Career Averages - Carlos Prates
Career Averages - Charles Radtke
Carlos Prates
Charles Radtke
Carlos Prates - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Della Maddalena | 0 | 41 of 76 | 53% | 53 of 90 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:13 |
| Carlos Prates | 3 | 104 of 193 | 53% | 104 of 193 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Della Maddalena | 0 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 23 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Carlos Prates | 0 | 22 of 45 | 48% | 22 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jack Della Maddalena | 0 | 25 of 39 | 64% | 29 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Carlos Prates | 1 | 36 of 79 | 45% | 36 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 3 | Jack Della Maddalena | 0 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Carlos Prates | 2 | 46 of 69 | 66% | 46 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Della Maddalena | 41 of 76 | 53% | 25 of 52 | 8 of 15 | 8 of 9 | 41 of 76 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Prates | 104 of 193 | 53% | 79 of 164 | 11 of 14 | 14 of 15 | 89 of 171 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 21 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Della Maddalena | 15 of 30 | 50% | 5 of 18 | 5 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 15 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Prates | 22 of 45 | 48% | 13 of 34 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 7 | 22 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jack Della Maddalena | 25 of 39 | 64% | 19 of 28 | 3 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 25 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Prates | 36 of 79 | 45% | 27 of 69 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 35 of 78 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Jack Della Maddalena | 1 of 7 | 14% | 1 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Prates | 46 of 69 | 66% | 39 of 61 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 32 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 20 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Welterweights with an eye on a title shot meet in the headliner, as Della Maddalena (18-3; 8-1 UFC) and Prates (23-7; 6-1 UFC) prepare to give us five rounds or less of fisticuffs. Enforcement of the rules—and protection of the losing fighter, if necessary—falls to veteran referee Mike Beltran, who has to break up a scuffle before the fighters are even introduced. Both men come out in orthodox stance and it’s Prates who lands first with a low kick as he slides around the outside, trying to dictate the distance to the shorter boxer. Della Maddalena is patient, stalking and cutting off the cage, and when he corrals the Brazilian near the fence, he steps in with a pair of heavy body shots. Two minutes in, neither man has really put his stamp on the round yet, but Prates is doing a good job of keeping Della Maddalena on the end of his noticeably longer reach. Prates continues to bounce around just outside of range, hands at his waist, before popping into the pocket with single strikes or pairs of punches. Della Maddalena scores with a three-piece, but eats a couple of hard shots on the counter. Prates scores with a hard body kick, then meets Della Maddalena’s next entry with a nasty knee up the middle. Thus far, Della Maddalena has worn the punches and kicks well, but he’s taken a lot of damage this round. Della Maddalena shoots for a takedown with 30 seconds left in the round and gets it easily, landing in full guard near the fence. He can’t get off any offense of note before the horn. 10-9 Prates.
Round 2
Della Maddalena comes forward to open the second frame, swinging two-handed combinations at the body. Prates slips out the side before Della Maddalena can trap him against the fence, and meets his next entry with a hard kick up the middle. Della Maddalena shoots for a takedown and gets it, moving to Prates’ back as the Brazilian stands. Della Maddalena is fishing for a choke as the Perth crowd comes alive, but he doesn’t have good hooks in and he slides right over the top. They go back to work on the feet and it’s Prates who scores with some long, straight jabs and crosses. Della Maddalena wades into the pocket and lands a hard uppercut and hook, then shoves Prates to the fence. He lands a few strikes in the clinch, then disengages. Della Maddalena hurts Prates with a punch, then gets caught with a clean counter as he tries to follow up. Della Maddalena is hurt! Prates tees off with a kick, then a pair of punches, as Della Maddalena staggers back into the fence. Prates is looking to finish, but Della Maddalena comes off the fence with a solid right hand. Under 30 seconds to go in the round and Della Maddalena appears to have recovered his wits, but Prates puts him down with a brutal leg kick right before the horn. 10-9 Prates.
Round 3
Della Maddalena, after a stern talking-to by his corner, is the aggressor to open Round 3. He comes forward with a feint, then a pair of punches, but Prates avoids any real damage. Della Maddalena essays a double-leg takedown, but Prates sprawls all over it and Della Maddalena bails quickly. Prates lights Della Maddalena up with an intercepting knee and several flush punches, punctuated by a vicious kick to the lead leg. Prates drops Della Maddalena with a high kick that blasts through the Aussie’s raised guard. Rather than swarm on the ground, he lets Della Maddalena back up, then goes right back to work sniping with big single shots.
Della Maddalena wears the head and body shots, but goes right back down after the next leg kick. This time, Prates smells blood in the water, and he pours on elbows until Beltran is left no option but to rescue the hometown fighter.
Extremely impressive work from “The Nightmare.”
The Official Result
Carlos Prates def. Jack Della Maddalena R3 3:17 via TKO (Leg Kicks and Elbows)
Angelo picks Jack Della Maddalena, citing his volume, jab, and clean boxing. He notes that Carlos Prates has power and variety but has been hit by jabs before (e.g., Trevin Giles, Ian Garry). He believes JDM's boxing and potential wrestling backup plan will secure the win, though he expects a tense fight with Prates having moments.
Big Brady picks Carlos Prates to win by third-round knockout. He describes Prates as a 'moment winner' with devastating power, noting he has knocked out durable fighters like Leon Edwards and Geoff Neal. Brady acknowledges Jack Della Maddalena's volume and durability but believes Prates will land a big shot as Jack pressures forward, leading to a knockout.
Cody picks Jack Della Maddalena as a slight underdog, believing his superior volume and output in later rounds will overcome Carlos Prates' power. He notes Prates may lack drive after making money and that Jack's durability and home crowd advantage are key factors.
Daniel Vreeland leans towards Carlos Prates due to his more versatile striking arsenal and knockout power. He notes that JDM's take-one-to-give-one mentality could be dangerous against a finisher like Prates. He also mentions the historical trend of former champions having a letdown performance after a title loss.
Prates is a slight favorite and the better striker: more diverse, better defensively, takes less damage. Maddalena is one-dimensional, struggles against good strikers (e.g., Belal Muhammad, Kevin Holland). This is likely a stand-up fight. Home advantage for Maddalena is a concern, but Prates should win a decision or KO.
Lucrative James picks Carlos Prates to win via knockout. He believes Prates has a more diverse striking arsenal and better fight IQ, allowing him to get reads faster and land the kill shot. He acknowledges his bias as he knows Prates personally but states the pick is objective based on tape study.
The host sides with Prates, believing his Muay Thai will be more dangerous and he is more likely to get a finish. He expects Prates to cut Maddalena up and win by knockout. The host notes Maddalena's susceptibility to cuts and that Prates has a reach advantage. He thinks the line will move further towards Prates.
Paul picks Carlos Prates, calling him a 'Paul Shag guy' and citing his power and ability to win moments. He questions Jack's ability to handle Prates' reach and power, and notes Prates' unorthodox lifestyle might help with time zone adjustment.
The MMA Guru picks Jack Della Maddalena, believing he is a level above Prates in striking. He notes JDM's education, body work, and ability to avoid clean shots. He predicts a TKO in round three or four via body shots. He acknowledges Prates' power but thinks JDM will maintain composure.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Edwards | 0 | 12 of 17 | 70% | 25 of 30 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:00 |
| Carlos Prates | 1 | 21 of 32 | 65% | 24 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leon Edwards | 0 | 7 of 10 | 70% | 20 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:00 |
| Carlos Prates | 0 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 12 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Leon Edwards | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Carlos Prates | 1 | 12 of 15 | 80% | 12 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Edwards | 12 of 17 | 70% | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 9 | 11 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Prates | 21 of 32 | 65% | 8 of 16 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 13 | 19 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leon Edwards | 7 of 10 | 70% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 | 6 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Prates | 9 of 17 | 52% | 2 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 7 | 8 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Leon Edwards | 5 of 7 | 71% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Prates | 12 of 15 | 80% | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 6 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Prates (-198), Edwards (+164)
Round 1
Keith Peterson is the referee. They start in matching southpaw stances and trade low kicks. They both land more leg kicks and then Prates moves foreward with a jab. Prates defends a takedown from Edwards. Prates lands a knee on the inside. Both welterweights continue to land low kicks. Edwards shoots and shoves Prates into the fence. Prates defends and stays upright. Edwards brings a knee. Prates is talking to Edwards as they remain in the clinch. Peterson has seen enough and they separate. Back at range, Prates steps in with a knee. Edwards times a level change nicely and takes Prates down. Edwards looks to take the back and makes Prates carry him like a backpack as the Brazilian stands. Prates fights off the hands to prevent a choke. A few short shots to the side of the head for Edwards. Edwards jumps off the back and takes Prates down. Edwards threatens with a rear-naked choke late in the round but Prates survives.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Edwards
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Edwards
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Edwards
Round 2
Edwards fires off a front kick. Prates with a low kick. Edwards counters a low kick with a left hand. Prates sticks a crisp jab. A leg kick spins Edwards around. The welterweights trade lefts as Prates keeps talking to his foe. The Brazilian pumps his jab while chattering away. A nice counter lands for Edwards following a Prates knee during an exchange. Moments later, Prates lands a long left hand through Edwards’ guard, taking the Englishman clean off his feet. “Rocky” crashes to the canvas and his eyes roll back in his head. Prates dives in and adds one follow-up missile for good measure. “The Nightmare” is the first man to knock out Leon Edwards in his professional MMA career.
The Official Result
Carlos Prates def. Leon Edwards via KO (Punches) R2 1:28
Angelo picks Carlos Prates, noting that Leon Edwards' recent losses were to wrestlers, while Prates is a dangerous striker. He believes Edwards has shown lack of heart recently and Prates' power and accuracy will be too much. He is excited for the fight and confident in Prates.
Big Brady picks Carlos Prates, believing he is getting Leon Edwards at the right time. He criticizes Edwards for having boring fights and not facing dangerous knockout artists, noting Edwards has never been knocked out but hasn't fought many power punchers. Brady thinks Prates has the 'death touch' and will knock out Edwards if he lets his hands go, predicting a second-round knockout. He acknowledges the risk of a slow start but expects Prates to show urgency.
Cody also picks Prates but calls it a trap line due to recency bias. He notes that Leon has been taken down frequently but that Prates won't wrestle, which could make Leon more comfortable. However, Cody believes Prates is younger, more aggressive, and will land bigger shots. He is concerned about Leon's past performances but ultimately sides with Prates.
Connor picks Prates hesitantly, citing Edwards' recent decline in motivation and tendency to fade in fights. He notes that Prates is a dangerous striker who can capitalize on Edwards' lapses, especially if Edwards backs to the fence. However, he acknowledges Prates' wrestling is unproven and Edwards could out-grapple him.
Daniel believes Prates is catching Edwards at the right time, as Edwards has looked uninspired and has been rocked multiple times. He praises Prates' knockout power and variety of strikes, and notes that Edwards' measured pace plays into Prates' style of downloading data and finding openings. He predicts a knockout win for Prates.
Lucrative James picks Carlos Prates to win by KO. He highlights Prates' diverse striking arsenal, especially his devastating knee strikes, and believes Edwards will struggle to stay safe on the feet. He notes Edwards has been hurt by lesser strikers and doubts his ability to grapple effectively against Prates. He predicts Prates will land a knockout in round two or three, continuing his streak of walk-off KOs in the UFC.
Prates stops Edwards' takedowns and boxes him up on the feet, landing better shots to win on the scorecards. However, the odds are a little wide for my liking, indicating some hesitation.
Paul picks Prates, citing that Leon Edwards is on the decline and has shown low volume and a tendency to quit. He notes that Prates is on the rise and has power, and that Leon's wrestling won't be a factor since Prates doesn't rely on takedowns. Paul thinks Prates will land bigger shots and either finish or win a decision.
The Guru picks Carlos Prates to KO Leon Edwards in round one or two. He cites Edwards' suspect chin, having been wobbled by Nate Diaz and Belal Muhammad, and believes Prates' power and timing will be too much. He notes that Edwards' movement and range management may not be enough to avoid Prates' left hand. The Guru expects a dramatic finish.
Zane also picks Prates, influenced by Edwards' apparent loss of enjoyment and tendency to become passive. He notes that Prates' pressure and power could catch Edwards, but Edwards' wrestling is a threat. He mentions the closed stance matchup favors Prates' comfort.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoff Neal | 0 | 25 of 49 | 51% | 26 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Carlos Prates | 1 | 32 of 60 | 53% | 32 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Geoff Neal | 0 | 25 of 49 | 51% | 26 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Carlos Prates | 1 | 32 of 60 | 53% | 32 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoff Neal | 25 of 49 | 51% | 16 of 38 | 4 of 6 | 5 of 5 | 23 of 45 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Prates | 32 of 60 | 53% | 17 of 45 | 8 of 8 | 7 of 7 | 32 of 58 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Geoff Neal | 25 of 49 | 51% | 16 of 38 | 4 of 6 | 5 of 5 | 23 of 45 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Prates | 32 of 60 | 53% | 17 of 45 | 8 of 8 | 7 of 7 | 32 of 58 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Prates (-250), Neal (+205)
Round 1
Welcome to what many are considering the “just bleed” matchup of the evening. Two welterweight flamethrowers will throw down mightily, and referee Jason Herzog gets the honor of handling it personally. Fortis MMA athlete Neal (16-6, 8-4 UFC) and Fighting Nerds representative Prates (21-7, 4-1 UFC) meet with 26 knockouts across their 37 total victories, and one more could be coming soon. Before they try to lop one another’s head off, Herzog has to usher them back to their corners. Despite that, they bump their fists together cordially.
Prates bounces up and down in the center of the Octagon, and Neal leads off with an inside calf kick. Prates jabs him back, and Neal kicks to the same spot before going high. Neal crowds a kicking Prates but goes not let his hands go, instead resetting to score a short but powerful left hook. Prates spins with a back kick to the stomach and kicks him in the front leg when planting, and Neal bull-rushes him. Prates tries for a jump knee, and Neal catches it and fires back with his right hand a few times. Prates reclaims his limb and resets, where he goes high with punches. Neal jabs him to the body and makes Prates back off with long punches, while Prates scores a few hard calf kicks. Prates darts in and out with a jab, and Neal crowds him with punches before Prates circles all the way around the cage. Prates sinks a leg kick home, and he is out of the way before Neal can get to him.
Both men connect with single left hands before bailing, and Prates calms himself down and looses two punches down the middle along with a step-in knee. Neal fires back with a vengeance, landing at least partially on his opponent and kicking him in the chest. Neal jacks Prates in the jaw with a left hand, and Prates responds with a crisp left to the body and then a knee to the same spot. Some swelling develops under Neal’s left eye, and Prates notices it and aims a spinning wheel kick at it. The kick pops off the guard, but Prates’ jab finds its target. Neal does not seem concerned, cracking Prates on the way in. Prates gathers a head of steam and loose a one-two, a body kick, a knee, two more punches and a jumping knee in one heck of a combination. Neal grabs him at the end of it to turn him to the cage, and Prates makes fun of him for trying to wrestle. Neal lets him go, and Prates blasts him with punches and chases him around the cage with an elbow strike. With seconds left on the clock, the Brazilian spins like a top and demolishes Neal with a spinning back elbow. The sound of the blow echoes through the United Center, and blood sprays from an open wound on the side of his temple. Herzog waves the fight off with a second to go on the clock, and Prates has bounced back from a tough loss with a spectacular knockout of an insanely durable Neal. On his post-fight interview, Prates gives it up for the Fighting Nerds team, remarks that he will be celebrating his birthday tomorrow, asks for a fight in Rio de Janeiro in October along with a post-fight bonus—which UFC chief Dana White grants both immediately—and pitches that the UFC sign up his training partner, LFA flyweight champ Marcos Degli.
The Official Result
Carlos Prates def. Geoff Neal R1 4:59 via KO (Spinning Back Elbow)
Angelo thinks Prates is the better striker with power, accuracy, and cardio, and expects a striking match. He notes Neal may shoot takedowns but Prates should be ready. He hopes for a showcase performance from Prates to build him back up after his loss to Ian Garry.
Big Brady picks Carlos Prates to win by first-round knockout. He notes Prates has long reach, power, and fast combinations, and when he gets going he is very dangerous. He worries about Prates' slow starts but thinks Neal will force him to engage. He mentions Prates' brutal knockouts of Trevin Giles and others. He doesn't love the moneyline but thinks Prates can knock out Neal, who has a solid chin but can be hit.
Connor picks Prates, but with hesitation, acknowledging that Prates' game is limited and not built for elite competition, as seen in the Ian Garry fight. He notes that Neal is durable and will make it tough, but Prates' pressure and dangerous striking could overwhelm Neal, who tends to let opponents dictate the fight. Connor hopes Prates has learned from the Garry fight and can implement adjustments.
The host views Neal as underrated and tough, and believes his speed and explosiveness will allow him to land big shots on Prates throughout the fight. He expects Neal to win on the scorecards as the underdog.
The Guru picks Carlos Prates to finish Geoff Neal, citing Prates' lateral movement and ability to find outside foot position. He notes that Neal struggles against fighters who move side-to-side, as seen in his fight with Neil Magny. The Guru believes Prates will land knees up the middle and finish Neal in the late first or second round. He also mentions that Prates nearly finished Ian Garry and has shown finishing ability against stationary opponents.
Zane is tempted to pick Neal, noting that Neal is durable, fast, and has a limited but effective game against elite opponents. He points out that Prates struggles with complex problems and has never faced a fellow southpaw. Zane believes Neal could pressure Prates and win rounds with his boxing and durability, but he is not fully confident due to Neal's tendency to let opponents dictate the fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Machado Garry | 0 | 126 of 242 | 52% | 141 of 259 | 4 of 19 | 21% | 0 | 0 | 3:09 |
| Carlos Prates | 0 | 63 of 129 | 48% | 64 of 132 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Machado Garry | 0 | 15 of 39 | 38% | 15 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Carlos Prates | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Ian Machado Garry | 0 | 34 of 68 | 50% | 36 of 70 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Carlos Prates | 0 | 12 of 22 | 54% | 12 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:24 | |
| 3 | Ian Machado Garry | 0 | 26 of 52 | 50% | 33 of 60 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 |
| Carlos Prates | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 4 | Ian Machado Garry | 0 | 23 of 42 | 54% | 26 of 45 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Carlos Prates | 0 | 12 of 33 | 36% | 12 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Ian Machado Garry | 0 | 28 of 41 | 68% | 31 of 45 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Carlos Prates | 0 | 22 of 38 | 57% | 23 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Machado Garry | 126 of 242 | 52% | 86 of 185 | 17 of 28 | 23 of 29 | 120 of 231 | 2 of 6 | 4 of 5 |
| Carlos Prates | 63 of 129 | 48% | 38 of 97 | 16 of 21 | 9 of 11 | 50 of 114 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 13 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Machado Garry | 15 of 39 | 38% | 8 of 25 | 3 of 7 | 4 of 7 | 11 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
| Carlos Prates | 7 of 16 | 43% | 2 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 5 | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ian Machado Garry | 34 of 68 | 50% | 22 of 51 | 5 of 8 | 7 of 9 | 34 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Prates | 12 of 22 | 54% | 4 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 12 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ian Machado Garry | 26 of 52 | 50% | 19 of 42 | 4 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 26 of 50 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Prates | 10 of 20 | 50% | 6 of 16 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Ian Machado Garry | 23 of 42 | 54% | 15 of 34 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 23 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Prates | 12 of 33 | 36% | 9 of 26 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 32 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Ian Machado Garry | 28 of 41 | 68% | 22 of 33 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 26 of 38 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlos Prates | 22 of 38 | 57% | 17 of 33 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 13 |
Angelo picks Carlos Prates because he believes Prates is the better striker, which is key against a primarily striking opponent like Ian Garry. He notes that Garry may try to wrestle, but Prates has better takedown defense than MVP and won't be helpless on the ground. He acknowledges the risk but is confident in Prates' power and range control.
Big Brady picks Carlos Prates, citing the Fighting Nerds' undefeated record and Prates' power and accuracy. He criticizes Ian Garry's striking defense, noting he backs up with his chin up. He expects Prates to land a big shot and knock out Garry, predicting a second-round knockout.
Connor picks Garry because he believes Garry can exploit Prates' weaknesses: Prates has a wide stance, struggles moving backwards, and defaults to clinching when pressured. Garry can use his reach to pressure, wrestle with authority, and neutralize Prates' game. Connor thinks Garry's ability to make fights ugly and suffocating will lead to a grinding win, even if uninspired.
The host leans Garry slightly, citing his better discipline and technical game. He notes Prates is dangerous and has finished all UFC fights, but Garry is the most technically sound opponent he's faced. Garry's five-round experience and ability to mix striking with grappling should lead to a decision win.
The MMA Guru picks Carlos Prates to win by TKO in round two. He believes Prates has better finishing potential and composure, while Garry is nervous early and has a tendency to throw low kicks in elbow distance, leaving him open. He notes Garry's short reach for his height and that Prates has good balance and takedown defense. He expects Prates to hurt Garry in round one and finish him in round two.
Zane picks Prates despite acknowledging Garry's advantages, because he expects Garry to be passive and fight on the back foot, which gives Prates room to work. Zane notes Prates has a great eye for defensive openings and can pick up on Garry's timing issues. He also mentions Prates' finishing ability and the fact that Garry has been less aggressive recently, but admits Prates has never fought five rounds and could gas.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Prates | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 23 of 33 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:31 |
| Neil Magny | 2 | 12 of 21 | 57% | 13 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Prates | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 23 of 33 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:31 |
| Neil Magny | 2 | 12 of 21 | 57% | 13 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Prates | 10 of 20 | 50% | 7 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Neil Magny | 12 of 21 | 57% | 9 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Prates | 10 of 20 | 50% | 7 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Neil Magny | 12 of 21 | 57% | 9 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Prates (-650), Magny (+470)
Round 1
Ever the “trap fight” connoisseur, Magny (29-12, 22-11 UFC) would like nothing more than to derail the quick rise of power-punching Prates (20-6, 3-0 UFC). The durable New Yorker by way of Colorado may be susceptible to getting blitzed early, but he also has the unearthly ability to outlast opponents and turn on the jets. Ask Hector Lombard, Mike Malott or Daniel Rodriguez, to name but a few. With five rounds to get things done, it could be a lot of fun until what could be a dramatic end. Referee Mark Smith is in it for the long haul, and he brings the welterweights to the center of the cage to bump fists. They do not bump fists. It’s on with the show. Magny strides into the middle of the Octagon to get going, where he uses his length with low kicks and jabs to surprise the Brazilian with a sudden level change. Magny goes after a single-leg takedown, pressing Prates to the cage but falling to his back. Magny lands on his back and closes his guard, with Prates posturing up for a second before Magny wraps him up again. Prates looks for one big right hand when he finds space, and Magny boxes his ears and tries to keep him tight. Prates works his way out of the grappling and stands back up, and he launches a leg kick only to have to deal with three lunging punches flying back his way. Magny come up close and elbows his opponent, looking for a trip and letting it go to chase Prates while dinging him with a right hand. Magny drops down for a single, and Prates hops out of danger and finds himself dealing with a second attempt as soon as he spins around. Magny lifts the limb up, and Prates’ balance is immaculate as he not only stays on his feet but lowers his leg back down. Prates gets off a single knee with his back to the wall, and Magny hangs on until Prates explodes out. Magny jabs from afar, and he leans to avoid a looping left hand. Prates has his left hand chambered, and he stops a double-leg entry and kicks Magny’s rear leg. Prates whips a left to Magny’s chest, and he knocks Magny down with a fierce short right hand. Magny is told to stand back up, and Prates walks him down, swarming him with punches. Magny bounces off the cage wall, kicking out with front kicks to keep distance before selling out for a single. Prates defends it, frees his trapped arm and walks Magny down. Magny snipes him from a long way out, with his reaching limbs effectively keeping “The Nightmare” at bay…until they don’t.
Prates unloads a monstrous left hand that does not even connect flush but buzzes the top of the veteran’s head. This is all it takes, with Prates apparently possessing “dim mak” as Magny falls to his face, unconscious. Prates walks off, knowing his work here is done, and everyone in the Apex is stunned as they may not have seen the mighty sleep-inducing blow.
“Breakthrough Fighter of the Year” may be well and truly sewn up, with Prates making his promotional debut in 2024 and scoring four knockouts, none greater than his annihilation of tricky vet Magny. The perennial contender comes to as Smith tends to him, and Prates dons the trademark Fighting Nerds glasses to celebrate his terrific handiwork. The Brazilian calls his shot, with very specific plans in mind: Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 312 in Australia. If this is too big of a gap, dispatching the UFC’s #15 Magny and moving on to a top-five adversary, he is reasonable and suggests he and Geoff Neal would engage in a wild one. No matter what the heavy-handed rising fighter gets next, we will be here for it—just like we will be ready for UFC 309 next week. We hope you are too.
The Official Result
Carlos Prates def. Neil Magny R1 4:50 via KO (Punch)
Angelo picks Carlos Prates despite Neil Magny's vast experience. He believes Prates is too accurate with good footwork to be caught in a takedown. He notes Prates' power and finishing streak (9-fight KO streak). He thinks Magny would need to wrestle without getting hit, which is unlikely. He expects Prates to make it 10 KOs in a row.
Big Brady is confident in Prates, citing his speed, power, and range. He believes Magny is on the decline and will struggle to get the fight to the ground. He predicts Prates will land a knockout in the second round.
Cody agrees Prates is the favorite but warns about the wide money line. He notes Prates' unique style and finishing ability, but also points out that Magny has a grappling and cardio advantage if the fight goes past two rounds. Cody suggests a live bet on Magny if Prates doesn't finish early, but ultimately picks Prates.
Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Magny's recent performances show a decline in activity and that Prates is smart enough to kick the legs and avoid Magny's clinch. He thinks Magny's only path is if Prates makes a mistake, but he doesn't see that happening. Connor is confident Prates will win, likely by knockout.
Daniel Vreeland is confident in Carlos Prates to win by knockout, citing Prates' calf kicks and Muay Thai as key weapons against Neil Magny. He notes that Magny's reach advantage won't be an issue because Prates is a big welterweight who can fight at range and in the clinch. Vreeland expects a finish, possibly in round four, referencing the Santiago Ponzinibbio fight where Magny was finished late. He also mentions Prates' jiu-jitsu black belt but predicts a KO.
Lucrative James picks Carlos Prates to win by KO, noting that Neil Magny's best days are behind him and that Prates has a strong win streak. He acknowledges that Prates has shown some vulnerabilities, such as being wobbled and dropping rounds, but believes Prates will eventually land a kill shot. He also mentions that Magny does well against southpaws, which could make the fight closer early, but ultimately expects Prates to finish him.
Prates is a -750 favorite and the perfect fighter to cause Neil Magny issues. He will use leg kicks to slow Magny down, then open up with combinations to find a big shot and finish him in the second or third round.
Paul believes Prates is an absolute sniper with devastating power, as shown by knocking out Jin Jin Leang Lee. He thinks Neil Magny's only path is wrestling, but if he can't get takedowns, his striking won't scare Prates. Paul sees a knockout as almost inevitable and recommends the under 2.5 rounds or Prates by KO prop.
The Guru picks Carlos Prates to win by TKO, citing Prates' Muay Thai style, low kicks, and finishing ability. He notes Neil Magny's poor leg kick defense and recent TKO loss two and a half months ago, suggesting Magny is vulnerable. He expects Prates to chew up Magny's leg early and finish with body shots in round two or late round one.
Zane is very high on Prates, calling him his favorite striker in MMA. He praises Prates' understanding of range, active defense, and ability to cut off opponents' offense. He believes Prates will outclass Magny, who has become inactive and is vulnerable to leg kicks and pressure. Zane expects a knockout.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Prates | 0 | 41 of 111 | 36% | 41 of 111 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Li Jingliang | 3 | 55 of 84 | 65% | 55 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Prates | 0 | 26 of 66 | 39% | 26 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Li Jingliang | 1 | 25 of 36 | 69% | 25 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Carlos Prates | 0 | 15 of 45 | 33% | 15 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Li Jingliang | 2 | 30 of 48 | 62% | 30 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Prates | 41 of 111 | 36% | 12 of 64 | 4 of 10 | 25 of 37 | 41 of 111 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Li Jingliang | 55 of 84 | 65% | 44 of 70 | 1 of 3 | 10 of 11 | 55 of 84 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Prates | 26 of 66 | 39% | 7 of 38 | 4 of 9 | 15 of 19 | 26 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Li Jingliang | 25 of 36 | 69% | 18 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 7 | 25 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Carlos Prates | 15 of 45 | 33% | 5 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 10 of 18 | 15 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Li Jingliang | 30 of 48 | 62% | 26 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 30 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is confident Carlos Prates will win, citing his dangerous striking, power, range control, and eight consecutive knockout wins. He thinks Prates is faster and cleaner on the feet than Li Jingliang, who is older and coming off a two-year layoff. His only hesitation is Li's durability, but he believes Prates will find his spot and finish him.
Big Brady picks Carlos Prates to win by decision. He notes Prates is a hot prospect from Fighting Nerds with a lot of hype, but this is a step up in competition. He highlights red flags for Li Jingliang: a long layoff (almost 2 years), a spine surgery, and age (36). He believes Prates will do better work across 15 minutes, landing bigger shots and having more moments. He acknowledges Li is next-level tough and durable, so he doesn't expect a knockout, but thinks Prates will outpoint him.
Cody likes Jingliang's forward pressure, durability, and experience, but is concerned about his two-year layoff and major back surgery. He notes that Prates is a low-volume striker who relies on knockouts, and that Jingliang's chin and volume could cause problems. However, he admits the red flags are significant and calls it a PRP pick.
Daniel Vreeland picks Carlos Prates to win, predicting he will be the first to knock out Li Jingliang. He highlights Prates' reach advantage, power, and patient striking style, while noting that Li Jingliang is coming off a layoff and may have declined. Vreeland acknowledges the price is high but believes Prates is the rightful favorite.
Vreeland picks Prates, highlighting his pattern of downloading information before finishing opponents. He notes Prates' superior range control and length advantage over Li. He predicts a knockout, specifically a body shot, as Li is notoriously durable but Prates will pick him apart.
Fox agrees with Prates, noting his ability to download information and finish. He contrasts Prates' disciplined striking with Li's shorter reach and comfort issues on the feet. He believes Prates controls range better than Daniel Rodriguez and will pick Li apart easily.
The host leans to Prates, citing his technical striking, takedown defense, and activity. He notes Li's power and experience but is concerned about Li's long layoff and spine injury. He expects Prates to win by decision, but warns that a Li knockout would not surprise him.
Paul discusses Prates' smoking habit and low volume, and Jingliang's spinal issues, concluding that the fight is a pass. He notes that Prates has knockout power but questions his cardio and grappling, while Jingliang's wrestling is a big if due to his back. Paul does not make a clear pick.
The MMA Guru picks Carlos Prates over Li Jingliang. He notes that Li has been out for nearly two years due to a broken back and is 36 years old, making it hard to come back. He acknowledges Prates has losses but has been on a run since 2019, beating Trevin Giles and Charles Radtke. He expects Prates to win a 29-28 decision with cleaner shots. He expresses concern about Li's injuries and age.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Prates | 0 | 14 of 27 | 51% | 33 of 48 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Charles Radtke | 1 | 15 of 36 | 41% | 15 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Prates | 0 | 14 of 27 | 51% | 33 of 48 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Charles Radtke | 1 | 15 of 36 | 41% | 15 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Prates | 14 of 27 | 51% | 7 of 19 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 13 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Charles Radtke | 15 of 36 | 41% | 5 of 19 | 4 of 10 | 6 of 7 | 15 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Prates | 14 of 27 | 51% | 7 of 19 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 13 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Charles Radtke | 15 of 36 | 41% | 5 of 19 | 4 of 10 | 6 of 7 | 15 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Prates (-238), Radtke (+195)
Round 1
Welterweights take center stage next, and one of these two unheralded competitors will be forced to suffer their first UFC loss while the other will maintain either a seven- or nine-fight win streak. Victorious in his last six, Radtke (9-3, 2-0 UFC) puts that on the line against Brazilian striker Prates (18-6, 1-0 UFC), who has not lost since a One Championship appearance in 2019. Drawing the charge will be referee Blake Grice, and the intense showdown kicks off without a glove touch. Radtke switches stances several times to work his way forward, while Prates kicks at his foe’s knee to push him back. Radtke whips a low kick as Prates recoils his leg, and a Prates head kick bounces harmlessly off the guard. Radtke punches his way into a single-leg takedown entry, pushing “Carlao” against the fence and holding up a leg. With Prates bent over, Radtke bops Prates many times with short, annoying punches, and he breaks off and lands one heavy right hand. Prates nails his foe’s front calf with a kick, and after Radtke flies by with a kick, he scores his own leg kick. Radtke has another kick land with a thud, and he winds up everything into a right hook that flies by his opponent. Radtke crashes forward in pursuit of a single, and he lets it go and misses with an overhand right. Two punches from Radtke miss the mark, but a leg kick does connect. Prates bobs and weaves his way forward, and he has his head snapped back by a right hand. Prates blasts the front leg with a kick, and Radtke starts limping as swelling forms almost immediately. Prates leans back from the counter and tags “Chuck Buffalo” with a right, and he backs off as Radtke tries to let him have it. A fake takedown from Radtke is stifled when Prates pokes him in the eye, and Grice calls time and lets Radtke take about 20 seconds to blink it out. When they resume, Prates starts to stalk his man down, his hands low and allowing him to eat a right hand so he can throw punches from strange angles. Radtke sneaks in a left hand before his lead leg is kicked hard, and Prates measures him with a straight left hand and lets out a woo.
The Brazilian rips a knee to the liver as clean as can be, and Radtke hits the deck and is completely done. Prates walks off, knowing his work here is done, and Grice waves off the fight.
The victorious “Carlao” goes over to Radtke’s corner, where he yells something at upcoming title challenger Belal Muhammad. With that crushing stoppage on the board, this is the first finish of the night and the first knockout in quite some time.
The Official Result
Carlos Prates def. Charlie Radtke R1 4:47 via KO (Knee to the Body)
Angelo leans Charles Radtke, but with low confidence. He notes that Radtke is a grappler who has shown good hands recently, while Prates is a dangerous striker but low volume. He thinks Radtke's forward pressure and takedowns could be key, but if he rushes in recklessly, he could get knocked out. He sees it as a close fight where Radtke's pressure might be the difference.
Big Brady picks Charles Radtke as a big underdog to win by first-round knockout. He thinks Prates is overrated and notes that Prates was losing to Trevin Giles before a comeback KO. He believes Radtke can make it a brawl and potentially knock Prates out, though he acknowledges Prates has advantages in height, reach, and youth.
Cody picks Radtke as an underdog, noting that Prates has low volume and questionable durability, as seen in his fight against Trevin Giles. Radtke is aggressive, has power, and is a BJJ black belt with multiple win conditions. Cody believes Radtke can pressure Prates, take him down, or knock him out. He sees value in the plus money.
Daniel is confident in Prates, citing his Muay Thai, reach, experience, and finishing ability. He compares Prates to Anderson Silva in terms of length and southpaw stance, and expects a highlight-reel knockout. He notes Radtke is well-rounded but not special anywhere, and that Prates' seasoning and physical advantages should prevail.
Jacob is very confident in Charles Radtke, calling him the lock of the week. He praises Radtke's toughness, pressure, and grappling. He thinks Radtke will push Prates against the cage, take him down, and likely submit him. He notes that Prates has no plan B and relies on one-punch power, but Radtke has a good chin and will break him. Jacob also mentions that he predicted Prates' last fight correctly.
Prates has extensive kickboxing experience and excellent takedown defense, which should allow him to stuff Radtke's takedowns and pick him apart on the feet. Radtke has power but is less technical. Prates should eventually land a knockout, though the -230 line is a bit wide given Radtke's danger.
Paul is tempted by Radtke at plus money but is nervous about laying the price on Prates. He notes Prates' finishing ability but also his low volume and the fact that he was losing to Giles before the knockout. Paul considers it a dogger pass but might take Radtke.
The Guru picks Prates because he is more effective at range on the feet, with 78 inches of reach in welterweight. He notes Radtke looked bad against Blood Diamond and though he has KO power, Prates is younger and on a good win streak including kickboxing. He predicts a second-round TKO for Prates.
Charles Radtke - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Radtke | 0 | 24 of 47 | 51% | 121 of 164 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 9:07 |
| Francisco Prado | 0 | 29 of 66 | 43% | 41 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 2 | 1:50 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Radtke | 0 | 7 of 11 | 63% | 40 of 49 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:50 |
| Francisco Prado | 0 | 8 of 10 | 80% | 9 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Charles Radtke | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 41 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:09 |
| Francisco Prado | 0 | 10 of 22 | 45% | 17 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:40 | |
| 3 | Charles Radtke | 0 | 12 of 28 | 42% | 40 of 61 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:08 |
| Francisco Prado | 0 | 11 of 34 | 32% | 15 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Radtke | 24 of 47 | 51% | 24 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 13 |
| Francisco Prado | 29 of 66 | 43% | 16 of 46 | 9 of 12 | 4 of 8 | 17 of 45 | 1 of 3 | 11 of 18 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Radtke | 7 of 11 | 63% | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 |
| Francisco Prado | 8 of 10 | 80% | 2 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Charles Radtke | 5 of 8 | 62% | 5 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Francisco Prado | 10 of 22 | 45% | 7 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 14 | |
| 3 | Charles Radtke | 12 of 28 | 42% | 12 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 |
| Francisco Prado | 11 of 34 | 32% | 7 of 25 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 3 | 8 of 27 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 4 |
Angelo picks Charlie Radtke, citing his athletic grappling, powerful striking, and controlling ground game. He notes Radtke's tendency to slow down and be hittable but believes he has more tools than Prado. He expects a decision win, acknowledging Prado's toughness and durability despite his losing streak.
Big Brady is not high on Prado, noting he is undersized for welterweight and has only one UFC win. He thinks Radtke will be the bigger, stronger, more physical fighter with wrestling and jiu-jitsu. He expects Radtke to take down Prado and win by decision, as Prado is durable and has never been finished.
Cody also picks Prado, noting Radtke's low output and Prado's improved wrestling. He thinks Prado can scramble back to his feet and land damaging shots.
Connor picks Radtke based on his wrestling advantage and range tools. He notes that Prado's wrestling is terrible and Radtke can outwrestle him. He acknowledges Radtke's lack of durability but trusts his ability to control the fight with takedowns.
Daniel Vreeland picks Charles Radtke, believing he will dominate. He notes that Radtke is a full-sized welterweight with good cardio and fight IQ, while Prado is moving up and has not shown high-level skills. He thinks Radtke will win clear rounds, possibly by decision.
Daniel thinks Radtke has plateaued and is a finished product, while Prado is young, durable, and improving. He expects Prado to be too tough and enthusiastic.
James picks Radtke based on his grappling advantage, though he notes Radtke's weight cut issues. He expects a decision win via control.
Radtke's grappling and pressure should be enough to outwork Prado. Prado has a better gas tank and takedown defense than Radtke's last opponent, but Radtke's clinch and BJJ are strong. Prado's striking is his best path, but he often grapples unnecessarily. Radtke can grind out a decision, though the line is a bit steep for confidence.
Paul picks Prado as an underdog, believing his power and durability can overcome Radtke's low-volume wrestling. He thinks Prado can land a big shot or win a decision.
The MMA Guru picks Charles Radtke over Francisco Prado. He notes that Prado has lost four in a row and is a bit basic with a Mike Tyson style that hasn't worked at welterweight. Radtke has KO power and looked good against Brenneman, with a wrestling advantage and improved stand-up training with Belal Muhammad. He predicts a 29-28 decision win for Radtke.
Zane picks Radtke, agreeing that his wrestling will be the difference. He notes that Prado is durable but walks blindly into people, making him easy to take down. He acknowledges Radtke's chin issues but trusts his wrestling to secure the win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Radtke | 0 | 31 of 38 | 81% | 163 of 214 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 2 | 0 | 11:41 |
| Daniel Frunza | 0 | 6 of 24 | 25% | 68 of 102 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Radtke | 0 | 9 of 14 | 64% | 60 of 87 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:43 |
| Daniel Frunza | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 14 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Charles Radtke | 0 | 19 of 21 | 90% | 66 of 72 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 4:11 |
| Daniel Frunza | 0 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 45 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Charles Radtke | 0 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 37 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:47 |
| Daniel Frunza | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 9 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Radtke | 31 of 38 | 81% | 28 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 26 of 28 |
| Daniel Frunza | 6 of 24 | 25% | 4 of 16 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 4 | 6 of 22 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Radtke | 9 of 14 | 64% | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 7 |
| Daniel Frunza | 3 of 10 | 30% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 4 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Charles Radtke | 19 of 21 | 90% | 18 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 19 |
| Daniel Frunza | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Charles Radtke | 3 of 3 | 100% | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Daniel Frunza | 2 of 7 | 28% | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Charles Radtke, emphasizing his grappling advantage. He notes Radtke is a good grappler who can shoot doubles and control on top, while Frunza is a solid striker but easily taken down. He believes Radtke can finish on the ground and will include him in his lineup. He warns that Radtke sometimes slugs it out, which is a risk, but expects him to wrestle.
Big Brady picks Charles Radtke, calling Daniel Frunza's debut terrible and noting Frunza is hittable and has been finished in losses. He highlights Radtke's power, BJJ black belt, and training at Valley Flow. He thinks Radtke should wrestle and submit Frunza, but also sees a first-round finish on the feet. He predicts a first-round submission.
Connor also picks Radtke, citing his athleticism, speed, and power. He notes that technically Frunza may be better, but Frunza lacks physical durability and confidence, as shown in the McKee fight. He thinks Radtke's left hook will be decisive.
Lucrative James picks Daniel Frunza as the underdog, calling it a close fight. He notes Radtke's powerful left hook but also his tendency to overextend. Frunza is tough and has been tested in wars. James sees value in the underdog line and expects a competitive striking matchup, possibly ending in a knockout. He also mentions interest in betting the under.
Frunza is the superior striker and his defensive grappling has improved enough that Radtke will struggle to use his BJJ. Once forced to strike, Frunza will catch Radtke and knock him out. Surprised Frunza is at plus money.
The MMA Guru picks Charles Radtke, citing his power and the fact that Daniel Frunza was dropped multiple times by Reese McKee. He believes Radtke's hooks will be too much for Frunza, predicting a first round TKO. He notes Radtke's losses are to high-level fighters like Carlos Prates and Mike Malott.
Zane picks Radtke because he is a brainless goon with a power left hook, and nothing about Frunza suggests he can handle even one hard left hook. He notes that Frunza looked spooked when hit hard by Reese McKee and lacks durability and confidence. He expects a quick knockout.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Malott | 1 | 36 of 61 | 59% | 36 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Charles Radtke | 0 | 10 of 33 | 30% | 10 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Malott | 0 | 27 of 47 | 57% | 27 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Charles Radtke | 0 | 10 of 29 | 34% | 10 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Mike Malott | 1 | 9 of 14 | 64% | 9 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Charles Radtke | 0 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Malott | 36 of 61 | 59% | 21 of 42 | 5 of 9 | 10 of 10 | 28 of 51 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 7 |
| Charles Radtke | 10 of 33 | 30% | 9 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Malott | 27 of 47 | 57% | 12 of 29 | 5 of 8 | 10 of 10 | 25 of 44 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Charles Radtke | 10 of 29 | 34% | 9 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mike Malott | 9 of 14 | 64% | 9 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 7 |
| Charles Radtke | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-192), Radtke (+160)
Round 1
Halifax native Malott (11-2-1, 4-1 UFC) will attempt to put a bow on the prelims for his home country fans, and with 10 stoppages in his 11 pro wins, referee Marc Goddard will need to be on his A game. Standing across from him is a frustrated but very dangerous Radtke (10-4, 3-1 UFC), who does not like being booed even though he is in hostile territory. Tensions ran high at the weigh-ins as Radtke flipped off the crowd while draped in an American flag, and he will have the next 15 minutes or less to send an additional message. There is no touch of gloves to get going. Radtke reaches the center of the cage first, advancing forward and walking through a stomping kick to his knee so he can lash out with a right hand. Radtke dodges it and pushes off with a side kick, and he steps in with a left hand and a push kick. Malott sits down on a trio of punches to catch Radtke unaware, who tanks them well and responds with an overhand right. Malott kicks the lead knee a few more times, and he connects with a left hand over the top. Crude chants against Radtke rain down, who is promptly kicked in the ribs by the Canadian. Malott pins a one-two on the chin, and he dances out of the way of a counter. Malott sits down in four crisp punches, with Radtke’s chin holding up well. The chants rain down again, directing Radtke to do something inappropriate as Malott wraps a head kick around his guard and chains a spinning back kick into it. Radtke plods forward, clubbing Malott with a pair of hooks. Malott aims a front kick and connects at the end of a one-two, and he continues to beat on Radtke’s knee. The chants come a third time, and Malott channels that energy by kicking “Chuck Buffalo” in the head. Radtke swarms him, catching Malott with several punches that shake him up. Malott responds with a knee to the gut and breaks off, kicking the front leg on the way out. The punches from the American bust Malott’s nose open, who crashes the pocket and misses the mark with a swinging left. Malott connects with a body kick, leaning back to avoid a left hand and working on Radtke’s knee again. Radtke eats a few punches to swing on Malott, and the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Round 2
The fighters meet in the middle, and they promptly throw hands. Malott backs off, parrying the advancing Radtke and blasting him with a left hook that makes him crash into the cage. Malott whiffs on a high kick as Radtke circles away to get his bearings, and he walks the American down and plants a one-two square on his forehead.
This time, Malott does not stop with two punches, and the third, a crisp left hook, sends “Chuck Buffalo” collapsing to his seat. Radtke lays on his back clutching his head, and Malott sprints towards him and bombards him with five blistering punches that knock Radtke all the way out and back in again. As the Canadian drums Radtke’s skull off the cage floor, blood spraying from his busted jaw, Goddard runs towards them to stop the fight
. The audience that had already voiced full-throated support for their man goes ballistic, and it is deafening in the building. “Proper Mike” hoists the Canadian flag and climbs to the top of the cage, waving it in the air as he drinks in all the love in the building. Radtke sits up and tries to stand, but he has to be helped to the stool. Malott goes to shake hands with everyone willing to engage him, and he slams his hand on the corner post of a sponsor to make a point. The fighters shake hands, burying any beef that had developed during the week.
The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Charlie Radtke R2 0:26 via KO (Punches)
Angelo picks Mike Malott as the better fighter but expresses concern about his quit against Neil Magny. He notes Malott is faster and more athletic, but Radtke is tough and could surge late. He has already placed a parlay with Malott and Jasmine Jasudavicius at plus money. He hopes Malott has learned from his loss.
Big Brady questions Mike Malott's heart, cardio, and chin, noting he was broken by Neil Magny. He thinks Radtke is physically strong, has great takedown defense, and possesses a powerful left hook. He predicts Radtke will land that left hook and knock out Malott in the second round, as Malott is hittable and has a suspect chin.
The host has low confidence but believes Malott is the technically superior striker who can thwart Radtke's aggression. He suggests the fight likely won't go to decision and expects Malott to get a submission or KO.
The MMA Guru picks Radtke, citing his initial instinct that Radtke would chin Malott. He thinks Radtke's pressure, left hook, and volume will overwhelm Malott, who has a suspect nose and struggled against pressure in the Gall fight. He predicts a first-round TKO, noting Radtke's power and Malott's potential grappling disadvantage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Radtke | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Matthew Semelsberger | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Radtke | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Matthew Semelsberger | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Radtke | 2 of 8 | 25% | 1 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Matthew Semelsberger | 7 of 12 | 58% | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Radtke | 2 of 8 | 25% | 1 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Matthew Semelsberger | 7 of 12 | 58% | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Charles Radtke because he believes Radtke will land the better shots and get takedowns. He notes Radtke is an athletic grappler with power, while Semelsberger is an aggressive striker with poor takedown defense (45%). He thinks Semelsberger's toughness will keep him in the fight but doesn't see him winning. He also likes the over 1.5 rounds line if available, as both are tough.
Big Brady likes Radtke's multiple paths to victory: power on the feet and a clear grappling advantage. He criticizes Semelsberger's poor takedown defense and low volume, noting that Radtke is a BJJ black belt with submission wins. He predicts a second-round submission.
Cody sees this as a coin flip but leans Radtke due to Semelsberger's poor takedown defense and recent losses. He notes Radtke's smart game plan against Blood Diamond and his clinch work. Cody expects Radtke to neutralize Semelsberger's striking with wrestling and cage control.
Connor picks Radtke, citing Semelsberger's broken confidence and inability to deal with Radtke's lead left hook. He notes Semelsberger has been second-guessing himself and overthinking, while Radtke has a simple one-punch game. Connor thinks Semelsberger will just eat the left hook or try to avoid it without a clear answer.
Daniel Vreeland reluctantly picks Matthew Semelsberger as a dog, citing his knockdown power and experience. He worries about Semelsberger's mental toughness and tendency to let opponents back into fights, but believes Charles Radtke is still green and not worth laying a price on. Vreeland notes Semelsberger has won as a dog before.
Radtke is expected to do enough in the striking to get his offense off, then take the fight to the ground where he can find a finish in the first or second round.
Paul agrees, citing Semelsberger's declining durability and takedown defense. He worries about Radtke's size disadvantage but thinks Radtke's wrestling and left hook can get the job done. Paul plans to include Radtke in parlays.
The Guru picks Matthew Semelsberger as an underdog, citing his reach advantage and ability to beat Jake Matthews. He criticizes Radtke's performance against Mike Malott and believes Semelsberger will finally get a TKO finish without fumbling. He notes Semelsberger is on a three-fight losing streak and has his back against the wall.
Zane picks Radtke, agreeing with Connor. He describes Semelsberger as deep in the shit, unable to figure out his game, and distractible. Zane notes Semelsberger got outstruck by Preston Parsons, who is straightforward, and that Radtke's simple left hook will be effective. He says 'I'm taking Radtke'.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Prates | 0 | 14 of 27 | 51% | 33 of 48 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Charles Radtke | 1 | 15 of 36 | 41% | 15 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Prates | 0 | 14 of 27 | 51% | 33 of 48 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Charles Radtke | 1 | 15 of 36 | 41% | 15 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Prates | 14 of 27 | 51% | 7 of 19 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 13 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Charles Radtke | 15 of 36 | 41% | 5 of 19 | 4 of 10 | 6 of 7 | 15 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Prates | 14 of 27 | 51% | 7 of 19 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 13 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Charles Radtke | 15 of 36 | 41% | 5 of 19 | 4 of 10 | 6 of 7 | 15 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Prates (-238), Radtke (+195)
Round 1
Welterweights take center stage next, and one of these two unheralded competitors will be forced to suffer their first UFC loss while the other will maintain either a seven- or nine-fight win streak. Victorious in his last six, Radtke (9-3, 2-0 UFC) puts that on the line against Brazilian striker Prates (18-6, 1-0 UFC), who has not lost since a One Championship appearance in 2019. Drawing the charge will be referee Blake Grice, and the intense showdown kicks off without a glove touch. Radtke switches stances several times to work his way forward, while Prates kicks at his foe’s knee to push him back. Radtke whips a low kick as Prates recoils his leg, and a Prates head kick bounces harmlessly off the guard. Radtke punches his way into a single-leg takedown entry, pushing “Carlao” against the fence and holding up a leg. With Prates bent over, Radtke bops Prates many times with short, annoying punches, and he breaks off and lands one heavy right hand. Prates nails his foe’s front calf with a kick, and after Radtke flies by with a kick, he scores his own leg kick. Radtke has another kick land with a thud, and he winds up everything into a right hook that flies by his opponent. Radtke crashes forward in pursuit of a single, and he lets it go and misses with an overhand right. Two punches from Radtke miss the mark, but a leg kick does connect. Prates bobs and weaves his way forward, and he has his head snapped back by a right hand. Prates blasts the front leg with a kick, and Radtke starts limping as swelling forms almost immediately. Prates leans back from the counter and tags “Chuck Buffalo” with a right, and he backs off as Radtke tries to let him have it. A fake takedown from Radtke is stifled when Prates pokes him in the eye, and Grice calls time and lets Radtke take about 20 seconds to blink it out. When they resume, Prates starts to stalk his man down, his hands low and allowing him to eat a right hand so he can throw punches from strange angles. Radtke sneaks in a left hand before his lead leg is kicked hard, and Prates measures him with a straight left hand and lets out a woo.
The Brazilian rips a knee to the liver as clean as can be, and Radtke hits the deck and is completely done. Prates walks off, knowing his work here is done, and Grice waves off the fight.
The victorious “Carlao” goes over to Radtke’s corner, where he yells something at upcoming title challenger Belal Muhammad. With that crushing stoppage on the board, this is the first finish of the night and the first knockout in quite some time.
The Official Result
Carlos Prates def. Charlie Radtke R1 4:47 via KO (Knee to the Body)
Angelo leans Charles Radtke, but with low confidence. He notes that Radtke is a grappler who has shown good hands recently, while Prates is a dangerous striker but low volume. He thinks Radtke's forward pressure and takedowns could be key, but if he rushes in recklessly, he could get knocked out. He sees it as a close fight where Radtke's pressure might be the difference.
Big Brady picks Charles Radtke as a big underdog to win by first-round knockout. He thinks Prates is overrated and notes that Prates was losing to Trevin Giles before a comeback KO. He believes Radtke can make it a brawl and potentially knock Prates out, though he acknowledges Prates has advantages in height, reach, and youth.
Cody picks Radtke as an underdog, noting that Prates has low volume and questionable durability, as seen in his fight against Trevin Giles. Radtke is aggressive, has power, and is a BJJ black belt with multiple win conditions. Cody believes Radtke can pressure Prates, take him down, or knock him out. He sees value in the plus money.
Daniel is confident in Prates, citing his Muay Thai, reach, experience, and finishing ability. He compares Prates to Anderson Silva in terms of length and southpaw stance, and expects a highlight-reel knockout. He notes Radtke is well-rounded but not special anywhere, and that Prates' seasoning and physical advantages should prevail.
Jacob is very confident in Charles Radtke, calling him the lock of the week. He praises Radtke's toughness, pressure, and grappling. He thinks Radtke will push Prates against the cage, take him down, and likely submit him. He notes that Prates has no plan B and relies on one-punch power, but Radtke has a good chin and will break him. Jacob also mentions that he predicted Prates' last fight correctly.
Prates has extensive kickboxing experience and excellent takedown defense, which should allow him to stuff Radtke's takedowns and pick him apart on the feet. Radtke has power but is less technical. Prates should eventually land a knockout, though the -230 line is a bit wide given Radtke's danger.
Paul is tempted by Radtke at plus money but is nervous about laying the price on Prates. He notes Prates' finishing ability but also his low volume and the fact that he was losing to Giles before the knockout. Paul considers it a dogger pass but might take Radtke.
The Guru picks Prates because he is more effective at range on the feet, with 78 inches of reach in welterweight. He notes Radtke looked bad against Blood Diamond and though he has KO power, Prates is younger and on a good win streak including kickboxing. He predicts a second-round TKO for Prates.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Radtke | 0 | 16 of 38 | 42% | 16 of 38 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Gilbert Urbina | 2 | 30 of 47 | 63% | 33 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Radtke | 0 | 16 of 38 | 42% | 16 of 38 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Gilbert Urbina | 2 | 30 of 47 | 63% | 33 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Radtke | 16 of 38 | 42% | 4 of 17 | 6 of 10 | 6 of 11 | 16 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gilbert Urbina | 30 of 47 | 63% | 23 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 | 27 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Radtke | 16 of 38 | 42% | 4 of 17 | 6 of 10 | 6 of 11 | 16 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gilbert Urbina | 30 of 47 | 63% | 23 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 | 27 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 |
Angelo picks Gilbert Urbina, citing his cardio and pace as key factors. He notes that Urbina's takedown defense is a concern but believes his early pace will be too much for Radtke. He has Urbina in a parlay but only one bet to avoid overexposure.
Big Brady picks Charles Radtke to win by second-round submission. He notes that Urbina's last win came against a compromised Orion Coy, and he has questions about Urbina's durability and cardio. Radtke has power in his hands and solid defensive grappling. Brady expects Urbina to have early success with takedowns, but Radtke will find the chin and knock him out. He thinks people are overrating Urbina and underrating Radtke.
Cody picks Urbina, criticizing Radtke's limited skills and poor performance against Blood Diamond. He notes Urbina's youth, size advantage, and improving striking and wrestling. He expects Urbina to win by decision or late finish.
Urbina has range management and a strong top game, and should be able to grind out a finish. However, Radtke is a live underdog with good wrestling and power, and there are questions about his gas tank and durability. The host is not super confident but picks Urbina to win inside the distance.
Paul picks Urbina, highlighting the size difference and Radtke's inability to push around a bigger fighter. He notes Urbina's losses are to solid prospects and expects him to handle Radtke's pressure.
The MMA Guru picks Gilbert Urbina over Charles Radtke, predicting a second-round finish. He criticizes Radtke's performance against Blood Diamond, calling it pathetic, and compares Radtke to Ryan Koischeck. He believes Urbina will have similar success as he did against Koischeck, and notes Urbina's only losses are to Brian Battle and Sean Brady.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Radtke | 0 | 44 of 94 | 46% | 75 of 136 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Mike Mathetha | 0 | 35 of 76 | 46% | 63 of 112 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 9:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Radtke | 0 | 4 of 13 | 30% | 9 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mike Mathetha | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 18 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:55 | |
| 2 | Charles Radtke | 0 | 13 of 34 | 38% | 24 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Mike Mathetha | 0 | 20 of 39 | 51% | 25 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:43 | |
| 3 | Charles Radtke | 0 | 27 of 47 | 57% | 42 of 69 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Mike Mathetha | 0 | 11 of 26 | 42% | 20 of 38 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Radtke | 44 of 94 | 46% | 19 of 58 | 19 of 28 | 6 of 8 | 19 of 58 | 25 of 36 | 0 of 0 |
| Mike Mathetha | 35 of 76 | 46% | 31 of 72 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 59 | 8 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Radtke | 4 of 13 | 30% | 2 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Mike Mathetha | 4 of 11 | 36% | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 8 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Charles Radtke | 13 of 34 | 38% | 2 of 17 | 8 of 12 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 22 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Mike Mathetha | 20 of 39 | 51% | 18 of 37 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 31 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Charles Radtke | 27 of 47 | 57% | 15 of 30 | 9 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 26 | 16 of 21 | 0 of 0 |
| Mike Mathetha | 11 of 26 | 42% | 9 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 20 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is shooting his shot on Blood Diamond as a two-to-one underdog. He notes that Charlie Radtke is a big favorite but has questionable cardio and gets hit by regional-level fighters. If Blood Diamond can defend takedowns, his striking should be too much. Angelo plans to look for a KO prop at plus money when props drop.
Big Brady picks Charlie Radtke but is not confident laying the price. He notes Radtke's good jiu-jitsu and submission skills, but worries he hasn't wrestled much. He thinks if Radtke gets takedowns, he will submit Blood Diamond. He predicts a second-round submission.
Cody picks Mathetha as a value underdog, arguing that the line is inaccurate and that Radtke's wrestling may not be as effective as expected. He notes that Mathetha has a kickboxing background and could win if the fight stays standing. Cody is tempted by the plus money and sees this as a potential upset.
Daniel Levi picks Charlie Radtke but is not confident in the price. He thinks Radtke is overhyped and not as special as people claim. However, he gives Radtke the edge due to more MMA experience and offensive grappling. Levi notes that Mathetha has been off for over a year and could have improved his grappling, but until he sees it, he picks against him.
Radtke is a CFFC welterweight champion with a BJJ black belt, recently winning by submission. He closes distance well and uses trips and throws to get fights to the ground. Blood Diamond is a kickboxer who has been fed grapplers and is still seeking his first UFC win. Radtke should be competitive on the feet and then take the fight to the mat, working for a submission within the under 2.5 round mark. The pick is Radtke by submission.
Paul picks Radtke, citing his superior grappling and submission skills. He notes that Mathetha has poor takedown defense and that Radtke should be able to secure a submission. Paul likes the Radtke by submission prop and believes Radtke will win this fight even if he loses every other fight in the UFC.
The MMA Guru picks Charlie Radtke over Mike Mathetha (Blood Diamond), despite acknowledging that Radtke may not be UFC caliber. He notes that Mathetha has significant holes in his game, particularly in grappling, and is old (34-35) to make adjustments. Radtke has a win over Raheem Forrest, a regional prospect, and showed grappling ability by choking him out after getting rocked. He believes Radtke will outgrapple Mathetha and submit him in the first round.
Expert Picks (8)
Angelo leans Charles Radtke, but with low confidence. He notes that Radtke is a grappler who has shown good hands recently, while Prates is a dangerous striker but low volume. He thinks Radtke's forward pressure and takedowns could be key, but if he rushes in recklessly, he could get knocked out. He sees it as a close fight where Radtke's pressure might be the difference.
Big Brady picks Charles Radtke as a big underdog to win by first-round knockout. He thinks Prates is overrated and notes that Prates was losing to Trevin Giles before a comeback KO. He believes Radtke can make it a brawl and potentially knock Prates out, though he acknowledges Prates has advantages in height, reach, and youth.
Cody picks Radtke as an underdog, noting that Prates has low volume and questionable durability, as seen in his fight against Trevin Giles. Radtke is aggressive, has power, and is a BJJ black belt with multiple win conditions. Cody believes Radtke can pressure Prates, take him down, or knock him out. He sees value in the plus money.
Daniel is confident in Prates, citing his Muay Thai, reach, experience, and finishing ability. He compares Prates to Anderson Silva in terms of length and southpaw stance, and expects a highlight-reel knockout. He notes Radtke is well-rounded but not special anywhere, and that Prates' seasoning and physical advantages should prevail.
Jacob is very confident in Charles Radtke, calling him the lock of the week. He praises Radtke's toughness, pressure, and grappling. He thinks Radtke will push Prates against the cage, take him down, and likely submit him. He notes that Prates has no plan B and relies on one-punch power, but Radtke has a good chin and will break him. Jacob also mentions that he predicted Prates' last fight correctly.
Prates has extensive kickboxing experience and excellent takedown defense, which should allow him to stuff Radtke's takedowns and pick him apart on the feet. Radtke has power but is less technical. Prates should eventually land a knockout, though the -230 line is a bit wide given Radtke's danger.
Paul is tempted by Radtke at plus money but is nervous about laying the price on Prates. He notes Prates' finishing ability but also his low volume and the fact that he was losing to Giles before the knockout. Paul considers it a dogger pass but might take Radtke.
The Guru picks Prates because he is more effective at range on the feet, with 78 inches of reach in welterweight. He notes Radtke looked bad against Blood Diamond and though he has KO power, Prates is younger and on a good win streak including kickboxing. He predicts a second-round TKO for Prates.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!