UFC on ESPN: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · Jun 25, 2022 · Women's Strawweight · Completed
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Age 37
Height 5' 2"
Reach 59.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 41
Height 5' 3"
Reach 65.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Vanessa Demopoulos
3.37 SLpM
39.0% Str. Acc.
5.39 SApM
41.0% Str. Def.
0.32 TD Avg
9.0% TD Acc.
26.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Jinh Yu Frey
2.97 SLpM
43.0% Str. Acc.
4.23 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
1.02 TD Avg
36.0% TD Acc.
90.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Vanessa Demopoulos
Moneyline
Caesars +200
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1600
Submission
BetMGM +600
Decision
FanDuel +460
Jinh Yu Frey
Moneyline
BetWay -222
KO/TKO
BetRivers +550
Submission
BetWay +600
Decision
FanDuel +110
Vanessa Demopoulos - Fight History
LOSS vs Jamey-Lyn Horth
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley · Jun 14, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 101 of 167 60% 115 of 183 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:34
Vanessa Demopoulos 0 36 of 119 30% 44 of 131 0 of 5 0% 0 0 1:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 35 of 57 61% 36 of 58 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:44
Vanessa Demopoulos 0 5 of 39 12% 7 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
2 Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 33 of 60 55% 35 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Vanessa Demopoulos 0 20 of 52 38% 23 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:39
3 Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 33 of 50 66% 44 of 63 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:35
Vanessa Demopoulos 0 11 of 28 39% 14 of 35 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jamey-Lyn Horth 101 of 167 60% 64 of 123 24 of 31 13 of 13 90 of 153 8 of 11 3 of 3
Vanessa Demopoulos 36 of 119 30% 15 of 87 17 of 26 4 of 6 30 of 107 6 of 12 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jamey-Lyn Horth 35 of 57 61% 22 of 43 8 of 9 5 of 5 33 of 55 2 of 2 0 of 0
Vanessa Demopoulos 5 of 39 12% 0 of 30 5 of 8 0 of 1 4 of 35 1 of 4 0 of 0
2 Jamey-Lyn Horth 33 of 60 55% 22 of 45 7 of 11 4 of 4 30 of 55 3 of 5 0 of 0
Vanessa Demopoulos 20 of 52 38% 7 of 33 9 of 14 4 of 5 15 of 45 5 of 7 0 of 0
3 Jamey-Lyn Horth 33 of 50 66% 20 of 35 9 of 11 4 of 4 27 of 43 3 of 4 3 of 3
Vanessa Demopoulos 11 of 28 39% 8 of 24 3 of 4 0 of 0 11 of 27 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Horth (-520), Demopoulos (+390)

Round 1
Atlanta! The capital of Georgia! The City in a Forest, The A, The Gate City, Hollywood of the South, ATL, Hotlanta, A City Among the Hills, Dogwood City…and many other names. The UFC has arrived to the city that holds over six million people in its metropolitan area, returning for the first time since Max Holloway and Dustin Poirier threw down for the second time all the way back in 2019. While no all-time banger is slated for this event’s lineup, with 13 bouts of varied significance, something is bound to bring the goods. UFC on ESPN 69 kicks off with a women’s flyweight contest pitting a Canadian in Horth (7-2, 2-2 UFC) struggling to find her way against a former strawweight in Demopoulos (11-7, 5-4 UFC) also trying to figure things out. Even with Horth sporting massive odds in her favor around -600, she is not even in top three heaviest betting favorites tonight. Here be squash matches. Referee Nate Mann takes the wheel for the first fight of the night, and the ladies touch gloves before his eyes to get started. Demopoulos, the shorter and smaller woman of the two by a wide margin, tries to get her offense going but is well out of range. Horth, meanwhile, easily slaps her opponent in the face with the first strike she throws: a front kick. Horth flicks out a low kick and avoids the return fire, with the former strawweight too distant. Horth goes to the well with another kick, and Demopoulos’s calf is already welting and reddening. Demopoulos lunges forward a few times, to no avail. Horth nearly wraps her head kick around the guard, forcing Demopoulos to mind her P’s and Q’s. Horth pitches a high kick to the other side, and the impact alone makes Demopoulos have to take a step back. Horth uses her long legs to do work, and she pins a body kick and follows it with a front kick to the midsection. Demopoulos’s responses rebound off the guard or come up short, so she engages in a clinch. The two jockey for position as soon as they find their way tied up, turning one another about, and Horth clocks Demopoulos with a right hand. Horth walks her foe down, landing with impunity, and turning the older woman’s face a brilliant shade of red. Horth picks away with jabs, stepping in with a kick to the body and giving Demopoulos all she can handle. Horth splits the guard with a one-two, and she again finds her target with a front kick. A trickle of blood appears on the side of Demopoulos’ nose, and Horth sees it and kicks at it. The front kick is one of the Canadian’s best weapons, freezing Demopoulos with one and then stinging her with a one-two. Demopoulos whiffs when trying to pay her back, and she looks for a takedown or something to get hold of her steamrolling opponent. Horth shucks it off and starts blasting the former dancer, allowing Demopoulos to try to get hold of her so she can toss Demopoulos to the mat. Horth lands in an awkward position as Demopoulos tries to reverse somersault, and the horn sounds.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Horth

Round 2
The ladies touch ‘em up to get going in the second round, and Demopoulos tries to take advantage of the close proximity but ends up missing on a few punches. Horth steps back and pops her with a right hook. Demopoulos chambers and fires a single kick, only to get her jaw jacked with a hook combination. Horth pounds the midsection with a liver kick, and she chains a front kick and two right hooks behind it. When the Canadian attacks another kick, Demopoulos grabs her and tries to tie her up. Demopoulos’ cheek starts leaking crimson fluid, with Horth’s strikes having a visible effect while Demopoulos might not have connected with 10 significant strikes over six and a half minutes in. On the break, Horth drills her opponent with a left hand that spins Demopoulos all the way around. Demopoulos recovers and loops a right hand back at her, but her six-plus inch reach deficiency is her worst enemy. Horth watches Demopoulos soar past her with strikes, chipping at her with jabs and punishing her with a right hand when Demopoulos charges her. Demopoulos gets off first and shoots for a double-leg takedown, but the taller woman turns her about and drills her in the jaw with a knee. The size discrepancy is jarring, as Horth can reach her at will with kicks while even Demopoulos’ kicks do not always get there. An axe kick from Demopoulos is nowhere near the mark, but she gets aggravated and wings a right hand that surprises Horth. The Canadian has to shake it off, and she marches forward and drives a kick to the ribcage. Demopoulos is tough as nails, but Horth is connecting constantly and effectively. When they clinch, Horth breaks it out of thanks to a few knees. A home run right hand from Demopoulos misses by a mile, and she takes a punch to give one back but is seemingly out-powered as well. Horth chains a kick into two punches, and she ducks the right hook at the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Horth
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Horth

Round 3
Horth springs out of her corner behind her jab, allowing Demopoulos to come at her so she can do work. Demopoulos’ charges put her at risk to getting kicked in the stomach, and Horth does this twice—the second sends Demopoulos flying. Demopoulos stands up and nods that she got hit with a good one, and she tries to grab hold of Horth. The Canadian allows Demopoulos to sell out for a takedown so she can wind up on top, and she hops away and trips. Demopoulos gives chase, but Horth is upright before she gets grounded for real. The Factory X fighter sells out for a takedown, even giving up dominant position in hopes of taking the back, but Horth turns her about and reams her with an elbow. Horth sits comfortably in the full guard of her foe, listening to her corner’s instructions while pummeling “Lil Monster” with ground-and-pound. Any time Demopoulos tosses her legs up for a submission of some kind, Horth busts her in the chops. Horth elects to stand back up, and she sways back to partially dodge a one-two. Chants for “USA” in support of Demopoulos rain down, and she salutes the crowd and takes a knee square on the jaw when not paying attention. Horth potshots her from a safe distance, her body kick about as clutch at it can be. Demopoulos walks through a head kick to wind a big right hand, and her power strikes are one-and-done while Horth is much busier, accurate and stronger. Demopoulos sprints towards her foe for a level change, and she tries to pull guard but Horth walks away. Demopoulos comes out firing with a one-two when getting back to her feet, and she snaps Horth’s head to the side with a solid jab. The prodding jabs from Horth keep her safe from the worst of it, and Demopoulos tries to catch a body kick but ends up eating four punches instead. Horth’s body kick leads to a shot up top, and she springs away to avoid a looping punch. Demopoulos fakes a takedown to throw hands, and she even attempts an Imanari roll to get hold of the Canadian. They trade hands, with Horth landing the flusher of the two, until the final bell rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Horth (30-27 Horth)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Horth (30-27 Horth)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Horth (30-27 Horth)

The Official Result
Jamey-Lyn Horth def. Vanessa Demopoulos via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Angelo picks Horth because of her size advantage and ability to defend takedowns against the cage. He believes her range, length, and striking will be too much for Demopoulos, who is stepping up on short notice.

If I'm wrong, and the odds are somehow close or plus money, I 100% will bet on Jamie here. ... the over two and a half.
"Jaime Lyn Horth is the pick. Pretty confident in that."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Big Brady picks Jamey-Lyn Horth due to her significant size and strength advantages, noting a 5-inch height and 6.5-7 inch reach advantage. He believes Horth will use her size to push Demopoulos against the cage and take her down, similar to how Allen Carr controlled Demopoulos. He acknowledges Demopoulos has been on the winning side of questionable decisions but expects Horth to win a boring decision. He is surprised Horth is a -475 favorite but agrees with the line.

"I think it's Jamian Horth and buy a boring I think it's going to be boring quite frank. I think she's going to push Vanessa Demopoulos against the cage for 15 minutes potentially take her down."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Horth's size, physicality, and strength are expected to overwhelm Demopoulos, who is coming up a weight class on short notice. Horth will pin Demopoulos against the cage, drag her to the ground, and grind out a decision win.

"I'm expecting the size, physicality, and strength of Horth to thwart the short notice Demopoulos..."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

The Guru picks Jamey-Lyn Horth based on her physicality advantage, noting she is 5'7" to Demopoulos's 5'2" with more reach. He criticizes Demopoulos's lack of technical skill, saying she 'has no idea what she's doing' and spent 13 minutes on bottom in her last fight. He expects Horth to outgrapple Demopoulos and win a 30-27 decision.

"I'm going to go with Jaime Lyn Hoth here. She actually looks like she like there was a moment in her Veronica Hardy fight where I was looking at Veronica Hardy and I was thinking okay Veronica Hardy is the …"
LOSS vs Talita Alencar
Decision (unanimous) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Emmett vs. Murphy · Apr 05, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Vanessa Demopoulos 0 10 of 34 29% 34 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Talita Alencar 0 45 of 75 60% 107 of 150 4 of 5 80% 1 0 12:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 4 of 7 57% 7 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Talita Alencar 0 9 of 17 52% 19 of 31 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:25
2 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 6 of 20 30% 19 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Talita Alencar 0 11 of 24 45% 40 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:43
3 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 0 of 7 0% 8 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Talita Alencar 0 25 of 34 73% 48 of 64 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Vanessa Demopoulos 10 of 34 29% 9 of 31 1 of 3 0 of 0 9 of 33 0 of 0 1 of 1
Talita Alencar 45 of 75 60% 39 of 67 4 of 4 2 of 4 13 of 39 1 of 1 31 of 35
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Vanessa Demopoulos 4 of 7 57% 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Talita Alencar 9 of 17 52% 7 of 15 1 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 11 1 of 1 5 of 5
2 Vanessa Demopoulos 6 of 20 30% 5 of 17 1 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 1
Talita Alencar 11 of 24 45% 7 of 18 3 of 3 1 of 3 8 of 21 0 of 0 3 of 3
3 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 of 7 0% 0 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Talita Alencar 25 of 34 73% 25 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 23 of 27
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Talita Alencar vs. Vanessa Demopoulos
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Alencar (-112), Demopoulos (-108)

Round 1
This 11-week marathon of consecutive UFC cards soldiers on with the penultimate show on the stretch. We scoot back to the confines of the UFC Apex for better EBITDA margins, in a building that was supposed to starting renovations or construction soon. For now, it plays host to 12 fights ranging from 115 pounds to 266, but few matches on the lineup have any rankings relevance while there is likely to be ample pink slip fodder. The ladies in this curtain jerker might be safe if they lose this one, but with the promotion preparing for the summer season of Contender Series, few on the roster are safe. The two that kick this event off might be similar in age but they are a chasm apart in terms of experience. Demopoulos (11-6, 5-3 UFC) celebrates almost three times the appearances of Alencar (5-1-1, 1-1 UFC) despite the Brazilian just two years younger. Referee Chris Tognoni takes charge for the opening bout, and it kicks off without a glove touch. Demopoulos says hello with two punches across the forward bow, and she snaps out another such combo and reaches Alencar with one more left hand before the Brazilian can get to her. Alencar ties her foe up against the cage, and she drops down and wraps up a head lock to force “Lil Monster” to her knees. Alencar uses her left arm to pressure behind Demopoulos’s neck, and she is warned for grabbing the fence when imposing her weight on her opponent. Demopoulos uses her toes to try to pull her out of danger, which too is a foul. Alencar keeps to this position, content to control rather than actually committing to the unorthodox submission. Alencar releases the grip around the neck and pushes Demopoulos’ legs out of the way to establish a more traditional top position. Demopoulos uses her legs to threaten and otherwise keep Alencar honest, allowing Alencar to punch her in the face repeatedly. Demopoulos hunts for a sweep and only bails on it when absorbing a particularly effective elbow. Alencar keeps her full weight down, jumping from one side to the other and winding up in a sudden armbar. The Brazilian punches out of it from above, and she grabs the foot of Demopoulos for a possible foot or ankle lock. Alencar sits on Demopoulos’ face as she hangs on, staying heavy until the round wraps.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Alencar
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Alencar
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Alencar

Round 2
Demopoulos starts the round as aggressive as the first, firing off two one-two salvos and a right hand before she is met by her opponent. Alencar gets up close and personal, changing levels for a possible takedown, but abandons it and lets her hands go to smack Demopoulos upside the head. Demopoulos comes up short on a winging overhand right, and she wades back to let Alencar do something similar. Alencar tosses out naked leg kicks to keep Demopoulos away, and she sits down on a clean right hand but does not budge Demopoulos one inch. The moment “Lil Monster” drives through a one-two, Alencar counters her momentum to hit a double-leg takedown and plop her on her back. Alencar lands in half guard, using her shoulder pressure to flatten out Demopoulos as soon as they get horizontal. Alencar is quick to engage her smothering best, stifling Demopoulos and getting warned for striking the spine when she does attack again. “Problem Child” gives Demopoulos another problem by stepping to the other side so she can set up an arm-triangle choke. Demopoulos bucks and kicks enough to gain the space she needs to not get choked out, and this only results in her getting struck with more ground-and-pound. Alencar finds a brief opening and hammers down four right hands, and she sits back on Demopoulos’ face in a relatively unusual position. Demopoulos sells out for a leglock in hopes of reversing the position, and Alencar gets out of it by repeatedly grabbing the fence. Tognoni slaps her hand several times, and Alencar still is able to yank on it to get her leg out of the sub. Rules mean nothing with no consequences, and multiple fence grabs keeping her out of a submission go generally uncalled other than a “knock it off” from Tognoni. Alencar rides out the position on top until time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Alencar
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Alencar
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Alencar

Round 3
Demopoulos marches out of her corner a woman possessed, and she lashes out with multiple one-twos down the pipe. Alencar rushes towards her as well, perhaps for a takedown, and she clashes heads before changing levels. Tognoni checks to make sure neither woman sustained damage, and on the restart, Alencar tackles Demopoulos to the mat and the collective air out of the Apex as well. Alencar hangs out in guard, unafraid of anything the Factory X fighter will do to her, and she pops Demopoulos with some short, scoring strikes. Demopoulos hunts for a triangle choke, armbar or even possibly a desperate leglock, and the Brazilian laughs them all off and steps the proper direction to avoid them completely while remaining in top. Alencar shifts to half guard from the opposite side as she wants to set up an armbar, and she drops down ground-and-pound when not isolating the neck. When the sub is not there, Alencar sits up into three-quarter mount, and she attacks with strikes from above. With nothing left to lose, Demopoulos explodes to sit up and even stand. Unfortunately for her, the “Problem Child” is a problem for her, as she executes a near-immediate mat return to sling Demopoulos to her back. Alencar lords over her, dropping down standing-to-ground punches while avoiding upkicks. Alencar picks up the pace with more punches than before, and she climbs into half guard and elbows until the fight ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Alencar (30-27 Alencar)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Alencar (30-26 Alencar)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Alencar (30-27 Alencar)

The Official Result
Talita Alencar def. Vanessa Demopoulos via Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 30, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

Angelo argues that Vanessa is the more complete fighter with solid striking, footwork, and decent grappling, while Talita Alencar is an accomplished grappler but ineffective on the feet, small, and powerless. He notes that Talita's takedowns are not great and she relies on strength, and that even if she gets it to the ground, she hasn't shown the killer instinct expected. Angelo believes Vanessa can win via striking and takedown defense, and he dismisses any bias from his past interaction with Vanessa.

"This should be a Vanessa pick all day long she's the more complete fighter of the two to has proven to be pretty useless on the feet she's small she's ineffective she is powerless and even if she gets it …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 1, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

Big Brady picks Vanessa Demopoulos despite acknowledging she has questionable wins and poor takedown defense. He believes Talita Alencar's cardio is a major issue, as she slowed down significantly in her Contender Series fight. He expects Demopoulos to survive early grappling and take over in later rounds, finishing a gassed Alencar via ground and pound.

third round ground and pound TKO
"I'm going Vanessa deop here I'm going to take her to win by by third round ground and pound TKO"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Talita Alencar

Alencar's BJJ wizardry will come into play, allowing her to land takedowns and eventually find a submission. The fight could be close but Alencar's grappling advantage is expected to secure the win.

submission
"I think the BJJ Wizardry of Alan car will come into play allowing her to land takedowns and eventually find the submission to get demopoulos out of there."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

The Guru picks Vanessa Demopoulos based on her physicality, scrappiness, and experience. He dismisses Talita Alencar as not UFC-caliber, noting her claim to fame was against someone who got fraud-checked. He admits there's no technical aspect to analyze, just that Demopoulos is larger and more physical.

"Vanessa Demopulus is probably going to win 2928. She's more physical. She's scrappy. She's got experience. She's larger."
Submission (armbar) R1 3:28 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · Sep 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jaqueline Amorim 0 2 of 3 66% 12 of 16 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:05
Vanessa Demopoulos 0 2 of 6 33% 3 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jaqueline Amorim 0 2 of 3 66% 12 of 16 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:05
Vanessa Demopoulos 0 2 of 6 33% 3 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jaqueline Amorim 2 of 3 66% 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
Vanessa Demopoulos 2 of 6 33% 0 of 3 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jaqueline Amorim 2 of 3 66% 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
Vanessa Demopoulos 2 of 6 33% 0 of 3 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jaqueline Amorim vs. Vanessa Demopoulos
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Amorim (-310), Demopoulos (+250)

Round 1
Strawweight grapplers come to blows in a battle between ladies that like to bully their opponents. Amorim (8-1, 2-1 UFC) has yet to go the distance when notching a win, while Demopoulos (11-5, 5-2 UFC) could comfortably describe the sound of the final bell. The pairing that could see some exciting exchanges on the mat will be officiated by referee Jacob Montalvo, and it kicks off as Amorim claims the middle of the cage and no interest in a glove touch. The Brazilian lets loose with a high kick, and Demopoulos pushes her back with a front kick but has that leg caught. Amorim uses the caught kick to take Demopoulos off-balance, and she throws “Lil Monster” to her back. Demopoulos tries for inverted triangle chokes while Amorim is on top in side control and briefly north-south position. Amorim shifts back to the side, and she pushes to three-quarter mount. Amorim gets dragged back to half guard, and she allows Demopoulos to explode so she can take her back and get a hook in. Demopoulos crouches down low in hopes of standing up, while Amorim is draped over her shoulders before tugging her to the floor. Amorim looks to set up an armbar but elects to get the body triangle. Demopoulos times a moment to escape, and she shouts loudly that the Brazilian has repeatedly grabbed inside of her gloves. As Demopoulos rolls to her knees, Amorim follows her through to lock down the armbar. Demopoulos keeps shouting to protest the fouls, and in doing so, she does not properly defend the submission. Amorim rolls to her back to complete the submission, and Demopoulos has no choice but to tap out. The second Montalvo intervenes, Demopoulos screams at him that the Brazilian was not grabbing her wrist but inside of her gloves to gain advantageous position. She implores Montalvo to check the replay, and he appears to go to the replay officials to check into it. For now, the official decision stands, with Amorim notching one more armbar and keeping her finish rate at 100%.

The Official Result
Jaqueline Amorim def. Vanessa Demopoulos R1 3:28 via Submission (Armbar)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 1, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Angelo picks Jaqueline Amorim because she is a multiple-time world champion in both gi and no-gi grappling, has one-punch knockout power, and is extremely dangerous on the ground. He believes Vanessa Demopoulos, despite her cardio and forward pressure, will struggle with Amorim's grappling and power. He thinks Amorim can win by submission or knockout, and notes that the under 2.5 rounds is plus money.

Angelo mentions he will look at Jaqueline Amorim inside the distance (decision no action) as a potential bet, and notes the under 2.5 rounds is plus 180.
"I think Jaclyn wins this fight I am going to pick her to win"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Big Brady picks Jaqueline Amorim to win by first-round submission. He is confident Amorim wins but warns about corrupt judges favoring Demopoulos and Amorim's cardio issues. Brady believes Amorim is the better grappler and will get takedowns, possibly submitting Demopoulos. He picks submission to avoid judges' interference.

submission in round 1
"I'll take Amar to win this fight by submission in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

Cody picks Demopoulos, arguing that Amorim's only path is takedowns and top control, but Demopoulos has good BJJ and cardio. He notes Demopoulos' toughness and ability to win close decisions. He sees value at plus money.

"Vanessa deop automatic spam win ha haa"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Daniel thinks Amorim's takedowns and top control will be the key. He notes Demopoulos's poor takedown defense (30%) and believes Amorim can grind out a decision. He doesn't expect a submission because Demopoulos is tough and a black belt. He acknowledges the 'first-round-or-bust' narrative but thinks Amorim can win two rounds with grappling.

"I'm actually picking amarim for that reason... I think she grinds out two of the three rounds and wins a decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

Amorim is the best BJJ opponent Demopoulos has faced, but Demopoulos has never been finished and has shown improved striking. Amorim's wrestling is weak, often pulling guard. If Demopoulos can keep it standing, she has a chance. The pick is Amorim by submission, but with low confidence; the fight is more of a pass or a play on the over 2.5 rounds.

Amorim by submission (low confidence); over 2.5 rounds
"I'll go with uh amarim by submission as my favorite uh prop here but with the lowest of confidence... it's very hard for me to get behind am here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

Paul picks Demopoulos, citing her durability, cardio, and pressure. He notes Amorim's poor striking and wrestling, and that Demopoulos has never been finished. He believes Demopoulos can win by decision or even submission, and sees value at plus money.

"sign me up for deesa Demopolis"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jaqueline Amorim

The MMA Guru picks Jaqueline Amorim despite sarcastically noting that Vanessa Demopoulos often gets favorable decisions. He praises Amorim's finishing ability, citing her armbar win over Cory McKenna and third-round finish of Monserrat Ruiz. He acknowledges Amorim's loss to Sam Hughes but attributes it to lack of strength to finish a rear-naked choke. He believes Amorim is improving on the feet and training at American Top Team gives her an edge.

"I'm going to go with jacn amorim though I think she's far better skill wise than Vanessa deopa... she's been building into the division"
WIN vs Emily Ducote
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · May 18, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Vanessa Demopoulos 0 109 of 293 37% 126 of 311 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Emily Ducote 0 143 of 214 66% 147 of 218 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 43 of 99 43% 43 of 99 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Emily Ducote 0 30 of 54 55% 30 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 36 of 112 32% 37 of 113 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Emily Ducote 0 60 of 83 72% 60 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 30 of 82 36% 46 of 99 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Emily Ducote 0 53 of 77 68% 57 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:46
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Vanessa Demopoulos 109 of 293 37% 76 of 250 18 of 25 15 of 18 106 of 289 3 of 4 0 of 0
Emily Ducote 143 of 214 66% 86 of 150 22 of 26 35 of 38 140 of 211 0 of 0 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Vanessa Demopoulos 43 of 99 43% 25 of 75 7 of 11 11 of 13 43 of 99 0 of 0 0 of 0
Emily Ducote 30 of 54 55% 15 of 37 5 of 5 10 of 12 30 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Vanessa Demopoulos 36 of 112 32% 24 of 98 10 of 11 2 of 3 34 of 110 2 of 2 0 of 0
Emily Ducote 60 of 83 72% 37 of 58 10 of 12 13 of 13 60 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Vanessa Demopoulos 30 of 82 36% 27 of 77 1 of 3 2 of 2 29 of 80 1 of 2 0 of 0
Emily Ducote 53 of 77 68% 34 of 55 7 of 9 12 of 13 50 of 74 0 of 0 3 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 12, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Angelo sees Emily Ducote as the better striker with legitimate power and good wrestling defense, while Vanessa Demopoulos relies on volume and footwork but lacks real power. He expects Ducote to win a close decision, likely 29-28, due to her superior striking accuracy and durability. He notes the over 2.5 rounds is a good bet and suggests Vanessa plus 3.5 on the scorecard as a solid bet.

over 2.5 rounds, Vanessa +3.5 on scorecard
"I think Vanessa has the cardio and the volume Edge but Emily should be the better Striker and likely wins a 2928"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Cody points out Demopoulos has been gifted decisions but is often outlanded and outgrappled. He notes Ducote is a well-rounded fighter with college wrestling, a BJJ black belt, and good striking. Demopoulos's takedown attempts are often unsuccessful, and she struggles with volume. Cody expects Ducote to outland her significantly and win a clear decision.

Ducote by decision
"Emily doody's the pick by decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Demopoulos got a gift decision in her last fight and is not technical with her punches. Ducote has solid all-around skills, throws great leg kicks and clean combinations, and will use her wrestling defensively to keep the fight standing. Expects Ducote to outbox and outstrike Demopoulos on the feet and win on the scorecards.

"I expect Emily ducatti to win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

Paul believes Ducote's wrestling background and superior striking will be too much for Demopoulos. He notes Demopoulos has been on the wrong end of controversial decisions but is often outworked. Ducote should be able to keep the fight standing and outpoint Demopoulos, likely winning a decision.

"Seems pretty clear to me outside of like slipping on a banana peel that dakot probably wins this and likely by decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Emily Ducote

The MMA Guru picks Emily Ducote over Vanessa Demopoulos, citing Ducote's superior activity and output. He argues that Demopoulos arguably lost several of her UFC fights, including against Kanako Murata, and that her volume is much lower than Ducote's. He expects Ducote to win a unanimous decision, 30-27, due to her three times higher output.

"I'm going to go with Emily deot here she's actually a betting favorite here but the majority there's a lot of people on tapology that are actually picking uh Vanessa demopulos with which is just insane to me"
WIN vs Kanako Murata
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · Oct 07, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Vanessa Demopoulos 0 31 of 65 47% 86 of 144 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:42
Kanako Murata 0 34 of 64 53% 70 of 116 5 of 6 83% 0 0 10:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 17 of 35 48% 27 of 49 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:20
Kanako Murata 0 9 of 16 56% 17 of 27 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:44
2 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 9 of 23 39% 35 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kanako Murata 0 9 of 19 47% 30 of 46 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:11
3 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 5 of 7 71% 24 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:22
Kanako Murata 0 16 of 29 55% 23 of 43 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Vanessa Demopoulos 31 of 65 47% 21 of 49 10 of 13 0 of 3 10 of 36 7 of 10 14 of 19
Kanako Murata 34 of 64 53% 27 of 55 4 of 5 3 of 4 10 of 23 1 of 1 23 of 40
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Vanessa Demopoulos 17 of 35 48% 10 of 22 7 of 10 0 of 3 5 of 20 5 of 7 7 of 8
Kanako Murata 9 of 16 56% 3 of 8 3 of 4 3 of 4 7 of 14 1 of 1 1 of 1
2 Vanessa Demopoulos 9 of 23 39% 8 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 13 1 of 1 5 of 9
Kanako Murata 9 of 19 47% 8 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 12
3 Vanessa Demopoulos 5 of 7 71% 3 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 3 1 of 2 2 of 2
Kanako Murata 16 of 29 55% 16 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 16 of 27
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 29, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

Angelo picks Kanako Murata despite a two-year layoff, reasoning that she is young (30) and likely to be the same or better. He highlights her great wrestling, solid BJJ defense, and constant forward pressure with takedown threats. He believes the same version of Murata from a few years ago dominates Vanessa Demopoulos. He has a small parlay including Murata, though he admits it's risky.

Small parlay with Murata (other half not specified yet)
"I do have a small parlay with her I threw her and uh I'll tell you the other half when I get to that fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

Big Brady is confident in Kanako Murata, praising her wrestling and grappling as some of the best in the division. He notes that Vanessa Demopoulos has poor takedown defense and is content to fight off her back, which plays into Murata's strengths. He expects Murata to control the fight on the ground and eventually find a submission, predicting a second-round submission win.

second round submission for Kanako Murata
"I'm going to take kanak and Morada to win this fight I'll take her to win this fight by by second round uh submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

Cody picks Demopoulos as a dog, citing Murata's long layoff, broken arm, and lack of a Plan B if wrestling fails. He believes Demopoulos's BJJ and forward pressure could cause problems, and that Murata may be hesitant. He sees value in the plus money.

Demopoulos by submission
"I'm almost forced into a Vanessa Demopolis... I am taking demopolistic"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

Daniel Levi picks Kanako Murata but is not confident at -360. He notes Murata's grinding top control and ability to neutralize opponents, but also acknowledges Vanessa Demopoulos's dangerous armbar from guard and her high effort. He sees Murata winning by decision but says it's a dog-or-pass situation and he wouldn't parlay it.

dog or pass situation; not parlaying
"I'll go with Morata by decision but I don't know"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2023 (fight day)
Kanako Murata

Lucrative James is confident Murata wins easily, citing her youth, prime condition, and all-around tools. He thinks Demopoulos is old and relies on low-percentage submissions like an armbar from guard. He predicts Murata by decision, as both are tough enough to survive.

"I think Morata is going to win this fight kind easily to be honest"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Oct 6, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Kanako Murata

Murata has been out for over two years, but she is a strong wrestler with top pressure. She should be able to close the distance, drag Demopoulos to the ground, and control her from top position. Demopoulos has shown holes in her striking and has been submitted before. However, the long layoff makes me hesitant on the chalky line. Expect Murata to win by decision.

"I'm going to take Morata here a little bit hesitant on her chalky money line at -300 or -350 considering the fact that she's been offered two plus years"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

Paul picks Demopoulos, agreeing with Cody. He notes Murata's low striking volume and long layoff, and believes Demopoulos can win a volume striking fight or via submission. He likes the plus 275 price and considers a submission prop.

Demopoulos by submission
"Demopolis plus 275 like it because I could see her winning a volume based uh striking Affair"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

The MMA Guru picks Kanako Murata over Vanessa Demopoulos. He likes that Murata took time off after an injury and likely improved. He notes Murata's win over Emily Ducote on the regional scene and her confidence in fighting a veteran early in her career. He criticizes Demopoulos for being 'coddled' and having questionable decisions, and believes Murata is more consistent. He predicts a close competitive decision but mentions potential finish.

potentially by finish, but likely a close competitive decision
"I'm gonna have to go against Vanessa Demopolis here I don't mind kanako Morata in comparison"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · May 20, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 0 139 of 237 58% 148 of 249 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:52
Vanessa Demopoulos 0 68 of 221 30% 83 of 237 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Karolina Kowalkiewicz 0 42 of 84 50% 42 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Vanessa Demopoulos 0 28 of 71 39% 36 of 79 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Karolina Kowalkiewicz 0 55 of 82 67% 56 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Vanessa Demopoulos 0 22 of 86 25% 22 of 86 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Karolina Kowalkiewicz 0 42 of 71 59% 50 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:29
Vanessa Demopoulos 0 18 of 64 28% 25 of 72 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 139 of 237 58% 94 of 187 30 of 33 15 of 17 134 of 230 5 of 7 0 of 0
Vanessa Demopoulos 68 of 221 30% 49 of 190 13 of 23 6 of 8 65 of 216 3 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Karolina Kowalkiewicz 42 of 84 50% 33 of 73 7 of 8 2 of 3 37 of 77 5 of 7 0 of 0
Vanessa Demopoulos 28 of 71 39% 20 of 62 4 of 5 4 of 4 25 of 66 3 of 5 0 of 0
2 Karolina Kowalkiewicz 55 of 82 67% 30 of 55 16 of 17 9 of 10 55 of 82 0 of 0 0 of 0
Vanessa Demopoulos 22 of 86 25% 13 of 71 7 of 13 2 of 2 22 of 86 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Karolina Kowalkiewicz 42 of 71 59% 31 of 59 7 of 8 4 of 4 42 of 71 0 of 0 0 of 0
Vanessa Demopoulos 18 of 64 28% 16 of 57 2 of 5 0 of 2 18 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 14, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

Angelo picks Vanessa Demopoulos because he thinks Karolina is aging out and didn't look good in her last fight, needing grappling to get a sketchy decision. He believes Vanessa is a solid grappler herself, sets a nice pace, and can hang with the striking. He expects Vanessa to outwork Karolina and win by decision.

Bet on over 2.5 rounds (round line)
"I like Vanessa to win this fight she probably wins by decision but these are the fights right these are the fights where the veteran can sort of take advantage of the situation"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 12, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

Big Brady picks Vanessa Demopoulos as the underdog to submit Karolina Kowalkiewicz in the second round. He notes Demopoulos has improved her wrestling and has a dog mentality, while Kowalkiewicz is the better striker but has been inconsistent. He believes if Demopoulos can get takedowns, she can control and submit Kowalkiewicz. However, he admits he doesn't have a ton of confidence in the pick.

submission in round 2
"I'm going to take Demopolis as the dog here I'm gonna say she goes out there and gets Carolina down to the man and submits her in the second round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Cody believes Kowalkiewicz's striking and takedown defense will be enough to outpoint Demopoulos. He notes Demopoulos's grappling is a threat but Kowalkiewicz has faced high-level grapplers and should be able to keep the fight standing and win a decision.

"I too will take care of the cavage."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked May 19, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Connor picks Kowalkiewicz, noting that she has shown signs of a renaissance in her last two fights, looking like she knows how her game works again. He highlights her surprisingly strong clinch and ground game, which could overwhelm Demopoulos. However, he acknowledges that Kowalkiewicz has been in dark places and her striking at range is not damaging, making this a hesitant pick.

"I'm riding with Kovalkavers. I think Demopolis is going to be one of those fighters that like I was just totally coming in..."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Daniel Levi picks Karolina Kowalkiewicz, citing her experience and recent win. He believes Kowalkiewicz at her best is clearly ahead of Demopoulos, who is still developing. He acknowledges Demopoulos's grit and Jiu-Jitsu but thinks Kowalkiewicz's striking and veteran savvy will earn her a decision. He has a soft spot for Kowalkiewicz since she cashed a plus-215 underdog bet for him against Rose Namajunas.

Kowalkiewicz by decision
"I'm still gonna go with Carolina because I like the fact that she got back on track"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 15, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

The host picks Vanessa Demopoulos as an underdog, believing her BJJ black belt and strength in clinch and wrestling positions will allow her to take the fight to the ground. He thinks Kowalkiewicz's improved grappling confidence may get her into trouble. He predicts a submission win for Demopoulos, though notes if it stays standing, Kowalkiewicz has the advantage.

submission
"give me the underdog here give me Vanessa Demopolis and I think she wins this fight by submission"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Paul is surprised by the line and sees value on Kowalkiewicz. He notes her experience and recent wins, and thinks Demopoulos's grappling is not at a level to trouble her. He expects Kowalkiewicz to win a clear decision.

"Caroline is the pick for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 16, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Karolina Kowalkiewicz

The MMA Guru sides with Karolina Kowalkiewicz, believing she is more well-rounded and has better striking. He dismisses Vanessa Demopoulos as not very talented and suggests she has received gifted decisions due to promotability. He notes Kowalkiewicz's recent wins over Silvana Gomez Juarez and her competitive losses to top fighters. He expects Kowalkiewicz to outbox Demopoulos and win a decision.

"I'm gonna go with Carolina ... I think she's gonna get this one done"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked May 19, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

Zane picks Demopoulos, believing she is a good athlete who is improving quickly and will keep showing up and surprising. He thinks Kowalkiewicz may get a round of dominant grappling but will have trouble controlling Demopoulos and putting a stamp on other rounds. Zane is not confident in Kowalkiewicz's current form and sees Demopoulos's athleticism and power as potential factors.

"I'm going to take Demopolis. I think she's just going to keep showing up and surprising."
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · Nov 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Vanessa Demopoulos 1 55 of 80 68% 121 of 154 2 of 4 50% 0 0 7:59
Maria Oliveira 0 83 of 154 53% 95 of 166 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 14 of 23 60% 31 of 43 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:39
Maria Oliveira 0 24 of 46 52% 28 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Vanessa Demopoulos 1 27 of 36 75% 58 of 71 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:40
Maria Oliveira 0 24 of 43 55% 28 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 14 of 21 66% 32 of 40 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:40
Maria Oliveira 0 35 of 65 53% 39 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Vanessa Demopoulos 55 of 80 68% 44 of 68 5 of 5 6 of 7 18 of 39 3 of 3 34 of 38
Maria Oliveira 83 of 154 53% 55 of 124 20 of 21 8 of 9 80 of 151 3 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Vanessa Demopoulos 14 of 23 60% 7 of 15 2 of 2 5 of 6 7 of 14 0 of 0 7 of 9
Maria Oliveira 24 of 46 52% 15 of 37 4 of 4 5 of 5 24 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Vanessa Demopoulos 27 of 36 75% 23 of 32 3 of 3 1 of 1 7 of 14 3 of 3 17 of 19
Maria Oliveira 24 of 43 55% 15 of 32 7 of 8 2 of 3 22 of 41 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Vanessa Demopoulos 14 of 21 66% 14 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 11 0 of 0 10 of 10
Maria Oliveira 35 of 65 53% 25 of 55 9 of 9 1 of 1 34 of 64 1 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Jinh Yu Frey
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · Jun 25, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Vanessa Demopoulos 0 66 of 139 47% 71 of 144 1 of 7 14% 0 0 4:14
Jinh Yu Frey 0 62 of 133 46% 81 of 153 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 11 of 32 34% 11 of 32 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:35
Jinh Yu Frey 0 17 of 45 37% 18 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 24 of 52 46% 25 of 53 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:31
Jinh Yu Frey 0 27 of 56 48% 30 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
3 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 31 of 55 56% 35 of 59 0 of 2 0% 0 0 3:08
Jinh Yu Frey 0 18 of 32 56% 33 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Vanessa Demopoulos 66 of 139 47% 34 of 100 25 of 31 7 of 8 40 of 107 26 of 32 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 62 of 133 46% 49 of 116 8 of 11 5 of 6 58 of 128 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Vanessa Demopoulos 11 of 32 34% 6 of 24 3 of 5 2 of 3 9 of 30 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 17 of 45 37% 15 of 41 0 of 2 2 of 2 17 of 44 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Vanessa Demopoulos 24 of 52 46% 14 of 41 7 of 8 3 of 3 17 of 44 7 of 8 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 27 of 56 48% 20 of 48 4 of 4 3 of 4 27 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Vanessa Demopoulos 31 of 55 56% 14 of 35 15 of 18 2 of 2 14 of 33 17 of 22 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 18 of 32 56% 14 of 27 4 of 5 0 of 0 14 of 28 4 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Angelo picks Jinh Yu Frey, expecting her to slow the pace with bully-style grappling and beat Vanessa Demopoulos similarly to how Lupita Godinez did in the LFA. He acknowledges Vanessa's dangerous ground game and that lesser opponents have submitted Frey before, but believes Frey's physicality and forward pressure will earn her a unanimous decision win.

"i love ginyu frey in this fight i think vanessa will be faster potentially have the better footwork but i expect gin to slow the pace down work in some of that bully-style grappling and just beat vanessa the exact …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Big Brady picks Jinh Yu Frey to win by decision. He notes that Frey has a striking advantage and excellent takedown defense (90%), while Demopoulos has no wrestling and poor takedown success. However, he criticizes the -275 price as too high for a low-volume striker like Frey, and warns that Demopoulos's activity could make the fight look close. He ultimately expects Frey to outstrike Demopoulos and keep the fight standing.

Frey by decision; odds too high at -275
"i favor her in this fight i'm going to pick her on this fight i'm going to pick her to win by decision but that price tag is just ridiculous"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Cody picks Frey, citing her better striking and takedown defense. He thinks she will win by decision, noting Demopoulos has never scored a takedown in the UFC. He warns against heavy investment at -260 but thinks Frey by decision is a solid play.

Frey by decision -110
"i'm just more inclined to go with ginyu frey by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

Paul picks Demopoulos by submission at +800, noting her only path to victory is a submission. He thinks the value is too good to pass up, even though Frey is the better striker. He acknowledges it's a longshot but worth a small bet.

Demopoulos by submission +800
"demopolis by submission plus 800. that's just that's just the way i play"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

The host picks Vanessa Demopoulos as an underdog, citing that Jinh Yu Frey lost to Kay Hansen, which is a bad look. He notes Demopoulos is younger (7-4 record) and moving down to strawweight, while Frey is 37. He expects Demopoulos to win by decision, winning scrambles and controlling the fight.

underdog pick, decision win prediction
"i do believe she's going to pull this one off as the underdog against ginyu frey because ginyu frey lost a fight to kay hansen"
Jinh Yu Frey - Fight History
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · Oct 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Viktoriia Dudakova 1 74 of 146 50% 109 of 183 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:18
Jinh Yu Frey 0 47 of 101 46% 65 of 121 1 of 3 33% 0 0 4:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Viktoriia Dudakova 1 30 of 53 56% 31 of 54 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:18
Jinh Yu Frey 0 16 of 46 34% 16 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Viktoriia Dudakova 0 11 of 23 47% 37 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jinh Yu Frey 0 11 of 22 50% 28 of 40 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:48
3 Viktoriia Dudakova 0 33 of 70 47% 41 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jinh Yu Frey 0 20 of 33 60% 21 of 35 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:52
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Viktoriia Dudakova 74 of 146 50% 47 of 115 26 of 30 1 of 1 60 of 131 14 of 15 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 47 of 101 46% 31 of 80 8 of 13 8 of 8 37 of 89 3 of 4 7 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Viktoriia Dudakova 30 of 53 56% 19 of 40 10 of 12 1 of 1 22 of 44 8 of 9 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 16 of 46 34% 9 of 37 5 of 7 2 of 2 15 of 44 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Viktoriia Dudakova 11 of 23 47% 6 of 16 5 of 7 0 of 0 8 of 20 3 of 3 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 11 of 22 50% 8 of 17 0 of 2 3 of 3 4 of 14 0 of 0 7 of 8
3 Viktoriia Dudakova 33 of 70 47% 22 of 59 11 of 11 0 of 0 30 of 67 3 of 3 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 20 of 33 60% 14 of 26 3 of 4 3 of 3 18 of 31 2 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Oct 15, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Viktoriia Dudakova

Angelo picks Victoria Dudakova but with low confidence, calling the odds a wild trap. He notes Jinh Yu Frey's experience and takedown defense but points out she is older, on a skid, and was knocked out a couple fights ago. He thinks Victoria's youth and pressure will be key, but if Frey's chin holds and she gets takedowns, Victoria might panic. He may bet the spread on Frey.

plus 3.5 on Jinh Yu Frey (spread) if odds are favorable
"Victoria is going to be the pick pretty low confidence in that"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Viktoriia Dudakova

Big Brady picks Victoria Dudakova to win by decision. He notes that Jinh Yu Frey is 38, small for the weight class, lacks volume and cardio, and has only two UFC wins. Dudakova is younger, impressed on the Contender Series, and should be able to take Frey down and control the fight. Brady expects a straightforward win for the heavy favorite.

decision
"give me Victoria due to coov to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Viktoriia Dudakova

Cody picks Dudakova but is hesitant, noting that she is green and has limited skills. He believes her wrestling will be enough to beat an aging Frey, but he acknowledges the line is too high. Cody expects a close fight.

"I'm going to pick Dudakova for now I think she does get the takedowns"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Viktoriia Dudakova

Daniel picks Victoria Dudakova to win, describing her as a prospect tester against Jinh Yu Frey, who is on her way out. He notes Dudakova's toughness and improving skills, and believes she can take Frey down and control the fight. He complains about the high line but thinks Dudakova should win comfortably.

Dudakova minus 525, Frey plus 400; mentions Dudakova's takedowns and toughness
"I think dudova wins just too bad the line sucks."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Viktoriia Dudakova

Dudakova is younger, more explosive, and stronger than Frey. She has a strong wrestling and grappling game, with four of her seven wins by submission. Expects Dudakova to get takedowns, stay out of submissions, and dominate from top position, likely winning inside the distance in the second or third round.

inside the distance, round 2 or 3
"I'm expecting dudakova to obviously she's the younger fighter here she's going to be more explosive more powerful"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Viktoriia Dudakova

Paul picks Dudakova but is hesitant, noting that she is one-dimensional and relies on wrestling. He believes her size and strength will allow her to take Frey down and control her, but he worries about her lack of volume and ground-and-pound. Paul sees value on Frey but sticks with Dudakova.

"I do think Dudakova probably goes in there wrangles her to the ground spends time up on top"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Viktoriia Dudakova

The MMA Guru sees this as a clear mismatch set up by the UFC to give Dudakova a win. He notes Dudakova's athleticism, size, and reach advantages, and points out that Frey is 38 and coming off losses. He believes Dudakova is simply a better fighter and that the UFC wants her to win.

"Victoria dudova is a lot more athletic well maybe not more athletic but she's got a size Advantage she's got a reach advantage and she is just better as a fighter"
LOSS vs Elise Reed
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kara-France vs. Albazi · Jun 03, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Elise Reed 0 53 of 120 44% 94 of 174 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:29
Jinh Yu Frey 0 28 of 91 30% 42 of 114 3 of 7 42% 0 0 4:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Elise Reed 0 14 of 32 43% 36 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Jinh Yu Frey 0 11 of 26 42% 16 of 34 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:52
2 Elise Reed 0 19 of 33 57% 31 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Jinh Yu Frey 0 7 of 27 25% 12 of 35 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:56
3 Elise Reed 0 20 of 55 36% 27 of 62 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:42
Jinh Yu Frey 0 10 of 38 26% 14 of 45 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Elise Reed 53 of 120 44% 16 of 65 21 of 36 16 of 19 45 of 111 8 of 9 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 28 of 91 30% 15 of 68 4 of 13 9 of 10 26 of 84 2 of 4 0 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Elise Reed 14 of 32 43% 4 of 16 6 of 11 4 of 5 11 of 29 3 of 3 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 11 of 26 42% 9 of 19 0 of 5 2 of 2 10 of 23 1 of 2 0 of 1
2 Elise Reed 19 of 33 57% 6 of 17 5 of 7 8 of 9 17 of 31 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 7 of 27 25% 1 of 19 2 of 4 4 of 4 7 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 2
3 Elise Reed 20 of 55 36% 6 of 32 10 of 18 4 of 5 17 of 51 3 of 4 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 10 of 38 26% 5 of 30 2 of 4 3 of 4 9 of 37 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Angelo has a very slight lean to Frey, thinking she can slow down Reed's pace by using cage control and takedowns. He is concerned about Frey's age (38) and recent knockout loss, but believes her experience and grappling can neutralize Reed's tenacity. He notes Reed is tough and hits hard but is inconsistent. Angelo is not spending money on this fight.

"very incredibly slight lean to fry not spending any money here I think she can slow that pace down"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Elise Reed

Cody picks Reed, citing her improvements fight to fight. He notes Reed's striking volume and that she has shown wrestling improvements in some fights. Cody acknowledges Reed's inconsistency but thinks Frey's lack of wrestling and recent knockout loss are concerns. He picks Reed but feels awful about it.

Over 0.5 takedowns for Elise Reed on PrizePicks
"I'm gonna go with Elise read and I know man I feel awful about it"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2023 (fight day)
Elise Reed

Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Frey seems to hate fighting and has become a low-output, hesitant fighter. He notes that Reed has improved her combination striking and carries real power, especially with her body kicks and straight right. Connor believes that once Reed lands cleanly, Frey's confidence will shatter, leading to a finish or a clear decision for Reed.

"Frayed does not seem to like to fight and at least read lands really hard when she does"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 1, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Daniel picks Frey via a coin flip, but notes that Frey has a grappling advantage and has shown she will wrestle when needed. He sees Reed as having been finished by fighters who don't usually finish, and Frey's black belt could be the difference. He calls it a dog-or-pass situation.

"heads is gonna be read and Tails is going to be fry ... we got a tail so I said tails is fried right so I'm gonna go with a fry"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Elise Reed

Jacob picks Elise Reed, citing her power and the matchup being tailor-made for her. He thinks Frey is not the pressure fighter who can get in Reed's face, especially coming off a knockout loss. Jacob believes Reed will pick Frey apart from distance and hurt her. He plans to bet on Reed live or closer to the fight. He also likes Reed inside the distance at -155.

Reed inside distance at -155.
"I just think that this is almost a tailor-made perfect Fight For Elise Reed somebody that's going to be in front of her not a lot of head movement and isn't gonna pressure her"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 1, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Elise Reed

Reed is a striker with deceptive power and good footwork. She can keep the fight upright and land damaging blows. Frey is a BJJ brown belt who will look for takedowns and submissions. Reed's best path is to avoid the ground and find a knockout, but confidence is low. The under 2.5 rounds is a better bet.

under 2.5 rounds +200
"I'm going to go with the striker here in Elise read that I'm hoping that her footwork her movement and the Damage that she can accrue on the feet will keep Jin you fry on the outside"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Paul picks Frey, noting that Reed has been inconsistent and that Frey is a veteran. He mentions Reed's struggles when opponents have a wrestling advantage, but he's not sure who has that edge. Paul is not confident and says he won't bet this fight, but he picks Frey.

"genuine Frey will be getting my pick"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 29, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Elise Reed

The MMA Guru confidently picks Elise Reed, calling it a no-brainer. He argues that Jinh Yu Frey is 38, coming off a KO loss, and should have lost to Vanessa Demopoulos, who he considers awful. He believes Reed will outbox Frey on the feet, as Frey lacks the grappling to take Reed down. He also notes Reed's win over Cory McKenna, who has good takedowns, as evidence of Reed's striking ability.

"I'm going with Elise Reed... I think she's much better than Jin you Frey"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2023 (fight day)
Elise Reed

Zane picks Reed confidently, citing Frey's severe lack of output and apparent anxiety in fights. He notes that Frey has all the technical tools but cannot pull the trigger, while Reed has developed into a busier boxer who lands hard shots. Reed's power and willingness to engage should overwhelm Frey, who tends to freeze and do nothing for long stretches. Zane believes Reed's aggression and striking will be decisive.

"I'll pick a genufrey ever again. Yeah, I mean she's done"
LOSS vs Polyana Viana
KO (punches) R1 0:47 · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · Nov 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Polyana Viana 1 11 of 18 61% 11 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Jinh Yu Frey 0 6 of 14 42% 6 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Polyana Viana 1 11 of 18 61% 11 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Jinh Yu Frey 0 6 of 14 42% 6 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Polyana Viana 11 of 18 61% 10 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 16 0 of 0 2 of 2
Jinh Yu Frey 6 of 14 42% 0 of 5 3 of 6 3 of 3 6 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Polyana Viana 11 of 18 61% 10 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 16 0 of 0 2 of 2
Jinh Yu Frey 6 of 14 42% 0 of 5 3 of 6 3 of 3 6 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jinh Yu Frey vs. Polyana Viana
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Viana (-135), Frey (+115)

Round 1
Strawweights toe the line in this next encounter, and their fighting styles could scarcely be more different. Viana (12-5, 3-4 UFC) maintains a 100% finish rate with exactly two-thirds of her victories coming by tapout, while former Invicta champ Frey (11-7, 2-3 UFC) has not procured a stoppage since December 2014. Referee Herb Dean is ready for anywhere this fight goes, and it begins with a touch of hands. They calmly start to trade punches, going tit-for-tat with jabs and straight punches. Frey slaps a low kick, and Viana responds in kind. Out of nowhere, Frey leaps forward in a blitz of blows, and Viana stands firm to knee her square to the body. With Frey stunned, Viana wings hooks that are far more powerful than what Frey can muster, and she has Frey’s attention in a hurry.
Viana knocks her foe back with a long barrage of nasty punches, and she does not let a wobbled Frey off the hook. The brutal swinging fists from “Dama de Ferro” continue to blast into Frey, and Frey falls to the ground in big trouble. To hammer the nail, Viana keeps her 100% finish rate intact by smashing Frey with two hammerfists.
Those blows put Frey flat on her back with her arms reached out, frozen in time, and she has nothing left to give. Dean leaps in, and Frey snaps back to life as if she had just been woken up from a deep slumber. Brazil’s Viana is now one stoppage away from the women’s strawweight record held by Jessica Andrade and Rose Namajunas, and she calls for a fight in January in Rio de Janeiro.

The Official Result
Polyana Viana def. Jinh Yu Frey R1 0:47 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Angelo picks Frey, citing her physicality, veteran savvy, and well-roundedness. He expects Frey to slow the pace, hold Viana against the cage, and avoid ground threats. He notes Viana is dangerous with submissions but relies on opponents to get to the ground. He is on the fence about betting, waiting for prop bets.

I'll probably wait till Tuesday when all the prop bets drop
"I think Fry's physicality and the veteran savvy are going to be the difference here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

Big Brady criticizes Frey's low volume and poor cardio, while noting Viana's dangerous submission game and 100% finish rate. He expects Viana to pull guard and get the fight to the mat, where she is very dangerous with arm bars and triangles. He predicts a first-round submission, though he acknowledges Frey's takedown defense is strong.

Viana wins by submission in round 1
"I kind of see her catching gignify at some point in this fight I think the fight does hit the mat and I think pauliana Viana fry and I'll probably say it's in the first round so give me Pauline …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

Cody picks Polyana Viana by submission. He notes that Viana is the 'armbar queen' and that submission is very much on the table. He references the Kate Hanson fight where Frey was submitted by armbar, and thinks Viana can do the same. He acknowledges that Viana has had travel issues from Brazil but still likes her to find a submission. He prefers Viana by sub at +350 over the moneyline.

Polyana Viana by submission +350
"Vienna by sub and be done with it move on it's like plus 350s are out there right now it's like that's what she attacks when she you know gets these victories so"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

Connor agrees, noting that Frey's cautious style and lack of confidence make her unlikely to take advantage of Viana's chaotic approach. Viana will insist on making the fight happen, and Frey has historically frozen under pressure. Viana's finishes (12 inside the distance) contrast with Frey's lack of finishing ability.

"I'm going to side with you. That Vanessa Demopolis loss was really sad."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

Daniel Levi picks Polyana Viana, citing her will to win and opportunistic armbar from guard. He notes Jinh Yu Frey is more polished standing, but Viana's aggression and submission threat on the mat give her the edge. He is not laying chalk on it.

"I'm gonna go with Pollyanna Vienna"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 31, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

The host sees this as a difficult fight but leans Viana due to her chaotic style and submission threat. He notes Frey could grind out a decision, but Viana's aggression and BJJ make her dangerous. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds prop rather than the moneyline, expecting a finish from Viana.

Under 2.5 rounds; Viana inside the distance by submission
"I do lean the Vienna side I do think she pulls off an arm bar or a submission of some sort"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Paul picks Jinh Yu Frey as an underdog. He argues that Frey is a BJJ black belt and has not been submitted lately, surviving against Ashley Yoder and Vanessa Demopoulos. He thinks Frey is better standing, with improved volume (88 significant strikes against Yoder, 62 against Demopoulos). He criticizes Viana as one-dimensional, with poor striking and a tendency to get controlled on the ground, as seen against Tabatha Ricci. He believes Frey can win a decision by outworking Viana.

"I gotta go the other way actually ... if I'm gonna get slight Underdog money I'm gonna take a dog or pass on this one go with Jimmy Fray"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

The MMA Guru picks Polyana Viana, noting Frey's submission loss to Kay Hansen and decision loss to Vanessa Demopoulos. He believes Viana, at 30, is in her prime and has submission skills, particularly armbars. He predicts Viana will get a submission, likely an armbar or triangle, after making Frey shoot for takedowns.

submission (armbar or triangle)
"I'm gonna go if Pollyanna Viano over ginufree... I can see this being an arm bar as well."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Polyana Viana

Zane picks Viana because Frey is too tentative and cautious, lacking the aggression to capitalize on Viana's defensive lapses. Viana is aggressive, throws from all ranges, and will force the action. Frey's inability to pull the trigger, as seen in her loss to Vanessa Demopoulos, makes her unreliable even against a flawed opponent like Viana.

"I'm going to pick Viana. This is right in line with the level of fight that Trey does win."
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · Jun 25, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Vanessa Demopoulos 0 66 of 139 47% 71 of 144 1 of 7 14% 0 0 4:14
Jinh Yu Frey 0 62 of 133 46% 81 of 153 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 11 of 32 34% 11 of 32 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:35
Jinh Yu Frey 0 17 of 45 37% 18 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 24 of 52 46% 25 of 53 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:31
Jinh Yu Frey 0 27 of 56 48% 30 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
3 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 31 of 55 56% 35 of 59 0 of 2 0% 0 0 3:08
Jinh Yu Frey 0 18 of 32 56% 33 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Vanessa Demopoulos 66 of 139 47% 34 of 100 25 of 31 7 of 8 40 of 107 26 of 32 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 62 of 133 46% 49 of 116 8 of 11 5 of 6 58 of 128 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Vanessa Demopoulos 11 of 32 34% 6 of 24 3 of 5 2 of 3 9 of 30 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 17 of 45 37% 15 of 41 0 of 2 2 of 2 17 of 44 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Vanessa Demopoulos 24 of 52 46% 14 of 41 7 of 8 3 of 3 17 of 44 7 of 8 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 27 of 56 48% 20 of 48 4 of 4 3 of 4 27 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Vanessa Demopoulos 31 of 55 56% 14 of 35 15 of 18 2 of 2 14 of 33 17 of 22 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 18 of 32 56% 14 of 27 4 of 5 0 of 0 14 of 28 4 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Angelo picks Jinh Yu Frey, expecting her to slow the pace with bully-style grappling and beat Vanessa Demopoulos similarly to how Lupita Godinez did in the LFA. He acknowledges Vanessa's dangerous ground game and that lesser opponents have submitted Frey before, but believes Frey's physicality and forward pressure will earn her a unanimous decision win.

"i love ginyu frey in this fight i think vanessa will be faster potentially have the better footwork but i expect gin to slow the pace down work in some of that bully-style grappling and just beat vanessa the exact …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Big Brady picks Jinh Yu Frey to win by decision. He notes that Frey has a striking advantage and excellent takedown defense (90%), while Demopoulos has no wrestling and poor takedown success. However, he criticizes the -275 price as too high for a low-volume striker like Frey, and warns that Demopoulos's activity could make the fight look close. He ultimately expects Frey to outstrike Demopoulos and keep the fight standing.

Frey by decision; odds too high at -275
"i favor her in this fight i'm going to pick her on this fight i'm going to pick her to win by decision but that price tag is just ridiculous"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Cody picks Frey, citing her better striking and takedown defense. He thinks she will win by decision, noting Demopoulos has never scored a takedown in the UFC. He warns against heavy investment at -260 but thinks Frey by decision is a solid play.

Frey by decision -110
"i'm just more inclined to go with ginyu frey by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

Paul picks Demopoulos by submission at +800, noting her only path to victory is a submission. He thinks the value is too good to pass up, even though Frey is the better striker. He acknowledges it's a longshot but worth a small bet.

Demopoulos by submission +800
"demopolis by submission plus 800. that's just that's just the way i play"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

The host picks Vanessa Demopoulos as an underdog, citing that Jinh Yu Frey lost to Kay Hansen, which is a bad look. He notes Demopoulos is younger (7-4 record) and moving down to strawweight, while Frey is 37. He expects Demopoulos to win by decision, winning scrambles and controlling the fight.

underdog pick, decision win prediction
"i do believe she's going to pull this one off as the underdog against ginyu frey because ginyu frey lost a fight to kay hansen"
WIN vs Ashley Yoder
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Hall vs. Strickland · Jul 31, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jinh Yu Frey 0 88 of 185 47% 89 of 186 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Ashley Yoder 0 91 of 236 38% 96 of 241 0 of 8 0% 0 0 0:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jinh Yu Frey 0 28 of 56 50% 29 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Ashley Yoder 0 28 of 69 40% 33 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:41
2 Jinh Yu Frey 0 35 of 67 52% 35 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ashley Yoder 0 38 of 90 42% 38 of 90 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Jinh Yu Frey 0 25 of 62 40% 25 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ashley Yoder 0 25 of 77 32% 25 of 77 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jinh Yu Frey 88 of 185 47% 46 of 129 15 of 25 27 of 31 77 of 173 10 of 11 1 of 1
Ashley Yoder 91 of 236 38% 59 of 188 15 of 25 17 of 23 90 of 233 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jinh Yu Frey 28 of 56 50% 9 of 33 8 of 11 11 of 12 24 of 52 3 of 3 1 of 1
Ashley Yoder 28 of 69 40% 14 of 49 5 of 9 9 of 11 27 of 68 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jinh Yu Frey 35 of 67 52% 21 of 49 6 of 10 8 of 8 33 of 64 2 of 3 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 38 of 90 42% 28 of 73 5 of 9 5 of 8 38 of 90 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jinh Yu Frey 25 of 62 40% 16 of 47 1 of 4 8 of 11 20 of 57 5 of 5 0 of 0
Ashley Yoder 25 of 77 32% 17 of 66 5 of 7 3 of 4 25 of 75 0 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder

Big Brady picks Ashley Yoder, citing her size advantage and higher volume. He notes that Frey throws very few strikes (averaging 24-26 per fight) and that Yoder can win by simply being more active. He also thinks Yoder's grappling could be effective. However, he calls it an ugly fight and is not highly confident.

"i'll take yoder this is as low level as it gets but yeah i'll take uh ashley yoder to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder

Cody picks Ashley Yoder, believing her wrestling and top control will be the difference. He notes that Frey has poor takedown defense and Yoder should be able to secure takedowns and control the fight. However, he is not fully confident because Yoder's striking is lacking and if she cannot get takedowns, she could lose a low-volume striking match. He calls it a 'dog or pass' spot.

"i think that yoder does get the takedowns i think you you watch that k hanson fight and and those takedowns should be there for a wrestler of yoder's ability"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jul 31, 2021 (fight day)
Ashley Yoder

Levi notes that he doesn't often recommend backing Ashley Yoder as a favorite, but here she is the bigger and better grappler. He believes Yoder can get takedowns more comfortably and spend time on top, edging out a competitive decision. However, he warns that if Yoder decides to test her stand-up, Frey could have success, as Yoder's striking is not as dangerous as de Paula's. Levi credits Frey for beating de Paula but thinks Yoder's grappling-heavy approach should secure the win.

"I think that she can get the takedowns a little bit more comfortably here you know spend a little bit more time on top"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Frey has a bounce-back win over de Paula and should have success if she grapples with Yoder. Yoder is a black belt but lacks volume and strength. Frey's striking is adequate, and she can win scrambles. However, Frey is a natural 105er moving up, which is a concern. The fight likely goes to decision, and Frey at plus money is the side.

Frey by decision +200
"I'd rather have the plus money side... genu fry to win by decision at plus 200"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder

Paul also picks Ashley Yoder, citing her size and strength advantage and the likelihood that she can grind out a decision. He notes that Frey is a natural atomweight and has poor grappling. However, he is concerned about Yoder's recent regression and the fact that this fight likely goes to decision, making judging a factor. He is not confident enough to bet but leans Yoder.

"i got to go with yauter as well and the main thing here is that y'all has had nine fights in the ufc all nine of them have gone to decisions"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

The MMA Guru picks Jinh Yu Frey over Ashley Yoder, stating that Frey is more solid as a martial artist while Yoder relies on physical attributes. He notes that Frey has a more solid foundation and is fundamentally better. He expects Frey to win by unanimous decision, as she is more experienced and technically sound.

Frey by unanimous decision
"i'm gonna go with jinyu fray here over ashley yoda... i think she's just solidly a bit more fundamentally better"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · Mar 13, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jinh Yu Frey 0 31 of 63 49% 51 of 95 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Gloria de Paula 0 24 of 79 30% 50 of 125 2 of 3 66% 2 0 9:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jinh Yu Frey 0 2 of 3 66% 8 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gloria de Paula 0 8 of 13 61% 26 of 41 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:44
2 Jinh Yu Frey 0 27 of 55 49% 29 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Gloria de Paula 0 15 of 61 24% 17 of 63 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
3 Jinh Yu Frey 0 2 of 5 40% 14 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gloria de Paula 0 1 of 5 20% 7 of 21 1 of 1 100% 2 0 4:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jinh Yu Frey 31 of 63 49% 18 of 48 7 of 9 6 of 6 27 of 59 4 of 4 0 of 0
Gloria de Paula 24 of 79 30% 10 of 62 3 of 5 11 of 12 17 of 70 1 of 1 6 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jinh Yu Frey 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0
Gloria de Paula 8 of 13 61% 4 of 9 0 of 0 4 of 4 2 of 5 0 of 0 6 of 8
2 Jinh Yu Frey 27 of 55 49% 16 of 42 5 of 7 6 of 6 24 of 52 3 of 3 0 of 0
Gloria de Paula 15 of 61 24% 6 of 49 3 of 5 6 of 7 15 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jinh Yu Frey 2 of 5 40% 1 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gloria de Paula 1 of 5 20% 0 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Gloria de Paula

Big Brady picks Gloria de Paula, largely fading Jinh Yu Frey due to her extremely low volume and inability to reach 30 significant strikes in her UFC fights. He notes de Paula is the bigger fighter, trains at a good camp (Shoot Box with Mara Romero Borella), and should be able to stuff takedowns. He sees de Paula out-striking Frey and possibly finishing her, though he predicts a decision win.

"I like de Paula quite a bit in this fight and it's more so a fade on Jinh Yu Frey."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Gloria de Paula

Daniel Levi picks Gloria de Paula because she is more aggressive, has cleaner strikes, and better takedown defense than her girlfriend Mayra Bueno Silva. He dismisses Jinh Yu Frey's experience advantage, noting she lost to less experienced opponents. He believes de Paula's willingness to go forward and her heart will overwhelm Frey, who hesitates and has been broken in recent fights.

"I actually think that gloria de paulo is going to come out here and double up jinyu freya on strikes and just win this fight because she is better"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2021 (11 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Lock leans Frey due to not knowing much about de Paula. He notes Frey is a veteran with solid experience, a former champion in Rizin, and a strong all-around fighter. He acknowledges he needs to research de Paula to understand why she's the favorite. His lean is strictly based on unfamiliarity with de Paula.

"so see early lean is afraid but that's uh fry i should say and that's strictly due to not knowing anything about gloria de paula here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Gloria de Paula

The Guru is impressed with Gloria de Paula's performance on the Contender Series, noting her technical striking, patience, and increasing volume as the fight progressed. He believes de Paula has great potential and is younger than Frey. He criticizes Frey for being too small for the strawweight division and suggests an atomweight division should exist. He predicts de Paula will win by unanimous decision, 30-27, outstriking Frey and not finishing her because Frey is tough.

"i'm going to go with gloria de puella she looked great on the contender series in her last fight"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Aldana · Oct 04, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Loma Lookboonmee 0 80 of 137 58% 85 of 142 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:23
Jinh Yu Frey 0 26 of 61 42% 39 of 75 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Loma Lookboonmee 0 36 of 49 73% 39 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:43
Jinh Yu Frey 0 9 of 21 42% 10 of 22 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:54
2 Loma Lookboonmee 0 29 of 53 54% 29 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:40
Jinh Yu Frey 0 11 of 24 45% 12 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Loma Lookboonmee 0 15 of 35 42% 17 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jinh Yu Frey 0 6 of 16 37% 17 of 27 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:40
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Loma Lookboonmee 80 of 137 58% 27 of 61 35 of 56 18 of 20 42 of 86 38 of 50 0 of 1
Jinh Yu Frey 26 of 61 42% 21 of 49 4 of 8 1 of 4 13 of 47 13 of 14 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Loma Lookboonmee 36 of 49 73% 17 of 27 13 of 16 6 of 6 12 of 22 24 of 27 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 9 of 21 42% 7 of 17 2 of 3 0 of 1 2 of 13 7 of 8 0 of 0
2 Loma Lookboonmee 29 of 53 54% 7 of 19 14 of 25 8 of 9 16 of 33 13 of 20 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 11 of 24 45% 8 of 17 2 of 4 1 of 3 7 of 20 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Loma Lookboonmee 15 of 35 42% 3 of 15 8 of 15 4 of 5 14 of 31 1 of 3 0 of 1
Jinh Yu Frey 6 of 16 37% 6 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 14 2 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jinh Yu Frey vs. Konklak Suphisara

Round 1
In the first of many women’s bouts tonight, Frey (9-5, 0-1 UFC) hunts for her first win inside the Octagon against Thai “Loma Lookboonmee” Suphisara (4-2, 1-1 UFC) at strawweight. Presiding over what could be a fun one is referee Marc Goddard, who watches on as the two women touch gloves. Suphisara opens things up with a head kick and a leg kick to follow, and Alateng may be sitting backstage thinking “not again…” Frey walks forward and blocks a head kick, all while swarming her way into the clinch. “Loma Lookboonmee” almost fights her way out, but Frey bullies her back to the fence. Suphisara knees her in the belly, so Frey ducks down to try to grab hold of a single leg takedown. Suphisara stops it, scores another knee up the middle, and Frey forces a break by delivering an elbow on Suphisara’s face. Suphisara lets fly a body kick, and Frey responds with a stiff left hand. Suphisara is unconcerned, and she continues to land kicks from the outside. The two trade leg kicks, and Frey reaches forward with a punch to the body. Suphisara boots her in the midsection, and Frey clinches up. Suphisara greets her with a vicious elbow that stops Frey in her tracks, and she continues to pour them on as Frey looks shellshocked. Suphisara knees the body, and she blocks an overhand left when Frey pushes off. Suphisara start a combination with a high kick and follows it with a few punches, and Frey grabs hold of her. Suphisara welcomes this clinch with a series of powerful knees and elbows as Frey turns away for a moment, and Suphisara continues to swarm her with them and opens a cut under Frey’s eye. Frey throws a few punches to break free, and Suphisara meets her with a left hand. Suphisara chops the lead leg with a kick, and rushes forward to clinch up. The Thai lands a few shots on the inside, and the horn sounds ending the first round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara

Round 2
The two women tentatively walk towards one another out of their corners, and it is Suphisara who strikes first with a teep kick. Suphisara dodges a flurry and lands a leg kick as she backs away. Frey punches her way into the clinch, and Suphisara’s eyes light up as she starts spamming knees to the body. Frey responds with one of her own, but it is Suphisara who sets up the Thai clinch and blasts the body with more knees. Suphisara transitions into hacking elbows, before switching back to thudding knees. A flustered Frey pushes her way free from the clinch, and as she stalks her opponent down, she avoids a calf kick and blocks a head kick. Suphisara’s third kick of the salvo lands in the form of one to the chest. Frey clinches up again, and Suphisara thanks her for it by instantly throwing knees to the torso. Frey breaks free, and she takes a low kick. Frey catches Suphisara with a counter left hand when Suphisara is trying to kick, but Suphisara circles away before she takes any more shots. “Loma Lookboonmee” slings kicks up high and low, and Frey blocks the brunt of the attack while walking her opponent down. Frey throws a naked kick to the body only to eat a one-two on the chin, and she resets and throws a high kick. Suphisara ducks as if she were Anderson Silva while Frey falls to the ground, but the Thai does not follow her down. Frey scrambles to her feet and starts to throw low kicks. Suphisara narrowly misses with a blistering elbow, and the two go strike-for-strike until we hear the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara

Round 3
Frey comes out aggressive, jabbing her way into a single leg takedown attempt. The former Invicta champ lifts Suphisara up in the air and plants her on her back. Suphisara locks up her guard to try to control Frey, but Frey breaks the posture. The Thai attempts to kick her off, and Frey rolls through it to hop back down in side control. Frey maintains heavy shoulder pressure on Suphisara’s head, but the Thai scrambles and gets to her feet. Frey follows her up and takes her back, but Suphisara breaks the grip and gains a separation. Suphisara kicks low and rushes in with a blitz of punches. Suphisara kicks the body a few times with front kicks, and a one-two snaps Frey’s head back. Suphisara continues to chip away at her opponent from a distance, and they both land powerful punches at the same time. Suphisara kicks the body as if she were channeling her inner Casey Kenney, and she changes it up with a head kick. “Loma Lookboonmee” attempts a jumping side kick, and when Frey blocks it, she follows it with a hard leg kick. Frey is walking forward, but she is not throwing much of note and is not attempting any other takedown. Instead, Suphisara is picking away at her with head kicks and punches. Frey clinches up and scores a few punches to the body, and as soon as Suphisara lifts her knee up to land her own strikes, Frey hunts for a takedown. The Thai defends it as she gets bullied to the fence, only to stuff the takedown and break free. Suphisara fires off a low kick and gets countered with a stiff left hand over the top. Suphisara steps in with a few front kicks, and she lands one more when Frey charges at her. The two both connect with a punch or two in a final surge of strikes, and the fight ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara (30-27 Suphisara)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara (30-27 Suphisara)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Suphisara (30-27 Suphisara)

The Official Result
Konklak Suphisara def. Jinh Yu Frey via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 30, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Big Brady leans towards Loma Lookboonmee to win by decision. He cites her youth, Muay Thai experience, higher volume, and clinch work. He notes Frey is older and low volume, and that Lookboonmee has good takedown defense and trips.

"give me a look with me by a decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 2, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Daniel picks Lookboonmee, citing her Muay Thai background and youth advantage. He thinks Frey is on the tail end of her career and lacks the fire to win close rounds. He predicts a split decision but acknowledges Lookboonmee is overrated and green, and that Frey has the skills to win if she wants it. He advises staying away at the betting window.

Lookboonmee by split decision; stay away at the betting window
"i'll go with loma i think that muay thai background will pay dividends here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

The host sees Loma as the rising fighter with superior Muay Thai, particularly leg kicks and clinch knees, while Jinh Yu Frey is on the decline. He expects Loma to win via third-round TKO, noting her finishing potential and Frey's waning durability. He mentions a sprinkle on Loma by TKO at +750.

Loma by TKO +750
"I feel like loma will be able to find that chin... i think after a solid like 10 minutes of work we could see loma really open it up"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

The Guru picks Loma Lookboonmee, noting her close fight with Angela Hill and her takedown defense. He criticizes Frey's last performance against Kay Hansen and believes Lookboonmee is on the rise.

"i'm still gonna go with luma look boom getting the job done against you and frey just on the up right now"
LOSS vs Kay Hansen
Submission (armbar) R3 2:26 · UFC on ESPN: Poirier vs. Hooker · Jun 27, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kay Hansen 0 31 of 55 56% 43 of 67 2 of 11 18% 1 0 4:31
Jinh Yu Frey 0 26 of 46 56% 27 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kay Hansen 0 12 of 28 42% 13 of 29 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:28
Jinh Yu Frey 0 15 of 29 51% 16 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
2 Kay Hansen 0 17 of 21 80% 27 of 31 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:37
Jinh Yu Frey 0 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Kay Hansen 0 2 of 6 33% 3 of 7 0 of 4 0% 1 0 0:26
Jinh Yu Frey 0 6 of 7 85% 6 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kay Hansen 31 of 55 56% 16 of 37 12 of 12 3 of 6 16 of 40 1 of 1 14 of 14
Jinh Yu Frey 26 of 46 56% 7 of 22 4 of 7 15 of 17 23 of 39 3 of 6 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kay Hansen 12 of 28 42% 6 of 19 3 of 3 3 of 6 12 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jinh Yu Frey 15 of 29 51% 5 of 16 3 of 5 7 of 8 12 of 24 3 of 5 0 of 0
2 Kay Hansen 17 of 21 80% 8 of 12 9 of 9 0 of 0 3 of 7 1 of 1 13 of 13
Jinh Yu Frey 5 of 10 50% 1 of 4 1 of 2 3 of 4 5 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 1
3 Kay Hansen 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jinh Yu Frey 6 of 7 85% 1 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 5 6 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Kay Hansen

Big Brady picks Kay Hansen after watching tape, noting that Frey was unimpressive and has been knocked out twice and dominated on the ground. He likes Hansen's takedown-heavy style and thinks she can get Frey down and possibly submit her or win by ground-and-pound. He is concerned about Hansen's age (20) but still favors her.

Hansen by ground-and-pound in round 2; could also be a submission or decision; not the most confident play
"Give me K Hansen... I think she's probably gonna win by either a decision... or even finding a submission."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Kay Hansen

Daniel Levi picks Kay Hansen, citing the stylistic matchup of striker vs grappler. He notes that Jinh Yu Frey struggled to get up from bottom against atomweights, so moving up a weight class may not help. Levi believes Hansen will mix in takedowns and control the fight on the ground, winning by decision. He also mentions that Frey lost to Jodie Esquibel, which is a negative indicator.

"I'm gonna go with Kay Hanson of your decision here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Jun 22, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

The MMA Guru picks Jinh Yu Frey, admitting he doesn't know much about the fighters but thinks Frey is better and has faced better competition. He notes Frey's experience as a champion in Invicta. He is not confident and calls the fight uninteresting.

"I'm gonna go with you you and Frey I think she's better than her I think she's before a little bit better competition"
Expert Picks (5)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Angelo picks Jinh Yu Frey, expecting her to slow the pace with bully-style grappling and beat Vanessa Demopoulos similarly to how Lupita Godinez did in the LFA. He acknowledges Vanessa's dangerous ground game and that lesser opponents have submitted Frey before, but believes Frey's physicality and forward pressure will earn her a unanimous decision win.

"i love ginyu frey in this fight i think vanessa will be faster potentially have the better footwork but i expect gin to slow the pace down work in some of that bully-style grappling and just beat vanessa the exact same way that lupita godinez did in the lfa"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Big Brady picks Jinh Yu Frey to win by decision. He notes that Frey has a striking advantage and excellent takedown defense (90%), while Demopoulos has no wrestling and poor takedown success. However, he criticizes the -275 price as too high for a low-volume striker like Frey, and warns that Demopoulos's activity could make the fight look close. He ultimately expects Frey to outstrike Demopoulos and keep the fight standing.

Frey by decision; odds too high at -275
"i favor her in this fight i'm going to pick her on this fight i'm going to pick her to win by decision but that price tag is just ridiculous"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jinh Yu Frey

Cody picks Frey, citing her better striking and takedown defense. He thinks she will win by decision, noting Demopoulos has never scored a takedown in the UFC. He warns against heavy investment at -260 but thinks Frey by decision is a solid play.

Frey by decision -110
"i'm just more inclined to go with ginyu frey by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

Paul picks Demopoulos by submission at +800, noting her only path to victory is a submission. He thinks the value is too good to pass up, even though Frey is the better striker. He acknowledges it's a longshot but worth a small bet.

Demopoulos by submission +800
"demopolis by submission plus 800. that's just that's just the way i play"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

The host picks Vanessa Demopoulos as an underdog, citing that Jinh Yu Frey lost to Kay Hansen, which is a bad look. He notes Demopoulos is younger (7-4 record) and moving down to strawweight, while Frey is 37. He expects Demopoulos to win by decision, winning scrambles and controlling the fight.

underdog pick, decision win prediction
"i do believe she's going to pull this one off as the underdog against ginyu frey because ginyu frey lost a fight to kay hansen"