"I like price here i like price i'm gonna take him by ko as well"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Niko Price

Paul also picks Price, surprised the line is only -165. He notes that Oliveira looks over the hill, with poor weight cuts and lethargic performances. Price has been competitive against top competition and should have a cardio advantage. He expects Price to win by decision or late stoppage.

"i would have to go with nico price in this spot even though it's -165"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Niko Price

The MMA Guru picks Niko Price, noting Alex Oliveira's tendency to fade in the third round and his recent chin issues. Price has cardio and toughness advantages, and he has KO power. He predicts Price will win by TKO in the third round after a competitive first two rounds.

Price by TKO in round 3
"i'm going with nico price tko in the third round"