Career Averages - Taylor Lapilus
Career Averages - Cody Stamann
Taylor Lapilus
Cody Stamann
Taylor Lapilus - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 94 of 202 | 46% | 99 of 208 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Vince Morales | 0 | 39 of 141 | 27% | 49 of 154 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 35 of 81 | 43% | 35 of 82 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Vince Morales | 0 | 11 of 45 | 24% | 12 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 30 of 58 | 51% | 31 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Vince Morales | 0 | 16 of 41 | 39% | 20 of 46 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 | |
| 3 | Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 29 of 63 | 46% | 33 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Vince Morales | 0 | 12 of 55 | 21% | 17 of 62 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Lapilus | 94 of 202 | 46% | 63 of 165 | 24 of 29 | 7 of 8 | 80 of 181 | 14 of 21 | 0 of 0 |
| Vince Morales | 39 of 141 | 27% | 25 of 113 | 10 of 19 | 4 of 9 | 34 of 124 | 5 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taylor Lapilus | 35 of 81 | 43% | 23 of 66 | 6 of 8 | 6 of 7 | 32 of 77 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Vince Morales | 11 of 45 | 24% | 6 of 33 | 3 of 7 | 2 of 5 | 10 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Taylor Lapilus | 30 of 58 | 51% | 19 of 46 | 11 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 25 of 52 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Vince Morales | 16 of 41 | 39% | 8 of 27 | 6 of 10 | 2 of 4 | 13 of 34 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Taylor Lapilus | 29 of 63 | 46% | 21 of 53 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 52 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Vince Morales | 12 of 55 | 21% | 11 of 53 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 47 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Many have forgotten this, but both Lapilus (20-4, 5-2 UFC) and Morales (16-7, 3-5 UFC) are on their second stints with the promotion. The Frenchman was let go in 2016 despite going 3-1 with the organization, while “Vandetta” is on the rough side of .500 looking up. The bantamweights will be joined in the Octagon by referee Marc Goddard, and they touch ‘em up while he dons his proverbial hard hat. Even in the prelims, the crowd is nearly deafening in support of the French fighter. There is no glove touch, as Lapilus takes to the center of the cage and puts a series of hands on the American. Lapilus ends his combo with a thudding head kick, and Morales pays it no mind. Lapilus goes high with another kick that glances off the shoulder, and a third is close to chin-checking Morales. Lapilus chops at the front calf, and the two are coiled springs ready to release as they stand in front of one another. Lapilus prods out jabs, and Morales reaches him with a right hand over the top. Morales has a kick caught, and he gets tossed to the floor and kicked on his way down. Morales stands back up and delivers a clean uppercut on the chops, only to get met with two sharp elbows from up close. They nail one another with calf kicks as fans are chanting mean things, and the fighters do not slow down from engaging. Lapilus lands first, and he uses his distance strikes to keep Morales off of him. Morales gets off at the end of a left hand, and the audience shifts from saying rude words to singing the French national anthem. Lapilus turns up the heat as the song draws to a close, ringing Morales’ bell with a fast flurry of fists. Lapilus plants a knee to the chest, and a left hand opens a cut on Morales’ right eyebrow. Lapilus drives a one-two down the pipe, and he blocks a high body kick to give two punches and a knee back. Morales drops to a knee and explodes back up before the round concludes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Lapilus
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Lapilus
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Lapilus
Round 2
Morales starts the round aggressively, only to walk into a number of quick jabs that rap off his forehead. Lapilus splits the guard with a left hand, and he slips Morales’ punches to back him off. Morales just manages to avoid a high kick as he slides to the side, but he cannot stop a body kick from slamming into his ribs. Morales uses the kick to lift Lapilus off the ground, where he throws the Frenchman to the mat and tries to quiet the raucous crowd. Lapilus stands back up, his back to the fence, and he elbows Morales hard on the dome. Morales responds with a knee, and Lapilus tags him with two more elbows to the cut. Lapilus lets his hands go, walking Morales down with short salvos of feet and fists. Two jabs from Lapilus get through, and Morales scores back. The French fighter scores with a pair of body kicks, and he slips and jumps right back to his feet before Morales can get to him. “Double Impact” drives a double right hand over the top, and he follows the second blow with a left hand and a body kick. Hand-fighting with his opponent, Lapilus times a left hand and a huge knee that smashes into Morales’ face and sends a gob of saliva soaring across the cage. Morales is tough as a stale baguette, not even wavering from the powerful strike. Instead, he comes back harder than before, winging a huge right hand that Lapilus cannot quite avoid. Lapilus absorbs it and fires back, leading to Morales shooting in for a single-leg takedown. Morales wraps up one leg but is unable to ground him, and Lapilus elbows him to force a break and spin away as the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Lapilus
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Lapilus
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Lapilus
Round 3
It takes little more than 10 seconds for Morales to shoot for a takedown, opening the round up by putting Lapilus on the defensive. Morales succeeds in driving the French fighter to the wall, where he elevates Lapilus’ right leg and deposits him to the floor. In the span of a second, Lapilus powers right back to his feet, and he pushes Morales away. As Morales backpedals, Lapilus drives a knee to the liver and puts his hands on Morales’ chin. Lapilus uses his close range to slash at Morales with elbows, and his head movement and footwork keeps him safe from the telegraphed, winging strikes of “Vandetta.” Lapilus jabs with the ball of his foot, sticking and poking with strikes from his preferred berth. Lapilus lands the better of an exchange with a left hook, but Morales connects with his own power punches to get Lapilus’ attention. Four punches get through before Lapilus can make him pay with a knee, and blood flows from the American’s cut once more. Lapilus times a left hand to drive a knee into Morales’ sternum, and Morales desperately responds with a tackling takedown where he pushes Lapilus from one end of the cage to the other. Morales manages to take Lapilus for a ride, lifting him up and slamming him down while landing in a top-side leg triangle out of the Khabib Nurmagomedov playbook. Lapilus does not care about the leg position, exploding upright and surging into action. Two big knees score cleanly for the Frenchman, and Morales knows this is his last time to shine. Morales rushes after Lapilus, putting everything he has into swinging fists. Lapilus absorbs some punishment and doles it out, with the two laying into one another until a clinch ensues. Lapilus pushes out of it, and he spins with an elbow that grazes the melon of “Vandetta.” The match draws to a close, and the crowd is on its feet.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Lapilus (30-27 Lapilus)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Lapilus (30-27 Lapilus)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Lapilus (30-27 Lapilus)
The Official Result
Taylor Lapilus def. Vince Morales via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Angelo is very confident in Taylor Lapilus. He praises Lapilus's footwork, counter-striking, and takedown defense. He expects Vince Morales to come out looking for an early finish, but Lapilus will weather the storm and piece him apart. The only concern is if Morales has improved like Youssef Zalal did after being cut, but Angelo doesn't think so.
Big Brady picks Taylor Lapilus by decision, noting Lapilus has superior striking and takedown defense. He mentions Morales has been on a good run since being cut but is being brought back against a tough opponent in Paris. He expects Lapilus to win a clear decision with home-cage advantage.
Cody picks Lapilus, citing his superior striking and takedown defense. He notes that Morales' wrestling hasn't translated to the UFC and that Lapilus should outpoint him with volume and movement. He expects a unanimous decision win for Lapilus.
Connor agrees, noting that Morales is a good regional fighter but not a good UFC fighter. He points out that Morales has a slow pace, can get kicked to hell, and is easy to put on his heels. Lapilus should be able to out-slick him.
Daniel Vreeland picks Taylor Lapilus to win by decision. He thinks Lapilus is a solid striker with good defense and takedown defense, and that Morales is a step below. He notes that Lapilus has been taken down in every UFC fight but has good get-up game. He expects Lapilus to use leg kicks and movement to win a clear decision.
JP picks Taylor Lapilus because he thinks Lapilus is better everywhere and has power. He notes Morales was released from the UFC in 2022 and came back, which he views negatively. He predicts Lapilus will starch him by KO.
Paul agrees, noting Lapilus' excellent get-up game and striking. He believes Morales' wrestling won't be effective and that Lapilus will out-strike him clearly. He expects a unanimous decision.
The MMA Guru picks Taylor Lapilus over Vince Morales, describing Lapilus as awkward and tricky to fight. He notes Morales' past UFC struggles and Lapilus' reach advantage despite being shorter. He predicts a split decision win for Lapilus.
Zane thinks Lapilus is a quintessential back-foot counter striker and that Morales will struggle to come forward effectively. He notes that Morales has a fatally flawed game, is susceptible to leg kicks, and fights at a slow pace. Zane expects Lapilus to win a technical showcase.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 59 of 143 | 41% | 64 of 150 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 3:24 |
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 100 of 180 | 55% | 107 of 190 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 22 of 48 | 45% | 22 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 30 of 58 | 51% | 30 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 2 | Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 22 of 49 | 44% | 24 of 51 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 35 of 66 | 53% | 40 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 | |
| 3 | Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 15 of 46 | 32% | 18 of 51 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:54 |
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 35 of 56 | 62% | 37 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Lapilus | 59 of 143 | 41% | 23 of 101 | 28 of 33 | 8 of 9 | 47 of 125 | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Stamann | 100 of 180 | 55% | 60 of 132 | 25 of 31 | 15 of 17 | 84 of 162 | 16 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taylor Lapilus | 22 of 48 | 45% | 10 of 32 | 11 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 40 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Stamann | 30 of 58 | 51% | 12 of 37 | 14 of 16 | 4 of 5 | 22 of 50 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Taylor Lapilus | 22 of 49 | 44% | 8 of 33 | 10 of 11 | 4 of 5 | 16 of 41 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Stamann | 35 of 66 | 53% | 21 of 48 | 7 of 10 | 7 of 8 | 29 of 58 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Taylor Lapilus | 15 of 46 | 32% | 5 of 36 | 7 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 14 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Stamann | 35 of 56 | 62% | 27 of 47 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 33 of 54 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Taylor Lapilus, citing his superior kickboxing and outstanding takedown defense. He notes that Cody Stamann is well-rounded but lacks power, and Taylor's ability to work in and out of range should be key. However, he worries that Taylor might be too tentative like in his last fight, where he was afraid of takedowns and didn't throw enough. He thinks Taylor is the better overall fighter but the fight could be close.
Big Brady picks Taylor Lapilus to win by decision. He highlights Lapilus's elite takedown defense and get-up game, as well as a 9-inch reach advantage. He notes that Cody Stamann hasn't wrestled since 2020 and has only completed five takedowns, so the fight will likely stay standing where Lapilus has the edge.
Cody picks Lapilus, noting that Stamann has been inactive and has not looked interested in wrestling recently. Lapilus is a smooth striker with good takedown defense. Cody expects Lapilus to outpoint Stamann on the feet and win a decision. He trusts Lapilus' activity and technical striking.
Daniel confidently picks Stamann as a plus-money underdog, arguing that Lapilus fights close decisions and doesn't run through opponents. He notes Stamann is experienced and competitive with everyone, and that the line is too wide. He expects a controversial split decision for Stamann.
Jacob picks Taylor Lapilus, agreeing with the odds. He notes that Taylor is probably twice the fighter Cody is, with great striking and takedown defense. Cody is tough and has boxing and wrestling, but Jacob thinks Taylor's skills should win the fight, likely by decision. He warns that the -250 odds might make people sweat because Cody is no pushover and could win rounds. He also mentions that Taylor's -3.5 round line might be risky because Taylor is not high volume.
Lapilus has speed and striking advantage from distance, but his takedown defense is a concern. Stamann has a wrestling background but doesn't use it enough. Lapilus should land better strikes and stuff takedowns to win a decision, but the line at -265 is too wide for comfort.
Paul picks Lapilus, noting that Stamann has not used his wrestling in recent fights and seems to have lost interest. Lapilus is the better striker and should win a competitive decision. Paul thinks Stamann's inactivity and lack of urgency will cost him.
The Guru picks Lapilus because Stamann is past his prime, hasn't fought in over a year, and struggles to implement his wrestling. Lapilus is tall and rangy, making it difficult for Stamann to find the inside. He thinks Stamann's takedown attempts will be fruitless as Lapilus can frame and get back to his feet. He expects Lapilus to outwork Stamann on the inside with knees.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farid Basharat | 0 | 42 of 100 | 42% | 55 of 116 | 5 of 16 | 31% | 1 | 0 | 6:58 |
| Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 40 of 93 | 43% | 41 of 94 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Farid Basharat | 0 | 14 of 35 | 40% | 20 of 41 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 1:37 |
| Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 14 of 29 | 48% | 15 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Farid Basharat | 0 | 15 of 33 | 45% | 18 of 37 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:28 |
| Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 19 of 39 | 48% | 19 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Farid Basharat | 0 | 13 of 32 | 40% | 17 of 38 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 2:53 |
| Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 7 of 25 | 28% | 7 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farid Basharat | 42 of 100 | 42% | 14 of 53 | 7 of 19 | 21 of 28 | 39 of 92 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 3 |
| Taylor Lapilus | 40 of 93 | 43% | 24 of 67 | 11 of 16 | 5 of 10 | 34 of 86 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Farid Basharat | 14 of 35 | 40% | 2 of 16 | 1 of 7 | 11 of 12 | 14 of 33 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Taylor Lapilus | 14 of 29 | 48% | 7 of 19 | 6 of 6 | 1 of 4 | 8 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 4 | |
| 2 | Farid Basharat | 15 of 33 | 45% | 6 of 17 | 4 of 9 | 5 of 7 | 12 of 27 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 3 |
| Taylor Lapilus | 19 of 39 | 48% | 11 of 28 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 19 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Farid Basharat | 13 of 32 | 40% | 6 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 9 | 13 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Taylor Lapilus | 7 of 25 | 28% | 6 of 20 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Basharat (-278), Lapilus (+225)
Round 1
Treating fans next is a historic bantamweight clash pitting Afghanistan against France, as Basharat (11-0, 2-0 UFC)—who currently resides and trains in England—collides with MMA Factory’s Lapilus (19-3, 4-1 UFC). The former still has his zero intact, while the latter has earned six victories in a row, the most important of which was his last triumph that came over the highly touted Caolan Loughran. The third man in the cage will be referee Chris Tognoni, and he starts the clock as the fighters do not touch gloves. Basharat starts the fight off with two kicks up top, and Lapilus leans back to evade them. Basharat changes it up with a pair of calf kicks, and he gets in an axe kick to surprise his opponent. Lapilus aims several punches at his foe, but Basharat is able to avoid and continue scoring kicks. Basharat suddenly shoots in for a single, and he succeeds in setting the Frenchman on his seat for a second before Lapilus bounces right back up. Lapilus gets away with a fence grab as he keeps scrambling, and Basharat cannot keep his foe down for long. Lapilus defends a takedown effort by wrapping up a choke, and Basharat drops to his back in order to escape it. Lapilus gets back to striking range when both fighters get back up, and he absorbs or blocks a number of kicks from the distant man from Afghanistan. Both men land single punches, but it is Basharat who is following with kicks. When “Double Impact” attempts his own kick, Basharat snatches up his leg and dumps him to the ground. Lapilus pops back up, sneaks in a knee and pushes off. Basharat prods and pokes with low kicks, until Lapilus grabs hold of him to blast him in the chest with a knee. Basharat retreats and dodges a left hand, and he keeps his guard up to defend from a high kick. Basharat kicks the side twice and shoots for a double, and Lapilus falls to his knees and grabs the cage wall for a moment. Lapilus elbows his foe in the spine a few times to draw a pair of warnings, and Basharat pulls his legs out from beneath him to end the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Round 2
Lapilus turns up his volume slightly to start off the second round, and Basharat retaliates with his own kicks high and low. Lapilus slaps his foot off the side of his opponent’s head, and Basharat grabs his hand to try to keep him stuck on one position. When Basharat does this, Lapilus wraps his other foot around the top and smacks Basharat in the face. Basharat backs off and suddenly attacks with a takedown effort, but the Frenchman shuts it down much easier than before. Basharat goes to the body with a kick, and Lapilus responds with a punch and a high kick that glances off the shoulder. Lapilus is just out of his range with his fists, and he ducks away from a spinning back fist. Basharat drops down for a single, and on his second attempt, he succeeds in grounding his foe. Lapilus gets to a knee, and Basharat circles around to take his back. As this happens, Lapilus scrambles to get out of the bad position and right back to his feet. Lapilus prods out several jabs, as Basharat kicks him in the sternum. Lapilus lets his hands go as he walks Basharat down, and Basharat absorbs or blocks some of them before sprinting and tackling Lapilus to his seat. Basharat lowers himself down to trap Lapilus, sitting in half guard and shutting down any escape attempts from “Double Impact.” Lapilus tugs his toes on the fencing several times to try to improve position, and Basharat elbows him twice before the round concludes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Basharat
Round 3
The final round kicks off with both bantamweights meeting one another in the center of the cage. Basharat strikes first with a head kick attempt, and Lapilus responds with a kick that glances off the pectoral. Lapilus kicks low and punches high, and Basharat backs him off with a right hand. The two hand-fight, leading to Basharat trying to locate another head kick. Lapilus evades it and sticks out a big left hand, forcing Basharat to reset. Lapilus lands another solid left hand, and Basharat is there in his face with an overhand right. The two clash their shins together with kicks until Basharat shoots for a single. Lapilus defends and backs himself to the wall, but the London Shootfighters product is able to elevate him and dump him to his backside. Lapilus leans his back on the wall as he tries to sit up, and Basharat drags his legs down and pulls him away from the wire to stop him from wall-walking. Lapilus scoots himself towards the barrier and works his way up, and he thanks Basharat for his takedown by punching him in the face a few times. Lapilus sits down on a heavy left hand, and Basharat shakes it off. “Ferocious Farid” lashes out with a punch, a kick and a takedown try. The single allows Basharat to drag his foe to the floor, and he climbs into side control and maintains heavy chest pressure. Basharat considers moving into mount, but Lapilus defends his effort even as he is pinned to his back. Basharat grinds his elbow on the face and lands a few punches, and he looks to lock down one of Lapilus’ arms before shifting the other direction to north-south position. The space Basharat leaves allows Lapilus to turn to get out, but Basharat locks down a brabo choke that is suddenly quite tight. Lapilus manages to break the grip and explode back to his feet, and time expires.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Basharat (30-27 Basharat)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Basharat (30-27 Basharat)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Basharat (30-27 Basharat)
The Official Result
Farid Basharat def. Taylor Lapilus via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Angelo picks Farid Basharat confidently, citing his superior wrestling and solid striking. He notes that Taylor Lapilus is a good kickboxer with decent takedown defense but was taken down twice by C.J. LaRue, and Farid is a much better wrestler. He believes Farid will win on the feet and in grappling exchanges with forward pressure. He likes the over 2.5 rounds and has it in a parlay.
Big Brady thinks the line is too wide and that Taylor Lapilus is underrated. He believes Lapilus has good takedown defense and fast hands, and if he keeps the fight standing, he can out-strike Basharat. He sees a close fight possibly going to a split decision, and picks Lapilus as a live underdog.
Cody picks Lapilus as a sizable underdog, citing his striking advantage, speed, footwork, and solid takedown defense. He believes Lapilus can stuff takedowns and outpoint Basharat on the feet. He notes that Basharat's wrestling may be overrated and that Lapilus has the experience to win a decision.
Daniel Vreeland leans with Farid Basharat, praising his pace, stance switching, and relentless takedown attempts. He acknowledges Lapilus's technical striking and improved takedown defense, but thinks Basharat's pressure and ground game will be the difference. Vreeland notes that if Lapilus can keep it standing, he might have success, but Basharat's relentless style could make him hesitant.
James does not discuss this fight in the transcript. He discusses a fight between Fared Basherat and Chris Gutierrez, which is not on the card.
Farid Basharat is a talented 26-year-old with crisp striking and a strong grappling game, training at Extreme Couture under Jake Shields. He mixes takedowns well and has a smothering top game. Taylor Lapilus is an experienced striker with decent power but has shown vulnerability to grappling, as seen in the Colin Anglin fight. Basharat's wrestling and control should be the difference, allowing him to grind out a decision. The line at -245 is a bit wide, but Basharat's grappling advantage should secure the win.
Paul picks Lapilus, echoing Cody's sentiments. He notes that Lapilus has a massive advantage on the feet and that Basharat's grappling may not be as effective against a good takedown defender. He believes Lapilus will be making his card at +235.
The MMA Guru picks Farid Basharat after considering Taylor Lapilus as an underdog. He rewatched Lapilus's fight with Kyler Phillips and was unimpressed, noting Lapilus lacked versatility and didn't make reads. He believes Basharat is on a different level and will win, though he acknowledges Lapilus could stuff takedowns.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 84 of 163 | 51% | 87 of 166 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Caolán Loughran | 0 | 48 of 132 | 36% | 70 of 166 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 6:26 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 30 of 57 | 52% | 31 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Caolán Loughran | 0 | 19 of 57 | 33% | 20 of 58 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:47 | |
| 2 | Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 19 of 37 | 51% | 19 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Caolán Loughran | 0 | 8 of 21 | 38% | 28 of 53 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:55 | |
| 3 | Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 35 of 69 | 50% | 37 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Caolán Loughran | 0 | 21 of 54 | 38% | 22 of 55 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:44 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Lapilus | 84 of 163 | 51% | 59 of 133 | 18 of 23 | 7 of 7 | 76 of 150 | 7 of 12 | 1 of 1 |
| Caolán Loughran | 48 of 132 | 36% | 28 of 100 | 13 of 23 | 7 of 9 | 44 of 125 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taylor Lapilus | 30 of 57 | 52% | 25 of 51 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 52 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
| Caolán Loughran | 19 of 57 | 33% | 11 of 44 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 3 | 17 of 53 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Taylor Lapilus | 19 of 37 | 51% | 9 of 25 | 6 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 32 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Caolán Loughran | 8 of 21 | 38% | 5 of 14 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Taylor Lapilus | 35 of 69 | 50% | 25 of 57 | 7 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 33 of 66 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Caolán Loughran | 21 of 54 | 38% | 12 of 42 | 4 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 20 of 52 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo has a slight lean towards Caolán Loughran, trusting his forward pressure and wrestling. He compares Loughran's grit to Erin Blanchfield's. He notes Taylor Lapilus has clean striking but Loughran can march forward and stay in his face. Angelo is waiting for prop bets before betting.
Big Brady picks Lapilus, impressed by his striking, takedown defense, and toughness. He notes Lapilus' previous UFC experience and superior competition compared to Loughran. He expects Lapilus to be the better striker and not be taken down, winning a decision. He questions Loughran's decision to take this tougher fight.
Cody picks Lapilus, highlighting his experience (3-1 in UFC previously), excellent kicks, defensive skills, high ring IQ, and cardio. He notes Loughran is undefeated but his competition has been weak, including opponents with losing records. Lapilus has wins over Nate Maness and Wilson Reis, while Loughran's best wins are against unproven fighters. Cody believes Lapilus's defensive grappling and takedown ability will be key.
Daniel Levi picks Taylor Lapilus, stating that Lapilus is a dynamic kickboxer who should light up Loughran on the feet. He notes that Loughran is a stationary target with poor defense and that Lapilus has the experience and skill advantage. Levi warns that Lapilus sometimes has low output and lets opponents back into fights, but he believes Lapilus will pick Loughran apart as long as he doesn't play with his food. He also mentions that Loughran's path to victory is via takedowns and back takes, which have troubled Lapilus in the past.
I'm going with Lapilus here. He has a speed and distance striking advantage, and his kicking game should keep Loughran at bay. Loughran is a promising prospect but this might be too much too soon. Lapilus has good takedown defense and works well back to his feet. I think Lapilus stops Loughran by KO due to the speed advantage.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Loughran's undefeated record is built on weak opposition, including two opponents with a combined 1-82 record. He says Lapilus is a proven veteran fighting in front of his home crowd, making him a justifiable favorite.
The MMA Guru picks Caolán Loughran, describing him as a physically strong tank who can take the fight wherever he wants. He notes Loughran's recent wins over good regional opponents and his dangerous hands, while Lapilus is a good fighter but Loughran's physicality will be too much. He predicts Loughran will squash Lapilus.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 63 of 146 | 43% | 84 of 168 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:57 |
| Leandro Issa | 0 | 19 of 61 | 31% | 23 of 68 | 3 of 14 | 21% | 0 | 0 | 6:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 17 of 47 | 36% | 26 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Leandro Issa | 0 | 7 of 22 | 31% | 8 of 25 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 2:55 | |
| 2 | Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 24 of 51 | 47% | 29 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Leandro Issa | 0 | 9 of 32 | 28% | 12 of 35 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:01 | |
| 3 | Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 22 of 48 | 45% | 29 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Leandro Issa | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 of 8 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 2:33 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Lapilus | 63 of 146 | 43% | 49 of 130 | 12 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 38 of 115 | 21 of 26 | 4 of 5 |
| Leandro Issa | 19 of 61 | 31% | 6 of 38 | 6 of 13 | 7 of 10 | 16 of 58 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taylor Lapilus | 17 of 47 | 36% | 15 of 43 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 39 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 1 |
| Leandro Issa | 7 of 22 | 31% | 2 of 16 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Taylor Lapilus | 24 of 51 | 47% | 14 of 41 | 8 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 38 | 7 of 9 | 3 of 4 |
| Leandro Issa | 9 of 32 | 28% | 3 of 19 | 3 of 7 | 3 of 6 | 9 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Taylor Lapilus | 22 of 48 | 45% | 20 of 46 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 38 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Leandro Issa | 3 of 7 | 42% | 1 of 3 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Érik Pérez | 0 | 31 of 92 | 33% | 109 of 172 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Taylor Lapilus | 1 | 20 of 78 | 25% | 23 of 82 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 7:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Érik Pérez | 0 | 10 of 48 | 20% | 10 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 15 of 45 | 33% | 15 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Érik Pérez | 0 | 13 of 25 | 52% | 57 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Taylor Lapilus | 1 | 3 of 16 | 18% | 4 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 3:41 | |
| 3 | Érik Pérez | 0 | 8 of 19 | 42% | 42 of 54 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 2 of 17 | 11% | 4 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:27 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Érik Pérez | 31 of 92 | 33% | 17 of 69 | 14 of 21 | 0 of 2 | 17 of 73 | 2 of 4 | 12 of 15 |
| Taylor Lapilus | 20 of 78 | 25% | 12 of 65 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 8 | 18 of 76 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Érik Pérez | 10 of 48 | 20% | 6 of 39 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 2 | 9 of 46 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Taylor Lapilus | 15 of 45 | 33% | 8 of 34 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 7 | 14 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Érik Pérez | 13 of 25 | 52% | 5 of 16 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 13 |
| Taylor Lapilus | 3 of 16 | 18% | 3 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Érik Pérez | 8 of 19 | 42% | 6 of 14 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 15 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Taylor Lapilus | 2 of 17 | 11% | 1 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Lapilus | 1 | 31 of 60 | 51% | 68 of 99 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:20 |
| Yuta Sasaki | 0 | 16 of 41 | 39% | 18 of 43 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 20 of 38 | 52% | 56 of 76 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 |
| Yuta Sasaki | 0 | 13 of 23 | 56% | 15 of 25 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 | |
| 2 | Taylor Lapilus | 1 | 11 of 22 | 50% | 12 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Yuta Sasaki | 0 | 3 of 18 | 16% | 3 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Lapilus | 31 of 60 | 51% | 24 of 51 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 31 | 15 of 19 | 6 of 10 |
| Yuta Sasaki | 16 of 41 | 39% | 3 of 20 | 3 of 5 | 10 of 16 | 15 of 39 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taylor Lapilus | 20 of 38 | 52% | 15 of 31 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 19 | 15 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| Yuta Sasaki | 13 of 23 | 56% | 2 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 11 | 12 of 21 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Taylor Lapilus | 11 of 22 | 50% | 9 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 10 |
| Yuta Sasaki | 3 of 18 | 16% | 1 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 80 of 143 | 55% | 86 of 149 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 1 | 2:00 |
| Rocky Lee | 0 | 37 of 72 | 51% | 49 of 84 | 1 of 10 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 3:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 31 of 50 | 62% | 36 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Rocky Lee | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 8 of 18 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:28 | |
| 2 | Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 21 of 41 | 51% | 22 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:30 |
| Rocky Lee | 0 | 10 of 25 | 40% | 13 of 28 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:29 | |
| 3 | Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 28 of 52 | 53% | 28 of 52 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Rocky Lee | 0 | 21 of 31 | 67% | 28 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Lapilus | 80 of 143 | 55% | 45 of 104 | 26 of 29 | 9 of 10 | 47 of 110 | 27 of 27 | 6 of 6 |
| Rocky Lee | 37 of 72 | 51% | 10 of 43 | 13 of 14 | 14 of 15 | 26 of 60 | 10 of 11 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taylor Lapilus | 31 of 50 | 62% | 15 of 31 | 12 of 14 | 4 of 5 | 18 of 37 | 11 of 11 | 2 of 2 |
| Rocky Lee | 6 of 16 | 37% | 3 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Taylor Lapilus | 21 of 41 | 51% | 15 of 35 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 32 | 8 of 8 | 1 of 1 |
| Rocky Lee | 10 of 25 | 40% | 1 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 7 | 6 of 21 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Taylor Lapilus | 28 of 52 | 53% | 15 of 38 | 10 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 41 | 8 of 8 | 3 of 3 |
| Rocky Lee | 21 of 31 | 67% | 6 of 16 | 9 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 14 of 23 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 1 |
Cody Stamann - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Da'Mon Blackshear | 0 | 13 of 33 | 39% | 13 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 20 of 44 | 45% | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 | 0 | 1:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Da'Mon Blackshear | 0 | 13 of 33 | 39% | 13 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 20 of 44 | 45% | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 | 0 | 1:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Da'Mon Blackshear | 13 of 33 | 39% | 5 of 21 | 5 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Stamann | 20 of 44 | 45% | 15 of 36 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 4 | 19 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Da'Mon Blackshear | 13 of 33 | 39% | 5 of 21 | 5 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Stamann | 20 of 44 | 45% | 15 of 36 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 4 | 19 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo believes Da'Mon Blackshear is the better fighter with far better striking and good wrestling. He thinks Cody Stamann will get outstruck and then shoot sloppy takedowns. However, he notes Blackshear is 2-4 in the UFC and hasn't had a key win over a division staple like Stamann, so he is not confident enough to bet. He might consider a plus 3.5 round bet on Stamann if the odds are good.
Big Brady favors Blackshear due to his size, reach, and youth advantage over the 35-year-old Stamann. He believes Blackshear's striking is underrated and his grappling is elite, with a black belt in BJJ. He expects Blackshear to have success wherever the fight goes and predicts a decision win, though he acknowledges the line may be too wide.
Cody is high on Stamann as a dog, citing Blackshear's cardio issues and lack of power. He notes Stamann's wrestling credentials and ability to get back up from takedowns. Cody expects a close decision and thinks the +230 line is too wide for a veteran like Stamann.
Connor picks Stamann, noting Blackshear is too willing to start from negative positions and it has cost him. He thinks Stamann's neutralizer style will make Blackshear make mistakes. Connor expects a narrow split decision, possibly ugly. He mentions Stamann is the underdog at +217 to +232.
Daniel Vreeland picks Da'Mon Blackshear, citing his physical advantages (reach, height) and higher aspirations compared to Cody Stamann, who may be nearing retirement. He acknowledges Stamann's takedown defense and ability to make fights close, but believes Blackshear's grappling and motivation give him the edge. Vreeland expects a close fight.
Stamann is being overlooked as a +230 underdog. His defensive wrestling should keep him away from Blackshear's BJJ, allowing him to dictate the striking pace and pull away in the second and third rounds as Blackshear slows down. Expect a decision win.
Paul agrees, questioning how Blackshear can be such a favorite given his recent KO loss and cardio problems. He thinks Stamann's experience and wrestling will keep the fight competitive, and the price is too good to pass up. Paul calls it a clear dogger pass.
The Guru picks Da'Mon Blackshear, citing his size, strength, and youth. He criticizes Cody Stamann's lack of finishing ability and short reach. He notes Blackshear gave Mario Bautista a tough fight and believes he is the better fighter. He mentions the odds might be worth betting on Blackshear as a favorite.
Zane picks Stamann, agreeing with Connor. He describes Stamann as a solid defensive striker who can bang in the pocket, but notes he never presses advantages. Zane thinks Blackshear's poor striking and tendency to start from negative positions will allow Stamann to neutralize him. He expects a narrow split decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 59 of 143 | 41% | 64 of 150 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 3:24 |
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 100 of 180 | 55% | 107 of 190 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 22 of 48 | 45% | 22 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 30 of 58 | 51% | 30 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 2 | Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 22 of 49 | 44% | 24 of 51 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 35 of 66 | 53% | 40 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 | |
| 3 | Taylor Lapilus | 0 | 15 of 46 | 32% | 18 of 51 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:54 |
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 35 of 56 | 62% | 37 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Lapilus | 59 of 143 | 41% | 23 of 101 | 28 of 33 | 8 of 9 | 47 of 125 | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Stamann | 100 of 180 | 55% | 60 of 132 | 25 of 31 | 15 of 17 | 84 of 162 | 16 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taylor Lapilus | 22 of 48 | 45% | 10 of 32 | 11 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 40 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Stamann | 30 of 58 | 51% | 12 of 37 | 14 of 16 | 4 of 5 | 22 of 50 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Taylor Lapilus | 22 of 49 | 44% | 8 of 33 | 10 of 11 | 4 of 5 | 16 of 41 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Stamann | 35 of 66 | 53% | 21 of 48 | 7 of 10 | 7 of 8 | 29 of 58 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Taylor Lapilus | 15 of 46 | 32% | 5 of 36 | 7 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 14 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Stamann | 35 of 56 | 62% | 27 of 47 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 33 of 54 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Taylor Lapilus, citing his superior kickboxing and outstanding takedown defense. He notes that Cody Stamann is well-rounded but lacks power, and Taylor's ability to work in and out of range should be key. However, he worries that Taylor might be too tentative like in his last fight, where he was afraid of takedowns and didn't throw enough. He thinks Taylor is the better overall fighter but the fight could be close.
Big Brady picks Taylor Lapilus to win by decision. He highlights Lapilus's elite takedown defense and get-up game, as well as a 9-inch reach advantage. He notes that Cody Stamann hasn't wrestled since 2020 and has only completed five takedowns, so the fight will likely stay standing where Lapilus has the edge.
Cody picks Lapilus, noting that Stamann has been inactive and has not looked interested in wrestling recently. Lapilus is a smooth striker with good takedown defense. Cody expects Lapilus to outpoint Stamann on the feet and win a decision. He trusts Lapilus' activity and technical striking.
Daniel confidently picks Stamann as a plus-money underdog, arguing that Lapilus fights close decisions and doesn't run through opponents. He notes Stamann is experienced and competitive with everyone, and that the line is too wide. He expects a controversial split decision for Stamann.
Jacob picks Taylor Lapilus, agreeing with the odds. He notes that Taylor is probably twice the fighter Cody is, with great striking and takedown defense. Cody is tough and has boxing and wrestling, but Jacob thinks Taylor's skills should win the fight, likely by decision. He warns that the -250 odds might make people sweat because Cody is no pushover and could win rounds. He also mentions that Taylor's -3.5 round line might be risky because Taylor is not high volume.
Lapilus has speed and striking advantage from distance, but his takedown defense is a concern. Stamann has a wrestling background but doesn't use it enough. Lapilus should land better strikes and stuff takedowns to win a decision, but the line at -265 is too wide for comfort.
Paul picks Lapilus, noting that Stamann has not used his wrestling in recent fights and seems to have lost interest. Lapilus is the better striker and should win a competitive decision. Paul thinks Stamann's inactivity and lack of urgency will cost him.
The Guru picks Lapilus because Stamann is past his prime, hasn't fought in over a year, and struggles to implement his wrestling. Lapilus is tall and rangy, making it difficult for Stamann to find the inside. He thinks Stamann's takedown attempts will be fruitless as Lapilus can frame and get back to his feet. He expects Lapilus to outwork Stamann on the inside with knees.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas Silva de Andrade | 1 | 54 of 139 | 38% | 66 of 152 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:59 |
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 61 of 178 | 34% | 72 of 189 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Douglas Silva de Andrade | 0 | 14 of 39 | 35% | 14 of 39 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 23 of 72 | 31% | 23 of 72 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Douglas Silva de Andrade | 0 | 14 of 44 | 31% | 14 of 44 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 21 of 52 | 40% | 21 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Douglas Silva de Andrade | 1 | 26 of 56 | 46% | 38 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:32 |
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 17 of 54 | 31% | 28 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas Silva de Andrade | 54 of 139 | 38% | 40 of 116 | 9 of 17 | 5 of 6 | 49 of 133 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 |
| Cody Stamann | 61 of 178 | 34% | 17 of 108 | 23 of 43 | 21 of 27 | 60 of 175 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Douglas Silva de Andrade | 14 of 39 | 35% | 8 of 31 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Stamann | 23 of 72 | 31% | 7 of 42 | 7 of 15 | 9 of 15 | 22 of 69 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Douglas Silva de Andrade | 14 of 44 | 31% | 10 of 37 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 14 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Stamann | 21 of 52 | 40% | 4 of 30 | 9 of 14 | 8 of 8 | 21 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Douglas Silva de Andrade | 26 of 56 | 46% | 22 of 48 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 |
| Cody Stamann | 17 of 54 | 31% | 6 of 36 | 7 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo gives a slight lean to Cody Stamann, citing his wrestling and pace. He notes Douglas Silva de Andrade hits hard and is strong at 135, but Stamann can stick with the pace. He says both are durable and if he bets, it would be over 2.5 rounds. He calls it a slight lean.
Big Brady sees this as a close fight. He notes Stamann has a volume edge on the feet, but Andrade has a four-inch reach advantage and all the power and finishing upside. He mentions Andrade has good takedown defense and an excellent get-up game, making it hard for Stamann to hold him down. Brady expects a competitive striking match that likely goes to decision, and picks Andrade to win by landing the bigger shots and having the bigger moments, possibly via split decision.
Cody picks Stamann but is hesitant, noting that Stamann often struggles against opponents he should beat. He points out Stamann's close fight with Luan Lacerda where he was outstruck in damage. He worries about de Andrade's power and takedown defense, and thinks the line is accurate. He expects a close decision.
Connor leans toward Stamann but is less confident, noting that Stamann's new aggressive style still has hitches and that de Andrade's power and unpredictability could cause problems. He thinks Stamann's counterpunching and body work are key, but de Andrade's wild swings could land. Connor sees this as a good test for Stamann's evolution.
Daniel Levi picks Cody Stamann via decision, describing him as a solid, meat-and-potatoes fighter who does just enough to win. He notes that Stamann's fights are usually close, but he consistently edges out opponents. Levi acknowledges Silva de Andrade's power and submission threats, but believes Stamann's takedown defense and point fighting will earn him a narrow decision. He calls it a dog-or-pass situation for betting.
Stamann's speed and footwork will keep him out of danger against the aggressive, powerful Silva de Andrade. He can dart in and out with combinations, mix in takedowns to slow the Brazilian, and pull away later in the fight. Stamann is motivated and will put on a complete performance to win by decision.
Paul picks Stamann, expecting him to utilize his wrestling and pace. He notes that Stamann should avoid striking exchanges and take the fight to the ground. He thinks the line should be closer to -200 and sees value at -145. He mentions Stamann's takedown prop on PrizePicks.
The MMA Guru leans towards Douglas Silva de Andrade, citing his toughness and dangerous pocket fighting. He notes that Cody Stamann has short reach and must be in the pocket, where Silva de Andrade is more dangerous. He predicts a close decision win.
Zane picks Cody Stamann, banking on his durability and newfound aggression. He notes that Stamann has never been knocked out and that his counterpunching and body work could exploit de Andrade's wild style. However, he acknowledges that de Andrade is dangerous and that Stamann's transformation is still incomplete, making this a tough test.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 80 of 181 | 44% | 85 of 187 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
| Luan Lacerda | 0 | 103 of 189 | 54% | 108 of 195 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cody Stamann | 0 | 29 of 59 | 49% | 29 of 59 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Luan Lacerda | 0 | 31 of 66 | 46% | 31 of 66 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Cody Stamann | 0 | 33 of 78 | 42% | 33 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Luan Lacerda | 0 | 52 of 87 | 59% | 52 of 87 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Cody Stamann | 0 | 18 of 44 | 40% | 23 of 50 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
| Luan Lacerda | 0 | 20 of 36 | 55% | 25 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Stamann | 80 of 181 | 44% | 31 of 113 | 44 of 61 | 5 of 7 | 80 of 181 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Luan Lacerda | 103 of 189 | 54% | 62 of 139 | 29 of 38 | 12 of 12 | 101 of 186 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cody Stamann | 29 of 59 | 49% | 9 of 33 | 17 of 22 | 3 of 4 | 29 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Luan Lacerda | 31 of 66 | 46% | 17 of 49 | 8 of 11 | 6 of 6 | 31 of 65 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Cody Stamann | 33 of 78 | 42% | 17 of 53 | 15 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 33 of 78 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Luan Lacerda | 52 of 87 | 59% | 31 of 63 | 17 of 20 | 4 of 4 | 50 of 85 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Cody Stamann | 18 of 44 | 40% | 5 of 27 | 12 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Luan Lacerda | 20 of 36 | 55% | 14 of 27 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 20 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Cody Stamann as the rightful favorite due to fighting much better competition. He notes Lacerda has a legit BJJ black belt but often pulls guard and rolls for submissions, which doesn't work as well in the UFC. He thinks Lacerda won't be able to get takedowns and will have to rely on a Hail Mary submission. Stamann has been submitted twice but against elite grapplers like Sterling and Said. He predicts a decision win for Stamann.
Cody picks Cody Stamann confidently, noting his wrestling, cardio, and versatility. He says Stamann is a generalist who can do everything well, while Lacerda is a one-dimensional BJJ specialist. He thinks Stamann will neutralize Lacerda's grappling and win on the feet. He mentions Stamann's experience against top competition and his ability to avoid submissions.
Connor agrees, noting Lacerda is not proactive and Stamann is a tough gatekeeper. Lacerda's style is janky and he may not be able to exploit Stamann's flaws.
Paul picks Cody Stamann, noting his wrestling and striking advantages. He says Stamann is a safe bet among the big favorites on the card. He mentions Lacerda's BJJ is dangerous but thinks Stamann will avoid submissions and win a decision. He says Stamann's experience and versatility will be too much.
The Guru picks Stamann despite acknowledging the risk of decline. He notes Stamann's losses are to top bantamweights like Sterling, Develashvili, and Rivera, and he beat Eddie Wineland convincingly. At 33, Stamann is still hungry and training at Extreme Couture. The Guru believes Lacerda is not on the level of Sayed or Song to submit Stamann, and that Stamann's wrestling and pressure will carry him to a 29-28 decision after surviving an early bad situation.
Zane picks Stamann because Lacerda is too passive and slow-paced. Stamann is a good wrestler who can enforce his game. Lacerda's submissions come from wrestling, but he won't outwrestle Stamann. Stamann is tough and durable.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Eddie Wineland | 1 | 27 of 38 | 71% | 32 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cody Stamann | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Eddie Wineland | 1 | 27 of 38 | 71% | 32 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Stamann | 3 of 7 | 42% | 1 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Eddie Wineland | 27 of 38 | 71% | 23 of 34 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 16 | 12 of 16 | 6 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cody Stamann | 3 of 7 | 42% | 1 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Eddie Wineland | 27 of 38 | 71% | 23 of 34 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 16 | 12 of 16 | 6 of 6 |
Angelo picks Cody Stamann, citing his well-rounded skills, wrestling background, and pace. He notes Stamann averages almost 3 takedowns per fight and has no problem getting in his opponent's face. He acknowledges Eddie Wineland's experience and danger but believes Stamann's wrestling and pace will be the difference.
Big Brady picks Cody Stamann to win by second-round knockout. He acknowledges Stamann is a wrestler but believes he can outstrike Wineland, who has poor striking defense and a weak chin. He notes Wineland's takedown defense is historically good, but Stamann's power and Wineland's decline make a knockout likely.
Cody picks Stamann, noting his tough competition and advanced skill set. He thinks Wineland's chin and reflexes are gone, and Stamann will win by decision or TKO. He suggests waiting for weigh-ins due to Stamann's weight cut issues.
Daniel Levi confidently picks Cody Stamann, noting Eddie Wineland is damaged goods at 38 and has been knocked out by lesser fighters. Stamann is a competent, well-rounded fighter who wins rounds, though he rarely finishes. Levi expects a unanimous decision but acknowledges the -700 price is not worth betting. He simply states Stamann is the pick.
Paul agrees, noting Wineland's age and recent KO losses. He thinks the UFC is giving Stamann a favorable matchup and he should win easily. He also suggests waiting for weigh-ins.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Cody Stamann, calling it a no-brainer. He notes that Eddie Wineland is 37 and has taken a lot of damage, while Stamann is younger and has good grappling. He expects Stamann to use his wrestling to secure takedowns and ride out a 30-27 decision, as Wineland is a veteran unlikely to be submitted but unable to stop the grappling.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Said Nurmagomedov | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 7 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Said Nurmagomedov | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 7 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Said Nurmagomedov | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Stamann | 7 of 13 | 53% | 4 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Said Nurmagomedov | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Stamann | 7 of 13 | 53% | 4 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Cody Stamann, expecting his pace and takedowns to frustrate a ring-rusty Nurmagomedov. He compares it to Barcelos vs Nurmagomedov where Barcelos won a decision. He admits it's not a confident pick but likes Cody in that matchup.
Big Brady picks Said Nurmagomedov to win by decision, citing his striking advantage, volume, defense, and significant reach and height advantages. He notes that Stamann's path to victory is takedowns, but Stamann struggles to control opponents and Nurmagomedov has good takedown defense and scrambling. He expects the fight to stay on the feet where Nurmagomedov will outpoint Stamann.
Cody picks Cody Stamann as a live underdog, arguing that the line is off because people assume Nurmagomedov has grappling like other Nurmagomedovs, but Said is primarily a striker. He notes that Said has been taken down before (e.g., by Bibilatov) and that Stamann has good wrestling and game plans. Cody believes Stamann will use takedowns and top control to win a decision, and likes the plus money.
Daniel Levi leans toward Said Nurmagomedov but is not confident enough to lay the -200 price. He notes Nurmagomedov's explosive striking and six-inch reach advantage, but acknowledges Stamann's wrestling and ability to make fights close. Levi thinks Stamann can be competitive with anyone and that the fight could be a split decision. He ultimately gives a slight edge to Nurmagomedov due to his flashy striking and crowd-pleasing style.
The host believes the line is inflated due to the 'Russian tax' on Nurmagomedov. He argues that Stamann has the wrestling advantage and will be able to take Nurmagomedov down, especially in later rounds. He notes that Nurmagomedov prefers to strike from range, but Stamann can crash the pocket and use his wrestling. He expects Stamann to win a decision by out-grappling and out-working Nurmagomedov.
Paul agrees with Cody, picking Stamann as a live dog. He notes that Said's wrestling hasn't been tested at UFC level and that Stamann is a bigger bantamweight who has fought tough competition. Paul believes Stamann's wrestling and game planning will expose Said's defensive weaknesses. He also mentions that Stamann has scored takedowns in his last four fights.
The MMA Guru picks Said Nurmagomedov, citing his youth, improvements, and recent first-round KO of Mark Striegl. He believes Nurmagomedov can stuff takedowns and outwork Stamann, predicting a second-round spinning back kick to the body TKO. He notes Stamann's recent losses and crying incident as signs of decline.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merab Dvalishvili | 0 | 71 of 192 | 36% | 178 of 306 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 1 | 0 | 1:42 |
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 48 of 134 | 35% | 73 of 163 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 2:57 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Merab Dvalishvili | 0 | 26 of 68 | 38% | 34 of 78 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 21 of 51 | 41% | 22 of 52 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 | |
| 2 | Merab Dvalishvili | 0 | 21 of 54 | 38% | 74 of 109 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:09 |
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 10 of 36 | 27% | 19 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 1:07 | |
| 3 | Merab Dvalishvili | 0 | 24 of 70 | 34% | 70 of 119 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 17 of 47 | 36% | 32 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merab Dvalishvili | 71 of 192 | 36% | 49 of 158 | 16 of 25 | 6 of 9 | 64 of 183 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 3 |
| Cody Stamann | 48 of 134 | 35% | 27 of 102 | 20 of 30 | 1 of 2 | 41 of 126 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Merab Dvalishvili | 26 of 68 | 38% | 20 of 61 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 64 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Stamann | 21 of 51 | 41% | 13 of 38 | 7 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 19 of 48 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Merab Dvalishvili | 21 of 54 | 38% | 10 of 36 | 7 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 16 of 49 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
| Cody Stamann | 10 of 36 | 27% | 3 of 25 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 32 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Merab Dvalishvili | 24 of 70 | 34% | 19 of 61 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 3 | 24 of 70 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Stamann | 17 of 47 | 36% | 11 of 39 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady picks Merab Dvalishvili to win by decision. He highlights Merab's relentless pace, pressure, and takedown volume, even if he can't hold opponents down. He believes Merab will wear Stamann down with constant takedown attempts and cage pressure. Brady notes that both fighters are not finishers, so he expects the fight to go to decision. He also suggests Merab by decision as a parlay piece.
Cody is intrigued by Cody Stamann as an underdog. He notes that Merab's takedowns are often stuffed by better competition, as seen in the John Dodson fight (2 for 20). He thinks Stamann has the better striking and can stuff takedowns, making it a close competitive fight. He also mentions that Merab's main training partner Aljamain Sterling is out with surgery, which could affect his preparation. He acknowledges the sweat because Merab's grinding style is tough to bet against, but at +215 he finds it generous enough.
Daniel Levi picks Merab Dvalishvili to win, emphasizing his relentless pressure, takedown volume, and improved striking. He notes that Stamann is solid but tends to be a point fighter who may be outworked. Levi believes Dvalishvili's aggression and cardio will lead to a decision win.
The host picks Merab Dvalishvili by decision, citing his relentless pace and takedown volume. He notes that Stamann is a good wrestler but expects Dvalishvili's motor to be too much. He believes the fight goes the distance and Dvalishvili wins on volume.
Paul is leaning toward Merab, noting that he has made tons of improvements and is a grinding machine. He acknowledges that Stamann is a better striker and has decent wrestling, but Merab's relentless takedown pace could overwhelm him. He mentions that Merab's takedown numbers are impressive (11-13 per fight) and that even if Stamann gets up, Merab will drag him back down. However, he is not convinced Merab can dominate wrestling exchanges against Stamann, and he prefers the 'Merab by decision' prop at -125.
The MMA Guru picks Merab Dvalishvili over Cody Stamann, citing Dvalishvili's superior grappling and pace. He notes that Dvalishvili controlled John Dodson, who has great takedown defense, and that Stamann has struggled in grappling exchanges. He predicts Dvalishvili will win a 29-28 unanimous decision, with Stamann possibly winning the first round on strikes but Dvalishvili taking over in the later rounds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmie Rivera | 0 | 48 of 89 | 53% | 90 of 134 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 1:59 |
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 26 of 72 | 36% | 62 of 108 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 4:25 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jimmie Rivera | 0 | 15 of 25 | 60% | 27 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 14 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 | |
| 2 | Jimmie Rivera | 0 | 15 of 23 | 65% | 21 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:52 |
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 11 of 28 | 39% | 28 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 | |
| 3 | Jimmie Rivera | 0 | 18 of 41 | 43% | 42 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Cody Stamann | 0 | 8 of 28 | 28% | 20 of 40 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmie Rivera | 48 of 89 | 53% | 16 of 44 | 13 of 16 | 19 of 29 | 32 of 68 | 12 of 16 | 4 of 5 |
| Cody Stamann | 26 of 72 | 36% | 13 of 55 | 8 of 11 | 5 of 6 | 18 of 61 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jimmie Rivera | 15 of 25 | 60% | 5 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 13 | 11 of 17 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 4 |
| Cody Stamann | 7 of 16 | 43% | 5 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jimmie Rivera | 15 of 23 | 65% | 7 of 11 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 6 | 10 of 18 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
| Cody Stamann | 11 of 28 | 39% | 4 of 19 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 22 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jimmie Rivera | 18 of 41 | 43% | 4 of 22 | 7 of 9 | 7 of 10 | 11 of 33 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Stamann | 8 of 28 | 28% | 4 of 23 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 24 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Jimmie Rivera, believing he is the better striker and faster fighter. He thinks Rivera's 95% takedown defense will neutralize Stamann's wrestling, and that Rivera will land more and harder strikes. He predicts a decision win, noting neither fighter is a finisher, and suggests betting on Rivera by decision or the fight going to decision.
Daniel Levi picks Cody Stamann as a live underdog, citing his versatility, fight IQ, and ability to fight in multiple stances. He believes Rivera has an old-school style and hasn't evolved, while Stamann can outpoint and outwork him, possibly even knocking him down.
The Guru picks Jimmie Rivera, noting his losses are to elite fighters (Petr Yan, Aljamain Sterling, Marlon Moraes) while his wins include John Dodson, Thomas Almeida, and Urijah Faber. He believes Rivera's takedown defense and reach advantage will be key. Cody Stamann's best win is over Song Yadong, but that win has lost value. Rivera is a level above and should win by decision.
Expert Picks (8)
Angelo picks Taylor Lapilus, citing his superior kickboxing and outstanding takedown defense. He notes that Cody Stamann is well-rounded but lacks power, and Taylor's ability to work in and out of range should be key. However, he worries that Taylor might be too tentative like in his last fight, where he was afraid of takedowns and didn't throw enough. He thinks Taylor is the better overall fighter but the fight could be close.
Big Brady picks Taylor Lapilus to win by decision. He highlights Lapilus's elite takedown defense and get-up game, as well as a 9-inch reach advantage. He notes that Cody Stamann hasn't wrestled since 2020 and has only completed five takedowns, so the fight will likely stay standing where Lapilus has the edge.
Cody picks Lapilus, noting that Stamann has been inactive and has not looked interested in wrestling recently. Lapilus is a smooth striker with good takedown defense. Cody expects Lapilus to outpoint Stamann on the feet and win a decision. He trusts Lapilus' activity and technical striking.
Daniel confidently picks Stamann as a plus-money underdog, arguing that Lapilus fights close decisions and doesn't run through opponents. He notes Stamann is experienced and competitive with everyone, and that the line is too wide. He expects a controversial split decision for Stamann.
Jacob picks Taylor Lapilus, agreeing with the odds. He notes that Taylor is probably twice the fighter Cody is, with great striking and takedown defense. Cody is tough and has boxing and wrestling, but Jacob thinks Taylor's skills should win the fight, likely by decision. He warns that the -250 odds might make people sweat because Cody is no pushover and could win rounds. He also mentions that Taylor's -3.5 round line might be risky because Taylor is not high volume.
Lapilus has speed and striking advantage from distance, but his takedown defense is a concern. Stamann has a wrestling background but doesn't use it enough. Lapilus should land better strikes and stuff takedowns to win a decision, but the line at -265 is too wide for comfort.
Paul picks Lapilus, noting that Stamann has not used his wrestling in recent fights and seems to have lost interest. Lapilus is the better striker and should win a competitive decision. Paul thinks Stamann's inactivity and lack of urgency will cost him.
The Guru picks Lapilus because Stamann is past his prime, hasn't fought in over a year, and struggles to implement his wrestling. Lapilus is tall and rangy, making it difficult for Stamann to find the inside. He thinks Stamann's takedown attempts will be fruitless as Lapilus can frame and get back to his feet. He expects Lapilus to outwork Stamann on the inside with knees.
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