vs
+100 -109
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · May 15, 2021 · Middleweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler Next Fight
Age 34
Height 6' 2"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 205 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 37
Height 6' 2"
Reach 80.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Jordan Wright
4.1 SLpM
56.0% Str. Acc.
6.03 SApM
31.0% Str. Def.
2.09 TD Avg
45.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Jamie Pickett
2.65 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
3.62 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
1.26 TD Avg
40.0% TD Acc.
67.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Jordan Wright
Moneyline
FanDuel +100
KO/TKO
BetWay +210
Submission
BetWay +700
Decision
BetWay +350
Jamie Pickett
Moneyline
DraftKings -109
KO/TKO
BetWay +200
Submission
BetWay +1600
Decision
BetWay +350
Jordan Wright - Fight History
LOSS vs Zac Pauga
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · Feb 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zac Pauga 0 29 of 78 37% 199 of 261 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Jordan Wright 0 59 of 85 69% 85 of 114 0 of 6 0% 0 0 8:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zac Pauga 0 5 of 7 71% 55 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jordan Wright 0 22 of 26 84% 43 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 4:32
2 Zac Pauga 0 7 of 19 36% 105 of 122 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Jordan Wright 0 15 of 22 68% 20 of 30 0 of 3 0% 0 0 3:27
3 Zac Pauga 0 17 of 52 32% 39 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Jordan Wright 0 22 of 37 59% 22 of 37 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zac Pauga 29 of 78 37% 15 of 55 13 of 21 1 of 2 18 of 65 11 of 13 0 of 0
Jordan Wright 59 of 85 69% 31 of 54 21 of 24 7 of 7 21 of 42 38 of 43 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zac Pauga 5 of 7 71% 1 of 3 4 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 3 4 of 4 0 of 0
Jordan Wright 22 of 26 84% 8 of 11 11 of 12 3 of 3 1 of 2 21 of 24 0 of 0
2 Zac Pauga 7 of 19 36% 5 of 16 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 13 4 of 6 0 of 0
Jordan Wright 15 of 22 68% 10 of 16 3 of 4 2 of 2 3 of 8 12 of 14 0 of 0
3 Zac Pauga 17 of 52 32% 9 of 36 7 of 14 1 of 2 14 of 49 3 of 3 0 of 0
Jordan Wright 22 of 37 59% 13 of 27 7 of 8 2 of 2 17 of 32 5 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Zac Pauga

Angelo is confident in Pauga, citing his strong wrestling and low stance. He notes Pauga went up to heavyweight for TUF but is a natural light heavyweight. Jordan Wright has a 100% finish rate but is on a three-fight losing streak by stoppage and has a weak chin. Angelo thinks Pauga will wrestle and win, but there's no value in the betting line so he won't bet.

"Zach should absolutely get this done I'm not gonna spend three units on a dude with six professional fights."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Big Brady is picking Jordan Wright for the upset, despite never picking him before. He notes that Pauga was knocked out by Muhammad Usman, who is not a power puncher, and that Pauga has only a 20% finish rate. He believes Wright is dangerous in the first two minutes and should come out aggressively rather than wrestling, as his cardio is poor. He predicts a first-round knockout for Wright.

Wright by KO, round 1
"I'm gonna take Jordan right for the big upset... I think he's going to have a ton of opportunities here to get that first round finish"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Zac Pauga

Cody picks Pauga but is terrified of the -270 line. He notes Jordan Wright has only 5-6 minutes of cardio and is an under machine, but Pauga isn't a big finisher. He says Wright can absolutely get finishes early, so he'll watch weigh-ins closely. He compares Wright to Terence McKinney as a 50/50 fighter who either finishes early or gets pieced up. He also mentions Pauga got knocked out in his last fight and has been hurt before, so he's not confident.

Cody mentions he bet Pauga last time at -275 and lost. He considers under 2.5 rounds and thinks Pauga knocks Wright out. He says Pauga will be on parlays.
"I'll pick powga but that minus 270 I am I am terrified."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Feb 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Connor picks Wright because he thinks the move to light heavyweight could benefit Wright's speed and power, and Pauga is inexperienced and slow. However, he acknowledges Wright's mental fragility and tendency to panic. He picks Wright to win by first-round KO, but says he wouldn't bet on it.

Wright by KO is +350, inside distance +275, win in round 1 +450 to +575. Connor says 'I wouldn't bet on this. Please don't.'
"I guess I'll pick Jordan, right? I mean first round KO is the only way to pick him. So I'll pick him to finish quick."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Zac Pauga

Jacob picks Pauga but is a Jordan Wright fan. He thinks Wright's chin is gone and his blitzing style leaves him open. Pauga's wrestling and power at 205 should be too much. Jacob played the under 1.5 rounds and feels good about it, though he cautions both are coming off knockout losses. He expects Wright to get knocked out again.

Jacob played under 1.5 rounds.
"I played the under one and a half I feel pretty good about might load up even more."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Zac Pauga

Pauga has better cardio and a more complete MMA game, while Wright fades after the first round and has durability issues. Pauga can survive the early storm and then take over with grappling and pressure, finishing Wright via ground and pound in the second or third round.

fight doesn't go to decision; Pauga wins by TKO in round 2 or 3
"I think if you're willing to eat any Chalk in this matchup it should be the violence... Pauga with a late TKO finish."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Feb 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Zac Pauga

Paul agrees with Cody, calling Jordan Wright a lost fighter with no cardio or durability. He details Wright's pattern of starting fast but fading and getting finished. He notes Pauga has excellent cardio, trains at altitude, and has enough striking to pressure Wright. However, he says the -270 line is too high for a guy with one UFC win who got knocked out. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds at -350 as a parlay piece.

Paul highlights under 2.5 rounds at -350 and under 1.5 rounds at -175. He says Wright doesn't have 15 minutes in him against anybody.
"I probably hit the under I don't know if I like under one and a half like under two and a half and then I'm thinking probably Clips on Pogo puts him away."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Zac Pauga

The MMA Guru picks Zac Pauga, citing his takedown defense from The Ultimate Fighter and his size advantage. He criticizes Jordan Wright's poor decision-making and quick turnaround after a KO loss. He believes Pauga is patient and can catch Wright with a counter shot after Wright gets reckless in round two, predicting a KO. He notes the possibility of an upset but trusts Pauga's chin more.

KO in round two
"I'm gonna go with Zach paulaga by KO wouldn't be surprised if I got an upset though but I'm just not willing to trust his chin in a scrappy fight"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Zac Pauga

Zane picks Pauga because Jordan Wright has a history of panicking and losing focus when he doesn't finish early. Wright is dangerous early but fades and makes defensive mistakes. Pauga is raw but has a takedown game and can survive the initial storm. Zane notes that Wright's move to light heavyweight seems desperate and may not fix his mental issues.

Wright by KO is +350, inside distance +275, win in round 1 +450 to +575. Wright opened +170, now +226; Pauga opened -195, now -281. Zane says he wouldn't bet on this.
"I'll take pauga. I mean it's just kind of... I'm interested to see what he can do. He could very easily be more like Villanueva than Mark Andre Barrio."
TKO (punches and elbows) R2 3:12 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · Oct 15, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Duško Todorović 0 25 of 41 60% 66 of 83 3 of 5 60% 1 0 5:03
Jordan Wright 0 61 of 80 76% 107 of 132 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Duško Todorović 0 17 of 20 85% 58 of 62 3 of 3 100% 1 0 4:24
Jordan Wright 0 3 of 3 100% 4 of 4 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:13
2 Duško Todorović 0 8 of 21 38% 8 of 21 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:39
Jordan Wright 0 58 of 77 75% 103 of 128 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Duško Todorović 25 of 41 60% 20 of 35 5 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 18 7 of 9 11 of 14
Jordan Wright 61 of 80 76% 49 of 68 12 of 12 0 of 0 19 of 29 28 of 31 14 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Duško Todorović 17 of 20 85% 16 of 18 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 5 11 of 14
Jordan Wright 3 of 3 100% 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Duško Todorović 8 of 21 38% 4 of 17 4 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 17 2 of 4 0 of 0
Jordan Wright 58 of 77 75% 48 of 67 10 of 10 0 of 0 18 of 28 26 of 29 14 of 20
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Angelo picks Duško Todorović, believing he is the much better striker. He notes that Jordan Wright is a kill-or-be-killed fighter with big power but a karate style that can be exploited. He is confident in Duško but acknowledges that Jordan is always live and could push a wrestling-heavy game plan, as Duško has 50% takedown defense.

"I'm confident in dusko but if Jordan pushes a wrestling heavy game plan like he attempted to in his last fight he actually could have some success"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Big Brady picks Duško Todorović to win by first-round ground-and-pound finish. He notes that Jordan Wright is dangerous offensively but has terrible defense and chin, while Todorović has more paths to victory including takedowns and ground-and-pound. He expects Todorović to take the fight to the mat and dominate. He calls this his favorite fight on the card and mentions he has a bet on it.

Todorović wins by first-round ground-and-pound
"give me dasco todorovich I'll say first round grounded pound finish"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Cody is very confident in the under 1.5 rounds, calling it his biggest bet in a while. He notes Jordan Wright has never been past 7.5 minutes in any fight, and Todorović has chin issues. He expects Todorović to take Wright down and finish him in the first round. He also likes the under as a standalone bet and in a parlay.

under 1.5 rounds -220; parlayed with Rodriguez/Jackson under 1.5 at +102
"I have a lot of money on the under one and a half rounds here... it's my biggest bet in a while."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Connor picks Todorović, citing his love for fighting and aggression that will break Wright over time. He notes that Wright panics and gets exhausted, and Todorović's pressure will contribute to that. He acknowledges Todorović is very hittable but believes his durability and passion give him the edge in a longer fight.

"I'm picking Dushko Todorovich."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 11, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Both fighters have power and suspect chins, making this a likely early finish. Todorović has poor striking defense, keeping his hands down, while Wright is explosive but fragile. The host leans Todorović to land the big strike first, but the under 1.5 rounds is the preferred play. Wright is a live underdog, and the fight is closer than the odds suggest.

Under 1.5 rounds (juiced to -200 to -240), Todorović by KO round 1
"I am still going to go with todorovich I think he's the one that lands that big strike here and gets that finish first round knockout but the Ender is likely the play to go here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Paul considers Jordan Wright as a PRP pick, noting Wright is a fast starter with decent power, as shown in his knockout of Jamie Pickett. He points out Todorović is hittable and has a questionable chin, and Wright could catch him early. However, he acknowledges Wright's own flaws and the under is the safer play.

Jordan Wright by KO
"I gotta kind of think maybe PRP pick this week that I go Jordan right because listen it's gonna be a banger like you said and why can't he land a shot."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Oct 11, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

The MMA Guru picks Jordan Wright as a juicy underdog, leaning towards him despite acknowledging his inconsistency. He notes that Wright has been training at Jackson Wink and is settling in. He believes Wright's size and reach advantage will allow him to manipulate the clinch and land knees to finish Todorović, calling it a 50/50 fight.

Jordan Wright is a 2-to-1 underdog
"Underdog time juicy two to one Underdog time I'm going with Jordan Wright"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Oct 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Zane picks Wright, acknowledging it's a coin flip. He notes that Wright hits very hard and has technical striking from his Anthony Hardonk disciple background, but his mentality is fragile. He thinks Wright's power could catch Todorović early, as Todorović is extremely hittable.

"I'm picking Jordan right."
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 2:36 · UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · Apr 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marc-André Barriault 0 12 of 13 92% 16 of 17 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:32
Jordan Wright 0 13 of 17 76% 17 of 21 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marc-André Barriault 0 12 of 13 92% 16 of 17 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:32
Jordan Wright 0 13 of 17 76% 17 of 21 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marc-André Barriault 12 of 13 92% 2 of 3 4 of 4 6 of 6 6 of 7 4 of 4 2 of 2
Jordan Wright 13 of 17 76% 11 of 15 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 5 9 of 10 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marc-André Barriault 12 of 13 92% 2 of 3 4 of 4 6 of 6 6 of 7 4 of 4 2 of 2
Jordan Wright 13 of 17 76% 11 of 15 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 5 9 of 10 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Apr 17, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Angelo leans Jordan Wright, calling it closer to a coin flip. He notes Wright is more dangerous but Barriault is the better fighter. He is concerned that Barriault may not have fully recovered from a KO loss less than 90 days ago, and that this is short notice. He mentions Wright's ridiculous striking differential (lands and gets hit over 8 strikes per minute).

"i'm leaning right here but if this fight is definitely closer to a coin flip and this is not my most confident pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Big Brady picks Marc-André Barriault to win by knockout, citing his durability and more paths to victory. He notes that Jordan Wright is a kill-or-be-killed fighter with poor defense and chin, while Barriault is typically durable and more defensively sound. He expects Barriault to weather the early storm and finish Wright late in the first round.

Win by knockout, first round knockout
"I'll take barrio to win... I'm gonna say he does weather the early storm... late first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Cody picks Wright, citing Barriault's recent knockout loss and questionable chin. He notes Wright's early aggression and power, and that Barriault is taking the fight on short notice at a catchweight. He thinks Wright's best chance is a first-round KO and likes the knockout prop.

Wright by knockout (+400); Wright round 1 KO (+700); under 1.5 rounds (+115)
"I'm gonna pick jordan right as well I feel like barrio's chin is questionable at this point"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2022 (fight day)
Marc-André Barriault

The host picks Marc-André Barriault to win, including him in a parlay with Guida and Andrade. He acknowledges that Jordan Wright could win but suggests playing Wright's KO line instead of a straight bet.

Included in a parlay with Guida and Andrade.
"i'm picking barrio guida and andraj"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Marc-André Barriault

Paul leans Barriault but low priority. He acknowledges Wright's early KO threat but thinks if Barriault survives the first round, his grinding style will take over. He notes Barriault's durability before the last fight and expects him to wear on Wright.

Under 1.5 rounds; live betting Barriault after first round
"i think i'm gonna have barrio it'll be very low on the priority list"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

The MMA Guru picks Jordan Wright, criticizing Barriault for fighting just two months after a brutal KO. He believes Wright is a fast starter and will finish Barriault early, especially at catchweight where Wright doesn't have to cut much. He notes Wright's size and reach advantage. He adds that if Wright doesn't finish in the first, Barriault might take over, but he expects an early KO. He calls Barriault's decision to fight again 'stupid'.

first round KO
"i am going to go with jordan wright punishment for stupidity uh marc andre barry fought two months ago got ko'd badly in the first round why are you back in the ring"
LOSS vs Bruno Silva
TKO (punches) R1 1:28 · UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · Dec 11, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bruno Silva 0 20 of 26 76% 22 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Jordan Wright 1 19 of 29 65% 22 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bruno Silva 0 20 of 26 76% 22 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Jordan Wright 1 19 of 29 65% 22 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bruno Silva 20 of 26 76% 9 of 15 10 of 10 1 of 1 11 of 16 9 of 10 0 of 0
Jordan Wright 19 of 29 65% 18 of 28 0 of 0 1 of 1 8 of 13 3 of 5 8 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bruno Silva 20 of 26 76% 9 of 15 10 of 10 1 of 1 11 of 16 9 of 10 0 of 0
Jordan Wright 19 of 29 65% 18 of 28 0 of 0 1 of 1 8 of 13 3 of 5 8 of 11
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bruno Silva vs. Jordan Wright

Round 1
Violence is the main ingredient for this next dish also at 185 pounds, when “Blindado” Silva (21-6, 2-0 UFC) aims to secure his seventh knockout in a row at the expense of “The Beverly Hills Ninja” Wright (12-1, 1 NC; 2-1 UFC). Fists and feet will surely fly until one falls, and it is not expected that this one will go the distance – it is +400 on that line now. Strapped in is 2021 World MMA Award winner for best referee, Herb Dean, who will undoubtedly have his hands full for as long as it lasts. Silva immediately begins to stalk Wright down, but the American is staying at safe range on the outside with high and low kicks. Silva thumps one to the knee, and Wright fires back with a pair to the body. A head kick from Wright may have rattled Silva, leading Silva to charge in recklessly. The two start slugging it out, cracking each other with little interest in defense, until Wright ties him up and starts kneeing him in the chest. One may have bounced off the cup, and Silva protests but he does not get the stoppage. Silva gets angry, and suddenly in a rage he nails Wright with a short flurry of punches.
A few right hands behind the ear, and a brutal left-right combo rattle Wright, who falls back across the cage. Silva darts after him, knowing the finish is close, and he clubs Wright with a few blows to knock “The Beverly Hills Ninja” down to the canvas. Dean gives Wright every bit of leeway to recover and get his wits about him, as Wright rolls around to try to grab hold of Silva’s leg or do something on the ground in desperation. All the while, “Blindado” lords over him and continues to clobber Wright with vicious strikes until Dean has no choice to finally step in
, thereby making official Silva’s seventh knockout in a row.

The Official Result
Bruno Silva def. Jordan Wright R1 1:28 via TKO (Punches)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 8, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Big Brady is confident in Bruno Silva winning by first-round knockout. He highlights that both fighters have poor striking defense and high finish rates, but Silva has never been knocked out and hits extremely hard. Wright has a questionable chin and keeps his chin high, making him vulnerable. Brady expects Silva to pressure Wright against the cage and land heavy combinations. He also notes the fight doesn't go to decision line is minus 450, indicating high finish probability.

Fight doesn't go to decision (minus 450), Silva round 1 KO
"give me bruno silva round one knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Dec 9, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Daniel Levi picks Bruno Silva to knock out Jordan Wright. He praises Silva's body work, knees, and finishing ability, noting his wins over Alexander Shlemenko and Artem Frolov. Levi criticizes Wright's durability, saying he can give but not take shots. He expects Silva to land a body shot that puts Wright down. Levi is confident in Silva's power and pressure.

knockout
"give me bruno blendatto silva to knock out jordan right"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

The MMA Guru picks Bruno Silva to win by third-round TKO. He believes Silva is more technically sound on the feet and has better cardio. He notes Wright's tendency to slow down after the first round and Silva's ability to pressure and land body shots. He predicts a war early, with Silva taking over in later rounds.

third-round TKO
"bruno silva's gonna get this one done i reckon he gets it done by third round tko"
WIN vs Jamie Pickett
TKO (punches) R1 1:04 · UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · May 15, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jordan Wright 1 26 of 32 81% 33 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Jamie Pickett 0 4 of 5 80% 4 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jordan Wright 1 26 of 32 81% 33 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Jamie Pickett 0 4 of 5 80% 4 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jordan Wright 26 of 32 81% 21 of 27 5 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 6 12 of 12 9 of 14
Jamie Pickett 4 of 5 80% 2 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jordan Wright 26 of 32 81% 21 of 27 5 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 6 12 of 12 9 of 14
Jamie Pickett 4 of 5 80% 2 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 11, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

Pickett is durable, never knocked out, and has a solid chin. Wright has terrible striking defense (40%), no chin, and has never been to decision. Pickett can pressure forward, land hard shots, and has good wrestling. I expect Pickett to finish Wright in the second round by knockout.

by KO round 2
"I'm going to take pika here for the win i'm going to take in a win by a second round knockout for pickett"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

Daniel Levi picks Jamie Pickett, citing his physicality, speed, and strength advantage. He notes that Jordan Wright (Beverly Hills Ninja) has a suspect chin, as seen in the Anthony Hernandez fight, and was steamrolled by Joaquin Buckley. Levi thinks Pickett can knock out Wright or win by decision, and calls this Pickett's best chance to get a UFC win.

mentions Wright's chin and Pickett's durability
"i'm going with jamie pickett to knock out the beverly hills ninja"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

The host picks Pickett but wants no part of betting the fight. He notes Pickett has shown durability, eating big shots from Soriano and Chukwu, while Wright has a questionable chin. He thinks Pickett lands a big shot and finishes Wright in the second round. However, he acknowledges both fighters are low level and that Wright could win if he lands early.

Pickett by KO in round 2
"i'll ultimately go with the guy who's been showing uh solid durability as of late and jamie pickett and i'll take him to this fight by second round ko but i want no part of this fight in terms of …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 9, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

The MMA Guru picks Jamie Pickett to win by TKO in round 2. He notes that Jordan Wright has spectacular finishes but against weak competition, and that Wright slows down after the first round. He believes Pickett can absorb Wright's early onslaught, as shown in his fight with Pannie Soriano, and then finish Wright late in the second round against the cage.

Pickett wins by TKO in round 2
"i'm picking jamie pickett to get the tko in round two"
LOSS vs Joaquin Buckley
KO (punches) R2 0:18 · UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · Nov 21, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joaquin Buckley 2 43 of 80 53% 59 of 96 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:49
Jordan Wright 0 18 of 47 38% 36 of 66 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joaquin Buckley 1 36 of 69 52% 52 of 85 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:49
Jordan Wright 0 17 of 42 40% 35 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
2 Joaquin Buckley 1 7 of 11 63% 7 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jordan Wright 0 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joaquin Buckley 43 of 80 53% 31 of 63 12 of 17 0 of 0 33 of 67 3 of 3 7 of 10
Jordan Wright 18 of 47 38% 5 of 32 12 of 14 1 of 1 16 of 44 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joaquin Buckley 36 of 69 52% 25 of 53 11 of 16 0 of 0 26 of 56 3 of 3 7 of 10
Jordan Wright 17 of 42 40% 5 of 28 11 of 13 1 of 1 15 of 39 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Joaquin Buckley 7 of 11 63% 6 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jordan Wright 1 of 5 20% 0 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joaquin Buckley vs. Jordan Wright

Round 1
Hold on to your hats, ladies and gentlemen, for this next one at middleweight. Two spectacular finishers are up next, as Buckley (11-3, 1-1 UFC) makes a quick turnaround after his sure-fire “Knockout of the Year”-winning knockout against Wright (11-0, 1 NC; 1-0 UFC), with the latter posting a 100 percent finish rate of his own. Looking to not get knocked out by errant blows is referee Herb Dean, and the brawlers do not touch gloves before throwing down. Wright comes at him and quickly clinches up, and when Buckley breaks away, Wright tries to knee him in the head. Buckley backs away and rushes in with a pair of looping punches, and his forward momentum puts the two back in the clinch. Buckley holds him tight before dropping for a double leg takedown, and Wright stands him up until they separate again. Wright lands a right hand, and Buckley counters with his own left hook. This same combination occurs again, and Buckley is putting everything he has into these punches. Buckley slings a head kick, and “The Beverly Hills Ninja” blocks it and gets pushed into the fence with another clinch. Buckley holds him there by grabbing the fence and putting his hands over the top, and Dean won’t let it happen as he chides “New Mansa.” The separation once more leads into Buckley swinging too hard with punches, and Wright lets loose a head kick. Buckley charges like a runaway truck and throws bombs, but Wright stays composed, rolls with the strikes, and keeps kicking. The unbeaten fighter scores a head kick that wobbles Buckley, and counters a rampaging Buckley with a check knee that delays the attack for long enough to allow Wright to back away. Wright scores an uppercut as Buckle charges in, and he just misses a head kick. The telegraphed strike from “New Mansa” allow Wright to get out of harm’s way, and he times another knee when Buckley comes at him. Wright keeps his distance with a body kick, and he partially absorbs a few punches. Buckley lets loose with everything he has, hurting Wright with punches and sending the undefeated fighter tumbling to the canvas. Buckley unleashes a furious storm of heavy punches, but he cannot finish the fight before the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Buckley

Round 2
Buckley steps forward from his corner to land a straight left hand, and Wright has not yet recovered from the punishment he absorbed at the end of Round 1. Buckley notices this, and he plows forward with a long left as Wright kicks him in the body backing up.
As part of a combination, Buckley fires off a deadly left hook that snaps Wright’s head back, and a right hand that follows is unnecessary as Wright’s knees abandon him completely. The undefeated fighter falls to the canvas, and Dean knows he is done as Buckley walks off; Wright is no longer unbeaten.
Although not quite as spectacular as his performance that the promotion interrupted Bruce Buffer’s introduction to play, Buckley has now recorded another highlight reel knockout over an undefeated fighter in devastating fashion.

The Official Result
Joaquin Buckley def. Jordan Wright R2 0:18 via KO (Punch)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Big Brady picks Joaquin Buckley to win by first-round knockout. He notes Buckley has better experience and competition, while Wright's early wins were against low-level opponents. He thinks Buckley's pressure and the small cage will be key, and Wright doesn't like being hit.

under 1.5 rounds, parlay piece
"i'm going to take joaquin buckley to win in the first round"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Daniel picks Buckley, citing his aggressive pressure and power. He notes the '50k curse' but believes Buckley's forward pressure will break Wright's karate style. He also mentions Buckley's wrestling and durability, though he expects a tougher fight than some anticipate.

knockout
"i'mma go with buckley via knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

The host picks Jordan Wright to win by first or second round KO, despite acknowledging it's a surprising pick. He thinks the line on Buckley is skewed by his viral knockout, and that Wright has a size advantage and better game plan. He recommends against parlaying Buckley.

under 1.5 rounds
"I'm going to go with Jordan Wright I think Jordan Wright gets it done probably first or second round KO"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

The MMA Guru picks Joaquin Buckley to win by TKO (haymaker) in the first round. He notes Wright is moving down from light heavyweight and will have an adjustment period, and that Wright's competition has been weak. He expects Buckley to catch Wright with a big hook early.

first round tko
"i am gonna go with buckley catching him in the first round"
TKO (doctor stoppage) R1 1:31 · UFC on ESPN: Munhoz vs. Edgar · Aug 22, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jordan Wright 0 7 of 7 100% 23 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
Ike Villanueva 1 15 of 15 100% 21 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jordan Wright 0 7 of 7 100% 23 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
Ike Villanueva 1 15 of 15 100% 21 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jordan Wright 7 of 7 100% 5 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 7 of 7 0 of 0
Ike Villanueva 15 of 15 100% 10 of 10 5 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 12 of 12 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jordan Wright 7 of 7 100% 5 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 7 of 7 0 of 0
Ike Villanueva 15 of 15 100% 10 of 10 5 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 12 of 12 2 of 2
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Big Brady picks Jordan Wright to win by knockout, expecting an early finish. He is not impressed with Ike Villanueva, who looked awful against Chase Sherman, landing only 20 strikes before getting knocked out. Wright is faster and has power, though he has fought mostly nobodies. Wright is coming up from 185 to 205, but Brady likes his style and expects him to land a shot and finish Villanueva.

"i'm going to pick jordan right to win this fight i'm going to pick him to win my knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2020 (fight day)
Ike Villanueva

Daniel Levi picks Ike Villanueva to win by knockout. He notes that Jordan Wright is too small for light heavyweight, weighing in at 200 pounds, and lacks the toughness to compete in the UFC. Levi believes Villanueva has better size and experience, and that this is likely the only fight Villanueva will win in his UFC career. He expects a sloppy fight but sees Villanueva's power and durability as decisive.

knockout
"i'm gonna pick ike via knockout and then we can uh have the discussion of fading ike is a very next fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Wright is explosive, fast, and has knockout power, while Villanueva is 36 and was just finished by Chase Sherman. Wright's speed and footwork should be too much for Villanueva, who has durability issues. Expect a first-round KO from Wright. If Wright comes out as an underdog, he might be worth a small bet.

"i am going to take jordan right to win this by first round ko"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 17, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

The MMA Guru picks Jorge Gonzalez (Jordan Wright) over Ike Villanueva, criticizing Villanueva's poor UFC debut against Chase Sherman and his 16-10 record. He praises Gonzalez's competition, including a win over undefeated Marcos Rodriguez via first-round rear-naked choke, and predicts a first-round submission or TKO.

first round submission or tko by ground and pound
"i am going to be picking jorge gonzalez here ek valenweiver was not impressive to me"
Jamie Pickett - Fight History
LOSS vs Eryk Anders
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · Mar 02, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Eryk Anders 0 23 of 59 38% 83 of 147 5 of 13 38% 0 0 10:08
Jamie Pickett 1 20 of 55 36% 26 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Eryk Anders 0 7 of 19 36% 20 of 32 1 of 6 16% 0 0 2:42
Jamie Pickett 1 8 of 19 42% 9 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
2 Eryk Anders 0 10 of 23 43% 33 of 59 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:57
Jamie Pickett 0 11 of 24 45% 14 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Eryk Anders 0 6 of 17 35% 30 of 56 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:29
Jamie Pickett 0 1 of 12 8% 3 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Eryk Anders 23 of 59 38% 14 of 48 7 of 9 2 of 2 12 of 38 7 of 9 4 of 12
Jamie Pickett 20 of 55 36% 11 of 45 8 of 9 1 of 1 12 of 46 8 of 8 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Eryk Anders 7 of 19 36% 2 of 13 4 of 5 1 of 1 5 of 16 2 of 3 0 of 0
Jamie Pickett 8 of 19 42% 3 of 14 4 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 15 3 of 3 0 of 1
2 Eryk Anders 10 of 23 43% 6 of 18 3 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 16 5 of 6 0 of 1
Jamie Pickett 11 of 24 45% 8 of 20 3 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 19 5 of 5 0 of 0
3 Eryk Anders 6 of 17 35% 6 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 4 of 11
Jamie Pickett 1 of 12 8% 0 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 25, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Angelo picks Eryk Anders, citing his athleticism, durability, and ability to bully his way to a win. He notes Anders is a large favorite at -330, which is too wide for him, but he expects Anders to win. He suggests there might be value on inside the distance props.

Inside the distance (potential value)
"Eric Anders at minus 330 Eric Anders is a bigger favorite over Jamie picket than Muhammad makv is over Alex bre"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Big Brady picks Anders, calling it a cage-pushing fight. He notes Anders has higher volume, more power, and is physically stronger. He expects Anders to push Pickett against the cage and take him down, similar to his 24-takedown-attempt fight. He predicts a greasy decision win for Anders.

"give me Eric Anders to win this fight win this fight by Greasy greasy decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Cody picks Anders, calling him a gatekeeper who beats lower-level opponents like Pickett. He notes Pickett's terrible output and lack of finishing ability, and that Anders has been competitive with better fighters. Cody believes Anders will win but calls it a bad bet at minus-500, though he admits he'll include Anders in parlays as a degenerate.

"I think he wins and I'm a degenerate and I'll pay minus 500 on him and some stupid parlays but if they lost I got nobody to blame but myself because it's B it's a bad bet"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Feb 26, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Anders should be able to force the action, push Pickett against the cage, and land takedowns. However, Anders is 36 and slowing down, and -400 is not a number to trust with him. The fight is expected to be closely competitive and go to the scorecards, with Anders likely getting his hand raised. The host prefers the over or fight goes to decision.

fight goes to decision
"minus 400 is not a number that I really want to trust Andre with I expect this fight to be closely competitive in certain spots but I think that we see this fight go to the judge's scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Feb 28, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Paul picks Anders but is hesitant due to the minus-500 price. He notes Anders has been inconsistent but has faced better competition and has shown improved cardio and output recently. He thinks Pickett is on a losing streak and lacks volume or power. Paul expects Anders to win but acknowledges the price is steep and that Pickett could make it close.

"Eric Anders is uh he's the rightful favorite he should win the fight he wins the fight more often than not but like at minus 500 you got to realize with Anders is he fights with his foot not on …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

The MMA Guru initially considered Pickett but decided Anders is the pick. He notes Anders was close with Marc-André Barriault and had a scrap, while Pickett is on a four-fight losing streak and has no impressive wins. He calls Pickett 'awful' and says his wins are unimpressive.

"We're going to go Eric Anders over Jamie Pickett in 2024... Jamie Pickett's awful"
LOSS vs Josh Fremd
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. dos Anjos · Aug 12, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Josh Fremd 0 31 of 80 38% 59 of 109 0 of 3 0% 2 1 7:15
Jamie Pickett 0 14 of 52 26% 26 of 67 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Josh Fremd 0 11 of 29 37% 23 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:31
Jamie Pickett 0 4 of 18 22% 8 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:28
2 Josh Fremd 0 13 of 31 41% 17 of 35 0 of 1 0% 2 0 1:51
Jamie Pickett 0 5 of 15 33% 7 of 17 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:39
3 Josh Fremd 0 7 of 20 35% 19 of 33 0 of 2 0% 0 1 2:53
Jamie Pickett 0 5 of 19 26% 11 of 25 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Josh Fremd 31 of 80 38% 11 of 49 10 of 18 10 of 13 22 of 64 6 of 11 3 of 5
Jamie Pickett 14 of 52 26% 4 of 31 6 of 16 4 of 5 11 of 45 3 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Josh Fremd 11 of 29 37% 2 of 17 3 of 5 6 of 7 9 of 25 2 of 4 0 of 0
Jamie Pickett 4 of 18 22% 0 of 9 2 of 7 2 of 2 3 of 15 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Josh Fremd 13 of 31 41% 7 of 20 4 of 7 2 of 4 7 of 22 3 of 4 3 of 5
Jamie Pickett 5 of 15 33% 1 of 8 2 of 4 2 of 3 5 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Josh Fremd 7 of 20 35% 2 of 12 3 of 6 2 of 2 6 of 17 1 of 3 0 of 0
Jamie Pickett 5 of 19 26% 3 of 14 2 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 15 2 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Angelo picks Fremd, citing his improving grappling and athleticism. He notes Pickett is a solid striker but gun-shy and has poor takedown defense. He expects Fremd to wrestle and grind out a win.

"I think Joss stream WINS"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Big Brady picks Josh Fremd to win by submission in the second round. He believes Fremd has Pickett covered in every aspect, noting Pickett's three-fight skid and poor durability. He mentions Fremd's power and submission game, and says Fremd can win by decision, knockout, or submission. He is not laying -325 but is confident Fremd gets it done.

submission, second round
"I'll say submission for friend but it could be a knockout like Fram you take a look at some of his fights outside the UFC this guy has incredible power"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Cody picks Fremd, citing his wrestling background, cardio, and improvement. He notes Fremd's competitive fight against Fluffy Hernandez and his submission win over Cedric Dumas. He criticizes Pickett's three-fight losing streak and lack of UFC-level skills. He thinks Fremd's wrestling and grappling advantage will be too much, and that Pickett's job is on the line but he doesn't see a path to victory.

"the pick is Josh Brown"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

James picks Fremd but is not confident, calling it a 'bad fight' and not his type. He thinks Fremd should win but notes Pickett is tough, long, and strong in the clinch. He believes the line at -350 is too wide and should be around -250. He likely won't bet it.

"I am picking Fremd here... it's just not my type of fight where I'm gonna be making a big case."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Fremd showed a relentless wrestling style in his last fight, but he is a heavy favorite at -350 against a guy on a three-fight losing streak. Pickett relies on physical traits but is not great technically. Fremd's wrestling and pace should be too much, but trusting him at such a short price is risky given his limited sample size. Fremd should grind out a decision.

Fremd by decision
"my prediction is still going to be Josh friend as I think he grinds this fight out and wins it by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

Paul picks Fremd, agreeing that Pickett doesn't belong in the UFC. He notes Fremd's submission skills and ability to get dominant positions. He thinks Fremd will likely win by submission. He considered Pickett at plus money but after digging, concluded Pickett is just not good enough.

Fremd by submission
"friend probably by sub is is how I would see this one shaking out"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Josh Fremd

The MMA Guru picks Josh Fremd over Jamie Pickett, noting Fremd's losses to Anthony Hernandez (who is doing that to everyone) and Tresean Gore (a nasty guillotine). He believes Fremd is more well-rounded with grappling and striking, and that Pickett tends to fade in fights. He thinks Fremd's potential and size advantage will lead to a win, possibly ending Pickett's UFC career.

"I'm going with Josh friend I'm going with Josh friend"
LOSS vs Bo Nickal
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R1 2:54 · UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · Mar 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bo Nickal 0 1 of 4 25% 3 of 6 1 of 4 25% 2 0 2:30
Jamie Pickett 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bo Nickal 0 1 of 4 25% 3 of 6 1 of 4 25% 2 0 2:30
Jamie Pickett 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bo Nickal 1 of 4 25% 0 of 2 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0
Jamie Pickett 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bo Nickal 1 of 4 25% 0 of 2 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0
Jamie Pickett 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bo Nickal vs. Jamie Pickett
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Nickal (-1400), Pickett (+850)

Round 1
The main card of UFC 285 begins with the hotly anticipated debut of elite college wrestler Nickal (3-0, 0-0 UFC), who is entering only his fourth pro fight with a combined two minutes and 27 seconds of fight time under his belt not counting his amateur outings. He meets Pickett (13-8, 2-4 UFC), whose last trip to the cage lasted nearly 10 minutes, or nearly twice much time as Nickal’s pro and amateur career combined. Nickal comes in as a nonsensical favorite of -2000 or above in some books, and referee Keith Peterson will be the one to clock them in despite that nonsense. The middleweights do not touch gloves, as they would rather get right to it. Nickal leaps forward, jumps in the air with a kick that misses, and he hits the floor. Nickal shoots for a takedown, and Pickett stuffs it on the first try. Nickal shoves him against the wall and knees him a few times, and Pickett grimaces from an apparent knee to the groin. The foul uncalled, Nickal throws his man to his knees, and searches for a possible brabo choke, only to release it to circle around and take the back. Nickal grabs hold of a rear-naked choke, and he changes it to a neck crank but lets it go to look for another opening. Nickal jumps to the side, and he wraps his left arm beneath Pickett’s chin and squeezes with an arm-triangle choke. Pickett talks to Nickal the whole time while the submission is being attempted, and Pickett is able to survive the first strong squeeze. Pickett defends with his left arm between the neck and the choke, and Nickal adjusts and fastens it tighter. Pickett stays composed and calm as Nickal keeps squeezing, and Pickett pushes off the hip and stays with it. The wrestler keeps the vice-like grip as tight as can be, and he forces Pickett to finally surrender, thereby boosting his young record to 4-0 with four finishes on his ledger. Nickal has made good on his promotional debut, and the next question will soon be what the UFC does with him next with all the hype surrounding him. The victorious Nickal claims in his post-fight interview that he will be not only the champion, but the top pound-for-pound fighter in the sport.

The Official Result
Bo Nickal def. Jamie Pickett R1 2:54 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bo Nickal

Angelo is certain Bo Nickal will win, stating he will wrestle immediately and finish the fight. He notes that the odds are extremely high and there is no value, but Nickal is the closest thing to a guarantee in the sport. Angelo advises against betting due to the poor odds.

"Bo nickel should win he's the closest thing to a guarantee that you will get in the sport"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lock picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Bo Nickal

Big Brady is extremely confident in Bo Nickal, calling him a next-level wrestler with power and submission ability. He notes Jamie Pickett has poor takedown defense and has been submitted before. He predicts a first-round submission for Nickal, welcoming him to the UFC.

first round submission
"this is Beau Nickel in the first round first round by submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bo Nickal

Cody is confident Nickal wins inside the distance, likely by submission. He thinks Nickal will overwhelm Pickett early and finish him in the first round. He recommends under 1.5 rounds and says Nickal ends up on parlay tickets.

Under 1.5 rounds; fight doesn't get out of the first round; Bo Nickal inside the distance
"under one and a half for me flight doesn't get out of the first round Bo nickel inside the distance"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Bo Nickal

Connor is extremely confident Nickal wins, calling it a soft touch. He notes Pickett is a good athlete but easily cowed by superior athletes, with poor body language and a tendency to crumble. He expects Nickal to finish via TKO or submission, though Pickett may avoid submission briefly.

Mentions Nickal by TKO/KO +175 to +225, by submission -165 to -143. Suggests Nickal by finish is likely.
"Bo Nickal is going to beat the pants off Jamie Pickett. All right, done."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lock picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bo Nickal

Jacob agrees that Bo Nickal will win, but questions whether Nickal will go for a quick takedown or try to show off his striking. He notes that Jamie Pickett folds under pressure and that this matchup was made for a reason. Jacob sees no value in betting on Nickal at these odds.

"this is a bow nickel play all the way"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Bo Nickal

Nickal is a decorated wrestler with good submissions. Pickett is on a two-fight losing streak and likely fighting for his job. Nickal will get a takedown and submit him in the first round. Look for early finishing props.

Nickal wins in round 1
"Bo nickel will win this fight any way he wants he will get the takedown he'll be able to wrap up a submission I think he does it within the first round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bo Nickal

Paul agrees Nickal will win easily but notes the odds are too short to bet the moneyline. He mentions the under 1.5 rounds is heavily juiced and considers a small sprinkle on the over as a contrarian play, but ultimately expects a quick finish.

Under 1.5 rounds (-300); considers a small sprinkle on the over as a longshot
"I mean it's it's all the entire Market is like bow nickel is going to absolutely kill them"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Bo Nickal

The MMA Guru picks Bo Nickal to win by first-round submission, likely a rear-naked choke. He criticizes Pickett's lack of quality wins and believes Nickal's wrestling will be too much.

First round submission predicted
"I'm going with bow nickel... I think he's gonna go out there get the takedown and get the sub."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Bo Nickal

Zane agrees, calling Pickett a 'gentle giant' who crumbles under pressure. He notes Pickett was submitted by Kyle Daukaus and TKO'd by Jordan Wright, so a finish is probable. He sees no path for Pickett.

"He is the definition of a gentle giant... crumbled faster than Jordan Wright."
LOSS vs Denis Tiuliulin
TKO (knee and punches) R2 4:52 · UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · Sep 10, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Denis Tiuliulin 2 73 of 161 45% 87 of 178 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:59
Jamie Pickett 0 60 of 111 54% 63 of 114 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Denis Tiuliulin 0 22 of 76 28% 28 of 82 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jamie Pickett 0 35 of 60 58% 37 of 62 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:32
2 Denis Tiuliulin 2 51 of 85 60% 59 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:59
Jamie Pickett 0 25 of 51 49% 26 of 52 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Denis Tiuliulin 73 of 161 45% 53 of 131 19 of 28 1 of 2 52 of 133 15 of 15 6 of 13
Jamie Pickett 60 of 111 54% 44 of 90 13 of 18 3 of 3 56 of 103 4 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Denis Tiuliulin 22 of 76 28% 16 of 64 5 of 11 1 of 1 22 of 76 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jamie Pickett 35 of 60 58% 23 of 46 10 of 12 2 of 2 33 of 57 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Denis Tiuliulin 51 of 85 60% 37 of 67 14 of 17 0 of 1 30 of 57 15 of 15 6 of 13
Jamie Pickett 25 of 51 49% 21 of 44 3 of 6 1 of 1 23 of 46 2 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Sep 6, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

Angelo leans toward Jamie Pickett, citing his takedowns and ability to win via grappling. He notes Pickett is a solid striker but gun-shy, while Tiuliulin is a brawler with power. He thinks if Pickett manages range and uses takedowns, he can win, but it's a low-confidence pick.

"I'm gonna lean Pickett because he does have eight takedowns in the UFC and he is an okay striker and these low volume guys are super frustrating but if Jamie gets it to the ground I think it's a clear …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 8, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Denis Tiuliulin

Big Brady picks Denis Tiuliulin as a dog, criticizing Jamie Pickett for being inactive and fighting not to lose. He was impressed by Tiuliulin's debut against a tough prospect and believes Tiuliulin can stuff takedowns and land a big shot. He predicts a first-round knockout, though he expects the fight to be terrible overall.

first round knockout
"I'm actually going to pick Dennis here as a dog to go out there and knock out Jamie Pickett."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Denis Tiuliulin

Cody leans towards Denis Tiuliulin as a dog, noting that Jamie Pickett is not a great wrestler and that Tiuliulin has power and durability. He mentions that Pickett's takedown defense is not elite and that Tiuliulin can hold his own on the feet. He is not betting it but picks Tiuliulin for the show.

Pickett under 1.5 takedowns on PrizePicks
"leaning towards the dogs with dennis chi lulin for me not betting it though"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Denis Tiuliulin

Daniel Levi picks Denis Tiuliulin for the upset. He notes Tiuliulin's knockout power and long striking, while Pickett has been finished before. He acknowledges Pickett's physical advantages and takedown ability, but believes if Tiuliulin can avoid being taken down, he can light up Pickett on the feet. Levi calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.

"I'm gonna go out on a limb here i'm gonna take a dennis chaluan for the upset."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Denis Tiuliulin

Jacob strongly disagrees, picking Denis Tiuliulin. He thinks Pickett does not belong in the UFC, is gun-shy, and has telegraphed takedowns. He praises Tiuliulin's striking, power, and toughness, noting he landed clean shots against a dominant wrestler on short notice. He believes Tiuliulin will march forward and find a finish.

has bets on Tiuliulin for premium members
"I'm the knee all the way man if you're a premium member I got bets you better become a premium member."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 9, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Jamie Pickett

The host leans Jamie Pickett but can't back him at -130. He expects Pickett to use his physical attributes to overpower Tiuliulin in the clinch and grind out a decision. He notes Tiuliulin's power but thinks Pickett's durability and bullying style will prevail.

over 2.5 rounds (-140)
"I think Jamie just grinds him out and wins this fight by decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

Paul leans towards Jamie Pickett, noting that Tiuliulin has poor takedown defense and cardio, which are Pickett's strengths. He believes Pickett will use his wrestling to lean on Tiuliulin and tire him out. However, he is not confident and says it's a dog or pass fight.

"i would have to lean towards pickett even though he's a slight favorite you could just chalk this one up to a dog or pass"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2022 (fight day)
Denis Tiuliulin

The MMA Guru picks Denis Tiuliulin to win by TKO in the first round. He describes both fighters playing at range early, with Tiuliulin looking for body kicks. Pickett will time punches when Tiuliulin kicks, but as he rushes in, Tiuliulin lands a big shot over the top, rocks Pickett, and finishes with body shots and big shots against the cage.

TKO in the first round
"I'm gonna go with Dennis Chilean by TKO in the first round"
LOSS vs Kyle Daukaus
Submission (D'Arce choke) R1 4:59 · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · Feb 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kyle Daukaus 0 6 of 9 66% 19 of 29 3 of 6 50% 2 0 4:12
Jamie Pickett 0 5 of 9 55% 5 of 9 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kyle Daukaus 0 6 of 9 66% 19 of 29 3 of 6 50% 2 0 4:12
Jamie Pickett 0 5 of 9 55% 5 of 9 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kyle Daukaus 6 of 9 66% 4 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 3 5 of 7 1 of 2 0 of 0
Jamie Pickett 5 of 9 55% 2 of 5 3 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 5 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kyle Daukaus 6 of 9 66% 4 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 3 5 of 7 1 of 2 0 of 0
Jamie Pickett 5 of 9 55% 2 of 5 3 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 5 4 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kyle Daukaus vs. Jamie Pickett

Round 1
Receiving an upgrade to the co-main event slot, Daukaus (10-2, 1 NC; 1-2, 1 NC UFC) and Pickett (13-6, 2-2 UFC) will handle their business at a pre-planned 195-pound catchweight due to the latter taking the fight on short notice. This fun stylistic clash will draw officiating from referee Herb Dean, and the fighters gladly touch gloves as they are happy to be fighting tonight. Pickett strikes first with few low kicks, and Daukaus replies in kind. Right after Daukaus wings a right hand, he changes levels to go after a takedown. Although Pickett stays upright on the first attempt, Daukaus sucks his legs out beneath him and drags him down. From his back, “The Nightwolf” holds on to a guillotine choke, and Daukaus wisely comes around with his own shoulder to set up a Von Preux shoulder choke. Pickett lets go of his arm grip so that he does not himself get submitted, and instead sits up and turns on his hip to try to stand back up. Daukaus keeps his man trapped beneath him, smacking him in the face with a few right hands, but Pickett explodes out of the position and powers back to his feet. Pickett tries to let his hands go when he gets upright, only to find Daukaus right on him to go hunting for a single. The Philadelphia native successfully lifts Pickett’s leg all the way up in the air before slamming him to the mat, and he is quick to secure half guard. When Pickett sits up and turns like before, Daukaus times this to try to take his back. Pickett simply stands up from this position, and he shucks Daukaus off of his back. Daukaus does not let up, remaining tied to Pickett until he lets go of his own accord. Out of nowhere, Daukaus drills Pickett with a few punches square on the chin, and when Pickett is shaken up, Daukaus leaps forward to snag another takedown.
Pickett falls to his back, and when he rolls to his side, Daukaus quickly attacks with a sneaky brabo choke from a difficult angle. In half guard, Daukaus keeps the choke snaked around Pickett’s neck and it is tight. With no way to get out, Pickett wriggles his arm free so that he can tap out on Daukaus’ side barely one second before the horn blares.
There is a bit of confusion as to the timing of the stoppage, or whether Pickett reached the end of the round, but it appears that he tapped out just before the bell. What a way to win a fight!

The Official Result
Kyle Daukaus def. Jamie Pickett R1 4:59 via Submission (Brabo Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Feb 13, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

Angelo leans toward Jamie Pickett, citing his recent performance against Joseph Holmes where he showed volume and mixed in takedowns. He notes that if Pickett fights aggressively and uses takedowns, he beats Daukaus almost every time. However, he acknowledges Pickett's gun-shy tendencies could be a problem.

"i'm gonna do a slight lean to jamie pickett because we just saw that version of him three weeks ago"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Kyle Daukaus

Big Brady picks Kyle Daukaus, noting Pickett has low output and has been outgrappled by lesser fighters. He believes Daukaus has advantages on the feet and on the ground, and predicts a submission in the first or second round.

win by submission in first or second round
"give me tylenol dawkis to submit jamie pickett I'll say in that first or second round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Kyle Daukaus

Cody picks Kyle Daukaus, citing his well-rounded skill set and superior grappling. He notes that Daukaus has shown good moments in his UFC fights, including a strong performance against Kevin Holland that was ruled a no contest due to an accidental headbutt. Cody believes Daukaus will have faster hand speed and should be able to take the fight to the mat, where he has a sizable advantage. He also mentions that Jamie Pickett's game is not well-rounded and relies on smothering opponents against the cage.

"yeah much of the same the only thing that could maybe cause for concern is if jamie pickett just spam clinches up against the cage"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Kyle Daukaus

Levi leans toward Daukaus but thinks the line is too wide, suggesting it should be around -175. He acknowledges Pickett's momentum and confidence from two wins, but notes Pickett's wins were over lower-level opponents. Levi expects Daukaus to win a close decision, possibly an ugly fight, and mentions Daukaus should finish but might not.

line should be -175 to -165; Daukaus by close decision
"i slightly lean them but not by that much i think it's a dog or pass situation but i'll take darkest by a close decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Kyle Daukaus

Daukaus is better everywhere: clinch, grappling, and developing striking. Pickett has physical tools but lacks output and fight IQ. Daukaus should control the fight with takedowns and either submit or decision Pickett. The sub/decision combo at -165 is a great line. A knockout is unlikely, so the method is between submission and decision.

Daukaus by sub or decision (-165), Daukaus by decision (+120)
"fanduel has done buckets by sub or decision at -165 and i think that's a hell of a line"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Kyle Daukaus

Paul picks Daukaus, noting that Pickett is low-volume and doesn't use his long reach well. He thinks Daukaus's path to victory is to take the fight to the mat, where he should have a clear advantage. Paul acknowledges that Pickett could spam clinches, but overall he sees Daukaus as a rightful favorite at -250.

"i think the real path to victory here for kyle dawkis is take this fight to the mat where he should have a sizable advantage"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Kyle Daukaus

The MMA Guru picks Kyle Daukaus to win by 29-28 decision in a clinch-heavy fight. He believes Daukaus has better technique on the feet and superior jiu-jitsu, and can neutralize Pickett's cage-grappling game. He notes Daukaus has a good chin and has never been finished as a pro, so Pickett's power is less of a threat. He expects a boring clinch fest with Daukaus edging out the rounds.

decision 29-28
"i'm going to go with kyle dawkis here over jamie pickett ... i think he's going to be able to sort of neutralize the cage holding game of jamie picker"
WIN vs Joseph Holmes
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Chikadze · Jan 15, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jamie Pickett 0 50 of 122 40% 54 of 126 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:02
Joseph Holmes 0 51 of 93 54% 59 of 101 0 of 2 0% 0 0 3:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jamie Pickett 0 10 of 23 43% 12 of 25 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:24
Joseph Holmes 0 24 of 35 68% 26 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
2 Jamie Pickett 0 23 of 55 41% 24 of 56 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:18
Joseph Holmes 0 13 of 27 48% 18 of 32 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:08
3 Jamie Pickett 0 17 of 44 38% 18 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:20
Joseph Holmes 0 14 of 31 45% 15 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jamie Pickett 50 of 122 40% 22 of 86 19 of 24 9 of 12 40 of 108 10 of 14 0 of 0
Joseph Holmes 51 of 93 54% 30 of 65 13 of 19 8 of 9 41 of 82 10 of 11 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jamie Pickett 10 of 23 43% 4 of 15 3 of 3 3 of 5 9 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0
Joseph Holmes 24 of 35 68% 13 of 21 7 of 9 4 of 5 17 of 28 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Jamie Pickett 23 of 55 41% 12 of 42 9 of 10 2 of 3 18 of 50 5 of 5 0 of 0
Joseph Holmes 13 of 27 48% 9 of 22 1 of 2 3 of 3 13 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jamie Pickett 17 of 44 38% 6 of 29 7 of 11 4 of 4 13 of 36 4 of 8 0 of 0
Joseph Holmes 14 of 31 45% 8 of 22 5 of 8 1 of 1 11 of 27 3 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jan 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

Angelo leans toward Pickett due to UFC experience, but worries about Holmes' equal size and grappling threat. He notes Pickett's reach advantage is neutralized and that both can be gun-shy. He calls it a razor-thin pick and says he won't bet on it.

Not throwing any money at this fight; too close to call.
"i am leaning towards pickett because of the experience but i do worry that joseph holmes is a genuine athlete"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

Big Brady thinks the odds are off, as Joseph Holmes is inexperienced and has fought low-level competition, while Jamie Pickett has faced UFC-caliber fighters. He calls it a coin flip and says he would not bet it, but if forced to pick, he takes Pickett as a dog by decision. He notes both fighters have similar skill sets and low volume.

"i'm going to pick jamie pickett i'm going to pick him by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Joseph Holmes

Cody leans toward Holmes, citing his length and reach advantage. He notes Holmes's camp (James Krause) will have a good game plan. He expects Holmes to use his range striking and avoid grappling. However, he admits Holmes looked green and the fight could go either way.

"i would say holmes fight probably over one and a half over two and a half figures of distance"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jan 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Joseph Holmes

Daniel Levi leans toward Joseph Holmes, citing his physical advantages (6'4", 80-inch reach) and finishing ability (submission and KO). He notes that Pickett has folded under pressure in the past, losing by first-round finishes to Charles Byrd and Jordan Wright. Levi is hesitant because Holmes hasn't been tested at UFC level, but he believes Holmes will outwork Pickett in a close fight. He also mentions Pickett's mental struggles and that he's seeing a therapist.

"i'm going to go with joseph holmes here man"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Joseph Holmes

The host leans toward Joseph Holmes, expecting him to dictate the pace with clinch work and takedowns against the cage. He notes Pickett's durability but thinks Holmes' aggression and control will win rounds. The host is not confident in a finish, predicting a decision. He mentions the over 1.5 rounds as a possible bet due to both fighters' low finishing rates.

Over 1.5 rounds at -185 mentioned as a possible bet.
"i'm gonna be going joseph holmes and i'm actually gonna take him to win this fight via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

Paul leans toward Pickett as an underdog, citing his experience and durability. He notes Holmes is very green and his striking is telegraphed. He expects Pickett's strength in the clinch to be a factor. However, he acknowledges Holmes's length and potential if he keeps the fight at range.

"i'm leaning towards pickett here as an underdog uh plus 120 is the price to pay just more way more experience"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Joseph Holmes

The MMA Guru picks Joseph Holmes to win by first-round TKO. He highlights Holmes' Muay Thai background, range, power, and accuracy on the feet, and notes that Holmes already beat Pickett on the regional scene by first-round destruction. He doesn't see Pickett's grappling as a threat, as Holmes is rangier and better at controlling distance. He expects Holmes to land a clean shot early and finish the fight quickly, similar to how Jordan Wright did.

"i'm gonna trust in joseph holmes to beat jamie picker here"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Oct 23, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jamie Pickett 0 47 of 96 48% 58 of 108 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:37
Laureano Staropoli 0 25 of 62 40% 43 of 80 1 of 9 11% 0 0 5:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jamie Pickett 0 10 of 18 55% 13 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:33
Laureano Staropoli 0 4 of 7 57% 7 of 10 0 of 3 0% 0 0 3:00
2 Jamie Pickett 0 18 of 35 51% 26 of 43 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:25
Laureano Staropoli 0 11 of 21 52% 18 of 28 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:13
3 Jamie Pickett 0 19 of 43 44% 19 of 44 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:39
Laureano Staropoli 0 10 of 34 29% 18 of 42 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jamie Pickett 47 of 96 48% 23 of 64 23 of 30 1 of 2 26 of 72 21 of 23 0 of 1
Laureano Staropoli 25 of 62 40% 14 of 48 8 of 11 3 of 3 19 of 54 6 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jamie Pickett 10 of 18 55% 2 of 7 7 of 10 1 of 1 2 of 10 8 of 8 0 of 0
Laureano Staropoli 4 of 7 57% 2 of 4 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 4 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Jamie Pickett 18 of 35 51% 9 of 22 9 of 12 0 of 1 11 of 26 7 of 8 0 of 1
Laureano Staropoli 11 of 21 52% 6 of 15 5 of 6 0 of 0 9 of 19 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Jamie Pickett 19 of 43 44% 12 of 35 7 of 8 0 of 0 13 of 36 6 of 7 0 of 0
Laureano Staropoli 10 of 34 29% 6 of 29 2 of 3 2 of 2 8 of 31 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 20, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

Angelo is surprised Pickett is such a big underdog. He notes Pickett has a foot reach advantage and manages range well, and can mix in takedowns. He thinks Staropoli gets gun shy and is hit twice as much as he hits. He already grabbed a +3.5 bet on Pickett, meaning he only needs Pickett to win one round. He likes the more/more on the monkey knife fight (over 73.5 combined strikes).

grabbed a +3.5 bet on Pickett at +115; likes more/more on monkey knife fight
"i am surprised that jamie pickett is such a big underdog here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 19, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Laureano Staropoli

Big Brady picks Staropoli as the more talented fighter despite a three-fight skid, noting his losses came against tough competition. He worries about Staropoli's size disadvantage and Pickett's 8.5-inch reach advantage, but believes Staropoli's skill edge will carry him to a close decision. He advises against betting this fight.

no bet recommended
"i got to go star upholding i think he is the better fighter"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Laureano Staropoli

Cody picks Laureano Staropoli, citing his volume, forward pressure, and durability. He notes that Pickett has poor striking defense, moves backward, and was knocked out quickly in his last fight. Cody believes Staropoli will win the numbers battle and likely take a decision, though he acknowledges the price is high. He sees Staropoli as a lower-tier parlay piece.

Fight goes 15; decision
"i got lyra on a star pulley and this is just another case of do you want to pay by his 250 for leonardo sterpoli"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 22, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Laureano Staropoli

Lock leans Staropoli based on competition level. He notes Pickett is not UFC level and Staropoli has fought better opponents. He expects Staropoli to win by decision but is not confident enough to bet heavily.

Staropoli by decision +110, over 2.5 rounds -230
"i am on the star police side because i'm just not that high on picket at all"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Laureano Staropoli

Paul leans towards Staropoli, noting that Pickett's best attribute was his durability, but that was shattered in his last fight. He agrees with Cody that Staropoli's forward pressure and volume should win the fight. However, Paul is not fully confident due to the price.

"that makes all the sense in the world and pickett's best thing what used to be his durability but that's kind of yeah i know"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Laureano Staropoli

The MMA Guru picks Laureano Staropoli, noting that Staropoli is moving up to middleweight but is naturally a welterweight, which he believes makes him better than most middleweights. He points out that Jamie Pickett is coming off a KO loss and lacks quality wins, while Staropoli has faced tougher competition and is more technically sound. He predicts Staropoli will out-grapple Pickett and win by unanimous decision.

"i'm going to go with loreanos tripoli here i think it's a good pick i think he's way more technically sound than jamie picker and i can see him actually out grappling jamie pickett throughout this fight"
LOSS vs Jordan Wright
TKO (punches) R1 1:04 · UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · May 15, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jordan Wright 1 26 of 32 81% 33 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Jamie Pickett 0 4 of 5 80% 4 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jordan Wright 1 26 of 32 81% 33 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Jamie Pickett 0 4 of 5 80% 4 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jordan Wright 26 of 32 81% 21 of 27 5 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 6 12 of 12 9 of 14
Jamie Pickett 4 of 5 80% 2 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jordan Wright 26 of 32 81% 21 of 27 5 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 6 12 of 12 9 of 14
Jamie Pickett 4 of 5 80% 2 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 11, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

Pickett is durable, never knocked out, and has a solid chin. Wright has terrible striking defense (40%), no chin, and has never been to decision. Pickett can pressure forward, land hard shots, and has good wrestling. I expect Pickett to finish Wright in the second round by knockout.

by KO round 2
"I'm going to take pika here for the win i'm going to take in a win by a second round knockout for pickett"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

Daniel Levi picks Jamie Pickett, citing his physicality, speed, and strength advantage. He notes that Jordan Wright (Beverly Hills Ninja) has a suspect chin, as seen in the Anthony Hernandez fight, and was steamrolled by Joaquin Buckley. Levi thinks Pickett can knock out Wright or win by decision, and calls this Pickett's best chance to get a UFC win.

mentions Wright's chin and Pickett's durability
"i'm going with jamie pickett to knock out the beverly hills ninja"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

The host picks Pickett but wants no part of betting the fight. He notes Pickett has shown durability, eating big shots from Soriano and Chukwu, while Wright has a questionable chin. He thinks Pickett lands a big shot and finishes Wright in the second round. However, he acknowledges both fighters are low level and that Wright could win if he lands early.

Pickett by KO in round 2
"i'll ultimately go with the guy who's been showing uh solid durability as of late and jamie pickett and i'll take him to this fight by second round ko but i want no part of this fight in terms of …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 9, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

The MMA Guru picks Jamie Pickett to win by TKO in round 2. He notes that Jordan Wright has spectacular finishes but against weak competition, and that Wright slows down after the first round. He believes Pickett can absorb Wright's early onslaught, as shown in his fight with Pannie Soriano, and then finish Wright late in the second round against the cage.

Pickett wins by TKO in round 2
"i'm picking jamie pickett to get the tko in round two"
Expert Picks (4)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 11, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

Pickett is durable, never knocked out, and has a solid chin. Wright has terrible striking defense (40%), no chin, and has never been to decision. Pickett can pressure forward, land hard shots, and has good wrestling. I expect Pickett to finish Wright in the second round by knockout.

by KO round 2
"I'm going to take pika here for the win i'm going to take in a win by a second round knockout for pickett"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

Daniel Levi picks Jamie Pickett, citing his physicality, speed, and strength advantage. He notes that Jordan Wright (Beverly Hills Ninja) has a suspect chin, as seen in the Anthony Hernandez fight, and was steamrolled by Joaquin Buckley. Levi thinks Pickett can knock out Wright or win by decision, and calls this Pickett's best chance to get a UFC win.

mentions Wright's chin and Pickett's durability
"i'm going with jamie pickett to knock out the beverly hills ninja"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

The host picks Pickett but wants no part of betting the fight. He notes Pickett has shown durability, eating big shots from Soriano and Chukwu, while Wright has a questionable chin. He thinks Pickett lands a big shot and finishes Wright in the second round. However, he acknowledges both fighters are low level and that Wright could win if he lands early.

Pickett by KO in round 2
"i'll ultimately go with the guy who's been showing uh solid durability as of late and jamie pickett and i'll take him to this fight by second round ko but i want no part of this fight in terms of uh money that i'm gonna be putting on either side"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 9, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

The MMA Guru picks Jamie Pickett to win by TKO in round 2. He notes that Jordan Wright has spectacular finishes but against weak competition, and that Wright slows down after the first round. He believes Pickett can absorb Wright's early onslaught, as shown in his fight with Pannie Soriano, and then finish Wright late in the second round against the cage.

Pickett wins by TKO in round 2
"i'm picking jamie pickett to get the tko in round two"