vs
-118 +110
UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Jun 08, 2024 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Imavov Next Fight
Age 31
Height 5' 7"
Reach 72"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 31
Height 5' 9"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Ľudovít Klein
3.76 SLpM
53.0% Str. Acc.
3.48 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
1.37 TD Avg
51.0% TD Acc.
76.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Thiago Moises
2.48 SLpM
42.0% Str. Acc.
4.08 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
1.31 TD Avg
35.0% TD Acc.
52.0% TD Def.
1.1 Sub. Avg
Ľudovít Klein
Moneyline
DraftKings -118
KO/TKO
BetRivers +370
Submission
BetWay +2500
Decision
BetRivers +190
Thiago Moises
Moneyline
Caesars +110
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1150
Submission
FanDuel +380
Decision
BetWay +400
Ľudovít Klein - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 321 · Oct 25, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ľudovít Klein 0 82 of 140 58% 90 of 149 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mateusz Rębecki 0 72 of 159 45% 113 of 208 3 of 12 25% 0 0 5:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ľudovít Klein 0 25 of 45 55% 25 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mateusz Rębecki 0 21 of 50 42% 21 of 50 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:47
2 Ľudovít Klein 0 38 of 67 56% 41 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mateusz Rębecki 0 21 of 61 34% 22 of 62 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:23
3 Ľudovít Klein 0 19 of 28 67% 24 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mateusz Rębecki 0 30 of 48 62% 70 of 96 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:53
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ľudovít Klein 82 of 140 58% 69 of 127 9 of 9 4 of 4 72 of 126 0 of 2 10 of 12
Mateusz Rębecki 72 of 159 45% 55 of 139 11 of 14 6 of 6 45 of 130 4 of 4 23 of 25
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ľudovít Klein 25 of 45 55% 22 of 42 2 of 2 1 of 1 25 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mateusz Rębecki 21 of 50 42% 11 of 40 6 of 6 4 of 4 19 of 48 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Ľudovít Klein 38 of 67 56% 28 of 57 7 of 7 3 of 3 37 of 65 0 of 1 1 of 1
Mateusz Rębecki 21 of 61 34% 16 of 53 3 of 6 2 of 2 21 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ľudovít Klein 19 of 28 67% 19 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0 10 of 16 0 of 1 9 of 11
Mateusz Rębecki 30 of 48 62% 28 of 46 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 21 2 of 2 23 of 25
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ludovit Klein vs. Mateusz Rebecki
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Klein (-135), Rebecki (+114)

Round 1
As this relatively deep event keeps rolling on, a pair of talented 155ers on the edge of lightweight contention with hopes that the victor earns a number next to their name on Monday. Whether it will be “Mr. Highlight” Klein (23-5-1, 7-3-1 UFC) or Polish powerhouse Rebecki (20-3, 4-2 UFC), referee Marc Goddard will be the first to know. There is a fist bump before the two men throw down.
Klein sticks his man with a jab and slips back, watching out for a short right hook coming at him. Rebecki probes with a front kick as he presses forward, and the two crash into one another as Klein gets off a left hand that marks the Polish fighter up already. Klein stings Rebecki with a one-two, and Rebecki’s knees buckle but he steels himself and fires back with a vengeance. Klein retreats, evading a big few strikes as Rebecki wants blood. Klein potshots him with distant strikes, using his jab to try to keep Rebecki back. Rebecki ignores it and loads up on power left hands, and he jumps and misses with a knee with leaping forward. Both fighter swing it out, with Klein able to move and prepare for Rebecki’s advances. Rebecki rushes in for a double, and Klein belts him in the guts with a flush knee. Rebecki completely no-sells it so he can transition to a single, and he lifts Klein’s leg up but is unable to sling him down on his first efforts.
Rebecki lets go of the leg of his opponent to loop a left hand upstairs, and he attacks the other leg and still cannot take the fight down. Klein springs back, and he potshots the Polish man with his sharp jab. Rebecki pushes out with a front kick and uses it to hurl a right hand behind it, only for Klein to get to him first. Rebecki runs forward, stepping on Klein’s foot and tripping him up. Klein bounces off his seat and gets right back up, allowing Rebecki to swing way past him as Rebecki is putting everything into his punches while Klein is much more content to touch and stay evasive. Rebecki walks into a left hand, and he dips down directly into a head kick. They both trade low kicks, with Klein’s jab opening a cut on the cheek and eyebrow of the left side of Rebecki’s face. Rebecki stutter-steps his way in, takes a one-two on the chin and gives back a hard right hand offering. Klein catches Rebecki on the way in with a check right hook, and he uses his jab to end the round with Rebecki’s face a mess.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Klein
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Klein
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Klein

Round 2
The lightweights touch gloves to get started in the second stanza, and Rebecki is the aggressor again outright. Klein sticks him with a solid left hand, and leg kicks fly from both men. Klein wraps his shin up and around Rebecki’s noggin, and Rebecki takes it cleanly and engages in a brief brawl. Klein tries to keep out of the direct slugfests, instead using his range and reach to peck at his man. Klein slips something and nails Rebecki with an uppercut, and Rebecki’s eyes go wide as he is compromised but still more than willing to trade hands. Rather than go after Rebecki and try to put him away, Klein has to watch out for the looping strikes zooming his way regularly. Rebecki may be bloodied and stung, but he is still putting everything into his punches and uses them to secure a clean double-leg. Klein rebounds off the floor and walks his way up, so Rebecki mat returns him with emphasis. Rebecki drives down a few punches before Klein climbs back up, and Klein uses a sharp elbow to further blood Rebecki up on the way up.
Rebecki keeps plodding forward, throwing everything into his hooks, and he gets intercepted by the Slovakian’s sharp offense. Klein’s offense further shreds open the cut around Rebecki’s eye, and he chains a few punches into it and kicks him on the other side of the dome to ring his bell. Rebecki’s face has become festive as Halloween is coming up, a bloody mask but still plenty of life behind his eyes. Klein watches Rebecki swing for the bleachers and intercepts him or dips out of the way in time. Rebecki connects with a jump knee, and Klein shrugs off a few strikes to further connect with damaging punches. Klein kicks Rebecki square in the face, and Rebecki barely budgets. Klein styles on his man with punches and a head kick, and Rebecki is stuck with a lot of damage and five minutes left to work.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Klein
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Klein
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Klein

Round 3
Despite taking untold damage, Rebecki is loaded for bear and comes out of his corner accordingly. Rebecki walks Klein down and even shoots for a takedown, all while Klein is marking him up with straight, long punches. Klein resets and rolls with an overhand right to swing back with a booming right of his own, and he snaps out his jab to solid effect. Rebecki pursues a single, pushing Klein to the wall until he suddenly spins the other direction and yanks Klein to the floor. “Mr. Highlight,” as if he has springs in his shorts, bounces off the mat. Rebecki drags him down again, and he starts to bash and brutalize Klein with power punches. Suddenly, Klein’s body language changes as he starts to get hurt from the heavy blows, and he is no longer as eager and able to bounce back up. Whether injured, rung up or something else, Klein suddenly is practically disabled on his back.
Rebecki, seated in half guard, rains down a seemingly unending stream of left hands. Klein rips him open with a nasty elbow off his back, and blood from the Polish athlete almost immediately covers Klein’s face. The eternally tough Rebecki steps over to the side, and he looks to crucify Klein by putting Klein’s right arm between his legs. Klein bucks, and he briefly finds himself in crucifix position taking damage. Rebecki sits up and starts punishing Klein with elbows, the two lightweights become a horror show of blood, violence and high-amplitude limbs flying. Rebecki keeps pounding on the deflated Klein, who manages to hang on to the bell somehow. Klein motions to his corner that his right ankle is trashed, which could explain why he suddenly seemed to shut off in the third round as if he was shot with a tranquilizer dart.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rebecki (29-28 Klein)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rebecki (29-28 Klein)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rebecki (29-28 Klein)

The Official Result
Ludovit Klein def. Mateusz Rebecki via Majority Decision (29-28, 28-27, 28-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Oct 19, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Angelo picks Ludovit Klein despite loving Mateusz Rebecki's relentless style and heart. He notes that Rebecki bleeds excessively and cuts easily, which will be a problem against a technical striker like Klein. Angelo thinks Rebecki could win if he didn't wear damage so badly, but the blood will sway judges. He considers Rebecki a phenomenal underdog and might bet him on a round handicap if the line widens.

I'm going to wait for these prop bets, and if I get lucky, the line widens and widens and widens, and then I can bet Mateusz Rebecki at plus three and a half
"Mateusz Rebecki, unfortunately, cannot be the pick with how bloody this dude was a month ago heading into this fight. I think he's a phenomenal underdog. If you want to take the shot, I'm going to pick Ludovit Klein."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Big Brady picks Ľudovít Klein, primarily due to concerns about Mateusz Rębecki's activity and accumulated damage. He notes Rębecki has fought frequently, taking severe facial damage in recent fights, and is returning just two months after a brutal war with Chris Duncan. Brady believes Rębecki's face will swell and bleed, influencing judges, and that Klein will win a damage-based decision. He calls it a war but avoids betting on it.

Klein by decision; fight will be a war; not touching it from a betting perspective
"I'm going to go Klein. I don't love it, but I'm going to go Klein to win this fight with a damage base decision. I think this is going to be an absolute war."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Cody picks Ľudovít Klein, citing his reach advantage (6 inches) and precise striking. He notes that Rębecki has short arms (66-inch reach) and tends to overswing, leaving himself open. Klein's takedown defense is solid, and he fights well at range. Cody believes Klein will win a decision by staying on the outside and picking Rębecki apart.

"for me, it's Ludovit Klein."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Oct 24, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mateusz Rębecki

Connor finds this fight hard to call but leans toward Rębecki. He notes that Klein is a dynamic but low-output range striker who struggles when pressured. Rębecki is pathologically aggressive and physically strong, which could overwhelm Klein. However, Connor acknowledges that Klein has one-shot KO power and that Rębecki may run into danger. He compares Rębecki favorably to Mason Jones, who lost to Klein, citing Rębecki's superior athleticism and durability.

Odds moving in the wrong direction; Klein is the favorite at -148, but Connor thinks Rębecki is the right pick.
"I'm kind of thinking I'll pick Rębecki here. Yeah, I think that's where I land as well, but it is tough because he will run into these sniping shots that Klein throws."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Daniel Vreeland believes Klein's high kick and technical striking will be the difference against the durable but damage-prone Rębecki. He notes that Rębecki absorbs a lot of damage and has been finished before, and that Klein's reach and disguised high kick could catch him. He also thinks the narrative that Klein can't handle a dog fight is exaggerated, citing wins over Mason Jones and Ignacio Bahamondes.

wins by KO (head kick)
"I'm going to pick him to come out here and actually highkick knock out the ultra tough Matteo Rambky."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Lucrative James picks Ľudovít Klein to win by KO, citing his superior striking and head kicks. He believes Rębecki is coming back too soon after a war with Chris Duncan and will be compromised. He notes Rębecki's path to victory is wrestling, but doubts he can take Klein down and control him. He predicts body shots will drop Rębecki's hands, setting up a head kick knockout.

KO
"I think Ludvik Klein headkick knockout. I I really do, man. Body shots are going to add up and when the hands drop, the headkick is coming."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

The host is not a big Klein fan but believes Klein's precision striking, movement, and takedown defense will allow him to batter Rębecki on the feet, similar to what Chris Duncan did. He predicts a decision win.

decision
"I think that Klein has the perfect style of precision striking, good movement, and good enough takedown defense to batter Romeki on the feet..."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mateusz Rębecki

Paul leans towards Rębecki but is hesitant due to his inconsistency. He notes that Rębecki has cost him money in the past, but at plus money, he sees value. Paul acknowledges Klein's low volume and Rębecki's ability to make it a dogfight, but admits he can't fully trust Rębecki.

"I'm going to lean Rebecki, but I don't think I'm going to bet it, because this guy has cost me a whole bunch of money as well."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

The MMA Guru picks Ľudovít Klein by TKO in round two. He argues that Mateusz Rębecki has taken too much damage in his last two fights and is predictable, circling into the same hooks. Klein is a sharpshooter with a reach advantage and good takedown defense. He expects Klein to sting Rębecki with something big and finish him, possibly breaking his nose or swelling his eye. He notes that Klein has had stinkers but is technical and should not get outgrappled.

TKO in round two
"I'm going to take Ludovit Klein by TKO here over Mateusz Rebequi, who's just a little bit too predictable."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Oct 24, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mateusz Rębecki

Zane also picks Rębecki, citing Klein's lack of a consistent range striking game and his tendency to be a 'powerful potshotter' without the connective tissue. He believes Rębecki's relentless aggression and physicality will be too much for Klein, despite the risk of running into a big shot. Zane notes that Klein's finishes in the UFC have come against subpar competition.

"Rębecki is just too reliable an aggressor. So I think I'm going to take Rębecki, but it is a tough fight to call."
LOSS vs Mateusz Gamrot
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · May 31, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mateusz Gamrot 0 65 of 110 59% 142 of 224 6 of 11 54% 0 0 8:45
Ľudovít Klein 0 24 of 74 32% 85 of 145 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mateusz Gamrot 0 10 of 19 52% 27 of 43 4 of 7 57% 0 0 3:06
Ľudovít Klein 0 2 of 14 14% 6 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mateusz Gamrot 0 17 of 26 65% 46 of 73 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:05
Ľudovít Klein 0 2 of 11 18% 48 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Mateusz Gamrot 0 38 of 65 58% 69 of 108 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:34
Ľudovít Klein 0 20 of 49 40% 31 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mateusz Gamrot 65 of 110 59% 53 of 98 7 of 7 5 of 5 38 of 73 3 of 4 24 of 33
Ľudovít Klein 24 of 74 32% 10 of 49 13 of 23 1 of 2 23 of 73 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mateusz Gamrot 10 of 19 52% 3 of 12 4 of 4 3 of 3 4 of 13 2 of 2 4 of 4
Ľudovít Klein 2 of 14 14% 2 of 11 0 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Mateusz Gamrot 17 of 26 65% 15 of 24 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 7 0 of 1 13 of 18
Ľudovít Klein 2 of 11 18% 1 of 7 1 of 3 0 of 1 2 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Mateusz Gamrot 38 of 65 58% 35 of 62 2 of 2 1 of 1 30 of 53 1 of 1 7 of 11
Ľudovít Klein 20 of 49 40% 7 of 31 12 of 17 1 of 1 19 of 48 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 18, 2025 (13 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Angelo picks Ľudovít Klein, citing his smooth striking, accuracy, and 90% takedown defense. He notes that Gamrot is chinny and gets dropped often, and that Klein will do damage on the feet while Gamrot holds on. He prefers a prop bet of 'inside the distance/decision no action' because Klein has finishing upside and Gamrot could win a takedown-heavy decision.

Prefers 'inside the distance/decision no action' bet on Klein; mentions plus 3.5 round spread.
"Ludovit's going to be the pick. But because I'm a scaredy-cat instead of outright betting on Ludovit, I'll probably do a win inside the distance decision no action."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 26, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

Big Brady picks Mateusz Gamrot, noting this is a massive step down in competition for Gamrot compared to his recent fights. He expects Gamrot to wrestle for 15 minutes, using the small cage to his advantage. He worries about judges in a damage-over-control era but still believes Gamrot wins a decision.

by decision
"I got to go Gamerot. I'm going to take Gameamro by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

Connor agrees with Zane that Gamrot is the clear pick. He emphasizes that Klein's tendency to be a back-foot, pot-shot striker will not work against Gamrot's pressure and wrestling. Connor also notes that Klein's wrestling, when he uses it, will only lead him into Gamrot's world, where Gamrot is superior. He compares the matchup to Klein's fight with Michael Trizano, where Klein was out-jabbed, and expects a similar outcome with Gamrot's wrestling being the difference.

"I think it'll look probably a little bit like that, uh, trisano fight with single legs. Mm-hmm. And that sounds like a gamrott wind to me. It really does odds on the fight camera is the favorite of a minus …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Matt picks Ľudovít Klein as an underdog. He believes Klein's 91% takedown defense and power striking will neutralize Gamrot's wrestling. Klein lands damaging shots and should win the first two rounds, potentially pulling off the upset. Matt likes Klein by decision at +330.

Klein by decision +330, Gamrot by decision -105
"I'm going to go Klein. Uh, Klein by decision currently sits at plus 330."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 28, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

The MMA Guru picks Mateusz Gamrot, though he acknowledges Klein's danger. He believes Gamrot's size and grappling will be key, especially after getting hurt. He notes Klein's cardio issues and that Gamrot is world-class. He predicts Gamrot wins the later rounds, possibly by finish or decision.

Third round finish or decision
"I'm gonna go with Mattesh Gamro over Ludovic Klein... I think he'll win this one against Ludvic Klein."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

Zane picks Gamrot because he believes Klein's style is a poor matchup for him. Klein tends to fight on the back foot, picking shots one at a time, and relies on either a wrestling advantage or a tempo advantage to win. Against Gamrot, who is a high-pressure wrestler with excellent grappling, Klein's wrestling will likely lead him into trouble. Zane also notes that Klein's recent opponents have been low-output, and Gamrot's pace and ability to wrestle will overwhelm him, similar to how Michael Trizano out-jabbed Klein.

"So it looks like a Gamrot win. It does. Gamrot. He, what the big thing that Dan Hooker showed him is that Gamrot came out and he looked more deft with his lead hand with it or his left hand. …"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · Sep 28, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ľudovít Klein 0 45 of 95 47% 107 of 181 2 of 3 66% 0 0 8:51
Roosevelt Roberts 0 24 of 60 40% 58 of 104 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ľudovít Klein 0 18 of 42 42% 28 of 54 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:18
Roosevelt Roberts 0 12 of 34 35% 14 of 38 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:05
2 Ľudovít Klein 0 9 of 20 45% 41 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:47
Roosevelt Roberts 0 1 of 6 16% 17 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ľudovít Klein 0 18 of 33 54% 38 of 66 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:46
Roosevelt Roberts 0 11 of 20 55% 27 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ľudovít Klein 45 of 95 47% 22 of 65 15 of 22 8 of 8 28 of 66 9 of 10 8 of 19
Roosevelt Roberts 24 of 60 40% 10 of 43 10 of 12 4 of 5 19 of 50 4 of 9 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ľudovít Klein 18 of 42 42% 7 of 27 7 of 11 4 of 4 12 of 36 6 of 6 0 of 0
Roosevelt Roberts 12 of 34 35% 4 of 23 6 of 8 2 of 3 10 of 30 2 of 4 0 of 0
2 Ľudovít Klein 9 of 20 45% 6 of 16 1 of 2 2 of 2 2 of 5 1 of 1 6 of 14
Roosevelt Roberts 1 of 6 16% 0 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 3 0 of 0
3 Ľudovít Klein 18 of 33 54% 9 of 22 7 of 9 2 of 2 14 of 25 2 of 3 2 of 5
Roosevelt Roberts 11 of 20 55% 6 of 15 3 of 3 2 of 2 8 of 17 2 of 2 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 22, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Angelo picks Ľudovít Klein with high confidence, calling him a level above Roosevelt Roberts. He notes Klein's superior speed, technique, hands, jiu-jitsu, wrestling, and takedown defense. He believes Klein will win easily and even at -700 odds, he feels it's a discount.

"Ludovit is literally better than Roosevelt everywhere... Ludovit wins this fight... even at these current odds of minus 700, Ludovit Klein feels like a discount."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Big Brady picks Ľudovít Klein by decision, calling him a much better fighter everywhere. He notes Klein has phenomenal striking and durability, while Roberts has struggled in the UFC and lost to lower-level competition. He expects Klein to win convincingly, possibly by decision.

Klein by decision
"give me Klein here I'll take Klein to win by a pretty pretty convincing decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Cody picks Klein, noting his improved wrestling and striking since moving up to lightweight. He highlights Klein's win over Thiago Moises and his ability to mix in takedowns. Roberts is on short notice and has not won in the UFC in over four years, with poor takedown defense and grappling.

"Ludi Klein that that that's for me this week"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Connor agrees, stating that Roberts has a broad but not deep game, and the core of that game is a phase where he is not physically on par with opponents. He thinks Roberts will be unable to physically stop Klein from doing what he wants, and that Klein will likely knock him out.

"I don't even know the client's going to knock him out. Roberts is tough."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Daniel Vreeland picks Ľudovít Klein to win by knockout. He thinks Klein's speed, power, and technique are on another level, and that Roberts is a step down in competition. He notes Klein's improved cardio and takedown defense since moving to 155. He believes the price is justified and expects a finish.

wins by KO
"I think Klein just an opportunity to knock this guy out and add another name to the resumate so I think you should knock knock him out"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

JP picks Ľudovít Klein because he thinks Klein is skilled and will dominate. He notes Roosevelt Roberts is a mid-level fighter who was cut and brought back, and he expects Klein to submit him. He says the line at -800 is deserved.

"ludovi Klein on the other hand he's really skilled he's a good fighter I honestly think he works Roosevelt Roberts in this one I don't think it's close whatsoever"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Paul agrees, calling Klein a massive favorite for a reason. He notes Roberts' short notice and lack of recent success. Klein's physicality and wrestling should be too much, and he expects a finish or dominant decision.

"Klein should absolutely roll"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

The MMA Guru picks Ľudovít Klein over Roosevelt Roberts, stating Klein is levels above. He criticizes Roberts' UFC performances, noting he was finished by Jim Miller and Ignacio Bahamondes. He predicts Klein will be too powerful and win by first-round KO.

first round KO
"I think he's going to be too powerful too strong and I think he'll actually smoke him in the first round get a first round KO"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Zane believes Klein is a bad matchup for Roberts because Roberts is not athletic enough, not strong enough, and not technical enough from range. He notes that Roberts' game is too clinch-dependent and that Klein is more powerful and slicker at range. Zane expects Klein to dominate, possibly with a knockout.

"Roberts is just not that guy. He's not going to take anything away from Klein on the outside."
WIN vs Thiago Moises
DEC R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Jun 08, 2024
WIN vs AJ Cunningham
TKO (front kick to the body and punches) R1 4:36 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · Mar 02, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ľudovít Klein 1 60 of 91 65% 63 of 95 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:27
AJ Cunningham 0 36 of 75 48% 36 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ľudovít Klein 1 60 of 91 65% 63 of 95 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:27
AJ Cunningham 0 36 of 75 48% 36 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ľudovít Klein 60 of 91 65% 38 of 66 21 of 23 1 of 2 54 of 84 2 of 2 4 of 5
AJ Cunningham 36 of 75 48% 15 of 49 10 of 14 11 of 12 34 of 72 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ľudovít Klein 60 of 91 65% 38 of 66 21 of 23 1 of 2 54 of 84 2 of 2 4 of 5
AJ Cunningham 36 of 75 48% 15 of 49 10 of 14 11 of 12 34 of 72 2 of 3 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Big Brady picks Klein, noting Cunningham is very hittable and took a lot of damage on the Contender Series. He thinks Klein can land bigger shots and mix in takedowns. He predicts a decision win for Klein, acknowledging Cunningham's toughness but expecting Klein to control the fight.

"I'll say Klein by decision I I do think AJ Cunningham's tough but yeah glad we we get to see Klein stick on the card here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Cody picks Klein, detailing Cunningham's weaknesses: no head movement, poor wrestling, and a history of taking damage. He notes Klein's southpaw stance and straight left will be a problem for Cunningham. Cody believes Klein can dictate where the fight goes and will likely finish Cunningham, who has been knocked out before.

"Cunningham's going to get knocked out if Cunningham shows unbelievable toughness and resiliency he takes a 3026 style beating"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Paul picks Klein, calling it a mismatch. He notes Cunningham is a short-notice replacement moving up a weight class with poor striking defense. Paul believes Klein's straight left will land all night and that Cunningham's only chance is a lucky punch. He expects Klein to win by knockout or dominant decision.

"Klein is Bonafide him Umar and Javi BOS Rod like they're bonafied they should they should win"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

The MMA Guru is very confident in Klein, citing that Cunningham has not beaten a single good opponent in his career and lost to known opponents. He believes Klein will dominate and beat Cunningham badly.

"Ludovic Klein is going to beat AJ Cunningham because AJ Cunningham has not beat a single good opponent in his entire career"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Font · Aug 05, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ľudovít Klein 0 43 of 139 30% 62 of 166 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Ignacio Bahamondes 0 56 of 108 51% 94 of 151 3 of 5 60% 0 0 6:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ľudovít Klein 0 7 of 33 21% 16 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ignacio Bahamondes 0 20 of 34 58% 48 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:45
2 Ľudovít Klein 0 29 of 76 38% 35 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ignacio Bahamondes 0 19 of 41 46% 25 of 47 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:04
3 Ľudovít Klein 0 7 of 30 23% 11 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Ignacio Bahamondes 0 17 of 33 51% 21 of 39 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ľudovít Klein 43 of 139 30% 29 of 114 9 of 16 5 of 9 41 of 133 2 of 6 0 of 0
Ignacio Bahamondes 56 of 108 51% 36 of 82 11 of 16 9 of 10 43 of 88 1 of 1 12 of 19
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ľudovít Klein 7 of 33 21% 5 of 26 1 of 3 1 of 4 7 of 31 0 of 2 0 of 0
Ignacio Bahamondes 20 of 34 58% 17 of 28 0 of 3 3 of 3 10 of 20 0 of 0 10 of 14
2 Ľudovít Klein 29 of 76 38% 21 of 68 5 of 5 3 of 3 28 of 75 1 of 1 0 of 0
Ignacio Bahamondes 19 of 41 46% 8 of 27 6 of 8 5 of 6 19 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ľudovít Klein 7 of 30 23% 3 of 20 3 of 8 1 of 2 6 of 27 1 of 3 0 of 0
Ignacio Bahamondes 17 of 33 51% 11 of 27 5 of 5 1 of 1 14 of 27 1 of 1 2 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Angelo picks Ignacio Bahamondes, citing his massive size at lightweight, incredible volume, decent power, and 95% takedown defense. He notes that Bahamondes uses his length well to keep distance and snatch submissions. He believes Klein is a technical striker but will struggle with Bahamondes's size and grappling, and may shoot sloppy takedowns that lead to a submission. Angelo thinks -200 is appropriate and expects Bahamondes to dominate.

"I love Ignacio in this fight I think the minus 200 odds are appropriate"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Big Brady is very high on Bahamondes, noting his size (6'3" at lightweight), volume, and improved takedown defense as seen against Roosevelt Roberts. He thinks Klein has stagnated and shown poor cardio and durability. He expects Bahamondes to keep the fight standing and outpoint Klein over 15 minutes, possibly by decision, with a sneaky submission chance.

Bahamondes by decision; potential submission
"I gotta go bahamona's here I mean like what is what is Klein's path to Victory"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 2, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Cody is confident in Bahamondes, citing his volume, height advantage (6'3" vs 5'7"), and youth. He notes Klein's low output and struggles against taller opponents. He expects Bahamondes to outland Klein significantly and win a decision, possibly with a late finish. He also likes the over 83.5 significant strikes prop for Bahamondes.

Bahamondes over 83.5 significant strikes
"Ignacio Baja manda's top ticket play... I think he beats up Klein"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 2, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Daniel Levi is very confident in Ignacio Bahamondes, calling him his first bet of the night. He praises Bahamondes' striking, length (6'3" at lightweight), and durability, citing praise from Belal Muhammad. Levi notes that Klein is explosive but breaks when he's the nail, while Bahamondes has no quit. He expects Bahamondes to double Klein up on strikes and potentially finish him. Levi parlayed Bahamondes with Bobby Green to win 3.5 units at effective even money.

Parlayed Bahamondes with Bobby Green to win 3.5 units. No specific prop bet on Bahamondes alone.
"I parlayed Ignacio at minus 185 with Bobby green ... to win 3.5 units."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

James thinks Bahamondes is the better striker and more dangerous submission threat. He notes Klein can catch him but doesn't hit extremely hard. Bahamondes is improving and James expects him to break Klein late, similar to how Madge did.

"I think Bahamondes is going to win... I think he can probably break Ludovic late."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Bahamondes can snipe from distance and rack up significant strikes, possibly finishing Klein. Klein may try grappling, but Bahamondes has good takedown defense and can work back to his feet. The Jai Herbert fight is a perfect example of what happens when Klein faces a distance striker, and Bahamondes is cleaner than Herbert. I like Bahamondes to win by decision.

"give me Baja mundes to win this by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 2, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Paul agrees with Cody, noting Bahamondes' volume and size advantage. He is concerned about Klein's takedowns but believes Bahamondes will cruise to a decision victory. He also likes the over 83.5 significant strikes prop.

Bahamondes over 83.5 significant strikes
"I think Ignacio just beats him up a cruise significant strikes and it'll be a pretty easy decision victory"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

The host is high on Ignacio Bahamondes, calling him 'the truth' with phenomenal kickboxing and range. He notes Bahamondes has a 95% takedown defense and should keep the fight standing. He believes Bahamondes will outland Klein and possibly land a big kick. He acknowledges Klein has power but thinks Bahamondes' ceiling is much higher. He is comfortable with the line up to -260.

line opened -210, now -222; expects line to reach -240/-250
"Baja Mendes man he's the truth I'm really high on him"
LOSS vs Jai Herbert
Draw (majority) (29–27, 28–28, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jai Herbert 0 43 of 90 47% 96 of 168 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:54
Ľudovít Klein 0 47 of 97 48% 78 of 132 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jai Herbert 0 11 of 30 36% 32 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Ľudovít Klein 0 11 of 24 45% 23 of 38 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:53
2 Jai Herbert 0 15 of 28 53% 20 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
Ľudovít Klein 0 11 of 29 37% 17 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:49
3 Jai Herbert 0 17 of 32 53% 44 of 77 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:26
Ľudovít Klein 0 25 of 44 56% 38 of 59 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jai Herbert 43 of 90 47% 15 of 59 17 of 19 11 of 12 24 of 68 12 of 13 7 of 9
Ľudovít Klein 47 of 97 48% 30 of 75 11 of 15 6 of 7 30 of 76 15 of 19 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jai Herbert 11 of 30 36% 5 of 23 5 of 6 1 of 1 3 of 20 5 of 5 3 of 5
Ľudovít Klein 11 of 24 45% 7 of 19 3 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 16 5 of 6 2 of 2
2 Jai Herbert 15 of 28 53% 2 of 14 7 of 7 6 of 7 12 of 25 3 of 3 0 of 0
Ľudovít Klein 11 of 29 37% 7 of 23 1 of 2 3 of 4 7 of 24 4 of 5 0 of 0
3 Jai Herbert 17 of 32 53% 8 of 22 5 of 6 4 of 4 9 of 23 4 of 5 4 of 4
Ľudovít Klein 25 of 44 56% 16 of 33 7 of 9 2 of 2 19 of 36 6 of 8 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jai Herbert vs. Ludovit Klein
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Klein (-190), Herbert (+160)

Round 1
The two men set to hit the cage next combine for just five decision wins across their 31 victories. Referee Rich Mitchell is going to need to be ready to jump in at a moment’s notice once “The Black Country Banger” Herbert (12-4, 2-3 UFC) and “Mr. Highlight” Klein (19-4, 3-2 UFC) start throwing down. The all-action lightweights elect to touch gloves before swinging for the bleachers, and Herbert immediately slings a head kick. Klein blocks it and fires right back, causing him to tumble to the mat. The Slovakian fighter gets back up without issue, and he faces long jabs coming from Herbert when he resets. Herbert quickly reaches him with a head kick, only for the kick to bounce off the guard. Herbert lets loose a kick to the body, and he leaves it out too long to allow Klein to grab it. Klein trips “The Black Country Banger” down to the canvas, and he lands in the guard and looks to get some ground offense going. The Brit stays active, using a butterfly sweep to keep Klein honest until he rolls for a quick armbar. Klein slides out of it and jumps back into the guard, but he finds himself struggling to get low as Herbert’s butterfly looks keep him elevated. Herbert chew up his man with punches from below, and he stings Klein with an upkick and rips open a huge cut on Klein’s left eyebrow. Klein backs off after getting rocked, and he stands back up to stop the unexpected assault. Herbert aims a head kick to that busted eye, and Klein advances to clinch up and trade knees. Herbert wings an elbow on the inside, and a knee from the Brit skims off the cup but is not called. Herbert hurts Klein again with a knee up the middle, and he lets go of the tie-up to admire his work. Herbert waits, and slips a head kick to hope to disrupt the timing, but the guard is there is time. Klein tries to reply in kind, but he misses the target by a wide margin. Klein threads the needle with his fists, breaking through Herbert’s guard, but they are few and far between. The round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Shane Clifford scores the round: 10-9 Herbert

Round 2
A quick touch of gloves is followed by Klein trying to throw a strike, but Herbert is well out of harm’s way. Klein misses with a swinging head kick, and Herbert does the same as they still look for their range. A body kick from Herbert is up too close, so Klein can counter him over the top with a short left. Herbert moves forward to clinch up, where he pats Klein’s thighs with light knees until Klein turns him about. Klein escapes, and he keeps a close range with Herbert to not allow the Brit to get off his rangy kicks. A body kick from Herbert is countered with a left, and Klein pushes up tightly again to trade knees. Klein aims an elbow during the break, and he slides it off the top of the forehead. The two trade leg kicks, and Herbert mixes up with a head kick before skirting away when Klein bears down on him. Klein blocks two successive head kicks and tries to pay him back with one, but Herbert is far busier with low kicks and distance strikes. A right hand from the Brit opens up an additional cut around Klein’s right eye, and Klein pays it no mind as he continues to advance cautiously. Klein crashes the pocket and manages to get off an elbow, leading Herbert to push off and circle away. Klein continues to push forward, and he wobbles Herbert momentarily with a standing elbow. Herbert separates and kicks the side a few times before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Shane Clifford scores the round: 10-9 Herbert

Round 3
Klein walks out of his corner a man on a mission, launching an immediate head kick and chasing his man around the cage. Herbert circles to aim a high kick back at him, and Klein keeps his guard up safely. Klein punches his way into a clinch, and he rips the body with a knee. “The Black Country Banger” spins him around and drills a knee square in the cup, and Klein lets out a yelp and crouches down as Mitchell steps in to pause the fight. After 40 seconds of recovery time, the fight is reset in the middle of the cage, and Klein is fired up. Klein charges out, blasting the body with a knee that lifts Herbert off the ground. They tie up, and Herbert gets one back on the dome as they are putting big power into their strikes. Klein blitzes in, leading to a clinch, and knees are spammed. Herbert belts Klein in the groin again, and Klein doubles over in pain as Mitchell stops the action. Due to the second foul in rapid succession, Mitchell deducts a point from Herbert, and they restart after a minute. Herbert swings a head kick at his man when they resume, and when that misses, he advances to hit a picturesque sweep to dump Klein to the mat. Klein sits up close on the ground to protect his mug from strikes, and Herbert asks Mitchell if he can throw elbows from his particular position without it being another foul. Herbert lands a few before Klein rolls to his back, and Herbert welcomes this so that he can continue mounting offense and controlling his opponent. Klein bursts back to his feet, and he turns the tables and tackles Klein to the canvas. Herbert hits his back and utilizes his butterfly hooks to keep Klein from settling on top, but he eats a few elbows. Herbert stands back up and attempts a hip toss, but they both land on their knees and climb back up. Herbert looks to try to take the back standing, and he lowers Klein back to his knees and works him over with left hands. Herbert fights off one last takedown, and the horn sounds to end this close fight.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 9-9 (29-27 Herbert)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 9-9 (29-27 Herbert)
Shane Clifford scores the round: 9-9 (29-27 Herbert)

The Official Result
Jai Herbert vs. Ludovit Klein is Ruled a Majority Draw (29-27, 28-28, 28-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Angelo believes Klein is the more technical striker and can lean on grappling if needed. He notes Klein has a nice kick behind his jab and is never out of position. He thinks Jai Herbert has a size and power advantage but finds ways to lose. He likes Klein to win but thinks -190 is a bit wide given Klein's vulnerability.

significant strikes prop on Klein (over/under not specified)
"I like Ludovic Klein to get the win here minus 190 seems a bit wide because this is two Strikers and ludovic's not Invincible."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Big Brady picks Klein, citing his power in hands and head kicks, and Herbert's poor striking defense (42%) and questionable chin. He notes Klein has more ways to win, including takedowns if needed, as Herbert's takedown defense is 55%. He predicts a second-round knockout, but acknowledges Herbert's size and reach advantage.

"I'm gonna take Klein to win this fight by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Cody picks Klein by knockout, citing his power and athleticism. He notes Klein is a finisher on the regional scene and has improved his wrestling and cardio. He thinks Herbert's durability is suspect and Klein will land a straight shot up the middle. He says Klein likes fighting taller opponents and can find gaps in Herbert's guard.

Ľudovít Klein by knockout
"I'm thinking Klein by knockout to be honest with you... I think this has got the recipe for a highlight reel KO for Ludovic Klein"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Connor picks Klein, noting that Herbert is fragile and lacks assertiveness in the clinch. He points out that Klein is durable, hits hard, and is comfortable at the same range Herbert wants to fight. Connor believes Klein's power and durability will overwhelm Herbert, who tends to fall apart when pressured.

"I'm gonna pick Klein just for being a harder hitting, tough, more durable fighter."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Jacob thinks Klein is the play but is not putting money on it because he sees better value elsewhere. He notes Jai Herbert is a very good striker when confident, but his confidence has been shaken since the Ilia fight. He thinks Klein has wrestling as an ace in the hole and should withstand Herbert's striking, but Herbert could land a sniper shot.

"ludovic's the play but there's better places to put your money."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Herbert is a good distance striker with height and reach advantages, but has durability issues and has been knocked out before. Klein has a two-fight winning streak but his grappling success came against opponents who gave up positions. If Herbert stays safe at distance and avoids getting flatlined, he should outpoint Klein over 15 minutes. The comparison is made to Jonathan Martinez's recent upset win.

"if he can stay safe calm in bad positions he can put together a very good body of work to take home a decision Victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Paul picks Klein, noting he can utilize wrestling and top control to win a decision. He says Klein's takedowns and top game are effective, and Herbert's takedown defense is a question. He thinks Klein by decision is a likely outcome, but also acknowledges Klein's power. He says the prop prices for Klein by KO and by decision are both plus 225.

"I'm thinking Klein by decision somewhat of a snooze Fest... takedowns holds top control and wins the fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

The MMA Guru picks Ľudovít Klein over Jai Herbert, praising Klein's toughness and explosiveness on the feet. He notes Herbert is underrated but has a suspect chin and ground game, while Klein has better durability and can win in multiple areas including striking and grappling. He believes Herbert cannot pressure Klein over the distance like others have, and Klein's regional submission wins give him an edge.

"I'm gonna go with Ludovic Klein over Jai Herbert"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Zane also picks Klein, emphasizing that Herbert's style is not tuned to beat Klein. He notes that Klein is a specialist at middle-distance striking and has never been knocked out. Zane believes Herbert's lack of control and fragility will be exploited, and Klein's power will be the difference.

"I'm picking Klein in that."
WIN vs Mason Jones
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · Jul 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ľudovít Klein 0 43 of 105 40% 78 of 141 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:17
Mason Jones 1 50 of 87 57% 70 of 112 0 of 1 0% 0 0 6:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ľudovít Klein 0 20 of 55 36% 33 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:10
Mason Jones 0 21 of 44 47% 22 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
2 Ľudovít Klein 0 16 of 33 48% 26 of 43 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:49
Mason Jones 1 20 of 25 80% 28 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:56
3 Ľudovít Klein 0 7 of 17 41% 19 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Mason Jones 0 9 of 18 50% 20 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ľudovít Klein 43 of 105 40% 16 of 70 23 of 31 4 of 4 21 of 75 21 of 27 1 of 3
Mason Jones 50 of 87 57% 37 of 68 10 of 16 3 of 3 31 of 63 7 of 9 12 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ľudovít Klein 20 of 55 36% 6 of 39 10 of 12 4 of 4 13 of 47 7 of 8 0 of 0
Mason Jones 21 of 44 47% 14 of 34 6 of 9 1 of 1 16 of 38 5 of 6 0 of 0
2 Ľudovít Klein 16 of 33 48% 5 of 17 11 of 16 0 of 0 5 of 18 10 of 13 1 of 2
Mason Jones 20 of 25 80% 16 of 20 3 of 4 1 of 1 10 of 13 1 of 1 9 of 11
3 Ľudovít Klein 7 of 17 41% 5 of 14 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 10 4 of 6 0 of 1
Mason Jones 9 of 18 50% 7 of 14 1 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 12 1 of 2 3 of 4
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Big Brady picks Mason Jones to win by third-round submission. He notes Klein has power and head kicks but poor cardio and output. Jones has great cardio, output, and is well-rounded with a black belt in BJJ and judo. He expects Jones to break Klein in the later rounds and submit him.

Jones by submission in round 3
"give me a mason jones to win i'll say mason jones by third round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Cody picks Mason Jones, highlighting his wrestling, grappling, cardio, and chin. He notes Klein has cardio issues and doesn't fight well going backwards. Cody thinks Jones will overwhelm Klein with pressure and takedowns. He predicts a decision win for Jones.

"i got mason jones i got mason jones by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Daniel Levi picks Mason Jones, comparing him to a lightweight Marvin Vettori with a great chin and relentless pressure. He believes Jones will break Klein down as the fight goes on, especially since Klein has succumbed to pressure before. Levi notes that Klein is fast early but fades, and as long as Jones doesn't get caught by a high kick, he should win.

"i think that as this fight enters the second and third round the pressure is going to be too much"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Jones is more active, has good striking volume, takedowns, and ground game. He should win everywhere as long as he doesn't get knocked out. Klein relies on his left straight and head kick, but Jones has great cardio and durability. Jones likely finishes later in the fight.

fight doesn't go to decision -180 (mentioned as a possibility)
"Jones will outward Klein and possibly finish him later on in this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Paul picks Mason Jones, citing his pressure, wrestling, and cardio. He notes Klein struggles with forward pressure and fights poorly off his back foot. Paul thinks Jones will take Klein down and grind him out. He mentions Jones' good chin and volume. Paul also likes Jones over 53.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks.

Jones over 53.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks
"i got mason jones i got mason jones by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The MMA Guru believes Mason Jones will win by late-round TKO. He notes that Klein is good at stalling against the cage and has explosivity on the feet, but he doesn't see Klein finishing Jones, who has a good chin and cardio. As the fight goes on, Jones will pressure Klein against the cage, land body shots and knees, and eventually get a TKO in the third round.

third round TKO
"i'm gonna say that he's gonna get a tko against a cage with body shots with knees to the body knees to the face"
Thiago Moises - Fight History
LOSS vs Gauge Young
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · Apr 18, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Thiago Moises 0 45 of 101 44% 46 of 103 2 of 15 13% 0 0 2:33
Gauge Young 1 122 of 226 53% 131 of 237 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Thiago Moises 0 8 of 13 61% 9 of 15 2 of 6 33% 0 0 2:22
Gauge Young 0 9 of 23 39% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:17
2 Thiago Moises 0 14 of 38 36% 14 of 38 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:11
Gauge Young 0 44 of 88 50% 44 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
3 Thiago Moises 0 23 of 50 46% 23 of 50 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:00
Gauge Young 1 69 of 115 60% 74 of 120 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Thiago Moises 45 of 101 44% 34 of 81 1 of 3 10 of 17 42 of 97 2 of 3 1 of 1
Gauge Young 122 of 226 53% 62 of 157 27 of 34 33 of 35 114 of 211 2 of 2 6 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Thiago Moises 8 of 13 61% 4 of 9 1 of 1 3 of 3 6 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 1
Gauge Young 9 of 23 39% 2 of 16 0 of 0 7 of 7 9 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Thiago Moises 14 of 38 36% 9 of 27 0 of 1 5 of 10 14 of 37 0 of 1 0 of 0
Gauge Young 44 of 88 50% 19 of 60 12 of 14 13 of 14 43 of 87 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Thiago Moises 23 of 50 46% 21 of 45 0 of 1 2 of 4 22 of 49 1 of 1 0 of 0
Gauge Young 69 of 115 60% 41 of 81 15 of 20 13 of 14 62 of 101 1 of 1 6 of 13
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Young (-130); Moises (+110)

Round 1
Once a hot commodity off of the sole Brazilian season of Dana White’s Contender Series, Moises (19-9, 8-7 UFC) has regressed to the mean and is one defeat away from falling to .500 in the promotion. Young (10-3, 1-1 UFC) has gone one up and one down thus far, so he is looking to break out of that pattern and into greater heights. They will battle it out under the auspices of referee Jason Herzog, who will be keeping tabs on the 155ers for as long as they keep fighting.
There is no touch of gloves. Moises pressure immediately forward, backing Young to the fence and shooting in on his hips within 10 seconds. Young places his back against the wall to keep himself afloat, and as Moises keeps clinging to his man, the crowd grows quite restless. Moises ignores the boos and irritation from the audience and keeps tight to him. Young flips Moises over him, and Moises recovers quickly enough so both men stand up. Young tosses out a high kick to keep Moises honest, and he ducks a looping punch but cannot evade a front kick aimed at his jaw. Young probes with a jab and low kick, and Moises catches him in transition with a left hook. They jab at the same time, and Young just misses a looping punch as Moises kicks the lead calf. Young stays behind his jab.
Moises loads up on power, and Young sees it coming and also knows a takedown is soon to test him. Young stops the first effort, but the Brazilian redoubles his attempt and succeeds in putting Young down. Young wall-walks to stand up, and he gives his back up in the process. Moises hops onto his back and wraps his legs around the waist while flirting with a choke attempt. Moises wraps his forearm across the face and tries to squeeze it, but the American is able to fight it off and kick off the fencing to drop to his knees. Moises welcomes this as he is leaned against the cage, and he smacks Young in the face with an undercut sneakily beneath Young’s armpit. Young sells out all the way to turn about, and Moises does not entirely give up the position and has Young trapped in an awkward side-turned position that contorts his spine but is not about to force him to tap. Young breaks out and finds himself in armbar danger, and he stacks the Brazilian up and lands a few punches to conclude the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Moises

Round 2
There is a slight fist bump to kick off the round, and Young is quick to follow that bump with kicks from both limbs. Moises jabs to the body to open up a right hand, and Young does not fall for the latter. Young jabs the body with his heel, and he reaches out with a right hook. Moises chops at the front leg, and Young stumbles forward but is still more than willing to trade. The American digs a shot to the body and goes after an uppercut, and Moises is just out of range with the latter. Moises wraps a right hand around the ear and shoots for a single, with Young defending it and pushing off. Moises shoulder-rolls a heavy right hand but the jabs are continuing to score. Young jabs Moises up with a kick to the stomach and follows with a punch before he has to sprawl the incoming takedown. Moises bullies Young to the wire for a few seconds, and Young knows he cannot get ground out again and breaks out soon.
He proceeds to jab and cross Moises with short combinations, and he just misses with a step-in knee. Moises wants another takedown, but Young is not having it and shucks him away easily. Both men look to double up their jab and come over the top with a right hand, but neither is able to do so as the big rights are telegraphed. They pick at one another with low kicks and stay busy from up close, not overswinging anything and just selecting their places carefully. It is one after the other, Moises lands, Young fires back, Moises keeps on throwing and Young is ready for more. Moises shoots low for a takedown, and he gets pushed away and nearly booted in the face when standing up. The Brazilian manages to tackle Young over, and he comes up short with a hefty knee. Young puts his fists on Moises up high and to the chest, rolling with a right hand to press ever forward until the bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Young
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Young
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Young

Round 3
Young offers a high-five, and Moises accepts it before the final frame ensues. Young gets back right where he left off, slowly pressing the action and outboxing the slugging Moises. Moises is loading up on sheer power, while Young is content to touch and move. Young pitches Moises to the side when Moises changes levels, and he delivers a stern uppercut to the jaw and staggers the Brazilian with a follow-up right. He also marks Moises’ face up on multiple places, including both cheeks and the bridge of the nose. Young steps in with a sharp elbow, and he tosses Moises to the side as Moises predictably shoots in on his hips. Young kicks Moises’ lead leg out from him as Moises is shooting for a takedown, and Moises flops to his back while Young raises in arms in the air. Moises stands up thanks to Herzog, and he steps in with a thudding elbow on the nose. Moises failed takedown is an even worse look when he falls to his back again when he does not get it. Young forces him to stand.
Moises tries to brawl, but he is far too slow while Young picks him apart with fast combinations. Young clips Moises behind the ear, sending the Brazilian collapsing to the mat, and he follows him down to bash him with punches and hammerfists. When there is no finish in sight, Young dances around to showboat and gets Herzog to bring him back upright. Young beats Moises with a left hand and points at it, and he is feeling himself and motioning in a Diaz-like manner any thing he lands flush. Moises stands firm and drills him with a right hand, and Young shakes it out to re-engage. Moises meets him with sheer power, hurling his right hand like he wants to knock the head of “Gee Money” into the third row. Young tanks the ones that connect and backs Moises to the wall, stinging him with an elbow but getting caught flush with a power right hand. Moises is swinging with hammers, and Young picks him apart and has his hands up to defend from the most dangerous of attacks. Moises punctuates the brawl with two punches and a head kick, and the lightweights hug it out after a hard-fought contest.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Young (29-28 Young)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Young (29-28 Young)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Young (29-28 Young)

The Official Result
Gauge Young def. Thiago Moises via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Apr 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Gauge Young

Angelo picks Gauge Young despite acknowledging Thiago Moises is good everywhere. He likes Gauge's aggression, scrambling, and forward pressure, believing he will do more and impress judges. He worries about Gauge cutting easily and bleeding, which could affect judging.

"But I'm still going to pick Gaej here. Because I love the aggression."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Thiago Moises

Big Brady picks Thiago Moises as an underdog, citing his elite jiu-jitsu and wrestling. He notes Moises' inconsistency but believes he wins step-down fights. Brady points out Grant Dawson's vulnerability to takedowns and submissions, and predicts Moises will win by decision.

decision
"Give me Thiago Moises to win. I'll take him to win this fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Gauge Young

Cody picks Gauge Young, citing his youth, volume, and recent improvements. He notes that Thiago Moises is inconsistent and has taken a lot of damage. He also mentions that Moises' chin is a question mark after the Jared Gordon loss.

"I'm going I'm going with youth here. And I will say Moises, although we said that he's, you know, only 31, it's just like let's face it, man. the amount of wars, damage, everything, wear and tear."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Gauge Young

Daniel believes Moises is on a decline and has looked poor recently, while Young is improving and can push a pace that Moises struggles with. He thinks Young's hands and pressure will overwhelm Moises. He picks Young to get the biggest win of his career.

"I'm gonna pick Gage Young to come out here and get the biggest win of his career."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Apr 18, 2026 (fight day)
Gauge Young

Young is a high-pressure striker with excellent cardio, while Moises has poor cardio and relies on grappling. Moises is passive on the feet and only shoots a few takedowns per fight. Young's takedown defense is good enough to scramble back up, and he will out-strike Moises significantly. This is a classic striker vs grappler where Young has a huge edge.

"Gage Young is my most confident bet on this card."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Gauge Young

James picks Gauge Young to win, citing his durability, cardio, and pressure. He thinks Moises is on a downtrend and will struggle with Young's pace. Despite Moises being more skilled, James favors Young's will to win and stylistic advantages.

"I'm actually going to pick Gage Young here to get the upset."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Thiago Moises

The host is hesitant but picks Moises by submission, thinking he will eventually find a position to put Young away. He notes that Moises is being overlooked due to his knockout loss to Jared Gordon, and that his BJJ and striking can be competitive. However, he needs a good number on the Moises submission prop to pull the trigger.

Moises by submission
"I'm going to go Moises here. I'm going to go Moises by submission. I think he finally finds that position to put Young away."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Gauge Young

Paul also picks Gauge Young, agreeing with Cody. He highlights Young's volume and Moises' inconsistency. He mentions that Moises' durability is a concern and that Young is the fresher fighter.

"Yeah, I think Gage Young just on the money line is how I'm going to approach this fight."
LOSS vs Jared Gordon
KO R1 3:37 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · May 17, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jared Gordon 1 7 of 13 53% 21 of 36 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:36
Thiago Moises 0 5 of 9 55% 11 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jared Gordon 1 7 of 13 53% 21 of 36 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:36
Thiago Moises 0 5 of 9 55% 11 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jared Gordon 7 of 13 53% 5 of 10 0 of 0 2 of 3 5 of 11 0 of 0 2 of 2
Thiago Moises 5 of 9 55% 3 of 6 0 of 1 2 of 2 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jared Gordon 7 of 13 53% 5 of 10 0 of 0 2 of 3 5 of 11 0 of 0 2 of 2
Thiago Moises 5 of 9 55% 3 of 6 0 of 1 2 of 2 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jared Gordon vs. Thiago Moises
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gordon (-110), Moises (-110)

Round 1
Lightweight veterans with technically equal records in the UFC—although one has a no contest—come to blows, with plans of remaining highly regarded in the talent-rich division. Gordon (20-7, 1 NC; 8-6, 1 NC UFC) is the one who also has the grey mark on his pace thanks to a clash of heads with Bobby Green, and has otherwise alternated wins and losses for a few years. The same can be said for Brazil’s Moises (19-8, 8-6 UFC), who is ready to continue the rivalry of his team of American Top Team against regional adversarial team Kill Cliff FC and its rep of Gordon. Referee Kerry Hatley will keep things on the up-and-up, but they are fine with one another and clap hands. The first strike thrown is a Moises body kick, which Gordon uses to easily sling his opponent to his back. Gordon practically walks into top control, and Moises wraps up his arms in an unorthodox armlock attack. Moises lets go of the lockup and lashes out with a short elbow off his back that opens a tiny cut on the top of Gordon’s forehead. Gordon responds with ample ground-and-pound of his own, smearing his blood all over the Brazilian’s head and chest. Moises works his way back up to his feet, ignoring the strikes lobbed at him so he can fight his way back up and away. They proceed to smack one another with low kicks, and Gordon darts in with a pair of punches that bounce off the guard. Leg kicks continue to fly, and they tag one another with single strikes. When Gordon ducks in to throw, Moises counters with a clean right hand over the top. “Flash” does not bat an eye, and instead lets Moises pitch a left hand at him.
This is exactly what he wants, as Gordon times a picture-perfect right hand that smashes into the American Top Team fighter’s chin and puts him down for the count. Moises’ head clatters off the mat when he collapses to the ground like a bird that’s had its wings clipped, and Gordon hammers the nail with a leaping right hand that gives commentator Michael Bisping flashbacks of when he took on Dan Henderson, cleanly separating Moises from his consciousness.
Before Hatley can get to them, Gordon gets one or two off that wake Moises back up, but they are merely academic as Gordon has dropped the hammer. Blood streaming down his face, Gordon stands up and shrugs, as if he knew he was going to do this all along. When Moises comes to, the two hug it out, but it is unclear if Moises knows the license plate number of the bus that just ran him over.

The Official Result
Jared Gordon def. Thiago Moises R1 3:37 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 11, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Thiago Moises

Angelo picks Thiago Moises after going back and forth. He acknowledges that Jared Gordon has been screwed on scorecards and could be on a win streak, but trusts Moises's training and activity. He notes that Moises is a slick grappler with technical striking and that Gordon is inactive and not on as good a team. Angelo says likely no bets for this fight.

Likely no bets for this fight.
"I'm going to stick with Thiago Moises. I trust the training. I trust the activity."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 15, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jared Gordon

Big Brady picks Jared Gordon, citing his volume and cardio. He notes Gordon's losses are to tough competition in close decisions, and he thinks Gordon's takedown defense and chin hold up. He expects a close competitive decision win for Gordon.

Gordon by decision
"I like Gordon here. ... I think he wins this fight and wins it by a pretty pretty close competitive decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 16, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jared Gordon

The host finds this a tough puzzle but leans with Gordon's pace and pressure. He notes Moises has looked good against certain opponents but doesn't do well against guys who set the pace, and Gordon is exactly that. He expects Gordon to grind out a high pace, possibly get a late finish, but mostly win on the scorecards, provided his durability holds up.

Gordon by decision (possible late finish)
"I have to lean with Gordon's pace and pressure. Moises has looked very good against certain opponents, but he doesn't do well against guys that can set the pace."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 16, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jared Gordon

The Guru picks Jared Gordon, citing a rule of thumb that beating Thiago Moises means you're good. He thinks Gordon has been robbed in recent decisions (Bobby Green, Nazareno Malegarie) and is better than his record. He acknowledges grappling concerns from the Grant Dawson loss but believes Gordon's fundamental grappling defense is strong. He predicts Gordon wins by decision.

"I'm going to go with Jared Gordon over Thiago Moises."
WIN vs Trey Ogden
DEC R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025
LOSS vs Ľudovít Klein
DEC R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Jun 08, 2024
WIN vs Mitch Ramirez
KO R3 0:15 · UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Mar 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Thiago Moises 1 25 of 39 64% 53 of 72 2 of 2 100% 1 0 6:36
Mitch Ramirez 0 16 of 48 33% 28 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Thiago Moises 0 4 of 6 66% 25 of 31 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:18
Mitch Ramirez 0 6 of 8 75% 17 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Thiago Moises 0 15 of 26 57% 22 of 34 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:14
Mitch Ramirez 0 10 of 39 25% 11 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
3 Thiago Moises 1 6 of 7 85% 6 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Mitch Ramirez 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Thiago Moises 25 of 39 64% 10 of 23 3 of 4 12 of 12 17 of 30 2 of 2 6 of 7
Mitch Ramirez 16 of 48 33% 4 of 32 5 of 7 7 of 9 13 of 45 3 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Thiago Moises 4 of 6 66% 1 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 3 3 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 2
Mitch Ramirez 6 of 8 75% 0 of 1 1 of 2 5 of 5 6 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Thiago Moises 15 of 26 57% 8 of 18 2 of 3 5 of 5 13 of 24 2 of 2 0 of 0
Mitch Ramirez 10 of 39 25% 4 of 30 4 of 5 2 of 4 7 of 36 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Thiago Moises 6 of 7 85% 1 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 4 1 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 5
Mitch Ramirez 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Thiago Moises vs. Mitch Ramirez
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Moises (-410), Ramirez (+320)

Round 1
Originally expecting to face Brad Riddell in the co-main event slot, Moises (17-7, 6-5 UFC) instead tumbles down to the early prelims to take on late replacement and UFC debutant Ramirez (8-1, 0-0 UFC), who lost in an appearance on last year’s Contender Series. The two lightweights will be joined in the Octagon by referee Mark Smith, who clocks them in as the fighters consider but abandon a glove touch. The two start rapping the other’s calf with kicks one after the other, testing the waters and doing some work early. They proceed to take turns with these kicks until Moises decides to mix things up with a tackling double-leg takedown. Moises succeeds in placing Ramirez on his seat, and Ramirez turns to his side in hopes of finding a sweep. Moises shuts it down and shifts to half guard, where he slowly opens up with elbow strikes. Ramirez bucks and twists, but the heavy Brazilian is not going anywhere as he proceeds to smother and land shots. Ramirez uses all his might to pop up, but Moises drags him down from behind until Ramirez realizes he should not give up his back and turns over again. Moises leans down to potentially set up an arm-triangle choke, but with half guard on the other side, he is unable to find the right leverage. Ramirez scoots himself to the wall, but Moises drags him away from it so he can hope to pass. Moises lets it go so he can slash down with elbows, and he gets bucked off but this is the best thing for him. Ramirez turns to crawl away on his knees, and like a predatory animal, Moises pounces on his back. Moises almost immediately gets the hooks in and secures a body triangle, and as Ramirez turns over to his back, Moises is already fishing for a rear-naked choke. Ramirez hand-fights well enough to prevent the choke from getting close, and Moises slides arms back and forth in search of the sub. Moises softens his man up with a couple strikes, and Ramirez tries to swing back from behind his head. The round ends in this dominant position, with the horn blaring twice.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Moises

Round 2
The lightweights come together in the middle of the cage, and Ramirez pushes the pace by leading off with a whipping overhand right. As Ramirez tries to shove the Brazilian against the wall, Moises turns him about. The two jockey for position while tied up, and Moises tangles up the legs for a trip attempt but does not find it. Moises drives a knee to the chest as he looks for another entry, with a double that fails. This allows Ramirez to break free, and Moises chops down on his lead leg as he gets backed off with punches. Moises reaches out with a front kick, and leans back as a head kick whizzes past his face. Ramirez swings as hard as he can with a right hand, and the veteran shoots in for a double and drives Ramirez back to the wall. The two do a little slow dance when up close in the clinch, and Moises breaks free with an elbow and misses with a front kick by a matter of inches. Ramirez punches his way forward into a clinch, and he is turned around and smacked in the face a few times. Moises lets go to reset, and he kicks the calf of his opponent that is welted and swollen badly. Ramirez kicks back, but Moises aims at the same target again to make Ramirez recoil. As he does this, he fires off a front kick and stings Ramirez with an overhand right. Moises chops low and spins with a wheel kick that buzzes the side of the head, and he calmly works his way forward, landing shots to chop away. Ramirez goes after two leg kicks of his own, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Moises

Round 3
Moises begins the round with a front kick, and
he knocks Ramirez off his feet with a vicious low kick. Ramirez hits the deck, and a ferocious Moises chases after him and whips four low kicks down reminiscent of Donald Cerrone against Myles Jury.
Ramirez grimaces in pain and Smith recognizes that he is done, and he waves off the fight. This is a statement performance for the Brazilian, who registers his first knockout as a UFC fighter by putting the newcomer away with leg kicks.

The Official Result
Thiago Moises def. Mitch Ramirez R3 0:15 via TKO (Leg Kicks)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Thiago Moises

Angelo expects Moises to be a big favorite. He is a slick grappler who stays composed and works for submissions, with technical striking and solid low kicks to set up takedowns. Although Moises was taken down five times and mauled by Benoit Saint-Denis, Angelo notes that Ramirez is not on that level. He thinks Moises will win the striking exchanges and is good enough to defend takedowns or sweep off bottom. He will bet if the line is favorable.

waiting for odds; will bet if line is favorable
"Moises is the pick and if we somehow get something that even resembles a favorable line I'm probably going to go ahead and jump on him here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Thiago Moises

Big Brady picks Thiago Moises to win by second-round submission. He views this as a levels fight, with Moises' BJJ and experience being far superior to Ramirez, who is coming in on short notice. He expects Moises to get a takedown and submit Ramirez.

by second round submission
"I'm going to take Thiago Moises to win this fight by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Thiago Moises

Cody picks Thiago Moises, noting his experience against top competition and superior skills everywhere. He acknowledges Ramirez's danger as a short-notice debutant but believes Moises is better on the feet and on the ground. He warns about Moises' durability but expects him to win.

"Moises is a legitimate gatekeeper to the top 15... how does Mitch Ramirez pull this thing out of his hat?"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Thiago Moises

The host notes that Ramirez is stepping in on short notice and is less skilled and experienced than Moises. He expects Moises to have the technical striking advantage and eventually open up a club-and-sub opportunity to choke out Ramirez, getting back in the win column.

"I think that will eventually open up a club and sub opportunity to choke out Ramirez and get Moes back on The Winning Side"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Thiago Moises

Paul agrees, stating Moises is better everywhere and has seen every trick Ramirez might have. He notes Ramirez's Contender Series loss and lack of high-level experience. He will not bet Ramirez.

"Moises seems like the rightful favorite here I will not be betting Mitch Ramirez."
KO/TKO R2 4:44 · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · Sep 02, 2023
Submission R2 4:05 · UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · Jan 21, 2023
Submission R1 3:05 · UFC on ESPN: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · Jun 25, 2022