vs
-105 -104
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · May 07, 2022 · Welterweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje Next Fight
Age 35
Height 6' 3"
Reach 78.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 32
Height 6' 0"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Randy Brown
4.49 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
3.33 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
0.76 TD Avg
39.0% TD Acc.
73.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Khaos Williams
4.94 SLpM
39.0% Str. Acc.
5.39 SApM
40.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
51.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Randy Brown
Moneyline
Caesars -105
KO/TKO
FanDuel +420
Submission
FanDuel +600
Decision
FanDuel +310
Khaos Williams
Moneyline
FanDuel -104
KO/TKO
DraftKings +190
Submission
FanDuel +2000
Decision
FanDuel +460
Randy Brown - Fight History
LOSS vs Kevin Holland
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 327 · Apr 11, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kevin Holland 0 56 of 91 61% 137 of 176 0 of 3 0% 2 0 4:05
Randy Brown 0 46 of 95 48% 67 of 121 0 of 4 0% 0 0 2:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kevin Holland 0 20 of 34 58% 48 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:41
Randy Brown 0 18 of 39 46% 23 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Kevin Holland 0 19 of 31 61% 25 of 37 0 of 2 0% 2 0 1:42
Randy Brown 0 14 of 26 53% 19 of 32 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:18
3 Kevin Holland 0 17 of 26 65% 64 of 77 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:42
Randy Brown 0 14 of 30 46% 25 of 43 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kevin Holland 56 of 91 61% 24 of 55 10 of 11 22 of 25 39 of 68 11 of 15 6 of 8
Randy Brown 46 of 95 48% 25 of 65 14 of 17 7 of 13 31 of 75 12 of 17 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kevin Holland 20 of 34 58% 9 of 20 1 of 1 10 of 13 14 of 26 0 of 0 6 of 8
Randy Brown 18 of 39 46% 8 of 26 5 of 5 5 of 8 14 of 35 1 of 1 3 of 3
2 Kevin Holland 19 of 31 61% 6 of 18 4 of 4 9 of 9 16 of 27 3 of 4 0 of 0
Randy Brown 14 of 26 53% 8 of 15 5 of 8 1 of 3 10 of 21 4 of 5 0 of 0
3 Kevin Holland 17 of 26 65% 9 of 17 5 of 6 3 of 3 9 of 15 8 of 11 0 of 0
Randy Brown 14 of 30 46% 9 of 24 4 of 4 1 of 2 7 of 19 7 of 11 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Angelo picks Randy Brown, expressing frustration with Kevin Holland's unreliability and lack of care. He believes Brown is better everywhere, more serious, and has more power. He ends the cycle of picking Holland with caveats, stating Brown is the clear choice.

"I'm not picking his ass. There's no caveat, there's no [ __ ] I am not picking him. Randy is the better fighter. I think he's literally better everywhere."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Big Brady is done with Kevin Holland due to his poor fight IQ and inconsistency. He thinks Randy Brown is the more skilled striker and will outstrike Holland, but worries about Brown's chin (recent KO losses). He expects a striking match and picks Brown by decision, but will not bet on the fight.

decision
"I'm going to go with Randy Brown here... give me Randy Brown. Randy Brown by decision in this one."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Cody also picks Brown, noting Holland's one-foot-in-one-foot-out mentality and Brown's speed advantage. He thinks Brown's desire and game plan will edge out a close fight.

"I got Brown as well... Randy Brown's still going for it. Randy Brown's still willing to engage hard if need be and maybe just fights with a little bit more of a game plan."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Randy Brown

Connor picks Randy Brown because Kevin Holland is cooked and doesn't care about fighting anymore. He notes that Holland is a goofy, messy fighter who doesn't want to do the right things, while Brown is capable of impressive performances despite occasional dumb mistakes. He expects a fun fight but trusts Brown's ability to outwork Holland.

"I have to pick Randy Brown. I know some point in this fight, Randy Brown's going to make a really dumb mistake that will almost get him killed. But Kevin Holland might be too busy goofing around to actually take …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Daniel Vreeland picks Randy Brown as part of the 'fade Kevin Holland world tour.' He believes Holland lacks motivation and fight IQ, while Brown is more focused and has the tools to outpoint him. He notes that Brown's jab and technical striking should be enough to win a decision or even get a finish.

"I got Randy Brown here. I don't know how he's going to do it. And even if Randy Brown loses, we're fading Kevin Holland his very next fight, too."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Daniel is on the 'Fade Kevin Holland' tour, citing Holland's poor mentality and fight IQ. He thinks Brown will care more and perform better under less pressure.

"The fade Kevin Holland world tour rolls on, my friends. ... I'm going to pick Randy Brown to win this fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

James picks Kevin Holland, believing he has more power and durability, and will come on as the fight progresses. He notes Brown may start well but expects Holland to find his rhythm.

"Kevin Holland is my official prediction. I will say I'll say submission, but I really don't know."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Brown is the better technical striker with a huge reach advantage. Holland's ego may lead him to strike with Brown, which is a mistake. Brown can pick Holland apart from distance and has good defensive grappling to avoid Holland's submissions. Holland's recent losses show he struggles against disciplined strikers. Brown should win a decision or even get a finish.

Brown wins by decision
"I'm going to go Brown here. I'm going to go Brown by decision. Uh and I think this minus 13 line is a damn good line to shoot on as well."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Paul picks Brown, citing Holland's declining desire and Brown's speed and crisp striking. He thinks Brown's jab and right hand will be effective against the similar-framed Holland.

"I got Brown as well, but I can't say that there's any really good reason behind it... I feel like Randy Brown's just got a little more desire, a little more left in the tank."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Randy Brown

The MMA Guru picks Randy Brown over Kevin Holland. He thinks Brown will fight on the outside with low kicks and body shots, while Holland is an opportunist who doesn't follow game plans. He notes Brown's chin is suspect but believes he can win a 29-28 decision, possibly with Holland taking a close round.

"I'm going to go with Randy Brown here."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Randy Brown

Zane picks Randy Brown, agreeing that Kevin Holland is cooked and doesn't care about fighting. He notes that Holland is a mercenary who fights for money and has no goal other than getting paid, while Brown is more focused and capable. He expects a fun fight but trusts Brown to win.

"Same Randy Brown. At least the maddening thing about him is that he is always capable of being a fighter that you're really impressed by Kevin Holland. I don't think is he's becoming less and less capable of being a …"
LOSS vs Gabriel Bonfim
KO R2 1:40 · UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · Nov 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabriel Bonfim 1 35 of 64 54% 35 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Randy Brown 0 33 of 87 37% 33 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabriel Bonfim 0 24 of 43 55% 24 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Randy Brown 0 19 of 61 31% 19 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Gabriel Bonfim 1 11 of 21 52% 11 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Randy Brown 0 14 of 26 53% 14 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabriel Bonfim 35 of 64 54% 11 of 36 1 of 1 23 of 27 33 of 62 2 of 2 0 of 0
Randy Brown 33 of 87 37% 11 of 48 9 of 21 13 of 18 33 of 87 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabriel Bonfim 24 of 43 55% 6 of 21 0 of 0 18 of 22 23 of 42 1 of 1 0 of 0
Randy Brown 19 of 61 31% 7 of 33 3 of 14 9 of 14 19 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Gabriel Bonfim 11 of 21 52% 5 of 15 1 of 1 5 of 5 10 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
Randy Brown 14 of 26 53% 4 of 15 6 of 7 4 of 4 14 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gabriel Bonfim vs. Randy Brown
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bonfim (-180); Brown (+150)

Round 1
We’re here. It’s the main event. Without a doubt, this is one of the headliners of all time. Welterweights grace the Octagon for the next five rounds or fewer, and at night’s end, only one of these two athletes will likely be ranked—right now, only Bonfim (18-1, 5-1 UFC) is for the UFC. Brown (20-6, 14-6 UFC) feels he has finally turned the corner, other than a pair of tough losses to Bryan Battle and Jack Della Maddalena holding him back from breaking out of the “action fighter” category of his division. Referee Mark Smith brings them to the middle to issue final instructions, stepping back to allow the athletes to touch ‘em up. They do. It’s on with the show.
The athletes are tentative to engage, stabbing out jabs and the occasional low kick as the bout begins. Brown slowly, steadily builds up a work rate with distance in his favor, but the Brazilian is still able to reach him with kicks. Brown checks one kick, but a few more land with audible thuds. Bonfim keeps battering the lead leg, so Brown kicks him in the chest to back him off. The Brazilian strides through to connect with another chopping kick, and Brown is struggling to react to it. When he kicks, Brown throws himself off-balance, as he his having a hard time putting his full weight on his lead calf. Bonfim keeps targeting it with impunity, and he uses it to open up jabs. The kicks by themselves are proving extremely effective, as Brown rushes forward after taking one and knees Bonfim in the sternum. Brown wings a left hand, and he has to switch stances from the damage to his limb.
Bonfim kicks the front leg when available, catching Brown before Brown can punch him. The calf of Brown is swelling and welted just three minutes into the bout, and Brown’s power is already declining due to his struggles planting on his lead wheel. Bonfim works his way in through the gangly arms of his adversary to tag him with punches, with the leg kick rarely far away. Brown rattles off a one-two, but Bonfim’s low kicks have made Brown limp. The Brazilian chambers and fires a low kick on the other leg, nearly knocking Brown down. Brown goes for his own calf kick, and it gets checked hard. Brown bounces on his heels before doubling up on a jab to hurl a right hand behind it, and Bonfim sways with it and resets. A calf kick from Bonfim is so immediately effective that Brown leaps at him with his knee out, hand extended, and his finger jams in Bonfim’s eye socket. Luckily, Bonfim takes a few seconds to clear his vision, and they resume and stay generally out of range until the bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim

Round 2
Brown leads behind his jab to start off the round and keep his distance, although his front kick reaches out to cover much more ground. He uses it to set up a right hand, and strings several strikes behind it to the body and head. Bonfim counters and reaches his man with a pair of left hands. Brown gets up close to trade hands, and Bonfim meets him in the middle and ends his combo with a calf kick. He drives home a kick a bit higher on the thigh, and rips a right hand that Brown barely shoulder rolls in time. Bonfim doubles up on his chopping kick, and Brown is not a happy camper just six-and-a-half minutes into their fight. Bonfim flicks out a jab, and Brown ducks down to throw back a right hand. Bonfim answers with a crushing knee on the jaw, and Brown falls to his back with his hands at his side, the back of his melon clattering off the Octagon floor. On first glance, it appeared to be a double knockdown because Bonfim hits the canvas as well, but it was because he threw himself off-balance tossing the knee. Smith sprints over to stop the fight, with Brown not defending himself, but Brown rolls to his side and raises a ruckus that it was an early stoppage. He is cooled down quickly as replays show this was probably a fair and just stoppage—those that bet on Brown may disagree—but some fans, media and commentator Dominick Cruz express frustration that Brown did not have any more time to defend himself or possibly recover. The winning Brazilian calls for just one name: Colby Covington, whom he says he will retire. If that fight comes together, we will be here for it. We hope you are too.

The Official Result
Gabriel Bonfim def. Randy Brown R2 1:40 via TKO (Knee)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Angelo picks Randy Brown because he believes Brown is the better striker with great range and solid takedown defense. He notes that Gabriel Bonfim struggled with takedowns against Wonderboy and that Brown's length and boxing from the outside will be key. He also mentions that Brown was screwed in a previous decision and is a very good fighter.

"I'm going with Randy Brown here. Especially if he can drag this fight out. I also think Randy Brown got screwed in that decision against Bryan Battle."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 7, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Big Brady sees this as Bonfim early or Brown late. He notes Bonfim has power and an opportunistic submission game, and Brown has been submitted and knocked out before. He thinks Bonfim can get an early finish, possibly by first-round submission, but if it goes to the third round, Brown will take over. He mentions a potential live bet on Brown.

first round submission, live bet on Brown
"I'll say Bon Fem gets it gets it early and wins this fight by first round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Cody thinks Bonfim's cardio is suspect in a five-round fight and that Brown's length, straight punches, and volume will pose problems as the fight goes on. He notes Bonfim's takedowns are explosive early but fade, and Brown can survive early rounds and take over later. He prefers to bet Brown live after the first round rather than straight up.

"I'm just going to take Randy Brown. But live betting him is going to be way better than the pick right now."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Lucrative James picks Gabriel Bonfim to win, but he is not confident. He notes Bonfim's strong first round and submission threat (72% of wins via submission), but questions his cardio and ability to finish Randy Brown. He expects Bonfim to win round one and then edge out a decision, as Brown's style may not pressure Bonfim into gassing. He also mentions a potential over bet or goes to decision prop.

goes to decision
"I'm going to go with Gabriel Bomb theme cuz I'm picking him to win round one and then he only needs to win one out of the next two rounds to win the fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

The host expects chaos and considers the under 2.5 rounds at plus money. He believes Bonfim will drag Brown to the ground and use his superior BJJ to secure a submission within two and a half rounds.

Under 2.5 rounds (+ money), submission
"I think it's just a matter of time before Bomb Fume drags Brown to the ground and utilizes his superior BJJ advantage. And that should allow him to wrap up a submission and force the tap like I said within …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Paul picks Bonfim but has no interest in the minus 180 price. He thinks Bonfim's cardio has improved and he can get a finish early, possibly by submission or knockout. He suggests betting the under 2.5 rounds as a better play than the moneyline.

under 2.5 rounds
"Bonfim is going to be the pick for me. I think he probably does get the chin or catch his chin or find takedowns and work his BJJ."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Randy Brown

The Guru picks Randy Brown to win by third-round TKO. He believes Brown's experience and striking will be key, especially if he survives Bonfim's early grappling. He notes Bonfim's tendency to fade if he doesn't get a quick submission, and Brown's ability to stuff takedowns and pick him apart at range.

round 3 TKO
"I'm going to go with Randy Brown getting this one done in TKO fashion. Round two or three. Probably round three."
WIN vs Nicolas Dalby
KO R2 1:39 · UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Apr 26, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Randy Brown 1 54 of 114 47% 58 of 118 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Nicolas Dalby 1 26 of 74 35% 40 of 90 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Randy Brown 0 22 of 52 42% 26 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Nicolas Dalby 1 15 of 39 38% 29 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:22
2 Randy Brown 1 32 of 62 51% 32 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Nicolas Dalby 0 11 of 35 31% 11 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Randy Brown 54 of 114 47% 45 of 103 5 of 7 4 of 4 54 of 114 0 of 0 0 of 0
Nicolas Dalby 26 of 74 35% 12 of 52 1 of 3 13 of 19 25 of 72 0 of 0 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Randy Brown 22 of 52 42% 19 of 48 1 of 2 2 of 2 22 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
Nicolas Dalby 15 of 39 38% 6 of 23 0 of 1 9 of 15 14 of 37 0 of 0 1 of 2
2 Randy Brown 32 of 62 51% 26 of 55 4 of 5 2 of 2 32 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
Nicolas Dalby 11 of 35 31% 6 of 29 1 of 2 4 of 4 11 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Randy Brown vs. Nicolas Dalby
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brown (-238), Dalby (+195)

Round 1
A clash of well-traveled welterweights keeps the main card pushing. Looking to get back in the win column, Brown (19-6, 13-6 UFC) will have to outlast the ultra-durable Dane Dalby (23-5-1, 2 NC; 7-4-1, 1 NC UFC) as the latter has never been finished. Referee Keith Peterson is prepped and ready should this go the full duration, and he commences the nonsense-free bout as Brown sprints at his opponent without a glove touch in sight. Brown pulls back before crashing into his opponent, and he repositions himself to his preferred distant striking range with significant reach in his favor on the hands and legs. He uses those long arms to set up jabs and stay away from Dalby’s reaching left hook, but the slapping kick from Dalby is effective on the front leg. He goes for it two more times before having to reset and absorb a right hand on the chin. Dalby gets off with another kick, and Brown freezes him with a clubbing right hook. The Dane gathers himself and slings back, but the only one that lands is his low kick on the calf. Brown leaves himself wide open and is skipped with a left hand on the temple. Frustrated by the strike, “Rude Boy” puts everything he has into a left and a vicious right hand, not only staggering Brown but completely shattering his nose like Marsha and the football. Eternally tough, Dalby manages to bounce off the fencing and swing back, but he is compromised from a damage and breathing perspective. Brown does not go for broke, instead picking his shots carefully, and he inflicts further harm and swells up Dalby’s left eye. Dalby complains about an eye poke, and Peterson tells Brown to not leave his fingers outstretched. Brown acknowledges this and wings a right hand, only to get belted with a massive hook that knocks him off his feet. Dalby pounces, blood pouring from his destroyed nose, and he works Brown over with short ground strikes. Dalby uses his arm to control Brown, and he drops down one more elbow before the bell. The doctors are quick to assess Dalby’s condition, and they appear to partially reset his beak while tending to it. It probably will not stay that way for long when getting punched again in the next round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brown
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Brown
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Brown

Round 2
Dalby is good to go, giving Peterson a thumbs-up even as his left eye is nearly closed. He is fired up, rushing after “Rude Boy” with swarming punches and swinging kicks. Brown flicks out jabs and front kicks, allowing Dalby to buzz past him, and he punctuates a combo with a hard body kick. Dalby strikes the front leg and comes up short with an overhand right, and Brown continues to pepper the face with jabs and a mean-spirited front kick. Brown’s jab keeps Dalby at bay until Dalby has had enough of taking them, walking through a knee to the body and launching a huge right hand. Brown bounces off the fence, in trouble but still in the fight, and he separates and backpedals. Dalby continues crashing towards his opponent, launching big right hands that force Brown to take desperate measures to stay out of danger. Brown grabs hold of Dalby in a brief clinch to turn him around and his back to the wall, and he measures his target with a step-in knee and a short but sweet right hand directly on the jaw that buckles Dalby’s knees. Dalby recognizes this and bounces on them to try to shake it off, and Brown uncorks a nasty right hand on the jaw that hurts “Danish Dynamite” badly. Dalby uses the fence behind him to stay upright, and Brown waits for Dalby to stand straight up and smashes him in the face with a ferocious overhand right and a speedy left to follow. Dalby not only takes them on the chin but fires back with his own short salvo, catching Brown but taking some punishment on the way in. The 40-year-old has to take a second to step back and assess his condition, and he evades a massive uppercut by a matter of millimeters. Brown keeps swinging, ignoring anything coming back his direction and unloading a nuclear missile of a right hand that explodes on the temple and puts Dalby down once and for all. Brown walks away, saluting his fallen adversary, while Peterson rushes in along with a doctor to check on Dalby who is crumpled in a heap. “Knockout of the Year,” you have a new contender as Dalby had never been finished as a professional and he is laying down face-first in a pool of his own blood. What an incredible knockout, concluding a titanic brawl that will remain on highlight reels for years to come. Dalby comes to, and he is able to applaud Brown for his handiwork.

The Official Result
Randy Brown def. Nicolas Dalby R2 1:39 via KO (Punch)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Angelo picks Randy Brown, citing his youth, speed, technical striking, and high fight IQ. He notes that Nicolas Dalby relies on cardio and weird breathing, but Brown should piece him up and avoid danger. The only concern is a rogue judge who might appreciate Dalby's pressure, but Brown is the cleaner fighter.

"Randy Brown is a high IQ fighter with good technical striking. And I think Randy Brown pieces up Nicholas Dolby."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Big Brady picks Randy Brown, citing his youth, reach advantage, and the big cage favoring his range striking. He expects Brown to pick Dalby apart over three rounds and win a decision. He notes Brown often makes fights closer than expected, but still favors him.

fight goes to decision
"Brown and Brown by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Nicolas Dalby

Connor picks Dalby because of his relentless pressure and drive to win rounds, contrasting with Randy Brown's inconsistency and tendency to lose focus. Dalby's multi-layered pressure, durability, and strength will make the fight miserable for Brown, who often gets cornered and loses. Connor notes that Brown has all the tools but lacks the discipline to use them consistently.

"I'm going to take Dolby. Yeah, I'm going to take Dolby to just for the, that sheer drive to win rounds that Randy Brown simply does not have."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Randy Brown

The host believes Dalby's reliance on his hardware will deteriorate at age 40, allowing Brown to showcase flaws and batter Dalby from distance for a decision win.

"I believe his reliance on his hardware is going to start to deteriorate allowing Brown to showcase those flaws in DB's game and we'll see a classic Brown performance where he batters Dobby from distance eventually winning this fight on …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Randy Brown

The MMA Guru picks Randy Brown, citing his improved savvy in three-round fights and ability to handle Dalby's pressure. He notes Brown's reach advantage and that Dalby's head kick won't work on a taller opponent. He expects Brown to win by decision or late TKO, as Dalby is older and has more wear and tear.

"I'm going to go Randy Brown. I think he's picked up some like savvy techniques to sort of more educatedly get through a 29 28 that some of these other prospects just haven't seen when they go up against Nicholas …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Nicolas Dalby

Zane picks Dalby, agreeing that Dalby's relentless pressure and ability to make fights ugly will overwhelm Brown, who is prone to making poor decisions and getting cornered. Zane points out that Brown's loss to Brian Battle is a blueprint for how Dalby can win. Dalby may not have the tools to dominate, but his drive and consistency will earn him rounds.

"I would take, I will take the drive over the tools, frankly."
LOSS vs Bryan Battle
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · Dec 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bryan Battle 0 60 of 111 54% 80 of 135 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:46
Randy Brown 0 57 of 110 51% 109 of 175 0 of 6 0% 0 0 7:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bryan Battle 0 21 of 45 46% 29 of 56 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:40
Randy Brown 0 14 of 31 45% 18 of 35 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:18
2 Bryan Battle 0 15 of 29 51% 21 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:56
Randy Brown 0 22 of 41 53% 56 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:37
3 Bryan Battle 0 24 of 37 64% 30 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
Randy Brown 0 21 of 38 55% 35 of 54 0 of 4 0% 0 0 3:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bryan Battle 60 of 111 54% 32 of 79 22 of 26 6 of 6 49 of 96 11 of 15 0 of 0
Randy Brown 57 of 110 51% 20 of 64 31 of 38 6 of 8 27 of 76 30 of 34 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bryan Battle 21 of 45 46% 11 of 32 9 of 12 1 of 1 19 of 42 2 of 3 0 of 0
Randy Brown 14 of 31 45% 4 of 17 9 of 11 1 of 3 11 of 27 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Bryan Battle 15 of 29 51% 11 of 25 3 of 3 1 of 1 13 of 26 2 of 3 0 of 0
Randy Brown 22 of 41 53% 6 of 23 13 of 15 3 of 3 7 of 25 15 of 16 0 of 0
3 Bryan Battle 24 of 37 64% 10 of 22 10 of 11 4 of 4 17 of 28 7 of 9 0 of 0
Randy Brown 21 of 38 55% 10 of 24 9 of 12 2 of 2 9 of 24 12 of 14 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2024 (7 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Angelo picks Bryan Battle, believing his forward pressure and dirty boxing will frustrate the more technical Randy Brown. He notes Battle's improvements and work ethic, but acknowledges he gets hit a lot. Angelo thinks the clash of styles favors Battle, as he can brawl the boxer. He is monitoring the line movement and may bet if Battle's odds drop to -150.

If odds drop to -150, will bet
"I am going to pick Brian battle"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Cody picks Battle, citing his power and improving skills. He notes Brown's tendency to struggle against pressure fighters and thinks Battle will land big shots. He expects a knockout win for Battle.

Battle by knockout
"Battle by knockout is on the table."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Bryan Battle

Connor is confident in Battle because his new pressure-fighting style is the exact antidote to Randy Brown. He notes that Brown has historically struggled against pressure fighters who are willing to eat shots and counter, as seen in his losses to Jack Della Maddalena and Vicente Luque. Connor believes Battle's aggression, power, and willingness to trade will overwhelm Brown, who tends to hit the fence and fall apart. He also points out that Battle's recent performances show a clear, winning game plan.

"I gotta pick battle here 100 percent brian battle 100 percent this feels like his kind of fight."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Daniel picks Brown as an underdog, citing his experience, reach, and cleaner technique. He believes Battle's competition has been weak and that Brown's length and footwork will be too much. He expects Brown to pick Battle apart.

"I think it's Randy Brown's time. I think he's going to set back Brian Battle."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Bryan Battle

Battle's aggressiveness in the clinch and grappling will break down Randy Brown and lead to a second or third round finish.

finish in rounds 2-3
"I believe the aggressiveness in the clinch and grappling realm of battle will allow him to break down Randy Brown and eventually lead to a second or third round finish for Brian battle"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Paul picks Battle, emphasizing his momentum and power. He notes Brown's age and suspect chin, and thinks Battle's pressure will be too much. He expects a finish inside the distance.

"Battle for me, Battle potentially inside the distance."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

The MMA Guru picks Bryan Battle, citing his volume, hustle, and cardio. He thinks Battle will out-volume Brown on the feet and that Brown lacks takedown threats to mix in. He notes Brown has lost close decisions before and that lesser fighters have made it close with Brown. He predicts a close 29-28 decision, possibly split.

"I'm gonna go with Brian battle I think he's got that next thing that puts him over Fighters that are slightly lesser"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Bryan Battle

Zane also confidently picks Battle, agreeing that his pressure style is the key to beating Brown. He notes that Brown has always struggled against fighters who walk him down and put combinations together against the fence. Zane highlights that Battle has evolved from a reactive fighter to an aggressive pressure fighter, and that this new approach makes him a dangerous matchup for Brown. He believes Battle will overwhelm Brown with volume and power.

"I 100 percent taking brian battle here."
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · Jun 01, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Randy Brown 0 67 of 141 47% 89 of 166 0 of 0 --- 2 1 0:42
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 26 of 76 34% 42 of 94 4 of 7 57% 1 0 5:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Randy Brown 0 34 of 71 47% 35 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 9 of 34 26% 9 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
2 Randy Brown 0 8 of 18 44% 15 of 25 0 of 0 --- 2 1 0:32
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 3 of 7 42% 19 of 25 3 of 5 60% 1 0 3:52
3 Randy Brown 0 25 of 52 48% 39 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 14 of 35 40% 14 of 35 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Randy Brown 67 of 141 47% 50 of 120 5 of 8 12 of 13 61 of 133 2 of 2 4 of 6
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 26 of 76 34% 8 of 50 3 of 9 15 of 17 24 of 73 1 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Randy Brown 34 of 71 47% 24 of 60 2 of 3 8 of 8 33 of 70 1 of 1 0 of 0
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 9 of 34 26% 2 of 22 3 of 6 4 of 6 9 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Randy Brown 8 of 18 44% 7 of 16 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 12 0 of 0 4 of 6
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 3 of 7 42% 2 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 Randy Brown 25 of 52 48% 19 of 44 2 of 3 4 of 5 24 of 51 1 of 1 0 of 0
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 14 of 35 40% 4 of 22 0 of 3 10 of 10 13 of 33 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 26, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Angelo picks Randy Brown but with reduced confidence after studying Elizeu Zaleski. He believes Brown's length and range striking will keep him safe, and that Zaleski is chinny and can be dropped. However, he acknowledges Zaleski's toughness and ability to rally, so he leaves Brown out of the safety parlay.

"Randy Brown Remains the pick but I'm telling you my gut reaction was all right safety parlay Randy Brown and then I was like I'll leave him out of the safety parlay"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 31, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Big Brady is fading Randy Brown, expecting the fight to go to decision. He thinks Brown won't shoot takedowns or get an early finish, and doesn't expect crazy volume. He notes if there is a finish, it likely comes from Zaleski dos Santos. He is comfortable staying away from Brown.

Fight goes to decision, Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos wins by decision or late finish
"fade is gonna be Randy Brown 8,500 I don't think he's finishing uh dos santoso Santos early"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked May 29, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Cody picks Brown but is hesitant, acknowledging Zaleski's danger. He likes Brown's length, jab, and game plan but notes Brown has slowed down and his defensive grappling is suspect. Cody worries that Zaleski's power and forward pressure could sway judges. He plans to keep Brown low on parlays and might switch to Zaleski after weigh-ins.

"I think I'm going to go with Brown... but I fully recognize that Zaleski is going to be dangerous... it's going to be close and contentious."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 30, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Daniel Vreeland agrees with Jeff, emphasizing that Zaleski dos Santos relies on distance striking and leg kicks, but Brown's reach and takedown ability neutralize that. He sees Brown piecing him up from distance and potentially taking him down. Vreeland notes Brown is crafty everywhere and can adapt to any scenario.

"I think Brown's gonna piece him up from distance he's probably gonna put the pressure on him"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 28, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Daniel likes Brown's recent confidence and footwork, and thinks Zaleski's chin is declining. He expects Brown to find openings with his jab and straight right, possibly getting a first-round KO. He laid -160 for two units.

"I actually took Randy Brown here minus 160"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked May 30, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Jeff Fox picks Randy Brown, citing his size advantage (4 inches height, 5 inches reach) and well-rounded skills. He notes Brown is sneaky good, has no real weaknesses, and can win on the feet or with takedowns. Fox believes Zaleski dos Santos will struggle to deal with Brown's reach and pressure, and that Brown can mix in wrestling to keep things interesting.

"give me the rude boy sneaky good fighter... I think the size is going to be a big issue here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 27, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Randy Brown

The host expects Brown to use his size, reach, and footwork to keep Zaleski at range and win a decision. Zaleski's inactivity and age are concerns, and his unorthodox style may not overcome Brown's disciplined jab and movement. Brown's recent improvements in range management should allow him to cruise to a decision victory.

"Give me Brown and Brown by decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 29, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Paul leans toward Zaleski as a dog, citing his forward pressure, damaging blows, and ability to land bigger shots. He notes Brown's style is conservative and may not impress judges, while Zaleski's aggression and power could sway them. Paul mentions Zaleski's age (37) but says he still throws heat and has good cardio. He sees this as a 50/50 fight and likes the plus money.

"I feel like the bigger shots, the forward pressure, the live crowd... Zaleski is a dog with a shot here at plus 150 in a fight that I could see being pretty 50/50."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 27, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Randy Brown

The MMA Guru picks Randy Brown, believing his height and reach will trouble Zaleski dos Santos. He notes that Zaleski struggles against taller opponents and is older (37) with potential decline. Brown has good boxing at range and recent TKO wins. He predicts Brown by TKO.

Brown by TKO
"I'm gonna go with Randy Brown I really like this matchup for him"
KO (punches) R1 3:17 · UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · Feb 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Randy Brown 1 13 of 46 28% 13 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Muslim Salikhov 0 10 of 22 45% 10 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Randy Brown 1 13 of 46 28% 13 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Muslim Salikhov 0 10 of 22 45% 10 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Randy Brown 13 of 46 28% 6 of 33 1 of 5 6 of 8 12 of 45 0 of 0 1 of 1
Muslim Salikhov 10 of 22 45% 0 of 9 1 of 2 9 of 11 10 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Randy Brown 13 of 46 28% 6 of 33 1 of 5 6 of 8 12 of 45 0 of 0 1 of 1
Muslim Salikhov 10 of 22 45% 0 of 9 1 of 2 9 of 11 10 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Randy Brown vs. Muslim Salikhov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brown (-245), Salikhov (+200)

Round 1
A killer welterweight matchup originally scheduled for UFC 296 in December, rescheduled due to Brown falling ill, now blesses “UFC Vegas 85.” While Brown and Salikhov lose the full-arena vibe, they do see their scrap promoted from curtain-jerker to feature fight. Lubbock, Texas’ own Kerry Hatley draws his final referee assignment of the night. The “Rude Boy” and “King of Kung Fu” immediately begin exchanging kicks. Salikhov goes low with quick calf kicks, which Brown counters with long flicking front kicks to the midsection. Salikhov tries a spinning wheel kick which falls short, but had murderous speed on it. A minute and a half in, not much has landed outside of low kicks, but it feels as though either man might bust this fight—and maybe his foe—wide open at any moment. Salikhov’s chopping kicks to Brown’s lead leg are starting to land with increasing frequency and force. Brown reaches out with his left hand and the extended fingers swipe Salikhov’s eye. The two touch hands in recognition of the foul before Hatley even calls time, but Salikhov does take his time to blink it out. They go back to work and Brown stocks out a fast jab, feints with his right hip and then comes back with a kick from the other side.
Out of nowhere, Brown crushes Salikhov with a jab and a blistering right cross. Salikhov goes down and Brown appears to hesitate before following up. With no stoppage forthcoming Brown lands a single standing-to-ground right on the turtled Russian, and that’s enough to spur Hatley into action.
Highlight-reel knockout from Randy Brown.

The Official Result
Randy Brown def. Muslim Salikhov R1 3:17 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Angelo picks Randy Brown, citing his length and range management. He notes that Muslim Salikhov is dangerous but slowing down at 39, losing cardio and power. He expects Brown to use his reach, work takedowns, and out-technique the aging veteran.

"Randy Brown's going to be the pick I'm pretty confident in him"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Big Brady picks Randy Brown to win by second-round submission (club and sub). He notes that Brown is younger, bigger, has a massive reach advantage, better cardio, and better grappling. He questions Salikhov's age (believes he's older than 39) and notes his low volume, poor cardio, and grappling holes. Brady has been burned by Brown as a favorite before but thinks this is a good matchup.

second round, submission (club and sub)
"I'm going to take Brown here um last time these two fought I did pick like a club and sub I'll stick with that give me Randy Brown Club and sub second round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Cody picks Brown, citing Salikhov's age (39), poor cardio, and low volume. Brown's reach and movement should keep him safe, and he expects Brown to win a decision or possibly a late finish. He notes Salikhov's only path is an early KO.

Randy Brown by decision
"I'm gonna take Randy Brown probably by decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Brown uses his long reach and distance striking to pick opponents apart, and should be able to circle away from Salikhov's power. Salikhov is 39 and slowing down, with a speed disadvantage. Brown's takedown defense and ability to get back to his feet if taken down will be key. The host expects Brown to win decisively by decision.

"I think we'll see brown win this fight pretty decisively and I think it comes in the form of him outp pointing outworking and out striking salikov on the feed on route to a decision Victory."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Paul picks Brown, agreeing with Cody. He notes Brown's 9-inch reach advantage and Salikhov's decline. He likes Brown by decision at +120 but says the market is accurate and he may not bet it heavily.

Randy Brown by decision +120
"Randy Brown by decision I mean it's plus 120 plus 125 like definitely gets you off of that money line"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Randy Brown

The MMA Guru picks Randy Brown over Muslim Salikhov, predicting a late TKO. He notes Salikhov is 39 and has looked his age, while Brown has an 8-inch reach advantage. He believes Brown can keep Salikhov at range with jabs, teeps, and low kicks, and that Salikhov's power is limited to a few shots. He trusts Brown's ability to avoid Salikhov's right hand, as he did against Khaos Williams.

late TKO
"I'm gonna go with Randy Brown over Muslim salikov... I am going to go with Randy Brown actually getting a late TKO here."
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Emmett vs. Topuria · Jun 24, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Randy Brown 0 64 of 134 47% 78 of 156 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:47
Wellington Turman 0 55 of 105 52% 96 of 153 0 of 5 0% 0 0 3:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Randy Brown 0 31 of 69 44% 31 of 69 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:17
Wellington Turman 0 25 of 52 48% 26 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
2 Randy Brown 0 15 of 30 50% 28 of 50 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:21
Wellington Turman 0 12 of 18 66% 42 of 54 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:17
3 Randy Brown 0 18 of 35 51% 19 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Wellington Turman 0 18 of 35 51% 28 of 46 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Randy Brown 64 of 134 47% 21 of 85 17 of 23 26 of 26 53 of 121 11 of 13 0 of 0
Wellington Turman 55 of 105 52% 19 of 60 10 of 14 26 of 31 43 of 90 12 of 15 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Randy Brown 31 of 69 44% 10 of 46 7 of 9 14 of 14 31 of 69 0 of 0 0 of 0
Wellington Turman 25 of 52 48% 5 of 26 2 of 3 18 of 23 24 of 51 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Randy Brown 15 of 30 50% 3 of 17 3 of 4 9 of 9 5 of 20 10 of 10 0 of 0
Wellington Turman 12 of 18 66% 4 of 10 4 of 4 4 of 4 7 of 12 5 of 6 0 of 0
3 Randy Brown 18 of 35 51% 8 of 22 7 of 10 3 of 3 17 of 32 1 of 3 0 of 0
Wellington Turman 18 of 35 51% 10 of 24 4 of 7 4 of 4 12 of 27 6 of 8 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Angelo is confident in Randy Brown, citing his length, power, takedown defense, and BJJ. He expects Brown to stay on the outside and jab, avoiding a ground game. He notes Wellington Turman's striking looked good in his last fight but doesn't think it will be enough against Brown's reach and skills.

"Randy is one of my more confident picks here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Big Brady picks Randy Brown, citing a significant striking advantage with a six-inch reach advantage. He notes Turman's questionable chin, having been knocked out by Andrew Sanchez. He acknowledges Turman's path to victory via wrestling but believes Brown's grappling is good enough to defend. He predicts a first-round knockout, especially if Turman has a bad weight cut.

first round knockout
"I'm gonna say round knocks out willing to determine here I think it does it in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Cody picks Brown, noting his speed and linear striking. He expects Turman to gas after the first round and Brown to take over. He mentions Turman's poor takedown accuracy and cardio issues.

"I think Randy Brown will be able to dance around this guy and tee off when need be."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Connor believes Randy Brown should win this fight easily. He notes that Brown has limitations like poor kick defense and a tendency to throw one shot from range that puts him out of position, but Turman's game is entirely based on dogged toughness and cage wrestling. Turman's takedowns come from the cage, not open space, and Brown is a great clinch fighter and hard to take down against the cage. Connor also points out that Turman is dropping down a division and has a six-inch reach disadvantage, making Brown feel fast. He thinks there's a lot of room for error for Brown, meaning a lot of room for fun.

"I think there's just a lot of room for error. That's where Randy Brown and that means a lot of room for fun."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Daniel Levi picks Randy Brown, citing his length, skill, and experience. He notes Brown's occasional showboating and chin questions but thinks he is the more skilled fighter. He is not laying -220 due to Brown's inconsistency and Turman's danger, but picks Brown to win.

Pass on betting; picks Brown.
"I do think Randy Brown's the more skilled fighter so I am picking him to win this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Randy Brown

The host picks Randy Brown to win by decision. He believes Brown's slick striking and distance management will be too much for Turman, who struggles to close the distance and get takedowns. He notes Turman's grappling advantage is nullified if he can't get the fight to the ground, and expects Brown to pick him apart from range.

"give me Randy Brown to win by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Paul picks Brown, citing his speed and reach advantage. He expects Brown to use his jab and movement to win a decision, though he notes Turman's strength and potential grappling. He considers live betting if Turman wins the first round.

Live betting considered.
"I'm gonna take him by decision but turman's also been ko'd a few times."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Randy Brown

The Guru picks Randy Brown, expressing concern about Wellington Turman moving down to welterweight. He believes Brown has a clear skill advantage on the feet and that Turman's weight cut will leave him vulnerable. He predicts Brown will pick Turman apart with knees and elbows in the clinch and finish by TKO in the second round after Turman fails takedown attempts.

Predicts TKO in the second round.
"I'm gonna go with Randy Brown getting a TKO here at some point in the second round"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Zane agrees that Randy Brown should win. He notes that Brown has limitations like poor kick defense and a tendency to throw one shot from range that puts him out of position, but Turman's game is entirely based on dogged toughness and cage wrestling. Turman's takedowns come from the cage, not open space, and Brown is a great clinch fighter and hard to take down against the cage. Zane also points out that Turman is dropping down a division and has a six-inch reach disadvantage, making Brown feel fast. He thinks there's a lot of room for error for Brown, meaning a lot of room for fun.

"I think there's just a lot of room for error. That's where Randy Brown and that means a lot of room for fun."
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 2:13 · UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · Feb 12, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Della Maddalena 1 14 of 31 45% 18 of 35 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:15
Randy Brown 0 11 of 39 28% 11 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Della Maddalena 1 14 of 31 45% 18 of 35 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:15
Randy Brown 0 11 of 39 28% 11 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Della Maddalena 14 of 31 45% 9 of 23 1 of 2 4 of 6 5 of 18 2 of 2 7 of 11
Randy Brown 11 of 39 28% 6 of 33 2 of 3 3 of 3 11 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Della Maddalena 14 of 31 45% 9 of 23 1 of 2 4 of 6 5 of 18 2 of 2 7 of 11
Randy Brown 11 of 39 28% 6 of 33 2 of 3 3 of 3 11 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Randy Brown vs. Jack Della Maddalena
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Della Maddalena (-315), Brown (+260)

Round 1
Two welterweights on solid win streaks will enter, and only one will leave with it intact. Since losing his first two pro outings, Maddalena (13-2, 3-0 UFC) has strung 13 wins in a row, while Brown (16-4, 10-4 UFC) has rattled off four straight in the Octagon. A spot in the top 15 and a big next matchup likely looms for the victor, but this is no easy ask for either man first. Referee Marc Goddard will take charge of the cage in this “featured fight of the night,” and there is no fist bump before it all goes down. Brown uses his reach right out of the gate, pushing out a long jab to split the guard of the heavy-handed Aussie. A rude chant rains down against Brown, who is fighting a Perth local. Brown stays on the outside with front kicks, jab, single strikes and accurate blows to not let Maddalena close in on him. Maddalena strikes the low calf a few times, and Brown pushes off with his fingers outstretched and is warned for this. Brown picks and pokes at his foe with reaching strikes, switching stances and scoring teep kicks while circling away from Maddalena’s power. Maddalena blazes forward, and with a fiery right hand he scorches his opponent behind the ear. The resounding blow separates Brown from his faculties, who falls face-first to the mat. Maddalena leaps on top to pound on Brown, delivering punishment with hammerfist after unanswered hammerfist. Brown works his way to the wall, but in the process, he surrenders his back. Maddalena latches on from behind, and he sinks both hooks in and simultaneously sets up the rear-naked choke. The two are still dry and Maddalena is at full strength, so his squeeze is undeniable and the choke is securely fastened. The roof positively blows off as Brown taps out, with Perth’s own putting a stamp on a terrific performance. In an interview where he can barely hear himself think, Maddalena calls for a ranked opponent when he comes back from holiday, and he hopes to fight again in front of a home crowd soon.

The Official Result
Jack Della Maddalena def. Randy Brown R1 2:13 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Jack Della Maddalena

Angelo picks Jack Della Maddalena, citing his high-volume jab and takedown defense. He notes that Randy Brown is a solid striker with reach and BJJ, but Jack's constant jab will disrupt Brown's rhythm. He warns that if Jack becomes a headhunter, Brown could find success, but he expects Jack to fight smart and win a decision.

"Jack's gonna be the pick he's probably a safe pick I just hope he fights his fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jack Della Maddalena

Big Brady is high on Della Maddalena, citing his power, hand speed, and forward pressure. He acknowledges Brown's length and durability concerns but thinks Della Maddalena will close the distance and knock him out. He predicts a first-round knockout.

first round knockout
"I think he does knock him out at some point in this fight he's gonna be jacked elementalina I'll take him to win by first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Della Maddalena

Cody is high on Della Maddalena, praising his volume, body work, and boxing technique. He notes Della Maddalena has finished all his UFC opponents by working the body and then landing kill shots. He thinks Randy Brown is hittable and will struggle with Della Maddalena's pressure and body attack. Despite the -300 price, he likes Della Maddalena stylistically.

"I really like Jack Della and keep in mind I bet against him on his contended series debut... I was so unbelievably impressed with what I saw"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 10, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jack Della Maddalena

Connor picks Della Maddalena, citing his relentless pressure and body punching as key advantages. He notes that Brown has a tendency to abandon his game plan and engage in brawls, which plays into Della Maddalena's strengths. Connor also mentions that Della Maddalena's combination punching and ability to mix targets will overwhelm Brown, who is inconsistent defensively. He acknowledges that Brown could win if he fights smart, but expects him to revert to bad habits.

"I really think this could be a fight or randy brown styles on madalena... but in all likelihood if it's going to be a bit of the one not the other and instead randy brown forgetting what he's doing and …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Della Maddalena

Della Maddalena's combination striking and power will be too much for Brown. He mixes targets well (head and body) and has shown finishing ability with body shots. Brown's length and movement may cause early issues, but Della Maddalena will close distance and land. Brown's defensive grappling is solid but Della Maddalena's discipline and patience will allow him to find the knockout within the first 10 minutes. Expect a round two KO.

"I think Jack will close that distance without too much issue get off his strikes and eventually find that knockout and put Randy Brown out probably within the first 10 minutes of this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jack Della Maddalena

Paul agrees Della Maddalena is a rightful favorite, noting Brown is hittable and has been knocked down before. He mentions Brown's close fights and high strikes absorbed. However, he avoids betting -300 lines and thinks inside the distance is already minus money, so he'll pass on betting.

"I think Jack Della is a rightful favorite in this spot uh I don't really play minus 300s and these types of positions"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jack Della Maddalena

The MMA Guru picks Jack Della Maddalena over Randy Brown, praising his unique boxing style and head movement. He expects a first-round TKO via body-head combinations against the cage. He notes Brown has been finished recently and is older, but admits the odds are too high and sees some value in Brown.

first round TKO; odds comment: should be -180, not -250
"I gotta go with him winning this one and finishing Randy Brown by TKO in the first round"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 10, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jack Della Maddalena

Zane also picks Della Maddalena, emphasizing his pressure and body work. He notes that Brown is prone to getting distracted and fighting his opponent's fight, which will be fatal against a relentless fighter like Della Maddalena. Zane highlights that Della Maddalena's ability to mix punches to the body and head will exploit Brown's tall frame. He also mentions that Brown's best chance is to keep the fight at range, but he likely won't maintain that discipline.

"I really think this could be a fight or randy brown styles on madalena... but in all likelihood if it's going to be a bit of the one not the other and instead randy brown forgetting what he's doing and …"
Khaos Williams - Fight History
KO/TKO R1 3:31 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · May 16, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khaos Williams 0 13 of 25 52% 20 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Nikolay Veretennikov 1 21 of 56 37% 36 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khaos Williams 0 13 of 25 52% 20 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Nikolay Veretennikov 1 21 of 56 37% 36 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khaos Williams 13 of 25 52% 8 of 19 3 of 4 2 of 2 12 of 23 1 of 2 0 of 0
Nikolay Veretennikov 21 of 56 37% 9 of 35 7 of 9 5 of 12 20 of 52 1 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khaos Williams 13 of 25 52% 8 of 19 3 of 4 2 of 2 12 of 23 1 of 2 0 of 0
Nikolay Veretennikov 21 of 56 37% 9 of 35 7 of 9 5 of 12 20 of 52 1 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 10, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Nikolay Veretennikov

Angelo picks Nikolay Veretennikov, considering him the better technical striker. He notes Khaos Williams has no takedown attempts in the UFC, so if Veretennikov has success striking, Williams has no backup plan. He expects Veretennikov's forward pressure to disrupt Williams. He calls it a crazy close fight.

"I actually think Nikolai is the better striker between the two. ... I'm actually going to pick Nikolai here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 12, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Nikolay Veretennikov

Big Brady picks Nikolay Veretennikov as a slight underdog, citing his striking tools and durability. He notes that Khaos Williams has not completed a takedown in the UFC, so the fight will likely stay standing, where Veretennikov has the edge. He predicts a decision win but is not confident enough to bet.

"I'm going to take the slight dog here in Veritin."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Nikolay Veretennikov

Cody picks Nikolay Veretennikov, noting that Khaos Williams has looked disinterested and reluctant to engage in recent fights. Veretennikov is a versatile striker with good body work and durability, while Williams relies on power but has low volume. Cody believes Veretennikov's higher work rate and shot selection will allow him to outwork Williams over three rounds.

"I got Verikov to edge this thing out."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked May 15, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Khaos Williams

Connor picks Williams but with hesitation, noting that Veretennikov could win if he circles away and throws one-twos, but Veretennikov doesn't circle. He emphasizes that Williams is a power-based fighter with no technique and has been brutally bullied in recent fights, but Veretennikov is not good enough to exploit that.

Same odds as Zane. Connor calls it a 'wasted matchup' and suggests better opponents for Williams.
"I'm going to still pick him, but it has to be noted. Like if Veritenikoff just shows up and like I said, it's like, Oh, what if I circle away and throw one tooth or just ones?"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Lean picked May 16, 2026 (fight day)
Khaos Williams

Williams lands harder shots and has better cardio. Veretennikov slows down and has poor takedown offense. However, Williams can be passive and head-hunts. The fight spread is a better bet than the moneyline.

Khaos Williams +3.5 at 1.60 is a great bet.
"I'm very tempted to bet on Khaos Williams in this matchup."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked May 10, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Nikolay Veretennikov

Lucrative James picks Nikolay Veretennikov to win by KO, citing Veretennikov's Muay Thai clinch and knees against a striker like Williams. He notes Williams's recent losses and potential lack of focus, while Veretennikov is all-in on MMA. He predicts a second-round finish via knee to the body.

win by KO in round 2
"I'm picking Nikolai Veritenov to get this one done via knee to the body in the clinch in round two."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

The host picks Khaos Williams over Nikolay Veretennikov, expecting Williams to thwart Veretennikov's approach and land big power shots early and often, leading to a decision win.

"I fully expect Williams to thwart whatever approach Veretennikov is taking and then start to battle back with big power of his own, and I think he'll be able to touch up Veretennikov early and often, and I think that …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 12, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

The host believes Williams' defensive grappling is good enough to keep the fight standing, where he has the striking advantage. He expects Williams to pull away in the later rounds and win by decision, though a knockout is possible. He is confident in Williams at -130.

"I think his grappling defense will be good enough to keep Veritanikov away from trying to grind this fight out. And in terms of striking, I think Williams is the more dangerous striker."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Nikolay Veretennikov

Paul hesitantly picks Nikolay Veretennikov at plus 110, noting that both fighters' opponents usually try to take them down. He hopes that Veretennikov's training camp with high-level wrestlers may have improved his offensive wrestling, allowing him to steal close rounds. He acknowledges it's a volatile fight and is not heavily invested.

"Give me the ever so slight plus money on Nikolai. Um, hesitantly."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 15, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Khaos Williams

Zane picks Khaos Williams because Veretennikov is low-output, can't wrestle, and doesn't use his length effectively. He notes that Williams is powerful and should be able to blitz Veretennikov, though he acknowledges Williams has never beaten a really good fighter and his last two fights were brutal losses.

Odds: Williams opened -150, now -120; Veretennikov opened +130, now +100. Zane calls it a 'stupid fight' and a 'wasted matchup'.
"So yeah, he'll probably beat Nikolai Veritenikov. Yeah, probably scare him at least."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · Jun 07, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khaos Williams 0 39 of 74 52% 95 of 134 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:17
Andreas Gustafsson 0 98 of 128 76% 151 of 185 8 of 14 57% 0 0 9:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khaos Williams 0 21 of 40 52% 49 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:02
Andreas Gustafsson 0 30 of 44 68% 36 of 50 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:49
2 Khaos Williams 0 13 of 28 46% 32 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andreas Gustafsson 0 35 of 46 76% 44 of 56 3 of 5 60% 0 0 3:43
3 Khaos Williams 0 5 of 6 83% 14 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Andreas Gustafsson 0 33 of 38 86% 71 of 79 5 of 7 71% 0 0 4:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khaos Williams 39 of 74 52% 29 of 63 10 of 11 0 of 0 26 of 57 13 of 17 0 of 0
Andreas Gustafsson 98 of 128 76% 67 of 95 21 of 23 10 of 10 27 of 50 52 of 57 19 of 21
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khaos Williams 21 of 40 52% 16 of 34 5 of 6 0 of 0 12 of 28 9 of 12 0 of 0
Andreas Gustafsson 30 of 44 68% 15 of 27 14 of 16 1 of 1 11 of 22 19 of 22 0 of 0
2 Khaos Williams 13 of 28 46% 10 of 25 3 of 3 0 of 0 10 of 24 3 of 4 0 of 0
Andreas Gustafsson 35 of 46 76% 25 of 36 5 of 5 5 of 5 13 of 23 20 of 21 2 of 2
3 Khaos Williams 5 of 6 83% 3 of 4 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0
Andreas Gustafsson 33 of 38 86% 27 of 32 2 of 2 4 of 4 3 of 5 13 of 14 17 of 19
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Andreas Gustafsson vs. Kalinn Williams
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Williams (-192), Gustafsson (+160)

Round 1
Our first welterweight fight of the night is overseen by Mike Beltran. Gustafsson comes out charging and clinches with Williams. Gustafsson lands a knee and is looking to use his Greco-Roman wrestling to take the fight to the ground. Williams defends well, as both men land knees in the clinch. Gustafsson is doing more damage, but it's largely a stalemate as the crowd boos. Beltran breaks the fighters up. Gustafsson wastes no time, charging forward and landing an uppercut. A big right hand lands for Gustafsson, who follows it up with a right hook. It's reckless offense, but it's undeniably working for him. Gustafsson clinches again but can't keep Williams there. A left hook lands for Gustafsson, who is throwing wild hooks. Most are missing, but Williams hasn't been able to land much in response. They clinch with Williams staying on his feet but eating more knees. This is an exhausting pace by Gustafsson. Williams landing some hard knees of his own. The round ends with Gustafsson slipping a knee and an elbow in.

Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson

Round 2
Williams looks tired to start the second frame. Gustafsson charges forward and gets back into the clinch where the last round left off. Knees to the leg of Williams lands for Gustafsson. Williams is able to exit. A nice right straight lands for Williams, but Gustafsson is closing space. A jab for Gustafsson hurts Williams, and the two men wind up back in the clinch again. An uppercut for Gustafsson lands, and then a huge left hook. Williams is trying to pick his shots, but simply can't keep up with this pace. Gustafsson lands a knee and then trips Williams to the ground. Gustafsson allows Williams up and then puts him back on the ground. Williams is back to his feet and then eats a knee to the face. Gustafsson drags his opponent to the ground. This is a one-sided beatdown. Gustafsson cuts Williams, who gets to his feet only to eat more knees. Big elbows from Gustafsson. Williams is back to his feet but just eating knees. Gustafsson slips in an uppercut and then an elbow. Brutal offense from Gustafsson, who ends the round in the clinch with another elbow.

Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson

Round 3
Gustafsson begins the round as expected, charging forward and getting Williams into the clinch. Williams isn't able to escape and is getting kneed and shoulder-checked. They are fighting as if they're in a phone booth. Uppercuts and elbows are being landed by Gustafsson. Williams is occasionally throwing back, but doesn't have the power to keep Gustafsson honest at this point. Gustafsson takes the back of Williams while standing. Gustafsson trips Williams to the floor and unloads with elbows while in side control. Williams is able to scramble to his feet, but is eating knee after knee. Gustafsson takes him down again. Williams has nothing less. Gustafsson has his back and is landing punch after punch until the fight ends. A total thrashing.

Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson (30-27 Gustafsson)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Gustafsson (30-26 Gustafsson)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-8 Gustafsson (30-26 Gustafsson)

The Official Result
Andreas Gustafsson def. Kalinn Williams via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-26, 30-26); R3, 5:00.
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 1, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Angelo picks Khaos Williams but is hesitant due to the unusual circumstances. He notes Andreas Gustafsson is a live underdog with good grappling and power, but the double weight cut (cutting weight for a canceled fight then cutting again) could hurt his performance. He thinks if Andreas is fine, he could win by pressure. He doesn't love the pick.

Andreas is a live underdog; potential inside the distance or decision.
"I am going to pick Chaos Williams here, but I got to tell you, I don't love it."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Big Brady picks Khaos Williams, citing his durability and fight IQ compared to Gustafsson's previous opponent. He notes Gustafsson is hittable, slow, and only dangerous in the clinch, while Williams is much more durable and has never been knocked out. He expects Williams to knock Gustafsson out in the second round when the fight is at range.

Williams by KO in round 2
"I think Chaos Williams knocks him out here. I think at some point these two are going to be at at range. And when they are, when they're at space, it just heavily heavily favors Chaos Williams here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Khaos Williams was closer to -250 earlier in fight week but now finds himself around -190, which is considered a perfect entry. He is expected to land more shots, shut down Gustafsson's grappling, and outdamage him on the way to a decision victory.

odds movement from -250 to -190
"I think this is the perfect entry to take him to land more shots, shut down the grueling grappling game of Gustiffson and outdamage Gustoson on route to a decision victory."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

The MMA Guru picks Khaos Williams by KO, confident in his one-punch power. He notes Andreas Gustafsson's pressure style will play into Williams' hands, as Gustafsson will enter the danger zone. He acknowledges Williams is not fundamentally sound but has nasty knockout power. He predicts a first round KO.

Finish prediction: first round KO.
"I'm going with Chaos Williams by flatline KO."
LOSS vs Gabriel Bonfim
Submission R2 4:58 · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · Feb 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabriel Bonfim 0 35 of 72 48% 35 of 72 4 of 5 80% 2 0 1:42
Khaos Williams 0 20 of 90 22% 23 of 94 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabriel Bonfim 0 7 of 23 30% 7 of 23 3 of 4 75% 1 0 1:08
Khaos Williams 0 7 of 41 17% 10 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
2 Gabriel Bonfim 0 28 of 49 57% 28 of 49 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:34
Khaos Williams 0 13 of 49 26% 13 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabriel Bonfim 35 of 72 48% 20 of 50 0 of 5 15 of 17 35 of 71 0 of 1 0 of 0
Khaos Williams 20 of 90 22% 8 of 54 2 of 13 10 of 23 20 of 90 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabriel Bonfim 7 of 23 30% 2 of 17 0 of 0 5 of 6 7 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Khaos Williams 7 of 41 17% 3 of 23 1 of 6 3 of 12 7 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Gabriel Bonfim 28 of 49 57% 18 of 33 0 of 5 10 of 11 28 of 48 0 of 1 0 of 0
Khaos Williams 13 of 49 26% 5 of 31 1 of 7 7 of 11 13 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gabriel Bonfim vs. Kalinn Williams
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bonfim (-225), Williams (+185)

Round 1
The first of the vaunted Bonfim brothers takes the stage in this welterweight contest. Called “Little Hammer” or “Marretinha,” Bonfim (16-1, 3-1 UFC) lets his smaller, older brother take “Hammer” outright. This Bonfim is more apt to go for submissions than the other, with a clean three-quarters of his pro victories by tapout. On the other side of the equation, Williams (15-3, 6-1 UFC) has never been finished as a pro, so something might have to give in the next 15 minutes or less. With referee Herb Dean taking a few steps back, the fighters meander towards one another but do not plan on offering a glove touch. Instead, they smack one another with calf kicks. Taking turns throwing these kicks, Williams tries to take his activity up a notch by jabbing to the body a few times. Bonfim loops a single left hand around the guard, but Williams pays it no mind. They lunge at one another with solid jabs, and Williams misses a looping right hand by a matter of inches. Williams once more whiffs on a blitz, with Bonfim sliding to the side laterally to avoid the worst of it. Williams turns his hips into a hard kick, and a second is greeted by a takedown shot. Williams drops to a knee to defend it, wrapping his arm around the neck while Bonfim has his hands around the waist. As Williams tries to scramble, Bonfim comfortably takes his back and gets both hooks in. Williams is defensively-minded to not let a choke materialize, and he explodes at the exact right moment to burst back to his feet and put Bonfim’s back to the wall. Bonfim is able to separate and stick out numerous jabs, not letting Williams get off with his heavy shots. “Khaos” gets back to delivering low kicks from either side, and Bonfim times an overswinging Williams by lifting him up and slamming him on his face. Bonfim stays tight on top of his foe to pull off a Von Preux choke, but time expires before he can complete it. When Dean tells them the round is over, he has to forcibly get Bonfim to release the choke and send him to his corner.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bonfim

Round 2
It is more leg kicks from both men to get the second round started, with the occasional inaccurate surge from Williams buzzing past his opponent. Bonfim is able to successfully circle out of harm’s way, with Williams unable to cut him off and just chasing him hurling punches. Bonfim stays on his bike with stabbing jabs, and he chops at the front leg when not jabbing. The approach might not be mind-blowing but it is effective, as he occasionally follows a jab with a good overhand right. Bonfim checks a kick and the two crash together to bang their heads together, but they appear no worse for wear from it. The calf kicks from the Brazilian are starting to get Williams’ attention, who is swinging wider and appearing to flag seven minutes in. Bonfim checks another kick or two, jabs and slips away from the big Williams blows. Bonfim splits the guard with a front kick and keeps putting the pain behind low kicks. A left hook plants behind the ear of “Khaos the Ox Fighter,” who shakes it off and gets back to trading at a range he does prefer. Williams swings wildly with too much arc, while Bonfim is much straighter, allowing him to hit first and last while chewing Williams up with his kicks. Williams staggers away after taking unchecked low kicks, and he comes up hitting air when bearing down on the Brazilian. Bonfim stabs out a jab and parries a few punches, and he shoots for a takedown as soon as Williams gains as modicum of momentum.
Bonfim lands in full mount but is bounced out of it, and he turns to his knees and wraps up a brabo choke. Williams turns to his side to ride out the choke and possibly survive to the next round, but the submission is lethally tight. Williams goes out, his eyes eerily open wide and his mouthpiece nearly coughed out as he stares lifelessly into the void.
Dean recognizes that Williams has been ushered off to dreamland and waves the fight off, with Bonfim successfully becoming the first fighter to finish the dangerous “Khaos.”

The Official Result
Gabriel Bonfim def. Kalinn Williams R2 4:58 via Technical Submission (Brabo Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Angelo picks Gabriel Bonfim, noting he is more well-rounded with clean boxing and good BJJ. He expects Bonfim to use a wrestle-heavy game plan but acknowledges Khaos Williams has solid takedown defense and power. He thinks the -200 odds are wide and that Bonfim could gas, but overall Bonfim has more tools.

"Gabriel's going to be the pick here because he's more well-rounded he has more tools in the bag and he can make this fight Go in different directions"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Bonfim

Big Brady picks Bonfim, noting he has more ways to win: striking power and a grappling path. Williams is hitable (42% striking defense) and has poor grappling defense. Bonfim showed improved cardio in his last fight. However, he hesitates to lay -210 odds due to Williams' power.

"I just think bonfim has way more ways to win and I think he's the better fighter so give me Gabriel bonf I'll take him to win by decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2025 (fight day)
Gabriel Bonfim

Bonfim is the better striker and overall mixed martial artist. As long as he stays conscious, he should outpoint Khaos Williams and win on the scorecards. The fight likely goes past the 1.5 round mark.

over 1.5 rounds
"I do believe Bonfim is the better striker and better overall mixed martial artist as long as he can stay conscious in this matchup he should be able to touch up Khaos Williams and win this fight on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

The MMA Guru picks Khaos Williams as an underdog over Gabriel Bonfim. He doubts Bonfim's ability to immediately take Williams down and submit him, noting Bonfim's close decision with Ange Loosa and loss to Nicolas Dalby. He believes Williams has the power to knock out Bonfim and has a solid resume despite inactivity.

underdog pick
"I'm gonna go chaos Williams as an underdog here I think he's going to Chin Gabriel Bon ferm"
KO (punch) R1 1:30 · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · May 18, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khaos Williams 1 12 of 20 60% 12 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Carlston Harris 0 14 of 30 46% 14 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khaos Williams 1 12 of 20 60% 12 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Carlston Harris 0 14 of 30 46% 14 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khaos Williams 12 of 20 60% 5 of 9 2 of 4 5 of 7 11 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 1
Carlston Harris 14 of 30 46% 10 of 25 1 of 2 3 of 3 14 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khaos Williams 12 of 20 60% 5 of 9 2 of 4 5 of 7 11 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 1
Carlston Harris 14 of 30 46% 10 of 25 1 of 2 3 of 3 14 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kalinn Williams vs. Carlston Harris
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Williams (-130), Harris (+110)

Round 1
Coming into the co-main event, two welterweights with the ability to procure especially violent and fascinating finishes will clash. Williams (14-3, 5-2 UFC) prefers to smash people in the face, while Harris (19-5, 4-1 UFC) can hit hard and is not afraid to go for a neck. Referee Dan Miragliotta may be needed when it’s all said and done. The two men tap their gloves together before the melee ensues, and Williams moves right to the center of the cage. Harris slaps out a low kick, and he leans to the side to evade a front kick aimed at his face. They both jab at one another, with Williams going to the body. Williams aims a body shot and follows with a right hand over the top. Harris stays on the outside with rangy punches to the head and midsection. They trade low kicks, and Harris prods out with a jab. Harris comes up short with a pair of overhand rights, and a third partially lands.
Williams absorbs a clubbing right hand behind the ear when jabbing to the body, and he ducks down and unleashes a devastating right that completely demolishes “Mocambique.” Harris hits the ground on his side in a heap, totally wrecked, and Williams leaps down to finish the job with one unnecessary diving right hand.
When Miragliotta gets between them, he walks off pounding his chest to celebrate a crushing knockout, having flattened a dangerous adversary in about 90 seconds.

The Official Result
Kalinn Williams def. Carlston Harris R1 1:30 via KO (Punch)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 12, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Angelo picks Khaos Williams due to his power, durability, and takedown defense, but he is not fully confident because Williams looked flat in his last fight with no head movement. Carlston Harris is well-rounded with slick grappling and power. Angelo trusts Williams' takedown defense over Harris's 29% takedown accuracy, but hopes Williams shows improvement.

"chaos Williams is going to be the pick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Cody believes Williams has evolved from a pure power puncher to a more well-rounded fighter who uses inside kicks to set up his right hand. He notes Williams has 80% takedown defense and hasn't been taken down since Michel Pereira. Cody argues Harris's striking is limited and his cardio is suspect; if Harris doesn't get a quick submission, Williams will outwork him on the feet. He also highlights Williams's training camp at Michigan with top welterweights.

"I'll take that slight Edge on chaos Williams."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Williams has improved his takedown defense and gas tank, and is a crisper striker. Harris relies on clinching and BJJ but will struggle to get the fight to the ground against Williams' physicality. Expects Williams to land the more effective damage and win a decision.

"I don't mind him around that minus 120 line in this fight so give me Williams and Williams by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Carlston Harris

Paul leans on Harris's grappling advantage, noting that if Harris can get the fight to the mat, he should have a significant edge. He questions whether Khaos Williams has been tested against someone with Harris's jiu-jitsu pedigree. Paul expects a striker vs. grappler dynamic and favors the grappler.

"I'll lean on the grappling here because I don't know if chaos Williams has really been tested against somebody with this pedigree of jiujitsu."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Carlston Harris

The MMA Guru picks Carlston Harris to win by submission (rear-naked choke) in rounds one or two over Khaos Williams. He believes Harris will grapple heavily and that Williams' takedown defense is not bad but Harris is more likely to shoot offensively. He notes Williams' inactivity and real estate business as potential distractions, and trusts Harris' grappling pedigree.

submission
"I'm going to go re naked choke or some kind of submission for carlston Harris in rounds one or two"
Decision (split) (27–30, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · May 06, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khaos Williams 0 130 of 283 45% 131 of 284 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:13
Rolando Bedoya 0 149 of 209 71% 150 of 210 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khaos Williams 0 44 of 88 50% 45 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
Rolando Bedoya 0 44 of 56 78% 45 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Khaos Williams 0 39 of 90 43% 39 of 90 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Rolando Bedoya 0 40 of 60 66% 40 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Khaos Williams 0 47 of 105 44% 47 of 105 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Rolando Bedoya 0 65 of 93 69% 65 of 93 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khaos Williams 130 of 283 45% 68 of 205 29 of 38 33 of 40 126 of 276 4 of 7 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 149 of 209 71% 103 of 150 15 of 17 31 of 42 136 of 196 13 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khaos Williams 44 of 88 50% 21 of 59 15 of 19 8 of 10 42 of 84 2 of 4 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 44 of 56 78% 26 of 34 9 of 10 9 of 12 37 of 49 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Khaos Williams 39 of 90 43% 17 of 60 8 of 13 14 of 17 37 of 87 2 of 3 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 40 of 60 66% 25 of 38 3 of 4 12 of 18 37 of 57 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Khaos Williams 47 of 105 44% 30 of 86 6 of 6 11 of 13 47 of 105 0 of 0 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 65 of 93 69% 52 of 78 3 of 3 10 of 12 62 of 90 3 of 3 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Rolando Bedoya vs. Kalinn Williams
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Williams (-305), Bedoya (+255)

Round 1
Carrying on the prelims is a welterweight clash when power puncher Williams (13-3, 4-2 UFC) introduces Peruvian newcomer Bedoya (14-1, 0-0 UFC) to the promotion. Fists are sure to fly soon, and referee Keith Peterson is right on top of the nonsense-free action when it begins. Before the looming slugfest, they tap their gloves together. Bedoya starts off with a leg kick, and Williams marches him down and slugs him in the face. Bedoya wobbles back, keeping his head on a swivel, and he appears no worse for wear after the charging salvo. Williams continues plodding forward, stringing punches together, and Bedoya skirts on the outside to protect his mug from the brunt of the damage. Williams shows no fear and throws caution to the wind, catching Bedoya but not hurting him, and the two wind up in the clinch. Bedoya sneaks up a few knees before breaking off, and he flashes out a jab when Williams comes at him. Bedoya pushes out a front kick and a one-two, and Williams no-sells it and throws a straight right hand down the pipe. Bedoya attacks the body with a kick, and he loads up with a few punches to the midsection. Bedoya grins and circles away, smacking the lead leg with a kick but getting belted in the face with a right hand from “Khaos.” Bedoya hammers the breadbasket with a few knees, and Williams gets one off on the break. Williams whiffs with a right hand, and he counters with a left over the guard. Williams intercepts his foe with a short right hand, and Bedoya flashes a big grin after taking it flush. “The Ox Fighter” goes for a kick to the body, and he strings several punches into a body kick as Bedoya grimaces. Bedoya fires back, and Williams grabs hold of his foe to conclude the close round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Williams

Round 2
The second round kicks off with a body kick from the Peruvian fighter, and brimming with confidence, he throws one low. Williams counters with a calf kick, and he slides back from a windmilling right hand that zooms past his face. “Khaos” digs in another low kick, and he catches a front kick to land his shin on the inside. Williams cracks the chin with a few punches, and Bedoya smiles at him and shakes it off, only to absorb a chopping low kick at the end of a combination. Bedoya lets go with a leg kick, and he counters a kick with a right hand around the guard. Williams surges forward with three punches, making the Peruvian smile. They trade leg kicks, and Bedoya gets in a right hand and a front kick. Williams ignores it and comes out firing, and Bedoya catches him with another right on the chin. After a brief clinch, Williams splits it up with a sharp uppercut, and Bedoya answers with a leg kick that makes Williams frown. Williams scores two punches coming forward, and Bedoya shakes them off and starts showboating and taunting his foe. Williams does not bite, instead loading up with two leg kicks, and Bedoya makes a matador motion. Williams clubs his man with a looping left and a hard right leg kick, and Bedoya replies with a knee up the middle. The Peruvian fighter kicks low and then high, surprising “Khaos” with his shin to the chin. Williams tanks it without flinching, and he springs into action with a few punches and a body kick. Williams splits the guard with a pair of punches, and Bedoya answers with a leg kick that irritates Williams. To respond to that, the American pops him with a few punches, and both men tag the other in a fierce exchange. The two welterweights clash legs together with one final kick, and the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Williams

Round 3
There is a final clap of hands to open up the last round, and they begin trading shortly thereafter. Williams smacks his shin on the inside of the leg, and he counters Bedoya’s kick with two punches down Broadway. This leads to a clinch, and they break away and sting one another with power shots. Williams lets fly four punches and a leg kick, and Bedoya replies with a few leg kicks to draw a reaction. Williams is intercepted when lunging, and he takes an elbow that stuns him. Bedoya decides to throw leather, and Williams obliges him and does not throw as many kicks. Bedoya flicks out a few jabs and shells up when Williams swings back at him with a vengeance. Bedoya slips back when tossing out a low kick, and Williams stands right in front of him and strikes. Williams absorbs a flush leg kick that makes him stumble, and his plant leg is compromised and he cannot throw quite as hard as before. Bedoya jabs and sticks a leg kick, and Williams replies in kind. They both push off with lefts, and Bedoya pops his man with a one-two. Williams gets clinched and breaks away with a vertical elbow, and he loops a right hand that smashes square into the newcomer’s chin. Bedoya’s beard is made of tougher stuff, as he does not appear fazed and instead goes right back to chopping at Williams’ leg. Bedoya throws, and Williams replies. Bedoya doubles up on a few jabs, and Williams hurts him with a leg kick. The two rock one another with right hands, and they gather their bearings and hear the final horn blare. This one could go either way.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bedoya (29-28 Williams)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bedoya (29-28 Williams)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bedoya (29-28 Williams)

The Official Result
Kalinn Williams def. Rolando Bedoya via Split Decision (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Angelo picks Khaos Williams confidently, citing his insane power and durability. He notes that Rolando Bedoya is hittable, as seen in his fight against Pablo de Horta where he was consistently landed on. Angelo believes if Khaos lands with even 10% of the accuracy Pablo did, he will win by knockout. However, he acknowledges that if Bedoya's chin holds up, his volume could win a decision. Angelo plans to wait for round props before betting.

waiting for round props
"chaos is going to be the pick here he's as I mentioned the at least for now the biggest favorite on this card"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Big Brady picks Williams, calling it a terrible matchup for Bedoya. He notes Bedoya has awful striking defense, walking forward with his hands low, and Williams has elite power. He believes Williams will knock Bedoya out within the first two minutes, as Bedoya's style of eating punches won't work against a power puncher like Williams.

First round knockout prediction
"I think chaos Williams starches bedoya within the first two minutes"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 3, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Cody is very confident in Williams, describing Bedoya as a 'dead man walking.' He notes Bedoya's competition in Peru is weak, his striking is wild and technical, and he has no wrestling to avoid Williams' power. Williams has improved significantly, training with top guys, and has knockout power in both hands. He expects an early KO.

Williams inside the distance; Williams round 1
"I would think Roland bedoya is a Dead Man Walking On The Green Mile"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 4, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Connor agrees, noting Williams has power and a blitzing style that will work against Bedoya's poor defense. He mentions Williams is durable and has been in scrappy fights. Bedoya is fun but too reckless, and Williams should win.

Bedoya opened +231, now +264; Williams opened -280, now -313.
"Yeah, I mean, I think the prevailing feeling about this matchup should be, why is it happening?"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

The host picks Khaos Williams by knockout in the second round. He believes Williams' higher level experience and bigger knockout power will be decisive in a wild exchange. He notes there is value on Bedoya but prefers the more battle-tested fighter. He also recommends the fight doesn't go to decision.

Fight doesn't go to decision, Williams by knockout round 2
"give me chaos Williams by knockout probably in the second round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 3, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Paul agrees, saying the obvious play is Williams inside the distance. He notes Williams has 'death touch' and is overdue for a knockout. He expects Williams to come out aggressive and finish early.

Williams inside the distance
"the obvious play is chaos Williams inside the distance"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

The Guru picks Williams, calling Bedoya's debut a terrible matchup. He notes Williams' reach advantage and power, and that Bedoya has been off for over a year. He expects Williams to land a first-round KO, as Bedoya will have octagon jitters on a PPV card.

first round KO
"I think it's a recipe for a first round KO for chaos Williams here"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 4, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Zane picks Williams because of his massive power and blitzing style, which should overwhelm Bedoya's poor defense. He notes Bedoya is fun but messy, and Williams is durable and can force his fight. Bedoya is likely to get sucked into Williams' brawl and won't make him do something else.

Bedoya opened +231, now +264; Williams opened -280, now -313.
"I don't see Bedoya making him do something else. Everybody should be picking Williams until proved otherwise."
LOSS vs Randy Brown
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · May 07, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Randy Brown 0 93 of 177 52% 103 of 188 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:11
Khaos Williams 1 75 of 224 33% 96 of 246 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Randy Brown 0 18 of 36 50% 19 of 37 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Khaos Williams 0 21 of 58 36% 28 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:43
2 Randy Brown 0 34 of 69 49% 41 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Khaos Williams 0 25 of 80 31% 34 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:19
3 Randy Brown 0 41 of 72 56% 43 of 74 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:07
Khaos Williams 1 29 of 86 33% 34 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Randy Brown 93 of 177 52% 68 of 144 15 of 22 10 of 11 74 of 156 19 of 21 0 of 0
Khaos Williams 75 of 224 33% 26 of 159 16 of 21 33 of 44 68 of 207 4 of 10 3 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Randy Brown 18 of 36 50% 12 of 26 5 of 8 1 of 2 14 of 31 4 of 5 0 of 0
Khaos Williams 21 of 58 36% 8 of 39 6 of 6 7 of 13 16 of 50 3 of 4 2 of 4
2 Randy Brown 34 of 69 49% 26 of 57 4 of 8 4 of 4 32 of 67 2 of 2 0 of 0
Khaos Williams 25 of 80 31% 7 of 55 6 of 11 12 of 14 24 of 74 1 of 6 0 of 0
3 Randy Brown 41 of 72 56% 30 of 61 6 of 6 5 of 5 28 of 58 13 of 14 0 of 0
Khaos Williams 29 of 86 33% 11 of 65 4 of 4 14 of 17 28 of 83 0 of 0 1 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Randy Brown vs. Kalinn Williams
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Williams (-120), Brown (+100)

Round 1
Two welterweights on the quest to shed the “action fighter” label and move up to contendership will throw down in this important 170-pound matchup that serves as the new main card opener. Both Brown (14-4, 8-4 UFC) and Williams (13-2, 4-1 UFC) are known for their devastating knockouts, even if Williams has the higher knockout rate at just 54% -- whether their reputations precede them, or lasting images like Brown pounding out Bryan Barberena or Williams obliterating Alex Morono or Abdul Razak Alhassan make people remember their power. Hope to not get knocked out will be referee Jason Herzog, who will however be ready to jump in at a moment’s notice should the right strike land. The gloves are touched, and they both throw quick strikes early. Williams goes low with a kick, and he charges in with swiping right hands. Brown hops back and out of the way, and sneaks in a short left hand counter on the way back and out. Williams sits down on a thudding body kick, and he swings wildly as Brown stays elusive while trying not to get tagged with the overwhelming power punches coming his way. Brown reaches out with long jabs, and he relies on his footwork to keep him safe as Williams is not shying away from power. Brown goes high with a kick, and Williams brushes it aside and swings a right hand that makes him slip. “Khaos” gathers himself and presses forward to tie Brown up, and Brown knees him in the chest and scores a straight left hand on the break. Williams unloads with a serious combination that rocks Brown, and Brown dives into a desperation takedown that inadvertently gives up his neck. Williams latches on to a brabo choke while Brown is leaned over on his knees, and he bails on it before gassing his arms as it does not appear tight. Brown just slides back when a looping right hand comes at him, and he slips when tossing out a kick. Brown springs back up and ducks as Williams loads up, and he leaps in the air with a knee. Trying to channel his inner Fedor Emelianenko, Williams attempts to intercept Brown mid-air with a right hand, but it does not quite land flush. Brown lands, and they trade with quick punches until Williams pushes in for a clinch. Brown snags hold of a guillotine choke with his back to the wall, and he introduces his knee to Williams’ jaw. Brown re-pursues the guillotine, and Williams punches the body a few times until Brown jumps for the choke with one second left. The fight does not hit the mat before the horn sounds, and Brown releases the grip instantly.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Williams

Round 2
The strikers touch gloves to start off the second frame, and Brown unleashes a right hand over the top that shakes Williams up. “Khaos” shakes it off and absorbs a heavy body kick, which lets Brown get comfortable and start dancing. Brown doubles up his jab, catching Williams on the way in and surprising him once more with his strikes. The jabs from Brown continue to pop Williams in the chops, disrupting him momentarily until Williams sits down on an uppercut. Brown leaps forward with a right hand, and he slides and ducks the punches and mocks Williams for his inaccuracy. When Williams kicks at his lead leg, “Rude Boy” checks it and keeps marching forward. He checks a few more, and walks Williams down without exposing himself to anything dangerous. Brown lowers his hands and flashes the jab a few times, and Brown gets a little overconfident and gets cracked. Williams snipes him with a right hand as he blitzes forward, and he bullies the Jamaican all the way to the wall. They separate, and Brown tosses a high kick over the top that skims off Williams’ head. Brown continues to pepper his man with jabs, and he checks the kicks and loads up on a standing elbow that just misses. Williams keeps missing as Brown is dodging and weaving his strikes, and he ducks into an uppercut but does not appear remotely concerned. They both duck down towards one another, and they clash chests as Williams presses him to the wire. Brown ties up a guillotine choke when they are clinched, but he bails on it as Williams continues to hold and grind him. Williams separates with a left hand on the jaw, and he wings a left to the body that comes up short. Brown paws out jabs and keeps his man frustrated, and he just misses a spinning kick. They trade leg kicks, and Williams checks it and points to his own shin confidently. Brown slides a punch and clips Williams with a right hand, and Williams falls forward to clinch. The welterweights hang tight in the clinch until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brown
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Brown
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brown

Round 3
Gloves get touched to lead off the last round, and Brown returns to feeding Williams a steady diet of jabs. Brown sneaks up a head kick quickly, and he hops back when Williams tries and fails to counter him with power strikes. They toss half-hearted leg kicks at one another, and Brown keeps his jab going the whole time. Williams surges forward to throw hands, and Brown leans and shoulder rolls before sliding forward to counter. A right hand from Brown knocks Williams back, and Brown does not take advantage of it to any notable degree. Brown continues to jab, and he splits the guard with a front kick as Williams appears frustrated that he is so inaccurate tonight. Brown again slaps the ball of his foot into Williams’ face, and he ducks back as Williams charges. A short right hand from “Khaos” suddenly blasts Brown on the chin, knocking him down to the mat in a shock. Williams goes after him, lowering himself to the guard, but unable to keep him there. When upright, Brown stings Williams, and they are both rocked. They swing wildly, and “Rude Boy” nails Williams with a rude knee right on the button. Williams wobbles but he won’t fall down, and Brown throws so hard that he actually falls over. Williams follows him over to try to take him down, and Brown defends with his back to the wall and lands a number of illegal elbows to the back of the head despite being warned twice. Williams gets some space and unloads with a clean right hand, and Brown is not fazed as he powers forward. A telegraphed takedown attempt from Brown comes, and Williams stops him but gets pushed up to the wall, where Brown knees him a few times up the middle. Williams leaps forward with a superman punch, and Brown signals that it just missed. The fight ends after a fierce exchange, and they stand before one another after it sounds to talk out what just happened. This will likely be a hotly debated decision, depending on how it turns out, as both men have a case for winning their 15-minute entanglement.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brown (29-28 Brown)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Brown (29-28 Brown)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brown (29-28 Brown)

The Official Result
Randy Brown def. Kalinn Williams via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Angelo picks Khaos Williams due to his power and durability, despite acknowledging that Randy Brown is the more technical striker with better grappling. He notes that two of Brown's three UFC losses are by knockout and that Williams has the takedown defense to keep it standing.

"chaos is the pick here because of how dangerous he is"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 2, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Big Brady picks Khaos Williams to win by second-round knockout. He believes Williams has the power, volume, and durability advantage. Brown is the more skilled striker and grappler, but he has been finished in three of his four losses, including two by knockout. Williams has never been finished and hits hard. Brady thinks Brown will get hit a lot and eventually get knocked out. He expects a war and favors the fighter with more power and durability.

second round knockout
"I like williams here I feel like brown can most definitely be the minute winner here I feel like brown against a better striker but I just feel like williams knocks this guy out"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Cody leans towards Randy Brown, calling it a dogger pass situation. He is encouraged by Brown's recent performances, especially his use of length and range. Cody notes that Brown's losses are to high-level guys and that he seems to be turning a corner. He contrasts Williams' power but stalled progression, and believes Brown's volume and reach will be key. Cody acknowledges it's a close matchup but favors Brown.

"i do see myself leaning towards randy brown i've been uh i've been really encouraged with what you see out of him lately"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 5, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Daniel Levi picks Randy Brown confidently, calling it his first bet of the night at 1.5 units at +115. He believes Brown's volume, movement, and length will be key, and that Brown is in his prime with experience against top competition. He respects Khaos Williams' power but thinks Brown can outwork him over three rounds. He notes that Brown's last performances show he has turned a corner.

Daniel bets 1.5 units on Randy Brown moneyline at +115. No other props mentioned.
"I took the plus 115 odds on Brown. It's more of a bet on Brown than it is a fade on chaos because I respect chaos."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 6, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Randy Brown

The host picks Randy Brown, believing he is the better striker with superior movement, leg kicks, and output. He expects Brown to keep Khaos Williams at range and avoid his power shots. He notes Brown's Muay Thai clinch and jiu-jitsu are also advantages. He thinks Williams will get frustrated and rely on power, but Brown's discipline and cardio will carry him to a decision win. He disagrees with Williams being the favorite.

"give me rude boy brandy brown"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Paul picks Randy Brown as an underdog at +100. He notes that Brown has been improving, using his length and range effectively with a good jab and low kick. Paul believes Brown's chin held up well against Jared Gooden and that he is more well-rounded. He thinks if the fight becomes a volume affair, Brown edges it out, and Brown's grappling could be an advantage. Paul is confident in Brown's path to victory.

"plus 100 on the underdog randy ruboy brown is where i would be putting my money on this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 2, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

The MMA Guru picks Khaos Williams, despite acknowledging Brown is more technical. He believes Williams' power and leg kicks will be decisive, and that Brown's chin is suspect, having been KO'd before. He predicts Williams will chop at the legs early and land a big KO in the second round, possibly when Brown is ahead on the scorecards. He notes Williams is young and improving.

"chaos williams by kayla is what we're gonna go with he's not good uh he's not technical"
WIN vs Miguel Baeza
TKO (punches) R3 1:02 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · Nov 13, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khaos Williams 0 31 of 56 55% 32 of 57 0 of 2 0% 5 0 0:00
Miguel Baeza 1 49 of 131 37% 60 of 145 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khaos Williams 0 4 of 7 57% 5 of 8 0 of 2 0% 5 0 0:00
Miguel Baeza 0 16 of 32 50% 27 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:39
2 Khaos Williams 0 23 of 40 57% 23 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Miguel Baeza 0 26 of 77 33% 26 of 77 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
3 Khaos Williams 0 4 of 9 44% 4 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Miguel Baeza 1 7 of 22 31% 7 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khaos Williams 31 of 56 55% 13 of 35 1 of 4 17 of 17 31 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miguel Baeza 49 of 131 37% 23 of 94 6 of 7 20 of 30 36 of 113 2 of 4 11 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khaos Williams 4 of 7 57% 3 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miguel Baeza 16 of 32 50% 10 of 23 0 of 1 6 of 8 7 of 18 1 of 3 8 of 11
2 Khaos Williams 23 of 40 57% 9 of 24 0 of 2 14 of 14 23 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miguel Baeza 26 of 77 33% 8 of 52 6 of 6 12 of 19 25 of 76 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Khaos Williams 4 of 9 44% 1 of 5 0 of 1 3 of 3 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miguel Baeza 7 of 22 31% 5 of 19 0 of 0 2 of 3 4 of 19 0 of 0 3 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Miguel Baeza vs. Kalinn Williams

Round 1
Hang on tight, welterweight flamethrowers are on deck. Baeza (10-1, 3-1 UFC) will be looking to bounce back from the first defeat in his career against “Khaos” Williams (12-2, 3-1 UFC). Both men are known for their knockout power while neither has ever been knocked out, so something may have to give. Referee Chris Tognoni is lacing his running shoes as we speak, and he steels himself as they touch gloves before throwing down. Williams is the first to give pressure, and he comes forward while Baeza is circling all the way around the cage for a full revolution. Williams looks to slow him with a leg kick, but Baeza is out of harm’s way as he continues to circle. Williams loads up on a power punch, only to hit air. Baeza charges in, and when Williams is there to load up and crack him, Baeza zips away. Williams attempts to cut Baeza off, but he resorts to simply stalking his man down. Williams scores with a calf kick, and Baeza does not answer or do anything but retreat as he takes another kick to the same spot. Williams plods forward, and he walks face-first into a left and a right hook that snap Williams’ head back. Williams cracks Baeza, Baeza cracks him back, and they are throwing bombs suddenly and their eyes are wide open. They both back off and return to the predator-prey relationship of Williams giving chase, until Baeza turns it around on him with a left hand and a loud kick to the body. A body kick from Baeza makes him fall over, and Williams pounces on top and starts delivering ground-and-pound. “Caramel Thunder” dives for a heel hook, and he transitions the submission to a kneebar as Baeza tries to scramble and buck. Williams finds a way to land a big punch from on top, and Baeza keeps pursuing the foot lock. Williams sits up and falls into an inverted heel hook position, and he does not seem concerned as he aims punches to break the grip. Baeza rolls over as he torques the leg, and Williams sits up to land bombs that are doing damage and making Baeza turn away. Williams pounds away until the bell, and does not flinch when standing back up.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Baeza
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Williams

Round 2
The welterweights touch gloves before coming out swinging, and like the last round, Williams assumes control of the driver’s seat as he advances without fear. Williams aims a half-hearted kick to the knee, and Baeza replies with one much harder. Williams does not let him get away with it, with a few more kicks on the inside of his foe’s leg. They both trade calf kicks, and Williams looks for a one-two when they settle. Baeza responds in kind, and he quickly flips his front foot up to smack Williams in the face. The impact from “Caramel Thunder” is not the same as Marlon Vera against Frankie Edgar lats week, as Williams eats it like candy and continues moving forward. One low kick from Williams goes south of the border, and Baeza thinks about fighting through it but Tognoni gives him time to recover both mentally and physically. About 45 seconds elapse before Baeza is ready to go back, and they start swinging for the fences. A pair of punches get Williams’ attention, and he slams his shin into Baeza’s leg. Baeza goes after the same strike, and they step back to measure one another as the damage from these strikes registers. Baeza connects with a clean head kick and one to the knee, and Williams’ knee may be compromised as he takes a funny step and switches stances after it. Baeza continues to target the same spot, and Williams aims to pay him back but Baeza’s are more accurate and appear to be more powerful. Baeza sits down on a body kick, and they crash together to throw hands. Baeza wobbles from a left hand but he comes right forward to engage, while Williams ducks back to kick at him. When Baeza scores a thudding calf kick, Williams attacks with a trio of punches that fluster Baeza. They both swing for the fences, and Williams grabs hold of him and pushes him into the wall. Williams comes up with a knee to the body, but it does not hit the body, and instead smashes square into Baeza’s cup. Baeza falls to his knees and cries out in pain, and Tognoni tells him to take all the time he needs. Tognoni then goes over to Williams and gives him his final warning, telling him that even though it was accidental, he has landed two fouls – some may call for a point deduction as it was the second groin shot, but Tognoni lets it remain as a warning. Baeza is clearly compromised, and he works his way back up to his feet. After 100 seconds, he is good to go again. Williams comes out with a big right hand that rings Baeza’s bell, and after a tense exchange, the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Baeza
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Baeza
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Baeza

Round 3
The two 170ers touch ‘em up to open the last round, and Baeza just misses with a front kick to start off. When that whiffs, he kicks low, and Williams may be damaged on his front wheel but he is not showing it. They clash together and Williams swings for the bleachers, but Baeza wears them well and comes back at him. “Khaos the Oxfighter” misses with a spinning kick, and he follows the momentum with another kick. Baeza backpedals, chops at the calf, and then targets a second one to the same spot.
At that exact moment, Williams bites down on his mouthpiece and throws three vicious hooks. The third one, a right hand right on the button, smashes into the side of Baeza’s jaw and sends him crashing down to the canvas. Williams leaps down to finish the job, and as he is battering his fallen foe with ground-and-pound, Tognoni jumps in to pull him off as he calls the fight.
After regaining his faculties, Baeza appears to complain, but he is wobbly on his feet when he does manage to get back up. Williams is now the first man to finish “Caramel Thunder” as a pro, doing so after absorbing some serious punishment to that point.

The Official Result
Kalinn Williams def. Miguel Baeza R3 1:02 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Angelo slightly leans toward Khaos Williams due to his knockout power, but is worried about Baeza's potential grappling. He notes that Williams has no wrestling data in the UFC, making his takedown defense an unknown. Angelo thinks the odds should be flipped and that Williams has the power and speed advantage.

"i am very slightly leaning towards chaos because of the knockout potential but i am worried about that pick because i think baeza may look to grapple"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 9, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Miguel Baeza

Big Brady picks Miguel Baeza but is hesitant, acknowledging Khaos Williams' power and better chin. He notes Baeza has been hurt in previous fights and questions his chin. However, Brady sees a path for Baeza using his BJJ black belt to exploit Williams' poor takedown defense, mixing in takedowns to win a decision.

Baeza by decision
"i'm going to take miguel baeza here by decision actually"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Miguel Baeza

Cody believes Baeza will improve after his first loss and has a good game plan: low calf kicks and footwork. He notes Khaos Williams is stationary and heavy on his lead foot, making him vulnerable to leg kicks. He expects Baeza to win by decision or late TKO.

"i feel like miguel beza coming off his first career loss will reassess things better version of himself"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 11, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Daniel Levi picks Khaos Williams as the underdog, arguing that Williams has the power advantage and can capitalize on Baeza's tendency to get hit (5 strikes absorbed per minute). He notes that both fighters are hittable but gives Williams the edge in power and believes he can land a fight-changing shot. Levi acknowledges Baeza's calf kicks and black belt but thinks Williams's physicality and pressure will be the difference.

underdog pick
"give me the underdog to get it done"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Miguel Baeza

Jacob picks Miguel Baeza, believing he is the cleaner striker and will counter Williams' loaded punches. He notes that Baeza has grappling as a backup and is a jiu-jitsu black belt. Jacob thinks Williams will chase a knockout and get countered, and he loves Baeza in this matchup.

"i absolutely love miguel baeza and i hope this is a war i hope he doesn't grapple but i feel like he's going to go to the grappling and give chaos some issues"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Miguel Baeza

Paul thinks Baeza is a clean striker with volume, but worries about his chin being checked. He notes that Khaos Williams has knockout power but hasn't shown it recently. He leans Baeza but has low confidence.

"i think the volume will will lean towards we'll lean towards beza here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2021 (fight day)
Miguel Baeza

The Guru picks Miguel Baeza by third-round submission (D'Arce choke). He expects Williams to have early success with power shots, but Baeza's calf kicks and body work will wear Williams down. In the third round, Baeza will sprawl on a takedown and secure the choke.

submission in round 3 via D'Arce choke
"i'm gonna go miguel bazer i'm gonna go with miguel bazer by third round darsh choke finish"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: The Korean Zombie vs. Ige · Jun 19, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khaos Williams 0 91 of 260 35% 114 of 286 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:53
Matthew Semelsberger 0 64 of 141 45% 68 of 146 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khaos Williams 0 26 of 83 31% 44 of 104 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:21
Matthew Semelsberger 0 18 of 32 56% 20 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Khaos Williams 0 29 of 80 36% 34 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Matthew Semelsberger 0 23 of 41 56% 25 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
3 Khaos Williams 0 36 of 97 37% 36 of 97 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Matthew Semelsberger 0 23 of 68 33% 23 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khaos Williams 91 of 260 35% 44 of 195 18 of 31 29 of 34 87 of 254 4 of 6 0 of 0
Matthew Semelsberger 64 of 141 45% 42 of 116 9 of 11 13 of 14 62 of 137 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khaos Williams 26 of 83 31% 12 of 63 3 of 7 11 of 13 25 of 80 1 of 3 0 of 0
Matthew Semelsberger 18 of 32 56% 11 of 25 4 of 4 3 of 3 18 of 31 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Khaos Williams 29 of 80 36% 13 of 59 5 of 8 11 of 13 26 of 77 3 of 3 0 of 0
Matthew Semelsberger 23 of 41 56% 15 of 32 2 of 2 6 of 7 21 of 38 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Khaos Williams 36 of 97 37% 19 of 73 10 of 16 7 of 8 36 of 97 0 of 0 0 of 0
Matthew Semelsberger 23 of 68 33% 16 of 59 3 of 5 4 of 4 23 of 68 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kalinn Williams vs. Matthew Semelsberger

Round 1
This welterweight battle may be a case of knock out or be knocked out, when Williams (11-2, 2-1 UFC) comes to blows with Semelsberger (8-2, 2-0 UFC). Hanging on tight is referee Herb Dean, who will need to stay light on his feet to keep up as there is an intense touch of gloves between the two. Williams flings a few kicks, and Semelsberger looks for a right hand counter. He tries another when Williams looses a naked kick, and Williams suddenly unloads with a surge of punches. Semelsberger keeps his wits about him, but Williams catches him with a right hand and makes Semelsberger’s knees wilt a little against the fence. Semelsberger tries to fire back, but Williams ignores the strikes and bloodies up the nose of “Semi the Jedi.” Williams presses his man into the fence, where he starts feeding Semelsberger a steady diet of knees. Williams pounds away at his foe’s side, and on the break, he gets off a fast right hand. Three punches connect from Williams, and he gets clipped with a right hand counter that surprises Williams. “Khaos” lands a few low kicks, and he throws inaccurate punches that Semelsberger parries without concern. Another calf kick makes Semelsberger lift his leg up, and Williams swarms him with a barrage only to get sniped with a right hand over the top. Semelsberger puts his foot on the gas with a few more punches, but Williams stops him from this by stringing together a powerful salvo of strikes. A one-two from Semelsberger is well short of the mark, and when he connects with a leg kick, Williams charges to throw hands. Williams backs off to land leg kicks on each side, and Semelsberger chains a jab into an uppercut that snaps Williams’ head back. Williams swings and misses with bombs, and a naked leg kick gets countered by a fierce right hand. Williams swipes with left hands and jabs, and he works the lead leg with a kick. Right before time expires, Williams charges with reckless abandon, but little of note scores before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Williams

Round 2
Williams starts up right where he left off, putting punches together in a lengthy combination that Semelsberger can do nothing but defend. When he gets a turn, Semelsberger scores a few punches, but Williams’ strikes seem far more impactful. Williams gets off a head kick that is easily blocked, and when he reaches with a low kick, a one-two from Semelsberger stings Williams. Semelsberger is ready with an overhand right to ring Williams’ bell when Williams stands still after throwing a kick. Semelsberger walks forward and blasts Williams in the face with a huge right hand, but Williams barely even registers as he comes right back with a combination of punches. Williams powers forward to push Semelsberger into the wire, and he lands a right hand right at the break. Williams paws out a few jabs and deflects a flying knee, and he lunges out with a front kick and a single punch. Williams stumbles as he backs away from a few strikes, but he gets up without concern. Semelsberger jabs the body and gets his nose clocked again with a sharp left hook. Semelsberger chips at the lead leg, and Williams blitzes him with several punches to force Semelsberger to be defensive. Four consecutive jabs from Williams disrupt Semelsberger’s forward movement, but “Semi the Jedi” forces a head kick that rings right off the side of Williams’ head. Both welterweights start brawling, and when Semelsberger lands, Williams waves him on. Semelsberger does not fall for the trap, so Williams kicks his lead leg. Williams throws a wild flurry of punches that are windmilling and nowhere near the mark, but he does manage to close the distance to aim more strikes. Williams lands a few on the inside, but when they separate, Semelsberger clatters a right hand off of Williams’ dome. Williams surges ahead with punches to the head and body, sprinting forward to land them. Semelsberger stays calm, protects himself, and lands a kick right as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Williams

Round 3
The welterweights touch ‘em up to commence the final frame, and Williams is right there after to paw out several jabs and a head kick. Both trade single strikes, and they come together to throw leather but Williams comes out the better. Williams rushes forward with a right hand, and he gets stung with a countershot but Semelsberger is unable to follow it up. Williams pushes the pace, backing Semelsberger up to the fence, but not clinching with him. Semelsberger steps into an elbow, and a counter right hand finds its mark. The two stand in the center of the cage and trade blows, with neither showing any ill effects, until they back off and land solid kicks one after the other. Williams sees a punch coming, slips it and makes Semelsberger pay with an overhand right. A head kick from Williams turns into another high kick and a spinning back kick, but Semelsberger is a foot away from harm. Williams gathers himself, slips a strike and charges with a trio of punches. One lands, and he backs off to get his legs kicked hard. They stand and bang, and every time they do this, Williams chains higher volume together to get the upper hand. Semelsberger has a head kick slap off the guard, but a follow-up uppercut splits the guard and shakes Williams up. “Khaos” embraces the chaos and throws back with bad intentions, with a few punches, a body kick and a spinning back kick. Semelsberger takes them without issue and both men sling leather. Semelsberger starts marking Williams’ leg up with kicks, and Williams’ movement is a little hampered. Williams may not have quite the pop on his punches, but he is throwing so hard he nearly falls over. Williams and Semelsberger trade hands, and Semelsberger backs away to give him one spinning back kick back to him. Semelsberger throws a pair of punches, and Williams points to the ground to embody Max Holloway and incite a brawl. Semelsberger brushes off his chest, and the two start throwing everything they have left into their punches. Both men nail each other with these hilarious haymakers, and both laugh them off and continue to load up. As Williams pushes forward in this exchange, the strikers tie up on the cage until the final horn ends this entertaining slugfest.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Semelsberger (29-28 Williams)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Williams (30-27 Williams)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Williams (30-27 Williams)

The Official Result
Kalinn Williams def. Matthew Semelsberger via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Angelo picks Khaos Williams, citing his power and knockout ability. He notes that Semelsberger has been knocked out before and that Khaos has fought higher quality opponents. He disagrees with Jacob's pick of Semelsberger, arguing that Semelsberger's forward pressure may walk him into a power shot. Angelo also mentions he is waiting for better odds on a Khaos Williams knockout prop.

wins by knockout (waiting for better odds, currently +125 not enough)
"I have chaos winning this fight... chaos got power and matt semelsberger has been knocked out before."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Big Brady favors Williams due to higher level of competition (fought Alex Morono, Abdul Razak Alhassan) and durability (never finished). He notes Semelsberger has been knocked out by an 0-1 fighter and has two losses by finish. He predicts a first-round knockout by Williams.

win by KO in round 1
"Give me chaos williams I'm gonna take him to win I'm going to say first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

Cody picks Semelsberger as a live underdog, citing his better output, size, and wrestling. He notes Williams' power but questions his overall game and cardio. Cody suggests Semelsberger could win if he survives the first round and pressures Williams.

"i need a second underdog i think i'm going to go to semel's burger but i could easily get knocked out in the first round"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Khaos Williams

Daniel Levi picks Khaos Williams, disagreeing with the notion that he is a first-round-or-bust fighter. He points to Williams' decision win over Jeremy Holloway and competitive fight against Michel Pereira as evidence he can go three rounds. He thinks Williams can match Semelsberger in power and physicality, but has more experience. He expects a win by knockout or decision.

"i'm saying chaos williams either by knockout or by decision uh chaos is my pick"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

Jacob picks Matthew Semelsberger, emphasizing his volume and kicks to neutralize Khaos Williams' power. He believes Semelsberger can overwhelm Khaos with pressure and leg kicks. Jacob also thinks this could be fight of the night and likes the over on strikes for Semelsberger.

over on strikes for Semelsberger (monkey knife fight)
"I like matthew with this volume i like him to be able to use his kicks early to kind of take that power away from chaos."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

The host picks Matthew Semelsberger, citing his good combinations, leg kicks, and ability to stick and move. He notes Semelsberger's takedown threat and that Khaos Williams loads up on shots, making him telegraph. He believes Semelsberger can avoid Williams' power and win by decision, though he acknowledges Williams' knockout power is a threat. He mentions Semelsberger has been finished before but thinks improvements will keep him safe.

Semelsberger by decision at +320 mentioned
"i'm going to pick someone's burger here i think that he's able to stick and move"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Paul picks Williams, citing his knockout power and fast hands. He notes Semelsberger's questionable chin and believes Williams will land a clean shot. Paul acknowledges Semelsberger's path to victory but thinks Williams' power is the difference.

"chaos williams you're just dealing with a lot of pressure"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Khaos Williams

The MMA Guru picks Khaos Williams to win by unanimous decision (30-27, with one judge possibly giving Semelsberger a round). He expects a cautious fight with both men respecting each other's power. He predicts Williams will chop at the legs early and land more shots over three rounds, while Semelsberger goes for the head. He thinks it will be a chess match and Williams will be the better man in the third round.

"i'm gonna go with chaos williams and i think i'm gonna go with him by decision... 30-27 unanimous decision"
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Angelo picks Khaos Williams due to his power and durability, despite acknowledging that Randy Brown is the more technical striker with better grappling. He notes that two of Brown's three UFC losses are by knockout and that Williams has the takedown defense to keep it standing.

"chaos is the pick here because of how dangerous he is"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 2, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Big Brady picks Khaos Williams to win by second-round knockout. He believes Williams has the power, volume, and durability advantage. Brown is the more skilled striker and grappler, but he has been finished in three of his four losses, including two by knockout. Williams has never been finished and hits hard. Brady thinks Brown will get hit a lot and eventually get knocked out. He expects a war and favors the fighter with more power and durability.

second round knockout
"I like williams here I feel like brown can most definitely be the minute winner here I feel like brown against a better striker but I just feel like williams knocks this guy out"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Cody leans towards Randy Brown, calling it a dogger pass situation. He is encouraged by Brown's recent performances, especially his use of length and range. Cody notes that Brown's losses are to high-level guys and that he seems to be turning a corner. He contrasts Williams' power but stalled progression, and believes Brown's volume and reach will be key. Cody acknowledges it's a close matchup but favors Brown.

"i do see myself leaning towards randy brown i've been uh i've been really encouraged with what you see out of him lately"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 5, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Daniel Levi picks Randy Brown confidently, calling it his first bet of the night at 1.5 units at +115. He believes Brown's volume, movement, and length will be key, and that Brown is in his prime with experience against top competition. He respects Khaos Williams' power but thinks Brown can outwork him over three rounds. He notes that Brown's last performances show he has turned a corner.

Daniel bets 1.5 units on Randy Brown moneyline at +115. No other props mentioned.
"I took the plus 115 odds on Brown. It's more of a bet on Brown than it is a fade on chaos because I respect chaos."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 6, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Randy Brown

The host picks Randy Brown, believing he is the better striker with superior movement, leg kicks, and output. He expects Brown to keep Khaos Williams at range and avoid his power shots. He notes Brown's Muay Thai clinch and jiu-jitsu are also advantages. He thinks Williams will get frustrated and rely on power, but Brown's discipline and cardio will carry him to a decision win. He disagrees with Williams being the favorite.

"give me rude boy brandy brown"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Paul picks Randy Brown as an underdog at +100. He notes that Brown has been improving, using his length and range effectively with a good jab and low kick. Paul believes Brown's chin held up well against Jared Gooden and that he is more well-rounded. He thinks if the fight becomes a volume affair, Brown edges it out, and Brown's grappling could be an advantage. Paul is confident in Brown's path to victory.

"plus 100 on the underdog randy ruboy brown is where i would be putting my money on this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 2, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

The MMA Guru picks Khaos Williams, despite acknowledging Brown is more technical. He believes Williams' power and leg kicks will be decisive, and that Brown's chin is suspect, having been KO'd before. He predicts Williams will chop at the legs early and land a big KO in the second round, possibly when Brown is ahead on the scorecards. He notes Williams is young and improving.

"chaos williams by kayla is what we're gonna go with he's not good uh he's not technical"