UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · May 10, 2025 · Welterweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena Next Fight
Age 34
Height 6' 1"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 35
Height 5' 9"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Mike Malott
3.93 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
3.06 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
1.88 TD Avg
50.0% TD Acc.
14.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Charles Radtke
2.8 SLpM
54.0% Str. Acc.
2.63 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
1.32 TD Avg
30.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.7 Sub. Avg
Mike Malott - Fight History
WIN vs Gilbert Burns
KO R3 2:08 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · Apr 18, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gilbert Burns 0 40 of 92 43% 42 of 94 0 of 7 0% 0 0 0:01
Mike Malott 2 56 of 121 46% 56 of 121 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gilbert Burns 0 11 of 38 28% 12 of 39 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Mike Malott 0 13 of 34 38% 13 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Gilbert Burns 0 23 of 37 62% 24 of 38 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Mike Malott 0 22 of 53 41% 22 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Gilbert Burns 0 6 of 17 35% 6 of 17 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Mike Malott 2 21 of 34 61% 21 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gilbert Burns 40 of 92 43% 16 of 60 10 of 12 14 of 20 39 of 89 1 of 3 0 of 0
Mike Malott 56 of 121 46% 51 of 112 3 of 6 2 of 3 44 of 103 1 of 4 11 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gilbert Burns 11 of 38 28% 3 of 26 5 of 7 3 of 5 10 of 36 1 of 2 0 of 0
Mike Malott 13 of 34 38% 10 of 31 1 of 1 2 of 2 13 of 32 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Gilbert Burns 23 of 37 62% 11 of 23 3 of 3 9 of 11 23 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mike Malott 22 of 53 41% 21 of 48 1 of 4 0 of 1 22 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Gilbert Burns 6 of 17 35% 2 of 11 2 of 2 2 of 4 6 of 16 0 of 1 0 of 0
Mike Malott 21 of 34 61% 20 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 18 1 of 2 11 of 14
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-375); Burns (+275)

Round 1
The year is 2026, and the UFC has elected to put a fighter in Burns (22-9, 15-9 UFC) on a four-fight losing streak in a main event. He will be placed in hostile territory, perhaps set up as a stepping stone. Ready to prove that he still has plenty left in the tank, he comes to blows with proud Canadian Malott (13-2-1, 6-1 UFC). Whether a passing of the torch moment or one that shows levels to the game, referee Herb Dean will be here for them every step of the way. He brings them together to issue final instructions, and they share a fist bump. It’s on with the show.
Burns lashes out with a leg kick, and Malott sees it coming and brings his leg in to partially check it. Burns kicks off, and his foot bounces into the cup. Malott adjusts his groin and tells Dean he is good to continue, so they do not pause. Malott chases Burns to the cage behind a pair of punches, and he leans over to let a massive overhand right from the Brazilian buzz behind his neck. Burns whiffs on two more big hooks, but his digging left to the liver gets in twice. Malott swings back hard enough to make Burns think twice about coming in recklessly, and he goes for a takedown only to get stood up. Malott resets and sticks out four punches. Burns fights off a takedown shot, lets Malott hit the ground and bounce back up, and fires out a kick that pounds into his foe’s pectoral. Malott calmly jabs and rolls with the right hand he knows is coming.
Burns kicks at the front leg and is backed off with a left hand, and he defends the uppercuts and wings a right hand as Malott bends over. Burns ducks down for a takedown shot, and he bails it to loose two haymakers that hit nothing but air. Malott times a straight right hand down Broadway as Burns is aiming a leg kick, giving chase as Burns circles away. Burns shoots again, and the Canadian is a stone wall and does not give an inch. Burns backs off and bounces on his heels, tossing out a left hook that brushes the nose. Both men let fly heavy hooks, and Burns follows his land with a chopping kick. Malott looks for a hefty counter, and Burns evades it but cannot get out of the way of a calf kick. Malott leaps forward to land a body kick on the abdomen, landing to sling two hooks behind it. Burns tries to jump for an attack of his own, but time expires while he is in the air so he just lands normally.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malott

Round 2
The two men bump fists before getting after it. Burns nails the front leg with a kick so hard, Malott drops to a knee. His calf is glowing red just a few seconds into the second round, and Burns is aware of this and does not go after it recklessly. Instead, Burns sets up the kick with blows to other targets. As he is backed off from a one-two, a thin trickle of blood leaks out of the Brazilian’s nostril, who shoots for a takedown that is stopped in its tracks. Burns rebounds to kick the inner leg of his foe, and he drills a right hand on the side of Malott’s head. Burns kicks low to punch high again, even leaping with a Superman punch. Malott backs him off behind his fists, even as Burns loops a left hand back at him. Burns scores with one more hard calf kick and a left hand after it. Malott splits his guard with an uppercut and appears to shake Burns up, who retreats in a hurry. A shiner and some blood immediately develops under Burns’ left eye, as he backs off to defend himself while Malott goes on the offensive. Malott rips uppercuts and loops his right hand around the guard, staying in range just long enough to land but not leaving himself open for Burns’ big swings.
Burns wears the strikes well but is showing damage all over, and he cannot quite secure the home run blow he is seeking. Malott sneaks in an uppercut, and Burns counters with an overhand right and waves Malott on for more. When Malott does not bite, Burns shoots for a takedown. Malott shucks him to the side and sticks a jab in his face, staying calm and composed. Malott beats Burns to the punch and forces him to spin away with a left hook. Both men lunge at one another with power, but nothing significant lands as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malott

Round 3
Burns takes directly to the center of the cage to engage, doubling up on a jab to sling his big right hand. Malott shies away from the heavy blow and circles around to give chase to Burns. After almost 30 seconds of staring, Burns swings for the bleachers with his right hand twice. Malott laughs them off and sprawls smoothly to defuse the takedown attempt before anything comes of it. Malott backs Burns to the fence with his long, straight punches, staying at his preferred distance to not get caught with the counter. Burns tries and fails to bash him with his right hand, but he leaves himself wide open for an uppercut and a left hook that puts Burns down hard. Burns climbs back up but is compromised, leading to Malott knocking him down again with a blistering right hand. Burns hits his side and is not about to go anywhere, so Malott hammers the nail with a final onslaught of concussive fists that force Dean to step in. The crowd, understandably, goes wild. Malott has earned the biggest win of his career in his most significant fight to date, and he does it by knockout after going toe-to-toe with a powerful striker. Canada may not have won the night in terms of individual matchups, going 4-5 throughout the billing, but Malott prevailed when it mattered most.
The logjam of the welterweight title picture has yet another contender, and as this sport gives, it also takes. A heartbroken “Durinho” leaves his gloves in the center of the cage to signal his retirement, overcome by emotion but still more than willing to give it up for the man that just put him down. The respectful victor has nothing but positive things to say about his opponent, his team and his fans. He does not have any opponent set as he hopes to work his way up the ladder, instead saying he will do so the “Proper” way. When he competes again, we will be here for it. We hope you are too.

The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Gilbert Burns R3 2:08 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Apr 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Angelo picks Mike Malott with extreme confidence, calling Gilbert Burns too old, slow, and not durable. He notes Gilbert is on a four-fight losing streak and has not submitted anyone recently. He recommends parlaying Malott heavily, saying the odds are too wide and should be much higher.

Parlay Mike Malott heavily, even if he's minus 11,000.
"Mike Malott's the pick. Parlay the [ __ ] out of him, even if he's minus 11,000. Like, this is unbelievably straightforward."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Big Brady hesitantly picks Mike Malott, despite calling him overrated. He criticizes Malott's takedown defense, questionable cardio, and low volume, but notes his power. Brady also doubts Gilbert Burns' durability and age (40). He predicts Malott wins by second-round knockout but says he will not bet on the fight.

second round knockout; no bet
"I'm taking Mike Malott. I'll say he wins this fight by second round knockout, but this is a fight I will not be betting on."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

Cody picks Gilbert Burns because he sees value in the plus money and questions Mike Malott's cardio in later rounds. He notes that Burns has fought top competition and that Malott has never been past three rounds. He also mentions that the line movement towards Burns supports his pick.

round 4 and round 5 props
"I end up with a Gilbert Burns play. I know it's going to upset some people I know personally. And you know, don't shoot the messenger. It's just uh sometimes it's more economics than you going with your heart."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Daniel believes Mike Malott is catching Gilbert Burns at a great time, as Burns is nearly 40 and on a decline. He thinks Malott's explosiveness and freshness will be key, and that Burns will show signs of aging when hit. He predicts Malott will finish Burns.

"I think Mike Malot's going to come out here in Winnipeg, Canada, and I think he's going to finish Gilbert Dorinho Burns."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Lean picked Apr 18, 2026 (fight day)
Gilbert Burns

Burns is a value underdog despite being older and on a losing streak. Malott fades in later rounds and has shown weakness on the ground. Burns has excellent grappling and cardio for five rounds. If Burns survives the early rounds, he can take over. The odds are too wide; this fight is closer to 50/50.

fight not to go to decision (odds terrible)
"I think this fight is way closer to 50/50 than the odds suggest."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

James believes the line is too wide and that Gilbert Burns has value as a plus 425 underdog. He thinks Burns can weather the early storm and take over in later rounds due to his experience and cardio. Despite picking Malott as the pure winner, he confidently sides with Burns for the moneyline.

"I'm going to say Gilbert Burns gets the upset here. And that's because I'm a sports better."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)

The host mentions the main event but does not make a pick for either fighter. He only notes that Gilbert Burns has been bet down from a massive underdog to a big underdog.

"Gilbert Burns has been getting bet down from a massive underdog to now just a big underdog."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mike Malott

The host believes Mike Malott will land a big shot and put Gilbert Burns away, but does not like the chalk on Malott. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds as the best way to play the matchup, expecting pocket exchanges and a striking battle. He notes Burns' age and four-fight losing streak, and thinks Malott's power will be the difference.

under 2.5 rounds
"I like Malott here. I don't like the chalk on him. I think he'll end up landing a big shot to put Burns down, but I think the under two and a half would probably be the best way to …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Gilbert Burns

Paul also picks Gilbert Burns, citing the same concerns about Malott's cardio and the value on Burns. He mentions he has a bet on Burns at plus 316 and likes late round props. He believes Burns can win if the fight goes into the later rounds.

round 4 and round 5 props
"Burns is the side for me. Um, I see some other people saying that like, you know, he's going to run, you know, Burns going to get knocked out in the first round. I mean, it's possible. It's MMA. Anything …"
WIN vs Kevin Holland
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen · Oct 18, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kevin Holland 0 52 of 137 37% 76 of 162 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:27
Mike Malott 0 49 of 95 51% 50 of 99 1 of 4 25% 1 1 2:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kevin Holland 0 9 of 31 29% 22 of 45 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:27
Mike Malott 0 12 of 29 41% 13 of 33 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:30
2 Kevin Holland 0 23 of 70 32% 23 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mike Malott 0 26 of 42 61% 26 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Kevin Holland 0 20 of 36 55% 31 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mike Malott 0 11 of 24 45% 11 of 24 1 of 2 50% 1 0 2:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kevin Holland 52 of 137 37% 23 of 96 9 of 13 20 of 28 49 of 127 3 of 9 0 of 1
Mike Malott 49 of 95 51% 35 of 73 10 of 15 4 of 7 44 of 88 1 of 3 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kevin Holland 9 of 31 29% 3 of 22 3 of 5 3 of 4 8 of 26 1 of 4 0 of 1
Mike Malott 12 of 29 41% 8 of 20 1 of 3 3 of 6 11 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Kevin Holland 23 of 70 32% 12 of 55 3 of 4 8 of 11 22 of 68 1 of 2 0 of 0
Mike Malott 26 of 42 61% 17 of 32 8 of 9 1 of 1 26 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Kevin Holland 20 of 36 55% 8 of 19 3 of 4 9 of 13 19 of 33 1 of 3 0 of 0
Mike Malott 11 of 24 45% 10 of 21 1 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 18 0 of 2 4 of 4
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kevin Holland vs. Mike Malott
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-115); Holland (+100)

Round 1
The co-main event comes in the form of what should be an all-action welterweight affair that could have a little something for everybody. The fan-favorite Holland (28-14, 1 NC; 15-11, 1 NC UFC) will have to be the villain tonight as he goes into hostile territory to take on the last Canadian-born fighter on the night in Malott (12-2-1, 5-1 UFC). The two will hunt for bonus cash—and there is steep competition tonight—while regionally unpopular referee Dan Miragliotta watches on. Holland tries fairly hard to get a glove touch, but the Canadian wants nothing to do with it.
Holland puts his hand down and his foot up, to start kicking Malott in the lead leg. Malott is struggling to get in on the longer Holland, so Holland can pepper his front leg on either side without worrying about something coming back. When Malott responds with his own leg kick, Holland hops and swats out a left hand. The two appear to clash heads when coming at one another, and Malott unloads with a short combination before Holland can reach him. Malott fires off a body kick, and Holland knocks him off his feet with a fierce right hand. Holland considers slamming down high-amplitude hammerfists, and he leaps on top and delivers some damage. Holland stands back up and starts punching the Canadian in the thigh. Malott hits a sneaky sweep to put Holland on his seat.
Holland fights his way back up, and when Malott tries for a mat return, Holland bends like a reed in the wind and rolls all the way through the takedown attempt to end up on top. The welterweights scramble back to their feet, and clashing kicks leads to Malott inadvertently kicking Holland in the groin. Miragliotta calls time, and Holland laughs it off and is good to go within 20 seconds. They resume, and Holland appears fine, as he reaches Malott and knocks him back with a clean left hand. “Trailblazer” leaps at his man with a right hand, and he keeps his balance when Malott wraps him up to drag him down. When they tie up, Malott drills him in the groin with a knee, and Holland is not so jovial about it as he collapses to his knees.
Miragliotta tells the replay officials that he could hear the impact of the second groin strike, and he tells Malott that he knows that it was an accident but reminds him that it was two infractions already and the second appears to have clearly compromised the Texan. Holland gets to his knees but is still clutching his groin, and he reaches in to try to adjust himself and nearly exposes himself on camera. The replay officials appear to be confused, even though it is clear on the video that there was contact on the cup. Holland tries to stand after two-and-a-half minutes, and he is frustrated that the crowd is booing him and pulls himself up to his feet all while shaking his head repeatedly. Miragliotta tells Holland to take as much time as he needs, which is a smidge over a minute remaining. Miragliotta gives Malott a stern warning for the second groin shot, with no point deduction as commentator Daniel Cormier laments there is no consistency in regards to officiating these days with a fighter earlier losing a point from the first foul. Holland tries as hard as he can to shake off the injury, and he tells Miragliotta he is good to go 15 seconds later than stoppage time.
He is still in serious pain, and he takes more time to tap gloves with Malott and backpedals. Holland still adjusts his cup while dodging swings aimed at his head, and Malott allows him to recover even longer before going at him with a right hand and a head kick that are out of range. Holland gets up close to deliver an uppercut, and he bounces back in pain. Holland walks off before time elapses, and Malott throws his hands in the air out of frustration. The round ends with Holland suffering greatly, and it’s anyone’s guess what will happen between rounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Holland
Mike Fridley scores the round: 10-9 Holland
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Malott

Round 2
Miragliotta calls in the doctor between rounds to check on Holland, who has not yet recovered. The doctor tells Holland that he will have to stop the fight if Holland cannot keep going, and again confusion and chaos is about as they are trying to ask him if he is able to continue. Holland doesn’t say yes or no, and instead grimaces in pain and adjusts himself. As he waits, eventually someone signals that he can keep going and that he cannot keep taking more time. The minute break may have been doubled based on that. Holland flashes his jab to keep his range and not let the Canadian to get him as he still tries to bounce around and relieve the pressure. Malott tosses out a half-hearted front kick, and Holland responds with a heavier one. Malott opens up with a flurry of fists, and Holland shoulder rolls them and takes a body kick. He keeps being his jab, and wings a clubbing right that is easily blocked, unable to put much power behind his punches. He ducks a takedown attempt and scoops a left around the guard to surprise his opponent. Holland swats out with lefts, and Malott tags him with a right hand. Malott’s front kick reaches the target of the jaw, and the replies from “Trailblazer” are a front kick and one to the calf.
The Texan narrowly avoids a left hand and pitches out a side kick, and they crack one another with simultaneous right hands. Holland slips back, and a front kick brushes the top of Malott’s shorts. Holland takes a heavy left hand and gathers his thoughts, sticking Malott with a low kick and a front kick. Holland sits down on a crisp right hand, and Malott walks through it. Holland adjusts his athletic support that is still bothering him, and a clinch leads to nowhere so they split up. Malott walks Holland down and decks him with several punches and a knee, and Holland rebounds off the fencing and fires back with a right hand to keep Malott honest. Holland tries for a one-two, and he is intercepted on the way out. Holland bloodies the Canadian’s nose with a jab and an uppercut that follows, and Malott tries to drive him back with a front kick but is elbowed for his handiwork. The round ends with Malott’s nose positively gushing blood.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Mike Fridley scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Malott

Round 3
Holland is still messed up from the groin shots, and tells Malott to keep things clean. They get down to it, with scores possibly two up for Malott or all tied up. Malott jabs the body with his toes outstretched, and Holland chips at his front leg a few times before darting him behind two left hands. Malott counters him up top, and lets Holland throw a kick to go for a big left hand. Holland re-opens Malott’s nose with jabs, and Malott takes a deep breath and blitzes forward. Holland keeps himself largely clear of danger, although the Canadian catches him with a few strikes. Holland’s own offense bounds off the guard, other than a stomping kick to the knee that briefly hyperextends it. Malott reaches out with a push kick to the upper chest, and Holland’s response is to the calf. Holland scores a single right hand and leans back from the obligatory counter, and Malott slides to the side and gets off a side kick and one high. Holland scoots his way forward and eats a few punches.
Holland lands a one-two, and Malott appears to get his attention as Holland bends over and briefly considers a takedown. He bails on it to stand up and further bloody up the Canadian. Malott runs at his opponent and lifts him off the ground, and Holland’s arm goes out of the cage as he apologizes and says he is not grabbing anything but just has long arms. Malott pulls him back inside and down flat on his back, and he smothers “Trailblazer” and bashes him with right hands. Holland uses upkicks and butterfly hooks to frame off, only for Malott to slice through and climb into half guard with 60 seconds remaining. Malott threatens with an arm-triangle choke, stepping over to full mount and then to the side to complete the submission. The ultra-slippery Holland reverse-somersaults to somehow get out of the submission, and he worms his way back to his feet with Malott right after him. The Canadian bullies him to the wire, and looks for a mat return to wrap things up. Instead, he elbows Holland once, and they shake hands after time expires with no bad blood between them. That was certainly a fight of all time.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott (29-28 Malott)
Mike Fridley scores the round: 10-9 Malott (29-28 Malott)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Malott (30-27 Malott)

The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Kevin Holland via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mike Malott

Angelo picks Mike Malott, citing his high fight IQ, technical improvements after the Magny loss, and well-rounded skills. He criticizes Kevin Holland's inconsistency and poor performance against Daniel Rodriguez, calling it an all-time low. He trusts Malott's control and power.

"I got to go with Mike Malott."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mike Malott

Big Brady has zero trust in Kevin Holland after his loss to Daniel Rodriguez, calling him a dumbass and declining. He questions Malott's durability and cardio but picks him by default. He predicts Malott takes Holland down and submits him, noting Holland's ground game stinks.

Malott by submission
"I'm going to pick Mike Malott. I'm gonna pick Mike Malot to win this fight by submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Cody picks Malott, citing Kevin Holland's recent durability issues and high fight frequency. He notes Holland was knocked down twice by Daniel Rodriguez, a sign of declining chin. Malott has a wrestling advantage and can mix takedowns with striking. Cody believes Malott will win by decision or late stoppage, especially with home crowd support.

"I'm not going to take Kevin Holland. I'm going to go with Mike Malot."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mike Malott

Connor picks Malott, emphasizing that Holland cannot be trusted to fight disciplined. He notes that Malott is proficient and consistent, with sharp boxing in the pocket. Connor points out that Holland's approach of 'having fun' leads to messy fights, and his chin may be deteriorating after getting hurt by Daniel Rodriguez. He believes Malott can outwork Holland.

Odds: Holland opened at +130, currently -110; Malott opened at -150, currently -110.
"I definitely have a lot more faith in Mike Molotu fight a smart fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Mike Malott

James admits he has a poor track record betting on Malott fights but picks Malott due to his skill set and potential improvements after the Neil Magny loss. He questions Kevin Holland's recent form and durability, noting Holland's poor performance against Daniel Rodriguez. James expects a slow-paced fight and predicts Malott via decision, though he is not confident.

"I will pick Mike Malot in this fight. I think that he's still coming into his own. I think he may have improved after that Neil Magny fight. I think he might manage his cardio a little bit better. I …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Kevin Holland

The host thinks this is a tough stylistic matchup for Malott. He believes Holland can pick Malott apart from distance with his speed, range, and distance work, and will eventually find a big shot to put Malott away.

win by knockout
"I think Holland can really pick apart Melot from distance and Meot on paper is a better skill for skill fighter than Holland but I just don't think he can keep up with the speed, range or distance work of …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

Paul picks Holland, arguing that the D-Rod fight was on short notice and Holland has had three months to prepare. He believes Holland's length and reach advantage will be key, and that Malott may gas as he did against Magny. Paul sees value in Holland as a dog and plans to bet him.

"Holland Holland's the pick for me at a pick on price."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mike Malott

The MMA Guru picks Mike Malott over Kevin Holland. He notes Malott's submission skills and takedowns, and his game plan against Neil Magny. He criticizes Holland's inconsistency and chin issues. He predicts Malott will chew at the leg, get takedowns, and finish by arm triangle submission in round two.

arm triangle submission in round two
"I'm going with Mike Malott, and I'm going to take Mike Malott by arm triangle submission."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mike Malott

Zane picks Malott, citing his composure, defensive soundness, and ability to pick targets. He notes that Malott can outwrestle Holland and kick his legs. Zane is concerned about Holland's inconsistency and recent poor performance against Daniel Rodriguez, where Holland made terrible errors and got hurt. He believes Malott will fight a smart fight.

Odds: Holland opened at +130, currently -110; Malott opened at -150, currently -110.
"So yeah, I'll take Molot over Holland, but it's not a bad test from a lot."
KO R2 0:26 · UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · May 10, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Malott 1 36 of 61 59% 36 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Charles Radtke 0 10 of 33 30% 10 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Malott 0 27 of 47 57% 27 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Charles Radtke 0 10 of 29 34% 10 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mike Malott 1 9 of 14 64% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Charles Radtke 0 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Malott 36 of 61 59% 21 of 42 5 of 9 10 of 10 28 of 51 2 of 3 6 of 7
Charles Radtke 10 of 33 30% 9 of 31 0 of 0 1 of 2 9 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Malott 27 of 47 57% 12 of 29 5 of 8 10 of 10 25 of 44 2 of 3 0 of 0
Charles Radtke 10 of 29 34% 9 of 27 0 of 0 1 of 2 9 of 27 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Mike Malott 9 of 14 64% 9 of 13 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 7
Charles Radtke 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Mike Malott vs. Charlie Radtke
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-192), Radtke (+160)

Round 1
Halifax native Malott (11-2-1, 4-1 UFC) will attempt to put a bow on the prelims for his home country fans, and with 10 stoppages in his 11 pro wins, referee Marc Goddard will need to be on his A game. Standing across from him is a frustrated but very dangerous Radtke (10-4, 3-1 UFC), who does not like being booed even though he is in hostile territory. Tensions ran high at the weigh-ins as Radtke flipped off the crowd while draped in an American flag, and he will have the next 15 minutes or less to send an additional message. There is no touch of gloves to get going. Radtke reaches the center of the cage first, advancing forward and walking through a stomping kick to his knee so he can lash out with a right hand. Radtke dodges it and pushes off with a side kick, and he steps in with a left hand and a push kick. Malott sits down on a trio of punches to catch Radtke unaware, who tanks them well and responds with an overhand right. Malott kicks the lead knee a few more times, and he connects with a left hand over the top. Crude chants against Radtke rain down, who is promptly kicked in the ribs by the Canadian. Malott pins a one-two on the chin, and he dances out of the way of a counter. Malott sits down in four crisp punches, with Radtke’s chin holding up well. The chants rain down again, directing Radtke to do something inappropriate as Malott wraps a head kick around his guard and chains a spinning back kick into it. Radtke plods forward, clubbing Malott with a pair of hooks. Malott aims a front kick and connects at the end of a one-two, and he continues to beat on Radtke’s knee. The chants come a third time, and Malott channels that energy by kicking “Chuck Buffalo” in the head. Radtke swarms him, catching Malott with several punches that shake him up. Malott responds with a knee to the gut and breaks off, kicking the front leg on the way out. The punches from the American bust Malott’s nose open, who crashes the pocket and misses the mark with a swinging left. Malott connects with a body kick, leaning back to avoid a left hand and working on Radtke’s knee again. Radtke eats a few punches to swing on Malott, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Malott

Round 2
The fighters meet in the middle, and they promptly throw hands. Malott backs off, parrying the advancing Radtke and blasting him with a left hook that makes him crash into the cage. Malott whiffs on a high kick as Radtke circles away to get his bearings, and he walks the American down and plants a one-two square on his forehead.
This time, Malott does not stop with two punches, and the third, a crisp left hook, sends “Chuck Buffalo” collapsing to his seat. Radtke lays on his back clutching his head, and Malott sprints towards him and bombards him with five blistering punches that knock Radtke all the way out and back in again. As the Canadian drums Radtke’s skull off the cage floor, blood spraying from his busted jaw, Goddard runs towards them to stop the fight
. The audience that had already voiced full-throated support for their man goes ballistic, and it is deafening in the building. “Proper Mike” hoists the Canadian flag and climbs to the top of the cage, waving it in the air as he drinks in all the love in the building. Radtke sits up and tries to stand, but he has to be helped to the stool. Malott goes to shake hands with everyone willing to engage him, and he slams his hand on the corner post of a sponsor to make a point. The fighters shake hands, burying any beef that had developed during the week.

The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Charlie Radtke R2 0:26 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 4, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Angelo picks Mike Malott as the better fighter but expresses concern about his quit against Neil Magny. He notes Malott is faster and more athletic, but Radtke is tough and could surge late. He has already placed a parlay with Malott and Jasmine Jasudavicius at plus money. He hopes Malott has learned from his loss.

Placed parlay with Jasmine Jasudavicius at plus money
"Mike's the better fighter here. He's faster, he's more athletic, he's has cleaner skills overall, but he's not the tougher guy."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Big Brady questions Mike Malott's heart, cardio, and chin, noting he was broken by Neil Magny. He thinks Radtke is physically strong, has great takedown defense, and possesses a powerful left hook. He predicts Radtke will land that left hook and knock out Malott in the second round, as Malott is hittable and has a suspect chin.

Radtke wins by knockout in round 2
"I'm going Charles Raky here to win this fight. ... I think Raky lands that left hook and knocks out Mike Malot in the second round."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked May 7, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

The host has low confidence but believes Malott is the technically superior striker who can thwart Radtke's aggression. He suggests the fight likely won't go to decision and expects Malott to get a submission or KO.

Fight doesn't go to decision
"Not a whole lot of confidence here and I think fight doesn't go to decision will likely be the best course of action in this matchup."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

The MMA Guru picks Radtke, citing his initial instinct that Radtke would chin Malott. He thinks Radtke's pressure, left hook, and volume will overwhelm Malott, who has a suspect nose and struggled against pressure in the Gall fight. He predicts a first-round TKO, noting Radtke's power and Malott's potential grappling disadvantage.

first round TKO
"I'm going to go with Charles Radkkey getting this one done in an upset by TKO. I'm assuming this is an upset."
WIN vs Trevin Giles
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Nov 02, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Malott 0 59 of 130 45% 59 of 130 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Trevin Giles 0 34 of 78 43% 34 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Malott 0 12 of 37 32% 12 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Trevin Giles 0 9 of 16 56% 9 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mike Malott 0 28 of 54 51% 28 of 54 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Trevin Giles 0 17 of 32 53% 17 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Mike Malott 0 19 of 39 48% 19 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Trevin Giles 0 8 of 30 26% 8 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Malott 59 of 130 45% 22 of 82 19 of 28 18 of 20 59 of 129 0 of 1 0 of 0
Trevin Giles 34 of 78 43% 23 of 64 3 of 5 8 of 9 34 of 77 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Malott 12 of 37 32% 2 of 24 4 of 7 6 of 6 12 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Trevin Giles 9 of 16 56% 4 of 10 0 of 1 5 of 5 9 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Mike Malott 28 of 54 51% 13 of 34 8 of 11 7 of 9 28 of 53 0 of 1 0 of 0
Trevin Giles 17 of 32 53% 13 of 28 2 of 2 2 of 2 17 of 31 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Mike Malott 19 of 39 48% 7 of 24 7 of 10 5 of 5 19 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Trevin Giles 8 of 30 26% 6 of 26 1 of 2 1 of 2 8 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Trevin Giles vs. Mike Malott
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-250), Giles (+205)

Round 1
As it tends to do lately, the UFC has plugged in a fight promising violence in the opener of its main card. Malott (10-2-1, 3-1 UFC) will have the crowd behind him when he battles Houston native Giles (16-6, 7-6 UFC). The former has seen all 10 of his wins end inside the distance, while all of Giles’ pro defeats have come via stoppage. Anything can and often does happen in MMA, so even with Malott one of the largest betting favorites tonight, all that matters is the activity when the cage door closes. When it does, referee Andy Social is installed as the Octagon commander, and he starts the clock while the competitors do not touch gloves. Malott tries to strike first, but his front kick misses the mark. Once more, the Canadians in the building show their lack of support for Justin Trudeau, and the fighters ignore the chants. They measure one another from afar, pitching single strikes at one another and bouncing them off one another’s guard. The enthusiasm of the crowd shifts to “Let’s go Mike,” who promptly kicks Giles upside the head. Giles keeps his jab out to not let Malott get to him, and he chops at the low calf a few times. Malott winds a right hand over the top, and Giles checks a low kick. Giles slams his foot on the front leg of his opponent, and every impact sounds more bone-on-bone than slapping off skin. Malott digs deep with a hard low kick, and the jabs from Giles have reddened up the Canadian’s nose. Malott sprints forward, and when countered, blood trickles out of a cut on the bridge of his nose. Giles targets the new cut with jabs, and Malott chambers and fires three kicks that are all guarded. Giles paws out with a low kick and rifles off a right hand that brushes past his foe’s hair. Giles keeps his guard up to defend head kicks that fly fairly frequently, and Malott mixes things up with a hard calf kick. Giles parries a front kick and absorbs another heavy low kick, and he tries to push out a jab and is countered with a combination of punches. Giles snaps out a mean jab, and he tosses away a high kick and blocks a spinning back kick. The Texan turns his shin towards a calf kick, and he ducks a few looping punches and breathes a sigh of relief. Giles comes up hitting air with an overhand right, and he blocks a head kick right before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Giles

Round 2
Malott wants to get right down to business to start the second round, and Giles meets him in the middle with powerful punches. Giles defends a head kick and takes a right hand and a low kick, and he looks for a clubbing right hand over the top that glances off the shoulder. Giles kicks the front leg, and Malott responds with a front kick. When seeing it land, Malott targets the same spot on the abdomen with the ball of his foot, drawing a reaction out of an energized Giles. The Texan connects with a jab and two follow-up punches, and Malott keeps him honest by slinging head kicks at him. Giles wings two huge punches, and a third whooshes past the Canuck. Malott jabs the body with a front kick from either let, and he looses a heavy body kick that Giles catches and sets down. Giles slides back from a high kick, and he lunges in and gets countered with a short right hand. Giles plods ever forward, staying light on his feet to protect himself from kicks, and still keeps a solid base to shut down a takedown effort. Malott kicks the front leg twice, and he chambers and fires a third from the other side. Giles prods out a heavy jab, and he follows one with a wide overhand right. Malott uses front kick after front kick to keep Giles from reaching him with his big punches, but this results in them taking turns. Malott splits the guard with a big right hand, and Giles blinks it out and crouches down to try to defend a low kick. Malott has a head kick zoom past his foe, and Giles looks for a right hand over the top but absorbs a clean spinning back kick to the ribcage. “The Problem” gives Malott a problem to think about in the form of a huge right hand, and Malott welcomes it and slings back. Malott kicks his foe in the ribs, and he tries to spin with it and then turn through with a head kick, but Giles watches them all whiz by his face without concern. The round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Giles
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malott

Round 3
A Giles jab starts the round, but Malott is quick to hop on his bike and peck away with kicks to all targets. A front kick narrowly misses the jaw, and Giles tries to make him pay with a booming right hand. Malott rolls with it and sticks out a jab, and he bounces up and down and is slapped in the face with a surprise question-mark kick. Malott sinks two leg kicks low, and Giles has to pull his leg back and thinks about changing stances. Malott kicks him in the head, with the impact of the blow knocking him back a step despite it colliding with his glove. Malott drives a leg kick to the calf, and Giles pushes forward swinging hammers but has his hands batted away. Malott uses a jab to open up a front kick from either foot, and he overswings and is lucky to not get caught with a looping strike. Malott brings his shin up quickly, but it is his short left hand when Giles bares down on him that lands more effectively. Giles whiffs, dodges a spin kick and takes a kick on the ribs. Malott’s front kick keeps him at a safe range, and he checks a kick while switching stances. Giles hits nothing but air with huge right hands, and Malott picks his shots carefully and does not expose himself for much. A body kick from the Canadian is caught, and Giles whips a right hand at him but it just grazes off the cheek. Malott drops his hands and looses a head kick that ricochets off the raised guard of his opponent, and he is met with a jab to the body on the way out. Malott freezes up his opponent with his feints and fakes, and he shuts down a body lock attempt and thumps Giles with a calf kick. A head kick goes wide from “Proper Mike,” who properly ends the middling fight with a sharp jab.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott (29-28 Malott)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Malott (29-28 Giles)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malott (29-28 Malott)

The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Trevin Giles via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Angelo picks Mike Malott despite his recent quit against Neil Magny, calling it a 'quitters discount.' He thinks Malott is better everywhere except the jab, and should be faster, stronger, and a better wrestler. He acknowledges the PTSD from the quit but says Malott should win and is more affordable than he should be. He hesitates to bet due to the quit but thinks it's probably worth betting.

quitters discount
"Mike mot's going to be the pick I do have some Vietnam meme style flashbacks of him just quitting with a couple of seconds left so it's hard for me to pull the trigger in a bet but I should …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Big Brady picks Mike Malott to win by second-round submission. He acknowledges Malott's questionable chin and cardio but notes that Trevin Giles has a history of finding ways to lose, often by finish (six finish losses). Brady expects Giles to get submitted again, possibly via club and sub. He thinks Malott's power and submission threat will be too much for Giles.

submission in round 2
"give me a Mike mot I'll say submit trevan Giles in the second round maybe even a club and Subs yeah Mike mot second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Cody picks Mike Malott, citing his athleticism, technical striking, and grappling advantage. He notes that Malott took Giles down easily in a previous grappling match and believes he can do so again. He acknowledges Malott's cardio issues in the Neil Magny fight but trusts that Malott has made adjustments. He also mentions Giles's jab as a concern but believes Malott's speed and wrestling will prevail.

"I got Mike mot I think he'll probably end up on the second line but just a little sliver of uncertainty is going to keep him off the first line likely for me this week."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Daniel Vreeland picks Mike Malott, citing Trevin Giles's history of imploding in fights despite looking good early. He references Giles's multiple comeback losses and a previous grappling match where Giles lost after competing early. Vreeland expects Giles to start strong but eventually make a mistake, allowing Malott to secure an opportunistic finish. He notes the price is high but is confident in the pick.

"I'm G pick Mike mot to to get an opportunistic finish"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Trevin Giles

Lucrative James picks Trevin Giles as a value bet, despite predicting Malott is more likely to win. He notes Malott's questionable durability and that Giles has a real chance to win. He likes the fight doesn't go to decision prop as a hedge, expecting a finish either way.

fight doesn't go to decision
"small bet on trevan Gils at the price makes sense for me and maybe a bigger bet on the fight doesn't go to decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Trevin Giles

Malott can land big power and put Giles away, but Giles' striking speed and overall advantage should allow him to put pace on Malott and run away late, getting a finish in the second or third round.

finish in second or third round
"I believe Giles's striking speed and overall Advantage here should allow him to put up pace on Malott and run away late with this matchup and end up getting a finish in the second or third round."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Paul also picks Malott, noting his familiarity with Giles from their grappling match and his improved mindset after the Magny loss. He believes Malott's speed and technique will overcome Giles's jab, and that Giles's cardio is also questionable. He sees Malott as the rightful favorite and likely a top pick in their PRP.

"I think he's the rightful favor and I figure he probably going to be relatively at the top of your PRP this week."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Mike Malott

The Guru picks Mike Malott over Trevin Giles, citing Malott's grappling advantage and leg kicks. He notes Malott's dominant grappling against Neil Magny and believes he can out-grapple Giles. He predicts a submission win.

submission
"I'm going to go with Mike mallow here I think he'll be able to outg Grapple Trevon Giles and I'll take him by submission"
LOSS vs Neil Magny
TKO (punches) R3 4:45 · UFC 297: Strickland vs. du Plessis · Jan 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Neil Magny 0 57 of 102 55% 110 of 159 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:47
Mike Malott 0 45 of 67 67% 100 of 128 4 of 6 66% 0 0 6:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Neil Magny 0 5 of 25 20% 12 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Mike Malott 0 20 of 31 64% 20 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
2 Neil Magny 0 6 of 15 40% 18 of 29 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Mike Malott 0 21 of 30 70% 67 of 79 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:08
3 Neil Magny 0 46 of 62 74% 80 of 98 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:44
Mike Malott 0 4 of 6 66% 13 of 18 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:36
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Neil Magny 57 of 102 55% 52 of 95 3 of 3 2 of 4 13 of 44 0 of 2 44 of 56
Mike Malott 45 of 67 67% 19 of 40 4 of 4 22 of 23 30 of 49 0 of 0 15 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Neil Magny 5 of 25 20% 4 of 22 0 of 0 1 of 3 5 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0
Mike Malott 20 of 31 64% 2 of 13 1 of 1 17 of 17 20 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Neil Magny 6 of 15 40% 4 of 13 1 of 1 1 of 1 6 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0
Mike Malott 21 of 30 70% 14 of 22 3 of 3 4 of 5 9 of 17 0 of 0 12 of 13
3 Neil Magny 46 of 62 74% 44 of 60 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 44 of 56
Mike Malott 4 of 6 66% 3 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 5
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Neil Magny vs. Mike Malott
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-340), Magny (+270)

Round 1
With Malott looking to show he is a Top 15 fighter, and Magny aiming to prove that he can do more than man the velvet rope for that category even at age 36, only one is likely to get his wish. Kevin Macdonald is the referee. Both fighters are in orthodox stance, and Malott lands a front kick to Magny’s lead leg immediately. Magny comes forward behind a high guard and Malott goes back to the lead leg with another push kick. Moments later, he hits Magny with a calf kick to that leg, then another. A strategy appears to be emerging. Malott steps in behind an overhand right, and Magny meets him, grabbing a clinch. Malott immediately shoves him off. Malott surges forward with a pair of big looping hooks. They fall short but succeed in backing Magny straight to the fence. Malott throws a lightning-fast head kick, but Magny just as quickly steps inside and takes the clinch again. Malott drives Magny to the fence and pummels his way out of the position, moving away from the cage and forcing Magny to follow. Malott goes back to the leg kicks, all aimed at the lead left leg of Magny. Malott is now getting Magny to bite on hip feints, indicating the effect the kicks have had so far. Malott lands a glancing low kick at the 10-second clapper, the last offense of the round.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Malott

Round 2
Magny throws a low kick to open the round, which Malott checks. Magny stalks forward and Malott gives ground, then plants and catches Magny with a clean two-punch combination that stings. Malott lands an inside kick to the lead leg, followed by a body kick on the other side. Magny comes crashing forward, but Malott uses a body lock to take him down, landing in full guard. Magny works to create some space to escape, but Malott more or less lets him up. Malott closes the distance again and uses a body lock and trip to dump the taller man to the floor at the base of the fence. Malott is in a sort of loose half guard, hovering over Magny, and when he dives in with an elbow strike, Magny locks down his right leg. Malott gets a few shots in from half guard, then stands over Magny. Magny throws a upkick and Malott jumps right back onto him, moving to mount. Magny spins to put his feet against the fence, looking to use the cage to bridge and escape, but Malott scoots him away from the cage and stays in mount, throwing methodical, heavy elbows and forearms. Malott isolates Magny’s left arm, perhaps considering a submission, but at the 10-second clapper gives up on it and throws strikes until the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Malott

Round 3
Malott throws a leg kick and backs Magny up with punches, then changes levels and more or less bowls him over for a fast takedown, landing in mount. Magny wraps his arms around Malott, keeping him from posturing up and doing major damage, then bucks and returns to his feet. Malott follows him across the cage and launches himself at his hips, scoring another easy takedown. Magny gets to full guard, then grapevines the legs, trying to keep Malott from going anywhere. Malott throws some short strikes before standing up out of guard and dives back in, but ends up in full guard again. Magny stands and Malott grabs a guillotine, pulling guard as he does, but Magny pops his head out and ends up on top, where he starts throwing punches with some urgency. Malott is suddenly looking exhausted and Magny is all over him. Malott turns to his side, but otherwise offers no real defense as Magny continues throwing a stream of unblocked punches with both hands. There’s less than 30 seconds left. Referee Macdonald is looking on closely, and as motivated as he might be to avoid any possibility of a quick stoppage, after at least two dozen unanswered blows, he interposes himself for the TKO with just 15 seconds left on the clock. What a comeback by the ageless, indefatigable Neil Magny.

The Official Result
Neil Magny def. Mike Malott R3 4:45 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Angelo picks Malott, viewing this as a showcase for the Canadian prospect. He acknowledges Magny's experience and toughness but notes Magny has looked declining in recent fights. He warns against overexposure on Malott since this is his toughest opponent, but plans to have some action on him.

Will have some action on Malott; avoid overexposure
"this has to be a Mike mot pick this is the matchup in Canada for a reason"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Big Brady is very confident in Malott, calling it a setup fight. He notes Malott is dangerous everywhere with 100% finish rate, while Magny is 36, has taken damage, and has been submitted six times. He expects Malott to get a takedown and submit Magny in the first round.

first round submission
"give be Mike mot to win this fight by first round sub"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Cody is confident Malott wins, citing his size, strength, power, and well-rounded skills. He notes Malott's quick finishes but acknowledges Magny's durability and cardio. He suggests Malott by decision as a prop because Magny is tough to finish.

Malott by decision at +400 to +450
"Mot definitely the pick... the prop is a little tricky... maybe mot by decision."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Jan 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Daniel Vreeland picks Mike Malott to win but is hesitant due to Malott's unproven ceiling and Magny's veteran tactics. He acknowledges Malott's dangerous finishing ability and guillotine series, but worries about Magny's clinch game and length. He notes Magny has been fading but has also been a tough fade historically. He passes on betting the -400 line.

"I'm going to pick Mike mot to continuous streak and show out"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Neil Magny

Vreeland picks Magny as a dog, citing the massive step up in competition for Malott. He notes Magny's size, reach advantage, and ability to impose his game plan. Vreeland questions Malott's path to victory, doubting he can outwrestle Magny or overcome the reach disadvantage on the feet. He sees value in the plus money.

plus 310 dog money
"I am going dog that's going to surprise you probably right Neil Magny I had a feeling you Neil Magny big step up like this is this is a real big step up from lot unless Magny is totally from …"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Neil Magny

Fox also picks Magny, agreeing with Vreeland on the step up in competition. He notes Magny's reach advantage and good wrestling defense. Fox doesn't see a clear path for Malott, as Magny is a tall fighter who knows how to use his reach. He likes the dog money.

plus 310 dog money
"I don't really like the pass to Victory here from a lot do you think he's like gonna out wrestle Neil Magny like mag's got pretty good wrestling right like he he's at least defensively seems like he's got good …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Feb 6, 2025 (fight day)

This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Magny vs Malott.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Mike Malott

I fully expect Malott to play with Magny on the feet, eventually drag the fight to the ground, and strangle him with a submission. Malott's grappling advantage is huge, and Magny has historically struggled against strong grapplers. The -365 line is a bit wide for a prospect against a veteran, but I think the fight will look like a cakewalk for Malott. I'm looking for a first-round submission.

submission victory, first round finish
"I fully expect Mike mot to play with Magny on the feet a little bit eventually drag this fight to the ground and strangle Neo Magny on route to a submission Victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Paul agrees Malott wins but won't bet the -400 moneyline. He thinks Malott has the power and grappling advantage but Magny is durable and has gone the distance with top guys. He considers Malott by decision as a possible prop.

Malott by decision (mentioned as a possibility)
"I think mot wins... there's no way I touch the minus 400."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Mike Malott

The MMA Guru picks Mike Malott, citing Magny's age and recent KO loss to Ian Garry. He trusts Malott's pressure and leg kicks, and predicts a submission via arm triangle in round two. He also mentions Magny's personal issues (custody battle) as a potential distraction.

submission, round 2
"I'm going to go with Mike Mallet I was going I was honestly hedging the idea of picking Neil Magny here"
WIN vs Adam Fugitt
Submission (guillotine choke) R2 1:06 · UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · Jun 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Malott 1 19 of 41 46% 19 of 41 2 of 2 100% 1 1 1:26
Adam Fugitt 0 9 of 28 32% 16 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Malott 0 14 of 33 42% 14 of 33 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:19
Adam Fugitt 0 7 of 23 30% 14 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Mike Malott 1 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:07
Adam Fugitt 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Malott 19 of 41 46% 9 of 29 10 of 10 0 of 2 19 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Adam Fugitt 9 of 28 32% 2 of 17 6 of 9 1 of 2 9 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Malott 14 of 33 42% 7 of 25 7 of 7 0 of 1 14 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Adam Fugitt 7 of 23 30% 2 of 15 4 of 6 1 of 2 7 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Mike Malott 5 of 8 62% 2 of 4 3 of 3 0 of 1 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Adam Fugitt 2 of 5 40% 0 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Adam Fugitt vs. Mike Malott
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-205), Fugitt (+175)

Round 1
In the “featured fight of the night” slot, two unranked welterweights with plenty to prove and sky-high finish rates will do their darnedest to pump up the masses before the final two big bouts on the card. Surging into this main card opportunity, Haligonian Malott (9-1-1, 2-0 UFC) will throw down with Oregon native Fugitt (9-3, 1-1 UFC) in a vintage U.S. vs. Canada affair. Before the fight begins, during Malott’s entrance, fans lean on the railing by the walkout area and break it, and a number of them fall down to the floor. Hopefully everyone is ok. Back to the fight action, keeping a lid on things in the cage will be referee Dan Miragliotta. There is no glove touch, as these two want to start trading and do exactly that. Malott scores a few right hands, and he digs a body kick that hurts the Oregonian early. Malott rushes after him, throwing strikes, and Fugitt backs him off with a counter hook. Malott watches a few head kicks soar past him, and he aims another kick to the ribs. The right hand from Malott has marked up Fugitt’s left eye already, and he is making the body change colors as well from his kicks. Fugitt swipes out with a left hand, and Malott lashes out a head kick to keep him honest. As Malott is circling, he slips unexpectedly, but he is able to get back up without issue. Malott releases a body kick that bangs into the top of Fugitt’s cup, and Miragliotta sees it and steps in. Fugitt waves him off, declaring he is fine, and they get back to it. Fugitt, on the restart, punches his way into a takedown. Malott counters it by throwing the American down to the floor with a lateral drop, and he lands in half guard and is quick to line up an arm-triangle choke. Fugitt pulls him back to the guard, so Malott stands up. Fugitt uses his upkicks to toss his man off of him, and he fights back to his feet. Malott fires off a head kick, and Fugitt spins with a kick that misses. Malott punches his way to a head kick, and all three strikes miss as Fugitt is out of the way. Fugitt similarly misses with a head kick, and he chambers and fires a body kick. The Canadian catches it and dumps Fugitt to the floor. Malott moves to half guard, and Fugitt employs butterfly guard to try to kick Malott off. A temporary effort of rubber guard is abandoned by Fugitt, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Malott

Round 2
The second round begins with Malott leading off from a head kick. Fugitt blocks it and marches forward, and the two hand-fight with alternating stances. Malott jabs the body with his toes extended, and Fugitt misses the mark with his own head kick. Malott steps in with a kick, and he blasts Fugitt with a right and a left. The American topples to the mat, and Malott surges after him in an effort to secure the stoppage. Fugitt tries to get to a knee so that he can stand up again, and this is the worst idea he can have, as Malott leaps to snatch up a guillotine choke trained well by his gym of Team Alpha Male. Malott rolls Fugitt over to his back and locks down the mounted guillotine, and it is only a matter of time now. Fugitt realizes he is caught in a web, and he taps out frantically. That makes it a clean sweep for Canadian fighters tonight at 5-0 against the world, which might be a statistical achievement for the Great White North at a UFC card. The crowd erupts for their fighter, and for shared success, after a sensational performance for a fast-rising welterweight talent.

The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Adam Fugitt R2 1:06 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Angelo picks Mike Malott, believing he is better everywhere except straight wrestling. He notes that Malott is a well-rounded prospect with three stoppage wins in the UFC. He expects a fun fight and thinks Malott will get it done. He plans to bet on Adam Fugitt to have more takedowns when prop lines drop.

Bet: Adam Fugitt over 2.5 takedowns or more takedowns (prop not yet available)
"I think Mike Milan is absolutely gonna get it done"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Big Brady picks Mike Malott to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Malott is dangerous everywhere, with solid striking and high-level BJJ, while Fugitt is hittable and not as skilled. Malott has never been past the first round (all wins in round 1), and Brady expects an early finish. However, if the fight extends, Fugitt could take over if Malott gasses.

first round knockout
"give me Mike milot I'll say first round knockout for Mike milot the guy hits like a truck"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Cody picks Mike Malott, highlighting his well-rounded skills (BJJ black belt, good striker) and smart fight IQ. He thinks Malott will use his speed advantage and stay on the outside, avoiding wrestling with Fugitt. He notes that Malott's cardio is unproven beyond the first round, as most of his wins are early finishes. He expects Malott to land a big shot or secure a submission if the fight goes to the ground.

"I think the great thing about Mike Milo and he's been around the Canadian scene for a long time he's kind of like known as that next breakout Canadian star"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Connor picks Malott, noting that Fugitt reacts poorly to getting hit and has bad body language when eating strikes. He believes Malott's aggressive pocket boxing will overwhelm Fugitt, who is technically limited. He also notes that Malott is a credible submission threat on the ground.

Malott opened at -200, currently -201; Fugitt opened at +177, currently +178.
"I'm taking a lot. No question."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Daniel Levi picks Mike Malott but with almost zero faith, acknowledging that Malott has holes in his striking defense and that the fade is coming. He notes that Malott is a better athlete and has first-round finishing upside, but he sees openings that could be exploited. He mentions that he played Fugitt at plus odds for value, but thinks Malott will still find a way to win. He warns against parlaying Malott heavily.

played Fugitt at +277 for value
"I'm gonna go milot with almost zero faith"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Jun 10, 2023 (fight day)
Adam Fugitt

James picks Adam Fugitt, despite having lost money fading Malott in the past. He thinks Fugitt has a good chance to win, especially if the fight goes past round one. Malott is a strong round-one finisher but tends to fade. James believes Fugitt is the perfect archetype to break Malott. He sees the fight as a pick'em: Malott has a 50% chance to win early, Fugitt 50% to win late. He also includes Fugitt inside the distance in a degenerate parlay.

Adam Fugitt inside the distance (in parlay)
"I'm betting Adam fugit here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Malott has a Muay Thai base and improving jiu-jitsu, and he's on a hot streak since moving to welterweight. Fugitt is a solid fighter but may be capped at this level. Both have finishing upside, making the under 2.5 rounds attractive. Malott should find a submission after getting the fight to the ground, but Fugitt's power makes this a risky chalk play.

Under 2.5 rounds (-230), Malott wins by submission
"I'm going to lean with them a lot side here who eventually finds this takedown finds a submission and wraps it up"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Paul picks Mike Malott but with hesitancy, noting that Fugitt is being overlooked. He points out that Malott's cardio is unproven beyond the first round, and Fugitt is a bigger, rugged welterweight with a reach advantage. However, he believes Malott's superior footwork and striking will allow him to chip away or find a finish. He expects Malott to win but is not fully confident.

"I will take Mike Malad as well but uh bit of hesitancy this is a good fight it's actually well matched"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Mike Malott

The MMA Guru picks Mike Malott, noting he is a Canadian prospect given a favorable matchup. He praises Malott's easy wins over tricky opponents and his great grappling. He believes Fugitt lacks the ability to knock out or out-grapple Malott. He predicts a first-round submission via arm triangle.

prediction of first round submission via arm triangle
"I'm going with Mike Mallett he's been given an opponent although they'll never say this we know what it is"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Zane picks Malott, citing that Fugitt's wrestling is not reliable enough to implement a game plan. He notes that Malott is aggressive on the ground and can scramble, making it hard for Fugitt to hold him down. He also mentions that Fugitt's striking is a mess and Malott will have opportunities.

"I'm going to pick him largely because even though I suspect Fujit will take him down, I don't really trust Fujit to put together a game plan built entirely around that."
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R1 4:15 · UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · Feb 25, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Malott 0 9 of 17 52% 20 of 28 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:36
Yohan Lainesse 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Malott 0 9 of 17 52% 20 of 28 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:36
Yohan Lainesse 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Malott 9 of 17 52% 3 of 8 4 of 7 2 of 2 9 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yohan Lainesse 1 of 4 25% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Malott 9 of 17 52% 3 of 8 4 of 7 2 of 2 9 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yohan Lainesse 1 of 4 25% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Yohan Lainesse vs. Mike Malott
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-215), Lainesse (+185)

Round 1
The main card commences with all-Canadian violence, which might sound oxymoronic but comes in the form of a welterweight clash pitting Malott (8-1-1, 1-0 UFC) against Lainesse (9-1, 1-1 UFC). Combined, the two have 14 stoppages across their 17 wins, so referee Mark Smith’s services might be required sooner than later. The countrymen will save admiration and respect for later and do not opt to touch gloves. Lainesse lands the first blow in the form of an inside low kick, and Malott dances on the outside and brings a kick up high that glances off the guard. “Proper Mike” turns to plant a side kick on Lainesse’s belly, and he has another high kick blocked. Lainesse retreats and absorbs a booming body kick, and Malott lets him off the hook to recover. Lainesse lines up a body kick and a high kick, with the former getting through, and Lainesse does not attempt to counter or even throw a strike in response. Lainesse tosses out a half-hearted strike in the open space, and Malott is feet away. In response, Malott darts forward with a stomping kick to the knee. Lainesse comes up short with a head kick, and Malott whips a kick that pounds into the forearm. Malott gets off a side kick into a leaping right hand, and Lainesse suddenly surges into action with a looping left hand. Malott catches the advancing man and uses his momentum against him to hit an inside trip and dump him on the mat, where he lands in half guard. Lainesse clings tightly to his man on top to disallow him from opening up with strikes, and this nullifies Malott for a time.
Malott steps through again to return to half guard again, and he locks down an arm-triangle choke and crushes his shoulder on Lainesse’s windpipe. Before even moving to mount, Malott has Lainesse in danger. Malott does move to full mount to secure the choke, but it does not take more than a couple seconds for Lainesse to surrender.
That marks nine finishes in nine wins for the rising Malott, who has still never needed more than five minutes to record a victory.

The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Yohan Lainesse R1 4:15 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Connor picks Malott, noting that Lainesse is not a good wrestler and has no change-up; he has to get a knockout. Connor points out that Lainesse's solution to gassing was to reduce output, which is not sustainable. Malott, while not a great wrestler, is willing and has a nice left hook. Connor also mentions that Lainesse may never have faced someone who throws good punches, and Malott's compact punching could be a problem for him.

Malott opened at -235, now -222. Lainesse opened +200, now +178.
"I guess I'll take him a lot because the other thing with Linus is that he's not a good wrestler it's not a good wrestler there's not really any change-up that Linus can throw in here"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Zane picks Malott because he is the smoother, more defensively mindful fighter with better pocket mechanics. He notes that Malott has a great sense of spatial awareness in the pocket and throws compact, solid punches. Lainesse, on the other hand, is a raw power puncher who gasses easily and has poor wrestling. Zane believes if Malott survives the first round, he can push Lainesse to fatigue and potentially hurt him with his left hook.

Malott opened at -235, now -222. Lainesse opened +200, now +178.
"I'm gonna take a lot I think being the smoother slicker more defensively mindful guy inside with better mechanics as long as he survives the first round I think he can push Linus to the point that yeah Linus is …"
WIN vs Mickey Gall
TKO (punches) R1 3:41 · UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · Apr 09, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Malott 0 13 of 30 43% 14 of 31 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:17
Mickey Gall 1 28 of 44 63% 29 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Malott 0 13 of 30 43% 14 of 31 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:17
Mickey Gall 1 28 of 44 63% 29 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Malott 13 of 30 43% 13 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0 12 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mickey Gall 28 of 44 63% 21 of 37 5 of 5 2 of 2 21 of 37 1 of 1 6 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Malott 13 of 30 43% 13 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0 12 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mickey Gall 28 of 44 63% 21 of 37 5 of 5 2 of 2 21 of 37 1 of 1 6 of 6
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Mickey Gall vs. Mike Malott

Round 1
Once the new kid on the block, now 30 years old and 10 UFC fights in, Gall (7-4, 6-4 UFC) finds himself in a different role than usual as he takes on a company debutant in Canada’s Malott (7-1-1, 0-0 UFC). It will be the first time since Gall took on Phil “CM Punk” Brooks that he will have an experience advantage, and he will have to take on a man in Malott who holds all of his wins by stoppage. Referee James Larry Folsom is ready for wherever the fight goes, and the welterweights do not touch gloves before getting after it. Instead, Malott comes out with a jumping side kick, pushing Gall back right out of the gate. He slows down, and then wings a high kick that Gall is able to block in time. Chants of “USA” rain down in support of Gall against the Canadian, which empower him to score a right hand across the top. Malott returns fire with a pair of punches that knock Gall back, but Gall regains his composure and pressures forward. The newcomer lands a leg kick as Gall throws hands at him, and Malott replies with a right hand that hurts Gall. Gall tries to clinch up, and he whiffs on a standing hammerfist when Malott backs away. Malott pushes out a jab and a right hand to follow it as Gall ignores them and throws caution to the wind to engage. Both men land cleanly, and a Malott right hand hurts Gall badly. Gall, cut and bleeding out of the corner of his right eye, does not look overly fazed as he shakes off the cobwebs, and he comes out to attack with straight punches with his chin straight in the air. Malott comes at him, and Gall pursues a standing guillotine choke before Malott pushes off and dings him with a left hook. Gall races forward in pursuit of a takedown, and he yanks Malott down to the mat. The Canadian does not stay grounded for long, walking off the wall back to his feet, and he pushes away as Gall is landing shots. Malott throws a left hand into a high kick, and Gall crashes forward to blast him with a barrage of blows.
As Gall blitzes him, “Proper Mike” stays composed and sits down on right hand on the ear and a left that completely shuts Gall’s lights out. Gall crumples to the mat like a bird that just had its wings clipped, and when he hits the ground face-first, he reactivates. Malott is on him in an instant, raining down hammerfists until Folsom intervenes.
Gall does get back up rather quickly after the stoppage, although he is not frustrated by it as he face-planted moments earlier. This is a big introduction to the promotion for Malott, who now celebrates half of his wins by knockout and the other half by sub. Making the most of his post-fight interview, he states that he will donate his show money ($10,000) to help a coach's daughter fight against cancer, and asks people to donate to the cause on his
Instagram
.

The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Mickey Gall R1 3:41 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 30, 2022 (10 days before fight)
Mickey Gall

Angelo leans Mickey Gall due to his experience and better wrestling/BJJ. He thinks Gall's wrestling is better than Malott's and his BJJ is also superior. He expects Gall to win a decision, but acknowledges Malott is dangerous and a better striker.

"i think mickey's wrestling is better than mike's i think his bjj is also better so i like mickey to win a decision here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 4, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Big Brady picks Mike Malott to win by first-round TKO. He likes Malott's striking power and black belt BJJ, but notes his chin is a concern as he has been knocked out before. Gall has power and submission ability but poor cardio. Brady thinks Malott's better cardio and tools give him the edge, and expects an early finish.

first round TKO
"i'll take mike a lot to win by give me like a first round tko"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mickey Gall

Cody leans towards Gall as a live underdog. He notes Malott's history of gassing after the first round and his questionable chin. Cody thinks Gall's BJJ is good enough to neutralize Malott's grappling, and that Gall's striking has improved. He believes if Malott doesn't finish early, Gall can take over in later rounds.

"i think gol could be a live underdog"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Mickey Gall

Levi respects Mickey Gall for surviving and learning in the UFC against tough competition. He criticizes Mike Malott's cardio and tendency to freeze when pressured, noting Malott has only three minutes of octagon time in seven years. He believes Gall can crowd Malott, throw combinations, and use his grappling to win. He thinks the line should be a pick'em, so at plus money he is betting Gall.

"i think this is a spot where he can come out here and capitalize at the very least i think the fight should be a pick em so at plus 170 odds which i got i'm gonna dies"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Mike Malott

I really like Malott in this spot. He has great striking and jiu-jitsu, and being at 170 should help his durability. He is the better striker and jiu-jitsu player. I think he will land a club and sub or get a finish inside the distance. Gall has been inconsistent and Malott should run through him.

Malott inside the distance +110
"I'm gonna go Malott... I do believe that's how he'll get it done I think he'll land probably a club and sub..."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Apr 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Paul picks Malott but is hesitant, noting Malott's long layoffs and questionable cardio. He acknowledges Gall's BJJ and experience, and that Malott's chin might be suspect. Paul thinks Malott's wrestling and size could be enough, but warns that Gall is live if the fight goes past the first round. He calls it a 'ride or die' pick.

"my pick canada malot my guy we wish each other happy birthday you know i got i got a ride or die on this one"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Mike Malott

The MMA Guru picks Mike Malott, citing his long training at Team Alpha Male and experience despite a 7-1 record. He expects a first-round submission, noting that Mickey Gall can be sloppy and leave openings.

first round submission prediction
"i am going to go with mike mallett here over mickey gall and i reckon he gets this one done by finnish at some point in the first round by submission"
Charles Radtke - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 327 · Apr 11, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Radtke 0 24 of 47 51% 121 of 164 4 of 5 80% 0 0 9:07
Francisco Prado 0 29 of 66 43% 41 of 79 0 of 0 --- 2 2 1:50
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Radtke 0 7 of 11 63% 40 of 49 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:50
Francisco Prado 0 8 of 10 80% 9 of 11 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
2 Charles Radtke 0 5 of 8 62% 41 of 54 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:09
Francisco Prado 0 10 of 22 45% 17 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:40
3 Charles Radtke 0 12 of 28 42% 40 of 61 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:08
Francisco Prado 0 11 of 34 32% 15 of 38 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Radtke 24 of 47 51% 24 of 46 0 of 1 0 of 0 14 of 33 1 of 1 9 of 13
Francisco Prado 29 of 66 43% 16 of 46 9 of 12 4 of 8 17 of 45 1 of 3 11 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Radtke 7 of 11 63% 7 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 7
Francisco Prado 8 of 10 80% 2 of 4 3 of 3 3 of 3 8 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Charles Radtke 5 of 8 62% 5 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 3
Francisco Prado 10 of 22 45% 7 of 17 3 of 3 0 of 2 1 of 8 0 of 0 9 of 14
3 Charles Radtke 12 of 28 42% 12 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0 9 of 24 1 of 1 2 of 3
Francisco Prado 11 of 34 32% 7 of 25 3 of 6 1 of 3 8 of 27 1 of 3 2 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Angelo picks Charlie Radtke, citing his athletic grappling, powerful striking, and controlling ground game. He notes Radtke's tendency to slow down and be hittable but believes he has more tools than Prado. He expects a decision win, acknowledging Prado's toughness and durability despite his losing streak.

"Charlie has more tools in the bag if he can keep his pace, if he can keep his cardio. I think he can win this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Big Brady is not high on Prado, noting he is undersized for welterweight and has only one UFC win. He thinks Radtke will be the bigger, stronger, more physical fighter with wrestling and jiu-jitsu. He expects Radtke to take down Prado and win by decision, as Prado is durable and has never been finished.

decision
"Give me Radtke and Radtke by decision in the first fight of the night."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Francisco Prado

Cody also picks Prado, noting Radtke's low output and Prado's improved wrestling. He thinks Prado can scramble back to his feet and land damaging shots.

"I'm going to take me some action there... Prao money line."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Charles Radtke

Connor picks Radtke based on his wrestling advantage and range tools. He notes that Prado's wrestling is terrible and Radtke can outwrestle him. He acknowledges Radtke's lack of durability but trusts his ability to control the fight with takedowns.

"I have to pick Radke to win it. Like by having any range tools by having, yeah, even just a check, a left hook that he likes to throw."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Daniel Vreeland picks Charles Radtke, believing he will dominate. He notes that Radtke is a full-sized welterweight with good cardio and fight IQ, while Prado is moving up and has not shown high-level skills. He thinks Radtke will win clear rounds, possibly by decision.

"I like Radke a lot here. And I think it's just going to be domination."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Francisco Prado

Daniel thinks Radtke has plateaued and is a finished product, while Prado is young, durable, and improving. He expects Prado to be too tough and enthusiastic.

"I'm going to go Francisco Prada to get back on track."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

James picks Radtke based on his grappling advantage, though he notes Radtke's weight cut issues. He expects a decision win via control.

"I'll pick Charles Raky via decision as of now."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Radtke's grappling and pressure should be enough to outwork Prado. Prado has a better gas tank and takedown defense than Radtke's last opponent, but Radtke's clinch and BJJ are strong. Prado's striking is his best path, but he often grapples unnecessarily. Radtke can grind out a decision, though the line is a bit steep for confidence.

Radtke wins by decision
"I still think he has a good enough shot to keeping this fight on his terms and that should lead to him grinding this fight out and winning it on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Francisco Prado

Paul picks Prado as an underdog, believing his power and durability can overcome Radtke's low-volume wrestling. He thinks Prado can land a big shot or win a decision.

"I'm going to take me some action there... Prao money line."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Charles Radtke

The MMA Guru picks Charles Radtke over Francisco Prado. He notes that Prado has lost four in a row and is a bit basic with a Mike Tyson style that hasn't worked at welterweight. Radtke has KO power and looked good against Brenneman, with a wrestling advantage and improved stand-up training with Belal Muhammad. He predicts a 29-28 decision win for Radtke.

"I'm going to pick him to win this one. I am."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Charles Radtke

Zane picks Radtke, agreeing that his wrestling will be the difference. He notes that Prado is durable but walks blindly into people, making him easy to take down. He acknowledges Radtke's chin issues but trusts his wrestling to secure the win.

"I'll take Radky for the wrestling advantage."
WIN vs Daniel Frunza
Submission R3 4:29 · UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · Nov 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Radtke 0 31 of 38 81% 163 of 214 3 of 5 60% 2 0 11:41
Daniel Frunza 0 6 of 24 25% 68 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Radtke 0 9 of 14 64% 60 of 87 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:43
Daniel Frunza 0 3 of 10 30% 14 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Charles Radtke 0 19 of 21 90% 66 of 72 1 of 3 33% 0 0 4:11
Daniel Frunza 0 1 of 7 14% 45 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Charles Radtke 0 3 of 3 100% 37 of 55 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:47
Daniel Frunza 0 2 of 7 28% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Radtke 31 of 38 81% 28 of 34 1 of 1 2 of 3 4 of 9 1 of 1 26 of 28
Daniel Frunza 6 of 24 25% 4 of 16 2 of 4 0 of 4 6 of 22 0 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Radtke 9 of 14 64% 7 of 11 0 of 0 2 of 3 3 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 7
Daniel Frunza 3 of 10 30% 3 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 4 3 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Charles Radtke 19 of 21 90% 18 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 18 of 19
Daniel Frunza 1 of 7 14% 0 of 5 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 2 0 of 0
3 Charles Radtke 3 of 3 100% 3 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2
Daniel Frunza 2 of 7 28% 1 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Charles Radtke

Angelo picks Charles Radtke, emphasizing his grappling advantage. He notes Radtke is a good grappler who can shoot doubles and control on top, while Frunza is a solid striker but easily taken down. He believes Radtke can finish on the ground and will include him in his lineup. He warns that Radtke sometimes slugs it out, which is a risk, but expects him to wrestle.

"I'm going to pick Charles, and I'm going to shoot my shot and throw him in the lineup because he A has a bunch of finishes, and B all he has to do is wrestle."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Charles Radtke

Big Brady picks Charles Radtke, calling Daniel Frunza's debut terrible and noting Frunza is hittable and has been finished in losses. He highlights Radtke's power, BJJ black belt, and training at Valley Flow. He thinks Radtke should wrestle and submit Frunza, but also sees a first-round finish on the feet. He predicts a first-round submission.

first round submission
"Give me Charles Raky. I'll [snorts] say Raky wins this fight by first round submission."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Connor also picks Radtke, citing his athleticism, speed, and power. He notes that technically Frunza may be better, but Frunza lacks physical durability and confidence, as shown in the McKee fight. He thinks Radtke's left hook will be decisive.

"I'll take Radke mostly for like the athleticism the speed and the power."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Oct 27, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Daniel Frunza

Lucrative James picks Daniel Frunza as the underdog, calling it a close fight. He notes Radtke's powerful left hook but also his tendency to overextend. Frunza is tough and has been tested in wars. James sees value in the underdog line and expects a competitive striking matchup, possibly ending in a knockout. He also mentions interest in betting the under.

under 1.5 rounds, under 2.5 rounds
"I'm just going to pick the underdog in this one. Daniel Fun's at plus 120."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Daniel Frunza

Frunza is the superior striker and his defensive grappling has improved enough that Radtke will struggle to use his BJJ. Once forced to strike, Frunza will catch Radtke and knock him out. Surprised Frunza is at plus money.

surprised at plus money, knockout
"Kind of surprised we're getting Frenza at plus money here as I think he is the superior striker. And I think his defensive grappling has improved enough that Radkkey will struggle to utilize his BJJ black belt. And once he's …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

The MMA Guru picks Charles Radtke, citing his power and the fact that Daniel Frunza was dropped multiple times by Reese McKee. He believes Radtke's hooks will be too much for Frunza, predicting a first round TKO. He notes Radtke's losses are to high-level fighters like Carlos Prates and Mike Malott.

first round TKO
"I'm going to go with Charles Radtke getting this one done by first round TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Zane picks Radtke because he is a brainless goon with a power left hook, and nothing about Frunza suggests he can handle even one hard left hook. He notes that Frunza looked spooked when hit hard by Reese McKee and lacks durability and confidence. He expects a quick knockout.

"I'm gonna pick Charles Radke. Because he is a brainless goon with a power left hook."
LOSS vs Mike Malott
KO R2 0:26 · UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · May 10, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Malott 1 36 of 61 59% 36 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Charles Radtke 0 10 of 33 30% 10 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Malott 0 27 of 47 57% 27 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Charles Radtke 0 10 of 29 34% 10 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mike Malott 1 9 of 14 64% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Charles Radtke 0 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Malott 36 of 61 59% 21 of 42 5 of 9 10 of 10 28 of 51 2 of 3 6 of 7
Charles Radtke 10 of 33 30% 9 of 31 0 of 0 1 of 2 9 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Malott 27 of 47 57% 12 of 29 5 of 8 10 of 10 25 of 44 2 of 3 0 of 0
Charles Radtke 10 of 29 34% 9 of 27 0 of 0 1 of 2 9 of 27 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Mike Malott 9 of 14 64% 9 of 13 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 7
Charles Radtke 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Mike Malott vs. Charlie Radtke
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-192), Radtke (+160)

Round 1
Halifax native Malott (11-2-1, 4-1 UFC) will attempt to put a bow on the prelims for his home country fans, and with 10 stoppages in his 11 pro wins, referee Marc Goddard will need to be on his A game. Standing across from him is a frustrated but very dangerous Radtke (10-4, 3-1 UFC), who does not like being booed even though he is in hostile territory. Tensions ran high at the weigh-ins as Radtke flipped off the crowd while draped in an American flag, and he will have the next 15 minutes or less to send an additional message. There is no touch of gloves to get going. Radtke reaches the center of the cage first, advancing forward and walking through a stomping kick to his knee so he can lash out with a right hand. Radtke dodges it and pushes off with a side kick, and he steps in with a left hand and a push kick. Malott sits down on a trio of punches to catch Radtke unaware, who tanks them well and responds with an overhand right. Malott kicks the lead knee a few more times, and he connects with a left hand over the top. Crude chants against Radtke rain down, who is promptly kicked in the ribs by the Canadian. Malott pins a one-two on the chin, and he dances out of the way of a counter. Malott sits down in four crisp punches, with Radtke’s chin holding up well. The chants rain down again, directing Radtke to do something inappropriate as Malott wraps a head kick around his guard and chains a spinning back kick into it. Radtke plods forward, clubbing Malott with a pair of hooks. Malott aims a front kick and connects at the end of a one-two, and he continues to beat on Radtke’s knee. The chants come a third time, and Malott channels that energy by kicking “Chuck Buffalo” in the head. Radtke swarms him, catching Malott with several punches that shake him up. Malott responds with a knee to the gut and breaks off, kicking the front leg on the way out. The punches from the American bust Malott’s nose open, who crashes the pocket and misses the mark with a swinging left. Malott connects with a body kick, leaning back to avoid a left hand and working on Radtke’s knee again. Radtke eats a few punches to swing on Malott, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Malott

Round 2
The fighters meet in the middle, and they promptly throw hands. Malott backs off, parrying the advancing Radtke and blasting him with a left hook that makes him crash into the cage. Malott whiffs on a high kick as Radtke circles away to get his bearings, and he walks the American down and plants a one-two square on his forehead.
This time, Malott does not stop with two punches, and the third, a crisp left hook, sends “Chuck Buffalo” collapsing to his seat. Radtke lays on his back clutching his head, and Malott sprints towards him and bombards him with five blistering punches that knock Radtke all the way out and back in again. As the Canadian drums Radtke’s skull off the cage floor, blood spraying from his busted jaw, Goddard runs towards them to stop the fight
. The audience that had already voiced full-throated support for their man goes ballistic, and it is deafening in the building. “Proper Mike” hoists the Canadian flag and climbs to the top of the cage, waving it in the air as he drinks in all the love in the building. Radtke sits up and tries to stand, but he has to be helped to the stool. Malott goes to shake hands with everyone willing to engage him, and he slams his hand on the corner post of a sponsor to make a point. The fighters shake hands, burying any beef that had developed during the week.

The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Charlie Radtke R2 0:26 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 4, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Angelo picks Mike Malott as the better fighter but expresses concern about his quit against Neil Magny. He notes Malott is faster and more athletic, but Radtke is tough and could surge late. He has already placed a parlay with Malott and Jasmine Jasudavicius at plus money. He hopes Malott has learned from his loss.

Placed parlay with Jasmine Jasudavicius at plus money
"Mike's the better fighter here. He's faster, he's more athletic, he's has cleaner skills overall, but he's not the tougher guy."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Big Brady questions Mike Malott's heart, cardio, and chin, noting he was broken by Neil Magny. He thinks Radtke is physically strong, has great takedown defense, and possesses a powerful left hook. He predicts Radtke will land that left hook and knock out Malott in the second round, as Malott is hittable and has a suspect chin.

Radtke wins by knockout in round 2
"I'm going Charles Raky here to win this fight. ... I think Raky lands that left hook and knocks out Mike Malot in the second round."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked May 7, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

The host has low confidence but believes Malott is the technically superior striker who can thwart Radtke's aggression. He suggests the fight likely won't go to decision and expects Malott to get a submission or KO.

Fight doesn't go to decision
"Not a whole lot of confidence here and I think fight doesn't go to decision will likely be the best course of action in this matchup."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

The MMA Guru picks Radtke, citing his initial instinct that Radtke would chin Malott. He thinks Radtke's pressure, left hook, and volume will overwhelm Malott, who has a suspect nose and struggled against pressure in the Gall fight. He predicts a first-round TKO, noting Radtke's power and Malott's potential grappling disadvantage.

first round TKO
"I'm going to go with Charles Radkkey getting this one done in an upset by TKO. I'm assuming this is an upset."
TKO (punches) R1 0:51 · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Nov 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Radtke 0 2 of 8 25% 2 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Matthew Semelsberger 0 7 of 12 58% 7 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Radtke 0 2 of 8 25% 2 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Matthew Semelsberger 0 7 of 12 58% 7 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Radtke 2 of 8 25% 1 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Matthew Semelsberger 7 of 12 58% 6 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1 7 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Radtke 2 of 8 25% 1 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Matthew Semelsberger 7 of 12 58% 6 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1 7 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Angelo picks Charles Radtke because he believes Radtke will land the better shots and get takedowns. He notes Radtke is an athletic grappler with power, while Semelsberger is an aggressive striker with poor takedown defense (45%). He thinks Semelsberger's toughness will keep him in the fight but doesn't see him winning. He also likes the over 1.5 rounds line if available, as both are tough.

over 1.5 rounds if available
"I think Charlie's going to land the better shot shs get the takedowns which hopefully we'll start to see more of and I think he wins this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Big Brady likes Radtke's multiple paths to victory: power on the feet and a clear grappling advantage. He criticizes Semelsberger's poor takedown defense and low volume, noting that Radtke is a BJJ black belt with submission wins. He predicts a second-round submission.

Radtke by submission, round 2
"I'll take racky to win this fight I think it's a submission and I think it's round round uh round two submission I'll say for Charles raky"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Cody sees this as a coin flip but leans Radtke due to Semelsberger's poor takedown defense and recent losses. He notes Radtke's smart game plan against Blood Diamond and his clinch work. Cody expects Radtke to neutralize Semelsberger's striking with wrestling and cage control.

"It's a coin flip fight it's 50/50 to me but my brain does tell me radkey so even though I got to play a little chalk on it I guess I will."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Charles Radtke

Connor picks Radtke, citing Semelsberger's broken confidence and inability to deal with Radtke's lead left hook. He notes Semelsberger has been second-guessing himself and overthinking, while Radtke has a simple one-punch game. Connor thinks Semelsberger will just eat the left hook or try to avoid it without a clear answer.

"I'm taking Radtke. I think that left hook... I can't imagine that Semelsberger is going to come up with a confident, clear answer for the lead left hook."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

Daniel Vreeland reluctantly picks Matthew Semelsberger as a dog, citing his knockdown power and experience. He worries about Semelsberger's mental toughness and tendency to let opponents back into fights, but believes Charles Radtke is still green and not worth laying a price on. Vreeland notes Semelsberger has won as a dog before.

"I'm going to reluctantly take semi the Jedi Matthew Semelsberger here to get back on track."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Charles Radtke

Radtke is expected to do enough in the striking to get his offense off, then take the fight to the ground where he can find a finish in the first or second round.

wins inside distance, round 1-2
"I'm going to have to go with the grappler here and Radu can do a good enough job in the Striking R to get his own offense off but eventually get this fight into the grappling round where we should …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Paul agrees, citing Semelsberger's declining durability and takedown defense. He worries about Radtke's size disadvantage but thinks Radtke's wrestling and left hook can get the job done. Paul plans to include Radtke in parlays.

"Radtke is the pick for me and I'm sure he'll be on something not like a hard play a little bit more along the Deen you know a long parlay."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

The Guru picks Matthew Semelsberger as an underdog, citing his reach advantage and ability to beat Jake Matthews. He criticizes Radtke's performance against Mike Malott and believes Semelsberger will finally get a TKO finish without fumbling. He notes Semelsberger is on a three-fight losing streak and has his back against the wall.

TKO win, underdog
"I'm taking that Underdog I'm taking the underdog of Matthew semelsberger this guy is a fum of fumblers we have to mention that okay"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Charles Radtke

Zane picks Radtke, agreeing with Connor. He describes Semelsberger as deep in the shit, unable to figure out his game, and distractible. Zane notes Semelsberger got outstruck by Preston Parsons, who is straightforward, and that Radtke's simple left hook will be effective. He says 'I'm taking Radtke'.

"So I'm taking Radtke. I think that left hook... I can't imagine that Semelsberger is going to come up with a confident, clear answer for the lead left hook."
LOSS vs Carlos Prates
KO (knee to the body) R1 4:47 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Jun 08, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Carlos Prates 0 14 of 27 51% 33 of 48 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:23
Charles Radtke 1 15 of 36 41% 15 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Carlos Prates 0 14 of 27 51% 33 of 48 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:23
Charles Radtke 1 15 of 36 41% 15 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Carlos Prates 14 of 27 51% 7 of 19 3 of 4 4 of 4 13 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0
Charles Radtke 15 of 36 41% 5 of 19 4 of 10 6 of 7 15 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Carlos Prates 14 of 27 51% 7 of 19 3 of 4 4 of 4 13 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0
Charles Radtke 15 of 36 41% 5 of 19 4 of 10 6 of 7 15 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Carlos Prates vs. Charlie Radtke
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Prates (-238), Radtke (+195)

Round 1
Welterweights take center stage next, and one of these two unheralded competitors will be forced to suffer their first UFC loss while the other will maintain either a seven- or nine-fight win streak. Victorious in his last six, Radtke (9-3, 2-0 UFC) puts that on the line against Brazilian striker Prates (18-6, 1-0 UFC), who has not lost since a One Championship appearance in 2019. Drawing the charge will be referee Blake Grice, and the intense showdown kicks off without a glove touch. Radtke switches stances several times to work his way forward, while Prates kicks at his foe’s knee to push him back. Radtke whips a low kick as Prates recoils his leg, and a Prates head kick bounces harmlessly off the guard. Radtke punches his way into a single-leg takedown entry, pushing “Carlao” against the fence and holding up a leg. With Prates bent over, Radtke bops Prates many times with short, annoying punches, and he breaks off and lands one heavy right hand. Prates nails his foe’s front calf with a kick, and after Radtke flies by with a kick, he scores his own leg kick. Radtke has another kick land with a thud, and he winds up everything into a right hook that flies by his opponent. Radtke crashes forward in pursuit of a single, and he lets it go and misses with an overhand right. Two punches from Radtke miss the mark, but a leg kick does connect. Prates bobs and weaves his way forward, and he has his head snapped back by a right hand. Prates blasts the front leg with a kick, and Radtke starts limping as swelling forms almost immediately. Prates leans back from the counter and tags “Chuck Buffalo” with a right, and he backs off as Radtke tries to let him have it. A fake takedown from Radtke is stifled when Prates pokes him in the eye, and Grice calls time and lets Radtke take about 20 seconds to blink it out. When they resume, Prates starts to stalk his man down, his hands low and allowing him to eat a right hand so he can throw punches from strange angles. Radtke sneaks in a left hand before his lead leg is kicked hard, and Prates measures him with a straight left hand and lets out a woo.
The Brazilian rips a knee to the liver as clean as can be, and Radtke hits the deck and is completely done. Prates walks off, knowing his work here is done, and Grice waves off the fight.
The victorious “Carlao” goes over to Radtke’s corner, where he yells something at upcoming title challenger Belal Muhammad. With that crushing stoppage on the board, this is the first finish of the night and the first knockout in quite some time.

The Official Result
Carlos Prates def. Charlie Radtke R1 4:47 via KO (Knee to the Body)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Charles Radtke

Angelo leans Charles Radtke, but with low confidence. He notes that Radtke is a grappler who has shown good hands recently, while Prates is a dangerous striker but low volume. He thinks Radtke's forward pressure and takedowns could be key, but if he rushes in recklessly, he could get knocked out. He sees it as a close fight where Radtke's pressure might be the difference.

"I'm gonna lean Charlie here he is going to be the pick but the running in while I think he needs to do to win the fight I also think that can put him In Harm's Way"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Big Brady picks Charles Radtke as a big underdog to win by first-round knockout. He thinks Prates is overrated and notes that Prates was losing to Trevin Giles before a comeback KO. He believes Radtke can make it a brawl and potentially knock Prates out, though he acknowledges Prates has advantages in height, reach, and youth.

knockout round 1
"give me the dog here and racky in a fight that you know somebody should absolutely get served in this one but give me raky for the win how does he get it done I'll say I'll say I'll say …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Cody picks Radtke as an underdog, noting that Prates has low volume and questionable durability, as seen in his fight against Trevin Giles. Radtke is aggressive, has power, and is a BJJ black belt with multiple win conditions. Cody believes Radtke can pressure Prates, take him down, or knock him out. He sees value in the plus money.

"I gotta go Charlie raty Underdog money dude"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Prates

Daniel is confident in Prates, citing his Muay Thai, reach, experience, and finishing ability. He compares Prates to Anderson Silva in terms of length and southpaw stance, and expects a highlight-reel knockout. He notes Radtke is well-rounded but not special anywhere, and that Prates' seasoning and physical advantages should prevail.

knockout
"I think that this is a perfect opponent for Carlos prates to come out here and get another highlight reel knockout"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Charles Radtke

Jacob is very confident in Charles Radtke, calling him the lock of the week. He praises Radtke's toughness, pressure, and grappling. He thinks Radtke will push Prates against the cage, take him down, and likely submit him. He notes that Prates has no plan B and relies on one-punch power, but Radtke has a good chin and will break him. Jacob also mentions that he predicted Prates' last fight correctly.

Charles Radtke wins by submission
"Chuck Buffalo is the lock of the week and there is a reason for that he is going to come in he is going to press this guy he is going to hug this guy"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Carlos Prates

Prates has extensive kickboxing experience and excellent takedown defense, which should allow him to stuff Radtke's takedowns and pick him apart on the feet. Radtke has power but is less technical. Prates should eventually land a knockout, though the -230 line is a bit wide given Radtke's danger.

knockout
"give me proess and proess by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Paul is tempted by Radtke at plus money but is nervous about laying the price on Prates. He notes Prates' finishing ability but also his low volume and the fact that he was losing to Giles before the knockout. Paul considers it a dogger pass but might take Radtke.

"it feels like a dogger pass would probably a pass for me I don't know if I'm gonna have the courage to pull the trigger on radkey here Cody"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Prates

The Guru picks Prates because he is more effective at range on the feet, with 78 inches of reach in welterweight. He notes Radtke looked bad against Blood Diamond and though he has KO power, Prates is younger and on a good win streak including kickboxing. He predicts a second-round TKO for Prates.

Second-round TKO prediction
"I'm going to side with prattes here... second round TKO for um Carlos prattes"
TKO (punches) R1 4:47 · UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · Feb 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Radtke 0 16 of 38 42% 16 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Gilbert Urbina 2 30 of 47 63% 33 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Radtke 0 16 of 38 42% 16 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Gilbert Urbina 2 30 of 47 63% 33 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Radtke 16 of 38 42% 4 of 17 6 of 10 6 of 11 16 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gilbert Urbina 30 of 47 63% 23 of 40 0 of 0 7 of 7 27 of 43 0 of 0 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Radtke 16 of 38 42% 4 of 17 6 of 10 6 of 11 16 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gilbert Urbina 30 of 47 63% 23 of 40 0 of 0 7 of 7 27 of 43 0 of 0 3 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Gilbert Urbina

Angelo picks Gilbert Urbina, citing his cardio and pace as key factors. He notes that Urbina's takedown defense is a concern but believes his early pace will be too much for Radtke. He has Urbina in a parlay but only one bet to avoid overexposure.

Urbina included in a parlay
"Gilbert's going to be the pick here cuz I think the cardio is going to separate these two"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Big Brady picks Charles Radtke to win by second-round submission. He notes that Urbina's last win came against a compromised Orion Coy, and he has questions about Urbina's durability and cardio. Radtke has power in his hands and solid defensive grappling. Brady expects Urbina to have early success with takedowns, but Radtke will find the chin and knock him out. He thinks people are overrating Urbina and underrating Radtke.

second round, submission (TKO)
"I'm going to take racky here for the upset I'll take him to win this fight by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gilbert Urbina

Cody picks Urbina, criticizing Radtke's limited skills and poor performance against Blood Diamond. He notes Urbina's youth, size advantage, and improving striking and wrestling. He expects Urbina to win by decision or late finish.

"sign me up"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Gilbert Urbina

Urbina has range management and a strong top game, and should be able to grind out a finish. However, Radtke is a live underdog with good wrestling and power, and there are questions about his gas tank and durability. The host is not super confident but picks Urbina to win inside the distance.

Fight doesn't go to decision is a possibility.
"I'm going to go with arbina to pick up the victory inside the distance."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gilbert Urbina

Paul picks Urbina, highlighting the size difference and Radtke's inability to push around a bigger fighter. He notes Urbina's losses are to solid prospects and expects him to handle Radtke's pressure.

"I like Gilbert orina"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Gilbert Urbina

The MMA Guru picks Gilbert Urbina over Charles Radtke, predicting a second-round finish. He criticizes Radtke's performance against Blood Diamond, calling it pathetic, and compares Radtke to Ryan Koischeck. He believes Urbina will have similar success as he did against Koischeck, and notes Urbina's only losses are to Brian Battle and Sean Brady.

finish in round two
"I'm actually going to go with Gilbert urbina smoked to oryan Koski easily... I think he'll finish Charles radkey in round two."
WIN vs Mike Mathetha
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · Sep 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Radtke 0 44 of 94 46% 75 of 136 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:21
Mike Mathetha 0 35 of 76 46% 63 of 112 1 of 6 16% 0 0 9:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Radtke 0 4 of 13 30% 9 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Mike Mathetha 0 4 of 11 36% 18 of 28 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:55
2 Charles Radtke 0 13 of 34 38% 24 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Mike Mathetha 0 20 of 39 51% 25 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:43
3 Charles Radtke 0 27 of 47 57% 42 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
Mike Mathetha 0 11 of 26 42% 20 of 38 0 of 3 0% 0 0 3:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Radtke 44 of 94 46% 19 of 58 19 of 28 6 of 8 19 of 58 25 of 36 0 of 0
Mike Mathetha 35 of 76 46% 31 of 72 4 of 4 0 of 0 27 of 59 8 of 17 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Radtke 4 of 13 30% 2 of 11 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 10 2 of 3 0 of 0
Mike Mathetha 4 of 11 36% 4 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 8 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Charles Radtke 13 of 34 38% 2 of 17 8 of 12 3 of 5 6 of 22 7 of 12 0 of 0
Mike Mathetha 20 of 39 51% 18 of 37 2 of 2 0 of 0 17 of 31 3 of 8 0 of 0
3 Charles Radtke 27 of 47 57% 15 of 30 9 of 14 3 of 3 11 of 26 16 of 21 0 of 0
Mike Mathetha 11 of 26 42% 9 of 24 2 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 20 4 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Sep 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Mike Mathetha

Angelo is shooting his shot on Blood Diamond as a two-to-one underdog. He notes that Charlie Radtke is a big favorite but has questionable cardio and gets hit by regional-level fighters. If Blood Diamond can defend takedowns, his striking should be too much. Angelo plans to look for a KO prop at plus money when props drop.

Considering KO prop at plus money; win inside distance decision no action
"These odds are way too wide for a UFC debut with questionable cardio I'm going to shoot my shot here on blood diamond"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Big Brady picks Charlie Radtke but is not confident laying the price. He notes Radtke's good jiu-jitsu and submission skills, but worries he hasn't wrestled much. He thinks if Radtke gets takedowns, he will submit Blood Diamond. He predicts a second-round submission.

"give me a Charlie Rocky to win this fight I'll say he wins it by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Mike Mathetha

Cody picks Mathetha as a value underdog, arguing that the line is inaccurate and that Radtke's wrestling may not be as effective as expected. He notes that Mathetha has a kickboxing background and could win if the fight stays standing. Cody is tempted by the plus money and sees this as a potential upset.

Three-to-one shoe bet on Mathetha
"it's blood diamond dude what are you doing what are you doing so uh Austin Lane not the PRP pick maybe Blood Diamond"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Daniel Levi picks Charlie Radtke but is not confident in the price. He thinks Radtke is overhyped and not as special as people claim. However, he gives Radtke the edge due to more MMA experience and offensive grappling. Levi notes that Mathetha has been off for over a year and could have improved his grappling, but until he sees it, he picks against him.

Odds mentioned: Radtke minus 345, Mathetha plus 280. Levi says no way he lays that price.
"I am going to pick Chuck Buffalo you know because until I see those improvements from Blood Diamond I'm not gonna make the Assumption of where blood diamonds Improvement level is grappling wise until I see it."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Radtke is a CFFC welterweight champion with a BJJ black belt, recently winning by submission. He closes distance well and uses trips and throws to get fights to the ground. Blood Diamond is a kickboxer who has been fed grapplers and is still seeking his first UFC win. Radtke should be competitive on the feet and then take the fight to the mat, working for a submission within the under 2.5 round mark. The pick is Radtke by submission.

under 2.5 rounds at -185
"Radke's going to be my pick... prediction is going to be Radke by submission"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Paul picks Radtke, citing his superior grappling and submission skills. He notes that Mathetha has poor takedown defense and that Radtke should be able to secure a submission. Paul likes the Radtke by submission prop and believes Radtke will win this fight even if he loses every other fight in the UFC.

Radtke by submission (+190)
"I think Radtke you know wins this fight by sub and then loses every other fight that he has in the promotion and then gets cut"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

The MMA Guru picks Charlie Radtke over Mike Mathetha (Blood Diamond), despite acknowledging that Radtke may not be UFC caliber. He notes that Mathetha has significant holes in his game, particularly in grappling, and is old (34-35) to make adjustments. Radtke has a win over Raheem Forrest, a regional prospect, and showed grappling ability by choking him out after getting rocked. He believes Radtke will outgrapple Mathetha and submit him in the first round.

submission in round 1
"I'm gonna go with Charlie Radke"
Expert Picks (4)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 4, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Angelo picks Mike Malott as the better fighter but expresses concern about his quit against Neil Magny. He notes Malott is faster and more athletic, but Radtke is tough and could surge late. He has already placed a parlay with Malott and Jasmine Jasudavicius at plus money. He hopes Malott has learned from his loss.

Placed parlay with Jasmine Jasudavicius at plus money
"Mike's the better fighter here. He's faster, he's more athletic, he's has cleaner skills overall, but he's not the tougher guy."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Big Brady questions Mike Malott's heart, cardio, and chin, noting he was broken by Neil Magny. He thinks Radtke is physically strong, has great takedown defense, and possesses a powerful left hook. He predicts Radtke will land that left hook and knock out Malott in the second round, as Malott is hittable and has a suspect chin.

Radtke wins by knockout in round 2
"I'm going Charles Raky here to win this fight. ... I think Raky lands that left hook and knocks out Mike Malot in the second round."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked May 7, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

The host has low confidence but believes Malott is the technically superior striker who can thwart Radtke's aggression. He suggests the fight likely won't go to decision and expects Malott to get a submission or KO.

Fight doesn't go to decision
"Not a whole lot of confidence here and I think fight doesn't go to decision will likely be the best course of action in this matchup."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

The MMA Guru picks Radtke, citing his initial instinct that Radtke would chin Malott. He thinks Radtke's pressure, left hook, and volume will overwhelm Malott, who has a suspect nose and struggled against pressure in the Gall fight. He predicts a first-round TKO, noting Radtke's power and Malott's potential grappling disadvantage.

first round TKO
"I'm going to go with Charles Radkkey getting this one done in an upset by TKO. I'm assuming this is an upset."