vs
+370 -350
UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Cruz · Aug 13, 2022 · Flyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Cruz Next Fight
Age 42
Height 5' 7"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 34
Height 5' 7"
Reach 73"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Tyson Nam
3.87 SLpM
33.0% Str. Acc.
4.97 SApM
65.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
87.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Ode' Osbourne
2.94 SLpM
40.0% Str. Acc.
3.24 SApM
49.0% Str. Def.
0.94 TD Avg
29.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Tyson Nam
Moneyline
DraftKings +370
KO/TKO
DraftKings +650
Submission
BetRivers +2900
Decision
BetRivers +750
Ode' Osbourne
Moneyline
BetMGM -350
KO/TKO
FanDuel +195
Submission
BetRivers +600
Decision
BetWay +240
Tyson Nam - Fight History
LOSS vs Azat Maksum
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · Jul 15, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Azat Maksum 0 81 of 213 38% 98 of 242 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Tyson Nam 0 46 of 189 24% 46 of 190 2 of 11 18% 0 0 0:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Azat Maksum 0 19 of 49 38% 19 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 0 18 of 60 30% 18 of 60 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:16
2 Azat Maksum 0 31 of 80 38% 31 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 0 15 of 73 20% 15 of 73 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Azat Maksum 0 31 of 84 36% 48 of 113 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Tyson Nam 0 13 of 56 23% 13 of 57 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Azat Maksum 81 of 213 38% 27 of 149 19 of 28 35 of 36 79 of 209 2 of 4 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 46 of 189 24% 33 of 167 12 of 21 1 of 1 46 of 183 0 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Azat Maksum 19 of 49 38% 4 of 29 7 of 12 8 of 8 18 of 48 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 18 of 60 30% 10 of 50 7 of 9 1 of 1 18 of 57 0 of 3 0 of 0
2 Azat Maksum 31 of 80 38% 10 of 57 11 of 12 10 of 11 30 of 79 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 15 of 73 20% 10 of 64 5 of 9 0 of 0 15 of 70 0 of 3 0 of 0
3 Azat Maksum 31 of 84 36% 13 of 63 1 of 4 17 of 17 31 of 82 0 of 2 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 13 of 56 23% 13 of 53 0 of 3 0 of 0 13 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Azat Maksum

Angelo loves Azat Maksum, calling him one of the most talented new signings. He believes Maksum can touch Nam up on the feet and out-grapple him if needed. He notes Nam's age (39), recent knockout loss, and questionable chin. He says outside of a wild overhand, Nam won't win. He plans to parlay Maksum even at minus 300.

parlay piece
"I love azot here he is a parlay piece and the very second bet online allows me to Parlay him I will be doing that even at the minus 300 or whatever he is right now"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Azat Maksum

Big Brady picks Azat Maksum, believing he has multiple paths to victory. He notes Maksum is a good wrestler and grappler with power on the feet, while Tyson Nam relies heavily on knockout power and has low volume. He expects Maksum to take Nam down, breaking his 100% takedown defense, and likely find a submission in the second round. However, he refuses to bet at -415 for a debuting flyweight.

Submission in the second round; won't bet at -415
"I like maximum this fight down to the mat and probably find a submission here in the second round but minus 4 15 for a flyweight uh guy making his debut and not something I really want to touch this …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Azat Maksum

Cody picks Maksum, citing his youth, speed, volume, and wrestling. He notes Nam is 40, has low volume, and looked shot in his last fight. He acknowledges Nam's power and takedown defense but thinks Maksum's volume and wrestling will be too much. He considers a Nam by knockout prop at +650 as a long-shot but goes with Maksum.

Tyson Nam by knockout at +650
"I gotta go with youth speed agility volume is wrestling's okay maybe he's the first got to go out there and take NAMM down... not enough for me to go the other side so I got to go with the …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Azat Maksum

The host is high on Maksum, calling him a beast with a 16-0 record, patient striking, and relentless takedown chains. He expects Maksum to use in-and-out pressure, kicks from distance, and counters before taking the fight to the ground and finishing Nam via TKO. He notes Nam's age (nearly 40) and recent first finish in 10 years as factors favoring Maksum.

Maksum by TKO
"I expect Maxim to utilize very good in and out pressure utilizes kicks from distance counter-effectively but then get this fight to the ground and do good damage from on top and control where he might be able to eventually …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Azat Maksum

Paul picks Maksum, citing his solid all-around skills, quick hands, and light footwork. He thinks Maksum can win at any range and has enough wrestling. He notes Nam is older and has low volume, but has knockout power. He is unexcited by the -420 price but understands why Maksum is favored.

"I'll take maximum but you know me minus 420 is just like there's not much for me to do with that number"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Azat Maksum

The MMA Guru picks Azat Maksum over Tyson Nam, highlighting Maksum's undefeated record, regional dominance, and ability to rise to tough challenges. He notes Nam's recent KO loss to Bruno Silva and quick turnaround, questioning his durability. He predicts Maksum wins by KO or submission in the first round.

KO in the first round or submission
"I'm gonna have to go over as at Maxim getting a KO in the first round or a drop knocked down to a submission"
LOSS vs Bruno Silva
Technical Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 1:23 · UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · Mar 11, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bruno Silva 0 12 of 38 31% 12 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 1 23 of 45 51% 27 of 50 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:53
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bruno Silva 0 12 of 35 34% 12 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 0 19 of 36 52% 19 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Bruno Silva 0 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 1 4 of 9 44% 8 of 14 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:53
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bruno Silva 12 of 38 31% 6 of 31 3 of 4 3 of 3 12 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 23 of 45 51% 14 of 33 5 of 8 4 of 4 21 of 38 0 of 1 2 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bruno Silva 12 of 35 34% 6 of 28 3 of 4 3 of 3 12 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 19 of 36 52% 10 of 24 5 of 8 4 of 4 19 of 35 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Bruno Silva 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 4 of 9 44% 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 6
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Tyson Nam vs. Bruno Silva
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-195), Nam (+165)

Round 1
Moving right along, flyweights take center stage as two of the heavier handed competitors in the division meet. Fresh off a first-round knockout last August, Nam (21-12-1, 3-3 UFC) at 39 years of age looks to prove he still has some life left, and he steps into the cage against Brazilian bulldog Silva (12-5-2, 1 NC; 2-2, 1 NC UFC). Aware that this one could end in a moment’s notice, referee Chris Tognoni is prepped and ready for what happens next. There is no thought of offering a glove touch, and instead the two want to engage. Silva introduces himself with a whipping leg kick, and Nam smiles at him as he walks him down. Nam hand-fights with his left hand outstretched, and he follows a pawing left with a straight right. Silva circles away as Nam gives chase, with Nam lining up his right hand. Silva darts forward with two hooks, doing enough to make Nam smiles again. The Brazilian fires off another nasty low kick, and his subsequent combination flusters Nam. Silva spins with a back fist that collides perfectly off the side of Nam’s head, and the elder statesman simply grins at him. Tognoni warns Nam for outstretched fingers, and Silva boots his foe in the body. Nam continues to walk Silva down, and they trade low kick for low kick. Silva slides a right hand around the guard, and Nam practically ignores it as he kicks the inside thigh in response. Silva shoots in suddenly for a takedown, and Nam tosses it aside and ducks a looping punch. When Silva aims a kick to the ribcage, Nam catches him with an overhand right. Silva backs off as the jabs from Nam aim at his face, and he connects with a clean right hand while backing away. Nam bears down on him with a short salvo of punches, and Silva is mostly out of harm’s way in time. Silva goes for a takedown to keep Nam honest when Nam backs him against the wall, but Nam keeps his forward momentum when there is nothing to the entry. Nam blocks a spinning back fist as he marches onward, and he eats a body kick when trying to throw hands. Nam gets off his own body kick and scores a few punches to follow before the close round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Silva

Round 2
The bantamweights meet in the middle, but it is Silva that takes a backward step when Nam comes at him faster. Nam pushes out jab after inaccurate jab, and Silva times a spectacular front kick up the middle that smashes into Nam’s jaw and sends in crashing to the canvas. Silva leaps down on top in the blink of an eye into Nam’s guard, and he pummels a dazed Nam with ground strikes.
As Nam looks to escape and get his bearings, Silva slithers around to take the back as Nam is standing up. “Bulldog” snatches up a rear-naked choke without even getting a hook in, and Nam falls to the mat as Silva secures the back take. Silva gets his hooks in, and he crushes with his grip while Nam tries and fails to fight the hands and break the grip. As he is attempting to free himself from the submission, Nam goes out,
and Tognoni recognizes this and calls a halt to the match immediately. This is a big win for Silva, who may find himself with a number next to his name next week as he becomes the first man to submit the well-traveled Nam.

The Official Result
Bruno Silva def. Tyson Nam R2 1:23 via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean pick date unknown
Bruno Silva

Angelo leans toward Bruno Silva because he has more ways to win, being well-rounded with power, wrestling, and submissions. He acknowledges Tyson Nam's one-punch knockout power but prefers the versatility. He suggests the best bet might be Tyson Nam inside the distance (decision no action) due to Nam's toughness and Silva's potential rust from a two-year layoff.

Tyson Nam inside the distance (decision no action) bet suggestion
"I'm gonna lean Bruno because he has more ways to win this fight and I can't be picking people just praying for a one punch knockout so Bruno's gonna be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Bruno Silva

Big Brady picks Bruno Silva because he believes Silva will be the more active striker and has a clear grappling advantage. He notes that Tyson Nam relies on landing a big shot and doesn't grapple, and at 39 years old it's hard to favor him. Brady expects Silva to mix in takedowns and win by decision, as Nam's 100% takedown defense hasn't been tested by grapplers.

win by decision
"I think Silva does get the fight down to the mat mixing on the takedowns um being higher output on the feed and ultimately coming away with the decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean pick date unknown
Bruno Silva

Cody picks Silva but is hesitant due to the two-year layoff. He acknowledges Silva's momentum before the layoff and his training, but notes ring rust concerns. He prefers a prop on Nam by KO if the price is right.

considering Tyson Nam by KO if plus 400
"I'll pick a dog to open the show but um don't love it may not even yeah probably won't even bet it"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean pick date unknown
Tyson Nam

Connor picks Nam, favoring his pressure and counter-striking style. He notes that Nam is comfortable in the pocket and accurate with his right hand, while Silva tends to become frantic under pressure and may give Nam the openings he wants. He acknowledges Silva's toughness and tricky entries but thinks Nam's experience and timing will prevail.

Silva opened +130, now -196; Nam opened -150, now +162. Connor is surprised Silva is such a heavy favorite.
"I'll favor nam just because I think he is very comfortable in those in that kind of fight like getting lots of opportunities to counter while getting to pressure."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Bruno Silva

I think Silva's improvements in combination striking and his ability to take the fight to the ground will be key. He can avoid Nam's power by dragging him to the mat and controlling the fight there. Nam's decision-making is poor when he can't knock opponents out. Silva should win by decision, but be cautious of Nam's knockout power.

Silva by decision
"I'm gonna go Bruno bulldog logs over by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Bruno Silva

Paul picks Silva, noting his improvements and durability. He thinks Silva's wrestling and chin will be too much for Nam, who is a one-dimensional banger. He likes the -200 price relative to other favorites on the card.

"are you still taking Bruno Silva absolutely"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Bruno Silva

The MMA Guru picks Bruno Silva over Tyson Nam, despite Nam being the popular pick. He believes Silva is technical and has improved his boxing, making him dangerous. He notes Nam is 39 and questions his ability to get another KO win. The Guru predicts Silva will win by TKO finish.

by TKO
"I'm actually gonna go with Bruno Silva by finish over Tyson Nam by TKO"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean pick date unknown
Bruno Silva

Zane picks Silva, believing his durability and power will be the difference. He notes that Silva is very hard to knock out and will create exchanges, while Nam's low output could be a problem if Silva pressures him. He thinks Silva will do a little more over three rounds, but acknowledges it's a close fight.

"I think I'm gonna pick Silva just because I think neither of these guys are gonna go to sleep all right I think he's just gonna do a little more than them."
WIN vs Ode' Osbourne
KO (punches) R1 2:59 · UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Cruz · Aug 13, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tyson Nam 0 15 of 41 36% 15 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ode' Osbourne 1 13 of 25 52% 13 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tyson Nam 0 15 of 41 36% 15 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ode' Osbourne 1 13 of 25 52% 13 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tyson Nam 15 of 41 36% 7 of 32 7 of 8 1 of 1 15 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ode' Osbourne 13 of 25 52% 7 of 15 3 of 6 3 of 4 12 of 23 0 of 0 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tyson Nam 15 of 41 36% 7 of 32 7 of 8 1 of 1 15 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ode' Osbourne 13 of 25 52% 7 of 15 3 of 6 3 of 4 12 of 23 0 of 0 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ode' Osbourne

Angelo picks Ode' Osbourne, citing his power, range, and finishing ability at 125 pounds. He notes Tyson Nam is almost 40, has been inactive, and relies too much on power. Angelo has a moneyline bet on Osbourne at -220 and recommends it to premium members.

Moneyline bet at -220
"i gotta go with o'day here to stay busy threaten takedowns and get his third win at 125 pounds i got a money line bet on him at minus 220"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ode' Osbourne

Big Brady picks Ode' Osbourne to win by decision. He notes that Tyson Nam is 38 years old, almost 39, and has been inactive for a year and a half. Nam is a heavy hitter but throws low volume (3.64 strikes per minute) and has poor accuracy. Osbourne is more active, has power, and good submission defense. Brady expects Osbourne to outwork Nam and win a decision.

win by decision
"i think oda osborne wins this fight and i think he wins it by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ode' Osbourne

Cody picks Osbourne by decision, criticizing Nam's low volume and reliance on power. He notes Nam hasn't fought in two years and is 38. Cody believes Osbourne's reach and speed will allow him to pick Nam apart, and Nam won't land a knockout shot.

"i gotta take oday osbourne and uh i will give tyson in one thing dude's got some great durability on them so i'm thinking oda osborne would get it done by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ode' Osbourne

Daniel Levi picks Ode' Osbourne, citing his length, unorthodox striking, and improved game. He notes that Tyson Nam is knockout-dependent with low volume, and while Nam has power, Osbourne should win a decision unless he gets caught. Levi expects Osbourne to get his hand raised.

"Give me Ode' Osbourne to come out here and win a decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean pick date unknown
Tyson Nam

The host picks Nam as the best underdog he didn't bet straight up. He thinks Nam's power could clip Osbourne late, especially in the third round when Osbourne slows down. He notes Nam is 38 but power is the last thing to go. He only put a small bet on Nam round three at +2200, indicating low confidence in the moneyline.

Nam round 3 at +2200 (0.1 units on PointsBet).
"i'll just tell you guys i put point one unit on nam round three at plus 2200 on points bet"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ode' Osbourne

Paul picks Osbourne by decision at +240. He notes Nam is 38 and slow, while Osbourne is faster with a reach advantage. Paul thinks Osbourne will use his jab and volume to outpoint Nam, who is reluctant to let his hands go. He also likes Osbourne over 55.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks.

Osbourne by decision +240; Osbourne over 55.5 significant strikes (PrizePicks)
"audio uh od osborne by decision what does that pay what does that pay oh the osborne by decision that is that's that's tasty"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ode' Osbourne

The host picks Ode' Osbourne by first-round KO, calling it a logical bet. He notes Osbourne's youth and physicality advantages over the 38-year-old Tyson Nam, including a four-inch reach advantage. He compares their similar wins over common opponents and believes Osbourne's improvements will be decisive.

first round TKO
"oh day osborne first round ko i think this is a logical bet to make"
LOSS vs Matt Schnell
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Chiesa vs. Magny · Jan 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Matt Schnell 0 85 of 214 39% 85 of 214 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 0 58 of 193 30% 58 of 193 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Matt Schnell 0 19 of 62 30% 19 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 0 14 of 45 31% 14 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Matt Schnell 0 33 of 75 44% 33 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 0 22 of 69 31% 22 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Matt Schnell 0 33 of 77 42% 33 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 0 22 of 79 27% 22 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Matt Schnell 85 of 214 39% 69 of 195 10 of 12 6 of 7 83 of 212 2 of 2 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 58 of 193 30% 36 of 164 10 of 15 12 of 14 58 of 193 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Matt Schnell 19 of 62 30% 14 of 56 3 of 4 2 of 2 19 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 14 of 45 31% 8 of 38 2 of 3 4 of 4 14 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Matt Schnell 33 of 75 44% 27 of 69 3 of 3 3 of 3 33 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 22 of 69 31% 15 of 59 4 of 6 3 of 4 22 of 69 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Matt Schnell 33 of 77 42% 28 of 70 4 of 5 1 of 2 31 of 75 2 of 2 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 22 of 79 27% 13 of 67 4 of 6 5 of 6 22 of 79 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Tyson Nam vs. Matt Schnell

Round 1
The final men’s flyweight tilt on the card comes with top-10 implications when “Danger” Schnell (14-5, 4-3 UFC) puts his higher position in danger against heavy-handed Hawaiian Nam (20-11-1, 2-2 UFC). Holding on tight will be referee Herb Dean, who will try not to get caught up in a flurry of feet and fists. There is no glove touch, as it’s time to strike. Nam aims his right hand, and Schnell kicks the body and topples over. Nam does not have any interest in playing the ground game, so he allows Schnell to stand up and land a trio of punches. Schnell strings together a few punches while Nam just stares at him, slapping away punches without concern and stomping the floor to draw a reaction. Schnell gets in a solid right hand when he absorbs a leg kick, and he lets loose another right hook as Nam kicks at him once more. Schnell bites down on his mouthpiece to sling a right hand, and he pops Nam a few times with strikes. Nam’s right hand is ready and rearing to throw, but Schnell is quick on the action and lands a few shots and escapes. Nam reaches out with a right hand and throws a leg kick, and when Schnell replies to him with punches, Nam smiles. Schnell takes a quick combination on the chin, and he slams his shin on Nam’s knee. The Hawaiian stalks his man down and sneaks up a left uppercut, but Schnell pays it no mind as he gets off a front kick up the middle. Schnell keeps away with a few jabs, and one jab is able to disrupt the big right hand from the headhunting Nam. Nam lands a pair of punches to the body, and Schnell backs off and flicks out a few more jabs. Schnell sticks and moves while Nam sits down on his right hand, and he is out of the way when Nam slings it. Schnell sees the right hand coming as he slips it, keeping punches going and tagging Nam. Nam absorbs the blows and throws back, but he appears surprised at the latest dangerous barrage from “Danger.” Nam races forward only to eat a few short punches, and Schnell’s combinations are doing work and damage on Nam’s face. A cut has opened around Nam’s eye, and he paws at it when the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Schnell
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Schnell
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Schnell

Round 2
Schnell picks up where he left off with fast hands as he peppers Nam with strikes. Nam sits on a few punches, and Schnell backpedals while Nam rushes towards him. Schnell puts a three-piece on Nam before the Hawaiian can react, and he slips a few long punches from Nam. Schnell lands a jab, but Nam cracks him with a pair of big hooks that land flush. Schnell appears cautious as he has tasted Nam’s power, and a right hand dislodges Schnell’s mouthpiece. Nam is bearing down on his opponent, hunting his foe and slamming his right hand into Schnell’s cheek. Schnell wears it well but his pace and volume has diminished as he took some of those heavy shots, so Nam keeps it rolling by putting two punches together. Nam flicks out a jab a few times, and a leg kick of his disrupts the return fire from Schnell. The Hawaiian grins as he walks down his foe, but Schnell has started to get his jabs working again. Nam wings a couple of huge punches, and Schnell beats him to the punch but still eats a left hook. Five crisp punches land from Schnell, and Nam grins and throws back his own combination that is largely blocked. A naked body kick from Schnell allows Nam to land with a right hand over the top, but he absorbs it and takes a step back. Twin jabs from Schnell temporarily pause Nam’s rush forward, but the Hawaiian is quick to stalk his man down again and land blows. Three punches of Schnell lead to four from Nam, who is finding his mark more often this round. He swings a big right hand that narrowly misses the target, but one that comes after does not miss. The two flyweights trade to end the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Nam
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Nam
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Schnell

Round 3
Nam comes out aggressively, walking down his foe and throw leather. Schnell stays on the outside with crisp, straighter shots, and he ducks when Nam fires a big right hand that pulls him off-balance. Schnell puts three punches on Nam’s mug while Nam is coming at him, but Nam lands with his own shots in response. As Nam presses the action, Schnell gets off a check knee, and the Hawaiian is unconcerned as he clicks a left hand off the jaw. Nam blocks a one-two and absorbs a kick, leading Schnell to kick low as he backs away. A big right hand from Nam slides off the shoulder, and Schnell has his guard up when Nam comes at him with a fire and fury. Both men jab the other repeatedly, and Nam is beaming as he walks Schnell down but takes some shots. Schnell lands four before Nam can reach him, but Nam’s chin is study as he walks through them and gets off his own punch combo. An energized Nam walks Schnell down and lands heavy punches, all while Schnell greets him on the way in. Two big hooks shake up Schnell for a moment, but “Danger” gathers himself and jabs several times to back Nam off. Nam throws a two-punch combination so hard he almost falls over, and Schnell avoids the damage and gets off a few jabs here and there. Nam clubs him with a left hand, and he pushes in before clocking Schnell with a left hook. They trade it out to the bell, and this exciting kickboxing match is over. The scorecards could be very interesting in this 125-pound affair.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Nam (29-28 Nam)
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Schnell (29-28 Schnell)
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Nam (29-28 Schnell)

The Official Result
Matt Schnell def. Tyson Nam via Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tyson Nam

Big Brady believes Tyson Nam's power will be the difference. He notes that Matt Schnell is chinny and brawls with his chin up, which plays into Nam's hands. He predicts a knockout win for Nam, saying Schnell will get his fourth knockout loss. He suggests betting Nam inside the distance, as he doesn't see Nam winning a decision.

Tyson Nam inside the distance; Schnell by decision prop also possible
"give me tyson nam to get the knockout win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean pick date unknown
Matt Schnell

The host picks Matt Schnell because of his crisp boxing, combinations, and higher output compared to Tyson Nam's head-hunting style. He notes Schnell's reach advantage and improved jiu-jitsu, but is concerned about his chin and recent fight pullouts. He thinks Schnell can win a decision or even submit Nam, but is not fully confident.

Matt Schnell via decision at +225
"i love danger in the spot i just think that he needs to avoid the power"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tyson Nam

The MMA Guru picks Tyson Nam to win by first-round KO. He notes Nam's recent two KO wins (over Jerome Rivera and Zarrukh Adashev) and his power and accuracy. He believes Schnell's year-long layoff after a KO loss will backfire against a fast starter like Nam, and that Schnell's chin is suspect at flyweight.

first round KO
"tyson nam will get the job done here by ko in the first round"
WIN vs Jerome Rivera
TKO (punches) R2 0:34 · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · Sep 19, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tyson Nam 1 36 of 72 50% 36 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Jerome Rivera 0 30 of 80 37% 31 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tyson Nam 0 20 of 48 41% 20 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Jerome Rivera 0 28 of 76 36% 29 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Tyson Nam 1 16 of 24 66% 16 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Jerome Rivera 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tyson Nam 36 of 72 50% 27 of 58 7 of 12 2 of 2 18 of 47 3 of 3 15 of 22
Jerome Rivera 30 of 80 37% 9 of 45 2 of 11 19 of 24 29 of 79 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tyson Nam 20 of 48 41% 11 of 34 7 of 12 2 of 2 17 of 45 3 of 3 0 of 0
Jerome Rivera 28 of 76 36% 9 of 43 1 of 10 18 of 23 27 of 75 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Tyson Nam 16 of 24 66% 16 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 15 of 22
Jerome Rivera 2 of 4 50% 0 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tyson Nam

Big Brady picks Tyson Nam because he believes Nam's power will catch Rivera, who leaves openings on defense. He notes Rivera wants to take the fight to the ground but isn't great at getting it there, and Nam hits very hard. He predicts a first-round knockout, though he admits it's hard to bet on Nam due to low volume.

Nam inside the distance, Nam by knockout
"i do think mom's going to catch up maybe take a look at the nom inside the distance prop the num knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jerome Rivera

The host believes Jerome Rivera will be more active and offensive, using takedowns and cage work to outwork Tyson Nam. He notes Nam is a low-output fighter who relies on knockouts and rarely wins decisions, while Rivera has a solid chin and good movement. He expects Rivera to win by decision, as Nam is unlikely to finish him and will lose if he doesn't get a knockout.

Jerome Rivera by decision +305; Tyson Nam inside distance +125
"I truly think that this is Jerome Rivera's fight to win and I think he is going to win it."
KO (punch) R1 0:32 · UFC on ESPN: Eye vs. Calvillo · Jun 13, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tyson Nam 1 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Zarrukh Adashev 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tyson Nam 1 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Zarrukh Adashev 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tyson Nam 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
Zarrukh Adashev 2 of 6 33% 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tyson Nam 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
Zarrukh Adashev 2 of 6 33% 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Tyson Nam

The MMA Guru picks Tyson Nam, noting that Ryan Benoit has struggled since returning from a three-year layoff, losing to Jorge Vasquez and Heili Alateng. He believes Nam is a bigger guy and will get the jump on Benoit. He acknowledges the odds are even but favors Nam.

"I'm still gonna pick Tyson am. I think he's gonna get the job done."
LOSS vs Kai Kara-France
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · Feb 23, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kai Kara-France 0 78 of 257 30% 78 of 257 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:17
Tyson Nam 0 50 of 153 32% 52 of 155 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kai Kara-France 0 19 of 78 24% 19 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 0 13 of 53 24% 15 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
2 Kai Kara-France 0 25 of 80 31% 25 of 80 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:17
Tyson Nam 0 18 of 45 40% 18 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
3 Kai Kara-France 0 34 of 99 34% 34 of 99 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 0 19 of 55 34% 19 of 55 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:27
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kai Kara-France 78 of 257 30% 51 of 218 9 of 17 18 of 22 72 of 246 5 of 9 1 of 2
Tyson Nam 50 of 153 32% 34 of 131 11 of 17 5 of 5 48 of 146 2 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kai Kara-France 19 of 78 24% 11 of 63 4 of 7 4 of 8 17 of 75 2 of 3 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 13 of 53 24% 10 of 47 2 of 5 1 of 1 12 of 50 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Kai Kara-France 25 of 80 31% 13 of 64 3 of 7 9 of 9 23 of 76 2 of 4 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 18 of 45 40% 11 of 37 6 of 7 1 of 1 17 of 43 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Kai Kara-France 34 of 99 34% 27 of 91 2 of 3 5 of 5 32 of 95 1 of 2 1 of 2
Tyson Nam 19 of 55 34% 13 of 47 3 of 5 3 of 3 19 of 53 0 of 2 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Kai Kara-France

Daniel Levi picks Kai Kara-France by dominant decision, citing his higher output, ringmanship, and octagon experience. He acknowledges Tyson Nam's one-punch knockout power but believes Kara-France can avoid it and win the long game. Levi notes that Nam only throws hands and lacks variety, while Kara-France has a good right hand and better overall skills.

unanimous decision
"I'll go with Kai Kara-France by dominate decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Kai Kara-France

The host picks Kai Kara-France, noting his recent activity (three fights in 2019) and that his loss to Brandon Moreno is not a bad one. He believes Kara-France has a reach advantage over Tyson Nam despite Nam being bigger, and that Kara-France's younger, crisper striking will lead to a unanimous decision victory.

"I'm going to crack IRA France younger talent more crisp in a striking I think he's gonna crack Tyson Nam and hurt him a couple times for a unanimous decision victory"
LOSS vs Sergio Pettis
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · Sep 21, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sergio Pettis 0 96 of 253 37% 96 of 253 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Tyson Nam 0 40 of 170 23% 43 of 173 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sergio Pettis 0 17 of 57 29% 17 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 0 7 of 42 16% 7 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
2 Sergio Pettis 0 32 of 91 35% 32 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyson Nam 0 16 of 67 23% 16 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
3 Sergio Pettis 0 47 of 105 44% 47 of 105 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Tyson Nam 0 17 of 61 27% 20 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:28
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sergio Pettis 96 of 253 37% 76 of 224 5 of 13 15 of 16 90 of 245 5 of 7 1 of 1
Tyson Nam 40 of 170 23% 28 of 149 7 of 15 5 of 6 38 of 164 2 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sergio Pettis 17 of 57 29% 10 of 46 1 of 5 6 of 6 17 of 56 0 of 1 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 7 of 42 16% 4 of 35 1 of 4 2 of 3 7 of 41 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Sergio Pettis 32 of 91 35% 29 of 86 1 of 3 2 of 2 31 of 90 0 of 0 1 of 1
Tyson Nam 16 of 67 23% 11 of 60 2 of 4 3 of 3 16 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Sergio Pettis 47 of 105 44% 37 of 92 3 of 5 7 of 8 42 of 99 5 of 6 0 of 0
Tyson Nam 17 of 61 27% 13 of 54 4 of 7 0 of 0 15 of 56 2 of 5 0 of 0
Ode' Osbourne - Fight History
SCHED vs Cody Durden
UFC 329 · Jul 11, 2026
NC vs Alibi Idiris
NC R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · Feb 21, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ode' Osbourne 0 32 of 90 35% 48 of 107 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:58
Alibi Idiris 0 30 of 75 40% 62 of 117 5 of 15 33% 0 0 6:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ode' Osbourne 0 8 of 26 30% 8 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alibi Idiris 0 12 of 30 40% 19 of 37 1 of 6 16% 0 0 2:00
2 Ode' Osbourne 0 14 of 33 42% 15 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alibi Idiris 0 7 of 23 30% 19 of 41 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:15
3 Ode' Osbourne 0 10 of 31 32% 25 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:58
Alibi Idiris 0 11 of 22 50% 24 of 39 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:55
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ode' Osbourne 32 of 90 35% 21 of 74 11 of 15 0 of 1 27 of 84 5 of 6 0 of 0
Alibi Idiris 30 of 75 40% 22 of 58 1 of 5 7 of 12 22 of 64 2 of 4 6 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ode' Osbourne 8 of 26 30% 6 of 23 2 of 3 0 of 0 8 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alibi Idiris 12 of 30 40% 8 of 23 0 of 0 4 of 7 12 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 1
2 Ode' Osbourne 14 of 33 42% 7 of 23 7 of 10 0 of 0 11 of 29 3 of 4 0 of 0
Alibi Idiris 7 of 23 30% 5 of 17 0 of 3 2 of 3 3 of 18 1 of 2 3 of 3
3 Ode' Osbourne 10 of 31 32% 8 of 28 2 of 2 0 of 1 8 of 29 2 of 2 0 of 0
Alibi Idiris 11 of 22 50% 9 of 18 1 of 2 1 of 2 7 of 17 1 of 2 3 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ode' Osbourne

Angelo picks Ode' Osbourne, despite his poor takedown defense, because Alibi Idiris prefers to strike rather than wrestle. He believes Osbourne's superior striking and power will dominate if Idiris doesn't exploit the takedown weakness. He expresses frustration with Osbourne's lack of improvement in takedown defense.

"I'm going to pick Ode."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Alibi Idiris

Big Brady picks Alibi Idiris to defeat Ode' Osbourne, citing Osbourne's tendency to fade after a round and a half. He notes Osbourne is dangerous early but has poor cardio and suspect submission defense. He likes Idris's cardio, ability to mix in takedowns, and believes he can hurt Osbourne on the feet. He predicts a second-round knockout for Idris, though he acknowledges a submission is possible.

Alibi Idiris by second-round knockout
"I like Idris here. I think he's going to put a pace on Ode. ... give me Adeyris to win this fight. I'll say second round knockout for Aliebi Adeyris."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean pick date unknown
Ode' Osbourne

Cody thinks Osbourne's experience and reach advantage will be key. He notes Idiris looked poor against Joseph Morales and questions his heart. He expects Osbourne to edge a decision or get a late finish.

"OD Osborne wins more often than not to cover the plus money price tag. So, I'm going to take it."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean pick date unknown
Alibi Idiris

Connor takes a flyer on Idiris, noting that the style matchup is different from the Morales fight—Idiris will get to strike with Osbourne, which suits him better. He points out Idiris has actual pocket fighting feel and Osbourne is tense at range. However, he acknowledges Idiris may still not be ready.

"I might even take i'll take a flyer on a dearest. I think... at the very least I think a dearest should be regarded as a live dog against a fellow striker"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident pick date unknown
Alibi Idiris

James picks Alibi Idiris to win by finish, likely submission, citing Osbourne's struggles with grappling. He notes that Idiris trains with Asu Almabayev, who dominated Osbourne with takedowns and submissions. James believes Idiris will mix in grappling and eventually submit or ground-and-pound Osbourne.

"I'm going to pick Idris in this fight. I'm going to pick him to win via finish."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Alibi Idiris

Idiris is the better grappler and wrestler, and he should have a cardio advantage. Osbourne has power but fades after the first round and struggles with grappling. Idiris can survive the first round and then dominate with takedowns and control in the later rounds. The line has moved due to Osbourne's recent performance, but Idiris should win a decision.

"So once again, I'm going to go Idris and Idris by decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean pick date unknown
Ode' Osbourne

Paul agrees, citing Osbourne's five-inch reach advantage and experience against tougher competition. He thinks Idiris is unproven and that Osbourne's speed and length will cause problems. He expects Osbourne to win.

"Just so much more experience that if you put a slight even slight plus money next to OD's name, I'm going to have to click it as well."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Alibi Idiris

The MMA Guru picks Alibi Idiris, believing his grappling will be the difference. He notes that Idiris is well-rounded with good kicks, boxing, and grappling, and that Osbourne can be held down by grapplers. He references Idiris' fight with Vince Morales and thinks he can keep Osbourne on the ground.

"I'm going to take Al Iaquinta. ... I think he's going to beat Ode Osbourne and I do think his grappling is going to be the difference."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ode' Osbourne

Zane picks Osbourne, believing Idiris is not ready for a veteran like Osbourne. He notes that Idiris gassed quickly against Morales and was overwhelmed by being the nail. Zane thinks Osbourne can make Idiris the nail for a round and a half, and Idiris won't handle it.

"I still think ode osborn can make him the nail for a round and a half at which point I just don't think that idiris is ready for that"
LOSS vs Steve Erceg
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · Aug 09, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Steve Erceg 0 20 of 53 37% 39 of 82 3 of 10 30% 1 0 4:47
Ode' Osbourne 0 35 of 74 47% 47 of 89 1 of 2 50% 0 1 1:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Steve Erceg 0 3 of 11 27% 4 of 14 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:06
Ode' Osbourne 0 17 of 32 53% 26 of 44 1 of 1 100% 0 1 0:46
2 Steve Erceg 0 11 of 25 44% 18 of 33 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:58
Ode' Osbourne 0 12 of 25 48% 15 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
3 Steve Erceg 0 6 of 17 35% 17 of 35 2 of 2 100% 1 0 2:43
Ode' Osbourne 0 6 of 17 35% 6 of 17 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Steve Erceg 20 of 53 37% 10 of 42 10 of 11 0 of 0 12 of 43 6 of 8 2 of 2
Ode' Osbourne 35 of 74 47% 20 of 53 4 of 7 11 of 14 29 of 68 1 of 1 5 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Steve Erceg 3 of 11 27% 2 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
Ode' Osbourne 17 of 32 53% 10 of 21 0 of 2 7 of 9 12 of 27 0 of 0 5 of 5
2 Steve Erceg 11 of 25 44% 4 of 18 7 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 18 5 of 7 0 of 0
Ode' Osbourne 12 of 25 48% 7 of 19 2 of 3 3 of 3 11 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Steve Erceg 6 of 17 35% 4 of 14 2 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 15 0 of 0 2 of 2
Ode' Osbourne 6 of 17 35% 3 of 13 2 of 2 1 of 2 6 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean pick date unknown
Steve Erceg

Angelo picks Steve Erceg, emphasizing that Erceg is an accomplished wrestler who should use takedowns against Ode' Osbourne, who has poor takedown defense. He criticizes Erceg for not wrestling in recent fights. If Erceg wrestles, he should win; if he strikes, he could lose. Angelo hopes Erceg has learned from his mistakes.

"Steve Urs is going to be the pick. But if this idiot doesn't wrestle, Jesus Christ."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Steve Erceg

Big Brady is confident in Steve Erceg, noting his losses came only to champions or top contenders. He believes Erceg is better everywhere, especially in grappling, and that Osbourne has poor takedown defense, cardio, and durability. Brady predicts Erceg will submit Osbourne in the second round.

second round submission
"I like Steve quite a bit. Give me Steve Urs to win this fight and win it by second round submission."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Steve Erceg

Connor picks Erceg because he is a more structured, consistent fighter than Osbourne, who is fast but dysfunctional and gasses easily. He notes that Erceg's defense is a concern but that he manages distance well when on the front foot, and that Osbourne's tendency to jump into the pocket will lead to takedowns and grappling where Erceg has the advantage. Connor acknowledges the southpaw question but believes Erceg will handle it.

Odds mentioned: Erceg opened -350, currently -600; Osbourne opened +285, currently +425.
"I just don't think it's going to matter when Ode Osbourne is jumping into the pocket at him."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Steve Erceg

The host believes Erceg is the better fighter with superior Muay Thai and a BJJ black belt. He acknowledges Osbourne's speed and power shown in his last fight, which is a concern as Erceg has been dropped before. However, he thinks Erceg will dial it in to avoid a four-fight losing streak and win on the scorecards.

"I believe that Ersig is the better fighter here. I think his Muay Thai is superior to Osbourne's and I think his BJJ black belt can definitely prove him well should he uh decide to take this fight to the …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Steve Erceg

The MMA Guru picks Steve Erceg, calling him a more well-rounded mixed martial artist than Ronaldo Rodriguez, who beat Osbourne. He believes Erceg has better chin, submission defense, and IQ. He predicts a 30-27 decision or a third-round finish, dismissing Osbourne's chances unless he catches Erceg early.

"Steve Ursk should win this fight. ... I'm gonna go with Steve Ursk getting this one done. 30-27 decision, maybe a third round finish."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Steve Erceg

Zane picks Erceg, noting that Osbourne is a dark horse who can deliver a top flyweight result but is inherently dysfunctional. He highlights Osbourne's poor takedown defense (65%) and tendency to gas, while Erceg is tough, has good grappling, and doesn't make many mistakes going forward. Zane is concerned about Erceg's lack of experience against southpaws but thinks Osbourne's style will force wrestling, which favors Erceg.

Odds mentioned: Erceg opened -350, currently -600; Osbourne opened +285, currently +425.
"I think Osborne is just going to force that aspect of the game. And then once that happens, it's going to be Erceg's fight."
WIN vs Luis Gurule
TKO (punches) R2 1:54 · UFC on ESPN: Emmett vs. Murphy · Apr 05, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ode' Osbourne 1 18 of 43 41% 22 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Luis Gurule 0 12 of 34 35% 26 of 49 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ode' Osbourne 0 5 of 19 26% 5 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luis Gurule 0 7 of 19 36% 21 of 33 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:07
2 Ode' Osbourne 1 13 of 24 54% 17 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Luis Gurule 0 5 of 15 33% 5 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ode' Osbourne 18 of 43 41% 11 of 33 6 of 9 1 of 1 14 of 37 0 of 1 4 of 5
Luis Gurule 12 of 34 35% 3 of 13 0 of 7 9 of 14 11 of 32 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ode' Osbourne 5 of 19 26% 1 of 13 3 of 5 1 of 1 5 of 18 0 of 1 0 of 0
Luis Gurule 7 of 19 36% 1 of 7 0 of 3 6 of 9 7 of 18 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Ode' Osbourne 13 of 24 54% 10 of 20 3 of 4 0 of 0 9 of 19 0 of 0 4 of 5
Luis Gurule 5 of 15 33% 2 of 6 0 of 4 3 of 5 4 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Luis Gurule vs. Ode Osbourne
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gurule (-218), Osbourne (+180)

Round 1
His back likely against the wall in this flyweight pairing, Osbourne (12-8, 1 NC; 4-6 UFC) will try to put his three-fight skid in the past. He welcomes Factory X product Gurule (10-0, 0-0 UFC) to the promotion, with the latter working his way up the Fury FC circuit to reach the Contender Series last year. The 125ers will have referee Jason Herzog watching over the action to make sure nothing goes awry, and they elect to touch gloves first. Gurule leads off with a kid to the side, and Osbourne pays him back immediately with one. Gurule kicks low, and he darts away to the side and offers another. Osbourne kicks him in the side twice, and Gurule answers with a left hand and a high kick—both are blocked, but the sheer momentum budges him a bit. Osbourne walks Gurule down and punches him square in the face, and Gurule has to rebound off the fence to blink it out. “The Jamaican Sensation” goes after his foe with his rangy strikes, and he catches a body kick to come up with his other leg and boot Gurule in the face. They trade kicks on the outside, and Gurule ducks a punch and flips Osbourne all the way over to slam him down on his back. Gurule lands directly in side control and uses his shoulder to press down on Osbourne’s face and keep him flat on the canvas. Gurule looks for full mount, and he is bounced out of it while slashing down with an elbow. Osbourne pulls him back to half guard, and Gurule accepts this so he can elbow the Wisconsin native further. Gurule drops down some ground-and-pound, spurring Osbourne into desperately returning to his feet with 20 seconds left. Gurule drops for a single, and he lets it go to wing a left hand over the top. Gurule has a head kick bounce off the guard, and they clash with kicks at the same time to conclude the frame.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gurule
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Gurule
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gurule

Round 2
A fist bump leads into the action, where Gurule lets loose three kicks in rapid succession. Gurule ducks a strike to come up with a left hand, and he dances away from a one-two but is still in range for a front kick. Osbourne catches his man at the end of a right, and he times a ducking Gurule with an uppercut. The strike stops Gurule from completing the takedown, as Osbourne breaks free and jabs out a few times. Both men sting one another with long, straight punches, and Osbourne blocks a kick to drive a one-two down the pipe. When Gurule offers out a kick, Osbourne snipes him from his distance. This happens a second time, a naked kick from the unbeaten fighter is met with a concussive left hand that sends him to the floor in a heap.
Osbourne is surprised at the success of his blow, and he has to commit to finishing the fight rather than walking off. He leaps on the side of his opponent and hammers him with a number of unanswered right hands. As the punches continue to mount, Herzog says enough is enough and calls a halt to the match.
Just like that, the upset has been completed, while Gurule has been firmly ejected from the ranks of the unbeaten. Meanwhile, Osbourne can rest a little easier with that win on his belt, having put Gurule down with what he called a “Dewey Cooper special.”

The Official Result
Ode Osbourne def. Luis Gurule R2 1:54 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean pick date unknown
Luis Gurule

Angelo acknowledges Ode' Osbourne is better than his recent record and nearly won his last fight, but he thinks Osbourne may be dejected after three losses and that his grappling gaps remain. He picks Luis Gurule due to his pressure, power, and grappling, but warns that undefeated UFC debuts often lose and advises against betting. He calls it a trap fight where Osbourne could win out of nowhere.

"I'm going to go with Luis here because despite the experience Gap oday hasn't closed his grappling gaps and I think Luis can get the grappling going."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Luis Gurule

Big Brady picks Luis Gurule despite not being impressed with him. He notes Ode' Osbourne has durability and cardio issues, often fading after the first round. He expects Gurule's solid cardio and durability to take over as the fight progresses, leading to a decision win.

"I'm going to take Luis GLE to win this fight winning this fight by decision"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean pick date unknown
Ode' Osbourne

Connor picks Osbourne but is not confident. He notes that Osbourne is a stiff test for Gurule, who has a raw game and may not be on the level. He mentions that Osbourne's experience against better competition should matter, but also that Osbourne's losses follow a pattern of losing to better athletes.

Osbourne opened at +181, now +216; Connor thinks the line is too wide.
"I think osborne come rushes out probably wins the first round. Ghoulais pressure gets to him in the third and he loses the third and it's just a question of what happens in the middle"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Luis Gurule

Gurule is making his UFC debut with a 10-0 record and is expected to put on a pace and pressure that Osbourne cannot keep up with, leading to a third-round stoppage.

third round stoppage
"I really like Gru in the spot making his UFC debut with a 10 and0 record and I expect him to go out there and put on a pace and pressure that Osborne is unable to keep up with leading …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean pick date unknown
Luis Gurule

The Guru picks Luis Gurule, noting his undefeated record and grindy style. He criticizes Ode' Osbourne for losing to Ronaldo Rodriguez and having multiple submission losses. He expects a close decision but thinks the prospect will get the nod over Osbourne, who he considers not good enough.

"I'm going to go with Lewis Geru grling his way to a win with a grindy style on the inside. I'm going to pick Lewis Garul. Close decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Ode' Osbourne

Zane picks Osbourne, citing his experience and speed advantage. He notes that Osbourne is too quick and experienced for Gurule, who is raw and not a great athlete. However, he acknowledges that Osbourne tends to fade after the first round and that Gurule's pressure could be a factor in the later rounds.

Osbourne opened at +181, now +216; Zane thinks the line is too wide in favor of Gurule.
"for the hell of it i'll pick osborne cool, it's just going to be too experienced and too quick"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 306: O'Malley vs. Dvalishvili · Sep 14, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ronaldo Rodríguez 0 35 of 69 50% 68 of 117 1 of 2 50% 0 1 9:14
Ode' Osbourne 1 37 of 68 54% 55 of 93 1 of 3 33% 2 1 1:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ronaldo Rodríguez 0 6 of 14 42% 25 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 1 4:14
Ode' Osbourne 1 18 of 32 56% 30 of 45 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:08
2 Ronaldo Rodríguez 0 19 of 24 79% 29 of 40 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:10
Ode' Osbourne 0 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:22
3 Ronaldo Rodríguez 0 10 of 31 32% 14 of 40 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:50
Ode' Osbourne 0 13 of 26 50% 19 of 38 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ronaldo Rodríguez 35 of 69 50% 29 of 61 1 of 2 5 of 6 10 of 31 0 of 0 25 of 38
Ode' Osbourne 37 of 68 54% 28 of 59 4 of 4 5 of 5 22 of 46 0 of 0 15 of 22
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ronaldo Rodríguez 6 of 14 42% 4 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 2 1 of 6 0 of 0 5 of 8
Ode' Osbourne 18 of 32 56% 15 of 29 2 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 14 0 of 0 12 of 18
2 Ronaldo Rodríguez 19 of 24 79% 18 of 23 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 18 of 22
Ode' Osbourne 6 of 10 60% 5 of 9 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 3 of 4
3 Ronaldo Rodríguez 10 of 31 32% 7 of 27 0 of 1 3 of 3 8 of 23 0 of 0 2 of 8
Ode' Osbourne 13 of 26 50% 8 of 21 2 of 2 3 of 3 13 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean pick date unknown
Ronaldo Rodríguez

Angelo picks Ronaldo Rodríguez but advises against betting. He notes Ronaldo has multiple paths to victory (striking, ground) but his takedowns are not great, while Osbourne is a dangerous striker who has only lost due to wrestling, not striking. Angelo warns against the narrative that Osbourne is a free bet, as he is a good striker. He picks Ronaldo but stays away from betting.

Advises staying away from bets; warns against assuming Ronaldo is a free bet.
"I am going to pick Ronaldo here because of he's you know the multiple pass to Victory... but I'm likely staying away from bets here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ronaldo Rodríguez

Big Brady initially had concerns about Rodríguez after his first round against Bonder, but he favors Rodríguez's durability and heart over Osbourne's questionable durability. He predicts Rodríguez will lose the first round but break Osbourne in the second via submission.

second round submission
"I'm going to go with Rodriguez here I'll say he loses the first round and then kind of breaks oday in the second so give me Rodriguez to win this fight by second round submission"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ronaldo Rodríguez

Daniel picks Ronaldo Rodríguez, calling Ode' Osbourne a 'busted prospect' who hasn't improved and struggles with weight cuts. He notes Rodríguez's durability, faster hands, and scrambling ability, and believes Rodríguez will win despite being green. He expects to fade Rodríguez later but not this fight.

"I think that lazy boy can scramble back up and I think despite how green Lazy Boy is I think he's gonna win this fight"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ronaldo Rodríguez

Daniel Vreeland also picks Ronaldo Rodríguez, citing Osbourne's wrestling background being more wrestling than jiu-jitsu, and that Rodríguez is a sharp grappler who can reverse positions. He notes Osbourne has lost a step and is too slow and hitable. He also mentions Rodríguez's youth and speed at 125 pounds.

"I personally think OD is just probably going to be too slow he's probably going to be too hitable and if he does try to get that wrestling going I don't think it works for him here either so give …"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ronaldo Rodríguez

Jeff Fox picks Ronaldo Rodríguez because he is ascending and much younger, while Ode' Osbourne is on the way down. He notes Osbourne's wrestling background hasn't played out well recently and that Rodríguez is a sharp grappler who can handle Osbourne's takedowns. He also mentions Rodríguez's speed and athleticism at flyweight.

"I like Rob Ruez he is ascending for sure against the guy who's seems to like I said be on the way down so give me the much younger guy at a uh lightweight class pretty much any day"
LU
Lucrative James Expert pick date unknown

The transcript does not discuss this fight.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ronaldo Rodríguez

Rodriguez is a very solid fighter who will cause Osborne a lot of trouble. Osborne may have early success with takedowns and control time, but Rodriguez will provide resistance and pressure Osborne on the feet, eventually finding a finish in the second round, likely by submission.

finish in the second round, likely by submission
"I think Rodriguez will continue to provide resistance and then pressure Osborne on the feet eventually finding that finish in the second round likely by submission"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ronaldo Rodríguez

The MMA Guru picks Ronaldo Rodríguez. He notes Osbourne has been beaten too many times and has been submitted in his last two fights. Rodríguez is a consistent finisher with submissions, and Osbourne has been put away by submission recently. He also mentions Rodríguez's win over Dennis Bondar and that Osbourne lost to Charles Johnson (though he thought Johnson won).

"I'm gonna go Ronaldo Rodriguez OD Osborne's just been beaten too many times for my Lykan um and Ronaldo Rodriguez is a consistent finisher"
LOSS vs Jafel Filho
Submission R1 4:27 · UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Mar 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jafel Filho 0 21 of 35 60% 43 of 66 1 of 1 100% 2 0 3:21
Ode' Osbourne 0 0 of 5 0% 1 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jafel Filho 0 21 of 35 60% 43 of 66 1 of 1 100% 2 0 3:21
Ode' Osbourne 0 0 of 5 0% 1 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jafel Filho 21 of 35 60% 18 of 31 2 of 2 1 of 2 3 of 7 0 of 0 18 of 28
Ode' Osbourne 0 of 5 0% 0 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jafel Filho 21 of 35 60% 18 of 31 2 of 2 1 of 2 3 of 7 0 of 0 18 of 28
Ode' Osbourne 0 of 5 0% 0 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert pick date unknown

Angelo is surprised Filho is a legitimate favorite. He acknowledges Filho's grappling advantage and size on the ground, and that Osbourne was taken down easily in his last fight. However, he has too much respect for Osbourne's striking and scramble skills to bet on this fight. He decides to leave it alone, making no pick.

"ultimately jofel probably wins this fight but I have way too much respect for oday his striking game his scramble skills to bet on this fight I'm going to leave this alone"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jafel Filho

Big Brady picks Jafel Filho to win by second-round submission. He believes Filho's toughness and ground game will be too much for Osbourne, who has poor cardio and has been submitted before. He expects Filho to survive an early onslaught and then take over.

by second round submission
"I'm going to take Philo to win this fight by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jafel Filho

Cody picks Jafel Filho, praising his grappling and finishing ability. He notes Osbourne is prone to mistakes and has submission issues. Filho can take a punch and will relentlessly pursue takedowns and submissions. He expects Filho to catch a submission once the fight hits the ground.

by submission
"Filho kid looks pretty good I think he continues to make improvements... he's probably gonna catch a submission at some point."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jafel Filho

The host acknowledges Osbourne's early danger with speed and power but expects Filho to deal with that, wear on Osbourne against the cage, and drag him to the ground for a submission in the second or third round. He notes Osbourne tends to slow down and give up bad positions, similar to his fight against Alateng.

submission
"give me fio by sub"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jafel Filho

Paul also picks Filho, highlighting Osbourne's durability and submission issues. He likes the under 2.5 rounds prop at -185, noting Filho comes hot and Osbourne may not withstand the onslaught. He mentions Filho has third-round finishes, showing he can finish late.

under 2.5 rounds (-185)
"I like him as well... the under two and a half rounds is minus 185 in most places don't I don't mind that."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Jafel Filho

The Guru picks Jafel Filho, calling it a no-brainer. He highlights Filho's submission win over Daniel Barez while concussed, and his near-submission of Muhammad Mokaev. He dismisses Osbourne's wins as against low-level opponents like Jerome Rivera and Zhalgas Zhumagulov, and notes Osbourne is 32 and not a young prospect. He expects Filho to find a submission in round one or two.

submission in round one or two
"I'm going jeffel philho um I think this is a no-brainer... I reckon he'll be able to find his submission at some point in round one or two."
LOSS vs Asu Almabayev
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 3:11 · UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Font · Aug 05, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Asu Almabayev 0 4 of 18 22% 8 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Ode' Osbourne 0 26 of 40 65% 52 of 78 2 of 5 40% 2 0 5:24
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Asu Almabayev 0 3 of 8 37% 6 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Ode' Osbourne 0 21 of 31 67% 35 of 52 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:23
2 Asu Almabayev 0 1 of 10 10% 2 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ode' Osbourne 0 5 of 9 55% 17 of 26 1 of 4 25% 1 0 2:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Asu Almabayev 4 of 18 22% 4 of 16 0 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 17 0 of 0 1 of 1
Ode' Osbourne 26 of 40 65% 17 of 31 5 of 5 4 of 4 9 of 14 0 of 0 17 of 26
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Asu Almabayev 3 of 8 37% 3 of 6 0 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1
Ode' Osbourne 21 of 31 67% 14 of 24 4 of 4 3 of 3 4 of 6 0 of 0 17 of 25
2 Asu Almabayev 1 of 10 10% 1 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ode' Osbourne 5 of 9 55% 3 of 7 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Asu Almabaev vs. Ode Osbourne
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Almabaev (-185), Osbourne (+154)

Round 1
Gary Copeland will be the third man in the cage for this flyweight affair. They touch gloves and Almabaev opens with a low kick right away. Almabaev stays on the outside and attacks with an inside leg kick. Almabaev steps in and connects with an overhand right. Osborne shakes it off and looks for openings to attack. Almavaev loads up for another overhand right and shoots for a single leg takedown, planting Osbourne on his seat in the center of the cage. Almabaev pushes Osbourne to his back and settles into his opponent’s full guard. Almabaev works to create space for ground-and-pound, landing the occasional punch or elbow. Osbourne works his legs up and briefly threatens with a triangle before absorbing a solid left hand. Almabaev is content to work inside guard while methodically landing punches with either hand. Osbourne brings his leg up again, but Almabaev clears the legs and passes to side control. Almabaev lands an elbow that Osbourne doesn’t like, and he transitions to a modified guillotine choke. Osbourne survives until the horn. It's noteworthy that Almabaev is bleeding, presumably from an elbow Osbourne landed from his back.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Almabaev
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Almabaev
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Almabaev
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Round 2
Almabaev throws a head kick before shooting for a takedown. Osbourne does a good job using the fence to remain upright before separating from the clinch. Almabaev is throwing big strikes: a head kick, an overhand right and then a spinning kick, which is followed by a failed double leg. Almabaev goes for a couple low kicks, then gets deep on a body lock and trips Osbourne to the canvas. Almabaev works his way to Osbourne’s back. Osbourne gets to a knee before his foe jumps on his back and pulls him down with a body triangle in place. Almabaev lands some punches while hunting for the rear-naked choke. Osbourne briefly has wrist control before
Almabaev deftly slides his right arm around his opponent’s jaw. The choke isn’t completely under Osbourne’s neck, but the squeeze is tight.
Osbourne has no choice but to tap after a few seconds of resistance.

The Official Result
Asu Almabaev def. Ode Osbourne via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) R2 3:11
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Asu Almabayev

Angelo picks Asu Almabayev despite it being his UFC debut, citing his flashy striking and dominant wrestling. He notes that Almabayev lifts opponents off the mat and controls them, which will exhaust Osbourne. He acknowledges Osbourne has power and can wrestle, but thinks he will be outmatched. Angelo has a half-unit bet on Almabayev at -155.

0.5 units at -155
"I have a half a unit on him at minus 155"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Asu Almabayev

Big Brady likes Almabayev's wrestling and control, noting he is position-over-submission and doesn't make mistakes. He thinks Almabayev will push a wrestling-heavy pace and has a cardio advantage. He acknowledges Osbourne is dangerous off his back and has power, but expects Almabayev to win by decision, staying safe on top.

Almabayev by decision
"I'm going to take amab to win this fight I'm going to take him to Win It by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Asu Almabayev

Cody picks Almabayev by submission at +300, citing his strong takedown entries and transitions to the back. He notes Osbourne's poor takedown defense and history of being submitted. He believes Almabayev will wrestle heavily and eventually find a submission.

Almabayev by submission +300
"Alma bio by submission best price right now is plus 300... I'm hoping to get a slightly better price"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean pick date unknown
Ode' Osbourne

Daniel Levi picks Ode' Osbourne, expressing skepticism about Almabayev's level of competition. He notes that Almabayev struggled against aging UFC vets and has a low-output style. Levi believes Osbourne is more active and dangerous on the feet, with good length and submissions off his back. He is concerned about Osbourne's durability and tendency to play off his back, but thinks Osbourne's offensive skills can overcome Almabayev's wrestling.

No specific prop bet. Notes that sharp action is on Almabayev, but Levi disagrees.
"I'm gonna go ode Osborne here for the upset."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean pick date unknown
Ode' Osbourne

James thinks the line is too wide favoring Almabayev. He notes Almabayev is a grappler but may not consolidate position for 15 minutes, while Osbourne is a good athlete with a decent sprawl. He also mentions the UFC debut trend often leads to underperformance. He picks Osbourne outright but says he wouldn't go crazy betting him.

"I do think this line is a bit wide... I'm going to pick Ode' Osbourne outright."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Asu Almabayev

Almabayev is a solid Kazakhstani wrestler with a 17-2 record, showing good takedowns and reversals. Osbourne has cardio issues after the first round and is expected to drown under pressure. Unless Osbourne lands a Hail Mary knockout or submission early, Almabayev will finish him in the second or third round.

finish in round 2 or 3
"I think he's gonna falter break and eventually get finished by all mabiv and the second or third round of this matchup"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Asu Almabayev

Paul agrees with Almabayev, citing Osbourne's struggles against grapplers and his poor takedown defense. He notes Almabayev's wrestling and cardio, and expects him to grind out a decision or get a submission. He is confident in the pick despite Almabayev's debut.

"I'm also going to take him"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean pick date unknown
Ode' Osbourne

The host picks Ode' Osbourne as an underdog, citing his UFC experience against legit competition versus Almabayev's padded resume. He notes Osbourne's southpaw stance, reach advantage, and improved grappling, but acknowledges the risk if Almabayev gets takedowns. He sees value at +148 and believes Osbourne can keep it standing and use his athleticism.

value at +148, line movement from +123 to +148
"I'm gonna side with the dog here okay I'm not gonna say it with an overwhelming amount of confidence but uh you know he's the underdog and I don't think that that's necessarily warranted especially when you're catching lines and …"
Decision (split) (28-29, 29-28, 29-28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · Feb 25, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ode' Osbourne 0 48 of 154 31% 50 of 157 3 of 10 30% 0 0 2:53
Charles Johnson 0 60 of 127 47% 74 of 147 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ode' Osbourne 0 23 of 62 37% 24 of 63 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Charles Johnson 0 21 of 38 55% 24 of 42 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:32
2 Ode' Osbourne 0 11 of 48 22% 12 of 50 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:06
Charles Johnson 0 16 of 39 41% 20 of 48 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:33
3 Ode' Osbourne 0 14 of 44 31% 14 of 44 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:47
Charles Johnson 0 23 of 50 46% 30 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ode' Osbourne 48 of 154 31% 17 of 110 10 of 15 21 of 29 45 of 150 3 of 4 0 of 0
Charles Johnson 60 of 127 47% 28 of 78 10 of 24 22 of 25 42 of 101 17 of 25 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ode' Osbourne 23 of 62 37% 5 of 37 3 of 4 15 of 21 23 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
Charles Johnson 21 of 38 55% 6 of 22 5 of 6 10 of 10 13 of 28 7 of 9 1 of 1
2 Ode' Osbourne 11 of 48 22% 4 of 38 2 of 3 5 of 7 11 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
Charles Johnson 16 of 39 41% 12 of 29 0 of 6 4 of 4 14 of 35 2 of 4 0 of 0
3 Ode' Osbourne 14 of 44 31% 8 of 35 5 of 8 1 of 1 11 of 40 3 of 4 0 of 0
Charles Johnson 23 of 50 46% 10 of 27 5 of 12 8 of 11 15 of 38 8 of 12 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Charles Johnson vs. Ode Osbourne
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Johnson (-170), Osbourne (+145)

Round 1
Jumping up on late notice to compete on the card, Osbourne (11-5, 1 NC; 3-3 UFC) will look to lift his UFC record above .500 when he faces Johnson (13-3, 2-1 UFC). Due to this coming together within a few weeks of the event, what was once a flyweight affair between Johnson and Denys Bondar will now take place at 130 pounds. This catchweight contest will receive oversight by referee Kerry Hatley, and despite being happy to be fighting after all, they elect not to touch gloves. They two meet in the middle but are fairly cautious to engage, with a few kicks thrown by either man in the first 30-second stretch. Osbourne works on Johnson’s lead wheel with a few calf kicks, and he steps forward with a one-two to knock “InnerG” back. Johnson tries to grab the low leg when Osbourne whips it at his lead leg, but this fails and he eats a few powerful leg kicks. Johnson switches stances to take some of the burden off the kicking damage, and he flicks a front kick at his man that gets him thrown to the floor. Osbourne chops at his foe a few more times, and he gest one off on the inside that draws a physical reaction out of Johnson. Johnson paws out a few jabs, and he has a head kick blocked. Osbourne turns his hips into an inside low kick, and Johnson changes stances after absorbing that flush. Osbourne looks to let his hands go, and Johnson weaves out of the way. The two hand-fight in front of one another, and Osbourne manages to get off a jab and check a kick. When Johnson throws one, Osbourne throws two or three back. Osbourne is making Johnson flinch every time, and Johnson starts talking to him as he switches stances taking these unblocked kicks. Osbourne catches a dipping Johnson with an uppercut, and he leans back when getting countered. Johnson bears down on his opponent with a few punches, and Osbourne catches his leg and pushes him back. Johnson leaps in the air and ends up landing a right hand instead of the flying knee while midair, and when he lands, he grabs “The Jamaican Sensation” and throws him down to the canvas with emphasis. Osbourne works his way back up quickly against the fence, and Johnson knees him several times on the way up before Osbourne breaks the grip and escapes. Osbourne scores a one-two, Johnson uses head movement to dodge the worst of the blows, and he has a low kick caught when responding. Both men land shots at the bell, and they hug it out when landing shots after it concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Osbourne
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Osbourne
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Osbourne

Round 2
The two measure one another in the early going of Round 2, pawing at one another with little on their strikes. Johnson powers forward in an attempt for a possible takedown, only to get thwarted. When he backs off, Johnson pushes off with a front kick that slams square into the cup. Osbourne goes down in a heap, writhing in pain as Hatley stops the clock to give him five minutes to recover – and Osbourne might need it. Johnson goes to his corner to have a seat, having apologized for the foul. Hatley informs him to be careful, and Johnson is not defiant and knows what happened. Osbourne crawls towards the commentary team and tells color commentator Michael Bisping that this was one of the worst groin shots he’s ever taken. Osbourne pulls himself up to his feet after 4:15 of recovery time, and he bounces and tries to get his wind back as he is still compromised. Osbourne signals that he is good to go with just 15 seconds left of the five-minute window, and they get right back to fighting. Osbourne gets back to kicking at the lead leg, and he turns to plant a side kick on the knee to hyperextend it. Johnson grimaces, and Osbourne attacks the same knee with the same kick to great success. Johnson looks to step in with an elbow, and he pushes off the chest with a side kick. Johnson dips forward to strike, and Osbourne intercepts him with two punches and catches a high kick that flies at him. Osbourne lets it go and releases a heavy body kick, and he strafes on the outside. Johnson gets up close and ties up his man, belting him with a clean elbow on the inside before pushing him up to the wall. Johnson considers a trip or level change, and Osbourne turns him around and drops down for a single of his own. Johnson stands him up and knees him a few times, as they jockey for position on the cage. Osbourne redoubles his effort for a single, and when he leans low, Johnson swirls around and takes his back standing up. Johnson slides down to the ground and ends up on his back, with his legs up high fishing for a triangle choke or some submission from that angle. A wild scramble leads to Osbourne tripping his foe back to the mat, and they both jump back up and resume striking. An elbow or two from Johnson up close opened up a cut on Osbourne’s face, and he pays it no mind. They throw caution to the wind in the waning seconds of the round, throwing punches and high kicks before Osbourne shoots for a takedown at the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Osbourne
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Osbourne
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Osbourne

Round 3
Before the last round begins, the two fighters touch gloves. When they begin, it is Johnson pushing the accelerator with several kicks low and high. Osbourne catches one such front kick and is unsuccessful to throw Johnson to the floor. Johnson pulls it back and fires off a high kick, slipping and landing on the canvas. Osbourne dives on top, but cannot gain dominant position before Johnson climbs back to his feet. The two clinch up as Johnson targets knees to the body, and Osbourne drops down for a level change but opts for a possible body lock to trip. “InnerG” protects himself and pushes them out to the middle of the cage, and he works on Osbourne’s lead leg. Johnson continues to land knees until a responsive knee from Osbourne breaks them apart. Johnson steps forward with a straight left hand, and he ducks to his side. Osbourne times a head kick that very nearly takes him out, but Johnson moves just enough to take the full sting out of it. Johnson jabs his way in, frustrating Osbourne until Osbourne shoots for a naked takedown. Johnson snatches up a guillotine choke on the way down, and he lets it go so that he can muscle his way back to his feet. Osbourne gets one leg around the side to try to take the back standing, but there is nothing to it as Johnson pushes off with 90 seconds to spare. A spent Johnson meanders forward, hands down, taking punches until Osbourne grabs him and puts him on the mat. Johnson’s guillotine defensive reaction is less strong this time, and he lets it go so that he can wall-walk rather than spend time on his seat. Osbourne steps back to knee the body and comes up short with a left hand, and he ducks a punch to pursue a takedown. Johnson sprawls and jumps around to take the back, but Osbourne just stands back up. They both stand up, and decide it’s time to empty their gas tanks with one final slugfest. They both smack one another around, but ultimately reach the final bell. Judges could have their hands full with this one, depending on how the last two close rounds were scored.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Osbourne (30-27 Osbourne)
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Osbourne (30-27 Osbourne)
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Osbourne (30-27 Osbourne)

The Official Result
Ode Osbourne def. Charles Johnson via Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Johnson

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Johnson. He highlights that Johnson has become a more aggressive fighter since his loss to Muhammad Mokaev, and that Osbourne is a tricky but fragile fighter who often loses by getting knocked out. He notes that Johnson is a big flyweight with good range and durability, and that Osbourne's style of gambling with strikes makes him vulnerable.

"I hope this is another impressive one. And then we get to see Charles Johnson getting tested for contention very soon."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Charles Johnson

Zane picks Johnson, noting that Johnson has added an aggressive mindset to his already solid technical skills. He believes Johnson will knock Osbourne out, as Osbourne is not very durable and tends to get cracked when his gambles don't pay off. He also notes that Johnson is a big flyweight who is tough to hit clean and has never been knocked out.

"If he can be the same kind of fighter against Oda Osborne, he's gonna knock Oda Osborne out."
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ode' Osbourne

Angelo picks Ode' Osbourne, citing his power, range, and finishing ability at 125 pounds. He notes Tyson Nam is almost 40, has been inactive, and relies too much on power. Angelo has a moneyline bet on Osbourne at -220 and recommends it to premium members.

Moneyline bet at -220
"i gotta go with o'day here to stay busy threaten takedowns and get his third win at 125 pounds i got a money line bet on him at minus 220"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ode' Osbourne

Big Brady picks Ode' Osbourne to win by decision. He notes that Tyson Nam is 38 years old, almost 39, and has been inactive for a year and a half. Nam is a heavy hitter but throws low volume (3.64 strikes per minute) and has poor accuracy. Osbourne is more active, has power, and good submission defense. Brady expects Osbourne to outwork Nam and win a decision.

win by decision
"i think oda osborne wins this fight and i think he wins it by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ode' Osbourne

Cody picks Osbourne by decision, criticizing Nam's low volume and reliance on power. He notes Nam hasn't fought in two years and is 38. Cody believes Osbourne's reach and speed will allow him to pick Nam apart, and Nam won't land a knockout shot.

"i gotta take oday osbourne and uh i will give tyson in one thing dude's got some great durability on them so i'm thinking oda osborne would get it done by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ode' Osbourne

Daniel Levi picks Ode' Osbourne, citing his length, unorthodox striking, and improved game. He notes that Tyson Nam is knockout-dependent with low volume, and while Nam has power, Osbourne should win a decision unless he gets caught. Levi expects Osbourne to get his hand raised.

"Give me Ode' Osbourne to come out here and win a decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean pick date unknown
Tyson Nam

The host picks Nam as the best underdog he didn't bet straight up. He thinks Nam's power could clip Osbourne late, especially in the third round when Osbourne slows down. He notes Nam is 38 but power is the last thing to go. He only put a small bet on Nam round three at +2200, indicating low confidence in the moneyline.

Nam round 3 at +2200 (0.1 units on PointsBet).
"i'll just tell you guys i put point one unit on nam round three at plus 2200 on points bet"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ode' Osbourne

Paul picks Osbourne by decision at +240. He notes Nam is 38 and slow, while Osbourne is faster with a reach advantage. Paul thinks Osbourne will use his jab and volume to outpoint Nam, who is reluctant to let his hands go. He also likes Osbourne over 55.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks.

Osbourne by decision +240; Osbourne over 55.5 significant strikes (PrizePicks)
"audio uh od osborne by decision what does that pay what does that pay oh the osborne by decision that is that's that's tasty"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Ode' Osbourne

The host picks Ode' Osbourne by first-round KO, calling it a logical bet. He notes Osbourne's youth and physicality advantages over the 38-year-old Tyson Nam, including a four-inch reach advantage. He compares their similar wins over common opponents and believes Osbourne's improvements will be decisive.

first round TKO
"oh day osborne first round ko i think this is a logical bet to make"