Career Averages - Trevin Giles
Career Averages - Roman Dolidze
Trevin Giles
Roman Dolidze
Trevin Giles - Fight History
Big Brady picks Andreas Gustafsson, impressed by his relentless pressure and cardio, describing him as a fighter who fights like a man possessed. He criticizes Trevin Giles for not fighting to his strengths, lacking urgency, and having poor durability (gets knocked out often). He expects Gustafsson to land a big elbow in the clinch and finish Giles in the second round.
Matt picks Andreas Gustafsson to win by knockout. He notes that Giles is on a three-fight losing streak and seems to have lost durability, allowing opponents to dictate pace. Gustafsson is a strong clinch fighter who wears opponents down. Matt expects Gustafsson to control Giles in the clinch and finish him in the second or third round.
The MMA Guru picks Andreas Gustafsson by TKO, citing Trevin Giles' lack of durability and full-time commitment (police officer). He notes Giles often takes short-notice fights and has been finished many times. He believes Gustafsson, a full-time fighter, will put Giles away.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Malott | 0 | 59 of 130 | 45% | 59 of 130 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 34 of 78 | 43% | 34 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Malott | 0 | 12 of 37 | 32% | 12 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 9 of 16 | 56% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Mike Malott | 0 | 28 of 54 | 51% | 28 of 54 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 17 of 32 | 53% | 17 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Mike Malott | 0 | 19 of 39 | 48% | 19 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 8 of 30 | 26% | 8 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Malott | 59 of 130 | 45% | 22 of 82 | 19 of 28 | 18 of 20 | 59 of 129 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 34 of 78 | 43% | 23 of 64 | 3 of 5 | 8 of 9 | 34 of 77 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Malott | 12 of 37 | 32% | 2 of 24 | 4 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 12 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 9 of 16 | 56% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mike Malott | 28 of 54 | 51% | 13 of 34 | 8 of 11 | 7 of 9 | 28 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 17 of 32 | 53% | 13 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 17 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Mike Malott | 19 of 39 | 48% | 7 of 24 | 7 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 19 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 8 of 30 | 26% | 6 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-250), Giles (+205)
Round 1
As it tends to do lately, the UFC has plugged in a fight promising violence in the opener of its main card. Malott (10-2-1, 3-1 UFC) will have the crowd behind him when he battles Houston native Giles (16-6, 7-6 UFC). The former has seen all 10 of his wins end inside the distance, while all of Giles’ pro defeats have come via stoppage. Anything can and often does happen in MMA, so even with Malott one of the largest betting favorites tonight, all that matters is the activity when the cage door closes. When it does, referee Andy Social is installed as the Octagon commander, and he starts the clock while the competitors do not touch gloves. Malott tries to strike first, but his front kick misses the mark. Once more, the Canadians in the building show their lack of support for Justin Trudeau, and the fighters ignore the chants. They measure one another from afar, pitching single strikes at one another and bouncing them off one another’s guard. The enthusiasm of the crowd shifts to “Let’s go Mike,” who promptly kicks Giles upside the head. Giles keeps his jab out to not let Malott get to him, and he chops at the low calf a few times. Malott winds a right hand over the top, and Giles checks a low kick. Giles slams his foot on the front leg of his opponent, and every impact sounds more bone-on-bone than slapping off skin. Malott digs deep with a hard low kick, and the jabs from Giles have reddened up the Canadian’s nose. Malott sprints forward, and when countered, blood trickles out of a cut on the bridge of his nose. Giles targets the new cut with jabs, and Malott chambers and fires three kicks that are all guarded. Giles paws out with a low kick and rifles off a right hand that brushes past his foe’s hair. Giles keeps his guard up to defend head kicks that fly fairly frequently, and Malott mixes things up with a hard calf kick. Giles parries a front kick and absorbs another heavy low kick, and he tries to push out a jab and is countered with a combination of punches. Giles snaps out a mean jab, and he tosses away a high kick and blocks a spinning back kick. The Texan turns his shin towards a calf kick, and he ducks a few looping punches and breathes a sigh of relief. Giles comes up hitting air with an overhand right, and he blocks a head kick right before the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Round 2
Malott wants to get right down to business to start the second round, and Giles meets him in the middle with powerful punches. Giles defends a head kick and takes a right hand and a low kick, and he looks for a clubbing right hand over the top that glances off the shoulder. Giles kicks the front leg, and Malott responds with a front kick. When seeing it land, Malott targets the same spot on the abdomen with the ball of his foot, drawing a reaction out of an energized Giles. The Texan connects with a jab and two follow-up punches, and Malott keeps him honest by slinging head kicks at him. Giles wings two huge punches, and a third whooshes past the Canuck. Malott jabs the body with a front kick from either let, and he looses a heavy body kick that Giles catches and sets down. Giles slides back from a high kick, and he lunges in and gets countered with a short right hand. Giles plods ever forward, staying light on his feet to protect himself from kicks, and still keeps a solid base to shut down a takedown effort. Malott kicks the front leg twice, and he chambers and fires a third from the other side. Giles prods out a heavy jab, and he follows one with a wide overhand right. Malott uses front kick after front kick to keep Giles from reaching him with his big punches, but this results in them taking turns. Malott splits the guard with a big right hand, and Giles blinks it out and crouches down to try to defend a low kick. Malott has a head kick zoom past his foe, and Giles looks for a right hand over the top but absorbs a clean spinning back kick to the ribcage. “The Problem” gives Malott a problem to think about in the form of a huge right hand, and Malott welcomes it and slings back. Malott kicks his foe in the ribs, and he tries to spin with it and then turn through with a head kick, but Giles watches them all whiz by his face without concern. The round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Round 3
A Giles jab starts the round, but Malott is quick to hop on his bike and peck away with kicks to all targets. A front kick narrowly misses the jaw, and Giles tries to make him pay with a booming right hand. Malott rolls with it and sticks out a jab, and he bounces up and down and is slapped in the face with a surprise question-mark kick. Malott sinks two leg kicks low, and Giles has to pull his leg back and thinks about changing stances. Malott kicks him in the head, with the impact of the blow knocking him back a step despite it colliding with his glove. Malott drives a leg kick to the calf, and Giles pushes forward swinging hammers but has his hands batted away. Malott uses a jab to open up a front kick from either foot, and he overswings and is lucky to not get caught with a looping strike. Malott brings his shin up quickly, but it is his short left hand when Giles bares down on him that lands more effectively. Giles whiffs, dodges a spin kick and takes a kick on the ribs. Malott’s front kick keeps him at a safe range, and he checks a kick while switching stances. Giles hits nothing but air with huge right hands, and Malott picks his shots carefully and does not expose himself for much. A body kick from the Canadian is caught, and Giles whips a right hand at him but it just grazes off the cheek. Malott drops his hands and looses a head kick that ricochets off the raised guard of his opponent, and he is met with a jab to the body on the way out. Malott freezes up his opponent with his feints and fakes, and he shuts down a body lock attempt and thumps Giles with a calf kick. A head kick goes wide from “Proper Mike,” who properly ends the middling fight with a sharp jab.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott (29-28 Malott)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Malott (29-28 Giles)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malott (29-28 Malott)
The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Trevin Giles via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Mike Malott despite his recent quit against Neil Magny, calling it a 'quitters discount.' He thinks Malott is better everywhere except the jab, and should be faster, stronger, and a better wrestler. He acknowledges the PTSD from the quit but says Malott should win and is more affordable than he should be. He hesitates to bet due to the quit but thinks it's probably worth betting.
Big Brady picks Mike Malott to win by second-round submission. He acknowledges Malott's questionable chin and cardio but notes that Trevin Giles has a history of finding ways to lose, often by finish (six finish losses). Brady expects Giles to get submitted again, possibly via club and sub. He thinks Malott's power and submission threat will be too much for Giles.
Cody picks Mike Malott, citing his athleticism, technical striking, and grappling advantage. He notes that Malott took Giles down easily in a previous grappling match and believes he can do so again. He acknowledges Malott's cardio issues in the Neil Magny fight but trusts that Malott has made adjustments. He also mentions Giles's jab as a concern but believes Malott's speed and wrestling will prevail.
Daniel Vreeland picks Mike Malott, citing Trevin Giles's history of imploding in fights despite looking good early. He references Giles's multiple comeback losses and a previous grappling match where Giles lost after competing early. Vreeland expects Giles to start strong but eventually make a mistake, allowing Malott to secure an opportunistic finish. He notes the price is high but is confident in the pick.
Lucrative James picks Trevin Giles as a value bet, despite predicting Malott is more likely to win. He notes Malott's questionable durability and that Giles has a real chance to win. He likes the fight doesn't go to decision prop as a hedge, expecting a finish either way.
Malott can land big power and put Giles away, but Giles' striking speed and overall advantage should allow him to put pace on Malott and run away late, getting a finish in the second or third round.
Paul also picks Malott, noting his familiarity with Giles from their grappling match and his improved mindset after the Magny loss. He believes Malott's speed and technique will overcome Giles's jab, and that Giles's cardio is also questionable. He sees Malott as the rightful favorite and likely a top pick in their PRP.
The Guru picks Mike Malott over Trevin Giles, citing Malott's grappling advantage and leg kicks. He notes Malott's dominant grappling against Neil Magny and believes he can out-grapple Giles. He predicts a submission win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Prates | 0 | 68 of 102 | 66% | 70 of 105 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:28 |
| Trevin Giles | 1 | 37 of 72 | 51% | 38 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Prates | 0 | 35 of 55 | 63% | 35 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 24 of 44 | 54% | 24 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Carlos Prates | 0 | 33 of 47 | 70% | 35 of 50 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:28 |
| Trevin Giles | 1 | 13 of 28 | 46% | 14 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Prates | 68 of 102 | 66% | 25 of 51 | 2 of 2 | 41 of 49 | 67 of 100 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 37 of 72 | 51% | 3 of 24 | 18 of 26 | 16 of 22 | 37 of 72 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Prates | 35 of 55 | 63% | 10 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 25 of 33 | 35 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 24 of 44 | 54% | 2 of 12 | 9 of 13 | 13 of 19 | 24 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Carlos Prates | 33 of 47 | 70% | 15 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 16 | 32 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 13 of 28 | 46% | 1 of 12 | 9 of 13 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Prates (-270), Giles (+220)
Round 1
The long preliminary card wraps up with welterweights on the docket, as longtime vet Giles (16-5, 7-5 UFC) enters into his 13th UFC fight against promotional neophyte Prates (17-6, 0-0 UFC)—although the debuting Brazilian holds the overall experience edge at 23 to 21 fights. Both fighters have abilities to finish the fight anywhere, and they have also suffered more stoppage losses than by decision. Referee Mike Beltran draws the charge for this preliminary headliner, and it begins as the 170ers touch ‘em up. Giles introduces himself with a jumping side kick, and he smacks Prates’ front leg with several times in rapid succession. Prates preemptively raises his leg after the early barrage of kicks, looking to check these kicks coming at him, and Giles ignores it and keeps kicking it. Prates quickly chambers and releases a kick to the body, and Giles ignores it and kicks Prates in the knee. Beltran warns them for outstretched fingers, and Prates nods and kicks Giles in the chest. Prates goes high with a kick that bounces off the guard, and Giles plods after him and nails him with a one-two. Prates bounces off the fencing to reset, and he starts jabbing with the ball of his foot. Prates looks to use his rangy legs to keep Giles away from him, and Giles stays ready to block the bigger kicks while getting inside the others. Prates lunges forward with three punches, and Giles ducks away from it. Giles comes out swinging, and Prates defends himself and tries to reply with a kick. Giles cracks Prates with a left hook in the midst of a combination, and Prates wears it well and tries to retaliate with a knee. Giles tosses out two punches and gets away in time to avoid counters, and Prates sweeps out kicks that partially land at best. Giles continues prodding at the lead knee, and he takes a knee on the chest from his opponent. The opening frame wraps as Prates jump at him with a knee, and Giles hops away.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Round 2
The welterweights tap their gloves together before engaging, and Prates starts off by kicking the chest. Giles gets off two inside leg kicks to stumble Prates, and the taller man regains his composure only to get knocked back by the Texan’s fists. Prates kicks the body and then looks for step-in knee, and Giles grabs him in an effort to take him down. Prates shoves him away and looks for long kicks, while Giles crowds him with short three-punch salvos. Prates takes at least one clean punch each time Giles rushes him, and his counters are limited to a high knee that has not landed cleanly more than once. Giles allows Prates to swing a kick by him so that he can shoot for a double, and the American is unable to complete it. Prates defends with his back to the wall with short strikes, and Giles comes over the top with an elbow that splits the corner of Prates’ right eyebrow. Prates connects with a big knee as he shuts down Giles’ takedown efforts, but he cannot seem to stop Giles from teeing off on him with four punches at a time.
Prates comes in faking with a knee, reaches out with a right hand and rifles a left hand down the pipe. Giles is out before his head hits the mat, and Prates does not need to follow up as he sees Giles is unconscious while Beltran gets between them.
What a stunning moment, staging a mighty comeback and introducing himself to the stacked 170-pound weight class with a vicious knockout.
The Official Result
Carlos Prates def. Trevin Giles R2 4:03 via KO (Punch)
Angelo notes that Carlos Prates is a dangerous striker with big power, good range control, and kicks to all levels, with a stance similar to Alex Pereira. Trevin Giles has a great jab and athleticism, but needs to close distance to land it, which could leave him open to kicks. Angelo thinks Prates will pass the test and win, but acknowledges Giles' jab could be frustrating.
Big Brady picks Carlos Prates to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Prates has a 78-inch reach and many tools to finish, including a jab that can knock out opponents, head kicks, and knees. He thinks Giles has poor durability and cardio, and has been brutally finished by prospects before. He expects Prates to knock him out early.
Cody picks Prates, noting his power and length. He criticizes Giles for being lethargic and lacking volume, and points out that Giles has not improved. Prates is a dangerous striker with a good chin. Cody thinks Prates will stand in the pocket and land the bigger shots, though he is not confident enough to bet heavily.
Prates has a Muay Thai background with improved takedown defense and a 4-inch reach advantage. He should be able to stuff Giles' early takedowns and then find a knockout in the second or third round as Giles slows down. Giles has durability issues from cutting to welterweight. Prates is experienced enough to handle a grappler.
Paul also picks Prates, noting Giles' inconsistency and low output. He thinks Prates' length and technical striking will be too much. Giles could win if he wrestles, but Paul doubts he will. Prates is the pick, but Paul is not forcing action at -260.
The MMA Guru picks Carlos Prates because he believes Prates has hit another level in his career, with a wicked winning streak against decent competition. He praises Prates' range, kicks, and a straight right hand with no telegraph. He thinks Prates can kick at range and eventually score a second-round KO. He notes that Trevin Giles has not had impressive performances recently.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Bonfim | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Bonfim | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Bonfim | 3 of 11 | 27% | 2 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Bonfim | 3 of 11 | 27% | 2 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bonfim (-320), Giles (+265)
Round 1
Concluding the prelims is a 170-pound scrap between two promising fighters age 30 or younger. With welterweight so logjammed, a win tonight for the undefeated Bonfim (14-0, 1-0 UFC) or resilient Giles (16-4, 7-4 UFC) may help raise them to greater heights in the weight class. Before said action, the two men touch ‘em up, and referee Herb Dean is ready to take charge of what comes next. Bonfim walks forward fearlessly, and he blocks a head kick that flies at him immediately. Bonfim comes forward, and he starts throwing hands. Giles gets tagged, throws back with bad intentions, and makes Bonfim reevaluate his current position. Bonfim backs off, measures his way back in and clips Giles with a left hand. Giles, perhaps from the strike or because he is off-balance, gathers himself and moves to the outside. Giles comes at him, and Bonfim grapples him, gets around to take his back, and lifts Giles off his feet and slams him down. Bonfim lands and considers a submission from on top, but he decides to maintain position while Giles is bucking. Giles manages to kick Bonfim off of him, and he leans forward while on his knees.
“Marretinha” welcomes this and licks his chops, as he snatches up and jumps guard with a guillotine choke. The submission is tight as a drum, and Giles sits up but is gurgling and the lights are flickering in his eyes. Giles surrenders, and he appears to go out right as Bonfim is releasing the grip due to Dean’s intervention.
Giles comes to, and Bonfim celebrates the victory that boosts him to 15-0 as a pro with 15 stoppages. Welterweight has one more threatening contender in the works, and Bonfim confidently claims in his post-fight interview that he will be the champion.
The Official Result
Gabriel Bonfim def. Trevin Giles R1 1:13 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Angelo picks Gabriel Bonfim, believing he is the better fighter everywhere with more powerful striking and better grappling. He acknowledges Trevin Giles' incredible jab and athleticism as a concern, but thinks Bonfim's overall game will prevail. He considered putting Bonfim in a parlay but decided against it due to Giles' potential to sneak out a win.
Big Brady picks Gabriel Bonfim to win by first-round submission. He praises Bonfim's opportunistic submission skills and finishing ability, noting 79% of wins by submission. He criticizes Trevin Giles' poor fight IQ and durability, expecting Bonfim to capitalize on a mistake early. He sees Bonfim as dangerous everywhere and predicts a quick finish.
Cody picks Bonfim to win inside 1.5 rounds, betting the under at -125. He sees Bonfim as an opportunistic finisher with power, while Giles has low output and a suspect chin. He notes Giles' career-high significant strikes is only 71, and his cardio is poor, especially at altitude. He plans to fade Bonfim in the future but likes him here.
James rates Bonfim highly, calling him an elite boxer with dangerous submissions. He expects Bonfim to finish Giles early, likely in round one or two. He notes that Bonfim was underrated earlier but the market has corrected, and he believes Bonfim can become a top-15 fighter.
Bonfim is the better striker and has a slick submission game. Giles has durability issues and Bonfim will put pressure on him with combinations. Bonfim is the future and will get another finish, probably in the second round. Giles's experience won't be enough.
Paul picks Bonfim despite the high price, citing Giles' low output and lack of power. He notes Bonfim is faster, sharper, and can take Giles down. He acknowledges Bonfim is hittable but believes Giles doesn't have the volume or power to capitalize. He expects Bonfim to finish or win a clear decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 55 of 108 | 50% | 71 of 129 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 2 | 4:14 |
| Preston Parsons | 0 | 42 of 95 | 44% | 62 of 130 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 3 | 1 | 5:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevin Giles | 0 | 14 of 26 | 53% | 17 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:26 |
| Preston Parsons | 0 | 14 of 28 | 50% | 23 of 43 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 1:52 | |
| 2 | Trevin Giles | 0 | 18 of 40 | 45% | 29 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Preston Parsons | 0 | 13 of 32 | 40% | 18 of 40 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 1 | 1:30 | |
| 3 | Trevin Giles | 0 | 23 of 42 | 54% | 25 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:25 |
| Preston Parsons | 0 | 15 of 35 | 42% | 21 of 47 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 1:54 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevin Giles | 55 of 108 | 50% | 51 of 102 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 34 of 83 | 7 of 9 | 14 of 16 |
| Preston Parsons | 42 of 95 | 44% | 24 of 77 | 6 of 6 | 12 of 12 | 34 of 84 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevin Giles | 14 of 26 | 53% | 14 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 |
| Preston Parsons | 14 of 28 | 50% | 9 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 23 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Trevin Giles | 18 of 40 | 45% | 15 of 36 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 31 | 1 of 3 | 5 of 6 |
| Preston Parsons | 13 of 32 | 40% | 7 of 26 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Trevin Giles | 23 of 42 | 54% | 22 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 32 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 6 |
| Preston Parsons | 15 of 35 | 42% | 8 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 6 | 13 of 32 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Parsons, noting his slick grappling and the fact that he showed he can go three rounds in his last fight. He thinks Giles is overrated due to the Roman Dolidze win, which he argues Dolidze actually won. He believes Parsons will get the wrestling going and win, possibly inside the distance. He has a half-unit moneyline bet on Parsons at -105.
Big Brady picks Preston Parsons by submission in the second round. He questions Trevin Giles' fight IQ, durability, and volume, noting that Giles has been finished in all four losses. Brady believes Parsons' pressure and cardio will break Giles, and that Giles' weight cut to 170 will hurt his gas tank. He expects Parsons to mix takedowns, get on top, and secure a submission.
Cody picks Parsons, citing Giles' inconsistency, low output, and recent durability issues. He notes Parsons is younger, improving, and has solid wrestling. He worries about Texas judging but believes Parsons can edge out a decision or get a takedown. He calls it a 50/50 fight but leans Parsons.
Connor initially hesitates but ultimately sides with Zane's pick of Preston Parsons. He acknowledges that Parsons will eat a lot of straight punches early and that Giles is fast and a good straight puncher, but he doesn't trust Giles's application of his tools or his defensive absence at welterweight. Connor notes that Giles looked okay against Louis Cosce but not great, and he believes Parsons's physical pressure will be enough to exploit Giles's weaknesses.
Jacob also picks Parsons, agreeing that Giles is a good boxer but does not use his jab enough and struggles with pressure. He thinks Parsons will get in Giles' face, disrupt his striking, and win inside the distance. He says he is 'pressing Parsons all the way'.
The host likes Parsons' relentless grappling style and believes he can push a pace that Giles may not handle at welterweight. He notes Parsons showed good cardio in his last fight, and expects him to find a finish from top dominant position. He has questions about Giles' energy levels and weight cut.
The Guru picks Giles, citing his experience and athleticism. He notes that Parsons hasn't fought since his debut and lacks a standout skill. He expects Giles to win by decision, using his physicality and technique.
Zane picks Preston Parsons because he believes Trevin Giles's athletic advantages are less pronounced at welterweight and his defensive flaws are more exploitable. Giles backs up with his hands down and is prone to getting hurt, while Parsons is a pressuring bully who will walk through shots and wear Giles down. Zane notes that Giles has not knocked anyone out since 2017 and tends to gas when having success, making him vulnerable to Parsons's relentless pressure.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 25 of 46 | 54% | 45 of 66 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:09 |
| Louis Cosce | 0 | 10 of 38 | 26% | 21 of 49 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:36 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevin Giles | 0 | 13 of 21 | 61% | 13 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Louis Cosce | 0 | 2 of 18 | 11% | 2 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Trevin Giles | 0 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 18 of 30 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 |
| Louis Cosce | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Trevin Giles | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 14 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:09 |
| Louis Cosce | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 12 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:36 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevin Giles | 25 of 46 | 54% | 10 of 29 | 2 of 4 | 13 of 13 | 25 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Louis Cosce | 10 of 38 | 26% | 5 of 29 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 4 | 9 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevin Giles | 13 of 21 | 61% | 4 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 8 | 13 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Louis Cosce | 2 of 18 | 11% | 0 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Trevin Giles | 12 of 24 | 50% | 6 of 16 | 1 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 12 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Louis Cosce | 7 of 17 | 41% | 4 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Trevin Giles | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Louis Cosce | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Giles but hates the odds, calling them far too wide. He notes that Giles is athletic with a good jab and should be able to get the fight to the ground, where he has a wide advantage. However, he acknowledges that Cosce is the more powerful striker and could finish early. Angelo suggests an inside the distance/decision no action bet on Cosce at +170.
Big Brady picks Trevin Giles to win by late first-round submission, but with hesitation. He acknowledges Giles has poor fight IQ and cardio, but notes that Giles has all the skills—powerful jab, good wrestling, BJJ black belt. Brady expects Louis Cosce to come out aggressively looking for a finish, as he has a 100% finish rate all in the first round. If Giles survives the initial onslaught (2.5-3 minutes), Brady believes Giles will take over and submit Cosce, who gassed in his last fight. Brady also mentions that Giles recently quit his police job to focus on fighting, which could be a positive sign.
Cody thinks Cosce has a wrestling advantage and power, and that Giles has a questionable chin and low volume. He notes Cosce's two-year layoff could have helped him improve. He calls Cosce 'live' but admits it's a low-confidence pick.
Daniel Levi leans Trevin Giles due to his experience and level of competition, but is not interested at the price. He notes Giles has been knocked out in two straight fights and questions his fight IQ, but thinks his jab and takedown mix should be enough to give Cosce a vet lesson. He sees Cosce as unproven with weak competition.
Jacob picks Cosce, believing he will get a first-round finish. He notes that Cosce is a dangerous striker with power and pressure, and that Giles can wilt when pressured. Jacob acknowledges Cosce's cardio issues but thinks he will finish early. He suggests live betting Giles if Cosce fades after the first round.
Cosce is a first-round finisher with all his wins coming in round one, but he fades if the fight goes longer. Giles is vulnerable early but if he survives, he should take over with his jab and aggression. The fight likely ends inside the distance. I lean Giles surviving and finishing Cosce later, but Cosce by round one at +750 is a live sprinkle.
Paul picks Cosce but is not confident, calling it 'gross'. He notes Giles' poor takedown numbers and thinks Cosce could have a wrestling advantage. He says he'll blame Cody if it loses.
The MMA Guru picks Trevin Giles by 29-28 decision. He thinks Louis Cosce is athletic but lacks hype, and Giles is bigger with a reach advantage. He expects Giles to use his jab and wear down Cosce, surviving any early power shots. He notes Giles has good grappling and should win the later rounds, possibly losing the first round but coming back to win a decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Morales | 1 | 26 of 42 | 61% | 28 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:05 |
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 8 of 15 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 1:12 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Morales | 1 | 26 of 42 | 61% | 28 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:05 |
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 8 of 15 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 1:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Morales | 26 of 42 | 61% | 23 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 18 |
| Trevin Giles | 8 of 15 | 53% | 3 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Morales | 26 of 42 | 61% | 23 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 18 |
| Trevin Giles | 8 of 15 | 53% | 3 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Michael Morales, calling him a killer with national championships in wrestling and Muay Thai. He notes Morales' footwork and jab, and believes he is better everywhere except pace. He sees Trevin Giles as a good measuring stick but expects Morales to win.
Big Brady picks Michael Morales to win a close decision, citing his volume, reach advantage, and well-rounded game. He heavily criticizes Trevin Giles for poor fight IQ, cardio, and low volume, and notes Giles is cutting to 170 which is a concern. He acknowledges Giles has a grappling advantage but doesn't trust him to fight smart. He expects Morales to outpoint Giles in a close fight.
Cody picks Trevin Giles as an underdog, citing Giles' experience against higher-level competition and his well-rounded skills. He notes that Giles has fought at 205 and 185, and moving to 170 may benefit him. Cody acknowledges Giles' cardio issues and past submissions, but believes his boxing and grappling are superior to Morales'. He sees this as a dog-or-pass situation.
Daniel Levi picks Michael Morales but admits he is hesitant and will not bet the fight. He acknowledges the classic spot where an unproven prospect faces a grizzled vet at dog money, which often goes the vet's way. However, his gut tells him Morales is the more talented fighter and will get it done. Levi notes that Giles has a history of making mistakes and getting choked out, but also that Morales could suffer from debut nerves. He compares it to the Ignacio vs Makdessi fight where the better fighter didn't win.
The host is skeptical of Morales being a favorite given his unproven competition. He notes that Giles is a tested veteran with fast hands and good movement, and that Morales has not faced anyone like Giles. He thinks Giles can use his jab and movement to discourage Morales and win a decision. However, he admits he is not a big Giles fan and may not bet it, but his prediction is Giles by decision.
Paul picks Michael Morales, noting his youth (22) and wrestling from the contender series. He acknowledges that Morales' striking is a work in progress but believes his ceiling is higher. Paul is not a fan of Trevin Giles, citing his underwhelming UFC run and cardio issues. However, he is not highly confident and suggests this fight could be passed.
The MMA Guru picks Michael Morales, praising his stand-up, grappling, and all-around skills. He notes Giles' recent KO loss and poor performance against James Krause on short notice. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision, with Morales schooling Giles on the feet for three rounds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dricus du Plessis | 0 | 10 of 32 | 31% | 10 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Trevin Giles | 1 | 25 of 48 | 52% | 26 of 49 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 1:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dricus du Plessis | 0 | 6 of 20 | 30% | 6 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Trevin Giles | 0 | 14 of 29 | 48% | 15 of 30 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 1 | 1:31 | |
| 2 | Dricus du Plessis | 0 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Trevin Giles | 1 | 11 of 19 | 57% | 11 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dricus du Plessis | 10 of 32 | 31% | 6 of 26 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 25 of 48 | 52% | 7 of 23 | 7 of 10 | 11 of 15 | 22 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dricus du Plessis | 6 of 20 | 30% | 4 of 16 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 14 of 29 | 48% | 2 of 12 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 12 | 14 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Dricus du Plessis | 4 of 12 | 33% | 2 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevin Giles | 11 of 19 | 57% | 5 of 11 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 |
Angelo picks du Plessis, citing his striking advantage and movement to avoid takedowns. He thinks du Plessis will piece up Giles on the feet and potentially get a late stoppage. He notes Giles is a grappler but du Plessis can avoid being pressed against the cage.
Big Brady picks Trevin Giles to win by second-round knockout. He thinks Giles is the better fighter everywhere, with better striking and grappling. He notes Giles' power and finishing ability (79% finish rate). However, he has concerns about Giles' fight IQ, cardio, and output. He acknowledges du Plessis is dangerous with fight-changing power, but believes Giles can keep distance and land. He mentions Giles' losses are both third-round submissions, so he expects an early finish.
Cody leans toward du Plessis. He notes du Plessis' power and submission game, and Giles' history of being submitted by guillotine. He thinks du Plessis can finish inside the distance. He calls it a dog or pass.
Daniel Levi leans toward Trevin Giles. He notes Giles' UFC experience, speed, and lightning-fast jab, and believes Giles will win the minutes. However, he warns that Giles can make mental mistakes and get caught, while du Plessis is extremely durable and has opportunistic finishing ability with submissions and knockout power. He sees value on both sides but slightly favors Giles.
Jacob picks Giles, noting his intelligence and ability to win close rounds. He references Giles' previous lock of the week win over Roman Rodriguez. He thinks Giles can find a way to win, possibly by stealing rounds late. He almost made Giles his lock of the week again.
I lean towards Giles by decision. He has a speed and jab advantage, and I expect him to out-strike du Plessis on the feet. Du Plessis is too patient and gives up his back foot. Giles' cardio is a concern, but I think he can win rounds with his striking. I don't have high confidence, but I like Giles to get it done via decision.
Paul leans toward du Plessis. He notes du Plessis' leg kicks and submission threat, and Giles' cardio issues. He thinks du Plessis can win by finish. He calls it a volatile fight.
The Guru predicts du Plessis will win by third-round guillotine choke. He expects du Plessis to chew up Giles' lead leg with kicks in the first round, while Giles is boxing-heavy. Giles will have a better second round, but du Plessis will continue chopping the leg. In the third round, Giles' leg will be damaged, and du Plessis will land good shots. Giles will panic and shoot a takedown, putting his neck in a guillotine, which du Plessis will capitalize on. The Guru notes Giles has been choked out twice before when panicking.
Roman Dolidze - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Dolidze | 0 | 10 of 34 | 29% | 40 of 94 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 7:07 |
| Christian Leroy Duncan | 0 | 54 of 99 | 54% | 78 of 125 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roman Dolidze | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 3 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:33 |
| Christian Leroy Duncan | 0 | 16 of 29 | 55% | 23 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 | |
| 2 | Roman Dolidze | 0 | 5 of 19 | 26% | 9 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:33 |
| Christian Leroy Duncan | 0 | 20 of 44 | 45% | 28 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:31 | |
| 3 | Roman Dolidze | 0 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 28 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:01 |
| Christian Leroy Duncan | 0 | 18 of 26 | 69% | 27 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Dolidze | 10 of 34 | 29% | 8 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Christian Leroy Duncan | 54 of 99 | 54% | 18 of 52 | 6 of 12 | 30 of 35 | 51 of 92 | 1 of 4 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roman Dolidze | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Christian Leroy Duncan | 16 of 29 | 55% | 5 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 9 | 13 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Roman Dolidze | 5 of 19 | 26% | 4 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Christian Leroy Duncan | 20 of 44 | 45% | 6 of 24 | 3 of 5 | 11 of 15 | 20 of 42 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Roman Dolidze | 3 of 9 | 33% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Christian Leroy Duncan | 18 of 26 | 69% | 7 of 11 | 1 of 4 | 10 of 11 | 18 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Christian Leroy Duncan because of his speed, athleticism, and striking advantage. He notes Roman Dolidze is a world champion grappler but doesn't always use his wrestling and has poor fight IQ. He is not betting on this fight because Roman can be dangerous on any given day and CLD is not a genius himself.
Big Brady confidently picks Christian Leroy Duncan, noting that Duncan is seven years younger, much quicker, and has more variety on the feet. He points out that Roman Dolidze looked bad in his last fight against Fluffy Hernandez and doesn't wrestle enough (less than one takedown per 15 minutes). He thinks Duncan will pick apart Dolidze over 15 minutes and win a decision, as Dolidze is tough but unlikely to get the fight to the ground.
Cody agrees, citing Duncan's dynamic striking and Dolidze's susceptibility to speed. He expects a finish or clear decision for Duncan.
Connor picks Duncan but is hesitant, agreeing with Zane that the fight could be ugly. He notes that Duncan has a 'meme fighter' aura and can look like a killer in bursts, but lacks a clear idea of how to win rounds. Connor points out that Dolidze is a big, strong galoot who is happy to hold opponents against the fence. He thinks the odds are too wide and calls it more of a coin flip.
Daniel is high on CLD, believing his speed and athleticism will be too much for Dolidze. He thinks CLD will have a breakout performance and knock Dolidze out, giving him his first real knockout loss. He notes Dolidze's gas tank issues and CLD's improved fight IQ.
Daniel Vreeland picks Christian Leroy Duncan to win by knockout. He highlights Duncan's athleticism, speed, and recent improvements, while noting Dolidze is older and slower. He expects Duncan to land at will and eventually finish Dolidze.
Duncan is a favorable stylistic matchup for the British fighter. Dolidze is old, slow, and flat-footed; Duncan is fast, athletic, and accurate. Duncan should dominate on the feet and win easily. The price is too steep to bet, but Duncan should win comfortably.
James picks Christian Leroy Duncan, believing he is the much better striker and will knock out Roman Dolidze. He notes that Dolidze is not a great wrestler and will struggle to take Duncan down. He thinks Duncan's dynamic strikes and clinch work will be too much.
The host picks Christian Leroy Duncan by knockout but is hesitant due to the wide line. He notes Duncan's improved clinch game and knockout power, but warns that Dolidze's pressure and toughness could cause Duncan to break mentally. He expects Duncan to land big shots and get the KO, but advises caution.
Paul sees Duncan as the younger, faster fighter heading in the right direction, while Dolidze is declining. He expects Duncan to win by KO or decision.
The MMA Guru picks Christian Leroy Duncan to finish Roman Dolidze in round two or three. He praises Duncan's chin, composure, and dynamic striking, noting he took big shots from Gregory Rodrigues. He criticizes Dolidze as a plodding, technical grappler who was outgrappled by Anthony Hernandez. He expects Duncan to win the low kick battle, defend takedowns, and land a brutal combination.
Zane picks Duncan but is hesitant, noting several ways the fight could be terrible. He believes Duncan is a better striker and has 70% takedown defense, which should be enough against Dolidze's poor wrestling. However, he worries that Dolidze's strength and clinch work could lead to a grinding fight. Zane sees Duncan's path to a showcase win but acknowledges Dolidze is a tough, strong fighter who can make it ugly.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Dolidze | 0 | 36 of 107 | 33% | 39 of 110 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
| Anthony Hernandez | 0 | 91 of 152 | 59% | 120 of 187 | 9 of 11 | 81% | 1 | 0 | 7:48 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roman Dolidze | 0 | 10 of 31 | 32% | 13 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
| Anthony Hernandez | 0 | 19 of 37 | 51% | 21 of 39 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:50 | |
| 2 | Roman Dolidze | 0 | 20 of 52 | 38% | 20 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Anthony Hernandez | 0 | 44 of 73 | 60% | 52 of 83 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:47 | |
| 3 | Roman Dolidze | 0 | 4 of 16 | 25% | 4 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Anthony Hernandez | 0 | 18 of 27 | 66% | 28 of 38 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:28 | |
| 4 | Roman Dolidze | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Anthony Hernandez | 0 | 10 of 15 | 66% | 19 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:43 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Dolidze | 36 of 107 | 33% | 25 of 88 | 4 of 11 | 7 of 8 | 34 of 101 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Anthony Hernandez | 91 of 152 | 59% | 67 of 128 | 6 of 6 | 18 of 18 | 48 of 102 | 13 of 18 | 30 of 32 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roman Dolidze | 10 of 31 | 32% | 5 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Anthony Hernandez | 19 of 37 | 51% | 11 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 7 | 16 of 34 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Roman Dolidze | 20 of 52 | 38% | 15 of 42 | 3 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 19 of 49 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Anthony Hernandez | 44 of 73 | 60% | 38 of 67 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 22 of 47 | 7 of 11 | 15 of 15 | |
| 3 | Roman Dolidze | 4 of 16 | 25% | 3 of 13 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Anthony Hernandez | 18 of 27 | 66% | 11 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 14 | |
| 4 | Roman Dolidze | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Anthony Hernandez | 10 of 15 | 66% | 7 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 |
Angelo leans Anthony Hernandez, citing his incredible cardio and pace. He notes Hernandez is a good grappler but Roman Dolidze is a phenomenal grappler with power. Angelo thinks Hernandez will take over in later rounds with pressure, similar to Umar vs Morab. He expects Hernandez to win a decision after giving up early rounds.
Big Brady is confident in Anthony Hernandez, calling him a future champion with an unmatched pace. He acknowledges Dolidze's power and tricky grappling, but believes Hernandez will survive the early rounds and take over as Dolidze's cardio fades. Brady predicts a late finish, specifically a fifth-round TKO.
Connor picks Anthony Hernandez because Hernandez has a clear, consistent game plan focused on relentless wrestling and pace, while Dolidze is clumsy, slow, and has poor takedown defense. He notes that Hernandez's cardio and mental toughness are key, and that Dolidze's only path to victory is an opportunistic finish early. Connor compares it to Ngannou vs. Gane, where the smaller wrestler exhausts the bigger opponent.
The host expects Hernandez to utilize his classic smothering grappling game and put it on Dolidze. He acknowledges Dolidze will land big shots early, but believes Hernandez can eat them and eventually break Dolidze, leading to a round four or five finish by submission.
The MMA Guru picks Roman Dolidze, highlighting his underrated jiu-jitsu and ability to attack from his back. He believes Dolidze's size and presence on the feet will trouble Hernandez, who relies on volume. He predicts a submission or ground-and-pound TKO in round two or three, possibly after hurting Hernandez on the feet.
Zane agrees with Connor, emphasizing that Hernandez's wrestling process is relentless and that Dolidze's takedown defense is terrible (33%). He notes that Hernandez is a smaller middleweight but has great cardio, while Dolidze is a big, lumbering oaf who gasses. Zane thinks Hernandez will exhaust Dolidze against the cage and eventually get a finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Vettori | 0 | 111 of 220 | 50% | 112 of 221 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Roman Dolidze | 0 | 141 of 338 | 41% | 141 of 340 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marvin Vettori | 0 | 19 of 38 | 50% | 19 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Roman Dolidze | 0 | 17 of 52 | 32% | 17 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Marvin Vettori | 0 | 20 of 45 | 44% | 20 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Roman Dolidze | 0 | 31 of 66 | 46% | 31 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Marvin Vettori | 0 | 22 of 34 | 64% | 22 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Roman Dolidze | 0 | 18 of 62 | 29% | 18 of 63 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 | |
| 4 | Marvin Vettori | 0 | 21 of 43 | 48% | 21 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Roman Dolidze | 0 | 37 of 71 | 52% | 37 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Marvin Vettori | 0 | 29 of 60 | 48% | 30 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Roman Dolidze | 0 | 38 of 87 | 43% | 38 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Vettori | 111 of 220 | 50% | 72 of 173 | 8 of 11 | 31 of 36 | 110 of 218 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Roman Dolidze | 141 of 338 | 41% | 85 of 253 | 20 of 36 | 36 of 49 | 137 of 332 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marvin Vettori | 19 of 38 | 50% | 8 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 10 | 19 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Roman Dolidze | 17 of 52 | 32% | 9 of 40 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 10 | 17 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marvin Vettori | 20 of 45 | 44% | 12 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 9 | 20 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Roman Dolidze | 31 of 66 | 46% | 18 of 50 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 13 | 31 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marvin Vettori | 22 of 34 | 64% | 16 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 22 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Roman Dolidze | 18 of 62 | 29% | 12 of 50 | 2 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Marvin Vettori | 21 of 43 | 48% | 12 of 32 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 10 | 21 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Roman Dolidze | 37 of 71 | 52% | 24 of 51 | 4 of 7 | 9 of 13 | 36 of 70 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Marvin Vettori | 29 of 60 | 48% | 24 of 53 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 28 of 58 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Roman Dolidze | 38 of 87 | 43% | 22 of 62 | 10 of 16 | 6 of 9 | 36 of 83 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Roman Dolidze over Marvin Vettori in the rematch. He cites Vettori's two-year layoff, a rumored shoulder injury, and Dolidze's progression since their first fight. Angelo notes Dolidze has improved his striking and grappling activity, and he likes the 'win inside distance, decision no action' prop for Dolidze because he can finish and is durable.
Big Brady picks Marvin Vettori, arguing that the first fight was close but Vettori outlanded Dolidze in two of three rounds. He emphasizes that this is a five-round fight, which favors Vettori's superior cardio and minute-winning style, while Dolidze is not a five-round fighter and needs a finish to win. Brady believes Vettori's takedown defense will keep the fight standing, where he will outwork Dolidze. He predicts a decision win for Vettori, though he expresses concern about corrupt judges.
Cody believes Hernandez's weaponized gas tank and constant pressure will eventually break Dolidze, especially in a five-round fight. He notes Hernandez is a slow starter and has durability issues, but expects him to take over in later rounds. He suggests live betting Hernandez after the first round for better value.
Connor picks Vettori despite acknowledging the X-factors of injury and camp change, because he believes Vettori's Kings MMA programming makes him durable and consistent. He notes that Vettori's style of moving forward and punching is hard to break, and that Dolidze's unathletic brawling may not be enough to overcome Vettori's pressure. However, he expresses concern that Vettori might try to be too technical after the layoff.
Daniel picks Roman Dolidze as a plus money underdog, acknowledging the speed and movement advantage of Imavov but believing Dolidze's dangerous finishing ability and durability give him a chance over five rounds. He notes Dolidze's cardio concerns but thinks Imavov fades harder, and that Dolidze's leg lock threat is mitigated by Imavov's training with Ciryl Gane. He is not confident, calling it a tough fight where he could be frustrated if Dolidze gets outpointed.
The host expects Vettori to replicate his previous decision win, using his ability to mix it up in the clinch and improved striking to shut down Dolidze's overaggressive nature. He predicts Vettori will outpoint, out strike, and out grapple Dolidze to win on the scorecards.
Paul thinks Dolidze has improved striking and can exploit Hernandez's questionable standup and body vulnerability. He believes the market has overcooked Hernandez and sees value in Dolidze as a dog. He plans to wait for better odds, possibly plus 300 on fight day.
The MMA Guru picks Roman Dolidze, believing he could have won the first fight. He notes Dolidze's momentum with three fights in 2024, including wins over Anthony Smith and Kevin Holland, showing improvement. He questions Marvin Vettori's activity and recovery from the Cannonier beatdown and an injury. He thinks Dolidze's finishing potential and size advantage are key, and he predicts a 48-47 decision win for Dolidze, though a finish is possible. He also notes Dolidze is an underdog.
Zane picks Dolidze based on the suspicion that Vettori's long layoff and potential camp change to American Top Team could disrupt his game. He notes that Vettori backed up a lot and got hit hard in their first fight, and that Dolidze came worryingly close to outworking him. However, he acknowledges Dolidze's unathletic style and that Vettori is durable and hard to put away.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Dolidze | 0 | 19 of 33 | 57% | 57 of 101 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:50 |
| Kevin Holland | 0 | 18 of 28 | 64% | 36 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roman Dolidze | 0 | 19 of 33 | 57% | 57 of 101 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:50 |
| Kevin Holland | 0 | 18 of 28 | 64% | 36 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Dolidze | 19 of 33 | 57% | 16 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 23 |
| Kevin Holland | 18 of 28 | 64% | 5 of 13 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 11 | 18 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roman Dolidze | 19 of 33 | 57% | 16 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 23 |
| Kevin Holland | 18 of 28 | 64% | 5 of 13 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 11 | 18 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Holland (-162), Dolidze (+136)
Round 1
Stepping in for fellow Xtreme Couture product Chris Curtis, Dolidze (13-3, 7-3 UFC) will drop down in weight for this middleweight matchup. He stands across the cage from Holland (26-11, 1 NC; 13-8, 1 NC UFC), content to let his fists do the talking. The men that share knockout rates of 54% apiece will be joined in the cage by referee Jason Herzog. They opt to clap hands, and a front kick from Holland follows shortly thereafter. Dolidze takes the center of the cage but cannot get out of the way from two more kicks, and Holland jumps forward to reach him with a left hook around the guard. Holland slaps a pair of low kicks on the inner thigh, and he strafes around to not let Dolidze corner him. Holland’s kicks peck at the Georgian, and he chains two punches up top before landing with a leg kick. Dolidze scores a left hand, and he gets tripped up when Holland grabs hold of his kicking leg to stumble him. Dolidze resets and plods forward, and Holland uses his reach advantage to get off three punches before Dolidze hits him back. Dolidze fires back with a vengeance, and his strikes largely go wide. Holland chips at the front leg as he stays moving, and he tosses out another from the other leg. Dolidze charges like a bull, tackling Holland to the mat and putting him on his back relatively easily. Holland wraps his legs around the waist, hand-fighting to not let Dolidze hit him cleanly. Dolidze softens Holland up with ground-and-pound, landing short shots until Holland opens his guard and heel strikes the Georgian in the kidney repeatedly. The crowd turns on the ground fighting, and the fighters do little different to change their strategies. Holland goes back and forth between a body lock off his back and striking with his heel, and Dolidze is happy to slug away. Holland rolls for an armbar, and he rolls over and something awkward happens as Holland appears to be injured or compromised. Holland keeps moving, and he turns to his back as Dolidze climbs into full mount. Herzog asks for more activity, and Holland starts talking trash to Dolidze while Dolidze is busting him in the face with elbows and powerful punches. The horn sounds, and Holland stands up and points to his rib. Holland goes back to his corner, and he tells his team that he is struggling and does not want to quit. Holland’s corner asks him repeatedly if he can keep going. Holland’s coach, Kru Bob Perez, decides that Holland needs to be saved from himself to fight another day and calls the fight off. Meanwhile, the victorious Dolidze is awarded his jiu-jitsu black belt for the technical knockout victory.
The Official Result
Roman Dolidze def. Kevin Holland R1 5:00 via TKO (Corner Stoppage)
Angelo picks Roman Dolidze to win inside the distance, betting on his superior grappling. He notes Dolidze is a world champion grappler and should easily take down Kevin Holland, who has poor takedown defense. However, he expresses concern that Dolidze might not use his grappling and could get out-struck. He recommends betting 'Win inside the distance - decision no action' to mitigate risk, as Dolidze often wins by decision or finish.
Big Brady picks Roman Dolidze by submission in the second round, citing Holland's well-known weakness against wrestlers who can take him down and hold him down. He notes Dolidze is a big, strong middleweight with excellent grappling, and Holland has been submitted before. He also mentions a possible decision win if Dolidze controls with clinching and top pressure.
Cody picks Holland, emphasizing his speed, reach, and volume striking. He doubts Dolidze's wrestling and BJJ effectiveness, noting Holland's takedown defense and submission skills. He believes Holland can outpoint Dolidze on the feet.
Connor also picks Dolidze, agreeing that Dolidze's size and strength will be decisive. He notes that Dolidze is a nasty opportunistic grappler and that Holland's tendency to get tied up will play into Dolidze's hands. Connor thinks this is a terrible matchup for Holland and expects a dull, grinding win for Dolidze.
Daniel Vreeland is confident in Roman Dolidze, having bet on him at plus money. He believes Dolidze's physicality and grappling will be too much for Kevin Holland, who gives up easy takedowns. Vreeland points to common opponents like Marvin Vettori and Kyle Daukaus, where Dolidze performed better than Holland. He expects Dolidze to pin Holland against the fence, take him down, and eventually submit him.
Daniel Vreeland picks Roman Dolidze over Kevin Holland. He notes that Dolidze is a good grappler with sharp transitions, and that Holland's weakness is being outgrappled by strong grapplers. He also criticizes Holland for fighting at middleweight, where he is undersized and gets bullied, whereas Dolidze has fought at light heavyweight and can handle the size. Vreeland believes Dolidze will get the ground game going and potentially submit Holland, though he acknowledges Holland hasn't been submitted in a while.
Jeff Fox picks Kevin Holland but is hesitant. He notes that Holland won his last fight but didn't look good, and that he fought up a weight class. Fox is afraid Holland will get underneath his opponent on the ground and just do what he does, lying on his back. He hopes Holland doesn't do that because he's a good enough grappler not to have to, and he's the better striker. Fox acknowledges it's hard to pick Kevin Holland.
The host is surprised the line is as close as it is. He believes Dolidze's reckless fighting style will lead him to be picked apart by Kevin Holland, who is quicker and more accurate with shots down the pipe. He expects good footwork, range management, and solid grappling defense from Holland to keep the fight standing and win on the scorecards.
Paul picks Dolidze, citing his physicality and ability to make the fight ugly. He worries about Holland's chin and thinks Dolidze can close the distance and use his strength. He notes Dolidze's recent volume striking against Anthony Smith.
The MMA Guru picks Roman Dolidze over Kevin Holland, citing Dolidze's chin, leg kicks, and top control. He notes Dolidze trains at altitude and is active, while Holland's late-round finishing ability is questionable at altitude. He believes Dolidze will low kick Holland and eventually get takedowns, using his size advantage. He also mentions Holland's submission threat off his back but thinks Dolidze will be cautious.
Zane picks Dolidze, expecting a frustrating fight where Dolidze uses his size and strength to push Holland against the fence and tie him up. He notes that Holland tends to allow himself to be cornered and hugged by larger opponents, and Dolidze's grappling will be too much for Holland. Zane is not excited for this fight but sees Dolidze as the clear winner.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Dolidze | 0 | 51 of 93 | 54% | 51 of 93 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Anthony Smith | 0 | 100 of 185 | 54% | 103 of 188 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:33 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roman Dolidze | 0 | 18 of 32 | 56% | 18 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Anthony Smith | 0 | 22 of 52 | 42% | 22 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Roman Dolidze | 0 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 11 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Anthony Smith | 0 | 48 of 73 | 65% | 51 of 76 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:33 | |
| 3 | Roman Dolidze | 0 | 22 of 45 | 48% | 22 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Anthony Smith | 0 | 30 of 60 | 50% | 30 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Dolidze | 51 of 93 | 54% | 27 of 67 | 4 of 4 | 20 of 22 | 51 of 93 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Anthony Smith | 100 of 185 | 54% | 61 of 135 | 12 of 16 | 27 of 34 | 65 of 132 | 3 of 4 | 32 of 49 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roman Dolidze | 18 of 32 | 56% | 6 of 19 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 10 | 18 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Anthony Smith | 22 of 52 | 42% | 4 of 27 | 4 of 6 | 14 of 19 | 21 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Roman Dolidze | 11 of 16 | 68% | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 8 | 11 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Anthony Smith | 48 of 73 | 65% | 40 of 63 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 6 | 14 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 32 of 49 | |
| 3 | Roman Dolidze | 22 of 45 | 48% | 17 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 22 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Anthony Smith | 30 of 60 | 50% | 17 of 45 | 4 of 6 | 9 of 9 | 30 of 59 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Cody picks Dolidze despite concerns about his inconsistency. He notes that Dolidze looked good against Marvin Vettori but terrible against Nassourdine Imavov, possibly due to the lack of crowd energy in the Apex. Cody believes Dolidze will benefit from the live crowd at UFC 303 and that his durability and pressure will be key. He also points out that Dolidze has fought at light heavyweight before and that Smith tends to fade in later rounds if he doesn't get an early finish.
Daniel has no strong read on this fight, noting both fighters are opportunistic finishers with similar qualities. He sees Dolidze potentially getting takedowns and grinding, but ultimately goes with the underdog Smith because he doesn't know enough and prefers the dog. He acknowledges it could realistically go either way.
Daniel Vreeland picks Roman Dolidze, stating that Anthony Smith has no chin left and Dolidze has knockout power, as evidenced by his KO of Jack Hermansson. He believes Dolidze will stuff any takedown attempts from Smith and knock him out on the feet. Vreeland also praises Dolidze's underrated jiu-jitsu and sweeps, noting he won't fall into a dumb submission. He acknowledges the concern of Dolidze moving up in weight on short notice but still favors him.
Jeff Fox picks Roman Dolidze, noting that Anthony Smith has no chin left and Dolidze has been knocking people out, including three straight before his last two losses. He mentions that Smith has screwed them over numerous times but still cannot pick him. Fox also points out that Dolidze is taking the fight on short notice but still expects him to win.
The host does not discuss this fight at all in the transcript. The entire podcast is focused on the Conor McGregor vs Michael Chandler fight, which is not on the provided fight card. Therefore, no pick is made for this fight.
The host thinks Dolidze's aggressiveness could cause Smith issues, and that Smith does not have the technical striking to pick Dolidze apart like Imavov did. He predicts Dolidze will break Smith and get a finish in the second or third round. However, he is not confident due to Dolidze's lack of technical prowess and the short notice weight class change, so he says this fight is likely a pass.
Paul leans toward Smith, noting that he has value as a plus-money underdog. He acknowledges Smith's tendency to fade in later rounds but believes Smith's striking is superior and that he can catch Dolidze early. Paul also mentions that Smith has a history of upsetting prospects and that Dolidze's last performance was concerning. However, he admits it's a close fight and that Smith's path to victory likely involves an early finish.
The Guru picks Anthony Smith over Roman Dolidze. He criticizes Dolidze as 'dog [__]' and believes Smith is a level above. He notes Smith's recent win over Vitor Petrino and his ability to survive on the ground, as seen against Jon Jones. He also mentions Smith will have a size advantage since Dolidze was preparing for middleweight. He expects Smith to win, possibly by finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nassourdine Imavov | 0 | 34 of 152 | 22% | 59 of 190 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 10:11 |
| Roman Dolidze | 1 | 112 of 189 | 59% | 154 of 248 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 3:52 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nassourdine Imavov | 0 | 8 of 33 | 24% | 8 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:28 |
| Roman Dolidze | 1 | 51 of 75 | 68% | 69 of 109 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:10 | |
| 2 | Nassourdine Imavov | 0 | 5 of 30 | 16% | 17 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:43 |
| Roman Dolidze | 0 | 9 of 22 | 40% | 14 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 3 | Nassourdine Imavov | 0 | 8 of 29 | 27% | 15 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:17 |
| Roman Dolidze | 0 | 20 of 33 | 60% | 26 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:31 | |
| 4 | Nassourdine Imavov | 0 | 6 of 31 | 19% | 11 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 2:33 |
| Roman Dolidze | 0 | 14 of 26 | 53% | 22 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:27 | |
| 5 | Nassourdine Imavov | 0 | 7 of 29 | 24% | 8 of 30 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:10 |
| Roman Dolidze | 0 | 18 of 33 | 54% | 23 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nassourdine Imavov | 34 of 152 | 22% | 14 of 113 | 8 of 13 | 12 of 26 | 32 of 145 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Roman Dolidze | 112 of 189 | 59% | 71 of 132 | 24 of 38 | 17 of 19 | 67 of 129 | 13 of 16 | 32 of 44 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nassourdine Imavov | 8 of 33 | 24% | 1 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 10 | 7 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Roman Dolidze | 51 of 75 | 68% | 35 of 54 | 9 of 13 | 7 of 8 | 18 of 31 | 5 of 6 | 28 of 38 | |
| 2 | Nassourdine Imavov | 5 of 30 | 16% | 4 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Roman Dolidze | 9 of 22 | 40% | 4 of 16 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Nassourdine Imavov | 8 of 29 | 27% | 4 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 5 | 8 of 25 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Roman Dolidze | 20 of 33 | 60% | 9 of 18 | 7 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 16 of 29 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Nassourdine Imavov | 6 of 31 | 19% | 3 of 27 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Roman Dolidze | 14 of 26 | 53% | 10 of 19 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | |
| 5 | Nassourdine Imavov | 7 of 29 | 24% | 2 of 18 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 6 | 7 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Roman Dolidze | 18 of 33 | 54% | 13 of 25 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 24 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 4 |
Angelo picks Nassourdine Imavov but also bets on Roman Dolidze inside the distance. He explains that Dolidze has the power and submissions to finish but cannot be trusted to grapple, as seen in his last fight. He expects Imavov to win by decision, using movement and striking. He places a bet on Dolidze inside the distance with decision no action.
Big Brady picks Nassourdine Imavov to win a close decision. He notes that Imavov is a minute winner with high volume, while Dolidze is a moment winner with low volume but big shots. The five-round fight favors Imavov, as Dolidze has never gone five rounds and slows down. Brady expects Imavov to outland Dolidze and win a decision, though Dolidze could pull off a surprise finish.
Cody acknowledges both fighters are hard to read but leans to Dolidze as a plus money underdog. He notes Dolidze's Georgian toughness, improved cardio, and power, but worries about his low striking volume and reluctance to wrestle. He thinks if Dolidze stands and trades, Imavov's volume could outpoint him, but the dog price is worth a shot.
Imavov has cleaner technique and more paths to victory, but Dolidze's forward pressure in a five-round fight could be the difference maker. Imavov needs to stay within himself, pick his shots from distance, and possibly cut Dolidze to sway judges. The host is hesitant due to the line and the five-round duration, but officially picks Imavov by decision.
Paul is torn on the main event, calling it a pass from a betting perspective. He sees Imavov's cardio issues and Dolidze's size and strength advantages, but notes Dolidze's low output and questionable fight IQ. He slightly leans to Dolidze at plus money but says he likely won't bet it.
The MMA Guru picks Nassourdine Imavov over Roman Dolidze, predicting a third or fourth round TKO. He notes Dolidze is a slugger who struggles against fighters with good footwork on the back foot, which is Imavov's strength. He cites Imavov's performance against Sean Strickland and his wrestling ability to take down Chris Curtis. He believes Imavov will work Dolidze over with front kicks and low kicks, eventually catching him with a one-two down the pipe.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Vettori | 0 | 106 of 218 | 48% | 106 of 218 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Roman Dolidze | 0 | 71 of 192 | 36% | 71 of 192 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marvin Vettori | 0 | 38 of 75 | 50% | 38 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Roman Dolidze | 0 | 29 of 71 | 40% | 29 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Marvin Vettori | 0 | 28 of 69 | 40% | 28 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Roman Dolidze | 0 | 16 of 50 | 32% | 16 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 3 | Marvin Vettori | 0 | 40 of 74 | 54% | 40 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Roman Dolidze | 0 | 26 of 71 | 36% | 26 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Vettori | 106 of 218 | 48% | 60 of 165 | 8 of 13 | 38 of 40 | 100 of 212 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Roman Dolidze | 71 of 192 | 36% | 52 of 169 | 11 of 15 | 8 of 8 | 67 of 180 | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marvin Vettori | 38 of 75 | 50% | 24 of 60 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 12 | 35 of 72 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Roman Dolidze | 29 of 71 | 40% | 20 of 62 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 6 | 29 of 69 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marvin Vettori | 28 of 69 | 40% | 11 of 48 | 3 of 6 | 14 of 15 | 28 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Roman Dolidze | 16 of 50 | 32% | 12 of 44 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 16 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marvin Vettori | 40 of 74 | 54% | 25 of 57 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 13 | 37 of 71 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Roman Dolidze | 26 of 71 | 36% | 20 of 63 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 22 of 61 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Vettori because of his cement chin, incredible cardio, and submission defense. He thinks Dolidze will fade and cannot take Vettori down. He notes Dolidze's takedowns are trash and his only path is a submission, but Vettori's submission defense is good enough. He has a bet on Dolidze inside distance (decision no action) as a hedge.
Big Brady picks Vettori, citing his higher output (4.20 vs 2.62 significant strikes per minute) and durability (never knocked out). He questions Dolidze's path to victory, as Vettori is tough to finish and Dolidze has low volume. He predicts a decision win, but notes the odds are surprising and he may look for a prop instead.
Cody picks Vettori, arguing Dolidze is a 'comeback kid' who relies on finishing but fades in longer fights. He notes Dolidze's low volume and poor cardio, while Vettori is durable, has solid wrestling, and good cardio. He thinks Vettori wins by decision, possibly with takedowns. He says minus 270 isn't bad and likes Vettori by decision prop.
Connor picks Vettori for his consistency and durability. He notes that Vettori is a roundly solid fighter who doesn't get submitted or knocked out, and he maintains a steady output of one-twos. Dolidze is more of a wild athlete who relies on flashy moments but lacks process. Connor points out that Jack Hermansson was dominating Dolidze before collapsing, and Vettori is a tougher matchup because he won't break. He thinks Vettori's pace and durability will overwhelm Dolidze, who cannot craft a game plan to break Vettori down.
Jacob picks Dolidze, believing Vettori is an emotional idiot who will eventually shoot a takedown and get submitted. He thinks Vettori has no power and Dolidze can land a big shot. He notes Dolidze is undefeated except for a fight where Jacob picked against him. He is riding the Dolidze train until it falls off.
Vettori is a strong grappler with good clinch work and durability, though his striking is still developing. Dolidze is on a four-fight winning streak with knockout power, but his striking is technically lacking and he can be reckless. Vettori should weather early storms and use his wrestling to control the fight, likely winning a decision. The minus 300 line is a bit steep but the skill gap is clear.
Paul agrees with Cody, picking Vettori. He notes Dolidze's volume is so low that an elite fighter should be able to do what Jack Hermansson did and extend it over 15 minutes. He likes Vettori by decision at minus 120 and says Dolidze has never been finished but Vettori can outpoint him.
The MMA Guru picks Marvin Vettori over Roman Dolidze, despite Vettori's sometimes questionable game plans. He notes Dolidze is dangerous on the ground but has poor striking and was easily picked apart by Jack Hermansson on the feet. Vettori outstruck Hermansson and stuffed his takedowns, so he should do the same to Dolidze. He predicts a 30-27 decision for Vettori, warning that if Vettori shoots takedowns he deserves to lose.
Zane agrees with Connor, emphasizing Vettori's block-headed consistency. He notes that Vettori doesn't collapse when outsmarted; he just keeps coming. Dolidze is a flashy fighter but lacks the technical foundation to break Vettori down. Zane also mentions that Vettori's takedown defense and ability to stop takedowns are solid. He thinks Dolidze's best chance is a lucky shot, but Vettori's durability and pace will carry him to a decision win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Dolidze | 0 | 47 of 79 | 59% | 48 of 80 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:52 |
| Jack Hermansson | 0 | 25 of 54 | 46% | 39 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 | 0 | 0:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roman Dolidze | 0 | 25 of 40 | 62% | 26 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:06 |
| Jack Hermansson | 0 | 4 of 16 | 25% | 7 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Roman Dolidze | 0 | 22 of 39 | 56% | 22 of 39 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
| Jack Hermansson | 0 | 21 of 38 | 55% | 32 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:28 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Dolidze | 47 of 79 | 59% | 16 of 41 | 11 of 16 | 20 of 22 | 43 of 74 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
| Jack Hermansson | 25 of 54 | 46% | 23 of 51 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 15 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roman Dolidze | 25 of 40 | 62% | 6 of 16 | 6 of 9 | 13 of 15 | 23 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Jack Hermansson | 4 of 16 | 25% | 3 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Roman Dolidze | 22 of 39 | 56% | 10 of 25 | 5 of 7 | 7 of 7 | 20 of 37 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jack Hermansson | 21 of 38 | 55% | 20 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 14 |
Angelo picks Roman Dolidze, calling him a world champion grappler with real power. He notes Dolidze's impressive recent win over Phil Hawes, where he showed both submission and KO ability. He thinks Hermansson is a good grappler but not on Dolidze's level, and lacks power in his striking. He expects Dolidze to be the favorite by fight night and has a moneyline bet on him.
Big Brady is confident in Hermansson, citing his underrated striking, improved cardio, and superior grappling. He notes Dolidze's poor takedown defense (33%) and short-notice fight, expecting Hermansson to win exchanges on the feet, mix in takedowns, and finish a tired Dolidze in the second round by submission. He mentions Hermansson's dominant win over Chris Curtis as evidence.
Cody agrees, highlighting Hermansson's high output and Dolidze's low volume. He thinks Hermansson can win by decision or even submission, and prefers Hermansson by decision. He notes Dolidze's power but doubts he can land cleanly.
Daniel Levi leans Hermansson as a pure pick, citing his better competition, improved striking, and ground-and-pound. However, he notes Dolidze's danger everywhere and calls it a dog-or-pass situation at the current line. He might bet Dolidze if the line widens to +200 or more.
The host picks Hermansson but is not confident due to Dolidze's tendency to pull off upsets. He thinks Hermansson will dictate the fight with clinching and striking from the outside, similar to his win over Chris Curtis. He likes the over 2.5 rounds as a bet, expecting a slow-paced fight. He warns that Dolidze is a wild man who could finish if he smells blood.
Paul thinks Hermansson has Dolidze covered everywhere. He notes Dolidze's low volume and Hermansson's output advantage. He expects Hermansson to keep the fight standing and use his reach and cardio to win a decision or possibly get a finish.
The MMA Guru picks Jack Hermansson, citing his superior experience and grappling. He thinks Dolidze's recent wins are over lesser competition and that Hermansson's leg kicks and pressure will be key. He predicts Hermansson will take over in the later rounds and win a decision.
Expert Picks (4)
Big Brady picks Roman Dolidze despite concerns about his weight cut from 205 to 185 on short notice. He notes Dolidze has advantages in grappling and strength, and expects him to take Giles down and submit him in the first round. Brady criticizes Giles' poor fight IQ and takedown defense, citing his losses to Gerald Meerschaert and James Krause. He advises waiting for weigh-ins before betting.
Daniel Levi picks Roman Dolidze, going against the public action. He acknowledges Dolidze's well-roundedness but notes his overconfidence and tendency to play around. He expects a close, back-and-forth fight with Dolidze finding something opportunistic. He is not fully convinced but leans toward Dolidze.
Dolidze is slightly more active, has more power in his hands, and likely has the grappling advantage. He's durable and can take Giles' shots. Giles is faster and has a good 1-2, but Dolidze's volume and size (2-inch height and reach advantage) could cause issues. Dolidze should win by decision, but it's a stay-away fight due to the short notice and weight cut.
The MMA Guru picks Roman Dolidze over Trevin Giles. He believes Dolidze's size, strength, and grappling will be too much for Giles, who has been manhandled before (e.g., by Zach Cummings and Gerald Meerschaert). He predicts a third-round submission, as Giles tends to slow down due to grappling pressure. He notes Dolidze is moving down to 185 and should be able to manhandle Giles.
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