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Age 32
Height 6' 1"
Reach 74"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 31
Height 6' 2"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Duško Todorović
4.73 SLpM
57.0% Str. Acc.
4.4 SApM
48.0% Str. Def.
1.77 TD Avg
21.0% TD Acc.
42.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Robert Valentin
1.13 SLpM
56.0% Str. Acc.
2.83 SApM
32.0% Str. Def.
0.59 TD Avg
50.0% TD Acc.
55.0% TD Def.
1.3 Sub. Avg
Duško Todorović - Fight History
SCHED vs Robert Valentin
Submission R1 4:21 · UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · Sep 13, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
José Daniel Medina 0 9 of 25 36% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Duško Todorović 0 16 of 24 66% 27 of 36 2 of 2 100% 1 0 2:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 José Daniel Medina 0 9 of 25 36% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Duško Todorović 0 16 of 24 66% 27 of 36 2 of 2 100% 1 0 2:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
José Daniel Medina 9 of 25 36% 5 of 17 3 of 7 1 of 1 9 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 16 of 24 66% 10 of 18 6 of 6 0 of 0 10 of 18 6 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 José Daniel Medina 9 of 25 36% 5 of 17 3 of 7 1 of 1 9 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 16 of 24 66% 10 of 18 6 of 6 0 of 0 10 of 18 6 of 6 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jose Medina vs. Dusko Todorovic
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Todorovic (-300); Medina (+250)

Round 1
Dan Miragliotta is the referee. Both fighters working behind their jabs. Todorovic pressures and clinches behind a left hand. Todorovic grinds away here, but Medina is able to free himself. Both men land jabs. A straight right from Todorovic counters a Medina low kick. Todorovic shoves Medina back into the fence, where he lands a shoulder strike. Medina is already cut as they’re back at range. Medina lands a combination. Todorovic clinches behind a right, then shoves his foe away. A right connects for Medina, but Todorovic answers with a combination to the body. Todorovic follows another hard right into the clinch. He presses Medina into the wire, landing some short shots. A knee to the midsection lands for Todorovic, who takes Medina down. The Bolivian stands and Todorovic wants to take the back.
They go back to the floor and Todorovic gets both hooks in and slides his arm under the chin. The choke is tight and Medina has no choice but to tap out.
That snaps a three-fight skid for the Serbian.

The Official Result
Dusko Todorovic def. Jose Media via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) R1 4:21
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Angelo picks Dusko because he is the more well-rounded guy and has fought better competition. He calls the odds 'stupid as hell' and says there's no way Dusko wins 74 out of 100 times. He notes Medina is a ground-and-pound fighter with decent striking but not particularly fast or powerful, while Dusko is a technical striker with power and takedowns, though his chin is questionable. He says neither guy is very good.

Odds are stupid as hell
"I'm going to pick Dusco because he is the more well-rounded guy. He's fought the better slate of competition."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Big Brady picks Todorović despite his poor chin and striking defense, because Medina is even worse. He notes Todorović has good wrestling and ground-and-pound, while Medina has 31% takedown defense and no ground game. He predicts Todorović wins by second-round TKO via ground-and-pound.

Second round TKO
"I'm going to say Dusk wins this fight and wins it by second round TKO."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Sep 12, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Duško Todorović

Connor also picks Todorović but is hesitant because Todorović's technique doesn't survive resistance. He notes that Medina is tough but has no power, and Todorović has been one-shot KO'd before. He says it's a testament to how low-level the matchup is that he isn't 100% certain.

Todorović opened at -400, Medina at +180, now +300
"I'm gonna do the same but even you there's so much more of a chance than there should be given."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Despite Todorovic's durability issues, the host sees this as a winnable matchup. He expects Todorovic to utilize his grappling, control Medina from top position, and eventually secure a submission.

win by submission
"I think we'll see him get to his grappling, look to control Medina from that top position, and I think it's just a matter of time before he ends up pulling off a submission."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

The MMA Guru confidently picks Duško Todorović, noting he is a -325 favorite in 2025, which he sees as a clear sign. He dismisses José Medina as lacking power, athleticism, grappling, and jiu-jitsu, calling him a 'flabby big Latin guy' who shouldn't be in the UFC. He believes Todorović is more well-rounded and a better fighter.

"Dasco Toddovich has been given an opponent in the UFC and he is a minus 325 favorite. ... If that don't tell you Dusco is going to win, I don't know what does."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Sep 12, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Duško Todorović

Zane picks Todorović but acknowledges that Medina's toughness could be a factor. He notes that Todorović has poor technique and can't sustain control, but Medina is so slow and uncoordinated that Todorović should win. He mentions that Medina's only chance is landing a big shot, but Medina lacks power.

Todorović opened at -400, Medina at +180, now +300
"I have to pick Todorovich... but even you there's so much more of a chance than there should be given."
LOSS vs Zachary Reese
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · May 31, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zachary Reese 0 50 of 108 46% 73 of 135 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:19
Duško Todorović 0 35 of 65 53% 73 of 109 4 of 13 30% 1 1 5:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zachary Reese 0 6 of 11 54% 19 of 27 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:06
Duško Todorović 0 10 of 15 66% 31 of 38 3 of 4 75% 1 1 3:01
2 Zachary Reese 0 17 of 30 56% 25 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Duško Todorović 0 8 of 16 50% 18 of 29 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:10
3 Zachary Reese 0 27 of 67 40% 29 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Duško Todorović 0 17 of 34 50% 24 of 42 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zachary Reese 50 of 108 46% 21 of 72 20 of 23 9 of 13 43 of 98 7 of 10 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 35 of 65 53% 22 of 50 8 of 10 5 of 5 22 of 50 6 of 6 7 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zachary Reese 6 of 11 54% 3 of 7 3 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 6 4 of 5 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 10 of 15 66% 8 of 12 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 6 1 of 1 7 of 8
2 Zachary Reese 17 of 30 56% 7 of 19 7 of 7 3 of 4 15 of 27 2 of 3 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 8 of 16 50% 2 of 10 4 of 4 2 of 2 4 of 11 4 of 4 0 of 1
3 Zachary Reese 27 of 67 40% 11 of 46 10 of 12 6 of 9 26 of 65 1 of 2 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 17 of 34 50% 12 of 28 3 of 4 2 of 2 16 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Zachary Reese vs. Dusko Todorovic
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Reese (-238), Todorovic (+195)

Round 1
The prelims were short at just four bouts, and the main card kicks off with a middleweight action fight that practically promises that referee Herb Dean will get involved before too long. Reese (8-2, 2-2 UFC) and Todorovic (12-5, 3-5 UFC) combine for 18 stoppages in their 20 pro wins, with knockouts their preferred method of victory. Before they try to lop one another’s head off, the two 185ers bump fists. Reese introduces himself with a body kick, and Todorovic does the same. Todorovic doubles up on a kick with another and shoots for a takedown. Reese scrambles and finds his way on top, with Todorovic sitting up for a guillotine choke. Reese lifts Todorovic up and tosses him down, and Todorovic mounts him with the guillotine intact. Reese fights his way through it, his neck still in jeopardy, and he works his way to his feet. Todorovic uses the choke to maintain control and impose his weight, and lowers Reese down to the ground to knee him in the side. When Reese gets up, Todorovic muscles him back to his knees. The Texan explodes back to his feet, kneeing his man in the gut and fighting off a trip to thump “Thunder” with a hard shoulder strike. Reese backs off and avoids a pair of hooks, fires off a head kick that misses the mark and resets. Todorovic charges at him with a swarm of fists, and Reese blocks most of them and gives one back until he gets clinched. Todorovic trips Reese out, and when Todorovic stands above him, Reese searches for a leglock. Todorovic fights it off, and he ignores an upkick on the side of the dome so he can lower himself down to top position. Reese closes his guard, and he hacks with elbows off his back. Todorovic responds with a few right hands from above, and he elbows down to club “Savage” a few times. Todorovic stacks his man up and unleashes nasty hammerfists that drill into his foe’s jaw again and again. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Todorovic
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Todorovic
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Todorovic

Round 2
A glove touch begins the second round, where Reese wants to start off hot and cracks Todorovic with a three-punch combo. Reese reaches his man with a fierce right hand, forcing Todorovic to engage a clinch. Reese breaks away and slaps his foe in the ribs with a kick. When Todorovic shoots for a takedown, Reese counters him with an uppercut but does not break his stride. They share short strikes on one another, and Reese leans back and drives a knee to the stomach that allows him to break off. Todorovic fakes a right hand to shoots for an awkward takedown, and Reese ignores it and counters with an overhand right. Reese stands firm with a one-two on the chin, walking through a body kick to jump at him with a knee. When he misses, Todorovic offers him a high-five. Reese leans back to avoid an overhand right, and Todorovic grabs hold of him and bullies him to the wall. Reese breaks free and catches Todorovic coming in with a short left, but it is one-and-done as he chambers and fires a body kick. What follow is a front kick, and an evasive maneuver when Todorovic rushes him. Todorovic fakes high for a level change, and Reese tosses him aside and wings a right hand and puts a front kick on the chest. Todorovic shoots for and lands a takedown, and Reese defends with a guillotine choke, only to find himself in Von Preux choke danger. Todorovic stacks him up rather than looking for the counter sub, and this lets Reese burst upright to get up. Todorovic stays pressed to him, ripping the body with a few punches and getting uppercutted for his handiwork. The two clinch up and end the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Reese
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Reese
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Reese

Round 3
The fighters walk towards one another cautiously to start off the final frame, offering a glove touch and getting back to swinging. Reese loops wider shots, but when they land, they do with audible thuds. Todorovic gets him back with a couple of calf kicks, and Reese splits his guard with a long left hand. Reese twirls Todorovic around when the Serbian fighter shoots in on the hips, and he chains a few punches behind it. When Todorovic scores, Reese clubs him with a right on the ear. Reese spins with a kick to the body, and Todorovic smiles and high-fives him. Reese gathers himself and boots his man in the body and tries one up high, while Todorovic’s volume has plummeted. Reese stays on the outside potshotting his foe with body kicks, and when Todorovic charges him, Reese is light on his feet popping him here and there. Todorovic lashes out with a right hand that busts open Reese’s nose, and Reese responds with a leaping takedown shot that is stonewalled. Todorovic sweeps the leg and connects with another power right hand, using the strikes to set up a takedown. Reese gets pushed to the wall and spins out, sneaking a knee to the body on his way out. Todorovic looks for one final takedown, and Reese stops it and uppercuts him a few times before the grueling match concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Reese (29-28 Reese)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Reese (29-28 Reese)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Reese (29-28 Reese)

The Official Result
Zachary Reese def. Dusko Todorovic via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 18, 2025 (13 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Angelo picks Zachary Reese but is hesitant due to Reese's tendency to play jiu-jitsu off his back and give up positions. He acknowledges Reese's power and size advantages and Todorović's questionable chin, but worries Reese might make bad decisions. He rates it as medium confidence on the website.

"Zach Reese is going to be the pick. He should be able to get it done."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 26, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Big Brady fades Zachary Reese despite being a favorite, citing Reese's poor takedown defense (33%) and tendency to get finished. He notes Todorović has good ground-and-pound and can take Reese down. Although Todorović has terrible striking defense, Brady thinks Reese lacks the power to knock him out. He picks Todorović by second-round TKO.

second round TKO
"I'll take Dusco to to get the fight down to the ground, get on top of Zack Reese and and pound pound him out."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Reese because Todorović is a technical mess and easy to hit. He notes that Reese is also flawed but has more aggression and power. Connor emphasizes that this is a low-level fight and hard to pick with confidence.

"I agree. Yeah. Reese is a sizable favorite open to minus two 89 is currently minus two 27. Todorovich opened it plus two 14th kind of a plus one 96 people betting on these fights. Do you think really like, …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Matt picks Zachary Reese to win by knockout in round one. He expects a short fight, noting that Reese is explosive and violent with 7 of 8 wins in the first round, while Todorović has deteriorating durability and often gets finished. Matt likes the under 1.5 rounds and Reese round one knockout prop, and also mentions Reese by submission round one as a long shot.

under 1.5 rounds -170, Reese round one +155, Reese round one KO +230, Reese round one submission +900, Todorović round one KO +900
"I fully expect this fight to finish in the first round. The under one and a half at minus 170 is a spot I very much like."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 28, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

The MMA Guru picks Zachary Reese by first-round TKO, very confident. He notes Reese's size advantage (6'4") and Todorović's poor durability and chin. He mentions Todorović has been KO'd many times and Reese's pace is strong. He also had a PrizePicks bet on Reese under 5.25 minutes.

First round TKO; PrizePicks: fight less than 5.25 minutes
"I've never smelt a more obvious first round KO for Zachary Ree... I really see a first round finish for Zachary Ree here."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Zane picks Reese because he thinks Reese still has unchecked aggression and faith in his game, whereas Todorović seems to have lost confidence after a brutal loss. He notes that both fighters are low-level, but Todorović's tendency to knock himself out and his poor technical game make him the riskier pick.

"I guess I'll take Reese. Cause I think that he's still, I think that his, his aggression is still unchecked. I think he still has a lot of faith in his game. Even after probably that fact, we'll find out …"
TKO (knee and punches) R1 2:44 · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Nov 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mansur Abdul-Malik 1 29 of 51 56% 31 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:27
Duško Todorović 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 1 29 of 51 56% 31 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:27
Duško Todorović 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mansur Abdul-Malik 29 of 51 56% 27 of 49 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 12 2 of 2 22 of 37
Duško Todorović 3 of 5 60% 2 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 29 of 51 56% 27 of 49 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 12 2 of 2 22 of 37
Duško Todorović 3 of 5 60% 2 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Mansur Abdul-Malik vs. Dusko Todorovic
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Abdul-Malik (-375), Todorovic (+295)

Round 1
A dentist should be on standby, because one of these middleweights might lose some teeth after the expected slugfest ensues. With six wins, all finishes, on his ledger, Abdul-Malik (6-0, 0-0 UFC) knows one speed coming into his organizational debut. He will engage a man whose stoppage rate is only slightly lower than his, 92% for Todorovic (12-4, 3-4 UFC) compared to the neophyte’s 100%. Referee Mike Beltran dons his proverbial hard hat ahead of what could be a violent one, one that opens with a fist bump. Abdul-Malik assumes control of the center of the cage immediately, switching stances and looking for a jab on either side. Todorovic tosses out a single leg kick, and he works his way forward with a one-two. Abdul-Malik responds by bouncing off the cage and blasting “Thunder” in the face with a combination that sends Todorovic crashing to the mat. The lights are still in for Todorovic as he lands on his back and hunts for a leglock, but Abdul-Malik drills him with a number of heavy hammerfists to make him think twice. Abdul-Malik smashes his man in the face with a fierce right hand, and the two scramble while Todorovic still hangs onto the unbeaten fighter’s right leg. Abdul-Malik yanks his leg out of danger while beating on the man from Serbia, but Todorovic works his way back to his feet and walks through a knee while escaping. Swelling develops on his forehead like he is sprouting a third eye, and Abdul-Malik is aiming at it with lunging, looping strikes.
Todorovic defends against the punches, but Abdul-Malik blows him out of the water with a flush knee. Todorovic crumbles to the mat, and he still has the wherewithal to hunt for a leglock. Abdul-Malik wants nothing to do with that grappling, unleashing a flurry of standing-to-ground punches to knock Todorovic in and out of consciousness. A particularly potent right hand from the newcomer changes Todorovic’s expression and makes him turn to his side and shell up, and it only takes a few more hammerfists before Beltran has to step in.
Statement made for the now 7-0 Abdul-Malik, who celebrates all seven of his victories by stoppage.

The Official Result
Mansur Abdul-Malik def. Dusko Todorovic R1 2:44 via TKO (Knee and Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Angelo is very confident in Mansur Abdul-Malik despite it being his UFC debut. He loves his high-level D1 wrestling, explosiveness, and ground work. He notes Todorović is a technical striker with chin questions. He has Mansur in a parlay but warns against overexposure, advising not to put him in multiple parlays.

included in a parlay
"I love moner in this spot I love the highlevel wrestling experience I will always favor wrestlers I love the explosiveness I love the fact that he works when he's on top he's not just hanging out racking up minutes …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Big Brady is very confident in Abdul-Malik, citing Todorović's poor striking defense, low takedown defense, and susceptibility to being knocked out. He highlights Abdul-Malik's wrestling background and devastating ground-and-pound. He predicts a first-round knockout but notes slight cardio concerns if the fight extends.

Abdul-Malik by KO/TKO, round 1
"I'm taking maner Abdul Malik to get this done I think it's a first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Cody is confident in Abdul-Malik due to Todorović's glaring holes: poor takedown defense and a weak chin. He notes Abdul-Malik's Division I wrestling background and athleticism, and expects him to take Todorović down and finish him. Cody sees this as a favorable matchup for the prospect.

"I think manur just uses his wrestling credentials drops under takes him down now you got todorovic who is technically a blackbell but he's no good off his back."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Connor picks Abdul-Malik, noting he is a big favorite. He describes Abdul-Malik as a great prospect from MMA Masters with natural tools but lacking interstitial skills. He contrasts this with Todorović, who has bad habits and bad defense from a weak regional scene. Connor thinks Abdul-Malik's athleticism will overcome Todorović's flaws.

"I think it's a pretty straightforward pick. Like so many of the fights on this card."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Daniel Vreeland picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, praising his athleticism, power, and potential. He notes Duško Todorović's defensive flaws (hands down, chin up) and believes Abdul-Malik's physicality will overwhelm him. Vreeland expects Abdul-Malik to get his first UFC win, possibly by knockout.

"I think Mansour Abdul Malik is going to come out here Saturday night and get his first UFC win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Todorović is returning from back surgeries and may struggle with ring rust against the large, explosive Abdul-Malik. Despite Todorović's experience, Abdul-Malik's physicality should lead to a knockout victory.

wins by KO
"I believe that's going to cause him a lot of issues to try to wipe off that ring Rush against the large explosive and Powerful opponent like Abdul Malik... which will lead to a knockout victory for the UFC newcomer"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Paul agrees, pointing out Todorović's poor decision-making and chin. He mentions Todorović's leg injury in his last fight and his tendency to walk into danger. Paul thinks Abdul-Malik's wrestling and striking will be too much, but acknowledges the banana peel pricing risk.

"There's just too many red flags for me to get behind him as an underdog when there's some better looking ones later on in the show."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The Guru picks Mansur Abdul-Malik but is hesitant, noting that Todorović is a good underdog value. He criticizes Abdul-Malik's contender series performance against Wes Schultz, but believes Todorović's long layoff and ACL tear make him vulnerable. He expects Abdul-Malik's offensive wrestling and ground and pound to be the difference, but warns that if the fight goes past round one, Todorović could make it competitive.

Great value on Todorović as underdog, should be closer to 2-1 favorite but is 3-1
"I'm still going to go mansur Abdul DUS goes too easily hit he's been out for a year and a bit a year and a half now um and he's coming off an ACL te and manur can wrestle offensively"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Abdul-Malik. He describes Abdul-Malik as a big, powerful, fast athlete from MMA Masters, but notes his game lacks structure. He criticizes Todorović as hateable with bad defense and a wrestling game that only works against weak opponents. Zane thinks Abdul-Malik's physical advantages will prevail.

"I think it's a pretty straightforward pick. Like so many of the fights on this card."
TKO (knee injury) R1 1:52 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 9 of 14 64% 14 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
Duško Todorović 0 4 of 6 66% 6 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 0 9 of 14 64% 14 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
Duško Todorović 0 4 of 6 66% 6 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Christian Leroy Duncan 9 of 14 64% 3 of 8 2 of 2 4 of 4 8 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 4 of 6 66% 0 of 0 2 of 3 2 of 3 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 9 of 14 64% 3 of 8 2 of 2 4 of 4 8 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 4 of 6 66% 0 of 0 2 of 3 2 of 3 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Dusko Todorovic
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Duncan (-215), Todorovic (+185)

Round 1
A whole 17 finishes in the 19 total wins for the debuting Duncan (7-0, 0-0 UFC) and heavy-handed Serbian Todorovic (12-3, 3-3 UFC) lead many to believe this one will not last long. There is little time to waste, as referee Lukasz Bosacki has already started the middleweight match. A quick fist bump leads to a series of stance switches for the newcomer, who looks to fluster Todorovic early. Todorovic sits down on a leg kick that almost buckles Duncan’s leg, so Duncan responds with one of his own. Duncan gives chase and hammers the lead of his opponent once more, and Todorovic is already wearing it. Duncan spears out with a side kick to the chest, and he easily blocks a counter high kick under his armpit. Duncan attempts to check a low kick, and he shrugs off a front kick to tie up “Thunder” against the wall. Duncan thumps some knees to the midsection, and Todorovic muscles out of the clinch.
As the Serbian fighter turns the corner, his knee visibly pops and he falls down on his back in agony. Duncan does not follow him to the ground to strike, and instead recognizes the injury and backs off as Bosacki waves the fight off.
While Todorovic does manage to get back to his feet, it might be due to adrenaline and he should probably not be standing on it. It is an unfortunate situation for both fighters, but Duncan is now a perfect 8-0 as a pro with the technical knockout on his ledger, and hopefully Todorovic is not on the mend for too long from that knee injury.

The Official Result
Christian Leroy Duncan def. Dusko Todorovic R1 1:52 via TKO (Knee Injury)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Angelo thinks Christian Leroy Duncan will win by coming forward and bombing on Todorović, who has a questionable chin. He notes Duncan is a powerful striker with pressure and creativity, while Todorović is more technical but can be chinny. He is not betting but likes the does not go the distance prop.

does not go the distance
"I think Christian Leroy Duncan should win this fight I think he's gonna bomb away find that Chin dusko's Chin is not the best."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Big Brady picks Duncan, noting his power and Todorović's poor striking defense and chin. He acknowledges Todorović has good top game but poor wrestling (12% takedown accuracy). He believes Duncan can get back up if taken down and find a knockout. He predicts a second-round KO, calling Todorović's wins unimpressive.

"I like Duncan here I like Duncan to win by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Cody picks Todorović as a dog, noting his top game and ground-and-pound are strong if he can get takedowns. He thinks Duncan's takedown defense is questionable and he may get taken down. He acknowledges Todorović's chin is a liability and he could get knocked out, but he's taking a small sniff at the dog. He says the fight likely doesn't go the distance.

fight doesn't go the distance
"I will actually take the bite on dusco todorovich and live to regret it heavily I'm sure"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Connor picks Duncan, describing him as a big bully with powerful striking but poor grappling. He notes that Todorović is hittable and has struggled against aggressive fighters. Connor expects a messy fight where Duncan's power and durability will overcome Todorović's wrestling, as Duncan is comfortable in chaotic exchanges.

"I'm kind of gonna pick Duncan. It's gonna be a really stupid messy fight, but I think Duncan's pretty comfortable in those."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Jacob placed this as his first moneyline bet on the card, getting early value for premium members. He thinks Duncan has a huge advantage in striking and cardio, while Todorović needs to wrestle but has poor takedown control and gasses. He expects Duncan to dominate in front of the home crowd and likely finish.

bet placed early at better odds
"this was the first moneyline bet I placed because I think it's still good value I got it early for the premium members."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Duncan is an unorthodox striker with power and a good gas tank, able to conserve energy early and explode later. Todorović has a grappling-heavy approach but tends to slow down if he doesn't get a finish. Duncan's speed and striking should be too much, and he will likely pull away in the second and third rounds. A knockout victory is predicted, possibly in the third round.

"I think he's just way too unorthodox in the Striking realm for todorovich to get a beat on"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Paul picks Duncan, noting he looks good on tape as a Cage Warriors champion with training in Thailand. He thinks Duncan's striking and finishing ability are real, and Todorović's chin is a massive liability. He says if Todorović can't get wrestling going, he gets knocked out. He initially bet Todorović by mistake but cashed out after realizing it was the wrong Duncan.

Christian Duncan by knockout (potential)
"I'm gonna pick Christian Duncan who I think actually has some decent potential moving forward"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The MMA Guru picks Christian Leroy Duncan to win by TKO, highlighting his impressive prospect pedigree and experience against tough competition. He notes Todorović has not beaten any UFC-level opponents and has been finished by everyone still in the UFC. Duncan's size, stand-up, and takedown defense are key advantages, and he predicts a highlight-reel finish via head kick or flying knee.

Duncan wins by TKO
"I'm gonna go with Christian Leroy Duncan over dusco todrovic"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Duncan's disdain for grapplers and his counter-striking will be effective. He points out that Todorović is not a great athlete and has been exposed by similar fighters. Zane believes Duncan's power and willingness to trade will be too much for Todorović.

"I gotta pick Duncan."
WIN vs Jordan Wright
TKO (punches and elbows) R2 3:12 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · Oct 15, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Duško Todorović 0 25 of 41 60% 66 of 83 3 of 5 60% 1 0 5:03
Jordan Wright 0 61 of 80 76% 107 of 132 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Duško Todorović 0 17 of 20 85% 58 of 62 3 of 3 100% 1 0 4:24
Jordan Wright 0 3 of 3 100% 4 of 4 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:13
2 Duško Todorović 0 8 of 21 38% 8 of 21 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:39
Jordan Wright 0 58 of 77 75% 103 of 128 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Duško Todorović 25 of 41 60% 20 of 35 5 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 18 7 of 9 11 of 14
Jordan Wright 61 of 80 76% 49 of 68 12 of 12 0 of 0 19 of 29 28 of 31 14 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Duško Todorović 17 of 20 85% 16 of 18 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 5 11 of 14
Jordan Wright 3 of 3 100% 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Duško Todorović 8 of 21 38% 4 of 17 4 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 17 2 of 4 0 of 0
Jordan Wright 58 of 77 75% 48 of 67 10 of 10 0 of 0 18 of 28 26 of 29 14 of 20
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Dusko Todorovic vs. Jordan Wright
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Todorovic (-205), Wright (+175)

Round 1
One of these two middleweights now in the “featured fight of the night” slot should record their first win since 2021 – barring something strange – and it’s anyone’s guess if Wright (12-3, 1 NC; 2-3 UFC) or Todorovic (11-3, 2-3 UFC) will get it done when the dust settles. Combined, they have exactly one decision win among their 23 victories, so scorekeepers may be able to take a break for this one. Referee Chris Tognoni will not, however, be so lucky, as a fast finish could crop up out of nowhere with these two. They touch gloves before trying to lop the other’s head off, and Todorovic leads the dance and corners Wright. The American immediately has to fight off a takedown entry, and Wright shucks off the first attempt and turns Todorovic around. “The Beverly Hills Ninja” lands his own takedown, and he moves to half guard and starts punching Todorovic upside the head. Todorovic clings to him to stifle most of the offense, only to absorb an elbow on the forehead. Wright stays heavy even while Todorovic scrambles and gets butterfly hooks in to buck Wright off of him, and he transitions to a heel hook to give Wright a scare. The American rolls all the way through it, and Todorovic moves to set up a possible kneebar. As Todorovic’s attention is paid to the leglock, Wright smashes him in the face several times to make Todorovic’s face turn quite red. Wright knees Todorovic in the chest when pinning him to the wall, and he snags a single and deposits the Serbian fighter down to the canvas. Wright, in half guard, fastens an arm-triangle choke, and he hops over to side control to lock it down. Instead of securing the submission, however, Wright jumps to mount and slugs Todorovic in the face repeatedly. Todorovic bucks him at the right moment to get back to his feet, and Wright follows him in pursuit of a double-leg takedown. With 10 seconds to spare, Wright lands a takedown, and the round ends with “Thunder” on the mat.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Wright
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Wright
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Wright

Round 2
To the surprise of some, the two middleweights have reached the second round. They high-five to start off the round, and Todorovic is the aggressor as he backs Wright back. Todorovic tags Wright with a right hand over the top, and he lets loose a fury of punches to knock Wright’s head around. Wright defends himself well enough from a brawl, but Todorovic is teeing off on him and hurting Wright badly. Wright responds with a few punches, and he tries to kick Todorovic in the dome, but he gets elbowed right in the face. Todorovic tosses Wright to the mat, and Wright appears totally spent already. Just six minutes into the fight, and Wright is in full defensive mode. A labored takedown effort from Wright slows the offense from Todorovic, but not for long, as Todorovic shakes it off. Todorovic batters the body as Wright takes gasping breaths, and he blasts Wright with a long string of unanswered fists. Wright attempts to respond every so often, but he is more intent on clinching up to save himself from a further drubbing. A spent Wright gets pushed down to the floor, and Todorovic steps right into mount and rains down punches.
Wright gets elbowed repeatedly and turns to his side, and Todorovic is not letting up. Todorovic continues to bombard Wright, knowing the finish is around the corner, and the elbows start to pile up from the Serbian striker. As the elbows do not appear to be ceasing any time soon, Tognoni has seen enough, and he saves a defeated Wright from any further harm.
This roller coaster battle somehow made it past the midpoint of Round 2, but Todorovic dug deep, came back from adversity and recorded the finish to earn his 11th stoppage across 12 career wins.

The Official Result
Dusko Todorovic def. Jordan Wright R2 3:12 via TKO (Punches and Elbows)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Angelo picks Duško Todorović, believing he is the much better striker. He notes that Jordan Wright is a kill-or-be-killed fighter with big power but a karate style that can be exploited. He is confident in Duško but acknowledges that Jordan is always live and could push a wrestling-heavy game plan, as Duško has 50% takedown defense.

"I'm confident in dusko but if Jordan pushes a wrestling heavy game plan like he attempted to in his last fight he actually could have some success"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Big Brady picks Duško Todorović to win by first-round ground-and-pound finish. He notes that Jordan Wright is dangerous offensively but has terrible defense and chin, while Todorović has more paths to victory including takedowns and ground-and-pound. He expects Todorović to take the fight to the mat and dominate. He calls this his favorite fight on the card and mentions he has a bet on it.

Todorović wins by first-round ground-and-pound
"give me dasco todorovich I'll say first round grounded pound finish"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Cody is very confident in the under 1.5 rounds, calling it his biggest bet in a while. He notes Jordan Wright has never been past 7.5 minutes in any fight, and Todorović has chin issues. He expects Todorović to take Wright down and finish him in the first round. He also likes the under as a standalone bet and in a parlay.

under 1.5 rounds -220; parlayed with Rodriguez/Jackson under 1.5 at +102
"I have a lot of money on the under one and a half rounds here... it's my biggest bet in a while."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Connor picks Todorović, citing his love for fighting and aggression that will break Wright over time. He notes that Wright panics and gets exhausted, and Todorović's pressure will contribute to that. He acknowledges Todorović is very hittable but believes his durability and passion give him the edge in a longer fight.

"I'm picking Dushko Todorovich."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 11, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Both fighters have power and suspect chins, making this a likely early finish. Todorović has poor striking defense, keeping his hands down, while Wright is explosive but fragile. The host leans Todorović to land the big strike first, but the under 1.5 rounds is the preferred play. Wright is a live underdog, and the fight is closer than the odds suggest.

Under 1.5 rounds (juiced to -200 to -240), Todorović by KO round 1
"I am still going to go with todorovich I think he's the one that lands that big strike here and gets that finish first round knockout but the Ender is likely the play to go here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Paul considers Jordan Wright as a PRP pick, noting Wright is a fast starter with decent power, as shown in his knockout of Jamie Pickett. He points out Todorović is hittable and has a questionable chin, and Wright could catch him early. However, he acknowledges Wright's own flaws and the under is the safer play.

Jordan Wright by KO
"I gotta kind of think maybe PRP pick this week that I go Jordan right because listen it's gonna be a banger like you said and why can't he land a shot."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Oct 11, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

The MMA Guru picks Jordan Wright as a juicy underdog, leaning towards him despite acknowledging his inconsistency. He notes that Wright has been training at Jackson Wink and is settling in. He believes Wright's size and reach advantage will allow him to manipulate the clinch and land knees to finish Todorović, calling it a 50/50 fight.

Jordan Wright is a 2-to-1 underdog
"Underdog time juicy two to one Underdog time I'm going with Jordan Wright"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Oct 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jordan Wright

Zane picks Wright, acknowledging it's a coin flip. He notes that Wright hits very hard and has technical striking from his Anthony Hardonk disciple background, but his mentality is fragile. He thinks Wright's power could catch Todorović early, as Todorović is extremely hittable.

"I'm picking Jordan right."
LOSS vs Chidi Njokuani
KO (elbow) R1 4:48 · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · May 21, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chidi Njokuani 1 14 of 17 82% 19 of 23 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:50
Duško Todorović 0 5 of 7 71% 9 of 11 2 of 7 28% 0 0 3:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chidi Njokuani 1 14 of 17 82% 19 of 23 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:50
Duško Todorović 0 5 of 7 71% 9 of 11 2 of 7 28% 0 0 3:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chidi Njokuani 14 of 17 82% 3 of 4 8 of 10 3 of 3 5 of 7 9 of 10 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 5 of 7 71% 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 4 of 4 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chidi Njokuani 14 of 17 82% 3 of 4 8 of 10 3 of 3 5 of 7 9 of 10 0 of 0
Duško Todorović 5 of 7 71% 4 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 4 of 4 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Chidi Njokuani vs. Dusko Todorovic
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Njokuani (-190), Todorovic (+160)

Round 1
Mark Smith will be the third man in the cage for this middleweight scrap. Njokuani enters the matchup on the heels of a 16-second knockout of Marc-Andre Barriault in his UFC debut. Todorovic ducks under a punch for a takedown, but Njokuani sprawls nicely. He has a front headlock secured and he rolls over, briefly securing a nifty brabo choke. Njokuani has to bail on the choke as Todorovic gets top position. Njokuani tries to use the cage to his advantage and work his way up, but Todorovic is relentless as he moves to his foe’s back. Njokuani is standing with Todorovic hanging onto a waist lock. Njokuani works to break his opponent’s grip. Todorovic shoves his man into the fence and lands some short right hands to the head. It’s a grueling style of fight, with Todorovic giving Njokuani no room with which to work. Todorovic drops for a single leg. Njokuani sprawls and hits Todorovic with a knee on the exit. Njokuani lands a series of knees to the body in close, and now it’s Njokuani with a waist lock. They tie up and Njokuani lands another knee to the body. With time running out in the round,
Njokuani creates just enough space to unleash a vicious right elbow to the temple of his adversary. Todorovic drops like a sack of potatoes and this one is over in sudden fashion.

The Official Result
Chidi Njokuani def. Dusko Todorovic via KO (Elbow) R1 4:48
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 15, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Angelo picks Chidi Njokuani because of his power, speed, and distance control. He notes that Todorović has questions about his chin and that Njokuani has solid takedown defense. He suggests a prop bet on Njokuani winning inside the distance, as he expects a finish.

Chidi Njokuani wins inside the distance
"chidi ninja kawani to win inside the distance is probably a pretty safe prop bet in this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Big Brady picks Chidi Njokuani to win by first-round knockout, citing Todorović's horrendous striking defense and tendency to keep his hands down. He notes Njokuani has power and improved takedown defense. He acknowledges Njokuani has been finished in the past but believes he has improved. He expects the fight to stay standing and Njokuani to land a knockout early.

first round knockout
"chidi first round knockout for me"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Cody is impressed with Njokuani's improvements in grappling and cardio, noting his recent knockout of Marc-André Barriault. He highlights Todorović's poor head movement and susceptibility to getting hit, as seen in the Punahele Soriano fight. He believes Njokuani's striking acumen and upgraded ground game will lead to a finish, likely in the first two rounds.

Under 1.5 rounds
"i got chidi has just even with that price tag he's not a a first ticket top guy right yeah he hasn't proved that he's not still that apple pie [ __ ] from the past it's that he's on …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 21, 2022 (fight day)
Duško Todorović

The host predicts Duško Todorović via decision. He expects Todorović to control the fight by keeping Njokuani still and against the cage, leading to a potentially boring fight with a lot of control time. He is not fully confident, as he questions the pick slightly when discussing totals, but his official prediction is Todorović by decision.

under 2.5 rounds (part of totals parlay)
"my official prediction for that fight was duesco via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Paul agrees with Cody, saying Njokuani's striking and improved cardio should be enough. He notes Todorović's defensive liabilities and that Njokuani likely lands a big strike in the first two rounds. He hates the moneyline at -220 but still picks Chidi.

Under 1.5 rounds
"chidi probably touches them up lands a big strike at some point in the first two rounds and there and there she blows but uh yeah chidi will be the pick for me hate the money line at minus 220."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The MMA Guru is very confident in Chidi Njokuani, citing his reach advantage and experience. He notes Duško Todorović leaves his chin up when exiting exchanges, and Njokuani's reach will allow him to land cleanly. He predicts a first-round KO for Njokuani.

first round KO
"i think chidina jaquani is gonna win this one yeah"
WIN vs Maki Pitolo
TKO (punches) R1 4:34 · UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Aldo · Dec 04, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Duško Todorović 0 13 of 29 44% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Maki Pitolo 0 30 of 53 56% 67 of 91 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Duško Todorović 0 13 of 29 44% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Maki Pitolo 0 30 of 53 56% 67 of 91 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:46
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Duško Todorović 13 of 29 44% 5 of 20 5 of 6 3 of 3 12 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 30 of 53 56% 28 of 51 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 22 0 of 1 21 of 30
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Duško Todorović 13 of 29 44% 5 of 20 5 of 6 3 of 3 12 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 30 of 53 56% 28 of 51 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 22 0 of 1 21 of 30
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Maki Pitolo vs. Dusko Todorovic

Round 1
Finish rates above 75% for each fighter in this preliminary headliner make it one to watch at 185 pounds, even if the stakes are not as high as some other matchups on the card. Pitolo (13-8, 1-4 UFC) will try to throw his patented “Coconut Bombz” at Serbian striker Todorovic (10-2, 1-2 UFC), and referee Mark Smith will need to keep his head on a swivel for as long as these two trade leather. The gloves do get touched before the bombs drop, and Pitolo is the immediate aggressor coming forward but not the first to throw a strike. That comes as a front kick for Todorovic, and Pitolo sticks his hand out in response only to get warned for extended fingers. When Pitolo closes his fists and winds them up, Todorovic shoots in low for a takedown. The attempt is stuffed, and Todorovic backs off to let fly a pair of head kicks that get blocked. The Serbian fighter leaps forward with a punch, and Pitolo lands at the same time. Pitolo bears down on him and connects with a few punches and a knee. Pitolo nails his man with a right hand and a few leg kicks that make Todorovic spin around, and he has already marked Todorovic up in just 90 seconds. As Pitolo continues to attack the lead leg, Todorovic pursues a takedown. Todorovic gets it on the second attempt, only for him to fall into guillotine choke danger. Pitolo grabs hold of the choke and keeps it tight, keeping Todorovic stuck in this position without being able to pass guard. Todorovic escapes the submission danger but elects to go into Pitolo’s guard, which closes around him. Todorovic clubs Pitolo with a left hand, and he grinds down with an elbow to try to get some ground-and-pound going. When Todorovic elbows his foe a few times, the guard opens up, until Pitolo can close it back again to stifle the offense coming. “Thunder” strikes as he steps over to half guard, and he isolates an arm for a moment so he can distract Pitolo and continue to pass. Todorovic manages to turn the half guard position into a partial crucifix, which allows him to belt Pitolo a few more times before slicing over to full mount.
Todorovic sits up and nails Pitolo with ferocious ground-and-pound, and Smith asks Pitolo to keep moving only for the Hawaiian to get flattened out on his stomach. “Thunder” unleashes the thunder and lightning as he persistently pounds on Pitolo with powerful punches, until Smith has no choice but to stop the fight, thus saving “Coconut Bombz” from any further harm.
Todorovic successfully snaps a two-fight skid with a dominant win over a dangerous opponent.

The Official Result
Dusko Todorovic def. Maki Pitolo R1 4:34 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Angelo picks Maki Pitolo but does not bet the moneyline; instead he takes inside the distance/decision no action at +140. He notes Maki has power, solid takedowns, and a tough chin, and that Dusko's chin is questionable. He believes Maki can win by stoppage, and if not, he gets a refund.

Inside the distance/decision no action at +140
"i like maki there i think he can win by stoppage and if he doesn't i'll get a full refund"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 30, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Big Brady picks Maki Pitolo as a dog, but with low confidence. He notes that neither fighter is reliable, but he likes Pitolo's game plan in his last fight against Julian Marquez, where he fought smart and used takedowns. He criticizes Todorović's terrible striking defense (48%) and poor takedown defense (50%), and believes Pitolo can exploit those weaknesses. However, he acknowledges Pitolo's inconsistency and loss to Callan Potter as red flags.

by decision
"i'm gonna take the dog and maki vitolo to win... by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Cody also picks Pitolo, emphasizing Todorović's defensive flaws and Pitolo's sharper hands. He thinks Pitolo can beat him to the punch and potentially knock him out. Cody notes that Pitolo has cardio issues but believes he can win the first two rounds.

"so i got maki but i'm definitely looking at this thing from a live betting perspective"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Dec 2, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Daniel Levi leans towards Duško Todorović, citing his body work, clinch fighting, dirty boxing, and vicious ground and pound. He notes that Todorović fights with his hands down and relies on head movement, which could be exploited by Pitolo's power. He acknowledges that Pitolo can crack and that Todorović leaves his chin up, making him vulnerable. He thinks Todorović can make the right decisions in a close fight.

"I lean dusko because i think if it's 1-1 going in that third round that dusko can make the right decisions to to make it happen"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Jacob picks Dusko Todorovic, noting his striking confidence and head movement. He thinks Dusko can win by submission at +285, but the odds are too short. He believes Maki's path is wrestling but he will gas, and Dusko's guard is active. Jacob likes Dusko all the way.

Dusko by submission at +285 (considered but not played)
"i like desco here i think he does win by sub but... the path to victory for mako is to wrestle and control him but i just don't think he's able to do that"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Maki Pitolo

I like Pitolo here. He is better on the feet, throws more volume, and has better striking stats across the board. Todorović has defensive issues and tends to lose minutes. Pitolo should win the striking exchanges and can mix in takedowns. I expect him to win a decision, and the decision prop at plus 450 offers great value.

Pitolo by decision +450
"i like pitolo here i like him by decision as well i do think he'll kind of get the favor of the judges being the one kind of pushing the pace"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Paul picks Pitolo, citing his cleaner boxing and power. He notes that Todorović is a defensive liability with poor head movement and has been rocked in recent fights. Paul thinks Pitolo can knock him out or win a decision, but worries about Pitolo's cardio in the third round.

"i got maki but i'm definitely looking at this thing from a live betting perspective"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Dec 4, 2021 (fight day)
Maki Pitolo

The MMA Guru picks Maki Pitolo to win by split decision. He expects a back-and-forth war where Todorović may drop Pitolo in the first but uses too much energy. Pitolo will grind out the second and third rounds with better pacing, landing knees and takedowns. He calls it a close fight, 29-28 split decision.

"i'm going to go with mackie patolo via decision i'm going to go split decision"
Robert Valentin - Fight History
Submission R1 2:22 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · Apr 18, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Julien Leblanc 0 4 of 6 66% 4 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Robert Valentin 0 7 of 13 53% 14 of 20 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Julien Leblanc 0 4 of 6 66% 4 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Robert Valentin 0 7 of 13 53% 14 of 20 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Julien Leblanc 4 of 6 66% 1 of 3 2 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Robert Valentin 7 of 13 53% 1 of 7 2 of 2 4 of 4 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Julien Leblanc 4 of 6 66% 1 of 3 2 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Robert Valentin 7 of 13 53% 1 of 7 2 of 2 4 of 4 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Julien Leblanc vs. Robert Valentin
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Valentin (-130); Leblanc (+110)

Round 1
At the tender age of 34, Canada’s Leblanc (10-2, 0-0 UFC) is getting a callup to the UFC. The newly signed middleweight will be greeted by Valentin (10-6, 1 NC; 0-3 UFC), who cannot seem to even buy a win in the Octagon thus far. Referee Chris Desautels will take care of the particulars, standing back as the two opt against touching gloves.
Valentin leads off with a chopping low kick, and he watches as a head kick buzzes the tower. Valentin sinks in a body kick, and Leblanc fires one back just as hard. Valentin beats down the front leg with three hard leg kicks, and he rocks the Canadian with an overhand right. Valentin bowls the local athlete over and climbs into full mount with ease, and he allows Leblanc to turn over so he can take his back and get his hooks in. Leblanc hand-fights to defend his neck, so Valentin smacks him with his right hand and a number of questionable elbows to open a choke up. Valentin grips hold of a face crank submission, crushing the newcomer’s jaw without even bothering to slide it under the chin.
As Valentin squeezes, his forearm slowly works its way beneath the chin after all, and it is now a windpipe-destroying, carotid-crushing rear-naked choke. Leblanc knows he has nothing more to offer today and quickly surrenders, with the choke so tight that he might have otherwise gone out before long.
It is a much-needed win for Valentin, who earns his first victory with the promotion in his fourth attempt. It is also a hugely emotional moment for Valentin, who celebrates with tears in his eyes as he embraces his team and vanquished opponent.

The Official Result
Robert Valentin def. Julien Leblanc R1 2:22 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Apr 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Robert Valentin

Angelo leans Robert Valentin based on toughness and the opinion of capper Bet Sam, who called Julien LeBlanc unathletic. He acknowledges both fighters are not good, but believes Robert's durability and chaotic style give him the edge. He plans to leave the fight alone betting-wise.

"I'm just going to lean Robert. This pick is based less on skill and more on just literal toughness."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Robert Valentin

Cody picks Robert Valentin, citing his size advantage and better overall skills. He notes that Julien Leblanc is not UFC caliber and has weak wrestling. He also mentions that Valentin is fighting for his job and should be motivated.

"It's going to be a Robert Valentine play on my end just out of clear principle."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 17, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Robert Valentin

Connor picks Valentin because despite his three-fight skid, he is at least a legitimate athlete who trains hard, whereas LeBlanc is not a pro athlete and looks out of shape. He notes that Valentin's losses came against decent athletes, but LeBlanc is the 'very picture of anybody ever' and lacks the physical tools to compete.

Valentin opened as favorite at -145, LeBlanc at +125; odds shifted from Valentin opening as underdog due to skid
"I think Valentin probably will be a LeBlanc because LeBlanc looks like legitimately bad. Valentin at least looks like a guy who's like in the gym, putting in the work."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Apr 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Robert Valentin

James picks Robert Valentin as an underdog, believing he has a submission threat and can finish early. He notes Valentin's 0-3 UFC record but thinks he is better than shown and can catch Leblanc on the ground.

Robert Valentin wins via submission in round one
"I am picking Valentine to win the fight. I'm picking him to win via submission. And I'm picking him to win via submission in round one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Robert Valentin

The host thinks Valentin is a better version of LeBlanc with a better grappling game. He expects Valentin to find a submission and force LeBlanc to tap, looking dominant. He notes that Valentin is underrated and has improved since his earlier losses, and that LeBlanc's takedown defense is porous.

Valentin by submission
"I really like Valentin in this spot. I think he finds the finish. I think he gets the submission and he forces Julian LeBlanc to tap and I think it looks quite dominant as well."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Robert Valentin

Paul also picks Robert Valentin, agreeing with Cody. He notes that Leblanc is not good and that Valentin has the strength advantage. He mentions that he got Valentin at minus 136 and would not play him at minus 200.

"Valentine's side for me. And I agree with the the line movement."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 17, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Robert Valentin

Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Valentin is bigger and in shape while LeBlanc is not. He points out that Valentin's aggressive grappling style, though flawed, should work against a non-athlete like LeBlanc. He emphasizes that LeBlanc is not built to be a pro fighter.

Valentin opened as favorite at -145, LeBlanc at +125; odds shifted from Valentin opening as underdog
"I think Valentin probably will be a LeBlanc because LeBlanc looks like legitimately bad. Valentin at least looks like a guy who's like in the gym, putting in the work."
LOSS vs Ateba Gautier
KO R1 1:10 · UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · Jul 19, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ateba Gautier 1 19 of 37 51% 19 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Robert Valentin 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ateba Gautier 1 19 of 37 51% 19 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Robert Valentin 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ateba Gautier 19 of 37 51% 16 of 34 3 of 3 0 of 0 16 of 33 1 of 1 2 of 3
Robert Valentin 2 of 5 40% 1 of 3 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ateba Gautier 19 of 37 51% 16 of 34 3 of 3 0 of 0 16 of 33 1 of 1 2 of 3
Robert Valentin 2 of 5 40% 1 of 3 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ateba Abega Gautier vs. Robert Valentin
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gautier (-470), Valentin (+360)

Round 1
The UFC matchmakers did their best to put together pairs of fighters that could produce fireworks, and this middleweight tilt is one more on the board. Cameroon’s Gautier (7-1, 1-0 UFC) knows one speed, while Valentin (10-5, 1 NC; 0-2 UFC) needs to slow him down and engage the grappling if he wants to leave with his head attached to his shoulders. The third man in the Octagon for this ESPN prelim opener will be referee Herb Dean. The fighters do not touch ‘em up.
Valentin hops forward behind knees that he does not launch, doing so three times as Gautier does not bite once. The Swiss competitor lands a low kick, and Gautier is ready to brawl. He lets loose a flurry of punches staring with a left that stuns Valentin and bounces him off the fencing. Gautier lashes out again with another clean series of punches, and Valentin tries to run away and falls over. Valentin gets his bearings again and shakes his head to wave Gautier on, but this is the worst idea he can have as Gautier gladly obliges him. Valentin keeps his guard up, and Gautier still whips punches around them. “The Silent Assassin” loudly crashes forward with a slew of punches concluding with a vicious uppercut, and a subsequent knee makes Valentin think twice about his career decisions to that point.
Gautier unleashes right-hand bombs that explode on Valentin’s chin again and again until Valentin’s legs give way beneath him. The Cameroonian batters the downed Valentin with standing-to-ground punches until Dean has seen enough and forces his way between them.
This was one-way traffic for the Manchester Top Team-trained athlete, who is quick to embrace the defeated Valentin and his team before seeking his own. That makes it seven knockouts in eight wins for the middleweight out of Cameroon.

The Official Result
Ateba Abega Gautier def. Robert Valentin R1 1:10 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ateba Gautier

Angelo picks Ateba Gautier, citing his speed, power, and combinations. He notes that Robert Valentin is a creative but hittable striker who doesn't wrestle early. He believes Gautier will be too much on the feet and finish early.

"Otaba is the pick and he should absolutely smoke here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 15, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Ateba Gautier

Big Brady picks Ateba Gautier, citing his dynamite power and physical strength. He notes Gautier knocked out durable Jose Medina and expects him to finish Robert Valentin in the first round. He believes Valentin will stand and trade, which favors Gautier.

Gautier by first round knockout
"I think he's going to hit him very hard and I think he's going to finish him in the very first round."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ateba Gautier

Connor picks Gautier confidently, citing his impressive fundamentals, range management, and finishing ability. He notes that Valentin is a messy brawler with poor technique, and Gautier's simple but effective striking should overwhelm him. However, he acknowledges a chance that Valentin could make it messy with grappling.

Odds: Gautier opened -400, currently -550; Valentin opened +330, currently +400.
"I got to pick up to you to just go out there and smoke him because he is a killer."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jul 16, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ateba Gautier

The host notes Gautier is a physical specimen but still young at 23, and Valentin could make things difficult. He picks Gautier to land a big shot and put Valentin away, but warns not to get carried away with the minus 500 odds, indicating hesitation.

minus 500 chalk
"I'm still going to pick Goutier here as I think he lands a big shot to put Valentin away. But do not get carried away with that minus 500 chalk."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ateba Gautier

The MMA Guru picks Ateba Gautier over Robert Valentin, predicting a first or second-round TKO. He notes that Valentin is wild and often jumps into his strikes, lifting his chin, which Gautier can exploit. Gautier is described as a young prospect with potential, though he showed some problems in his Contender Series fight. The Guru acknowledges that Valentin is dangerous and has finishing potential, but believes Gautier will find the chin and finish him.

"I'm going to go with Abba Gutierre here over Robert Valentin."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ateba Gautier

Zane picks Gautier, noting his impressive performance against Medina and his physical attributes. He contrasts Gautier's refined skills with Valentin's poorly defined game, but warns that Valentin's pressure and grappling could pose a test.

Same odds commentary as Connor.
"I'm picking goatee."
LOSS vs Torrez Finney
Decision (split) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Emmett vs. Murphy · Apr 05, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Torrez Finney 0 4 of 8 50% 17 of 35 8 of 17 47% 0 0 13:16
Robert Valentin 0 23 of 39 58% 93 of 126 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Torrez Finney 0 0 of 1 0% 7 of 16 5 of 8 62% 0 0 4:34
Robert Valentin 0 6 of 9 66% 15 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Torrez Finney 0 4 of 4 100% 9 of 14 1 of 3 33% 0 0 4:24
Robert Valentin 0 3 of 6 50% 13 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:16
3 Torrez Finney 0 0 of 3 0% 1 of 5 2 of 6 33% 0 0 4:18
Robert Valentin 0 14 of 24 58% 65 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Torrez Finney 4 of 8 50% 2 of 5 2 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 1 3 of 3
Robert Valentin 23 of 39 58% 18 of 32 4 of 6 1 of 1 5 of 19 12 of 14 6 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Torrez Finney 0 of 1 0% 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0
Robert Valentin 6 of 9 66% 6 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 4 of 5 2 of 2
2 Torrez Finney 4 of 4 100% 2 of 2 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 3
Robert Valentin 3 of 6 50% 1 of 3 2 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 4 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Torrez Finney 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Robert Valentin 14 of 24 58% 11 of 21 2 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 13 6 of 7 4 of 4
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Torrez Finney vs. Robert Valentin
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Finney (-238), Valentin (+195)

Round 1
The third time proved to be the charm for short, squat middleweight Finney (10-0, 0-0 UFC), who measures around 5-foot-7 while likely cutting weight to reach 186 pounds. After three wins on Dana White’s Contender Series, “The Punisher” is getting a shot in the Las Vegas-based league. He draws Swiss grappler Valentin (10-4, 1 NC; 0-1 UFC), who has completed nine of his 10 wins inside the distance. The third man in the Octagon will be referee Mike Beltran, who steps back as the athletes of drastically different sizes decide not to touch ‘em up. Finney puts on pressure early, only to duck away from a right hand. Finney crashes forward, lifting the Swiss man over his shoulder and slamming him down elsewhere in the cage like a middleweight Matt Hughes. Valentin climbs back up with the wall behind him, and he elbows the shorter man on the side of the dome. In the meantime, “The Punisher” punishes his foe with a high-amplitude slam that puts Valentin on his seat against the wall. Valentin turns to the side in hopes of standing, and he gives up his back in the process. Finney partially completes a mat return, and Valentin gets back up easier this time and twists out of the back take. Instead, Finney puts him back down on his back, and he hangs on tight. Valentin uses a two-in-one wrist lock to hunt for a sweep, but the burly Finney stifles it completely. When Valentin stands up, Finney elevates him and pick him all the way up, but he is unable to hurl Valentin on the first effort and has to expend additional energy to sling him down again. Valentin calmly wall-walks with his back to the cage, and Finney sells all the way out to the ankle and hits a takedown on his second try. Finney hangs on from above as the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Finney
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Finney
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Finney

Round 2
Finney rushes out of his round and then pulls back before getting to the center of the cage. This allows Valentin to peck at him with a few reaching kicks, which prompts Finney to re-engage his grappling. The shorter man lifts Valentin up in the air and drops him down to the mat, and Valentin isolates the kimura grip for a sweep that he cannot get. Valentin settles for an elbow to the side of the melon, and Finney settles himself down to establish top control in the guard. Valentin throws his legs up in pursuit of a triangle choke, and Finney stacks him up and pushes out thanks in part to Valentin grabbing the cage with his toes. Finney returns to the guard, smothering and occasionally reaching with one or two strikes. Valentin sets up an armbar, and Finney lifts him up the air and tries to drive him all the way through the cage floor. The Swiss man hits the ground with a thump, and his submission grip is gone. Finney takes his back when Valentin urges to get to a single knee, and after two punches, he climbs up high on the back and slides out the back door. Valentin returns to his knees, grabbing the fence clearly to stand up and getting shouted at. With rules like these, who needs referees? Valentin is able to regain his balance thanks to the foul, and Finney doggedly pursues the double and tries to lift Valentin again. The tepid round closes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Finney
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Finney
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Finney

Round 3
Valentin marches out of his corner on a mission, and he quickly puts hands on the burly wrestler. Finney responds, expectedly, with a double-leg entry. The try pushes Valentin from one side of the cage to the other, and the second effort from Finney ushers Valentin to his seat. Valentin calmly works his way to his side, and Beltran stands them up after a lull in any activity. Finney rushes at his opponent, pursuing yet another takedown, and he wrenches Valentin to a knee but no further. Valentin hacks at him with elbows, and he forces a stalemate to bring in Beltran again. Seeing that Finney is bearing down on him after the reset, Valentin lashes out with an elbow, and Finney easily ducks under him and completes the takedown. Valentin drops to both knees and tries to punch under and around the guard to put any number on the board he can. The fans are not amused by Finney’s performance, nor is Beltran, who breaks up another shot and restarts them. Finney charges like a bull straight into another takedown shot, and Valentin’s defense against the wall plus a few elbows are more effective than anything Finney has offered this round. Time expires, and this exhausting, horrible middleweight contest is now part of MMA history. May we never speak of it again.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Valentin (29-28 Finney)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Finney (30-27 Finney)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Finney (30-27 Finney)

The Official Result
Torrez Finney def. Robert Valentin via Split Decision (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 30, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Torrez Finney

Angelo highlights Torrez Finney's incredible cardio despite his muscular build, his blast double leg takedown, and his wrestling pressure. He notes Robert Valentin is a creative striker but hittable and was taken down by a D1 wrestler in his last fight. Angelo believes Finney's lack of neck and short arms make submissions difficult for Valentin, and that Finney's pace and wrestling will overwhelm him. He wishes the odds were closer but picks Finney.

"I think Torres wins here Robert is not a bum on the ground but I honestly think Torres having no neck whatsoever really short arms I think that just makes things far more complicated for Robert."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 1, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Torrez Finney

Big Brady is high on Torrez Finney, praising his wrestling, cardio, and durability despite a suspect chin. He notes Robert Valentin cannot stuff takedowns and may quit. He expects Finney to take Valentin down and pound him out for a second-round TKO.

second round TKO
"give me Torres finny Torres finny to win by second round TKO"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Torrez Finney

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Finney. He notes that Valentin is extremely unprepared for this level, with no takedown defense and a poor grappling game. Connor sees Finney's singular focus on takedowns as a strength here, and while he doubts Finney's long-term UFC future, this fight is an easy win for him.

"I will have to pick Finney it's a very easy pick."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Robert Valentin

Finney is a tank but the resistance and violent nature of Valentin is expected to wear on Finney, leading to a third-round stoppage for Valentin.

third round stoppage
"I expect the resistance and violent nature of Valentine to eventually wear on finy leading to Valentine getting a third round stoppage."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Torrez Finney

The Guru leans towards Torrez Finney in his UFC debut, citing his wrestling, power, and experience from multiple Contender Series appearances. He worries about Robert Valentin's finishing potential but thinks Finney's head shape makes him hard to KO and that Valentin gives up dominant positions on the ground. He expects a decision win for Finney.

Torrez Finney by decision
"I'm going to go with Torres Fine getting this one done. I reckon he'll get it done by decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Torrez Finney

Zane picks Finney, calling Valentin a 'no-hoper' with fundamentally broken takedown defense and poor grappling off his back. He notes Finney is a focused takedown machine who will easily take Valentin down and control him. Zane acknowledges Finney's limitations as a 5'8" middleweight but sees this as a perfect matchup for him to showcase his wrestling.

Valentin opened +180, now +236; Finney opened -232, now -269. Zane thinks the line could get wider.
"Valentin to me seems like kind of a no-hoper in the UFC. I think he's six inches taller, but his game is fundamentally broken."
LOSS vs Ryan Loder
TKO (elbows) R2 1:49 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Borralho · Aug 24, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ryan Loder 0 1 of 2 50% 5 of 6 0 of 1 0% 2 1 1:38
Robert Valentin 0 42 of 52 80% 63 of 73 1 of 3 33% 1 1 4:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ryan Loder 0 0 of 1 0% 3 of 4 0 of 0 --- 2 1 1:38
Robert Valentin 0 4 of 5 80% 20 of 21 1 of 2 50% 1 1 3:08
2 Ryan Loder 0 1 of 1 100% 2 of 2 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Robert Valentin 0 38 of 47 80% 43 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ryan Loder 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Robert Valentin 42 of 52 80% 41 of 51 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 41 of 50
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ryan Loder 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Robert Valentin 4 of 5 80% 3 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 4
2 Ryan Loder 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Robert Valentin 38 of 47 80% 38 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 38 of 46
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ryan Loder vs. Robert Valentin
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Loder (+165), Valentin (-190)

Round 1
Only one competitor reps Team Shevchenko in the two finals matches, and Loder (6-1, 0-0 UFC) has the weight of his team on his shoulders. While Loder outworked Omran Chaaban in the semis, Valentin (10-3, 1 NC; 0-0 UFC) blew through the opposition with two first-round stoppages to come in as the odds-on favorite. Things will get underway under the watchful eye of referee Mark Smith, and he watches the middleweights slowly work towards one another without touching gloves to get started. Loder moves forward, and he lifts Valentin up and deposits him to the mat. Valentin threatens with a triangle choke off his back, allowing him to flip over and get to his hands and knees. Loder holds on from the side, and Valentin rolls over and ends up falling to his back. Loder attacks with a scarf hold and an armlock, and Valentin rolls all the way through the submission to miraculously take Loder’s back. Valentin gets his hooks in, and Loder scrambles madly to work his way to his knees. Valentin slides another hook in, and he flattens Loder out while sneaking a rear-naked choke under the chin. Loder ignores the choke and punches his opponent in the side of the head, and he stops punching and hand-fights. Loder sits up as the choke falls off, and he is dragged to his back as Valentin looks for another rear-naked choke. Through sheer force of will, Loder turns himself around in the body lock, and he winds up in top position. Loder slowly does work on top, opening up with the occasional elbow while Valentin keeps his guard closed. Loder opens the guard up with ground strikes, and Valentin responds with elbows off his back. Loder grinds the remainder of the round out.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Loder
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Loder
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Loder

Round 2
Loder reintroduces himself to start the round with a winging right hand, using it as a way to close the distance. Valentin knows what is coming, but he cannot stop it. A takedown from Loder dumps him on the ground, and he claims side control and starts to set up the crucifix position. With Valentin’s right arm between his legs and the left arm stuck on the other side, Loder is able to hammer Valentin with elbows. Valentin bucks and kicks, trying to push off the fencing and move any way he can, but Loder is flat on top of him battering him with elbows.
Smith keeps a close eye on the action, and the elbows start to mark Valentin’s face up and rip open a tiny cut on the cheek. Valentin defends his face but is taking damage, and that is all he is able to do. Loder does not let him off the hook, elbowing him with impunity until Smith has to call a halt to the match.
Just like that, "The Man of Steel" notches the slight upset and crowns himself the winner of TUF’s Season 32 at 185 pounds. In the cage, he is greeted with his trophy held by ring girl Red Dela Cruz, and not even coach Valentina Shevchenko appears to be in the building to celebrate her fighter pulling off the win.

The Official Result
Ryan Loder def. Robert Valentin R2 1:49 via TKO (Elbows)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Ryan Loder

Angelo picks Ryan Loder, describing him as a boring but effective wrestler who excels at controlling the fight. He notes that Loder will likely shoot takedowns when Valentin throws spinning attacks, and that Loder's grinding style should win the minutes. He expresses hope that Valentin wins because Loder's style is bad for the sport, but picks Loder nonetheless.

"Ryan loer is the pick but I am happy to be wrong here that style is why The Ultimate Fighter sucks"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 20, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ryan Loder

Cody picks Loder because of his power wrestling and ability to grind out a decision. He notes Loder is a D1 All-American wrestler who can take opponents down and control them for 15 minutes. He thinks Valentin's path to victory is striking, but Loder's wrestling will neutralize that. He also mentions that Valentin's wins on TUF were against weak competition.

"I'm going to go with that Power Wrestling style over valentin's uh you know striking damage heavy try to actually finish a fight"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Ryan Loder

Daniel Vreeland picks Ryan Loder, citing his D1 wrestling pedigree and ability to take down Valentin, who is susceptible to takedowns. He warns that Loder must actually use his wrestling and not stand and bang, but believes the path to victory is clear.

"I'm go Ryan loader here all you got to do is win to get that Ultimate Fighter trophy in contract"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Robert Valentin

JP picks Valentin by decision, thinking he is better on the feet and has decent enough grappling to stuff takedowns. He also thinks Valentin is a smarter fighter. He is not betting this fight. Brevin disagrees strongly, picking Loder as an underdog, praising his high IQ wrestling and ground-and-pound. Brevin notes Valentin's competition has been abysmal and he gets taken down easily.

"I'm going to take uh Valentine on the scorecards but I'm also not going to bet on this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Aug 20, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Paul admits he hasn't watched much of TUF and doesn't have a strong opinion. He notes that both fighters are unproven and the fight is a coin flip. He says he needs to do more research before making a pick.

"I don't have much of a take on this fight I'm not going to you know pretend that I do"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Robert Valentin

The MMA Guru picks Robert Valentin because he sees him as a more diverse finisher with underrated jiu-jitsu and nasty elbows. He acknowledges Ryan Loder's wrestling credentials but thinks Valentin can latch up a submission from anywhere. He notes Valentin has been a pro since 2016 and trains with good partners in Switzerland.

"I'm going with Robert Valentin and I don't care Ryan Lo is a really good Prospect he's got really good wrestling credentials"