Career Averages - Julian Erosa
Career Averages - Sean Woodson
Julian Erosa - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Erosa | 0 | 17 of 46 | 36% | 18 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Lerryan Douglas | 2 | 29 of 48 | 60% | 30 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Erosa | 0 | 17 of 46 | 36% | 18 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Lerryan Douglas | 2 | 29 of 48 | 60% | 30 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Erosa | 17 of 46 | 36% | 13 of 40 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 16 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Lerryan Douglas | 29 of 48 | 60% | 18 of 37 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 8 | 25 of 39 | 2 of 6 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Erosa | 17 of 46 | 36% | 13 of 40 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 16 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Lerryan Douglas | 29 of 48 | 60% | 18 of 37 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 8 | 25 of 39 | 2 of 6 | 2 of 3 |
Angelo picks Lando Vannata (Lerryan Douglas) as the more skilled fighter, cleaner and faster, and less hittable than Julian Erosa. He thinks Erosa's pressure could be a factor but believes Vannata's technique will prevail. He notes the odds are appropriate.
Big Brady picks Lerryan Douglas to win by second-round knockout. He praises Douglas's power, calling him one of the hardest hitters in the featherweight division. He criticizes Julian Erosa's chin, noting he has been knocked out seven times and has poor striking defense. He expects a violent fight and believes Douglas will connect and knock Erosa out brutally.
Cody favors Douglas to land a knockout due to Erosa's questionable chin and low hands. He acknowledges Erosa's path to victory via submission but thinks Douglas's power will prevail.
Connor picks Douglas, expecting a flattening. He notes that Erosa is losing a step and looks slow and cumbersome, as seen in the Elkins and Costa fights. Douglas is a fast power puncher who sells out, and if he catches Erosa early, he can finish him. However, he acknowledges that if Erosa survives the first round, he tends to win.
Daniel expects Douglas to knock out Erosa, citing Erosa's weak chin and Douglas's left hook power. He warns that if Douglas doesn't finish early, Erosa could make it competitive, but ultimately picks Douglas by KO.
The host sees value on Erosa as an underdog, believing the odds are too wide. Erosa is tough, has great cardio, and applies relentless pressure, which could trouble debutant Douglas. However, Erosa's recent poor fight IQ (losing to a one-legged opponent) gives pause. The host prefers the fight spread (+3.5) on Erosa rather than the moneyline, as he expects a competitive fight.
The host thinks Douglas will find a knockout due to his power and Erosa's defensive flaws, but he is cautious because Erosa's chin held up in his last fight. He expects Douglas to expose Erosa's awkward striking exits but acknowledges the risk if Erosa's durability holds. He suggests the knockout prop might be the play.
Paul is torn, calling it dog or pass. He considers Erosa's value but doesn't commit, suggesting live betting Erosa after the first round.
The MMA Guru picks Lerryan Douglas, calling him a 'clobberer' who throws heat-seeking punches. He believes Douglas's power and fast starts will be too much for Julian Erosa, whose chin is questionable. He notes Douglas's training at Bloodline MMA with Cub Swanson and Danny Silva as a positive. He predicts a KO in the first round.
Zane picks Erosa just for fun, calling it a coin flip. He notes that Douglas is awful moving backward and collapses inward, while Erosa is capable of pushing forward and has a vicious clinch game. He points out that Erosa has survived early trouble before and that Douglas's losses come from guys who gave him what he asked for and he couldn't handle it.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Erosa | 0 | 69 of 173 | 39% | 85 of 202 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 3:34 |
| Melquizael Costa | 0 | 102 of 204 | 50% | 128 of 236 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 0:23 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Erosa | 0 | 10 of 26 | 38% | 10 of 27 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
| Melquizael Costa | 0 | 32 of 75 | 42% | 32 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 2 | Julian Erosa | 0 | 23 of 54 | 42% | 30 of 62 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:56 |
| Melquizael Costa | 0 | 33 of 55 | 60% | 47 of 70 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 3 | Julian Erosa | 0 | 36 of 93 | 38% | 45 of 113 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:02 |
| Melquizael Costa | 0 | 37 of 74 | 50% | 49 of 91 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Erosa | 69 of 173 | 39% | 42 of 140 | 18 of 24 | 9 of 9 | 55 of 150 | 13 of 21 | 1 of 2 |
| Melquizael Costa | 102 of 204 | 50% | 67 of 160 | 16 of 22 | 19 of 22 | 99 of 196 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Erosa | 10 of 26 | 38% | 5 of 19 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 9 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Melquizael Costa | 32 of 75 | 42% | 14 of 52 | 7 of 10 | 11 of 13 | 32 of 73 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Julian Erosa | 23 of 54 | 42% | 11 of 40 | 8 of 10 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 43 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Melquizael Costa | 33 of 55 | 60% | 25 of 46 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 31 of 53 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Julian Erosa | 36 of 93 | 38% | 26 of 81 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 31 of 83 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Melquizael Costa | 37 of 74 | 50% | 28 of 62 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 36 of 70 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Costa (-192), Erosa (+160)
Round 1
Although much can be said about the state of UFC matchmaking as of late, the promotion knew exactly what it was doing when it matched Erosa (31-11, 9-7 UFC) against Costa (23-7, 4-2 UFC). It chose violence. The featherweights will go for broke under the watchful eye of referee Herb Dean, and they get right to it after embracing the formality of bumping fists. Costa prods with the ball of his foot, looking for low kicks as Erosa walks him down. Costa keeps working on the front leg as Erosa gives him one back, and Erosa grabs his foe’s foot and lifts it up. Costa bounces off the fence to get his limb back, and he whiffs on two hooks. Costa scores a body kick as he stays on the outside, and after pitching a leg kick, he trips on the edge of the cage but does not fall over. Erosa lets him get up and continues to trade kicks with him, and Costa mixes things up with a surprise Superman punch. Costa follows it with a booming head kick that rocks “Juicy J,” who backs off to the fence but is still dangerous as a coiled snake. Costa walks forward to throw bombs, and Erosa snipes him with a mean right hand that makes him think twice. Erosa gets his legs back beneath him and blocks a head kick, walking Costa down but taking three punches on the chin to do so. Erosa fakes a spin and lunges forward with an elbow, slipping and falling over. Costa lets him up so he can leap at him with a knee, and he chains punches into a body kick as Erosa is now the one retreating. Costa parries a few punches and lets fly a left hand, and his second effort reaches his man. Costa wraps a head kick around the guard and Erosa shrugs it off, nailing Costa with a right hand over the top. Erosa jumps at his foe to attack, and Costa times a spinning back kick that pounds into the cup. Erosa grumbles and adjusts his groin supporter before waving Dean off. Costa lets his foe’s fists and feet whiz past him so he can deliver a hard body kick, and Erosa fakes his way in to take the fight down. Erosa whips Costa all the way around to take him down, and he slashes down with an elbow as soon as he gets to side control. Costa is warned for having his toes in the cage, and Erosa drops down a few punches and leans back to watch an upkick buzz past him at the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Costa
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Costa
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Costa
Round 2
Costa’s left foot is leaking blood as the second round begins, but he shrugs it off and touches gloves with his opponent. Erosa gets right into attack mode, firing off a head kick and a right hand but getting countered with a left and a body kick. Costa belts “Juicy J” with a left hand, and Erosa bites down on his mouthpiece to unload a power punch. Costa shakes Erosa up with a one-two, and Erosa again has to recover before coming forward. The punches of Costa make Erosa pursue a takedown, and Costa defends with a guillotine choke and stands back up to re-secure it. Erosa holds on and leverages Costa back down, but he in submission danger again. Costa lets go before burning his arms out, and he stands up. Erosa leans on from behind, his left eye swelling up fast. Costa defends a takedown effort and keeps his balance, stomping Erosa’s foot and receiving an elbow in the face for his effort. As Erosa is leaning heavily on his man, Costa sweeps his leg and puts him down for a second. Erosa climbs back up and walks through a one-two. Costa reaches the Washington native at the end of a left hand, and Erosa fires back with a vengeance. They reach one another with long punches, and instead of clinching, Erosa pushes off and shrugs at him. Costa lines up a solid crescent kick that hits the target, and Erosa goes for broke with punches and kicks to any target he can find. Erosa pokes Costa in the eye, and Costa tells them he is fine and keeps going. Erosa thanks him by drilling a spinning back kick in his ribs, and Costa laughs it off and throws hammers. Erosa staggers Costa with a pair of hooks, and a grinning Costa swings back with bad intentions and rocks Erosa. Erosa spins through to hit Costa in the face with his foot, and he knocks Costa across the cage with a left hand right before the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Erosa
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Costa
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Costa
Round 3
While Erosa does touch gloves, he is a man on a mission. Walking Costa down immediately, he swings his way into a clinch. Erosa leans on the Brazilian to slow him down, getting off the occasional knee until Costa trips him and sets him down. Erosa responds by nailing Costa with an upkick and working his way to his feet, where he backs “Melk” off and dislodges his mouthpiece with a right hand. He follows with another right hand to lead into a clinch, and Costa backs off with a left hook. The two clash heads after Erosa lands an uppercut, and “Juicy J” pours it on while swinging wildly. Costa’s head movement keeps him relatively safe, and he blasts Erosa in the jaw with four punches in a combination. Erosa’s movement leads him to banging into the fence, but he is quick to shake it off and uppercut Costa in the chops. Erosa continues staying in Costa’s face, with punches that lead to an elbow as Costa is backing off but smiling. Erosa lines up punches in bunches, and his elbows are not accurate. They proceed to brawl it out with little regard to defense or cardio, and even though Costa is fatigued, he is still loading up with everything he has. Thankfully for those watching this carnage, Erosa is doing just the same, as they proceed to hammer one another in the jaw again and again. Costa trips Erosa up to get a second to breathe, and he backs off to avoid an upkick and let Erosa stand. Erosa marches ever forward, swinging recklessly while Costa is giving it back when he can. Costa takes several punches square on the jaw and offers up a knee, and Erosa spins with a back fist. A second and third back fist from Erosa do manage to rail into the Brazilian, who is as tough as nails and never falters. The action-packed “Fight of the Night” candidate goes the distance, and both exhausted men raise their arms. The second round may be where the victor emerges.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Erosa (29-28 Erosa)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Costa (29-28 Costa)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Costa (29-28 Costa)
The Official Result
Melquizael Costa def. Julian Erosa via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Melquizael Costa with high confidence, stating that Costa should be better everywhere. He notes Costa's creative striking, solid grappling, and incredible scrambles. His only concern is Costa's activity level, as this will be his fifth fight in 12 months, which could lead to nagging injuries or fatigue. However, Angelo is not overly concerned and expects Costa to win.
Big Brady picks Julian Erosa as a dog, acknowledging Costa could knock him out early. He notes Costa's quick turnaround and tendency to slow down, while Erosa has great cardio and a nasty choke game. He predicts Erosa wins by second-round submission if it gets extended.
The host notes Costa's aggressiveness and unorthodox striking can catch Erosa off guard, especially since six of Erosa's seven losses have come by knockout. He feels Costa can take advantage of Erosa's mistakes and get a finish. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds.
The Guru picks Melquizael Costa, calling him a fellow 'fraud checker' who can handle Julian Erosa's gritty style. He notes Costa's grappling looked improved against Christian Rodriguez and his kicks are very good. He worries about Erosa's upset potential but believes Costa is better and more active. He predicts a TKO or decision win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Elkins | 0 | 13 of 31 | 41% | 18 of 45 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Julian Erosa | 0 | 54 of 73 | 73% | 69 of 92 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Darren Elkins | 0 | 13 of 31 | 41% | 18 of 45 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Julian Erosa | 0 | 54 of 73 | 73% | 69 of 92 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Elkins | 13 of 31 | 41% | 11 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Julian Erosa | 54 of 73 | 73% | 52 of 71 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 39 | 11 of 12 | 21 of 22 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Darren Elkins | 13 of 31 | 41% | 11 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Julian Erosa | 54 of 73 | 73% | 52 of 71 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 39 | 11 of 12 | 21 of 22 |
Connor also picks Julian Erosa, agreeing that Elkins' recent wins have come against fighters who implode. He notes that Erosa's front-headlock game is actually sound and that he is a momentum fighter who builds as the fight goes on. Connor believes Elkins will look old and shot in this matchup, similar to the Cub Swanson fight.
Daniel Levi states that Julian Erosa did exactly what he was supposed to do as a big favorite, handling the older veteran Darren Elkins. He approves of the performance.
Zane picks Julian Erosa, arguing that Darren Elkins only beats fighters who implode, and Erosa does not tend to do that. He notes that Elkins has lost speed, durability, and strength, and that Erosa's momentum-based game will overwhelm him. Zane acknowledges Erosa's vulnerability to early knockouts but doubts Elkins has the power to capitalize.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Erosa | 0 | 35 of 88 | 39% | 39 of 94 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Christian Rodriguez | 0 | 33 of 75 | 44% | 33 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Erosa | 0 | 35 of 88 | 39% | 39 of 94 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Christian Rodriguez | 0 | 33 of 75 | 44% | 33 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Erosa | 35 of 88 | 39% | 27 of 73 | 7 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 33 of 84 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Christian Rodriguez | 33 of 75 | 44% | 26 of 67 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 31 of 73 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Erosa | 35 of 88 | 39% | 27 of 73 | 7 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 33 of 84 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Christian Rodriguez | 33 of 75 | 44% | 26 of 67 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 31 of 73 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rodriguez (-205), Erosa (+170)
Round 1
Always willing to either add to his highlight reel or be a part of someone else’s, Erosa (29-11, 7-7 UFC) and his .500 record come to a head with Roufusport’s Rodriguez (11-1, 4-1 UFC). While “CeeRod” holds four wins on the scorecards, three of those have come in his last three outings. On the other hand, the last three walks to the cage for Erosa have ended in the first round. Whether it takes three minute or three rounds to get to a result, referee Nick Berens will be here for it from start to finish. The featherweights bump fists, and Erosa uses a front kick to keep Rodriguez away. Rodriguez passes right past it and puts his hands on Erosa’s face. Erosa is reddened up in a hurry from the quick punches from Rodriguez, and he answers with a pair of looping uppercuts. Erosa flicks out his jab, and Rodriguez dips down and smashes him in the face with a head kick. As they trade, Rodriguez’ mouthpiece goes flying, and Erosa sees it and decides it is time to brawl. They slug it out fast and furiously until Berens finds a moment to replace the gumshield, and they get right back to it. Erosa goads Rodriguez on, and he clips “CeeRod” with a right hand in the midst of a speedy combination. They both connect with powerful blows, and Erosa gets off a strong front kick. Rodriguez kicks his man upside the head, and Erosa tells him to bring it on. Rodriguez does just that. Erosa manages to get Rodriguez to take a step back with his own counters, and his front kick to the chest and face are able to keep the hard-charging Rodriguez relatively at bay. Rodriguez settles down and tosses out a low kick, and Erosa wags his finger at him and rings his bell an elbow. Erosa walks his man down and pounds him in the face with his fists, and Rodriguez responds with a flurry ending with a right hand that staggers Erosa back. Erosa gathers his thoughts and marches forward, a cut opened on the bridge of his nose, and he lets go with a head kick that is blocked. Another elbow from Erosa comes up short, and he catches a kick and bowls and trips Rodriguez to the mat. Erosa scrambles to take Rodriguez’ back and set up a body triangle, and he is quick to consider an armbar instead of going after the neck like usual. Rodriguez defends the possible submission and turns to his knees, and he manages to flip Erosa over. Erosa’s upkicks do not keep Rodriguez off of him, as Rodriguez leaps at him and punches him hard.
Erosa ignores them and grabs hold of a guillotine choke, and it is suddenly and surprisingly tight. Erosa tightens his legs around the waist of his foe and turns to the side, and falls to his back to complete the submission. Rodriguez tries to tough it out, but he is forced to surrender with seconds left on the clock.
Erosa sits up and shoves Rodriguez off of him when Berens intervenes, springing yet another upset and adding one more impressive stoppage to his ledger. The victorious "Juicy J" becomes the first fighter to finish Rodriguez as a professional.
The Official Result
Julian Erosa def. Christian Rodriguez R1 4:49 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Angelo picks Christian Rodriguez but with caution, noting that Rodriguez has been gifted decisions and has never faced a veteran as experienced as Julian Erosa. He acknowledges Rodriguez's slick striking and composure but points out his lack of finishing ability and the fact that Erosa is much larger and more experienced. Angelo warns that the odds seem wide for a fighter who lost to the last tough veteran he faced.
Cody picks Rodriguez, highlighting his youth, cardio, and striking advantage. He notes Erosa's history of getting knocked out and believes Rodriguez will overwhelm him with volume and power. He expects a finish, possibly in the first or second round.
Daniel Vreeland picks Christian Rodriguez to win, predicting his first UFC knockout. He notes that Rodriguez has handed prospects their first losses and that Erosa's chin is a massive liability. He advises Rodriguez to headhunt rather than engage in a technical battle. He believes Rodriguez will pass the Erosa test.
Christian Rodriguez is the slicker striker and one of the best prospects on the roster. Despite a height and reach disadvantage, he will crash the pocket, land combinations, and eventually drop Erosa, leading to a knockout or a club-and-sub opportunity.
Paul picks Rodriguez, citing his superior cardio and durability. He notes Erosa's knockout losses and believes Rodriguez's pressure will be too much. He acknowledges Erosa's length but thinks Rodriguez's pace will win the fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Erosa | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 12 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Erosa | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 12 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Erosa | 7 of 17 | 41% | 5 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 4 of 11 | 36% | 2 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Erosa | 7 of 17 | 41% | 5 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Ricardo Ramos | 4 of 11 | 36% | 2 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans towards Julian Erosa as an underdog, citing his higher level of competition and ability to weather a storm and grind out a decision. He notes that Ramos is dangerous but also finishable, while Erosa is tough and can dog fights out. He will monitor the line movement for better value.
Big Brady picks Ricardo Ramos, citing Julian Erosa's poor durability (knocked out seven times at featherweight) and low striking defense (47%). He notes Erosa is hittable and his chin is not getting better after back-to-back knockout losses. He expects Ramos to land something and knock Erosa out in the first round.
Cody picks Erosa as an underdog, citing his volume and unorthodox style. He acknowledges Erosa's weak chin but believes Ramos is not a big power puncher and may struggle with Erosa's pressure. Cody thinks Erosa can win by decision or late finish if he avoids getting knocked out.
Daniel Vreeland picks Ricardo Ramos by first-round knockout, emphasizing that Erosa has a terrible chin and has been dropped multiple times. He believes Ramos should head-hunt and sell out for the finish, as Erosa is dangerous if the fight extends. He notes if it goes past the first round, all bets are off.
Ramos has the grappling edge and should be able to muzzle Erosa's unorthodox striking. Erosa is on a two-fight KO loss streak and may be on the chopping block. Ramos should dictate the pace and win on the scorecards, possibly even latching onto a submission. The fight going to decision is also appealing at plus money.
Paul picks Erosa by KO, noting Ramos's cardio issues and tendency to struggle when missing weight. He believes Erosa's volume and durability will overwhelm Ramos. Paul also likes the under 2.5 rounds, expecting a finish.
The MMA Guru picks Ricardo Ramos over Julian Erosa, citing Ramos's finishing potential and Erosa's recent chin issues. He mentions Erosa's KO losses to Fernando Padilla and Alex Caceres, and a war with Steven Peterson that makes him doubt Erosa. He predicts a first-round KO for Ramos.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Padilla | 0 | 15 of 24 | 62% | 15 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julian Erosa | 1 | 20 of 29 | 68% | 20 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fernando Padilla | 0 | 15 of 24 | 62% | 15 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julian Erosa | 1 | 20 of 29 | 68% | 20 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Padilla | 15 of 24 | 62% | 9 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 15 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julian Erosa | 20 of 29 | 68% | 17 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fernando Padilla | 15 of 24 | 62% | 9 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 15 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julian Erosa | 20 of 29 | 68% | 17 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Cody picks Padilla as an underdog, citing Erosa's durability issues and tendency to get knocked out. He notes that Padilla has decent power and could catch Erosa early. However, he is flip-floppy and admits he wants to pick Erosa due to experience, but the favorite tag on a chinny fighter makes him lean towards the underdog.
Connor thinks Erosa's experience and durability will prevail. He notes Padilla's poor defense and tendency to gas, and that Erosa gets stronger as fights go on. He acknowledges Erosa's history of getting KO'd but believes Padilla's lack of power and technical striking make it less likely. He sees Erosa as the more versatile fighter in messy exchanges.
Paul picks Erosa but very cautiously, acknowledging his chin issues and recent knockout losses. He notes that Erosa is talented and exciting but has been knocked out by light punchers. He is not confident enough to bet on Erosa, but for the pick he goes with Erosa, hoping he doesn't get cracked again.
Zane agrees, citing Padilla's limited game and Erosa's ability to win scrambles and late rounds. He notes Padilla's submissions off his back but thinks Erosa's aggression and cardio will be decisive. He sees Erosa as the rightful slight favorite.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Caceres | 1 | 16 of 30 | 53% | 16 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Julian Erosa | 0 | 10 of 22 | 45% | 10 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Caceres | 1 | 16 of 30 | 53% | 16 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Julian Erosa | 0 | 10 of 22 | 45% | 10 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Caceres | 16 of 30 | 53% | 9 of 19 | 3 of 6 | 4 of 5 | 13 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 |
| Julian Erosa | 10 of 22 | 45% | 2 of 11 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 7 | 10 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Caceres | 16 of 30 | 53% | 9 of 19 | 3 of 6 | 4 of 5 | 13 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 |
| Julian Erosa | 10 of 22 | 45% | 2 of 11 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 7 | 10 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Julian Erosa, believing he can win the stand-up exchanges and stay alive on the ground. He notes Erosa has more power, volume, and good enough takedowns to keep Caceres guessing. He acknowledges Caceres' experience could sneak out a win but thinks Erosa is dangerous and well-rounded enough.
Big Brady picks Julian Erosa, noting that Erosa is typically an underdog but is favored here. He likes Erosa's volume, pressure, power, and submission game. He thinks Caceres lacks power and has been submitted many times. He expects Erosa to break Caceres and get a second-round submission.
Cody picks Erosa, noting his inconsistency but coming off a good performance against Hakeem Dawodu. He thinks Erosa has all the intangibles: volume, movement, wrestling, and grappling. He believes Caceres is a gatekeeper who beats lower-level guys but loses to legit fighters. He expects Erosa to outwork Caceres and win by decision.
The host bet the over 2.5 rounds, not a moneyline pick. He thinks both guys are durable and neither has big knockout power, so it should go to decision. He leans Erosa to win but doesn't like the -170 moneyline. No clear winner pick.
Paul picks Erosa, agreeing with Cody. He notes his biggest concern with Erosa is his chin against power punchers, but Caceres is not a one-hitter quitter. He expects Erosa to clear 65.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks, as he throws high volume and the fight likely goes to decision.
The MMA Guru picks Julian Erosa over Alex Caceres, believing Erosa's pace, pressure, and wrestling will be too much. He notes Caceres is vegan and Erosa goes to the body a lot, which could be a factor. He thinks Caceres won't finish Erosa, and Erosa's grappling is too good to get submitted. He predicts a third-round finish or decision win for Erosa, citing his recent wins over Hakeem Dawodu and Nate Landwehr.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Erosa | 0 | 74 of 147 | 50% | 90 of 163 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:12 |
| Hakeem Dawodu | 0 | 92 of 188 | 48% | 152 of 257 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 4:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Erosa | 0 | 31 of 57 | 54% | 36 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Hakeem Dawodu | 0 | 48 of 87 | 55% | 60 of 99 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 | |
| 2 | Julian Erosa | 0 | 21 of 39 | 53% | 28 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Hakeem Dawodu | 0 | 22 of 51 | 43% | 47 of 80 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:30 | |
| 3 | Julian Erosa | 0 | 22 of 51 | 43% | 26 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:08 |
| Hakeem Dawodu | 0 | 22 of 50 | 44% | 45 of 78 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:11 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Erosa | 74 of 147 | 50% | 43 of 109 | 18 of 21 | 13 of 17 | 57 of 126 | 16 of 20 | 1 of 1 |
| Hakeem Dawodu | 92 of 188 | 48% | 60 of 149 | 28 of 32 | 4 of 7 | 59 of 149 | 24 of 30 | 9 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Erosa | 31 of 57 | 54% | 14 of 36 | 10 of 12 | 7 of 9 | 23 of 48 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Hakeem Dawodu | 48 of 87 | 55% | 32 of 67 | 15 of 16 | 1 of 4 | 34 of 72 | 14 of 15 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Julian Erosa | 21 of 39 | 53% | 16 of 34 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 34 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Hakeem Dawodu | 22 of 51 | 43% | 13 of 39 | 6 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 35 | 6 of 11 | 5 of 5 | |
| 3 | Julian Erosa | 22 of 51 | 43% | 13 of 39 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 5 | 18 of 44 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
| Hakeem Dawodu | 22 of 50 | 44% | 15 of 43 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 42 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 4 |
Angelo picks Hakeem Dawodu, citing his technical striking and power. He notes Erosa relies on his chin and was losing to a lower-level striker before getting late takedowns. He thinks Dawodu's technicality and power will be too much, and he has a moneyline bet on Dawodu.
Big Brady picks Hakeem Dawodu to win by second-round knockout, praising Dawodu's striking and power. He notes Julian Erosa is very hittable and has been knocked out multiple times, while Dawodu looked phenomenal in his last fight. He believes Dawodu is the better striker and will land clean, though he acknowledges Erosa is always in exciting fights and could finish himself.
Cody picks Hakeem Dawodu, noting his clean technical striking and that he is a better striker than Erosa. He likes the under 2.5 rounds at plus money, as Erosa is a wild fighter who often leads to finishes. He believes Dawodu's takedown defense is good enough to keep the fight standing and that he will pick Erosa apart.
Daniel Levi picks Hakeem Dawodu confidently. He praises Dawodu's technical striking, low stance, and volume, and considers him a top-15 featherweight. He notes Erosa's tendency to get dropped but come back, but believes Dawodu's technical soundness will prevent a comeback. Levi sees Dawodu winning by knockout or decision.
Jacob agrees, saying if the fight stays clean, Dawodu dominates in a kickboxing match. He notes Erosa's only chance is to turn it into a brawl, but Dawodu has good takedown defense. He thinks Dawodu should win easily but might sprinkle Erosa into a DraftKings lineup as an underdog.
The host is confident in Hakeem Dawodu, expecting his crisp striking, discipline, and distance management to outpoint the wild and hittable Erosa. He sees a decision win as the most likely path and notes Dawodu's decision prop at +140.
Paul is confident in Hakeem Dawodu, calling him one of his anchors. He praises Dawodu's Muay Thai and technique, and believes his takedown defense is sufficient. He expects Dawodu to win by late stoppage or decision, as Erosa is wild and loopy with his strikes. He notes that Erosa fights down to his opponent's level.
The MMA Guru picks Hakeem Dawodu to win by 29-28 decision, losing the third round but winning the first two. He notes Dawodu had a bad weight cut, so Erosa's pace may get to him later. Dawodu will pick at Erosa at range, chew up his leg, land body shots, and win clinch exchanges. Erosa may steal the third round with pressure, but Dawodu's first two rounds secure the win.
Sean Woodson - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Ige | 0 | 44 of 107 | 41% | 53 of 116 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Sean Woodson | 0 | 51 of 115 | 44% | 57 of 121 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dan Ige | 0 | 9 of 37 | 24% | 9 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Sean Woodson | 0 | 26 of 51 | 50% | 26 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Dan Ige | 0 | 15 of 41 | 36% | 17 of 43 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| Sean Woodson | 0 | 18 of 49 | 36% | 24 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 3 | Dan Ige | 0 | 20 of 29 | 68% | 27 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sean Woodson | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 7 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Ige | 44 of 107 | 41% | 28 of 78 | 11 of 20 | 5 of 9 | 41 of 104 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Sean Woodson | 51 of 115 | 44% | 36 of 98 | 7 of 9 | 8 of 8 | 51 of 115 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dan Ige | 9 of 37 | 24% | 4 of 25 | 1 of 6 | 4 of 6 | 9 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sean Woodson | 26 of 51 | 50% | 15 of 39 | 6 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 26 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Dan Ige | 15 of 41 | 36% | 9 of 30 | 5 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 15 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sean Woodson | 18 of 49 | 36% | 15 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 18 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Dan Ige | 20 of 29 | 68% | 15 of 23 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 17 of 26 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Sean Woodson | 7 of 15 | 46% | 6 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Connor also picks Sean Woodson, emphasizing the size mismatch and Ige's lack of a range game. He notes that Woodson's pocket boxing is superior to Andre Fili's, making him more likely to survive Ige's counters. Connor warns that Woodson's lunging and shifting could give Ige opportunities, but believes Ige's limited avenues to victory make Woodson the safer pick.
Daniel Levi picked Sean Woodson but never got the price he wanted, so he passed. He emphasizes the importance of getting the best number and not forcing bets. He notes that even though Woodson lost, he saved money by not betting at unfavorable odds.
Zane picks Sean Woodson due to the massive size difference and Dan Ige's historical struggles against tall fighters. He notes that Woodson has been improving his range game, though it can be gimmicky, and that Ige's limited game makes him uncomfortable against rangy opponents. Zane acknowledges that Ige is a dangerous counter puncher and could make Woodson pay for overcommitting, but ultimately believes Woodson's advantages outweigh the risks.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Woodson | 1 | 38 of 71 | 53% | 38 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Fernando Padilla | 0 | 22 of 69 | 31% | 24 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Woodson | 1 | 38 of 71 | 53% | 38 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Fernando Padilla | 0 | 22 of 69 | 31% | 24 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Woodson | 38 of 71 | 53% | 35 of 64 | 0 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 36 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Fernando Padilla | 22 of 69 | 31% | 14 of 59 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 61 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Woodson | 38 of 71 | 53% | 35 of 64 | 0 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 36 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Fernando Padilla | 22 of 69 | 31% | 14 of 59 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 61 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Woodson due to his excellent range management and boxing background, which should allow him to dance around Padilla. He notes Woodson's 84% takedown defense and long reach, while Padilla has no wrestling and prefers pocket boxing. He expresses slight concern that Woodson's quiet win streak might end, but trusts what he sees.
Big Brady picks Fernando Padilla to win by second-round submission. He thinks Padilla has more power and a slick grappling game, and can match Woodson's length. He notes Woodson has zero power and has been finished by lengthier opponents. He expects Padilla to hurt Woodson on the feet and then submit him.
Cody picks Sean Woodson but with low confidence, citing his volume and reach advantage. He notes that Padilla has power and could catch Woodson, but Woodson's experience and ability to outpoint opponents should win. Cody is concerned about Woodson's chin after being dropped by Luis Saldana.
Connor also picks Woodson, noting that Woodson is comfortable in the pocket and has decent defense, while Padilla is only truly dangerous in close. He points out that Woodson has more reach and a better idea of how to use it, but Padilla's finishing ability and Woodson's tendency to invite brawls make it a risky pick. Connor thinks Woodson can be more functional at ranges where Padilla is not competitive.
Daniel Vreeland picks Sean Woodson to win by decision, citing his cleaner boxing and range management. He acknowledges Padilla's power and tenacity but believes Woodson will win the minutes and outpoint him. Vreeland notes Woodson has improved since his early UFC career and should be able to avoid big shots.
Woodson's height and reach advantage (6'2", 78 in reach) will allow him to touch up Padilla from distance with his jab and footwork, leading to another classic Woodson decision victory.
Paul leans towards Padilla by knockout, citing his power and Woodson's questionable chin. He notes that Padilla's win condition is a KO, and Woodson's tall man defense could be exploited. Paul prefers the under 2.5 rounds prop.
The MMA Guru picks Sean Woodson despite past doubts about his performances. He notes Woodson's composure as the fight progresses, particularly his body work in rounds two and three. He acknowledges Fernando Padilla's dangerous striking but believes Woodson is better in the pocket and at range. He predicts a close decision (29-28) rather than a finish.
Zane picks Woodson but acknowledges it's not easy. He notes that Woodson has a functional long-range game and is learning to lean into it, while Padilla is all about crashing into the pocket. However, Padilla is a fast finisher and Woodson tends to invite pocket exchanges, which could get him in trouble. Zane thinks Woodson's reach and better use of range should prevail, but Padilla has opportunities.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Woodson | 0 | 82 of 197 | 41% | 85 of 200 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Alex Caceres | 0 | 101 of 226 | 44% | 101 of 226 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Woodson | 0 | 18 of 49 | 36% | 18 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alex Caceres | 0 | 31 of 63 | 49% | 31 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Sean Woodson | 0 | 32 of 73 | 43% | 32 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Alex Caceres | 0 | 31 of 71 | 43% | 31 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Sean Woodson | 0 | 32 of 75 | 42% | 35 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Alex Caceres | 0 | 39 of 92 | 42% | 39 of 92 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Woodson | 82 of 197 | 41% | 43 of 143 | 28 of 40 | 11 of 14 | 79 of 190 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Alex Caceres | 101 of 226 | 44% | 61 of 171 | 19 of 28 | 21 of 27 | 98 of 222 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Woodson | 18 of 49 | 36% | 11 of 36 | 4 of 8 | 3 of 5 | 18 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alex Caceres | 31 of 63 | 49% | 18 of 44 | 3 of 6 | 10 of 13 | 31 of 63 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sean Woodson | 32 of 73 | 43% | 16 of 52 | 11 of 15 | 5 of 6 | 31 of 70 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Alex Caceres | 31 of 71 | 43% | 16 of 51 | 9 of 13 | 6 of 7 | 29 of 69 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sean Woodson | 32 of 75 | 42% | 16 of 55 | 13 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 30 of 71 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Alex Caceres | 39 of 92 | 42% | 27 of 76 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 7 | 38 of 90 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Sean Woodson, citing his excellent boxing, reach management, and 84% takedown defense. He notes Woodson uses his length well and is a clean boxer. He expects Woodson to win a decision, as Alex Caceres is durable but not powerful. He is confident in Woodson's ability to keep the fight at distance.
Big Brady picks Sean Woodson by decision, citing his height and reach advantage, volume advantage, and the hometown crowd in St. Louis. He notes that Caceres has a black belt but rarely uses it, so this will be a striker vs. striker matchup. He expects Woodson to do more work over 15 minutes and not have to worry about takedowns, which should give him confidence to throw more volume.
Cody picks Woodson but is hesitant due to Woodson's inconsistency. He notes that Woodson has shown improvements in wrestling and cardio in recent fights, and his length is a major advantage at 145. Cody believes Woodson can outpoint Caceres on the feet and has the takedown defense to avoid submissions. However, he acknowledges that Caceres is a savvy veteran and Woodson has been chinny in the past. Cody ultimately sides with Woodson but is not confident.
Daniel Vreeland picks Sean Woodson, emphasizing his physical attributes (6'2" with 78-inch reach) and his ability to come back from adversity, as seen in the Luis Saldana fight. He believes Woodson's length and jab will be too much for Caceres, and that Woodson is ready to crack the top 15. He predicts a decision win.
The host confidently picks Woodson due to his length, jab, and distance management, which should neutralize Caceres' unorthodox striking. He notes Woodson's improved takedown defense and discipline, expecting him to outpoint Caceres over three rounds. He sees Caceres' grappling as a threat but doubts he can get the fight to the ground. The pick is confident, with a decision victory expected.
Paul picks Caceres as a slight underdog, citing his veteran savvy and ability to win scrambles. He notes that Caceres knocked out Julian Rosa, while Woodson lost to Rosa. Paul thinks the fight will be competitive and that Caceres has value at plus money. However, he is not confident enough to bet it, calling it a 'dog or pass' situation. He mentions that Woodson's improvements could make it close, but he leans towards Caceres.
The MMA Guru picks Sean Woodson over Alex Caceres, citing Caceres' age (35) and recent losses. He notes Woodson's height and reach advantage (4.5 inches) and believes Woodson has looked better recently. He predicts a decision win, possibly with body shots against the cage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Woodson | 0 | 60 of 156 | 38% | 78 of 175 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 1:58 |
| Charles Jourdain | 0 | 80 of 168 | 47% | 102 of 193 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Woodson | 0 | 18 of 51 | 35% | 20 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Charles Jourdain | 0 | 31 of 72 | 43% | 39 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Sean Woodson | 0 | 22 of 46 | 47% | 27 of 51 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:08 |
| Charles Jourdain | 0 | 28 of 51 | 54% | 41 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Sean Woodson | 0 | 20 of 59 | 33% | 31 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:45 |
| Charles Jourdain | 0 | 21 of 45 | 46% | 22 of 46 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Woodson | 60 of 156 | 38% | 19 of 98 | 20 of 32 | 21 of 26 | 52 of 147 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Charles Jourdain | 80 of 168 | 47% | 59 of 143 | 10 of 13 | 11 of 12 | 70 of 156 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Woodson | 18 of 51 | 35% | 5 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 14 | 18 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Charles Jourdain | 31 of 72 | 43% | 19 of 60 | 6 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 28 of 68 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sean Woodson | 22 of 46 | 47% | 8 of 29 | 9 of 11 | 5 of 6 | 18 of 42 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Charles Jourdain | 28 of 51 | 54% | 23 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 23 of 46 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sean Woodson | 20 of 59 | 33% | 6 of 34 | 10 of 19 | 4 of 6 | 16 of 54 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Charles Jourdain | 21 of 45 | 46% | 17 of 39 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jourdain (-190), Woodson (+145)
Round 1
It’s a likely firefight at featherweight as Jourdain and Woodson take to the cage, with Jerin Valel there to make sure things stay nice and clean. Jourdain immediately goes for a head kick, perhaps to give the tallest man in the division something to think about. Woodson switches stances constantly in the opening moments, sticking out a fast, long jab from both sides. A minute and a half in, neither man has committed to much in the way of full-speed power shots. Woodson catches Jourdain cleanly with a straight from each side. Jourdain comes in with a low stance, shoulder-rolling, but can’t get off any punches before he is forced to retreat. Jourdain lands a hard leg kick, then a solid punch upstairs. Woodson goes southpaw and snaps Jourdain’s head back with a right straight. Jourdain moves in and tries to corner Woodson against the fence, but Woodson puts his hands on his foe and pushes him aside as he slides out of the pocket. Jourdain steps in and runs right into an intercepting knee from Woodson. Jourdain lands a slapping spin kick at the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Round 2
Jourdain wades forward behind a trio of punches but Woodson steps back, evades and lands a clean counter on the end of it. Jourdain comes in with another combo that clatters off the guard of the taller man. Woodson lands an outside leg kick. Jourdain responds with one of his own a second later. Two minutes in, Woodson is beginning to flow, waving his hands and switching stances before launching long single punches. Jourdain drops for a single-leg and gets it, but can’t finish the takedown even after running Woodson to the fence. They end up in a stalemate, with Jourdain trying to hoist the leg as Woodson counters with an overhook. They disengage and Jourdain lands a glancing spinning strike on the break. Jourdain is back to stalking, but continues to have trouble getting inside against the lanky boxer. Jourdain drops for another takedown attempt, getting onto Woodson’s hips and driving him into the fence. Woodson defends calmly, and Jourdain gives it up, launching another spin kick in an attempt to surprise Woodson on the break. Jourdain lands a head kick right before the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Round 3
Woodson stands his ground as Jourdain advances, tagging him with a couple of glancing short punches, before circling out. Jourdain, looking perhaps to change things up, rushes forward with a flurry of hooks, then throws a spinning back elbow that comes up short. They collide and clinch, and it’s Woodson who ends up on Jourdain’s back standing against the fence. Jourdain hits him with a hard shot on the break, then immediately pursues and charges forward. He’s landing more, his relentless forward pressure clearly making Woodson uncomfortable. At the midpoint of the round, Woodson is back on the outside, and he counters a kick with a long uppercut to the body. Jourdain throws a spinning back kick, then another, but he’s out of range both times. He throws a third, with similar lack of success. Woodson hits his man with a body punch. Jourdain grabs a snatch single-leg, but cannot finish, and the takedown shutout by Woodson continues. With 45 seconds to go, Jourdain is throwing haymakers and spinning attacks, looking for a moment of fight-changing offense. Woodson goes for a reactive takedown and Jourdain grabs a guillotine, falling to his back and closing his guard as he does so. The choke is tight but time is short, but Woodson pops his head out at the 10-second clapper and is throwing punches from top position at the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Woodson (30-27 Woodson)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jourdain (29-28 Woodson)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Woodson (30-27 Woodson)
The Official Result
Sean Woodson def. Charles Jourdain via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Angelo picks Jourdain despite acknowledging Woodson's reach and takedown defense. He believes Jourdain's pressure, chin, and ability to keep the fight ugly will be key. He notes that Woodson showed grappling in his last fight but Jourdain's takedown defense is poor, yet still favors Jourdain's doggedness.
Big Brady picks Jourdain, noting that Woodson is a boxer who won't take Jourdain down, and if he does, he risks getting submitted. He compares the fight to Woodson's loss to Julian Erosa, where Erosa pressured and broke Woodson. He believes Jourdain's power, grappling, and third-round mythical status will lead to a late submission.
Cody picks Jourdain, citing his power, cardio, and home-field advantage. He notes Woodson's lack of power and wrestling, and believes Jourdain will overwhelm him with volume and power. He sees Jourdain winning by KO or decision.
Daniel Vreeland leans toward Charles Jourdain in a fight he sees as a 50-50 banger. He notes both fighters build into fights and have opportunistic submissions. He gives a slight edge to Jourdain's aggressiveness and the Canadian crowd possibly influencing judges. He expects a back-and-forth war with a close decision or finish.
This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Woodson vs Jourdain.
I'm picking Woodson to win this fight on the scorecards. He is the better technical striker with a significant height and reach advantage. If he can stick with his jab and stay on the outside, he can outvolume Jourdain from distance. Jourdain's unorthodox striking could allow him to crash the pocket, but Woodson's chin might be suspect. However, I think Woodson does a good enough job rolling with shots and sticking to his game plan. I don't think Jourdain can successfully take a grapple-heavy approach either.
Paul picks Jourdain but is hesitant due to the -220 price. He thinks the fight could be close and Woodson's reach could pose problems. He notes the line movement suggests sharp money on Jourdain but still sees value in the Canadian favorite.
The MMA Guru picks Charles Jourdain, despite Woodson's 9-inch reach advantage. He questions Woodson's chin and level of competition, calling his opponents not UFC-level. He praises Jourdain's improved shot selection, patience, and submission skills. He predicts a TKO win for Jourdain in Canada.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Woodson | 0 | 71 of 126 | 56% | 163 of 229 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 5:52 |
| Dennis Buzukja | 0 | 42 of 116 | 36% | 46 of 121 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Woodson | 0 | 35 of 63 | 55% | 72 of 102 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Dennis Buzukja | 0 | 15 of 49 | 30% | 16 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:22 | |
| 2 | Sean Woodson | 0 | 13 of 26 | 50% | 55 of 69 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:14 |
| Dennis Buzukja | 0 | 10 of 30 | 33% | 10 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:42 | |
| 3 | Sean Woodson | 0 | 23 of 37 | 62% | 36 of 58 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:18 |
| Dennis Buzukja | 0 | 17 of 37 | 45% | 20 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Woodson | 71 of 126 | 56% | 36 of 77 | 18 of 32 | 17 of 17 | 61 of 113 | 8 of 11 | 2 of 2 |
| Dennis Buzukja | 42 of 116 | 36% | 24 of 85 | 11 of 17 | 7 of 14 | 32 of 96 | 5 of 8 | 5 of 12 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Woodson | 35 of 63 | 55% | 15 of 37 | 5 of 11 | 15 of 15 | 32 of 60 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Dennis Buzukja | 15 of 49 | 30% | 8 of 34 | 3 of 7 | 4 of 8 | 15 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sean Woodson | 13 of 26 | 50% | 4 of 14 | 8 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 22 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Dennis Buzukja | 10 of 30 | 33% | 8 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 5 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 12 | |
| 3 | Sean Woodson | 23 of 37 | 62% | 17 of 26 | 5 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 31 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
| Dennis Buzukja | 17 of 37 | 45% | 8 of 25 | 7 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 30 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Woodson (-175), Buzukja (+145)
Round 1
Justin Brown will officiate this matchup. Buzukja is the fourth proposed opponent for Woodson. Buzukja jabs forward agains the lanky Woodson. Woodson probes with a front kick and leg kick. Another leg kick spins Buzukja around. Buzukja lands a big right and follows with a combination. He pressures Woodson against the fence and ties his man up. Woodson spins him around and breaks free. They trade punches before Woodson slides away. Woodson goes back to working the low kicks. Buzukja stalks his man, but Woodson uses his array of kicks and long punches well. Woodson kicks the body, then lands a jab. Woodson stops Buzukja with a stiff jab. Buzukja follows a body kick with a right hand and they clinch against the fence. Woodson turns his foe around and drops for a takedown. Buzukja denies the shot and reverses for a takedown attempt of his own. Buzukja brings a knee to the midsection before Woodson frees himself. Buzukja pressures with a low kick and a right to the body. Woodson responds with a rapid fire combination to the body. Now Woodson is finding a rhythm, and he lands another multi-punch combination near the fence before Buzukja shifts gears for a takedown try. Woodson breaks free. They trade before the horn, with a body shot from Buzukja being the most notable offense.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Round 2
Buzukja pressures with punches but can’t find the range. Woodson with a front kick and a jab. Woodson lands a clean 1-2 moments later. Buzukja lands a right near the fence then changes levels. Woodson defends with his back to the cage, then spins the Longo-weidman product around. A pair of knees and a flurry of body shots hurts Buzukja, and Woodson stays on the assault before grounding his adversary. Woodson punches the ribs and hunts for a choke with Buzukja in a crouched position. Woodson switches from an anaconda to a guillotine choke, but thus far Buzukja is defending. Woodson continues to alternate chokes, but Buzukja is wise to it and works his way up. Woodson drags him back down immediately. Buzukja defends with a kimura, but Woodson spins around and hunts for a kimura of his own in north-south. Buzukja frees himself but he finds himself ensnared in a front headlock. Woodson transitions to the back, but he falls to his back, which allows Buzukja to tee off with a salvo of punches. Woodson returns to his feet and urges his opponent onward. Buzukja attacks again before the horn, but nothing substantial lands.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Round 3
Back at range, Woodson sticks a jab and a stiff combination. Buzukja moves forward and eats a left hand. Woodson lands a combination to the body and briefly gets a takedown. Buzukja scrambles up and drives Woodson into the fence. Woodson deftly transitions to Buzukja’s back, but he can’t fully take back control. Woodson backs away from the clinch and throws a jab in the center of the Octagon. Buzukja lands a body shot but eats a hook in return. Buzukja misses on some punches and looks for a takedown enar the fence. Woodson reverses and drags his foe down. He laces up one leg and makes Buzukja carry his weight. Buzukja gets to a knee, then stands. Woodson snaps him back down with a front headlock. Buzukja defends against potential chokes on all fours, then stands. Woodson punishes him with a knee as they stand and then a clean right lands. Buzukja is still moving forward despite absorbing plenty of punishment. A front kick by Woodson lands clean on his foe’s chin. Woodson steps in and lands a nice knee to the chin, then dodges a Buzukja offering before the final horn.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Woodson (30-27 Woodson)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Woodson (30-27 Woodson)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Woodson (30-27 Woodson)
The Official Result
Sean Woodson def. Dennis Buzukja via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) R3 5:00
Cody picks Buzukja as an underdog, citing Woodson's poor takedown defense, questionable chin, and weight cut issues. He notes Buzukja's training at Longo/Weidman and his power. He believes Woodson is prime for an upset due to multiple opponent changes and potential fatigue.
Daniel Levi picks Sean Woodson, citing his size (6'2", 80-inch reach) and striking advantages. He notes that Woodson is a matchup problem for most featherweights and has sneaky submissions. Levi is not fully confident because the matchup was announced last minute and he hasn't done deep research. He acknowledges Buzukja's solid all-around game and wrestling potential, but leans toward Woodson's physical attributes.
James acknowledges Buzukja is on short notice and facing a tough stylistic matchup against Woodson's length. However, he doesn't rate Woodson highly, citing limited offense and a chin issue. He thinks Woodson will probably win but wouldn't bet him due to Buzukja's takedown threat. He picks Woodson on the moneyline but is not confident.
Woodson has durability questions after his last fight, and Buzukja's aggressive striking could give him problems. However, Buzukja had a tough weight cut, missing weight by half a pound, which is a big question mark. Despite that, I'm not a fan of Woodson anymore and think Buzukja can land big shots and win by decision.
Paul also picks Buzukja, citing Woodson's vulnerabilities and the short-notice advantage for Buzukja. He notes Woodson's history of being taken down and his poor durability. However, he is not confident due to Buzukja's own short notice and low-level competition.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Woodson | 0 | 73 of 157 | 46% | 86 of 170 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Luis Saldaña | 2 | 91 of 176 | 51% | 96 of 181 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 3:20 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Woodson | 0 | 34 of 55 | 61% | 34 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Luis Saldaña | 2 | 44 of 80 | 55% | 44 of 80 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Sean Woodson | 0 | 15 of 38 | 39% | 23 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Luis Saldaña | 0 | 18 of 33 | 54% | 20 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:22 | |
| 3 | Sean Woodson | 0 | 24 of 64 | 37% | 29 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Luis Saldaña | 0 | 29 of 63 | 46% | 32 of 66 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Woodson | 73 of 157 | 46% | 53 of 133 | 17 of 19 | 3 of 5 | 70 of 154 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Luis Saldaña | 91 of 176 | 51% | 46 of 108 | 14 of 24 | 31 of 44 | 85 of 166 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Woodson | 34 of 55 | 61% | 23 of 41 | 9 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 33 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Luis Saldaña | 44 of 80 | 55% | 22 of 49 | 6 of 11 | 16 of 20 | 39 of 72 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 5 | |
| 2 | Sean Woodson | 15 of 38 | 39% | 12 of 34 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 15 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Luis Saldaña | 18 of 33 | 54% | 9 of 19 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 9 | 18 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sean Woodson | 24 of 64 | 37% | 18 of 58 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 22 of 62 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Luis Saldaña | 29 of 63 | 46% | 15 of 40 | 5 of 8 | 9 of 15 | 28 of 61 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Sean Woodson over Luis Saldaña. He praises Woodson's boxing and range management, noting that he actually knows how to use his reach effectively. He acknowledges Saldaña is a versatile striker with good movement, but doubts his 20% takedown accuracy will be enough to get the fight to the ground. Without the takedown threat, Angelo sees this as a kickboxing match where Woodson is the superior striker. He mentions Woodson's 81% takedown defense and recent power showcase.
Big Brady is confident in Sean Woodson. He notes that Luis Saldaña has a horrendous gas tank, gassing out in the second round in multiple fights, and puts his hands on his hips or knees when tired. Woodson has a huge reach advantage (79 vs 73 inches) and excellent cardio. Brady expects Woodson to mix in body shots and finish Saldaña in the second or third round by knockout. He believes Saldaña's cardio issues will be his downfall.
Cody picks Woodson, emphasizing his reach and boxing. He thinks Woodson's jab and range control will be key, and that Saldaña's kicks will be countered. He notes Woodson's output and thinks Saldaña will drown under the pace.
Daniel Levi picks Sean Woodson to win, citing Woodson's massive physical advantages (6'2" with 78-inch reach at featherweight). He notes that Luis Saldaña has cardio issues even at sea level, and in the elevation of Salt Lake City, Saldaña will fade in the second and third rounds. Levi believes Woodson will pull away down the stretch and has been paying his dues against good competition.
Woodson's long-range boxing and takedown defense should be too much for Saldaña, who has poor cardio and is not a strong grappler. Woodson will work the body and likely finish late or win a decision. The host likes Woodson inside the distance at +175 or decision at +130.
Paul picks Woodson, citing his reach advantage and boxing. He thinks Woodson can counter Saldaña's kicks and dictate range. He notes Woodson's output and thinks Saldaña's cardio will be an issue. He likes Woodson as a parlay piece.
The Guru predicts Sean Woodson wins by early second-round TKO. He describes Woodson beating Saldaña with a jab and leg kicks, threatening submissions, and landing body shots and knees. He sees Woodson finishing Saldaña with body shots against the cage in round two.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Woodson | 1 | 50 of 98 | 51% | 59 of 107 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Collin Anglin | 0 | 8 of 40 | 20% | 8 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Woodson | 1 | 50 of 98 | 51% | 59 of 107 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Collin Anglin | 0 | 8 of 40 | 20% | 8 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Woodson | 50 of 98 | 51% | 23 of 61 | 17 of 26 | 10 of 11 | 48 of 95 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 |
| Collin Anglin | 8 of 40 | 20% | 4 of 26 | 2 of 10 | 2 of 4 | 8 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Woodson | 50 of 98 | 51% | 23 of 61 | 17 of 26 | 10 of 11 | 48 of 95 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 |
| Collin Anglin | 8 of 40 | 20% | 4 of 26 | 2 of 10 | 2 of 4 | 8 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Sean Woodson, emphasizing his excellent boxing and eight-inch reach advantage. He notes that Woodson manages range well and has solid takedown defense. Angelo thinks Woodson will win by decision but considers the odds a bit wide.
Big Brady picks Sean Woodson but is hesitant, noting Woodson's takedown defense is good but he was controlled by Terrence McKenney. He questions whether Collin Anglin will wrestle, as Anglin only attempted one takedown against Melsik Baghdasaryan. Even if Anglin gets takedowns, Brady doubts his control and cardio, so he leans Woodson by decision.
Cody is a Woodson fan but admits it's always a sweat. He thinks Woodson's length and boxing should win, but worries about Anglin's wrestling and Woodson's cardio. He advises checking weigh-ins because Woodson has missed weight before. He picks Woodson but won't put him high in parlays.
Daniel Levi picks Sean Woodson, highlighting his massive reach advantage (79 inches) and experience against tougher competition. He believes Woodson's boxing clinic will be too much for Anglin, who was exposed by Melsik Baghdasaryan. Levi notes that Woodson has shown improvement in stuffing takedowns and expects him to keep the fight standing and win decisively.
Jacob picks Sean Woodson, agreeing that his length and range management will be key. He mentions that Woodson fights long and pumps his jab, making it hard for Anglin to close distance. Jacob also notes Anglin's part-time job as a potential distraction.
Paul is not confident at -335. He notes Woodson's reach advantage but worries about his lack of power and potential cardio issues. He thinks Anglin could wrestle and grind out a win. He picks Woodson but won't bet him.
The Guru picks Sean Woodson by first-round TKO via a knee as Anglin shoots a takedown. He describes Woodson defending takedowns, landing knees to the body, and eventually catching Anglin with a knee to the face during a panic takedown, finishing with ground and pound.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Woodson | 0 | 40 of 116 | 34% | 104 of 204 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Youssef Zalal | 0 | 42 of 89 | 47% | 55 of 112 | 2 of 17 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 6:21 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Woodson | 0 | 11 of 38 | 28% | 28 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Youssef Zalal | 0 | 17 of 31 | 54% | 20 of 37 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 1:46 | |
| 2 | Sean Woodson | 0 | 15 of 46 | 32% | 24 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Youssef Zalal | 0 | 15 of 34 | 44% | 19 of 42 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:46 | |
| 3 | Sean Woodson | 0 | 14 of 32 | 43% | 52 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Youssef Zalal | 0 | 10 of 24 | 41% | 16 of 33 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:49 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Woodson | 40 of 116 | 34% | 23 of 88 | 6 of 12 | 11 of 16 | 33 of 107 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Youssef Zalal | 42 of 89 | 47% | 18 of 62 | 9 of 11 | 15 of 16 | 40 of 85 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Woodson | 11 of 38 | 28% | 4 of 26 | 2 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 11 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Youssef Zalal | 17 of 31 | 54% | 6 of 19 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 8 | 17 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sean Woodson | 15 of 46 | 32% | 7 of 35 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 7 | 14 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Youssef Zalal | 15 of 34 | 44% | 8 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 14 of 32 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sean Woodson | 14 of 32 | 43% | 12 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 3 | 8 of 25 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Youssef Zalal | 10 of 24 | 41% | 4 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
We move along to the featherweight division with a match between sharp strikers as “The Sniper” Woodson (7-1, 1-1 UFC) takes on “The Moroccan Devil” Zalal (10-4, 3-2 UFC). Keeping his head on a swivel is referee Keith Peterson, who destroys all the nonsense in the building. A touch of gloves to start things off, and Woodson reaches out with several long strikes and takes advantage of his sharp jab early. Zalal returns fire with a calf kick, and Woodson changes stances and walks face-first into a punch. “The Sniper” snipes at Zalal’s legs with his own calf kicks, and the preeminent strike thus far is a kick down low. Zalal advances and looks to close the distance, crowding Woodson and getting past his reaching jabs. Zalal gets off a few punches on the outside, and “The Sniper” chases after him but is reaching and lunging recklessly. Zalal corners his foe into the cage, and he starts to rip into Woodson, only to eat a stiff counter. Zalal backs off, rushes back in and ducks low for a double. The Glory MMA & Fitness representative stuffs the takedown, and he gets a break to fire off a few distance kicks. Woodson clocks Zalal with a one-two, and he just whiffs with a high kick. Zalal takes a kick to the body as he stays loose and on his bike, trying to find his way back in. Both men fire off spinning kicks, but it is Zalal that connects with one to the body. “The Sniper” snipes with a left hand, only to be greeted with a takedown attempt. Like before, Woodson defends it well, and hacks at Zalal’s head with a couple elbows. Woodson punches the thigh and body as he is pinned to the wire, and he makes Zalal pay for the attempt with a few strikes on the inside before breaking. Zalal backs off, and he attacks one final takedown right before the 10-second clapper. When he lands it, Woodson stands up, and the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Round 2
Woodson marches out of his corner to engage, and Zalal is right there to meet him. A few reaching punches from Woodson score, and Zalal fires back with some calf kicks and a clubbing right hand. Woodson does not let him of the hook, as he pressures Zalal towards the cage, landing a few punches to varying targets. Zalal looks to brawl, and Woodson eats a right hand while trying to jab his way out of danger. “The Moroccan Devil” throws hands until ducking down for a takedown attempt, and Woodson keeps his wits and balance about him as he pushes away and shakes his head. Zalal answers this with another double, forcing the striker to defend with his back on the cage wall. Zalal turns it into a single, and he elevates Woodson in a moment only to set him back down where there is nothing to it. Woodson fires off an elbow to get Zalal to back off, and he tattoos Zalal’s body with a kick on the way out. Woodson goes up high with a kick, and Zalal ducks and weaves with a counter right hand. Zalal dodges another looping high kick, and Woodson grabs hold of him to clinch up on his own terms. Woodson lands an elbow and loads up on a few shots, but Zalal dances out of the way as he escapes. Zalal swipes with a left hand on the way in, and Woodson responds with three punches up top. Both men trade hacking calf kicks, and Woodson catches Zalal coming in with a stiff knee. Zalal eats it like a traditional Moroccan dish and gathers himself, only to take a few jabs on the chin. The momentum shifts keep occurring as one lands in volume, and the other answers with their own salvo. Zalal pushes in to grab hold of Woodson’s right leg, and Woodson snatches up a guillotine choke and pulls guard to fall to his back and secure it. Time expires before he can get a tap.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Woodson
Round 3
There is a glove touch to begin the last round, and there is immediate action as Zalal goes low with a kick. Woodson tags him with a left hand, and he follows it with a solid one-two. Zalal lands a few of his own, only to duck down to pursue a single leg takedown. Woodson keeps his back on the fencing and splits his legs to stuff the attempt, where he stands Zalal back up and turns him about. Woodson tries to get off a few knees, and Zalal does not like these so he bails and backs off. Woodson rushes after him to push the pace, and Zalal drops down for a double. “The Sniper” is forced to stave off the try instead of getting strikes off, and he keeps his hand pressed on the back of Zalal’s neck to stop the takedown from succeeding. Woodson pushes off and lands a knee to the liver, and he flicks out a front kick to follow suit. Zalal scores a leg kick, and he whiffs on a huge left hook. Zalal’s hands are by his waist as he escapes, and Woodson is chasing him down with strikes. Zalal breaks up this advancement with a double that turns into a single, and Woodson stands tall and keeps it from succeeding. With Woodson stuck against the fence, he signals to Peterson that he is being held and not doing anything with it. Zalal answers with a single, and Woodson latches on to a guillotine choke to defend the position. “The Moroccan Devil” notices this, and he lets go, where Woodson thanks him with a body kick. When Zalal shoots in for a takedown, Woodson meets him in the middle and snags on to a guillotine choke. Zalal squirms his neck out, escapes a potential triangle setup, and rolls through. Woodson follows him, but the two stand up to bang it out to the final bell. Both men flail wildly and recklessly, and they laugh as they largely do not connect. The round ends, and the featherweights embrace after an exhausting battle.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Woodson (29-28 Woodson)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Woodson (29-28 Woodson)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Woodson (29-28 Woodson)
The Official Result
Sean Woodson def. Youssef Zalal via Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
Big Brady thinks the line is off and the fight should be a pick'em. He notes Woodson has a big reach advantage but Zalal has a strong ground game, averaging 2.5 takedowns per 15 minutes. He points out Woodson's takedown defense is inflated by facing poor wrestlers, and that Terence McKinney had success controlling Woodson on the mat. He believes if Zalal mixes in takedowns he can win a decision, as Zalal is not a finisher.
Cody picks Woodson, noting his size and reach. He thinks Zalal's takedowns won't be effective and that Woodson will outpoint him. Cody likes Woodson by decision as a prop.
Daniel picks Woodson, believing he has cleaner hands and more output. He notes that Woodson's length (6'2", 79" reach) will be a problem for Zalal, and that Zalal is a jack-of-all-trades without a standout skill. Daniel acknowledges Zalal's smarts and calf kicks, but thinks Woodson will pick him apart on the feet and avoid takedowns. He expects Woodson to win a decision, possibly a split, but is confident in his striking advantage.
Woodson has superior boxing and range, and he gets up quickly if taken down. Zalal's takedowns won't keep him down, and Woodson will out-strike him for a decision win.
Paul picks Woodson, citing his reach and boxing advantage. He notes Zalal's low output and reliance on takedowns, which Woodson can defend. Paul thinks Woodson will win a decision. He likes Woodson by decision as a prop.
The Guru picks Sean Woodson, emphasizing his significant reach advantage (6'2" with 78-inch reach at featherweight). He believes Woodson will keep Zalal at range and pick him apart for three rounds, similar to how Sung Woo Choi did. He notes Zalal's tendency to take fights too frequently without enough time to improve, and thinks Zalal's two-fight losing streak may lead to a cut. He predicts a unanimous decision with Woodson outlanding Zalal every round.
Expert Picks (3)
Big Brady picks Sean Woodson, citing his boxing background, reach advantage, and high volume striking. He thinks Erosa gets hit too much and will be overwhelmed by Woodson's length and output. He predicts a late third-round finish or a convincing decision. He calls it one of his most confident picks.
Daniel Levi picks Sean Woodson, stating that Julian Erosa gets hit too much, fights with his hands down, and gasses out. He notes Woodson's height and reach advantage (though Erosa is also tall) and his cleaner, more precise striking. Levi thinks Woodson will win by TKO, possibly early, but acknowledges Woodson's weakness in the clinch and wrestling, which Erosa may not exploit. He believes the wide line is justified.
The MMA Guru picks Sean Woodson, praising his reach advantage and performance in his UFC debut. He criticizes Kyle Nelson's only UFC win being over Marco Polo Reyes, who has a poor record, and notes Nelson lost to Matt Sayles. He predicts Woodson will pick Nelson apart and win a unanimous 30-27 decision.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!