Career Averages - Parker Porter
Career Averages - Josh Parisian
Parker Porter - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Tafa | 1 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 11 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Parker Porter | 0 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 3 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Junior Tafa | 1 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 11 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Parker Porter | 0 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 3 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Tafa | 8 of 13 | 61% | 7 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Parker Porter | 2 of 9 | 22% | 2 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Junior Tafa | 8 of 13 | 61% | 7 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Parker Porter | 2 of 9 | 22% | 2 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Tafa (-142), Porter (+120)
Round 1
Heavyweights get the ball rolling on the main card, as Tafa attempts to rebound from a decision loss to Mohammed Usman on April 22. Porter, meanwhile, sports a 4-3 record across his seven UFC appearances. Marc Goddard draws the officiating assignment. The sportsmen touch gloves. Porter flips out a jab and throws two punches behind it but misses his target. Tafa connects with a collar-tie knee, staggers the Connecticut native and lands an overhand right. Porter clinches in a bid to recover.
Tafa breaks away and delivers a clean standing elbow while doing so. Power punches follow, and Porter hits the deck after eating a brutal right hook to the side of the head
.
The Official Result
Junior Tafa def. Parker Porter—KO (Punch) 1:24 R1
Angelo admits bias as Parker Porter is a personal friend, but argues that even without bias, Porter has a clear path to victory through wrestling. He notes that Tafa has poor takedown defense and was taken down easily in his debut. Porter has solid takedowns and cardio, and if he avoids a firefight, he can control the fight.
Big Brady highlights Junior Tafa's serious power and good striking, but notes his poor takedown defense. He thinks Parker Porter will need to wrestle to win, but doubts Porter's ability to control the fight or finish on the ground. He expects the fight to stay at range where Tafa's power will be decisive, predicting a first-round knockout similar to his brother Justin's win over Porter.
Cody picks Porter as a plus money underdog, citing his wrestling and cardio advantage. He notes that Tafa struggled with takedown defense in his debut and Porter can lean on him. Cody is not highly confident due to heavyweight volatility but likes the value.
Daniel picks Junior Tafa, noting that he is a much better striker with fast hands and power. He believes Porter's only path is grappling, but Tafa showed good takedown defense early in his last fight. He mentions that Porter is being fed to Tafa as a winnable fight. He is confident Tafa wins if the fight stays standing, and expects a knockout.
James is confident Junior Tafa wins, citing his speed, technique, and youth advantage (26 vs 38). He doubts Porter's wrestling ability to get Tafa down and believes Tafa will land a knockout on the feet. He notes Tafa carries power late and could finish in round three even after being taken down earlier. He bet on Tafa.
The host is critical of Junior Tafa's inexperience (5 pro fights) and believes he is only in the UFC because of his brother. He notes Tafa gassed in his debut and has limited grappling. Porter has 22 fights, dropped weight, and looked better in his last win. The host expects Porter to grind out a decision, possibly with a submission, and prefers the underdog due to the experience gap.
Paul also picks Porter, noting his wrestling and experience. He mentions that Tafa's brother knocked Porter out, but Junior is a different style. Paul thinks Porter can grind out a win if he avoids getting clipped early.
The MMA Guru picks Junior Tafa over Parker Porter, dismissing Porter's win over Braxton Smith as Smith quitting. He believes Tafa has more potential and should have beaten Mohammed Usman based on damage. He predicts Tafa will knock out Porter, noting Porter's lack of grappling threat and Tafa's power. He calls for a first-round KO in brutal fashion.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Porter | 0 | 14 of 29 | 48% | 14 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Braxton Smith | 0 | 25 of 37 | 67% | 37 of 62 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parker Porter | 0 | 14 of 29 | 48% | 14 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Braxton Smith | 0 | 25 of 37 | 67% | 37 of 62 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Porter | 14 of 29 | 48% | 13 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Braxton Smith | 25 of 37 | 67% | 24 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 10 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parker Porter | 14 of 29 | 48% | 13 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Braxton Smith | 25 of 37 | 67% | 24 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 10 |
Angelo picks his personal friend Parker Porter, but notes the betting line supports it as Porter is a -180 favorite. He believes Porter is better in every aspect except raw power, with superior technique, footwork, wrestling, Jiu-Jitsu, and cardio. Angelo wants Porter to chop down Braxton Smith's legs with kicks to neutralize his power, similar to a recent heavyweight fight. He is confident Porter will win but acknowledges bias.
Big Brady picks Smith but with very low confidence, calling it a 50/50 fight. He notes Smith has massive power and has knocked out all his recent opponents quickly, but Porter has fought better competition and has cardio and grappling advantages. He believes if Porter doesn't take Smith down early, Smith will knock him out. He predicts a first-round knockout for Smith.
Cody sees Porter as the clear pick due to his experience, grappling advantage, and cardio. He notes Smith is a one-dimensional brawler with no wrestling or cardio, and all his wins are early KOs. If Porter survives the first few minutes, he can take Smith down and dominate. He expects Porter to win inside the distance.
Connor picks Porter, noting his good conditioning and boxing, and that Smith lost his pro debut to Chase Sherman. He thinks if Smith doesn't KO Porter early, Porter can outwork him. However, he acknowledges Smith has a real chance to KO Porter.
The host picks Braxton Smith by first round knockout. He believes Smith's explosive power will be too much for Parker Porter, who has shown durability issues. He notes Smith's gas tank is a concern but expects an early finish. He recommends the under 1.5 rounds prop as a good bet.
Paul agrees, noting Smith's only path is an early KO, but Porter has been knocked out early before. However, he thinks Porter's grappling and experience should prevail. He calls it a 'scraping the bottom of the barrel' heavyweight fight but picks Porter.
The Guru picks Smith as an underdog, citing his KO power and athleticism. He notes Porter is a 'fat old man' who was just knocked out by Justin Tafa. He acknowledges Smith's record may have inaccuracies but believes his explosiveness and kickboxing will overwhelm Porter.
Zane picks Smith because of his massive power and the fact that Porter has been knocked out early by power punchers. He notes Smith is inexperienced and if he doesn't KO Porter early, he likely loses. But Porter's lack of speed and durability make Smith a reasonable pick.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Tafa | 1 | 8 of 16 | 50% | 8 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Parker Porter | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Tafa | 1 | 8 of 16 | 50% | 8 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Parker Porter | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Tafa | 8 of 16 | 50% | 6 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 12 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Parker Porter | 7 of 16 | 43% | 5 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Tafa | 8 of 16 | 50% | 6 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 12 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Parker Porter | 7 of 16 | 43% | 5 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Parker Porter, defending him against criticism and highlighting his volume striking and footwork. He notes that Justin Tafa has power and a chin but lacks footwork and grappling. He expects Porter to use movement and volume to outpoint Tafa, though he acknowledges the risk of a Tafa knockout. He has a half-unit bet on Porter at +125 and suggests betting on Tafa by KO and Porter by decision as props.
Big Brady calls this a mess of a fight but picks Porter as the minute winner with higher volume and grappling upside. He notes Tafa has power and could knock Porter out, but thinks Porter's cardio and wrestling give him the edge. He predicts a decision win for Porter.
Cody picks Porter as a dog, citing Tafa's one-dimensional kickboxing and poor performances against Jared Vanderaa. He notes Porter has multiple paths: wrestling takedowns and top control, or volume striking. He mentions Porter's wins over Josh Parisian and Chase Sherman show he can land heavy volume. He thinks Porter by decision is a good prop at +350.
Connor picks Tafa hesitantly, citing his power and athletic potential. He notes that Porter is durable but gets hurt badly in every fight, and Tafa has the power to finish. Connor acknowledges that Porter's pace and volume could overwhelm Tafa if he doesn't land early, but he's willing to take a flyer on Tafa's explosiveness. He also mentions that Tafa has shown flashes of improvement.
Porter has good footwork, combinations, and a sneaky wrestling game. Tafa has huge power but poor footwork and can be outpointed, as seen against Vandera. Porter can mix in takedowns to control Tafa on the ground. Tafa's takedown defense is untested (only faced two takedown attempts). Porter's durability and cardio should allow him to outwork Tafa over 15 minutes. However, Tafa's power is a constant threat.
Paul leans toward Porter but is not fully committed. He sees the fight as a low-level heavyweight bout likely going to decision, and considers Porter by decision at +350. He notes Tafa's lack of volume and Porter's ability to outwork him. He may dabble on the decision prop.
The MMA Guru picks Justin Tafa over Parker Porter, noting Tafa's power and youth. He believes Tafa will catch Porter in a scrappy fight and finish him by KO at the end of round one. He dismisses Porter's wins as unimpressive and notes his age and damage taken.
Zane picks Porter, citing his consistency and ability to survive early storms. He notes that Porter is a pace fighter who can take a shot and come back, while Tafa is low-output and one-dimensional. Zane acknowledges that Porter will likely get hurt badly, but he trusts Porter's durability and experience to grind out a win. He also mentions that Porter's jab and volume will be key.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jailton Almeida | 0 | 18 of 34 | 52% | 36 of 58 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 4:29 |
| Parker Porter | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jailton Almeida | 0 | 18 of 34 | 52% | 36 of 58 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 4:29 |
| Parker Porter | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jailton Almeida | 18 of 34 | 52% | 16 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 33 |
| Parker Porter | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jailton Almeida | 18 of 34 | 52% | 16 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 33 |
| Parker Porter | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Parker Porter despite being biased as a friend. He believes Porter's pace, striking volume, and takedown defense will be key. He notes that Almeida is moving up from light heavyweight and has never gone to the third round, while Porter has cardio and heavy hips that make him hard to take down. He expects Porter to stuff takedowns and win a decision.
Big Brady picks Jailton Almeida to win by first-round TKO, expecting him to take down Parker Porter and finish quickly. He notes Almeida is a beast on the mat with vicious ground-and-pound, but admits there is no footage of his striking. He worries about Almeida's cardio if the fight extends, but believes Almeida will get the job done early. He says it's a sketchy fight and he is not betting it.
Cody likes Almeida's potential but sees red flags: moving up to heavyweight, facing a much larger opponent, and his cardio against a bigger guy. He notes Almeida's impressive finishes but thinks the price is too high. He considers using Almeida in parlays and mentions live betting opportunities if Almeida doesn't finish early.
The host discusses the fight but does not make a clear pick. He notes the size difference (41 pounds) and suggests Almeida should use his speed and athleticism to get a knockout rather than grinding for takedowns. He is not betting on Almeida due to the chalk, but he thinks Almeida will likely win. He also mentions that Porter could potentially get a DQ win or upset.
Paul thinks Almeida is the truth but is priced out. He notes Almeida's size and skills but worries about the weight class change and Porter's volume. He says he'll watch weigh-ins and might consider Porter by decision at +1400 as a small play.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Jailton Almeida, believing he will out-grapple Parker Porter. He notes Almeida's size and reach advantage, and thinks he can throw Porter around and get a submission. He predicts a first-round rear-naked choke win for Almeida.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Porter | 0 | 43 of 106 | 40% | 82 of 150 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 6:34 |
| Alan Baudot | 0 | 55 of 107 | 51% | 61 of 113 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parker Porter | 0 | 12 of 39 | 30% | 29 of 56 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:52 |
| Alan Baudot | 0 | 17 of 32 | 53% | 18 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Parker Porter | 0 | 19 of 39 | 48% | 25 of 45 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Alan Baudot | 0 | 14 of 32 | 43% | 15 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 3 | Parker Porter | 0 | 12 of 28 | 42% | 28 of 49 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 |
| Alan Baudot | 0 | 24 of 43 | 55% | 28 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Porter | 43 of 106 | 40% | 20 of 80 | 4 of 4 | 19 of 22 | 34 of 94 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 5 |
| Alan Baudot | 55 of 107 | 51% | 43 of 94 | 11 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 50 of 101 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parker Porter | 12 of 39 | 30% | 8 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 34 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Alan Baudot | 17 of 32 | 53% | 13 of 27 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 14 of 28 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Parker Porter | 19 of 39 | 48% | 5 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 12 | 16 of 36 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Alan Baudot | 14 of 32 | 43% | 12 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Parker Porter | 12 of 28 | 42% | 7 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 | 10 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
| Alan Baudot | 24 of 43 | 55% | 18 of 37 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Parker Porter confidently, though admits bias as a friend. He highlights Porter's footwork, power, underrated wrestling, and ridiculous volume. He notes Baudot is a competent striker with power but has poor ground game and has never seen a decision. Angelo expects Porter to dominate with wrestling and volume.
Big Brady picks Parker Porter, calling Baudot one of the worst heavyweights. He notes Porter has better cardio and ground game, while Baudot has been finished in all losses and tends to quit. He predicts Porter wins by second or third round knockout.
Cody is very confident in Porter, calling him a potential best pick of the week. He highlights Porter's excellent cardio, high volume striking (149 significant strikes in his last fight), and takedown ability. Cody notes that Baudot has no redeeming qualities: poor grappling, no power, and a weak chin. He believes Porter can win wherever the fight goes, either by out-striking or taking Baudot down and smashing him.
Levi picks Porter, noting that Baudot has a history of quitting (took a knee against Nascimento) and that Porter has heart and toughness. He expects Porter to survive an early storm and take over after the first round. Levi has faded Baudot in both his UFC fights and believes Porter's veteran experience and durability will be key.
Porter has a clear path to victory: weather Baudot's early storm, then take him down and submit him. Baudot has terrible grappling and gasses in the second round. Porter's submission game is underrated, and Baudot has been submitted by lower-level grapplers. Porter by submission at +700 is the best prop on the card. The fight doesn't go to decision at -200 is also a strong play.
Paul picks Porter, expressing surprise that the line is only -250 given Baudot's poor performances. He notes that Baudot has been dominated in his UFC fights and lacks power or grappling. Paul thinks Porter's cardio and pace will be too much for Baudot, and that Porter should win comfortably.
The MMA Guru picks Parker Porter to win by 29-28 decision. He trusts Porter's experience and veteran tricks, noting he has good grappling awareness and toughness. He thinks Alan Baudot may have early success but Porter will wear him down in the later rounds. He also mentions that Baudot won his UFC entry by DQ and has been KO'd before.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Porter | 0 | 149 of 278 | 53% | 159 of 294 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 117 of 249 | 46% | 121 of 253 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parker Porter | 0 | 21 of 56 | 37% | 30 of 69 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:57 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 29 of 59 | 49% | 30 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Parker Porter | 0 | 57 of 105 | 54% | 58 of 107 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 51 of 102 | 50% | 52 of 103 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Parker Porter | 0 | 71 of 117 | 60% | 71 of 118 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Chase Sherman | 0 | 37 of 88 | 42% | 39 of 90 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Porter | 149 of 278 | 53% | 116 of 243 | 17 of 17 | 16 of 18 | 141 of 270 | 7 of 7 | 1 of 1 |
| Chase Sherman | 117 of 249 | 46% | 69 of 199 | 15 of 17 | 33 of 33 | 115 of 247 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parker Porter | 21 of 56 | 37% | 14 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 8 | 19 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Chase Sherman | 29 of 59 | 49% | 20 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 8 | 29 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Parker Porter | 57 of 105 | 54% | 48 of 96 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 55 of 103 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Chase Sherman | 51 of 102 | 50% | 27 of 77 | 11 of 12 | 13 of 13 | 50 of 101 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Parker Porter | 71 of 117 | 60% | 54 of 100 | 10 of 10 | 7 of 7 | 67 of 113 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Chase Sherman | 37 of 88 | 42% | 22 of 72 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 12 | 36 of 87 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Chase Sherman confidently, citing his better competition, toughness, and power. He notes Porter is very hittable and has been finished in all his losses. Sherman has a 93% finish rate, all by knockout. He predicts a second-round knockout.
Cody picks Sherman, citing his athleticism, leg kicks, and volume. He notes Sherman's improved game since his first UFC stint and believes he has a clear advantage. He mentions Sherman's back issues and past PED suspension but still favors him.
Porter has good durability, leg kicks, and clinch work. Sherman's volume drops in later rounds, while Porter maintains his pace. If Porter survives the first round, he can take over. I'm picking Porter by decision, but I'm hesitant as some respected people are on Sherman.
Paul leans toward Porter as a live underdog, highlighting his durability, leg kicks, and pressure. He questions Sherman's cardio and mental toughness, noting Sherman looked defeated against Arlovski. He sees Porter's ability to push pace and land leg kicks as key, but worries about Porter's weight cut and shape.
The MMA Guru picks Chase Sherman to win by TKO. He notes Sherman is bigger, has good cardio, and a reach advantage. He expects Sherman to use elbows against the cage on the shorter Porter. He acknowledges Porter's win over Josh Parisian but considers it unimpressive.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Porter | 0 | 114 of 226 | 50% | 123 of 237 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 126 of 228 | 55% | 164 of 275 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 4:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parker Porter | 0 | 56 of 115 | 48% | 61 of 122 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 46 of 92 | 50% | 57 of 104 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:10 | |
| 2 | Parker Porter | 0 | 24 of 43 | 55% | 27 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 30 of 46 | 65% | 54 of 78 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:12 | |
| 3 | Parker Porter | 0 | 34 of 68 | 50% | 35 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 50 of 90 | 55% | 53 of 93 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Porter | 114 of 226 | 50% | 71 of 173 | 35 of 44 | 8 of 9 | 89 of 190 | 25 of 36 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 126 of 228 | 55% | 90 of 190 | 16 of 18 | 20 of 20 | 105 of 198 | 20 of 27 | 1 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parker Porter | 56 of 115 | 48% | 38 of 92 | 18 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 38 of 89 | 18 of 26 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 46 of 92 | 50% | 33 of 77 | 10 of 12 | 3 of 3 | 33 of 77 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Parker Porter | 24 of 43 | 55% | 11 of 30 | 9 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 19 of 37 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 30 of 46 | 65% | 18 of 34 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 8 | 25 of 35 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 3 | |
| 3 | Parker Porter | 34 of 68 | 50% | 22 of 51 | 8 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 32 of 64 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 50 of 90 | 55% | 39 of 79 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 9 | 47 of 86 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Daukaus | 2 | 37 of 59 | 62% | 45 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
| Parker Porter | 0 | 17 of 52 | 32% | 18 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Daukaus | 2 | 37 of 59 | 62% | 45 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
| Parker Porter | 0 | 17 of 52 | 32% | 18 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Daukaus | 37 of 59 | 62% | 29 of 49 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 29 of 50 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 2 |
| Parker Porter | 17 of 52 | 32% | 12 of 44 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 14 of 47 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Daukaus | 37 of 59 | 62% | 29 of 49 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 29 of 50 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 2 |
| Parker Porter | 17 of 52 | 32% | 12 of 44 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 14 of 47 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady thinks Chris Daukaus is the more skilled striker and hits harder. He criticizes Parker Porter's lack of fight shape and believes Daukaus will knock him out in the first round. He notes both have been knocked out before but favors Daukaus' power.
Daniel Levi picks Parker Porter. He notes that Chris Daukaus is not as talented as his brother Kyle, and that Porter is the bigger, more physical fighter. He expects Porter to use his size and power to get takedowns and control the fight. He also mentions that Daukaus has been knocked out before and that Porter's game plan is straightforward.
The MMA Guru picks Parker Porter based on experience, noting that Porter has fought higher-level competition outside the UFC, including Gabriel Gonzaga. He dismisses both fighters as unskilled but believes Porter's experience on short notice gives him the edge.
Josh Parisian - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robelis Despaigne | 1 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robelis Despaigne | 1 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robelis Despaigne | 7 of 9 | 77% | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Josh Parisian | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robelis Despaigne | 7 of 9 | 77% | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Josh Parisian | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Robelis Despaigne despite it being his UFC debut, citing his Olympic taekwondo background, insane power, and 19-second cumulative knockout time in his last three fights. He acknowledges Parisian is durable and has experience, but believes Parisian lacks one-punch power to hurt Despaigne. He considers a high-risk parlay with Despaigne.
Big Brady picks Robelis Despaigne to win by first-round knockout in under 60 seconds. He notes Despaigne's incredible reach and power, and that all his fights have ended quickly. He believes Josh Parisian will try to strike with Despaigne and get knocked out. He also mentions a PrizePicks play on Despaigne's fight time under 4.75 minutes.
Cody is intrigued by Despaigne's physical attributes and knockout power but notes his lack of experience and questionable grappling. He thinks Despaigne will likely knock out Parisian early, but at -330, he's not confident enough to bet heavily.
Daniel picks Despaigne via knockout, citing his athleticism, reach, and power. He notes Parisian is a bottom-of-the-barrel heavyweight and Despaigne is too athletic for him. However, he warns that if Parisian gets double underhooks and takes it past round one, Despaigne could gas out. He expects a quick knockout.
Despaigne has insane power and speed, but there is not enough film on him against legitimate competition. He was held up against the cage in his debut, and his takedown defense is untested. Parisian has good durability, forward pressure, and a grinding style that could wear on Despaigne. If Parisian can survive the first couple minutes of each round and get his cage grind going, he is live to win. I have no confidence in the chalky spot on Despaigne, so I lean Parisian by decision.
Paul thinks Despaigne is a fraud waiting to be exposed. He notes that Parisian is a big heavyweight who can take Despaigne down and grind on him. He believes if Parisian can survive the first round, he has a good chance to win.
The MMA Guru is extremely confident in Robelis Despaigne, mocking Josh Parisian's physique and conditioning. He notes Despaigne is an Olympic medalist in Taekwondo with a massive reach and athleticism, while Parisian is out of shape and has been finished by lower-level heavyweights. He predicts a TKO victory.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Buday | 0 | 26 of 61 | 42% | 27 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 42 of 67 | 62% | 62 of 91 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:56 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Buday | 0 | 26 of 61 | 42% | 27 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 42 of 67 | 62% | 62 of 91 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:56 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Buday | 26 of 61 | 42% | 15 of 49 | 6 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 20 of 47 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 42 of 67 | 62% | 35 of 60 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 28 of 49 | 14 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Buday | 26 of 61 | 42% | 15 of 49 | 6 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 20 of 47 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 42 of 67 | 62% | 35 of 60 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 28 of 49 | 14 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Buday fairly confidently, noting Buday has power, solid footwork, and better cardio. He thinks Buday should be the better striker and have takedown defense to keep it standing. He expects a decision win and suggests looking at round lines, possibly over 2.5 rounds.
Big Brady picks Martin Buday to win by decision, but is very hesitant. He notes Buday's skills (brown belt in BJJ, good top game) but criticizes his game plan of holding opponents against the cage and not using takedowns. He points out that Buday has attempted zero takedowns in his three UFC fights. He believes Buday could easily win if he wrestles, but doubts he will. He calls the fight 'disgusting' and says he wants nothing to do with it.
Cody picks Buday, expecting a boring decision. He notes Buday's style of clinching and controlling against the cage, and that Parisian has poor cardio and has been taken down easily. He thinks Buday will win by volume and control, and recommends the over 2.5 rounds and Buday by decision. He also mentions Buday over 56.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks.
James sees value on Parisian at +180, calling Buday a 'cage push or bust' fighter who gassed against Jake Collier. He thinks Parisian might not gas as badly and the fight is closer than the odds suggest. However, he is not confident due to the volatility and may not bet it.
Buday is on an 11-fight winning streak and wears on opponents in the clinch, taking them down and doing damage from top. Parisian is an average heavyweight with one speed and alternating wins and losses. Buday's hard-nosed approach and tight striking defense should allow him to pull away late and win by decision. However, the line at -200 is a bit wide as Parisian could have grappling success.
Paul picks Buday, agreeing it will be a slow heavyweight fight. He notes Parisian's poor performances and that Buday is younger and more effective in the clinch. He thinks Buday by decision is likely and likes the over 2.5 rounds. He also mentions Buday over 56.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks.
The MMA Guru picks Martin Buday over Josh Parisian, stating that Parisian is dangerous but Buday has better conditioning, clinch work, and cardio for a heavyweight. He notes Buday's controversial win over Lukasz Brzeski and his performance against Jake Collier. He expects Buday to outwork Parisian against the cage and in the clinch, leading to a decision or late finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Pogues | 0 | 37 of 113 | 32% | 51 of 137 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:12 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 33 of 60 | 55% | 49 of 79 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 5:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamal Pogues | 0 | 12 of 28 | 42% | 15 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 7 of 18 | 38% | 13 of 25 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:54 | |
| 2 | Jamal Pogues | 0 | 13 of 39 | 33% | 17 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 8 of 14 | 57% | 17 of 24 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 | |
| 3 | Jamal Pogues | 0 | 12 of 46 | 26% | 19 of 56 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 18 of 28 | 64% | 19 of 30 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:35 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Pogues | 37 of 113 | 32% | 19 of 85 | 14 of 23 | 4 of 5 | 35 of 110 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 33 of 60 | 55% | 29 of 56 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 20 of 47 | 9 of 9 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamal Pogues | 12 of 28 | 42% | 7 of 20 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 7 of 18 | 38% | 6 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | |
| 2 | Jamal Pogues | 13 of 39 | 33% | 6 of 26 | 5 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 8 of 14 | 57% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jamal Pogues | 12 of 46 | 26% | 6 of 39 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 18 of 28 | 64% | 15 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 23 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Parisian, citing his volume striking and UFC experience. He notes Parisian set heavyweight significant strike records and has a grappling win over Alan Baudot. Angelo thinks Pogues is a decent but not powerful heavyweight who doesn't move his head. He believes Parisian's higher-level experience will be the difference, and the line movement favoring Pogues is surprising. He considers a Parisian by decision bet at plus odds.
Big Brady sees a clear path for Pogues via wrestling, as Parisian has terrible takedown defense and get-up game, as shown in the Dontale Mayes fight. He notes that Pogues didn't wrestle in his last fight, which is a concern, but if he does, he should dominate. He predicts a decision win, but warns against betting the -250 line.
Cody picks Pogues but doesn't like the -240 line for an unproven UFC debutant. He notes Pogues is young (27), has good cardio for a heavyweight, and has a wrestling advantage. However, he warns that Pogues' striking is mechanical and he's there to get countered. He also mentions Parisian's only good characteristic is being a bona fide heavyweight, and if Parisian gets top position, it's a big body to move off. He says it's a greasy heavyweight spot and he's not confident.
Connor picks Parisian because he is bigger and can make the fight brutal. He thinks Pogues' gas tank may not hold up against Parisian's pressure, and Parisian's toughness and aggression could wear Pogues down. Connor notes that Pogues has not faced a fighter like Parisian who will crash into him repeatedly.
Jacob picks Pogues but is not confident enough to bet. He thinks Pogues has a wrestling advantage and will be more active with his jab, outworking Parisian. However, he notes Pogues isn't a finisher and Parisian has a dog in him. Jacob expects a sloppy, close fight and might consider a live bet on Parisian if the fight is close in the third round.
Pogues has a strong grappling base and good cardio, which should overwhelm Parisian, who fades in deep waters. Parisian's striking is flashy but his gas tank is poor. Pogues can take him down and grind out a decision, or even finish late.
Paul also picks Pogues but is hesitant. He notes Parisian's wrestling narrative is overblown, as he was taken down by Parker Porter and Dantale Maze. He says Pogues should have speed, technical striking, and cardio advantages. However, he acknowledges Parisian has a size advantage (20-25 pounds) and could use it against the cage. He says he loves betting underdogs but cannot get on board with Parisian.
The MMA Guru picks Jamal Pogues, though he wasn't impressed by his Contender Series performance. He notes Pogues has a long reach and somewhat crisp boxing, and is young enough to take his career seriously now. He criticizes Josh Parisian as a bottom-feeder heavyweight, but acknowledges Parisian is not complete garbage. He predicts a decision win in a great scrap.
Zane picks Pogues because he has faster, sharper hands and a good jab, and he showed the ability to increase his intensity late in fights. Parisian is a brawler who relies on toughness and chaos, but Pogues has a reach advantage and better technique. Zane notes that Parisian's only wins come when opponents fade, and Pogues has shown he can go the distance.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 42 of 68 | 61% | 102 of 156 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 3:09 |
| Alan Baudot | 1 | 49 of 75 | 65% | 56 of 82 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Parisian | 0 | 25 of 41 | 60% | 38 of 62 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Alan Baudot | 1 | 38 of 60 | 63% | 45 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:41 | |
| 2 | Josh Parisian | 0 | 17 of 27 | 62% | 64 of 94 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:21 |
| Alan Baudot | 0 | 11 of 15 | 73% | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Parisian | 42 of 68 | 61% | 27 of 53 | 11 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 22 of 39 | 2 of 4 | 18 of 25 |
| Alan Baudot | 49 of 75 | 65% | 34 of 59 | 8 of 9 | 7 of 7 | 23 of 47 | 11 of 11 | 15 of 17 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Parisian | 25 of 41 | 60% | 13 of 29 | 8 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 7 |
| Alan Baudot | 38 of 60 | 63% | 27 of 48 | 5 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 17 of 37 | 6 of 6 | 15 of 17 | |
| 2 | Josh Parisian | 17 of 27 | 62% | 14 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 2 | 12 of 18 |
| Alan Baudot | 11 of 15 | 73% | 7 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Josh Parisian, citing his volume and forward pressure. He notes Parisian has shown takedowns in the past and could use them against Baudot, who has solid takedown defense but is at a disadvantage on the ground. He acknowledges Baudot is more dangerous but believes Parisian's output and potential wrestling will get the win.
Big Brady picks Alan Baudot to win by decision, but with very low confidence. He calls it the '1-800 gambler fight of the week' and says nobody should bet on it. He was more impressed with Baudot's performance against Parker Porter (competitive) than Parisian's poor showings (sloppy, gasses early, 42% striking defense). He expects a sloppy, greasy heavyweight decision. He admits both fighters are not great.
Cody agrees with Paul, noting Baudot's lack of finishing power and Parisian's high output and durability. He thinks Parisian's pace will wear down Baudot as the fight goes on.
Paul picks the underdog Parisian, citing Baudot's lack of impressive wins and Parisian's durability and volume. He thinks Parisian can win by decision and notes Parisian by decision at +300 as a possible play.
The host picks Alan Baudot, calling Josh Parisian a 'disgraceful human' and noting Baudot is in shape and takes his career seriously. He expects Baudot to be patient on the feet, find takedowns, and pick Parisian apart for a decision win (30-27 or 29-28). He mentions Baudot trains at a good gym with Cyril Gane.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don'Tale Mayes | 0 | 25 of 41 | 60% | 117 of 147 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 11:32 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 10 of 16 | 62% | 24 of 33 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don'Tale Mayes | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 40 of 51 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 4:05 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Don'Tale Mayes | 0 | 13 of 15 | 86% | 31 of 41 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:27 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 5 of 6 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 | |
| 3 | Don'Tale Mayes | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 46 of 55 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:00 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 13 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don'Tale Mayes | 25 of 41 | 60% | 15 of 31 | 8 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 13 |
| Josh Parisian | 10 of 16 | 62% | 7 of 11 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 11 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don'Tale Mayes | 6 of 14 | 42% | 4 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 |
| Josh Parisian | 3 of 6 | 50% | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Don'Tale Mayes | 13 of 15 | 86% | 7 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 6 |
| Josh Parisian | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Don'Tale Mayes | 6 of 12 | 50% | 4 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Josh Parisian | 5 of 8 | 62% | 4 of 5 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Josh Parisian because he believes Parisian's chin will hold up against Mayes' power, and that Parisian has a slightly better gas tank and higher output. He notes that Parisian set the UFC significant strike record at heavyweight in his fight with Parker Porter, showing constant forward pressure. However, Angelo's biggest fear is a Mayes KO early, as Mayes has heavy hands. He thinks the odds are too wide in favor of Mayes and that this should be closer to a pick'em.
Big Brady picks the underdog Josh Parisian, liking his volume and toughness despite poor striking defense. He notes Parisian's gas tank is not great but he fights through it. He expects a sloppy fight and predicts Parisian wins a volume-based decision. He admits no one can be confident in this low-level fight.
Cody slightly favors Mayes due to superior cardio and reach. He notes Mayes uses a good jab and stays on the outside, while Parisian gasses quickly. However, Cody doesn't like the -200 price and calls it a pass, suggesting live betting might be better.
Daniel Levi picks Don'Tale Mayes to win, though he is not sure how. He acknowledges Mayes's physical gifts (6'6", 81-inch reach) and decent striking, but notes he underperforms and slows down. Levi is unimpressed with Josh Parisian, who absorbs too many strikes and has poor defense. He believes Mayes's youth and athleticism should prevail, and expects Mayes to land the harder shots and possibly get a finish. Levi warns that Parisian could win a decision if Mayes fades, but still picks Mayes.
Jacob picks Josh Parisian but calls it a coin flip, expecting a sloppy fight. He notes that both fighters like to throw spinning attacks and that Parisian is slightly less sloppy with his hands higher. Jacob mentions that Mayes' hands are often low and he does wild spinning stuff. He doesn't feel great about the pick but leans Parisian.
The host leans towards Mayes by decision, noting that Mayes is more mobile and can stick and move, while Parisian is slow and plods forward. He thinks the fight goes to decision and likes the 'fight goes to decision' prop at +105. He is not confident enough to lay -200 on Mayes moneyline.
Paul leans Parisian as a dog, citing his higher volume and pressure. He notes that both fighters gas, but Parisian throws more. Paul thinks it's a 'dogger pass' and would take the plus money if forced to bet.
The MMA Guru picks Don'Tale Mayes over Josh Parisian, though he admits both fighters are not very good. He cites Mayes' youth, power, reach advantage, and better athleticism. He notes Parisian has been disappointing recently and lost to Rook Martinez (though he got the win). He thinks Mayes is more technical and powerful on the feet.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 79 of 160 | 49% | 100 of 186 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 4:23 |
| Roque Martinez | 0 | 64 of 114 | 56% | 245 of 309 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 4:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Parisian | 0 | 29 of 59 | 49% | 35 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Roque Martinez | 0 | 26 of 46 | 56% | 84 of 105 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:40 | |
| 2 | Josh Parisian | 0 | 28 of 44 | 63% | 37 of 54 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 2:22 |
| Roque Martinez | 0 | 9 of 18 | 50% | 82 of 99 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:08 | |
| 3 | Josh Parisian | 0 | 22 of 57 | 38% | 28 of 64 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:53 |
| Roque Martinez | 0 | 29 of 50 | 58% | 79 of 105 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Parisian | 79 of 160 | 49% | 43 of 118 | 29 of 34 | 7 of 8 | 49 of 120 | 30 of 40 | 0 of 0 |
| Roque Martinez | 64 of 114 | 56% | 48 of 98 | 15 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 39 of 84 | 25 of 30 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Parisian | 29 of 59 | 49% | 12 of 42 | 13 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 20 of 49 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Roque Martinez | 26 of 46 | 56% | 21 of 41 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 30 | 13 of 16 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Josh Parisian | 28 of 44 | 63% | 17 of 29 | 9 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 18 | 18 of 26 | 0 of 0 |
| Roque Martinez | 9 of 18 | 50% | 5 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Josh Parisian | 22 of 57 | 38% | 14 of 47 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 53 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Roque Martinez | 29 of 50 | 58% | 22 of 43 | 6 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 41 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Josh Parisian, citing his height and reach advantage, high volume, and improved conditioning. He thinks Parisian will pick Martinez apart at range and that Martinez's durability will prevent a finish, leading to a decision. He bet on the fight going to a decision at +145 and likes the over on strikes for both.
Big Brady likes Parisian's volume and significant reach/height advantages, but is concerned about his cardio after gassing against Parker Porter. He thinks Parisian will land more shots and win a decision because Martinez is very durable and hard to finish.
Cody picks Parisian by decision, noting Parisian's reach and volume advantage. He believes Martinez is durable but will be outpointed. Cody suggests the over 2.5 rounds or fight goes the distance as better plays, as both fighters lack finishing ability.
Daniel Levi picks Josh Parisian, noting that he is the bigger, more physical fighter with more skills. He thinks Parisian will take Martinez down and work on top. He acknowledges that Parisian lost to Parker Porter, but considers Porter a tough opponent. He believes Martinez is tough but lacks the skills to win at this level, and that Parisian will get his first UFC win.
Jacob also picks Josh Parisian, comparing his wild kicking style to a karate kid. He acknowledges the height advantage and thinks Parisian's volume will win the fight. He is slightly worried about Martinez's grappling but overall expects a sloppy fight that Parisian wins.
The host picks Roque Martinez as an underdog, believing his durability, cardio, and pressure will overcome Josh Parisian, who tends to gas. He notes Martinez's leg kicks and boxing, and expects Parisian to fade after the first round. He predicts Martinez by decision, similar to the Parker Porter fight, and likes the over 1.5 rounds due to both fighters' durability. He is not putting hard-earned money on Martinez but sees value in the decision prop.
Paul leans toward Martinez, citing his durability and toughness. He expects a sloppy heavyweight fight and is not confident. Paul bets over 1.5 rounds at -155, expecting the fight to last.
The MMA Guru picks Josh Parisian to win by first-round TKO via spinning back fist and ground and pound. He believes Parisian will soften up Martinez's body with spinning back kicks, then land a spinning back fist to knock him down and finish with ground and pound against the cage. He expresses high confidence that Parisian will go for the spinning back fist.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Porter | 0 | 114 of 226 | 50% | 123 of 237 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 126 of 228 | 55% | 164 of 275 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 4:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parker Porter | 0 | 56 of 115 | 48% | 61 of 122 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 46 of 92 | 50% | 57 of 104 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:10 | |
| 2 | Parker Porter | 0 | 24 of 43 | 55% | 27 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 30 of 46 | 65% | 54 of 78 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:12 | |
| 3 | Parker Porter | 0 | 34 of 68 | 50% | 35 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Josh Parisian | 0 | 50 of 90 | 55% | 53 of 93 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Porter | 114 of 226 | 50% | 71 of 173 | 35 of 44 | 8 of 9 | 89 of 190 | 25 of 36 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 126 of 228 | 55% | 90 of 190 | 16 of 18 | 20 of 20 | 105 of 198 | 20 of 27 | 1 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parker Porter | 56 of 115 | 48% | 38 of 92 | 18 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 38 of 89 | 18 of 26 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 46 of 92 | 50% | 33 of 77 | 10 of 12 | 3 of 3 | 33 of 77 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Parker Porter | 24 of 43 | 55% | 11 of 30 | 9 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 19 of 37 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 30 of 46 | 65% | 18 of 34 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 8 | 25 of 35 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 3 | |
| 3 | Parker Porter | 34 of 68 | 50% | 22 of 51 | 8 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 32 of 64 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Parisian | 50 of 90 | 55% | 39 of 79 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 9 | 47 of 86 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Rhino style performance, just goes foward and hits. Nice knee up the middle