UFC 327 · Apr 11, 2026 · Women's Strawweight · Completed
Age 35
Height 5' 5"
Reach 66.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 32
Height 5' 2"
Reach 61.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Tatiana Suarez
2.95 SLpM
60.0% Str. Acc.
1.58 SApM
45.0% Str. Def.
4.41 TD Avg
43.0% TD Acc.
80.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Loopy Godinez
4.51 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
4.03 SApM
62.0% Str. Def.
2.96 TD Avg
41.0% TD Acc.
81.0% TD Def.
0.9 Sub. Avg
Tatiana Suarez
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1800
Submission
FanDuel +500
Decision
BetRivers +135
Loopy Godinez
KO/TKO
Unibet +2500
Submission
Unibet +2500
Decision
BetRivers +160
Tatiana Suarez - Fight History
WIN vs Loopy Godinez
Submission R2 2:29 · UFC 327 · Apr 11, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tatiana Suarez 0 12 of 26 46% 56 of 77 3 of 3 100% 1 0 5:12
Loopy Godinez 0 18 of 25 72% 25 of 33 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tatiana Suarez 0 7 of 13 53% 50 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:39
Loopy Godinez 0 17 of 22 77% 23 of 29 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:23
2 Tatiana Suarez 0 5 of 13 38% 6 of 14 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:33
Loopy Godinez 0 1 of 3 33% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tatiana Suarez 12 of 26 46% 4 of 14 8 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 14 5 of 5 6 of 7
Loopy Godinez 18 of 25 72% 16 of 23 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 6 6 of 6 10 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tatiana Suarez 7 of 13 53% 4 of 7 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 5 1 of 1 6 of 7
Loopy Godinez 17 of 22 77% 15 of 20 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 4 5 of 5 10 of 13
2 Tatiana Suarez 5 of 13 38% 0 of 7 5 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 9 4 of 4 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Angelo picks Tatiana Suarez despite finding her boring, citing her dominant wrestling and predictability. He acknowledges Loopy Godinez's skills and striking but criticizes her low fight IQ and poor decisions. He believes Loopy could win if she sticks to striking but expects her to make mistakes and end up on her back.

"If I was picking off only actual skills, Loopy's the pick, but I got to factor in the brain. So, unless I see footage of Loopy at a Kumon tutoring center, the pick's going to have to be Tatiana."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Big Brady is worried about Tatiana Suarez after her poor performances against Zhang Weili and Amanda Lemos, noting she gassed and couldn't get dominant positions. He thinks Loopy Godinez has good takedown defense and superior striking with volume and boxing. He expects a close split decision and leans Godinez.

decision
"I'm going to lean with the dog here in Loopy Godinez to get it done. I'll take her to get it done by decision in this one."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Cody picks Godinez, citing Suarez's injuries, layoffs, and declining wrestling. He thinks Godinez's scrambling, boxing, and volume will earn her a decision win.

"I'm going to go the other way here. Take Loopy... I think Lupy's going to be landing the shots... she's going to edge out this decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Connor picks Suarez over three rounds, citing her superior wrestling and size. He notes that Suarez will get Godinez down and control her, as Godinez is also a wrestler but not at Suarez's level. He mentions that the fight should be five rounds to see if Godinez can survive and force Suarez to gas, but over three rounds it's a foregone conclusion.

Odds too wide; Suarez opened -225 now -150, Godinez opened +190 now +130. Should be -300/-400.
"I got to pick Suarez over three rounds to beat Lupita Godinas. She's just going to start too strong and Godinas isn't to finish her."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Daniel Vreeland picks Loopy Godinez as an underdog, believing that Tatiana Suarez is in decline after injuries and poor performances. He thinks Godinez's wrestling can keep the fight standing and that she has better striking. He acknowledges Godinez's questionable in-fight decisions but sees value at plus money.

"I'm going to go Loopy sprawl and brawl keep this fight standing. She's got the wrestling to keep this standing. She's got better hands than Tatiana."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Daniel believes Suarez is on a decline due to injuries and age, while Godinez has the wrestling to keep the fight standing and better hands. He picks Godinez to win by decision.

"I'm going to pick Lupy Godz to come out here and get this upset. Most likely unanimous decision."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

James picks the underdog Godinez, fading Suarez for the third time. He believes Suarez has declined and that Godinez can win a striking battle, though he acknowledges Suarez's size and fight IQ advantages.

"I am actually going to pick her to defeat Suarez as the underdog again."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Suarez is the best wrestler in the division and should dominate Godinez on the ground. Godinez has a slight striking edge but her wrestling is not at Suarez's level. Suarez's size and reach advantage will help her close distance for takedowns. She can grind out a decision or find a submission. The line is surprisingly low for Suarez, offering value.

Suarez wins by decision
"I like Suarez here. ... I think Suarez will grind her out. I think she'll make it look fairly dominant as well."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Paul picks Suarez, believing her wrestling is still superior and she can control Godinez. He acknowledges her decline but thinks she has one more good performance.

"I'm going with Tatiana. Am I am I I do see, you know, since she came back from injury, frankly, I do see... I'm not picking against my girl Tatiana Suarez for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Loopy Godinez

The MMA Guru picks Loopy Godinez over Tatiana Suarez, though he admits it's a questionable pick. He likes Godinez's scrambles and grappling defense, and thinks Suarez's stand-up is abysmal. He believes Godinez can eke out a 29-28 decision as a slight underdog, citing Suarez's injury history and potential 'loser energy' from her husband Patchy Mix.

"I'm going to go with Loopy Godinez. Um and I'm and I'm stupid for that."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Zane picks Suarez, agreeing that she will dominate early and Godinez won't be able to finish her. He notes that Suarez's wrestling is too strong and Godinez's boxing isn't good enough to keep her off. He also comments that the odds are too slim and should be wider in Suarez's favor.

Odds too slim; Suarez should be -300/-400.
"I'll take Suarez as well."
WIN vs Amanda Lemos
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · Sep 13, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tatiana Suarez 0 20 of 39 51% 70 of 91 3 of 12 25% 0 0 9:34
Amanda Lemos 0 23 of 33 69% 39 of 49 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tatiana Suarez 0 7 of 10 70% 25 of 30 1 of 5 20% 0 0 2:58
Amanda Lemos 0 5 of 6 83% 6 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
2 Tatiana Suarez 0 5 of 14 35% 27 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:00
Amanda Lemos 0 5 of 5 100% 16 of 16 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
3 Tatiana Suarez 0 8 of 15 53% 18 of 25 1 of 5 20% 0 0 2:36
Amanda Lemos 0 13 of 22 59% 17 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tatiana Suarez 20 of 39 51% 1 of 11 10 of 17 9 of 11 9 of 24 11 of 15 0 of 0
Amanda Lemos 23 of 33 69% 12 of 21 4 of 5 7 of 7 14 of 22 4 of 4 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tatiana Suarez 7 of 10 70% 0 of 0 1 of 4 6 of 6 6 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0
Amanda Lemos 5 of 6 83% 0 of 0 4 of 5 1 of 1 5 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Tatiana Suarez 5 of 14 35% 1 of 7 3 of 5 1 of 2 1 of 6 4 of 8 0 of 0
Amanda Lemos 5 of 5 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 4 4 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Tatiana Suarez 8 of 15 53% 0 of 4 6 of 8 2 of 3 2 of 9 6 of 6 0 of 0
Amanda Lemos 13 of 22 59% 11 of 20 0 of 0 2 of 2 5 of 12 3 of 3 5 of 7
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Angelo picks Tatiana, believing her wrestling will be too hard to consistently stop. He notes she is a dominant wrestler with almost five takedowns per 15 minutes, though her striking is just okay. He acknowledges Lemos has a ton of high-level experience and power, but thinks Tatiana's relentless pressure and ability to find a submission could be key. He mentions the -400 odds are tough to lay four units on someone coming off a loss, but still picks Tatiana.

Could be a sneaky under two and a half type bet when those round lines drop.
"I'm definitely going to pick Tatiana. I think the wrestling is just going to be too hard to consistently stop."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Big Brady picks Suarez despite her poor last performance against Jandiroba, noting Lemos fared even worse against the same opponent. He highlights Lemos's inability to stuff takedowns and suspect submission defense. He predicts Suarez wins by second-round submission, though he has concerns about her cardio and striking defense.

Second round submission
"I'm going to take Suarez to win this fight by second round submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

The host considers this a horrible stylistic matchup for Lemos, expecting Suarez to land takedowns, work to a dominant position, and eventually secure a submission. This is a strong pick with high confidence.

win by submission
"We should eventually see Suarez land those takedowns and work to a position where she can eventually incorporate a submission and force the tap from the Brazilian."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

The MMA Guru picks Tatiana Suarez, believing her grappling will be decisive. He notes Lemos has been outgrappled before and her aggressive style (big power swings, guillotine attempts) will leave her open to Suarez's takedowns. He predicts a second or third round ground-and-pound TKO, possibly from crucifix position.

Round 2 or 3 TKO
"I'm going to have to go with Tatiana Suarez. I think Lemos's style of fighting ... will leave her more open to the grappling of Suarez."
LOSS vs Zhang Weili
Decision R5 5:00 · UFC 312: du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · Feb 09, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zhang Weili 0 53 of 87 60% 232 of 299 1 of 3 33% 1 0 10:54
Tatiana Suarez 0 12 of 36 33% 63 of 95 1 of 15 6% 0 0 5:56
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zhang Weili 0 1 of 2 50% 31 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:09
Tatiana Suarez 0 0 of 2 0% 23 of 26 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:08
2 Zhang Weili 0 10 of 17 58% 52 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:19
Tatiana Suarez 0 0 of 2 0% 3 of 6 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:27
3 Zhang Weili 0 19 of 42 45% 33 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Tatiana Suarez 0 8 of 21 38% 9 of 22 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:44
4 Zhang Weili 0 7 of 7 100% 53 of 60 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:27
Tatiana Suarez 0 3 of 5 60% 21 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
5 Zhang Weili 0 16 of 19 84% 63 of 75 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:53
Tatiana Suarez 0 1 of 6 16% 7 of 14 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zhang Weili 53 of 87 60% 32 of 56 16 of 21 5 of 10 29 of 62 11 of 11 13 of 14
Tatiana Suarez 12 of 36 33% 1 of 16 2 of 6 9 of 14 10 of 33 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zhang Weili 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tatiana Suarez 0 of 2 0% 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Zhang Weili 10 of 17 58% 7 of 10 2 of 4 1 of 3 4 of 11 1 of 1 5 of 5
Tatiana Suarez 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Zhang Weili 19 of 42 45% 11 of 28 7 of 10 1 of 4 16 of 39 3 of 3 0 of 0
Tatiana Suarez 8 of 21 38% 0 of 7 2 of 5 6 of 9 6 of 18 2 of 3 0 of 0
4 Zhang Weili 7 of 7 100% 5 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 3
Tatiana Suarez 3 of 5 60% 1 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Zhang Weili 16 of 19 84% 9 of 12 6 of 6 1 of 1 4 of 6 7 of 7 5 of 6
Tatiana Suarez 1 of 6 16% 0 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Big Brady picks Tatiana Suarez, believing her grappling will be a level above Zhang Weili's. He notes that Zhang has been taken down easily by lesser grapplers like Yan Xiaonan and Rose Namajunas. He is concerned about Suarez's cardio, as she has never gone 25 minutes, but thinks she will get a submission in the second round. He predicts a second-round submission.

"I'm going to say Tatiana gets it done here I'm going to say she gets it done by second round submission"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Feb 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Zhang Weili

Connor picks Zhang, citing her striking advantage and Suarez's questionable cardio. He thinks Zhang can use her kicks and movement to keep Suarez at range and tire her out. He notes that Suarez has never faced a five-round fight and faded in the third round against Nina Nunes. He also points out that Zhang has good takedown defense and can get back to her feet. However, he admits he could see Suarez winning if she gets top position early.

Same odds as Zane. Connor implies Zhang is a live underdog.
"I am going to go ahead and pick Zhang. I'd be happy to be surprised."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert picked Feb 4, 2025 (5 days before fight)

Daniel Levi mentions the co-main event where Zhang Weili defends her belt against undefeated Tatiana Suarez. He notes that the fight is a dead pick at -110 each and asks the audience whether they think Zhang Weili retains or if Suarez becomes champion. He does not express a personal opinion or pick a winner.

"This fight is currently a dead picker minus 110 a piece do y'all think it's an still Jan way Lee or do y'all believe in destiny and fate that Tatiana sorus will come out there and become the new UFC …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Suarez's smothering wrestling and improving BJJ are expected to open up a submission opportunity. Zhang has the striking advantage but will struggle to stop Suarez's chain wrestling and strength. Zhang's wrestling has improved but not enough to overcome Suarez. The pick is for Suarez to find the neck and force a submission.

submission
"I have to lean with Suarez here with her smothering wrestling approach and her improving BJJ game which I think will eventually open up a submission opportunity for her"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Feb 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Zane picks Suarez despite acknowledging Zhang's advantages in striking and cardio. He believes Suarez's wrestling will be the difference, as Zhang tends to tie up and Suarez is a better wrestler. He is concerned about Suarez's cardio and lack of five-round experience, but thinks she can get a submission or control on top. He notes that Zhang's best path is to jab and kick from range, but he doubts she will do that consistently.

Suarez opened at +137, currently -113; Zhang opened at -153, currently +101. Zane mentions that Zhang underdog odds might be a bettors' take because she is battle-tested.
"I'm going to stick with my pick, but the cardio aspect of it is worth being very, very suspicious."
Submission (guillotine choke) R2 1:31 · UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Font · Aug 05, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tatiana Suarez 0 11 of 29 37% 13 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Jéssica Andrade 0 23 of 49 46% 25 of 51 3 of 3 100% 1 0 2:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tatiana Suarez 0 11 of 27 40% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Jéssica Andrade 0 19 of 43 44% 20 of 44 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:38
2 Tatiana Suarez 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Jéssica Andrade 0 4 of 6 66% 5 of 7 2 of 2 100% 1 0 0:44
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tatiana Suarez 11 of 29 37% 2 of 14 5 of 8 4 of 7 8 of 23 3 of 6 0 of 0
Jéssica Andrade 23 of 49 46% 3 of 20 17 of 26 3 of 3 13 of 36 10 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tatiana Suarez 11 of 27 40% 2 of 12 5 of 8 4 of 7 8 of 21 3 of 6 0 of 0
Jéssica Andrade 19 of 43 44% 3 of 18 14 of 23 2 of 2 9 of 30 10 of 13 0 of 0
2 Tatiana Suarez 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jéssica Andrade 4 of 6 66% 0 of 2 3 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Jul 30, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Angelo is extremely confident in Tatiana Suarez, calling her a lock and saying she should be -1000. He highlights Suarez's high-level wrestling, averaging over six takedowns per 15 minutes, and her submission win over Montana De la Rosa after a four-year layoff. He notes that Andrade relies on bullying and power, but Suarez won't be bullied and will get takedowns. Angelo suggests parlaying Suarez before the line moves and expects a submission win, possibly under 2.5 rounds.

Parlay Suarez, under 2.5 rounds, win by submission
"Tatiana Suarez is -450 she should be minus one thousand I'm telling you parlay Tatiana Suarez now before the line takes off"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Big Brady is a big Andrade fan but thinks this is a terrible matchup for her. He notes Andrade's defensive grappling is poor, as seen against Valentina and Blanchfield, and suspects she may be focused on OnlyFans and just showing up for a paycheck. He believes Suarez will take her down easily and dominate on the mat, finishing her in the first round. He is surprised money is coming in on Andrade.

Suarez wins in round 1; Suarez by submission or TKO
"I think sephores goes out there and dominates andrage and finishes her in the very first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 2, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Cody is confident Suarez will get takedowns with ease and likely secure a submission, referencing Andrade's poor guard retention and tendency to quit when taken down. He notes Suarez's full camp and Andrade's short notice, but acknowledges Andrade's danger on the feet. He likes Suarez by submission at +125.

Suarez by submission +125
"I see a plus 125 out there I haven't bet it yet but like that's how I see this fight playing out"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 2, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Daniel Levi picks Tatiana Suarez, emphasizing her wrestling and physicality as a nightmare matchup for Andrade. He notes Andrade's durability has waned and that she gives up her back to get up, which Suarez can exploit. Levi expects Suarez to get a takedown that Andrade can't escape, leading to a finish via ground and pound or rear-naked choke. He acknowledges Andrade's power and offensive submissions but believes Suarez's relentless wrestling will be decisive.

Mentions that props like submission, TKO, inside the distance will be popular, but does not specify a bet. Also notes sharp action on Suarez.
"I do think that Tatiana is gonna get that final takedown where she where Jessica can't get up and whether it's ground and pound whether it's a the back and a rear naked chill."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Aug 4, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

James is uncertain due to Suarez's long layoff and potential athletic decline seen in her last fight. He acknowledges Suarez should dominate if she's anywhere near her old self, but there are red flags. He picks Suarez to win but wouldn't bet her at -400; he'd bet inside the distance for either fighter.

inside the distance for either fighter
"I'm definitely picking Suarez and I'm gonna say she gets a submission in the first round."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Suarez is the far superior wrestler and should get the fight to the ground easily. From top position, it's a matter of time before she finds a finish, either by submission or TKO. I like the inside the distance prop around -150, or the under 2.5 rounds if skeptical. If Suarez can't get the takedown, she might look lost on the feet, but I think the fight ends under 2.5 rounds with Suarez winning by the second round.

inside the distance -150, under 2.5 rounds
"I don't mind targeting the inside the distance around -150 or if you're just skeptical about the fight overall I don't mind the under two and a half"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 2, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Paul agrees with the submission pick, citing Andrade's history of tapping quickly when taken down (e.g., Blanchfield fight). He notes Suarez's wrestling is elite but has ring rust and a poor striking performance against Montana De la Rosa. However, he believes Suarez will smother Andrade and get a rear-naked choke late in the second round.

Suarez by submission (rear-naked choke)
"I'm actually going to agree with you I think the rear naked choke opens itself up sometime late in the second round"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

The host is very high on Tatiana Suarez, calling her the future champion. He believes her wrestling and grappling will dominate Andrade, similar to the Blanchfield fight. He predicts a submission win before the end of the second round. He notes Andrade is dangerous with power but Suarez is naturally larger and has a huge grappling advantage. He sees Suarez as a parlay piece but warns about women's MMA variance.

submission win before end of round 2; line opened -476, now -400; parlay piece
"I think that she'll probably end up submitting her uh similarly to the blanchfield fight before the end of the second round"
Submission (guillotine choke) R2 2:51 · UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · Feb 25, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tatiana Suarez 0 10 of 13 76% 37 of 43 2 of 6 33% 1 0 5:45
Montana De La Rosa 0 5 of 11 45% 36 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tatiana Suarez 0 7 of 8 87% 26 of 30 1 of 4 25% 0 0 4:26
Montana De La Rosa 0 4 of 8 50% 28 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Tatiana Suarez 0 3 of 5 60% 11 of 13 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:19
Montana De La Rosa 0 1 of 3 33% 8 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tatiana Suarez 10 of 13 76% 0 of 1 8 of 10 2 of 2 3 of 5 7 of 8 0 of 0
Montana De La Rosa 5 of 11 45% 4 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 7 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tatiana Suarez 7 of 8 87% 0 of 1 6 of 6 1 of 1 1 of 2 6 of 6 0 of 0
Montana De La Rosa 4 of 8 50% 4 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Tatiana Suarez 3 of 5 60% 0 of 0 2 of 4 1 of 1 2 of 3 1 of 2 0 of 0
Montana De La Rosa 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Suarez because De La Rosa will let her wrestle. He notes that De La Rosa is a competitive fighter but lacks strategy, and if Suarez is the same fighter, she will do Tatiana Suarez things for as long as she is able. Connor also mentions that De La Rosa's tight pocket boxing style gives opportunities for opponents to get in on her hips, which Suarez can exploit.

Suarez opened at -700, now -788. De La Rosa at +500 to +550. Connor says he wouldn't bet on Suarez at those wide odds due to X-factors.
"I will just simply assume that she's gonna look like Tatiana Suarez and if she does she is going to get a fight where she gets to do Tatiana Suarez things for as long as she is able"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Zane picks Suarez, assuming she will look like her old self and dominate with wrestling. He notes that De La Rosa is a classic test fighter who will accept whatever fight her opponent wants, and if Suarez can bring physical dominance, she will win. However, he acknowledges major X-factors: Suarez hasn't fought in almost four years, has neck and knee injuries that could affect her wrestling, and her striking is poor. Still, he believes she will get the takedowns she wants.

Suarez opened at -700, now -788. De La Rosa at +500 to +550. Zane says he wouldn't bet on Suarez at those wide odds due to X-factors.
"I gotta pick Tatiana Sargas I think she's gonna get the game she's gonna get the fight she wants she's gonna get the chances to take get the takedown she wants but this is all about how you know how …"
WIN vs Nina Nunes
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · Jun 08, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tatiana Suarez 0 75 of 142 52% 95 of 166 4 of 13 30% 0 0 8:16
Nina Nunes 0 48 of 99 48% 54 of 105 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tatiana Suarez 0 17 of 30 56% 28 of 43 2 of 5 40% 0 0 4:38
Nina Nunes 0 3 of 6 50% 7 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Tatiana Suarez 0 25 of 39 64% 34 of 50 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:20
Nina Nunes 0 15 of 30 50% 16 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Tatiana Suarez 0 33 of 73 45% 33 of 73 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:18
Nina Nunes 0 30 of 63 47% 31 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tatiana Suarez 75 of 142 52% 29 of 85 22 of 29 24 of 28 42 of 100 7 of 7 26 of 35
Nina Nunes 48 of 99 48% 31 of 66 15 of 26 2 of 7 39 of 89 4 of 5 5 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tatiana Suarez 17 of 30 56% 8 of 20 7 of 7 2 of 3 2 of 8 0 of 0 15 of 22
Nina Nunes 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 3
2 Tatiana Suarez 25 of 39 64% 14 of 23 6 of 10 5 of 6 11 of 23 3 of 3 11 of 13
Nina Nunes 15 of 30 50% 9 of 19 5 of 7 1 of 4 10 of 25 3 of 3 2 of 2
3 Tatiana Suarez 33 of 73 45% 7 of 42 9 of 12 17 of 19 29 of 69 4 of 4 0 of 0
Nina Nunes 30 of 63 47% 19 of 41 10 of 19 1 of 3 29 of 61 1 of 2 0 of 0
WIN vs Carla Esparza
TKO (punches and elbows) R3 4:33 · UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · Sep 08, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tatiana Suarez 0 6 of 10 60% 12 of 18 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:04
Carla Esparza 0 82 of 98 83% 136 of 155 9 of 11 81% 0 0 12:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tatiana Suarez 0 0 of 1 0% 4 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Carla Esparza 0 34 of 41 82% 56 of 65 3 of 3 100% 0 0 4:37
2 Tatiana Suarez 0 5 of 6 83% 6 of 7 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:04
Carla Esparza 0 15 of 17 88% 31 of 34 4 of 6 66% 0 0 4:11
3 Tatiana Suarez 0 1 of 3 33% 2 of 4 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Carla Esparza 0 33 of 40 82% 49 of 56 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tatiana Suarez 6 of 10 60% 1 of 5 5 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 3 6 of 7 0 of 0
Carla Esparza 82 of 98 83% 64 of 77 15 of 18 3 of 3 6 of 11 6 of 8 70 of 79
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tatiana Suarez 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Carla Esparza 34 of 41 82% 27 of 33 6 of 7 1 of 1 2 of 4 2 of 2 30 of 35
2 Tatiana Suarez 5 of 6 83% 1 of 2 4 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1 5 of 5 0 of 0
Carla Esparza 15 of 17 88% 9 of 11 6 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 4 4 of 4 9 of 9
3 Tatiana Suarez 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0
Carla Esparza 33 of 40 82% 28 of 33 3 of 5 2 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 2 31 of 35
WIN vs Alexa Grasso
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 2:44 · UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · May 19, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tatiana Suarez 0 6 of 8 75% 21 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alexa Grasso 0 2 of 9 22% 4 of 11 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tatiana Suarez 0 6 of 8 75% 21 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alexa Grasso 0 2 of 9 22% 4 of 11 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tatiana Suarez 6 of 8 75% 4 of 5 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 2 4 of 4 2 of 2
Alexa Grasso 2 of 9 22% 1 of 7 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tatiana Suarez 6 of 8 75% 4 of 5 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 2 4 of 4 2 of 2
Alexa Grasso 2 of 9 22% 1 of 7 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
Loopy Godinez - Fight History
LOSS vs Tatiana Suarez
Submission R2 2:29 · UFC 327 · Apr 11, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tatiana Suarez 0 12 of 26 46% 56 of 77 3 of 3 100% 1 0 5:12
Loopy Godinez 0 18 of 25 72% 25 of 33 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tatiana Suarez 0 7 of 13 53% 50 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:39
Loopy Godinez 0 17 of 22 77% 23 of 29 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:23
2 Tatiana Suarez 0 5 of 13 38% 6 of 14 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:33
Loopy Godinez 0 1 of 3 33% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tatiana Suarez 12 of 26 46% 4 of 14 8 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 14 5 of 5 6 of 7
Loopy Godinez 18 of 25 72% 16 of 23 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 6 6 of 6 10 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tatiana Suarez 7 of 13 53% 4 of 7 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 5 1 of 1 6 of 7
Loopy Godinez 17 of 22 77% 15 of 20 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 4 5 of 5 10 of 13
2 Tatiana Suarez 5 of 13 38% 0 of 7 5 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 9 4 of 4 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Angelo picks Tatiana Suarez despite finding her boring, citing her dominant wrestling and predictability. He acknowledges Loopy Godinez's skills and striking but criticizes her low fight IQ and poor decisions. He believes Loopy could win if she sticks to striking but expects her to make mistakes and end up on her back.

"If I was picking off only actual skills, Loopy's the pick, but I got to factor in the brain. So, unless I see footage of Loopy at a Kumon tutoring center, the pick's going to have to be Tatiana."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Big Brady is worried about Tatiana Suarez after her poor performances against Zhang Weili and Amanda Lemos, noting she gassed and couldn't get dominant positions. He thinks Loopy Godinez has good takedown defense and superior striking with volume and boxing. He expects a close split decision and leans Godinez.

decision
"I'm going to lean with the dog here in Loopy Godinez to get it done. I'll take her to get it done by decision in this one."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Cody picks Godinez, citing Suarez's injuries, layoffs, and declining wrestling. He thinks Godinez's scrambling, boxing, and volume will earn her a decision win.

"I'm going to go the other way here. Take Loopy... I think Lupy's going to be landing the shots... she's going to edge out this decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Connor picks Suarez over three rounds, citing her superior wrestling and size. He notes that Suarez will get Godinez down and control her, as Godinez is also a wrestler but not at Suarez's level. He mentions that the fight should be five rounds to see if Godinez can survive and force Suarez to gas, but over three rounds it's a foregone conclusion.

Odds too wide; Suarez opened -225 now -150, Godinez opened +190 now +130. Should be -300/-400.
"I got to pick Suarez over three rounds to beat Lupita Godinas. She's just going to start too strong and Godinas isn't to finish her."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Daniel Vreeland picks Loopy Godinez as an underdog, believing that Tatiana Suarez is in decline after injuries and poor performances. He thinks Godinez's wrestling can keep the fight standing and that she has better striking. He acknowledges Godinez's questionable in-fight decisions but sees value at plus money.

"I'm going to go Loopy sprawl and brawl keep this fight standing. She's got the wrestling to keep this standing. She's got better hands than Tatiana."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Daniel believes Suarez is on a decline due to injuries and age, while Godinez has the wrestling to keep the fight standing and better hands. He picks Godinez to win by decision.

"I'm going to pick Lupy Godz to come out here and get this upset. Most likely unanimous decision."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

James picks the underdog Godinez, fading Suarez for the third time. He believes Suarez has declined and that Godinez can win a striking battle, though he acknowledges Suarez's size and fight IQ advantages.

"I am actually going to pick her to defeat Suarez as the underdog again."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Suarez is the best wrestler in the division and should dominate Godinez on the ground. Godinez has a slight striking edge but her wrestling is not at Suarez's level. Suarez's size and reach advantage will help her close distance for takedowns. She can grind out a decision or find a submission. The line is surprisingly low for Suarez, offering value.

Suarez wins by decision
"I like Suarez here. ... I think Suarez will grind her out. I think she'll make it look fairly dominant as well."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Paul picks Suarez, believing her wrestling is still superior and she can control Godinez. He acknowledges her decline but thinks she has one more good performance.

"I'm going with Tatiana. Am I am I I do see, you know, since she came back from injury, frankly, I do see... I'm not picking against my girl Tatiana Suarez for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Loopy Godinez

The MMA Guru picks Loopy Godinez over Tatiana Suarez, though he admits it's a questionable pick. He likes Godinez's scrambles and grappling defense, and thinks Suarez's stand-up is abysmal. He believes Godinez can eke out a 29-28 decision as a slight underdog, citing Suarez's injury history and potential 'loser energy' from her husband Patchy Mix.

"I'm going to go with Loopy Godinez. Um and I'm and I'm stupid for that."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Zane picks Suarez, agreeing that she will dominate early and Godinez won't be able to finish her. He notes that Suarez's wrestling is too strong and Godinez's boxing isn't good enough to keep her off. He also comments that the odds are too slim and should be wider in Suarez's favor.

Odds too slim; Suarez should be -300/-400.
"I'll take Suarez as well."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev · Aug 16, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jéssica Andrade 0 90 of 287 31% 97 of 297 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:17
Loopy Godinez 0 107 of 213 50% 119 of 226 1 of 14 7% 0 0 1:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jéssica Andrade 0 18 of 83 21% 18 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Loopy Godinez 0 40 of 71 56% 41 of 72 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Jéssica Andrade 0 15 of 63 23% 22 of 72 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:12
Loopy Godinez 0 31 of 50 62% 40 of 59 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:31
3 Jéssica Andrade 0 57 of 141 40% 57 of 142 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Loopy Godinez 0 36 of 92 39% 38 of 95 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jéssica Andrade 90 of 287 31% 58 of 242 21 of 31 11 of 14 87 of 279 3 of 8 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 107 of 213 50% 91 of 195 12 of 14 4 of 4 94 of 195 11 of 16 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jéssica Andrade 18 of 83 21% 13 of 75 2 of 3 3 of 5 17 of 82 1 of 1 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 40 of 71 56% 31 of 62 6 of 6 3 of 3 39 of 70 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jéssica Andrade 15 of 63 23% 11 of 55 0 of 3 4 of 5 14 of 60 1 of 3 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 31 of 50 62% 26 of 45 4 of 4 1 of 1 23 of 40 6 of 8 2 of 2
3 Jéssica Andrade 57 of 141 40% 34 of 112 19 of 25 4 of 4 56 of 137 1 of 4 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 36 of 92 39% 34 of 88 2 of 4 0 of 0 32 of 85 4 of 7 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 10, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Angelo believes Godinez has a giant grappling advantage and is the better fighter technically, but her fight IQ is questionable. He assumes she will make the right decisions and take Pepto before the fight. He thinks Andrade is a brute force brawler with limited skills, so Godinez should win if she doesn't do dumb things.

"Lepita has a giant grappling advantage and as long as she's not going strike for strike, power for power with Jessage, she should absolutely win this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Big Brady picks Loopy Godinez to win by second-round submission. He notes Andrade has been inconsistent and looks awful on the ground recently, with poor takedown defense. He thinks Godinez's path to victory is to mix in takedowns and grapple, as Andrade has been submitted many times. He worries about Godinez's fight IQ but trusts her to wrestle here. He mentions Godinez has a couple of submissions in the UFC and is working on her grappling.

Godinez by submission, round 2
"I'm going to take Lupita and I'm going to actually take her to win this fight by submission. We'll say second round submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Aug 15, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Loopy Godinez

The host expresses disappointment in Godinez's development but thinks she can handle Andrade's aggressive striking. He predicts Godinez will land enough takedowns in the first two rounds to grind out a decision, surviving the third round.

"I think she'll be able to get off on enough takedowns in the first two rounds to grind this fight out and survive that third round to beat Andraj on the scorecards"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jéssica Andrade

The Guru picks Jéssica Andrade to win by TKO in round two. He believes Andrade will be too overwhelming with her punches for Loopy Godinez. The Guru notes that Godinez is easily hittable and has had close fights with lower-level competition. He doesn't see Godinez finishing Andrade or taking her down and submitting her. Despite Andrade's recent losses, the Guru thinks she is a step above Godinez's level.

TKO round two; Andrade wins by TKO
"I'm going to go with Jessica Andraj getting this one done by TKO. I'm going to say Jessica Andraj TKO round two."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · Mar 29, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Loopy Godinez 0 84 of 150 56% 114 of 184 5 of 11 45% 0 0 7:30
Julia Polastri 0 87 of 151 57% 117 of 186 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Loopy Godinez 0 11 of 22 50% 26 of 38 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:26
Julia Polastri 0 14 of 25 56% 24 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Loopy Godinez 0 15 of 27 55% 26 of 41 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:16
Julia Polastri 0 15 of 33 45% 25 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Loopy Godinez 0 58 of 101 57% 62 of 105 1 of 6 16% 0 0 0:48
Julia Polastri 0 58 of 93 62% 68 of 103 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Loopy Godinez 84 of 150 56% 71 of 135 9 of 11 4 of 4 75 of 141 7 of 7 2 of 2
Julia Polastri 87 of 151 57% 58 of 112 14 of 23 15 of 16 78 of 135 4 of 4 5 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Loopy Godinez 11 of 22 50% 8 of 19 1 of 1 2 of 2 11 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julia Polastri 14 of 25 56% 4 of 11 5 of 9 5 of 5 13 of 20 0 of 0 1 of 5
2 Loopy Godinez 15 of 27 55% 12 of 23 2 of 3 1 of 1 13 of 25 0 of 0 2 of 2
Julia Polastri 15 of 33 45% 7 of 21 3 of 7 5 of 5 11 of 26 0 of 0 4 of 7
3 Loopy Godinez 58 of 101 57% 51 of 93 6 of 7 1 of 1 51 of 94 7 of 7 0 of 0
Julia Polastri 58 of 93 62% 47 of 80 6 of 7 5 of 6 54 of 89 4 of 4 0 of 0
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 27, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Connor picks Godinez but is hesitant, noting that Polastri is a powerful bully who could pressure Godinez into hesitation. He thinks Godinez needs to be the aggressor and use her wrestling to control the fight. He compares her to Sam Hughes in needing consistency and determination.

"I think I'm gonna pick Godinez. I think there's a strong chance Polastri puts a scare in her and wins because of it."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 27, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Zane picks Godinez but shares Connor's worry about her confidence. He notes that Godinez has struggled against pressure and that Polastri is a dangerous, powerful striker. However, he thinks Godinez can be busier and more successful at range, and that Polastri's lack of range control will allow Godinez to wrestle effectively.

"I share your feelings exactly. I think I'm gonna pick Godinez. I think there's a strong chance Polastri puts a scare in her."
LOSS vs Mackenzie Dern
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mackenzie Dern 0 72 of 203 35% 103 of 235 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:45
Loopy Godinez 0 67 of 146 45% 72 of 152 2 of 3 66% 1 1 1:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mackenzie Dern 0 25 of 67 37% 49 of 92 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:49
Loopy Godinez 0 15 of 38 39% 17 of 41 1 of 1 100% 0 1 0:20
2 Mackenzie Dern 0 24 of 68 35% 27 of 71 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Loopy Godinez 0 24 of 55 43% 24 of 55 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:45
3 Mackenzie Dern 0 23 of 68 33% 27 of 72 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:56
Loopy Godinez 0 28 of 53 52% 31 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:36
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mackenzie Dern 72 of 203 35% 61 of 188 5 of 6 6 of 9 66 of 195 6 of 8 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 67 of 146 45% 45 of 116 16 of 23 6 of 7 58 of 136 9 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mackenzie Dern 25 of 67 37% 22 of 63 1 of 1 2 of 3 24 of 66 1 of 1 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 15 of 38 39% 13 of 33 1 of 4 1 of 1 12 of 35 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Mackenzie Dern 24 of 68 35% 20 of 62 2 of 3 2 of 3 23 of 66 1 of 2 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 24 of 55 43% 18 of 47 3 of 4 3 of 4 23 of 54 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Mackenzie Dern 23 of 68 33% 19 of 63 2 of 2 2 of 3 19 of 63 4 of 5 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 28 of 53 52% 14 of 36 12 of 15 2 of 2 23 of 47 5 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Angelo picks Godinez but is hesitant due to her notoriously low fight IQ. He thinks she is the better fighter everywhere except BJJ, with better striking, wrestling, and athleticism. He notes Dern's poor takedown accuracy and reliance on toughness. He bet only a quarter unit because he doesn't trust Godinez.

Bet a quarter unit
"I gotta ride with loopy here though... I beted on her but only a quarter of a unit"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Big Brady is taking another underdog, citing Godinez's superior wrestling and boxing on the feet. He notes Dern has poor takedown accuracy (15%) and cannot take Godinez down, while Godinez should keep the fight standing and outpoint Dern. However, he admits he doesn't trust Godinez either, calling it a weird fight.

"give me loopy here in this one uh kind of how I see this fight playing out is you know lupy is going to be the much better wrestler by a mile"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Cody picks Loopy Godinez, citing her superior boxing and wrestling. He notes that Dern has poor takedown accuracy and has been roughed up on the feet recently. Cody thinks Godinez can stuff takedowns and win a volume decision. However, he acknowledges Dern's ability to create scrambles and capitalize on mistakes, so he's not fully confident. He mentions that Godinez is a slight underdog and that women's MMA is volatile.

"I'll stick with the favorite here ly godas but it's going to be lower on the list this week."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mackenzie Dern

Daniel picks Dern, citing her toughness and ability to overcome adversity. He criticizes Godinez's fight IQ and tendency to abandon game plans. He believes Dern will gas pedal Godinez and be the tougher fighter, despite potential striking exchanges.

"give me a McKenzie dur to get this done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Godinez should avoid the clinch and use footwork to out-strike Dern, stuffing takedowns. She should land better damage and win on the scorecards.

"I'm hoping that godz learned from her last match up against Jan Roba where she is not going to engage in the clinch whatsoever utilize her footwork to really touch up D and really stopped the takedowns the poor takedown …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Paul picks Loopy Godinez, noting that she is the better striker and can avoid Dern's grappling. He thinks Godinez's volume and takedown defense should be enough to win a decision. Paul acknowledges Dern's scrambling ability but believes Godinez can stay away and win on the feet. He also mentions that Godinez went the distance with Virna Jandiroba, which looks good in hindsight.

"I'll side with lupy on the on volume and just don't engage stay away at all costs and you should be able to you know win a volume based decision here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

The MMA Guru picks Loopy Godinez over Mackenzie Dern, citing Dern's lack of seriousness and Godinez's activity and better striking. He thinks Godinez can scramble and keep the fight on the feet, where she has a technical advantage. He notes Godinez has good takedown defense and works her way back up. He mentions she might be an underdog and likes that.

"I'll go with Lupita godinez I just don't think D takes her career as serious"
LOSS vs Virna Jandiroba
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Mar 30, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Virna Jandiroba 0 30 of 108 27% 86 of 180 2 of 9 22% 3 1 6:35
Loopy Godinez 0 38 of 95 40% 50 of 116 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Virna Jandiroba 0 12 of 45 26% 18 of 53 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:47
Loopy Godinez 0 13 of 34 38% 17 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
2 Virna Jandiroba 0 5 of 21 23% 38 of 63 0 of 1 0% 0 1 2:31
Loopy Godinez 0 9 of 26 34% 15 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:57
3 Virna Jandiroba 0 13 of 42 30% 30 of 64 1 of 4 25% 3 0 2:17
Loopy Godinez 0 16 of 35 45% 18 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:33
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Virna Jandiroba 30 of 108 27% 27 of 100 3 of 8 0 of 0 30 of 106 0 of 2 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 38 of 95 40% 25 of 79 11 of 14 2 of 2 30 of 82 7 of 11 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Virna Jandiroba 12 of 45 26% 12 of 44 0 of 1 0 of 0 12 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 13 of 34 38% 9 of 28 4 of 6 0 of 0 10 of 30 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Virna Jandiroba 5 of 21 23% 5 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 9 of 26 34% 6 of 23 1 of 1 2 of 2 7 of 22 1 of 2 1 of 2
3 Virna Jandiroba 13 of 42 30% 10 of 35 3 of 7 0 of 0 13 of 41 0 of 1 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 16 of 35 45% 10 of 28 6 of 7 0 of 0 13 of 30 3 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Angelo picks Loopy Godinez, believing she is better everywhere, including wrestling. He notes Virna Jandiroba is a grinder with a one-dimensional game plan of shooting takedowns. He thinks Godinez's striking improvements and defensive wrestling will be enough to win, though he acknowledges Jandiroba's relentless takedown attempts could be a problem.

"lupy is better than Verna janer Roba literally everywhere even wrestling"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 25, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Big Brady picks Loopy Godinez to win by decision, but expresses concern about her fight IQ. He believes Godinez should keep the fight standing to avoid Jandiroba's dangerous BJJ, but worries she might wrestle unnecessarily. He thinks Godinez is the much better striker and should stuff takedowns, but is not fully confident due to her past poor decisions.

minus 180
"give me loopy I'll take it to win by decision um minus 180 uh I don't know I don't know if I can trust her but I'll take her to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Cody believes Godinez is the better boxer and wrestler, with superior cardio and durability. He thinks Jandiroba's one-dimensional grappling won't be enough, and even if she gets takedowns, Godinez will survive and win rounds with striking volume.

"would have to go lupy ginz"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Daniel Vreeland picks Loopy Godinez, citing her superior striking, power, and athleticism. He thinks she can keep the fight standing and use a sprawl-and-brawl game plan to avoid Jandiroba's dangerous jiu-jitsu. He notes Jandiroba's willingness to stand and trade, which plays into Godinez's hands. He predicts Godinez by decision.

"official pick loopy decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Godinez has improved striking and wrestling advantage. Jandiroba's hands are poor; she got outboxed by McKenzie Dern and Amanda Lemos. Godinez should keep the fight standing and land punches, potentially earning her first UFC knockout. The plus 750 KO prop is worth a sprinkle. Godinez controls pace and location.

Godinez by knockout (+750)
"I believe the last I saw was plus 750 H her to win by knockout worth a little bit of a Sprinkle"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Paul sees Godinez as the more versatile fighter, able to win on the feet or with wrestling. He notes Jandiroba's aging and limited striking, and expects Godinez to outwork her over three rounds, likely by decision.

"loopy by decision is how I kind of see this one shaking out"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

The host picks Loopy Godinez, stating he never picks Virna Jandiroba. He believes Godinez can keep the fight on the feet and has a boxing and grit advantage. He thinks Godinez's grappling is good enough to defend takedowns and that she will win a decision, possibly 29-28. He notes that close decisions tend to go against Jandiroba.

decision win
"I am gonna go lupy godinez because I'm never picking Vera jander Roba to win a fight there's a rule I have not picking her"
WIN vs Tabatha Ricci
Decision (split) (27–30, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · Nov 11, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Loopy Godinez 0 84 of 224 37% 91 of 232 0 of 6 0% 0 0 1:22
Tabatha Ricci 0 98 of 221 44% 101 of 225 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Loopy Godinez 0 22 of 61 36% 24 of 64 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:51
Tabatha Ricci 0 23 of 73 31% 23 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Loopy Godinez 0 31 of 90 34% 32 of 91 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:08
Tabatha Ricci 0 36 of 72 50% 38 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Loopy Godinez 0 31 of 73 42% 35 of 77 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
Tabatha Ricci 0 39 of 76 51% 40 of 77 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Loopy Godinez 84 of 224 37% 68 of 197 8 of 11 8 of 16 78 of 218 4 of 4 2 of 2
Tabatha Ricci 98 of 221 44% 81 of 200 15 of 19 2 of 2 85 of 207 11 of 12 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Loopy Godinez 22 of 61 36% 17 of 50 3 of 3 2 of 8 20 of 59 2 of 2 0 of 0
Tabatha Ricci 23 of 73 31% 18 of 67 5 of 6 0 of 0 19 of 69 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Loopy Godinez 31 of 90 34% 24 of 80 3 of 5 4 of 5 29 of 88 0 of 0 2 of 2
Tabatha Ricci 36 of 72 50% 29 of 63 6 of 8 1 of 1 32 of 67 2 of 3 2 of 2
3 Loopy Godinez 31 of 73 42% 27 of 67 2 of 3 2 of 3 29 of 71 2 of 2 0 of 0
Tabatha Ricci 39 of 76 51% 34 of 70 4 of 5 1 of 1 34 of 71 5 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Angelo picks Godinez, emphasizing her wrestling and size advantage. He criticizes Ricci's striking and takedowns, believing Godinez can defend takedowns and win on the feet. He is not insanely confident but thinks Godinez gets it done.

"I think lupy ginz wins this fight... she's going to be the pick here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Big Brady picks Loopy Godinez by decision. He believes Godinez is the better striker with good volume and power, and also the better wrestler with strong takedown defense. He thinks Godinez can dictate where the fight takes place and win striking exchanges even if she doesn't wrestle. He notes Godinez's past fight IQ issues but doesn't think they'll matter here.

Godinez by decision
"I like Loopy here... give me Loopy Godinez and Loopy Godinez by decision for the simp pick of the week."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Cody picks Godinez, citing her boxing volume, pressure, and improved ring IQ. He notes she has size and strength advantages, and that Ricci's wrestling likely won't be enough. He thinks Godinez wins on volume and pressure, though he's not confident enough to bet heavily.

"godz wins so the only thing that's crazy about this card this week is like I like onz I also like Mackenzie D so it's like how could this possibly go wrong"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 7, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Godinez's wrestling background should allow her to keep the fight upright where she has the striking advantage. Ricci will need to take it to the ground to have success, but Godinez can control where the fight takes place. The line has moved from -120/-130 to -170, which makes sense, but he would prefer a better line around -130 to bet. Prediction is Godinez by decision.

"my prediction is going to be Lupita ginz and I think she wins this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Paul agrees, noting Godinez's striking advantage and that Ricci's wrestling will be negated. He thinks Godinez will win on volume, though he acknowledges the New York commission can be unpredictable. He sees Godinez as the rightful favorite.

"I kind of think that this fight the wrestling's going to basically be negated and ly's going to win on volume"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

The MMA Guru picks Loopy Godinez, citing her advantage in standup and aggression. He thinks Godinez will force a high pace that Ricci is not comfortable with, and notes that Godinez is tough and throws punches like a man. He predicts a decision win for Godinez.

by decision
"I'm going to go with Lupita ginz here... I think Lupa godinez is aggressiveness and willingness to lead the dance is what's going to get her the advantage here"
WIN vs Elise Reed
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 3:38 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · Sep 16, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Loopy Godinez 1 21 of 31 67% 37 of 51 5 of 5 100% 6 0 6:29
Elise Reed 0 3 of 13 23% 34 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Loopy Godinez 1 6 of 11 54% 14 of 20 2 of 2 100% 5 0 3:39
Elise Reed 0 1 of 4 25% 5 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
2 Loopy Godinez 0 15 of 20 75% 23 of 31 3 of 3 100% 1 0 2:50
Elise Reed 0 2 of 9 22% 29 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Loopy Godinez 21 of 31 67% 15 of 25 4 of 4 2 of 2 15 of 24 3 of 3 3 of 4
Elise Reed 3 of 13 23% 0 of 6 2 of 3 1 of 4 3 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Loopy Godinez 6 of 11 54% 3 of 8 2 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
Elise Reed 1 of 4 25% 0 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 2 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Loopy Godinez 15 of 20 75% 12 of 17 2 of 2 1 of 1 10 of 14 2 of 2 3 of 4
Elise Reed 2 of 9 22% 0 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 2 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Angelo picks Lupita Godinez as the better fighter, citing her size, strength, and wrestling. He acknowledges her inconsistency and notes that the version that fought Cynthia Calvillo would lose to Elise Reed. He believes Godinez should win but considers the odds too wide to bet due to her unreliability.

"loopy is going to be bigger stronger the better fighter more talented she's training at a better team loopy should win this fight but these odds are far too wide for me to spend some money"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Big Brady picks Godinez but expresses concern about her fight IQ and recent reluctance to wrestle. He notes that if Godinez wrestles, she should dominate easily, as Reed has poor ground game and takedown defense. However, if Godinez strikes, the fight could be closer. He predicts Godinez will eventually take the fight to the mat and submit Reed in the second round.

second round submission
"I will take Lupi godinez to go out there hopefully fight smart get the fight down to the mat and I think she finishes Elise read in the second round via submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Cody picks Godinez, emphasizing her size, strength, and wrestling advantage. He notes Reed's poor takedown defense and Godinez's ability to win even if she strikes. He expects Godinez to control the fight and possibly get a submission, but thinks a decision is also likely.

Godinez by submission plus 375 (one book); Godinez over 1.5 takedowns
"I think she could win the fight even if she makes all of the bad calls."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Daniel Levi is confident in Lupita Godinez, citing her wrestling advantage as Elise Reed has been taken down in every UFC fight. He notes Godinez's high output in her last fight and believes she can win on the feet as well, but the path of least resistance is through takedowns. Levi expects Godinez to dominate and sees this as a showcase for her improved skills.

"I think that loopy has all the tools to win this fight not just in the wrestling"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Godinez has a tremendous wrestling advantage over Reed, who has been submitted in losses to grapplers. Godinez's striking is underrated, but she should focus on takedowns and top control. Reed alternates wins and losses and is coming off a win, so she's due for a loss. I expect Godinez to drag the fight to the ground and finish inside the distance.

"I really like godinez to go out there drag this fight to the ground and do that damage from on top and win this fight inside the distance"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Paul picks Godinez confidently, noting she can win anywhere but should wrestle. He mentions her inconsistency in game plans but believes she is a massive step up in competition for Reed. He sees a first-round submission as very possible if she wrestles.

Godinez by submission plus 375 (one book); Godinez over 1.5 takedowns
"lupy is clearly the pick it's just how do I approach it from a props perspective."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

The MMA Guru picks Lupita Godinez over Elise Reed, calling it a mismatch. He notes Godinez's wins over better competition like Emily Ducote and Cynthia Calvillo, while Reed's recent win was over Jin Yu Frey. He believes Godinez's boxing is crisper and she mixes in takedowns better, making her more versatile.

"I'm going with Lupita godinez this seems like a bit of a mismatch to me"
WIN vs Emily Ducote
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · May 20, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Loopy Godinez 0 112 of 270 41% 117 of 275 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:11
Emily Ducote 0 132 of 246 53% 133 of 248 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Loopy Godinez 0 34 of 81 41% 34 of 81 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Emily Ducote 0 49 of 81 60% 49 of 81 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Loopy Godinez 0 43 of 102 42% 43 of 102 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Emily Ducote 0 43 of 77 55% 43 of 77 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Loopy Godinez 0 35 of 87 40% 40 of 92 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Emily Ducote 0 40 of 88 45% 41 of 90 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Loopy Godinez 112 of 270 41% 71 of 214 21 of 33 20 of 23 106 of 262 6 of 8 0 of 0
Emily Ducote 132 of 246 53% 106 of 214 12 of 18 14 of 14 121 of 232 11 of 14 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Loopy Godinez 34 of 81 41% 19 of 61 7 of 11 8 of 9 32 of 79 2 of 2 0 of 0
Emily Ducote 49 of 81 60% 39 of 71 4 of 4 6 of 6 46 of 78 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Loopy Godinez 43 of 102 42% 28 of 81 8 of 13 7 of 8 40 of 98 3 of 4 0 of 0
Emily Ducote 43 of 77 55% 36 of 68 4 of 6 3 of 3 36 of 67 7 of 10 0 of 0
3 Loopy Godinez 35 of 87 40% 24 of 72 6 of 9 5 of 6 34 of 85 1 of 2 0 of 0
Emily Ducote 40 of 88 45% 31 of 75 4 of 8 5 of 5 39 of 87 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 14, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Angelo picks Emily Ducote because she is a former Invicta champion with slick counter-striking, power, and good wrestling. He criticizes Lupita Godinez for poor decision-making and a miserable track record on short notice. He has a small 0.25-unit bet on Ducote at +119, expecting the line to flip to favor Ducote.

0.25 unit bet at +119
"I like Emily Ducati to get this done she's big she's powerful she should be able to defend the takedown attempts I do have a quarter of a unit uniformis 100 bucks I got 25 bucks on her at plus …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 12, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Big Brady picks Lupita Godinez to win by decision, but with a caveat. He notes Godinez is a phenomenal wrestler but has recently fallen in love with her hands, which makes no sense to him. If she wrestles, she wins easily; if she doesn't, it could be close. He expects her to mix in takedowns and win a decision, but he's not fully confident in her game plan.

decision
"give me loopy to go out there mixing takedowns and and make this look easy but it all comes down to whether she she goes for takedowns or not so give me loopy give me loopy by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Cody sees this as a close striking match where both women have wrestling but may not use it. He favors Ducote's striking volume and power, and questions Godinez's fight IQ after she failed to wrestle against Angela Hill. He expects a decision win for Ducote.

"I am going to take Emily to Cody ever so slightly."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Ducote but with low confidence. He thinks Godinez won't push a pace that makes Ducote uncomfortable, leaving Ducote as the sharper striker. However, he notes that Godinez is capable of a complete performance and that Ducote hasn't shown she can handle a high-level all-around fight. He also mentions that if Godinez accepts taking hard counters and tries to break Ducote, it could work, but he suspects Ducote will persuade her not to.

Ducote opened at +111, currently +140; Godinez opened at -122, currently -158.
"I'll ride with you on the fly on Ducote. I think that Godinez won't push a pace that makes her uncomfortable and then that leaves Ducote as the sharper striker."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Daniel Levi picks Emily Ducote as a slight underdog. He thinks Godinez is still developing and has shown vulnerabilities, while Ducote has better volume and striking. He envisions the fight being close, possibly 1-1 going into the third, where Ducote's experience and output could earn her a decision. He notes Ducote landed 116 significant strikes in her UFC debut and believes she can stuff takedowns and chip away over three rounds.

Ducote by decision
"I'm gonna go with Emily ducote to win this decision over Lupi godinous"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 15, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

The host picks Lupita Godinez, believing her wrestling will be the difference maker. He thinks Godinez has slicker boxing and can chain takedowns behind combinations. He expects a decision win, though notes Ducate is a good kickboxer and the fight could be close.

"give me a lupito godinez and I'm going to take her to win this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Paul agrees, noting that Godinez's win over Calvillo was close and could have gone either way. He thinks Ducote is more dynamic on the feet and that the line offers value. He is not confident enough to bet but picks Ducote.

"I think at plus 130 not the worst look at all."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 16, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

The MMA Guru picks Lupita Godinez, citing her versatility as a Swiss Army knife compared to Ducote's striking-focused style. He likes the quick turnaround and believes Godinez will mix in grappling to push a pace. He notes Godinez's wins over Ariane Carnelossi and Loma Lookboonmee, the latter being a better striker than Ducote. He expects a close decision, 29-28.

decision 29-28
"I'm gonna side with Lupita godinez here ... win a close decision 29-28"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Zane picks Ducote, reasoning that Godinez's pressure style may not work well against a sharp counter puncher like Ducote. He notes that Ducote has a reach advantage and can land counters when Godinez tries to swarm. However, he expresses concern about Ducote's tendency to shut down under pressure, as seen against Angela Hill, and her lackluster UFC performances. He also worries about Godinez's wrestling if she can get the fight to the ground.

Ducote opened at +111, currently +140; Godinez opened at -122, currently -158.
"I'm gonna take one more flyer on Ducote. I think Godinez's pace is not going to function that well against somebody who can just instantly start landing counters on her."
Expert Picks (11)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Angelo picks Tatiana Suarez despite finding her boring, citing her dominant wrestling and predictability. He acknowledges Loopy Godinez's skills and striking but criticizes her low fight IQ and poor decisions. He believes Loopy could win if she sticks to striking but expects her to make mistakes and end up on her back.

"If I was picking off only actual skills, Loopy's the pick, but I got to factor in the brain. So, unless I see footage of Loopy at a Kumon tutoring center, the pick's going to have to be Tatiana."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Big Brady is worried about Tatiana Suarez after her poor performances against Zhang Weili and Amanda Lemos, noting she gassed and couldn't get dominant positions. He thinks Loopy Godinez has good takedown defense and superior striking with volume and boxing. He expects a close split decision and leans Godinez.

decision
"I'm going to lean with the dog here in Loopy Godinez to get it done. I'll take her to get it done by decision in this one."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Cody picks Godinez, citing Suarez's injuries, layoffs, and declining wrestling. He thinks Godinez's scrambling, boxing, and volume will earn her a decision win.

"I'm going to go the other way here. Take Loopy... I think Lupy's going to be landing the shots... she's going to edge out this decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Connor picks Suarez over three rounds, citing her superior wrestling and size. He notes that Suarez will get Godinez down and control her, as Godinez is also a wrestler but not at Suarez's level. He mentions that the fight should be five rounds to see if Godinez can survive and force Suarez to gas, but over three rounds it's a foregone conclusion.

Odds too wide; Suarez opened -225 now -150, Godinez opened +190 now +130. Should be -300/-400.
"I got to pick Suarez over three rounds to beat Lupita Godinas. She's just going to start too strong and Godinas isn't to finish her."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Daniel Vreeland picks Loopy Godinez as an underdog, believing that Tatiana Suarez is in decline after injuries and poor performances. He thinks Godinez's wrestling can keep the fight standing and that she has better striking. He acknowledges Godinez's questionable in-fight decisions but sees value at plus money.

"I'm going to go Loopy sprawl and brawl keep this fight standing. She's got the wrestling to keep this standing. She's got better hands than Tatiana."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Daniel believes Suarez is on a decline due to injuries and age, while Godinez has the wrestling to keep the fight standing and better hands. He picks Godinez to win by decision.

"I'm going to pick Lupy Godz to come out here and get this upset. Most likely unanimous decision."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

James picks the underdog Godinez, fading Suarez for the third time. He believes Suarez has declined and that Godinez can win a striking battle, though he acknowledges Suarez's size and fight IQ advantages.

"I am actually going to pick her to defeat Suarez as the underdog again."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Suarez is the best wrestler in the division and should dominate Godinez on the ground. Godinez has a slight striking edge but her wrestling is not at Suarez's level. Suarez's size and reach advantage will help her close distance for takedowns. She can grind out a decision or find a submission. The line is surprisingly low for Suarez, offering value.

Suarez wins by decision
"I like Suarez here. ... I think Suarez will grind her out. I think she'll make it look fairly dominant as well."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Paul picks Suarez, believing her wrestling is still superior and she can control Godinez. He acknowledges her decline but thinks she has one more good performance.

"I'm going with Tatiana. Am I am I I do see, you know, since she came back from injury, frankly, I do see... I'm not picking against my girl Tatiana Suarez for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Loopy Godinez

The MMA Guru picks Loopy Godinez over Tatiana Suarez, though he admits it's a questionable pick. He likes Godinez's scrambles and grappling defense, and thinks Suarez's stand-up is abysmal. He believes Godinez can eke out a 29-28 decision as a slight underdog, citing Suarez's injury history and potential 'loser energy' from her husband Patchy Mix.

"I'm going to go with Loopy Godinez. Um and I'm and I'm stupid for that."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Tatiana Suarez

Zane picks Suarez, agreeing that she will dominate early and Godinez won't be able to finish her. He notes that Suarez's wrestling is too strong and Godinez's boxing isn't good enough to keep her off. He also comments that the odds are too slim and should be wider in Suarez's favor.

Odds too slim; Suarez should be -300/-400.
"I'll take Suarez as well."