vs
+220 -270
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · Apr 08, 2023 · Women's Strawweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
Age 33
Height 5' 5"
Reach 64.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 30
Height 5' 3"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Sam Hughes
4.41 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
4.69 SApM
58.0% Str. Def.
1.12 TD Avg
29.0% TD Acc.
63.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Jaqueline Amorim
2.43 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
2.16 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
2.16 TD Avg
36.0% TD Acc.
0.0% TD Def.
3.8 Sub. Avg
Sam Hughes
Moneyline
FanDuel +220
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1300
Submission
BetWay +1800
Decision
BetMGM +375
Jaqueline Amorim
Moneyline
FanDuel -270
KO/TKO
FanDuel +1000
Submission
BetMGM +150
Decision
BetRivers +300
Sam Hughes - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · Mar 14, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Piera RodrĂ­guez 0 107 of 231 46% 111 of 237 1 of 6 16% 0 0 2:35
Sam Hughes 0 77 of 144 53% 91 of 160 0 of 7 0% 0 0 0:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Piera RodrĂ­guez 0 40 of 85 47% 41 of 87 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:04
Sam Hughes 0 33 of 43 76% 37 of 47 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:22
2 Piera RodrĂ­guez 0 30 of 63 47% 32 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:14
Sam Hughes 0 22 of 37 59% 27 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Piera RodrĂ­guez 0 37 of 83 44% 38 of 84 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:17
Sam Hughes 0 22 of 64 34% 27 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Piera RodrĂ­guez 107 of 231 46% 52 of 163 45 of 55 10 of 13 72 of 188 34 of 42 1 of 1
Sam Hughes 77 of 144 53% 47 of 110 13 of 17 17 of 17 65 of 132 12 of 12 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Piera RodrĂ­guez 40 of 85 47% 18 of 59 16 of 19 6 of 7 29 of 70 11 of 15 0 of 0
Sam Hughes 33 of 43 76% 13 of 23 9 of 9 11 of 11 30 of 40 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Piera RodrĂ­guez 30 of 63 47% 15 of 46 13 of 15 2 of 2 17 of 48 12 of 14 1 of 1
Sam Hughes 22 of 37 59% 16 of 29 2 of 4 4 of 4 18 of 33 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Piera RodrĂ­guez 37 of 83 44% 19 of 58 16 of 21 2 of 4 26 of 70 11 of 13 0 of 0
Sam Hughes 22 of 64 34% 18 of 58 2 of 4 2 of 2 17 of 59 5 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Mar 8, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Piera RodrĂ­guez

Angelo picks Piera RodrĂ­guez but is hesitant. He thinks RodrĂ­guez's takedowns will be the key, as Sam Hughes's takedown defense has not been great. However, he warns that Las Vegas judges may not value wrestling, and if Hughes is busier on the feet, she could get the decision. He would not bet RodrĂ­guez and prefers Hughes as a dog.

"But is going to be the pick. Sam is a great dog. That plus three and a half bet a literal guarantee."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Piera RodrĂ­guez

Big Brady picks Piera RodrĂ­guez to win by decision, citing her improved cardio and wrestling since their first fight. He notes her elite takedown numbers (4.5 per 15 minutes, 54% accuracy) and believes she will mix in takedowns and control the fight. He sees the rematch playing out similarly to the first, with RodrĂ­guez winning rounds 1 and 2 and possibly not slowing down in round 3.

"give me Piera Rodriguez. Give me Piera Rodriguez to win by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

Cody picks Hughes as a dog, citing her toughness, scrambling, and striking advantage. He notes RodrĂ­guez's takedowns don't lead to control. He thinks Hughes can outwork her and win a decision.

"Sam He at the very least, you know, she's going to fight for your dollar because she's rugged, man."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Piera RodrĂ­guez

Connor also picks RodrĂ­guez, emphasizing that she was consistently ahead in the first fight and has the speed and technical edge. He notes that Hughes's wins come against inexperienced fighters, while RodrĂ­guez is more well-rounded. He sees the rematch as unnecessary but expects a similar outcome.

RodrĂ­guez opened at -200, currently -156; Hughes opened at +170, currently +136
"Yeah, I don't really see the reason to do this again. You know, Sam Hughes can win it and does win it. I don't see the reason to do this again."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Mar 8, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

James picks Sam Hughes as an underdog, expecting a close decision. He notes Hughes' improved takedown defense and cardio, and believes she can win by outworking RodrĂ­guez. He acknowledges RodrĂ­guez's grappling advantage but thinks Hughes can edge a split decision.

"I'm going to pick Sam Hughes. F it."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

The host believes Sam Hughes has improved since their first fight, particularly in strength and conditioning, and that her pressure and volume will be key. He notes that Hughes has better takedown defense now and can get back to her feet quickly, negating Rodriguez's clinch advantage. He expects Hughes to outdamage Rodriguez and win a decision, citing that rematches often play out differently and Hughes is the one who has improved more.

"I'm going to go Hughes here. I like her as the dog."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 11, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Piera RodrĂ­guez

Paul leans RodrĂ­guez, citing her wrestling and previous win over Hughes. He thinks she can get takedowns and control. He acknowledges it's close but favors the wrestler.

"Minus 150 seems oddly fair for something like the biggest question kind of answered in that first fight, was it not?"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2026 (fight day)
Piera RodrĂ­guez

The Guru picks Piera RodrĂ­guez to win the rematch, believing she will improve her striking and that her grappling will be more recognized by the judges this time. He notes that in the first fight, RodrĂ­guez outgrappled Hughes but lost due to striking, and he thinks RodrĂ­guez's youth gives her more room to improve. He predicts a split decision or 29-28.

"I'm actually going to take her to win this time around... Split decision, maybe a 29-28."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Piera RodrĂ­guez

Zane picks Piera RodrĂ­guez, noting that she was faster and stronger in the first fight and controlled the grappling exchanges. He believes Hughes struggles against fighters with better athleticism and that RodrĂ­guez's speed and technical edge will again be decisive. He acknowledges a chance for Hughes if she comes in more aggressive, but sees RodrĂ­guez as the likely winner.

RodrĂ­guez opened at -200, currently -156; Hughes opened at +170, currently +136
"Yeah, I don't really see the reason to do this again. You know, Sam Hughes can win it and does win it. I don't see the reason to do this again."
WIN vs Shauna Bannon
Submission R2 1:58 · UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · Sep 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Shauna Bannon 0 13 of 38 34% 42 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Sam Hughes 0 21 of 46 45% 55 of 84 2 of 3 66% 1 0 5:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Shauna Bannon 0 7 of 21 33% 33 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Sam Hughes 0 13 of 29 44% 45 of 65 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:09
2 Shauna Bannon 0 6 of 17 35% 9 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sam Hughes 0 8 of 17 47% 10 of 19 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Shauna Bannon 13 of 38 34% 5 of 20 4 of 9 4 of 9 12 of 33 1 of 3 0 of 2
Sam Hughes 21 of 46 45% 19 of 43 2 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 21 3 of 5 14 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Shauna Bannon 7 of 21 33% 3 of 10 2 of 6 2 of 5 6 of 18 1 of 3 0 of 0
Sam Hughes 13 of 29 44% 11 of 27 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 14 2 of 3 9 of 12
2 Shauna Bannon 6 of 17 35% 2 of 10 2 of 3 2 of 4 6 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 2
Sam Hughes 8 of 17 47% 8 of 16 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 7 1 of 2 5 of 8
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Shauna Bannon vs. Sam Hughes
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hughes (-310); Bannon (+250)

Round 1
After a week to catch our collective breaths, the UFC sallies forth to Paris. As part of its annual French fight card series, local fans will be treated to a bevy of European athletes with decent matchups. It all comes to a head with French fighters in the main and co-main attractions, but before then, there are 11 more fights to get through. We commence the festivities with the sole women’s match on the card, one that will play out at strawweight. Bannon (7-1, 2-1 UFC) will look to keep her momentum going as she clashes with .500 UFC fighter Hughes (10-6, 5-5 UFC) who may be better than her resume appears. The two 115ers will be joined in the Octagon by referee Lukasz Bosacki, who clocks them in as they rush towards one another without a fist bump in sight. It’s on with the show.
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They both strike at the same time to greet one another, and Hughes lands cleaner and gest Bannon’s attention right off the bat. Reddening up the Irishwoman’s nose with her fists, she prompts Bannon into shooting in for a takedown. Hughes turns the tables against her and tackles her to the mat, and various chants in French boom throughout the surprisingly populated building. When Bannon closes up her guard and slows Hughes down, members of the audience start wooing rudely. Bosacki calls for more action before long, and the crowd starts to turn on the strawweights as the grind has been embraced two minutes in. Bannon lifts her right leg up for a rubber guard, but Hughes completely ignores it and retains heavy chest pressure.
As little else happens besides a few Hughes punches, Bosacki calls for them to do something more. “Sampage” listens this time around, and she slugs Bannon with several powerful blows. Bannon’s eyes go wide as she takes fire, and she grabs hold of Hughes to slow her down. Hughes looks to pass guard, and Bannon uses upkicks to push off her foe’s chest. The upkicks do not slow Hughes, who steps over to a crucifix position and starts hammering “Mama B” with elbows. Bosacki asks for Bannon to fight back as Hughes thumps Bannon up with her elbows, and Bannon desperately bucks to get her arm free and drags Hughes back to half guard. Hughes explodes over to take the back briefly during a scramble, and she settles for side control so she can beat down Bannon further. When Bannon sits up, Hughes tries for a no-hook rear-naked choke. The Irish fighter is able to escape the choke and work to her feet with the wall behind her, and Hughes knees her in the face and pops her with a left hand before the bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hughes
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Hughes
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Hughes

Round 2
The ladies get right to business, with Bannon knowing she dropped the round and starting off aggressively. Kicks from the Irish athlete fly to all targets, as she sets up one high by starting on the lead leg. Hughes shrugs it off and counters with an overhand right, and a bit of a mouse develops under her left eye. Hughes is tough as nails as she catches a head kick and slings Bannon to the mat, where she punches her foe all the way down to the canvas. Hughes sits comfortably in an open guard, and Bannon hooks her fingers inside of her opponent’s gloves. Bosacki warns her for the foul, and Hughes punishes her for this by bashing her with heavy ground-and-pound. “Sampage” works her way to side control, where she hunts for another crucifix position—perhaps emulating the recent success of middleweight champ Khamzat Chimaev—and this makes Bannon scramble like a madwoman. Hughes allows her to turn because she has set a trap. When Bannon posts of her hands to sit up, her neck is exposed and Hughes knows it.
Hughes snatches up a textbook rear-naked choke, looping both hooks in and securing her grip beneath the chin. Bannon knows her goose is cooked, and she has no choice but to tap out.
The victorious American has performed her first submission—and second finish overall—in the Octagon, while handing Bannon her first stoppage loss as a pro.

The Official Result
Sam Hughes def. Shauna Bannon R2 1:58 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Aug 31, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

Angelo is extremely confident in Sam Hughes, calling her his most confident pick on the entire card. He criticizes Shauna Bannon's unorthodox and ineffective striking style, describing her as having low fight IQ and a 'weirdo fight style.' He believes Hughes' relentless pressure, cardio, and grinding ability will overwhelm Bannon, leading to takedowns and forward pressure. He notes the line has moved from -250 to -320 and expects it to go even higher. He also mentions the over 2.5 rounds as a prop.

over 2.5 rounds
"Sam Hughes is my most confident pick on this card. Period. End of story."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

Big Brady picks Sam Hughes, noting she is a favorite for the first time in her UFC career. He believes this is her easiest fight yet, citing her pressure, cardio, and pace. He mentions she can mix in grappling but is not willing to bet at -310. He predicts a decision win.

Sam Hughes by decision
"Sam Hughes should be able to win this fight. You know, do the better work pretty much wherever the fight goes."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

The host believes Sam Hughes is a great matchup to expose Shauna Bannon as not a UFC-level talent. He expects Hughes to control the fight from the start with her pressure striking or takedowns and top control, grinding out a decision win.

"I feel like this is a great fight for Sam Hughes to showcase that Bannon is not a UFC level talent."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

The Guru picks Sam Hughes because she has a clear method of victory: her wrestling and gritty cardio. He criticizes Shauna Bannon for lacking any standout skill, noting her win over Pujitoma was circumstantial. He expects Hughes to win a close decision by securing takedowns at the end of rounds, which often sways judges in women's MMA.

"I'm going to go with Sam Hughes to win this in the early prelim opener."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · Mar 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Stephanie Luciano 0 82 of 251 32% 101 of 273 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:15
Sam Hughes 0 76 of 152 50% 146 of 233 3 of 8 37% 1 0 4:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Stephanie Luciano 0 42 of 104 40% 52 of 114 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Sam Hughes 0 35 of 68 51% 42 of 75 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:47
2 Stephanie Luciano 0 18 of 44 40% 20 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sam Hughes 0 13 of 29 44% 71 of 98 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:19
3 Stephanie Luciano 0 22 of 103 21% 29 of 112 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:00
Sam Hughes 0 28 of 55 50% 33 of 60 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Stephanie Luciano 82 of 251 32% 45 of 202 23 of 34 14 of 15 79 of 246 3 of 5 0 of 0
Sam Hughes 76 of 152 50% 43 of 113 15 of 20 18 of 19 69 of 144 3 of 4 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Stephanie Luciano 42 of 104 40% 21 of 76 13 of 19 8 of 9 41 of 102 1 of 2 0 of 0
Sam Hughes 35 of 68 51% 21 of 48 6 of 11 8 of 9 32 of 64 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Stephanie Luciano 18 of 44 40% 9 of 35 7 of 7 2 of 2 16 of 41 2 of 3 0 of 0
Sam Hughes 13 of 29 44% 8 of 24 1 of 1 4 of 4 9 of 25 0 of 0 4 of 4
3 Stephanie Luciano 22 of 103 21% 15 of 91 3 of 8 4 of 4 22 of 103 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sam Hughes 28 of 55 50% 14 of 41 8 of 8 6 of 6 28 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Stephanie Luciano

Angelo picks Stephanie Luciano over Sam Hughes. He believes Luciano is better everywhere—striking, wrestling, and cardio. He notes that Hughes is a pressure fighter but Luciano won't fade early. He also mentions the plus 3.5 round line as a potential value bet on Hughes.

Sam Hughes +3.5 round line
"Stephanie luchano is going to be the pick and honestly if the odds are just who wins this fight I think the odds are correct."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Stephanie Luciano

Big Brady picks Stephanie Luciano, noting her excellent cardio and output, which should allow her to maintain pace for all 15 minutes. He observes that Sam Hughes' wins come against opponents who slow down after the first 7-8 minutes, but Luciano won't fade. Brady thinks if Luciano can stuff takedowns, she will pick Hughes apart on the feet. He predicts a decision win but does not like the -225 price.

Luciano by decision
"I like Luciano here... I think she wins a decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (fight day)

Cody picks Yur Medeiros, but with low confidence due to his volatile style and durability issues. He notes that Medeiros is a finisher but has been knocked out. He prefers the under on the fight, expecting a finish. He considers Gilbert Urbina as a dog play because of the high line.

Under 1.5 rounds at -155
"I think I this just feels like unders uh for me whether it's fight doesn't or you know I don't know if that line even still exists but uh if you can find an under two and a half and …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Jan 31, 2024 (409 days before fight)

Daniel does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses the matchup briefly but does not state a preference or bet.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Stephanie Luciano

The host believes Luciano's striking advantage will prove decisive, though the fight might be closer than odds indicate. He expects Luciano to land more damage and win on the scorecards.

Hughes is always a dog at plus money
"I believe hu uh Luciano's striking Advantage here will prove prove fo for for her it might play out closer than the odds indicate and Hughes is always a dog when she's uh at this plus money but I still …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 6, 2025 (fight day)

Paul picks Gilbert Urbina as a dog, citing Medeiros's inconsistency and durability issues. He notes that Urbina has a reach advantage and has been off for a while, possibly making improvements. He believes the line is too high and that Urbina has a chance to win, especially if he can avoid early knockout.

"I'm going to take Gilbert or Beina. Strictly a system play. Too big of a line. If one of these big favorites is is is going to do something stupid, it's probably Euros Medic that kind of fights like a, …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Stephanie Luciano

The MMA Guru picks Stephanie Luciano, citing her improved takedown defense after facing an opponent who shot 24 takedowns in her last fight. He notes she's tall for the division with nasty striking, planting her feet when she throws punches. He dismisses Sam Hughes as a 'fraud checker' who has beaten prospects but thinks Luciano's takedown defense and striking will be too much. He also suggests judges might rob Hughes even if she wins, so he's confident in Luciano.

"I'm going to go of Stephanie Luciano I don't think the judges will even let Sam Hughes get another fraud check at women's MMA I just don't think so"
Decision (split) (27–30, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sam Hughes 0 61 of 144 42% 104 of 199 3 of 10 30% 0 0 4:38
Viktoriia Dudakova 0 97 of 193 50% 139 of 240 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sam Hughes 0 25 of 66 37% 34 of 79 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:24
Viktoriia Dudakova 0 30 of 70 42% 39 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:33
2 Sam Hughes 0 25 of 53 47% 34 of 65 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:23
Viktoriia Dudakova 0 41 of 80 51% 54 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
3 Sam Hughes 0 11 of 25 44% 36 of 55 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:51
Viktoriia Dudakova 0 26 of 43 60% 46 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sam Hughes 61 of 144 42% 45 of 122 15 of 21 1 of 1 50 of 125 11 of 19 0 of 0
Viktoriia Dudakova 97 of 193 50% 65 of 147 24 of 38 8 of 8 86 of 179 6 of 9 5 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sam Hughes 25 of 66 37% 16 of 54 9 of 12 0 of 0 17 of 53 8 of 13 0 of 0
Viktoriia Dudakova 30 of 70 42% 19 of 51 7 of 15 4 of 4 26 of 64 4 of 6 0 of 0
2 Sam Hughes 25 of 53 47% 19 of 46 6 of 7 0 of 0 22 of 48 3 of 5 0 of 0
Viktoriia Dudakova 41 of 80 51% 29 of 66 10 of 12 2 of 2 39 of 77 1 of 2 1 of 1
3 Sam Hughes 11 of 25 44% 10 of 22 0 of 2 1 of 1 11 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0
Viktoriia Dudakova 26 of 43 60% 17 of 30 7 of 11 2 of 2 21 of 38 1 of 1 4 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Viktoriia Dudakova

Angelo picks Dudakova but is hesitant because the odds are too high for a close fight. He thinks Dudakova is the better fighter skill-for-skill and expects her to wrestle early, but warns that if she lets Hughes pressure, she could have a tough night. He advises against betting the moneyline and recommends the over 2.5 rounds.

Over 2.5 rounds; do not bet moneyline
"I'm going to pick Victoria dudova... these odds are atrocious do not bet on Victoria dudova don't touch the money line Hammer the over two and a half"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Viktoriia Dudakova

Big Brady acknowledges Sam Hughes is a live dog but thinks Dudakova can go the full 15 minutes without gassing. He notes Hughes has poor takedown defense and striking defense, while Dudakova should do enough to win a close decision. He mentions Dudakova's last poor performance was due to a staph infection on her ass, which should not be a factor this time.

"I'm going to take d toova by decision I think a lot of people are very low on D toova after her last fight against jinu fry and I kind of am as well"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

Cody picks Sam Hughes, citing Dudakova's poor performances, weight miss, and medical issues. He notes that Dudakova has low volume and overrated wrestling, while Hughes has faced better competition and is constantly in your face. Cody thinks Hughes can outwork Dudakova and win a decision. He also mentions that Hughes is always an underdog and fights to the last minute.

"I'll go Sam Hughes as well."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jul 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Viktoriia Dudakova

Daniel leans towards Dudakova, citing her reach advantage, youth, and takedown ability against Hughes' poor takedown defense. He acknowledges Hughes' higher pace but thinks Dudakova can seal rounds with takedowns and win a close decision. He is not fully confident due to Dudakova's greenness.

"I think I'm gonna lean towards uh dudakova to kind of win a a close decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

Hughes is a live underdog if not at a huge physical disadvantage. She should put on a pace and grind out Dudakova, winning at least two rounds on the scorecards.

"I expect her to put on a bit of a pace here and really put dudakova through the grind and at least picking up two rounds here to win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

Paul picks Sam Hughes, noting that Dudakova has not impressed and has had weight issues. He thinks Hughes can make the fight ugly and grind out a decision. Paul also mentions that Hughes is underrated and always gives 100% effort. He believes the line is too wide and that Hughes has a good chance to win.

"I think Sam Hughes can make this grimy get up in her face make it ugly make it close."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Viktoriia Dudakova

The MMA Guru picks Victoria Dudakova over Sam Hughes, calling Hughes 'awful' and past her prime. He notes Dudakova is a younger, improving Russian prospect with a win streak, including a win over Maria Silva on the contender series. He expects Dudakova to do enough to win.

"I'm gonna go Victoria dudova she's undefeated... Sam Hughes is just awful"
LOSS vs Yazmin Jauregui
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · Feb 24, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yazmin Jauregui 0 94 of 269 34% 97 of 272 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sam Hughes 0 83 of 197 42% 88 of 206 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yazmin Jauregui 0 28 of 88 31% 29 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sam Hughes 0 19 of 47 40% 21 of 52 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:05
2 Yazmin Jauregui 0 32 of 91 35% 33 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sam Hughes 0 36 of 75 48% 39 of 78 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
3 Yazmin Jauregui 0 34 of 90 37% 35 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sam Hughes 0 28 of 75 37% 28 of 76 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yazmin Jauregui 94 of 269 34% 52 of 197 24 of 42 18 of 30 84 of 253 10 of 16 0 of 0
Sam Hughes 83 of 197 42% 40 of 143 17 of 24 26 of 30 80 of 190 3 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yazmin Jauregui 28 of 88 31% 16 of 65 8 of 14 4 of 9 22 of 78 6 of 10 0 of 0
Sam Hughes 19 of 47 40% 11 of 36 3 of 6 5 of 5 19 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Yazmin Jauregui 32 of 91 35% 18 of 67 9 of 14 5 of 10 29 of 87 3 of 4 0 of 0
Sam Hughes 36 of 75 48% 15 of 53 11 of 11 10 of 11 34 of 70 2 of 5 0 of 0
3 Yazmin Jauregui 34 of 90 37% 18 of 65 7 of 14 9 of 11 33 of 88 1 of 2 0 of 0
Sam Hughes 28 of 75 37% 14 of 54 3 of 7 11 of 14 27 of 73 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Angelo is very confident in Jauregui, believing the UFC set this up for her to get back on track. He notes her striking and grappling are impressive, and while she was knocked out quickly in her last fight, Sam Hughes doesn't hit as hard. He trusts the process.

"Yasmin yui is going to be the pick very confident in that pick but Sam Hughes has played spoiler before"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Big Brady picks Yazmin Jauregui to win by second-round knockout. He notes that Jauregui is the biggest favorite on the card at -500 and that the matchup is favorable. He praises Jauregui's takedown defense and striking, while criticizing Sam Hughes's hittability and toughness. He thinks Jauregui will dominate on the feet and potentially finish Hughes, though he questions Jauregui's chin after being dropped in her last two fights.

Jauregui wins by KO in round 2
"I'm going to take Yasmin hery here I think it's going to be an absolute beat down minus 500 it's scary but maybe she does look minus 500 when it's all said and done so give me asmin hery to …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Cody picks Jauregui but is hesitant, calling it the coward's way out. He notes Jauregui's durability is a question mark after being knocked out by Denise Gomes, but her takedown defense held against Lendo. He thinks Jauregui has a massive advantage on the feet and is more interested in live betting.

"I will take the coward's way out I will take yadman oriki as a pick here I think this is a fight that I'm more interested in a live betting perspective"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

The host believes Hughes will be the best wrestler Jauregui has faced, despite Jauregui's 100% takedown defense rate (only two attempts faced). He thinks Hughes's improvement at Fortis MMA and game planning will allow her to take the fight into deep waters and win on the scorecards, springing a massive upset.

"I think Hughes will be the best wrestler that y has faced and even though yui showcases at 100% takedown defense rate she's only faced two takedown attempts in her three UFC fights thus far I think Sam Hughes has …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

Paul leans towards Hughes due to the massive plus price. He notes Hughes is 3-1 in her last four, gritty, and has been using more wrestling lately. He questions what makes Jauregui such a huge favorite, as she hasn't excelled in hard 15-minute fights. However, he admits Hughes isn't a power puncher and if it's a striking affair, Jauregui likely wins.

"I think I might take Sam Hughes if for no other reason then the price tag is just ridiculous"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · Apr 08, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sam Hughes 0 12 of 52 23% 52 of 109 2 of 10 20% 3 0 3:42
Jaqueline Amorim 0 46 of 104 44% 107 of 176 1 of 1 100% 0 1 7:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sam Hughes 0 7 of 25 28% 11 of 34 2 of 2 100% 3 0 3:24
Jaqueline Amorim 0 11 of 25 44% 13 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:02
2 Sam Hughes 0 3 of 6 50% 8 of 11 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:17
Jaqueline Amorim 0 6 of 21 28% 34 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:29
3 Sam Hughes 0 2 of 21 9% 33 of 64 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:01
Jaqueline Amorim 0 29 of 58 50% 60 of 94 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sam Hughes 12 of 52 23% 12 of 42 0 of 7 0 of 3 11 of 49 0 of 0 1 of 3
Jaqueline Amorim 46 of 104 44% 45 of 101 1 of 3 0 of 0 19 of 62 6 of 7 21 of 35
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sam Hughes 7 of 25 28% 7 of 17 0 of 5 0 of 3 6 of 22 0 of 0 1 of 3
Jaqueline Amorim 11 of 25 44% 11 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 18 6 of 7 0 of 0
2 Sam Hughes 3 of 6 50% 3 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jaqueline Amorim 6 of 21 28% 6 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 16 0 of 0 3 of 5
3 Sam Hughes 2 of 21 9% 2 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jaqueline Amorim 29 of 58 50% 28 of 56 1 of 2 0 of 0 11 of 28 0 of 0 18 of 30
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jaqueline Amorim vs. Sam Hughes
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Amorim (-245), Hughes (+205)

Round 1
For the third time in five weeks, the UFC is asking its fans to empty their pocketbooks and shell out $80 for a fight card. This event in Miami, with a championship rematch a mere six months in the making sitting atop the marquee, might have something to offer everyone. The now dozen-bout billing begins in the women’s strawweight division, with a match that would be well-suited for an LFA headliner. Unbeaten Amorim (6-0, 0-0 UFC) will make her first walk to the Octagon tonight, where she meets “Sampage” Hughes (7-5, 2-4 UFC). The first fight of the night begins with a touch of gloves in front of referee Andrew Glenn, and it’s on with the show. Amorim introduces herself with a few sweeping kicks, and Hughes dodges or blocks them all. Hughes paws forward a jab, and she is met with a pair of right hooks from the Brazilian. Hughes claims she was poked in the eye, and Glenn does not recognize it so they do not stop. Hughes walks her opponent down, but she gets countered repeatedly by Amorim. Hughes presses forward with jabs outstretched, and Amorim shoots in from afar with a takedown. Hughes defends from her back with an armbar, but Amorim laughs this off and steps over to a dominant position. As Hughes scrambles, Amorim takes her back and briefly considers an armbar setup. Hughes fights it off and explodes back to her feet, and she elbows her foe in the face before defending another level change. Amorim grabs hold of a single-leg takedown and lifts Hughes off the ground to toss her to the mat like a sack of potatoes. Hughes instinctually keeps her legs high for a potential triangle choke, and Amorim slides through and allows Hughes to move to her knees so she can take the back. Briefly flirting with a kimura lock from the back, she instead gets both hooks in and hunts for a rear-naked choke. Amorim secures the body triangle and strangles Hughes, but the tough Hughes grits it out and fights the hands to defend from the choke. Hughes stands up, and Amorim remains on her back and wrenches on the neck. Amorim locks it down, and Hughes fights the hands again to defend the choke and does so by getting her fingers in the gloves. Amorim switches to a palm-to-palm grip as Hughes falls to her back, and once again Hughes survives while still firmly entrenched in the danger zone. Amorim retains her tight body triangle around the waist, and she abandons the back take to step over into mount and set up an arm-triangle choke. Hughes scrambles and gets slugged in the chops, and she manages to stand up. The round ends as she chases Amorim across the cage.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Amorim
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Amorim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Amorim

Round 2
Amorim has reached the second round for the first time as a pro, and Hughes appears energized as she pushes forward and drives Amorim to the wall. Amorim jumps to guard, and Hughes backs off and lets her stand up. Amorim swings with a body kick, and Hughes lays into her with a pair of punches. Amorim rushes in for a takedown, and Hughes bowls her over and moves into the guard. Amorim sets up the body triangle off her back, keeping Hughes from dropping down ground-and-pound. Hughes looks to free her hands to bust the Brazilian in the face, but Amorim is clinging tightly and looking to sneak her arm under Hughes’ knee. Hughes wrenches out her left hand to bop Amorim in the nose a few times, and Amorim flails with her legs and pushes Hughes off of her to force the standup. Hughes strides forward with a few punches, and a takedown effort from Amorim is again thwarted by “Sampage.” Hughes makes Amorim stand up again, and she dings her with a few punches. Amorim falls to her back, and Hughes complains to Glenn about grabbing the glove. Amorim fastens the body triangle with Hughes on top, and she postures up in the guard and rains down punches. Amorim turns to pursue a leglock, and Hughes rips it out and stands. Amorim is slow to follow her up, seemingly running out of steam, and she pursues a desperation takedown that is easily stuffed. The crowd rains down boos as Amorim overcommits to a single, and she turns it to a double-leg and ends up pulling guard instead. Amorim goes after a heel hook, but Hughes slides the leg free and stands up. Hughes decides to pursue a single of her own, and she dumps Amorim on her back and holds her there until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hughes
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hughes
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hughes

Round 3
Everyone and their brother in Hughes’ corner informs her that her opponent is exhausted. The third round opens with a glove touch, and Hughes is the immediate aggressor to pick up right where she left off. Amorim flails feebly with her fists, and Hughes ignores them and gets off a right hand. “Sampage” fires off a high kick, and Amorim flops to her back and looks to tie Hughes up. Hughes escapes, and the Brazilian stands and backs up against the cage. Hughes punts her in the face with a front kick, and Amorim moves to her back again and puts her legs around the waist. Hughes opens up with heavy hammerfists and elbows, and Amorim tries to fight back but is getting into a failed slugfest from her back. Hughes settles down when Amorim gets the body triangle around the waist again, and Amorim turns to a side in hopes of setting up a two-on-one wrist lock. Hughes continues to fight off that kimura setup, all while punching the body and otherwise frustrating the unbeaten fighter. Hughes does not slow her methodical offense, and a long series of left hands land on the jaw. Amorim paws back every time to little effect, and she turns over with the body triangle still in play for an armlock. Amorim is warned for grabbing the inside of the glove, and Hughes does not like this and opens up with some heavy ground-and-pound. Hughes bails on the position and stands up, and a fatigued Amorim stands and backs away. Hughes pushes out a front kick and a few punches, and she has Amorim on the ropes and totally spent. Amorim leans forward for a takedown, but has no energy to secure it, so Hughes pushes her to her seat and pounds on her. Hughes pushes off and stands, and Amorim wings a big right hand and follows with a front kick. Amorim gets caught with a few punches, drops down for a takedown, and the match comes to a close. Depending on the scoring of Round 1, a draw could theoretically be in play.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hughes (29-28 Hughes)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hughes (29-28 Hughes)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hughes (29-28 Hughes)

The Official Result
Sam Hughes def. Jaqueline Amorim via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Angelo sees Jaqueline Amorim as the clear winner due to her undefeated record, all stoppage wins, and superior grappling with blast double takedowns and a wild array of submissions. He notes she also has legitimate one-punch power. However, he is cautious about betting because Sam Hughes is extremely tough and has UFC experience, which could lead to a fade if Amorim doesn't finish early. He suggests an under 2.5 rounds play might be the way to go.

under 2.5 rounds
"this should be Jacqueline morum all the way she should absolutely dominate this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Big Brady is confident in Jaqueline Amorim due to her elite BJJ credentials and six first-round finishes. He notes that Sam Hughes has poor takedown defense (47%) and has been taken down multiple times by previous opponents. He believes once Amorim gets the fight to the mat, it will be over quickly via submission. He predicts a first-round submission.

first round submission
"I like amarine to win this fight I'd like her to not only win this fight I like her to finish this fight in the very first round with some type of submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Cody picks Amorim but is slightly hesitant due to the price. He notes Amorim's submission skills are elite and that she finishes fights quickly. He points out Hughes' poor takedown defense and believes Amorim will get the fight to the ground and submit her. Cody says he won't parlay her but thinks she wins. He mentions the under on the fight time as a potential play.

Under 12.5 minutes on PrizePicks
"I'll pick amarim"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Hughes. He notes that Amorim is a great prospect but very raw, and Hughes has shown she can break opponents who expect to win quickly.

"I think those odds should get a lot closer. I think Emory, she's a great prospect, but is a very raw fighter at this point."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Jacob agrees that Amorim should dominate, highlighting her methodical takedown timing and excellent top control. He notes that Sam Hughes's toughness may actually work against her because she scrambles to get back to her feet, which opens up submission opportunities for Amorim. He is concerned about Amorim's cardio if the fight goes past the first round, but believes she is good enough to get the job done early.

"I think Jaclyn should come in and dominate this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Amorim is a BJJ black belt with all six wins by first-round finish. Her grappling should overwhelm Hughes, who has good cardio but may struggle to stop takedowns. The line at -230 is too wide for a debutant, but Amorim's submission threat is real. I expect her to lock up a submission after getting the fight to the ground.

submission prop
"I think ultimately the strong wrestling or at least strong grappling game of amram is going to allow her to get the position she needs here against Sam Hughes so that she can go on to eventually get a submission …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Paul picks Amorim, believing her BJJ is elite and that she will take Hughes down and submit her. He notes Hughes has poor takedown defense and has been taken down by many opponents. Paul thinks Amorim's grappling is a level above and that she will progressively improve position. He acknowledges Amorim's striking is unproven but expects her to get the fight to the ground quickly. He suggests live betting Hughes if the fight goes past the first round.

Under 12.5 minutes on PrizePicks; live bet on Hughes after round 1
"I am going to take her I think that uh stylistically this fight probably hits the ground if it does hit the ground it's amrams all day"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2023 (fight day)
Jaqueline Amorim

The MMA Guru predicts Jaqueline Amorim will win by first-round submission via rear-naked choke. He envisions a scramble early on where Amorim gets Hughes against the cage, executes an inside or outside trip to get on top in half guard, then takes the back as Hughes scrambles and sinks in the choke. He is confident in this outcome, describing the sequence in detail.

first round submission, rear-naked choke
"I'm going with Jacqueline Amore in my first round submission"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

Zane picks Hughes because Amorim is raw and has never been outside the first round. He notes that Hughes has been building a functional game and is aggressive with intelligent pressure. Zane also mentions that Amorim's grappling is not complex and she may not get clean takedowns.

"I'm going to pick Sam Hughes here personally."
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · Oct 15, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Piera RodrĂ­guez 0 83 of 160 51% 89 of 166 5 of 11 45% 0 0 1:56
Sam Hughes 0 69 of 155 44% 78 of 164 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Piera RodrĂ­guez 0 19 of 53 35% 20 of 54 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:17
Sam Hughes 0 21 of 56 37% 22 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
2 Piera RodrĂ­guez 0 34 of 51 66% 37 of 54 3 of 4 75% 0 0 1:16
Sam Hughes 0 17 of 43 39% 20 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Piera RodrĂ­guez 0 30 of 56 53% 32 of 58 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:23
Sam Hughes 0 31 of 56 55% 36 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:29
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Piera RodrĂ­guez 83 of 160 51% 32 of 101 42 of 48 9 of 11 47 of 122 33 of 35 3 of 3
Sam Hughes 69 of 155 44% 55 of 135 11 of 15 3 of 5 55 of 140 14 of 14 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Piera RodrĂ­guez 19 of 53 35% 7 of 35 9 of 13 3 of 5 14 of 47 4 of 5 1 of 1
Sam Hughes 21 of 56 37% 18 of 50 2 of 4 1 of 2 18 of 52 3 of 3 0 of 1
2 Piera RodrĂ­guez 34 of 51 66% 13 of 29 17 of 18 4 of 4 19 of 35 13 of 14 2 of 2
Sam Hughes 17 of 43 39% 12 of 37 4 of 5 1 of 1 13 of 39 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Piera RodrĂ­guez 30 of 56 53% 12 of 37 16 of 17 2 of 2 14 of 40 16 of 16 0 of 0
Sam Hughes 31 of 56 55% 25 of 48 5 of 6 1 of 2 24 of 49 7 of 7 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Piera RodrĂ­guez

Angelo picks Piera RodrĂ­guez, believing she is the more talented fighter with a higher ceiling. He notes that Sam Hughes has evolved into a grappler and needs takedowns to win, but Piera has good takedown defense and inflicts damage in scrambles. He calls it a no-bet situation because Sam is live, but he might bet Sam Hughes by decision (+3.5 points) if the odds drop.

No bet on moneyline; considering Sam Hughes +3.5 points if odds drop
"I am going to pick Bahia here I think she's gonna stuff some takedowns inflict the damage but this is a no bet situation because Sam Hughes is definitely live"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Piera RodrĂ­guez

Big Brady picks Piera RodrĂ­guez to win by decision. He highlights RodrĂ­guez's improved grappling and powerful striking, and notes that Sam Hughes has poor striking defense and takedown defense. He believes RodrĂ­guez is a bad stylistic matchup for Hughes, who relies on grinding but will struggle to get takedowns. Brady expects a competitive fight but sees RodrĂ­guez winning clearly on the feet and possibly with takedowns.

"I like Rodriguez here I like Rodriguez to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Piera RodrĂ­guez

Cody picks RodrĂ­guez, citing her striking advantage and takedown defense. He notes Hughes has been winning with wrestling against weak opposition, but RodrĂ­guez should be able to keep the fight standing and out-strike her. He is hesitant due to RodrĂ­guez's cardio concerns.

"I'm going with uh greasy pierra."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 11, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Piera RodrĂ­guez

RodrĂ­guez is the better striker with power and leg kicks, and her wrestling is on par with Hughes. Hughes relies on pressure and wrestling, but RodrĂ­guez should be able to stuff takedowns and win the striking exchanges. The host expects a decision win for RodrĂ­guez and likes the decision prop at +105. However, the odds are slightly wide, and Hughes could be live.

Piera RodrĂ­guez by decision +105
"I do think that uh Pierre is the side here she'll land the better shots she'll have the better moments and I think that should be enough for her to get her hand raised via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Piera RodrĂ­guez

Paul picks RodrĂ­guez but is hesitant. He notes RodrĂ­guez has good takedown defense and a striking advantage, but her cardio and ground game are question marks. He thinks Hughes could tire her out with wrestling, but ultimately RodrĂ­guez should win.

"I'm gonna go with Pierre Rodriguez I think that the takedown defense is good enough the Striking is a slight Advantage."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Piera RodrĂ­guez

The MMA Guru picks Piera RodrĂ­guez, noting her undefeated record and experience in main events. He believes she has too much power for Sam Hughes and will drop her in the first round, lose the second, and win the third on pace. He predicts a 29-28 decision, citing RodrĂ­guez's sting in her shots and ability to withstand pressure.

prediction: 29-28 decision
"I'm still gonna go 29-28 Pierre Rodriguez with a little bit too much sting in her shots in the first two rounds to allow the pressure of Sam Hughes to take effect"
WIN vs Elise Reed
TKO (elbow and punches) R3 3:52 · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · May 21, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sam Hughes 0 17 of 41 41% 70 of 100 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Elise Reed 0 43 of 65 66% 130 of 161 4 of 7 57% 0 0 11:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sam Hughes 0 16 of 35 45% 57 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Elise Reed 0 15 of 31 48% 23 of 41 1 of 4 25% 0 0 3:38
2 Sam Hughes 0 1 of 6 16% 11 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Elise Reed 0 13 of 15 86% 55 of 60 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:49
3 Sam Hughes 0 0 of 0 --- 2 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Elise Reed 0 15 of 19 78% 52 of 60 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sam Hughes 17 of 41 41% 10 of 34 7 of 7 0 of 0 13 of 37 4 of 4 0 of 0
Elise Reed 43 of 65 66% 33 of 51 6 of 10 4 of 4 7 of 19 6 of 10 30 of 36
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sam Hughes 16 of 35 45% 9 of 28 7 of 7 0 of 0 12 of 31 4 of 4 0 of 0
Elise Reed 15 of 31 48% 9 of 21 4 of 8 2 of 2 6 of 17 6 of 10 3 of 4
2 Sam Hughes 1 of 6 16% 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Elise Reed 13 of 15 86% 10 of 12 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 13 of 15
3 Sam Hughes 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
Elise Reed 15 of 19 78% 14 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 14 of 17
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 15, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

Angelo picks Sam Hughes based on her grappling performance in her last fight, where she showcased takedowns and control time. He notes that Elise Reed was taken down four times in two fights, making the takedown the difference. However, he acknowledges it's a close fight and that Elise Reed is better than people think. He is hesitant because both women are coming off career-saving wins.

"if sam does what she did in her last fight i think she wins this fight forward pressure high volume and takedowns i'm gonna go sam hughes here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Elise Reed

Big Brady picks Elise Reed because she is the better striker with improved takedown defense. He notes Sam Hughes is a walking punching bag with poor striking defense, and Reed should win on the feet. He predicts a decision win for Reed but says he is not betting on this fight.

"give me a lease read at least read by decision there's no way i'm betting on this fight but i'll take read by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Elise Reed

Cody picks Reed confidently, citing her superior striking, footwork, and cardio. He notes Hughes' lack of offense and tendency to rely on opponents gassing. He believes Reed will outpoint Hughes from range and avoid takedowns, winning a decision.

"i actually don't mind elise reed and minus 165 like okay i think there's some there's some other fights on this card i am way more on the fence about that have worse price tag so i'm willing to give …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 21, 2022 (fight day)
Sam Hughes

The host picks Sam Hughes as his free pick of the night at +145. He believes Hughes's path to victory involves grappling, either takedowns or control time against the cage. He expects Hughes to implement her grappling and grind out a win. He is confident enough to bet one unit on her.

over 2.5 rounds (part of totals parlay)
"my free pick is sam hughes one unit plus 145"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Elise Reed

Paul agrees with Cody, saying Reed's kicking game and cardio should be too much for Hughes. He notes Hughes' only win came against a gassed opponent and that Reed won't tire. He is confident in Reed.

"i like where your head's at on this card i like where your head's at this time around i think you're gonna be good"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Elise Reed

The MMA Guru believes Elise Reed is better on the feet and can mitigate damage on the ground, working her way back up. He thinks Sam Hughes will get takedowns but the damage from Reed's striking will be too much. He predicts a razor close 29-28 decision for Reed.

"i think she's better than sam hughes i think she's better on the fee i think even when she does get taken down she doesn't really get dominated on the ground"
Jaqueline Amorim - Fight History
SCHED vs Loma Lookboonmee
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jaqueline Amorim vs. Loma Lookboonmee
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Amorim (-120); Lookboonmee (+105)

Round 1
Lookboonmee (10-4; 7-3 UFC) and Amorim (10-2; 4-2 UFC) go to work in matching orthodox stances under the watchful eye of referee Vitor “Shaolin” Ribeiro. The Brazilian walks the foe to the fence, where she closes the distance in a hurry and takes underhooks, looking to drag the muay thai standout to the canvas. Lookboonmee is wise to it, however, and refuses to be taken down, then spinning Amorim against the cage. Amorim turns, nearly turning her back all the way to her opponent, before hauling her down with a brief kneebar attempt. She can’t get it, but ends up on top in the ensuing scramble. A little past the halfway point of the round, Amorim slides into side control at the base of the fence. Lookboonmee fights off a kimura attempt, but Amorim keeps the two-on-one and isolates Lookboonmee’s left arm in an armbar.
Lookboonmee is gritty, and Amorim is forced to adjust the angle twice before Lookboonmee finally taps.
Referee “Shaolin” is there in a flash to prevent any needless damage, and Jaqueline Amorim has kicked things off in Macau with a slick first-round submission.
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The Official Result
Jaqueline Amorim def. Loma Lookboonmee R1 4:04 via Submission (Armbar)
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Lean picked May 26, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

AJ favors Lookboonmee because she is more proven to come back from adversity and push a pace. He notes Amorim's jiu-jitsu is very good but she tends to fall apart as fights go on, with sloppy wrestling and nonexistent striking when fatigued. Lookboonmee has a legitimate Muay Thai skillset and is defensively sound against grappling, though AJ acknowledges she could end up in bad spots. He ultimately leans Lookboonmee to win two out of three rounds via striking and defensive wrestling.

Decision for Lookboonmee at +125; fight goes over 2.5 rounds at -185; Amorim submission at +275
"I'm going to go towards Lookboome cuz she's more proven to be able to come back from some adversity, dig deep, and push a pace, but I'm not overly confident in it."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

AJ picks Loma Lookboonmee as an underdog, citing her defensive grappling and proven cardio. He notes that Amorim gasses after round one and has poor striking, while Lookboonmee is a decision merchant with eight decision wins. AJ expects Lookboonmee to survive early grappling threats and take over in rounds two and three, winning a decision.

Loma Lookboonmee by decision +175 mentioned as a prop; moneyline at +105
"Luke Bume is going to be kind of like a Sam Hughes or a Mizuki Inua style of matchup. I really think that we're going to see round one some grappling threats from MRM, but two and three, Luk Bume …"
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked May 18, 2026 (12 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

AJ picks Lookboonmee because Amorim has elite grappling but poor cardio and loses decisions when she can't submit. Lookboonmee has good takedown defense (68%), superior striking, and cardio to outwork Amorim in rounds 2 and 3. He expects a decision win for Lookboonmee, noting she is a decision merchant and Amorim fades late.

over 2.5 rounds (if available), Loma Lookboonmee wins by decision
"I'm going to go with Lookboonmee. But, it's kind of a tricky prediction because Jacquelyn Amorim has like hyper elite grappling. The problem is she can't win decisions to save her life cuz she has like a round and a …"
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Angelo picks Loma because she is busy, has good footwork, and is the much better striker. He notes that Jaqueline is submission or bust and if she doesn't find a finish early, she has nothing else to offer. He also mentions that over 2.5 rounds is the safest bet.

over 2.5 rounds
"I do think LMA wins this fight. But if Jacqueline gets the takedowns, it's going to be kind of a mess of a situation. I don't think I'm going to bet money line here. I think over two and a …"
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 29, 2026 (fight day)
Loma Lookboonmee

Angelo leans toward Loma Lookboonmee, noting that Jaqueline Amorim is 'sub or bust' and has poor takedowns. He believes Loma can avoid the ground and use her Muay Thai to win a decision, but he is not confident in either fighter scoring well for DraftKings.

neither in lineup; decision likely
"I actually think LMA can win this fight. The problem is I don't think she'll score well."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 24, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Angelo picks Loma Lookboonmee despite her size disadvantage, trusting her submission defense and overall skill. He notes that Loma is tiny but tough and well-rounded, and if she can defend the first few takedowns, she can frustrate Amorim and win a decision. He acknowledges the risk of being taken down and submitted, but believes Loma is the better fighter skill-for-skill.

over 2.5 rounds
"I'm going to pick Loma here. I trust the submission defense. Maybe that's a huge mistake, but I trust the submission defense."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 26, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Big Brady picks Jaqueline Amorim by first-round submission, citing her world-class jiu-jitsu and ability to submit black belts. He notes her cardio and striking are poor, but believes she has 5-7 minutes to find a submission before gassing. He thinks Lookboonmee is too small and will be taken down and put in bad spots early.

first round submission
"I'm going to take Amarine to win this fight by first round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Cody picks Amorim, citing her wrestling and BJJ advantage. He notes that Lookboonmee is a Thai fighter who may be past her prime and has been taken down frequently. Amorim's path is to get takedowns and control position. Cody admits this is his least confident play on the card, as Lookboonmee could keep it standing and out-strike her.

Amorim by decision or submission; fight goes to decision
"I feel like Amarine probably does complete a few takedowns, rack up some control time, and potentially win a few rounds. So, as of right now, I do have Amarim, but I'll admit probably my least confident play on the …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 28, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Connor picks Jaqueline Amorim because Loma's style exposes her to takedowns, and she knows enough grappling to get in trouble but not enough to beat a grappler like Amorim. Amorim got tired against Inoue, but Loma lacks the size and scrambling threat to steal the fight late.

"Amorim is the pick."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Jacob picks Loma because Jaqueline has shown she cannot maintain her pace beyond the first round against competent fighters. He notes that Loma trains at Bangta with the Hickman brothers and knows jiu-jitsu, so even if taken down, she can stay safe. He also mentions that Loma has offensive wrestling and nasty Muay Thai.

"I'm a fan of Loma Luke Boommy, but Jacquelini every time she's fought an actual like competent fighter. She's looked horrible."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked May 23, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Lucrative James picks Jaqueline Amorim, citing her superior BJJ and grappling, which should exploit Loma Lookboonmee's mistakes on the ground. He notes Loma is a Muay Thai striker but makes too many grappling errors, and Amorim's black belt level should lead to a submission. He acknowledges Amorim's poor last performance but believes she has the style to win.

Jaqueline Amorim via submission
"I have Jacqueline Amarim to win this fight via submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 25, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

The host leans with Lookboonmee, believing she can stop Amorim's takedowns and keep the fight in the striking realm. He notes Lookboonmee's improved grappling defense and Muay Thai clinch work, while Amorim's wrestling is still developing. He expects Lookboonmee to land more damage en route to a decision victory.

"I find myself leaning with the Luke Buni side here as I believe that she'll be able to stop the takedowns of Amarim."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

The host believes in the striker Loma Lookboonmee, expecting her to stop most takedowns and avoid finishing positions from Amorim, then dominate on the feet to win a decision. He notes the fight is near pick'em odds due to the striker vs grappler dynamic.

decision victory
"I believe in the striker here and Luke Boni who I think will be able to stop most of the takedowns or at least stop Amarim from getting to a finishing position and then batter on the feet on route …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Paul picks Lookboonmee, noting her speed and striking advantage. He believes she can stay on the back foot and out-land Amorim in a greasy decision. However, he acknowledges that if Amorim gets takedowns, she could win. Paul is not confident and does not plan to bet this fight.

Fight goes to decision
"I would side with Luke Boommy to stay on her back foot out land in a greasy chick fight that goes to decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked May 26, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

The Guru sees this as a striker vs grappler matchup. He believes Amorim's path is to close distance with wild power shots and get takedowns, where she has solid grappling and submission threats. He notes Loma's striking and clinch are good but she may struggle to keep range, and Amorim's takedowns could be enough. However, he admits this was the hardest fight to pick and it could go either way.

"I'm going to take Amarine, but this is the fight that took me the longest to make a prediction."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 20, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

The Guru favors Loma Lookboonmee due to her elite Muay Thai striking and ability to manage distance. He believes Loma's takedown defense will neutralize Jaqueline's grappling, and that Loma's volume and sharp striking will win her a decision. He notes Jaqueline's struggles when she can't get takedowns, as seen in her loss to Sam Hughes.

"I'm going to side with Loma Lookboonmee in this matchup."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked May 20, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

The MMA Guru is leaning towards Loma Lookboonmee but is not confident. He notes that Lookboonmee hasn't faced many grapplers in the UFC, while Amorim is an elite BJJ world champion. However, he believes Lookboonmee's takedown defense is decent and she can keep the fight standing, where she is the much better technical striker with high volume Muay Thai. He acknowledges Amorim could submit her if she gets the fight to the ground, but he's not sure Amorim can do that.

"I am actually leaning towards Lomalook Boommy in this matchup. But I am so not confident in this fight."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 28, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Zane picks Jaqueline Amorim because she is a serious jiu-jitsu player who can dominate on the mat. Loma's wrestling improvements may put her in worse positions, and she lacks power to keep Amorim scared. Zane notes the odds have moved closer but feels the opener was more accurate.

Odds mentioned: Amorim -130, Loma +110; Zane thinks opener (-250) was more accurate
"Jaqueline Amorim opened around -250 and is currently around -130. I am not sure why those odds got so much closer; the opener felt more accurate."
LOSS vs Mizuki Inoue
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 321 · Oct 25, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jaqueline Amorim 0 26 of 62 41% 48 of 88 2 of 6 33% 1 1 1:43
Mizuki Inoue 1 62 of 103 60% 150 of 203 2 of 2 100% 0 1 7:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jaqueline Amorim 0 12 of 31 38% 16 of 36 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:27
Mizuki Inoue 0 15 of 32 46% 34 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:07
2 Jaqueline Amorim 0 4 of 8 50% 12 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:16
Mizuki Inoue 0 12 of 18 66% 36 of 47 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:52
3 Jaqueline Amorim 0 10 of 23 43% 20 of 33 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Mizuki Inoue 1 35 of 53 66% 80 of 103 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:29
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jaqueline Amorim 26 of 62 41% 19 of 44 3 of 13 4 of 5 18 of 54 3 of 3 5 of 5
Mizuki Inoue 62 of 103 60% 54 of 93 8 of 10 0 of 0 20 of 52 14 of 17 28 of 34
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jaqueline Amorim 12 of 31 38% 8 of 17 0 of 9 4 of 5 7 of 26 0 of 0 5 of 5
Mizuki Inoue 15 of 32 46% 15 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 20 0 of 0 10 of 12
2 Jaqueline Amorim 4 of 8 50% 4 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mizuki Inoue 12 of 18 66% 12 of 17 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 10 2 of 2 6 of 6
3 Jaqueline Amorim 10 of 23 43% 7 of 19 3 of 4 0 of 0 8 of 21 2 of 2 0 of 0
Mizuki Inoue 35 of 53 66% 27 of 44 8 of 9 0 of 0 11 of 22 12 of 15 12 of 16
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jaqueline Amorim vs. Mizuki Inoue
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Amorim (-440), Inoue (+340)

Round 1
Ladies will open up the Abu Dhabi-based pay-per-view card that starts early for stateside audiences, and women will not return again after this bout until the co-main attraction. It is strawweight for both matches involving female fighters, a division with a logjam of contenders that may soon include either Amorim (10-1, 4-1 UFC) or Inoue (15-6, 2-1 UFC), depending on who prevails. The two grapple-heavy 115ers will be joined in the cage by referee Kerry Hatley, and the day commences with a glove touch.
Amorim rushes out behind a front kick, and both women are energized and jittery to engage. They proceed to paw at one another with half-hearted range-finding jabs, with the Brazilian beating her foe to the punch during these engagements. Amorim has her kicks caught, but Inoue cannot do anything with the limb and it already struck her so she lets it go on two occasions. Dipping in behind a jab, Inoue works her way forward while Amorim slides laterally. Amorim’s front kick buzzes the side of Inoue’s face, and she gets backed to the corner thanks to the pump-fakes and occasional lead hooks from her opponent. When Inoue advances, Amorim counters with a level change to take her opponent off her feet. Inoue scrambles to back to her feet deftly, but Amorim follows her back upright to be able to circle around take her back standing.
Amorim use her jiu-jitsu to simultaneously threaten while securing the back, and she wrenches Inoue to the mat from behind. From there, a rear-naked choke attempt quickly materializes. Inoue turns the proper direction to break it up, so Amorim snags it under the chin from an unorthodox angle. The woman from Japan keeps turning and twisting, managing not only to break free from the submission but to turn around with Amorim’s body lock wrapped around her waist. Amorim locks Inoue down when placed on her back, preventing all but the lightest of offense getting off from Inoue. Inoue sneaks in a few elbows, and she cracks Amorim with a surprisingly powerful stream of left hands that knock Amorim’s head around and shock her a bit. As Inoue pounds away, possibly stealing the round from her vicious ground-and-pound, the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Inoue
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Inoue
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Inoue

Round 2
The two ladies get back to it, with Inoue putting on the gas while Amorim stays on the outside peppering with kicks. Inoue jabs her way into a few right hands, marking up Amorim’s nose and forcing her to shoot in on her hips. Inoue smoothly stuffs her opponent and presses her against the fencing, where she jacks Amorim in the jaw with shoulder strikes. Inoue manages to drag her opponent to the floor, but this is where Amorim wants to be, as submissions are in play. The Brazilian isolates Inoue’s right leg and wraps her hands underneath it to put together a kneebar, and she tries to crank it.
Inoue defends by keeping her weight pressed down on her own limp to not allow Amorim to extend it, and this shuts down the attempt entirely. From there, Inoue sits up and squirms to work back to her feet, but finds herself still engaged in a tie-up with her adversary. After getting pressed against the wire for some time, Amorim decides to pull guard and lock things down. Inoue slowly, calmly postures up, and she drives down some ground strikes much to Amorim’s chagrin. Inoue sits comfortably in Amorim’s guard, stacking her up to shut down the worst of the subs, but Amorim still manages to roll upside-down and hunt for a last-second armbar. Inoue shrugs it off and smacks the Brazilian with hammerfists until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Inoue
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Inoue
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Inoue

Round 3
The 115ers clap hands to reintroduce themselves, and Inoue appears the fresher of the two but is not entirely out of the woods yet. Amorim barrels towards her, hurling a flurry of punches, and Inoue takes a few on the chin and rolls with others. Amorim backs off to gain a full head of steam, and she shoots in from a wide berth for a takedown that Inoue sees coming from a mile away. The Japanese fighter stands her up and starts jacking her in the jaw with clinch strikes. As Inoue beats on Amorim up close and personal, she drives home knees to the liver that take Amorim off her feet—it is possible that Amorim pulled guard at the same time of one of them, but the knees certainly appear to have had an impact. Amorim hits her back and gets into defensive mode, so Inoue stacks her up and remains fearlessly in her guard until deciding to find another way in. The two throw hard at one another, and Amorim’s face bangs into Inoue’s right eye socket and rips open a cut that bleeds immediately.
Inoue does not appear remotely concerned, as she doggedly presses forward and nails Amorim with punches and a crisp knee. The knee puts Amorim down again, and Inoue considers busting her up with ground shots but decides to stay out of her dangerous guard. The Japanese lady stands back up, and Amorim follows. This allows Inoue to rip a left hand to the liver that compromises Amorim once more, and the takedown shots that follow are feeble and telegraphed. Inoue bowls Amorim over without concern and starts working Amorim over with hammerfists, all-but ignoring Amorim’s left leg looking to set something up. Amorim spins over to her knees and forces herself up to her feet with less than 30 seconds on the clock, and Inoue is mugging her with clinch offense as the time ticks away. Inoue’s strawweight blender of punches, knees and elbows from up close conclude the one-sided fight, one that will likely be a fairly considerable betting upset.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Inoue (30-26 Inoue)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Inoue (30-27 Inoue)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Inoue (30-27 Inoue)

The Official Result
Mizuki Inoue def. Jaqueline Amorim via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Oct 19, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Angelo picks Jacqueline Amorim with extreme confidence, calling minus 450 a gift. He highlights her elite grappling credentials (no-gi and BJJ world champion), powerful striking, and aggressive style. He notes Mizuki Inoue has fought only twice in five years and lacks power, making Amorim a safe bet.

Jacqueline is minus 450. She should be minus 4,500.
"Uh pick Jacqueline. Bet on Jacqueline minus 450 is a gift from the heavens. ... Jacqueline is minus 450. She should be minus 4,500."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Big Brady picks Jaqueline Amorim, citing Mizuki Inoue's inactivity and injury history. He notes Inoue has only three UFC fights in five years and can be taken down easily. While Inoue is a better striker, Brady expects Amorim to get the fight to the mat where her high-level BJJ and ground and pound will dominate. He mentions Amorim's cardio improvements since the Hughes fight and predicts a dominant decision win.

Amorim by decision
"I got to go Amorim. I think Amorim can win by really any method. I think it could be a TKO potentially. I think it could be a submission. But I'll say it's going to be a decision win here …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

Cody picks Mizuki Inoue as a plus 350 underdog, citing her karate background, footwork, and takedown defense. He notes that Amorim is one-dimensional, relying on submissions, and has poor striking and takedown defense. Inoue has fought tough competition and has never been finished. Cody believes Inoue can keep the fight standing and win a decision or even submit Amorim.

"I'm willing to take a chance on Mizuki."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Connor picks Amorim, noting that Inoue has a long history of injuries and inactivity, and her body may not be able to handle the rigors of fighting. He believes Amorim is physical and aggressive, and while her game is incomplete, she is likely to overwhelm Inoue. Connor also points out that Inoue's wins are mostly over lower-level competition, and she struggles against good physical athletes.

Amorim is a huge favorite at -400.
"I just have to pick her to beat Mizuki Inouye. ... Inouye will compete well and be scrappy all the way through. But like, you know, at this point, her career highlight win is like Yanan Wu."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Daniel Vreeland is confident in Amorim's jiu-jitsu and believes she will submit Inoue. He notes that Inoue rarely fights and was taken down by Hannah Goldie, which bodes well for Amorim's takedown and submission game. He also mentions Amorim's experience competing in Abu Dhabi in pure jiu-jitsu.

wins by submission
"I think Jacquelini Amarim is going to come out here and submit Mizuki in a way and extend her win streak."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Lucrative James picks Jaqueline Amorim confidently, citing her elite jiu-jitsu and takedowns. He notes Mizuki Inoue's long layoffs and injuries (knee, eye), which likely diminish her performance. He expects Amorim to get an early takedown and dominate, but questions whether she can finish due to Inoue's toughness. He considers an over 1.5 rounds bet because Inoue is durable.

over 1.5 rounds
"I'm picking Jacqueline Amarim here. ... I might be looking at an over one and a half rounds."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

The host believes Amorim's Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt will be too much for Inoue, who is returning from a two-year layoff. He expects Amorim to find a submission position and force the tap, indicating a confident pick.

submission
"I think it's just a matter of time before Amarim finds that position to force the tap."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mizuki Inoue

Paul also picks Inoue, calling her his favorite dog on the card. He notes that Amorim's only path is submission, and if Inoue can stuff takedowns and avoid submissions, she can win. Paul mentions Inoue's experience against top competition and her training at Serra-Longo. He believes the plus 350 price offers great value.

"Inoue for me probably my favorite dog on the card."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

The MMA Guru is confident in Jaqueline Amorim, citing her four-fight finish streak and submission skills. He notes that her only loss was to Sam Hughes early in her UFC career, but she has since developed strength and is on a roll. He predicts a submission finish in the first two rounds, as Amorim has been finishing opponents with armbars and rear-naked chokes. He dismisses Mizuki Inoue's inactivity and lack of major wins, calling Amorim a huge favorite for a reason.

submission in first two rounds
"She's going to defeat Mizuki Inoue most definitely. Um I reckon she'll get this one done by finish by submission."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Zane also picks Amorim, citing Inoue's long layoffs and physical decline. He notes that Inoue has only beaten lower-level opponents and that Amorim's aggression and physicality should be enough. Zane acknowledges that Inoue could win if she defends takedowns and out-strikes Amorim, but he doubts she can maintain that over three rounds.

"I think Amorim is confident and aggressive and physically potent and who knows like being raw against Mizuki Inouye."
WIN vs Polyana Viana
Submission R2 1:49 · UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Apr 26, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jaqueline Amorim 0 6 of 8 75% 29 of 43 2 of 2 100% 1 0 6:34
Polyana Viana 0 0 of 6 0% 23 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jaqueline Amorim 0 5 of 6 83% 25 of 36 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:54
Polyana Viana 0 0 of 1 0% 21 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jaqueline Amorim 0 1 of 2 50% 4 of 7 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:40
Polyana Viana 0 0 of 5 0% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jaqueline Amorim 6 of 8 75% 5 of 5 0 of 1 1 of 2 1 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 5
Polyana Viana 0 of 6 0% 0 of 4 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jaqueline Amorim 5 of 6 83% 5 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 5
Polyana Viana 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jaqueline Amorim 1 of 2 50% 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Polyana Viana 0 of 5 0% 0 of 3 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jaqueline Amorim vs. Polyana Viana
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Amorim (-550), Viana (+410)

Round 1
A pair of Brazilian strawweights with 100% finish rates collide with hopes of involving referee Dan Miragliotta before too long. The judges might be able to take this one off, as these two women combine for 15 submissions in their 22 pro victories. The submission rate for Amorim (9-1, 3-1 UFC) may be a bit higher, and of the two, she has not been finished. Viana (13-7, 4-6 UFC) cannot say the same, with a trio of stoppage losses in the past for her including two in a row. Amorim offers a glove touch, and when Viana accepts it, Amorim shoots in for a takedown. Viana falls to her back, and she searches for a submission off her back including an inverted triangle choke that excites the crowd because of the position. Amorim pulls her head out between Viana’s legs and shifts to the side, and positions herself in north-south where she can sit on Viana’s face. Viana looks for another inverted triangle, but Amorim sees it coming and steps out of it. Amorim exerts heavy shoulder pressure as she attempts to step into mount, and she wraps up a kimura on Viana’s left side. Amorim cranks on the limb, even considering a straight armbar with the two-on-one wrist lock, and she maintains her grip so she can successfully pass into mount. Viana puts her hand on Amorim’s mouth to disrupt her breathing and frustrate her, and Amorim postures up and looks for offense. Amorim drops down ground-and-pound, punching and elbowing her fellow countrywoman. Viana bucks and kicks her hips back and forth, but she cannot get Amorim off of her. Amorim delivers a handful of 12-to-6 elbows as she maintains her dominant position, and she fights off a half guard recovery from Viana to get back to side control in a hurry. Amorim allows Viana to turn to her knees so she can take her back, and she fastens a body triangle around the waist. Miragliotta appears to mistakenly consider the 10-second clapper as the bell, and the women look awkwardly at one another until the bell actually rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Amorim
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Amorim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Amorim

Round 2
Viana tries to start the round off with striking, but it takes less than 10 seconds for Amorim to engage and take her down with ease. Viana offers little defense to stop the takedown, perhaps hoping she can keep playing jiu-jitsu to catch something. Amorim gets to side control in the blink of an eye, and Viana sets up a partial crucifix position off her back by wrapping her legs around Amorim’s right arm. This allows Viana to shift to her knees, but Amorim laughs off the escape and takes her back in an instant.
Displaying that there are levels to this game, Amorim locks down the body triangle and a rear-naked choke almost simultaneously. Amorim can only cling one arm beneath the chin, and Viana is struggling but still with it. Amorim adjusts her grip, snaking her other arm under the chin and putting her palm-to-palm grip out of reach so that Viana can no longer hand-fight
. Viana knows her goose is cooked, and she taps out before long, expressing frustration that she was outdueled but otherwise accepting her defeat gracefully as she embraces her corner.

The Official Result
Jaqueline Amorim def. Polyana Viana R2 1:49 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Angelo is very confident in Jaqueline Amorim, calling her a high-level grappler with power in her hands. He contrasts her serious approach with Polyana Viana's lack of career dedication, comparing it to Danni Barbosa vs. Belb. He notes the odds are moving quickly and expects Amorim to be a huge favorite by fight night.

Parlay with Ikram Aliskerov and Zhang Mingyang
"Jacqueline is going to run through Polyiana Viana."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Big Brady is very confident in Jaqueline Amorim, citing her high-level BJJ and Polyana Viana's poor takedown defense (38%). He expects Amorim to take Viana down and submit her quickly, noting Viana's vulnerability on the ground as seen in past fights. He predicts a first-round submission.

first round submission
"Give me Amarim to win this fight by first round submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

The host believes Amorim is significantly better than Viana, expecting her to get the fight to the ground easily and eventually sink in a submission.

submission
"I think it's just a matter of time before she eventually sinks in a submission and forces the tap."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

The MMA Guru picks Jaqueline Amorim, believing she takes her career more seriously than Viana. He notes Amorim's submission skills and cheating incident against Demopoulos, but still favors her. He expects a finish, as Viana is not fully committed to fighting. He criticizes Viana's dedication and says Amorim trains harder.

finish
"I reckon she'll win by finish at some point as well. I don't rate Polyana Vanna. I don't think she's taken it as a fighter."
Submission (armbar) R1 3:28 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · Sep 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jaqueline Amorim 0 2 of 3 66% 12 of 16 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:05
Vanessa Demopoulos 0 2 of 6 33% 3 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jaqueline Amorim 0 2 of 3 66% 12 of 16 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:05
Vanessa Demopoulos 0 2 of 6 33% 3 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jaqueline Amorim 2 of 3 66% 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
Vanessa Demopoulos 2 of 6 33% 0 of 3 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jaqueline Amorim 2 of 3 66% 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
Vanessa Demopoulos 2 of 6 33% 0 of 3 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jaqueline Amorim vs. Vanessa Demopoulos
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Amorim (-310), Demopoulos (+250)

Round 1
Strawweight grapplers come to blows in a battle between ladies that like to bully their opponents. Amorim (8-1, 2-1 UFC) has yet to go the distance when notching a win, while Demopoulos (11-5, 5-2 UFC) could comfortably describe the sound of the final bell. The pairing that could see some exciting exchanges on the mat will be officiated by referee Jacob Montalvo, and it kicks off as Amorim claims the middle of the cage and no interest in a glove touch. The Brazilian lets loose with a high kick, and Demopoulos pushes her back with a front kick but has that leg caught. Amorim uses the caught kick to take Demopoulos off-balance, and she throws “Lil Monster” to her back. Demopoulos tries for inverted triangle chokes while Amorim is on top in side control and briefly north-south position. Amorim shifts back to the side, and she pushes to three-quarter mount. Amorim gets dragged back to half guard, and she allows Demopoulos to explode so she can take her back and get a hook in. Demopoulos crouches down low in hopes of standing up, while Amorim is draped over her shoulders before tugging her to the floor. Amorim looks to set up an armbar but elects to get the body triangle. Demopoulos times a moment to escape, and she shouts loudly that the Brazilian has repeatedly grabbed inside of her gloves. As Demopoulos rolls to her knees, Amorim follows her through to lock down the armbar. Demopoulos keeps shouting to protest the fouls, and in doing so, she does not properly defend the submission. Amorim rolls to her back to complete the submission, and Demopoulos has no choice but to tap out. The second Montalvo intervenes, Demopoulos screams at him that the Brazilian was not grabbing her wrist but inside of her gloves to gain advantageous position. She implores Montalvo to check the replay, and he appears to go to the replay officials to check into it. For now, the official decision stands, with Amorim notching one more armbar and keeping her finish rate at 100%.

The Official Result
Jaqueline Amorim def. Vanessa Demopoulos R1 3:28 via Submission (Armbar)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 1, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Angelo picks Jaqueline Amorim because she is a multiple-time world champion in both gi and no-gi grappling, has one-punch knockout power, and is extremely dangerous on the ground. He believes Vanessa Demopoulos, despite her cardio and forward pressure, will struggle with Amorim's grappling and power. He thinks Amorim can win by submission or knockout, and notes that the under 2.5 rounds is plus money.

Angelo mentions he will look at Jaqueline Amorim inside the distance (decision no action) as a potential bet, and notes the under 2.5 rounds is plus 180.
"I think Jaclyn wins this fight I am going to pick her to win"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Big Brady picks Jaqueline Amorim to win by first-round submission. He is confident Amorim wins but warns about corrupt judges favoring Demopoulos and Amorim's cardio issues. Brady believes Amorim is the better grappler and will get takedowns, possibly submitting Demopoulos. He picks submission to avoid judges' interference.

submission in round 1
"I'll take Amar to win this fight by submission in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

Cody picks Demopoulos, arguing that Amorim's only path is takedowns and top control, but Demopoulos has good BJJ and cardio. He notes Demopoulos' toughness and ability to win close decisions. He sees value at plus money.

"Vanessa deop automatic spam win ha haa"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Daniel thinks Amorim's takedowns and top control will be the key. He notes Demopoulos's poor takedown defense (30%) and believes Amorim can grind out a decision. He doesn't expect a submission because Demopoulos is tough and a black belt. He acknowledges the 'first-round-or-bust' narrative but thinks Amorim can win two rounds with grappling.

"I'm actually picking amarim for that reason... I think she grinds out two of the three rounds and wins a decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Amorim is the best BJJ opponent Demopoulos has faced, but Demopoulos has never been finished and has shown improved striking. Amorim's wrestling is weak, often pulling guard. If Demopoulos can keep it standing, she has a chance. The pick is Amorim by submission, but with low confidence; the fight is more of a pass or a play on the over 2.5 rounds.

Amorim by submission (low confidence); over 2.5 rounds
"I'll go with uh amarim by submission as my favorite uh prop here but with the lowest of confidence... it's very hard for me to get behind am here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

Paul picks Demopoulos, citing her durability, cardio, and pressure. He notes Amorim's poor striking and wrestling, and that Demopoulos has never been finished. He believes Demopoulos can win by decision or even submission, and sees value at plus money.

"sign me up for deesa Demopolis"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

The MMA Guru picks Jaqueline Amorim despite sarcastically noting that Vanessa Demopoulos often gets favorable decisions. He praises Amorim's finishing ability, citing her armbar win over Cory McKenna and third-round finish of Monserrat Ruiz. He acknowledges Amorim's loss to Sam Hughes but attributes it to lack of strength to finish a rear-naked choke. He believes Amorim is improving on the feet and training at American Top Team gives her an edge.

"I'm going to go with jacn amorim though I think she's far better skill wise than Vanessa deopa... she's been building into the division"
WIN vs Cory McKenna
Submission R1 1:38 · UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Mar 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jaqueline Amorim 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 4 0 0:00
Cory McKenna 0 4 of 11 36% 8 of 17 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:56
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jaqueline Amorim 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 4 0 0:00
Cory McKenna 0 4 of 11 36% 8 of 17 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:56
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jaqueline Amorim 3 of 5 60% 1 of 3 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1
Cory McKenna 4 of 11 36% 1 of 7 0 of 0 3 of 4 3 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jaqueline Amorim 3 of 5 60% 1 of 3 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1
Cory McKenna 4 of 11 36% 1 of 7 0 of 0 3 of 4 3 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jaqueline Amorim vs. Cory McKenna
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: McKenna (-125), Amorim (+105)

Round 1
It is a potential grappler’s delight between two strawweights that rep elite teams in this next contest. Brazilian submission specialist Amorim (7-1, 1-1 UFC) will rep American Top Team as she comes to blows with Team Alpha Male’s McKenna (8-2, 3-1 UFC). Referee Mike Beltran will hope to keep up with them, although they start off with a sporting glove touch. McKenna flicks out an early jab, and Amorim comes back with her own before getting kicked in the calf. Both ladies trade low kicks before switching up to body kicks, and McKenna breaks up a back-and-forth by jamming Amorim up with punches. This allows her to close the distance enough to awkwardly take Amorim down, and when she hits the mat, she immediately finds herself in triangle choke danger. Amorim gets lifted off the ground and slammed down, and the choke tightens up as Amorim also locks in an armbar in the same sport. As McKenna wriggles, she appears to tap once on her opponent’s leg while turning, and Beltran shouts for them to stop. When he recognizes that it was not a complete tap, he tells them to keep fighting, and Amorim does not releases her grip.
“Poppins” tries to take advantage of the confusion by getting up, but the Brazilian rolls her to her back and locks down the armbar. McKenna kicks and flails, and she finds her arm in a precarious position and is forced to officially tap out.
This time the stoppage is the real deal, and the fight is over as Amorim releases the armlock and McKenna leans over to tend to her damaged wing. It might have been an odd situation, but it was an unusual exchange that led to the near-stoppage—and it was one that did not ultimately change the final result, besides delaying it a few seconds.

The Official Result
Jaqueline Amorim def. Cory McKenna R1 1:38 via Submission (Armbar)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 11, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

Angelo sees McKenna as the more well-rounded fighter with better cardio and striking pressure, but he is concerned about her year-long layoff due to getting married, which could be a distraction. He thinks if she survives Amorim's early takedown attempts, she can take over with striking and get takedowns of her own. He notes the line is -106 (slight underdog) and may move, so he's leaning McKenna but not fully confident.

line movement watch
"I'm still going to pick her to win because I think she's the more well-rounded and absolutely the more in shape better cardio fighter in this situation"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

Big Brady picks Cory McKenna by decision, but is hesitant due to McKenna's tendency to strike instead of grapple. He trusts McKenna's cardio and wrestling more than Amorim's, but notes Amorim's dangerous BJJ and reach advantage. He is not running to the window to bet on it.

by decision
"The pick will be Cory McKenna and Cory McKenna by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Cody picks Jaqueline Amorim as a live underdog, citing her 10-inch reach advantage, BJJ black belt, and solid wrestling. He notes McKenna's cardio may be a factor but Amorim has paths to victory on the feet and on the ground. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation and takes the plus money.

"I'll take Amorim... she's got multiple paths to victory."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Cory McKenna

The host acknowledges Amorim's high-level BJJ but believes McKenna has good enough defensive grappling to keep the fight standing for the first round and a half. He expects McKenna to implement her superior striking and then grind out Amorim in the later rounds as Amorim's finishing ability fades. The pick is McKenna by decision.

"I expect Cory McKenna to grind this fight out and Win It by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

Paul picks Cory McKenna, citing her ruggedness and wrestling. He questions Amorim's cardio, noting she gassed in her UFC debut. He expects McKenna to push a pace and take over in later rounds. He acknowledges both could win but leans McKenna.

"I'll take McKenna... she's more rugged she's got the better wrestling she can fight inside the pocket."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Cory McKenna

The Guru picks Cory McKenna, citing her strength and physicality advantage over Amorim. He criticizes Amorim's lack of strength, noting she failed to finish locked-in chokes due to weak squeeze. He believes McKenna has better standup and takedown defense, despite a 10-inch reach disadvantage. He calls Amorim a 'frail hollow-boned bird woman' and expects McKenna's more masculine physique to prevail.

"I'm going with Corey McKenna I think she's uh more talented out of the two of them... I think she's got a better stand up I think she's a bit stronger I think she's a bit more physical bit more …"
TKO (elbows and punches) R3 3:41 · UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. dos Anjos · Aug 12, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jaqueline Amorim 0 86 of 136 63% 141 of 208 1 of 3 33% 4 2 8:05
Montserrat Ruiz 0 6 of 36 16% 20 of 57 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jaqueline Amorim 0 30 of 44 68% 40 of 61 1 of 2 50% 2 0 4:14
Montserrat Ruiz 0 1 of 2 50% 5 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:37
2 Jaqueline Amorim 0 43 of 70 61% 69 of 106 0 of 0 --- 2 1 3:42
Montserrat Ruiz 0 2 of 18 11% 7 of 26 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:24
3 Jaqueline Amorim 0 13 of 22 59% 32 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:09
Montserrat Ruiz 0 3 of 16 18% 8 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jaqueline Amorim 86 of 136 63% 76 of 120 9 of 14 1 of 2 6 of 15 0 of 0 80 of 121
Montserrat Ruiz 6 of 36 16% 2 of 29 2 of 4 2 of 3 5 of 31 0 of 1 1 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jaqueline Amorim 30 of 44 68% 25 of 39 4 of 4 1 of 1 2 of 3 0 of 0 28 of 41
Montserrat Ruiz 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jaqueline Amorim 43 of 70 61% 39 of 62 4 of 8 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 0 40 of 64
Montserrat Ruiz 2 of 18 11% 0 of 13 1 of 3 1 of 2 2 of 17 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Jaqueline Amorim 13 of 22 59% 12 of 19 1 of 2 0 of 1 1 of 6 0 of 0 12 of 16
Montserrat Ruiz 3 of 16 18% 2 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 4
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Montserrat Ruiz vs. Jaqueline Amorim
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Amorim (-238), Ruiz (+195)

Round 1
In the lightest weight class in the company, two ladies will battle it out in hopes of righting the ship just a bit. With six first-round finishes on the regional scene, Amorim (6-1, 0-1 UFC) punched her ticket to the big leagues only to come up short in April. On the other hand, a large portion of Amorim’s career has taken place since Ruiz (10-2, 1-1 UFC) last fought, as she has been away from the cage for over two years. Two grapplers of different backgrounds will come together under the watchful eye of referee Chris Tognoni, with the 115ers bumping fists to engage. Amorim is the initial aggressor, reaching out with her superior range with a jab that leads to a takedown attempt. Ruiz bounces off the wall to stay upright, but Amorim tugs her away from it and hurls her down to the floor. Landing in half guard, Amorim is quick to try to pass to mount. Ruiz hangs on tight with a lock from her own legs, but she cannot hold Amorim there, as the Brazilian takes mount and then settles back to get a three-quarter mount position. Pressing her chest and shoulder forward, she flattens Ruiz to the canvas and moves into full mount, where she begins looking for an arm to take home with her. When there is not one to immediately snag, she sits up and belts Ruiz in the face with a series of punches. Amorim uses her full body weight to disallow Ruiz from any bucking or effective defense, and Ruiz even tries to turn to the side but realizes it will not be in her best interest to do so. Amorim continues pounding on Ruiz, as the Mexican fighter is shelled up and taking punches and elbows that get past her guard. Amorim postures up to drop down punches, and Ruiz frantically turns and ends up giving up her back. Amorim welcomes this so that she can lock up a body triangle in rapid succession, and Amorim elects to use the position she has to move right back to mount. Amorim beats on Ruiz until she rolls out of nowhere for an armbar. Ruiz turns all the way around, with her arm still in danger, and she manages to work her limb mostly out of danger. “Conejo” turns herself around, with her left arm caught between the legs in a possible omoplata. Amorim releases it so that she can snatch up a rear-naked choke, and she lets it go to land some ground-and-pound to punctuate the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Amorim
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Amorim
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Amorim

Round 2
There is a bump of fists to open up the round, and Ruiz does not look discouraged and is ready to throw hands. Amorim is light on her feet, dodging anything of merit that comes at her. Ruiz wings a left hand that bounces off the guard, and she slings a low kick that Amorim ignores. Amorim times a perfect head kick that slams right into Ruiz’ dome, and Ruiz somehow tanks it and uses it to take Amorim down to the floor. Ruiz is in the guard for a few seconds, but the Brazilian sweeps her masterfully and ends up taking her back. Amorim smacks Ruiz on the sides of her head to soften her up in pursuit of a choke, and Ruiz fights smartly but is trapped in a body lock. Amorim goes palm-to-palm briefly to crank on Ruiz’ neck, only to abandon it when the leverage is not right and she does not want to burn her arms out. Ruiz tries to explode by turning towards her opponent, and Amorim recognizes this and jumps over into mount. Amorim gets back to her flattening ways, shutting down anything Ruiz can offer while threatening with a potential arm-triangle choke. Amorim presses her shoulder down with the submission while still mounted, and she considers moving to the side to complete it but Ruiz breaks the grip just enough to stop it. Amorim sits up and starts pummeling Ruiz with punches, and she switches to elbows when Ruiz turns to her side. Amorim holds one of Ruiz’ arms and busts her in the chops with her free hand, and she lets it go so that she can rain down elbows. Tognoni looks in on the fight, and instead of continuing to strike. Amorim rolls for an armbar. When the submission is not locked in, Amorim sits up and clobbers Ruiz with hammerfists until the bell sounds – one that might have saved Ruiz from a stoppage.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Amorim
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Amorim
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Amorim

Round 3
After two extremely dominant rounds, Amorim is still fresh as a daisy, and Ruiz is not giving up just yet. They clap hands, and Amorim strides forward to land a few punches and parry others coming her way. Amorim fires off a head kick, and Ruiz pushes through it so that she can try to take the fight down. Amorim allows her to do this and closes her guard around Ruiz’ waist, and she starts fishing for a kimura in hopes of a sweep. Tognoni warns Ruiz that she needs to do more than just laying on her opponent, and Ruiz sits up and swings her fists but they hit nothing but air. Ruiz gets a few punches in while she is tightly pressed to her foe, and when she sits up to try to land something heavier, they are all shy of the mark because of her arm length. Amorim uses a butterfly guard and pushes off to attempt a sweep, and Ruiz barely manages to retain her composure to stay on top. Amorim again hunts for a kimura, and she calmly turns “Conejo” over and is right in full mount.
The Brazilian unloads with a salvo of punches, elbows and hammerfists, and Tognoni is already there telling Ruiz to fight back. Ruiz does not fight back, and Amorim continues her final bombardment until Tognoni waves the fight off.
Ruiz protests, but he might have saved her from another 90 seconds of unnecessary punishment with the stoppage. This was a serious beatdown for Amorim, who bounces back from her first career defeat and notches her first win inside the Octagon.

The Official Result
Jaqueline Amorim def. Montserrat Ruiz R3 3:41 via TKO (Elbows and Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Aug 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Montserrat Ruiz

Angelo picks Ruiz despite concerns about her two-year layoff and reliance on side headlocks. He notes Amorim has negative cardio and is a -250 favorite he advises against betting. He explicitly says not to bet on this fight.

Do not bet on this fight
"I'm gonna pick Montserrat Ruiz but for the love of God do not bet on this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Big Brady picks Jaqueline Amorim to win by first-round submission. He praises her incredible ground game and black belt in BJJ, but notes her poor cardio and striking. He believes she will get the fight to the mat quickly and submit Ruiz, who has little footage of takedown defense. He mentions that Amorim's last fight was marred by glove grabbing from Sam Hughes, which prevented a first-round finish. He is not betting at -240 due to cardio concerns.

first round submission
"I'm gonna say amberine wins this fight first round sub if it gets to the second round there's gonna be problems"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Cody picks Amorim but with low confidence. He notes Amorim's high-level BJJ and thinks she can catch Ruiz in a submission if Ruiz attempts her head-and-arm throw. He worries about Amorim's cardio but thinks Ruiz's two-year layoff and one-dimensional style favor Amorim. He expects Amorim to get the submission.

"I'll go and Marine but no no not a whole lot of confidence there"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

James picks Amorim to win by submission, likely in the first round. He notes Amorim is a multiple-time BJJ world champion and that Ruiz often goes for head-and-arm throws which will lead to back takes. He thinks Ruiz is not as tough as Sam Hughes, who survived Amorim's submissions. James is confident Amorim will get the finish.

James predicts a first-round submission for Amorim.
"I think Amorim's gonna get a submission in this fight... I think she will get the first round stoppage."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Amorim is a high-level BJJ black belt who had a rude awakening in her last fight when she couldn't finish early, but that was a learning experience. Ruiz is a schoolyard bully who likes head and arm throws, but she has been out for a long time and will struggle against Amorim's BJJ. Amorim will look for submissions and get a finish.

Amorim by submission
"I'm gonna go with amrim here to win by submission"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Montserrat Ruiz

Paul picks Ruiz at plus money, having bet her at +245 a week ago. He thinks Ruiz's physical strength and two years of improvement at 10th Planet or King's MMA could be key. He notes Amorim gassed in her last fight and thinks if Ruiz can avoid submissions early, she can win by decision or TKO. He calls it a half-size bet.

Bet Ruiz at +245 a week ago; half-size bet
"I bet uh monster at Ruiz at plus 245"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

The MMA Guru picks Jaqueline Amorim over Montserrat Ruiz, noting Amorim's poor debut but attributing it to UFC jitters. He highlights her American Top Team background, BJJ credentials (world no-gi championships), and quick turnaround. He criticizes Ruiz's win over Cheyanne Vlismas as a basic head-and-arm throw, common in women's MMA. He believes Amorim will learn from her loss and perform better.

"I'm gonna go with Jacqueline amorem over Montserrat Ruiz"
LOSS vs Sam Hughes
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · Apr 08, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sam Hughes 0 12 of 52 23% 52 of 109 2 of 10 20% 3 0 3:42
Jaqueline Amorim 0 46 of 104 44% 107 of 176 1 of 1 100% 0 1 7:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sam Hughes 0 7 of 25 28% 11 of 34 2 of 2 100% 3 0 3:24
Jaqueline Amorim 0 11 of 25 44% 13 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:02
2 Sam Hughes 0 3 of 6 50% 8 of 11 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:17
Jaqueline Amorim 0 6 of 21 28% 34 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:29
3 Sam Hughes 0 2 of 21 9% 33 of 64 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:01
Jaqueline Amorim 0 29 of 58 50% 60 of 94 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sam Hughes 12 of 52 23% 12 of 42 0 of 7 0 of 3 11 of 49 0 of 0 1 of 3
Jaqueline Amorim 46 of 104 44% 45 of 101 1 of 3 0 of 0 19 of 62 6 of 7 21 of 35
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sam Hughes 7 of 25 28% 7 of 17 0 of 5 0 of 3 6 of 22 0 of 0 1 of 3
Jaqueline Amorim 11 of 25 44% 11 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 18 6 of 7 0 of 0
2 Sam Hughes 3 of 6 50% 3 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jaqueline Amorim 6 of 21 28% 6 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 16 0 of 0 3 of 5
3 Sam Hughes 2 of 21 9% 2 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jaqueline Amorim 29 of 58 50% 28 of 56 1 of 2 0 of 0 11 of 28 0 of 0 18 of 30
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jaqueline Amorim vs. Sam Hughes
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Amorim (-245), Hughes (+205)

Round 1
For the third time in five weeks, the UFC is asking its fans to empty their pocketbooks and shell out $80 for a fight card. This event in Miami, with a championship rematch a mere six months in the making sitting atop the marquee, might have something to offer everyone. The now dozen-bout billing begins in the women’s strawweight division, with a match that would be well-suited for an LFA headliner. Unbeaten Amorim (6-0, 0-0 UFC) will make her first walk to the Octagon tonight, where she meets “Sampage” Hughes (7-5, 2-4 UFC). The first fight of the night begins with a touch of gloves in front of referee Andrew Glenn, and it’s on with the show. Amorim introduces herself with a few sweeping kicks, and Hughes dodges or blocks them all. Hughes paws forward a jab, and she is met with a pair of right hooks from the Brazilian. Hughes claims she was poked in the eye, and Glenn does not recognize it so they do not stop. Hughes walks her opponent down, but she gets countered repeatedly by Amorim. Hughes presses forward with jabs outstretched, and Amorim shoots in from afar with a takedown. Hughes defends from her back with an armbar, but Amorim laughs this off and steps over to a dominant position. As Hughes scrambles, Amorim takes her back and briefly considers an armbar setup. Hughes fights it off and explodes back to her feet, and she elbows her foe in the face before defending another level change. Amorim grabs hold of a single-leg takedown and lifts Hughes off the ground to toss her to the mat like a sack of potatoes. Hughes instinctually keeps her legs high for a potential triangle choke, and Amorim slides through and allows Hughes to move to her knees so she can take the back. Briefly flirting with a kimura lock from the back, she instead gets both hooks in and hunts for a rear-naked choke. Amorim secures the body triangle and strangles Hughes, but the tough Hughes grits it out and fights the hands to defend from the choke. Hughes stands up, and Amorim remains on her back and wrenches on the neck. Amorim locks it down, and Hughes fights the hands again to defend the choke and does so by getting her fingers in the gloves. Amorim switches to a palm-to-palm grip as Hughes falls to her back, and once again Hughes survives while still firmly entrenched in the danger zone. Amorim retains her tight body triangle around the waist, and she abandons the back take to step over into mount and set up an arm-triangle choke. Hughes scrambles and gets slugged in the chops, and she manages to stand up. The round ends as she chases Amorim across the cage.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Amorim
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Amorim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Amorim

Round 2
Amorim has reached the second round for the first time as a pro, and Hughes appears energized as she pushes forward and drives Amorim to the wall. Amorim jumps to guard, and Hughes backs off and lets her stand up. Amorim swings with a body kick, and Hughes lays into her with a pair of punches. Amorim rushes in for a takedown, and Hughes bowls her over and moves into the guard. Amorim sets up the body triangle off her back, keeping Hughes from dropping down ground-and-pound. Hughes looks to free her hands to bust the Brazilian in the face, but Amorim is clinging tightly and looking to sneak her arm under Hughes’ knee. Hughes wrenches out her left hand to bop Amorim in the nose a few times, and Amorim flails with her legs and pushes Hughes off of her to force the standup. Hughes strides forward with a few punches, and a takedown effort from Amorim is again thwarted by “Sampage.” Hughes makes Amorim stand up again, and she dings her with a few punches. Amorim falls to her back, and Hughes complains to Glenn about grabbing the glove. Amorim fastens the body triangle with Hughes on top, and she postures up in the guard and rains down punches. Amorim turns to pursue a leglock, and Hughes rips it out and stands. Amorim is slow to follow her up, seemingly running out of steam, and she pursues a desperation takedown that is easily stuffed. The crowd rains down boos as Amorim overcommits to a single, and she turns it to a double-leg and ends up pulling guard instead. Amorim goes after a heel hook, but Hughes slides the leg free and stands up. Hughes decides to pursue a single of her own, and she dumps Amorim on her back and holds her there until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hughes
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hughes
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hughes

Round 3
Everyone and their brother in Hughes’ corner informs her that her opponent is exhausted. The third round opens with a glove touch, and Hughes is the immediate aggressor to pick up right where she left off. Amorim flails feebly with her fists, and Hughes ignores them and gets off a right hand. “Sampage” fires off a high kick, and Amorim flops to her back and looks to tie Hughes up. Hughes escapes, and the Brazilian stands and backs up against the cage. Hughes punts her in the face with a front kick, and Amorim moves to her back again and puts her legs around the waist. Hughes opens up with heavy hammerfists and elbows, and Amorim tries to fight back but is getting into a failed slugfest from her back. Hughes settles down when Amorim gets the body triangle around the waist again, and Amorim turns to a side in hopes of setting up a two-on-one wrist lock. Hughes continues to fight off that kimura setup, all while punching the body and otherwise frustrating the unbeaten fighter. Hughes does not slow her methodical offense, and a long series of left hands land on the jaw. Amorim paws back every time to little effect, and she turns over with the body triangle still in play for an armlock. Amorim is warned for grabbing the inside of the glove, and Hughes does not like this and opens up with some heavy ground-and-pound. Hughes bails on the position and stands up, and a fatigued Amorim stands and backs away. Hughes pushes out a front kick and a few punches, and she has Amorim on the ropes and totally spent. Amorim leans forward for a takedown, but has no energy to secure it, so Hughes pushes her to her seat and pounds on her. Hughes pushes off and stands, and Amorim wings a big right hand and follows with a front kick. Amorim gets caught with a few punches, drops down for a takedown, and the match comes to a close. Depending on the scoring of Round 1, a draw could theoretically be in play.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hughes (29-28 Hughes)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hughes (29-28 Hughes)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hughes (29-28 Hughes)

The Official Result
Sam Hughes def. Jaqueline Amorim via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Angelo sees Jaqueline Amorim as the clear winner due to her undefeated record, all stoppage wins, and superior grappling with blast double takedowns and a wild array of submissions. He notes she also has legitimate one-punch power. However, he is cautious about betting because Sam Hughes is extremely tough and has UFC experience, which could lead to a fade if Amorim doesn't finish early. He suggests an under 2.5 rounds play might be the way to go.

under 2.5 rounds
"this should be Jacqueline morum all the way she should absolutely dominate this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Big Brady is confident in Jaqueline Amorim due to her elite BJJ credentials and six first-round finishes. He notes that Sam Hughes has poor takedown defense (47%) and has been taken down multiple times by previous opponents. He believes once Amorim gets the fight to the mat, it will be over quickly via submission. He predicts a first-round submission.

first round submission
"I like amarine to win this fight I'd like her to not only win this fight I like her to finish this fight in the very first round with some type of submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Cody picks Amorim but is slightly hesitant due to the price. He notes Amorim's submission skills are elite and that she finishes fights quickly. He points out Hughes' poor takedown defense and believes Amorim will get the fight to the ground and submit her. Cody says he won't parlay her but thinks she wins. He mentions the under on the fight time as a potential play.

Under 12.5 minutes on PrizePicks
"I'll pick amarim"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Hughes. He notes that Amorim is a great prospect but very raw, and Hughes has shown she can break opponents who expect to win quickly.

"I think those odds should get a lot closer. I think Emory, she's a great prospect, but is a very raw fighter at this point."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Jacob agrees that Amorim should dominate, highlighting her methodical takedown timing and excellent top control. He notes that Sam Hughes's toughness may actually work against her because she scrambles to get back to her feet, which opens up submission opportunities for Amorim. He is concerned about Amorim's cardio if the fight goes past the first round, but believes she is good enough to get the job done early.

"I think Jaclyn should come in and dominate this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Amorim is a BJJ black belt with all six wins by first-round finish. Her grappling should overwhelm Hughes, who has good cardio but may struggle to stop takedowns. The line at -230 is too wide for a debutant, but Amorim's submission threat is real. I expect her to lock up a submission after getting the fight to the ground.

submission prop
"I think ultimately the strong wrestling or at least strong grappling game of amram is going to allow her to get the position she needs here against Sam Hughes so that she can go on to eventually get a submission …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Paul picks Amorim, believing her BJJ is elite and that she will take Hughes down and submit her. He notes Hughes has poor takedown defense and has been taken down by many opponents. Paul thinks Amorim's grappling is a level above and that she will progressively improve position. He acknowledges Amorim's striking is unproven but expects her to get the fight to the ground quickly. He suggests live betting Hughes if the fight goes past the first round.

Under 12.5 minutes on PrizePicks; live bet on Hughes after round 1
"I am going to take her I think that uh stylistically this fight probably hits the ground if it does hit the ground it's amrams all day"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2023 (fight day)
Jaqueline Amorim

The MMA Guru predicts Jaqueline Amorim will win by first-round submission via rear-naked choke. He envisions a scramble early on where Amorim gets Hughes against the cage, executes an inside or outside trip to get on top in half guard, then takes the back as Hughes scrambles and sinks in the choke. He is confident in this outcome, describing the sequence in detail.

first round submission, rear-naked choke
"I'm going with Jacqueline Amore in my first round submission"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

Zane picks Hughes because Amorim is raw and has never been outside the first round. He notes that Hughes has been building a functional game and is aggressive with intelligent pressure. Zane also mentions that Amorim's grappling is not complex and she may not get clean takedowns.

"I'm going to pick Sam Hughes here personally."
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Angelo sees Jaqueline Amorim as the clear winner due to her undefeated record, all stoppage wins, and superior grappling with blast double takedowns and a wild array of submissions. He notes she also has legitimate one-punch power. However, he is cautious about betting because Sam Hughes is extremely tough and has UFC experience, which could lead to a fade if Amorim doesn't finish early. He suggests an under 2.5 rounds play might be the way to go.

under 2.5 rounds
"this should be Jacqueline morum all the way she should absolutely dominate this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Big Brady is confident in Jaqueline Amorim due to her elite BJJ credentials and six first-round finishes. He notes that Sam Hughes has poor takedown defense (47%) and has been taken down multiple times by previous opponents. He believes once Amorim gets the fight to the mat, it will be over quickly via submission. He predicts a first-round submission.

first round submission
"I like amarine to win this fight I'd like her to not only win this fight I like her to finish this fight in the very first round with some type of submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Cody picks Amorim but is slightly hesitant due to the price. He notes Amorim's submission skills are elite and that she finishes fights quickly. He points out Hughes' poor takedown defense and believes Amorim will get the fight to the ground and submit her. Cody says he won't parlay her but thinks she wins. He mentions the under on the fight time as a potential play.

Under 12.5 minutes on PrizePicks
"I'll pick amarim"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Hughes. He notes that Amorim is a great prospect but very raw, and Hughes has shown she can break opponents who expect to win quickly.

"I think those odds should get a lot closer. I think Emory, she's a great prospect, but is a very raw fighter at this point."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Jacob agrees that Amorim should dominate, highlighting her methodical takedown timing and excellent top control. He notes that Sam Hughes's toughness may actually work against her because she scrambles to get back to her feet, which opens up submission opportunities for Amorim. He is concerned about Amorim's cardio if the fight goes past the first round, but believes she is good enough to get the job done early.

"I think Jaclyn should come in and dominate this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Amorim is a BJJ black belt with all six wins by first-round finish. Her grappling should overwhelm Hughes, who has good cardio but may struggle to stop takedowns. The line at -230 is too wide for a debutant, but Amorim's submission threat is real. I expect her to lock up a submission after getting the fight to the ground.

submission prop
"I think ultimately the strong wrestling or at least strong grappling game of amram is going to allow her to get the position she needs here against Sam Hughes so that she can go on to eventually get a submission Victory here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Paul picks Amorim, believing her BJJ is elite and that she will take Hughes down and submit her. He notes Hughes has poor takedown defense and has been taken down by many opponents. Paul thinks Amorim's grappling is a level above and that she will progressively improve position. He acknowledges Amorim's striking is unproven but expects her to get the fight to the ground quickly. He suggests live betting Hughes if the fight goes past the first round.

Under 12.5 minutes on PrizePicks; live bet on Hughes after round 1
"I am going to take her I think that uh stylistically this fight probably hits the ground if it does hit the ground it's amrams all day"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2023 (fight day)
Jaqueline Amorim

The MMA Guru predicts Jaqueline Amorim will win by first-round submission via rear-naked choke. He envisions a scramble early on where Amorim gets Hughes against the cage, executes an inside or outside trip to get on top in half guard, then takes the back as Hughes scrambles and sinks in the choke. He is confident in this outcome, describing the sequence in detail.

first round submission, rear-naked choke
"I'm going with Jacqueline Amore in my first round submission"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

Zane picks Hughes because Amorim is raw and has never been outside the first round. He notes that Hughes has been building a functional game and is aggressive with intelligent pressure. Zane also mentions that Amorim's grappling is not complex and she may not get clean takedowns.

"I'm going to pick Sam Hughes here personally."
Comments (1)
BR
brian 10 months, 3 weeks ago

Good jiu jitsu defensive from Sam. Jaq cooks herself on the feet. Weak takedowns constantly in the third